<p><strong>IN BRIEF</strong></p>

<ul>
	<li>
	<p>Just three double-storey Sky Homes sit at the top of The Waterline, each with its own private marina berth and rooftop terrace.</p>
	</li>
	<li>
	<p>Construction on The Waterline is complete, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.</p>
	</li>
	<li>
	<p>Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and are priced from $3.65 million.</p>
	</li>
</ul>

<hr />
<p>Lewis Land has opened the first completed sky home for inspection at Harbour Shores, giving buyers their first opportunity to step inside one of just three double-storey residences crowning The Waterline.</p>

<p>Each sky home comes with its own private marina berth, rooftop terrace and Broadwater views, combining the scale of a larger home with direct access to the boating lifestyle that underpins the wider <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplan.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366708]</p>

<p>Lewis Land Head of Development Michael Long said the inclusion of a berth with every Sky Home had become increasingly valuable as marina access across the Gold Coast tightened.</p>

<p>“Marina berths are becoming increasingly difficult to secure across the Gold Coast, so including one with every Sky Home makes this a genuinely rare offering,” Long said.</p>

<p>“The private 70-berth marina will accommodate boats up to 12 metres in length and is positioned just 2.5 kilometres from the Broadwater, placing the open ocean only 15 minutes away.</p>

<p>“Being able to step out of your home onto your boat is a rare luxury, and it’s something residents here can look forward to when it opens later this year.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366709]</p>

<p>The display opening comes as construction completes on The Waterline, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.</p>

<p>The three Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and each feature three bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive kitchens with butler's pantries and large balconies taking in the Broadwater outlook.</p>

<p>Each residence also has three secure basement car spaces and additional storage.</p>

<p>“This is the first opportunity the Gold Coast has had to step into Harbour Shores and see, touch and feel what we’re bringing to life here,” Long said.</p>

<p>“There are only three Sky Homes within The Waterline, ranging in size from 282sqm to 367sqm, with each residence featuring three large bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive custom-built kitchens with butler’s pantry, and large balconies capturing Broadwater views.”</p>

<p><img alt="Harbour Shores" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bab65e10-4fab-45e1-92d8-fc56e2ab98ff" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-25%20at%202.00.16%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=XT8q76LsPkw3cYTsvN3JfFDaPLud90PN" /></p>

<p>Residents of The Waterline will have access to a private pool, along with Harbour Shores' wider collection of amenity including a lagoon pool, social clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga facilities and sauna.</p>

<p>Lewis Land partnered with Studio Collective to furnish the completed display, with the interiors designed to demonstrate how the residences could function as permanent homes rather than simply as show apartments.</p>

<p>Studio Collective Director Melissa Park said the surrounding waterways informed the interiors, but in a more restrained way than a traditional coastal scheme.</p>

<p>“We drew inspiration from the canals and coastal surrounds, but our approach was to interpret that subtly through layered materials and a grounded palette of earthy tones, rather than literal coastal references,” Park said.</p>

<p>“We introduced hero moments of green and teal to reference the surrounding waterways, while mirrored elements help reflect natural light.</p>

<p>“The result is a residence that feels elevated yet comfortable, somewhere buyers can genuinely imagine themselves living, entertaining and unwinding.”</p>

<p>Sky Homes are priced from $3.65 million.</p>

<p>Lewis Land is also offering private marina berths with The Residences, its limited collection of three and four-bedroom villas positioned directly along the Harbour Shores waterfront boardwalk.</p>

<p>Three-bedroom villas are priced from $2.99 million, while four-bedroom residences start from $3.19 million.</p>

<p>Harbour Shores is being marketed by Colliers International.</p>

<p data-end="555" data-start="341">[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]</p>


Joel Robinson

Lewis Land opens sky home display as The Waterline completes at Harbour Shores

<p data-end="387" data-start="97">St Vincent de Paul Society Housing Australia has filed plans for a major mixed-use housing precinct on the southern edge of the North Sydney CBD, adding another significant proposal to a pocket around North Sydn​ey Station that is quickly becoming one of the LGA's busiest development zones.</p>

<p data-end="697" data-start="389">The State Significant Development Application covers a 5,990 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/1-19-mackenzie-street-lavender-bay-nsw-2060">1-19 MacKenzie Street and 211 Blues Point Road in Lavender Bay</a>, immediately south of Nor​th Sydney Station and between the commercial core and the lower-rise Lavender Bay Heritage Conservation Area.</p>

<p data-end="925" data-start="699">Designed by Wardle, the proposal would deliver a new residential tower comprising 88 build-to-sell apartments and 19 affordable apartments, alongside a separate co-living building with 57 rooms and a building manager's studio.</p>

<p data-end="1217" data-start="927">It would also see the significant restoration and upgrade of St Francis Xavier Catholic Church, the adaptive reuse of the former school building, new parish facilities, retail, a new public square and around 1,000 sqm of publicly accessible open space.</p>

<p data-end="1217" data-start="927"><img alt="Vinnies North Sydney" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d5dd7f87-a617-463e-b577-17541e01f0e9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.10.13%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4R8TsFN3P_LrrXO2HswTOIrx2blil8lh" /></p>

<p data-end="1538" data-start="1219">The project is seeking a concurrent rezoning of the site to R4 High Density Residential and an increase in the maximum building height to allow a tower reaching RL120, or up to 20 storeys. The proposal was progressed through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority pathway.</p>

<p data-end="1723" data-start="1540">The build-to-sell component will be weighted toward larger apartments, with just six one-bedroom apartments compared with 31 two-beds, 43 three-beds and eight four-bedroom residences.</p>

<p data-end="2063" data-start="1725">The 19 affordable apartments will comprise two studios, 15 one-bedroom apartments and two two-bedroom apartments, taking the total apartment component to 107 residences before the 58 co-living rooms are included.</p>

<p data-end="2063" data-start="1725"><img alt="Vnnies" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7d568ca5-cb90-4e18-96c6-d9795dba0c56" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.10.05%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=GY2R5M9VtQh0EKy1vajaea19PSLOPuRD" /></p>

<p data-end="2205" data-start="2065">Wardle's design for the Vinnies site has sought to negotiate that emerging high-rise context while retaining the lower-scale character of MacKenzie Street and the adjoining heritage conservation area.</p>

<p data-end="4244" data-start="4087">The main building adopts a three-storey podium and tower arrangement, with the podium aligned to the ridgeline and front setback of St Francis Xavier Church.&nbsp;Wardle has designed the podium with colonnades, seating, recessed entries and active ground-floor frontages, with sandstone-toned precast concrete and face brick referencing the materiality of the existing church.</p>

<p data-end="4598" data-start="4246">The tower then steps back eight metres to the south and six metres to the north before rising in a sculpted form comprising four interlocking quadrants. Wardle has also introduced rounded forms and chamfered corners to reduce the tower's perceived bulk and improve view sharing with neighbouring development sites.</p>

<p data-end="4798" data-start="4600">Resident facilities and outdoor areas are planned at the separation between the podium and tower at Level 3, oriented toward Sydney Harbour and the CBD skyline.</p>

<p data-end="4798" data-start="4600">The tower itself will feature a glass reinforced concrete facade, with recessed balconies and deep reveals used both to provide shading and privacy and frame views toward the harbour and city. The lower levels take a different architectural approach, using brick and sandstone-toned finishes intended to establish a stronger relationship with St Francis Xavier Church. The Church itself will be conserved and upgraded for its continued use, while the former school building will be adaptively reused as part of the co-living component.</p>

