The final apartments in the most recently completed new development in Balwyn present some of the largest and most exclusive ever delivered in one of Melbourne’s most established and character-rich neighbourhoods.

Boutique developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/wulff-projects">Wulff Projects</a>,&nbsp;alongside partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/pga-group">PGA Group</a>, has just finished <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/threadneedle-balwyn-1-5-threadneedle-street-balwyn-vic-3103">Threadneedle</a>, 17 home-sized residences designed completely for the owner-occupier.

Named after its location on Threadneedle Street, the new project has been shaped by the heritage fabric of Balwyn. It offers two low-rise buildings of eight and nine apartments respectively, designed to emulate traditional standalone homes.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=27816 project_image_fid=355582]

John Scaramuzzino, Director at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bruce-henderson-architects">Bruce Henderson Architects</a>, explains the design intention.

“Given the quiet residential character of the street with many homes dating back to the 1930s and 1940s, we approached Threadneedle wanting to appear less as a collection of apartments and more as a traditional residence. This led to creating not one but two buildings that could “breathe” with larger garden-based apartments functioning more like small homes.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=27816 project_image_fid=355605]

The north-facing residences are nestled among extensive landscaped gardens by Ben Scott Garden Design, with over one-third of the site dedicated to greenery. The resulting setting is one of calm seclusion, where architecture and landscape work in tandem to offer immediate liveability.

With construction now complete, the final apartments include a top-floor, single-level penthouse residence priced from $2.8 million. This home offers three bedrooms, a dedicated study, two bathrooms plus powder room, and three car spaces with an oversized storage room.&nbsp;

Interiors prioritise spatial comfort and natural light, with three-metre-high ceilings, oversized internal doors and a full-width terrace oriented to the north, east and west.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=27816 project_image_fid=355604]

Floor-to-ceiling double-glazed windows ensure thermal performance across seasons, supported by automated external blinds, zoned heating and cooling, and a fireplace for added ambiance.

Each apartment has been individually designed to maximise privacy and garden outlooks. Kitchens combine refined finishes with practical considerations: stone benchtops, butler’s pantry, full-height joinery and concealed rangehoods.&nbsp;

The inclusion of dedicated home offices responds to contemporary living patterns, while bathrooms feature sculptural bathtubs and brushed nickel fixtures.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=27816 project_image_fid=355590]

Threadneedle also integrates best-practice sustainability measures, achieving a 7 Star average NatHERS rating. Initiatives include solar PV systems, rainwater harvesting for toilet flushing and irrigation, and high-performing building insulation. These elements enhance daily comfort while reducing ongoing maintenance and energy demand.

"We believe Threadneedle sets a new standard of design excellence and building quality for Balwyn,"&nbsp;Scaramuzzino added.

"It’s an architectural response we’re particularly proud of, and one we’re sure residents will be equally proud to call home."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=27816]

Staff Writer

Final homes remaining as Threadneedle, Balwyn completes construction

Joel Robinson

Sydney's top 15 new apartments developments set to launch in 2026

Developer-builder <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/dasco-australia">DASCO</a> has pushed beyond the now-standard inclusions of rooftop pools and landscaped podiums at its recently launched new Epping project, Senso.

It has laid out over 4,000 sqm of resident-only amenity in a move designed to compete directly with low-density housing on livability, not just density. The result is a development that supports genuine daily use through purposeful spaces distributed across its five-building, 479-apartment precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134954 project_image_fid=4396]

Two rooftop pools form the anchor of Senso. One is a 27-metre lap pool adjoining a heated spa, designed for everyday fitness rather than just summer leisure. The second sits on a lower podium, allowing different buildings to share in vertical access and reducing crowding during peak times.

