The federal government’s proposed changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax concessions are expected to reshape where investors direct their attention over the coming years.

Under the policy settings, established properties would lose access to both incentives, while new and off-the-plan apartments would retain them, creating a clear advantage for buyers willing to purchase into the development market instead.

That shift comes at a time when the supply of traditional investor-grade apartments has already become increasingly limited.

For years, one-bedroom apartments formed the backbone of investor demand. Compact, lower-priced and typically positioned in high-demand locations, they were the type of stock developers actively brought to market.

Today, the development pipeline across New South Wales looks very different.

Projects are increasingly geared towards owner-occupiers, with larger three and four-bedroom apartments dominating many new developments. While there are still some one-bedroom and smaller two-bedroom configurations available, genuine investor-focused stock is no longer as common as it once was.

With investors now expected to look more closely at the new apartment market, we analysed the projects currently on offer across New South Wales for buyers reconsidering the established market.

We focused on developments priced around $1 million, a realistic ceiling for many investors in the current lending environment. In precincts closer to the CBD, that budget will typically secure a one-bedroom apartment, while in a number of growing middle-ring and outer suburbs, it can still stretch to a two-bedroom unit.

<h3>Danks St District, Waterloo</h3>

Price: From $985,000

One of the largest mixed-use developments currently underway in Sydney's inner south, DASCO Australia's Danks St District will transform a 1.7-hectare site on Bourke Street into a six-building residential precinct with more than half of the site dedicated to open space.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=111820 project_image_fid=344699]

The project offers one, two and three-bedroom apartments, terraces and penthouses within walking distance of Surry Hills, Centennial Park and the future Waterloo Metro Station. For investors seeking a blue-chip inner-city location, it is one of the few opportunities to secure a new apartment under $1 million this close to the CBD.

Danks St District also has the sought-after 10-year Latent Defects Insurance by Resilience Insurance, covering an investor for any major structural or waterproofing issues that may arise within the first 10 years of the building completing.

<h3>Senso, Epping</h3>

Price: From $835,000

Epping continues to attract strong buyer demand thanks to its connectivity, schooling options and growing town centre. Senso, a five-building development by DASCO, will deliver 479 apartments adjacent to the future Epping Town Centre masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134954 project_image_fid=4396]

The project is just a short walk from Epping Metro Station, providing direct access to Macquarie Park, Chatswood and the Sydney CBD. One-bedroom apartments start from $835,000.

DASCO has also taken out Resilience LDI on Senso.

<h3>Willow, Wentworth Point</h3>

Price: From $735,000

Wentworth Point has emerged as one of Sydney's fastest-growing apartment markets, underpinned by major infrastructure investment and improving transport links.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6969 project_image_fid=228633]

Willow forms the latest stage of Sekisui House Australia's $2 billion Sanctuary masterplan and will deliver 309 apartments across a mix of low-rise buildings and a 28-storey tower. One-bedroom apartments start from $735,000, offering one of the more accessible entry points into Sydney's waterfront apartment market.

<h3>Mason &amp; Main, Merrylands</h3>

Price: From $498,000

For investors focused on affordability and immediate rental returns, Mason &amp; Main stands out as one of the few completed projects on this list.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=31751 project_image_fid=359818]

The Coronation Property development comprises 415 apartments in the heart of Merrylands, directly opposite Stockland Merrylands and just 350 metres from the train station. Studios start from $498,000, while one-bedroom apartments are available from $635,000.

<h3>Zeste, Norwest</h3>

Price: From $755,000

The final apartment release within Sekisui House Australia's $1 billion Orchards masterplan, Zeste marks the completion of a community more than a decade in the making.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150510 project_image_fid=351885]

Positioned 600 metres from Norwest Metro Station, the project offers one to four-bedroom apartments and access to extensive communal amenities and established parklands. One-bedroom apartments start from $755,000.

<h3>The Residences at Wahroonga Estate, Wahroonga</h3>

Price: From $895,000

New apartment supply in Wahroonga is exceptionally rare, particularly at scale.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135247 project_image_fid=284378]

The first stage of the 64-hectare Wahroonga Estate masterplan will deliver 133 apartments surrounded by bushland and established Upper North Shore amenity.

For investors seeking exposure to one of Sydney's most tightly held markets, one-bedroom apartments start from $895,000.

<h3>Aeris, Melrose Park</h3>

Price: From $724,000

Melrose Park is set to become one of Sydney's largest urban renewal precincts over the next decade, with thousands of new homes planned alongside significant transport and retail infrastructure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=355197]

Aeris is the sixth stage of Sekisui House Australia's $5 billion masterplan and will deliver 468 apartments across three towers. One-bedroom apartments start from $724,000.

<h3>Dawn, Melrose Park</h3>

Price: From $704,000

Also within the Melrose Park masterplan, Dawn offers one of the lowest entry points on this list.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145496 project_image_fid=334164]

Developed by Sekisui House Australia and Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project comprises 368 apartments across four buildings, with one-bedroom apartments starting from $704,000.

<h3>The Rothschild, Rosebery</h3>

Price: From $799,000

Completed projects are becoming increasingly difficult to find in Sydney's inner south, making The Rothschild a notable opportunity for investors wanting immediate rental income.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=106843 project_image_fid=256816]

The Deicorp development sits within walking distance of The Cannery, Green Square and Gunyama Park, with one-bedroom apartments available from $799,000.

<h3>Larool Crescent, Castle Hill</h3>

Price: From $730,000

Castle Hill remains one of Sydney's strongest-performing metro-connected suburban markets, supported by major retail amenity and direct rail access to the city.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135330 project_image_fid=289121]

CPDM's Larool Crescent development will deliver 113 apartments and townhouses just 600 metres from Castle Hill Metro Station. One-bedroom apartments are priced from $730,000.

