Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.

The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.

The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.

The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.

The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.

MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.

Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.

The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.

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MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.

"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.

"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."

The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.

Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.

Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.

"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.

"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."

MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.

"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.

"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."

Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.

"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."

The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.

MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.

Joel Robinson

First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

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Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.

But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.

Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]

The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.

It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]

Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.

Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.

Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]

Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.

"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.

A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.

It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.

At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.

Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]

Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.

"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.

The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.

More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.

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[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]

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Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

A collection of just 25 large-format apartments and penthouses overlooking Goodwin Park is entering the Coolangatta market, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marea-residences-coolangatta-27-27a-dixon-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Maréa Residences</a> combining a low-density, residential-only approach with uninterrupted park and Pacific Ocean outlooks.

Located at 27 Dixon Street, Maréa comprises three and four-bedroom residences alongside a limited number of dual-level penthouses, with the project positioned between Goodwin Park and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/coolangatta-qld-4225">Coolangatta</a>’s coastal precinct.

Construction has commenced, with completion currently estimated for late 2027. Three-bedroom residences are priced from $1.8 million.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374005]

The project has been designed around its northern outlook across the park, with the building’s architecture, landscaping and material palette intended to establish a connection with the neighbouring green space. The residences have been configured to maximise natural light and views across Goodwin Park towards the ocean.

Inside, the material palette incorporates timber, stone and brushed brass, complemented by curved detailing and ambient lighting. Kitchens and bathrooms carry the same natural material approach, while residences also include basement parking, storage and lift access.

Maréa’s penthouses are arranged over two levels and include private pools, adding another layer to the project’s focus on larger-format apartment living. Across the development, residences are configured with three or four bedrooms rather than the broader mix of smaller apartment types commonly found in larger projects.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374010]

Resident amenity is concentrated at rooftop level, where landscaped entertaining terraces and pools take advantage of elevated views across Coolangatta and the Pacific Ocean.

The project has so far been particularly well received by local owner-occupiers and downsizers, according to Urban Activation Property Sales and Marketing Director Matt George, with the residential-only format, construction quality and northern park outlook among the features resonating with purchasers.

“The uninterrupted northern aspect overlooking Goodwin Park has been a key point of difference, with buyers attracted to the sense of serenity and open space the park provides, while still enjoying easy access to the ocean and being within walking distance of the lifestyle and amenities Coolangatta has to offer,” George said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374002]

“The combination of high-quality construction, a residential-only building, park outlook and proximity to the beach has resonated strongly with the local downsizer market.”

The Dixon Street address is within walking distance of Coolangatta Beach and the broader southern Gold Coast coastline, including the surf breaks at Snapper Rocks and Kirra. Coolangatta’s cafés, restaurants and retail are nearby, while Gold Coast Airport is also within close proximity.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150999]

Maréa Residences brings parkside apartments to Coolangatta

Melbourne developer PDG has secured Victorian Government approval for its $1.5 billion Southbank development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-1-queens-bridge-street-southbank-vic-3006">The One</a>, clearing the way for the long-dormant riverfront site opposite Crown to finally be developed.

The Minister for Planning has approved the project at 1-29 Queens Bridge Street, with the Department of Transport and Planning issuing the planning permit following its assessment.

The approval will allow PDG to develop the prominent 5,059 sqm site with a major mixed-use tower comprising premium apartments, including branded residences, a luxury hotel and boutique office space.

PDG acquired the site in late 2024, with its position directly opposite Crown's main entrance and near Melbourne's Arts Precinct making it one of Southbank's most significant remaining development opportunities.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3933013e-6332-4386-b9be-089df05caf17" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sITIgBqDL0N3VNSMwWEmF5UA.uvcsRyu" />

Designed by COX in collaboration with ODO and PDG, the tower's architecture draws on the movement of the Yarra River, with six vertical pleats running the height of the sculpted facade.

The project will also see the heritage-listed Queens Bridge Hotel restored and incorporated into the development&nbsp;with new hospitality and public uses, including a rooftop venue.

A significant component of The One will be its residential amenity.

More than 5,000 sqm of resident facilities will be delivered across a single level, making it one of the largest consolidated residential amenity offerings proposed in an Australian apartment development.

The planning approval also incorporates a major upgrade of Queensbridge Square, which PDG will deliver in partnership with the City of Melbourne.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73167fcd-1031-4b6f-a408-a064cfe45ed1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Pf1AEWxw6SNmBqR0zQW5lyEze.MtxgFp" />

The existing square will be revitalised as a new civic and pedestrian space along the Yarra River, strengthening the connection between the project, Southbank and the riverfront.

