<p>National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.</p>

<p>Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]</p>

<p>The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.</p>

<p>Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.</p>

<p>"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.</p>

<p>"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.</p>

<p>"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]</p>

<p>Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.</p>

<p>The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]</p>

<p>Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]</p>

<p>Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.</p>

<p>Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]</p>


Joel Robinson

Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

<p>The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.</p>

<p>It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 52-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.</p>

<p>Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.</p>

<p>While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]</p>

<p>Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 52-storey tower, which has just shy of 250 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.</p>

<p>The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.</p>

<p>"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.</p>

<p>"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]</p>

<p>One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.</p>

<p>"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.</p>

<p>"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.</p>

<p>"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]</p>

<p>There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.</p>

<p>As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.</p>

<p>"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.</p>

<p>The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]</p>


A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

<p>A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.</p>

<p>It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.</p>

<p>Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.</p>

<p>The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]</p>

<p>"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.</p>

<p>"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.</p>

<p>"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]</p>

<p>The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.</p>

<p>Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]</p>

<p>The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.</p>

<p>The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]</p>

<p>Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.</p>

<p>Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]</p>

<p>While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.</p>

<p>It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.</p>

<p>Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]</p>

<p>That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.</p>

<p>Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]</p>


Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

<p>As apartment living continues to evolve across Sydney's growth corridors, the quality and distribution of shared spaces is increasingly shaping how residents experience home. Rather than functioning as add-ons, amenities are being embedded into the daily rhythm of a building, supporting everything from quiet retreat to social interaction, often within a single vertical community.</p>

<p>At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aeris-melrose-park-nursery-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Aeris</a> in Melrose Park, this approach is resolved through a layered amenity offering that unfolds from ground level through to its upper podium. Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> in partnership with Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project introduces 468 apartments across two towers and a mid-rise building, positioned at the highest point of the broader masterplan.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=359199]</p>

<p>The amenity experience begins at street level, where two courtyards sit within a landscaped setting that connects residents to the wider network of parks and green spaces. These green spaces are not isolated pockets but part of a wider pedestrian network that links Aeris to the surrounding <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a> precinct, including Central Park, future schools, and the Town Centre opening in July 2026. The result is a transition that moves from public to private without abrupt boundaries, allowing residents to pass through shaded, tree-lined environments before reaching the building itself.</p>

<p>Moving upward, the focus shifts to the level five podium, where the primary communal facilities are concentrated. This space brings together a 16-metre swimming pool, outdoor seating areas, and a communal BBQ zone arranged to take advantage of elevated outlooks. Seating is positioned beneath pergolas, creating pockets of shade that extend the usability of the space throughout the day. The pool edge aligns with views toward the wider district, reinforcing the sense of elevation that defines the project’s positioning.</p>

<p>In the adjacent building, this is complemented by quieter, more contemplative spaces, including an outdoor cinema set within the same level. Positioned to operate primarily in the evening, it introduces a different tempo to the shared environment, shifting from daytime activity to after-hours use without requiring separate zones.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360299]</p>

<p>The podium also accommodates an intimate private resident gym. Located on the lower levels, it gives residents convenient access to fitness facilities without leaving the building.</p>

<p>Above, the elevated podium sky deck extends the amenity offering, providing additional open-air spaces with elevated outlooks across the surrounding landscape. While more restrained in program, this upper level reinforces the project’s vertical progression, from ground-level greenery to elevated outlook, allowing residents to move between distinct spatial conditions within a single address.</p>

<p>This distribution of amenities reflects a deliberate response to how residents use space across the day. Sekisui House Australia Sales and Marketing Director Peter Kalaf points to the role these shared areas play in shaping buyer demand. Aeris has been conceived as more than a collection of apartments, with the podium pool, gym and outdoor cinema forming part of a broader lifestyle offering that extends the home beyond each individual residence.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360300]</p>

<p>What distinguishes Aeris is not the inclusion of these elements individually, but how they are arranged in relation to one another. Active, social, and passive spaces are layered vertically rather than separated, allowing residents to choose between them without leaving the building or moving far from their apartment. This proximity supports both routine use, such as a morning swim or evening workout, and more occasional gatherings, whether around the BBQ area or within the cinema setting.</p>

<p>The amenity design also sits within a broader framework of connectivity across Melrose Park. The Melrose Park Town Centre, anchored by Coles and Dan Murphys, features a mix of retail, dining, health and lifestyle offerings, bringing everyday convenience closer to residents. By the end of the year, more than five hectares of parks and open space, equivalent to around seven football fields of green space on residents' doorstep, will further enhance the precinct, allowing the internal facilities at Aeris to operate as an extension of the wider neighbourhood rather than a substitute for it.</p>

