Are mortgage holders set to get a reprieve from the RBA in 2026?

Big Four bank NAB believes so. They are now expecting the next move from the RBA to be a cut, rather than a hike, which they had pencilled in for August. They are unsure of the timing of the cut however, they note in their latest&nbsp;NAB Economics RBA Watch.

NAB Chief Economist, Dr Sally Auld, said recent data suggests the economy has lost momentum and the outlook for rates has shifted, noting that the broader economic backdrop has changed since earlier in the year.

“The next move in the cash rate is likely to be down, but the timing is uncertain," Dr Auld said.

"In February, growth was above trend, the economy was operating above capacity and there was uncertainty over the restrictiveness of rates. None of these conditions exist today,” she outlined.

Dr Auld said recent data pointed to softer momentum across the economy while acknowledging that at the same time, uncertainty remains a key feature of the outlook.

“Both Q1 GDP data and the NAB business survey suggest momentum in the economy has slowed, meaning that growth has likely peaked for the cycle. That said, we are cognisant there is still considerable uncertainty around the outlook, both with respect to activity and inflation.”

Dr Auld said inflation risks and labour market outcomes would be important to watch.

“On the prices side, we are still forecasting above target core inflation through to mid-2027. Margins will compress and weaker labour market outcomes are a risk.”

She said tighter financial conditions are expected to weigh on housing and activity.

“Tighter financial conditions will be reflected in a slowing in house price growth and housing credit growth. In summary, we have greater conviction that the next move in rates is down, but less conviction on the timing.”

Joel Robinson

Mortgage relief? NAB forecasts RBA rate cut, not hike, after softer economic conditions

A local downsizer has splashed $6.5 million on a penthouse in Perifa's Alex &amp; Willow development in Crows Nest. 
&nbsp; 
The purchaser sold their long-held family home in the area before embarking on a six-month search for the right apartment. After inspecting a range of options across the Lower North Shore, the buyer returned to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/alex-willow-crows-nest-82-90-alexander-street-crows-nest-nsw-2065">Alex &amp; Willow</a>. 
&nbsp; 
The buyer profile reflects the project’s broader purchaser mix. <a>Alex &amp; Willow</a> has attracted predominantly local downsizers looking to transition from larger homes without compromising on space or quality, alongside a smaller cohort of upsizers and investors drawn to the project’s location and design credentials. 
&nbsp; 
The milestone sale comes as the project, developed by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/perifa">Perifa</a>&nbsp;and delivered by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/versatile-made-construction">Versatile Construction</a>, both part of Versatile Group, reaches 60 per cent sold.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6680 project_image_fid=371325] 
&nbsp; 
Eddie Mansour, Managing Partner of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/ray-white-projects">Ray White Projects</a>, said the result demonstrates not only a headline price but also depth of demand. 
&nbsp; 
“This is an exceptional outcome and a clear reflection of sustained buyer demand for premium, well-located downsizer product,” Mansour said.

“We’re seeing a consistent pattern of local homeowners selling family residences and reinvesting into high-quality apartments that allow them to remain within their community. Alex &amp; Willow has resonated strongly with this group because it offers genuine scale, thoughtful design and immediate proximity to the village.” 
&nbsp; 
The sale reflects a broader and consistent trend of local downsizers actively seeking high-quality, low-maintenance residences close to established village centres. Agents report that demand for this product type has remained resilient, particularly where developments offer a rare combination of scale, design quality and walkable amenity. 
&nbsp;&nbsp; 
Fabrizio Perilli, Managing Director of Perifa and Versatile Group, said the sale marks a defining moment for the project. 
&nbsp; 
“The penthouse sale is a strong endorsement of the quality we have delivered, alongside our partners, and the clear demand from local downsizers for premium, boutique residences in this location,” Perilli said.&nbsp; 
&nbsp; 
“Most importantly, we’re proud to see the Alex &amp; Willow community beginning to take shape. As we move closer to completion, we’re looking forward to welcoming residents and seeing the project come to life.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6680 project_image_fid=338516] 
&nbsp; 
Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/nettletontribe">Nettleton Tribe</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/richards-stanisich">Richards Stanisich</a>, Alex &amp; Willow is a boutique collection of generously sized two- and three-bedroom residences in the heart of Crows Nest village.&nbsp;

Completion is slated for early 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6680]

Alex & Willow, Crows Nest penthouse sells off the plan for $6.5 million

Fresh from launching the first stage of its Wollongong precinct, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/keira-place-wollongong-120-122-smith-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Keira Place</a>, builder-developer Urban Property Group has unveiled plans for the next phase of the masterplanned community.

