<p>The new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a> development in Melbourne's inner west is showing that landscaping can be just as influential as architecture, with buyers responding strongly to the garden-first approach adopted from the outset by developer Excelon Projects and the project's design team.</p>

<p>Excelon appointed Six Degrees Architects and landscape architects SBLA to work collaboratively on the development, with a brief to create "a sustainable, design-led building with a focus on community."</p>

<p>That approach has resonated with buyers. According to Next Chapter Director Tom Hirini, who is leading the sales campaign, the landscaped communal garden has become one of the project's defining features, alongside its boutique scale and European-inspired cluster housing concept.</p>

<p>Local downsizers, right-sizers and established families already living in Yarraville and surrounding suburbs have accounted for the majority of purchasers.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297740]</p>

<p>Yarraville Green will comprise 53 homes, including apartments and townhomes, arranged around the shared central garden to maximise connections to the landscaped open space. Parking has been moved underground, allowing the ground plane to be dedicated to greenery, pedestrian movement and communal spaces.</p>

<p>The landscape extends well beyond passive planting. Productive garden beds, a pergola, communal gathering spaces, garden sheds and a pet wash have all been integrated into the masterplan, creating spaces designed to encourage everyday interaction between residents.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297741]</p>

<p>The interiors continue Excelon's focus on craftsmanship, incorporating bespoke elements by Melbourne artisans including leadlight detailing by Adadaz, hand-turned timber hardware by Auburn Woodturning and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen.</p>

<p>Sustainability has also been embedded throughout the project, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating through passive design principles, rooftop solar servicing common areas and rainwater harvesting for landscape irrigation.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297735]</p>

<p>Construction continues to progress at Yarraville Green, with structural works well underway and framing works approaching completion under builder Balmain &amp; Co. The project remains on track for completion in mid-2027.</p>

<p>Apartments at Yarraville Green are currently priced from $625,000, while townhomes start from $1.4 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]</p>


Joel Robinson

Garden-led design drives buyer demand at Yarraville Green

<p>National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.</p>

<p>Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]</p>

<p>The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.</p>

<p>Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.</p>

<p>"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.</p>

<p>"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.</p>

<p>"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]</p>

<p>Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.</p>

<p>The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]</p>

<p>Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]</p>

<p>Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.</p>

<p>Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]</p>


Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

<p>The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.</p>

<p>It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 41-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.</p>

<p>Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.</p>

<p>While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]</p>

<p>Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 41-storey tower, which has 229 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.</p>

<p>The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.</p>

<p>"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.</p>

<p>"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]</p>

<p>One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.</p>

<p>"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.</p>

<p>"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.</p>

<p>"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]</p>

<p>There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.</p>

<p>As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.</p>

<p>"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.</p>

<p>The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]</p>


A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

<p>A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.</p>

<p>It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.</p>

<p>Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.</p>

<p>The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]</p>

<p>"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.</p>

<p>"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.</p>

<p>"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]</p>

<p>The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.</p>

<p>Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]</p>

<p>The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.</p>

<p>The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]</p>

<p>Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.</p>

<p>Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]</p>

<p>While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.</p>

<p>It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.</p>

<p>Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]</p>

<p>That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.</p>

<p>Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]</p>


Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

<p>As apartment living continues to evolve across Sydney's growth corridors, the quality and distribution of shared spaces is increasingly shaping how residents experience home. Rather than functioning as add-ons, amenities are being embedded into the daily rhythm of a building, supporting everything from quiet retreat to social interaction, often within a single vertical community.</p>

<p>At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aeris-melrose-park-nursery-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Aeris</a> in Melrose Park, this approach is resolved through a layered amenity offering that unfolds from ground level through to its upper podium. Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> in partnership with Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project introduces 468 apartments across two towers and a mid-rise building, positioned at the highest point of the broader masterplan.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=359199]</p>

<p>The amenity experience begins at street level, where two courtyards sit within a landscaped setting that connects residents to the wider network of parks and green spaces. These green spaces are not isolated pockets but part of a wider pedestrian network that links Aeris to the surrounding <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a> precinct, including Central Park, future schools, and the Town Centre opening in July 2026. The result is a transition that moves from public to private without abrupt boundaries, allowing residents to pass through shaded, tree-lined environments before reaching the building itself.</p>

<p>Moving upward, the focus shifts to the level five podium, where the primary communal facilities are concentrated. This space brings together a 16-metre swimming pool, outdoor seating areas, and a communal BBQ zone arranged to take advantage of elevated outlooks. Seating is positioned beneath pergolas, creating pockets of shade that extend the usability of the space throughout the day. The pool edge aligns with views toward the wider district, reinforcing the sense of elevation that defines the project’s positioning.</p>

<p>In the adjacent building, this is complemented by quieter, more contemplative spaces, including an outdoor cinema set within the same level. Positioned to operate primarily in the evening, it introduces a different tempo to the shared environment, shifting from daytime activity to after-hours use without requiring separate zones.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360299]</p>

