Developers and apartment buyers have a narrowing window of opportunity before Brisbane's Olympic infrastructure pipeline begins competing directly with residential construction, pushing up costs, tightening labour supply and making new projects increasingly difficult to deliver.

While Brisbane's apartment market continues to benefit from strong population growth and limited housing supply, industry research suggests the years leading up to 2027 could prove to be the most important period for developers looking to secure builders and buyers hoping to purchase before the next wave of price increases.

A new Colliers report, Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games: Creating Solutions, highlights the scale of the challenge. While thousands of new homes are planned across South East Queensland, the Brisbane Olympic Athletes Village alone will deliver more than 10,500 beds during the Games before being converted into around 1,750 to 2,000 apartments. Equivalent to almost two years of typical inner-city apartment supply, the project will also absorb a significant share of the construction workforce and building materials.

The broader construction pipeline paints an even clearer picture.

Construction Skills Queensland's Horizon 2032 report forecasts Queensland's annual construction pipeline will average $69 billion over the coming years before peaking at $75 billion in 2027-28. Demand for construction workers is expected to increase by 17 per cent to almost 150,000 people, with the industry facing an annual shortfall of around 19,000 workers that could blow out to as many as 35,000 during the peak construction period.

The Olympic venues, athletes village and supporting infrastructure will account for billions of dollars worth of work across South East Queensland through to 2032, creating intense competition for labour at a time when Australia's residential construction sector is already under pressure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=373834]

Colliers Queensland Residential Director Andrew Scriven said the convergence of these projects is creating a clear window of opportunity for both developers and buyers.

"From 2027 onwards, the market will shift dramatically," Scriven said.

"Labour will increasingly be locked into government-led infrastructure and Olympic projects, which means private residential developments will face higher costs and tighter margins. The developers who move now are the ones most likely to get projects off the ground."

Scriven said the same dynamic would also affect buyers, with fewer apartment projects expected to launch once construction capacity tightens.

"If you're looking to change your lifestyle over the next five years, now is your window of opportunity to buy."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=373827]

Developers are already positioning themselves ahead of that window.

Following the success of Monarch at Toowong, Consolidated Properties is preparing to launch two new Brisbane apartment projects in the second half of 2026. They include <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gloriette-30-bedivere-street-yeerongpilly-qld-4105">Gloriette</a> at Yeerongpilly Green, a 25-storey tower within one of Brisbane's key Olympic precincts, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a recently approved 25-storey riverfront development at 47 Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

Hutchinson Builders will deliver both projects, with early works already underway at Yeerongpilly and Newstead expected to commence later this year.

The timing comes as Brisbane's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with strong interstate migration, population growth and vacancy rates remaining below 1.5 per cent.

Colliers Queensland researcher Pragya Sharma said Greater Brisbane is forecast to require around 40,000 new apartments between 2021 and 2031.

"There's a real mismatch emerging between when housing is needed and when it will be feasible to build," Sharma said.

"As a result, the period leading up to 2027 presents a key window of opportunity for developers to secure approvals, funding and construction capacity, while buyers will have greater choice before supply constraints intensify."

Colliers research outlines a critical pre-2027 window to start residential projects before labour squeeze: now is the time to buy

Joel Robinson

Developers, buyers on watch in South East Queensland ahead of construction crunch: Colliers

It's taken less than nine months for developer Sherpa Property Group to sell out all 51 apartments in its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-oasis-palm-beach-7-9-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Oasis</a> development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a>, over a year before its anticipated completion.

&nbsp;

Located at 7-9 Sixth Avenue, the $67 million development has resonated strongly with both local owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking high-quality apartments within walking distance of the beach, dining precincts and everyday amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357458]

Christie Leet, Founder of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Group</a>, said the sell-out reflected both the strength of the Palm Beach market and the success of Sherpa's community-first approach to development.

"The sell-out of Oasis is a fantastic outcome and reinforces the strong demand we're seeing for thoughtfully designed apartments in lifestyle locations," Leet said.

"From the outset, our vision was to create a development that genuinely enhanced the Palm Beach community while providing residents with exceptional homes and wellness-focused amenities.

"We've been incredibly encouraged by the level of local support throughout the campaign, 72.5 per cent of buyers are locals, with a significant proportion of purchasers choosing Oasis as their future home rather than an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357463]

Construction is now progressing following development approval, with trusted builder LPS Group delivering the project and completion anticipated in Q3 2027.

Oasis forms part of Sherpa Group's successful Flourish collection, which has become recognised for its focus on wellness, community and elevated coastal living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357469]

Residents will have private access to a rooftop amenity space featuring a pool, gym, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, spa and barbecue facilities.

"The success of Oasis demonstrates that buyers continue to prioritise quality, location and lifestyle," Leet said.

"We are proud to have delivered a project that has resonated so strongly with the market and look forward to bringing Oasis to life for our future residents."

