Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Rba Rate Decision

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GUEST OBSERVER
What does it all mean?
The Reserve Bank Governor said he had a two-pronged strategy. He wanted to keep interest rates low to reduce unemployment and lift wages. The second part of the strategy was that Governor Lowe wanted to talk of the benefits of stronger wage growth. He was concerned that annual wage growth near 2 per cent was seen as the new norm. Governor Lowe said that a 2.5 per cent inflation rate was consistent with a 3.5 per cent lift in wages.
The Reserve Bank Governor has continued to emphasise that any lift in wage and price growth over 2018 will be gradual. While the next move in interest rates is expected to be up, there is not “a strong case for a near-term adjustment of monetary policy.”
Questions centred on the job market. The Reserve Bank believes wages across the globe are less responsive to unemployment as we’ve seen in the past. Lower wage growth has implications for spending
Prepared comments
- The prepared remarks by the Reserve Bank Governor can be found here. http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2018/sp-gov-2018-02-16.html
- Global economy: “In a number of countries, the unemployment rate is now below conventional estimates of full employment. Inflation has remained low, partly reflecting the fact that wage growth has been quite subdued despite the low unemployment rates. Low inflation has meant low interest rates.”
- Australia: “Over this year and next we expect GDP growth to be a bit above 3 per cent, which is faster than our current estimate of trend growth for the Australian economy. This outlook has not been affected by the recent volatility in the equity market.”
- Unemployment: “The unemployment rate, though, is likely to remain above conventional estimates of full employment in Australia for some time.”
- Household balance sheets: “We continue to look carefully at household balance sheets. On balance, our assessment is that there has been some containment of the build-up of risk in this area.”
- Household debt: “While the Reserve Bank does not target housing prices or household debt, it would be a good outcome if we now experienced a run of years in which the rate of growth of housing costs and debt did not outstrip growth in our incomes in the way that they did over the past five years.”
- Job market: “...we hear reports of pockets where the labour market is tight and firms are finding it hard to find workers with the right skills. In some of these areas wages are now rising more quickly than previously, but many firms remain wary of adding to their cost base in the current environment.”
- Interest rate outlook: “Our central scenario for the Australian economy is for a further reduction in the unemployment rate and an increase in inflation towards the mid-point of the target range...”if this is how things play out, at some point it will be appropriate to have less monetary stimulus and for interest rates in Australia to move up, as is already happening in some other countries. In other words, it is more likely that the next move in interest rates will be up, rather than down.”
- Interest rate outlook: “The timing of any future move will depend upon the extent and pace of progress that we make in reducing the unemployment rate and having inflation return to target. As things currently stand, we expect that progress to be steady, but to be only gradual. Given this assessment, the Reserve Bank Board does not see a strong case for a near-term adjustment of monetary policy. We will, of course, keep that judgement under review at future meetings.”
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Selected questions &amp; answers
- Why the improvement in ‘animal spirits’? Factors include: lift in the global economy; unwinding of the end of the mining boom nearing an end; low interest rates; businesses starting to invest; infrastructure investment pickup.
- Philip Lowe and Luci Ellis (Assistant Governor – Economics) reflected on increased participation rates, especially by women. Confirmed that the “full employment” level is around 5 per cent.
- Question on the need for Australia to have an open economy.
- Why the pickup in consumer sentiment? The main factor has been the growth of jobs. A lift in wages would boost sentiment even further. Wages should lift over the next year.
- A credit rating downgrade? Lowe believes it would be more of a political rather than economic event. It would matter through a dent to confidence. “Let’s hope it doesn’t happen.”
- Question on APRA measures to slow home lending. “Risks have been contained.”
- Question on factors responsible for the slowdown in Sydney home prices. Lowe highlights the big lift in supply and less foreign investment. And Lowe cites “weight of gravity”. Lowe is much more comfortable about the balance in housing markets.
- Question on Luci Ellis’ latest speech on “full employment” level. Ellis says that there is considerable uncertainty about the 5 per cent estimate – it is non observable, need to re-assess the level with changes in wage growth. The current estimate of “full employment” is based on new improved models.
- Question on wage forecasts. Lowe says that central banks across the globe have been too optimistic on wage growth. Wages across the globe has not been as responsive as we’ve seen in the past to jobless rates.
- Question on home building. Over the last 20 years there has been a big lift in higher density housing, providing more choice and allowing more people to live near cities. Luci Ellis believes this has been a positive development.
- Budget. Lowe believes that it is important that the projected reduction in the budget deficit remain on track. It is important on the grounds of intergenerational equity. And a stronger fiscal situation is “a form of insurance” – Australia’s good fiscal situation during the global financial crisis allowed us to weather the storm.
- Question on low wage growth. The Reserve Bank Governor said he had a two-pronged strategy. First, he wanted to keep interest rates low in order to reduce unemployment and lift wages. The second part of the strategy was that Governor Lowe wanted to talk of the benefits of stronger wage growth. He was concerned that annual wage growth near 2 per cent was becoming seen as the new norm. Governor Lowe said that a 2.5 per cent inflation rate was consistent with a 3.5 per cent lift in wages.
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What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
Official interest rates are set to remain on hold for some time. The job market – especially changes in wage growth – is the area to watch.
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Reserve Bank seeks 3.5 percent wage growth