It is the secondary spaces that start to distinguish Senso from other large-scale suburban projects. A rooftop cinema is integrated into a landscaped terrace, offering open-air screenings with natural ventilation and passive cooling.&nbsp;

The inclusion of a “sensory walk”, an elevated boardwalk that threads through the site, suggests a rare investment in non-commercial, non-essential amenity: space for quiet movement that doesn’t double as access or traffic circulation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134954 project_image_fid=4402]

The gym and wellness centre, often relegated to a small ground-floor room in many builds, takes on more substance here. Residents have access to a fully equipped gym, as well as outdoor yoga areas and meditative zones that integrate greenery and natural light.&nbsp;

The Club Lounge is similarly designed to support multiple use cases, with a private dining terrace, kitchenette, workspace, and lockable wine storage. These aren’t superficial additions; their scale and spatial allocation indicate serious intent for frequent resident use.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134954 project_image_fid=4391]

Importantly, Senso’s amenities are embedded within a site that spans more than 10,000 sqm, allowing for better separation between spaces and reduced noise spillover, a critical but often overlooked factor in high-density developments. This spatial generosity also enables multiple alfresco kitchens and communal terraces without compromising individual privacy or usable space.

While many developments make claims about lifestyle, few back it with this level of built infrastructure. Senso’s mix of dedicated fitness, wellness, social and passive green spaces suggests a conscious response to the post-pandemic shift in housing expectations, especially among owner-occupiers.&nbsp;

DASCO is one of several leading developers who have taken out Resilience Insurance's Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing buyers with a 10-year structural and waterproofing warranty, and giving them the ultimate peace of mind.

Senso is scheduled for completion in late 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134954]

The outdoor amenities elevating life at Senso, Epping

Following the proposal by the Minns Labor Government to rezone Parramatta Road to create up to 8,000 new homes, prominent developer Ceerose has gone to the NSW Gov to increase the density of its new mixed-use residential building in Leichhardt.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/ceerose">Ceerose</a>, founded by Edward Doueihi nearly three decades ago, has filed plans for 154 apartments above ground-floor retail at 307-315 Parramatta Road, a key corner site near Norton Street, the main high street strip in Leichhardt.

It's an upsize from the previously approved scheme of 63 apartments across a seven-storey building.

<img alt="Ceerose" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ba1ae75b-5f08-43fb-b8d5-3de6d9f6ef71" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-04%20at%2010.31.39%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=yA3hBBLPH4ev7MsAE0_hieXeqiFqBUb7" />

The project is being advanced through the State Significant Development (SSD) pathway, with concurrent rezoning sought to facilitate the proposal. The 10-storey development would rise over a four-level basement and deliver two retail tenancies, one a larger-format offering and the other a smaller “hole in the wall” space, addressing the Parramatta Road frontage. 21 of the apartments are dedicated as affordable housing.

According to the Urban Design Report by Architecture AND, the scheme includes a podium and tower configuration, with a fine-grain, two-storey parapet street wall that references the traditional shopfront rhythm along the corridor. “An elegant tower form is proposed, combined with a characterful two storey frontage... articulating it as two related buildings, providing consistency with the rhythm and grain of Parramatta Road,” the report notes.

The residential component is split across two slender towers set back from the street edge, a design move aimed at preserving solar access and reducing perceived bulk. This massing strategy also seeks to improve residential amenity by focusing scale toward the quieter northern interface, away from Parramatta Road’s noise and pollution.

<img alt="Ceerose" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="347f2f8f-5d36-4388-b40a-2e77380b9c19" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-04%20at%2010.31.02%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=xvyUE2ujT1lzivXTo.mHBJFF4SmfgLtz" />

Architecture AND has worked with Ceerose on previous Inner West projects, and cites a deep familiarity with the local character. Their design draws heavily on context, heritage, and sunlight access considerations, and engages with the Inner West Council’s “Our Fairer Future” strategic planning framework.

The site spans 2,712 sqm and is located near key intersections with Catherine Street, Hay Street, and Redmond Street. It adjoins a public carpark to the north and is within walking distance of Stanmore and Petersham stations. It is also flagged in state and local planning strategies, including the Parramatta Road Corridor Urban Transformation Strategy, as a suitable candidate for increased density.

