Plans have been revealed for the third and final stage of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/billbergia">Billbergia</a>’s $3 billion Rhodes Central masterplan, bringing the iconic new town centre closer to completion.&nbsp;

The final tower, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/cascade-23-25-marquet-street-rhodes-nsw-2138">Cascade</a>, at&nbsp;23-25 Marquet Street in Sydney’s inner west, will comprise 361 new dwellings, a mix of critically needed affordable housing and multi-generational apartments.&nbsp;

Vibrant retail, interactive public space, an upscale food and beverage offering and an alfresco dining plaza will also be delivered alongside Cascade tower as part of the final stage, which comes off the back of&nbsp;the masterplan’s successful first two stages.&nbsp;

Stage one saw 568 apartments delivered along with the national award-winning Rhodes Central shopping centre, while stage two has delivered a further 673 apartments atop the $85 million Rhodes Recreation Centre.&nbsp;

Officially opened in November 2025 by Mayor Michael Megna, the Recreation Centre was delivered under a Voluntary Planning Agreement with City of Canada Bay Council. It features essential community facilities including a gym, early childhood learning centre, indoor sports courts, and a gymnastics area as well as commercial tenancies and amenities.

Once complete, the five-tower Rhodes Central masterplan will deliver a combined total of over 1,600 new homes for about 3,500 people, along with community infrastructure, retail, dining, and an expansive new public domain and plaza along Marquet Street. A new basement and podium rooftop will connect all five buildings and allow residents to share amenities.

<img alt="$3 billion Rhodes Town Centre vision comes to life with final stage" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="973ae3a2-58e6-4994-8965-ed9332a57e8a" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Masterplanaerialimage.jpg?VersionId=Mj.mjUQyfh334xG71LQr7wCFu3mmDxnj" />

“We’re now a step closer to realising our vision for Rhodes Central,"&nbsp;said Saul Moran, Development Director – Planning and Design at Billbergia..

"With brand new retail and more public open space, this final stage embodies our commitment to creating connected communities and delivering housing diversity amid Sydney’s housing crisis. It also completes the landmark town centre precinct that has been almost 20 years in the making."

The project sets a benchmark for Transport Orientated Development. It brings life to Billbergia’s vision for a future-focused, liveable urban environment that prioritises amenity, not just density. &nbsp;Overall, it will deliver more than 25,000 sqm in publicly accessible amenity, including Rhodes Central Shopping Centre, Rhodes Recreation Centre, commercial office space and a further 1,200 square metres of retail space in stage three.

“Rhodes has evolved over two decades from a former industrial site into a connected, thriving community," said John Pradel, Partner and Master Plan Lead at SJB.

"Each stage has built on the last, adding not just housing, but the civic and social spaces that make a place truly liveable and allow the community to flourish."

<img alt="$3 billion Rhodes Town Centre vision comes to life with final stage" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7e96de93-e50a-424f-9de8-7b3d9c2c0f12" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/BLBG0900_RCSGIII_R02%20Retail%20Laneway%20copy.jpg?VersionId=3TksNisT5iwyBCGhGUvHDtR9aIca9_OQ" />

Ideally positioned adjacent to the 13,000 sqm Rhodes Central shopping centre, stage three will boast an additional 10 per cent of retail space, an upmarket restaurant offering, an open-air dining plaza and an expansive 2,000-square-metre addition to the public domain extending into the retail forecourt.&nbsp;

This new realm will enhance pedestrian connectivity while showcasing an interactive water feature and engaging public art. It has been designed as an active community space and will also feature pop-up civic infrastructure, including a community stage and kiosk for placemaking events.