<p>The podium also accommodates an intimate private resident gym. Located on the lower levels, it gives residents convenient access to fitness facilities without leaving the building.</p>

<p>Above, the elevated podium sky deck extends the amenity offering, providing additional open-air spaces with elevated outlooks across the surrounding landscape. While more restrained in program, this upper level reinforces the project’s vertical progression, from ground-level greenery to elevated outlook, allowing residents to move between distinct spatial conditions within a single address.</p>

<p>This distribution of amenities reflects a deliberate response to how residents use space across the day. Sekisui House Australia Sales and Marketing Director Peter Kalaf points to the role these shared areas play in shaping buyer demand. Aeris has been conceived as more than a collection of apartments, with the podium pool, gym and outdoor cinema forming part of a broader lifestyle offering that extends the home beyond each individual residence.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360300]</p>

<p>What distinguishes Aeris is not the inclusion of these elements individually, but how they are arranged in relation to one another. Active, social, and passive spaces are layered vertically rather than separated, allowing residents to choose between them without leaving the building or moving far from their apartment. This proximity supports both routine use, such as a morning swim or evening workout, and more occasional gatherings, whether around the BBQ area or within the cinema setting.</p>

<p>The amenity design also sits within a broader framework of connectivity across Melrose Park. The Melrose Park Town Centre, anchored by Coles and Dan Murphys, features a mix of retail, dining, health and lifestyle offerings, bringing everyday convenience closer to residents. By the end of the year, more than five hectares of parks and open space, equivalent to around seven football fields of green space on residents' doorstep, will further enhance the precinct, allowing the internal facilities at Aeris to operate as an extension of the wider neighbourhood rather than a substitute for it.</p>

<p>Construction at Aeris continues to gather momentum, with ground floor slabs expected to be completed in late 2026 before the first sections of the buildings begin to rise above ground.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=426]</p>


Elevated amenity anchors daily life at Aeris, Melrose Park

Building Approvals

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

September 2017 RBA minutes note building approvals have stepped down 

<html><body>
<p>Australia's privatised building certifiers are worried over insurers’ moves to exclude liability for non-compliant cladding in the wake of the London building fire tragedy.</p>
<p>The Australian Institute of Building Surveyors, the peak body for Australia's privatised building certifiers, has written to members that some professional indemnity insurers were imposing 'onerous exclusions' to policies around non-compliant cladding, The Australian Financial Review reported.</p>
<p>"Some clauses exclude claims arising out of 'non-compliant' aluminium composite cladding whereas others exclude "non-compliant" and "non-conforming" cladding or building materials generally," the emailed letter said. </p>
<p>"The exclusions that we have seen are broadly worded, removing all cover when non-compliant products exist irrespective of whether the insured practitioner caused or contributed to the issue."</p>
<p>Melbourne-based insurance broker BRIC, which advised the institute to send the email, noticed its first policy with an exclusion clause in February. </p>
<p>Since June, it has had to find alternative insurers for 12 clients whose existing insurers had refused to remove exclusion clauses.</p>
<p>The exclusion clauses pose a major risk for professionals such as building surveyors and engineers, BRIC broking manager Darren Pavic was cited by the AFR as saying.</p>
<p>"If a policy does not respond to a claim, the firm and the individual practitioner will be left to defend the matter using their own resources," Pavic said.</p>
<p>Flammable cladding has been a major issue since London's Grenfell Tower tragedy. </p>
<p>The Victorian government has set up a the taskforce to speed up the investigation into the use of flammable cladding on high-rise buildings in the state.</p>
<p>It has also prompted a revision of Australia's National Construction Code. </p>
<p>The move by insurers has also been prompted by the fire at Melbourne’s Lacrosse building in the Docklands.</p>
<p>Moves by state governments, such as in NSW, and by developers and owners themselves to determine the safety of their cladding are likely to lead to a raft of claims over rectification costs, said Scott Higgins, a partner with law firm Mills Oakley. </p>
<p>With developers likely to have confidential dispute resolution mechanisms that would have them resolve problems privately, bodies corporate were more likely to take certifiers to court, Higgins said.</p>
<p>"I'd be very surprised if we didn't start to see them in the next six months," he said.</p>
<p>Erik Adriaantse, the interim chief executive of industry body Strata Community Australia, said news of the exclusions was a "positive" development.</p>
<p>"It's likely to put pressure on certifiers to get it right," he said.</p>
<p>Higgins added that the move by insurers could influence the appetite of building owners to rectify them.</p>
<p>"If you have to rectify the issue and seek to recover the costs – which could be in the millions – by reclaiming those under insurance, if that certifying authority doesn't have an insurer standing behind them there's less comfort there that you're going to be able to recover the costs," he said.</p>
</body></html>

jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Certifiers, building owners at risk from insurer cladding exclusion rules