Ceerose recently completed The Alex Collective on McEvoy Street in Alexandria, Abbie's Lane in Annandale, and the award-winning Munro House in Elizabeth Bay.

The Parramatta Road corridor is coming to life with the proposed rezoning which is serviced by a significant number of bus, light rail and train routes.

Deicorp is progressing with its $1.8 billion <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kings-bay-village-five-dock-53-75-queens-road-five-dock-nsw-2046">Kings Bay Village</a> precinct on Parramatta Road in Five Dock, as is <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/toga-to-push-on-with-five-dock-mixed-use-masterplan">TOGA further down the street</a>. Those two projects alone will bring nearly 2,000 new homes to Parramatta Road.

First look: Ceerose plots mixed-use Leichhardt development on Parramatta Road

North Sydney's landmark 'SBS Building' on Alfred Street is set to be demolished to make way for a new mixed-use residential tower in the booming North Sydney.

Commercial property group FiveX is behind the plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/275-alfred-street-north-north-sydney-nsw-2060">39-storey tower</a>, the latest project to advance under the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

They are proposing 184 apartments above retail spaces, which will replace the existing 20-storey commercial building. FiveX was set up more than five decades ago by Joshua and Marko Berger. It is currently led by Joshua's son Lesli.&nbsp;

<img alt="First look: Fivex plans 39-storey residential tower at 275 Alfred Street, North Sydney" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2efa0980-53fa-4cca-9f9e-9c3c845d4746" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29%20%281%29_0.png?VersionId=y_YyPMq3NQLfYRs84pP4os9UgWiMLp75" />

According to the Architectural Design Report by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fjc-studio">FJC Studio</a>, the slender tower form has been deliberately designed to respect the site's transitional setting at the southern gateway to the North Sydney CBD, where high-rise towers give way to lower-scale residential precincts.

"The slender tower form and articulated podium establish a respectful relationship with nearby heritage and low rise buildings, including the Whaling Road Heritage Conservation Area,” the architecture firm noted, adding that the tower “completes a missing link in the urban fabric” while enhancing the Alfred Street streetscape.

The proposed building will include a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments, with 15 percent of the gross residential floor area allocated as affordable housing. There is an agreement already in place that those apartments will be managed by Evolve Housing.

The project aligns with broader state housing objectives, including the National Housing Accord target of delivering 1.2 million new homes by 2029. The Scoping Report filed with the State Significant Development Application (SSDA) suggests the site "presents no impediments to rapid delivery,” with construction able to commence within 12 months of receiving consent.

North Sydney has been one of the most popular suburbs in Sydney for new and off the plan apartment development, but hasn't had the supply to keep up with demand, until recently.

AURA by Aqualand was, for a long time, the only off the plan apartment building on the market. That completed last year, and has sold the majority of its 386 luxury apartments. Recently ALAND launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-walden-173-179-walker-street-north-sydney-nsw-2060">The Walden</a> on the same street, selling over $100 million within just a few hours of its launch, while developer CASA also launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-mclaren-north-sydney-45-mclaren-street-north-sydney-nsw-2060">The McLaren</a>&nbsp;in the same precinct.

First look: Fivex plans 39-storey residential tower in booming North Sydney

Reserve Bank of Australia

The full statement from the Reserve Bank of Australia on its November Cup Day rate hike

At its meeting today, the Board decided to raise the cash rate target by 25&nbsp;basis points to 4.35&nbsp;per&nbsp;cent. It also increased the interest rate paid on Exchange Settlement balances by 25&nbsp;basis points to 4.25&nbsp;per&nbsp;cent.

Inflation in Australia has passed its peak but is still too high and is proving more persistent than expected a few months ago. The latest reading on CPI inflation indicates that while goods price inflation has eased further, the prices of many services are continuing to rise briskly. While the central forecast is for CPI inflation to continue to decline, progress looks to be slower than earlier expected. CPI inflation is now expected to be around 3½&nbsp;per&nbsp;cent by the end of 2024 and at the top of the target range of 2&nbsp;to 3&nbsp;per&nbsp;cent by the end of 2025. The Board judged an increase in interest rates was warranted today to be more assured that inflation would return to target in a reasonable timeframe.

