The new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a> development in Melbourne's inner west is showing that landscaping can be just as influential as architecture, with buyers responding strongly to the garden-first approach adopted from the outset by developer Excelon Projects and the project's design team.

Excelon appointed Six Degrees Architects and landscape architects SBLA to work collaboratively on the development, with a brief to create "a sustainable, design-led building with a focus on community."

That approach has resonated with buyers. According to Next Chapter Director Tom Hirini, who is leading the sales campaign, the landscaped communal garden has become one of the project's defining features, alongside its boutique scale and European-inspired cluster housing concept.

Local downsizers, right-sizers and established families already living in Yarraville and surrounding suburbs have accounted for the majority of purchasers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297740]

Yarraville Green will comprise 53 homes, including apartments and townhomes, arranged around the shared central garden to maximise connections to the landscaped open space. Parking has been moved underground, allowing the ground plane to be dedicated to greenery, pedestrian movement and communal spaces.

The landscape extends well beyond passive planting. Productive garden beds, a pergola, communal gathering spaces, garden sheds and a pet wash have all been integrated into the masterplan, creating spaces designed to encourage everyday interaction between residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297741]

The interiors continue Excelon's focus on craftsmanship, incorporating bespoke elements by Melbourne artisans including leadlight detailing by Adadaz, hand-turned timber hardware by Auburn Woodturning and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen.

Sustainability has also been embedded throughout the project, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating through passive design principles, rooftop solar servicing common areas and rainwater harvesting for landscape irrigation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297735]

Construction continues to progress at Yarraville Green, with structural works well underway and framing works approaching completion under builder Balmain &amp; Co. The project remains on track for completion in mid-2027.

Apartments at Yarraville Green are currently priced from $625,000, while townhomes start from $1.4 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]

Joel Robinson

Garden-led design drives buyer demand at Yarraville Green

National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.

Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]

The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.

Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.

"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.

"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.

"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]

Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.

The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]

Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.

Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]

Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.

Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]

Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.

It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 41-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.

Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.

While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]

Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 41-storey tower, which has 229 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.

The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.

"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.

"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.

"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]

One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.

"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.

While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.

"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.

"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]

There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.

As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.

"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.

A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.

The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]

A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.

It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.

Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.

The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]

"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.

"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.

"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]

The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.

Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]

The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.

The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]

Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.

Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]

While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.

It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.

Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]

That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.

Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

As apartment living continues to evolve across Sydney's growth corridors, the quality and distribution of shared spaces is increasingly shaping how residents experience home. Rather than functioning as add-ons, amenities are being embedded into the daily rhythm of a building, supporting everything from quiet retreat to social interaction, often within a single vertical community.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aeris-melrose-park-nursery-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Aeris</a> in Melrose Park, this approach is resolved through a layered amenity offering that unfolds from ground level through to its upper podium. Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> in partnership with Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project introduces 468 apartments across two towers and a mid-rise building, positioned at the highest point of the broader masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=359199]

The amenity experience begins at street level, where two courtyards sit within a landscaped setting that connects residents to the wider network of parks and green spaces. These green spaces are not isolated pockets but part of a wider pedestrian network that links Aeris to the surrounding <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a> precinct, including Central Park, future schools, and the Town Centre opening in July 2026. The result is a transition that moves from public to private without abrupt boundaries, allowing residents to pass through shaded, tree-lined environments before reaching the building itself.

Moving upward, the focus shifts to the level five podium, where the primary communal facilities are concentrated. This space brings together a 16-metre swimming pool, outdoor seating areas, and a communal BBQ zone arranged to take advantage of elevated outlooks. Seating is positioned beneath pergolas, creating pockets of shade that extend the usability of the space throughout the day. The pool edge aligns with views toward the wider district, reinforcing the sense of elevation that defines the project’s positioning.

