<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/broadbeach-qld-4218">Broadbeach</a> offers plenty of reasons to live vertically, but moving from a substantial family home into an apartment can expose the compromises of high-density living. Privacy, room for guests and usable living space tend to matter more when an apartment is intended as a permanent home rather than an occasional coastal base.

A typical residential floor at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-eveleigh-broadbeach-7-9-surf-parade-broadbeach-qld-4218">The Eveleigh</a>, on Surf Parade,&nbsp;contains just four apartments. The 94-residence development by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/hirsch-faigen">Hirsch &amp; Faigen</a> is predominantly made up of expansive three-bedroom homes, with a limited collection of half-floor penthouses above.

Across the apartment floors, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a> has used the relatively limited number of residences to give each home greater access to natural light and outlook. Living spaces extend towards full-height glazing, while a series of bay windows frame selected views across the Pacific Ocean, city and hinterland rather than treating the building edge as a continuous wall of glass.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360965]

“The apartment floors deliver a collection of homes that embrace controlled outlook via a series of bay windows deliberately framing moments of view,” Rothelowman Director Kim Lowman said.

From outside, those projecting forms contribute to the tower’s faceted profile. Strong horizontal and vertical elements establish its proportions, while the changing position of the sun alters the light, shadow and reflection across the façade throughout the day.

The same attention moves inside the apartments, where the material palette combines warm timber, natural stone, metallic detailing and softer curved forms. Kitchens sit within the main living zone, with stone island benches, integrated joinery and European appliances, before the living areas extend towards the glazing and the outlook.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360981]

Three genuine bedrooms provide room to accommodate family and guests, while two secure car spaces and storage address some of the practical considerations that can become more noticeable when moving from a larger home. Feedback from the display suite has centred on the warmth and restraint of the interiors, with buyers commenting that the residences feel like homes rather than conventional coastal apartments.

A limited collection of half-floor penthouses occupies the upper levels, increasing the scale of the living spaces and adding private balconies and elevated finishes. From this position, the outlook extends between the ocean and hinterland.

Outside the private residences, The Eveleigh separates its shared spaces between the podium and rooftop. The podium is centred on wellness, with subtropical landscaping surrounding a swimming pool and pool terrace, yoga garden, private gymnasium, sauna and hot and cold plunge facilities. Landscaped retreats and pavilions provide additional places to sit away from the main recreation areas.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360966]

Higher in the building, a rooftop pavilion and private dining suite sit alongside resident lounge, barbecue and outdoor dining areas, opening towards panoramic views across the ocean, city and hinterland.

“Buyers are no longer just looking for an apartment, but a lifestyle where they can relax, reset, and enjoy a balanced way of living,” Hirsch &amp; Faigen Director of Sales Matt George said.

Interest to date has come from established owner-occupiers and interstate lifestyle purchasers, including buyers planning a future move to the Gold Coast. Many are coming from larger homes and want to reduce ongoing maintenance without giving up space for family and guests, privacy, two car spaces or the ability to entertain at home.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360969]

Much of that daily life can also take place beyond the building without requiring a drive. Kurrawa Beach and Pratten Park are an easy walk from Surf Parade, while Pacific Fair, Oracle Boulevard, The Oasis, restaurants, cafés, entertainment and public transport are also within walking distance.

The Eveleigh is Hirsch &amp; Faigen's fourth Gold Coast development since entering the market in 2021, following The Hemingway at Palm Beach, The Emerson at Kirra and Yves at Mermaid Beach. Each of the preceding projects sold out before completion.

“Broadbeach had been on our radar throughout our time operating on the Gold Coast,” the developer said. “Following our projects in Palm Beach, Kirra and Mermaid Beach, Broadbeach represented the natural next step for the business.”

The Surf Parade site brought together proximity to the beach, protected coastal outlooks and walkability to dining, shopping and recreation. Hirsch &amp; Faigen also identified the street as an emerging premium residential address, with enough separation from Broadbeach's busier destinations to retain a quieter environment at home.