Now on public exhibition through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority pathway is a State Significant Development Application for a further 657 homes on the prominent gateway site opposite Beaton Park.

The proposal comprises three buildings, including two build-to-sell towers rising 25 and 30 storeys, delivering 391 apartments, alongside a 12-storey co-living building with 266 residences, making it one of the largest co-living proposals currently planned in regional New South Wales.

Of the apartments proposed in the build-to-sell towers, the majority, 310, are two-bedroom dwellings. The balance comprises 44 one-bedroom apartments and 37 three-bedroom residences. Apartment sizes range from around 50 sqm for one-bedroom homes to approximately 90 sqm for three-bedroom apartments.

<img alt="Smith St" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="19347059-1612-41a0-9c74-b86a657237f8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-10%20at%2010.02.18%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sWXnaCcA.cIC6N8YT1dg5pJ2e1V3Z6z7" />

The submission says the proposal has evolved significantly from its original Housing Delivery Authority application following extensive consultation with the State Design Review Panel and Wollongong City Council.

The final scheme has been designed to align with the emerging vision for the Flinders Street Precinct, an area identified by Council as a future high-density mixed-use neighbourhood capable of accommodating substantial housing growth close to transport, employment and community infrastructure.

According to the design report prepared by COX Architecture, the development aims to "deliver a built outcome consistent with the future character of the Wollongong CBD while responding to the site's unique constraints and opportunities."

"Our vision for the next phase of the site evolution in Wollongong is grounded in three design pillars that guide the design response: place, natural environment and celebration," COX said.

"Inspired by its surroundings and grounded in the stories of place on Wodi Wodi Country, the design proposal acknowledges the established character of its setting while creating a unique and timeless identity that sits harmoniously within it.

"The design proposal responds to its specific site conditions, acknowledging the vegetation, climate, wind conditions and solar access of the site."

The architecture responds directly to the site's position between Wollongong's urban core and its natural landscape setting.

COX identified views towards Mount Keira and the Illawarra Escarpment as defining features of the site, while the upper levels of the towers will also capture expansive views across the city and out to the Pacific Ocean.

The design team has positioned the tallest buildings closer to the rail corridor, where overshadowing impacts can be better managed while establishing a landmark built form on the northern approach into the city.

<img alt="Smith St" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="79580d5b-500c-4ebf-9629-797146a4a694" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-10%20at%209.51.59%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=WbTB1EKSG.KDfsfz0F3wp1QVa2oCMGR5" />

Urban Property Group secured the 11,000 sqm Smith Street site in 2022 and has since progressed plans for the broader Keira Place precinct.

Construction recently commenced on the first stage of Keira Place, which will deliver 150 apartments across two residential buildings, including 27 affordable housing apartments and 18 specialist disability accommodation dwellings, alongside activated ground-floor retail and commercial space.

Urban Co-CEO Patrick Elias said the commencement of construction marked a significant milestone for Wollongong and reflected the developer's long-term commitment to regional cities.

"Today's groundbreaking is about turning approvals into homes and moving quickly to deliver much-needed housing in Wollongong's city centre," Elias said.

"Keira Place will provide a diverse mix of homes close to jobs, transport and services, while setting a high benchmark for quality, durability and consumer protection."

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/groundbreaking-marks-start-of-construction-at-keira-place-in-wollongong-cbd">Groundbreaking marks start of construction at Keira Place in Wollongong CBD</a>

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

First look: Urban Property Group unveils trio of towers for next stage of new Wollongong precinct

Central Element is seeking approval for a significant residential redevelopment in Lavender Bay, lodging plans for a dual-tower apartment project that would deliver 163 new homes on a prominent site at the northern gateway to Milsons Point.

The Sydney-based builder-developer has lodged a concurrent rezoning proposal and State Significant Development Application for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/64-66-lavender-street-lavender-bay-nsw-2060">64-66 Lavender Street and 3-7 Middlemiss Street</a>, a 2,305 sqm amalgamated site currently occupied by a collection of ageing residential flat buildings.