<html><body>
<p>The building approvals in the current cycle began to rise from mid-2012, according to HIA’s latest report.</p>
<p>It took until late 2015 for the cycle to peak and approvals have subsequently maintained very high levels from a historical perspective.</p>
<p>Australia’s latest new home construction cycle, for which building approvals formed a very accurate lead indicator, is the longest and largest in the nation’s history.</p>
<p>This has produced very healthy outcomes for the broader Australian economy.</p>
<p>The December 2016 numbers for ABS Building Approvals (the latest available data) confirm that we have passed the peak for this cycle.</p>
<p>However, actual residential construction activity will remain healthy throughout 2016/17 and into 2017/18 due to the continuing gap between building approvals and new dwelling commencements (starts).</p>
<p>In monthly terms building approvals peaked in October 2015 at a level of 21,546.</p>
<p>The annual peak for building approvals was a staggering 241,561 over the 12 months to November 2015.</p>
<p>In calendar year 2016 building approvals reached a level of 230,813 compared to 240,009 in 2015.</p>
<p>A gradual decline in building approvals in the early stages of the down cycle provides an important signal for the Australian economy.</p>
<p>This trend is consistent with continued healthy levels of new dwelling commencements and residential work being done in 2016/17 and into next year.</p>
<p>This situation in turn provides positive impacts on economic growth and employment.</p>
<p>For example, construction absorbs 9 per cent of the workforce and is the third largest employer, after health (12.8 per cent) and retail (10.5 per cent) in the Australian economy.</p>
<p>Record levels of residential construction and related jobs have in recent years offset job losses in other sectors.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/21/HIA-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/21/HIA-1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>There was considerable variation in the evolution of dwelling approvals among the states in 2016 compared to 2015.</p>
<p>This is not a surprising finding – this building cycle has been marked by larger than normal divergenes in housing conditions around Australia given that the up-cycle began before Australia’s largest ever resources investment boom had peaked.</p>
<p>In original (i.e. not seasonally adjusted) terms three out of eight states recorded increases in total building approvals in calendar year 2016.</p>
<p>The strongest increase occurred in the Australian Capital Territory (+44.6 per cent), followed by South Australia (+3.8 per cent) and New South Wales (+1.2 per cent).</p>
<p>Total building approvals declined in Western Australia and the Northern Territory (-23.4 per cent in each instance), Tasmania (-23.0 per cent), Queensland (-5.9 per cent), and Victoria (-1.3 per cent).</p>
<p>Comparing the December 2016 quarter to the December 2015 quarter, there was a decline in approvals nationwide of 14.2 per cent (in unadjusted terms, see chart below).</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/21/HIA-2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/21/HIA-2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Different jurisdictions played varying roles in this overall result.</p>
<p>The main drivers of this annual change in the December 2016 quarter were New South Wales (-6.4 percentage points) and Queensland (-4.9 percentage points).</p>
<p>Contractions were also evident for: Western Australia (-1.5 percentage points); and Victoria and South Australia (-0.9 percentage points in each instance).</p>
<p>Tasmania had a minor - 0.1 percentage point result.</p>
<p>In terms of the number of building approvals, the decline in NSW (-3,884) acted as a large drag on the national outcome (-8,560).</p>
<p>The following analysis provides greater detail on developments in approvals for different dwelling types.</p>
<p>This breakdown of building approvals – separating out semi-detached style product from medium/high density (MHD) units, for example provides important ‘colour’ to the building approvals landscape and is often forgotten in generalised commentary regarding detached houses ‘versus multi-units’.</p>
<p>Let’s start from the top with the aggregate profiles to provide the necessary background.</p>
<p>The chart below shows monthly changes in seasonally adjusted approvals.</p>
<p>There were 51,173 total seasonally adjusted building approvals in the December 2016 quarter, a level 15.2 per cent lower than approvals in the September quarter.</p>
<p>As previously noted, building approvals were 3.8 per cent lower in 2016 than in 2015.</p>
<p>Seasonally adjusted building approvals for detached houses totalled 28,275 in the December 2016 quarter, a level 2.2 per cent lower than in the September quarter of 2016.</p>
<p>Total approvals for ‘other dwellings’ – usually referred to as ‘multi-units’ numbered 22,900 in the December 2016 quarter.</p>
<p>That level was 26.9 per cent lower than the approvals in the September quarter of 2016. In the 12 months to December 2016 approvals were 5.5 per cent lower than in 2015.</p>
<p>The overall profile for detached house approvals in 2016 suggests this segment of the new home building market remains in relatively healthy shape in early 2017.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/21/HIA-3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/21/HIA-3.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Drilling down from this aggregate profile we consider five categories of residential building approvals.</p>