<p data-end="5032" data-start="4800"><img alt="Lavendar Bay" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2d4418ad-90aa-4d49-af93-c80b140aea80" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.09.47%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Kv4gzbsACaGvZSRuaqcfGC54jEJRXIDJ" /></p>

<p data-end="5486" data-start="5211">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="2205" data-start="2065">The proposal adds to an increasingly concentrated pipeline of residential development around Blue Street, MacKenzie Street and Lavender Bay.</p>

<p data-end="2375" data-start="2207">Just west of the site, Central Element lodged plans earlier this year for one of the most significant residential developments proposed in Lavender Bay in recent years.</p>

<p data-end="2712" data-start="2377">Central Element's SJB-designed scheme at 64-66 Lavender Street and 3-7 Middlemiss Street would deliver 163 apartments across two towers rising 23 and 32 storeys, replacing five existing apartment buildings containing 32 homes. The project also forms part of the Housing Delivery Authority pathway.</p>

<p data-end="2751" data-start="2714"><em><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-central-element-reveals-lavender-bay-apartment-plans?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener" target="_blank">First look: Central Element reveals Lavender Bay apartment plans</a></em></p>

<p data-end="2865" data-start="2753">Immediately around North Sy​dney Station, another two significant proposals have emerged at 5 and 15 Blue Street.</p>

<p data-end="3067" data-start="2867">Zurich Australian Insurance Properties is seeking to adaptively reuse its longstanding commercial building at 5 Blue Street, directly above North Sydney Station, rather than demolishing the structure.</p>

<p data-end="3379" data-start="3069">Its SSDA proposes converting the building into a 14-storey mixed-use development with 62 apartments and 86 co-living rooms, together with ground-floor retail and a major refurbishment of Blue Street Plaza. The application is currently at the Response to Submissions stage.</p>

<p data-end="3379" data-start="3069"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-zurich-targets-north-sydney-office-conversion-with-148-unit-proposal-above-metro-station"><em>First look: Zurich targets North Sydney office conversion with 148-unit proposal above Metro station</em></a></p>

<p data-end="3883" data-start="3659">&nbsp;</p>


First look: Vinnies files for 20-storey Lavender Bay apartment tower as North Sydney housing pocket heats up

<p data-end="540" data-start="324">When the opportunity arose for South Australian developer Palumbo to return to Kent Town, where it had previously delivered East Park Apartments and the East<br />
Rundle Apartments, it wasn't one the longstanding developer-builder was going to pass up.</p>

<p data-end="680" data-start="542">The decision was quickly vindicated, with more than 30 apartments sold within the first month of launching <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/royal-apartments-kent-town-2-8-north-terrace-kent-town-sa-5067">Royal Apartments</a> to the market.</p>

<p data-end="909" data-start="682">The 206-apartment development, which will bring significant new supply to Adelaide's tightly held eastern city fringe, also gives <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/palumbo">Palumbo</a> the opportunity to bring new life to one of Kent Town's most recognisable watering holes.</p>

<p data-end="909" data-start="682">[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376073]</p>

<p data-end="1076" data-start="911">Royal Apartments incorporates the historic Royal Hotel, a venue Palumbo Managing Director Daniel Palumbo said has a longstanding connection with the local community.</p>

<p data-end="1166" data-start="1078">"Everyone in the area has history with the Royal Hotel," Palumbo told Apartments.com.au.</p>

<p data-end="1257" data-start="1168">"It was quite an active pub and social gathering place for locals. We want to bring it back to its former glory."</p>

<p data-end="1257" data-start="1168">[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376072]</p>

<p data-end="1406" data-start="1259">The wider development will comprise two residential towers alongside the restored hotel, sitting on North Terrace opposite the Adelaide Park Lands.</p>

<p data-end="1475" data-start="1408">For Palumbo, the project also marks a return to familiar territory.</p>

<p data-end="1671" data-start="1477">The developer completed East Park Apartments next door more than a decade ago and jumped at the opportunity to develop in Kent Town again when the Royal Hotel site became available.</p>

<p data-end="1726" data-start="1673">"The opportunity emerged, and we moved to secure the site," Palumbo said.</p>

<p data-end="1874" data-start="1728">"We were approached by the previous landowner, who said they had extensive commitments in Sydney and weren't in a position to deliver the project.</p>

<p data-end="2025" data-start="1876">"We took over the site and within six months recut the design scheme to be more in keeping with the type of development we want to bring to Adelaide.</p>

<p data-end="2111" data-start="2027">"Now we're on the market and those changes have really resonated with local buyers."</p>

<p data-end="2225" data-start="2113">That has translated into a strong start to sales, with 33 apartments transacting in the project's first 35 days.</p>

<p data-end="2383" data-start="2227">Palumbo said the early purchaser profile had been consistent with the group's traditional focus on owner-occupiers rather than investor-led apartment stock.</p>

<p data-end="2446" data-start="2385">"Local owner-occupiers have always been our market," he said.</p>

<p data-end="2602" data-start="2448">"There are always some investors, but we've never developed what would be called traditional development stock. Owner-occupiers are very much our market."</p>

<p data-end="2602" data-start="2448">[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376068]</p>

<p data-end="2742" data-start="2604">The buyer mix has been diverse so far, with downsizers and younger professionals both accounting for a significant portion of early sales.</p>

<p data-end="3013" data-start="2744">South Australia's current stamp duty settings, which allow&nbsp;eligible homeowners in South Australia aged 60 savings of up to $103,830 on stamp duty when they downsize to a new property valued at up to $2 million,&nbsp;have helped encourage downsizer activity, while younger buyers in their late 20s and early 30s have been attracted to the opportunity to live immediately outside the CBD while still being able to walk into the city.</p>

<p data-end="3013" data-start="2744"></p>

<p data-end="3065" data-start="3015">Location has been a major part of the proposition for both buyer cohorts.</p>

<p data-end="3065" data-start="3015">[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376075]</p>

<p data-end="3250" data-start="3067">Royal Apartments sits on North Terrace directly opposite the Adelaide Park Lands, with residents able to walk through the parklands toward the East End, Rundle Street and Rundle Mall.</p>

<p data-end="3376" data-start="3252">Apartments have been positioned to capture views across the parklands, Adelaide skyline, Botanic Gardens and Adelaide Hills.</p>

<p data-end="3516" data-start="3378">Palumbo believes the scarcity of developable land along this section of the Park Lands makes the site particularly difficult to replicate.</p>

<p data-end="3592" data-start="3518">"There's very few allotments on that side that can be developed," he said.</p>

<p data-end="3714" data-start="3594">"If this location was in New York and you were sitting on Central Park, you'd be talking about a $60 million apartments."</p>

<p data-end="3861" data-start="3716">Royal Apartments will offer a broad mix of residences, ranging from one-bedroom apartments through to four-bedroom sub-penthouses and penthouses.</p>

<p data-end="4004" data-start="3863">Current listings include one-bedroom apartments from $680,000, while larger three and four-bedroom residences are priced around $2.5 million.</p>

<p data-end="4145" data-start="4006">Residents will have access to a swimming pool, gym, barbecue and recreation areas, residents' lounge and dining space, and a communal deck.</p>

<p data-end="4145" data-start="4006">[smartcode_project:default project_id=6109 project_image_fid=376067]</p>

<p data-end="4273" data-start="4147">The apartments will feature generous balconies, while secure parking, bicycle storage and storage cages will also be provided.</p>

