Developers and apartment buyers have a narrowing window of opportunity before Brisbane's Olympic infrastructure pipeline begins competing directly with residential construction, pushing up costs, tightening labour supply and making new projects increasingly difficult to deliver.

While Brisbane's apartment market continues to benefit from strong population growth and limited housing supply, industry research suggests the years leading up to 2027 could prove to be the most important period for developers looking to secure builders and buyers hoping to purchase before the next wave of price increases.

A new Colliers report, Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games: Creating Solutions, highlights the scale of the challenge. While thousands of new homes are planned across South East Queensland, the Brisbane Olympic Athletes Village alone will deliver more than 10,500 beds during the Games before being converted into around 1,750 to 2,000 apartments. Equivalent to almost two years of typical inner-city apartment supply, the project will also absorb a significant share of the construction workforce and building materials.

The broader construction pipeline paints an even clearer picture.

Construction Skills Queensland's Horizon 2032 report forecasts Queensland's annual construction pipeline will average $69 billion over the coming years before peaking at $75 billion in 2027-28. Demand for construction workers is expected to increase by 17 per cent to almost 150,000 people, with the industry facing an annual shortfall of around 19,000 workers that could blow out to as many as 35,000 during the peak construction period.

The Olympic venues, athletes village and supporting infrastructure will account for billions of dollars worth of work across South East Queensland through to 2032, creating intense competition for labour at a time when Australia's residential construction sector is already under pressure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=373834]

Colliers Queensland Residential Director Andrew Scriven said the convergence of these projects is creating a clear window of opportunity for both developers and buyers.

"From 2027 onwards, the market will shift dramatically," Scriven said.

"Labour will increasingly be locked into government-led infrastructure and Olympic projects, which means private residential developments will face higher costs and tighter margins. The developers who move now are the ones most likely to get projects off the ground."

Scriven said the same dynamic would also affect buyers, with fewer apartment projects expected to launch once construction capacity tightens.

"If you're looking to change your lifestyle over the next five years, now is your window of opportunity to buy."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=373827]

Developers are already positioning themselves ahead of that window.

Following the success of Monarch at Toowong, Consolidated Properties is preparing to launch two new Brisbane apartment projects in the second half of 2026. They include <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gloriette-30-bedivere-street-yeerongpilly-qld-4105">Gloriette</a> at Yeerongpilly Green, a 25-storey tower within one of Brisbane's key Olympic precincts, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a recently approved 25-storey riverfront development at 47 Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

Hutchinson Builders will deliver both projects, with early works already underway at Yeerongpilly and Newstead expected to commence later this year.

The timing comes as Brisbane's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with strong interstate migration, population growth and vacancy rates remaining below 1.5 per cent.

Colliers Queensland researcher Pragya Sharma said Greater Brisbane is forecast to require around 40,000 new apartments between 2021 and 2031.

"There's a real mismatch emerging between when housing is needed and when it will be feasible to build," Sharma said.

"As a result, the period leading up to 2027 presents a key window of opportunity for developers to secure approvals, funding and construction capacity, while buyers will have greater choice before supply constraints intensify."

Colliers research outlines a critical pre-2027 window to start residential projects before labour squeeze: now is the time to buy

Joel Robinson

Developers, buyers on watch in South East Queensland ahead of construction crunch: Colliers

It's taken less than nine months for developer Sherpa Property Group to sell out all 51 apartments in its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-oasis-palm-beach-7-9-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Oasis</a> development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a>, over a year before its anticipated completion.

&nbsp;

Located at 7-9 Sixth Avenue, the $67 million development has resonated strongly with both local owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking high-quality apartments within walking distance of the beach, dining precincts and everyday amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357458]

Christie Leet, Founder of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Group</a>, said the sell-out reflected both the strength of the Palm Beach market and the success of Sherpa's community-first approach to development.

"The sell-out of Oasis is a fantastic outcome and reinforces the strong demand we're seeing for thoughtfully designed apartments in lifestyle locations," Leet said.

"From the outset, our vision was to create a development that genuinely enhanced the Palm Beach community while providing residents with exceptional homes and wellness-focused amenities.

"We've been incredibly encouraged by the level of local support throughout the campaign, 72.5 per cent of buyers are locals, with a significant proportion of purchasers choosing Oasis as their future home rather than an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357463]

Construction is now progressing following development approval, with trusted builder LPS Group delivering the project and completion anticipated in Q3 2027.

Oasis forms part of Sherpa Group's successful Flourish collection, which has become recognised for its focus on wellness, community and elevated coastal living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357469]

Residents will have private access to a rooftop amenity space featuring a pool, gym, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, spa and barbecue facilities.

"The success of Oasis demonstrates that buyers continue to prioritise quality, location and lifestyle," Leet said.

"We are proud to have delivered a project that has resonated so strongly with the market and look forward to bringing Oasis to life for our future residents."

Sherpa recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a>, its third instalment of the Flourish brand in Palm Beach following Flourish Oasis and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151449]

Sherpa sells out Flourish Oasis in booming Palm Beach

Urban Property Group's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/la-vera-macquarie-park-94-talavera-road-macquarie-park-nsw-2113">La Vera</a> is leading the next phase of Macquarie Park's residential evolution, with the new apartment development set to become the first of several new apartment projects in the precinct to complete.

The 169-apartment building has now topped out ahead of its scheduled completion in the third quarter of 2026, as new residential investment continues to reshape one of Sydney's largest employment hubs into a true mixed-use precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=368645]

Cox Architecture has designed La Vera to capture the best of its unique positioning on Talavera Road, orienting the building towards Lane Cove National Park.&nbsp;The building features a sculpted northern façade with flowing curves inspired by the surrounding landscape, while its city-facing elevation adopts a more structured architectural expression to maximise skyline views.

"The vision for the project was to conceive a building that adopted an organic and curvilinear form to the northern portion that faces the Lane Cove National Park," <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a> Director Felipe Miranda said.