In the adjacent building, this is complemented by quieter, more contemplative spaces, including an outdoor cinema set within the same level. Positioned to operate primarily in the evening, it introduces a different tempo to the shared environment, shifting from daytime activity to after-hours use without requiring separate zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360299]

The podium also accommodates an intimate private resident gym. Located on the lower levels, it gives residents convenient access to fitness facilities without leaving the building.

Above, the elevated podium sky deck extends the amenity offering, providing additional open-air spaces with elevated outlooks across the surrounding landscape. While more restrained in program, this upper level reinforces the project’s vertical progression, from ground-level greenery to elevated outlook, allowing residents to move between distinct spatial conditions within a single address.

This distribution of amenities reflects a deliberate response to how residents use space across the day. Sekisui House Australia Sales and Marketing Director Peter Kalaf points to the role these shared areas play in shaping buyer demand. Aeris has been conceived as more than a collection of apartments, with the podium pool, gym and outdoor cinema forming part of a broader lifestyle offering that extends the home beyond each individual residence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360300]

What distinguishes Aeris is not the inclusion of these elements individually, but how they are arranged in relation to one another. Active, social, and passive spaces are layered vertically rather than separated, allowing residents to choose between them without leaving the building or moving far from their apartment. This proximity supports both routine use, such as a morning swim or evening workout, and more occasional gatherings, whether around the BBQ area or within the cinema setting.

The amenity design also sits within a broader framework of connectivity across Melrose Park. The Melrose Park Town Centre, anchored by Coles and Dan Murphys, features a mix of retail, dining, health and lifestyle offerings, bringing everyday convenience closer to residents. By the end of the year, more than five hectares of parks and open space, equivalent to around seven football fields of green space on residents' doorstep, will further enhance the precinct, allowing the internal facilities at Aeris to operate as an extension of the wider neighbourhood rather than a substitute for it.

Construction at Aeris continues to gather momentum, with ground floor slabs expected to be completed in late 2026 before the first sections of the buildings begin to rise above ground.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=426]

Elevated amenity anchors daily life at Aeris, Melrose Park

Sqm Research

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Vacancy rates edged higher across most capital cities in April but still reflect a tight rental markets across Australia, according to data released by SQM Research.
The number of national residential vacancies rose to 76,959 rental homes, giving an overall vacancy rate of 2.4 percent, up modestly from 2.3 percent in March 2017.
In Melbourne and Sydney, vacancy rates sat at 1.6 percent and 1.8 percent, respectively, a slight retracement from March’s low levels.
Canberra edged off a five-year low with a rise from 0.8 percent to 1.0 percent, while the highest vacancy rate remained Perth with a jump to 4.9 percent. The vacancy rate only fell in Darwin to 3.4 percent while Hobart claimed the lowest rate at 0.6 percent.
“While the rise in vacancy rates may give tenants a slight reprieve, the trend is still up for asking rents in Sydney and Melbourne, to the point where they are unaffordable for many people,” commented Louis Christopher, managing director of SQM Research.
We are nowhere near to seeing any signs of an oversupply of units in either inner-city unit market,” Christopher said.
Asking rents
Despite a higher vacancy rate, asking rents edged higher in Melbourne over the month to May 12, up by 0.3 percent for units and 0.2 percent for houses, giving annual price rises of 4.7 percent and 6.4 percent, respectively. 
In Canberra too, growth in asking rents is high, at an annual pace of 9.3 percent for houses and 6.0 percent for units.
Annually, asking rents for houses has moderated in Sydney to 2.9 percent for houses and 3.2 percent for units, with asking rents for houses down by 0.6 percent over the month.
However, the asking rent for a three-bedroom house in Sydney now sits at a lofty $743 while for units it sits at $521, an unaffordable level for many of the city’s inhabitants on lower incomes.
In contrast, Darwin asking rents continued to fall, down 3.4 percent for houses over the month, while unit rents were down 1.1 percent. Perth has again posted the largest yearly declines, with unit asking rents down 9.4 percent and house rents down 7.5 percent.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