<p data-end="4480" data-start="4275">A porte-cochère-style arrival and drop-off area has also resonated with buyers, particularly those attracted to being able to walk into the CBD during the day while retaining secure vehicle access at home.</p>

<p data-end="4650" data-start="4482">Palumbo is acting as developer, architect and builder on Royal Apartments, continuing the vertically integrated model it has used across its South Australian portfolio.</p>

<p data-end="4785" data-start="4652">The group was also behind the $150 million Sofitel Adelaide, the 251-room five-star hotel and residential tower which opened in 2021.</p>

<p data-end="4889" data-start="4787">Palumbo said Royal's launch had come at an interesting time for the broader Adelaide apartment market.</p>

<p data-end="5144" data-start="4891">Buyer confidence had initially been impacted by uncertainty surrounding the Federal Budget and broader economic conditions, but Palumbo believes sentiment is beginning to improve against a backdrop of significant investment flowing into South Australia.</p>

<p data-end="5305" data-start="5146">He pointed to increased activity across defence and resources, including Olympic Dam, as potential long-term drivers of the state's economy and housing market.</p>

<p data-end="5378" data-start="5307">"Money is starting to flow into Adeliade, significant amounts as Adelaide bucks the trend of the rest of the country.," Palumbo said.</p>

<p data-end="5495" data-start="5380">"There's a lot of activity in the economy over the next decade. I think more investment will come into this market."</p>

<p data-end="5650" data-start="5497">Early works on Royal Apartments are expected to commence this year, with major construction activity and cranes anticipated on site from early next year.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6109]</p>

Palumbo's return to Kent Town strikes early chord with buyers

<p>Go-to builder-developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/graya">GRAYA</a> is continuing to bulk out its already impressive and diverse apartment portfolio across South East Queensland. Their latest milestone is securing development approval for Silk, its boutique riverfront apartment development in St Lucia.</p>

<p>The approval clears&nbsp;the way for the team to begin construction planning for the 22-residence project.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/silk-st-lucia-16-18-sandford-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">Silk</a> will rise 15 levels from an 810 sqm site at 16-18 Sandford Street, occupying a prominent bend of the Brisbane River with a prized northern aspect across Orleigh Park toward the Brisbane CBD.</p>

<p>The approved scheme will comprise 16 split-floor and six full-floor residences, continuing GRAYA's move into larger-format apartment developments targeting Brisbane's prestige owner-occupier market.</p>

<p>The project has been designed around the site's broad river frontage and dual-direction views, with GRAYA prioritising larger residences, privacy and outlook over apartment yield.</p>

<p><img alt="Silk St Lucia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="aa5c2349-f96c-4914-a812-1f2cd6827af8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%208.25.44%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=WY0vEU_7vYjeRJKQHiCwFdMxu8PvFh52" /></p>

<p>GRAYA Co-founder and Chief Executive Officer Rob Gray said the project had been shaped around local homeowners wanting to remain in St Lucia without maintaining a traditional family home.</p>

<p>"St Lucia is one of those suburbs people do not want to leave," Gray said.</p>

<p>"They know the river, the trees, UQ, the golf course, Toowong and Indooroopilly, and that familiarity is hard to replace.</p>

<p>"True riverfront opportunities here are exceptionally scarce. What we have designed at Silk is a way to stay in the suburb people love, with the scale and privacy of a private home and far less to maintain.</p>

<p>"This is not typical apartment product. It is a proper home on the river, and that is exactly what this market has been missing."</p>

<p>The approval comes as new apartment development continues to increase across the St Lucia and neighbouring Toowong corridor, although direct riverfront sites remain considerably more tightly held.</p>

<p>GRAYA Co-founder and Managing Director Andrew Gray said securing the approval had removed a significant element of development risk from Silk.</p>

<p>"Genuine riverfront sites of this quality in St Lucia are not something that comes up regularly," Gray said.</p>

<p>"The approval removes a substantial layer of execution risk, and the location underwrites demand in a way very few inner-city sites can.</p>

<p>"The fundamentals here are as strong as anything we have assessed in Brisbane."</p>

<p><img alt="Silk St Lucia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d0f3d734-65e1-48e8-8ed3-2e0715ffcdd9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%208.25.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sOLSs_jdHkXLWbBKzRyayf5BfTb2vPsD" /></p>

<p>Silk will see GRAYA return to a stretch of the Brisbane River where it already has recent construction experience. The vertically integrated group recently completed ARC in neighbouring Toowong as builder for developer Spyre, delivering the riverfront project on a constrained site.</p>

<p>GRAYA will take a different role at Silk, controlling the project from design and development through construction and aftercare under its vertically integrated model.</p>

<p>The development will include a gym and resident leisure areas at ground level, integrated with the river's edge.</p>

<p>Silk joins a growing pipeline for GRAYA across Brisbane and the Gold Coast, which includes Enclave, The Gallery, Coral and Ripple.</p>

<p>The developer-builder has also recently lodged plans for its largest project to date, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-silo-19-chester-street-newstead-qld-4006">The Silo</a>, a proposed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/graya-buys-frasers-newstead-site-plans-the-silo-between-james-street-and-gasworks-precincts">$700 million mixed-use development</a> in Brisbane's James Street precinct.</p>

<p>Silk is expected to predominantly target local owner-occupiers and prestige buyers seeking a permanent riverfront home in Brisbane's inner west.</p>

<p>Registrations of interest are now open, with further details on the project and construction program to be released as it progresses.</p>

<hr />
<h2>SILK PROJECT FACTS</h2>

<p>Developer-builder: GRAYA</p>

<p>Project: Silk</p>

<p>Location: 16-18 Sandford Street, St Lucia</p>

<p>Apartments: 22</p>

<p>Built form: 15 levels</p>

<p>Site: 810 sqm riverfront holding</p>

<p>Mix: 16 split-floor and six full-floor residences</p>

<p>Status: Development approved</p>

<p>Next step: Construction planning underway</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152168]</p>


GRAYA greenlit for riverfront St Lucia apartment development, Silk

<p data-end="568" data-start="388">Abadeen has released the whole-floor penthouse crowning its recently completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/park-residences-cremorne-2-sutherland-street-cremorne-nsw-2090">Park Residences</a> development in Cremorne, bringing the near-300 sqm residence to market for the first time.</p>

<p data-end="803" data-start="570">Occupying the entire top floor of the boutique Lower North Shore development, the penthouse includes 221 sqm of internal living and a 74 sqm wraparound terrace, with a prized north-facing aspect taking in views across Middle Harbour.</p>

<p data-end="1041" data-start="805">The residence has been completed and fully furnished following a collaboration between Abadeen Executive Chairman Justin Brown and internationally recognised interior designer Jack Freeman, Founder and Managing Director of FREEMAN &amp; CO.</p>

<p data-end="1239" data-start="1043"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/abadeen">Abadeen</a> and Freeman approached the penthouse as a finished home, sourcing furniture, artwork, lighting and objects from Australia and overseas.</p>

<p data-end="1239" data-start="1043">[smartcode_project:default project_id=114246 project_image_fid=378718]</p>

<p data-end="1459" data-start="1241">Pieces from Parisian design house Pierre Augustin Rose sit alongside contemporary artworks and bespoke lighting, with Freeman drawing on recent visits to PAD Paris and Salone del Mobile Milano for the final collection.</p>

<p data-end="1582" data-start="1461">Brown said the aim was to create a penthouse that felt more like a large-scale private home than a traditional apartment.</p>

