Builder-developer Urban Property Group (UPG) is continuing to expand into new markets. UPG is heading to the Hills District, where it is planning a 40-storey mixed use building near Castle Hill Metro Station.

They've gone down the favoured developer route of a State Significant Development Application, which should see developments approved within the space of nine months.

The tower will comprise 371 apartments, 42 of which will be affordable housing, above a ground-floor retail precinct at 16-20 Old Castle Hill Road, on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and within walking distance of Castle Hill Metro Station, an area identified for higher density under both local and state strategic planning frameworks.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/studiosc">Studio SC</a>, the tower would rise from a brick podium base, accommodating one retail tenancy and communal open space, before transitioning to a slender glazed residential form above. Six basement levels are proposed beneath the building to house parking and services.

<img alt="First Look: Urban Property unveils 40-storey mixed-use tower in Castle Hill with 371 homes and affordable housing component" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="08dc82f9-b826-4e18-8c60-4c90f7472317" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%20G%20%28b%29%20-%20Ground%20level%20render.jpg?VersionId=EOv1ly45k_Bc1F73C0hdwXSG4FVSTETt" />

“Castle Hill is undergoing a significant transformation, evolving from a traditionally low-rise suburban centre into a true metropolitan destination anchored by the Sydney Metro Northwest," the Architectural Design Report prepared by Studio SC noted.

The majority of apartments (194) will be two-bedrooms. 90 one-bedroom apartments are planned, 83 three-beds, and four four-bedroom apartments.

Studio SC’s design adopts a podium-and-tower composition, with warm-toned masonry at the lower levels intended to anchor the building within its streetscape context.

"At the podium, the architecture is anchored through solid brickwork in warm, earthy tones, reflecting the local sandstone formations and the natural colour palette of the surrounding hills," Studio SC added.

Above, the tower transitions to a lighter glass expression, articulated with fins and tonal variation to reduce visual bulk and respond to changing light conditions.

<img alt="First Look: Urban Property unveils 40-storey mixed-use tower in Castle Hill with 371 homes and affordable housing component" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="f13cb2ee-ebfc-4204-9aba-e2dbd9e5d4bd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%20G%20%28a%29%20-%20Pool%20view.jpg?VersionId=Dnpusa.b5d6Nkx2clPlzWosDdh_1QW2V" />

Urban Property Group is one of Sydney's most active developers. They have projects currently under construction in Little Bay, Penrith, and Macquarie Park, with future projects earmarked for Wollongong.

Castle Hill has been one of the most popular suburbs for development across Sydney in the last five years, as developers scramble for land around the newly extended Sydney Metro.&nbsp;

Kassis Homes kicked it all off with Grand Reve, along with Deicorp who has delivered over 1,000 apartments in the area and continues to develop. The likes of Dubai-backed developer Arada will take to market their project in the coming months, while Masscon has just launched Avenue on Cadman Crescent.

Joel Robinson

First Look: Urban Property Group unveils 40-storey mixed-use tower in Castle Hill

One of the Gold Coast’s ‘bridesmaid suburbs’ is experiencing a wave of local suitors, with the latest sales figures from <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> revealing over two thirds of buyers will be relocating from within a 5km average radius of the 16-hectare masterplan.&nbsp;

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/lewis-land-group">Lewis Land</a> Head of Development Michael Long said the figures underlined a powerful shift for Biggera Waters that would reshape it into a thriving force behind the region’s growth corridor.&nbsp;

“We’ve seen a huge wave of interest from residents of Arundel, Paradise Point and Runaway Bay who recognise the urban transformation that is well underway here and want to be part of it,” Long said.&nbsp;

“Interestingly, 25 per cent of our Gold Coast buyers are also coming from the city’s southern hotspots, including Burleigh and Palm Beach.&nbsp;

“<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/biggera-waters-qld-4216">Biggera Waters</a>, and Harbour Shores in particular, has all the advantages of waterfront living with the benefits of resort-style amenity, for greater value than the southern beachfront suburbs.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=290031]

Long said half of the purchasers at Harbour Shores were under the age of 55.&nbsp;

“When locals choose to stay local, it creates a genuine community, turning the most sustainable master planned community in the Gold Coast’s history into a diverse and vibrant ‘village of villages’.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=336743]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/colliers">Colliers</a> Gold Coast Sales Director David Higgins said the hyper-local market demand was unique to Harbour Shores when compared to other projects in the region.&nbsp;

“We are seeing as much as 60 per cent of new apartment sales on other projects go to interstate or international buyers, but Harbour Shores is bucking this trend and attracting a larger proportion of the local market,” Higgins said.&nbsp;

“Only 13 per cent of Harbour Shores’ existing purchasers are interstate. There has been a resounding endorsement from local buyers and that validates the project’s vision and investment in design, lifestyle and liveability.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=4579]

Harbour Shores is 16ha visionary masterplan dedicated to wellness and an active, healthy lifestyle. Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, Harbour Shores embeds extensive green connections and more than 2.5km in pedestrian networks – including a 1.2km boardwalk along the water’s edge.