<p>Construction at Aeris continues to gather momentum, with ground floor slabs expected to be completed in late 2026 before the first sections of the buildings begin to rise above ground.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=426]</p>


Elevated amenity anchors daily life at Aeris, Melrose Park

<p>Repeat buyers are one of the strongest measures of confidence in any apartment development.</p>

<p>At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/era-newcastle-west-124-126-bull-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">ERA</a> in Newcastle West, some purchasers are returning to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> after living at the developer's One Apartments. Their decision to purchase again was driven by the quality of life they found after moving into their first GWH home.</p>

<p>Keith Wilton had spent years living in a house in East Maitland before deciding it was time for a change. Apartment living had always been on his radar, but he was selective about what he wanted.</p>

<p><iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/FH_1EzB-1vs?si=XScVlP1ERsTDJoME" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe></p>

<p>"I had some boxes I wanted to tick," he says.</p>

<p>Keith points to the open-plan design, generous outdoor areas and considered inclusions as key reasons One Apartments worked for him.</p>

<p>“One of those things was a nice indoor open plan area, but also I wanted a nice outdoor open area that I could entertain on in summer or Christmases or birthdays,” he says.</p>

<p>He also found value in the smaller details, from integrated appliances to shared resident spaces including the pool, cinema and rooftop areas.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356818]</p>

<p>After comparing several developments, he chose One Apartments because of GWH's longstanding local reputation and his own experience working with the developer on a commercial project more than a decade earlier.</p>

<p>"I knew that they were local, that the quality of the build was going to be up there. I'd looked at other apartment complexes around and close by, and I just knew that here was a better decision location wise."</p>

<p>Today, Keith says the move has completely changed how he experiences Newcastle.</p>

<p>"I enjoy living in this location because it's more of a lifestyle change. That Newcastle city living where you can walk to restaurants and bars and even beaches and parks and even shopping across the road."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356828]</p>

<p>Beyond the location, he says it's the sense of community that has surprised him most.</p>

<p>"Everyone loves living here because they chose to live here, but everyone looks out for each other. It's a real great community feel here."</p>

<p>For Aimee and Lyle Goodman, the journey started almost by chance.</p>

<p><iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/tsioMLcnjas?si=zq-ys3JuWpfa5hFv" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe></p>

<p>The couple happened to be having coffee in Newcastle when they noticed the site where One Apartments was about to begin construction.</p>

<p>"We were aware GWH was planning a development," Aimee says. "We made one phone call and things moved pretty quickly after that."</p>

<p>As busy business owners, they initially thought apartment living would simply reduce the maintenance that came with larger homes. Instead, it fundamentally changed how they spent time together.</p>

<p>"We actually catch up more as a family now," Aimee says.</p>

<p>"We've had homes with big yards and lots of space, but everyone ended up in different rooms. Here we'll have dinner together, the kids can play, and we spend far more quality time together."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356829]</p>

<p>Lyle says their confidence came from GWH's reputation within Newcastle's building industry.</p>

<p>"I know people who've worked across different apartment projects, and whenever GWH came up the feedback was always the same. They're rock solid. They're quality."</p>

<p>That confidence only grew throughout the buying process.</p>

<p>"One of the things that really impressed us with GWH was the whole process, was the communication," Lyle says. "It was consistent, it was regular, there was no problem if we had some weird questions, there was no problems in getting answers."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351104]</p>

<p>Aimee says one moment stood out.</p>

<p>"The project actually finished on time. We realised we needed to hurry up and sell our house because everything was happening exactly when they said it would."</p>

<p>The positive experience at One Apartments ultimately gave all three buyers the confidence to purchase again with GWH, this time at ERA.</p>

<p>Their confidence reflects what many buyers are seeking in today's apartment market. Location remains important, but so too does certainty around delivery, quality and long-term liveability.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356822]</p>

<p>ERA builds on those foundations with 280 one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two landmark towers in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Newcastle West</a>.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">Fender Katsalidis</a>, the project will include more than 2,000 square metres of resident amenities, including a resort-style pool, gym, sauna, private cinema and rooftop entertaining spaces overlooking the harbour and coastline.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The development is also within walking distance of the Newcastle Interchange, Honeysuckle, Darby Street, the harbour foreshore, restaurants, retail and the city’s beaches, continuing the walkable lifestyle that existing GWH buyers say has transformed how they live.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356826]</p>

<p>For Keith, the appeal remains straightforward.</p>

<p>"You feel at home even before you've moved into your home."</p>

<p>For Aimee, the change is measured in time.</p>

<p>“I just felt like I had more time,” she says.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351102]</p>