Designed by SJB, the proposal would replace the existing 32 apartments with two residential towers rising 23 and 32 storeys, comprising 163 apartments including affordable housing managed by a community housing provider. The project forms part of the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority program and has been progressing through a fast-tracked state planning pathway since being endorsed for further assessment in 2025.

The proposal is one of the most significant redevelopment opportunities currently under consideration on Sydney's lower north shore, sitting between the high-density towers of Milsons Point and the lower-scale heritage fabric of Lavender Bay.

<img alt="Lavender Bay" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="93ecf0ee-487d-4292-afc4-0bc9579475d6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-10%20at%209.30.48%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=PunU2ipMaTxiJcJ8NdMyUlWA7d98eNUb" />

The planning proposal seeks a substantial uplift from the current 12 metre height limit, which would only allow for a four-storey building, however the submission argues a scheme within these limits would not be&nbsp;economically feasible given the complexity of site amalgamation and would fail to maximise housing delivery on land located within walking distance of major transport infrastructure.

SJB said the design evolved significantly following discussions with the Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure and independent design review processes.&nbsp;Rather than pursuing a single larger tower, the architects adopted a two-tower approach aimed at reducing perceived bulk, preserving view corridors and creating greater permeability at ground level.

The northern tower would rise 23 storeys and contain 81 apartments, while the southern tower would reach 32 storeys and accommodate 82 apartments. Five basement levels would provide 174 car spaces, 181 bicycle spaces and 10 motorcycle spaces.

"The proposal for 3–7 Middlemiss Street and 64–66 Lavender Street is driven by a clear ambition to complete the Middlemiss Peninsula, delivering the final piece of a carefully evolving urban precinct," SJB noted in its design report.

"Positioned at the threshold between Lavender Bay and the North Sydney CBD, the development is envisioned as a unifying element—one that completes the skyline composition while providing a considered and harmonious transition between the peninsula’s established character and the intensity of the CBD beyond.

"Collectively, the development aspires to create a landmark that is generous, inclusive, and deeply connected to its setting, one that enhances the skyline, strengthens the public realm, and contributes to a more equitable and sustainable urban future."

Communal spaces would be distributed across multiple levels, including landscaped podium gardens, swimming pool facilities, barbecue areas and rooftop-style retreat spaces designed for residents. The proposal delivers more than 1,500 sqm of communal open space and nearly 400 sqm of indoor communal facilities.

<img alt="Central Element" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0671c276-6dd8-4cfc-97b0-134a45d2c8cf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-10%20at%209.30.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=90D7lRaCTMTsFx92tIBrHlZcuaV_a4cw" />

A major focus of the planning assessment has been the project's relationship with surrounding public open spaces.

Clark Park, Bradfield Park and Wendy Whiteley's Secret Garden are among the lower north shore's most valued public landscapes, and overshadowing impacts have been closely examined through the design process. Central Element is proposing to also create a new public plaza and pocket park as part of the development.

Central Element has been developing across Sydney since 2010.

They have recently completed their Chatswood tower, Ethos Chatswood, as well as their luxury redevelopment of Coogee's landmark Ballamac House. They are currently selling Pearl Bondi, just seven high-end homes, while future plans include a tower on Hyde Park, and a boutique project in Neutral Bay.

First look: Central Element reveals Lavender Bay apartment plans

The federal government’s proposed changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax concessions are expected to reshape where investors direct their attention over the coming years.

Under the policy settings, established properties would lose access to both incentives, while new and off-the-plan apartments would retain them, creating a clear advantage for buyers willing to purchase into the development market instead.

That shift comes at a time when the supply of traditional investor-grade apartments has already become increasingly limited.

For years, one-bedroom apartments formed the backbone of investor demand. Compact, lower-priced and typically positioned in high-demand locations, they were the type of stock developers actively brought to market.

Today, the development pipeline across New South Wales looks very different.

Projects are increasingly geared towards owner-occupiers, with larger three and four-bedroom apartments dominating many new developments. While there are still some one-bedroom and smaller two-bedroom configurations available, genuine investor-focused stock is no longer as common as it once was.

