Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Interest Rates

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GUEST OBSERVER
The RBA’s decision to leave the cash rate unchanged came as no surprise. 
Market pricing had implied very little chance of policy easing in February, largely because employment growth has lifted and the unemployment rate has been falling.      
The Governor’s Statement was the first commentary out of the RBA on the economy since mid‑December.  And it deviated from the usual carbon‑copy approach that was taken for most of the post‑meeting Statements over the second half of 2015.
In summary, the Bank appears a little less optimistic on the global economy and a touch more upbeat on the domestic economy.  Growth in the global economy is occurring at a “slightly lower pace than earlier expected”.  And financial markets have exhibited “heightened volatility recently” and “risk appetite has diminished”.   
On the domestic economy, the Governor notes that “expansion in the non‑mining parts of the economy strengthened during 2015 even as the contraction in spending in mining investment continued”.  
The Bank has acknowledged the marked improvement in the labour market.  Indeed, in December the Governor indicated that “stronger growth in employment” had been accompanied with a “steady rate of unemployment”.  This has now been replaced by a recognition that, “the unemployment rate declined in the second half of the year” even though the economy was growing below trend.  Critically, labour market developments will be the key input into near‑term policy direction (at least until the next read on inflation).  The Governor noted that, “new information should allow the Board to judge whether the recent improvement in labour market conditions is continuing”.  The Board will also assess whether, “the recent financial turbulence portends weaker global and domestic demand”. 
On inflation, the Governor acknowledged the impact that declining oil prices and some utilities have had on headline inflation.  But overall, consumer price inflation is expected to, “remain low over the next year or two”.  In December, inflation was “forecast to be consistent with the target over the next one to two years”. 
The Governor tweaked his commentary on the exchange rate, but the message remains the same. The AUD “continued its adjustment to the evolving economic outlook”. The AUD is currently 3.1% lower against the USD (1.8% lower on TWI basis) than it was when the RBA Board last met in December.  So monetary conditions have further eased. 
THE OUTLOOK
Our views on the labour market and inflation underpin our expectations that the cash rate will stay at 2.0% in 2016.  Inflation should drift a little higher as exchange rate pass‑through continues, though we expect it to be at the bottom end of the RBA’s target band.  On the unemployment rate, we see enough evidence in the leading indicators of jobs growth to suggest that the unemployment rate peaked in 2014.  We expect it to grind a little lower over 2016.
Markets, however, are still likely to continue to price in the chance of further RBA policy easing even though we don’t expect another rate cut to materialise.  This essentially reflects the balance of risks in the global and domestic economy, coupled with the RBA’s conditional easing bias.
The single biggest risk to the global economy is a hard landing in China which would have a material negative impact on the Australian economy.   Domestically, the continued decline in mining investment, soft income growth and weak public demand pose the greatest headwinds on growth. 
Market attention now quickly turns to the February Statement on Monetary Policy (SMP), published on Friday. In our view, the RBA is likely to leave its growth forecasts unchanged.  Near‑term headline inflation forecasts are likely to be downwardly revised due to lower oil prices.  But underlying forecasts should be left unchanged.  We expect the RBA’s unemployment rate forecasts to be revised down. 
Gareth Aird is economist at Commonwealth Bank and can be contacted <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://au.linkedin.com/pub/gareth-aird/14/790/905" target="_blank">here</a>.
 
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Domestic headwinds and any hard landing in China to determine RBA call: CBA's Gareth Aird

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GUEST OBSERVER
Here's the five numbers you need to know following the RBA’s decision to keep interest rates on hold at their first meeting for 2016.
10  
Tuesday’s outcome to leave rates on hold will see the cash rate at a record low of 2% for 10 consecutive months after the RBA’s last cut in May 2015.
3.89%
The lowest variable rate for owner-occupiers right now is 3.89% from Mortgage Simple. If your current rate isn’t as competitive as the rates offered by other lenders, it might be time to consider refinancing your home loan.
$42,467 
This is how much interest you could save by switching from a home loan with the average variable rate of 4.73% to the top variable rate on the market on a typical $300,000 loan over 25 years.
27
The number of basis points, on average, that lenders decreased 3 year fixed rates by in January. With plenty of competitive fixed rates on the market, fixing at least a portion of your home loan could be a good idea. 
6
This is how many lenders have reduced the rate premium for investors last month after the latest RBA lending figures showed investor mortgage balances grew within APRA’s capital regulations.
 
