Developers and apartment buyers have a narrowing window of opportunity before Brisbane's Olympic infrastructure pipeline begins competing directly with residential construction, pushing up costs, tightening labour supply and making new projects increasingly difficult to deliver.

While Brisbane's apartment market continues to benefit from strong population growth and limited housing supply, industry research suggests the years leading up to 2027 could prove to be the most important period for developers looking to secure builders and buyers hoping to purchase before the next wave of price increases.

A new Colliers report, Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games: Creating Solutions, highlights the scale of the challenge. While thousands of new homes are planned across South East Queensland, the Brisbane Olympic Athletes Village alone will deliver more than 10,500 beds during the Games before being converted into around 1,750 to 2,000 apartments. Equivalent to almost two years of typical inner-city apartment supply, the project will also absorb a significant share of the construction workforce and building materials.

The broader construction pipeline paints an even clearer picture.

Construction Skills Queensland's Horizon 2032 report forecasts Queensland's annual construction pipeline will average $69 billion over the coming years before peaking at $75 billion in 2027-28. Demand for construction workers is expected to increase by 17 per cent to almost 150,000 people, with the industry facing an annual shortfall of around 19,000 workers that could blow out to as many as 35,000 during the peak construction period.

The Olympic venues, athletes village and supporting infrastructure will account for billions of dollars worth of work across South East Queensland through to 2032, creating intense competition for labour at a time when Australia's residential construction sector is already under pressure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=373834]

Colliers Queensland Residential Director Andrew Scriven said the convergence of these projects is creating a clear window of opportunity for both developers and buyers.

"From 2027 onwards, the market will shift dramatically," Scriven said.

"Labour will increasingly be locked into government-led infrastructure and Olympic projects, which means private residential developments will face higher costs and tighter margins. The developers who move now are the ones most likely to get projects off the ground."

Scriven said the same dynamic would also affect buyers, with fewer apartment projects expected to launch once construction capacity tightens.

"If you're looking to change your lifestyle over the next five years, now is your window of opportunity to buy."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=373827]

Developers are already positioning themselves ahead of that window.

Following the success of Monarch at Toowong, Consolidated Properties is preparing to launch two new Brisbane apartment projects in the second half of 2026. They include <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gloriette-30-bedivere-street-yeerongpilly-qld-4105">Gloriette</a> at Yeerongpilly Green, a 25-storey tower within one of Brisbane's key Olympic precincts, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a recently approved 25-storey riverfront development at 47 Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

Hutchinson Builders will deliver both projects, with early works already underway at Yeerongpilly and Newstead expected to commence later this year.

The timing comes as Brisbane's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with strong interstate migration, population growth and vacancy rates remaining below 1.5 per cent.

Colliers Queensland researcher Pragya Sharma said Greater Brisbane is forecast to require around 40,000 new apartments between 2021 and 2031.

"There's a real mismatch emerging between when housing is needed and when it will be feasible to build," Sharma said.

"As a result, the period leading up to 2027 presents a key window of opportunity for developers to secure approvals, funding and construction capacity, while buyers will have greater choice before supply constraints intensify."

Colliers research outlines a critical pre-2027 window to start residential projects before labour squeeze: now is the time to buy

Joel Robinson

Developers, buyers on watch in South East Queensland ahead of construction crunch: Colliers

It's taken less than nine months for developer Sherpa Property Group to sell out all 51 apartments in its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-oasis-palm-beach-7-9-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Oasis</a> development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a>, over a year before its anticipated completion.

&nbsp;

Located at 7-9 Sixth Avenue, the $67 million development has resonated strongly with both local owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking high-quality apartments within walking distance of the beach, dining precincts and everyday amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357458]

Christie Leet, Founder of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Group</a>, said the sell-out reflected both the strength of the Palm Beach market and the success of Sherpa's community-first approach to development.

"The sell-out of Oasis is a fantastic outcome and reinforces the strong demand we're seeing for thoughtfully designed apartments in lifestyle locations," Leet said.

"From the outset, our vision was to create a development that genuinely enhanced the Palm Beach community while providing residents with exceptional homes and wellness-focused amenities.

"We've been incredibly encouraged by the level of local support throughout the campaign, 72.5 per cent of buyers are locals, with a significant proportion of purchasers choosing Oasis as their future home rather than an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357463]

Construction is now progressing following development approval, with trusted builder LPS Group delivering the project and completion anticipated in Q3 2027.

Oasis forms part of Sherpa Group's successful Flourish collection, which has become recognised for its focus on wellness, community and elevated coastal living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357469]

Residents will have private access to a rooftop amenity space featuring a pool, gym, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, spa and barbecue facilities.

"The success of Oasis demonstrates that buyers continue to prioritise quality, location and lifestyle," Leet said.

"We are proud to have delivered a project that has resonated so strongly with the market and look forward to bringing Oasis to life for our future residents."

Sherpa recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a>, its third instalment of the Flourish brand in Palm Beach following Flourish Oasis and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151449]

Sherpa sells out Flourish Oasis in booming Palm Beach

Urban Property Group's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/la-vera-macquarie-park-94-talavera-road-macquarie-park-nsw-2113">La Vera</a> is leading the next phase of Macquarie Park's residential evolution, with the new apartment development set to become the first of several new apartment projects in the precinct to complete.

The 169-apartment building has now topped out ahead of its scheduled completion in the third quarter of 2026, as new residential investment continues to reshape one of Sydney's largest employment hubs into a true mixed-use precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=368645]

Cox Architecture has designed La Vera to capture the best of its unique positioning on Talavera Road, orienting the building towards Lane Cove National Park.&nbsp;The building features a sculpted northern façade with flowing curves inspired by the surrounding landscape, while its city-facing elevation adopts a more structured architectural expression to maximise skyline views.