<p>Construction at ERA is now underway, with more than half of the residences already sold and limited two and three-bedroom apartments remaining in the East Tower release. Priced from $980,000 for two-bedroom residences and $1.46 million for three-bedroom residences, buyers can secure an apartment with a 10 per cent deposit, with premium homes offering ocean views from Level 8 and harbour views from Level 10.</p>

<p>ERA is also backed by Resilience Insurance's 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing protection against structural or waterproofing defects for 10 years after completion. The project is anticipated to be completed in early 2028.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135096]</p>


From ONE to ERA: Why buyers are choosing GWH again in Newcastle West

Sydney

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<p>Is this quote by Johnny Isakson the perfect property quote – “In the real estate business you learn more about people, and you learn more about community issues, you learn more about life, you learn more about the impact of government, probably than any other profession that I know of.”</p>
<p>Let’s focus on the part of governments in property – more particularly as it relates to Sydney and its many niche property markets. Local governments are being amalgamated so that the NSW government can put on its developer cap and start approving thousands upon thousands of new developments. They identify overseas buyers as the driving force so they then introduce higher duties to get a greater tax grab. The federal government (since December 2008) allows one hundred per cent of all new developments to be sold offshore driving overseas investor demand to levels never seen before – the perfect property storm has been created but who will clean it up?</p>
<p>Firstly, we need to pinpoint when this newly created apartment – a – thon peaked which would be around mid – 2013. Barangaroo was the star attraction with 750 new harbour side apartments that sold in a matter of hours smashing per square metre records. These per square metre rates were then factored into every other new development and the investors came in fast, which in turn led developers to pay record prices for property sites thus creating an insatiable property appetite for investors and property developers.</p>
<p>Then 18 months later the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) on December 9, 2014 tightens lending regulations resulting in higher deposits from investors buying off – the – plan. Although not much was said at the time the investor cracks were starting to appear despite developers and real estate agents buying record amounts of polyfilla. Next in July 2015, APRA announced that the big four banks and Macquarie Bank must hold more capital to provide a buffer against defaults by investors.</p>
<p>In May 2015, then federal treasurer Joe Hockey announced that the Australian Taxation Office (ATO) was being handed full control over all property acquisitions in Australia. This then led to the ATO announcing that every property transaction dating back to 1985 would be recorded and placed on their property register. Foreign investor participation in Australia’s property markets had spiked to $34.7 billion in 2013/14 up from $17.6 billion the previous year, so suspicions were on the rise. I might add that some market commentators (like myself) had been raising concerns well before this.</p>
<p>Who could forget the piece I filed back on 5 March 2015 – Treasurer Joe’s Villa del Nightmare when the ATO announced the first divestiture notice for a $39 million Point Piper mansion that was bought by a foreign buyer without Australian residency. The subject property was then flipped to a friend who just so happened to have an Australian residency and the case was closed – or so we were led to believe.</p>
<p>Last week (a premature announcement broke) –<a href="https://www.ato.gov.au/Forms/Foreign-resident-capital-gains-withholding-clearance-certificate-application-instructions/"> Foreign resident capital gains withholding clearance certificate applications</a> would be required for every property in Australia selling above $2 million from 1 July 2016. I was reliably informed that the grand plan is that clearance certificates will apply for every Australian property down the track. Here is the official<a href="https://www.ato.gov.au/uploadedFiles/Content/LB_I/downloads/FRCGW%20-%20clearance%20certificate%20application.pdf"> ATO clearance certificate</a>application from the ATO website.</p>
<p>So does this then take our attention (well mine anyway) to the fact that quite possibly in the very near future the ATO, who have been very quiet of late on all matters pertaining to divestiture notices, may soon have some big announcements? Assuming all those who purchased illegally will not be able to receive a clearance certificate – so the ATO pockets 10 per cent of the selling price from every sale?</p>
<p>The big problem here is that most in the industry knows that the Asian buyers have dropped off significantly, as too the Asian developers. Sydney has approximately 30,000 new apartments nearing completion and how many of those properties will have defaulting buyers? We know what the first market sale price was and nobody can intelligently predict what the second sale price may be. Guesstimates range from a 10 to 50 per cent correction depending on the volume of property coming on to the market, and rest assured you can no longer apply the Barangaroo square metre rate set back in mid – 2013.</p>
<p>If these defaults do happen and the second sales prices are well below the initial selling price this will then throw all the thousands and thousands of off – the – plan sales into complete chaos. Then all the future developments are shelved given these once strong markets have disappeared. Councils have been merged so what then happens to that grand plan of high density future developments?</p>
<p>Sydney for a few years now has been showing clear signs of investor growing pains. Although this time around the vast majority of these new developments are still a way off completion. If we go by past markets the banks are about to become reluctant property owners – so what’s the plan?</p>
<p>Sadly, there is no plan – just cross your fingers and hope that level heads prevail. Quite fascinating that with all these massive high – density developments that in this day and age we still don’t have a governing body regulating Australian property markets.</p>
<p>I get that feeling that we will need more than an umbrella.</p>
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
<p>Number of houses on the market this time last year – 68</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market last week – 55</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market this week – 51</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 46</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market last week – 50</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this week – 42</p>
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
<p>Number of houses on the market this time last year – 8</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market last week – 11</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market this week – 10</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 13</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market last week – 22</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this week – 18</p>
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
<p>Number of houses on the market this time last year – 7</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market last week – 8</p>
<p>Number of houses on the market this week – 8</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 26</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market last week – 22</p>
<p>Number of apartments on the market this week – 20</p>
<p><em>ROBERT SIMEON is a director of </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> </em><em>and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985. <br>He has also been writing real estate blog </em><em><a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> </em><em>since 2000.</em></p>
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The property storm Sydney had to have: Robert Simeon