<p>Comparing the December 2016 quarter to the same period in 2015, all of the five categories of dwellings recorded a decline in approvals: detached houses (-5.8 per cent); semi-detached, row, terrace or townhouse homes (-10.1 per cent); flats or units in 1 or 2 storey buildings (-21.9 per cent); flats or units in 3 storey buildings (-25.8 per cent); and flats or units in 4 or more storey buildings (-27.4 per cent).</p>
<p>All the categories combined recorded a national decline of 14.2 per cent.</p>
<p>In terms of last calendar year, all categories except semi-detached, row or terrace dwellings posted a negative change.</p>
<p>Building approvals in the ‘semi-detached’ category increased by 3.8 per cent in 2016.</p>
<p>The remaining categories posted declines in 2016 of: detached houses (-1.9 per cent); flats or units in 1 or 2 storey buildings (-27.1 per cent); flats or units in 3 storey buildings (-7.7 per cent); and flats or units in 4 or more storey buildings (-7.5 per cent).</p>
<p>The chart below shows how approvals for each of the different dwelling types have been contributing or detracting from total growth in the number of building approvals in a quarter over the same quarter a year ago.</p>
<p>Clearly, up to the December 2016 quarter, approvals for all categories have driven declines in aggregate approvals, but to a widely varying extent.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/21/HIA-4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/21/HIA-4.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Detached house approvals</p>
<ul>
<li>51.2 per cent of total building approvals in 2016 compared with the decade average of 60.9 per cent;</li>
<li>A significant 5.8 per cent decline during the three months to December 2016 to reach a (non- seasonally adjusted) level of 27,610. This level is 13.8 per cent lower than in the December 2015 quarter;</li>
<li>Average monthly approvals of 9,735 dwellings over 2016 in unadjusted terms;</li>
<li>Eastern seaboard states the primary geographical drivers of growth in 2016.</li>
</ul>
<p>Semi-detached and townhouse approvals</p>
<ul>
<li>14.6 per cent of total building approvals in 2016 compared with the decade average of 13.5 per cent;</li>
<li>Average monthly approvals of 2,781 dwellings over 2016, in unadjusted terms;</li>
<li>Strong 3.8 per cent growth in 2016, driven by the eastern seaboard states;</li>
<li>Queensland, the Australian Capital Territory, the Northern Territory and Victoria contributed to aggregate growth nationally;</li>
</ul>
<p>Approvals for units in 1 or 2 storey buildings</p>
<ul>
<li>1.4 per cent share in 2016, compared with the decade average of 2.9 per cent;</li>
<li>Average monthly approvals of 271 dwellings over 2016, in unadjusted terms. Growth driven by South Australia and the Australian Capital Territory, but declines elsewhere.</li>
</ul>
<p>Approvals for units in 3 storey buildings</p>
<ul>
<li>2.2 per cent share in 2016, compared with the decade average of 2.5 per cent;</li>
<li>Average monthly approvals of 426 dwellings over 2016, in unadjusted terms;</li>
<li>Decline of 7.7 per cent in 2016;</li>
<li>Annual decline a result of pull-backs in New South Wales and the Northern Territory. Growth in Victoria and South Australia was insufficient to offset the declines.</li>
</ul>
<p>Approvals for units in 4+ storey buildings</p>
<ul>
<li>30.5 per cent share in 2016 compared with ten year average of 20.1 per cent;</li>
<li>Average monthly approvals of 5,826 dwellings over 2016, in unadjusted terms;</li>
<li>Some slow-down in 2016, driven mainly by Victoria, Queensland and the Northern Territory. The Australian Capital Territory and New South Wales were the two star contributors to growth.</li>
</ul>
<p>Australia’s new home-building boom looks set to taper off from 2017.</p>
<p>Building approvals for new housing have faded (moderately) in the past year, but they didn’t tank.</p>
<p>ABS building approvals figures show that the number of houses and ‘other dwellings’ approved in 2016 were lower than in 2015 by less than 4 per cent.</p>
<p>This outcome is not a precursor of any serious declines in new dwelling commencements in the first half of 2017.</p>
<p>The steady trend in detached house approvals suggests that actual activity will similarly remain reasonably healthy in the short term.</p>
<p>A slightly more positive short term outlook applies to semi-detached type approvals.</p>
<p>Overall, we retain our long held outlook for continued healthy levels of new home construction in 2016/17, and to a lesser extent in calendar year 2017:-</p>
<p>Detached house construction will remain healthy in the short term, but the volume of building will be lower than last year;</p>
<p>The semi-detached market has some further growth to it in the first half of 2017 – a tick in the box that shouldn’t be missed;</p>
<p>The pipeline of work in progress is substantial, particularly in terms of medium/high density dwellings.</p>
<p>HIA Economics will shortly be releasing their latest forecasts for dwelling commencements.</p>
<p>This release will include updates for the subscription products of: dwelling starts composition forecasts; regional building approvals forecasts; and long term forecasts.</p>
<p>For further information go <a href="https://hia.com.au/en/BusinessInfo/economicInfo/housingForecasts.aspx" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
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New home building approvals in longest and largest cycle in Australia's history