With investors now expected to look more closely at the new apartment market, we analysed the projects currently on offer across New South Wales for buyers reconsidering the established market.

We focused on developments priced around $1 million, a realistic ceiling for many investors in the current lending environment. In precincts closer to the CBD, that budget will typically secure a one-bedroom apartment, while in a number of growing middle-ring and outer suburbs, it can still stretch to a two-bedroom unit.

<h3>Danks St District, Waterloo</h3>

Price: From $985,000

One of the largest mixed-use developments currently underway in Sydney's inner south, DASCO Australia's Danks St District will transform a 1.7-hectare site on Bourke Street into a six-building residential precinct with more than half of the site dedicated to open space.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=111820 project_image_fid=344699]

The project offers one, two and three-bedroom apartments, terraces and penthouses within walking distance of Surry Hills, Centennial Park and the future Waterloo Metro Station. For investors seeking a blue-chip inner-city location, it is one of the few opportunities to secure a new apartment under $1 million this close to the CBD.

Danks St District also has the sought-after 10-year Latent Defects Insurance by Resilience Insurance, covering an investor for any major structural or waterproofing issues that may arise within the first 10 years of the building completing.

<h3>Senso, Epping</h3>

Price: From $835,000

Epping continues to attract strong buyer demand thanks to its connectivity, schooling options and growing town centre. Senso, a five-building development by DASCO, will deliver 479 apartments adjacent to the future Epping Town Centre masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134954 project_image_fid=4396]

The project is just a short walk from Epping Metro Station, providing direct access to Macquarie Park, Chatswood and the Sydney CBD. One-bedroom apartments start from $835,000.

DASCO has also taken out Resilience LDI on Senso.

<h3>Willow, Wentworth Point</h3>

Price: From $735,000

Wentworth Point has emerged as one of Sydney's fastest-growing apartment markets, underpinned by major infrastructure investment and improving transport links.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6969 project_image_fid=228633]

Willow forms the latest stage of Sekisui House Australia's $2 billion Sanctuary masterplan and will deliver 309 apartments across a mix of low-rise buildings and a 28-storey tower. One-bedroom apartments start from $735,000, offering one of the more accessible entry points into Sydney's waterfront apartment market.

<h3>Mason &amp; Main, Merrylands</h3>

Price: From $498,000

For investors focused on affordability and immediate rental returns, Mason &amp; Main stands out as one of the few completed projects on this list.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=31751 project_image_fid=359818]

The Coronation Property development comprises 415 apartments in the heart of Merrylands, directly opposite Stockland Merrylands and just 350 metres from the train station. Studios start from $498,000, while one-bedroom apartments are available from $635,000.

<h3>Zeste, Norwest</h3>

Price: From $755,000

The final apartment release within Sekisui House Australia's $1 billion Orchards masterplan, Zeste marks the completion of a community more than a decade in the making.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150510 project_image_fid=351885]

Positioned 600 metres from Norwest Metro Station, the project offers one to four-bedroom apartments and access to extensive communal amenities and established parklands. One-bedroom apartments start from $755,000.

<h3>The Residences at Wahroonga Estate, Wahroonga</h3>

Price: From $895,000

New apartment supply in Wahroonga is exceptionally rare, particularly at scale.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135247 project_image_fid=284378]

The first stage of the 64-hectare Wahroonga Estate masterplan will deliver 133 apartments surrounded by bushland and established Upper North Shore amenity.

For investors seeking exposure to one of Sydney's most tightly held markets, one-bedroom apartments start from $895,000.

<h3>Aeris, Melrose Park</h3>

Price: From $724,000

Melrose Park is set to become one of Sydney's largest urban renewal precincts over the next decade, with thousands of new homes planned alongside significant transport and retail infrastructure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=355197]

Aeris is the sixth stage of Sekisui House Australia's $5 billion masterplan and will deliver 468 apartments across three towers. One-bedroom apartments start from $724,000.

<h3>Dawn, Melrose Park</h3>

Price: From $704,000

Also within the Melrose Park masterplan, Dawn offers one of the lowest entry points on this list.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145496 project_image_fid=334164]

Developed by Sekisui House Australia and Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project comprises 368 apartments across four buildings, with one-bedroom apartments starting from $704,000.