Harbour Shores was recently recognised by the BETTER FUTURE World Design Awards 2026 as a silver winner in the category of environmental sustainability. Boasting a 6 Star Green Star Communities V1.1 rating, Harbour Shores will deliver more than 2,000 homes over the next ten years.&nbsp;

The first stage will deliver three residential collections including luxury three and four-bedroom waterfront villas at The Residences, as well as apartments in The Waterline and Palm House, surrounded by resort-style amenities.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]

Biggera Waters no longer a 'bridesmaid suburb' as Gold Coast locals jump to Harbour Shores

Developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ellipse-property-group">Ellipse Property</a> has officially launched Lily Lane, the second stage of its Carrington Place masterplan in Sydney’s North-West. The new stage will deliver over 200 apartments to the sought-after Hills District, supported by new retail and resident amenity.&nbsp;

Located near the Hills Showground Metro Station at 32 Carrington Road, Castle Hill, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/lily-lane-at-carrington-place-castle-hill-32-carrington-road-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Lily Lane</a> has launched with the release of 105 apartments.

Designed by award-winning architects <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ptw">PTW</a>, Lily Lane comprises a combined total of 213 units over two 12-storey towers anchored by a ground-floor retail offering. A range of floorplan configurations are available including 67 one-bedroom, 100 two-bedroom and 46 three-bedroom apartments.

One-bedroom apartments are sized from 50-72 sqm with prices starting at $720,000, while two-bedrooms are priced from $960,000 with sizes ranging from 75 to 132 sqm. The three-bedroom floorplans are sized between 97 and 182 sqm, with prices starting at $1,350,000.&nbsp;

Six exclusive penthouses crown the Lily Lane towers, offering opulent interiors of up to 285 sqm. They are priced from $2.9 million.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151821 project_image_fid=360285]

Blake Schulze, National Director – Residential at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/colliers">Colliers</a>, says Lily Lane builds on the sell-out success of Carrington Place’s first stage, Atrium.&nbsp;

“Lily Lane offers everything north-west buyers are seeking - including spacious, flexible floorplans with premium finishes and sweeping views of the Hills District to the north," Schulze said.

"Its central location brings residents even closer to Hills Showground Metro Station, with retail, dining, recreation and essential services at their fingertips.

Schulze says early enquiries reflect pent-up demand for Lily Lane’s three-bedroom and penthouse apartments, reinforcing the appetite for house-sized units in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/castle-hill-nsw-2154">Castle Hill</a>,&nbsp;especially among downsizers.

Lily Lane has sought to incorporate features that are more&nbsp;traditional in freestanding homes. Over 75 per cent of residences include dedicated studies, multipurpose rooms or family rooms, with select layouts offering walk-in pantries and laundries.

Buyers have two interior colour schemes to choose from. ‘Breeze’ is a light-toned palette with warm timber accents, and ‘Dawn’ is a cooler mid-toned colourway.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151821 project_image_fid=360572]

Apartments also feature premium Miele appliances, including ovens, washing machines, dryers, gas cooktops and dishwashers. Larger homes offer integrated Miele microwaves, Fisher &amp; Paykel integrated refrigerators and five-burner Miele cooktops.

Lily Lane’s ‘village-style’ architectural design is designed to maximise walkability and access to green space. Its two elegant towers are separated by a central landscaped laneway lined with lily plants, giving the project its name.&nbsp;

The towers will be crowned by rooftop terraces with BBQ areas offering views of the Hills District. Residents can also access a shared community room, complete with a fully equipped kitchen.

“As the gateway to the wider Carrington Place masterplan, this new stage delivers a premium experience,"&nbsp;said Puja Khanna, Associate Director – Design, Marketing and Sales at Ellipse Property.

"It features beautifully curated landscaping, refined interiors and architecture designed to maximise space, light and views. With a supermarket and essential services just minutes away, the addition of Lily Lane’s ground-floor retail will elevate everyday convenience and deliver a vibrant precinct for residents.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151821 project_image_fid=360286]

Lily Lane will be constructed by award-winning iCIRT-rated builder Decode Group, with construction to commence in mid-2026 and expected to complete early 2029.

Carrington Place comprises more than 800 apartments and is being delivered across multiple stages. Completion of the masterplan is expected in 2032. Integrated with neighbouring bushland, the project will feature over 20,000 square metres of outdoor recreational area, including a one-kilometre boardwalk to the nearby Fred Caterson Reserve.&nbsp;

The Hills Showground Metro Station is just a two-minute walk away, offering fast connectivity to Sydney’s CBD, North Sydney, Chatswood, Macquarie Park and Norwest Business Park.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151821]

Ellipse launches Lily Lane, stage two of Carrington Place

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/one-global-capital">One Global Capital</a>, a Sydney-based global property development and investment firm, is set to transform a 1.4-hectare site in Five Dock into a $1.5 billion mixed-use precinct.

The integrated precinct is planned to include 750 apartments across five residential towers, a 150-key hotel, around 10,000 sqm of retail and lifestyle space, as well as health and wellness facilities, extensive landscaped open space, and community amenities.