PDG Founder and Managing Director Vince Giuliano said the approval represented a major milestone for a site which has remained largely underutilised for more than 15 years.

“This is the most significant Planning Permit approval Melbourne has seen in recent years,” Giuliano said.

“For more than 15 years, this site has remained underutilised. This approval enables us to deliver a project that will contribute meaningfully to the revitalisation of Southbank, restore and reactivate an important heritage building, and create a new civic and hospitality destination for Melbourne.”

The latest approval follows an earlier planning permit issued by the City of Melbourne covering demolition works across part of the site at 9-29 Queens Bridge Street. Those demolition and early works are already underway.

PDG has also started generating early interest in the residential component from owner-occupiers ahead of a planned public launch in early 2027.

PDG secures approval for $1.5bn Southbank apartment development, The One

Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.

The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.

That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.

The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.

A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.

&nbsp;

Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.

Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.

While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;

Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.

First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

Dwelling Prices

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GUEST OBSERVER
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Throughout November, capital city dwelling values rose by 0.2 percent. 
While the headline results remained in positive growth territory, the monthly capital gain reading was also the softest result since December 2015 when capital city dwelling values were unchanged over the month. The combined regional areas of Australia showed a weaker result with house values falling by 0.2 percent over the month. 
The soft performance across the combined capital city reading was attributable to a 1.5 percent fall in the Melbourne index, while all other capital cities recorded a positive month-on-month result.
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Delving into the Melbourne results in more detail showed that unit values were down a larger 3.2 percent in November, while Melbourne house values declined by 1.3 percent over the month. 
The November figures show that capital city dwelling values rose by 1.7 percent over the three months of spring; a substantial improvement over last year. Spring 2015 saw capital city dwelling values fall by 0.2 percent, with auction clearance rates dipping below 60 percent in late November and early December. 
In contrast, auction clearance rates held firm in the mid-70 percent range throughout spring this year, with Sydney clearance rates holding around the 80 percent mark over the past three months. 
On an annual basis, every capital city except for Perth is now showing a positive annual trend in dwelling value growth. The highest annual growth rate is evident in Sydney and Melbourne where dwelling values are now 13.1 percent and 11.3 percent higher respectively, reflecting a steeper upwards trajectory in growth over the second half of the year. The Hobart and Canberra markets have also seen some acceleration in growth rate trends with dwelling values up 8.5 percent, and 8.4 percent respectively over the past twelve months.
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For the first time since February 2015, Darwin’s annual growth rate has moved back into the black and recorded a 1.1 percent rise in dwelling values over the past year. Results for smaller cities such as Darwin, can tend to show higher levels of volatility. 
The November results also show a rise in transaction numbers across the Darwin market over recent months, supporting the moderate improvement in market conditions that the hedonic index is showing. 
Currently the national growth cycle has been in play for 4.5 years, with capital city dwelling values rising by 42.2 percent over the cycle to date. 
Disaggregating this growth figure highlights the diversity in market conditions with Sydney and Melbourne at one end of the spectrum experiencing an increase in dwelling values over this period of 67.3 percent and 46.3 percent respectively, while at the other end of the spectrum, Perth and Darwin values have broadly declined since 2014. Perth values are 6.9 percent higher since the cycle commenced in June 2012, while Darwin values are 13.8 percent higher over this period. 
It appears that higher unit supply is progressively weighing down the capital gains across Melbourne’s unit sector, with annual capital gains tracking at 3.9 percent for Melbourne units compared with a 12.2 percent annual gain in Melbourne house values. 
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A similar trend can be seen in Brisbane, where the supply of units across key inner city regions is also high. Brisbane house values were up 4.3 percent over the past twelve months compared with a 0.9 percent fall in unit values. 