National vacancy rates rise modestly in April

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GUEST OBSERVER
If you have been following my tweets and Facebook comments, you would have noticed that I have been very vocal about the new budgetary measures and, in particular, the new rules on plant and equipment depreciation. Up until yesterday, it was obvious that large sections of the media were not aware of the full ramifications of what had been announced in last week's Budget. Indeed, headlines last week claiming that “Negative gearing was left untouched” could not have been further from the truth. Ultimately, these headlines left me in a state of bemusement with sections of our media which is cause for a blog of its own.    That all changed yesterday, where through the hard work of Australian Financial Review reporter, Su-Lin Tan, the full ramifications of what had been announced came to the fore via this front page story: Negative Gearing - Scalpel will cool apartment demand - experts
The new depreciation measures are significant as they massively reduce the ability of property investors to make deductions on their investment property, thereby reducing their ability to negatively gear.  These were the very words used by the Treasurer:
“And from 1 July 2017, the Government will improve the integrity of negative gearing by disallowing deductions for travel expenses and, for properties bought after today, the Government will also limit plant and equipment depreciation deductions to only those expenses directly incurred by investors.
To give you an idea of the impact on investors, the mocked up depreciation schedules below clearly show what was normally claimed, with the columns circled in red showing what can no longer be claimed if these new measures are passed. Both schedules assume a circa $500,000 price tag on the properties. 
This first property assumes a newly built situation where a Division 43 allowance (depreciation on buildings) can still be claimed.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v1.jpg" width="700" height="559">
The second example is of an older style property where a new renovation has been completed.  Both these depreciation schedules have been provided with thanks to Mike Mortlock from MCG Quantity Surveyors.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v2.jpg" width="688" height="580">
In both instances, plant and equipment depreciation are a significant component of the total deductible depreciation on a residential property. Literally, many thousands of dollars can no longer be claimed. Just keep in mind as well that these new changes only apply on residential property. Commercial property depreciation is still fully deductible.
<div>
The effective result is that tens of thousands of properties that were cash flow positive properties after the depreciation benefit will no longer be cash flow positive, keeping in mind these affect property purchases after May 9, so there is grandfathering. In its simplest terms, also consider the following scenarios: Property A
I own a new unit that was just built. I can claim the significant plant and equipment depreciation that comes with newly built dwellings. However, if I sell to you that unit tomorrow, you can not claim the plant and equipment depreciation. 
At this stage, it is not clear regarding the plant and equipment depreciation  that If I own an off-the plan development that is not complete and I then flip it on to you (before completion) whether you can claim the depreciation or not. The Federal Government needs to clarify this situation. Property B
I just bought a newly constructed unit after May 9, 2017. Normally, I would be able to claim the plant and equipment depreciation, however, at this point it is unclear under the new Budget measures whether I can going forward. A strict reading of the new measures suggests I cannot as it was the developer who originally purchased the plant and equipment.
This has been the view of some quantity surveyors while others believe the Government doesn’t intend to be so punitive. Once again, we are waiting for clarification. Property C
I own an older style property on which I recently completed a renovation whereby I purchased $200,000 worth of plant and equipment. I then sell this property to you, today. You cannot depreciate any of the plant and equipment that I have spent money on during the renovation.  
No further clarification is required here. This is exactly how the Government wishes the new measures to apply. In my view, this new measure, combined with recent APRA initiatives, plus the potential for the banks to pass on the new bank levy, will very likely result in a drop in property investor demand. When that drop happens is uncertain. But it could start at any time given once these changes are passed by the Senate, there will be a retrospective impact back to the May 9, 2017. So those people who purchased an investment property last weekend will likely be impacted by these new measures.
As quantity surveyor Washington Brown stated in their blog earlier this week, these new measures might actually have some unintended negative consequences for affordability in that:
<ol>
<li>
Property investors may now feel the need to hang onto their existing properties to continue claiming depreciation because if they sell that property they won’t be able to get as many deductions on their next one.
</li>
<li>
Developers rely on high depreciation figures in the early years to show investors how affordable an investment property can be. If these depreciation allowances are taken away, they will struggle to get pre-sales which are required by banks to fund the deal.
</li>
</ol>
I am also concerned for investors in a new property as it is likely that any secondary buyer will demand a discount on a resale to take into account that lack of deductible depreciation, which is significantly large on new dwellings. It’s a similar issue we had with Labor’s policy on negative gearing during last year’s election. As it is, off-the-plan investors regularly experience price declines in new properties when selling in the first few years of the property's life. These new measures may aggravate this reality which could then have a negative impact upon the supply of new housing stock in the long term.  
What the Liberals have announced is a light version of this policy in a way this will be a good test to see what would happen to dwelling prices and home affordability and rents under a no-negative gearing scenario. Are these measures good for First Home Buyers?  In addressing the affordability question one must ask do these measures, plus others announced such as the additional superannuation contribution scheme, the additional CGT discount on ‘affordable’ properties, the tax break for senior empty-nesters to sell their homes, the additional land supply, create the incentive for first home buyers to come back into the market? Well maybe, maybe not. Regardless, developers will need more first home buyers to take up the slack that investors leave behind. Potentially, first home buyers could do just that, which is what we all want. But they kind of need to. And if they don’t, the rent rises that may well follow could just force them to. This brings us to the final unintended affect – the rental market. Note the recent trend in falling building approvals.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v3.jpg" width="243" height="300">
We are nearing the peak in housing completions in this cycle which we believe will be early 2018. Yet vacancy rates in Sydney and Melbourne are still tight.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v4.jpg" width="700" height="384">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v4.jpg" target="_blank"></a><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v5.jpg" width="700" height="377">
This is happening because our population growth rates have exploded in recent years. Melbourne is now expanding by 120,000 people each and every year. Sydney's population is rising by 90,000 people. The growth rates are above and beyond what was expected and is causing systemic strains on our two largest cities.  For more on this I strongly recommend you read the recent blog on population from Macro Business  
Remember, this time last year there was a real fear of a unit oversupply. Forget that now for Melbourne and Sydney. There is no oversupply. And, depending upon how first home buyers respond to the Budget, there could be significant under-supply later in 2018-2019 which may cause rents to skyrocket. 
After all, rents in Melbourne are already well above expectations this year.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v6.jpg" width="700" height="389">
<div>Our 2017 Housing Boom and Bust Forecasts</div>
<div>
 It was reported yesterday that SQM Research may be revising down its 2017 forecasts as a result of the changes. After careful consideration, our base case forecasts stay un-revised for now.   
</div>
<div>
However, we believe that the probabilities have substantially increased that a peak in the price growth rates of the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets will happen this current June quarter and that the September and December quarters will record slower growth rates. The possibility of a modest price fall in either the September or December quarter has also increased. Subsequently, we now believe the lower end of our base case forecast range is likely to be reality. And, depending upon how and when the banks respond, we may revise our price forecasts down. For now, they remain on track with no current slowdown occurring in the housing market.
</div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Louis Christopher is a managing director of SQM Research. He can be contacted <a href="https://www.sqmresearch.com.au/" target="_blank">here</a>.</div>
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Budget depreciation change to slow the market: Louis Christopher