<p data-end="1777" data-start="1584">"The experience begins the moment the lift doors open. You're welcomed into an elegant dining room before the home opens into an extraordinary living space framed by sun-drenched harbour views.</p>

<p data-end="2018" data-start="1779">"Every time someone walks through the front door they pause. It's not just the view, it's the incredible sense of space, the warmth created by the northern sunlight that fills the interiors, and the way every room connects so effortlessly.</p>

<p data-end="2245" data-start="2020">"It has all the proportions of a luxury home, while delivering the effortless lifestyle and personalised experience of living in a world-class six-star hotel, combined with the simplicity and convenience of apartment living."</p>

<p data-end="2245" data-start="2020">[smartcode_project:default project_id=114246 project_image_fid=378713]</p>

<p data-end="2438" data-start="2247">A secure lift provides exclusive access to the penthouse level, opening to a dedicated arrival foyer and dining area before the residence expands into its main living and entertaining spaces.</p>

<p data-end="2577" data-start="2440">Floor-to-ceiling glazing runs across the northern side of the home, connecting the interiors with the terrace and Middle Harbour outlook.</p>

<p data-end="2772" data-start="2579">The penthouse also features a fireplace and substantial chef's kitchen, while the wraparound terrace has been designed to accommodate both everyday outdoor living and larger-scale entertaining.</p>

<p data-end="2245" data-start="2020">[smartcode_project:default project_id=114246 project_image_fid=378720]</p>

<p data-end="2245" data-start="2020">Freeman said the interiors had been deliberately kept restrained to complement the scale, natural light and outlook already established by the architecture.</p>

<p data-end="2996" data-start="2932">"The penthouse is a serene study in quiet luxury," Freeman said.</p>

<p data-end="3264" data-start="2998">"The interior pairs soft, sculptural forms with warm timber, pale stone and a restrained neutral palette. Curated artwork and metallic accents add depth, while abundant natural light creates a calm, effortlessly refined atmosphere. In my world, less is always more."</p>

<p data-end="3384" data-start="3266">Freeman said the approach was centred around collecting individual pieces rather than simply decorating the apartment.</p>

<p data-end="3531" data-start="3386">"Every material, every object and every piece of furniture has been curated with intention. I am a true believer in collecting versus decorating.</p>

<p data-end="3823" data-start="3533">"The architecture already provided extraordinary natural light, remarkable volume and an uninterrupted connection to Middle Harbour. Our role was to complement those qualities with unique one-of-a-kind pieces of fine art and collectible design sourced from recent travels around the world."</p>

<p data-end="3823" data-start="3533">[smartcode_project:default project_id=114246 project_image_fid=378694]</p>

<p data-end="3986" data-start="3825">Among the collection are solid bronze sculptures by Lorenzo Quinn, alongside a curated crystalware collection and pieces sourced from international design fairs.</p>

<p data-end="4199" data-start="3988">Park Residences sits opposite Cammeray Golf Club, Cammeray Croquet Club and Grand Slam Tennis Cammeray, around 300 metres from Neutral Bay Village and its established collection of restaurants, cafés and retail.</p>

<p data-end="4370" data-start="4201">Brown said the combination of a whole-floor floorplan, northern aspect and proximity to Neutral Bay was becoming increasingly difficult to find on the Lower North Shore.</p>

<p data-end="4516" data-start="4372">"Completed whole-floor penthouses with a sun-drenched north-facing aspect and sweeping Middle Harbour views are exceptionally rare," Brown said.</p>

<p data-end="4717" data-start="4518">"Add a quiet position opposite golf, croquet and tennis facilities, a level walk to Neutral Bay Village and only minutes to the CBD, and you have a lifestyle that's incredibly difficult to replicate.</p>

<p data-end="4883" data-start="4719">"This is a home that offers the privacy and generosity of a luxury residence together with the convenience of one of Sydney's best-connected harbourside locations."</p>

<p data-end="4947" data-start="4885">The penthouse will be exclusively marketed by SRM Residential.</p>

<p data-end="4947" data-start="4885">[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=114246]</p>


Abadeen unveils penthouse at Park Residences in Cremorne

Property market

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<p><span>Cashed-up expats are well placed to really make the most of their trip back to Sydney for the 2015-2016 Christmas holiday break.</span></p>
<p><span>"Expat buyers are in a powerful negotiating position this summer holiday season given the decline in the Australian dollar," estate agent Vicki Laing at Laing Real Estate says.</span></p>
<p><span>"They are cashed-up, ready to buy," she said.</span></p>
<p><span>“They have the preparedness to offer local vendors either short or long-term settlements which suits both parties," she adds explaining that often the expats actually don’t need the house immediately and are keen to rent it back to the vendor.</span></p>
<p><span>Expatriates in senior positions overseas are looking for properties typically costing upwards of $3 million, with younger expats seeking properties selling for $1 million plus.</span></p>
<p><span>She said for many they want close proximity to the CBD with easy access to beaches, restaurants and cafes.</span></p>
<p><span>“These professionals work long hours when they return so want to be in and out of the office in a reasonable time.”</span></p>
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Expats cashed up and ready to buy this summer