Kirsty Lamont is marketing director of <a href="https://mozo.com.au/" target="_blank">Mozo</a>.
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Mozo's five need-to-know numbers after the first RBA meeting for 2016: Kirsty Lamont

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The RBA governor Glenn Stevens' statement from February 2016 board meeting.
At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 2.0 per cent.
Recent information suggests the global economy is continuing to grow, though at a slightly lower pace than earlier expected. While several advanced economies have recorded improved growth over the past year, conditions have become more difficult for a number of emerging market economies. China's growth rate has continued to moderate.
Commodity prices have declined further, especially oil prices. This partly reflects slower growth in demand but also very substantial increases in supply over recent years. The decline in Australia's terms of trade, which began more than four years ago, has therefore continued.
Financial markets have once again exhibited heightened volatility recently, as participants grapple with uncertainty about the global economic outlook and diverging policy settings among the major jurisdictions. Appetite for risk has diminished somewhat and funding conditions for emerging market sovereigns and lesser-rated corporates have tightened. But funding costs for high-quality borrowers remain very low and, globally, monetary policy remains remarkably accommodative.
In Australia, the available information suggests that the expansion in the non-mining parts of the economy strengthened during 2015 even as the contraction in spending in mining investment continued. Surveys of business conditions moved to above average levels, employment growth picked up and the unemployment rate declined in the second half of the year, even though measured GDP growth was below average. The pace of lending to businesses also picked up.
Inflation continues to be quite low, with the CPI rising by 1.7 per cent over 2015. This was partly caused by declining prices for oil and some utilities, but underlying measures of inflation are also low at about 2 per cent. With growth in labour costs continuing to be quite subdued as well, and inflation restrained elsewhere in the world, consumer price inflation is likely to remain low over the next year or two.
Given these conditions, it is appropriate for monetary policy to be accommodative. Low interest rates are supporting demand, while regulatory measures are working to emphasise prudent lending standards and so to contain risks in the housing market. Credit growth to households continues at a moderate pace, albeit with a changed composition between investors and owner-occupiers. The pace of growth in dwelling prices has moderated in Melbourne and Sydney over recent months and has remained mostly subdued in other cities. The exchange rate has continued its adjustment to the evolving economic outlook.
At today's meeting, the Board judged that there were reasonable prospects for continued growth in the economy, with inflation close to target. The Board therefore decided that the current setting of monetary policy remained appropriate.
Over the period ahead, new information should allow the Board to judge whether the recent improvement in labour market conditions is continuing and whether the recent financial turbulence portends weaker global and domestic demand. Continued low inflation may provide scope for easier policy, should that be appropriate to lend support to demand.
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

Moderating dwelling price growth: RBA Governor Glenn Stevens' February 2016 statement

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The RBA cash rate decision came out at 2.30 today with the decision to hold rates. The bank's last move saw it go to 2 per cent at the May 2015 meeting.
Today’s decision to keep the cash rate unchanged came as no surprise.
Mortgage Choice chief executive officer John Flavell said today’s decision by the Board was ‘unsurprising’.
Tim Lawless, CoreLogic RP Data head of research, said there were plenty of reasons why the RBA may have contemplated cutting the cash rate today.
He noted however the housing market was playing out exactly as the RBA probably would have hoped:  losing steam without a collapse in values. 
"The last three months have seen capital city dwelling values drift 0.6% lower and capital city home values are up by only 0.7% over the past six months."
"The RBA probably doesn’t need to worry too much about over stimulating the housing market via another rate cut; mortgage rates are already higher than a year ago due to the higher capital requirements implemented by APRA and the pace of investment growth has fallen below APRA’s 10% speed limit imposed in December 2014.  
"With heat in the housing market no longer likely to be a major concern for the RBA, a major obstacle has been removed from preventing rate cuts and we may see the cash rate move lower later in the year," Lawless said.
Laing+Simmons managing director Leanne Pilkington said she hoped the banks follow the RBA’s lead and keep their rates steady too.
“Certainly there’s no genuine impetus for the majors to move independently, aside from greed,” she said.
 