"The vision for the project was to conceive a building that adopted an organic and curvilinear form to the northern portion that faces the Lane Cove National Park," <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a> Director Felipe Miranda said.

"The residents that reside in the northern portion of the building benefit by having beautifully crafted curved balconies that speak to the natural context and heighten the relationship of their internal living spaces to the external balconies."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

La Vera offers a diverse mix of one, two, three, and four-bedroom configurations, with prices currently starting from $740,000. Buyers so far have been a mix of Sydney-based investors,&nbsp;metro commuters, owner-occupiers and downsizers from surrounding North Shore suburbs.

Both investors and owner-occupiers have been drawn to La Vera's proximity to Macquarie University, Macquarie University Hospital, Macquarie Centre and the Sydney Metro, infrastructure that supports both strong rental demand and a convenient lifestyle for residents.

The apartments feature full-height glazing, timber flooring throughout living areas, stone kitchen benchtops, SMEG appliances, floor-to-ceiling bathroom tiling and ducted air conditioning.

Residents will have access to a rooftop recreation level featuring a swimming pool, sauna, barbecue facilities and landscaped relaxation areas, complemented by additional communal space at ground level. Many apartments enjoy uninterrupted views across Lane Cove National Park, reinforcing the project's connection to its natural setting.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=364551]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a>, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly four decades of experience, holds a 4.5-star iCIRT rating and was Australia's first developer to introduce 10-Year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI). La Vera is the first apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/macquarie-park-nsw-2113">Macquarie Park</a> approved to offer the additional insurance protection, alongside a five-year warranty on SMEG appliances.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said the additional protection reflects changing buyer expectations in the off the plan market.

"Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. Having LDI is a tool to portray the confidence that we have in our product, and a confidence we want buyers to share," Elias said.

Following completion of the building later this year, buyers will move into their apartments well before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134951]

La Vera closes in on completion as Macquarie Park continues residential transformation

Brisbane developer Red &amp; Co's decision to include dual key apartments in its debut Gold Coast apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/como-varsity-lakes-22-lake-street-varsity-lakes-qld-4227">COMO Varsity Lakes</a>, is proving to be one of the project's biggest drawcards, with buyers quickly snapping up the flexible residences.

More than half of the project's 36 dual key apartments have already sold, helping drive COMO beyond the 50 per cent sold mark within the first month of launch.

The strong response highlights growing demand for apartment designs that can adapt to changing lifestyles, with buyers increasingly looking for homes that accommodate multi-generational living, provide rental income opportunities or simply offer greater flexibility over time.

Located on the shores of Lake Orr, COMO will deliver 156 apartments across 16 levels, with the dual-key residences forming a limited release within the broader development.

Each combines a primary two-bedroom apartment with a fully self-contained studio on a single title, connected by a shared foyer and lockable internal door. The design allows owners to house ageing parents, adult children or guests while maintaining privacy, or lease the secondary residence to generate additional income.

Just 17 of the original 36 dual key apartments remain available.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=367096]

The innovative configuration combines two fully self-contained residences on a single title, typically comprising a primary two-bedroom apartment alongside a separate studio residence, connected via a shared foyer and lockable internal door.&nbsp;

The model is proving particularly attractive to owner occupiers navigating changing family dynamics and the realities of the current housing crisis.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363511]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/npa">NPA</a>&nbsp;CEO Andrew Erwin said dual key living was resonating strongly with modern buyers because it delivered both financial flexibility and practical lifestyle benefits.&nbsp;

“The housing crisis and rising cost of living are fundamentally changing how Australians think about home ownership,” Erwin said.&nbsp;

“Dual key apartments provide a genuine solution for families who want to stay connected while maintaining independence. Parents can help adult children save for a future home, ageing parents can remain nearby without moving into aged care, and owners still retain privacy and flexibility.

“Importantly, buyers are also recognising the financial advantages. It creates the opportunity to generate additional income from part of the home without the holding costs associated with owning a separate investment property.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363509]

Unlike traditional dual occupancy arrangements, the residences operate under a single title, meaning owners only incur one set of body corporate fees, council rates and holding costs.&nbsp;

The secondary residence can also evolve over time - functioning as guest accommodation, a home office, creative studio or private retreat before later becoming an income-producing asset.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/red-co">Red &amp; Co</a>&nbsp;Director and Co-Founder David Laverty said the strong early sales reflected growing buyer urgency and changing priorities within the market.&nbsp;

“Securing more than half of COMO’s residences within such a short timeframe is an outstanding result and a clear endorsement of both the design and location,” Laverty said.&nbsp;

“Buyers are responding to the combination of location, connectivity and amenity, but ultimately it’s value relative to other East Coast markets that is driving enquiry.”&nbsp;

“We’re also seeing strong interest from owner occupiers looking for homes that can adapt with them over time. Flexibility has become one of the most important considerations for buyers in today’s market.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363515]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, COMO features a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom residences with 2.7-metre ceilings and larger-format floorplans aimed at owner occupiers, downsizers and lifestyle-focused buyers.&nbsp;

The development will feature an extensive rooftop recreation and wellness offering including a 25-metre lap pool, sundeck, barbecue and dining areas, gym, sauna, plunge baths, landscaped gardens, wellness spaces and rooftop pickleball and paddleball courts.

The remaining dual key apartments range from 137 sqm to 167 sqm and include generous three-bedroom layouts with separate self-contained studio accommodation and dual parking.&nbsp;

Erwin said the dual key concept represented a broader shift in how Australians would live in the future.

“People want homes that can evolve with their lives,” he said.&nbsp;

“A dual key apartment can suit a family today, support an ageing parent tomorrow, and potentially generate income later on. That adaptability is becoming incredibly valuable in the current environment.”

