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Home loan lender, ME, has announced a range of interest rate cuts across variable and fixed rate products.
It included introducing a variable rate below 4 percent for new owner occupier with a maximum LVR of 80 percent. The variable rate for new owner occupier loans has been discounted by 6 basis points to 3.95 percent. This is an 88 basis point discount off the reference rate for the life of the loan. The variable rate on its investment Flexible Home Loan with Member Package has been reduced by 9 basis points to 4.15 percent. This is a 68 basis point discount off the reference rate. The non-major has also cut its one and two-year fixed rates by 30 basis points on its Flexible Home Loan for owner occupiers to 3.99 percent.
The four and five-year fixed rates have been cut by 10 basis points to 4.49 percent. For investors, the Flexible Home Loan has been discounted by 20 basis points on its one and two-year fixed rates, to 4.09 percent, effective yesterday.
For more information, <a href="https://www.mebank.com.au" target="_blank">click here</a>.
Following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s decision to cut the cash rate in May, demand for variable rate mortgages has risen, according to Mortgage Choice’s latest national home loan approval data.
Variable rate home loans accounted for 76% of all loans written in May – up from 75% the month prior.   “After the Reserve Bank’s decision to cut the cash rate at its May Board meeting, three of the four majors passed on the full rate cut – trimming their variable rates by 25 basis points,” Mortgage Choice chief executive officer John Flavell said.   “With that in mind, it was hardly surprising to see a lift in demand for variable rate products this month. Borrowers are clearly looking to take advantage of the historically low rate environment.   “And, with many economists predicting at least one more rate cut this calendar year, I wouldn’t be surprised to see demand for variable rate products remaining strong for the foreseeable future.”   Across the country, demand for variable rate products was highest in Victoria, with this type of product accounting for 86% of all loans written in May.   Variable rate demand was lowest in New South Wales, with this type of product accounting for 71.47% of all loans written.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

ME drops variable home loan rate to below 4 percent

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A warehouse conversion in Pyrmont owned by two-hatted chef and restaurateur Mark Best and his wife Valerie sold at weekend auction.
The minimalist two-level apartment at <a href="https://www.domain.com.au/501-502-380-harris-street-pyrmont-nsw-2009-2012731824" target="_blank">501 &amp; 502/380 Harris Street</a> sold on its reserve for $2 million to an inner-west buyer. 
The Bests had amalgamated apartments in 2007 and 2008 paying $1,395,000 total in the M Central development.
The two apartments were amalgamated by architect Julius Bokor, blending his modernist style with the building’s industrial touches.
 
 
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Pyrmont warehouse conversion sale by two hatted chef

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GUEST OBSERVER
High rental returns in a low interest rate environment are driving residential investors to the industrial property market in Sydney.
Based on current market conditions, rental increases of between 35 to 45 per cent are expected over the next three to five years and possibly more due to an under supply of industrial property in Sydney.  
The low interest rate environment is creating perfect conditions to invest in industrial property. The owners of residential property and developers with land banks, who have made strong returns in recent years are cashing in and now moving into industrial property to capitalise on higher returns. The cost of money domestically is falling and driving price growth.
Astute investors are realising you can’t eat capital growth. To build long term wealth through property, cash flow is king which is what is delivered through industrial property. We are witnessing a shift towards investors purchasing industrial property in their self-managed super funds to generate an income for life.
Sydney investors are realising that a small industrial strata unit can be purchased for half the capital outlay compared to a home. There are significant advantages associated with investing in industrial real estate when compared to residential. These include the security bond is usually bigger (three months), leases are longer – typically three to five years,  less capital outlay is required for smaller units and rental yields are generally higher. 
According to the latest statistics from the Property Council/IPD Australia All Property Index, the average annual return of industrial property was 15 per cent in the year to end 31 March.
Property shares returned 9.2 percent, bonds recorded 1.6 percent and balanced share portfolios went backwards by 11.3 percent. The average rent income yield was 6.6 percent, plus 7 percent capital growth, which is the best since 2008.
In a Sydney based example, a private investor purchased a 746 sq m property (total area) in the Seven Hills Industrial Precinct in October, 2010 for $1.117 million. Today the property is worth $1.49 million which is an increase of 33 percent in value since the purchase price. The net rental cash flow from the tenant on the existing lease is $82,399 returning 7.37 percent with total returns exceeding 10 percent per annum.
Sydney’s industrial property market is currently experiencing a major under supply. I don’t expect the market will suffer any significant rental downturn due to supply constraints. With price increases continuing, Sydney offers the potential for very good industrial rental and price return growth well into the future. However the window of opportunity to secure the best returns will be gone after 2017 due to supply constraints today.
Barry Cawthorn is managing director, Bawdens Industrial and can be contacted <a href="https://www.bawdens.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>.
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High rental returns driving residential investors to industrial property: Barry Cawthorn