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Results released by SQM Research reveal national residential listings dropped 8.3 percent to 322,400 over the month of April 2017, as school holidays and Easter impacted the market.
The data reveals Sydney and Melbourne posted the biggest drop in listings, down 12.7 percent and 15.2 percent, respectively, with vendors waiting for higher prices before they sell.
Property listings fell in all capital cities over the month. In Hobart, listings dropped 10.6 percent, followed by Brisbane at 9.7 percent and Canberra, where stock levels fell by 8.9 percent.
Over the year, listings were also down in all capital cities, led by a steep drop of 23 percent in Melbourne, followed by Hobart with a 19.3 percent decrease over the year.
Sydney listings are down 8.7 percent over the year.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/02/Graph-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/02/Graph-1.jpg" alt="">
Louis Christopher, the Managing Director of SQM Research, said the sharp fall in listings in Sydney and Melbourne reflects the fact that many property owners are hoping prices will rise further before selling.
“Home owners are looking for higher prices to be convinced to sell their properties.
This is causing many would-be vendors to stay side-lined, which is only perpetuating price increases.
Some vendors are reluctant to sell as they might not be able to buy back in,” he said.
“Listings also fell in April given the school holidays and Anzac Day held some vendors back.
March was a longer month than April, so we’ve also recorded a seasonal dip.
However, one should note the large year-on-year falls indicate the market may be tighter now for buyers compared to this time last year.
“Underlying property demand remains very strong in Sydney and Melbourne, with population growth rates high and interest rates still low.
Combined with strong local economies, these factors are working together to drive property prices higher.
“Contrary to recent reports of a slowdown taking place, I see no signs of a slowdown in either Sydney or Melbourne.
Canberra property prices have also picked up, which we expect to continue through the second half of this year,” Christopher said.
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Property listings tumble in April as house prices increases in cities: SQM