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<p>The December 2016 update for ABS Building Approvals confirms the peak for the cycle has passed, according to the Housing Industry Association.</p>
<p>“While a downward trend in building approvals is firmly entrenched, residential construction activity itself will hold up well throughout 2016/17,” said HIA chief economist, Dr Harley Dale.</p>
<p>“From 2017/18 we will see a sharper decline in new home building activity, primarily due to the medium/high density segment of the market.</p>
<p>"Building approvals peaked in July 2016, but by December last year were only 18 per cent lower than that peak.</p>
<p>"Given approvals reached an all-time high last year that’s a modest fall – we can take that away and bank it as a good outcome for the Australian economy.</p>
<p>"This has been an extraordinary cycle for new home building – the biggest and longest in history."</p>
<p>He said a long tail to the cycle will be helpful for the Australian economy.</p>
<p>Dr Dale said it was important to focus in 2017 on ensuring Australia has the correct longer term policy settings to ensure we adequately house our growing and ageing population.</p>
<p>The recent appointment of Michael Sukkar as Assistant Minister to the Treasurer, with a focus on housing affordability allows the Federal Government to lead from the front in meeting this crucial national objective.”</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/02/02/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-02%20at%202.34.22%20pm.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/02/02/Screen%20Shot%202017-02-02%20at%202.34.22%20pm.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>In December 2016 total seasonally adjusted building approvals fell by 1.2 per cent with detached houses down by 2.2 per cent and ‘other dwellings’ sitting flat at +0.1 per cent.</p>
<p>On a three month annualised basis total approvals remain above the 200,000 threshold at 204,692.</p>
<p>In December 2016, seasonally-adjusted building approvals increased by 19.5 per cent in Tasmania and 17.0 per cent in Victoria, while in trend terms there was an increase of 1.2 per cent in the Northern Territory.</p>
<p>Building approvals fell in Western Australia (-16.3 per cent), New South Wales (-13.2 per cent), South Australia (-5.4 per cent), and Queensland (-0.1 per cent).</p>
<p>In trend terms approvals fell by 2.1 per cent in the Australian Capital Territory.</p>
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Peak of the building approvals cycle has passed: HIA