Sherpa recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a>, its third instalment of the Flourish brand in Palm Beach following Flourish Oasis and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151449]

Sherpa sells out Flourish Oasis in booming Palm Beach

Urban Property Group's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/la-vera-macquarie-park-94-talavera-road-macquarie-park-nsw-2113">La Vera</a> is leading the next phase of Macquarie Park's residential evolution, with the new apartment development set to become the first of several new apartment projects in the precinct to complete.

The 169-apartment building has now topped out ahead of its scheduled completion in the third quarter of 2026, as new residential investment continues to reshape one of Sydney's largest employment hubs into a true mixed-use precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=368645]

Cox Architecture has designed La Vera to capture the best of its unique positioning on Talavera Road, orienting the building towards Lane Cove National Park.&nbsp;The building features a sculpted northern façade with flowing curves inspired by the surrounding landscape, while its city-facing elevation adopts a more structured architectural expression to maximise skyline views.

"The vision for the project was to conceive a building that adopted an organic and curvilinear form to the northern portion that faces the Lane Cove National Park," <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a> Director Felipe Miranda said.

"The residents that reside in the northern portion of the building benefit by having beautifully crafted curved balconies that speak to the natural context and heighten the relationship of their internal living spaces to the external balconies."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

La Vera offers a diverse mix of one, two, three, and four-bedroom configurations, with prices currently starting from $740,000. Buyers so far have been a mix of Sydney-based investors,&nbsp;metro commuters, owner-occupiers and downsizers from surrounding North Shore suburbs.

Both investors and owner-occupiers have been drawn to La Vera's proximity to Macquarie University, Macquarie University Hospital, Macquarie Centre and the Sydney Metro, infrastructure that supports both strong rental demand and a convenient lifestyle for residents.

The apartments feature full-height glazing, timber flooring throughout living areas, stone kitchen benchtops, SMEG appliances, floor-to-ceiling bathroom tiling and ducted air conditioning.

Residents will have access to a rooftop recreation level featuring a swimming pool, sauna, barbecue facilities and landscaped relaxation areas, complemented by additional communal space at ground level. Many apartments enjoy uninterrupted views across Lane Cove National Park, reinforcing the project's connection to its natural setting.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=364551]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a>, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly four decades of experience, holds a 4.5-star iCIRT rating and was Australia's first developer to introduce 10-Year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI). La Vera is the first apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/macquarie-park-nsw-2113">Macquarie Park</a> approved to offer the additional insurance protection, alongside a five-year warranty on SMEG appliances.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said the additional protection reflects changing buyer expectations in the off the plan market.

"Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. Having LDI is a tool to portray the confidence that we have in our product, and a confidence we want buyers to share," Elias said.

Following completion of the building later this year, buyers will move into their apartments well before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134951]

La Vera closes in on completion as Macquarie Park continues residential transformation

Brisbane developer Red &amp; Co's decision to include dual key apartments in its debut Gold Coast apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/como-varsity-lakes-22-lake-street-varsity-lakes-qld-4227">COMO Varsity Lakes</a>, is proving to be one of the project's biggest drawcards, with buyers quickly snapping up the flexible residences.

More than half of the project's 36 dual key apartments have already sold, helping drive COMO beyond the 50 per cent sold mark within the first month of launch.

The strong response highlights growing demand for apartment designs that can adapt to changing lifestyles, with buyers increasingly looking for homes that accommodate multi-generational living, provide rental income opportunities or simply offer greater flexibility over time.

Located on the shores of Lake Orr, COMO will deliver 156 apartments across 16 levels, with the dual-key residences forming a limited release within the broader development.

Each combines a primary two-bedroom apartment with a fully self-contained studio on a single title, connected by a shared foyer and lockable internal door. The design allows owners to house ageing parents, adult children or guests while maintaining privacy, or lease the secondary residence to generate additional income.

Just 17 of the original 36 dual key apartments remain available.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=367096]

The innovative configuration combines two fully self-contained residences on a single title, typically comprising a primary two-bedroom apartment alongside a separate studio residence, connected via a shared foyer and lockable internal door.&nbsp;

The model is proving particularly attractive to owner occupiers navigating changing family dynamics and the realities of the current housing crisis.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363511]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/npa">NPA</a>&nbsp;CEO Andrew Erwin said dual key living was resonating strongly with modern buyers because it delivered both financial flexibility and practical lifestyle benefits.&nbsp;

“The housing crisis and rising cost of living are fundamentally changing how Australians think about home ownership,” Erwin said.&nbsp;

“Dual key apartments provide a genuine solution for families who want to stay connected while maintaining independence. Parents can help adult children save for a future home, ageing parents can remain nearby without moving into aged care, and owners still retain privacy and flexibility.