"The residents that reside in the northern portion of the building benefit by having beautifully crafted curved balconies that speak to the natural context and heighten the relationship of their internal living spaces to the external balconies."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

La Vera offers a diverse mix of one, two, three, and four-bedroom configurations, with prices currently starting from $740,000. Buyers so far have been a mix of Sydney-based investors,&nbsp;metro commuters, owner-occupiers and downsizers from surrounding North Shore suburbs.

Both investors and owner-occupiers have been drawn to La Vera's proximity to Macquarie University, Macquarie University Hospital, Macquarie Centre and the Sydney Metro, infrastructure that supports both strong rental demand and a convenient lifestyle for residents.

The apartments feature full-height glazing, timber flooring throughout living areas, stone kitchen benchtops, SMEG appliances, floor-to-ceiling bathroom tiling and ducted air conditioning.

Residents will have access to a rooftop recreation level featuring a swimming pool, sauna, barbecue facilities and landscaped relaxation areas, complemented by additional communal space at ground level. Many apartments enjoy uninterrupted views across Lane Cove National Park, reinforcing the project's connection to its natural setting.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=364551]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a>, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly four decades of experience, holds a 4.5-star iCIRT rating and was Australia's first developer to introduce 10-Year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI). La Vera is the first apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/macquarie-park-nsw-2113">Macquarie Park</a> approved to offer the additional insurance protection, alongside a five-year warranty on SMEG appliances.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said the additional protection reflects changing buyer expectations in the off the plan market.

"Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. Having LDI is a tool to portray the confidence that we have in our product, and a confidence we want buyers to share," Elias said.

Following completion of the building later this year, buyers will move into their apartments well before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134951]

La Vera closes in on completion as Macquarie Park continues residential transformation

Brisbane developer Red &amp; Co's decision to include dual key apartments in its debut Gold Coast apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/como-varsity-lakes-22-lake-street-varsity-lakes-qld-4227">COMO Varsity Lakes</a>, is proving to be one of the project's biggest drawcards, with buyers quickly snapping up the flexible residences.

More than half of the project's 36 dual key apartments have already sold, helping drive COMO beyond the 50 per cent sold mark within the first month of launch.

The strong response highlights growing demand for apartment designs that can adapt to changing lifestyles, with buyers increasingly looking for homes that accommodate multi-generational living, provide rental income opportunities or simply offer greater flexibility over time.

Located on the shores of Lake Orr, COMO will deliver 156 apartments across 16 levels, with the dual-key residences forming a limited release within the broader development.

Each combines a primary two-bedroom apartment with a fully self-contained studio on a single title, connected by a shared foyer and lockable internal door. The design allows owners to house ageing parents, adult children or guests while maintaining privacy, or lease the secondary residence to generate additional income.

Just 17 of the original 36 dual key apartments remain available.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=367096]

The innovative configuration combines two fully self-contained residences on a single title, typically comprising a primary two-bedroom apartment alongside a separate studio residence, connected via a shared foyer and lockable internal door.&nbsp;

The model is proving particularly attractive to owner occupiers navigating changing family dynamics and the realities of the current housing crisis.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363511]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/npa">NPA</a>&nbsp;CEO Andrew Erwin said dual key living was resonating strongly with modern buyers because it delivered both financial flexibility and practical lifestyle benefits.&nbsp;

“The housing crisis and rising cost of living are fundamentally changing how Australians think about home ownership,” Erwin said.&nbsp;

“Dual key apartments provide a genuine solution for families who want to stay connected while maintaining independence. Parents can help adult children save for a future home, ageing parents can remain nearby without moving into aged care, and owners still retain privacy and flexibility.

“Importantly, buyers are also recognising the financial advantages. It creates the opportunity to generate additional income from part of the home without the holding costs associated with owning a separate investment property.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363509]

Unlike traditional dual occupancy arrangements, the residences operate under a single title, meaning owners only incur one set of body corporate fees, council rates and holding costs.&nbsp;

The secondary residence can also evolve over time - functioning as guest accommodation, a home office, creative studio or private retreat before later becoming an income-producing asset.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/red-co">Red &amp; Co</a>&nbsp;Director and Co-Founder David Laverty said the strong early sales reflected growing buyer urgency and changing priorities within the market.&nbsp;

“Securing more than half of COMO’s residences within such a short timeframe is an outstanding result and a clear endorsement of both the design and location,” Laverty said.&nbsp;

“Buyers are responding to the combination of location, connectivity and amenity, but ultimately it’s value relative to other East Coast markets that is driving enquiry.”&nbsp;

“We’re also seeing strong interest from owner occupiers looking for homes that can adapt with them over time. Flexibility has become one of the most important considerations for buyers in today’s market.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363515]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, COMO features a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom residences with 2.7-metre ceilings and larger-format floorplans aimed at owner occupiers, downsizers and lifestyle-focused buyers.&nbsp;

The development will feature an extensive rooftop recreation and wellness offering including a 25-metre lap pool, sundeck, barbecue and dining areas, gym, sauna, plunge baths, landscaped gardens, wellness spaces and rooftop pickleball and paddleball courts.

The remaining dual key apartments range from 137 sqm to 167 sqm and include generous three-bedroom layouts with separate self-contained studio accommodation and dual parking.&nbsp;

Erwin said the dual key concept represented a broader shift in how Australians would live in the future.

“People want homes that can evolve with their lives,” he said.&nbsp;

“A dual key apartment can suit a family today, support an ageing parent tomorrow, and potentially generate income later on. That adaptability is becoming incredibly valuable in the current environment.”

Prices currently range from $2,115,750 to $2,583,000.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135546]

Inter-generational living drives demand for COMO’s dual key apartments as housing pressures reshape buyer priorities 

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ceerose">Ceerose</a> has doubled down on its Leichhardt ambitions, lodging its second State Significant Development Application (SSDA) in the suburb in the last six months.

Their newest proposal seeks to transform a former industrial precinct into a new residential community centred around the adaptive reuse of one of the site's heritage warehouse buildings.