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<p>Pinned to the wall beside my computer is a report I wrote in June 2015 entitled “Top 20 worst predictions about Australian property markets”.</p>
<p>It contains a stunning line-up of doomed forecasts from the previous six or seven years about our property markets. They all have two things in common: they all predicted massive price decline, and none of them was correct.</p>
<p>But they’re still out there and media never tires of them. Forecasts of price collapse are a dime a dozen in mainstream media. </p>
<p>In many cases, I suspect, the forecasters don’t really believe their own statements. The objective is to generate publicity, truth notwithstanding. Apart from anything else, no one (apart from me) ever checks to see how the forecasts of the past have turned out, so the fallout for false prophets is zero.</p>
<p>So if American spruiker Harry S Dent pops up in Australia next year and predicts a 50 percent collapse in property values, he’ll get masses of free publicity for his seminar tour or book launch, despite having made that prediction twice before (in 2011 and 2014) and been proven wrong by subsequent events.</p>
<p>Predictions of real estate Armageddon in Australia have become common. One of the most recent was widely reported around Australia in early September. This headline appeared in <em>The Australian</em>: “Australia six weeks from a housing collapse, US report warns.” Time is well and truly up on that forecast and we do not appear to have a housing collapse.</p>
<p>The Washington-based International Strategic Studies Association said: “We estimate that Australia has about six weeks or so to turn this situation around, otherwise there would be a massive hit on property valuations and the building trades.”</p>
<p>Its president delivered quite a rant on the subject. You have to wonder why serious newspapers would report such nonsense, particularly given the failure of other similar predictions since the start of the century.</p>
<p>Here’s another example: in October 2015 the <em>Sydney Morning Herald</em> made a huge front-page splash with this headline: “7.5 percent - house prices tipped to slump.” The 7.5 percent was in huge type and dominated the page.</p>
<p>The article said “Australian house prices” would fall 7.5 percent in 2016 and the decline risked causing a recession. It quoted reports from several investment banks – Macquarie, Credit Suisse and Bank of America Merrill Lynch – which all made dire forecasts.</p>
<p>One said property investment in Australia was “riskier than the equity market”, especially in Sydney. Another said the RBA would be forced to lift interest rates in 2016 to tackle high inflation. How wrong did they get that?</p>
<p>When will media ever learn that economists are not real estate specialists and seldom get it right when they drift outside their comfort zones (getting it wrong on the economy) and delve into property prognostication? They regard Australia as a single property market and their understanding of the different market dynamics around Australia could be written on the back of a postage stamp – in crayon.</p>
<p>Other media outlets made big of the same material. The <em>news.com.au</em> website ran this headline: “Five months until property bubble bursts”. The article began: “FIVE months. That’s how long before house prices start to fall, according to the latest major investment bank to call the peak in Australia’s housing cycle. ‘Credit growth, auction clearance rates, house prices, settlement volumes and the dollar value of settlements are all showing signs of slowing, albeit from lofty levels,’ analysts from investment bank Macquarie said in a note today, <em>The Australian</em> reports.”</p>
<p class="Body">In November last year the <em>Australian Financial Review</em> ran a major article based on the forecasts of ANZ economists, who predicted that Australian house prices would fall in 2016 by “less than 10 percent”. There, again, we had that fatal formula for failed forecasts: economists, a perspective that Australia is a single market and a gloomy outlook based on a misreading of the signals.</p>
<p class="Body">Around the same time, the clown prince of failed forecasting Professor Steve Keen was at it again, still predicting a property crash – as he famously did in 2008 and every year since – and once gain getting it wrong.</p>
<p class="Body">Also around the same time, <em>Smart Property Investment</em> ran this headline: “Outer suburb markets could halve in value”, referring to the outer ring suburbs of Sydney. A year later, it’s pretty clear than suburban values have not dropped 50 percent.</p>
<p class="Body">In January this year the same magazine reported more dodgy predictions from economists under the headline “Investors warned about looming price declines”. Leading that particular charge was the man with worst record of all in real estate forecasting, AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver.</p>
<p class="Body">Oliver is probably the only guy who has made negative forecasts about housing prices than Steve Keen, and with an equivalent track record of success. It was Oliver who famously declared in 2005 that there would be no growth in Australian property prices any time in the next 10 years. Oh dear.</p>
<p class="Body">He’s made many similar statements over the years, with the same level of success. But he was back for more in January this year, stating that the Sydney market had become so stretched that prices were likely to fall. </p>
<p class="Body">Also mentioned in that SPI article was Fitch Ratings, which claimed that “house price growth is set to decline significantly in 2016, with the possibility of entering negative territory …”</p>
<p>According to Fitch Ratings Australia managing director Ben McCarthy, the downturn would be caused by “reduced demand in Sydney and Melbourne as population growth declines and the market reaches limits of affordability and investor demand and interest recedes".</p>
<p>If there’s a group that has even less success at calling property market outcomes than bank economists, it’s the ratings agencies whose track record is just dismal – and whose motivations are particularly shallow.</p>
<p class="Body"><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p>
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Forecasts of housing price collapse are a dime a dozen

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<p class="BodyCopy">No one needs to do more about housing affordability than the NSW State Government. Sadly, no one is doing less.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">The Victoria State Government has made an encouraging start to tackling some of the issues in Melbourne. The Northern Territory Government is doing plenty to help first-home buyers in Darwin.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Even in Tasmania, where Hobart prices are so low relative to other cities you wonder why they feel the need, the State Government is taking decisive action to help young buyers and the housing industry generally.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">But in Sydney, the location with the biggest problems, the NSW Government has to date done nothing.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">It has contributed mightily to the problems by ripping obscene amounts of revenue out of the housing industry and imposing major regulatory burdens on the development industry. But despite the rhetoric of Premier Gladys Berejiklian (who, as a former state treasurer should have some understanding of the issues and the numbers), the State Government has done nothing to assist.</p>
<p>In NSW stamp duty receipts have reached a record high. Official figures show that $1.98 billion in stamp duty poured into government coffers in the March Quarter alone – a $315 million increase on the first quarter of last financial year.</p>
<p>Stamp duty from all property transfers has risen $859 million so far this financial year, compared with the same period in 2015-16. This represents a 10 percent increase in stamp duty on residential property, outpacing the Treasury forecast of a 4.8 percent rise for 2016-17.</p>
<p>That’s a major part of the problem. The State Government has built a Budget surplus on the back of revenue from real estate, thereby adding to the costs that burden buyers, while claiming to care about affordability issues.</p>
<p>In considering what it can do ease price pressures, the NSW Government might ponder this question: why does residential land in Sydney cost twice what it does in Melbourne? The median price for a home site in Sydney in 2016 was double that of Melbourne’s, according to the recent State of the Land report.</p>
<p>One possible explanation is that Melbourne brought far more residential land to the market last year than Sydney did. Indeed, 40 percent of the new land marketed in capital city Australia in 2016 was in Melbourne.</p>
<p>Increasing supply is regarded by some as the silver bullet solution. It’s not, but it’s certainly part of range of measures that jointly might create improvement.</p>
<p>And certainly the Property Council has “turbo-charging housing supply through increased land supply and planning reform” at the top of its five-point plan to address affordability issues in Sydney. If Melbourne can create so much new housing land for sale, what’s holding Sydney back?</p>
<p>Increasing the supply of housing won’t help affordability if the new dwellings are expensive, because it costs so much to create them.</p>
<p>Which is why next on the Property Council wish list comes “reforming state property taxes and reducing fees, charges and red tape”.</p>
<p>It’s been reported many times but it’s worth repeating: research indicates that 40 percent of the cost of creating the average house-and-land package comprises government fees, charges and taxes.</p>
<p>That reinforces my view that the politicians who rage against foreign investors and negative-geared Australian investors are themselves the problem. Every time a state government in Australia announces its annual Budget, affordability in that state gets worse.</p>
<p>Some of the most vocal critics of the affordability problem in Sydney have been NSW state politicians, when they themselves are the people best placed to create remedies. They can start by reducing the cost burdens they place on the process of building and buying new homes.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, their populist scapegoating of foreign investors, and multiple measures by federal and state governments to nobble offshore buyers, are making the affordability problems worse.</p>
<p>The most effective way to cause property prices to fall – indeed, in my experience, the only way – is to create an oversupply. Some of our major cities have been heading unwittingly down that path recently, notably in the inner-city apartment markets in Melbourne, Perth and Brisbane.</p>
<p>But major projects made viable by the prospect of selling some of the product to foreign buyers will not proceed because of a range of measures by federal and state governments to make investment by offshore buyers unattractive, if not unviable.</p>
<p>They’ve made matters worse for young buyers while claiming to be improving their chances.</p>
<p>Don’t be surprised if one of the few measures the NSW State Government will introduce in its next Budget will be extra taxes and charges on foreign buyers. It will be another cash grab, dressed up as policy to “level the playing field for young Australians”.</p>
<p><span>Terry Ryder is the founder of </span><a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a><span>. You can </span><a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'" target="_blank">email him</a><span> or follow him on </span><a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></p>
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Why does residential land in Sydney cost twice what it does in Melbourne?