“Importantly, buyers are also recognising the financial advantages. It creates the opportunity to generate additional income from part of the home without the holding costs associated with owning a separate investment property.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363509]

Unlike traditional dual occupancy arrangements, the residences operate under a single title, meaning owners only incur one set of body corporate fees, council rates and holding costs.&nbsp;

The secondary residence can also evolve over time - functioning as guest accommodation, a home office, creative studio or private retreat before later becoming an income-producing asset.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/red-co">Red &amp; Co</a>&nbsp;Director and Co-Founder David Laverty said the strong early sales reflected growing buyer urgency and changing priorities within the market.&nbsp;

“Securing more than half of COMO’s residences within such a short timeframe is an outstanding result and a clear endorsement of both the design and location,” Laverty said.&nbsp;

“Buyers are responding to the combination of location, connectivity and amenity, but ultimately it’s value relative to other East Coast markets that is driving enquiry.”&nbsp;

“We’re also seeing strong interest from owner occupiers looking for homes that can adapt with them over time. Flexibility has become one of the most important considerations for buyers in today’s market.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363515]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, COMO features a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom residences with 2.7-metre ceilings and larger-format floorplans aimed at owner occupiers, downsizers and lifestyle-focused buyers.&nbsp;

The development will feature an extensive rooftop recreation and wellness offering including a 25-metre lap pool, sundeck, barbecue and dining areas, gym, sauna, plunge baths, landscaped gardens, wellness spaces and rooftop pickleball and paddleball courts.

The remaining dual key apartments range from 137 sqm to 167 sqm and include generous three-bedroom layouts with separate self-contained studio accommodation and dual parking.&nbsp;

Erwin said the dual key concept represented a broader shift in how Australians would live in the future.

“People want homes that can evolve with their lives,” he said.&nbsp;

“A dual key apartment can suit a family today, support an ageing parent tomorrow, and potentially generate income later on. That adaptability is becoming incredibly valuable in the current environment.”

Prices currently range from $2,115,750 to $2,583,000.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135546]

Inter-generational living drives demand for COMO’s dual key apartments as housing pressures reshape buyer priorities 

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ceerose">Ceerose</a> has doubled down on its Leichhardt ambitions, lodging its second State Significant Development Application (SSDA) in the suburb in the last six months.

Their newest proposal seeks to transform a former industrial precinct into a new residential community centred around the adaptive reuse of one of the site's heritage warehouse buildings.

The new project, on a 6,930 sqm block at&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-76-william-street-leichhardt-nsw-2040">40–76 William Street</a>, will bring more than 200 apartments to a suburb that has seen little to no new supply in recent years. It follows Ceerose's late 2025 SSDA for a mixed-use apartment project on nearby Parramatta Road, signalling the developer's growing investment in Sydney's Inner West.

Ceerose Founder Edward Doueihi told Apartments.com.au the developer’s long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West had given it a strong understanding of how the area has evolved and where its future opportunities lie.

“Ceerose has had a long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West, giving us a unique understanding of the area’s evolution and future potential,” Doueihi said.

“Having delivered projects throughout the region, we have witnessed the suburb’s transformation first-hand and understand the opportunities for its continued growth.”

Doueihi said that understanding also informed the planning process, with a comprehensive Stakeholder Engagement Outcomes Report prepared before the application was lodged.

The report identified the key issues and concerns raised by neighbouring residents and other stakeholders, allowing those matters to be considered and incorporated into the design where appropriate.

He said the delivery of additional housing would also play an important role in supporting the revitalisation of Norton Street and the Italian Forum.

“By increasing the local residential population, the development is expected to strengthen demand for local businesses, encourage further investment, and help restore the vibrancy that made the precinct a thriving destination in the early 2000s.”

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7258c54c-8167-479e-8361-2d5fca9915b4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010B%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%202.jpg?VersionId=S9DQfxu_jpcB5LrAEYFUbyMzg5odW6i5" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the redevelopment would involve the demolition of four existing industrial buildings while retaining and adaptively reusing the site's most significant warehouse. The retained structure would anchor a new residential precinct comprising five interconnected buildings arranged around a large central landscaped courtyard, with heights stepping from five storeys along the surrounding residential streets to 11 storeys at the William Street corner.

According to the Architecture Design Report by Woods Bagot, the proposal "seeks to create a residential village centred around a generous green heart while celebrating the site's industrial heritage through the adaptive reuse of the existing warehouse building."

The development would comprise 203 apartments, with 188 proposed as build-to-sell residences, alongside 15 affordable housing apartments.

Rather than treating the retained warehouse as a standalone heritage object, Woods Bagot has sought to weave the site's industrial history throughout the masterplan. The proposal retains the north and west facades of the landmark corner warehouse, while new buildings reinterpret the site's brick-and-steel industrial language through their material palette and architectural expression.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9e8c64c2-881b-49e1-8c90-6b6acaaa45b6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010C%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%203.jpg?VersionId=Qm8_8H_Xrg_sc4Mdjc59vlAcKF_5wRTb" />

The design is organised around what Woods Bagot describes as a "green heart", a landscaped communal open space that reinstates the leafy character removed when the site became an industrial storage facility. A new pedestrian laneway running through the site would improve permeability between William, North and Francis streets, linking residents through landscaped public spaces while activating the ground plane.

Residents would have access to communal gardens and shared recreation areas distributed throughout the development. Sustainability has also been prioritised, with the project targeting an average 7.9-star NatHERS rating. Proposed initiatives include rooftop solar generation, rainwater harvesting, passive solar design, naturally ventilated lobbies, extensive cross-ventilation and the reuse of existing building fabric to reduce embodied carbon.