<h3>The Avenues, Zetland</h3>

Price: From $803,000

Directly opposite Gunyama Park and Aquatic Centre, The Avenues forms part of Deicorp's broader $874 million East Zetland precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146262 project_image_fid=357151]

The development combines park-front living with proximity to Green Square Station and the CBD, while one-bedroom apartments remain available from $803,000.

<h3>The Kensington, Kensington</h3>

Price: From $1.03 million

While sitting slightly above the $1 million threshold, The Kensington remains one of the few opportunities to secure a brand-new apartment in Sydney's tightly held eastern suburbs.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110959 project_image_fid=371479]

Located just four kilometres from the CBD, the TOGA development benefits from direct light rail access and proximity to UNSW, Prince of Wales Hospital and the broader K2K precinct.

The building has recently completed, and will welcome residents soon.

<h3>Lillian, Erskineville</h3>

Price: From $1,075,000

Erskineville rarely sees significant new apartment supply, particularly in locations adjacent to major parkland.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135149 project_image_fid=368154]

Coronation Property's Lillian overlooks the new McPherson Park and sits just 3.5 kilometres from the CBD. While one-bedroom apartments are priced slightly above $1 million, the combination of location and limited competing supply places it among Sydney's most compelling inner-city apartment opportunities.

<h3>La Vera, Macquarie Park</h3>

Price: From $700,000

Macquarie Park continues to evolve from a commercial hub into one of Sydney's most significant mixed-use centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

Urban Property Group's La Vera offers one-bedroom apartments from $700,000, placing it among the most affordable new apartment opportunities in a precinct supported by metro rail, employment and education infrastructure. La Vera is another project with the sought-after 10-year Latent Defects Insurance.

Joel Robinson

Investors to turn to new and off the plan apartments after federal government changes spark hunt for Sydney’s best sub-$1 million projects

Fitzroy is set for another apartment development in keeping with its cool, urban heritage.

The busy&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/antipodean-land-developments">Antipodean Land Developments</a>, which is also progressing projects in Thornbury and Surrey Hills, has plans for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/11-13-spring-street-fitzroy-vic-3065">14 new apartments at&nbsp;11–13 Spring Street</a>, near Johnston Street and the tram route along Nicholson Street.&nbsp;

The proposal has been submitted through Victoria's Great Design Fast Track pathway and would see the retention and integration of two contributory heritage buildings on the corner of Spring and Argyle Streets, combined with a contemporary apartment development rising up to eight storeys.

Designed by award-winning Melbourne architecture practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/edition-office">Edition Office</a>, the project would deliver 14 apartments across three distinct building forms. Rather than adopting a conventional tiered apartment form, Edition Office has broken the development into three separate volumes connected by a central void inspired by Fitzroy's network of laneways.

"Celebrating the fine grain of Fitzroy with simple, abstracted forms, three distinct built elements are proposed rather than a single monolithic 'wedding cake' tiered arrangement," the design report states.

<img alt="First look: Antipodean Land Developments plans heritage-led Fitzroy apartment project" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="cdcb1ced-fca6-41a6-adf5-901603e6310d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_6.png?VersionId=CAYRBBvysDCvrjmcRhjkIJDS6QnTph0_" />

The project is proposed on a 554 sqm corner site within the South Fitzroy Heritage Precinct. Existing buildings include a former two-storey warehouse fronting Spring Street and a former terrace house on Argyle Street, both identified as contributory heritage places. The proposal retains the heritage facades and visible return walls, integrating them into the new built form while introducing additional residential density on the site.

The development would comprise 12 three-bedroom apartments, one two-bedroom apartment and one one-bedroom apartment, reflecting a focus on larger inner-city residences suited to owner-occupiers and families seeking proximity to Melbourne's CBD.

Ground level would accommodate communal indoor and outdoor spaces designed to foster interaction between residents and the surrounding neighbourhood. Vehicle parking would be concealed behind the retained heritage buildings, while resident bicycle parking and rooftop communal landscaping are also proposed.

Edition Office said the design was heavily influenced by the area's industrial and residential heritage fabric.

"The proposal seeks to provide a new addition to this existing fabric emerging from the historic values and syntax of Fitzroy's architectural motifs, utilising contemporary design and construction techniques," the architects noted.

The design draws on the character of South Fitzroy's red-brick warehouses and Victorian terraces, with the architects seeking to create a contemporary building that responds sensitively to its heritage context through materiality, scale and façade articulation.

Antipodean Land Developments has established a reputation for design-focused residential projects across Melbourne's inner north. The family-owned developer's previous projects include Neighbourhood in Brunswick East with Breathe Architecture and Balfe Park Lane in Brunswick East with Kerstin Thompson Architects.

They are currently advancing plans for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/vic/first-look-antipodean-land-developments-plans-heritage-led-apartment-community-in-surrey-hills">76 apartments and townhouses in Surrey Hills</a>, on the site of the former St Joseph's Home for Destitute Children, a historic institutional complex dating back to the late 19th century. The proposal seeks to adaptively reuse several heritage buildings while introducing two new four-storey residential buildings set within extensive landscaped grounds.

First look: Antipodean Land Developments plans heritage-led Fitzroy apartment project

Burwood's expanding high-rise skyline could soon push further west, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/nascon-group">Nascon</a> lodging plans for a new apartment tower that would deliver more than 100 homes on the edge of the town centre.

The developer has filed a State Significant Development application over 17-19 Conder Street and 21 Conder Street, seeking approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/17-21-conder-street-burwood-nsw-2134">16-storey building with around 112 apartments</a>, including around 11 affordable housing dwellings.

The proposal would replace the existing buildings on the 1,387 sqm site, located about 500 metres from Burwood Station and positioned between the established high-density core of Burwood Town Centre and surrounding lower-scale residential neighbourhoods.