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GUEST OBSERVER
Due to an unprecedented number of recent changes in the conveyancing practice in NSW, the 2005 and 2014 editions of the Contract for Sale and Purchase of Land with copyright to the Law Society of NSW and the Real Estate Institute of NSW (Contract) should no longer be used for contracts exchanged on or after 1 July 2016.
Rather the new 2016 edition of the Contract launched on Monday 30 May 2016 should be used, and will be available only in electronic format.
The significant changes that precipitate the new 2016 Edition of the Contract include:
<ul>
<li>Pursuant to the new sub-division 14D, of Schedule 1 to the Taxation Administration Act 1953 (Cth), where the market value of the property is $2 million or more, the purchaser is obliged to comply with a foreign resident capital gains withholding payment obligation (regardless of whether the vendor is in fact a foreign resident), in which the purchaser must withhold 10 percent of the price at settlement and remit this to the Australian Taxation Office (ATO), unless the vendor supplies to the purchaser a clearance certificate. A lesser amount may be withheld if the vendor supplies to the purchaser a variation from the ATO authorising less to be withheld.  </li>
<li>Pursuant to the Swimming Pools Act 1992 (NSW) and new regulations made in March 2016, vendors of property being single freehold or strata schemes with no more than two lots, that contain a swimming pool or spa, are required to attach to the Contract:</li>
</ul>
<ol start="1">
<li>A valid certificate of compliance issued under section 22D of the Swimming Pools Act 1992 (NSW); or</li>
<li>A relevant occupation certificate (less than 3 years old) and evidence that the swimming pool is registered under Part 3A of the Swimming Pools Act 1992(NSW); or</li>
<li>A valid certificate of non-compliance issued under clause 18BA of the Swimming Pools Regulation 2008.</li>
</ol>
<ul>
<li>Pursuant to the Conveyancing Amendment (Sunset Clauses) Act 2015 (NSW), which came into effect on 2 November 2015, vendors are required to either obtain the consent of all the purchasers before they can rescind an “off-the-plan” contract in reliance of the sunset clause for not registering the new titles by an agreed date in the Contract, or alternatively, obtain the permission of the Supreme Court to rescind.</li>
</ul>
In addition to these changes, there are miscellaneous other changes that can be found on the Law Society of NSW website.
There potentially may be more editions to the Contract, to cover more changes in the pipeline such as the changes to the operation of land tax certificates requiring vendors to obtain a land tax certificate and serve it on the purchaser before completion, and changes to strata schemes.
Clients should be aware that the 2005 and 2014 editions of the contract are expected to be no longer sold after 30 June 2016, and these editions should not be used for contracts exchanged on or after 1 July 2016. It is recommended that you use the 2016 edition of the Contract to cover the multitude of issues, or if you want to use older editions, then you will need to consider inserting additional conditions to address the significant changes. 
Gary Newton is partner TressCox Lawyers and Henry Yuan is paralegal. Both can be contacted <a href="https://www.tresscox.com.au/page/our-expertise/property/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Property 101: New edition of the NSW Contract for Sale and Purchase of Land

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) inquiry into the way mortgage brokers are paid may uncover some isolated shady dealings but the system of remuneration for brokers is already regulated well enough by intense competition.
Assistant Treasurer Kelly O’Dwyer announced the inquiry last year in line with recommendations from the Financial System Inquiry and ASIC recently commenced the inquiry with a scoping paper. The focus is likely to be on whether the advice of brokers is in the best interests of the customers.
As always, there are questions about whether the remuneration incentives for brokers distort their advice. And, again as always, there are questions about whether the fact that big banks own some brokers leads these brokers to favour the products of their owners, and not necessarily to offer the products most appropriate to the customer.
In many ways, the inquiry is just part of the ongoing reviews of different parts of the finance sector. The same arguments are likely to be rehashed.
In announcing the review, ASIC Commissioner Peter Kell was clear that:
“We are focused on consumer protection issues in the context of personal credit products, ranging from small amount credit contracts through to home loans."
There has been some discussion in the press that loans organised by brokers default at a higher rate than loans written by banks. The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) might regard this as a concern for financial stability, but ASIC will be concerned with whether people are getting loans they really should not be. The focus will clearly be on consumer outcomes.
It’s worth looking at the mortgage broking sector mainly because it has been growing rapidly and is now quite big. About half of all mortgages are provided through brokers, up from 40 percent a decade ago. The upfront commissions for brokers are about 0.5%, which yields annual revenue of close to A$2 billion.
So it is a big and rapidly growing financial sector and ASIC has duly been charged to have a look around for problems. Australia already has laws addressing any concerns. The National Consumer Protection Act has, since 2011, put the onus on providers to act in the best interests of customers. ASIC is really just checking up that the law is being complied with.
While there may be some bad behaviour, it is hard to see what the concern is. People have a choice.
They can go to their own financial institution and buy a mortgage direct from the manufacturer. Alternatively, they can look around among financial institutions to find the mortgage that works for them.
Now they can also go to one of the dozens of mortgage brokers to see if one of them can find a better deal. From the customers’ point of view, there are hundreds of retail outlets (banks and mortgage brokers) offering mortgages.
The fact that mortgage brokers are taking market share away from the banks suggests that customers really appreciate the mortgage broker effectively cutting the buyer’s cost of searching.
There shouldn’t be a problem with the banks paying the broker for delivering the customer, as there is a clear cost saving to the bank. It does not need to have as many branches or as many staff.
Seen from the bank’s point of view, it can originate the mortgage through its own branch and incur some overhead and running costs, or initiate the loan through the broker channel and pay the broker for its overhead and running costs.
Ultimately, the client is buying a product, in this case a mortgage. The price the customer pays is transparent, as are the terms and conditions.
If brokers were not providing a good service, customers could easily swing back to searching for their own mortgage among the banks, or simply walk down the street to another broker. Smart customers will thus keep the providers honest and make sure competition works as it should.
There is a not a lot of academic research into the issues associated with remunerating mortgage brokers. What there is tends to be from the US, which has not had a good record in managing mortgages over recent years. The most relevant paper suggests that loan quality can be improved though requiring registration, higher education standards and continuing education and/or by requiring brokers to post bonds.
The ASIC inquiry will uncover more information about the sector. It may also find some people have behaved badly (as in any area of human endeavour), but it’s hard to see a significant structural problem in a very competitive market.
Rodney Maddock is vice chancellor's fellow at Victoria University and Adjunct Professor of Economics, Monash University and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/rodney-maddock-107543" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Mortgage brokers: ASIC goes fishing