The new project, on a 6,930 sqm block at&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-76-william-street-leichhardt-nsw-2040">40–76 William Street</a>, will bring more than 200 apartments to a suburb that has seen little to no new supply in recent years. It follows Ceerose's late 2025 SSDA for a mixed-use apartment project on nearby Parramatta Road, signalling the developer's growing investment in Sydney's Inner West.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the redevelopment would involve the demolition of four existing industrial buildings while retaining and adaptively reusing the site's most significant warehouse. The retained structure would anchor a new residential precinct comprising five interconnected buildings arranged around a large central landscaped courtyard, with heights stepping from five storeys along the surrounding residential streets to 11 storeys at the William Street corner.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7258c54c-8167-479e-8361-2d5fca9915b4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010B%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%202.jpg?VersionId=S9DQfxu_jpcB5LrAEYFUbyMzg5odW6i5" />

According to the Architecture Design Report by Woods Bagot, the proposal "seeks to create a residential village centred around a generous green heart while celebrating the site's industrial heritage through the adaptive reuse of the existing warehouse building."

The development would comprise 203 apartments, with 188 proposed as build-to-sell residences, alongside 15 affordable housing apartments.

Rather than treating the retained warehouse as a standalone heritage object, Woods Bagot has sought to weave the site's industrial history throughout the masterplan. The proposal retains the north and west facades of the landmark corner warehouse, while new buildings reinterpret the site's brick-and-steel industrial language through their material palette and architectural expression.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9e8c64c2-881b-49e1-8c90-6b6acaaa45b6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010C%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%203.jpg?VersionId=Qm8_8H_Xrg_sc4Mdjc59vlAcKF_5wRTb" />

The design is organised around what Woods Bagot describes as a "green heart", a landscaped communal open space that reinstates the leafy character removed when the site became an industrial storage facility. A new pedestrian laneway running through the site would improve permeability between William, North and Francis streets, linking residents through landscaped public spaces while activating the ground plane.

Residents would have access to communal gardens, rooftop open space and shared recreation areas distributed throughout the development. Sustainability has also been prioritised, with the project targeting an average 7.9-star NatHERS rating. Proposed initiatives include rooftop solar generation, rainwater harvesting, passive solar design, naturally ventilated lobbies, extensive cross-ventilation and the reuse of existing building fabric to reduce embodied carbon.

The adaptive reuse strategy became a defining feature of the application after heritage investigations found only one of the site's industrial buildings could feasibly be retained. The Heritage Impact Statement concludes that preserving the key warehouse façades while referencing the site's industrial character throughout the new development provides an appropriate balance between renewal and conservation.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="efffafdb-594f-4e2b-a067-921fd51c05e1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010D%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%204.jpg?VersionId=DPmE4.k16YRt0i27hEZVtJAffarpvUfx" />

"Retention and adaptation of the site buildings has been explored but found not to be feasible except for the tallest building, whose street facades will be retained," the heritage report states.

"The proposed building will interpret the brick and steel character of the subject site, including reuse of some components and construction of a large 'sawtooth' structure in the proposed open space."

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3bfef2b5-83f5-40cd-9cab-767092f34266" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010E%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%205.jpg?VersionId=7asb3i_ql4ybbuJOUb5UHBEIy0Q9t.DF" />

The William Street site is located around 300 metres from Leichhardt North Light Rail station and a short walk to Norton Street's retail, dining and hospitality precinct. The surrounding area has increasingly become a focus for urban renewal given its proximity to public transport and the Parramatta Road corridor.

Ceerose, founded by Edward Doueihi in 1998, has become one of Sydney's more active apartment developers, with completed projects including The Alex Collective in Alexandria, Abbie's Lane in Annandale, and the award-winning Munro House in Elizabeth Bay. They are currently delivering Belgravia, 17 luxury apartments in Potts Point.

First look: Ceerose doubles down in Leichhardt with adaptive reuse of former warehouse site

Annual Growth

Apartment values across Melbourne rose 0.5 per cent over August, according to the latest data released by property data firm CoreLogic.

The&nbsp;August gains put apartment values up 1.6 per cent over the quarter, after 0.4 per cent growth over July and 0.8 per cent in June.

Over the year to date, values are up 6.6 per cent, with the median now sitting at $615,909. The median apartment price at the start of 2021 was $577,000.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5328 project_image_fid=163914]

Melbourne house values rose 1.4 per cent over August, marking another month where house performance continues to outstrip apartments, although the gap is starting to narrow given renewed housing affordability constraints.

Throughout the first quarter of the year, capital city house values were rising approximately 1.1 percentage points faster than units each month. By August the average performance gap reduced to 0.7 percentage points.

CoreLogic&#39;s research director Tim Lawless believes the convergence of growth in house values and unit values could be another demonstration of affordability becoming more challenging.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=103179 project_image_fid=167471]

&ldquo;The narrowing gap between house and unit value growth is most noticeable in Australia&rsquo;s most expensive city, Sydney, where the monthly growth rate for houses was 2 percentage points higher than units in March.

&quot;That &lsquo;gap&rsquo; has now reduced to 0.6 percentage points in August.

&quot;Based on median values, Sydney units cost almost $470,000 less than a house. At the same time, the growth gap between houses and units in Melbourne and Brisbane has widened.&rdquo;

Unit rents are starting to rise in Sydney and Melbourne, which is a good metric for investors to follow. Australia&#39;s two biggest capitals were the hardest hit by the strict border closures and lack of international migration.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=100675 project_image_fid=170523]

Nationally, rents have lifted by 8.2% over the 12 months ending August, the largest rise in rents since 2008.

&ldquo;The weaker trend in unit rents across Australia&rsquo;s two largest cities is likely a reflection of their greater exposure to temporary overseas migrants as a source of rental tenancy, especially foreign students who would normally underpin inner city high rise rental demand, Lawless says.

&quot;The sharp drop in demand due to closed borders has been exacerbated by high supply levels as both cities come out of an unprecedented surge in inner city apartment construction,&rdquo; Lawless added.

Sydney unit rents have consistently risen each month during 2021, while in Melbourne, unit rents have been rising since June.

Unit rents are starting to rise in Sydney and Melbourne, which is a good metric for investors to follow

What happened to Melbourne apartment values over August?