Prices currently range from $2,115,750 to $2,583,000.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135546]

Inter-generational living drives demand for COMO’s dual key apartments as housing pressures reshape buyer priorities 

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ceerose">Ceerose</a> has doubled down on its Leichhardt ambitions, lodging its second State Significant Development Application (SSDA) in the suburb in the last six months.

Their newest proposal seeks to transform a former industrial precinct into a new residential community centred around the adaptive reuse of one of the site's heritage warehouse buildings.

The new project, on a 6,930 sqm block at&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-76-william-street-leichhardt-nsw-2040">40–76 William Street</a>, will bring more than 200 apartments to a suburb that has seen little to no new supply in recent years. It follows Ceerose's late 2025 SSDA for a mixed-use apartment project on nearby Parramatta Road, signalling the developer's growing investment in Sydney's Inner West.

Ceerose Founder Edward Doueihi told Apartments.com.au the developer’s long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West had given it a strong understanding of how the area has evolved and where its future opportunities lie.

“Ceerose has had a long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West, giving us a unique understanding of the area’s evolution and future potential,” Doueihi said.

“Having delivered projects throughout the region, we have witnessed the suburb’s transformation first-hand and understand the opportunities for its continued growth.”

Doueihi said that understanding also informed the planning process, with a comprehensive Stakeholder Engagement Outcomes Report prepared before the application was lodged.

The report identified the key issues and concerns raised by neighbouring residents and other stakeholders, allowing those matters to be considered and incorporated into the design where appropriate.

He said the delivery of additional housing would also play an important role in supporting the revitalisation of Norton Street and the Italian Forum.

“By increasing the local residential population, the development is expected to strengthen demand for local businesses, encourage further investment, and help restore the vibrancy that made the precinct a thriving destination in the early 2000s.”

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7258c54c-8167-479e-8361-2d5fca9915b4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010B%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%202.jpg?VersionId=S9DQfxu_jpcB5LrAEYFUbyMzg5odW6i5" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the redevelopment would involve the demolition of four existing industrial buildings while retaining and adaptively reusing the site's most significant warehouse. The retained structure would anchor a new residential precinct comprising five interconnected buildings arranged around a large central landscaped courtyard, with heights stepping from five storeys along the surrounding residential streets to 11 storeys at the William Street corner.

According to the Architecture Design Report by Woods Bagot, the proposal "seeks to create a residential village centred around a generous green heart while celebrating the site's industrial heritage through the adaptive reuse of the existing warehouse building."

The development would comprise 203 apartments, with 188 proposed as build-to-sell residences, alongside 15 affordable housing apartments.

Rather than treating the retained warehouse as a standalone heritage object, Woods Bagot has sought to weave the site's industrial history throughout the masterplan. The proposal retains the north and west facades of the landmark corner warehouse, while new buildings reinterpret the site's brick-and-steel industrial language through their material palette and architectural expression.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9e8c64c2-881b-49e1-8c90-6b6acaaa45b6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010C%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%203.jpg?VersionId=Qm8_8H_Xrg_sc4Mdjc59vlAcKF_5wRTb" />

The design is organised around what Woods Bagot describes as a "green heart", a landscaped communal open space that reinstates the leafy character removed when the site became an industrial storage facility. A new pedestrian laneway running through the site would improve permeability between William, North and Francis streets, linking residents through landscaped public spaces while activating the ground plane.

Residents would have access to communal gardens and shared recreation areas distributed throughout the development. Sustainability has also been prioritised, with the project targeting an average 7.9-star NatHERS rating. Proposed initiatives include rooftop solar generation, rainwater harvesting, passive solar design, naturally ventilated lobbies, extensive cross-ventilation and the reuse of existing building fabric to reduce embodied carbon.

The adaptive reuse strategy became a defining feature of the application after heritage investigations found only one of the site's industrial buildings could feasibly be retained. The Heritage Impact Statement concludes that preserving the key warehouse façades while referencing the site's industrial character throughout the new development provides an appropriate balance between renewal and conservation.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="efffafdb-594f-4e2b-a067-921fd51c05e1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010D%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%204.jpg?VersionId=DPmE4.k16YRt0i27hEZVtJAffarpvUfx" />

"Retention and adaptation of the site buildings has been explored but found not to be feasible except for the tallest building, whose street facades will be retained," the heritage report states.

"The proposed building will interpret the brick and steel character of the subject site, including reuse of some components and construction of a large 'sawtooth' structure in the proposed open space."

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3bfef2b5-83f5-40cd-9cab-767092f34266" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010E%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%205.jpg?VersionId=7asb3i_ql4ybbuJOUb5UHBEIy0Q9t.DF" />

The William Street site is located around 300 metres from Leichhardt North Light Rail station and a short walk to Norton Street's retail, dining and hospitality precinct. The surrounding area has increasingly become a focus for urban renewal given its proximity to public transport and the Parramatta Road corridor.

Doueihi founded Ceerose in 1998 and has grown the business to become one of Sydney's more active apartment developers in recent years, with completed projects including The Alex Collective in Alexandria, Abbie's Lane in Annandale, and the award-winning Munro House in Elizabeth Bay. They are currently delivering Belgravia, 17 luxury apartments in Potts Point.