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
The Australian dairy farming industry is in a state of crisis. Cheap dairy products and fluctuations in both the domestic and global markets have taken a financial toll on farmers. Consumers have rallied to help struggling dairy producers.
But this is only half the problem. The true cost of dairy is also paid by dairy cows and the environment.
<h2>Welfare problems</h2>
Despite the idyllic image of outdoor farming, several industry practices negatively affect dairy cows. To meet production demands, dairy cows are subject to a continuous cycle of impregnation, induced calving and milking.
Tail-docking and horn removal are routinely performed without pain relief. Lameness is another major animal welfare problem, often the result of environmental pressures, such as tracks, herd size and handling. The average lifespan of a dairy cow is six to seven years, whereas generally cows can live for 20 to 25 years.
One of the most controversial issues is young “bobby” calves. A bobby calf is a newborn calf, less than 30 days old, who has been purposely separated from their mother. Immediately after separation, cow and calf call out and search for each other.
Most bobby calves are slaughtered within the first week of their life. Handling and transport pose added problems for young calves who have not developed herding behaviours, are vulnerable to stress, and are forced to go without their mother’s milk. Each year, 450,000 bobby calves are slaughtered.
Advocacy groups frequently uncover the routine abuse of bobby calves in Australian abattoirs and challenge the dairy industry to do something about it.
Yet aside from the wider ethical questions over the use and exploitation of animals, farmers are not legally doing anything wrong. This is because the treatment of animals operates in a legal context where animals are considered absolute property.
What’s more, farm animals are exempt from the provisions of anti-cruelty legislation. Codes of practice are practically useless, because they promote low welfare standards and are unenforceable.
<h2>The environmental impact</h2>
As well as systematic welfare problems, livestock farming is, both directly and indirectly, one of the most ecologically harmful human activities. The Australian livestock sector is worth A$17 billion and dairy cattle farming is a A$4.2 billion industry.
In Australia, livestock farming accounts for 10 percent to 16 percent of greenhouse gas emissions, with dairy farms contributing 19 percent of this, or 3 percent of total emissions. Methane emissions, from digestion and manure, and nitrous oxide from livestock are significant contributors. Globally, the livestock sector is responsible for more greenhouse gases than the world’s transport.
Livestock production accounts for 70 percent of all agricultural land, including the land used to grow crops to feed these animals. Animal agriculture is a key factor in land degradation, deforestation, water stress, pollution, and loss of biodiversity.
Livestock farming will also be affected by climate change, particularly changes in temperature and water. The quantity and quality of pasture and forage crops will also be affected. Diseases may increase due to fluctuating weather and climate.
<h2>Emissions can be reduced</h2>
Just as the energy sector is attempting to transition to low-carbon energy sources to tackle climate change, the agricultural sector needs to transition to an ethical and sustainable alternative.
From the current crisis, there are several opportunities for farmers to seize. Large transitions are possible in land use, production, output and profitability.
Places such as Gippsland in Victoria, which currently produces 19% of Australia’s dairy, have the opportunity for agricultural development based on apples and brassicas, such as broccoli, kale, cauliflower, cabbage, turnip and mustard. Some of these crops are already popular in the region. As a result of climate change and increasing temperatures, some areas will be more suitable than others.
While still in the stages of research, perennial grain crops – which store more carbon, maintain better soil and water quality, and manage nutrients better than annuals – have the potential to contribute to sustainable agriculture. New land uses could also include carbon plantings, biofuels and bioenergy crops. Investing into further research for alternatives to livestock farming is needed.
Some have argued that livestock emissions can be technically mitigated by modifying animal feed, better managing pastures, carbon sequestration and manure storage.
<h2>Welfare issues remain</h2>
But technical mitigation does not address the endemic animal welfare problems in the livestock industry.
Consumer demand is one of the most powerful strategies to combat animal welfare and environmental problems. Research shows that we must reduce food waste and losses in the supply chain and change our diets toward less resource-intensive diets, such as a plant-based diets. Doing so would cut emissions by two-thirds and save lives. It’s possible to eliminate animal suffering and reduce carbon emissions by reducing and replacing livestock production and consumption.
Alternatives to dairy milk include soy and almond milk. Soy milk is nutritionally comparable to dairy milk and has a significantly smaller environmental footprint.
Policy initiatives also need to address these issues. The Food and Agriculture Organization’s Livestock’s Long Shadow report recommends a policy approach that correctly prices natural resources to reflect the full environmental costs and to end damaging subsidies. In the interim, higher taxes on meat and other livestock products will be necessary to improve public health and combat climate change.
Denmark, for instance, is considering proposals raise the tax on meat, after its ethics council concluded that “climate change is an ethical problem”.
Governments everywhere need to have a transitional plan for livestock producers and workers – one that helps to cultivate the ethical and sustainable agricultural endeavours of the future.
Gonzalo N Villanueva is PhD Candidate, School of Historical and Philosophical Studies, University of Melbourne and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/gonzalo-n-villanueva-14280" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Dairy farmers are being ‘milked dry’, but let’s remember the real cost of milk