The Eveleigh is now under construction by Maxcon, with completion forecast for mid-2028. Three-bedroom residences are currently available from $2.87 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=149670]

Joel Robinson

The Eveleigh brings house-like apartments to Broadbeach

A long-stalled Campbelltown development site is back in play, with new plans for 139 apartments set to supersede a mixed-use scheme approved almost a decade ago but never built.

The new proposal for 28 Cordeaux Street would deliver 116 market and 23 affordable apartments in a part 14-storey building, bringing a substantial new project into a Campbelltown market where new apartment supply remains limited.

Plans have been filed over the 3,092 sqm corner site at Moore-Oxley Street, around 600 metres from Campbelltown Railway Station and the city-centre retail core.

The site already carries a mixed-use residential approval dating to 2016. Doroch Architects has now been engaged on a larger replacement scheme, which is progressing as a State Significant Development Application following a Housing Delivery Authority determination in August 2025.

The apartment mix comprises 39 one-bedroom, 72 two-bedroom and 28 three-bedroom residences. Two-bedroom apartments make up just over half of the project, while three-bedroom homes account for 20 per cent.

<img alt="First look: New 139-apartment plans revive long-stalled Campbelltown city centre site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="136dd5b9-3791-4da6-9e31-76f533f5b4de" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Campbelltown%20da2.png?VersionId=LgOSy9nwf5u.MGswBBwaGGxuX8QpHSl_" />

Of the 139 apartments, 23 will be delivered as affordable housing under the in-fill affordable housing provisions of the Housing SEPP. The affordable component represents 15 per cent of the residential gross floor area and will be managed by a registered Community Housing Provider.

Doroch has sought to break the scale of the building into two distinct elements, with a masonry podium of around four storeys establishing the street edge before the residential tower steps back above.

The corner position has shaped that approach. Cordeaux Street faces toward the commercial and civic centre, while Moore-Oxley Street leads into the lower-scale residential neighbourhood to the south, and the design verification report describes the site as "bridging the commercial core to the north and established residential areas to the south."

The podium will be expressed predominantly in face brick, while the upper levels shift to brushed and grooved concrete cladding with darker metal detailing. Recessed sections, deep balcony edges and landscaping break down the upper form, with an approximately 11.8-metre setback to the northern boundary addressing the adjoining St Peters Anglican School.

<img alt="First look: New 139-apartment plans revive long-stalled Campbelltown city centre site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c8b3d2d3-c561-4bfc-a5d9-a68c0c10dac1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Campbelltown%20da1.png?VersionId=AeAEyJU02Gk2k5noUj2StziCvdQ7fW4B" />

Campbelltown has been starved of new residential developments in the last decade.

The only other notable development set to come to market this year is ALAND's Queen Square, a mixed-use precinct on over two hectares that will comprise apartments above a vibrant ground-level retail and hospitality dining precinct.

First look: New 139-apartment plans revive long-stalled Campbelltown city centre site

First Look: Sherlock Construction pitches apartments for low-rise Deception Bay

Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.

The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.

The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.

The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.

The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.

MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.

Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.

The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.

<img alt="MAYD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1bcbb05-e659-4b47-8bd4-1e595315e2ad" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%202.05.03%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=jj0XEud1X1DuLt7_KyElhjMdZGOXmLHP" />

MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.

"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.

"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."

The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.

Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.

Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.

"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.

"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."

MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.

"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.

"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."

Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.

"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."

The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.

MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.

First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

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Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.

But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.

Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]

The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.

It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]

Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.

Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.

Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]

Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.

"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.

A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.

It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.

At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.

Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]

Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.

"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.

The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.

More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]

