<p>The new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a> development in Melbourne's inner west is showing that landscaping can be just as influential as architecture, with buyers responding strongly to the garden-first approach adopted from the outset by developer Excelon Projects and the project's design team.</p>

<p>Excelon appointed Six Degrees Architects and landscape architects SBLA to work collaboratively on the development, with a brief to create "a sustainable, design-led building with a focus on community."</p>

<p>That approach has resonated with buyers. According to Next Chapter Director Tom Hirini, who is leading the sales campaign, the landscaped communal garden has become one of the project's defining features, alongside its boutique scale and European-inspired cluster housing concept.</p>

<p>Local downsizers, right-sizers and established families already living in Yarraville and surrounding suburbs have accounted for the majority of purchasers.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297740]</p>

<p>Yarraville Green will comprise 53 homes, including apartments and townhomes, arranged around the shared central garden to maximise connections to the landscaped open space. Parking has been moved underground, allowing the ground plane to be dedicated to greenery, pedestrian movement and communal spaces.</p>

<p>The landscape extends well beyond passive planting. Productive garden beds, a pergola, communal gathering spaces, garden sheds and a pet wash have all been integrated into the masterplan, creating spaces designed to encourage everyday interaction between residents.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297741]</p>

<p>The interiors continue Excelon's focus on craftsmanship, incorporating bespoke elements by Melbourne artisans including leadlight detailing by Adadaz, hand-turned timber hardware by Auburn Woodturning and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen.</p>

<p>Sustainability has also been embedded throughout the project, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating through passive design principles, rooftop solar servicing common areas and rainwater harvesting for landscape irrigation.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297735]</p>

<p>Construction continues to progress at Yarraville Green, with structural works well underway and framing works approaching completion under builder Balmain &amp; Co. The project remains on track for completion in mid-2027.</p>

<p>Apartments at Yarraville Green are currently priced from $625,000, while townhomes start from $1.4 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]</p>


Joel Robinson

Garden-led design drives buyer demand at Yarraville Green

<p>National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.</p>

<p>Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]</p>

<p>The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.</p>

<p>Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.</p>

<p>"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.</p>

<p>"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.</p>

<p>"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]</p>

<p>Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.</p>

<p>The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]</p>

<p>Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]</p>

<p>Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.</p>

<p>Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]</p>


Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

<p>The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.</p>

<p>It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 40-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.</p>

<p>Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.</p>

<p>While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]</p>

<p>Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 40-storey tower, which has just shy of 230 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.</p>

<p>The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.</p>

<p>"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.</p>

<p>"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]</p>

<p>One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.</p>

<p>"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.</p>

<p>"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.</p>

<p>"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]</p>

<p>There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.</p>

<p>As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.</p>

<p>"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.</p>

<p>The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]</p>


A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

<p>A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.</p>

<p>It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.</p>

<p>Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.</p>

<p>The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]</p>

<p>"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.</p>

<p>"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.</p>

<p>"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]</p>

<p>The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.</p>

<p>Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]</p>

<p>The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.</p>

<p>The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]</p>

<p>Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.</p>

<p>Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]</p>

<p>While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.</p>

<p>It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.</p>

<p>Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]</p>

<p>That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.</p>

<p>Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]</p>


Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

<p>As apartment living continues to evolve across Sydney's growth corridors, the quality and distribution of shared spaces is increasingly shaping how residents experience home. Rather than functioning as add-ons, amenities are being embedded into the daily rhythm of a building, supporting everything from quiet retreat to social interaction, often within a single vertical community.</p>

<p>At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aeris-melrose-park-nursery-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Aeris</a> in Melrose Park, this approach is resolved through a layered amenity offering that unfolds from ground level through to its upper podium. Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> in partnership with Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project introduces 468 apartments across two towers and a mid-rise building, positioned at the highest point of the broader masterplan.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=359199]</p>

<p>The amenity experience begins at street level, where two courtyards sit within a landscaped setting that connects residents to the wider network of parks and green spaces. These green spaces are not isolated pockets but part of a wider pedestrian network that links Aeris to the surrounding <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a> precinct, including Central Park, future schools, and the Town Centre opening in July 2026. The result is a transition that moves from public to private without abrupt boundaries, allowing residents to pass through shaded, tree-lined environments before reaching the building itself.</p>

<p>Moving upward, the focus shifts to the level five podium, where the primary communal facilities are concentrated. This space brings together a 16-metre swimming pool, outdoor seating areas, and a communal BBQ zone arranged to take advantage of elevated outlooks. Seating is positioned beneath pergolas, creating pockets of shade that extend the usability of the space throughout the day. The pool edge aligns with views toward the wider district, reinforcing the sense of elevation that defines the project’s positioning.</p>