The adaptive reuse strategy became a defining feature of the application after heritage investigations found only one of the site's industrial buildings could feasibly be retained. The Heritage Impact Statement concludes that preserving the key warehouse façades while referencing the site's industrial character throughout the new development provides an appropriate balance between renewal and conservation.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="efffafdb-594f-4e2b-a067-921fd51c05e1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010D%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%204.jpg?VersionId=DPmE4.k16YRt0i27hEZVtJAffarpvUfx" />

"Retention and adaptation of the site buildings has been explored but found not to be feasible except for the tallest building, whose street facades will be retained," the heritage report states.

"The proposed building will interpret the brick and steel character of the subject site, including reuse of some components and construction of a large 'sawtooth' structure in the proposed open space."

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3bfef2b5-83f5-40cd-9cab-767092f34266" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010E%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%205.jpg?VersionId=7asb3i_ql4ybbuJOUb5UHBEIy0Q9t.DF" />

The William Street site is located around 300 metres from Leichhardt North Light Rail station and a short walk to Norton Street's retail, dining and hospitality precinct. The surrounding area has increasingly become a focus for urban renewal given its proximity to public transport and the Parramatta Road corridor.

Doueihi founded Ceerose in 1998 and has grown the business to become one of Sydney's more active apartment developers in recent years, with completed projects including The Alex Collective in Alexandria, Abbie's Lane in Annandale, and the award-winning Munro House in Elizabeth Bay. They are currently delivering Belgravia, 17 luxury apartments in Potts Point.

First look: Ceerose doubles down in Leichhardt with adaptive reuse of former warehouse site

Land Tax

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The NSW Land Tax system is crippling investors as tenants struggle to pay rent and must be completely overhauled, according to Urban Taskforce CEO Tom Forrest.
“Land Tax relief is critical for the survival on many companies that are being forced to pay taxes on land which is delivering little or no return at all”, Mr Forrest said.
“When land is re-zoned, land tax is levied on the new `higher use’ potential of that re-zoned land. However, the NSW Planning system, the slowest in Australia for every category of development application, levies land tax on the highest and best use related to the new zoning while investors and property developers wait, in some cases years, for development approvals.
“Worse – with COVID 19 having resulted in the shut-down of many businesses, no relief has been offered to land-lords”, Mr Forrest said.
Land Tax is being charged based on the highest and best use for the land, assuming the full economic potential of the land zoning is being realised.
“Where land has been re-zoned, but a new DA approval is stuck in the planning system, Land tax should be based on the old (lower value) zoning or waived altogether.
“If deferrals are contemplated by the NSW Government, interest must not be charged on the unpaid land tax”, Mr Forrest said.
Mr Forrest called on the NSW Government to waive land tax where land-owners can show they have been impacted by COVID 19.
“These simple changes would give much needed relief to property owners who rely on rental income for the viability of their business.”
TOM FORREST is the CEO of Urban Taskforce
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wdavis-8cCN98p7xp

Land tax overhaul needed during shutdown; Urban Taskforce CEO Tom Forrest

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EXPERT OBSERVER 
Queensland’s property industry is calling on the State Government to scrap significant increases to land tax, following the Commonwealth Government decision to bring forward $650 million in major project funding for Queensland, and deliver $680 million in new funding. 
The land tax increases announced in June’s State Budget were an attempt to plug a Budget hole that will now no longer exist. 
This is a very welcome announcement by the Federal Government and comes at a critical time for the local economy.
The Queensland Government should use this opportunity to scrap its economically damaging land tax increases in order to further support local jobs growth.
June’s Queensland State Budget introduced a sizeable increase to the general business rate of land tax, and introduced a new surcharge for overseas companies and trusts that will effectively double their land tax liability.
In her Budget speech and subsequent media comments, the Treasurer outlined that the land tax measures were a reluctant result of “Canberra’s cuts” and committed to repeal them if Canberra restored “Queensland’s fair share.
The Federal Government’s new commitment will be a big boost to the State’s balance sheet, and affords Queensland the opportunity to avoid imposing these harmful new taxes.
The Office of State Revenue has been devising an exemption framework from the overseas surcharge for economically significant investments since June’s Budget. While the Government has been working to finalise this framework,<a name="_GoBack" href=""></a> no land tax has been collected from overseas entities. 
The Treasurer could make the decision today to repeal the overseas land tax surcharge and issue these entities with their normal land tax assessments.
If this tax is imposed, Queensland will face a substantial competitive disadvantage against southern jurisdictions for the retention and attraction of investment.
We will also see many Australian investors liable to pay the new foreign surcharge, and rents increasing for many Queensland businesses.
Chris Mountford is the Executive Director of Property Council Queensland.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Canberra cash should spell the end of Queensland’s land tax grab:  Chris Mountford 