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Vacancy rates dropped across all Australian capital cities in March, falling to just 1.5% in Melbourne and 1.7% in Sydney, with upward pressure likely to be maintained on rents in the two cities, according to the latest data from SQM Research.
Overall, the national vacancy rate fell to 2.3% in March from 2.4% the previous month, based on 73,554 vacancies. 
The numbers reflect a seasonal tightening in vacancy rates. Vacancies usually drop in the early months of the year as people return to their jobs after the summer break and students go back to universities in March, according to SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher.
Among the capital cities, Hobart’s vacancy rate was the lowest at just 0.6% while Canberra had the tightest vacancy rate of 0.8%, down from 0.9% in February. In Adelaide it was 1.8%, down from 2%.
Vacancies dropped in Perth and Darwin, as well as Hobart and Brisbane, which has the most listings at 11,028 of any of the capitals.
Christopher pointed out that the vacancy rate continued to fall in Melbourne despite much talk of an apartment oversupply. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/19/SQM-2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
 <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/19/SQM-2.jpg" alt="">
“Even in the spots where we would have expected to see oversupply, such as Docklands and Southbank, we are not seeing it, where there are thousands of apartments, new and old,” he said.
Reflecting its lower vacancy rate, asking rents rose in Melbourne over the month to April 12, up by 1.6% for units and 0.7% for houses. 
Annually, asking rents for houses is growing fastest in Melbourne at 7.1%, reflecting tightening vacancy rates.
Sydney unit rents too jumped by 1.6% over the month, as well as a 1.5% rise for Canberra units, though housing rents fell in those two cities.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/19/SQM.jpg" target="_blank">In Sydney too, despite high levels of inner-city apartment construction, the vacancy rate is just 1.7% across the city and just 1.3% in the CBD. </a>
“We may, however, see a bounce in April across cities as demand for rental properties drops back,” Christopher said.
Perth recorded the highest vacancy rate at 4.7%, down marginally from 4.8% in February, followed by Darwin at 3.5%, a drop from 3.8%.
In Brisbane, the vacancy rate dipped slightly to 3.2%, and in Adelaide it fell to 1.8%. 
Darwin asking rents continued to fall, down 2.6% for houses over the month, while unit rents were down 1.1%.
Perth has again posted the largest yearly declines, with unit asking rents down 9.6% and house rents down 7.3%.
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Vacancy rates tumble across capital cities as Brisbane takes top spot: SQM Research