The residential tower Cascade will comprise 361 apartments over 39-levels, including 72 affordable dwellings. Apartments will be available in a range of floorplans from one to four-bedroom configurations, with a luxe two-storey “skyhouse” spanning the top two levels. Communal viewing decks and gardens with BBQ facilities will crown Cascade’s rooftop, offering expansive views of the Blue Mountains to the West and Brays Bay and Sydney CBD to the East.&nbsp;

<img alt="$3 billion Rhodes Town Centre vision comes to life with final stage" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="814da600-5368-49d3-8fec-025521a4d0e2" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/BLBG0900_RCSGIII_IN01%20Apt%2037.04%20Livingy%20copy.jpg?VersionId=.xA6cpRQLx4kJiQayt3OrydVQ9ReGmXP" />

High-profile architecture firm <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a> will design the final stage after winning a design excellence competition in collaboration with Land and Form in September 2024. The Rhodes Central masterplan was originally conceived by SJB in 2005, with the firm subsequently delivering the design for Stages One and Two.&nbsp;

Cascade has a striking design with a slender tower grounded by a four-storey podium. The tower is divided into three forms, with a distinctive silhouette that resembles three fingers. The design optimises amenity and privacy while maximising views towards both Sydney CBD and Homebush Bay.&nbsp;

According to SJB, the project’s design aims to deliver a range of dwelling types, including multi-generational floorplans, catering to emerging needs of the growing population.

Emily Wombwell, Director and Design Lead at SJB, said their concept encompasses a broader site vision that integrates this site with Rhodes Town Centre through a new iconic building and generous public domain.

"Cascade’s design offers a variety of living typologies that cater to a diverse range of existing and emerging demographics. The proposal aims to improve social and environmental connections by creating a safe and welcoming landscape for existing and future communities of Rhodes."

Billbergia has filed a&nbsp;State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for the final stage. Demolition has been completed on site, early works including excavation will begin early 2026, with completion estimated in 2030.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135080]

Joel Robinson

Billbergia unveils new Cascade apartment tower with final stage of $3 billion Rhodes Town Centre

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/veue-grand-at-the-orchards-norwest-15-19-spurway-drive-norwest-nsw-2153">Veue Grand</a>, one of the latest stages to launch within Sekisui House Australia’s $1 billion The Orchards masterplan, is uniquely positioned at the literal and conceptual centre of Norwest’s growing residential precinct.&nbsp;

Surrounded by the evolving green corridors, community amenities and transport links that define this landmark development, Veue Grand stands as a pivotal piece in the masterplan’s broader vision of lifestyle-driven urban renewal.

Comprising 217 apartments spread across two mid-rise buildings of 11 and 18 levels, Veue Grand is the final release in Stage 4 of The Orchards. This centrally located release offers direct access to the project’s expansive parklands, kilometres of cycling and walking paths, and a soon-to-be-thriving village ecosystem. Buyers will also benefit from proximity to Norwest Metro Station, which places Sydney’s Martin Place within a 45-minute journey.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149249 project_image_fid=333202]

Sales momentum has been immediate. Over $65 million in transactions were secured at launch, including a record-setting four-bedroom penthouse that sold for over $4 million, the highest recorded sale in Norwest to date.&nbsp;

According to David Lee, Sales Manager at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a>, this level of demand underscores both the trust in the developer and the appeal of the apartments’ design and positioning.&nbsp;

“We have witnessed strong demand across all apartment types… [and] achieved a record sale, which speaks volumes about both the quality of the product and confidence buyers have in the brand,” he said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149249 project_image_fid=333212]

At Veue Grand, layout diversity plays a central role in meeting buyer expectations. One, two, three and four-bedroom apartments have been designed with natural light and open-plan living in mind, with a notable focus on introducing efficient, entry-point two-bedroom, one-bathroom homes. This new typology accounted for nearly a quarter of all initial sales, a clear signal that the project is successfully addressing affordability pressures while maintaining quality standards.

Each residence benefits from full-height glazing, generous balconies, and the surrounding views of landscaped water features, parklands and bushland.&nbsp;

The buildings’ form, designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/crone-architects">Crone Architects</a>, draws on organic geometry and a muted natural palette, aligning with The Orchards’ broader design language and sustainability goals.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149249 project_image_fid=333205]

Resident amenity is a key feature of the Veue Grand offering. A dedicated indoor pool, spa, gym, and communal function spaces will be complemented by access to The Orchards’ future community centre and outdoor cinema. These facilities are embedded within an expansive green setting that includes 1.4 hectares of landscaped public space, including a natural creek and dense native planting.