With the unit supply pipeline remaining substantial, we expect to see a continuation of weaker market conditions across those unit markets where high supply levels are dampening the prospects for higher value growth.
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Rental yields reached a new record low in November across the combined capitals index due to dwelling values continuing to rise at a faster pace than weekly rental rates. The average gross rental yield across combined capital city dwellings is now recorded at 3.2 percent, down from 3.5 percent a year ago and 4.1 percent five years ago. 
Sydney and Melbourne share the lowest yield profile for detached housing, with an average of 2.8% in both cities, while the gross yield on Sydney units has fallen well below Melbourne’s at 3.8 percent. 
With rental markets remaining soft, it is likely there will be further yield compression across those markets where residential property values are rising. 
The only market segments where yields have improved over the past 12 months were the Hobart and Canberra unit markets where rental rates have shown a higher growth rate than unit values. 
It appears as though the low yield profile is no deterrent to investors, with ABS housing finance data showing a consistent rise in finance commitments for investment purposes since May this year. 
Clearly investors are continuing to see housing as the preferred investment option, despite low yields and a mature growth cycle. 
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Settled transaction numbers nationally have reversed their downward trend over recent months with CoreLogic estimates of settled sales rising to the highest level in a year. Even though transaction numbers have improved, settled sales remain 9.6 percent lower than a year ago. Every state and territory has shown a reduction in settled sales over the year, however the largest fall has been in Victoria with a 14.9 percent year-on-year decline. In contrast, CoreLogic mortgage valuation platforms experienced record daily volumes earlier this week, reflecting the robust level of late season market activity. 
As the last month of spring, November has seen listing numbers ramp up more substantially with the total number of homes advertised for sale over the past month now tracking higher than a year ago. The latest CoreLogic listing counts show there were approximately 113,500 properties advertised for sale over the past 28 days across the capital cities, which is 2.4 percent higher than the same time a year ago. 
Despite higher listing numbers at a combined capitals level, the hottest markets are still showing listing numbers lower than a year ago. Sydney listings are 9.4 percent lower than last year, while advertised stock levels in Melbourne are 2.9 percent lower. Hobart listings have fallen sharply compared with last year, to be 29 eprcent lower, whilst Canberra stock is 7.6 percent lower than a year ago. 
Lower stock levels in these markets are likely to be one factor contributing to the upwards pressure on dwelling values. Vendors are still very much in the driver’s seat in these markets and buyers have little in the way of leverage to negotiate, or time to consider their purchase decision. 
The strong selling conditions can also be seen in the average selling time, which is tracking at 31 and 32 days in Sydney and Melbourne respectively. Canberra and Hobart are showing the third and fourth fastest average selling times across the capital cities, at 44 and 48 days respectively. 
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With real estate agent activity across CoreLogic platforms easing over the past two weeks, it suggests that we may have moved through the peak of new listings activity. Additionally, as we move into the first month of summer, the housing market is likely to remain active for another two weeks before we start to see the normal seasonal slowdown in buyer numbers. 
After four and a half years of strong value growth, Mr Lawless said it’s hard to imagine a reacceleration in property values could be long lived. 
Affordability constraints are creating high barriers to entry, particularly in Sydney, and lenders are becoming more cautious in their lending practices. The supply pipeline is substantial for inner city units, which is likely to dampen value growth in these precincts as well as dent buyer confidence and push vacancy rates higher. 
Additionally, buyer enthusiasm could be muffled by speculation that interest rates may rise late next year, with fixed rates already starting to edge higher. 
With household debt at record levels, Australians are very sensitive to the cost of debt, and an expectation that the period of record low mortgage rates is approaching an end may reduce buyer demand. 
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Tim Lawless is head of the CoreLogic research and analytics team and can be contacted <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/author/timlawless/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Sydney dwelling values up 13 percent over the year while Perth remains in decline: Tim Lawless