Westpac have revised upwards its outlook for Australian dwelling prices.

It had predicted, earlier this year, a 20% increase over 2021 and 2022.&nbsp;

But a stronger than expected surge over the first half of 2021 is now expected to see prices up 18% this year with a further 5% coming next year.

While the duo, Bill Evans, Westpac&#39;s chief economist and Matthew Hassan, its senior economist, see lockdowns as likely to cause some loss of momentum in the third quarter, particularly in the Sydney market, they see a swift rebound with price growth lifting again into year end.

Price growth is expected to slow to 5% in 2022 with most of the increase occurring in the first half.&nbsp;

Prices are then expected to decline 5% in 2023 as stretched affordability in most markets combines with the RBA&rsquo;s first rate hike cycle since 2009.

<a href="/developments/sydney-nsw?source_news_article_id=107113&amp;ref=news_body_link"><img alt="" height="800" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/template_photoshop_sydneycbd_3.png" width="1200" /></a>

&quot;The upswing that emerged at the start of this year has continued to run ahead of expectations with markets carrying strong momentum into the second half,&quot; they noted.

Prices nationally rose 12.2% over the first six months, an extraordinary 25.6% pace in annualised terms.

The update noted deteriorating affordability is already weighing heavily on buyer sentiment with the &lsquo;time to buy a dwelling&rsquo; index in the Westpac Melbourne Institute Consumer Sentiment Survey is down 25% from its peak last November.&nbsp;

&quot;There are also tentative signs that finance to owner occupiers has peaked.&quot;

They see macro&ndash;prudential tightening as highly likely.

<a href="/developments/melbourne-vic?source_news_article_id=107113&amp;ref=news_body_link"><img alt="" height="800" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/template_photoshop_melbournecbd_10.jpg" width="1200" /></a>

&quot;The timing is expected to be delayed until around March&ndash;June 2022.&nbsp;

&quot;Measures are expected to be successful and to weigh more heavily on markets where affordability is stretched.&nbsp;

&quot;Price growth is expected to stall in Sydney and Melbourne through the second half of 2022 but maintain some positive momentum in most other markets where affordability is still attractive.&quot;

The combination of rising rates; stretched affordability; and macro&ndash;prudential policies is likely to see prices easing off their highs by an average of around 5% in 2023 with all markets expected to see modest declines, Westpac forecast.

Bill Evans, Westpac's chief economist and Matthew Hassan, its senior economist now see a total gain over the two years of 23% with 18% coming in 2021

jchancellor

Westpac forecast 18% dwelling price rise in 2021 and 5% next year

<html><body>
Expert Observer

There were two pieces of positive news in the past week which demonstrate the value to the nation and its citizens of growth in the property market.

One came from research from the Real Estate Institute of Australia which shows that the median house price for the Australian capital cities has risen from $160,000 in 1996 to $825,000 today.

The Real Estate Institute of Australia says the median house price has risen more than 400% in the past 25 years. 

It sounds extraordinary – but, to put it in perspective, it equates to an average annual increase of 6.6% per year. Healthy, and certainly ahead of inflation and wages growth, but not monumental.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=89516]

This is despite fairly muted growth since 2016. The data shows that over the past five years, the median house price in the capital cities grew 25%, from $683,000 to $825,000, while “other dwellings” rose by 10% to $600,000.

The other item of note came from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. It says that a booming property market helped add half a trillion dollars to Australia’s household wealth in the December Quarter, taking the total to just over $12 trillion.

The nation recorded its biggest gain in quarterly wealth since 2009 despite COVID-19 concerns and employment fears over the end to JobKeeper.

According to the ABS, total household wealth increased 4.3%, or $502 billion, in the last three months of 2020, marking the highest quarterly growth rate since the December Quarter of 2009.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=27427]

The property market was the key driver. During the December Quarter, residential assets grew by $246 billion, or 3.5%, the biggest rise since the December Quarter of 2016. That came on top of a $200 billion rise in house values for the September Quarter.

ABS head of finance and wealth Katherine Keenan says: “The growth in residential assets was seen across both owner-occupier and investor housing in the December Quarter. Owner-occupier housing loans grew 1.9%, the strongest growth in four years, while investor housing loans grew 0.4%, which was the first positive growth in the past two years.”

The housing debt to income ratio decreased from 139.2 to 139 over the quarter, as growth in income exceeded growth in housing debt. The ratio has fallen for the past four quarters.

This is mostly good news for nation. I’m telling you this because you won’t hear it from mainstream media. What you will hear is that it’s a crisis. Indeed, several crises. An affordability crisis, a debt crisis and a social crisis. 

[smartcode_project:default project_id=25382]

But I see mostly positives. The key factors here are that this gives confidence to most Australians, encouraging them to spend, which benefits the economy and creates jobs, and it helps people establish the financial base to fund their retirement.

Successive federal governments for the past 20 years or so have encouraged Australians to invest to provide for their retirement years, placing less reliance on the public purse. 

For many Australians, real estate is the option of choice because they feel they understand it and they see it as a safe and solid option for growth.

The current national property boom is a big step down that path.

Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au

ryder@hotspotting.com.au

twitter.com/hotspotting
</body></html>

The Real Estate Institute of Australia says the median house price has risen more than 400% in the past 25 years

terryryder

Why the growth in the property market is important to Australia: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

<html><body>
After a stronger than expected housing turnaround, NAB are now forecasting dwelling values to rise by an average of eight per cent nationally across 2021, with a view that 2022 will also see strong gains.

The revision comes after the turnaround in the housing markets, pared with low interest rates, the government's HomeBuilder grants and stamp duty concessions on newly built properties.

"The housing market has fared significantly better than expected over the past year, despite significant headwinds from slower population growth and a weaker labour market," the NAB report read.

"Lower interest rates and household income support from the Federal Government have been a key support amidst the challenges of the pandemic.

"While the impact of lower rates is broad-based, there are some key dynamics underlying our forecast."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=90553]

NAB expect the smaller capitals to continue to outpace Sydney and Melbourne, but the two biggest capital city markets have closed the gap from NAB's previous forecasts.