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Figures released by SQM Research reveal national residential listings increased 4.4 percent to 351,509 over the month of March 2017.
The data reveals Sydney and Melbourne posted the biggest monthly rises in listings, up 11.0 percent and 9.1 percent, respectively, as vendors seek to take advantage of big price gains in those two cities.
In all other cities, listings rose over the month.
In Brisbane, listings were up a healthy 6 percent, and in Perth they rose 4.9 percent, followed by Canberra, where stock levels rose 4.8 percent.
Over the year, listings were up in most capital cities, led by gains of 12.6 percent in Perth, followed by Canberra and Sydney, where stock levels were up by almost 12 percent from a year earlier.
Louis Christopher, the Managing Director of SQM Research, said the big rise in listings in Sydney and Melbourne reflects the fact that many property owners are attempting to cash in on rapid price growth in recent times.
“House asking prices are still rising quickly in the nation’s two biggest cities," he said.
"Despite new measures by Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) to restrict interest-only mortgage lending, these measures are weak in the face of the strong price momentum in Sydney and Melbourne, fed by low interest rates and robust population growth."
SQM Research is predicting Sydney prices will rise between 11 percent and 16 percent in 2017, while Melbourne gains will be between 10 percent to 15 percent.
While those forecasts were made in November 2016, they had taken into account a potential tightening by APRA.
“APRA's move is not aggressive enough for SQM to revise its predictions. We still expect strong price growth,” he said.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/4/Chart-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/4/Chart-1.jpg" alt="">
APRA has asked banks to limit interest-only mortgage lending to 30 percent of all home loans written.
As part of this, the regulator has demanded banks strictly limit the volume of interest-only lending at loan-to-value ratios (LVRs) above 80 percent and also ensure there is strong scrutiny and justification of any instances of interest-only lending at LVRs above 90 percent.
“However, these measures are weak and are not going to be enough to slow down the Sydney and Melbourne housing booms, where both owner occupiers and investors are feeding demand,” Mr Christopher said. SQM Research data for house asking prices over the three months to April 4 shows that asking house prices grew the most in Melbourne, Canberra and Hobart, with prices up 7.2 percent, 6.8 percent and 6.4 percent respectively.
In Sydney, asking house prices rose 4.5 percent.
That compares to a 2 percent rise in Adelaide, 1.1 percent rise in Brisbane and a fall of 2.4 percent in Darwin and 2.2 percent in Perth.
 
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APRA's move won't stop 2017 price growth says SQM as listing, prices rise in March

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Brisbane vacancies are on the rise, according to SQM’s latest report.
Over the past 5 years, the sunshine states capital has experienced a surge in residential apartment constructions; fuelled predominantly by the mining sector as well as a slight pick-up in foreign tourism numbers, however, with the rapid decline of the mining and commodities industries, is tourism enough to solely drive the economy?
SQM Research recently delved into the supply and demand situation for Brisbane in its Housing Boom &amp; Bust Report and the results were interesting.
Circa 9,000 new apartments hit the market in 2016 which was up 200% from 2015.
The report forecast completions to soften by about 11% during 2017 with circa 8,000 apartments to be built before increasing by 12.5% in 2018 for an additional 9,000 completions.
Having realised that an oversupply may be looming if not already in place, it appears that some developers that can afford to delay construction have done so, opting to ride out the storm so to speak; this would obviously decrease our number of original forecast completions.
According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), population growth for Brisbane increased by 1.72% in 2015 to arrive at an estimated total population of 2,084,850 people.
During 2006 &amp; 2011, the ABS Census recorded an average of 2.7 people per household.
If we adopt that rate for our forecast population growth of circa 36,000 for 2017, it would mean that a demand of around 13,000 dwellings would be necessary, however, the total forecast completions by SQM Research for Greater Brisbane (apartments as well as house &amp; land) may be in the vicinity of 21,000, meaning that an oversupply of 8,000 new properties could be possible.
Adopting the same methodology as 2017 as well as the same person per household rate of 2.7, we can assume that Greater Brisbane may be oversupplied by circa 9,000 new dwellings in 2018 due to a required demand of circa 14,000 dwellings and a forecast supply of 23,000.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/14/SQM-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/14/SQM-1.jpg" alt="" width="613" height="372">
An oversupply of dwellings is the obvious catalyst in contributing to vacancies.
At present, the vacancy rate for Brisbane is 3.32%, up 0.67% in the last 12 months, 0.93% over 2 years, 1.43% higher than 5 years ago, and having increased by 1.89% over the past 10 years.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/14/SQM-2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/14/SQM-2.jpg" alt="">
When compared to the rest of the nation’s capitals, Brisbane has the third highest vacancy rate behind Perth’s whopping 4.7% and Darwin at 3.7%.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/14/SQM-3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/14/SQM-3.jpg" alt="">
Even though vacancies in Brisbane have increased, it’s selling point remains affordability, especially in a time when the great Australian dream of home ownership is becoming further unobtainable in Sydney and Melbourne.
At present, Brisbane’s median house asking price is $601,430, 114% cheaper than Sydney and 34% lower than Melbourne.
Gross yield numbers for properties that are tenanted aren’t too shabby either.
For those on the hunt for a deal, perhaps consider Brisbane towards 2018 as prices may likely soften.
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Brisbane vacancies continues to increase: SQM