Planning approval submission is targeted for June 2026.

One Global Capital Founder Iwan Sunito told Apartments.com.au that the Five Dock site, which he has owned for over two decades, is one of the best he's ever had.

"I probably hadn't appreciated the uniqueness of the site until more recently when putting together the concept plans," Sunito says.

"The proximity to the water, and the golf course opposite, is unlike any other part of Parramatta Road. We have a unique position and view corridors over the water that makes this one of the best sites I've worked on."

<img alt="Urban renewal in Five Dock via mixed-use precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="76667592-c421-49f5-9ab8-45cfec815651" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Five%20Dock%201.png?VersionId=puhL_lSxd5IB5VA9fQKPsKHgmkinuwuI" />

Sunito said he wants to create a "city within a city", designing a multi-cultural precinct with the convenience of retail and public space at the forefront.

"We want to create a development that's not only to be seen, but to be experienced by the whole local community."

He adds that the Five Dock is emerging into a "really solid suburb", with the growth in&nbsp;the area continuing to be supported by rising residential values across the Canada Bay and Leichhardt local government areas, driven by major infrastructure investment and enhanced transport connectivity.&nbsp;

The new precinct will benefit from close proximity to a key transport network, including the Five Dock Metro Station, located approximately 1.1 kilometres from the site. The new Burwood Metro stop will be just 800m.

The project marks a renewed collaboration between Sunito and internationally acclaimed architect <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/koichi-takada-architects">Koichi Takada</a>, the creative partnership behind some of Sydney’s most recognisable residential landmarks, &nbsp;including Infinity, Arc, and Skye North Sydney.&nbsp;

<img alt="Urban renewal in Five Dock via mixed-use precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a9184a45-f429-4628-87ce-9bd6c70cb597" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Five%20Dock%202.png?VersionId=zJZRfLAZCkpww5VcmR_wgRXjoaSgPSyv" />

“The concept for this development is born from our design approach to naturalising architecture," Koichi Takada said.

"The public realm benefits from biophilic design that integrates generous landscaping, and the development is optimised &nbsp;for natural daylight, airflow and water views to foster wellbeing, sustainability and spaces that foster community interaction."

A key feature of the mixed-use development will be a lifestyle retail precinct, offering shopping and dining &nbsp;experiences - including a proposed state-of-the-art car showroom - as well as communal spaces for community &nbsp;use. Veteran retail and commercial property practitioner, Simon McTigue, has been engaged to consult on the &nbsp;delivery and leasing of the retail precinct, having previously worked on notable mixed-use projects such as East &nbsp;Village Shopping Centre in Zetland and South Village Shopping Centre Kirrawee, as well as other projects with &nbsp;Iwan Sunito in Green Square and Parramatta, to name a few.&nbsp;

“The Five Dock site offers a unique opportunity for retailers, conveniently located within easy walking distance &nbsp;of the metro station. On completion, the integrated precinct will provide the community with a new Inner West &nbsp;town centre, offering daily convenience via a proposed large format supermarket and fresh food precinct, as well &nbsp;as a restaurant and café district situated alongside key services such as a medical and health centre. It will be a &nbsp;place to live, work and play,” said Simon McTigue, Director of Wallaringa Consulting.&nbsp;

Samuel Sunito, Director of Capital at One Global Capital, confirmed strong inbound interest from both domestic and global investors seeking co-investment opportunities in the project. “We are currently engaging with &nbsp;investors both locally but also globally from Indonesia, the United States, China, Singapore, Vietnam, and Dubai &nbsp;to ensure alignment of vision and long-term value creation,” he said.&nbsp;

Investment participation will remain open until approximately Q2 2026, with equity allocations managed selectively.&nbsp;

“Equity available to the broader market will be limited, with priority given to long-standing capital partners. In terms of One Global Capital’s investment philosophy, we will continue to retain majority ownership, ensuring &nbsp;strong alignment of interests and preserving the long-term integrity of the project for all stakeholders,” Samuel &nbsp;said.

"A city within a city": Iwan Sunito flags $1.5 billion mixed-use precinct in Five Dock

Holiday home buyers who have long gravitated to Queenstown’s alpine setting are increasingly looking for low-maintenance apartments that allow them to lock up and leave, while still generating income when they’re away.

For Wendy, who had spent years visiting the Queenstown and Arrowtown region, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>’s Mountain Oak Apartments provided the opportunity to formalise what had previously been a recurring holiday pattern.

“We always had Queenstown in the back of our minds to buy something there as a holiday home,” she says. “We love the Queenstown and Arrowtown area.”

<img alt="From slopes to markets: Mountain Oak connects residents to the best of Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/658d4f_48c3ec1ae5df4a2cab7d23c07c7f51b3~mv2.jpg?VersionId=27K8oQ4ExDN8Yu70VHDa9Olq59XU36m3" />

Time spent visiting her sister-in-law, who owns in Arrowtown, along with regular stays at Millbrook Resort, had already shaped a strong personal connection to the region.&nbsp;

Rather than approaching the purchase purely as an investment play, Wendy’s starting point was lifestyle.