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EXPERT OBSERVER
<h3 class="post-title entry-title">
<a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/2019/01/hows-act-land-tax-going"></a>Canberra rents surge </h3>
<div id="post-body-7598088234210480051" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>I've been consistent on this point (often wrong, but never in doubt!): taxes in the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) are far too high for landlords to invest there en masse, which will lead to a rental shortage as the population steadily grows. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There are a lot of 'well, in theory...' type comments made about this point, however, including by me, so let's stick to the hard data for today.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Rental vacancy rates fell from 2½ per cent in 2014 when rate rises were first introduced to 0.6 per cent in October 2018. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Rental markets are seasonal in the ACT and often tighten through the early months of the calendar year, and in turn Canberra could take out Hobart in Tasmania for title of most undersupplied capital city rental market in 2019, which is is some feat (click to expand): </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-vT1xNQ-Dd80/XDbv-FMFELI/AAAAAAAAt3c/cYKMVTIhmYgYm33-es2Bb-k5EyZiZE-ygCEwYBhgL/s1600/SQM2.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-vT1xNQ-Dd80/XDbv-FMFELI/AAAAAAAAt3c/cYKMVTIhmYgYm33-es2Bb-k5EyZiZE-ygCEwYBhgL/s640/SQM2.jpg" width="640" height="350" data-original-height="797" data-original-width="1453"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Asking rents for houses in Canberra are now up by more than 26 per cent over the past three years alone. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>A major issue is that rates are often far too high on units as well, despite the relatively low land value content of this property type. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The asking rent for 2-bedroom units in Canberra is also up by more than 23 per cent over the same time period!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In Canberra! </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-qPJMlBBFvq8/XDbv93SNgdI/AAAAAAAAt3g/ybb9rzPeXyQohtoeTKB8Ta16YaZc7WzGACLcBGAs/s1600/sqm1.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-qPJMlBBFvq8/XDbv93SNgdI/AAAAAAAAt3g/ybb9rzPeXyQohtoeTKB8Ta16YaZc7WzGACLcBGAs/s640/sqm1.jpg" width="640" height="188" data-original-height="229" data-original-width="777"></a></div>
 <div>Source: SQM Research</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
If you don't like asking rents - and you may not - then Domain's actual rental report figures this week were similar. Domain reported that Canberra is now a more expensive city in which to rent a home than even Sydney, with rents spiralling as high as the Black Mountain Tower. 
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Dr. Nicola Powell:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>"With investors slugged with higher rates and land taxes, it is likely landlords are passing on the additional costs to tenants, or opting for high yielding short-term leases in order to recover costs."</div>
<div> </div>
<div>On the plus side there have been some significant apartment projects approved for construction, but one questions which landlords are going to buy them and rent them out. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Politicians seeking tax deductions, perhaps. Foreign investors won't supply the rentals any longer, having already been taxed out of the market. <div class="separator"><a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-SLAOdeLo-_w/XDb2yteH7-I/AAAAAAAAt38/-gvstrSWvQgPXqqff-6uw_xnFupyVf8EwCLcBGAs/s1600/China.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-SLAOdeLo-_w/XDb2yteH7-I/AAAAAAAAt38/-gvstrSWvQgPXqqff-6uw_xnFupyVf8EwCLcBGAs/s640/China.jpg" width="640" height="128" data-original-height="146" data-original-width="729"></a></div>
</div>
<div>Some people are even campaigning for high land taxes, and the ALP negative gearing reforms, and a doubling of capital gains tax (all of this on top of the changes made to foreign investment, interest-only lending, restrictions on Division 40 depreciation, disallowance of travel expenses etc etc.). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There's nothing much to say but best of luck with that!</div>
<div>
 It's a small city, which grows in population by less than 10,000 per annum. Way to go!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</div>
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How's the ACT land tax going? And what it means for property investor supply: Pete Wargent