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RBA holds interest rates at 2 percent at February 2016 meeting

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John Symond, executive chairman of Aussie Home Loans, says the RBA was unlikely to raise rates today particularly given the volatility of global equity markets.
I think central banks around the world will be very very careful in what they do with interest rates," he told Ross Greenwood's Money News radio program.
Ross Greenwood asked him whether the backdrop for banks to have more capital and restrict lending could mean higher rates, John Symond replied by saying that that's been the talk for probably the past three or four months.
"It would not surprise me if over the next few months that the banks creep up their lending rates, but I don't think they'll go through the roof."
"They may go up another 0.1 or 0.15 but at the moment I think consumers want every bit of help they can get to give them that bit of confidence."
The impact the RBA and the banking regulators limit in the growth the number of investment property loans had been significant when it came to on the hotter markets in Melbourne and Sydney last year.
"It has had a huge impact," Symond noted.
"I can tell you just from our own business that the amount of loans to investors has fallen significantly and has dampened the enthusiasm for investors to get in."
"It's not like investors are lining up and saying will you lend us some money, they've tended to fall away."
"The APRA moves to curtail investor lending has certainly been effective."
Ross Greenwood asked John Symond's point of view, despite his number of loans decreasing, whether he felt if it is a good thing so the prices didn't race out of control.
"I think all in all the market has accepted it in a pretty positive way and prices are continuing is levelling off," he said.
"I'm not one to not want price increases to be as sharp as they have been."
"The property market is levelling out and becoming a more healthy market."
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.2gb.com/audioplayer/151441" target="_blank">The full interview can be heard here.</a>
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Not through the roof, but John Symond thinks banks might raise rates

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Channel Nine's finance editor and host of Money News Ross Greenwood has appeared on the Today Show talking about the RBA's latest announcement.
Retweeted through his twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/Ross_Greenwood" target="_blank">@Ross_Greenwood</a> to his 38,000 followers, Ross suggested that the RBA could leave the door open for rate cuts later in the year.
"It depends on the volatility of the global markets," he said.
"We need to watch out for the banks and what they're going to do."
 
<img src="/images/2016/02/02/Screen%20Shot%202016-02-02%20at%2010.38.37%20am.png" alt="" width="641" height="520">
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Tweet of the day: Ross Greenwood talks RBA 

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<div>Low interest rates are allowing homeowners to forge ahead on repayments. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
From the Reserve Bank: "...two-thirds of borrowing is [now] covered by a repayment buffer of at least one month's worth of required mortgage payments, and for half of this, that buffer is more than one year." One third have at least a 12 month buffer, a remarkable statistic.
</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/12/16/RBA.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/16/RBA.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The RBA also found that across every state "all arrears levels are relatively low", with New South Wales the best placed of all thanks to its solid economic performance. </div>
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<div><a href="/images/2015/12/16/RBA2.gif" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/12/16/RBA2.gif" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. 
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
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Homeowners forging ahead on repayments: Pete Wargent

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GUEST OBSERVER
After much delay and much warning the Fed has finally raised the Fed Funds rate from a range of 0-0.25% to 0.25-0.5%. The move signals confidence in the ongoing recovery in the US economy after the GFC.
Given ongoing deflationary risks and slow global growth future Fed hikes are likely to be cautious and gradual.
With the Fed decision out of the way, global shares are likely to resume their rising trend but with US shares as a relative underperformer.
Bond yields are likely to remain low which should b positive for real assets.
Rising US interest rates will help maintain downwards pressure on the value of the $A through 2016.
In the most anticipated and hotly debated interest rate decision ever the US Federal Reserve has opted to raise its Federal Funds target interest rate from a range of 0-0.25%, where it’s been for the last seven years, to the range of 0.25-0.5%.
<a href="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.39.29%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.39.29%20AM.png" alt="">
 
The move is hardly a surprise. The Fed has been talking about a rate hike ever since ending quantitative easing over a year ago. After being delayed in June and September, due to a combination of soft US data and financial market turmoil, the Fed has given ample warning recently of a December hike provided there were no unanticipated shocks and that economic data is consistent with further labour market improvement and confidence that inflation would rise. In the absence of any major shocks and with US economic data mostly favourable, the US money markets had effectively moved to price in the tightening.
 