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<p class="Body">There’s been a lot of discussion about a resurgence in Sydney prices, but I’m not believing it.</p>
<p class="Body">The talk is based primarily on one month’s figures from one source, which suggested a significant rise in Sydney house prices in May.</p>
<p class="Body">People are so willing to blindly accept the figures pumped out by research companies. One international ratings agency rushed out a new assessment of the Australian residential market, complete with dire warnings, based on that one figure – apparently oblivious to the frequent statistical aberrations in price data for short time periods. </p>
<p class="Body">Those figures for May presented a large number of very strange results. For example, are we seriously expected to believe that Hobart apartment values rose 8.4% in a single month? Or that Darwin apartment values declined 10 percent in May? Or that, in sharp contrast, Darwin house prices surged 3.5 percent in May? Or that unit prices dropped 6% in a month in both Canberra and Perth? Or that house values in Sydney suddenly turned around and jumped 3.6 percent in May?</p>
<p class="Body">The absurd nature on some of these numbers shows how rubbery real estate figures can be, especially when you’re dealing with month-to-month changes, which are notoriously erratic and essentially meaningless.</p>
<p class="Body">The Sydney figure was particularly strange because there has been a major drop-off in sales activity this year. Sales volumes have been trending steadily downwards since the end of 2014 in fact, but it’s been particularly pronounced in 2016 – and exacerbated recently by the calling of a federal election, which always causes consumers to stop dead with their decision-making and action-taking.</p>
<p class="Body">The thing is: all other price data, including the March Quarter figures from the ABS, has been recording a contraction of Sydney price growth, which is exactly what I would expect. It’s extremely rare in housing markets for prices to keep rising when there’s a significant decline in sales activity.</p>
<p class="Body">Hotspotting research for The Price Predictor Index finds not a single growth market in the Sydney metropolitan area, which contains over 700 suburbs. Many suburbs are in steady decline.</p>
<p class="Body">An example is Auburn (median house price $835,000, down 1.7 percent in the three months to April, according to Australian Property Monitors), where there were over 200 sales per quarter in late 2013, dropping to 170 in late 2014, 100 late in 2015 and now 75 per quarter.</p>
<p class="Body">Likewise, Bankstown ($840,000, down 2.7 percent percent in three months) was recording over 200 sales per quarter late in 2013, but numbers have fallen steadily to 95 per quarter late in 2015 and 80 per quarter in 2016.</p>
<p class="Body">Sales in Breakfast Point (median unit price $1.06 million, down 4.9 percent in three months) have fallen from 110 to 88 to 70 to 43 to 33 to 26 in consecutive quarters. </p>
<p class="Body">In Cammeray (median house price $1.7 million, down 10.6 percent in three months), sales have dropped from 58 to 54 to 46 to 37 to 30 to 26 since late 2014. In Fairfield ($720,000, down 2 percent in three months) sales in the past four quarters have been 107, 77, 56 and 35. In Pymble ($2.05 million, down 3.3 percent in three months) sales levels have dropped from 112 to 99 to 71 to 64 to 39 in the past five quarters.</p>
<p class="Body">Unit sales in CBD fringe suburb of Haymarket (median unit price $895,000, down 1.8 percent in three months) have dropped from 77 to 57 to 39 to 24 to 9.</p>
<p class="Body">In Parramatta ($565,000, down 1 percent) unit sales have declined from 172 to 165 to 107 to 95 in the past four quarters, while in Potts Point ($710,000, down 4.3 percent), unit sales have dropped from 110 to 66 to 47 in consecutive quarters.</p>
<p class="Body">There are myriad other examples, all charting the same pattern of decline in sales volumes, with prices starting to follow.</p>
<p class="Body"><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p>
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Not a single growth market in the Sydney metropolitan area: Terry Ryder