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The practice of taxing foreigner property holdings at a higher rate than the locals is a world wide trend finally taken up by Australian legislators.
It looks like it will become the norm too in Sydney any day now. 
Just like the Labor Government in Victoria in 2015, overseas property investors look set to soon have to pay more to own a home in NSW under Treasurer Gladys Berejiklian’s upcoming state budget­.
The Daly Telegraph's state politics reporter Andrew Clennell says Ms Berejiklian is seriously considering a 1.5 percent foreigner land tax surcharge to "tackle housing affordability­" in the June budget.
It would mimic a 1.5 percent surcharge in Victoria, ­although there is a hint Ms Berejiklian could impose a slightly lesser rate of 1 percent, perhaps to obtain a competitive advantage over our southern rivals.
Victoria also imposes an extra 7 percent on stamp duty for foreign buyers but Ms Berejiklian is understood to have ruled that out.
In Victoria Premier Daniel introduced a 3 percent stamp duty charge and a 0.5 percent land tax levy for foreigners in his first 2015 budget and increased them to 7 percent and 1.5 percent this year.
Those measures are predicted to raise $486 million over four years.
Forget the tackling housing affordability, such measures are really just a cash grab against a buying group whose voice can't be heard at the ballot box.
Since words of the higher land tax emerged industry groups have been quick to suggest the proposals against foreign investors could actually slow down housing construction supply.
“The proposals by NSW Treasury to impose surcharge on land tax on foreign investors in housing will be a disincentive to invest in NSW,” says Urban Taskforce CEO, Chris Johnson. 
Johnson's taskforce says the Sydney region needs 33,200 new homes a year, but last financial year only 27,348 were built leaving a shortfall of nearly 6,000 homes.
"We must do all we can to boost housing supply and foreign investors have been contributing to this particularly through new apartments.
"To send a message that these investments are not wanted in NSW can only reduce the flow of capital into new housing.”
“Foreign investors often help make development projects become feasible by underpinning the pre-sales with up to 15% of purchases and this helps local purchasers buy into a viable project.”
But there has already been a slow-down in housing approvals in NSW inpart due to prior budgetry measures.
NSW lead the way on restricting first home grants for new builds rather than established homes, and this has contributed to record low recipients.
In the last budget NSW land tax revenues were forecast to rise at a faster rate than stamp duty revenues, rising from $2.49 billion this financial year to $3.11 billion by 2018-19.
This was based on no change in the tax rate, just reflecting growth in land values. 
The benchmark land tax base is the average of the last three years unimproved land value of all land owned above the indexed threshold for that year. The benchmark tax rate for the 2015 land tax year is $100 plus 1.6 percent of the land value between the thresholds of $432,000 and $2,641,000, and 2 percent thereafter.
Total stamp duty revenues were forecast to rise from $7.29 billion this year to $8.6 billion in 2018-19.
Property has become the constant cash cow for increasing desperate governments with just more than half of state and local government tax revenue now coming from property.
And it ain't ever going to ease off.
This article was first published in the Saturday Daily Telegraph.
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Taxing foreigner property holdings at a higher rate to become the norm