<img alt="First look: Nascon targets Burwood growth corridor with 112-unit apartment tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="42661fa8-5d3c-4a81-9b72-458dbaa8c3bd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/site_14.png?VersionId=CMvGvlno3zjvU7_.JL8ChjWPIactF9bV" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/kennedy-associates-architects">Kennedy Associates Architects</a>, the project has been conceived as part of Burwood's ongoing transition toward higher-density housing around major transport infrastructure.

"The building employs massing, articulation, and materiality to create a balanced, restrained, and contemporary residential tower that can both stand alone and contribute to the evolving urban character of Burwood," the architect said in the Design Report.

Plans currently on exhibition include a mix of market and affordable housing apartments, communal open space, landscaping, bicycle parking, and basement parking. The affordable housing component would account for around 10 per cent of the total apartments proposed.

Kennedy Associates Architects said the design responds directly to the site's role as a transition point between Burwood's high-rise town centre and surrounding residential areas.

"The Conder Street façade, as the public face of the building, responds to its role as an 'end' building by resolving the street wall and delivering public space to the street," the Design Report states.

<img alt="First look: Nascon targets Burwood growth corridor with 112-unit apartment tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="089306ae-62d3-4321-94bc-4be5351794a8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/burwood%20da.png?VersionId=S_NRQJwmUJtybLwgV2mXA7iUEqjk0.5R" />

The architects also noted the building's location less than 200 metres from significantly taller developments already approved or under construction within Burwood Town Centre, reflecting the area's changing urban character.

The site sits within walking distance of Westfield Burwood, Burwood Park, Burwood Library, several schools, medical facilities, and a range of retail and dining offerings concentrated around Burwood Road and The Boulevarde. It is also near the planned Burwood Cultural House precinct, which is expected to introduce new public open space, cultural facilities, and community infrastructure to the area.

The proposal arrives as Burwood continues to emerge as one of Sydney's most active apartment development markets with numerous existing, approved and proposed projects across the town centre ranging from 20 to more than 40 storeys. Burwood North was <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/nsw-government-to-rezone-burwood-north-and-trigger-15-000-new-homes-near-future-sydney-metro-station">rezoned last year</a>, which trigger around 15,000 new homes around the future Burwood North Metro Station.

First look: Nascon targets Burwood growth corridor with 112-unit apartment tower

Brisbane has emerged as one of the country's most compelling property markets over the past five years. It feels like a lifetime ago that Sydney and Melbourne dominated the conversation as Australia's benchmark housing markets. Fast forward to 2026, and Brisbane hasn't just joined that conversation, it's leading it.

One of the first questions I'm asked when speaking with developers, planners and industry leaders in Sydney and Melbourne is, "How's the market in South East Queensland?"

The region has become, and continues to be, the envy of the southern states. Developers from across the country have shifted their attention north, attracted by strong population growth, robust demand fundamentals and a planning environment that is often viewed as more supportive of new housing supply. Just as importantly, many are drawn by the lifestyle that South East Queensland offers.

While many locals have been surprised by the pace of growth in recent years, there has long been a belief that Brisbane was undervalued relative to Australia's other major capitals. The transformation of lifestyle destinations such as Howard Smith Wharves and Queen's Wharf, coupled with Brisbane's proximity to the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast, has elevated the city's appeal and helped it realise the potential many believed was always there.

I recently caught up with several of the developers shaping Brisbane's next wave of apartment projects to understand what they're seeing on the ground, where demand is coming from, and how much further the city's property market can run.

<h2>Brook Monahan 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mosaic-property-group">Mosaic Property Group</a></h2>

The fundamental drivers of Brisbane's housing dynamics in 2026 are straightforward: a generational transfer of wealth on a scale Australia has never seen, and migration numbers that continue to exceed expectations.

An enormous amount of wealth will move through the next decade. That wave isn't going anywhere. Simultaneously, you can't run migration at the numbers we're seeing, while also having a generational shift of wealth from boomers, and not expect demand to remain strong.

People move here, they bring money, they want to buy a home and create a future.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134792 project_image_fid=328119]

While top-end product in some pockets has softened from the frenzy of 18 months ago, the wave will remain pretty strong, especially for developers with brand trust and a long-term track record.

The $4 million to $10 million segment remains fairly robust, but buyers are much more educated now than they've ever been. They have access to information and they're smart people. They're generally not willing to trust a new entrant asking $15 million with no track record.

This heightened consumer discernment is reshaping how developers evaluate premium projects.

<h2>Don O'Rorke 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/consolidated-properties">Consolidated Properties Group</a></h2>

Brisbane's property market is no longer defined by demand, but by delivery.

Strong population growth and the infrastructure pipeline linked to the 2032 Summer Olympics continue to drive long-term confidence, but the key question has shifted. No longer are we asking if enough demand exists, but how much new supply can realistically be delivered in time.

Construction times and costs are the defining constraints.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=359987]

Costs remain high and are increasingly unpredictable. Recent geopolitical tensions have driven sharp increases in diesel, petrol and key building inputs such as cement and PVC, adding between 3 and 5 per cent to project costs. That can add as much as $125,000 to the entry price of a new three-bedroom luxury apartment.

At the same time, the industry is heading into a period of heightened competition for labour. As Olympic and infrastructure projects ramp up, the availability of skilled trades will tighten further, placing additional pressure on both cost and program.

In this environment, development becomes more selective. There is less margin for error, which is why the focus is shifting decisively toward premium sites and high-quality product.

Only projects with strong fundamentals, considered design and a genuine point of difference will justify the cost of delivery.

<h2>Dan Boman 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/fortis">Fortis</a></h2>

Whether Brisbane can sustain its significant dwelling growth remains the million-dollar question.