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The Reserve Bank has made no changes to forecasts for economic growth and underlying inflation. “It will be some time, however, before the economy reaches current estimates of full employment and inflation returns to the midpoint of the target.”
The number of loans (commitments) for home owners (owner-occupiers) fell by 2.3 per cent in December - the third fall in four months. 
The value of new housing commitments (owner occupier and investment) fell by 1.6 per cent in December. Owner-occupier loans fell by 1.0 per cent and investment loans fell by 2.6 per cent. The value of loans actually advanced was $22 billion – the second highest amount on record.
The home loan data have implications for builders, housing-reliant businesses, finance providers, retailers, and companies dependent on consumer and business spending.
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What does it all mean? 
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· Move on, move on, nothing to see here. That is the clear message from the Reserve Bank. Interest rates are going nowhere. The defining sentence is: “It will be some time, however, before the economy reaches current estimates of full employment and inflation returns to the midpoint of the target.”
· The Reserve Bank Governor spoke last night and stressed that rates would likely remain unchanged for some time. The key area to watch is the job market, especially “how quickly spare capacity is absorbed.”
· If inflation continues to hold near 2 per cent, there will be no reason to either lift or cut rates. Of course, if you have a healthy economy, with few imbalances, that is what you want – interest rate stability. The economy is in good shape and expected to stay that way over 2018.
· Unemployment is expected to be broadly between 5.0-5.5 per cent for the next 2½ years. So-called “full employment” is near 5 per cent. So wages aren’t likely to soar, thus keeping inflation low and interest rates stable.
<h1>What do the figures show?</h1>
<h1>Key messages from the Reserve Bank report</h1>
“Over the course of 2017, the unemployment rate declined and inflation increased a little. The accommodative setting of monetary policy has played a role here. Further progress on both fronts is expected over the next couple of years. It will be some time, however, before the economy reaches current estimates of full employment and inflation returns to the midpoint of the target.”
“Strong competition among retailers is contributing to ongoing deflation in prices of consumer durables and several other retail categories; food prices (excluding volatile fruit and vegetable prices) have been broadly flat for some time.”
“The forecasts for inflation are similar to those published in the November Statement. Inflation is likely to increase gradually over time, as the economy and labour market strengthen.”
“Financial market volatility has picked up in recent days, most notably in equity markets as market participants have begun to reassess the outlook for global inflation and the speed of withdrawal of monetary accommodation.”
“Domestically, the recent run of activity data has been in line with, or a little stronger than, expectations at the time of the November Statement on Monetary Policy. The labour market has been particularly strong.”
“Household consumption growth was weak in the September quarter but indications are that it recovered in the December quarter. Consumption growth is expected to be a little above its decade average in the period ahead.”
“It is unclear whether participation rates will increase further and, if so, by how much; this represents an uncertainty around the question of how spare capacity in the labour market is likely to evolve.”
“..the unemployment rate is likely to remain above estimates of full employment in Australia for some time.”
Housing finance - number