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<div>The NSW Department of Planning will be able to step in if councils or other government agencies sit on residential approvals for too long under new laws.</div>
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<div>Aimed at relieving Sydney's chronic housing shortage, the proposed changes will see the Planning Minister also have the right to set up a planning panel on councils that are stalling on a project decision.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It is a system already operating in South Australia. </div>
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<p>The NSW development approval system has previously been labelled the worst in the world by the Property Council of NSW.</p>
<p>The Daily Telegraph had Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull last week saying Sydney councils were taking three times as long to approve DAs as their counterparts in Brisbane.</p>
<p>The proposed changes include standardising the format of councils' development control plans, removing 400 formats that exist across the state.</p>
<p>Developers will also be given incentives, yet to be detailed, to resolve objections with neighbours before lodging development approvals.</p>
<p>It is expected to save time and money, and increase harmony, though the Australian Financial Review noted NSW Planning Minister Rob Stokes' department provided details of the legislation to the paper on the condition no groups such as Greens and local councils would be approached for comment. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>NSW Urban Development Institute of Australia chief executive Steve Mann, in comments supplied by the NSW government, said the reforms addressed some long-held frustrations with the planning system by industry, community and local government.</p>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

NSW to hasten residential approvals with new planning rules

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<div class="column">GUEST OBSERVER</div>
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<br>The latest construction data was certainly disappointing. Not only is construction work down over 11 percent on a year ago, but the falls were across an array of sectors.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Engineering and commercials continued to record the brunt of the weakness, while residential construction also fell from record highs. In addition the major states all recorded a fall in construction activity, with gains only in ACT, Tasmania and the Northern Territory.</div>
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<div class="column"><a href="/images/2016/11/24/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-24%20at%208.51.47%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div class="column"><img src="/images/2016/11/24/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-24%20at%208.51.47%20AM.png" alt=""></div>
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<p>The ‘baton pass’ from engineering to residential building was clearly the driver of activity over the last couple of years. In fact engineering work is down by 23.2 percent on a year ago – just shy of the biggest annual fall on record, as opposed to residential construction, which eased from record highs. The results are even more staggering when you consider that just over two years ago engineering work surpassed total building (residential and commercial) by more than $9 billion.</p>
<p>And while policymakers would not be overly concerned at present, a substantial pullback in residential activity would create a void that could cause concern. Essentially the hope would be that commercial and non-mining related business investment will lift over the coming year and provide the economy with a lift in momentum.</p>
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<div class="column">Inflation in the building sector is healthy without being excessive. Not only was inflation flat in the September quarter but the annual rate of construction inflation eased back to 2 per cent. Interestingly recent construction industry reports forecast a rise in hourly rates over the medium term at unionised building sites due to new enterprise bargaining agreements and labour shortages.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">In addition recently signed agreements suggest a 20 percent lift in wages over the next 4 years on some sites. Overall a lift in inflation in the building sector would not concern the Reserve Bank at present given the lack of inflation across the rest of the economy.  </div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Today’s data is unlikely to alter the Reserve Banks thinking when it comes to rates. Focus now turns to the June quarter business investment data released on December 1. And while the Reserve Bank will be particularly interested in estimates of completed non-mining investment, there will be a much greater focus on future spending plans - especially in light of the fact that private sector construction activity continues to disappoint.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">What do the figures show?</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Construction Work</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Construction work done fell by 4.9 percent in real (inflation-adjusted) terms in the September quarter after sliding by 3.1 percent in the June quarter. Work done is down by 11.1 percent on a year ago. Public sector construction work fell by 0.2 percent in the quarter while private sector activity fell by 6.0 percent.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Construction work fell in five of the states and territories in the September quarter. Leading the falls was Western Australia (down 13.6 percent), followed by Victoria (down 6.9 percent), South Australia (down 1.3 percent), NSW (down 2.1 percent) and Queensland (down 0.2 percent). Construction rose in the ACT (up 7.1 percent), Tasmania (up 4.7 percent), and the Northern Territory (up 0.6 percent).</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Engineering work fell by 3.8 percent in the September quarter. Engineering construction is down by 23.2 percent on a year ago – just shy of the biggest annual fall on record.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Commercial (non-residential) building fell by 10.9 per cent in the September quarter to be down 7.6 percent over the year. </div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Residential building fell by 3.1 per cent in the September quarter and was up by 6.3 percent over the year. Alterations &amp; additions fell by 0.6 percent in the quarter while new residential work fell by 3.4 percent.<br><p>The measure of inflation in the construction sector (deflator) was flat in the September quarter. The annual rate of construction inflation fell from 2.6 percent to 2.0 percent. Engineering prices fell by 0.7 percent in the quarter (up 1.7 percent over the year) while building prices rose by 0.6 percent in the quarter (1.9 percent over the year).</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/11/24/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-24%20at%208.52.56%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/11/24/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-24%20at%208.52.56%20AM.png" alt=""></p>
<p>What is the importance of the economic data?</p>
<p> The Bureau of Statistics releases quarterly estimates of Construction work done. The estimates are based on a survey and cover around 85 per cent of the construction work done in the period. Revised estimates will be released in coming months. The data is useful largely for historical purposes but the work yet to be done estimates provide an early warning signal of future activity. The residential work figures give a good early guide to the strength of residential investment in the national accounts.</p>
<p>What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</p>
There is still plenty of work in the construction sector. But there are winners and losers across states and industry sectors. The Reserve Bank will not be overly concerned with the current trends in construction. Overall activity is correcting as expected and adjusting to the new realities.</div>
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<br>CommSec expects the cash rate to remain on hold over the foreseeable future. </div>
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<div class="column"><em>Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a></em></div>
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Construction activity falls, tame building costs: Savanth Sebastian

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<p>Total dwelling approvals experienced a large decline during September with new dwelling approvals falling 8.7 percent during September and multi-unit developments down 17.5 percent month on month according to the Housing Industry Association.</p>
<p>During September, total new dwelling approvals fell by 8.7 per cent due to big reductions in the larger states, according to Shane Garrett, HIA Senior Economist.</p>
<p>He said during the month, a total of 18,945 approvals were recorded with detached house approvals increasing by 1.7 percent during the month, while multi-unit approvals were down by some 17.5 percent in month-on-month terms.</p>
<p>“Despite the large drop in multi-unit dwelling approvals during September, the volume of approvals in this segment of the market is still at very high levels by historic standards - this means that the immediate pipeline of work will remain very elevated on the apartment side,” he said.</p>
<p>“The concentration of multi-unit dwelling construction in the large states like NSW and Victoria means that these big players bore the brunt of the reduction in multi-unit approvals during September.</p>
<p>“During September, detached house approvals rose to their highest level since May which was good news for both South Australia and Western Australia where detached houses still account for the large majority of new dwellings.</p>
<p>"In September 2016, total seasonally-adjusted new home building approvals increased by 9.4 percent in South Australia and by 5.5 percent in Western Australia.</p>
<p>"During September, building approvals experienced the largest decline in Victoria (-15.6 percent) followed by New South Wales (-13.3 percent).</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/11/02/Building%20approvals.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p> <img src="/images/2016/11/02/Building%20approvals.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
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Residential building approvals declining during September period

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>The September 2016 building approvals date, released earlier today by the ABS, shows some of the growing fears around the excess heat in the market for new apartments may be premature.</p>
<p>The data shows a massive turnaround in apartment approvals, from the strong growth recorded in the August data of 26.3 percent (year-on-year), to a reversal in the September data, to record a fall over 9.9 percent measured year-on-year.</p>
<p>Building approvals data has a tendency to be quite volatile when comparing results month by month, but this latest result is an example of how quickly the housing market can respond when market conditions change.</p>
<p>Talk of an emerging oversupply in inner-city apartments markets in Sydney, Melbourne and some parts of Brisbane has no doubt made developers and builders in these markets more cautious.</p>
<p>However, Master Builders would caution against being overly bearish on the prospects of inner-city apartment markets while auction clearance rates remain high, rents are growing and house prices continue to march forward.</p>
<p>On the government’s own estimates Sydney is projected to have a population of 6.4 million by 2036. On average, that would add 210,000 people to Sydney’s population each year, or pretty much the equivalent of the entire population of Hobart each and every year for the next twenty years.</p>
<p>Elsewhere, the RBA’s decision this week to keep interest rates on hold came with more jawboning of risks for the housing sector. While the rhetoric was more positive overall, particularly on the global economic outlook, there is a heightened level of concern around the impact a further reduction may have on house prices.</p>
<p>Master Builders agrees with the RBA’s sentiments.  While acknowledging the role interest rates have played in supporting a much needed boom in housing construction over the past couple of years, Master Builder would caution the Bank to carefully consider the impact that further reductions may have on some of Australia’s hotter housing markets in Sydney and Melbourne.</p>
<p><em>Matthew Pollock is national manager, housing, Master Builders Australia and can be contacted <a href="https://www.masterbuilders.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
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Fall in approvals points to peak in housing construction cycle