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<div>The asking price for houses rose nationwide in November except Perth and Darwin according to SQM Research.</div>
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<div>SQM Research managing director Louis Christopher said the downturn in Perth and Darwin is a reflection of the mining industry.</div>
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<div>"Hobart's prices too have slipped back in November after a very strong run this year," he said.</div>
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<div>"Year-on-year, growth in asking prices is still high in Hobart, as well as Melbourne, which now leads the nation for growth in asking prices for houses. </div>
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<div>Notably, asking prices for Brisbane units are down over the year and with SQM Research predicting some oversupply in 2017, downward pressure is likely to remain on unit prices there and could extend to Sydney and Melbourne with some oversupply of units predicted in 2017 and 2018."</div>
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Asking house prices slip in Perth, Darwin: SQM Research

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We look at the regions that have had at least 50 settled sales in both 2015 and 2016.
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Each of the council areas that have recorded the greatest total value of sales over the past year have recorded a decline relative to a year ago.
The total value of transactions is an important figure to consider for real estate and mortgage professionals.  Because commission is typically calculated for real estate agents on the value of the sale and for mortgage providers based on the size of the loan, understanding where the value of transactions is greatest is valuable.  The following analysis looks at the value of sales across council areas; keep in mind that the size of the council region will have an impact.  We have only included regions that have had at least 50 settled sales in both 2015 and 2016.
<h3>Council areas with the highest value of sales, 12 months to Aug 2016</h3>
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Brisbane has recorded the greatest total value of sales over the past year at $16.8 billion however, the value is -11.2 percent lower over the year. The first table shows the total value of sales over the past year and the previous year for each of the 20 council areas nationally with the greatest value of sales.  Each of the top 20 regions listed have seen fewer overall sales and a lower total value of sales relative to 2015.
The second table shows the council regions that have seen the greatest increase in the overall value of sales over the past year. Circular Head in Tasmania has seen a 91.6 percent increase in the value of sales over the past year.  Most of the regions listed have seen an increase in sales over the year, the exceptions have been Circular Head and Wakefield. This suggests that the increase in value has been more driven by an increase in values of properties rather than an increase in turnover.
<h3>Council areas with the greatest increase in value of sales, 12 months to Aug 2016</h3>
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The final table highlights the council regions nationally that have recorded the greatest decline in the total value of sales over the past year.  Maranoa in Queensland has recorded then greatest decline in the total value of sales over the year, -48.1% lower.  In each of these regions except for Isaac in Queensland, the number of sales is lower over the year which is clearly contributing to the decline in value of sales.  A number of these regions are also linked to the mining and resources sector where home values have fallen substantially over recent years.  These factors are also contributing to the slide in the overall value of sales.
<h3>Council areas with the greatest decline in value of sales, 12 months to Aug 2016</h3>
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With the turnover of housing stock reducing across the country and fewer homes available for sale the amount of commission is reducing. One strategy that will help to alleviate this reduction in the commission pool is for industry participants to target those areas where turnover is increasing. Mortgage professionals will need to look more at opportunities in the refinance space, in Sydney and Melbourne in particular, these opportunities should be sufficient given the significant rise in housing equity over recent years. 
Of course, another strategy to protect revenue is to improve market share.  Many businesses tend to tighten the purse strings for marketing and business development, however a contracting market offers up good opportunities to expand market share and increase productivity.
Cameron Kusher is research analyst for CoreLogic. You can contact him <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/about/">here</a>.
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Brisbane property sales drop off: CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

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Housing price growth of between 4 and 6 percent is expected for 2017 for both detached houses and apartments supported by strong population growth and limited signs of oversupply according to Paul Bloxham, HSBC chief economist.
He said apartment prices are expected to track at a slower pace than detached houses. 
"In the detached house market there is only modest growth in new supply expected," he said.
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"Overall housing price growth should cool somewhat in response to continued tight prudential settings, particularly in the apartment market. 
"Weaker foreign demand, due to a lower RMB, is likely to weigh on the Sydney apartment market. 
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Weaker foreign demand to hit Sydney apartment market: Paul Bloxham's 2017 forecast