Buyers are not only responding to architecture and amenity but to the promise of lifestyle continuity. Downsizers from within a 10-kilometre radius have shown strong interest in the larger apartments and penthouses, while first home buyers and investors are leveraging recent interest rate shifts to secure stock in one of the Hills District’s most connected neighbourhoods.

With construction already underway and tracking ahead of schedule, Veue Grand is slated for completion in late 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=49249]

Staff Writer

Veue Grand takes centre stage at The Orchards, Norwest masterplan

There are few property developers nationally that can boast a workbook like the ASX-listed developer Cedar Woods. With eight apartment buildings under construction across four states, Cedar Woods is well positioned to take advantage of what Managing Director Nathan Blackburne says is a “national shortage of apartments.”

Cedar Woods purposefully has a diversified portfolio of apartments, townhouses, commercial, and residential communities across the country, enabling the business to remain resilient through market cycles and respond to shifting buyer demand.

Blackburne says there is a great shortfall of housing of all typologies, none more so for apartments. He says that is the case particularly in Perth, where the lack of new apartment projects has been particularly acute.

“Perth has been more affected than Melbourne,” Blackburne explains, noting that over the past five years, “very few new apartment projects” have been launched in either city. Historically, apartments made up around 20 per cent of new housing nationally. Cedar Woods estimates that figure has fallen to around 10 per cent today, a gap they believe must close.

<h2>Apartment appeal rebounding as supply shrinks</h2>

There are signs the tide is turning however. Blackburne says buyer apartment sentiment really picked up in mid 2025. “In October we saw our strongest sales month for apartments in Perth.” The buyer demand has driven their Subiaco apartment development, Incontro, to nearly 70 per cent sold. The increased buyer sentiment has strengthened Cedar Woods’ confidence in bringing forward the next apartment project in Western Australia, a three tower development planned for the prime site on Upham Street in Subiaco, adjacent to Incontro.

Demand is being driven by several factors; the lack of new apartments coming to the market, the increased demand with migration far outstripping the aforementioned supply, and the appetite to live closer to the city.

“Over the past three years, Perth’s population has grown by around 250,000 people, while only around 50,000 dwellings have been delivered,” Blackburne says, adding that more than twice that number would be needed just to keep up.&nbsp;

He said that many buyers are being forced to the urban fringe because of the greater supply of land product, but that, Blackburne argues, is pushing the fringe further out and motivating a re-evaluation of the value of inner- and middle-suburb apartments.

Demographic shifts are helping drive this rethink. Cedar Woods is seeing more boomers downsizing, young professionals entering the market, and a rising number of single-person households. There’s also a growing trend of parents buying apartments for teenage children, motivated by fears that housing prices will become out of reach. “It’s not only a strong investment now, but it can serve as a first home when their children move out.”

<h2>National diversification strategy</h2>

Cedar Woods’ strategy is not limited to Perth. Blackburne outlines their aim to diversify by price point, product type, and geography, which “gives us a broad customer base and smoother earnings profile.” Throughout their markets, they’re combining apartments, townhouses, and masterplanned communities, allowing flexibility to pivot toward undersupplied segments as demand evolves.

In Victoria, Cedar Woods is pressing ahead with a major site in Fairfield, just northeast of Melbourne’s CBD, a site which Blackburne says the company has had its sights on for many years. They are planning to deliver three towers with over 300 apartments, with the plans likely to be submitted in early 2026.

Blackburne also expresses optimism about broader inner-Melbourne supply dynamics. 
 
“While Melbourne’s apartment market is better supplied than Perth’s, and population growth remains strong, Cedar Woods believes the current stock will be absorbed quickly,” Blackburne says, however he warns that policy disincentives remain. “In Victoria … there are quite a lot of obstacles for apartment buyers,” he says, adding that the industry is working with the state government to “remove those barriers” and avert prolonged undersupply.

Cedar Woods has plans on the desks of the VIC Government to develop a 20-storey tower in Southbank, in the heart of Melbourne’s arts precinct. Designed by Rothelowman, the proposed tower will deliver 180 apartments, ranging from studios to three-bedrooms, along with creative amenity space devoted to arts and digital industries, a food and drink tenancy at street level, and a 700sqm recreation deck with indoor lounge space will provide a resident amenity hub.