“We were more thinking about ourselves and where we could stay, and then the rental aspect was second.”

Mountain Oak Apartments, located within the masterplanned Remarkables Park precinct in Frankton, aligned with that thinking. The ability to secure the apartment with a deposit and settle on completion made the timing work.

“The fact that we could put a deposit down with the balance on completion was a bonus for us,” she explains.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Wendy selected a two-bedroom, two-bathroom penthouse, a configuration that supports both private use and guest flexibility.

“The two-bedroom, two-bathroom configuration appealed from both a rental viewpoint and for the ability to have friends stay while we are there,” she says.

Across the development, two-bedroom apartments range from 64sqm to 78sqm, with two-bedroom plus flexi options from 71sqm to 75sqm, each with an allocated car park. The flexi layouts introduce an additional space suited to work or hobbies, reflecting demand from buyers who split their time between leisure and remote work.

Apartments include underfloor heating in bathrooms, heat pumps to living areas, and joinery positioned to maximise natural light and mountain outlooks. The Remarkables Park precinct is known for its extended winter sunshine hours, water frontage and open views toward The Remarkables.&nbsp;

Units come in light and dark interior colour schemes.

<img alt="Mountain Oak Apartments draws holiday home buyers to Queenstown" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fd685a22-3b95-43a1-87cb-48fdd42bb4ba" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/658d4f_f9f89107c2704ebbbe5a6b36da508cb3~mv2.jpg?VersionId=MigFIEm6b.mrANANwxSmwHvC4RdJUuyR" />

While lifestyle was the primary driver, the fundamentals of the Queenstown market added reassurance.&nbsp;

“Proximity to the airport and tourism being the main attraction all year round,” Wendy says, when asked what stood out from an investment perspective.

Mountain Oak sits just eight kilometres from Queenstown’s CBD and around a two-minute drive from Queenstown Airport.&nbsp;

For Wendy, that airport proximity carries practical value.

“The airport proximity is a bonus, we think that being so close will be an attraction for the convenience side.”

Residents are also a short drive from Coronet Peak, Jack’s Point Golf Course, New World Supermarket, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and the dining, medical, gym, cinema and library amenities within the town centre, as well as the seasonal Remarkables Market.

Importantly, the purchase does not lock owners into a single use. Mountain Oak offers the flexibility to opt for short-term visitor accommodation or longer-term residential rental management, with 365-day visitor accommodation consent in place. Owners can utilise Safari Group’s 24/7 on-site management service or appoint their own provider, and do not need to decide on a strategy immediately.

“It was a bonus that we can rent it out as well as use it for ourselves,” she says.

Additional buying options, including furniture packages and storage units available for purchase within the building, further support a lock-and-leave model suited to interstate and overseas owners.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Mountain Oak Apartments comprises 141 residences, ranging from one-bedroom configurations through to larger apartments and penthouses. One-bedroom apartments are currently priced from NZ$639,000, with three-bedroom options from NZ$1,299,000.

With 365-day visitor accommodation consent, the development is structured to respond to Queenstown’s established four-season tourism economy, spanning winter ski traffic and summer hiking, cycling, golf and lake-based activity.

Although Wendy acknowledges the strength of rental demand, her approach remains long term.

“We’re not planning to sell it anytime soon, so we are keen to hang on to it, but the passive income will be a bonus.”

Confidence in the developer also influenced her decision. Before proceeding, Wendy sought feedback within the local building community.

“We asked around and Safari Group had a good reputation,” she says.

Safari Group has delivered more than 2,000 hotel units and residential apartments across over 18 developments nationwide, with more than 25 years’ experience in the sector.

With completion anticipated by mid-2027, Mountain Oak is attracting a cross-section of buyers, from yield-focused investors to lifestyle purchasers seeking a foothold in one of New Zealand’s most tightly held alpine markets.

For Wendy, it represents both a future holiday base and a long-term asset within Queenstown’s year-round tourism economy.