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<p>Dwelling values across Australia’s capital cities were 0.9% higher in January driven partially by a rebound in Sydney and Melbourne.</p>
<p>The recent growth conditions have pushed the Melbourne market into first place for annual growth in dwelling values with an 11.0% rise compared with Sydney where values are 10.5% higher over the past twelve months. </p>
<p>According to the January 2016 CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic Home Value Index results, dwelling values across Australia’s combined capital cities showed a 0.9 per cent rise in January after recording no change in December and a 1.5 per cent drop in November. </p>
<p>This month on month rise wasn’t quite enough to pull the rolling quarterly rate of growth back into the black, with capital city dwelling values remaining 0.6% lower over the past three months. Hobart led the monthly figures with a 4.7% jump in values, followed by Melbourne where values were 2.5% higher and Canberra with a 2.8% lift. Sydney values also showed a rise of 0.5%, while the remaining four capital cities showed dwelling values to be either flat or down. </p>
<p>The rolling quarterly trend was looking similarly diverse, with four of Australia’s eight capital cities recording negative dwelling value movements over the past three months, with Sydney dwelling values showing the largest fall, down 2.1 per cent. Values are down over the rolling quarter in Darwin (-1.4%), Adelaide (-0.9%) and Melbourne (-0.1%) as well. The strongest growth in home values over the quarter across the capital cities was found in Hobart with a 3.0% capital gain. </p>
<p>Despite recording the largest annual decline in home values (-4.1%), Perth dwelling values posted a 1.7 per cent rise over the three months to the end of January. Other capital cities to record a rise over the rolling <span style="font-size: 12.16px; line-height: 1.3em;">quarter were Brisbane (+0.8%) and Canberra (+1.2%). </span></p>
<p>Over the past twelve months, capital city dwelling values have risen by 7.4% with Sydney’s capital gains of 10.5% no longer the highest annual rate across the capitals. While still a high rate of annual growth, Sydney’s annual rate of capital gain is now at a 29 month low and has been progressively softening since peaking at 18.4% in July last year. </p>
<p>Melbourne’s housing market has been more resilient to slowing growth conditions which has propelled the annual growth rate to the highest of any capital city, with dwelling values 11.0% higher over the past twelve months. Previously, during the height of the growth phase, there was a large separation between Sydney’s housing market, which was streaking ahead, and Melbourne’s, where the rate of capital gain was substantial but still well below the heights being recorded in Sydney. The latest data reveals Sydney’s housing market is now playing second fiddle to Melbourne’s, at least in annual growth terms.</p>
<p>In fact, over the past six months, the performance gap between Sydney and Melbourne is stark. Sydney dwelling values have reduced by 0.6 per cent between July last year and the end of January 2016, compared with a 3.0 per cent rise across Melbourne dwelling values. The last six months have also seen both Brisbane and Canberra dwelling values rise by 2.0 per cent while Hobart values are 1.3 per cent higher and Adelaide dwelling values have been virtually flat with a 0.1 per cent rise.</p>
<p><em>Tim Lawless is head of the CoreLogic RP Data research and analytics team and can be contacted <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/author/timlawless/" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
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Sydney now second fiddle to Melbourne: Tim Lawless