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GUEST OBSERVER
The release this week by the Greater Sydney Commission of city-wide draft plans mandating some measure of affordable housing in new developments is a step in the right direction. However, the target of 5-10 percent on rezoned land is too low to make a serious impact on the city’s affordable housing shortage. It must be more ambitious.
Research highlights the central importance of affordable, stable housing to economic and social wellbeing. Yet, in Sydney, the lack of affordable housing has reached crisis point. Everyone from community housing providers to Commonwealth Treasury secretary John Fraser is pointing out that rising house prices are creating massive social and economic problems.
Housing researchers and academic housing economists across Australia agree that an essential part of the policy mix is to mandate a significant percentage of affordable homes in all new housing developments. This is known as “inclusionary zoning”.
Other global cities such as New York and London have recognised the important role of housing in their economies and have inclusionary zoning policies. Other states in Australia have also set affordable housing targets. These have not had harmful impacts on housing investment.
<h2>Fighting to keep windfall profits</h2>
Predictably, parts of the property industry are already resisting any level of inclusionary zoning. Some developers claim that affordable housing targets will increase housing costs for the majority. They argue that profits lost on affordable housing will have to be recouped elsewhere. 
While we can expect this line of argument from those who profit from the status quo, it is fundamentally wrong for a simple reason. Housing developers will not bear the burden of these targets. Rather, it will be borne by land holders who currently make large windfall gains from selling land for development.
When land has been zoned to enable higher-density development, landholders reap these windfall profits without actually delivering any new housing or infrastructure.
For example, the site of a recently completed development in Sydney’s inner west was first purchased by a property company as industrial land for around A$8.5 million. Following a rezoning to higher-density residential, the site was sold again for A$48.5 million. In this case, the first buyer made a 471% windfall profit without building anything on the site.
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The seller of the rezoned site of the Lewisham Estates development made a 471% windfall profit without building a thing. Inner West Council
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If a fixed percentage of affordable housing becomes a condition of rezoning such sites, this will only affect the size of the landholder’s windfall gain. Developers will offer lower prices for the land, based on the mandated requirements for affordable housing. 
Remember that the uplift in land value results from public policy changes that allow for housing development or higher-density housing. It is not unreasonable, then, that landowner windfalls should be limited to achieve the important public policy outcome of housing affordability.
This is why some property developers do not object to inclusionary zoning. Indeed, some have been part of the push for inclusionary zoning, through their membership of the Committee for Sydney. They recognise that so long as the “playing field” is level for all, mandatory targets for affordable housing can be achieved without making development unprofitable or housing more expensive.
<h2>Government is conflicted</h2>
The New South Wales government has been reluctant to set significant inclusionary zoning requirements for new developments in several important parts of the city. One possible reason is that the government itself stands to reap revenue from rezoning and/or redevelopment of government-owned land.
It is especially inappropriate that government-owned land should be exploited in this way. In big development schemes where government is the major landowner, such as Central-Eveleigh, the Bays Precinct and Olympic Park, public good should trump Treasury “profits” on land release. Government should not be in the business of extracting its own windfall at the cost of housing affordability.
Inclusionary zoning targets should therefore be much higher for housing developments on government-owned land, especially in major renewal precincts. Not only would developments on such sites still yield a “profit” for the taxpayer, they would deliver a social benefit to the wider community at no real cost and without impacting feasibility.
<h2>What targets should be set?</h2>
We join those in the housing sector who believe that at least 15% of housing in new private developments should be affordable. On publicly owned land, at least 30 percent of new housing developments should be affordable.
Of course, the details of land zoning matter. If targets are set, we must ensure the definition of “affordable” actually achieves the goal of reducing housing stress for people on low and moderate incomes while maintaining housing quality.
Substantial inclusionary zoning requirements will not make development more expensive. They will make it harder for land speculators to make large profits while making no contribution to the social and economic future of New South Wales.
It is high time the foxes in the henhouse were called to account.
 
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/laurence-troy-2403" target="_blank">Laurence Troy</a> is research associate - City Futures Research Centre, UNSW Australia
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/dallas-rogers-5269" target="_blank">Dallas Rogers</a> is urban studies researcher: Institute for Culture and Society &amp; Urban Research Program, Western Sydney University
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/emma-power-250930" target="_blank">Emma Power</a> is senior research fellow, Geography and Urban Studies, Western Sydney University
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/hal-pawson-147969" target="_blank">Hal Pawson</a> is associate director - City Futures - Urban Policy and Strategy, City Futures Research Centre, Housing Policy and Practice, UNSW Australia
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/kurt-iveson-1223" target="_blank">Kurt Iveson</a> is associate professor of Urban Geography, University of Sydney
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/louise-crabtree-128457" target="_blank">Louise Crabtree</a> is senior research fellow, Institute for Culture and Society, Western Sydney University
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/michael-darcy-119569" target="_blank">Michael Darcy</a> is professor, Urban Research Program, Western Sydney University
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/peter-phibbs-27130" target="_blank">Peter Phibbs </a>is chair of Urban Planning and Policy, University of Sydney.
All are authors for The Conversation.
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Sydney needs higher affordable housing targets