In the Q2 update in mid-2019, NAB were forecasting a -4.3 per cent average decline across the country, with Melbourne (-7.3 per cent) and Sydney (-4.7 per cent), driving the losses.

In Q3, following a positive response to COVID-19, NAB flipped their forecast, predicting five per cent gains nationally over 2021 and Melbourne (+3.6 per cent) and Sydney (+4.4 per cent), going full circle.

Now NAB expect nearly eight per cent gains average, with Sydney and Melbourne not far behind other capital city markets.

<img alt="" height="791" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/nab_q4_forecast.jpg" width="1200">

They expect the best performer to be Brisbane, where there are 10.1 per cent gains forecast for 2021 and 6.3 per cent for 2022.

Adelaide and Hobart are predicted to see the strongest gains over 2022, up 7.4 per cent after 8.9 per cent and 9.7 per cent gains over 2021.

Sentiment has been on the turn for a number of months and the NAB Residential Property Index ended 2020 at a survey high +45 points. Confidence levels returned to levels last seen before COVID in late-2019 as expectations lifted sharply for house price growth across the country.

<img alt="" height="905" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/nab_sentiment_q4.jpg" width="1200">

NAB economist Alan Astor says first home buyer demand remains very strong in new and established housing markets and is likely being supported by historically low interest rates and government support such as the First Home Loan Deposit Scheme and HomeBuilder.

"The brief pullback in house prices earlier in the year may have also helped sentiment among these buyers."
</body></html>

The revision comes after a stronger than expected housing market, pared with the low interest rates, the government's HomeBuilder grants and stamp duty concessions on new properties.



NAB raises dwelling price forecast for 2021 and 2022

<html><body>
Capital city residential property prices rose by 2.2 percent in the March 2017 quarter, to be 10.2 percent higher over the year.
Apartment price growth has been strong in Sydney in recent years, but overall established house prices have comfortably outperformed through this cycle to date, partly reflecting an apartment overbuild in some regions. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/22/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/22/A4.jpg" alt="">
The total value of Australia's dwelling stock has now increased by 50 per cent since December 2011, rising by $2.2 trillion to a total of a shade over $6.6 trillion. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/22/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/22/A4.jpg" alt="">  
Sydney leads, for now
Over the year to March the strongest price growth was recorded by Sydney (14.4 per cent) and Melbourne (13.4 per cent), though it seems highly likely that Sydney's annual growth rate is now firmly on a downwards trajectory from here. 
At the other end of the scale more annual price declines were suffered by Perth (-3.5 per cent) and Darwin (-5.9 per cent). 
The tight Hobart market recorded the strongest quarterly gain (3.4 per cent) to be up by a boisterous 11.3 per cent over the past year. 
Indexing the numbers back to 2003 shows how long run dwelling price performance between the capital cities is converging, with the resources capitals coming back down to earth following the peak of the mining boom.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/22/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/22/A5.jpg" alt="">
At the state level New South Wales has seen a huge surge in its mean dwelling price which has increased from $535,300 at the end of 2011 to $886,800, for an absolute increase of $351,500 or 66 per cent.  
Reflecting the end of the resources construction boom, over the same timeframe mean prices were up by only 3 per cent in Western Australia and declined by 2 per cent in the Northern Territory. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/22/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/22/A6.jpg" alt="">
Nationally the mean dwelling price has increased by $182,800 or 38 per cent since the end of 2011. 
Of the $2.2 trillion increase in the total value of the dwelling stock since 2011, the three most populous states of New South Wales ($1.2 trillion), Victoria ($0.6 trillion), and Queensland ($206 billion) together accounted for 91.5 per cent of the increase.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/22/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/22/A3.jpg" alt="">
Supply response picks up
Finally, a quick look at the net increase in the dwelling stock, which has picked up the pace in swelling by 194,000 dwellings over the year to March 2017. 
The March stock figures are preliminary and subject to revision - the increase looks decidedly low in New South Wales, for example - but the annual rate of increase has clearly picked up the pace since 2012.
It's interesting to note that while Victoria has increased the size of its dwelling stock by 10.3 per cent over the past half decade - much faster than the 6.7 per cent increase in New South Wales - the strong annual increase of 2.2 per cent is still only just ahead of the state's rampant rate of population growth.
The wrap 
There were more strong gains in dwelling prices in Sydney (3 per cent) and Melbourne (3.1 per cent) across the first quarter of the calendar year.
Meanwhile Adelaide prices rose by 1.5 per cent to be 5 per cent higher over the year, and Canberra snuck in under the radar to record annual growth of 8.9 per cent. 
The above having been said, the double digit annual growth rate is likely to represent the peak for this cycle, with a raft of macroprudential measures appearing well set to douse investor activity. 
 
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/">blogger</a>.
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</body></html>

pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Capital city prices rise 10 percent

<html><body>
A record number of sales under the hammer has delivered Melbourne’s strongest property market in seven years, despite modest growth in median prices in the last three months of 2017.  
New REIV data shows house prices in metropolitan Melbourne rose for the seventh consecutive quarter in December, up 1.1 per cent to a median of $821,000. This increase boosted the city’s annual price growth to 13.2 per cent for 2017 – the highest since 2010.  
REIV President Richard Simpson said price growth in 2017 was undoubtedly bolstered by a buoyant auction market with more than 25 auction records broken.
“While price growth slowed in the December quarter due to increased supply and reduced investor activity, 2017 was a record-breaking year for Melbourne’s property market,” he said. 
“High levels of interstate and overseas migration, new Government initiatives for first homebuyers and record low interest rates have contributed to significant double-digit price growth last year.” 
TOP GROWTH SUBURBS – DECEMBER QUARTER
<table class="t1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td class="td1" valign="bottom">
 