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</main>

Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

Interest Rates

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GUEST OBSERVER
The RBA’s decision to leave the cash rate unchanged came as no surprise. 
Market pricing had implied very little chance of policy easing in February, largely because employment growth has lifted and the unemployment rate has been falling.      
The Governor’s Statement was the first commentary out of the RBA on the economy since mid‑December.  And it deviated from the usual carbon‑copy approach that was taken for most of the post‑meeting Statements over the second half of 2015.
In summary, the Bank appears a little less optimistic on the global economy and a touch more upbeat on the domestic economy.  Growth in the global economy is occurring at a “slightly lower pace than earlier expected”.  And financial markets have exhibited “heightened volatility recently” and “risk appetite has diminished”.   
On the domestic economy, the Governor notes that “expansion in the non‑mining parts of the economy strengthened during 2015 even as the contraction in spending in mining investment continued”.  
The Bank has acknowledged the marked improvement in the labour market.  Indeed, in December the Governor indicated that “stronger growth in employment” had been accompanied with a “steady rate of unemployment”.  This has now been replaced by a recognition that, “the unemployment rate declined in the second half of the year” even though the economy was growing below trend.  Critically, labour market developments will be the key input into near‑term policy direction (at least until the next read on inflation).  The Governor noted that, “new information should allow the Board to judge whether the recent improvement in labour market conditions is continuing”.  The Board will also assess whether, “the recent financial turbulence portends weaker global and domestic demand”. 
On inflation, the Governor acknowledged the impact that declining oil prices and some utilities have had on headline inflation.  But overall, consumer price inflation is expected to, “remain low over the next year or two”.  In December, inflation was “forecast to be consistent with the target over the next one to two years”. 
The Governor tweaked his commentary on the exchange rate, but the message remains the same. The AUD “continued its adjustment to the evolving economic outlook”. The AUD is currently 3.1% lower against the USD (1.8% lower on TWI basis) than it was when the RBA Board last met in December.  So monetary conditions have further eased. 
THE OUTLOOK
Our views on the labour market and inflation underpin our expectations that the cash rate will stay at 2.0% in 2016.  Inflation should drift a little higher as exchange rate pass‑through continues, though we expect it to be at the bottom end of the RBA’s target band.  On the unemployment rate, we see enough evidence in the leading indicators of jobs growth to suggest that the unemployment rate peaked in 2014.  We expect it to grind a little lower over 2016.
Markets, however, are still likely to continue to price in the chance of further RBA policy easing even though we don’t expect another rate cut to materialise.  This essentially reflects the balance of risks in the global and domestic economy, coupled with the RBA’s conditional easing bias.
The single biggest risk to the global economy is a hard landing in China which would have a material negative impact on the Australian economy.   Domestically, the continued decline in mining investment, soft income growth and weak public demand pose the greatest headwinds on growth. 
Market attention now quickly turns to the February Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP), published on Friday. In our view, the RBA is likely to leave its growth forecasts unchanged.  Near‑term headline inflation forecasts are likely to be downwardly revised due to lower oil prices.  But underlying forecasts should be left unchanged.  We expect the RBA’s unemployment rate forecasts to be revised down. 
Gareth Aird is economist at Commonwealth Bank and can be contacted <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://au.linkedin.com/pub/gareth-aird/14/790/905" target="_blank">here</a>.
 
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Domestic headwinds and any hard landing in China to determine RBA call: CBA's Gareth Aird

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GUEST OBSERVER
Here's the five numbers you need to know following the RBA’s decision to keep interest rates on hold at their first meeting for 2016.
10  
Tuesday’s outcome to leave rates on hold will see the cash rate at a record low of 2% for 10 consecutive months after the RBA’s last cut in May 2015.
3.89%
The lowest variable rate for owner-occupiers right now is 3.89% from Mortgage Simple. If your current rate isn’t as competitive as the rates offered by other lenders, it might be time to consider refinancing your home loan.
$42,467 
This is how much interest you could save by switching from a home loan with the average variable rate of 4.73% to the top variable rate on the market on a typical $300,000 loan over 25 years.
27
The number of basis points, on average, that lenders decreased 3 year fixed rates by in January. With plenty of competitive fixed rates on the market, fixing at least a portion of your home loan could be a good idea. 
6
This is how many lenders have reduced the rate premium for investors last month after the latest RBA lending figures showed investor mortgage balances grew within APRA’s capital regulations.
 