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GUEST OBSERVER
Higher property prices are not only associated with higher income inequality but also with a higher inequality in household spending, our research shows.
We examined three decades of data from 1982 to 2012 in Iran, where income inequality is the highest in the Middle East.
We found that a 1 percent increase in housing costs increases income inequality by 0.125 percent. This is taking into account other important economic, political and social determinants of inequality (such as income per capita, inflation, government spending and the quality of political institutions). We also found that inequality of spending increases by 0.248 percent when housing costs are 1 percent higher.
Although our findings are based on data from Iran, this a common theme for much of the developing and developed world. For example, a similar study in Singapore shows a significant correlation between increasing private property prices and increasing income inequality. 
Researchers in the UK also argue that increases in housing prices change the distribution of welfare towards home owners, and away from non-homeowners. Another study showed housing is driving a long-term rise in income in seven large developed economies (the United States, Japan, Germany, France, the UK, Italy, and Canada). 
Income inequality is among the top challenges for policy makers globally. In a recent survey of 1,767 leaders from academia, business, government and non-profits, The World Economic Forum’s Global Agenda Council found increasing income inequality to be top global concern in 2015.
Income inequality has several harmful consequences for societies. For example, a World Bank study shows that income inequality has a significant negative effect on GDP in the long-run. Inequality has also been identified as one of the main drivers of social unrest in the Arab World, in the recent British vote to leave the European Union and in the US Presidential election. 
<h2>Why housing costs and inequality are linked</h2>
There are a number of reasons why increases in house prices and inaccessibility of housing can lead to increased income inequality. 
Property is a very important asset for households that brings many income advantages. Some of these include a return on investment from increases in house prices and the savings households make when they don’t have to pay rent. So unaffordable housing restricts low-income households from accessing these financial benefits. 
There are also intergenerational effects of housing on inequality. If affordable housing decreases, wealthy families and lower income families become more segregated. This leads to greater differences in education for the children of poor and rich families.
For example, research showsparents can make it more likely for their children to grow up to be high income earning adults through the education and the peers that their children have. Those who have a better quality schooling are more likely to earn more as adults.
Because of this research also indicates wealthy parents have an incentive to cluster into neighbourhoods with other wealthy families, to decrease the cost of providing high quality education for their children, and for other social reasons.
If there is less affordable housing it makes it easier for this segregation to occur, increasing inequality. For example, there is a significant gap between the quality of education between northern parts of Tehran (home to Tehran’s most expensive houses) and southern parts of Tehran. 
Rising house prices also stop the migration of unskilled labour to more productive regions, this in turn slows down a mixing of people with different incomes in these areas. This mixing can reduce income inequality, as poorer geographic regions experience faster economic growth. 
Rising house prices may also lead to a concentration of wealth, this means those who have wealth also have greater returns on it. 
In terms of tackling this type of inequality, governments should expand access to affordable housing finance to lower income families. Policymakers also need to redefine capital gains tax on investment properties to reduce the income differences between landlords and tenants. 
Finally, taxation that better caters to low income first-time home buyers may allow lower income households access not only to more stable housing, but also to the longer term financial benefits associated with owning their own homes.
Hassan F. Gholipour is lecturer in economics, Swinburne University of Technology and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/hassan-f-gholipour-309444" target="_blank">here</a>.
Jeremy Nguyen is lecturer in economics, Swinburne University of Technology and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/jeremy-nguyen-316390" target="_blank">here</a>.
Mohammad Reza Farzanegan is professor of economics of the Middle East, University of Marburg and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/mohammad-reza-farzanegan-316293" target="_blank">here</a>.
All are authors for The Conversation.
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Higher property prices linked to income inequality: study

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<div>New figures from SQM Research predict an acceleration in dwelling price rises in Sydney and Melbourne for the 2017 calendar year.</div>
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 SQM's Boom and Bust Report said the housing market is currently at its second most overvalued point on record, driven by a combination of factors including loose monetary policy, strong population growth and booming local economies, especially in New South Wales and Victoria.</div>
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<div>SQM managing director Louis Christopher said the capital city average forecast is for dwelling prices to rise 6 percent to 10 percent. </div>
  "SQM Research forecasts an acceleration of dwelling price rises in Sydney and Melbourne with Sydney dwelling prices forecasted to rise 11 percent to 16 percent for the 2017 calendar year, while Melbourne is forecasted to rise by 10 percent to 15 percent," he said.  </div>
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"The forecasts assume a stable interest rate environment, a stable exchange rate and no further home lending restrictions by APRA. If lending rates are cut again by the RBA, Sydney and Melbourne prices could rise by up to 18 percent for the year as forecasted by SQM’s “Scenario 2 outlook”. </div>
<div> "But the end of 2017 will see both Sydney and Melbourne markets dangerously overvalued, paving the way for a possible correction in 2018."</div>
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Dwelling price rises to ramp up in Sydney, Melbourne in 2017: SQM