How Mountain Oak Apartments draws holiday home buyers to Queenstown

2019 Property Price Forecast

<html><body>
EXPERT OBSERVER
Here’s the dumbest question an investor can ask: is this a good time to buy real estate?
The question shows a fundamental and dangerous lack of understanding about property.
A much smarter question is: WHERE is it a good time to buy real estate? Because in a nation as large and as diverse as Australia, at any point in time it’s a good time to buy somewhere. The trick is finding those locations where it’s opportune to buy.
I find myself constantly explaining to consumers that there is no such creature as “the Australian property market”. People think there is because the media keeps telling them there is, aided and abetted by economists who see everything nationally.
The headlines keep proclaiming that “Australian property prices” are falling, because those who think nationally describe housing market growth or decline with a single figure to measure the entire nation.
It’s a ludicrous proposition and one that misleads and misinforms consumers.
So here we are again at the start of a new year and it’s opportune once again to tell people that the essence of success in property investment is understanding that we don’t have one market in Australia.
We have lots of markets and your objective is to avoid the ones which are in decline and locate the ones that are rising or will soon do so.
Fortunately, this is not difficult – so long as you can kick the newspaper reading habit and conduct proper research and acquire real knowledge.
If you’re willing and able to do that, you’ll be miles ahead of the herd and one of the relatively few who will succeed in this business.
If you’ve been searching for predictions on likely outcomes in 2019 – and you’ve been using mainstream media as your primary source – you’ll be massively confused and misinformed, because newspapers and other tabloid media like the ABC have featured only those who have forecast major and widespread price decline.
The vast majority of forecasters – the calm, sensible, rational ones like BIS, Domain, SQM Research, Propertyology and most of the major lenders – have predicted fairly optimistic outcomes in 2019 and 2020. But few of the major newspapers have published their forecasts.
A common theme among the credible forecasters is that Sydney and Melbourne will bottom out in the middle of 2019 and gradually return to moderate price growth, while the smaller capital cities will show growth this year ranging from moderate to strong.
Very few bother with the regions – which is a shame because the biggest price growth in 2018 was in regional areas and this is likely to be the case again in 2019.
One who does look at the regions as well as the capital cities and presents sensible forecasts based on research is Simon Pressley of Propertyology.
Like Louis Christopher of SQM Research, Pressley presents three scenarios in his forecasting, which relate to different outcomes with the lending environmental.
His scenario which assumes lenders returning to “sensible credit policies” in the first quarter of the year (which I think is likely) has Hobart again leading the capital cities on price growth, with rises of up to 10%.
He sees Perth making a solid recovery, with house prices up by between 4% and 7%. He also expects Canberra, Adelaide and Brisbane to be good markets with price growth up to 5-6%.
He expects Melbourne to bottom out during with the year, with only moderate price decline, and Sydney falling a further 3-6%.
I note that Domain published broadly similar forecasts for 2019 recently and I think Pressley is pretty much on the mark, although I think Adelaide will do better than he predicts and that Hobart growth will be less, because I think that market is past its peak. 
Propertyology believes regional centres in the resources states Western Australia and Queensland will be among the best-performing markets this year. Pressley suggests the Sunshine Coast and Cairns will lead in Queensland, with big improvement also in Townsville, Mackay, Rockhampton and Toowoomba.
In WA he likes Albany, Busselton and Margaret River, with Pilbara towns strong also. As always, I urge caution with any market where the mining sector dominates the local economy.
In regional NSW he likes Wagga Wagga, Armidale, Tamworth, Bathurst, Parkes and Muswellbrook, while in regional Victoria he favours Ballarat, Bendigo, Shepparton, Warrnambool and Bairnsdale.
I can’t disagree with much of that. Propertyology and Hotspotting use different methodologies but we often arrive at the same conclusions.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
</body></html>

terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Where is it a good time to be buying property in 2019: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Million $ suburbs decline as values fall: Cameron Kusher