More importantly the move should be seen as a “dovish hike” in that while the Fed has hiked the commentary around it was relatively dovish with the Fed indicating that it expects future increases in the Fed Funds rate to be “gradual” and dependent upon further “actual and expected progress towards” its inflation goal of 2%. Federal Reserve officials also lowered their median expectation for the Fed Funds rate (known as the “dot plot”) for end 2017 from 2.625% to 2.375%.
At its core the Fed's move is positive as it signals that the US economy is strong enough to be further taken of the life support that has been in place since the global financial crisis (GFC).
Against this though it’s understandable for investors to be wary as they have become used to zero interest rates for so long.
Why the hike?
The reasons for the hike are simple.
The extraordinary monetary easing since the GFC (zero interest rates and three rounds of quantitative easing) have done their job in seeing off the risk of a depression and returning US growth to reasonable levels. Jobs are now well up on pre GFC levels, unemployment is down to 5%, confidence is up, the housing sector has recovered and business is investing. And since inflation normally turns up with a lag after the jobs market has improved the Fed feels there is a strong argument to get going now.
<a href="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.42.22%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.42.22%20AM.png" alt=""> 
What does it mean for investment markets?
There are several reasons not to be too concerned about the Fed’s shift to a tightening cycle:
First, and perhaps most importantly the rate hike is a sign that the world’s biggest economy is getting back to normal after the havoc of the GFC. This is a good news.
Second, US economic downturns/recessions have historically only come three years after the first Fed rate hike in a tightening cycle. In fact, recession did not come for seven years after the February 1994 first hike and for three and a half years after the June 2004 first hike. This is because the first rate hike only takes monetary policy from very easy to a bit less easy and it’s only when monetary policy becomes tight after numerous rate hikes that the economy gets hit. This is often signalled by long term bond yields falling below short term interest rates. And we are a long way from that.
So while there can be share market wobbles around the first Fed rate hike after major easing cycles – just as we have seen this year – sustained problems usually only set in when monetary policy has become tight. This can be seen in the next chart. Shares had wobbles when interest rates first started to move up in February 1994 (US shares had a 9% correction at the time) in June 2004 (US shares had a 8% correction at the time) but thereafter they resumed their rising trend and a bear market did not set in till 2000 and 2007 after multiple hikes and with recessions looming.
<a href="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.44.38%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.44.38%20AM.png" alt="">
 
Third, other major countries – Europe, Japan, China and Australia – are still easing or are at least a long way from monetary tightening. So global monetary conditions will remain very easy which is positive for growth assets.
Fourth, while US shares are expensive on some measures after having outperformed since the GFC other share markets are relatively cheap. This is not 2000 or 2007.
Fifth, fears around an ever surging US dollar reaping havoc on US multinationals, commodity prices and emerging countries (via potential debt servicing problems) are overdone. For one thing despite widespread views to the contrary the relationship between US interest and the US dollar looked at on a trade weighted basis is rather messy.
<a href="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.45.48%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-17%20at%2011.45.48%20AM.png" alt="">
The $US actually fell through the Fed rate hike cycles of 1994-95 and 2004-06. In fact, the 20% rise in the value of the $US over the last two years could turn out to be a case of “buy on the rumour/sell on the fact”, to the extent it’s anticipated the Fed. What’s more the Fed is not oblivious to the $US as its gain over the last year is akin to around 150 basis points of US interest rate hikes in terms of bearing down on growth and inflation so it’s been doing the Fed’s job for it. 
So the rising $US will likely constrain the Fed, which in turn will limit upside in the $US itself.
Finally, and related to this, the Fed is likely to be gradual.
The experience this year with further global growth disappointment, falling commodity prices and falling/low inflation highlights that deflation remains a greater risk than inflation. As a result Fed rate hikes are likely to be very gradual and closer to market expectations for the Fed Funds rate to rise to 1.1% by the end of 2016 and 1.6% by end 2017 than the Fed’s median “dot plot” expectations for 1.375% by end 2016 and 2.375% by end 2017. This means that easy US monetary policy will likely be with us for some time. 
Combined with still ultra easy/easing monetary policy in other major countries, this suggests that bond yields are likely to remain low with any rise being very gradual.
In summary, with the Fed’s decision out of the way and future rate hikes likely to be gradual:
Shares are likely to resume their rising trend but with US shares being a relative underperformer. I find it hard to get bullish on emerging market shares generally but that has more to do with their own structural problems than the Fed.
Real assets like commercial property and infrastructure are likely to benefit from ongoing low bond yields and the search for yield.
Bonds are likely to offer constrained returns reflecting low yields, but a sharp sell-off is unlikely in the absence of a much more aggressive Fed.
Risks
While past experience suggest little reason to be too concerned by the first US rate hike, there are a few risks. In particular: the Fed is still underachieving on its inflation objective; global growth is still fragile and if the Fed’s rate hike does put more pressure on the value of the $US, the Fed may have made life more difficult for emerging countries; the combination of lower energy prices and higher US interest rates has led to an intensification of stress in the US credit market, as highlighted by some mutual funds that invest in junk bonds freezing redemptions (something certainly worth keeping an eye on).
There is long list of countries that have raised interest rates since the GFC – including Europe and Australia – only to cut them again. Japan had a similar experience in the 2000s. So there is always a risk the Fed may have made a similar mistake.
But the Fed does have the flexibility to keep its Fed Funds rate at the low end of its new range which would mean hardly any effective interest rate increase anyway. More importantly, most of these considerations simply reinforce the argument for the
Fed to be cautious and gradual in raising interest rates. Its commentary – and common sense – suggest it will be.
Impact on Australia
To the extent that the Fed’s interest rate hike signals a stronger US economy its good news for Australia. It doesn’t signal that higher Australian interest rates are on the way though.
Australian rates often follow the big swings in US rates, but in recent times they have diverged. With the Australian economy on a weaker trajectory relative to its potential than the US economy, the RBA will not be following the Fed into a rate hike.
In fact, the odds remain that the RBA will have to cut again as the mining boom continues to unwind, the contribution to growth from housing starts to peak next year and inflation remains low.
The main relevance of the US rate hike is what it means for the $A. With the Fed undertaking a dovish rate hike there is a risk that a further fall in the $A will be further delayed. But as the Fed undertakes more albeit gradual rate hikes next year, the RBA retains an easing bias and commodity prices remain weak the trend in the $A is likely to remain down with it heading to around $US0.60 sometime in the next 12 months.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author" target="_blank">SHANE OLIVER</a> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home" target="_blank">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.
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US Federal Reserve raises interest rates: AMP Capital's Shane Oliver