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<p>SQM Research posted its listings figures which suggested "ongoing strength" in the housing market. </p>
<p>Listings were somewhat higher in the month in Brisbane and Sydney (though miles below the peak of around 44,000 in the case Sydney). </p>
<p>Melbourne's market continues a multi-year trend of tightening since 2012, while Hobart arguably has the tightest market of all of the capital cities.  </p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/07/SQM1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div id="post-body-7453053517917161107" class="post-body entry-content">
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/07/SQM1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>Indeed, both Melbourne (-19.5 percent) and Hobart (-18.9 percent) have recorded enormous year-on-year declines in total stock listings. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/06/07/SQM2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/06/07/SQM2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>Melbourne recorded a massive near 6 percent uplift for houses in the month, for a 22.6 percent annual increase. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Melbourne housing market is performing extremely bullishly, echoing out-performance in the local economy.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>It's also worthy of note that the annual change in listings in resources cities has flattened, after increasing for a long period of time. </div>
<p> </p>
<p><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Listings suggest ongoing strength: Pete Wargent

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<p class="BodyCopy">The Brisbane property market, in terms of public perceptions, is a victim of the way research companies and media choose to portray price growth.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">It’s a stronger market than the published numbers suggest. Sales activity is generally buoyant and there are suburban precincts with growth markets right across the Brisbane metropolitan area.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">But the various research firms publish a single figure to describe house price growth across an entire metropolitan area - and that’s what media reports. In the past year, the single figure published for Brisbane suggests only moderate growth, much lower than Sydney or Melbourne. It’s caused some talking-head pontificators to declare that “there’s nothing happening in the Brisbane market”.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">But individual parts of the Brisbane metropolitan area have performed better than the reported research suggests. Over the past 2-3 years, various precincts have recorded double-digit annual growth in median prices - but the growth has not been felt across the board, so the overall Brisbane growth figures have been quite small.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Hotspotting analysis of sales activity shows that the Brisbane metro area is one of the most active capital city markets in Australia and I expect good price growth in specific areas in 2017.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Brisbane has greater buoyancy in its markets than do Sydney and Melbourne, where sales activity fell markedly in 2016. But media continues to report distorted figures for price growth and auction clearance rates in the bigger cities, especially for Sydney, creating a misleading impression.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">The notion that Sydney house prices are still growing at an annual rate of almost 20 percent is ludicrous but various media outlets keep stating it as fact, because one popular source says it’s so. Domain chief economist Andrew Wilson, on the hand, says comparing all Sydney sales in 2016 with all sales in 2015 gives an annual growth rate of just 4.4 percent, while the latest figure from the ABS is 3.3 percent and the Real Estate Institute of Australia says 3.4 percent.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Meanwhile, Brisbane chugs along, largely under the radar of national media – but not property investors who are smart enough to do their own research. A recent national survey found that Brisbane is the No.1 choice for property investors who plan to buy in 2017. Cheaper prices and much higher rental yields, compared to the two biggest cities, are strong attractions for nationally-focused investors.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Having just completed my latest analysis of sales data, I can confirm that the leading precinct for market activity is the Moreton Bay Region in Brisbane’s far north, where affordability, infrastructure and proximity to jobs nodes are key factors.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">The Redcliffe Peninsula, which is part of the Moreton Bay Region LGA, has received particular impetus from the completion of the Moreton Bay Rail Link, a long-awaited piece of transport infrastructure. Some of the Peninsula suburbs have recorded double-digit growth in their median house prices in the past 12 months.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">But while the Moreton Bay LGA leads, there is growth to be found in almost every segment of the Brisbane market. Some of the middle-market precincts both northside and southside, which appeared to have faded somewhat in 2016, have revitalised and there are numerous areas with growth momentum.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Logan City, the mirror image of Moreton Bay in the south of the Greater Brisbane Area, has been a market leader in the past two years. It appears to have faded a little but still has growth precincts and will continue to attract home-buyers and investors because of its cheap housing, excellent transport links and generally strong infrastructure.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Ipswich City, the south-western precinct with similar qualities to Logan City, is also rising and many suburbs are now delivering good price growth.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Redland Bay, which encompasses the bayside suburbs in Brisbane’s far east, is also now producing rising sales activity. It attracts buyers because of its affordable bayside lifestyle. It is increasingly emerging as an area of economic development and has good proximity to the Port of Brisbane and to Brisbane Airport, where there are major employment nodes.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">Investors should continue to avoid the inner-city apartment markets. The CBD and near-city suburbs all have vacancy rates in the 5-7% range and these will increase as new high-rise projects are completed. Median apartment prices and median rentals are falling.</p>
<p class="BodyCopy">The latest Market Monitor from the REIQ shows that median apartment prices fell in all the inner-city markets last year including the CBD (down 4 percent), South Brisbane (down 7 percent), Fortitude Valley (down 5 percent), West End (down 5 percent) and Woolloongabba (down 7 percent).</p>
<p>There are also suburban precincts, particularly in the middle-ring areas, with above-average vacancies too, thanks to over-building of small-to-medium developments of units and townhouses.</p>
<p>But those cautions aside, the Brisbane metro area is a place of busy markets where growth will be found by investors in 2017. It presents as a good hunting ground for those disillusioned by the high prices in Sydney and parts of Melbourne.</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">T<em>erry Ryder is the founder of </em><a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/"><span class="s2"><em>hotspotting.com.au</em></span></a><em>. You can  </em><a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3Cspan%20style=/'display:%20none;/'%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3EThis%20email%20address%20is%20being%20protected%20from%20spambots.%20You%20need%20JavaScript%20enabled%20to%20view%20it.%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20document.write('%3C/');%20document.write('span%3E');%20//--%3E%20%3C/script%3E"><span class="s2"><em>email him</em></span></a><em> or follow him on </em><a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting"><span class="s2"><em>Twitter.</em></span></a></span></p>
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Brisbane property market stronger than numbers suggest: Terry Ryder