<h3>The Rothschild, Rosebery</h3>

Price: From $799,000

Completed projects are becoming increasingly difficult to find in Sydney's inner south, making The Rothschild a notable opportunity for investors wanting immediate rental income.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=106843 project_image_fid=256816]

The Deicorp development sits within walking distance of The Cannery, Green Square and Gunyama Park, with one-bedroom apartments available from $799,000.

<h3>Larool Crescent, Castle Hill</h3>

Price: From $730,000

Castle Hill remains one of Sydney's strongest-performing metro-connected suburban markets, supported by major retail amenity and direct rail access to the city.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135330 project_image_fid=289121]

CPDM's Larool Crescent development will deliver 113 apartments and townhouses just 600 metres from Castle Hill Metro Station. One-bedroom apartments are priced from $730,000.

<h3>The Avenues, Zetland</h3>

Price: From $803,000

Directly opposite Gunyama Park and Aquatic Centre, The Avenues forms part of Deicorp's broader $874 million East Zetland precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146262 project_image_fid=357151]

The development combines park-front living with proximity to Green Square Station and the CBD, while one-bedroom apartments remain available from $803,000.

<h3>The Kensington, Kensington</h3>

Price: From $1.03 million

While sitting slightly above the $1 million threshold, The Kensington remains one of the few opportunities to secure a brand-new apartment in Sydney's tightly held eastern suburbs.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110959 project_image_fid=371479]

Located just four kilometres from the CBD, the TOGA development benefits from direct light rail access and proximity to UNSW, Prince of Wales Hospital and the broader K2K precinct.

The building has recently completed, and will welcome residents soon.

<h3>Lillian, Erskineville</h3>

Price: From $1,075,000

Erskineville rarely sees significant new apartment supply, particularly in locations adjacent to major parkland.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135149 project_image_fid=368154]

Coronation Property's Lillian overlooks the new McPherson Park and sits just 3.5 kilometres from the CBD. While one-bedroom apartments are priced slightly above $1 million, the combination of location and limited competing supply places it among Sydney's most compelling inner-city apartment opportunities.

<h3>La Vera, Macquarie Park</h3>

Price: From $700,000

Macquarie Park continues to evolve from a commercial hub into one of Sydney's most significant mixed-use centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

Urban Property Group's La Vera offers one-bedroom apartments from $700,000, placing it among the most affordable new apartment opportunities in a precinct supported by metro rail, employment and education infrastructure. La Vera is another project with the sought-after 10-year Latent Defects Insurance.

Investors to turn to new and off the plan apartments after federal government changes spark hunt for Sydney’s best sub-$1 million projects

Cairns

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The Cassowary Coast Regional Council area has seen a continued resurgence of the banana farm market, according to the latest rural report from valuation firm Herron Todd White.
Since July 2019, approximately 20 per cent of total rural sales over 20 ha comprise sales purchased for conversion to banana production or of going concern banana farms.
Banana prices have gradually improved since its 2016 low caused by the Panama TR4 banana disease, according to the report.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/Screen%20Shot%202020-09-10%20at%2011.43.40%20am.png" alt="">
Recent trends in banana prices in the Brisbane and Melbourne have both increased.
HTW director Danny Glasson notes 60 sales over 20ha has occurred in the region since July last year.
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Cairns region sees the resurgence of the banana farm market: HTW Rural