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A number of mining towns are recording ongoing falls in vacancies, signalling that the housing bust in the mining towns is possibly coming to an end, according to SQM Research’s latest newsletter.
Residential vacancies in Karratha, Port Hedland, Mackay and Gladstone are all down compared to his time last year.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/24/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-24%20at%2010.32.12%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/02/24/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-24%20at%2010.32.12%20AM.png" alt="">
Reflecting its high vacancy rate, Darwin continues to record big falls in asking rents, with units falling by another 2.5 percent for the month of January (houses down 0.1 percent).
Perth continues to record the largest yearly declines.
However, rents did rise slightly for the month at 1.1 percent for houses and 0.5 percent for units.
Meanwhile, Hobart is the strongest rental market in the nation with rents up by 6.7 percent for houses in January and 11.6 percent for units.
As noted, Hobart also has the lowest vacancy rate of all capital cities at just 0.7 percent.
Brisbane remains a flat rental market with falls in rents being recorded for units in the inner ring of between 2.5 percent to 5 percent declines, against the background of a relatively high vacancy rate of 3.3 percent.
Overall, rents continue to rise at about 2 percent per annum nationwide with some variability reflecting the mixed Australian housing market. 
So far, the feared oversupply for Sydney and Melbourne has not yet eventuated and we are aware of some scaling back of developments, particularly in the Melbourne rental market.
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Mining towns continue to have high vacancies and falling rents: SQM

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Residential vacancies fell nationally in January for a national vacancy rate of 2.4 percent, down from December's 2.8 percent according to SQM Research.
According to SQM Research all capital cities recorded falls in January.
Louis Christopher, SQM research managing director said Sydney's vacancy rate fell to 2.0 percent from 2.4 percent in December, while Melbourne's vacancy rate fell to 2.0 percent from 2.5 percent, which could pressure rents higher in both cities.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/22/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-22%20at%2011.16.38%20am.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/22/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-22%20at%2011.16.38%20am.jpg" alt="">
"Perth continues to record the highest vacancy rates for any capital city at 4.8 percent and asking rents are still falling there," he said.
"Hobart now has the lowest vacancy rate of just 0.7 percent, reflecting very tight rental conditions which are also been experienced in other parts of Tasmania (Launceston is at 1.6 percent).
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Vacancy rates fall while rent rises: SQM Research