The Board had held interest rates steady since June following an increase of 4&nbsp;percentage points since May last year. It had judged that higher interest rates were working to establish a more sustainable balance between supply and demand in the economy. Furthermore, it had noted that the impact of the more recent rate rises would continue to flow through the economy. It had therefore decided that it was appropriate to hold rates steady to provide time to assess the impact of the increase in interest rates so far. In particular, the Board had indicated that it would be paying close attention to developments in the global economy, trends in household spending, and the outlook for inflation and the labour market.

Since its August meeting, the Board has received updated information on inflation, the labour market, economic activity and the revised set of forecasts. The weight of this information suggests that the risk of inflation remaining higher for longer has increased. While the economy is experiencing a period of below-trend growth, it has been stronger than expected over the first half of the year. Underlying inflation was higher than expected at the time of the August forecasts, including across a broad range of services. Conditions in the labour market have eased but they remain tight. Housing prices are continuing to rise across the country.

At the same time, high inflation is weighing on people’s real incomes and household consumption growth is weak, as is dwelling investment. Given that the economy is forecast to grow below trend, employment is expected to grow slower than the labour force and the unemployment rate is expected to rise gradually to around 4¼&nbsp;per&nbsp;cent. This is a more moderate increase than previously forecast. Wages growth has picked up over the past year but is still consistent with the inflation target, provided that productivity growth picks up.

Returning inflation to target within a reasonable timeframe remains the Board’s priority. High inflation makes life difficult for everyone and damages the functioning of the economy. It erodes the value of savings, hurts household budgets, makes it harder for businesses to plan and invest, and worsens income inequality. And if high inflation were to become entrenched in people’s expectations, it would be much more costly to reduce later, involving even higher interest rates and a larger rise in unemployment. To date, medium-term inflation expectations have been consistent with the inflation target and it is important that this remains the case.

There are still significant uncertainties around the outlook. Services price inflation has been surprisingly persistent overseas and the same could occur in Australia. There are uncertainties regarding the lags in the effect of monetary policy and how firms’ pricing decisions and wages will respond to the slower growth in the economy at a time when the labour market remains tight. The outlook for household consumption also remains uncertain, with many households experiencing a painful squeeze on their finances, while some are benefiting from rising housing prices, substantial savings buffers and higher interest income. And globally, there remains a high level of uncertainty around the outlook for the Chinese economy and the implications of the conflicts abroad.

Whether further tightening of monetary policy is required to ensure that inflation returns to target in a reasonable timeframe will depend upon the data and the evolving assessment of risks. In making its decisions, the Board will continue to pay close attention to developments in the global economy, trends in domestic demand, and the outlook for inflation and the labour market. The Board remains resolute in its determination to return inflation to target and will do what is necessary to achieve that outcome.

Source: <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2023/mr-23-30.html">www.rba.gov.au</a>

At its meeting today, the Board decided to raise the cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.35 per cent

RBA hike interest rates at Cup Day meeting

The RBA halted their aggressive cash rate increases at the April meeting, opting to not hike rates for an 11th consecutive time.

They left the cash rate unchanged at 3.6 per cent.

Below is the RBA statement by RBA Governor Philip Lowe.

At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 3.60&nbsp;per&nbsp;cent and the interest rate on Exchange Settlement balances unchanged at 3.50&nbsp;per&nbsp;cent.

This decision follows a cumulative increase in interest rates of 3½&nbsp;percentage points since May last year. The Board recognises that monetary policy operates with a lag and that the full effect of this substantial increase in interest rates is yet to be felt. The Board took the decision to hold interest rates steady this month to provide additional time to assess the impact of the increase in interest rates to date and the economic outlook.