First look: Ceerose doubles down in Leichhardt with adaptive reuse of former warehouse site

Policy

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The increasing expenditure associated with Australia’s ageing population will necessitate reforms to the country’s taxation system, according to the latest Economics Group Research Note from the Housing Industry Association of Australia (HIA).
With the number of Australians aged 85 and over projected to grow from 455,000 to 1 million in the next 25 years, the country’s working population is expected to decline in relation to the number of senior financial dependents. The country's shifting age demographics are likely to intensify public expenditure pressures, with HIA claiming that the residential construction sector will play a direct role in Australia’s response to the ageing population.
Currently, the Public Budget Office estimates that the structural budget balance will remain in deficit in 2016/17. As such, in its report HIA advocates a series of structural taxation reforms extending to the housing construction sector to help manage Australia’s shrinking taxation base.
The report states that new housing is Australia’s “most heavily and inefficiently taxed sector”, contributing about $40 billion 11% of total taxation revenue per year across all levels of government.
“Taxes on new housing are not only excessive, but are disproportionate relative to the rate of taxation on other sectors of the economy – the average tax burden on the residential building sector is estimated at around 31% of the value of output, which compares to an economy-wide average of 24.4%,” writes HIA in the report, titled Housing: Paving the Road to Recovery?
Citing the 2010 Ken Henry Tax Review, HIA also criticises stamp duties as inefficient and providing a disincentive for older Australians to move to more appropriate dwellings. In the final recommendations of Australia’s Future Tax System, Henry advises that “ideally, there would be no role for any stamp duties, including conveyancing stamp duties, in a modern Australian tax system”. Instead, the review recommends a broad land tax.
HIA’s report also raises the issue of providing adequate housing stock to meet growing demand. Pointing to legislative barriers to housing supply, the industry body claims there is a shortage of housing stock and inflating home ownership and rental prices.
Although housing supply is largely regulated by state and local governments, HIA claims that the federal government can take action to increase new housing stock, such as tying funding to public and social housing delivery benchmarks.
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jrichardson-uRX5hFdKfN

Housing taxation reform required to deal with ageing population: HIA

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Close to 100 countries have signed up to a new set of tax principles to govern how goods and services are taxed across borders.
But local retailers are unsure as to what kind of pressure the international consensus will have in Australia, where state and territory governments are yet to reach an agreement about changing the $1000 <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/finance/tax/35217-lowering-the-gst-import-threshold-will-require-careful-political-management" target="_blank">GST threshold for online purchases</a> from offshore suppliers.
Representatives from 86 countries endorsed the guidelines from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development in Tokyo, Japan, on April 18 as part of the OECD Global Forum on VAT.
The <a href="https://www.oecd.org/ctp/consumption/governments-endorse-new-oecd-guidelines-on-applying-vat-across-borders.htm" target="_blank">guidelines</a>, which represent the first internationally agreed framework for applying value-added tax across national borders, aim to help countries avoid both double-taxation and under-taxation. The guidelines relate to two areas: VAT neutrality and ensuring taxes on business-to-business trade is services are destination-based.
The level at which GST is applied to online purchases from offshore suppliers in Australia is a hotly-contested issue, with many local retailers arguing that lowering the threshold from $1000 to a much smaller amount such as $20 would create a more even playing field.
The Productivity Commission <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/growth/economy/23452-20111209-productivity-commission-shoots-down-online-gst-argument-but-pushes-for-changes-to-postal-costs--trading-hours-and-zoning-laws" target="_blank">examined the issue in 2011</a> but found that the cost of collecting GST on online purchases at a threshold of $20 would far outweigh the benefit.
Australian National Retailers Association executive director Russell Zimmerman told SmartCompany while there has been “robust discussion” on the topic between the federal government and retailers, he is unsure as to how much pressure the OECD guidelines will have added to the local debate.
However, Zimmerman said the endorsement “does show that every country is concerned” about international tax arrangements.
Zimmerman said the OECD guidelines may have more of an impact on multinational companies who use corporate structures across various territories to attempt to avoid their tax obligations.
State and territory ministers were <a href="https://www.smartcompany.com.au/legal/politics/41170-push-to-lower-online-gst-threshold-re-intensifies-as-pm-meets-with-retail-chiefs" target="_blank">due to make a decision about the threshold in March</a> but an agreement was hampered by the elections in Tasmania and South Australia. “It’s fair to say that the issue will go to another cabinet meeting,” says Zimmerman of the next step.
Zimmerman said the ARA hopes the recent elevation to NSW Premier of former treasurer Mike Baird, a strong supporter of lowering the GST threshold, will spur the debate.
This article first appeared on <a href="https://www.SmartCompany.com.au" target="_blank">SmartCompany</a>.
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jake-cSmGT7VXVf

Almost 100 countries sign GST agreement: Pressure mounts on Australian government