·  The number of loans (commitments) by home owners (owner-occupiers) fell by 2.3 per cent in December – the third fall in four months. Loans are up 0.5 per cent on the year.
·  Loans by owner-occupiers for the construction of homes fell by 1.1 per cent in December – the fourth fall in five months.
·  Loans to buy newly-erected dwellings fell by 3.8 per cent in December – the biggest fall in 10 months.
·  Loans for the purchase of established dwellings (excluding refinancing) fell by 3.9 per cent in December – the biggest fall for almost two years.
·   The number of refinancing transactions rose by 0.4 per cent in December after rising 1.8 per cent in November.
·   Changes in home loan across the country: NSW (down 2.5 per cent); Victoria (down 2.6 per cent); Queensland (down 0.7 per cent); South Australia (down 1.1 per cent); Western Australia (up 1.0 per cent); Tasmania (down 2.3 per cent); Northern Territory (up 0.5 per cent); ACT (down 7.1 per cent).
Housing finance - value
·  The value of new housing commitments (owner occupier and investment) fell by 1.6 per cent in December. Owner-occupier loans fell by 1.0 per cent and investment loans fell by 2.6 per cent.
·  The value of loans by owner-occupiers and investors to build new homes fell by 5.8 per cent in December, down from a record $3.42 billion to $3.22 billion.
Housing finance – other statistics
·         The value of cancelled loans fell by 2.0 per cent in December after rising by 3.5 per cent in November.
·         Commitments actually advanced (loans made) rose by 3.2 per cent in December to 2-year highs after lifting 8.6 per cent in November.
·         The proportion of first-time buyers in the home loan market eased from a 5-year high of 18.0 per cent to 17.9 per cent in December (decade-average 17.9 per cent). 
·         The proportion of fixed rate loans fell from 15.8 per cent to a 9-month low of 14.9 per cent in December.
·         And the average home loan across Australia stood at $393,200 in December, up by 4.6 per cent on the year.
Chinese inflation
· The annual rate of consumer prices fell from 1.8 per cent to 1.5 per cent as expected in January. The annual rate of producer prices in January fell from 4.9 per cent to 4.3 per cent (forecast 4.4 per cent).
<h1>What is the importance of the economic data?</h1>
· The Reserve Bank releases its Statement on Monetary Policy each quarter. The Statement is the Reserve Bank’s assessment of economic and financial conditions and also contains the latest inflation views. The Statement is crucial is assessing the short-term outlook for interest rates.
· Housing Finance data is produced monthly by the Bureau of Statistics and shows commitments by lenders, such as banks, to provide finance for housing purposes. The lending figures relate to those looking to buy or build homes to live in as well as those seeking to buy or build homes for investment purposes. Generally people get their finance organised first, so the figures are regarded as a leading indicator on the housing market.
<h1>What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</h1>
·  Interest rates are firmly on hold. It is of little value to signal the timing or direction of rate moves at the current time.
· Investors are fretting about the potential for higher inflation and thus higher interest rates. But in China, the pace of inflation is actually easing. Even here in Australia the Reserve Bank expects inflation to hold near 2 per cent for some time and the current inflation rate is still below the Reserve Bank’s 2-3 per cent target zone.
· The steam continues to be taken out of the housing market. A healthy $22 billion was actually advanced to home buyers in December – the second largest amount ever. But exuberance has been replaced with caution.
Craig James is chief economist at CommSec.
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Long period of interest rate stability is likely: CommSec's Craig James 