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<p>Here’s a one-step guide for identifying a charlatan in the real estate commentary space. Those who claim markets are rising because we have record low interest rates have just identified themselves as pretenders.</p>
<p>With that simple process, we’ve eliminated all the chattering economists in the land and a large chunk of the electronic media glitterati who don’t allow a lack of knowledge get in the way of strong opinions.</p>
<p>They’re the same people who talk about Australian real estate as a single market – e.g. “Australian property prices will rise 5% this year”. This is a red flashing light that the talking head is an idiot. Even discussing one city as a single market is foolhardy (refer last week’s column about Sydney, which highlighted the different scenarios currently in play).</p>
<p>Here’s what passes for analysis with most of these counterfeit commentators: if Event A coincided with Event B, then Event A must have caused Event B – obviously. It’s the first and last refuge of people who know little about real estate dynamics and want to pretend they have something to say.</p>
<p>The problem is that Events A and B also coincided with Events C, D, E, F and G.</p>
<p>The thing about interest rates is that they’ve been at record lows for years. The only recent change is that they’ve gone even lower. They were super low when Sydney and Melbourne were having their big boom, so naturally that must have been the cause, according to those who subscribe to the Event A/Event B theory.</p>
<p>But those super low interest rates failed to cause booms in Brisbane, Adelaide or Canberra, nor in Perth or Darwin which both were going backwards steadily while the Big 2 were surging. Most of regional Australia also failed to boom, although Hobart and regional Tasmania eventually got on board with what I regard as a mini-boom.</p>
<p>So clearly some other forces must have been in play. That’s where Events C, D, E, F and G become relevant. More on that later.</p>
<p>The other thing about the interest rates theory is that it contradicts the lessons of the past. Those who think that “low interest rates = real estate boom” and “rising interest rates = real estate bust” haven’t been students of history.</p>
<p>Genuine nationwide property booms are extremely rare in Australia. ABS data on annual house price growth in Australia’s biggest cities show that, since 1970, there have been only four years in which all the major markets boomed at the same time. Only four years out of the last 50 – two years late in the 1980s and two years in the early part of this century.</p>
<p>During the other 46 years different scenarios have been playing out in different locations, all dictated by local conditions, oblivious to the level of interest rates and other big picture items.</p>
<p>During those two periods when we had national property booms, the late 1980s and the early 2000s, we had high interest rates – much higher than they are today. They kept going higher and the booms kept rolling on. Mortgage rates got as high as 17% before the profligate Eighties finally collapsed.</p>
<p>And it all makes perfect sense. The economy was raging, consumers were confident and spending big, and rates were rising to try to dampen things down. That’s when people are most likely to splurge on real estate.</p>
<p>Interest rates are low now because the national economy is generally rather beige and consumers aren’t that bullish. The exceptions have been Sydney and Melbourne, where the local economies have outperformed the national scenario, boosted by strong population growth and big infrastructure spending.</p>
<p>In trying to understand why markets do what they do, you have to consider both the macro and the micro factors, but paying particular attention to the micro ones.</p>
<p>Here are the macro factors that rolled out one by one to change the general situation from negative 12 months ago to positive now:</p>
<p>1. The Federal Election was decided.</p>
<p>2. The week following the Election, APRA announced relaxations of its lending guidelines.</p>
<p>3. The re-elected Federal Government announced tax cuts.</p>
<p>4. The RBA brought on a series of reductions to the official interest rates.</p>
<p>5. Mainstream media stopped obsessing on negatives and became significantly more upbeat.</p>
<p>6. Consumer sentiment towards real estate started to rise.</p>
<p>7. Buyers started to become active, but supply remained low.</p>
<p>8. Auction clearance rates started to improve.</p>
<p>9. Prices started to react in the big cities.</p>
<p>10. Forecasters published upbeat predictions for 2020 outcomes.</p>
<p>11. The ABS published loans data that showed improvement.</p>
<p>12. Consumer sentiment towards real estate improved further.</p>
<p>13. The federal scheme to boost FHBs clicked in.</p>
<p>14. Etc etc etc.</p>
<p>That’s the big picture. The national climate underpinning real estate improved, with interest rate cuts just one small factor- and overall not that consequential. Labor losing the un-losable Federal Election was probably the biggest one.</p>
<p>But the reality is that the things that matter the most happen at a micro level. Real estate markets are highly individual and arise out of local economies. That explains why Perth and Darwin have been going backwards while Sydney and Melbourne have been booming (and then busting and then recovering), amid stagnation in Brisbane, Canberra, Adelaide and elsewhere.</p>
<p>Local economic events are paramount. Look at Regional Victoria. While Melbourne was descending in 2018 and the first half of 2019, many regional centres in Victoria were experiencing double-digit annual growth in their house prices. Geelong, Ballarat, Bendigo, Warragul, Pakenham, Echuca, Mildura, Benalla and many others experienced strong markets with prices rising.</p>
<p>Regional Victoria is one of the national leaders on important factors like economic performance, population growth, low unemployment and infrastructure spending. Each individual regional centre has its own local dynamics, which provide reasons why local markets will rise or fall.</p>
<p>All of this is good news for property investors, because it means that there are always growth markets to be found, somewhere in Australia.</p>
<p>When people ask “Is this a good time to buy real estate?”, they’re asking the wrong question. A much smarter question would be “Where is it a good time to buy real estate?”</p>
<p>Because in this large and diverse nation, it’s always a good time to buy – somewhere.</p>
<p><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au </em><br><em>ryder@hotspotting.com.au</em><br><em>twitter.com/hotspotting</em></p>
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Housing markets aren't just rising because of record low interest rates:  Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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<div>
<em>Residex</em> released its data and property market update to 31 July which showed house growth over the quarter accelerate to "an astonishing" 7.6% to be 21.2% higher over the year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As the below <em>Residex</em> graphic shows capital growth in Sydney has continued to outstrip by far that seen in other capital cities where average growth for the quarter was under 1%.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Sydney median house prices have now blasted well past $1 million at $1,017,500</div>
<div>
<br>Regional house price growth was relatively soft across all states and territories on this index. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/08/31/Resi1.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/08/31/Resi1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div>
<div>Sydney unit prices also recorded very strong 6.6 per cent quarterly growth to be 15.2 per cent higher over the year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<em>Residex</em> has also recorded very strong growth in rents for houses and units over the past twelve months.</div>
<br><span>On the other hand median prices contracted in resources capitals Perth and Darwin over the past year.</span>
</div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/08/31/Table_1_July_Stats_Summary2.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/08/31/Table_1_July_Stats_Summary2.jpg" alt="" width="765" height="670"></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>These<em> Residex </em>updates are well worth a read.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Discussed in this newsletter is how the increasing population density of Sydney may have contributed to outperforming capital growth.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<em>Residex</em> considers that strong captial growth in Sydney could continue for the next few quarters before stabilising at a high level.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>These<em> Residex </em>updates are well worth a read.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Discussed in this newsletter is how the increasing population density of Sydney may have contributed to outperforming capital growth.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<em>Residex</em> considers that strong captial growth in Sydney could continue for the next few quarters before stabilising at a high level.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
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Astonishing Sydney boom accelerates: Pete Wargent

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<p>The herd mentality and the FOMO syndrome drive far too many investment decisions in Australian real estate.</p>
<p>It helps to explain why most Australians who attempt property investment have a bad experience. </p>
<p>When people are driven by an impulse to do what others are doing (the herd mentality) or to get in because they don’t want to miss all that lovely capital growth they keep hearing about (the FOMO – Fear Of Missing Out – syndrome), they’re buying well after the boom started.</p>
<p>Many investors buy real estate at the peak of the cycle. Worse, some buy after the peak.</p>
<p>People are still out there bidding up prices at Sydney auctions, driven by the FOMO syndrome, unaware that the peak has passed and Sydney’s boom is fading.</p>
<p>It means that fundamentally they are paying too much and destroying their chances of maximizing capital growth.</p>
<p>No one ever got rich following the herd. Some have succeeded by leading the herd but the truly successful people are those who run in the opposite direction to the herd.</p>
<p>People love the comfort of the pack. They would rather be part of a herd stampeding towards a cliff, than detach and run in the opposite direction, towards safety and potential prosperity.</p>
<p>Because of the power of the herd mentality and the FOMO syndrome, most people buy when prices are high.</p>
<p>When the market is down, they stay out of the market. They’ll get back in when they read that the herd is running again.</p>
<p>Crazy stuff. </p>
<p>Right now, the Perth market is down. I’ve been suggesting to people it’s a great time to consider buying there. The Perth market, which was strong in 2011 and 2012, peaked early in 2013.</p>
<p>The heat has long since evaporated from that market, there’s no competition from other buyers, prices have eased off and the buying is good.</p>
<p>You just have to believe that the Western Australian economy has a future and that the Perth property market will rise again.</p>
<p>Taking a long-term view, Perth is a strong market with a great track record. Its 10-year capital growth record is the strongest among the state and territory capital cities, much better than Sydney’s or Melbourne’s.</p>
<p>It has a history of strong population growth and a buoyant economy boosted by its links to the resources sector. It’s currently struggling but that won’t last. </p>
<p>Perth has also shown itself to be resilient during periods of downturn. I don’t expect any major price decline in the current phase, with the exception of oversupplied inner-city apartment markets which should be avoided.</p>
<p>While awaiting recovery in the Perth market, the best strategy to maximise capital growth prospects is to follow the infrastructure trail. Find a location primed to benefit from spending on new infrastructure, especially transport infrastructure, and well-linked to major jobs nodes.</p>
<p>Locations with those qualities include the precincts around Rockingham, Fremantle, Midland and Forrestfield.</p>
<p><em>Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a></em></p>
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The Perth property market will rise again: Terry Ryder