Global inflation remains very high. In headline terms it is moderating, although services price inflation remains high in many economies. The outlook for the global economy remains subdued, with below-average growth expected this year and next. The recent banking system problems in the United States and Switzerland have resulted in volatility in financial markets and a reassessment of the outlook for global interest rates. These problems are also expected to lead to tighter financial conditions, which would be an additional headwind for the global economy.

The Australian banking system is strong, well capitalised and highly liquid. It is well placed to provide the credit that the economy needs.

A range of information, including the monthly CPI indicator, suggests that inflation has peaked in Australia. Goods price inflation is expected to moderate over the months ahead due to global developments and softer demand in Australia. Meanwhile, rents are increasing at the fastest rate in some years, with vacancy rates low in many parts of the country. The prices of utilities are also rising quickly. The central forecast is for inflation to decline this year and next, to around 3&nbsp;per&nbsp;cent in mid-2025. Medium-term inflation expectations remain well anchored, and it is important that this remains the case.

Growth in the Australian economy has slowed, with growth over the next couple of years expected to be below trend. There is further evidence that the combination of higher interest rates, cost-of-living pressures and a decline in housing prices is leading to a substantial slowing in household spending. While some households have substantial savings buffers, others are experiencing a painful squeeze on their finances.

The labour market remains very tight. The unemployment rate is at a near 50-year low and underemployment is also low. Many firms continue to experience difficulty hiring workers, although some report an easing in labour shortages and the number of vacancies has declined a little. As economic growth slows, unemployment is expected to increase.

Wages growth is continuing to increase in response to the tight labour market and higher inflation. At the aggregate level, wages growth is still consistent with the inflation target, provided that productivity growth picks up. The Board remains alert to the risk of a prices-wages spiral, given the limited spare capacity in the economy and the historically low rate of unemployment. Accordingly, it will continue to pay close attention to both the evolution of labour costs and the price-setting behaviour of firms.

The Board’s priority is to return inflation to target. High inflation makes life difficult for people and damages the functioning of the economy. And if high inflation were to become entrenched in people’s expectations, it would be very costly to reduce later, involving even higher interest rates and a larger rise in unemployment. The Board is seeking to return inflation to the&nbsp;2–3&nbsp;per&nbsp;cent target range while keeping the economy on an even keel, but the path to achieving a soft landing remains a narrow one.

The Board expects that some further tightening of monetary policy may well be needed to ensure that inflation returns to target. The decision to hold interest rates steady this month provides the Board with more time to assess the state of the economy and the outlook, in an environment of considerable uncertainty. In assessing when and how much further interest rates need to increase, the Board will be paying close attention to developments in the global economy, trends in household spending and the outlook for inflation and the labour market. The Board remains resolute in its determination to return inflation to target and will do what is necessary to achieve that.

The RBA halted their aggressive cash rate increases at the April meeting, opting to not hike rates for an 11th consecutive time.

RBA holds official cash rate at April meeting

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The Reserve Bank could seek tightened lending standards if the current record low interest rates triggers a housing boom, according to a RBA document obtained by Nine Entertainment.

While not the official position of the central bank, the research paper found low interest rates, along with the RBA's quantitative easing program, were supporting assets including the prices of houses.

It noted higher asset prices could translate into increased spending by "credit-constrained households".

"Housing prices are likely to (increase) alongside other asset prices," it suggested.

The research paper noted loan-to-valuation ratios were increasing but were still well below the levels that prompted APRA to tighten lending standards progressively from 2015.

It raised the spectre of borrowers "likely to be in negative equity".

The paper said the Council of Financial Regulators (CFR) - the RBA, APRA, the federal Treasury and the Australian Securities and Investments Commission - would intercede if required.

"Australia’s financial regulators will monitor and control risks," the paper noted.

"CFR will act if needed."

The document obtained under Freedom of Information date back to late November considerations by the RBA.

The paper cites previous research by RBA economists that a permanent percentage point reduction in official interest rates can drive up real house prices by 30 per cent over a three-year period. 

A "temporary" percentage point reduction would push up real prices by 10 per cent.