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The news that construction of a new irrigation dam near Cairns appears unlikely in the foreseeable future is cause for some concern, particularly given the high number of recent avocado and citrus tree plantings in the Mareeba and Dimbulah Irrigation Area, according to the latest rural report from valuation firm Herron Todd White.
This has impacted values in the region.
“The threat of drought, reduced irrigation water allocations, and the continued popularity of the avocado has led to change in northern horticultural industries,” the firm said.
"Fear of a repeat of the 2016/17 drought is never too far away from the minds of irrigators in Mareeba and the Atherton Tablelands."
Growers have adapted to water security concerns by constructing dams that utilise existing overland runoff and recycled irrigation water that would normally go to waste.
The benefit of these on farm dams is that they are not regulated by Sunwater, therefore the water is free from regulatory charges and the danger of reduced allocations.
To improve the efficiency of these dams, growers are also upgrading their pumping infrastructure with variable speed drives which have resulted in significant savings on their electricity bills.
The report also found that composting has emerged as a major new industry in the horticultural area in far north Queensland.
A large composting facility known as Shark Recyclers has been constructed in Biboohra, north of Mareeba.
It is reported to be a next-generation facility that is the largest licensed compost and soil conditioning manufacturing facility in Queensland.
This has helped growers in far north Queensland to expand into the profitable avocado sector. The recent sale of a mixed avocado and sugar cane property in the Mareeba district for nearly $60 million demonstrates the changing market.
Many growers have successfully transitioned from traditional mango and other tropical fruit crops to Shepard and Hass avocadoes, chasing the insatiable consumer demand for avocadoes.
Fruit prices in recent seasons have been very profitable with sales of going concern avocado farms very rare as growers have tended to hold on to these assets to take advantage of super profits.
Nearly 50,000 trees have been planted in recent years in the Mareeba and Atherton districts as growers look to cash in on continued high prices.
The full “Month-in-Review” Herron Todd White report for April 2020 can be found <a href="https://static.htw.com.au/HTW-month-in-review-April-2020-Rural.pdf" target="_blank">here.</a>
Note regarding COVID-19
This edition of Month In Review had its topic defined in late February with submissions from our offices collated through to late March. During this period, shifts in the social and economic landscape due to COVID-19 became increasingly dramatic, as demonstrated by the varied information provided by offices over the course of three weeks.
This month’s residential theme on baseline property market drivers remains a common thread, and provides an indication of what influences to monitor as the property sector recovers post-crisis.
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Cairns region home to both optimism and concern; HTW rural 

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The Cairns retail property market passed through the bottom of the cycle during the course of 2014, but the limited recovery thus far means that the retail property market remains relatively flat, according to the latest report from valuation firm Herron Todd White.
“It must be also said that retail property sales in Cairns are extremely sporadic, with most sales involving mixed use retail and office buildings or tenant buyouts of single premises,” the March report found.
The level of general commercial property sales in Cairns, inclusive of retail and commercial office premises, highlights that activity in the Cairns commercial market remains well below the pre GFC levels.
Sales volumes have been gradually rebuilding, but are still only averaging around 100 sales per annum. Median prices paid specifically for strata titled premises have increased mildly over the past several years, but the firm ultimately found that prices per square metre of floor area are mostly stable within the $2,500 to $4,500 range.
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Cairns retail market remains flat: HTW Commercial

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The Cairns economy and residential property market continue to plod along, according to a recent Herron Todd White (HTW) residential report. 
The valuation firm asked their valuers to give an educated outlook on the residential market in their service areas.
"Our best guess is that 2020 will look a lot like 2019 (which looked a lot like 2018)," the valuation firm said. 
The report notes the $176 million redevelopment of the Cairns Convention Centre is due to commence in June 2020. With Riley, Bailey and Flynn (the Crystalbrook Collection Hotels) being finished, the first half of 2020 will lack a large construction project and the lack of activity may extend the normally quiet summer period further into 2020.
The changes to GST charges on foreign-flagged superyacht charters and predictions of a surge in superyachts visiting for leisure and maintenance is a real positive for Cairns and is exactly the type of stimulus needed to support the local property market.
2020 is an election year with council elections due on Saturday, 28 March 2020 and state government elections due on Saturday, 31 October 2020.
"Unfortunately the uncertainty elections cause tends to have a negative impact on market activity with people delaying decisions until after the dust has settled," the valuation firm said.
"If we had to have a wager on where the residential market would be in December 2020 our bet would be the same or slightly less sales than 2019 and median prices similar to or slightly below 2019." 
A two bedroom apartment in Cairns CBD has recently been sold for $232,000.
Located at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-apartment-qld-cairns+city-132182730" target="_blank">2/157 Grafton Street </a>(pictured below), the apartment comes with open plan living and dining, kitchen, balcony and two bedrooms upstairs.
The property last sold for $320,000 in 2005. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/3/9/cairns%20city.jpg" alt="">
 
A current listing is a two bedroom apartment in Cairns City with uninterrupted views. 
The apartment at<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-unit-qld-cairns+city-132927182" target="_blank"> 3/138 Abbott Street </a>(pictured below) has been listed for sale with a price of over $400,000.
It comes with designer kitchen, open plan living, front patio and undercover parking.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/3/9/carins%202.jpg" alt="">
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Cairns property market to continue to plod in 2020: HTW residential 