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<h1> </h1>
GUEST OBSERVER
Deflation refers to persistent and generalised price falls.
It occurred in the 1800s, 1930s and the last 20 years in Japan. Most people would see falling prices as good because they can buy more with their income. However, deflation can be good or bad depending on the circumstances.
In the period 1870-1895 in the US, deflation occurred against a background of strong economic growth, reflecting rapid productivity growth and technological innovation. This can be called “good deflation”. However, falling prices are not good if they are associated with falling wages, rising unemployment, falling asset prices and rising real debt burdens. For example, in the 1930s and more recently in Japan. This is “bad deflation”.
In the current environment of high debt levels, sustained deflation could cause big problems. Falling wages and prices would make it harder to service debts. Lower nominal growth will mean less growth in tax revenues making high public debt levels harder to pay off. And when prices fall people put off decisions to spend and invest, which could threaten economic growth. This could risk a debt deflation spiral of falling asset prices and falling incomes leading to rising debt burdens, increasing defaults, spurring more falls in asset prices, etc. There are good reasons why central banks want to avoid that.
As can be seen in the next chart, there are still more countries experiencing deflation than hyperinflation.
<h1><a href="/images/2016/05/31/chart-2.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></h1>
<div class="article-body">
<img src="/images/2016/05/31/chart-2.png" alt=""> Source: Thomson Reuters, AMP Capital
</div>
The RBA eased this month because actual inflation has fallen below target and is likely to stay there for a while.
Cutting inflation targets would be foolish and make it harder to get inflation back up to target.
Low rates are helping the Australian economy and zero rates and quantitative easing have helped the US. Central banks are not out of ammo.
For investors, it’s likely to remain a low interest rate environment for some time to come.
This year has seen a growing concern that central banks are out of ammo when it comes to reinvigorating global growth and preventing deflation. And the Reserve Bank of Australia’s latest rate cut has some fearing that it’s going down the same “failed path” as other major central banks. But is it really that bad? Have central banks really failed? Are they really out of ammo?
Why did the RBA ease again?
The latest RBA rate cut, which took the official cash rate to a record low of 1.75% percent, surprised many because recent economic data in Australia has been OK. But the reason for the cut is simple. Inflation has fallen well below the RBA’s 2-3 percent target, the weakness in prices was broad based and inflation is expected by the RBA to remain below target or at the low end of the target for some time.
<a href="/images/2016/05/31/chart-1.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<div class="article-body">
<img src="/images/2016/05/31/chart-1.png" alt=""> <div class="article-body">
Source: ABS, RBA, AMP Capital
Naturally, the RBA worried that if it didn’t provide more stimulus to the economy low inflation could become entrenched and could give way to deflation. With the $A pushing up towards $US0.80 prior to the cut and the Fed continuing to delay rate hikes, the RBA was no doubt also concerned that if it didn’t ease the $A would push even higher, putting more downwards pressure on inflation.
<h2>Why not just lower the inflation target?</h2>
Since the last RBA cut, some have said that the RBA should just lower its inflation target because it cannot fight falling global commodity prices and what’s wrong with very low inflation anyway. This reminds me of a similar argument back in 2007-08, when inflation had pushed above 4%, that the RBA should not worry but just raise its inflation target as it cannot fight rising global commodity prices. Such arguments are nonsense.
First, the whole point of having an inflation target is to anchor inflation expectations. If the target is just raised or lowered each time it looks like being seriously breached then those expectations - which workers use to form wage demands and companies use in setting wages and prices - will simply move up or down depending on which way the target is changed. And so inflationary or deflationary shocks from things like commodity prices will turn into permanent shifts up or down in inflation. Second, there are problems with allowing too-low inflation. Most central bank inflation targets are set at 2% or so because statistical measures of inflation tend to overstate actual inflation by 1-2% because statisticians have trouble actually adjusting for quality improvements and so some measured price rises really reflect quality improvements. In other words, 1.5% inflation could mean we are actually in deflation. And there are problems with deflation – see below.
<h2>How far will the RBA cut rates?</h2>
To the extent that the minutes from the RBA’s May meeting indicate the RBA had considered “waiting for more information”, it may choose to sit tight at its June meeting. However, given the downside risks to inflation, particularly with wages growth falling to a record low 2.1%, constrained growth and the still high $A more rate cuts are likely. We are allowing for two more rate cuts this year, taking the cash rate to 1.25% by year end.
<h2> </h2>
</div>
<div class="article-body">
<h2>What has been driving deflation?</h2>
Several factors have driven the plunge in global inflation and some countries dipping into deflation: commodity prices have been in a downtrend since 2011 as their supply surged; and the sub-par global recovery since 2009 means the world has plenty of spare capacity. Global economic activity is around 2.5% below potential. Excess capacity means companies lack pricing power and workers lack bargaining power.
<h2>But are rate cuts actually working?</h2>
Some worry that rate cuts have just made things worse by cutting into the spending power of retirees and forcing those nearing retirement to save more. However, there are several points to note in relation to this. First, the level of household deposits in banks in Australia at around $0.9 trillion is swamped by the level of household debt at $2.2 trillion. So the household sector is a huge net beneficiary of lower interest rates. Second, the responsiveness to changes in spending power for a family with a mortgage is far greater than for retirees. Third, the proof is in the pudding. The fall in interest rates has helped the economy rebalance as mining investment has collapsed: first via a pick-up in housing construction and more recently via growth in consumer spending of close to 3% per annum (pa). While those close to retirement may be saving more because of lower investment returns, the household saving rate overall has drifted down from 11% to around 8% since the first RBA rate cut in late 2011. And of course RBA rate cuts have helped push the $A lower. So overall, rate cuts do work.
<h2>Have non-traditional monetary policies failed?</h2>
This is a relevant question with many saying that zero interest rates and quantitative easing in developed countries have not worked. But actually in the US they have as growth there has been averaging around potential at 2% pa, unemployment has fallen from 10% to below 6%, wages look to be picking up and underlying inflation is close to the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Sure, the Eurozone and particularly Japan are less clear but this may be because they waited too long before acting by which time low inflation or deflation had become entrenched. The lesson from this is that central banks need to act quickly and not that non-traditional monetary policy doesn’t work.
<h2>Are central banks out of ammo?</h2>
This is a common concern. However, central banks are a long way from being unable to do anything: the Fed can reverse last year’s interest rate hike and launch another round of quantitative easing if needed; and both the ECB and Bank of Japan could expand their quantitative easing programs further both in terms of size and the type of assets. More negative interest rates are an option but central banks are wary of this after the adverse impact of Japan’s experience regarding negative rates.
The ultimate option is for central banks to provide direct financing of government spending or tax cuts using printed money. This is often referred to as “helicopter money”. Unlike quantitative easing, which requires banks to lend their newfound cash to borrowers who want to borrow, it would yield an almost guaranteed response as the recipients of government spending/tax cuts will spend at least some of it. It won’t add to government debt either. As the examples of Zimbabwe and the Weimar Republic demonstrate, such an approach would make no sense if supply is constrained relative to demand and inflation is already high and rising. But that is not the case now and deflation remains the main threat, not inflation.
Of course none of these are an issue for the RBA as it still has plenty of scope to cut interest rates if needed.
Ideally, central banks should be getting more help from governments in terms of fiscal stimulus and supply side reforms but there are all sorts of constraints around this.
<h2>Implications for investors?</h2>
There are a number of implications for investors. First, while the worst may be over in terms of commodity price falls so the threat from deflation may be receding globally, the risk remains thanks to spare capacity and low wages growth, so low interest rates will remain in place for some time. While the Fed may continue down its path of gradual rate hikes, elsewhere rates are likely to stay low and, in Australia, fall further. Australian term deposit rates at around 2% are at their lowest since the early 1950s. So don’t expect great returns from them.
Second, given the absence of significant monetary tightening, a 1994-style bond crash remains as distant as ever. The most likely outcome is just low returns from government bonds.
Third, the low interest rate environment means the chase for yield is likely to continue supporting commercial property, infrastructure and shares offering sustainable high dividends.
Finally, as can be seen in the next chart, low inflation is generally good for shares as it allows shares to trade on higher price to earnings multiples. But it would be preferable not to see low inflation slip into deflation as this could be bad for shares given it tends to go with poor growth and profits and as a result shares trade on lower PEs. The same would apply to assets like commercial property and infrastructure.
</div>
 
</div>
<div class="article-body"><a href="/images/2016/05/31/chart-3.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="article-body">
<img src="/images/2016/05/31/chart-3.png" alt=""> Source: Global Financial Data, Bloomberg, AMP Capital
So, combined with the social damage that a bout of debt deflation could cause, I would much prefer to see central banks continue to do all they can to avoid deflation.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author" target="_blank">SHANE OLIVER</a> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home" target="_blank">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.
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RBA rate cuts, inflation targets, deflation and are central banks out of ammo? AMP Capital's Shane Oliver

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A Brunswick development site has been sold by Raine &amp; Horne at $1.2 million.
Its town planning permit consist of 10 generous two bedroom apartments, 1 one bedroom apartment and a 52sq metre office on the ground floor.
Set within walking distance to cosmopolitan Sydney Road, the <a href="https://www.rhcommercial.com.au/properties/15-breese-street-brunswick-3056-victoria-cd7744c8-1283-4440-958e-0cd86e076c66" target="_blank">Breese Street property</a> was offered by Raine &amp; Horne agent Tim Frian.
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Brunswick development site sold by Raine & Horne Commercial