Kirsty Lamont is marketing director of <a href="https://mozo.com.au/" target="_blank">Mozo</a>.
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Mozo's five need-to-know numbers after the first RBA meeting for 2016: Kirsty Lamont

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The RBA governor Glenn Stevens' statement from February 2016 board meeting.
At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 2.0 per cent.
Recent information suggests the global economy is continuing to grow, though at a slightly lower pace than earlier expected. While several advanced economies have recorded improved growth over the past year, conditions have become more difficult for a number of emerging market economies. China's growth rate has continued to moderate.
Commodity prices have declined further, especially oil prices. This partly reflects slower growth in demand but also very substantial increases in supply over recent years. The decline in Australia's terms of trade, which began more than four years ago, has therefore continued.
Financial markets have once again exhibited heightened volatility recently, as participants grapple with uncertainty about the global economic outlook and diverging policy settings among the major jurisdictions. Appetite for risk has diminished somewhat and funding conditions for emerging market sovereigns and lesser-rated corporates have tightened. But funding costs for high-quality borrowers remain very low and, globally, monetary policy remains remarkably accommodative.
In Australia, the available information suggests that the expansion in the non-mining parts of the economy strengthened during 2015 even as the contraction in spending in mining investment continued. Surveys of business conditions moved to above average levels, employment growth picked up and the unemployment rate declined in the second half of the year, even though measured GDP growth was below average. The pace of lending to businesses also picked up.
Inflation continues to be quite low, with the CPI rising by 1.7 per cent over 2015. This was partly caused by declining prices for oil and some utilities, but underlying measures of inflation are also low at about 2 per cent. With growth in labour costs continuing to be quite subdued as well, and inflation restrained elsewhere in the world, consumer price inflation is likely to remain low over the next year or two.
Given these conditions, it is appropriate for monetary policy to be accommodative. Low interest rates are supporting demand, while regulatory measures are working to emphasise prudent lending standards and so to contain risks in the housing market. Credit growth to households continues at a moderate pace, albeit with a changed composition between investors and owner-occupiers. The pace of growth in dwelling prices has moderated in Melbourne and Sydney over recent months and has remained mostly subdued in other cities. The exchange rate has continued its adjustment to the evolving economic outlook.
At today's meeting, the Board judged that there were reasonable prospects for continued growth in the economy, with inflation close to target. The Board therefore decided that the current setting of monetary policy remained appropriate.
Over the period ahead, new information should allow the Board to judge whether the recent improvement in labour market conditions is continuing and whether the recent financial turbulence portends weaker global and domestic demand. Continued low inflation may provide scope for easier policy, should that be appropriate to lend support to demand.
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

Moderating dwelling price growth: RBA Governor Glenn Stevens' February 2016 statement

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The RBA cash rate decision came out at 2.30 today with the decision to hold rates. The bank's last move saw it go to 2 per cent at the May 2015 meeting.
Today’s decision to keep the cash rate unchanged came as no surprise.
Mortgage Choice chief executive officer John Flavell said today’s decision by the Board was ‘unsurprising’.
Tim Lawless, CoreLogic RP Data head of research, said there were plenty of reasons why the RBA may have contemplated cutting the cash rate today.
He noted however the housing market was playing out exactly as the RBA probably would have hoped:  losing steam without a collapse in values. 
"The last three months have seen capital city dwelling values drift 0.6% lower and capital city home values are up by only 0.7% over the past six months."
"The RBA probably doesn’t need to worry too much about over stimulating the housing market via another rate cut; mortgage rates are already higher than a year ago due to the higher capital requirements implemented by APRA and the pace of investment growth has fallen below APRA’s 10% speed limit imposed in December 2014.  
"With heat in the housing market no longer likely to be a major concern for the RBA, a major obstacle has been removed from preventing rate cuts and we may see the cash rate move lower later in the year," Lawless said.
Laing+Simmons managing director Leanne Pilkington said she hoped the banks follow the RBA’s lead and keep their rates steady too.
“Certainly there’s no genuine impetus for the majors to move independently, aside from greed,” she said.
 