Blackburne frames the project as a response to Melbourne’s growing undersupply of signature inner-city living. “We saw a thematic: a looming undersupply in inner-Melbourne, particularly in high-quality apartments, and wanted to capitalise on that,” he says. The site’s proximity to the Melbourne Arts Precinct, key tram lines, and Southbank’s cultural fabric makes it especially appealing, Blackburne says.

<h2>Charting the course forward</h2>

On top of the apartment developments underway and planned in Perth and Melbourne, Cedar Woods has a multi-stage apartment development in Brisbane’s Woolloowin, and several years remaining on their masterplanned communities in Williams Landing in Melbourne and Glenside in Adelaide, both of which offer a mix of apartments and townhouses.

Blackburne says the developer has been able to mitigate some of the macro risks currently at play in the new development space, particularly in the construction sector.

“Cedar Woods has been able to make many apartment projects work because of good buying of the raw land in the first place, as well as its strong pipeline of apartment projects, enabling the company to attract builders to build deep, multi-year relationships.”&nbsp;

For Cedar Woods, 2026 is set to be significant, with anticipated approvals and submissions laying the groundwork for fresh apartment supply and multiple launches in 2027.

Cedar Woods ramps up apartment development amid Australia’s deepening housing shortfall

Rockdale has long been characterized as a suburb on the cusp. Well-located, well-connected, but historically underserved by modern apartment offerings.

It has everything going for it: outstanding connectivity to the Sydney CBD, just four train stops to Central Station, strong local amenity anchored by Roc​kdale Plaza and a growing main-street dining scene, and enviable proximity to Brighton-Le-Sands. The six-kilometre beachfront is lined with bayside restaurants, cafés, and walking paths, giving residents a lifestyle typically associated with much more expensive coastal suburbs.

What Rock​dale has lacked is high-quality contemporary apartments. Most existing developments date back several decades, with floorplans that no longer support modern living needs, and buildings constructed long before today’s standards in engineering, efficiency, and sustainability.

Lender, fund manager and apartment developer Princeton identified the gap early. Seeing all the right ingredients in Rockd​ale, transport, lifestyle, retail, and affordability, they set out to deliver what the suburb was missing. Their answer is <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marque-rockdale-602-608-princes-highway-rockdale-nsw-2216">Marque Rockdale</a>, a collection of 58 one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments now nearing completion just a short walk from Ro​ckdale Plaza, home to over 50 specialist retailers and anchored by&nbsp;Woolworths, Big W and Aldi.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136442 project_image_fid=355216]

Understanding they would be resetting the benchmark for the area, Princeton focused on ensuring buyers received best-in-class quality, longevity, and protection.

A major step was securing the sought-after Latent Defects Insurance policy from Resilience Insurance. This policy protects apartment buyers from structural or waterproofing defects for the first 10 years of the building’s lifecycle. Crucially, it is first-response insurance, meaning that if an issue arises, the insurer pays immediately for remediation—rather than waiting for lengthy investigations to determine fault before work can begin. For purchasers, it offers an unprecedented layer of security rarely seen in Sydney apartment projects.

During construction, independent building inspection firm SDSS has been providing Technical Inspection Services, bringing highly specialised construction experts on-site at key stages to ensure workmanship meets the highest standards. The project is being built by Coplex, an iCIRT-rated construction company, and throughout the build SDSS has frequently referred to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marque-rockdale-602-608-princes-highway-rockdale-nsw-2216">Marque Rockdale</a> as one of the best projects currently on their books.

Princeton also doubled down on comfort, acoustics, and livability.&nbsp;As well as being the only building along Princes Highway with a landscaped buffer between the building and the road, Princeton has purposefully included double-glazed windows in all apartments to reduce noise.

Apartments feature double-glazed, noise-reducing windows and ducted air conditioning in every residence.&nbsp;In addition to the project’s transport convenience, Princeton has partnered with GoGet Car Share to provide a dedicated GoGet vehicle housed permanently within the building. Residents will receive a free annual GoGet membership, paying only usage fees, offering a flexible alternative to owning a second car and enhancing the project’s sustainability credentials.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=136442 project_image_fid=277075]

Residents will enjoy an exclusive rooftop oasis, purpose-designed as an extension of their living space. The communal rooftop includes BBQ facilities and outdoor entertaining areas, a&nbsp;pergola-shaded dining zone, a dedicated children’s play space, and a landscaped herb garden.