<html><body>
EXPERT OBSERVER
A combination of housing values trending lower and sluggish rental conditions, CoreLogic research out today looks at the total investment return trends across Australia’s capital cities and broad regional markets.
Over the 2018-19 financial year, total returns from residential property recorded a fall of -3.3%.
Returns were down from the previous year and it was the only financial year since at least 2005/06 that total residential property returns were negative.
To put that in context, housing returns last year were worse than those recorded during the financial crisis and during the 2010- 12 housing downturn.
The combination of falling values and historically low rental yields have driven total returns into negative territory.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%201.JPG" alt="">
Looking at the national figures in the context of the combined capital cities and combined regional markets shows that returns have reduced over the year across both regions.
However, combined capital city returns have fallen -4.5% while combined regional market returns remained mildly positive at 1.6%.
For the combined capital cities it was the weakest returns on record and the first negative annual return, while across the combined regional markets it was the weakest annual return since 2008-09.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%202.JPG" alt="">
Across NSW, total returns fell over the 2018-19 financial year in both Sydney and regional NSW.
For Sydney, it was the second consecutive financial year in which returns have fallen however, it was a larger -6.7% fall compared to the previous year and the largest fall of any time since 2005-06.
In regional NSW total returns were - 0.5% lower over the past financial year and it was the first time over the period that total returns recorded a decline.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%203.JPG" alt="">
In Vic total returns were lower over the most recent financial year in both Melbourne (-6.0%) and regional Vic (4.5%).
For Melbourne it was the first financial year in which returns were negative since 2011-12 and it was the largest fall in total returns on record.
Although regional Vic total returns remained positive, the market experienced a substantial slowing from the previous year.
Furthermore, it was the slowest growth in total returns for regional Vic since 2011-12 when they increased by 3.5%.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%204.JPG" alt="">
Although total returns throughout the 2018-19 financial year remained positive in Brisbane and regional, Qld there was a substantial reduction in returns across both regions.
Over the year, total returns in Brisbane were recorded at 1.7% the lowest they have been since the 2011-12 financial year and it was the same story in regional Qld with the 3.2% return the lowest since 2011- 12.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%205.JPG" alt="">
Although returns from residential property remained positive over the 2018-19 financial year in SA, both Adelaide and regional SA recorded a slowing of total returns.
Over the year, Adelaide’s total return was 4.1%, which was the smallest return since 2011-12, and down from 6.1% the previous year.
In regional SA, returns slipped from 5.2% the previous year to 4.0%, which was the smallest returns since 2011-12.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%206.JPG" alt="">
Total returns were negative in 2018-19 across WA with both Perth and regional WA recording their largest annual falls in returns on record.
Over the year, total returns in Perth recorded a fall of -5.3% and although returns have fallen over three previous financial years, it was the largest decline on record.
In regional WA, returns declined -5.0%, which was also a larger fall than over any of the three previous financial years in which returns were negative.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%207.JPG" alt="">
Both Hobart and regional Tas maintained positive total returns over the 2018-19 financial year however, it was a significant reduction of returns in Hobart.
Hobart’s return was recorded at 8.1% over the year, down from 17.4% the previous year and its smallest annual return since 2014-15.
In regional TAS the total returns was 11.4%, which was slightly lower than the 13.2% the previous financial year however, returns remained higher than the 10.2% over the 2016-17 financial year.
 <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%208.JPG" alt="">
Total returns from residential property have softened over the past year across NT.
Darwin recorded a decline in total return of -3.0% over 2018-19 which was a larger fall over the previous year but not quite as large as the -3.6% fall in 2015-16.
In regional NT, total returns were recorded at 7.8% in 2018-19, down from 8.5% over the previous financial year.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%209.JPG" alt="">
Canberra recorded total returns of 6.0% over the most recent financial year.
The total return in Canberra has fallen over the year from 9.4% and the 6.0% return is the lowest since 2013-14. Canberra, along with Adelaide and Hobart are the only capital cities in which total returns have not been negative over any of the financial years shown.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/7/25/CL%20JULY%2025%20-%2010.JPG" alt="">
With early signs that the rate of decline in housing values has slowed in Sydney and Melbourne and rental yields rising across most regions of the country, the outlook for total returns over the coming year looks a little stronger at a national level.
As always, there will be diversity with most regions of the country outside of Sydney and Melbourne yet to show signs of an improving housing market. We may see an improvement in returns in the two largest capital city housing markets while returns continue to weaken elsewhere.
CAMERON KUSHER is the head of research for the Australian branch of CoreLogic
Kusher regularly posts on the <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news" target="_blank">CoreLogic website</a>.
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Housing returns slump over the 2018-19 financial year: CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

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EXPERT OBSERVER
There are growing signs of recovery in resources-related markets in Queensland, both in sales activity and prices. This, plus steady performance in the larger regional cities of regional Queensland, has lifted the sector’s overall performance to its strongest position since mid-2017.
Regional Queensland markets collectively have improved in the past 12 months: in the past four quarterly surveys of sales activity conducted by Hotspotting, the number of locations with growing demand has increased from 30 to 36 to 40 to 45. The number of growth markets had decreased sharply late in 2017 but showed steady improvement in 2018.
A standout feature is the recovery in mining-related markets which have spent several years in downturn. This trend is headed by Mackay (pictured above), which now has rising demand coupled with much lower vacancies, and some suburbs are now showing good price growth.
Emerald’s sales activity is rising, as is the iconic coal-mining town of Moranbah and the Surat Basin town of Chinchilla. Rockhampton, a larger regional centre with strong links to the mining sector, is now showing signs of following Mackay’s lead to recovery.
Emerald is a standout: quarterly sales have been 51, 57, 66, 62, 60 and 77, while the median house price has risen 22% to $300,000 in the past 12 months.
Moranbah’s median price has increased 21% - but only to $200,000, still well below the former peak above $700,000 in this classic example of a boom-bust scenario. Clermont is up 20% to $220,000 and Collinsville 17% but remains below $100,000.
I’m not suggesting investors should rush out and look for places to buy in these places: these mining-related towns are highly volatile markets and more people lose money than make their fortunes there.
But the recovery is noteworthy as it’s part of a wider trend of stronger performance in regional Queensland, against a backdrop of the national situation whereby the strongest markets are in regional Australia.
A significant new event in Queensland is the first signs of recovery in Gladstone, which had boom conditions in 2011 and 2012, thanks to three massive gas projects totalling $60 billion, but suffered a property market downturn because developers over-reacted and created a glut.
Two Gladstone suburbs, New Auckland and Clinton, now have rising markets (but six suburbs remain “danger” markets). New Auckland’s median has risen 9% in 12 months, but most Gladstone suburbs have continued to decline. So, the picture is still more negative than positive – but we are seeing evidence of recovery, including in the reduction in the overall vacancy rate (now close to 3%, according to SQM Research).
The larger, more diversified regional centres of Queensland have increasingly steady markets. The Gold Coast and the Sunshine Coast are both producing good results, especially the Sunshine Coast which is undoubtedly the strongest of the Queensland markets, including Brisbane.
Our latest survey has revealed 62 Regional Queensland locations with annual price growth above 7% - and almost half of them are in the Sunshine Coast region. Noosa
Shire region is thriving, after a lengthy period of stagnation. Median price growth in the past year includes Noosa Heads houses 19%, Noosa Heads units 26%, Noosaville units 16%, Sunshine Beach houses 38% and Sunrise Beach units 23%.
Elsewhere on the Sunshine Coast, Doonan’s median house price has risen 27%, Mt Coolum is up 22% and Twin Waters has risen 23%. But, in terms of sales activity, the Sunshine Coast and Noosa markets may have passed their peaks – they now have considerably more plateau markets than rising ones.
The nearby Gympie region – which benefits from proximity to the booming Sunshine Coast economy - has three suburbs with rising demand.
The post-Games boost predicted by some has not eventuated on the Gold Coast. This market was strong from 2015 to 2017 because of the pre-Commonwealth Games construction boom. Since then the growth has subsided and we can find only five growth suburbs in Gold Coast City, but 41 suburbs classified as either “plateau” or “consistency” markets – and three “decline” markets.
Beyond these South-East Queensland areas, the locations showing most signs of rising are the Fraser Coast, Cairns, Toowoomba and the highly-promising Townsville market, where over $25 billion in new investment is targeted.
The Fraser Coast region, centred on Hervey Bay, now has several rising suburbs, with Torquay and Scarness the standouts. Toogoom, Dundowran and Scarness have all recorded strong price uplift.
Cairns has five suburbs with rising demand, while Toowoomba is showing signs of rising on the back of major infrastructure and other property-related investment.
Overall, regional Queensland is showing increasing signs of joining the biggest trend in Australian real estate – the rise and rise of regional markets.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au ryder@hotspotting.com.au twitter.com/hotspotting
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Regional Queensland property prices rising: Terry Ryder