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Housing price growth in Sydney remains stronger than any where else in the country due to the welcoming accompanying spurt in jobs along with improved economic conditions.
But the substantial cost of housing in Sydney makes it a less desirable location for people to live here. 
The price boom of 2012-2016 will result in many young families considering alternatives to Sydney, especially when it comes time to upgrade to a bigger house.  
Overseas migration typically attracts the headlines as the key factor in population growth and price growth, but what is often overlooked is the impact of interstate migration on the demographic composition of the states and territories.
Yes net overseas migration added 180,000 people to the Australian population, but some 350,000 people moved between states and territories in 2015. 
Victoria recorded the highest overall population growth rate of all states and territories at 1.9 percent, adding an extra 114,900 people to the population with net overseas migration the main contributor to growth in Victoria, adding 62,800 people to the population over the year. The remainder of Victoria's population change was explained by natural increase (+37,600) and net interstate migration (+14,500).
NSW's was 1.4 per cent, adding 103,000 over the year ending March 2016, but NSW had 90,000 interstate arrivals over the year and around 100,000 who left.
The exodus is underway.
The change in interstate migration over recent years has increasingly seen a shift from Queensland as the destination to Victoria due to its substantially more affordable housing costs and job prospects.
The recent change has been driven by the working age population, in particular between 20-29 years old. It follows that this mobile demographic will eventually buy their first home in Melbourne rather than Sydney. 
The latest CoreLogic data showed annual growth in Sydney home prices remains just shy of 11 percent and growth remains close to 10 percent in Melbourne.
But there are big difference in prices.
Sydney's $920,000 to Melbourne's $665,000 for houses.
Sydney's $690,000 to Melbourne's $495,000 for apartments.
Sydney units have regularly been more expensive than Melbourne houses and Sydney median unit prices have consistently been higher than Melbourne median house prices since early 2012.
It was telling that the latest CoreLogic release confirmed Sydney's price growth was strong across both houses and apartments. 
Detached Sydney house prices were up 10.9 percent compared with units at 9.1 percent highlighting the lively supply/demand dynamic that exists across the Sydney region.
In Melbourne however there is a substantial difference in growth rates between houses and units, with house values up 9.6 percent compared with a 5.2 percent increase in unit values over the past year.
Brisbane’s housing market has shown a even larger spread, with house values up 4.7 percent compared with units which have had a 1.4 percent fall in unit values over the year. 
Cameron Kusher at CoreLogic believes outside of Sydney and Melbourne, cheaper housing alone was proving not enough to attract people to these cities as they lacked a strong economy with decent employment prospects.
So the young families aren't leaving the city in favour of seachange and treechange lifestyle locations.
Indeed Melbourne had the largest overall population growth of all Greater Capital Cities up by 91,600 people, or 2.1 percent to $4.5 million, followed by Sydney up 83,300 to 4.9 million in 2014-15.
Greater Sydney's population grew by 1.7 percent in 2014-15, which accounted for 80 percent of the total NSW growth, with Waterloo, in inner Sydney, having the largest increase, up by 3,100 people.
This article was first published in the Saturday Daily Telegraph.
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The Sydney exodus is underway as prices rise

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We need to get creative on the solutions to housing affordability.
Focusing on first home buyer and retiree activity is critical to literally get NSW moving again as the figures are so compelling.
Sales activity in many parts of Sydney has dropped by over 30 percent in the past 10 years, whilst the population has grown by over 15 percent.
This is not a good story and when you consider we are slipping behind on new construction at the rate of 5,000 dwellings per year, a fast turnaround is critical. We need to greater flexibility in town planning to provide the types of dwellings that will entice people to move, not just the high rise jungles solution currently on the table.
Vibrant integrated communities around infrastructure and transport hubs are essential to long term community benefit, where low cost housing solutions and both retail and commercial interests are side by side with mixed low, medium and high density residential living. It’s not hard to achieve but it requires vision and resolve to make it happen and happen quickly.
Queensland and Western Australia provide interesting examples as to how Governments can address affordability. Both states lowered stamp duty, reducing a major deterrent to people relocating, which saw people moving to new homes more frequently as their living requirements changed.
The net impact on Government revenue overall was negligible but the opportunities for first home buyers were given a boost.
By assisting those living in largely empty family homes, perhaps close to retirement or on a pension, Government has an opportunity to free up stock.
With presumably no mortgage these people are asset rich, however under the current system if they wanted to sell, all they would achieve is a reduction to their asset base and possible loss of entitlements by having too much money in the bank.
If the cost for people to move to smaller homes was reduced, ideally by removing stamp duty for retirees and ensuring sale proceeds aren’t means tested, more people would bring their properties to market and thereby increase supply.
Encouraging new supply is a central solution to addressing the affordability issue. While the NSW Government is making a conscious effort to provide new housing, this attracts investors because the depreciation on a new build is significant.
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Without discouraging investors, who play an important role in a diverse market, we need to investigate new ways to help those serious about a first home purchase. Simply waiting for prices to drop is insufficient and may lock would-be first home buyers out of the market forever.
For too long both state and federal governments have stuck their heads in the sand on the affordability issue - and when the market takes off like it has the past three years they “cry wolf” and start looking for band-aid solutions.
There is no singular quick fix because the horse has bolted in NSW due to 10 years of inaction.
However there is still hope and it will need a co-ordinated response from both federal and state governments working with the construction industry and all property industry stakeholders to get an equitable duty and tax regime in place to incentivise more activity in both established and new housing.
John Cunningham is president of the REINSW and can be contacted <a href="https://www.reinsw.com.au/imis15_prod/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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We need to get creative on the solutions to housing affordability: John Cunningham