However, we are seeing considerable depth in the local market, particularly in premium suburbs. Local buyers in these areas are largely not price-sensitive. Many have built substantial wealth in their family homes, with much of that growth occurring over the past five years.

The scale of this appreciation has surprised even long-term homeowners, prompting many to think more strategically about their next move and, in some cases, to speed it up.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=371404]

&nbsp;

These buyers are increasingly informed, paying close attention to supply constraints across the state and recognising the limited opportunities likely to emerge in blue-chip suburbs in the coming years.

While they remain considered in their decision-making, their focus has shifted more towards quality, premium inclusions, fixtures, finishes, and amenities rather than price alone.

Given the constrained pipeline in the premium downsizer segment, there is little to suggest this end of the market will slow in the near term. We expect this momentum to continue throughout the year and well into 2027.

<h2>John Kearney 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/immerse-projects">Immerse Projects</a></h2>

Brisbane has been one of Australia's most consistent and resilient property markets for a long time, well before the Olympics-induced demand spike.

A key driver of that resilience is the city's economic foundation. Brisbane is home to a significant number of public sector roles, as well as the headquarters of major mining and resources companies. Regardless of broader market cycles, these employment bases remain relatively stable, supporting ongoing housing demand.

The global attention on the Olympics has also highlighted a gap in the market, particularly in the middle segment, broadly ranging from the $800,000s to the high $1 millions.

This product is rarely found in the inner city or on the outer fringe. Instead, it is best suited to what we describe as the urban fringe. This is where we see the greatest opportunity.

It caters to a segment of buyers seeking quality, well-located homes without the premium price tag of top-end product, and remains one of the most undersupplied parts of the Brisbane market.

<h2>Christie Leet 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a></h2>

The more well-trodden path for developers operating across both Brisbane and the Gold Coast has typically been for those based in the capital to expand south to the Coast. We've taken the opposite approach, recently expanding into the Brisbane market, and we're glad we did.

Similar to the Gold Coast, where we introduced Flourish, a brand focused on delivering more price-accessible apartments, we identified the same gap emerging in Brisbane.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7574 project_image_fid=351654]

There is strong demand for one-bedroom apartments under $1 million and two-bedroom apartments under $1.5 million, yet these options remain relatively scarce in a market increasingly dominated by larger, downsizer-oriented product priced well above $2 million.

A number of macro factors are shaping the development landscape, from both a construction and buyer perspective, including cost escalation and higher interest rates.

The entry-level market is being squeezed from both sides, which inevitably pushes up the prices required to deliver new apartments.

In our view, the strongest opportunities currently sit within this segment of the market, and we expect that to remain the case in the years ahead.

Where is the Brisbane market heading?

Australia Post is one of the country’s most trusted institutions, powering one of the largest delivery networks in Australia. As online shopping continues to scale, Australians spent a record $82.6 billion online in 2025, with nearly one in four retail dollars now spent online.

That scale of eCommerce activity has fundamentally changed expectations around how and when parcels arrive, and what happens when someone isn't home.

<h3>Problem solved with Parcel Lockers</h3>

The traditional alternatives to home delivery are far from ideal. Buildings can rely on reception teams to manage deliveries, which introduces ongoing staffing costs and liability concerns. Parcels can be left in common areas, which creates security and aesthetic issues. Or residents are redirected to nearby Post Offices for collection, which shifts the inconvenience rather than solving it.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/dVG5ChLHf7E?si=D9hQRGCBuzlSQBqK" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

The data behind that frustration is significant. Nationally, around 9 per cent of deliveries are carded, meaning the recipient was not home and must collect the parcel from a Post Office. That figure reflects the national average reported between November 2025 and January 2026. In Melbourne, that figure rises to 20 per cent. In high-density living, it climbs again to 28 per cent. In other words, more than one in four deliveries in Melbourne apartment buildings results in a failed first attempt.

<h3>How Parcel Lockers work</h3>

The mechanics are simple. When a parcel arrives, the resident receives a notification either through the Australia Post app or via SMS. They scan a QR code, use their one-time PIN and the compartment opens. The parcel is secure, accessible and removed from the lobby floor.

Located in thoughtfully chosen, easily accessible areas, including external building interfaces, mixed-use precincts or shared communal zones, Parcel Lockers enhance convenience without requiring internal building access or additional operational oversight.

<h3>The scale of the network</h3>

This expansion represents Australia Post's largest investment in parcel infrastructure to date, building on momentum that began in 2011 when the first 24 Parcel Locker sites were introduced.

Today the Australia Post Parcel Locker network spans over 1,400 locations and more than 105,000 individual compartments, with major investment already underway to significantly expand the network further.

<h3>What it means for developers and building operators</h3>

A Parcel Locker bank is free to install and free for residents to use. That removes one of the primary barriers to adoption and shifts the conversation from cost to integration.

Australia Post's preference is to engage with developers during the design phase. That allows Parcel Lockers to be located in a considered, publicly accessible space that works for residents and the broader community. Retrofit is possible, and existing buildings can be assessed, but the strongest results occur when Parcel Lockers are treated as part of the core services plan rather than a bolt-on solution.

While the iconic Australia Post red is widely recognised, Parcel Lockers can also be delivered in more muted palettes such as beige or green to align with architectural intent.

For developers, they offer a tech-forward amenity that meets modern expectations, a reduction in courier congestion and building-management load supporting lower emissions and better ESG outcomes, and a meaningful marketability advantage in high-density, eCommerce-active areas, all at no cost for installation and maintenance, with Australia Post funding the program aside from power access.

<h3>Who's using them</h3>

Generational shopping behaviours show strong, sustained growth across all cohorts. Millennials (27–43) led online spend in 2024, contributing nearly $25 billion. Baby Boomers (60–78) increased their online spend by 17.6 per cent, becoming the fastest-growing adopters. Gen Z (13–26) and Gen X (44–59) continue to lean on delivery services as part of their everyday shopping habits.