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<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">One of the first things Property Bloom looks at when starting our design work on a development project is not the style of dwellings we'll build or what materials we'll use...it's something a lot less glamorous but vitally important.</span></p>
<p>We look at how to maximise the site area. As part of this, the boring old retaining wall comes into play.</p>
<p> When we assess a site we need to consider if the site will need retaining - most do - even the sites will very little fall will need some retaining after the site is cut - so we need to think about where the retaining walls will be built and the costs associated with building them.</p>
<p>In a perfect world, it would be great to build a retaining wall right on the boundary and share the cost with your neighbour (if their site needs retaining too). In new land estates we can easily negotiate this with our neighbours, however we need to consider more than getting the best result for both our clients and their neighbours.</p>
<p>We need to check with our local council to see  if they have specific requirements around  retaining walls. One council we work with insists retaining walls, footings and their associated drainage be located wholly within the subject property boundaries by a whole whopping metre. This can take up valuable space, but at least we know what we have to do. Other council's are not so clear and it's here we like to try and push the boundaries so to speak, to use all space to our advantage.</p>
<p>If a retaining wall is built on a shared boundary, council may request an easement be set up.  This is not such a big deal but something that needs to be considered.  Our  surveyor is our go to guy in these situations.</p>
<p>We look at the style of retaining wall to use. If we are on a strict budget, then we'll go with timber retaining walls. If we are tight on space and want a nicer finish, then we'll use concrete block retaining which can be purchased in different colours and doesn't need as much width as a timber retaining wall.</p>
<p>Of course, if you need to build a high retaining wall, generally over one meter, then it may need to be engineered. This means an engineer needs to design the wall and you'll have to submit the plans as part of your Development Application.</p>
<p>The best time to build a retaining wall is after the site is cut but before the slabs are laid. This gives the contractors the best access and means this work is taken care of early in the build phase.</p>
<p>I recently had a dispute with someone about whose responsibility it was to pay for an upgrade to a  retaining wall. It can be a grey area. In this case, there was an existing, old retaining wall situated wholly inside this person's side boundary.  They had knocked down the original cottage and built a new house and their land levels had changed as a result.  The properties were on a hill. Many years ago, their back yard had been retained and filled so it was level. The house on the lower side had been built to the natural contours of the land and their back yard fell to the rear.</p>
<p>After the people on the high side finished their new house build, the old retaining wall needed upgrading as it was made of stone blocks and their soil filtered through each time it rained, plus the existing wall was not high enough now works had been completed. In addition, there was more retaining required to the entire side boundary due to the change of levels during construction.</p>
<p>The responsibility for the erection of retaining walls rests with the person who <span style="text-decoration: underline;">excavates or fills</span> their land. It is not up to an adjoining landowner to contribute to the costs of a retaining wall, unless the wall is a common wall to support both cut and fill, for the benefit of both properties, on the common boundary.</p>
<p>To me this was cut and dry - their yard had been retained and filled at some stage (before these owners). They argued that the lower property had at one stage been cut (it hadn't but how do you prove this?).  The situation ended in a difference of opinions and a compromise was made by one party. It could have got ugly but at the end of the day, the additional cost was $500 and we put it down to an investment in future neighbour relations and hoped the neighbour appreciated this.</p>
<p>Works on common boundaries can be tricky business and communication is key but at the end of the day, if your development is going to benefit from a particular style or position of a retaining wall, then it may be easier to include it in the costs of the project and move on, after all the time saved on negotiating disputes can be put to better use.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><em>Jo Chivers is chief executive officer of property development project managers <a href="https://www.propertybloom.com.au/about" target="_blank">Property Bloom</a>.</em></p>
<p> </p>
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jochivers-wq5Bp59R5a

Pushing the boundaries: Jo Chivers

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<p><span>On the last day of the month the Reserve Bank released its </span>Financial Aggregates <span>data for the month of August 2015, which showed another solid month for both housing credit growth (+0.6%) and business credit growth (+0.5%).</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA1.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA1.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<div>Over the year housing (+7.5 per cent) and business (+5.3 per cent) credit has helped to take total private sector credit growth to its highest level since 2008 at +6.3 per cent.</div>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Business credit grows</span></strong></p>
<div>Total business credit outstanding ticked up to above $800 billion, having recovered steadily since the financial crisis.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>Annual credit growth for the business sector increased at its strongest annual pace since February 2009, with Westpac forecasting further moderate gains in the months ahead.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA3.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<div><span><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA3.jpg" alt=""></span></div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Investor loans slowed</span></strong><br><br><div>There has evidently been a little innocent jiggery-pokery by Australia's major lenders when it comes to the splitting of investor and owner-occupier credit.</div>
<br><div>As you can see in the chart below, last month it transpired that tens of billions of dollars of credit had been misreported as owner-occupier credit, when in fact in related to investment housing.<br><br>The direction of the misstatement can hardly come as a shock.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As a result the share of outstanding credit for investment housing is materially higher than previously had been thought (or at least, reported - I expect few market participants would be surprised).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That said, the slow drip of measures taken to douse investor credit first became a trickle and now it is a flow, and it appears that APRA's intervention has now taken the sting right out of the investment lending sector, with some lenders having put the kibosh on new investment loans altogether.<br><br>You can see the impact of the restatement and then APRA's macroprudential measures in the red line below, with the total stock of outstanding credit not rising on a seasonally adjusted basis this month for the first time since 2011.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Overall this is a healthy move for the market, which was at risk of becoming too "top heavy" with investors.<br><br>Although there is no oversupply of dwellings in aggregate, there clearly were too many investors piling into the market which had helped to slow rental growth to a 20 year low.<br><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The return of owner-occupiers</span></strong>
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, it is too simplistic to say that the slowdown in investor lending will automatically put dwelling price growth into reverse gear.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>If there is one thing we know about banks in this country it is that they will look to lend against housing where possible, and as such we can expect lenders to push owner-occupier loans ever harder, using enticing mortgage rates of around 4 per cent to in order to expand home loan books.<br><br>The Reserve Bank Governor himself has predicted that more folk will opt to place themselves as "owner-occupiers" in due course. </div>
<br><div>Indeed, while investor credit is now almost certain to fall below APRA's advisory +10 per cent growth threshold over the next few months, owner-occupier credit has already been picking up the slack in rising by rising by +0.6 per cent in August.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There has been a clear pick-up in the pace of owner-occupier credit growth over the past three months, and annualised home lending growth to owner-occupiers has increased to 43 month high at +5.6 per cent.</div>
<div>
<br>In turn this has helped total home lending credit growth rise to +7.5 per cent, which is now a 59 month high.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA5.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Investor share of credit falls</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The restatement of the categorisation of investor loans saw the total share of investor credit blow out to an unprecedented 38.6 per cent last month.</div>
<div>However, with APRA's cooling measures now taking effect the investor share ticked downwards in August for the first time in 30 months, more evidence that the regulatory intervention will have a material impact on the investor sector.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2015/10/01/RBA6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/10/01/RBA6.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">The wrap</span></strong></p>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall it was another month of strengthening housing credit, with owner-occupiers increasingly willing to take advantage of record low borrowing rates. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Investor credit growth looks set to fall back to an annual growth rate of below 10 per cent, but in total housing credit is still picking up its pace to multi-year highs.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>---</div>
<div> </div>
<div>August was a quieter month for initial capital raised on the Australian Securities Exchange, although there was a strong volume of secondary cap raisings.<br><br>Total capital raised on a rolling annual basis has increased to its highest level since the great flood of recapitalisation over the year to May 2010.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/10/01/ASX-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/10/01/ASX-1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</div>
</div>
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