The central bank has cut official interest rates by 1.15 percentage points since last June.
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The document obtained under Freedom of Information date back to late November considerations by the RBA.

jchancellor

Reserve Bank may seek tightened lending standards if record low interest rates triggers housing boom

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At the RBA's December 2020 meeting, the members noted that conditions in the domestic housing market were improving, but were uneven.

"Regional housing prices had increased by more than those in capital cities since the onset of the pandemic", RBA Governor Philip Lowe's meeting minutes read.

They highlighted the variation in changes in housing prices across the capitals, with Sydney and Melbourne markets more subdued than elsewhere in the country.

Lowe said that, within Sydney and Melbourne in particular, conditions in the detached housing market were firmer than for higher-density markets.

"Overall, national housing prices had increased only a little since the outbreak of the pandemic," Lowe stated.

They focused on the slowdown in population growth impacting the housing market nationally as a result of the closure of international borders.

"This had been more consequential in Australia than in many other economies," Lowe advised, saying that it has impacted the rental market in particular, with rents falling and rental vacancy rates in inner-city Sydney and Melbourne around their highest levels in many years."

Lowe touched on the strong growth in New Zealand housing markets, with population growth, expat buying interest and an earlier easing in lending standards.

"By comparison, these factors had been less relevant in Australia and, partly as a result, the increase in housing prices in Australia this year had been considerably smaller than in a number of other advanced economies."
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Conditions in the domestic housing market improving, but uneven: RBA's December 2020 meeting minutes