Internationally, uptake is even more pronounced. Overseas markets are seeing rapid adoption by both developers and consumers, positioning Parcel Lockers as standard infrastructure in many new residential projects. For Melbourne's development community, this signals a shift in baseline expectations. Just as secure bike storage and dedicated parcel rooms have become more common, integrated Parcel Locker networks may soon be viewed as part of the essential service mix.

<h3>The bigger picture</h3>

Parcel Lockers aren't just a logistics fix. Developers invest heavily in lobby design, materials, lighting and landscaping to shape first impressions. Yet a stack of unattended parcels can undo that effort in an instant. Embedding parcel infrastructure early allows projects to respond to how people actually live today, supporting resident satisfaction, reducing operational strain and aligning with broader community and ESG outcomes.

As Belinda Quinn, Senior Transaction Manager – Retail &amp; Out of Home at Australia Post, puts it, residents increasingly expect delivery solutions that align with real life, are flexible, secure and available whenever they need them.

How Australia Post is solving the parcel problem for apartment living

Price Correction

<html><body>
EXPERT OBSERVER
Over the 2018-19 financial year the number of settled property sales fell substantially, down -17.2% from the previous year. Because of the significant difference in sales year-to-year when we are analysing the market performance, especially in terms of sales across price points, looking at the shifts in market share provides a much more accurate picture.
Over the 12 months to June 2019, 12.5% of all houses and 8.0% of units sold nationally transacted for at least $1 million. The share of million dollar house sales was down from 14.7% a year earlier and was also well down from its peak of 15.0% of all sales in March 2018. For units, the 8.0% share over the past year was lower than the 9.4% a year earlier. The fall in million dollar sales over the past year reflects the overall weaker housing market conditions and the fact that higher valued properties have typically recorded the greatest value falls.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_National.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_National.PNG" width="576" height="186" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="29e13edb-5eec-47e0-97c6-b5b613674f3c" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_National.PNG">
 
Throughout the combined capital cities, 18.4% of all houses and 9.8% of all units sold over the 2018-19 financial year sold for at least $1 million. The share of million dollar house sales was down from 21.9% a year earlier as well as being below the peak of 22.3% of all sales in March 2018. The 9.8% of million dollar unit sales was down from 11.5% a year earlier and was the lowest share since October 2016.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Combined%20Capital%20Cities.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Combined Capital Cities.PNG" width="577" height="185" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c9e71fd5-5fad-4eeb-8176-907a038dc747" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Combined%20Capital%20Cities.PNG">
 
Far fewer properties sell for at least $1 million in regional markets as opposed to capital cities. Over the 2018-19 financial year, 4.1% of all houses and 3.3% of all units sold in regional Australia transacted for at least $1 million. While the share of million dollar house sales was marginally lower over the year (down from 4.5%), the share of unit sales was marginally higher than the 3.2% a year earlier.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Combined%20Regional%20Markets.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Combined Regional Markets.PNG" width="573" height="187" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="020089ea-48e7-4cf0-8947-e13a8ef1bdb7" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Combined%20Regional%20Markets.PNG">
 
While a substantial volume of houses and units sold in Sydney are at least $1 million, the share has seen a steady fall over recent years as dwelling values have declined. Over the 2018-19 financial year, 30.2% of all house sales were at least $1 million which was down from 34.2% a year earlier and the smallest share since October 2014. For units, 18.9% of sales were at least a million dollars of the 2017-18 financial year compared to 16.4% over the latest financial year. The 16.4% of unit sales $1 million or greater was the smallest share since the 12 months to January 2016.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Sydney.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Sydney.PNG" width="600" height="190" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fde8b0f5-7cc3-45b1-ba38-6765cc33f8ea" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Sydney.PNG">
 
Like Sydney, Melbourne has recorded a slump in million dollar sales over the past year as values have continued to fall. Over the 2017-18 financial year, 29.0% of all house sales and 7.8% of all unit sales were at least $1 million. Over the past financial year, the share of million dollar sales had reduced to 23.1% for houses and 6.5% for units. The larger falls across higher value housing markets and tighter credit conditions have clearly limited transactions at prices above $1 million.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Melbourne.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Melbourne.PNG" width="598" height="188" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9fc21a83-94ff-4cdf-9ef7-0c1fd7b939d1" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Melbourne.PNG">
 
Over the 2018-19 financial year, 8.7% of all houses and 3.8% of all units sold in Brisbane transacted for at least $1 million. Brisbane values have fallen over the past year and as such there has been a slight fall in million dollar sales which were down from 8.8% and 4.0% respectively over the previous year. As the chart shows the fall in million dollar sales has been much more moderate than the decline in these sales across Sydney and Melbourne.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Brisbane.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Brisbane.PNG" width="601" height="183" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e765ec35-4e8c-453b-8599-bf579c566407" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Brisbane.PNG">
 
5.9% of all houses and 1.4% of all units sold over the 2018-19 financial year in Adelaide, transacted for at least $1 million. The share of house sales of at least $1 million is currently at an historic high and has increased from 5.2% a year ago. The 1.4% of units sold for at least $1 million is unchanged from 12 months ago but the share has fallen slightly over recent months.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Adelaide.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Adelaide.PNG" width="597" height="187" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="1818e06a-8eab-4a01-8e62-fe96f9f74b65" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Adelaide.PNG">
 
Although the Perth housing market has seen a substantial decline in values since the middle of 2014, the share of million dollar sales has actually not fallen significantly. Over the 2018-19 financial year, 10.0% of all house sales and 4.1% of all unit sales were at least $1 million. The 10.0% of house sales was down from 10.6% a year earlier and the 4.1% of unit sales was up from 3.9% a year earlier.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Perth.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Perth.PNG" width="609" height="187" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="897bcaf0-f09a-491f-80c9-91226731ab27" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Perth.PNG">
 