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The National Rental Affordability Scheme (NRAS) looks set for a major shakeup by the government, following suggestions it has been <a href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/rudds-housing-gift-to-students/story-fn59niix-1226843122005" target="_blank">hijacked by universities</a> to develop subsidised studio apartments for wealthy international students, and that foreign investors, brokers and small time investors are <a href="https://www.theaustralian.com.au/higher-education/top-end-of-town-rorted-nras-scheme/story-e6frgcjx-1226855021305" target="_blank">exploiting</a> NRAS tax breaks.
It is true that about 20% of dwellings approved for NRAS subsidies are student accommodation. About 25% of these (5% of all the housing produced, or around 1000 dwellings) are apparently let to foreign students. Whether they are indeed wealthy is another question, though it’s clear some fine tuning of NRAS eligibility might be warranted.
At the same time, it could equally be argued that the increased supply of subsidised units in high rent areas around universities will create some downward pressure on rents to the benefit of all tenants in the area.
Indeed, even if some units are rented to people outside the initial target group, by far the more important concern should be the failure of the scheme to achieve anything like its supply target.
Failing to meet targets
To make a real difference for low income renters in major cities, NRAS needs to impact market rents by providing a genuine alternative at the local level. But against an initial target of 50,000 dwellings, more than six years in NRAS has stimulated construction of only about 20,000 new rental properties nationally. At this scale the supply effect of the scheme is minimal. So we are effectively left with another form of welfare housing – albeit for working households – which also means an emphasis on eligibility and targeting, and thus the worry about overseas students.
For more than 20 years governments in Australia have tried to attract private investors in ways that are sometimes creative, and sometimes crude. Examples include public-private toll roads, or the sell-off of once public assets like Qantas. Reducing public debt, increasing efficiency, improved choice for consumers and increased accountability are among the reasons given.
But there are two sides to this ledger, and recruiting market operators to deliver policy objectives carries inevitable costs. This might be in the form and distribution of services, the final cost to consumers, and the ethical behaviour of self-interested investors and providers.
Australia’s skewed housing market
NRAS was designed to induce private investors into providing affordable rental housing. The cost of housing is not just a problem for lower income households unable to afford decent and secure accommodation. Unavailability of affordable housing, especially in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Perth, has much wider social, economic and environmental consequences.
Many lower paid workers are forced to choose between spending more than half their income on rent, or commuting long distances – if they are able to access work at all – and bearing the cost in time, money and family life. When unemployment or family breakdowns happen, the next step is often homelessness, which can so easily begin a cycle of social exclusion.
When the population is growing and there is undersupply of housing, rents rise to meet the repayment commitments of mortgage holders. These in turn are driven upwards by speculation. The same process adds to insecurity for tenants as landlords turn property over to realise their capital gains.
Of course negative gearing already allows investors to reduce the cost of housing investments. By offsetting interest payments, maintenance and other costs, investors reduce their taxable income. Despite plenty of opponents, governments have retained it for fear that investors will desert the rental property sector. But as its critics point out, negative gearing directs the biggest benefits to the most expensive properties and provides an incentive to upgrade property and charge more rent.
NRAS is also a tax benefit, but it provides a fixed rebate of around A$10,000 a year for ten years. Investors can claim the rebate so long as a property is rented through an approved non-profit housing manager at 20% below the market rate. Potential tenants are means tested. In this way NRAS sought to keep investors in the affordable sector for the longer term. If they sell early in order to realise capital gains then the benefit is lost. It also means that low income tenants are less exposed to unexpected rent rises and unscrupulous landlords.
Beware xenophobia
Concerns about international and small investors exploiting NRAS tax benefits appear to be misplaced if not simply mischievous. The main purpose of NRAS is to make affordable housing at least as attractive to investors as short term capital gains. It was intended to stimulate exactly the kind of activity that its critics describe. Indeed if it was really a “cash cow for canny investors” then a lot more new housing might have been built.
Pointing to international investors and students as somehow ripping off Australian taxpayers through NRAS plays directly into xenophobic fears about Asian interest in Australian property. The question must be asked: is a locally based speculator with an interest in short term capital gains preferable to an international investor committed to providing affordable rental housing in Australia for at least ten years?
In his review Housing Minister Kevin Andrews should carefully consider whether NRAS should be allowed to fulfil its aim of creating a viable long term investment option in affordable rental housing.
Should it be expanded so that it puts downward pressure on rents in our major cities, or should it be reduced to another welfare housing program?
If the government prefers closely targeted housing then a market/private sector driven scheme is surely not the way to go, while if private investment is to power the housing system then we have to accept that the property investment market is now a global one.
Michael Darcy is director of Urban Research Centre at University of Western Sydney.
Michael Darcy receives funding from Pacific Link Housing; and the Australian Research Council. He is a former Board member of NSW Shelter and has had a research partnership with the Tenants Union of NSW. He is a member of the ALP.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>. 
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NRAS fears are misplaced

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The National Rental Affordability Scheme (NRAS), which brings new rentals 20% below market rent into existence through incentives to developers, has come under fire over the past week.
Just today, it has been announced that 20 new townhouses are available under NRAS in Redcliffe, with the Minister for Housing and Public Works Tim Mander noting that it's families who are their target.
“The development on John Street includes 28 townhouses, with 20 of those to be offered under the NRAS initiative," said Mander.
“I would like to congratulate Aspire Housing Group and Zest Homes for delivering a quality development that will go a long way to helping people find an affordable place to live.”
They have recently past the 7,000 mark for NRAS dwellings built in Queensland.
“NRAS is important because it increases the supply of new affordable rental housing, and also provides a real alternative to social housing for low to moderate income households," he said.
Property Observer has previously <a href="/expert-insights/scrapping-nras-should-the-affordability-scheme-continue">explored whether the scheme deserves to be scrapped</a>, however its future is still uncertain.
The $4.5 billion project is said to be all but dead by The Australian, who noted that senior government sources had told them that it will face a ‘revamp’ to deliver savings in the budget. This comes after the current round of NRAS applications, round five, has been put on ice, which they reported saw applications for the 80,000 incentives halted.
There have been numerous concerns over the scheme, one of which has been the trading of NRAS entitlements, which has been referred on to ASIC. Another has been the number of ‘wealthy’ international students apparently living in this accommodation. The Australian pointed to commonwealth figures suggesting that of 19,000 tenants of the NRAS scheme, 1,500 are international students.
However, this point in particular has been heavily contested by The Fifth Estate columnist Willow Aliento investigation who believes they’ve run their numbers incorrectly – mistaking 19,000 ‘incentives’ for 19,000 ‘tenants’. The Fifth Estate also reports that the Greens’ Senator Scott Ludlam, who said that NRAS works but that they need more, with super funds and institutional investors not touching the scheme.
At the end of the day, even for individual investors there are significant pros and cons to the scheme that <a href="/expert-insights/investing/keep-an-open-mind-about-the-national-rental-affordability-scheme">have had some commentators asking for an open mind to be kept</a>, and others, notoriously, saying they’d <a href="/news/i-d-rather-stick-a-fork-in-my-eye-than-buy-nras-todd-hunter">rather stick a fork in their eye than buy it</a>.
Readers, what do you think:
{module Is this the end of NRAS?}
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Is this the end of NRAS? Frozen fifth round of applications