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RBA holds interest rates at 2 percent at February 2016 meeting

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John Symond, executive chairman of Aussie Home Loans, says the RBA was unlikely to raise rates today particularly given the volatility of global equity markets.
I think central banks around the world will be very very careful in what they do with interest rates," he told Ross Greenwood's Money News radio program.
Ross Greenwood asked him whether the backdrop for banks to have more capital and restrict lending could mean higher rates, John Symond replied by saying that that's been the talk for probably the past three or four months.
"It would not surprise me if over the next few months that the banks creep up their lending rates, but I don't think they'll go through the roof."
"They may go up another 0.1 or 0.15 but at the moment I think consumers want every bit of help they can get to give them that bit of confidence."
The impact the RBA and the banking regulators limit in the growth the number of investment property loans had been significant when it came to on the hotter markets in Melbourne and Sydney last year.
"It has had a huge impact," Symond noted.
"I can tell you just from our own business that the amount of loans to investors has fallen significantly and has dampened the enthusiasm for investors to get in."
"It's not like investors are lining up and saying will you lend us some money, they've tended to fall away."
"The APRA moves to curtail investor lending has certainly been effective."
Ross Greenwood asked John Symond's point of view, despite his number of loans decreasing, whether he felt if it is a good thing so the prices didn't race out of control.
"I think all in all the market has accepted it in a pretty positive way and prices are continuing is levelling off," he said.
"I'm not one to not want price increases to be as sharp as they have been."
"The property market is levelling out and becoming a more healthy market."
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.2gb.com/audioplayer/151441" target="_blank">The full interview can be heard here.</a>
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Not through the roof, but John Symond thinks banks might raise rates

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Channel Nine's finance editor and host of Money News Ross Greenwood has appeared on the Today Show talking about the RBA's latest announcement.
Retweeted through his twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/Ross_Greenwood" target="_blank">@Ross_Greenwood</a> to his 38,000 followers, Ross suggested that the RBA could leave the door open for rate cuts later in the year.
"It depends on the volatility of the global markets," he said.
"We need to watch out for the banks and what they're going to do."
 
<img src="/images/2016/02/02/Screen%20Shot%202016-02-02%20at%2010.38.37%20am.png" alt="" width="641" height="520">
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Tweet of the day: Ross Greenwood talks RBA 

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<div>Low interest rates are allowing homeowners to forge ahead on repayments. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
From the Reserve Bank: "...two-thirds of borrowing is [now] covered by a repayment buffer of at least one month's worth of required mortgage payments, and for half of this, that buffer is more than one year." One third have at least a 12 month buffer, a remarkable statistic.
</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/16/RBA.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/16/RBA.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The RBA also found that across every state "all arrears levels are relatively low", with New South Wales the best placed of all thanks to its solid economic performance. </div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/12/16/RBA2.gif" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/16/RBA2.gif" alt=""></div>
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<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. 
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Homeowners forging ahead on repayments: Pete Wargent

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GUEST OBSERVER
After much delay and much warning the Fed has finally raised the Fed Funds rate from a range of 0-0.25% to 0.25-0.5%. The move signals confidence in the ongoing recovery in the US economy after the GFC.
Given ongoing deflationary risks and slow global growth future Fed hikes are likely to be cautious and gradual.
With the Fed decision out of the way, global shares are likely to resume their rising trend but with US shares as a relative underperformer.
Bond yields are likely to remain low which should b positive for real assets.
Rising US interest rates will help maintain downwards pressure on the value of the $A through 2016.
In the most anticipated and hotly debated interest rate decision ever the US Federal Reserve has opted to raise its Federal Funds target interest rate from a range of 0-0.25%, where it’s been for the last seven years, to the range of 0.25-0.5%.
<a href="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.39.29%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.39.29%20AM.png" alt="">
 
The move is hardly a surprise. The Fed has been talking about a rate hike ever since ending quantitative easing over a year ago. After being delayed in June and September, due to a combination of soft US data and financial market turmoil, the Fed has given ample warning recently of a December hike provided there were no unanticipated shocks and that economic data is consistent with further labour market improvement and confidence that inflation would rise. In the absence of any major shocks and with US economic data mostly favourable, the US money markets had effectively moved to price in the tightening.
 