Princeton and Coplex is approaching completion of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marque-rockdale-602-608-princes-highway-rockdale-nsw-2216">Marque Rockdale</a>, and are expecting residents to move in early in the new year. The mix of apartment configurations and price points have been a hit with young professionals, those who need to commute to the CBD, and families who appreciate doorstep amenity.

“Marque is a place where residents will be proud to call it home," Princeton Head of Development George Young says.

"We’ve worked really hard with Coplex and our design team to deliver an incredible building for the future home owners to make their own. The homes are all designed to allow the residents to make it their own, a place to belong and live a stylish urban life."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=136442]

Marque Rockdale sets a new standard of apartment living in Sydney's south

Plans to revitalize the&nbsp;long-established Benowa Gardens Shopping Centre into a mixed-use community combining living, shopping, dining, health and wellbeing facilities, have been proposed to the Gold Coast City Council.

The Benowa Gardens Urban Village proposal by Benowa Gardens Holdings seeks to transform the 17,660 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/203-ashmore-road-benowa-qld-4217">203 Ashmore Road</a> into a contemporary, sustainable destination that reflects global trends in modern community design while retaining the familiar local character residents value.

The site is bordered by Ashmore and Benowa Roads and Carrara, with ready access to Pindara private hospital, four schools, TAFE, sports fields and the nearby Botanic Gardens.

Benowa Gardens Holdings is seeking a preliminary Council approval only for its proposed masterplan and variations to the site’s Neighbourhood Centre zoning.&nbsp; 
Formal Public Exhibition commenced Friday and also marks the start of comprehensive community consultation with surroundings residents, schools, P&amp;Cs, existing retailers, nearby sporting clubs, arts groups and Botanic Gardens volunteers.

Designed by Neylan Architecture, the masterplan envisions around 413 new apartments, complemented by upgraded retail, dining, and wellness amenities as part of 10,000 sqm of retail, and 9,630 sqm of office space/medical suites.

The development will feature green open spaces, shaded promenades, landscaped terraces, pedestrian walkways, and expanded healthcare and lifestyle services in synergy with the neighbouring Pindara Private Hospital and local schools.

<img alt="Benowa" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="244f4d54-2e67-4141-92b8-78d5735f47c2" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-11-26%20at%2012.47.34%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=FmF5lzhpwVZc7POsdB770TJ_Bf2c0od8" />

“This concept embraces the way people increasingly want to live - safely, conveniently, and within strong local communities,” said Patrick Lu, Director of Benowa Gardens Holding.

“Benowa Gardens will set a new benchmark for integrated living on the Gold Coast. It’s a thoughtful, community-minded evolution that brings global best practice in urban design to one of the city’s most established areas.”

Lu said this isn’t just a redevelopment, it’s a renewal with purpose.

“Benowa Gardens has served the community for decades. Our goal is to ensure it continues to do so for generations to come, as a lively, connected Urban Village where people can truly live, work and thrive. We’re already talking to school leaders and the community to seek their feedback on our proposal, and have taken on board their ideas to improve student safety with additional “traffic calming” measures on Carrara Street. We’re conducting meaningful and sincere consultations and want to play our role in preserving and enhancing the local community."