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A new study has found people who spend more than half of their household income on housing costs are significantly less happy than those who pay less than a quarter.
The Australian Unity Wellbeing Index survey found those with housing costs of 25% of household income or less have an average personal wellbeing index (PWI) score of 77.
Those who pay between 50-75% of their household income on housing score just 69.9 on average. 
<a href="/images/2015/12/14/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-14%20at%202.41.16%20PM.png" target="_blank" style="line-height: 1.3em;">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/14/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-14%20at%202.41.16%20PM.png" alt="" width="638" height="244">
 
The survey found people without a mortgage have the highest overall levels of wellbeing. 
Deakin University senior research fellow Delyse Hutchinson said it is clear that there is a correlation between a lack of housing affordability and wellbeing. 
"It might be that housing costs are taking a toll on people’s life satisfaction, or those with lower personal wellbeing might face a greater challenge in their interaction with the tough housing market,” she said. 
<a href="/images/2015/12/14/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-14%20at%202.43.05%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/12/14/Screen%20Shot%202015-12-14%20at%202.43.05%20PM.png" alt="">
The full report can be viewed <a href="https://www.australianunity.com.au/about-us/wellbeing" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Housing affordability linked to personal wellbeing

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Economic growth predicted in the Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index is stuck below trend, with growth in the Australian economy in the first half of 2016 under expectations.
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The Index, which predicts the likely pace of economic activity three to nine months into the future, decreased from –0.13% in October to –0.21% in November. 
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Westpac chief economist Bill Evans said components of the Index which have contributed to the slowdown are: ASX 200 (–0.38 percentage points); dwelling approvals (–0.13 ppt’s); yield spread (–0.37 ppt’s); and aggregate monthly hours worked (–0.17 ppt’s). 
"This result is a little disappointing. In the two previous months we had seen some modest improvement in the growth rate raising hopes that growth in the Leading Index might exceed trend by year’s end," he said.
"Unfortunately, the set-back in this result leads us to the more general conclusion that growth in the Leading Index remains stuck below trend. The growth rate has now been below trend for the last five months.  
"Recall that both Treasury and the Reserve Bank are now assessing trend (or potential) growth at 2.75%. Westpac’s current forecast for 2016 entails an annual growth pace in the first half of 2016 of 2.75% (trend). The signal from the Leading Index indicates that our forecast may be somewhat optimistic. "
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