More importantly the move should be seen as a “dovish hike” in that while the Fed has hiked the commentary around it was relatively dovish with the Fed indicating that it expects future increases in the Fed Funds rate to be “gradual” and dependent upon further “actual and expected progress towards” its inflation goal of 2%. Federal Reserve officials also lowered their median expectation for the Fed Funds rate (known as the “dot plot”) for end 2017 from 2.625% to 2.375%.
At its core the Fed's move is positive as it signals that the US economy is strong enough to be further taken of the life support that has been in place since the global financial crisis (GFC).
Against this though it’s understandable for investors to be wary as they have become used to zero interest rates for so long.
Why the hike?
The reasons for the hike are simple.
The extraordinary monetary easing since the GFC (zero interest rates and three rounds of quantitative easing) have done their job in seeing off the risk of a depression and returning US growth to reasonable levels. Jobs are now well up on pre GFC levels, unemployment is down to 5%, confidence is up, the housing sector has recovered and business is investing. And since inflation normally turns up with a lag after the jobs market has improved the Fed feels there is a strong argument to get going now.
<a href="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.42.22%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.42.22%20AM.png" alt=""> 
What does it mean for investment markets?
There are several reasons not to be too concerned about the Fed’s shift to a tightening cycle:
First, and perhaps most importantly the rate hike is a sign that the world’s biggest economy is getting back to normal after the havoc of the GFC. This is a good news.
Second, US economic downturns/recessions have historically only come three years after the first Fed rate hike in a tightening cycle. In fact, recession did not come for seven years after the February 1994 first hike and for three and a half years after the June 2004 first hike. This is because the first rate hike only takes monetary policy from very easy to a bit less easy and it’s only when monetary policy becomes tight after numerous rate hikes that the economy gets hit. This is often signalled by long term bond yields falling below short term interest rates. And we are a long way from that.
So while there can be share market wobbles around the first Fed rate hike after major easing cycles – just as we have seen this year – sustained problems usually only set in when monetary policy has become tight. This can be seen in the next chart. Shares had wobbles when interest rates first started to move up in February 1994 (US shares had a 9% correction at the time) in June 2004 (US shares had a 8% correction at the time) but thereafter they resumed their rising trend and a bear market did not set in till 2000 and 2007 after multiple hikes and with recessions looming.
<a href="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.44.38%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.44.38%20AM.png" alt="">
 
Third, other major countries – Europe, Japan, China and Australia – are still easing or are at least a long way from monetary tightening. So global monetary conditions will remain very easy which is positive for growth assets.
Fourth, while US shares are expensive on some measures after having outperformed since the GFC other share markets are relatively cheap. This is not 2000 or 2007.
Fifth, fears around an ever surging US dollar reaping havoc on US multinationals, commodity prices and emerging countries (via potential debt servicing problems) are overdone. For one thing despite widespread views to the contrary the relationship between US interest and the US dollar looked at on a trade weighted basis is rather messy.
<a href="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.45.48%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.45.48%20AM.png" alt="">
The $US actually fell through the Fed rate hike cycles of 1994-95 and 2004-06. In fact, the 20% rise in the value of the $US over the last two years could turn out to be a case of “buy on the rumour/sell on the fact”, to the extent it’s anticipated the Fed. What’s more the Fed is not oblivious to the $US as its gain over the last year is akin to around 150 basis points of US interest rate hikes in terms of bearing down on growth and inflation so it’s been doing the Fed’s job for it. 
So the rising $US will likely constrain the Fed, which in turn will limit upside in the $US itself.
Finally, and related to this, the Fed is likely to be gradual.
The experience this year with further global growth disappointment, falling commodity prices and falling/low inflation highlights that deflation remains a greater risk than inflation. As a result Fed rate hikes are likely to be very gradual and closer to market expectations for the Fed Funds rate to rise to 1.1% by the end of 2016 and 1.6% by end 2017 than the Fed’s median “dot plot” expectations for 1.375% by end 2016 and 2.375% by end 2017. This means that easy US monetary policy will likely be with us for some time. 
Combined with still ultra easy/easing monetary policy in other major countries, this suggests that bond yields are likely to remain low with any rise being very gradual.
In summary, with the Fed’s decision out of the way and future rate hikes likely to be gradual:
Shares are likely to resume their rising trend but with US shares being a relative underperformer. I find it hard to get bullish on emerging market shares generally but that has more to do with their own structural problems than the Fed.
Real assets like commercial property and infrastructure are likely to benefit from ongoing low bond yields and the search for yield.
Bonds are likely to offer constrained returns reflecting low yields, but a sharp sell-off is unlikely in the absence of a much more aggressive Fed.
Risks
While past experience suggest little reason to be too concerned by the first US rate hike, there are a few risks. In particular: the Fed is still underachieving on its inflation objective; global growth is still fragile and if the Fed’s rate hike does put more pressure on the value of the $US, the Fed may have made life more difficult for emerging countries; the combination of lower energy prices and higher US interest rates has led to an intensification of stress in the US credit market, as highlighted by some mutual funds that invest in junk bonds freezing redemptions (something certainly worth keeping an eye on).
There is long list of countries that have raised interest rates since the GFC – including Europe and Australia – only to cut them again. Japan had a similar experience in the 2000s. So there is always a risk the Fed may have made a similar mistake.
But the Fed does have the flexibility to keep its Fed Funds rate at the low end of its new range which would mean hardly any effective interest rate increase anyway. More importantly, most of these considerations simply reinforce the argument for the
Fed to be cautious and gradual in raising interest rates. Its commentary – and common sense – suggest it will be.
Impact on Australia
To the extent that the Fed’s interest rate hike signals a stronger US economy its good news for Australia. It doesn’t signal that higher Australian interest rates are on the way though.
Australian rates often follow the big swings in US rates, but in recent times they have diverged. With the Australian economy on a weaker trajectory relative to its potential than the US economy, the RBA will not be following the Fed into a rate hike.
In fact, the odds remain that the RBA will have to cut again as the mining boom continues to unwind, the contribution to growth from housing starts to peak next year and inflation remains low.
The main relevance of the US rate hike is what it means for the $A. With the Fed undertaking a dovish rate hike there is a risk that a further fall in the $A will be further delayed. But as the Fed undertakes more albeit gradual rate hikes next year, the RBA retains an easing bias and commodity prices remain weak the trend in the $A is likely to remain down with it heading to around $US0.60 sometime in the next 12 months.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author" target="_blank">SHANE OLIVER</a> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home" target="_blank">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.
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US Federal Reserve raises interest rates: AMP Capital's Shane Oliver