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Villa les Cedres, the grand estate at St Jean Cap Ferrat, is set for imminent sale and then becoming off limits.
The longtime owners, the Grand Marnier Group is selling their liquor company along with their grand 1800s family home.
But Davide Campari Campari-Milano SpA - the makers of Campari - don't want the prize 14 ha estate.
So the listing of the world's priciest residential offering now looms.
Set on the peninsula to the east of Nice, Villa les Cedres is surrounded by a botanical garden dating back to the 1920s.
The Marnier-Lapostolle family has opened it up for small tour groups of green thumbs several times a year, so it was on Title Tattle's bucket list.
The unexpected sharemarket announcement will see an abrupt end to that quaint possibility when some Russian oligarch or US tech billionaire locks it up behind hedges of high security.
The nearest villa is Maryland where Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie stayed as guests of Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen. With the Cannes film festival underway this month, Katy Perry and Orlando Bloom were snapped on the luxury Eclipse mega yacht off the coast in what is dubbed the bay of billioniares.
Having holidayed in the region since the late 1980s, and spotting Robson Green there one Easter, I made the dash earlier this month to get through through the elaborate gold leaf gates - a bit like Willy Wonka but with an eye more on the house rather than the Theobroma Cacao, aka choco tree. 
I was pretty impressed by the garden and the estate's tallest tree, an Australian bunya pine (araucaria bidwillii) and also their most recent planting of an historic wollemi pine.
Alexandra Connolly, who runs a local real estate brokerage, suggests it could fetch 200 million euros to 350 million euros, though it’s hard to estimate given the diminished buying power of Russian billionaires who have previously snapped up anything the region in recent years.
A mansion outside Paris fetched a world record price of more than 275 million euros recently.
Nearby Villa Leopolda, on the hillside south of France vantage point, went close to a world record but the deal fell over. Set above Cap Ferrat at Villefranche-sur-Mer, widow Lily Safra accepted an unsolicited Euro 385 million offer from Russian nickel miner Mikhail Prokhorov, who pulled out of the deal and lost his deposit on Leopolda. Russia's richest man then took proceedings for the return of his 38 million deposit, arguing he didn't get a seven-day cooling off period. Safra donated the deposit to charities after a Nice judge ruled in her favour.
Campari plans to keep 80 million euros of the Villa les Cedres proceeds after taxes and brokerage fees, and divide the rest equally among the holders of Grand Marnier’s 85,000 shares so long as the villa sells by June 30, 2021, according to the takeover offer.
This villa, built in 1870, belonged to King Leopold of Belgium from 1904 to 1924.
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Les Cedres, the St Jean Cap Ferrat trophy home set for sale

Apartment buildings are increasingly being designed around how people actually live day to day, not just how they want a building to look.

For buyers, that shift is showing up in practical inclusions that respond to changing habits. Work-from-home spaces, EV charging, wellness amenities, secure bike storage and parcel management are becoming part of the broader apartment conversation, reflecting a move toward buildings that reduce friction in everyday life.

Online shopping has become one of the clearest examples of that change.

Australians spent a record $82.6 billion online in 2025, with nearly one in four retail dollars now spent online. That has made parcel delivery a regular part of apartment living, rather than an occasional inconvenience.

For apartment residents, however, the delivery process can be less straightforward than it is for detached homes. Parcels may be left in lobbies, redirected to Post Offices, missed entirely, or placed under the responsibility of building managers and concierge teams.

That is why secure parcel infrastructure is increasingly being considered alongside more familiar apartment amenities.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/-VjjLwoViX0?si=A3k7ws9NX35Uac7_" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

Australia Post Parcel Lockers offer one way to address the issue. When a parcel arrives, residents receive a notification through the AusPost app or SMS, then collect it using a QR code or one-time PIN. The parcel is kept secure, accessible and removed from common areas.

The broader Parcel Locker network now includes more than 1,500 locations across Australia, positioned at Post Offices, shopping centres, supermarkets, transport hubs and other accessible locations.

For new apartment projects, the relevance is clear. A building’s amenity offering is no longer only about lifestyle spaces, but also about convenience, security and functionality.

As buyer expectations evolve, secure parcel delivery is becoming part of the same design conversation as flexible working, sustainable transport and resident wellbeing.

It is one less thing for residents to worry about, and another example of apartment design adapting to the way Australians now live.

Joel Robinson

Apartment design is adapting to the way Australians shop

While school holidays and trips to Europe tend to define the winter property market, there's been no cold snap at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-walden-north-sydney-177-walker-street-north-sydney-nsw-2060">The Walden</a> in North Sydney.

Developer-builder&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aland">ALAND</a> sold more than $35 million worth of apartments throughout June, including a $6.8 million apartment that now ranks among the highest apartment sales ever recorded in North Sydney.

SRM Residential agent Ben Stewart said buyer demand throughout June reflected a mix of improving market confidence and longer-term thinking from owner-occupiers.

"We're seeing strong demand from owner-occupiers who are taking a longer-term view," Stewart said.

"Many recognise the opportunity to secure an apartment in an iconic building and premium location while values remain attractive. They may initially lease the property, but the intention is to eventually move in themselves, rather than purchasing purely as an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=367129]

Located at 177 Walker Street, The Walden will deliver 161 one, two, three and four-bedroom residences across a 30-storey tower designed by Rothelowman. Every apartment occupies a corner position, maximising natural light, cross ventilation and views across Sydney Harbour, the Opera House, Sydney Heads and the northern districts.

Rather than a traditional balcony, the residences feature winter gardens that seamlessly extend the open plan living areas, creating versatile spaces for relaxing or entertaining throughout the year. Floor-to-ceiling glazing draws in natural light while showcasing sweeping views from the building's elevated Walker Street position.

Every apartment features high-end Calacatta marble, bespoke joinery, and fully integrated appliances.

The larger residences have been planned with distinct entertaining and private zones, with many master suites positioned on corners to capture natural light and harbour views. Walk-in dressing rooms, freestanding baths and refined stone finishes reinforce the house-like feel that has resonated with downsizers and owner-occupiers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=6393]

Rothelowman Principal Ben Pomroy said the project was designed to make the most of its unique position overlooking the harbour.

"The Walden is a celebration of all things beautiful, curated for those who expect nothing less than exceptional," Pomroy says.