Although dwelling values have continued to climb over the past year in Hobart, there has been weaker conditions at the top-end of the market resulting in the share of million dollar sales falling over recent months. Over the 12 months to June 2019, 3.9% of all houses sold in Hobart were at least $1 million which was higher than the 3.7% a year earlier but down from the recent peak of 4.1%. The share of units sold for at least $1 million has fallen from 3.0% at the end of the 2017-18 financial year to 2.4% at the end of the latest financial year.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Hobart.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Hobart.PNG" width="622" height="205" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2e707c02-72bc-4493-b895-00f421ef7aa0" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Hobart.PNG">
 
The ongoing decline in Darwin dwelling values since 2014 has resulted in a much smaller share of house and unit sales occurring within the million dollar price point. At the end of the 2018-19 financial year, 2.4% of all house sales and 0.6% of all unit sales were at least $1 million. The share of million dollar house sales is down from 3.0% a year earlier and is at its lowest share since June 2013. The share of million dollar unit sales is unchanged over the year.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Darwin.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Darwin.PNG" width="583" height="181" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="f5e8f398-e452-40de-9d22-88e067f09e7b" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Darwin.PNG">
 
Although Canberra dwelling values continued to increase throughout the 2018-19 financial year, the share of million dollar sales has dropped over the year. The share of $1 million house sales has fallen from 12.3% a year ago to 11.5% over the current year. For units, the share of sales has fallen to 2.0% of all sales from 2.3% a year earlier.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Canberra.PNG" alt="Annual Million $ Sales_Canberra.PNG" width="601" height="194" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="1cab45de-0f45-42a4-85f4-2d0e371ea2a6" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Million%20%24%20Sales_Canberra.PNG">
 
Over recent months we have started to see some stabilizing of housing market conditions. The data also shows that the largest improvement is occurring across the most expensive properties. Assuming this continues over the remainder of the current financial year the share of million dollar sales, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, may increase over the coming year.
CAMERON KUSHER is the head of research for the Australian branch of CoreLogic.
</body></html>

ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Million dollar sales take a dive over the financial year

<html><body>
The national housing market is forecast to trough in the third quarter of 2019, according to Moody's Analytics Second-Quarter 2019 Housing Forecast Report.
A gradual recovery in values has been predicted following the end of the downturn.
The May CoreLogic Hedonic Home Value Index results show the national housing market continuing its correction, led by Sydney and Melbourne.
House values across the country have declined almost 11% from their peak in mid-2017.
Moody's Analytics expect Sydney's housing market to lead the way in the recovery in 2020.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/24/Moodys%20Housing%20Correction%20Forecast.jpg" alt="">
<div class="page" title="Page 7">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
"The correction in Sydney is forecast to have largely passed by 2020, but home value growth will be far from the lofty gains of recent years," Moody's noted.
"Housing values are forecast to rise modestly in 2020, with an average increase of 3.1% forecast for houses and 4% for apartments."
</div>
</div>
</div>
Moody's have predicted a 7.8% national housing value decline in 2019, with prices to recover in 2020, rising 2.2%. They see a 4.7% increase across the country in 2021. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/24/Moodys%20Housing%20Forecast.jpg" alt="">
"Support for the improvement is coming from the RBA cutting the cash rate, alongside expected improvement in credit availability from APRA proposing to ease serviceability requirements," Moody's said.
"A gradual improvement will be the path going forward, with softer macroeconomic conditions at home, including expectations of wage growth remaining subdued working to dampen a stronger recovery."
Moody's forecast improvement in Melbourne's housing market too in 2020, with the inner east and north east leading the recovery.
The housing market around the Brisbane area is likely to see either flat or mildly positive returns in the coming years.
There will be areas with a correction in 2019 according to Moody's with a particular weakness in South Brisbane.
Perth is expected to be hit hard over 2019, with house values likely to decline nearly seven percent. Moody's believe there will be a small recovery in 2020 as the local economy improves thanks to population growth.
Adelaide’s housing market will continue its stable run, with house values forecast to rise 0.4% in 2019 after a 1.9% gain in 2018.
Moody's suggest Hobart's booming housing market bull run is likely at the end. House values are forecast to rise 2.8% in 2019, followed by modest corrections in 2020 and 2021. 
</body></html>

jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Sydney to lead house price recovery in 2020: Moody's Analytics

<html><body>
National capital city residential property prices fell a further 2.4 percent in the December quarter 2018, according to figures released by the ABS.
It follows a 1.5% national decline in the September quarter 2018, taking prices down 5.1% over the year.
The December quarter decline was driven by Sydney more so than Melbourne.
Melbourne's 2.4% loss was consistent with its losses in the September quarter (2.4%), however Sydney's decline increased sharply, jumping to 3.7% in the December quarter from 1.5% in the September quarter.
Sydney's total annual decline now stands at 7.8%, followed by Melbourne's 6.4% losses and then some way back to Darwin where prices are 3.5% down.
Click <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/3/19/ABS-Dec.jpg" target="_blank">here to enlarge</a> the December quarter statistics.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/3/19/ABS-Dec.jpg" alt="">
Bruce Hockman, chief economist for the ABS, said Australia’s two largest cities continue to lead the fall in property prices.
"These falls follow a period of solid growth, where prices in Sydney rose 68 per cent and Melbourne rose 54 per cent, over the five years to December quarter 2017," Hockman said. "While property prices are falling in most capital cities, a tightening in credit supply and reduced demand from investors and owner occupiers have had a more pronounced effect on the larger property markets of Sydney and Melbourne."
Hobart continued its strong property market, with gains of 0.7 percent over the December quarter.
 