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The RBA has released its February chart pack which contributed to their decision to leave cash rates on hold again at 1.5 percent.
The full pack can be <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/pdf/chart-pack.pdf?v=2018-02-08-08-16-04" target="_blank">found here.</a> 
Household debt is still outstripping household prices.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/2/8/prices%20and%20debt.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/2/8/prices%20and%20debt.jpg" alt="">
 
The CPI was lower than anticipated when the ABS released its inflation data last week.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/2/8/CPI.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/2/8/CPI.jpg" alt="">
The gap between disposable income and household consumption isn't getting any closer.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/2/8/consumption.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/2/8/consumption.jpg" alt="">
 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Three charts that guided the RBA to leave the cash rate unchanged

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At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent.
There was a broad-based pick-up in the global economy in 2017. A number of advanced economies are growing at an above-trend rate and unemployment rates are low. Growth has also picked up in the Asian economies, partly supported by increased international trade. The Chinese economy continues to grow solidly, with the authorities paying increased attention to the risks in the financial sector and the sustainability of growth.
The pick-up in the global economy has contributed to a rise in oil and other commodity prices over recent months. Even so, Australia's terms of trade are expected to decline over the next couple of years, but remain at a relatively high level.
Globally, inflation remains low, although higher commodity prices and tight labour markets are likely to see inflation increase over the next couple of years. Long-term bond yields have risen but are still low. As conditions have improved in the global economy, a number of central banks have withdrawn some monetary stimulus. Financial conditions remain expansionary, with credit spreads narrow.
The Bank's central forecast for the Australian economy is for GDP growth to pick up, to average a bit above 3 per cent over the next couple of years. The data over the summer have been consistent with this outlook. Business conditions are positive and the outlook for non-mining business investment has improved. Increased public infrastructure investment is also supporting the economy. One continuing source of uncertainty is the outlook for household consumption. Household incomes are growing slowly and debt levels are high.
Employment grew strongly over 2017 and the unemployment rate declined. Employment has been rising in all states and has been accompanied by a significant rise in labour force participation. The various forward-looking indicators continue to point to solid growth in employment over the period ahead, with a further gradual reduction in the unemployment rate expected. Notwithstanding the improving labour market, wage growth remains low. This is likely to continue for a while yet, although the stronger economy should see some lift in wage growth over time. There are reports that some employers are finding it more difficult to hire workers with the necessary skills.
Inflation is low, with both CPI and underlying inflation running a little below 2 per cent. Inflation is likely to remain low for some time, reflecting low growth in labour costs and strong competition in retailing. A gradual pick-up in inflation is, however, expected as the economy strengthens. The central forecast is for CPI inflation to be a bit above 2 per cent in 2018.
On a trade-weighted basis, the Australian dollar remains within the range that it has been in over the past two years. An appreciating exchange rate would be expected to result in a slower pick-up in economic activity and inflation than currently forecast.
Nationwide measures of housing prices are little changed over the past six months, with prices having recorded falls in some areas. In the eastern capital cities, a considerable additional supply of apartments is scheduled to come on stream over the next couple of years. To address the medium-term risks associated with high and rising household indebtedness, APRA introduced a number of supervisory measures. Tighter credit standards have also been helpful in containing the build-up of risk in household balance sheets.
The low level of interest rates is continuing to support the Australian economy. Further progress in reducing unemployment and having inflation return to target is expected, although this progress is likely to be gradual. Taking account of the available information, the Board judged that holding the stance of monetary policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time.
Click here to read the <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2018/mr-18-01" target="_blank">governor's statement.</a>
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

Little property price change noted: RBA February 2018 Governor's statement 

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The first meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia for 2018 saw no change in the official cash rate.
The central bank's last move saw it go to 1.5 percent at the August 2016 meeting, so rates have been held steady for 17 meetings.
It is the longest run of steady rates as there were 16 meetings (inclusive) between their August 2013 meeting and December 2014 where they held at 2.5 percent. There was another run of 16 meetings between July 2002 and October 2003 where rates were held at 4.75 percent.
Almost all economists predicted a hold at the first meeting of the year.
Most don't foresee any change throughout much of 2018.
Tim Lawless, CoreLogic's head of research and analytics, said the hold decision was expected.
"With headline inflation remaining below the RBA’s target range of 2-3%, housing markets moving through a controlled slow down, a higher than forecast Australian dollar and household debt at record highs, the hold decision from the Reserve Bank was widely expected.
"With national dwelling values now drifting lower, the RBA can now focus more on economic trends outside of the housing market when contemplating monetary policy settings. 
According to CoreLogic’s’ hedonic indices, the heat has come out of the Australian housing market, with national dwelling values falling by 0.7% since peaking in September last year.
Falling dwelling values are the result of tighter credit conditions rather than any changes in monetary policy settings.   Despite the stable cash rate, investors have seen an average 40 basis points increase in their mortgage rates due to higher capital requirements from lenders, which has helped to slow investment demand and quell rapidly rising home values.
Interest rates won’t stay at their record lows forever.  Financial markets have fully priced a 25 basis point rise by February next year.  In the meantime, we expect housing market demand to be supported by low mortgage rates and high rates of population growth, despite the easing in capital growth rates that have been most evident in Sydney and, to a lesser extent, Melbourne dwellings. 
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

RBA carries over same official cash rate into third year after February 2018 decision 

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The RBA has released its January chart pack which contributed to their decision to leave cash rates on hold again at 1.5 percent.
The full pack can be <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/" target="_blank">found here.</a>
Consumer sentiment is has been fluctuating over the year.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/1/4/chart1.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/1/4/chart1.jpg" alt="">
Housing prices and house hold debt are both peaking, however the house prices are just beginning to level out.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/1/4/chart2.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/1/4/chart2.jpg" alt="">
National house price growth has considerably stumbled since the middle of 2017.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/1/4/chart3.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/1/4/chart3.jpg" alt="">
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Three charts that helped the RBA decide to keep the cash rate on hold