"Meticulously designed entertaining spaces and light-filled living areas that capitalise on capturing the natural beauty of Sydney's iconic harbour."

Residents will also have exclusive access to The Pavilion, a dedicated amenity building featuring a rooftop pool, wellness studio, gymnasium, sauna, concierge service, residents' lounge, private dining spaces and work-from-home facilities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=6402]

The project marks ALAND's first major luxury apartment development in Sydney's inner-city market after more than two decades delivering residential communities across Greater Sydney.

Founder and CEO Andrew Hrsto previously said the rarity of the Walker Street site made it an opportunity the company could not overlook.

"This is a rare opportunity to bring a truly exceptional project to life in one of Sydney's most iconic locations, and to showcase our craftsmanship and design expertise at a world-class level," Hrsto said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=6383]

The Walden has been introduced to the market at a time when demand for living in North Sydney is at an all-time high. Billions of dollars have been invested in infrastructure, including the recently opened Victoria Cross Metro station, located just 300 metres from The Walden, providing residents with direct access to the Sydney CBD in just minutes.

Private investment has also transformed the area through the arrival of new retail and dining destinations, elevating the lifestyle offering in what was once considered primarily a commercial precinct rather than an aspirational residential address.

The Walden is currently under construction and is scheduled for completion in 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134323]

ALAND records $35 million in sales in North Sydney as The Walden bucks quiet winter selling season

The long-awaited redevelopment of the former Eastlakes Shopping Centre site has reached a major milestone, with Conquest's plans for a new mixed-use precinct officially placed on public exhibition.

The State Significant Development Application would transform the 1.7-hectare site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/19a-evans-avenue-eastlakes-nsw-2018">19A Evans Avenue</a> into one of Sydney's largest urban renewal projects, delivering 736 apartments above a new shopping centre anchored by Woolworths, alongside specialty retail, dining, commercial space and new public open spaces.

The public exhibition marks the next chapter for the project after <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/conquest">Conquest</a> acquired the stalled Stage Two development from Crown Group, who completed the first stage across the road prior to their voluntary liquidation.

<img alt="First look: Conquest unveils plans for 736-home Eastlakes Shopping Centre redevelopment" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5fca22c5-d1ed-4e2c-8801-03f7df1eafc8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/eastland%20podium.png?VersionId=uomwr41nF8CmLUZRDcu3mHQechlbxucS" />

&nbsp;

Designed by DKO Architecture, the proposal comprises four residential buildings ranging from 14 to 18 storeys above a two-level retail podium. The development would deliver 736 apartments, including 74 affordable homes, 215 Build-to-Rent apartments and 521 market residences. Provision has also been made for dual-key apartments, which could increase the total number of dwellings to 877.

At ground level, the shopping centre has been designed as the suburb's new meeting place, anchored by a full-line Woolworths and complemented by a curated mix of fresh food retailers, cafés, restaurants, health services and everyday convenience shopping. Generous pedestrian links and landscaped public spaces will connect the retail precinct through to Jack Mundey Reserve, creating a more walkable and connected neighbourhood.

Conquest CEO Michael Akkawi said the redevelopment was about far more than replacing a shopping centre.

"Eastlakes has been overlooked for too long, and this is the community’s moment. We are building a shopping centre and homes, a genuine heart for the suburb, and we genuinely want locals to help shape it."

"We enrich communities through the creation of homes, places, and experiences designed for life, built to last, and owner for generations. That starts with listening, so we warmly encourage everyone with a connection to Eastlakes to view the plans and share their thoughts."

<img alt="First look: Conquest unveils plans for 736-home Eastlakes Shopping Centre redevelopment" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="22f6fb20-54fb-4bd7-8a92-48fafdd00608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/eastland.png?VersionId=cugp7s9hrMHGJJdYzkeAkrFoQgnF4GXf" />

DKO said the design had been shaped by the site's landscape setting and surrounding open space.

"Our vision for the site embraces its unique Bidjigal identity by blending the residential living with generous landscaping and a material palette inspired by the Bidjigal locality, and celebrating the panoramic views to Botany Bay and the wetlands reserves."

"Taking cues from Country, we seek to harmonise built form with the landscape and lightly touch the earth. By reconnecting, retaining and regenerating existing ecology, and weaving in natural elements, we can deepen our connection to Country."

The landscape strategy extends across the podium and rooftops, incorporating communal gardens, children's play areas, lawns, community gardens, family gathering spaces and extensive tree planting. New landscaped links will also strengthen the connection between the precinct and Jack Mundey Reserve, while publicly accessible open spaces have been integrated throughout the development.

The proposal builds on Conquest's broader placemaking strategy for the site. Through an ongoing partnership, local artist Joe Rashbrook has been appointed Urban Art Curator, working alongside young residents to transform the project's site hoardings into a public art gallery that allows the community to engage with the redevelopment before construction is complete.

Conquest has rapidly expanded its development pipeline since acquiring the Eastlakes site, with more than $6 billion worth of mixed-use projects now in planning across Sydney, including Stanmore, Castlecrag and Waterloo.

Conquest CEO Michael Akkawi said the redevelopment was about far more than replacing a shopping centre.

First look: ‘Far more than replacing a shopping centre’ as Conquest unveils 736-home Eastlakes redevelopment

Abadeen has lodged a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for one of Mosman's largest apartment developments in recent years, seeking approval to transform the former Honeysuckle Garden and Midas site on Military Road into a 100-apartment mixed-use development.

The SSDA, lodged with investment partner Phoenix Property Investors, proposes around $230 million worth of new housing on the prominent <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/494-516-military-road-mosman-nsw-2088">494-516 Military Road</a> site.

The proposal comes as Mosman Council continues to progress its recently endorsed Masterplan, which identifies the precinct for increased housing density while maintaining the suburb's established character.

Designed by DKO Architecture, the development would comprise 100 apartments above ground-floor retail, with a rooftop wellness precinct including a gym, sauna, entertaining areas and landscaped communal spaces.