 
 
</body></html>

National property prices decline a further 2.4% in December quarter: ABS

<html><body>
The RBA held the cash rate firm at 1.5 percent at the March meeting, making it 28 consecutive meetings since the rates last moved.
There is growing expectation from economists, and pressure from housing markets, for the RBA to cut rates.
In February Westpac's Bill Evans was the first to <a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-now-expects-the-rba-to-cut-the-cash-rate-twice-bill-evans">forecast two rate cuts</a>, one in August and one in November.
He was joined earlier this month by <a href="/news/nab-now-predicting-two-cash-rate-cuts-in-2019-alan-oster">NAB's Alan Oster,</a> who said cuts may come sooner, in July, and November.
The RBA March chart pack has given the central bank little relief from the expected looming rate cut by commentators.
The RBA's biggest concern will be to growing gap between the declining house prices and housing debt.
The pair have continued to go in opposite directions, and as far as the RBA is concerned, the wrong direction, for well over a year.
Household continues to hit record highs month after month, with no sign of debt, nor the house price decline, slowing down.
Click here to enlarge.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/3/19/RBA0.jpg" alt="">
With house prices declining, home owners are cautious.
They're not wanting to spend money on unnecessary items until house prices have stopped declining.
Growth in consumption has been slow, but it is somewhat holding firm, unlike a households disposable income.
The average household's disposable income is declining toward levels not seen since half way through 2016.
Click here to enlarge.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/3/19/RBA1.jpg" alt="">
Home loan approvals are continuing to decline across the board.
When house prices started declining and investors were hit with higher home loan rates, first home buyers were back in the driving seat.
But due to the continued declines, first home buyers are in no hurry to enter the market just yet.
Back in late 2018 Finder's RBA survey suggested tightened lending could <a href="/expert-insights/finance/tightening-lending-practices-could-negatively-effect-economy-finders-rba-survey">affect the economy negatively</a>.
However in February the RBA stressed that the tightening of lending <a href="/news/tightening-in-lending-standards-not-the-cause-of-housing-credit-growth-decline-rba">was not the cause</a> for the house price falls.
Click here to enlarge.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/3/19/RBA3.jpg" alt="">
To see the full chart pack <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/chart-pack/" target="_blank">click here</a>.
</body></html>

Little relief in housing finance could trigger rate cuts: RBA March chart pack

<html><body><div class="page" title="Page 1">
<div class="section">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
September marked the 12th month of the national dwelling value decline, according to CoreLogic's national hedonic home value index.
Values dropped 0.5 percent over the month, with values tracking lower across five of the eight capital cities.
Five of the seven 'rest of state' regions recorded a fall in values over the month.
Since the national index peaked 12 months ago, dwelling values have fallen by 2.7 percent.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/10/2/Index-Sept.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/10/2/Index-Sept.jpg" alt="">
Melbourne's dwelling values dropped the most out of any capital city. They dropped 0.9 percent, which in turn has made the Victorian capital the worst performer over the quarter.
Sydney's decline continued with a 0.6 percent decline over September, the same as Perth. It is now 6.1 percent down over the year.
Tim Lawless, head of research at CoreLogic, called Sydney and Melbourne the 'primary drag.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/10/2/annual-change.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/10/2/annual-change.jpg" alt="">
“While the housing market downturn is well entrenched across Darwin and Perth where dwelling values remain 22.1% and 13.2% lower relative to their 2014 peak, Sydney and Melbourne are now the primary drag on the national housing market performance," Lawless said.
“We’ve seen Sydney dwelling values drop 6.1% over the past twelve months and Melbourne values are 3.4% lower. Not only are these amongst the largest annual falls across the capital cities, but considering Sydney and Melbourne comprise approximately 60% of the national value of housing, the weak conditions in these cities have a substantial drag down effect on the overall national housing market performance.”
The current rate of decline is slower relative to the previous housing market downturn (Jun 2010 to Feb 2012) when national dwelling values fell by three percent over the first twelve months, declining 6.5 percent from peak to trough.
 
 
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div></body></html>

Melbourne values suffer as national price correction now year long: CoreLogic

<html><body>
EXPERT OBSERVATION
Australia's housing market continues to correct. The CoreLogic home value index, covering the eight major capital cities, dipped 0.3% in June marking the ninth successive monthly decline. Prices nationally are down 1.6%yr and 2.2% from the peak in Sep last year.
The correction remains both relatively shallow and narrowly-based, concentrated in the previously strong Sydney and Melbourne markets. These two markets have now seen no net gain in prices since late 2016 and mid-2017 respectively. The Perth market is also seeing a price correction although this has been ongoing for the best part of five years.
For the June month, unit prices showed a slightly milder fall than houses (–0.2% vs –0.3%) although annual growth for units remains positive and is significantly outperforming price growth for houses (+0.4%yr vs –2.2%yr for houses).
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/7/3/value-index.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/7/3/value-index.jpg" alt="">
Perth recorded the biggest price decline in the June month, down –0.5%mth, –2.1%yr with the city's unit market showing a renewed price contraction. Perth unit prices are back at their 2006 levels and have not kept pace with inflation since mid-2003.
Amongst the major eastern capitals, Melbourne was again a touch weaker, prices falling –0.4%mth vs –0.3%mth in Sydney, although prices are still up a touch (+1%mth) on a year ago compared to a 4.5% decline in Sydney. Brisbane and Adelaide continue to see a steadier performance with prices ticking up slightly in the month and up 1.1%yr. The detail suggests the Brisbane unit market is on a firmer footing.
Price performances continue to vary widely across the smaller capitals, Hobart's boom possibly cooling a touch but still showing double digit annual growth (+12.7%yr), Canberra subdued (+2.3%yr) and Darwin showing few signs of pulling out of its steep correction (–7.7%yr). Performances in regional areas have also varied but have been slightly better overall (Aus ex capital city prices flat in the month but up +2.2%yr).
All tiers recorded price slippage in the June month although declines remains larger for the 'top 25%' of properties by value down –0.5%mth, –3.8%yr compared to the 'middle 50% down –0.2%mth, +0.8%yr and the 'bottom 25%' down –0.1%mth, +1.3%yr.
Auction clearance rates weakened notably through May-June, suggesting an additional drag from tightening loan criteria and longer approval processing times. Buyer sentiment has lifted off last year's lows but the change in credit conditions looks to have overshadowed any positives from the marginal improvement in affordability. Any stabilisation still looks to be a long way off.
Matthew Hassan is senior economist with <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/" target="_blank">Westpac</a>.
</body></html>