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To paraphrase former prime minister Paul Keating, walk into <a href="https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/plenty-of-bark-any-bite-20101028-175mv" target="_blank">any pet shop in the country</a> and you’ll find the resident galah saying we should swap stamp duty for a land value tax.
Just about every economic think tank in the land thinks it’s about the best value tax change there is, among them the <a href="https://theconversation.com/abolish-stamp-duty-the-act-shows-the-rest-of-us-how-to-tax-property-105378" target="_blank">Grattan Institute</a>, <a href="https://percapita.org.au/our_media/replacing-stamp-duty-with-broad-based-land-tax-could-increase-revenue-to-11-2-billion-by-2047-new-report-shows/" target="_blank">Per Capita</a>, the <a href="http://www.tai.org.au/sites/defualt/files/P149_Tax%20the%20need%20for%20change.pdf" target="_blank">Australia Institute</a>, and the <a href="https://www.cis.org.au/commentary/articles/dominic-perrottets-reforms-are-welcome-but-the-government-must-break-its-addiction-to-this-bad-tax/" target="_blank">Centre for Independent Studies</a> as well as <a href="https://www.thepolicyspace.com.au/2015/25/58-five-ways-to-reform-state-taxes" target="_blank">a swag of academics</a>, the Treasury in its work on the <a href="http://bettertax.gov.au/files/2015/03/08_GST-and-State-Taxes.pdf" target="_blank">draft white paper for tax reform</a> and the <a href="http://taxreview.treasury.gov.au/content/FinalReport.aspx?doc=html/publications/Papers/Final_Report_Part_2/chapter_g2-2.htm" target="_blank">Henry Tax Review</a>.
Among the benefits of what I will call SD4LVT are said to be greater ease in upsizing and downsizing, a more mobile population (less reluctant to buy and sell houses) and a more reliable source of revenue for state governments.
One state, the Australian Capital Territory, has already begun a <a href="https://www.revenue.act.gov.au/tax-reform" target="_blank">20-year</a> phase out of stamp duty and a 20-year build up of land tax.
But beneath the near universal enthusiasm for SD4LVT are layers of bad economics.
It is extremely frustrating to me that the leading minds in Australian policy have put their heads together and decided that the best reform they can think of is to replace a good tax on property with another good one that would be even less popular.
The more thoughtful among them don’t even bother to claim that SD4LVT will make housing more affordable, yet still put it forward as the “holy grail” of tax reform.
It is bad economics because of four key points its proponents miss or overlook.
<h2>Price effects</h2>
Stamp duty comes out of what the buyer is prepared to pay. This means that if you remove it, all other things equal, prices will rise by exactly the amount of the duty removed.
If the average home price is A$500,000, and buyers pay a 5% stamp duty, taking the total to A$525,000, then when stamp duty is removed the price will immediately increase to $525,000 being what the buyer was prepared to pay.
If you replace the stamp duty revenue with revenue from land value taxes, the effects on price are less clear. The change could push them up (enriching sellers) or it could push them down.
Imagine an example economy with:
<ul>
<li>20 houses</li>
<li>Turnover of one house each year (a turnover rate of 5%)</li>
<li>An average home price of A$500,000</li>
<li>Total stamp duty revenue of A$25,000 per year</li>
</ul>
Replacing the A$25,000 stamp duty revenue with a land value tax requires taxing all 20 homes at A$1,250 per year each.
Whether the market price of homes rises or falls depends on whether buyers think the cost to them of A$1,250 per year is lower or higher than the A$25,000 upfront stamp duty they avoided. If they thought it was about the same, SD4LVT wouldn’t much affect prices.
But what if turnover was half that, say 2.5%, which in this example would be where one house was sold every two years? In that case, the total stamp duty to be replaced would be A$12,500, which would be only A$625 per house in land tax.
The new buyer could pay A$512,500 for the house plus A$625 per year in land tax and be equally as well off as paying A$500,000 for the house plus A$25,000 in stamp duty.
The net effect would be a 5% price increase from A$250,000 to A$262,500.
If that happened nationally it would mean a transfer of almost A$200 billion to existing owners.
Whether or not that did happen would depend on the turnover and buyer’s views about the future value of money. In short, the price effects of a SD4LVT are ambiguous.
<h2>Mobility</h2>
While it is said that stamp duties deter Australians from changing addresses and switching jobs, there is little evidence that they are not changing enough.
Most people who relocate for work <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2017/mar/pdf/bu-0317-3-housing-market-turnover.pdf" target="_blank">don’t buy and sell homes in order to do it</a>.
They rent first, becoming both a renter and a landlord for a while, perhaps selling their first home later, but not quickly.
When they do sell, often for a healthy profit, stamp duty ensures they pocket less than would have, grabbing back some of what might otherwise be an untaxed capital gain.
Lower housing turnover from stamp duties mainly falls on the nearly half of sales involving investors who buy speculatively to capitalise on short bursts of capital growth before selling, in the process fuelling the boom and bust price cycle.
To me, anything that slows down real estate turnover and captures capital gains seems like a good idea.
<h2>Revenue stability</h2>
It is claimed that stamp duty revenues are much more volatile than other taxes. During a boom, they climb more than proportionally to prices since they also depend on turnover. During a bust, they fall more quickly than prices.
If I was to think in the abstract about what sort of taxes are good for the economy, I would say it is those that are pro-cyclical, meaning they automatically increase takings during a boom, and wind them back during a bust.
On this measure, stamp duty is a good tax for stabilising the economy, something important given how much our economic cycles are tied to housing markets.
The land value tax that SD4LVT proponents would replace stamp duty with would make the tax system as a whole less stabilising.
<h2>Odd modelling</h2>
You might have seen a chart like the Treasury graph below, with stamp duties presented as having enormous flow-on economy-wide costs compared to other taxes. In this example, land tax which is presented as having an economic benefit.
<hr>
<iframe src="https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/i78qD/3/" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" width="100%" height="400"></iframe>
<hr>
The problem with the graph is that modelling used to prepare it (computational general equilibrium modelling) can’t directly account for transaction taxes because it doesn’t model transactions.
Instead of using a better tool for the job, the modellers assume that stamp duties increase cost of housing to all buyers and renters. It’s this assumption that drives a conclusion they describe as merely “<a href="http://www.policypartners.com.au/assets/treasury---economic-incidence-of-taxes-(2015).pdf">illustrative</a>”.
<h2>To sum up</h2>
Stamp duties don’t push up the cost of housing. The claim that they impede household mobility is overblown. They do reduce asset churn, and as a result they help maintain price stability.
Their “revenue instability” is actually a huge positive for the economy as a whole. And the modelling that has underpinned the talk of high economy-wide costs is as good as made up.
Yet SD4LVT remains the apparent holy grail of Australian tax policy.
Our best policy wonks continue to push our politicians to use up the precious capital to swap one very good property tax for another, for no obvious economic gain.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/106841/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/cameron-murray-172480" target="_blank">Cameron Murray</a>, Lecturer in Economics, <a href="http://theconversation.com/institutions/the-university-of-queensland-805" target="_blank">The University of Queensland</a>.
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/stamp-duty-fever-the-bad-economics-behind-swapping-stamp-duty-for-land-tax-106841" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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Swapping stamp duty for land tax is bad economics: Cameron Murray