The proposed redevelopment aims to deliver tangible benefits across the Benowa and wider Gold Coast community, including:

<ul>
	<li>Improvement of retail amenity, to capture the under-served local market demand and keep the local business at their local shopping centre.</li>
	<li>Housing diversity; offering a range of apartment types for key workers, downsizers, and local families who wish to remain in the area.</li>
	<li>Enhanced shopping and dining; revitalised retail spaces designed to support local businesses and attract more visitors.</li>
	<li>Health and wellbeing access; additional medical and wellness amenities to complement existing local facilities.</li>
	<li>Improved traffic flow and access; two new access points, upgraded intersections, upgrade pedestrian pathway’s signal and proposed upgrade of pedestrian and cycle connections/space to improve safety and convenience, especially for school children.</li>
	<li>Environmental sustainability; energy-efficient design, green rooftops, and water-sensitive landscaping to reduce emissions and enhance comfort.</li>
	<li>Local jobs and investment; supporting hundreds of construction and long-term roles while stimulating local economic growth.</li>
</ul>

The group behind the project boasts extensive experience in the property development industry, both in Australia and international markets. Over the past 23 years, the group has been involved in the development and management of a diverse portfolio of assets including residential dwellings, shopping centres, bulky-goods stores, community and medical facilities, childcare centres, offices, hotels, and taverns, across Brisbane, Ipswich, and the Gold Coast.