Correction continues in Australian dwelling prices: Matthew Hassan

<html><body>
<div class="cq-article-content-paras section">
The Reserve Bank of Australia governor Philip Lowe has suggested the current decline in property prices was "manageable,."
Australia had gone through "plenty of periods" in the last two decades where house prices have declined.
"That's what happens in the housing market – we have these big run-ups, prices stabilise, sometimes they might fall, stabilise and then they'll rise again.
</div>
<div class="cq-article-content-media section"> "We are going through one of those events at the moment, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne."</div>
<div class="cq-article-content-paras section">
<div id="article-inline-ad" class="adWrapper"> </div>
</div>
<div class="related-quotes section">The governor's outlook for property came in questions after delivering a speech yesterday.</div>
<div class="related-quotes section">
“We are watching it carefully,” Dr Lowe told an Australian Industry Group lunch in Melbourne yesterday.
“At the moment it is manageable,” he added. “We had many, many years where we had credit growth rising faster than incomes.”
Dr Lowe said the Australian housing market was unlikely to face the same fate as the US housing market during the global ­financial crisis.
“Lending standards have been tightened quite a lot in the last four or five years,” Dr Lowe said.
“There has not been large extension of credit to people who shouldn’t have got it. It’s a very ­different situation in Australia (compared to the US). I don’t think it’s a fair comparison.
"We shouldn’t fret just because house prices aren’t rising at the same rate they used to.
“Houses in Sydney and Melbourne are still up 40 per cent compared to where they were at the start of 2014. You’ve got to have a longer term perspective.”
"As long as it's not a very large decline – it's manageable," Dr Lowe said.
</div>
<div class="related-quotes section">
<div class="cq-article-content-paras section">
Dr Lowe said Australians shouldn't necessarily expect house prices to continue rising at the rate they did recently, or worry if they come down "for a period".
"I think this is manageable. Remember, it wasn't that long ago that people were worrying about housing affordability. That was the number one political issue two years ago – house prices were rising too quickly."
"There's a lot of media coverage of house prices going down but I think you've got to have a longer term perspective."
</div>
</div>
</body></html>

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Don't fret: RBA governor says property price falls were likely "manageable"

<html><body>
Morgan Stanley, which does not expect cash rates to rise until next year, forecasts growth in the residential property market are at the worst position in three decades.
Analysis by the investment bank Morgan Stanley says credits, regulatory, economic and supply issues are combining to weaken demand after six years of growth and booming prices in major cities.
It warns weakness in price as tightening credit supply pushes economic indicators into negative territory.
"Risks are skewed to the downside," the report concludes.
Analysis conducted by the bank indicates house prices could fall by as much as 6% in annual terms.
<img src="https://edge.alluremedia.com.au/uploads/businessinsider/2018/04/UBS-housing-1.jpg" alt="">
"Conditions for housing for the remainder of 2018 continue to look challenging with further regulatory tightening of credit, an increasing stock of properties to be settled, and continued uncertainty on government policy for housing as the election looms."
Morgan Stanley said its indicators covering credit supply, expectations, housing accessibility, mortgage serviceability, rental conditions and demand/supply impact were at 30-year lows.
"Higher compliance with responsible lending guidelines including serviceability and limit assessment will mean lower capacity," the report states.
</body></html>

Morgan Stanley warns of weakness in property prices

<html><body>
Sydney house prices stand a good chance of posting growth in 2018, property research group SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher anticipates.
<div>
Christopher told the firm's annual conference in Sydney he was sticking to his forecast of a 4 percent to 8 per cent rise for Sydney and 7 percent to 12 per cent growth for Melbourne.
"APRA will loosen the market again because they are under instruction not to crash the market," Christopher said, according to The Australian Financial Review.
</div>
<div>"We think APRA will lift the credit growth limit limit, if that does occur, we think it will stimulate the investor market."</div>
<div>
<div id="article-inline-ad"> </div>
</div>
<div>"What the banks are doing is they have been lowering interest rates for property investment...the gap between owner-occupier and investor loans has now narrowed."</div>
<div> </div>
<div>SQM suggest in a worse case scenario - should investors not return - Sydney's house prices would fall only by about 1 per cent, buoyed by steady population growth.</div>
<div>
"I think the reality would be that the first quarter will be line-balled whether prices in Sydney and Melbourne have fallen or not.
"If they fall, it won't be more than 1 per cent," Mr Christopher said.
</div>
<div>"It's very hard to be bearish when you see strong population growth and low unemployment, unless we see a major credit default occur."</div>
<div>
Melbourne has a greater chance of a more severe downturn than Sydney, if a large correction happens.
"In absolute dollars, Melbourne is cheaper than Sydney, but compared to incomes Melbourne is more expensive and more susceptible to a downturn," Mr Christopher said.
</div>
 
</body></html>

Price Correction

Editor's Picks

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News

Price Correction

Editor's Picks

Receive the latest news stories to your inbox

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News