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The first Liberal government state budget in 16 years will see South Australian treasurer Rob Lucas cut land tax rates.
The cuts will apply to higher-end residential and commercial property investors.
Rob Lucas, who was the treasurer when the last Liberal Government was in power in SA 17 years ago, told The Australian Financial Review he wanted to attract more investors to the state through the land tax reform measures to compete with Sydney and Melbourne.
The first step of the land tax reform is set to see land tax drop from 3.7 percent to 2.9 percent on properties over $1.2 million.
There will also be incentives at the lower end of property investing. The threshold, where land tax applies on properties, will rise from $369,000 to $450,000.
Land tax isn't paid by people on their principal place of residence in South Australia, but does apply to property investors.
 
 
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Property investors to benefit in SA land tax cuts

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The Santa Barbara, United States based former 1956 Olympian Jon Henricks - who was 100 metre freestyle swimming world record holder - has sold his Balmoral slopes house after 48 years for about $5.2 million.
The dual Melbourne Olympic gold medallist was recently outspoken about how the state government’s recently introduced land tax surcharge for foreigners forced him to list the <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-nsw-mosman-128255974" target="_blank">Mosman home</a> he and his American wife Bonnie purchased in 1969.
The non-resident land tax rate was raised this year from 0.75% to 2%, with the changes meaning the couple would have to pay up to $60,000 a year.
Following the hike, Henricks listed through McGrath’s Michael Coombs with a $5 million to $5.5 million guide ahead of Saturday’s scheduled auction.
The Plunkett Road home sold inside the guide pre-auction on Thursday.
“Little by little the land tax has grown and up until to last year we were able to keep the home afloat with money from renting it out when we’re not around,” he said.
“This is absolutely devastating to deal with, there has been so many memories at the home and it has been good to us, it is all very bittersweet and devastating for us,” Henricks said.
The home has been the Henricks Australian home for nearly 50 years.
This article first appeared in The Sunday Telegraph.
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Olympic gold medal winner and world record holder Jon Henricks sells Mosman home

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Stamp duty is a tax that discourages the buying and sale of homes. 
It provides the NSW State Government with a fairly reliable income.
There are two debates running ahead of the upcoming state budget. One is on the rate of the tax, the other on whether it should be phased out and replaced with another tax.
This week the Real Estate Institute of New South Wales (REINSW) really lashed out having long failed in their lobbying efforts to persuade the government to respond to the stamp duty bracket creep that has been in place for more than three decades.
It was time for the NSW government to amend the 1986 stamp duty brackets, according to the REINSW president Leanne Pilkington, who said the Government’s conduct was "nothing less than unconscionable”.
Pilkington noted the second reading to the 1986 Bill noted the increased rates for conveyances only affected properties worth more than $300,000 "and thus will not affect the average home purchaser”. 
The median house price in Sydney is now at $1.1 million, costing $46,000 in stamp duty.
Last financial year more than $7.3 billion was collected in stamp duty.
Up until February this year the government has raised $4.7 billion, so is on par with last financial year.
That's despite first home buyers being able to buy property up to $650,000 without having to pay stamp duty, and homes up to $800,000 seeing a discounted stamp duty.
Any adjustment to the standard stamp duty threshold rate would be simple, though likely at cost to overall revenues.
However the revenue could potentially go higher, and certainly be more stable, if the NSW government took the braver decision to phase in a broad based land tax that spreads the income across all land owners rather than only on those buying homes.
Many economists, and Ken Henry, author of the 2010 Henry Tax Review, have long argued that a broad based land tax is the most equitable way to tax property owners.
Earlier this month CEDA, the Committee for Economic Development of Australia, raised the issue in its report on inequality, How unequal? Insights on inequality. 
Unlike stamp duty which imposes a huge up-front financial burden upon only home buyers, a broad-based land tax, paid annually and spread over a wider base of people, provides a steady income stream to government to fund infrastructure.
It also would not stymie listings because many more homes would be listed by elderly downsizers if they weren't facing the repurchasing stamp duty burden.
John Daley, the chief executive of independent think tank the Grattan Institute, calculates an annual tax of $1 per every $1000 of a home's value would cost the median Sydney household $845 a year in tax.
I would however question the estimate due to the low reliability of NSW land valuations, which remain a flawed system. Any shift would require a fresh equitable modern revaluation of the state.
This article first appeared in The Daily Telegraph.
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Is it time to consider a wider land tax?