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Slated negative gearing and property tax changes are discussed almost every year, but it is increasingly likely that the upcoming May budget is one of the most likely to include changes to this policy.
Property Observer reported a year ago that <a href="/expert-insights/finance/government-not-contemplating-changes-to-negative-gearing-wayne-swan">former treasurer Wayne Swan was not contemplating any changes at the time</a>, despite much discussion about negative gearing alterations. It appears that current treasurer Joe Hockey, however, may have different ideas.
But who is going to get stung by changes, if there are any? Propell National Valuers shares their thoughts about how residential real estate may see its owners becoming stung with the implications.
They point to the following:
1) WHAT: The exemption of the family home from asset calculations when achieving the pension may come under scrutiny.
WHY: It can encourage retirees to be asset rich and income poor, encouraging them to own and live in a property that's bigger and more expensive than they need. This will become even more pronounced if the <a href="/expert-insights/joe-hockey-flags-plans-to-raise-retirement-age">extra five years in the workforce, as suggested by Joe Hockey, is brought in</a>.
THE IMPACT: Retirees with properties above the median price may look to then sell these properties, cash out and downsize. This would be a one-off market impact that would soften prices in some sectors over the short-term, but would "likely be absorbed within a year," according to Propell.
2) WHAT: Taxation allowances of negative gearing could be abolished or curtailed.
WHY: The introduction in 1985 has seen tax revenue grow, from reducing personal income tax by $600 million originally to close to $4 billion, according to the Grattan Institute.
THE IMPACT: There would be enormous short-term political backlash. It would potentially result in the transfer of wealth from "one class of people to another and the losers have been first home buyers in particular", providing a benefit to our FHBs.
OTHER OPTIONS: Grandfathering negative gearing out, limiting it to new properties (both of which have been suggested on SBS), phasing it out or toughening the rules. The limitations of negative gearing to new properties has been suggested heavily in the media lately (citing off the record comments from different government departments). If you are an investor using negative gearing to offset your loss, then there is a chance here that you will find yourself facing a greater shortfall.
However, "If the system is not changed this year, then property investors can probably relax in the knowledge that it will become a permanent feature of the investment landscape," Propell suggests, noting that this year is the most likely in which it will happen.
We've previously taken it to the experts and <a href="/expert-insights/finance/should-negative-gearing-be-changed-the-experts-have-their-say">asked, 'Should negative gearing be changed?' Here are their opinions</a>.
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Who will get stung by negative gearing and tax changes?

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Investors should expect regulations that allow self-managed superannuation funds to borrow to buy property to come under government scruitiny in the coming months, an expert in the area has said.
In February, Assistant Treasurer Arthur Sinodinos ruled out a specific review into limited recourse borrowing arrangements which SMSFs use when taking out loans to buy property.
Macquarie Bank executive director David Shirlow told Property Observer it was unlikely that the government would change its position, despite Senator Sinodinos standing aside and Finance Minister Mathias Cormann taking over as Acting Assistant Treasurer.
“Whilst the prospect of a separate and specific review of the matter is off the policy agenda for the time being, there are still some live policy issues in borrowing through super,” said Shirlow, who specialises in SMSFs and sits on the board of the SMSF Professionals’ Association of Australia (SPAA).
He said some stakeholders had argued that it was inappropriate for SMSFs to borrow for property investment at all, and that further constraints on advice provided regarding limited recourse borrowing arrangements and product offerings could be considered.
The arrangements are likely to be examined as part of the Financial System Inquiry, which is due to publish an interim report in mid-2014 and a final report by November.
Numerous submissions to the Inquiry have called for government to review SMSF borrowing and put in place additional consumer protection measures and education for trustees.
Big four accounting firm KPMG noted in its submission that super funds were tax-exempt in the pension phase, which provided incentives for SMSFs to invest in long-term assets such as residential property, and even more so if the property was negatively geared.
The Institute of Chartered Accountants in Australia strongly encouraged a review of existing arrangements to ascertain whether borrowing was appropriate and, if it was, to ensure the right legislative and regulatory frameworks were in place.
Mid-tier accounting firm Chan &amp; Naylor called for urgent action to create a dedicated national SMSF educational framework, lead by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC), to teach the public about the merits and pitfalls of SMSF investments.
The Reserve Bank of Australia noted that SMSFs borrowing could expose members to greater financial risks (including excessive concentration in a single asset) than they understood they were taking.
CPA Australia raised concerns about the appropriateness of advice received by SMSF trustees and members, and potential misinformation being provided by unlicensed advisers such as real estate agents, mortgage brokers and property developers.
Shirlow said ASIC considered itself to have jurisdiction, under the Corporations Act, over some aspects of property sales people giving advice on limited recourse borrowing arrangements.
“Stakeholders such as SPAA would argue that there should be some more definite consumer protection rules in place to make sure that property spruiking is not going to lead to disaster,” he added.
The Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia has previously advocated for advice to SMSFs on asset classes such as investment property and limited recourse loans to be provided only through licensed financial planners.
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Investors should expect SMSF borrowing to come under greater government scrutiny