</td>
<td class="td2" valign="middle">
Suburb
</td>
<td class="td3" valign="middle">
Dec-17 Median
</td>
<td class="td4" valign="middle">
Sep-17 Median
</td>
<td class="td5" valign="middle">
Quarterly Change
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td6" valign="bottom">
1
</td>
<td class="td7" valign="bottom">
TOORAK
</td>
<td class="td8" valign="middle">
$4,600,000
</td>
<td class="td9" valign="middle">
$3,210,000
</td>
<td class="td10" valign="middle">
43.3%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td11" valign="bottom">
2
</td>
<td class="td12" valign="bottom">
SOUTH YARRA
</td>
<td class="td13" valign="middle">
$2,280,500
</td>
<td class="td14" valign="middle">
$1,799,500
</td>
<td class="td15" valign="middle">
26.7%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td11" valign="bottom">
3
</td>
<td class="td12" valign="bottom">
MENTONE
</td>
<td class="td13" valign="middle">
$1,200,000
</td>
<td class="td14" valign="middle">
$1,002,500
</td>
<td class="td15" valign="middle">
19.7%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td6" valign="bottom">
4
</td>
<td class="td7" valign="bottom">
SURREY HILLS
</td>
<td class="td8" valign="middle">
$2,285,000
</td>
<td class="td9" valign="middle">
$1,930,000
</td>
<td class="td10" valign="middle">
18.4%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td11" valign="bottom">
5
</td>
<td class="td12" valign="bottom">
ESSENDON
</td>
<td class="td13" valign="middle">
$1,715,000
</td>
<td class="td14" valign="middle">
$1,450,000
</td>
<td class="td15" valign="middle">
18.3%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td11" valign="bottom">
6
</td>
<td class="td12" valign="bottom">
HAWTHORN
</td>
<td class="td13" valign="middle">
$2,718,000
</td>
<td class="td14" valign="middle">
$2,300,000
</td>
<td class="td15" valign="middle">
18.2%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td6" valign="bottom">
7
</td>
<td class="td7" valign="bottom">
MALVERN
</td>
<td class="td8" valign="middle">
$2,370,000
</td>
<td class="td9" valign="middle">
$2,014,000
</td>
<td class="td10" valign="middle">
17.7%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td11" valign="bottom">
8
</td>
<td class="td12" valign="bottom">
KEYSBOROUGH
</td>
<td class="td13" valign="middle">
$885,000
</td>
<td class="td14" valign="middle">
$760,500
</td>
<td class="td15" valign="middle">
16.4%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td11" valign="bottom">
9
</td>
<td class="td12" valign="bottom">
CANTERBURY
</td>
<td class="td13" valign="middle">
$3,300,000
</td>
<td class="td14" valign="middle">
$2,875,000
</td>
<td class="td15" valign="middle">
14.8%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td class="td6" valign="bottom">
10
</td>
<td class="td7" valign="bottom">
 ROSEBUD
</td>
<td class="td8" valign="middle">
$624,000
</td>
<td class="td9" valign="middle">
$552,000
</td>
<td class="td10" valign="middle">
13.0%
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
Top performing suburbs in the December quarter were almost exclusively located at the premium end of the market and included Toorak, South Yarra, Surrey Hills and Canterbury.  
“Demand for houses in the city’s most exclusive suburbs continues to outstrip supply, with increased competition delivering exceptional results for vendors in these areas.”    
The affordable end of the market also performed well in December with the median house price in the outer suburbs increasing 2.4 per cent over the quarter to $666,500.
“Increased participation from owner-occupiers is driving values in the city’s outer suburbs, with these areas offering buyers the ideal combination of affordability and space.”
“Strong price growth over the past year has meant that houses within 20km of the CBD are almost out of reach for many first homebuyers. These buyers are now looking for new entry points to the market, especially in established suburbs with infrastructure, amenities and services.”
Melbourne’s apartment market rebounded in December with the citywide median price increasing 1.2 per cent to $594,500.
Simpson added that regional Victoria had also experienced its strongest property market in recent years with house prices up 2.6 per cent in the December quarter to a record high $396,500 – an annual increase of 10 per cent on the same period last year. 
“Regional cities and towns within commuting distance of the CBD have certainly benefitted from strong price growth in Melbourne with a number of these areas now recording median house prices higher than those in the outer ring.” 
</body></html>

jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Melbourne market records highest annual growth in seven years: REIV

<html><body>
Most Australian property markets saw modest growth in 2015, according to Residex.
Sydney was again the exception – given houses and units achieved annual growth of 18.36% and 13.48% respectively.
Melbourne houses also recorded strong annual growth of 13%.
Perth houses saw an unexpected surge of 2.30% in the month of December, while Adelaide, Hobart and ACT houses showed steady capital growth over the last 12 months.
"The end of 2015 marked the end of the Sydney housing boom," Residex advised.
The upswing in the current cycle lasted almost two years and, in real dollar terms, the median house increased by approximately $375,000.
Historically, Sydney has been the leader of growth with the Melbourne and Brisbane markets following.
Given this, the Melbourne house market could peak sometime in the first quarter of 2016 while Brisbane could follow later in the year. However, global economic trends and a national crackdown on speculative buying may hamper growth for these other east coast cities.
Table 1 shows the capital growth, rent and sales summary for December 2015.
Table 1: December 2015 Summary
<a href="/images/2016/02/02/Table_1_Capital_City_Summary.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/02/02/Table_1_Capital_City_Summary.jpg" alt="">
Source: Residex
Graph 1 shows the monthly capital growth trend of Sydney and Melbourne. The graph depicts Melbourne’s peak growth in houses following Sydney.
Graph 1: Monthly Capital Growth Trend: Sydney and Melbourne  
<a href="/images/2016/02/02/Graph_1_Monthly_Growth_Sydney_Melbourne.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/02/02/Graph_1_Monthly_Growth_Sydney_Melbourne.jpg" alt="">
Source: Residex
Residex suggested it was difficult to say what exacerbated the last upswing in Sydney and whether similar factors will impact other major dwelling markets.
"Many have speculated and reported anecdotes of Chinese foreign investment pushing up real estate values," Eliza Owen, the market analyst for Residex/Onthehouse.com.au said.
"There is currently no reliable dataset in existence that documents foreign investment in Australian residential real estate, so it is not rigorously sound to say that this contributed to the enormous value increases.
"In any case, the People’s Bank of China has placed restrictions upon citizens taking capital out of China to encourage investment within their own country (citizens are permitted to take just US$50,000 out of the country each year. This action could limit the growth experienced in other Australian cities.
"It is also not necessarily true to say that speculative domestic investment bid up the market.
"However, there is some evidence suggesting that investors became more active than owner occupiers in the latest housing boom."
The ABS collects data on the amount of money lent for the purposes of owner occupation versus investment. In recorded history, 2014 was the first time investor loans overtook owner occupier loans. Graph 2 presents this dataset over the last 5 years. It is worth noting that the figures in Graph 2 are for Australia wide lending, so the phenomena of investors overtaking owner occupiers may not be specific to the Sydney market.
Graph 2: Significant Lender’s Finance Commitments to Investors vs. Owner Occupiers
<a href="/images/2016/02/02/Graph_2_Investors_v_Owner_Occupiers.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/02/02/Graph_2_Investors_v_Owner_Occupiers.jpg" alt="">
Source: ABS Catalogue Number 5609.0 – Housing Finance, Australia Note: Excluded refinancing for owner occupiers
 