Rather than pushing to the full 12-storey height identified in Council's Masterplan, the proposal ranges between five and nine storeys, stepping down towards Hale Road. A tenth level would accommodate resident amenities rather than additional apartments.

The project has been designed to appeal to a broad range of buyers, from first home buyers and young professionals through to families and local downsizers looking to remain on the Lower North Shore.

<img alt="Mosman" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5dada03f-5b4c-43ba-ba62-2868add31440" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-27%20at%209.57.55%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=7LBy0B.Jo8_iWAFJsClcV7Q3UnXrv49r" />

Abadeen Executive Chairman Justin Brown said the apartments had been designed as genuine long-term homes rather than investor-focused stock.

"The apartments have been designed as genuine long-term homes, with efficient floorplans that maximise usable living areas, generous storage, natural light and strong connections between indoor and outdoor spaces," Brown says."

"We've focused on creating homes for a broad range of buyers, from first home buyers and growing families through to downsizers who want to remain in Mosman."

The rooftop wellness offering forms a key part of the proposal, with residents set to have access to a gym, sauna, outdoor entertaining spaces, communal dining areas, landscaped gardens and a multi-use recreation court overlooking Sydney Harbour.

<img alt="Mosman" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d37c2d6b-583a-4a0f-b7a9-9f46b893d2f4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-27%20at%209.58.06%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=FPoa5FCm2RtzjhAh2w5FTWJbV6GHfY8D" />

DKO drew heavily on the site's natural and cultural history, undertaking a Connecting with Country process with local Aboriginal Elders to inform the architectural and landscape design.

Senior Associate Matthew Ritchard said the design sought to create a building that responded to both the site's landscape and its cultural significance.

"The architectural language of the project is a deep expression of Connecting with Country, where the materiality and colour palette serve as a bridge between the site's geological history and its future as a residential sanctuary."

The proposal also retains the site's established blue gum tree as the centrepiece of the communal landscaped gardens, while introducing activated retail fronting Military Road to strengthen the connection between Mosman and Cremorne villages.

If approved, the project would deliver 100 new homes within walking distance of shops, public transport, schools and local amenities, adding to the limited pipeline of new apartments on the Lower North Shore.

<h2>Project Snapshot</h2>

Project: Honeysuckle Garden Redevelopment

Address: 494-516 Military Road, Mosman

Developer: Abadeen and Phoenix Property Investors

Architect: DKO Architecture

Lead Architect: Matthew Ritchard

Value: $230 million

Residences: 100 apartments

Key features:

<ul>
	<li>
	Ground-floor retail
	</li>
	<li>
	Rooftop wellness precinct
	</li>
	<li>
	Gym and sauna
	</li>
	<li>
	Outdoor entertaining and BBQ areas
	</li>
	<li>
	Landscaped communal gardens
	</li>
	<li>
	Multi-use recreation court
	</li>
	<li>
	Retained mature blue gum tree
	</li>
	<li>
	Connecting with Country design process
	</li>
	<li>
	Harbour, CBD and Balmoral views from upper-level apartments
	</li>
</ul>

Abadeen Executive Chairman Justin Brown said the apartments had been designed as genuine long-term homes rather than investor-focused stock

First look: Abadeen plans 100 apartments on former Honeysuckle Garden site in Mosman

The wave of apartment proposals sweeping through Mosman shows no signs of slowing, with another major residential development lodged through the NSW Government's State Significant Development pathway.

Developer First Quadrant Properties, which recently completed Willoughby Grounds and has several projects in planning across the North Shore, has unveiled plans for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/cove-on-ourimbah-40-56-ourimbah-road-mosman-nsw-2088">Cove on Ourimbah</a>, a 63-apartment development on Ourimbah Road, adding to the growing pipeline of projects reshaping one of Sydney's most tightly held harbour suburbs.

The proposal would consolidate nine properties at 40-56 Ourimbah Road into a part eight, part nine-storey apartment building, continuing the momentum created by the NSW Government's accelerated planning pathways that have seen several significant developments emerge across Mosman over the past 12 months.

Designed by Doroch Architects, the project would deliver 63 apartments, resident wellness facilities including a gym, pool and sauna, landscaped communal spaces and basement parking, while using recessed upper levels, generous setbacks and extensive planting to reduce the perceived scale of the building.

<img alt="First look: First Quadrant Properties eyes nine-storey Mosman apartment project under State Significant pathway" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="32ee68e4-141e-4a10-8f83-48e961a5e71e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Ourimbah%20Road%2C%20Mosman%20a.png?VersionId=CUeILFc6APlwXPc.iplElbxHvREKwjig" />

Doroch Architects said the building had been designed to reinforce Mosman's established character.

"The building's aesthetic is grounded in the existing residential character of Ourimbah Road and the broader Mosman context," the architect noted in the planning documents submitted to the NSW Government.

The design adopts a contemporary material palette of natural stone, textured concrete and brown concave metal cladding, complemented by integrated planters and deep balconies. The podium incorporates softened curved concrete forms, while increased setbacks have been provided adjacent to the heritage-listed property at 60 Ourimbah Road to create a more sympathetic transition.

The site sits around 330 metres from Mosman Town Centre, placing it within the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing policy area, where increased residential density is being encouraged close to shops, transport and services.

The proposal follows a string of major apartment projects lodged or declared State Significant in Mosman in recent months, including Abadeen's 100-apartment Honeysuckle Garden redevelopment on Military Road and several other developments across Awaba Street, Redan Street and Muston Street from the likes of Time &amp; Place, HELM and Prosker Property.

&nbsp;

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/time-place-to-take-on-mosman-apartment-market">Time &amp; Place to take on Mosman apartment market</a>

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-abadeen-plans-100-apartments-on-former-honeysuckle-garden-site-in-mosman">First look: Abadeen plans 100 apartments on former Honeysuckle Garden site in Mosman</a>

&nbsp;

Jonathan Chancellor

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