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The Cairns retail property market passed through the bottom of the cycle during the course of 2014, but the limited recovery thus far means that the retail property market remains relatively flat, according to the latest retail report from valuation firm Herron Todd White.
The property valuation firm found that it must be also said that retail property sales in Cairns are extremely sporadic, with most sales involving retail property of mixed use retail and office buildings or tenant buyouts of single premises.
The level of general commercial property sales in Cairns, inclusive of retail and commercial office premises, highlights that activity in the Cairns commercial market remains well below the levels achieved in the 2003 to 2007 period.
Sales volumes have been gradually rebuilding over the past nine years, but are still only averaging around 90 to 100 sales per annum.
The HTW report authors said, "median prices paid specifically for strata titled premises have increased mildly over the past seven years, but our general impression is that prices per square metre of floor area are mostly stable within the $2,500 to $4,500 range for strata units."
"High exposure CBD retail space remains reasonably well occupied, but vacancies are more noticeable in the lesser exposure locations and on the CBD fringe. Rents have remained generally stable, showing ranges of $600 to $800 per square metre per annum for prime CBD space and $1,000 to $1,750 per square metre per annum in key tourist precincts such as the Cairns Esplanade."
"Blue chip retail located within the main Esplanade tourist strip as well as the central business district show reasonably low vacancies, though there is also limited demand from new businesses."
"There remains good investor demand for well leased properties which rarely come onto the market."
"The Cairns retail property market overall has experienced little change thus far during 2019 and is expected to see little change for the remainder of the year," they concluded.
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Cairns retail property market remains stagnant: HTW Retail

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Due to a decade of subdued levels of construction, positive population growth, reasonably flat property prices and increasing rents, the Cairns residential property market offers some of the most attractive yields available anywhere in Australia, according to a recent Herron Todd White (HTW) residential report. 
The valuation firm took look at rental yields across the nation. 
CoreLogic’s Top Rental Performer’s Report recently named Woree and Manunda as the third and fourth highest yielding suburbs in the country, offering gross yields of 10.8% and 9.5% respectively. 
These types of yields are typically achievable from low price units and houses.
The report notes another property type where strong yields are available are holiday units in certain well performing complexes.
"We have seen net yields for some dual key units in excess of 8%, the only problems being that the units are only suitable for short term accommodation which makes obtaining finance difficult and the more volatile nature of the income as it is directly tied to tourism," the valuation firm said. 
"A key point about our market is the lack of pending supply and how it is difficult to see the current balance of supply and demand changing to an oversupply situation in the foreseeable future.
"This should give investors comfort that the low rental vacancy rates and current rent levels are due to solid market fundamentals and are unlikely to change in a negative way."
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Low units and house prices offer attractive yields in Cairns: HTW residential 

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The Cairns office market is relatively shallow and experiences limited sales activity, according to the latest report from property valuation firm Herron Todd White.
They found, the market has also experienced limited new development, with the last very large office building constructed in Cairns being the state government office tower completed in 2010.
The level of general commercial property sales in Cairns, inclusive of retail and commercial office premises, highlights that activity in the Cairns commercial market remains well below the levels achieved in the 2003 to 2007 period.
Sales volumes have been gradually rebuilding over the past nine years, but are still only averaging around 90 to 100 sales per annum.
The report authors said, "median prices paid specifically for strata titled premises have increased mildly over the past seven years, but our general impression is that prices per square metre of floor area are mostly stable within the $2,500 to $4,500 range."
"Most new office space leasing demand is for smaller areas and for modern, good quality green star rated premises, however there is only a handful of such buildings in Cairns. These buildings achieve high levels of occupancy and are experiencing stable rent levels typically of $350 to $450 per square metre per annum."
"Demand for lesser quality space remains limited and there is a large oversupply of good quality non-inner CBD and well exposed secondary space in the $200 to $300 per square metre per annum rental range. These conditions have placed downward pressure on secondary rents and have seen the emergence of incentives."
"The most recent sale of a large office building was the design and construct of the new Ergon premises in Bunda Street, Cairns City."
"The property sold for $14.7 million in May 2019 providing an analysed yield of 6.4%. The building comprised two levels of high quality office with a total area of 2,400 square meters, 68 car parks and an initial ten year lease term," they said.
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Cairns office market subdued and stable: HTW Commercial