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<div class="column">GUEST OBSERVER</div>
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<div class="column">Dwelling approvals dropped 8.7 percent in Sep, larger than the market expectation of a 3 percent fall but within the range of ‘normal’ volatility for month to month reads.</div>
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<div class="column"><a href="/images/2016/11/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-03%20at%208.09.31%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="column"><img src="/images/2016/11/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-03%20at%208.09.31%20AM.png" alt=""></div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">The detail shows a sharp 16.3 percent drop in units was the main driver in the month – with-in this segment the ‘usual culprit’ when there is volatility - high rise approvals – was down just over 20 percent in the month but down only slightly on a year ago, reflecting the high starting point following a big surge in July. Even with a dip last month, August was the fourth highest reading on record.</div>
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<div class="column">Outside of ‘high rise’ the monthly moves were mixed but mostly hint at an underlying trend softening. Private sector house approvals were up 2.3% but ‘mid-rise’ were down over 10 percent. The combined picture from ‘non high rise’ approvals now show a trend decline for six consecutive months tracking at a 10-15 percent annual pace. The state detail shows this coming through across all the main states – a more convincing though still tentative sign of a broad underlying slowdown.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column"><a href="/images/2016/11/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-03%20at%208.14.19%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div class="column"><img src="/images/2016/11/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-03%20at%208.14.19%20AM.png" alt=""></div>
<div class="column">
<br>The signal from ‘high rise’ remains much less conclusive – despite the latest monthly drop it is unclear whether the segment is levelling out or turning down with approvals uneven across the major states as well (up strongly on a year ago for NSW but lacking a clear direction in Vic and Qld).</div>
<div class="column">
<br>The value of renovation approvals declined 2.2 percent to be down 10.6 percent/yr, pointing to a clear softening heading into year end after strong gains in the first half of 2016.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>The value of non res building approvals spiked sharply in Sep (+119 percent!). The gain came from a mix of retail, office, hotels and entertainment &amp; recreation buildings – the breadth of the gain a promising sign that it may not be just a 'one-off'. State-wise, all of the gain is coming from NSW and Vic.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Overall, the update provides more tentative evidence of an underlying slowdown in non high rise dwelling approvals but the picture on high rise remains very uncertain. The mix still looks relatively constructive for new dwelling construction in 2017 – when the continued ramp up in apartment work looks set to more than offset the slowdown in other segments. The near term path of high rise approvals is more critical for activity in 2018.</div>
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<div class="column"><img src="/images/2016/11/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-03%20at%208.15.32%20AM.png" alt=""></div>
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<div class="column">The September pull back in this segments falls well short of a decisive signal – it would take similar-sized moves in the next few months to signal the sort of 'break out' weakening that would indicate a sharp wind down in high rise activity is on the way. </div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column"><em><span>Matthew Hassan</span> is senior economist with <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/" target="_blank">Westpac</a>.</em></div>
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High rise approvals drop after July surge: Matthew Hassan