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<div id="post-body-8750789597338754868" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>If there's a subject that I get more emails about than anything else it's the supply of new apartments in Sydney.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>When prices take off you should generally expect a supply response as more projects become viable, until eventually the new supply kills the up-cycle.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/09/22/8.3%20PROPERTY%20CONSTRUCTION%20CYCLE.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/09/22/8.3%20PROPERTY%20CONSTRUCTION%20CYCLE.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>And after a period of under-building you only need a working pair of eyes to see that this is taking place in Sydney.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But instead of drawing conclusions based on emotions or pre-determined 'crashnik' conclusions, let's take a look at what the actual numbers say to see whether we can draw some more specific inferences. </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></strong></div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Approvals boom</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The first thing to note is how far approvals are tilted towards the multi-unit sector in Sydney today, partly as a result of the constrained supply of land close to the city and the Pacific Ocean.</div>
<br>There were some 55,458 approvals over the year to May 2016 - almost double the level of three years ago - and almost exactly two-thirds of these were multi-units at 66 per cent.<br><br><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
</div>
<div class="post-body entry-content">
<img src="/images/2016/09/22/A2.jpg" alt=""><br><br><div>When looking at the individual LGAs the most striking point of note is just how many approvals there have been in western areas such as Camden, Blacktown, Parramatta, and Liverpool, as well as in the increasingly populated Hills District.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Incidentally, the Sydney LGA actually covers an enormous area and more than thirty inner ring suburbs, so it's generally expected that there would be the highest number of approvals in that LGA.</div>
<br><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
</div>
<div class="post-body entry-content">
<img src="/images/2016/09/22/A3.jpg" alt=""><br><br><div>When the weight of new apartment supply hits home there is likely to be fallout in some of these western suburban localities.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It's also noticeable how remarkably few approvals there have been in some of the blue chip LGAs such as Mosman, Hunters Hill, Manly, and Woollahra. </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></strong></div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Completions lag</span></strong></div>
<br><div>If the impact of the supply response has been muted to date, then the next chart explains why. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Despite a 21 per cent year on year increase in annual approvals, annual net dwelling completions have increased by only 3 per cent to 30,901 in the year to May 2016 (with a slightly lower 62 per cent of these being multi-unit dwellings).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>While this is an improvement in completions of about one third over the past three years, it needs to be acknowledged that the Greater Sydney population growth is now tracking at abou<span>t <span>~</span>85,00</span>0 per annum (while the cyclical low for completions in 2009 was cataclysmically bad, and the lowest nadir since 1953).</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/09/22/A1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>This implies that as I have concluded here previously the ratio of dwelling completions to population growth in Sydney was still tracking at below its long run average at least until 31 May 2016.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>And although population growth in Sydney is higher today than it was in the past, there have been 10 years since 1950 where more net dwelling completions were notched up than there were over the past year. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">A prime reason for the supply response being slower than through preceding market cycles is that multi-unit projects on brownfield sites requiring land remediation take a great deal longer to complete than turnkey detached housing developments on greenfield land. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">The number of net dwelling completions remains almost comically low in the blue chip LGAs of the eastern suburbs and lower north shore - with NIMBYism clearly alive and well - but supply is starting to hit its straps in some of the aforementioned higher-density LGAs.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/09/22/A4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Where the pipeline will hurt</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The widening gap between approvals and completions means that there are more dwellings under construction in Sydney than has ever been the case before in any Australian city. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>In particular, there is a concentration risk in play with so many of the dwellings under construction being high-rise apartments. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Take a look at the figures for Parramatta, for example, where there have been 8,646 multi-unit approvals since July 2012 but only 4,946 net dwelling completions. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>That's one heck of a potential supply pipeline, with more units due to come online in adjoining LGAs as well. </div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/09/22/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/09/22/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong><br><br><div>These data lag by a few months, and they show that despite having had relatively little impact to date Sydney's supply response is poised like a coiled spring. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Up until the end of May 2016 net dwelling completions had barely increased from the prior year in tracking at around 30,000.<br><br>However, there is a record number of dwellings in the under construction phase, so this will be one data series to watch closely. </div>
<div> </div>
</div>
<div class="post-footer">
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Sydney apartment completions lag: Pete Wargent

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<p>NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian’s promise to tackle home ownership affordability is a welcome sign to first time buyers being pushed out of the market, according to HTW’s <em>Month in Review: March 2017</em>. </p>
<p>The valuation firm says with just over 186,000 loans approved in NSW in 2016, the first home buyer formed a small market segment with almost 16,500 loans approved or less than 9 percent of the total mortgage pool.</p>
<p>First home owner grants have reduced as data from the Office of State Revenue shows that 9,391 grants worth $138 million were handed out in 2015/16 as opposed to the 32,574 grants worth $266 million paid in 2010/11, the report states.</p>
<p>“Sydney is widely considered the most expensive city within Australia and one of the most expensive to rent when compared with other states and territory capitals, making for a tough path to home ownership,” HTW says.</p>
<p>“Furthermore, it appears that NSW is the equal lowest for first home owner grants when compared to other states:</p>
<ul>
<li>QLD – $20,000 for new builds valued up to $750,000</li>
<li>SA – $15,000 for new builds only, valued up to $750,000</li>
<li>WA – $15,000 for new builds, valued up to either $750,000 or $1,000,000 (depending on the location).</li>
<li>VIC – $10,000 for new builds only, valued up to $750,000</li>
<li>NSW – $10,000 for new builds only, valued up to $750,000</li>
</ul>
<p>“Typical first home buyers may consider purchasing off-the-plan as it allows them to save money while the property is under construction which can typically take between two to three years.</p>
<p>“This has been a strategy adopted by many in the Sydney market hoping to achieve capital appreciation during the course of construction and ‘lock in’ a lower purchase price compared to the ‘on completion’ or settlement price.”</p>
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Sydney first home buyers turning to off-the-plan: HTW