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When I described Australia’s price data mess at a recent seminar, many in the audience were incredulous.
Some had believed that if a national newspaper told them Sydney prices had risen 10 percent, based on figures from a well-known research entity, then that was a fact to be relied upon.
If a research report portrayed a 10 percent decline in Darwin apartment prices, that was information you could take to the bank.
I showed that audience how different the reality was. With scary regularity, figures about prices from one source are commonly contradicted by data from others.
The problem is, no one in Australian media seems to have noticed. If journalists are aware, they’ve decided to ignore that reality because it makes life complicated.
So this week media dined out on the latest price figures from CoreLogic. Here’s a sampling of the headlines:-
Sydney house prices cement return to double-digit growth (AFR)
Sydney, Melbourne, Canberra house prices galloping ahead (New Daily)
Strong early spring for Melbourne home prices as values rise again (Herald Sun) 
There were many other similar ones. Those headlines and the articles that followed showed a blind acceptance of the figures from that one source as absolute fact.
But they’re nothing of the sort. They’re just one version of the truth, which can change dramatically depending on who you’re listening to. 
Sydney house prices were stated by CoreLogic to have risen 10.9 percent in the past year. Stand by for another TV cameo from Alan Kohler, telling ABC watchers that Sydney’s still booming.
But the latest figures from Domain claim that annual house price growth in Sydney is just 2.1 percent. Meanwhile, SQM Research reports annual growth of 1.7 percent and Residex says 2.1 percent. 
There are similar discrepancies with the figures for the Sydney apartment market. CoreLogic reports an annual rise of 9.1 percent, while SQM says 4.0 percent, Residex 4.2 percent and Domain just 0.9 percent.
The most recent Property Price Indexes from the ABS reported a rise of 3.6 percent for Sydney.
Those are big differences. One source claims Sydney is still booming while others portray an end to the boom. You’ll notice that CoreLogic is very much the odd one out.
But the differences are even more startling in other cities.
CoreLogic reports a 10.2 percent annual rise for Darwin’s apartment market, but Residex records a 10.9 percent decline. One portrays a boom and the other a disaster. They can’t both be right – and there’s a strong possibility they’re both wrong. Domain records a 4 percent rise and SQM a 2.7 percent fall.
SQM says Hobart’s apartment market is up a rather spectacular 21.7 percent, but Domain reports an 11.7 percent decline. One claims a nation-leading runaway boom and the other a catastrophic decline.
What are we to believe?
CoreLogic reports a rise of 6.3 percent for apartment prices as the average situation across the eight capitial cities. Economists interpret this as “Australian apartment prices are up 6.3 percent” while myopic ratings agencies like Standard &amp; Poor’s see it (taken in conjunction with the high levels of new supply) as evidence that a “sharp correction” in prices is looming.
But are “Australian apartment prices” really up 6.3 percent? SQM records an overall position of a 0.1 percent decline for that same market, while Domain reports a rise of just 1.2 percent and Residex says the market overall is up 3.9 percent.
Similarly, what are we meant to believe about Sydney’s median house price? The price of the mid-range Sydney house is $920,000, $1,068,000 or $1,165,000, depending on which researcher you believe. There’s a difference of $245,000 between the highest and the lowest.
The greatest problem is the way media reports each set of figures. Each is re-cycled to the public as fact. No one highlights the reality that they’re statistics from a single source and that other sources are delivering different results.
It’s a serious situation. Consumers base big investment decisions on these figures. They shouldn’t, but they do. 
I’ve heard investors talking about their intention to dive into the Sydney market because they read somewhere that prices are still rising at a double-digit rate. They missed the previous week’s article which said prices were rising only 2 percent.
We’re at a point where consumers can believe almost nothing that they read on real estate prices.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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