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The RBA considered these four charts to help in its determination of keeping the cash rate on hold at 1.5 percent earlier this week.
Household debt is at its peak, while interest being paid on households has begun a sharp decline.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/12/8/debt1.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
 
 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/12/8/debt1.jpg" alt="" style="font-size: 12.16px;">
 
Housing loan approvals are also near their peak, with the gap between owner occupiers and investors widening.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/12/8/approvals1.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/12/8/approvals1.jpg" alt="">
Household net wealth is peaking, which will have made the RBA contemplate a rate raise.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/12/8/wealth2.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
 
 
 
 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/12/8/wealth2.jpg" alt="">
 
Housing prices are set to end the year in a downturn.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/12/8/prices1.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/12/8/prices1.jpg" alt="">
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Four housing charts that helped the RBA decide to hold rates

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The RBA left interest rates on hold again for the 16th month in a row following its November Board meeting and its post meeting statement provided no urgency to start raising rates.
As has been the case for some time now the RBA expects growth to pick up to around 3% or just above over the next few years – and is getting more confident that a pick up in non-mining investment and increased infrastructure spending will help on this front – and it sees stronger growth along with continuing labour market strength driving an eventual pick up in wages growth and inflation.
However, for now it remains in wait and see mode thanks to uncertainty hanging over the outlook for consumer spending and wages growth and inflation remaining low. At the same the RBA continues to warn that a stronger $A would likely result in slower growth and inflation than forecast and worries about the overheated Sydney and Melbourne property markets have receded with national home prices flat over the last six months. 
While some express surprise that the RBA isn’t following the US Federal Reserve in its interest rate tightening cycle, it’s worth noting that the RBA sets rates on the basis of Australian conditions so there is no automatic linkage from the Fed to RBA on rates.
In fact, ever since the GFC we have diverged – raising rates in 2009-10 when the Fed held rates at zero and cutting rates last year when the Fed had started to hike. While a tightening Fed in the year ahead and an on hold RBA are likely to contribute to a fall in the value of the Australian dollar, given weak inflationary pressures and some uncertainty around growth this would be a desirable development and so wouldn’t prompt an RBA move unless the $A crashed causing a surge in inflation (which looks unlikely).
Given all this, we remain of the view that the RBA won’t start raising interest rates until late next year at the earliest.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author">SHANE OLIVER</a> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.
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soliver-smf6LQXgW9

RBA have no urgency to start raising rates

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<div>The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its Financial Aggregates figures for October 2017, which showed housing credit expanding by +6.5 per cent over the past 12 months.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Investor credit is slowing, but total housing credit growth remained higher than a year earlier, when it was +6.4 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Total housing credit broke through $1.7 trillion on the strength in owner-occupier lending. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>$60 billion of loans have now been reclassified from investor to owner-occupier. </div>
 
<div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-e9uRF_zy5oQ/WiKnpcXUnaI/AAAAAAAAnRM/-OwCjyORoloVG0nFZ7J7qO7rho_nUlArACEwYBhgL/s1600/RBA.jpg"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-e9uRF_zy5oQ/WiKnpcXUnaI/AAAAAAAAnRM/-OwCjyORoloVG0nFZ7J7qO7rho_nUlArACEwYBhgL/s640/RBA.jpg" width="640" height="380" data-original-height="835" data-original-width="1403"></a></div>
 
<div>Personal credit contracted by -0.9 per cent over the year, while annual business credit growth was steady at +4 per cent. Know your limits
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>APRA also released its monthly banking statistics, which revealed a similar trend, with the monthly result showing considerably faster growth in owner-occupier loans (+0.6 per cent) than investment lending (+0.15 per cent). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Comparing the aggregates suggests that non-banks continue to garner market share. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Westpac has been offering discounted investor loans of late, and took the opportunity to grow its investment loans books further in the month (it already has the largest mortgage book pertaining to investors). </div>
 