The graph suggests that either investors were paying more money for dwellings or investors were buying a higher volume of dwellings at this time.
Theoretically, investors who owned property in Sydney could have continued to bid up prices in the market while interest rates were low. The ability to borrow equity against property facilitates this – the higher property prices go, the more equity investors have to purchase new dwellings.
In July 2015, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) announced regulations<a href="https://blog.residex.com.au/2016/01/29/january-market-update/?utm_source=membersNewsletter&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_campaign=Cid=ResiJanNews16&amp;mc_cid=9124f9ec50&amp;mc_eid=1c64ff30b3#footnote-3">[3]</a> that would require lenders to hold more capital against home loans. By the beginning of July 2015, a downswing in the Sydney market had begun. Sydney house values fell 0.14% in the month of December, the first fall in the aggregate market since January 2014.
One of the criticisms of APRA’s decision was that it was not specific to the rapidly growing markets of Sydney and Melbourne.
However, of the 514,066 sales Residex recorded across Australia for 2015, approximately 20% were in the Sydney metropolitan region and a further 20% were concentrated in the Melbourne metropolitan.
"If anything, high home loan rates may have caused investors to spread their wealth among more affordable cities across the country."
Property developers Stockland and Mirvac have reported that there are Sydney buyers interested in Brisbane apartments.
Private developers have also recorded Sydney buyers making up as much as 40% of investment in new developments.
</body></html>

jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Brisbane property set for price peak in late 2016: Residex

<html><body>
The headline growth figures certainly look a bit on the soft side. But the breakdown of the growth components provides a much more interesting picture. 
Government consumption provided the biggest contribution to growth while household consumption held up relatively well. The biggest drag was net exports which detracted 0.6 percentage points from growth. In addition the drawdown in inventories also crimped growth by 0.2 percentage points. Overall, not an “ideal” mix of growth drivers, but close enough for this point in the cycle. 
The good news is that productivity is still rising while wage costs are falling and price pressures are restrained.
The economic growth figures are largely important as an historical record. But the data can’t tell us much about the here and now. And certainly the figures have limited use in telling us where the economy is going. But for the Reserve Bank the data serves as a base for its forecasts. It’s a case of ticking the figures off to ensure that there are no surprises. 
<a href="/images/2015/09/02/Screen-Shot-2015-09-02-at-2.27.22-PM.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/09/02/Screen-Shot-2015-09-02-at-2.27.22-PM.jpg" alt="">
<div class="page" title="Page 2">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">Overall the data confirms that growth over the past year has been below trend but “ok” for an economy that is going through a generational transition. Despite all the doom and gloom about the winding back of mining investment, fiscal contraction and horror stories about the collapse of the manufacturing sector it is pretty clear that the economy is in reasonable shape – certainly in better shape than most other so-called “advanced” economies.</div>
<div class="column">
 While media commentary is likely to focus on the fact that growth is a touch on the soft side the key point is that Australia has completed 24 consecutive years of growth. It is an achievement to be celebrated. And interestingly the drawdown in inventories in the quarter may be as a result of the lift in domestic demand, and it does mean that businesses will be re-stocking shelves in coming quarters – supporting the overall growth figures.
</div>
<div class="column">
 Looking forward growth will continue to remain mixed over the next few months. The transition from mining to housing-led investment continues to be the dominant driver of activity. Although somewhat encouragingly the ongoing lift in consumer and business confidence is now translating through to a lift in risk appetite and investment plans.
</div>
<div class="column">
 CommSec tips the economy to grow by 2.75-3.00% over the coming year. CommSec believes that given the ongoing below trend growth outcomes, the Reserve Bank is unlikely to lift interest rates over the next year. 
</div>
</div>
</div>
<a href="/images/2015/09/02/Screen%20Shot%202015-09-02%20at%202.35.11%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/09/02/Screen%20Shot%202015-09-02%20at%202.35.11%20PM.png" alt="">
<div class="page" title="Page 2">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">What do the figures show?</div>
<div class="column">
 National Accounts:
</div>
<div class="column">
 Economic Growth: The economy grew by 0.2 per cent in the June quarter after a 0.9 per cent increase in the March quarter.
</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">
The economy has grown 2.0 per cent over the past year, below the decade-average growth rate of 2.8 per cent and below the 15-year average of 2.9 per cent. In 2014/15, the economy grew by 2.4 per cent.
</div>
<div class="column">
 The non-farm economy grew by 0.2 per cent in the June quarter after a 0.9 per cent lift in the March quarter. Annual growth stands at 1.9 per cent.
</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">
Farm GDP fell by 2.6 per cent in the June quarter after rising by 0.3 per cent in the March quarter. Farm GDP rose 4.1 per cent over the year.
</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">
At current prices, GDP rose by 0.3 per cent in the quarter to be up by 1.6 per cent over the year. The annual growth rate is well below the decade average of 6.2 per cent. Over the year to June 2015, the Australian economy was valued at $1,612 billion.
</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">
Growth drivers: The biggest contributions to growth came from government consumption (+0.4 percentage points), followed by household consumption expenditure (+0.3pp), and public investment (+0.2pp). The biggest drag on growth was net exports (exports less imports) (-0.6 percentage points), inventories (-0.2pp) and dwelling investment (-0.1pp).
</div>
<div class="column">
 Inflation: In terms of domestic price pressures, the household consumption implicit price deflator rose 0.7 per cent in the June quarter after a 0.3 per cent lift in the March quarter. Annual growth stands at just 1.4 per cent. Real non-farm unit labour costs rose by 1.1 per cent in the June quarter after falling by 0.6 per cent in the March quarter. Real non-farm unit labour costs rose by just 0.9 per cent over the year. 
</div>
</div>
</div>
<a href="/images/2015/09/02/Screen%20Shot%202015-09-02%20at%202.54.08%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/09/02/Screen%20Shot%202015-09-02%20at%202.54.08%20PM.png" alt="" width="740" height="261">
 