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Suburbs comprising of larger average land sizes are generally bucking the broader capital city housing market trend and achieving stronger value changes and milder declines over the past year compared to broader capital city markets according to CoreLogic research out today.
The analysis shows the five suburbs in each capital city with the largest average land area based on sales over the 12 months to February 2019. It also shows the median value of these suburbs and the change in median values over the year.
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One of the most noticeable from this data is the fact that for houses, the annual change across these suburbs is typically superior to that across the broader capital cities.
In Sydney, house values have fallen by -11.5% over the 12 months to February 2019. Looking at the five suburbs listed, only Kenthurst has recorded a weaker annual change.
Melbourne house values are also -11.5% lower over the past year and all of the suburbs listed have seen more moderate value falls than that across Greater Melbourne.
Brisbane house values were -0.4% lower over the past year and two of the five suburbs have seen a stronger annual change.
The 0.9% annual increase in Adelaide house values means that four of the five suburbs listed have seen stronger value growth over the past year.
Perth house values are -6.7% lower over the past year with four of the five suburbs listed recording either value increases or more moderate declines than -6.7%.
Greater Hobart house values were 6.8% higher over the past year and three of the five suburbs listed have recorded growth in excess of that.
House values in Darwin increased by 0.2% over the past year and three of the five suburbs with the largest average land sizes recorded greater value increases than that.
While Canberra house values increased by 4.1% over the past year, only two of the suburbs listed recorded growth in excess of this.
Although this data broadly shows that suburbs with larger average land sizes are holding up better in the housing downturn, many buyers value larger land sizes.
As new development increasingly moves towards higher densities and smaller lot sizes for houses, large housing lots are likely to continue to be highly desirable.
The desirability won’t be only for more space, but also where the potential for future sub-division may exist. 
CAMERON KUSHER is a property research analyst for CoreLogic.
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Give me land lots of land: CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

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The latest CoreLogic data shows Perth dwelling prices fell another -0.5% over August, bringing quarterly falls to -1.8% and year on year price falls to -8.8%.
As a result of this latest shift Perth values are now 20.6% down from their June 2014 peak.
Falls in dwelling values were larger across Perth apartments this year with -9.9% falls compared to a -8.6% fall in house values.
Perth's Mandurah has seen the fourth largest overall value decline -35.7% this year.
In July, Domain Economist Trent Wiltshire predicted some Perth price growth in 2020, however he warned there is still an ongoing risk that price falls could continue.
"A more positive outlook for Perth ​has existed for a while, but property prices have continued falling, mortgage arrears​ are rising, and more households are in ​negative equity​," Wiltshire said.
"House and unit prices are expected to bottom out in spring and remain unchanged during the six months to December, with prices likely to stay at the June median of $520,000 for houses and $330,000 for units.
"A rebound in Perth prices in 2020 was expected, but given the entrenched weakness in the market, only modest price growth of 0 to 2% for houses and units was forecast."
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/28/Perth%20Forecast.JPG" alt="">
More recently REIWA data showed that listings have increased 6% since the December 2018 quarter to 16,957, however it isn’t helping selling periods. It took an average of 78 days for vendors to sell their properties last quarter.
REIWA data shows that 29% of suburbs in Perth had an increase in rents during the quarter, and 36% of suburbs saw increases over the past year.
President of REIWA Damian Collins recently said: "It’s also worth noting that a significant portion (43%) of Perth sellers are achieving sales prices at or above their original asking price, which suggests that many vendors are heeding the advice of their real estate agent and pricing their properties in line with market expectations."
Herron Todd White found that the residential market in Perth has tracked closely in line with their February predictions for the year (so far).
In their August report, the valuation firm stated: "Our assumptions were that the rental market would continue to be a strong point for Western Australia and that sales volumes and house price growth would remain subdued until 2020.
"There has been a lot of speculation about when the Perth market will finally turn and it doesn’t seem like we are much closer to knowing, mostly due to our split property cycles and diminishing sales volumes.
"Thankfully, the wider Perth area has seen some stability in its median price."
The report noted that according to their data the median house price settled at $500,000 for the March quarter, 0.6% higher than the previous quarter.
The unit median price also remained steady, holding at $380,000.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Perth prices could finally see a rebound in 2020