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A new scheme, to be seen from 1 July this year, will provide the long-term unemployed with an added incentive to get a job. The government will pay for removalists' fees, bond and rent for those who relocate to get work.
A total $157 million of funding will be in part for this scheme, which is available to those aged 18 to 30 years, if they stay in a job for 24 months. They will receive $2,500 for staying in work for 12 months, and a $4,000 bonus for working for two years. A further $40 million is offered to those needed to relocate for a job.
This will see up to $6,000 to be available to those who move to a regional area, and $3,000 for those relocating to a city. Families could receive another $3,000. In total, unemployed parents with children could receive up to $9,000 in funding.
These payments will be to assist with rent, relocation costs such as removalists, and their bond. They will need to collect the receipts and have them for reimbursement.
Last Thursday, Minister for Employment, Eric Abetz, said that greater incentives needed to be provided, despite total employment rising.
These incentives included a Job Commitment Bonus, of up to $6,500, as mentioned above, that encourages long-term unemployed Australians to find a job, a Seniors Employment Incentive payment of up to $3,250, and the Tasmanian Jobs Programme which provides an incentive to businesses to employ job seekers who have been out of work for six months or more.
“Whilst employment figures can fluctuate from month to month, the growth in employment is welcome,” Abetz said of the latest numbers.
<blockquote>
The level of assistance is an increase on past schemes, however is now different between metro and regional areas, and offers extra to families.
</blockquote>
The Social Security Legislation Amendment (Increased Employment Participation) Bill 2014 also notes that in order to be eligible, the workers will need to have been receiving Newstart Allowance or Youth Allowance Other (not as an apprentice or full time student) for 12 months. They need to remain in work and off benefits for a minimum period of 12 months.
The bonus will be awarded even if the individual is in multiple jobs, rather than one continuous, provided they stay off of benefits. Self-employment qualifies, but other work is excluded, including work in the sex industry.
All the bonuses are tax free.
The 'Relocation Assistance to Take Up a Job' programme is the replacement for 'Move 2 Work', which expires on 30 June 2014.
The level of assistance looks to increase overall, however is now different between metro and regional areas, and offers the excess to families, which it did not before.
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Unemployed? Government will cover rent, bond and removalist if you relocate for work

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The purchase of domestic real estate, and in particular residential real estate, is a topic that frequently attracts a lot of attention.
That’s nothing new; some of the same ‘concerns’ we hear and read about today have all been aired before. At various times and across different markets we have, for instance, seen big in-flows of money from Japan and the Middle East.
However offshore investment into our housing market always tends to be a touchy subject. I think that we should not see this as threatening or abnormal and as far as new projects are concerned, the impact of these buyers needs to be seen in the greater context of the total market.
It is unfortunate that currently any negatives surrounding this debate are being fuelled by a number of factors. Key among these is the reality that the inflow of funds is not aligned with our general market conditions. So as we see prices increase, and in some markets this may be impacting first time buyers, some blame is being attributed to offshore buyers. But there is also a clear benefit from the fact that demand in total is now driving a big increase in construction activity, and that is at a time when the local economy needs that stimulus.
Key motivations
Part of the reality of this trend is the fact that across Asia and in particular from China there is a weight of money available for investment. some of that money is regardless of any policy settings, naturally going to flow into our residential property. But are the key motivations of buyers necessarily any foundation for concern? I suggest that these buyers are in the main driven by motivations that we are all familiar with.
Accepting that almost all markets now operate on a global basis, offshore buyers will be motivated by quality of life, economic stability, good infrastructure – this includes both hard infrastructure like roads and everyday services such as power and water, but also soft infrastructure and a big item there is education and medical facilities. Lastly offshore buyers are attracted by political stability. A quick tally would clearly give Australia a big tick on all of these items and so it’s a good and appealing place to call home.
<blockquote>
There is clear benefit from the fact that housing demand is now driving a big increase in construction activity, and that is at a time when the local economy needs that stimulus.
</blockquote>
We also now have in Australia inter-generational changes that are reinforcing family ties and these are a big influence. it’s worth keeping in mind that we have seen this trend before. In particular as post-World War Two and post Vietnam brought about new waves of population growth.
I think that it’s easy to identify with these motivations, and also like most of us, it is the stability of the Australian lifestyle that is a strong appeal.
SENATE REVIEW
However now, and somewhat predictably, The Treasurer has asked the Senate <a href="https://www.aph.gov.au/Parliamentary_Business/Committees/House_of_Representatives_Committees?url=economics/index.htm" target="_blank">House Standing Committee on Economics</a> to inquire into and report on Australia’s foreign investment policy as it applies to residential real estate.
A key starting point is the principle of Australia’s foreign investment policy, as it applies to residential property, is that the investment should increase Australia’s housing stock and as such this includes new developments that aim to deliver benefits to the local building industry and its suppliers. Which is now starting to happen.
Off-shore or foreign investors cannot generally buy established homes; however, temporary residents can apply to purchase one established dwelling to use as their residence while in Australia.
Despite these conditions and in view of some of the concerns already outlined the Committee has been asked to examine:
<ul>
<li>The economic benefits of foreign investment in residential property;</li>
<li>Whether such foreign investment is directly increasing the supply of new housing and bringing benefits to the local building industry and its suppliers;</li>
<li>How Australia’s foreign investment framework compares with international experience; and</li>
<li>Whether the administration of Australia’s foreign investment policy relating to residential property can be enhanced.</li>
</ul>
This looks like a quick review with the Committee’s report due in early October 2014.
LET’S NOT FORGET OTHER POLICIES
If as it appears the Senate Review is partly in response to helping keep homes affordable in particular for the FHB market, then it would also be an ideal time for government to look at how much government charges and red-tape adds to the cost of a home.
Stamp duty for example is levied on the GST already built into the cost of a new home, and development delays almost defy reason without any real benefits.
Could all levels of government be more engaged in creating a positive environment for new housing by direct leadership and by ensuring a more collaborative, results focused view among decision makers that directly or indirectly impacts housing supply and costs.
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Offshore buyers are here to stay