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The Cairns residential property market has continued along a fairly steady path for the first half of the year with no noticeable changes, according to the latest Herron Todd White (HTW) residential report. 
"Values are fairly steady, volumes remain flat and there is no obvious oversupply in any residential market sector," the valuation firm commented. 
Vacancy rates remain tight with limited quality stock available and little new supply coming online.
"The GA Group projects are progressing well and it is starting to look like there won’t be any follow up projects such as Nova City ready to go, so we may see a dip in construction activity once they are complete," HTW said. 
The announcement from Cathy Pacific that they will pull out of Cairns after flying in for 25 years is an unwelcome dent on confidence and adds further to the feeling that the gains in tourism in recent years might be levelling off.
"Overall it is difficult to be particularly optimistic about the next six months and a continuation of existing conditions may be considered a good result by the time we get to December." 
A two bedroom apartment in Cairns City with water and mountain views has recently been sold for $558,000.
Situated on the fourth floor, <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-apartment-qld-cairns+city-131178634" target="_blank">unit 403 at 27-29 Wharf Street</a> (pictured below) comprises two bedrooms with walk in robes, open plan living and dining areas, large balcony and kitchen with bench tops. 
The complex features resort-style swimming pool, gym, BBQ area and intercom. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/1/cairns%20city%201.jpg" alt="">
A current listing is a historic Freshwater home priced around $600,000.
Set on a 924 square metre block, the Queenlander style home at<a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-qld-freshwater-131300182" target="_blank"> 119 Old Smithfield Road</a> (pictured below) comes with four bedrooms, office/study or fifth bedroom, family living room and timber pannelled kitchen. 
Other features include large laundry/utility room, purpose built workshop, in-ground pool, and tropic gardens. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/7/1/freshwater.jpg" alt="">
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Vacancy rates in Cairns remain tight: HTW residential 

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There were 4,926 Cairns homes sold over the 12 months to February 2019, down 11% when compared to the previous 12 month period, according to the latest CoreLogic Regional Report. 
It suggest that dwelling values across the region fell year-on-year with house values down just -0.7% and unit values down 2.1% over the year to March 2019.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/5/cairns%201.jpg" alt="">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/6/5/cairns%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/5/cairns%202.jpg" alt="">
Source: CoreLogic
Over the same period, renting became more expensive with advertised rental rates across the Cairns region increasing by $15/week for both houses and units.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/5/cairns%203.jpg" alt="">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/6/5/cairns%204.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/5/cairns%204.jpg" alt="">
Source: CoreLogic
It is the biggest increase across all five regions in Queensland. 
The average time it took to secure a sale on a Cairns house increased by five days over the year to February, while the average Cairns unit was selling five days faster.
Vendor discounting levels increased over the year for both houses and units in order to secure a sale.<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/6/5/cairns%205.jpg" target="_blank"></a>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/6/5/cairns%205.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/5/cairns%205.jpg" alt="">
Source: CoreLogic
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Cairns sees Queensland's biggest regional rent increases: CoreLogic

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A two bedroom one bathroom mortgagee unit in Cairns North, Qld has been sold for $180,250. 
Ray Murphy of RE/MAX Cairns held the listing.
Situated at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-unit-qld-cairns+north-129907894" target="_blank">2/323 McLeod Street, Cairns North</a>, the home is located inside of the Aztec Court gated complex which features an in-ground pool.
Set on 86 sqm the property contains one parking space.
According to the listing the home has an estimated rental income of $300 - $330 per week.
Last sold in 2004 the home traded for $169,000.
It was listed on and off as a rental from 2006 to 2014, originally at a price point of $210/pw and rising incrementally to $280/pw in 2014.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/subscribe" target="_blank"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/1/Subscriber%20strip%20ad.jpg" alt=""></a>
The median price for a unit in <a href="/developments/cairns-north-qld-4870">Cairns North</a> is $332,000 according to CoreLogic, which calculate its annual change in median price over the past 10 years as -1.2%.
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