Benowa Gardens to become new mixed-use urban village

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GUEST OBSERVATION
It is budget time again and, like on many previous occasions, the voices seeking easy publicity are calling louder and louder for the abolition of negative gearing. Housing affordability is a hot topic in an environment where property prices are rising, in some places quite significantly, so the media is happily running with this agenda without questioning the basis of various claims.
But how can you have an honest debate on the issues involved if none of those commenting against negative gearing demonstrate enough knowledge on the topic they are talking about?
Dispelling myths about negative gearing is like trying to convince a 3 year old that "spinach is good for you"… It requires some maturity to comprehend the topic of the discussion before one is able to participate without any prejudice.
It may appear as a harsh and provocative assessment of those criticising negative gearing and Australia’s current tax arrangements - especially since the anti-negative gearing voices include prominent economists, managers of investment funds, various social think-tank organisation and media personalities. But if you scrutinise what they are saying it is very obvious they are just repeating overheard phrases without any understanding of the meaning of what these words really mean. Just like the aforementioned 3 year olds…
Just to illustrate, the prevailing theme is that negative gearing is a "cost to taxpayers"… Really? How about taking a class in basic accounting to understand the principles of cash flow before making any such statements publicly? Then the commentator would understand the negative gearing is all about cash flow and not about profit and therefore, that it is neutral from an overall tax perspective. (I explained the mechanics in my earlier article if you care to read - <a href="/news/negative-gearing-the-three-facts-that-will-challenge-your-assumptions">Negative gearing: The three facts that will challenge your assumptions</a>).
Then there are ideas about changing the provisions to allow negative gearing on new properties only, to increase new build. Yeah, right, great idea. Let’s keep all those people unable to buy isolated in renter ghettos, or relegate them to city fringes, and keep the suburbs pristine and free from temporary drifters. Let’s repeat those social housing experiments from 1960’s and 1970’s (this time round with private money) which legacy is still haunting parts of our capital cities half a century later.
Of course I am exaggerating the possible consequences but only to highlight that those who call for such arrangements did not think through the full consequence of what may happen. Ask yourself, where is the greatest demand for rental accommodation? Of course, in city centres and along major transport routes. This is where investors are providing the bulk of rental stock - because this is where the demand is. And of course this is, in the great majority of instances, second-hand and not brand new stock for a very obvious reason.
“But” they say, “if properties were cheaper in those convenient locations, more people could afford to buy there and would not need to rent”. Great logic. Sure, let’s implement policies that will allow converting everything in such locations to cheap owner-occupier housing – and then we will end up with a real housing affordability problem for those who prefer or are forced to rent. But sure enough, taxpayers will be very happy to spend billions of dollars to address it, no worries.
The premise that renters will buy “cheap houses” rather than continue renting would be amusing if it was not promoted so seriously by those prominent commentators. The naivety of such thinking, on such a large scale (mind you, without any evidence and/or testing the assumptions), is staggering.
One only needs to look to late 1990 to understand why such thinking has no merit whatsoever. In particular, towards the end of 1990’s, the cost of owning a property was at a historically low level and in many locations renting was costing more than paying off a property and still, not everybody was prepared to buy, even if they could afford it easily.
All those commentators are forgetting the basic logic that drives people’s decisions – if prices are cheap, they are so for a reason. That is, owning is perceived by the majority as unattractive and without a merit, and cheap prices in relation to rental expenses only reinforce this perception. People need to perceive a positive outlook for the property market to want to own the place of their residence - this outlook can only be reinforced by a history of rising prices. It’s as simple as that, yet so difficult to comprehend for many.
Then we have such pearls of wisdom like grandfathering negative gearing on existing purchases but, at the same time, allowing for the writing-off of operational loses against capital gains. Great, let’s make tax affairs so complicated that nobody will be able to figure out whether they are making money or losing it. Accountants will love it and growth of employment at the Tax Office will propel Australia’s economic growth for the next few decades.
Or how about proclaiming that before 1986 there were no property investors in Australia (because this is what housing finance statistics “show”) and that the “current property investment boom crisis” is the fault of Keating and Hawke re-introducing negative gearing and Howard and Costello halving the capital gains tax on investment properties? This position conveniently disregards the fact that the proportions of rental stock remained relatively static for many, many decades. So what is really going on?
<img src="/images/2015/05/04/Occupied_private_dwellings.png" alt="">
Those commentators simply don’t comprehend that there was a shift in the investor profile from, a situation where a single person owned entire blocks of flats, to that where now many individual investors only own one flat each. Those aforementioned policies were just a catalyst enabling this transition to happen.
And because of these policies, people now have a choice to either live where they are and invest their extra money in the long term rental accommodation business (yes, it is a business after all) or upgrade their primary residence - and the financial outcome is the same at the end. Unbelievable but true, once you do the math.
But the biggest fable of all is that negative gearing is the reason prices are “so high” today. So, by removing negative gearing, we will restore “housing affordability” - whatever that means. Pity not many can understand what is really driving property prices in Australia.
It doesn’t fit in these people’s agendas that the cost of buying and renting in Australia is close to its historically best level, and that housing is more affordable now than at many points in time in the last three decades. Even in Sydney – the apparent “epicentre of housing speculation”.
<img src="/images/2015/05/04/Long_term_purchase_affordability_Sydney.png" alt="">
Interestingly enough, NSW’s share of net rental income losses was only 5.7% in the 2012-13 financial year (or $312 million out of $5.5B claimed by investors – as per Table 15 of recently published statistics that show all income and expense items from rental property schedules, by the state/territory location of the property). This means that just two years ago, in aggregate, profits from long term rental accommodation business in NSW almost matched losses.
In other words, negative gearing was not as widespread in NSW as everybody is led to believe. No surprise here at all since purchases with gross rental yields of 6-7% were not that uncommon in Sydney in 2012. But why bother with facts that spoil a “good story” for media attention.
By the way, where were these commentators in 1997-99, 2005/6, 2009 or 2012-13 when there were ample opportunities to buy property cheaply? Why they were not heralding those opportunities then as loudly as they now voice their opposition to negative gearing? (As a side note, did you notice how regularly these opportunities come about?) There is a simple answer - because back then they were chasing media headlines with another favourite crowd pleaser - the upcoming Armageddon.
My, in many ways, aggressive and ironic commentary serves the purpose of mobilising you - the reader - to start confronting these commentators and questioning their understanding of a concept they are so outspoken about. And secondly, treating what you read and hear on the news about negative gearing with a fair dose of scepticism.
After all, in the whole scheme of things, negative gearing is inconsequential for individual property investors – sure, it helps with cash flow but it does not impact profitability and certainly, it does not make houses more expensive. So, its abolition would not change a thing – but that point of view is missing from the public debate.
Journalists are failing in their duty to present information objectively by not offering contrasting opinions and, most importantly, by not questioning individual commentators on merits of their points of view.
I have a tip for anybody who wants to know whether a particular commentator has any idea about the topic of negative gearing - check if they consider negative gearing to be a cost to taxpayers, or offering extra profit for investors, or none of the above. If they do consider it a cost or extra profit opportunity, then you know you cannot take seriously anything they say, no matter what other credentials they present.
Arek Drozda is an independent property market analyst. Follow on Twitter @arekdrozda.
 
 
 
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The latest real estate & off the plan properties & news, delivered to your inbox.

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

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The latest real estate & off the plan properties & news, delivered to your inbox.