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<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Despite a classically miserable March day, Sydney recorded its strongest preliminary auction clearance rate of the year to date on Saturday, according to Domain, at above 82 percent. </span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Even if the final clearance rate is revised down a bit, it's clearly a very high result on higher listings, with some big results in the inner suburbs. </span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Two of the last four weekends have seen phenomenally high median auction prices, with this weekend's $1,355,000 a little below the record $1,420,000 set four weeks ago but 14 percent higher than a year ago.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">On a rolling monthly basis auction prices hit their highest ever level on Saturday.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The Sydney market had clearly lost momentum in the face of macroprudential measures implemented in 2015, but was reinvigorated by two interest rate cuts in May and August 2016.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Melbournites returned from the break with a 78 per cent preliminary clearance rate according to Domain.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/20/A2-1.jpg" target="_blank"><span class="s1">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/20/A2-1.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
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Sydney property market sell off 

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<div class="post hentry uncustomized-post-template">
<p>Another solid preliminary auction clearance rate of 79.5 percent for Sydney this weekend.</p>
<p>There were some big numbers posted in the eastern suburbs, and Bondi and Paddington in particular.</p>
<p>Around the traps the suburbs of Mosman and Strathfield accounted for most of the big ticket sales. </p>
<p>The median auction price was $1,221,500. </p>
<p>This was some way down from the record preliminary result of $1,337,000 seen a fortnight ago, but then this was expected given that there were more than 750 homes going under the hammer this weekend.</p>
<p><a href="/images/2016/11/21/SYD1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div id="post-body-6237524374760409440" class="post-body entry-content">
<div><img src="/images/2016/11/21/SYD1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>The median auction price is a crude and volatile measure at the best of times.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, smoothing the figures on a monthly basis reveals a more consistent picture, with prices tracking fairly consistently at about 10 to 12 per cent higher than a year ago. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/11/21/SYD2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/11/21/SYD2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Next weekend will provide a stuff test for the Sydney market as the spring auction Super Saturday arrives before silly season and the big wind down to Christmas.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>And that will soon be another year gone! Hectic.</div>
<div> </div>
</div>
<div class="post-footer">
<div class="post-footer-line post-footer-line-1">
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
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Sydney auctions solid ahead of Super Saturday