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<div class="column">New council approvals to build houses or apartments are volatile on a monthly basis.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">But overall the amount of building is still hovering near record highs. But there was a new ingredient in the mix in September – a sharp lift in commercial building approvals.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">While not disclosed by the Bureau of Statistics, the project boosting the total seems to be the $2 billion Crown Sydney resort that includes retail, entertainment and hotel accommodation components. While just one – albeit big – project, it still adds to demand for labour and materials and will support building activity through to 2020.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>The sharp price gains for iron ore and thermal and coking coal point to higher incomes in Australia and higher tax revenues for the Federal Government. The higher prices reflect stronger Chinese economic activity, especially a resurgence in residential building. In terms of coal, a reduction in Chinese coal output has served to boost import demand and prices. But overall the news is good for Australian resource regions and good news for the Federal Budget.</div>
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<br>As the Reserve Bank noted yesterday, consumer and business confidence levels are above longer-term averages. Low interest rates, rising real incomes and solid confidence levels should support spending in the lead up to Christmas.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>The National Fiscal Outlook neatly presents in one place the position of Commonwealth and State Government finances. There are no major surprises and nothing to spook rating agencies. Infrastructure spending is up, expenses are down and lower revenues reflect slower nominal economic growth. But to some extent the document may already be ancient history. The economy is picking up pace, higher commodity prices will boost government coffers and inflation looks to be lifting from lows. </div>
<div class="column">
<br>Australian government debt is set to peak near 19 percent of GDP – one of the lowest debt ratios of major advanced economies. And the path to fiscal surplus remains intact.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>What do the figures show?</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Building Approvals:</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Dwelling approvals fell by 8.7 percent in September – the fourth decline in five months. In trend terms, approvals fell by 0.6 percent.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Over the past year 237,822 new homes were approved, just shy of the record high 240,919 in the year to October 2015.<br>House approvals rose by 1.7 percent in September – the first rise in four months. Meanwhile ‘lumpy’ apartment approvals fell by 17.5 percent in September after falling by 2.9 percent in August and rising by 24.1 percent in July.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Dwelling approvals in September were down by 6.4 percent on a year ago in seasonally adjusted terms but up 2.1 percent in trend terms.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Dwelling approvals across states and territories in September: NSW (-13.3 percent); Victoria (-15.6 percent); Queensland (-11.7 percent); South Australia (+9.4 percent); Western Australia (+5.6 percent); Tasmania (-4.0 percent).</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">In trend terms, approvals fell by 6.0 percent in the Northern Territory but rose by 15.9 percent in the ACT.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>The value of all commercial and residential building approvals soared by 29.9 percent in September to a record high of $11.8 billion. Residential approvals fell by 4.4 percent with new building down by 4.6 percent while alterations &amp; additions fell by 2.2 percent. Commercial building lifted by 118.9 percent in September to a 7-year high of $5.5 billion.</div>
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<div class="column">
<br>Fiscal outlook</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">The Parliamentary Budget Office has released the National Fiscal Outlook report. The PBO says Commonwealth net debt will lift to $356.4 billion (18.8 percent of GDP) in 2018/19 compared with $346.6 billion (18.2 percent of GDP) at the 2015/16 mid-year estimate (MYEFO). Net debt is to peak at 19.2 percent of GDP in 2017/18 before improving to reach 17.8 percent of GDP in 2019/20.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>The PBO said: “According to Commonwealth and state government 2016/17 budgets the projected national fiscal deficit from 2015/16 to 2018/19 has deteriorated by $14.9 billion (from a total of $122.3 billion at the time of the mid-year updates to $137.1 billion).</div>
<div class="column">
<br>The deterioration in the projected fiscal outlook from 2015/16 to 2018/19 is due to a downward revision in projected revenue of $18.1 billion along with an upward revision in net capital investment of $2.8 billion, partially offset by a downward revision in expenses of $6.0 billion.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>“Relative to the 2015/16 mid-year fiscal updates, the Commonwealth’s projected fiscal deficit from 2015/16 to 2018/19 has increased by $8.9 billion (from $96.1 billion to $105.1 billion), driven primarily by a decline in projected revenue, partially offset by a reduction in projected expenses and net capital investment.”</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Consumer confidence</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">The ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 0.4 percent to 114.1 in the week to October 30. Confidence is down 1.0 percent over the year but above the average of 112.4 since 2014. Three of five components of the index fell in the latest week:</div>
<div class="column">
<ul>
<li> The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was down from +9 to +8; </li>
<li> The estimate of family finances over the next year was up from +21 to +26;</li>
<li>  Economic conditions over the next 12 months was down from +0 to -3;</li>
<li>  Economic conditions over the next 5 years was down from +6 to +5;</li>
<li>  The measure of whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was up from +32 points to +35 points.</li>
</ul>
What is the importance of the economic data?</div>
<div class="column">
<br>The Bureau of Statistics' monthly Building Approvals release contains figures on local council approvals to build residential structures such as homes and units as well as commercial premises such as offices and shops. Approval is one of the first stages of the construction ‘pipeline’ and is thus a key leading indicator of future activity. An increase in approvals would point to stronger future activity for construction-related companies.</div>
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<div class="column"><a href="/images/2016/11/02/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-02%20at%201.42.09%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div class="column"><img src="/images/2016/11/02/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-02%20at%201.42.09%20PM.png" alt=""></div>
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<br>The ANZ/Roy Morgan weekly survey of consumer confidence closely tracks the monthly Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index but the former measure is a timelier assessment of consumer attitudes and is now closely tracked by the Reserve Bank.</div>
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<br>What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</div>
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<div class="column">The Reserve Bank has received ample justification for its decision to leave rates on hold. The value of building approvals has hit fresh highs and the lift in iron ore and coal prices will serve to lift labour demand, spending and economic activity in resource regions.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>CommSec expects the Reserve Bank to remain on the interest rate sidelines for an extended period. The job market is in decent shape, consumers and businesses remain confident and home building is just shy of record highs. And importantly, inflation is projected to rise over the next two years.<br><br>
</div>
<div class="column"><em>Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.</em></div>
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