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The financial year just done was not a pretty one for property investors across Australia.
CoreLogic calculated total returns from residential property saw a fall of 3.3 percent in the 2018-19 financial year. Total investment returns is the value growth and gross rental returns.
Last financial year was the only financial year since at least 2005/06 that total residential property returns were negative.
The average return over the 13 year period was nine percent.
The best year was 2009-10 when the national return was almost 17 percent.
"Housing returns last year were worse than those recorded during the financial crisis and during the 2010-12 housing downturn," Cameron Kusher at CoreLogic noted, adding it was the combination of falling values and historically low rental yields that had driven total returns into negative territory.
Looking at the Sydney figures, it was the second consecutive financial year in which returns have fallen however, it was a larger 6.7 percent fall compared to the previous 2.7 percent fall in 2017-18.
They were the only years to record a fall since 2005-06, with the average Sydney return being 10 percent.
The best year was 2014-15 when the total return was 21 percent.
In regional NSW total returns were 0.5 percent down in the past financial year, the first time total returns recorded a decline in the past 14 years. NSW regional property saw an average eight percent over the extended period.
The combined capitals were down 4.5 percent, while all the rest was up 1.6 percent.
Kusher maintains that with the early signs that the rate of decline in housing values has now slowed and rental yields rising across most regions of the country, the prospect for total returns over the coming year looks a little stronger for some.
Sydney may see an improvement in returns although they may weaken in most of the other capital cities and regions elsewhere.
While the total returns from residential housing are not looking so attractive, residential property is not alone.
Try living off cash!
Outside of compulsory superannuation, property and shares are the two most common ways of building wealth in Australia.
Investors looking for the best place to invest always face a challenging decision, this year as much as ever. 
There are always the push and pull factors of residential property and shares so choosing the right strategy often comes down to investors’ own timeframes and preferences.
There needs to be an understanding the advantages and risks associated with both.
Be aware the ever present debate comparing the returns on shares with the returns on property tends to be seen through the prism of the commentator's bias.
The Australian share market recently hit an all-time high with the All Ords index surpassing its record in November 2007.
Once dividends are allowed for, the Australian share market had actually surpassed its 2007 record high back in 2013.
The Reserve Bank of Australia’s head of domestic markets Marion Kohler noted recently that the Australian sharemarket, once dividends are included, showed an average annual 8.5 per cent return since 1993.
AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver noted earlier this month that going through past bull market highs after a long period below can attract investors into the stock market so it could push on for a bit. 
My views that we shall see an exit of some sharemarket gains into the property market. Perhaps not the influx seen in past cycles, but enough to provide a fillip to the depth of property buying interest.
 
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Is there a choice for investors after housing returns slump over the 2018-19 financial year?

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The residential downturn is expected to reach bottom in most Australian markets by as early as the end of 2019 or early 2020 – much sooner than previously predicted.
In the February release of CBRE’s Real Estate Market Outlook 2019 report we identified the Banking Royal Commission and the federal election as the two ‘unknown’ factors influencing Australia’s residential market outlook.
Signs are now emerging that a controlled relaxation of credit constraints was being managed and forecast interest rates cuts would help stabilise property prices.
The strong likelihood of further rate cuts by the RBA over the remainder of 2019 is expected to boost the prospects of an earlier than anticipated market recovery.
The results of the Banking Royal Commission and federal election would provide some comfort across the remainder of the year, increasing the number of buyers looking to enter residential markets, providing stronger support for prices and bringing forward the cyclical market bottom into 2019.
The federal election’s unexpected result and the relaxation of certain credit market constraints have provided a catalyst for market change.
The Coalition victory means proposed taxation changes impacting investment property, including negative gearing and capital gains tax changes, are off the agenda, while first home buyers have received a modest additional assistance package. The residential markets in general are expected to continue working through their adjustment cycle, with credit availability remaining the key constraint at present.
The results of the Banking Royal Commission were creating a more sustainable credit environment underpinning residential markets, resulting in an arguable credit market overcorrection, with banks appearing to have adjusted their requirements to reflect ‘responsible lending’ practices.
CRAIG GODBER is the Head of Residential Research for CBRE
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2019 Property Price Forecast

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