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<div>After years of under-building from about 2005 forth in Sydney, between July 2012 and April 2016 a vastly improved 163,500 dwelling approvals have been recorded for the Greater Sydney region (inclusive of the Central Coast and the Blue Mountains) and the Illawarra.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As Australia's densest capital city, Sydney approvals today are mostly of the attached or dwelling multi-unit type. </div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/08/16/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/08/16/A1.jpg" alt=""> </p>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There has been report after report concerned with the record number of units and apartments under construction.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Yet to date vacancy rates have barely budged at the city level, and apartment rents have kept rising.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Bottleneck</span></strong>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The reason for this - and indeed the reason that so many dwellings are under construction - as I've looked at previously <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.co.uk/2016/07/making-sense-of-australias-super-duper" target="_blank">here</a>, is that multi-unit dwellings generally take considerably longer to proceed from approval, to commencement, and then to completion (perhaps up to several years from start to finish) than detached houses on greenfield sites, at typically just a matter of months. </div>
<div>As a result, over the year to April 2016, after accounting for demolitions there were just 11,937 net detached dwelling completions, and 18,370 multi-unit dwellings. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Not only has this rate of net completions after accounting for demolitions not been making up for the years of under-building, it has barely even been keeping pace with <em><strong>current</strong></em> annual Greater Sydney population growth of an estimated 83,500 per annum.<br><br>This is particularly so given that so many small apartments are being built, typically housing only two persons (not to mention those apartments left vacant by offshore investors), contributing to a mismatch of supply increasingly characterised by a surfeit of high rise apartment stock.<br><br>It's worth noting that this completions data doesn't easily capture the addition of granny flats, but the point still stands - completions in Sydney just haven't been that high...to date.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/08/16/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/08/16/A3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<p> </p>
<div>From July 2012 to April 2016, after accounting for demolitions, there were net dwelling completions of only 101,300, just 62 percent of the number of dwelling approvals over the same time period. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The population of Greater Sydney increased by somewhere in the region of 307,000 heads over that time, so it's a little wonder that population growth has been absorbing new supply.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>This dynamic is finally about to change, though, as the record pipeline of new apartments under construction begins to come online, although the industry being stretched to full capacity will inevitably see construction costs rising henceforth. </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Local Government Authorities (LGAs)</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>At the LGA level we can see that up to April 2016 there have been few regions that have really been hammering out unduly high net dwelling completions. </div>
<div>
<br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/08/16/A1-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/08/16/A1-1.jpg" alt=""></div>
</div>
<div>However, looking at the LGA dwelling approvals figures split out by financial year helps to identify the areas at risk of emerging oversupply (as well as certain upmarket localities such as Manly, Mosman, and Woollahra, where the total stock of dwellings has remained all but fixed).<br><br>
</div>
<div>The City of Sydney LGA covers a large central area of 25 square kilometres and comprises a great many hugely popular suburbs, and in that context its 13,700 approvals from July 2012 represent relatively slim pickings. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, the volume of dwelling approvals - especially for apartments - in certain other areas is abnormally high in historical terms, in turn suggesting an elevated level of risk: Blacktown, Parramatta, the Hills District, Liverpool, and to some extent Camden and Ryde.<br><br>The Canada Bay approvals figures don't really capture the volume of building that has already taken place at Wentworth Point and some surrounding suburbs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/08/16/A3-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/08/16/A3-1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Case study: Parra</span></strong></p>
<div class="separator">I don't quite have the space here (read: can't be bothered) to discuss apartment supply in detail across every Sydney LGA, but a quick look at the Parramatta data is instructive. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">Parramatta has seen several years of abnormally high apartment approvals figures, yet until relatively recently net dwelling completions had not lifted too dramatically.</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator">This rapidly changed in September 2015 as a slew of new projects began to come onstream, and there is plenty more to come in the pipeline, with yet another 3,339 multi-unit dwellings approved over the 12 months to April 2016. Wow-wee!</div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/08/16/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/08/16/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>I took a drive around Parramatta a fortnight or so ago, and the amount of building still underway is really quite eye-popping. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>This may result in valuation challenges at settlement for off-the-plan apartment purchases, rising vacancy rates, declining rents, and widespread instances of weak capital growth over the coming years (by which, of course, I mean negative).</div>
<div>
<br><em>Caveat emptor!</em><br><br>Regular readers may recall I spent a joy-filled afternoon driving around looking at a number of apartment construction hotspots recently, and I wrote a bit about it.<br><br>
</div>
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<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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Sydney's construction pipeline: Pete Wargent

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<p> After CoreLogic recently reported a median house price of $835,000 in Sydney, Property Observer went searching for what that got.</p>
<p>Starting at the lower range of the median price, $825,000 will comfortable purchase a six-bedroom, four-bathroom house on Lot 9, <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-jordan+springs-123144814" target="_blank">Lakeside Parade in Jordan Springs</a> (above) in Sydney’s greater west, due to be completed in December. The offer is stamp-duty free. </p>
<p>Keeping in Sydney’s western suburbs, $835,000 will also purchase a four-bedroom, two-bathroom, single-storey house on <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-caddens-123373594" target="_blank">77 Barnea Avenue, Caddens</a> (below). The brand new house is located on a 410 square metre block of land. </p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/08/31/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-31%20at%206.02.41%20PM.png" alt=""> </p>
<p>The median price will also purchase a four-bedroom, two-bathroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-emu+plains-123305666" target="_blank">69 Brougham Street, Emu Plains</a> (below). The luxury house was built by ZAC Homes. </p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/08/31/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-31%20at%206.03.48%20PM.png" alt=""> </p>
<p>Still within the median price range, a three-bedroom, one-bathroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-toongabbie-123361826" target="_blank">36 The Crescent in Toongabbie</a> (below). The newly renovated home has a low-maintenance yard which features a veggie patch. </p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/08/31/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-31%20at%206.05.06%20PM.png" alt=""></p>
<p>The five-bedroom, three-bathroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-nsw-st+clair-122954230" target="_blank">5 Tulloch Place, St Claire</a> (below) was recently sold for between $839,950 and $879,950. The newly renovated house sits on 672 square metres of land.</p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/08/31/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-31%20at%206.06.58%20PM.png" alt=""></p>
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What the $835,000 median house price gets in Sydney

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<p>Sydney’s housing market is showing signs of a controlled slowdown, according to CoreLogic’s latest July update.</p>
<p>The property data firm says that clearance rates are trending lower and time on market is starting to edge upwards.</p>
<p>For more information see the video below:</p>
<p><iframe src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/p3ABSDStcnc" frameborder="0" width="450" height="253"></iframe></p>
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