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The New South Wales budget surplus forecast has increased by $600 million.
The NSW Treasurer Dominic Perrottet advised the projection for the 2017/18 year was revised up to $3.3 billion, from $2.7 billion.
The state government’s half-yearly budget review also revealed the first home buyers assistance scheme would cost $461 million this financial year.
“A significant reduction in transfer duty is derived from our first home owners grants and the concessions and tax cuts that form part of that.”
However, an increase in land tax will help offset the loss the government makes from the first home buyer concessions.
Higher than expected property values has pushed up the land tax revenue forecast by more than $100 million.
Land tax receipts from owners of investment properties and holiday homes in NSW are forecast to be $867 million higher than expected over the next three years.
Mr Perrottet said he was confident the Sydney housing market would remain healthy.
“We see the property market remaining strong, we see completions continuing at record levels,” Mr Perrottet said.
Fairfax Media noted the forecast assumes that the average price of residential properties sold in 2017-18 will be around 1.8 per cent above the average price the previous year. 
Stamp duty revenue in the three years to 2020-21 has been revised down by $657 million, largely due to the take up of stamp duty concessions for first home buyers in a housing affordability package announced in the June budget.
Between June and November, 13,672 people have received stamp duty concessions, compared with 3970 people in the same five month period last year.
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NSW property investors to pay $100 million more in land tax as values rise

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The NSW foreign investor land surcharge will increase to 2 percent per annum (from 0.75 percent per annum) with effect from 31 December 2017 for the 2018 land tax year.
The land tax surcharge was introduced in NSW with effect from 1 January 2017 to be imposed on owners of residential land who are 'foreign persons'.
The surcharge also extends to trusts that own residential land which have beneficiaries that are 'foreign persons'.
The land tax surcharge provisions are very broad and will catch discretionary trusts if the trust deed has a broad definition of beneficiaries, which is typical of most discretionary trust deeds.
Lawyers Meyer Vandenberg have warned "in this global age, given the wide class of beneficiaries," there is a high chance that a family member includes someone of international origins who is not an Australian or New Zealand citizen.
If any of these potential family members themselves meet the definition of 'foreign person' or invest in a company that meets the definition of a 'foreign person', and the trust owns residential land in NSW, then the trustee is liable for the land tax surcharge.
"Our federal politicians are having to re-look at their family origins (though to confirm their eligibility for holding office!)," Meyer Vandenberg told its clients.
"It is a timely reminder to also consider reviewing your discretionary trust deed and your family situation.
"If the trust owns residential land in NSW or is considering owning residential land in NSW in the near future, it is worthwhile getting advice."
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NSW foreign investor surcharge increased from December 31, 2017

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Last financial year NSW property buyers paid $9.8 billion in stamp duty after a record 228,000 sales. Close to $3 billion has been paid by buyers since July.
This stamp duty is paid by the already stretched Sydney property buyer to the NSW state government based on the price of their land and the building acquisition.
The tax has been stuck at current 4.5% level since the 1986 Unsworth government, a time when the median stamp duty paid was $1500.
Given the rise in the median Sydney property price over the 31 years, the typical buyer now pays $36,000 duty for a $905,000 median dwelling price acquisition.
Stamp duty affects affordability by making buying a home dearer, especially for first home buyers.
It has emerged over recent times that stamp duty also leads to the inefficient use of housing by constraining the capacity of many to move towards downsizing into a more appropriately sized home or for workers to take advantage of new employment opportunities elsewhere.
Many tax reviews, including the Productivity Commission’s recently completed five year productivity review, have proposed that the one-off stamp duty be removed and replaced by a universal land tax paid annually on all properties. At the moment only some investor pay land tax.
This universal land tax differs from the current situation in that it would apply to all properties, residential and commercial, whether they are owned as an investment or by an owner-occupier.
The Henry Tax Review in 2010 proposed such a land tax.
More recent AHURI research modelling of a universally applied land tax forecast 46% of the land tax revenue would be raised from land plots within 10 kilometres of CBDs where land is most expensive, while only 4% of land tax revenue would come from the urban fringe 30 to 50 kilometres out.
AHURI went further suggesting as a consequence of introducing the tax, overall land values would decline leading to more affordable housing. 
Political reality dictates that changes to stamp duty and land tax would be implemented over a long timeframe. This is happening in the ACT where stamp duty is being abolished progressively over 20 years having started from 2012.
Any move in NSW from stamp duty to land tax would involve transitional arrangements so that landowners would only begin paying land tax if they have not already had to pay stamp duty, i.e. as each property is sold it would move onto the new land tax arrangements.
It has been concluded that during this transitional phase the revenue shortfall experienced by state and territory governments would require bridging finance from the Commonwealth Government, although this revenue shortfall will quickly recede as more and more owner-occupied housing joins the universal land tax base.
Our politicians have yet to bite the bullet, and perhaps never will.
This article first appeared in The Daily Telegraph.
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