<div class="page" title="Page 3">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
Productivity: Gross value added per hours worked in the market sector rose 0.4 per cent in the June quarter after 0.3 per cent growth in the March quarter. Annual growth stands at 0.8 per cent. Hours worked in the market sector were up 0.3 per cent in the quarter to be up 1.7 per cent for the year.
</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">
States &amp; Territories: The best description of the performance of States and Territory economies is state final demand plus net exports. The ACT had the fastest annual growth rate in the June quarter (up 5.4 per cent), followed by Victoria (up 2.9 per cent), NSW (up 2.4 per cent), South Australia (up 0.7 per cent) and Tasmania 
</div>
<div class="column">(up 0.5 per cent). The Northern Territory contracted by 11.4 per cent followed by Western Australia (down 2.4 per cent) and Queensland (down 0.8 per cent).</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">
Consumer spending lifts. Household spending rose by 0.5 per cent in the June quarter to be up 2.5 per cent for the year. Only five of the 17 sectors recorded weaker spending in the quarter. Spending on Health rose by 2.5 per cent followed by Communications (up 1.9 per cent). But spending fell in Cigarettes &amp; tobacco and Alcoholic beverages (both down 2.2 per cent) and Electricity, gas and fuel (down by 2.0 per cent).
</div>
<div class="column">
 Industry sectors: Thirteen of the 19 industry sectors expanded in the June quarter. Rental, hiring and real estate services grew by 2.7 per cent, contributing 0.1 percentage points (pp) to growth in the quarter. Five other sectors contributed 0.1 percentage points to growth. The weakest sectors were Mining (down 3.0 per cent and removing 0.3pp from growth) and Agriculture, forestry and fishing (down 2.3 per cent).
</div>
<div class="column">
 Other points:
</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">
Profit share falls. In seasonally adjusted terms, the ratio of profits to total factor income fell from 26.3 to 25.4 per cent in the June quarter. The wages share rose from 53.0 per cent to 53.4 per cent.
</div>
<div class="column">
 Household savings ratio rose. The household saving ratio lifted from 8.3 per cent to 8.8 per cent in seasonally adjusted terms in the June quarter. In trend terms household saving held steady at 8.6 per cent in the quarter.
</div>
<div class="column">
 Imports ease as a share of spending. The imports to sales ratio fell from 0.394 in the March quarter to 0.392 in the June quarter.
</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">The inventory to sales ratio rose from 0.627 in the March quarter to 0.643 in the June quarter. </div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column"><a href="/images/2015/09/02/Screen%20Shot%202015-09-02%20at%202.57.16%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="column"><img src="/images/2015/09/02/Screen%20Shot%202015-09-02%20at%202.57.16%20PM.png" alt=""></div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">
<div class="page" title="Page 3">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">What is the importance of the economic data?</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">
The quarterly National Income, Expenditure and Product release (national accounts) from the Bureau of Statistics is the most complete assessment of Australia’s economic performance. Detailed estimates are provided on incomes (wages, profits), spending (such as household, dwelling investment and trade (exports and imports) and production (comparing industry performance). Other data includes household saving and the economic performance of States and Territories.
</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">The main use of the national accounts figures is as a historical record of economic performance. The information has little forward-looking value for currency, interest rate or share markets.</div>
<div class="column">
 What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
</div>
<div class="column">
 The national accounts data is backward looking. But the data is taken into account by the Reserve Bank, serving as a base for forecasts. The Reserve Bank uses six-month annualised growth figures to ascertain how the economy is travelling. And in that context growth looks more robust annualising at around 2.2 per cent.
</div>
<div class="column">
 Importantly business confidence and conditions remain healthy and should support a lift in activity over the latter part of 2015.
</div>
<div class="column">
 At present there is no rush to lift or cut interest rates although the risks lie with another rate cut given the patchiness in the economy. CommSec believes interest rates will remain unchanged over the rest of 2015. 
</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column"><a href="/images/2015/09/02/Screen%20Shot%202015-09-02%20at%202.59.28%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="column"><img src="/images/2015/09/02/Screen%20Shot%202015-09-02%20at%202.59.28%20PM.png" alt=""></div>
<div class="column">
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Savanth Sebastian is an economist for CommSec. You can follow him on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/commsec" target="_blank">here</a>.</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</body></html>

Australia's 24th consecutive year of growth: CommSec's Savanth Sebastian

<html><body>
Sydney's annual growth rate sits at 18.4% for the year to July, the highest on record since 2002, according to CoreLogic RP Data's head of research Tim Lawless.
In the Sydney Housing Market video for August he said one factor contributing to the higher value is a short supply of homes for sale, adding currently listings in Sydney are down on average.
"In Sydney we are currently tracking approximately 18,150 advertised property listings, which is historically well below average, he said. 
"To provide some context, in late 2011 when market conditions were relatively soft there were slightly more than 40,000 homes available for sale across the Sydney market."   
Click <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://vimeo.com/135932427" target="_blank">here</a> to see the video.
</body></html>

Annual Growth

Editor's Picks

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News

Annual Growth

Editor's Picks

Receive the latest news stories to your inbox

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News