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The total land value for the Hunter region has increased over the 12 month period to 1 July 2016 by 8.7 percent from $118.57 billion to $128.84 billion.
However, decreases were experienced in land values in and around the Hunter coalfields due to the downturn in the coal mining industry.
Muswellbrook (-5.3 percent), Singleton (-2.9 percent), and Upper Hunter (-3.1 percent) LGAs all experienced decreases.
Residential properties experienced the largest increase in land values with an overall increase of 9.8 percent.
Residential land in coastal areas such as Newcastle (13.2 percent), Wyong (12.7 percent), and Gosford (10.2 percent) LGAs saw strong increases.
These areas have experienced strong demand, and infrastructure projects like the upgrade of the Central Coast Highway and Hunter Expressway are continuing to have a positive influence on land values.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/31/Screen%20Shot%202017-01-31%20at%202.50.43%20pm.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/31/Screen%20Shot%202017-01-31%20at%202.50.43%20pm.jpg" alt="">
Commercial land values in the Hunter region increased moderately by 6.6 percent.
Renewed interest in mixed use sites allowing high rise residential development had a positive influence on commercial land values in Newcastle (14.3 percent), with strong increases also experienced in Lake Macquarie (13.0 percent).
Industrial land values across the region increased slightly by 3.5 percent.
The strongest increase was experienced in the former Wyong LGA (8.7 percent), with the largest decrease in Singleton (-11.3 percent).
Rural land values for the region increased slightly by 3.1 percent.
Moderate increases were experienced in larger broad acre holdings.
Lake Macquarie showed a strong increase of 10.7 percent, influenced by high demand for hobby farms and rural home sites.
For more information including interactive online land value summaries for all LGAs and 14 regions covering the state go to <a href="https://www.valuergeneral.nsw.gov.au" target="_blank">www.valuergeneral.nsw.gov.au</a>
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Muswellbrook leads declines in land values in Hunter region

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The current housing boom won't come unstuck until 2018, according to SQM Research founder Louis Christopher.
He was described by the Australian Financial Review as "arguably the country's most accurate forecaster."
"It is now very likely it will be a strong start to the new year for Sydney and Melbourne, given the way 2016 ended," Mr Christopher said.
He listed four reasons for the likely coninued growth as the continued low interest rate environment, strong Sydney and Melbourne economies, continued strong population growth and the supply side of the housing market.
The SQM forecaster expects capital city house prices to rise between six and 10 per cent this year, led by double-digit price growth in Sydney, Melbourne and possibly Hobart.
There will be single-digit growth in the other capital cities, apart from Perth and Darwin where he anticipates continued further falls.
Christopher believes both Sydney and Melbourne's housing markets will be "dangerously overheated and overvalued" by 2018.
"The market will sustain its current momentum and rise again in 2017 – 2018 may be well another matter."
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<div>Over the past two years, his predictions on capital city house price growth have been roughly in line with the Australian Bureau of Statistics's Residential Property Price Index.</div>
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Mr Christopher believes a number of key macro factors will continue to push up prices this year.
These, he said, include the current low interest rate environment, continued strong population growth especially in Sydney and Melbourne and – until very recently – a weak response to the supply side of the housing market.
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"We're getting around 90,000 new people coming to both Sydney and Melbourne every year.
"The Sydney and Melbourne economies have kept the country out of recession and there's a strong correlation between a city's economy and their housing market," Mr Christopher said.
His forecasts for 2017 are under a base case scenario of a steady economy, no changes to the cash rate, the Australian dollar hovering between 70¢ and 80¢ and no meddling in bank lending by the Australian Prudential Authority in the first six months of the year.
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Christopher says if the Reserve Bank cuts the cash rate this year, then house price growth could be even greater. 
SQM Research's Housing Boom and Bust Report, released in October 2015, forecast Australian dwelling prices to rise at between 3 and 8 per cent in 2016.
SQM forecast Sydney dwelling prices to rise by 4 to 9 per cent during 2016.
In Melbourne SQM's prediction of price growth was of 8 to 13 per cent.
Christopher acknowledges it was overly bullish on Brisbane, predicting growth of 5 to 8 per cent and was a bit too bearish on Canberra (2 to 4 per cent) but was quite accurate on its outlooks for Hobart (4 to 7 per cent) and Adelaide (2 to 5 per cent)
"It seems we did get most cities right and made the right call that Melbourne would be the out performer," Mr Christopher told the Australian Financial Review. "We copped a fair bit of stick over that one, particularly from the Macrobusiness guys who thought Melbourne would fall."
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