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Never has a virus featured so prominently in a Reserve Bank statement.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/318243/original/file-20200303-18287-3jgff.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip" target="_blank"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/318243/original/file-20200303-18287-3jgff.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=237&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
Source: <a class="source" href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2020/mr-20-06" target="_blank">Reserve Bank of Australia</a>
The word “coronavirus” is mentioned <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2020/mr-20-06" target="_blank">nine times</a> in the governor’s seven-paragraph statement.
His board cut the cash rate from an all-time low of 0.75 per cent to a new all-time low of 0.50 per cent “to support the economy as it responds to the global coronavirus outbreak”.
Up until the coronavirus, it had looked as if “the slowdown in the global economy that started in 2018 was coming to an end”.
The coronavirus has “clouded” that outlook.
It is “too early to tell how persistent the effects of the coronavirus will be and at what point the global economy will return to an improving path”.
Financial markets have been volatile “as market participants assess the risks associated with the coronavirus”.
In most economies, including the United States, there is an expectation of further rate cuts.
The coronavirus is having a “significant effect” on Australia’s real economy, particularly in the education and travel industries.
The uncertainty is “also likely to affect domestic spending”.
GDP growth in the March quarter (but not the December quarter whose figures will be released on Wednesday) is likely to be “noticeably weaker than earlier expected”.
Once the coronavirus is contained, the Australian economy is expected to return to an improving trend.
But given the evolving situation, it is difficult to predict how large and long-lasting the effect will be.
Summing up, the bank says the global outbreak is “expected to delay progress in Australia towards full employment and the inflation target”.
It decided to cut rates to provide “additional support to employment and economic activity”. Importantly, it will continue to monitor developments closely with a view to doing more.
The final sentence, the one which usually carries the key message, says: “the board is prepared to ease monetary policy further to support the Australian economy”.
<h2>Would it have cut without the coronavirus?</h2>
It probably wouldn’t have cut without the coronavirus. It most likely would have had to cut at some point because the economy is weak. We will get an update about how things were in the three months to December on Wednesday, but the news up to the end of September was awful.
Household spending, which accounts for more than half of gross domestic product, barely budged. Over the year to September it grew just 1.2 per cent in real terms, the least since the global financial crisis. Australia’s population grew 1.6 per cent in that time, meaning the volume of goods and services bought per person went backwards.
Early figures on private new capital expenditure which will be incorporated into the national accounts released on Wednesday show business investment went backwards over the December quarter (down 2.8 per cent) and over the entire year (down 5.8 per cent).
The May budget and the December budget update forecast a jump in business investment, which it is hard to see happening.
Governor Philip Lowe has been reluctant to cut in part because he is running out of traditional ammunition.
He has said that for practical purposes the next step – 0.25 per cent – is zero, a point beyond which he would <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2019/sp-gov-2019-11-26" target="_blank">need to use unconventional measures</a> (which have been used so much overseas they are no longer that unconventional) to stimulate the economy further.
The most likely one is buying government and mortgage bonds from investors in order to <a href="https://theconversation.com/now-we-know-the-reserve-bank-has-spelled-out-what-it-will-do-when-rates-approach-zero-127697" target="_blank">force money into their hands</a>, making the cash rate graph the bank has been updating for 30 years now no longer relevant as an indicator of what it is doing to stimulate the economy.
<hr>
Reserve Bank cash rate
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/318234/original/file-20200303-18270-1bjl5b0.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/318234/original/file-20200303-18270-1bjl5b0.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
<hr>
He has decided to cut because he is contractually obligated to do what he can to contribute to “<a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/about-rba/our-role" target="_blank">the economic prosperity and welfare of the people of Australia</a>”, which is at risk.
<h2>What good will the cut do?</h2>
Westpac and the Commonwealth Bank announced they were passing the cut on to borrowers straight away after an appeal by Prime Minister Scott Morrison to their better natures.
The government would absolutely expect the four big banks to come to the table and to do their bit in supporting Australians as we go through the impact of the coronavirus. I don’t see it any different to what Qantas did when we called out to Qantas and we said, we need your help, we need to get some people out of China.
Before today’s decisions the average standard variable mortgage rate was 4.7 per cent The average basic variable mortgage rate was 3.05 per cent. Today’s cuts will take it to 2.8 per cent.
They will save many mortgage holders an extra A$30 per month on repayments on top of the $150 saved since June. That will allow them to spend more or to borrow more by extending their mortgages, further increasing the financial attractiveness of investments such as solar panels or home insulation, and perhaps further supporting home prices which have turned up since the bank began cutting.
Where mortgage holders direct the proceeds of the cuts to Australian businesses, it’ll help keep them afloat or give them the confidence to borrow for expansion at record low interest rates.
Although it is often said that interest rate cuts have less effect when interest rates get low, there is no particular reason to believe this is the case. There is reason to believe interest rate cuts have little effect when consumers and businesses have other reasons for not borrowing or spending much, which might well be the case at the moment.
<h2>What will the government do?</h2>
The government is drawing up a stimulus plan. Just don’t call it that.
Morrison says it will:
<blockquote>
be a targeted plan, it will be a measured plan, it will be a scalable plan, we will ensure that we do not make the same mistakes of previous stimulus measures that have been put in place.
</blockquote>
That probably means he won’t be delivering cheques to households as Labor did during the global financial crisis. The Coalition tried something similar, delivering out-sized tax refund cheques after the May budget, and it didn’t work that well.
He’ll almost certainly announce new investment allowances for businesses; if necessary, ones that effectively pay them to borrow.
And he and his ministers will be surveying the economy sector by sector.
He has spoken personally with the bosses of Coles and Woolworths seeking assurances they won’t run low on supplies. He says if necessary they can talk to each other, something normally not allowed by competition rules.
They have already talked to Kimberly Clark, which manufactures toilet paper. It has set up a line of production in South Australia to ensure shops don’t run out.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/132871/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/peter-martin-682709" target="_blank">Peter Martin</a>, Visiting Fellow, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/crawford-school-of-public-policy-australian-national-university-3292" target="_blank">Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University</a>
This article is republished from <a href="http://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/one-word-repeated-9-times-explains-why-the-reserve-bank-cut-its-coronavirus-132871" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

One word repeated nine times explains why the Reserve Bank cut: it's ‘coronavirus’

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The Reserve Bank of Australia has just announced that the official cash rate will remain at a record low of 1% as they continue to assess the impact of the June and July cash rate cuts.