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As widely expected the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decided again to leave the cash rate in a holding pattern for the seventh straight meeting although somewhat surprising the rhetoric was considerably different this time around.
Sydney is the elephant in the room with house prices jumping 15.6% in the last year according to RP Data, although I would add that this is a lazy way of explaining and defining the property markets across Sydney given they are all performing differently – some are hot and some are not.
Back to the RBA where in an extraordinary week we heard both Glenn Stevens and treasury secretary Martin Parkinson publicly declaring that Australia needs to be closely looking at and discussing taxes and government spending. Well not before time. We are fast drawing the conclusion that the elected ones in Canberra have absolutely no idea how to run a business – they appear to be the only ones who don’t believe that the rate of GST needs to be increased.
Reading between the lines there was a clear concern about what will be brought down in the May budget with a clear indication together with framed criticism by Glenn Stevens: “Put simply, there are things that we want to do as a society, and have voted for, that are not fully funded by taxes over the medium term, as is starting to become clear in the lead up to the May budget.”
<blockquote>
As strange as it might sound, I’m looking forward to seeing the cash rate increases.
</blockquote>
Personally I think it is fabulous when the likes of Messrs Parkinson and Stevens have the fortitude to publicly speak their minds by firing shots at the government on the eve of the budget. Let’s fill in a few gaps – NDIS and paid parental leave are the main culprits to which they were referring.
A perfect case in hand that should be at the forefront of the Abbott government's mind is that $16.2 billion Building and Education Revolution, the master class of the Rudd and Gillard terms which has now been condemned as an international case study of legislative and bureaucratic failure. Reading between the lines again, it would appear that Messrs Stevens and Parkinson are politely pointing out that the Australian economy can ill afford repeats of policy failures.
When you’ve been selling real estate for nearly 30 years, interest rates scare the living daylights out of you! And, as strange as it might sound, I’m looking forward to seeing the cash rate increases. Many economists are suggesting that this will happen in 2015 although I am of the opinion we will start seeing increases sooner rather than later with small increment increases.
<img src="/images/2014/04/07/simeon-april-7-one.jpg" alt="">
<img src="/images/2014/04/07/simeon-april-7-two.jpg" alt="">
<a href="https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/housing-bubble-fears-property-prices-could-fall-10-to-20-per-cent-20140331-35sg7" target="_blank" title="Housing bubble fears: property prices could fall 10 to 20 per cent">Housing bubble fears: property prices could fall 10 to 20%</a> was an interesting piece by Christopher Joye although it lacks market definition. Yes, certain parts of the Australian real estate market are over inflated, those being the new suburbs crashing through the $1,000,000 mark for the very first time which will, as history has shown, be the hardest and fastest hit. By comparison the traditional markets such as Paddington, Mosman, Pymble and Bondi, for example, are tracking upwards although at nowhere near the pace of the hotspot suburbs.
I can see the cash rate moving from its current rate of 2.50% to 3.50% next year which will in time place a number of households under increasing financial pressure, although we have seen this happen time and time again. Most notably in the early 2000s the cash rate fell from 6.25% in <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/cash-rate/cash-rate-1997-2001" target="_blank" title="September 2000 to 4.25 per cent in December 2001">September 2000 to 4.25% in December 2001</a>. We then witnessed dramatic market corrections in south-west Sydney as the cash rate started climbing to <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/statistics/cash-rate/cash-rate-2008-2014" target="_blank" title="7.25 per cent in March 2008">7.25% in March 2008</a> where it then started being eased to where we find it today at 2.50%.
So what amazes me more is that currently we are seeing record numbers of investors entering the market, which can be best described as panic buying – investors now make up 40% of value of total housing loan approvals in NSW and Victoria. So when and where we do see property market corrections this is when we see the astute investors entering the market – the experienced ones are certainly keeping their powder dry.
What this does clearly identify is that politicians and investors pay very little attention to history where more often than not they become part of history.
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When it comes to interest rates investors should learn a bit from history

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The Gold Coast is set to have a new central business district at Southport, which is to undergo an economic and commercial transformation.
The Deputy Premier and Minister for State Development, Infrastructure and Planning, Jeff Seeney, has put out the draft development scheme, which looks to establish the Southport Priority Development Area. This is, Seeney notes, a joint vision between the Queensland government and the local council.
Now, however, it is open for public consultation.
“Our government is committed to growing the economy of the Gold Coast and a key strategy to achieve this is building on the potential of Southport as the CBD,” Seeney said.
“We are also achieving this goal through a number of other initiatives including the Gold Coast Light Rail and investment in the Gold Coast 2018 Commonwealth Games, which will bring in an estimated $2 billion to the coast."
Southport was announced as the next CBD in October 2013, with the priority development area spanning 195 hectares of land including Southport CBD, Broadwater Parklands and some residential communities.
“Development will include opportunities for residential and non-residential development and the draft scheme was prepared by council with assistance from Economic Development Queensland," he said.
Meanwhile, Member for Southport, Rob Molhoek, said that this would be a 'coming of age' for the area.
“In the lead up to the Commonwealth Games and coincidently Southport's centenary, the declaration of this PDA ensures development and investment proposals have every chance of success," said Molhoek.
“My number one priority is to work with local business leaders to facilitate the reinvigoration of Southport as a centre for health, knowledge and business. I want to see new jobs created and opportunities maximised and this PDA will deliver that.”
The Mayor of Gold Coast City, Tom Tate, said that this CBD would be the "definitive centre".
“It has already attracted a large amount of investment and the proposed development scheme aims to attract more through a streamlined and facilitated approach to planning and development," he said.
“Southport is already a hub for commercial activities and community services, but the proposed development scheme wants to shape an appealing and active urban lifestyle for local residents as well.”
The final scheme is looking to be in place in late-2014. Those wanting to make a submission can do so until 22 May.
According to the plan, zones with high density highrise dwelling opportunities will be permitted. Highrise towers will be set above podiums or perimeter blocks, open spaces and roof terraces, and will open up some opportunities of 16-storeys plus in Precinct 2.
In Precinct 3, the Garden Residential Neighbourhood, opportunities for high density medium-rise developments will be available. This includes townhouses to medium-rise, and appears to span to a maximum of 15 storeys.
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