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A new study has found people who spend more than half of their household income on housing costs are significantly less happy than those who pay less than a quarter.
The Australian Unity Wellbeing Index survey found those with housing costs of 25% of household income or less have an average personal wellbeing index (PWI) score of 77.
Those who pay between 50-75% of their household income on housing score just 69.9 on average. 
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<img src="/images/2015/12/14/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-14%20at%202.41.16%20PM.png" alt="" width="638" height="244">
 
The survey found people without a mortgage have the highest overall levels of wellbeing. 
Deakin University senior research fellow Delyse Hutchinson said it is clear that there is a correlation between a lack of housing affordability and wellbeing. 
"It might be that housing costs are taking a toll on people’s life satisfaction, or those with lower personal wellbeing might face a greater challenge in their interaction with the tough housing market,” she said. 
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<img src="/images/2015/12/14/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-14%20at%202.43.05%20PM.png" alt="">
The full report can be viewed <a href="https://www.australianunity.com.au/about-us/wellbeing" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Housing affordability linked to personal wellbeing

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Economic growth predicted in the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index is stuck below trend, with growth in the Australian economy in the first half of 2016 under expectations.
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The Index, which predicts the likely pace of economic activity three to nine months into the future, decreased from –0.13% in October to –0.21% in November. 
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Westpac chief economist Bill Evans said components of the Index which have contributed to the slowdown are: ASX 200 (–0.38 percentage points); dwelling approvals (–0.13 ppt’s); yield spread (–0.37 ppt’s); and aggregate monthly hours worked (–0.17 ppt’s). 
"This result is a little disappointing. In the two previous months we had seen some modest improvement in the growth rate raising hopes that growth in the Leading Index might exceed trend by year’s end," he said.
"Unfortunately, the set-back in this result leads us to the more general conclusion that growth in the Leading Index remains stuck below trend. The growth rate has now been below trend for the last five months.  
"Recall that both Treasury and the Reserve Bank are now assessing trend (or potential) growth at 2.75%. Westpac’s current forecast for 2016 entails an annual growth pace in the first half of 2016 of 2.75% (trend). The signal from the Leading Index indicates that our forecast may be somewhat optimistic. "
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