The rate was lowered for the first time in almost three years in a bid to alleviate financial strains by reinvigorating household spending and attempting to boost employment rates across the country. According to CommSec’s Tom Piotrowski, Australia's economy has been growing at the slowest pace in almost a decade, however, an increase in clearance rates, rising home values, and greater housing demand could allude to a brighter outlook for Q4. 

<h2>IT’S ARGUABLY “EASIER” TO BUY PROPERTY IN THE CURRENT MARKET</h2>

In July Apartments.com.au <a href="/news/a-borrower-s-market-the-reserve-bank-of-australia-cuts-cash-rate-to-a-record-low">reported on the announcement of the 1% cash rate</a>, concluding that the property market appears to be in favour of borrowers at present, given the more relaxed lending constraints and lower interest rates on home loans.

We reached out to Jeremy Toeng, Financial Director and Lending Advisor at Chatham House Financial, who shared a similar opinion regarding the current property climate following the two 25 basis point cuts and APRA's announcement of a lowered minimum interest rate serviceability buffer.

<blockquote>
“Following both the Royal Commission and Federal Election, we feel that consumer sentiment has improved which is leading to a noticeable increase in activity, particularly for those looking to purchase property. We feel this is largely due to an easing of lending criteria which has helped consumers with affordability, as well as a reduction in interest rates.”
</blockquote>

Jeremy Toeng, Chatham House Financial Director &amp; Lending Advisor

<h2>CONCERNS ABOUT MORTGAGE SERVICEABILITY</h2>

CoreLogic Research Director Tim Lawless explains that with the low mortgage serviceability there will be an underlying concern that the issue of high household debt will remain unresolved.

<blockquote>
"...The recent step up in the pace of value growth is likely to raise some concern that the lowest mortgage rates since the 1950s is fuelling renewed housing market exuberance at a time when household debt remains around record highs.”
</blockquote>

Tim Lawless, CoreLogic Research Director via <a href="https://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/interest-rates/official-cash-rate-remains-at-1-per-cent-following-reserve-banks-september-meeting/news-story/76606fdc5d68d31e127660261d0948d0">news.com.au</a>

Lawless suggested that a solution to this could be limiting the amount given to borrowers on high debt-to-income ratios, or stricter limits on the loan to value ratio (LVR) which compares your loan amount with the value of your property – meaning the lower the 'LVR', the lower the financial risk for the bank. 

<h2>COULD PROPERTY VALUE GROWTH INDICATE A GOOD TIME TO BUY?</h2>

<a href="/guides/how-australia-s-interest-rate-cuts-could-impact-first-home-buyers">Our research showed</a> that while term deposits would experience a drop in interest return from banks, property could potentially be a safe investment, given the fact that property values have shown an exponential increase in recent months.

<blockquote>
“In line with rate cuts in June and July, housing values in Australia’s two largest cities have recorded a lift, with dwelling values rising 1.9 per cent and 1.8 per cent in Sydney and Melbourne over the past three months.” 
</blockquote>

Tim Lawless, CoreLogic Research Director via <a href="https://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/interest-rates/official-cash-rate-remains-at-1-per-cent-following-reserve-banks-september-meeting/news-story/76606fdc5d68d31e127660261d0948d0">news.com.au</a>

Jeremy Toeng also weighed in on the current markets, concluding that spring is looking up for both developers and buyers,

<blockquote>
“On the property front, clearance rates are increasing and whilst overall stock levels are low, we think this will increase as we head into spring which is traditionally the busiest time of the year in the property market.”
</blockquote>

Jeremy Toeng, Chatham House Financial Director &amp; Lending Advisor

<a href="/guides/off-the-plan-property-buyer-confidence-surges-post-election">In May earlier this year</a>, CBRE’s Andrew Leoncelli also predicted that Q4 would be a good time for developers to take their projects to market, given an uplift in demand for property. It'll be interesting to see how Q3 and Q4 play out, and whether the property market maintains upwards momentum. 

Lead image credit: Daniel Chen
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