<div class="separator"><a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-8Fxpkv5SEXM/WiKnpIitVzI/AAAAAAAAnRI/wgdjuKrluRYH56ztoLFQf8LPo7fbDJ99wCLcBGAs/s1600/A1.jpg"><img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-8Fxpkv5SEXM/WiKnpIitVzI/AAAAAAAAnRI/wgdjuKrluRYH56ztoLFQf8LPo7fbDJ99wCLcBGAs/s640/A1.jpg" width="640" height="376" data-original-height="831" data-original-width="1412"></a></div>
 
<div>Indeed, not only is new interest-only lending now well below the proposed regulatory cap, all of the major banks are now seeing investor credit growing at way below the 10 per cent annual speed limit. </div>
 
<div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-es6thHJIJ5c/WiKnp7UVVDI/AAAAAAAAnRQ/O4jGAA5CHAEhFquJhGVlZygDwJ5qFGtTQCLcBGAs/s1600/A2.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-es6thHJIJ5c/WiKnp7UVVDI/AAAAAAAAnRQ/O4jGAA5CHAEhFquJhGVlZygDwJ5qFGtTQCLcBGAs/s640/A2.jpg" width="640" height="384" data-original-height="822" data-original-width="1367"></a></div>
 
<div>These statistics show that there is potentially plenty of scope for banks to incentivise faster investor lending in 2018, particularly Commonwealth Bank and ANZ Bank. Oh, and there's a Royal Commission to follow!</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-wbT8FzhZC5w/WiKr6bzIaYI/AAAAAAAAnRo/tiSHmv9eWGUSJBb4WVlSCubp4peYkulpwCLcBGAs/s1600/limit-2299513_1920.jpg"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-wbT8FzhZC5w/WiKr6bzIaYI/AAAAAAAAnRo/tiSHmv9eWGUSJBb4WVlSCubp4peYkulpwCLcBGAs/s640/limit-2299513_1920.jpg" width="640" height="480" data-original-height="1200" data-original-width="1600"></a></div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

RBA's October Financial Aggregates figures sees housing credit expand

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At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent.
Conditions in the global economy have improved over 2017. Labour markets have tightened and further above-trend growth is expected in a number of advanced economies, although uncertainties remain. Growth in the Chinese economy continues to be supported by increased spending on infrastructure and property construction, although financial conditions have tightened somewhat as the authorities address the medium-term risks from high debt levels. Australia's terms of trade are expected to decline in the period ahead but remain at relatively high levels.
Wage growth remains low in most countries, as does core inflation. In a number of economies there has been some withdrawal of monetary stimulus, although financial conditions remain quite expansionary. Equity markets have been strong, credit spreads have narrowed over the course of the year and volatility in financial markets is low. Long-term bond yields remain low, notwithstanding the improvement in the global economy.
Recent data suggest that the Australian economy grew at around its trend rate over the year to the September quarter. The central forecast is for GDP growth to average around 3 per cent over the next few years. Business conditions are positive and capacity utilisation has increased. The outlook for non-mining business investment has improved further, with the forward-looking indicators being more positive than they have been for some time. Increased public infrastructure investment is also supporting the economy. One continuing source of uncertainty is the outlook for household consumption. Household incomes are growing slowly and debt levels are high.
Employment growth has been strong over 2017 and the unemployment rate has declined. Employment has been rising in all states and has been accompanied by a rise in labour force participation. The various forward-looking indicators continue to point to solid growth in employment over the period ahead. There are reports that some employers are finding it more difficult to hire workers with the necessary skills. However, wage growth remains low. This is likely to continue for a while yet, although the stronger conditions in the labour market should see some lift in wage growth over time.
Inflation remains low, with both CPI and underlying inflation running a little below 2 per cent. The Bank's central forecast remains for inflation to pick up gradually as the economy strengthens.
The Australian dollar remains within the range that it has been in over the past two years. An appreciating exchange rate would be expected to result in a slower pick-up in economic activity and inflation than currently forecast.
Growth in housing debt has been outpacing the slow growth in household income for some time. To address the medium-term risks associated with high and rising household indebtedness, APRA has introduced a number of supervisory measures. Credit standards have been tightened in a way that has reduced the risk profile of borrowers. Nationwide measures of housing prices are little changed over the past six months, with conditions having eased in Sydney. In the eastern capital cities, a considerable additional supply of apartments is scheduled to come on stream over the next couple of years. Rent increases remain low in most cities.
The low level of interest rates is continuing to support the Australian economy. Taking account of the available information, the Board judged that holding the stance of monetary policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time.
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Rba Rate Decision

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