<p>In the adjacent building, this is complemented by quieter, more contemplative spaces, including an outdoor cinema set within the same level. Positioned to operate primarily in the evening, it introduces a different tempo to the shared environment, shifting from daytime activity to after-hours use without requiring separate zones.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360299]</p>

<p>The podium also accommodates an intimate private resident gym. Located on the lower levels, it gives residents convenient access to fitness facilities without leaving the building.</p>

<p>Above, the elevated podium sky deck extends the amenity offering, providing additional open-air spaces with elevated outlooks across the surrounding landscape. While more restrained in program, this upper level reinforces the project’s vertical progression, from ground-level greenery to elevated outlook, allowing residents to move between distinct spatial conditions within a single address.</p>

<p>This distribution of amenities reflects a deliberate response to how residents use space across the day. Sekisui House Australia Sales and Marketing Director Peter Kalaf points to the role these shared areas play in shaping buyer demand. Aeris has been conceived as more than a collection of apartments, with the podium pool, gym and outdoor cinema forming part of a broader lifestyle offering that extends the home beyond each individual residence.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360300]</p>

<p>What distinguishes Aeris is not the inclusion of these elements individually, but how they are arranged in relation to one another. Active, social, and passive spaces are layered vertically rather than separated, allowing residents to choose between them without leaving the building or moving far from their apartment. This proximity supports both routine use, such as a morning swim or evening workout, and more occasional gatherings, whether around the BBQ area or within the cinema setting.</p>

<p>The amenity design also sits within a broader framework of connectivity across Melrose Park. The Melrose Park Town Centre, anchored by Coles and Dan Murphys, features a mix of retail, dining, health and lifestyle offerings, bringing everyday convenience closer to residents. By the end of the year, more than five hectares of parks and open space, equivalent to around seven football fields of green space on residents' doorstep, will further enhance the precinct, allowing the internal facilities at Aeris to operate as an extension of the wider neighbourhood rather than a substitute for it.</p>

<p>Construction at Aeris continues to gather momentum, with ground floor slabs expected to be completed in late 2026 before the first sections of the buildings begin to rise above ground.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=426]</p>


Elevated amenity anchors daily life at Aeris, Melrose Park

Mortgages

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<div><span>Given that APRA's crackdown on investor lending has skimmed so many high loan-to-value ratio (LVR) investors out of the property market, it was always going to take a super-human 1Q 2016 investor update from Genworth Mortgage Insurance (GMA) to keep its share price buoyant.</span></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>In the event, GMA reported statutory net profit after tax (NPAT) of $67.3 million and underlying NPAT of $61.8 million for the quarter ended 31 March 2016.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>Overall this was a solid set of results given that Gross Written Premium was down by a thumping 33.4 per cent from 1Q 2015, having declined dramatically from $127.7 million to $85 million.</span></div>
<div> </div>
<div>This statistic is a fabulous measure of the impact of the regulatory intervention - the riskier loans have largely been crimped out of the property market.</div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><br>Delinquencies</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Genworth's portfolio delinquency rate was marginally higher at 0.40 per cent, up from 0.36 per cent in 1Q 2015.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall mortgage delinquencies remain remarkably low, and can realistically only move in one direction from here, particularly given that numerous resources towns in regional Queensland have effectively become ghost towns.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Unfortunately many investors were sucked in to buying in mining towns and regions lured by superficially "stronger" yields, but unfortunately in many cases there is now nobody to rent the houses to, and as equity turns negative foreclosure rates will inevitably rise.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The lesson here is that "yield" and "income" are not the same thing, and that as an abstract spot calculation yield is largely useless as an indicator of future returns. This applies to all asset classes.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Even in some of the larger conurbations there are likely to be some severe challenges ahead, with unemployment in Townsville having risen to a <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/2016/04/townsville-unemployment-at-13-year-high" target="_blank">13 year high</a> last month.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Despite these bleak statistics, overall delinquency developments have shaped up quite favourably since 2009, with mortgage delinquencies by book year having cascaded lower over time. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The 2008 book year saw heightened mortgage stress among self-employed borrowers as a result of the financial crisis (0.98 per cent), while flooding in Queensland saw elevated delinquency rates in the 2011 book year.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/05/02/GMA.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/05/02/GMA.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p> </p>
<div>At the state level delinquency rates are incredibly low in New South Wales (0.29 per cent).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Delinquency rates are notably higher in Queensland (0.55 per cent), in part due to mining town foreclosures, and largely related to the literal wash-up from the severe 2011 flooding in the state.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The largest year-on-year rise in delinquency rates of 16 basis points was seen in resources rich Western Australia, where portfolio delinquencies have increased to 0.53 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Nevertheless, Genworth sees the mortgage market remaining strong in aggregate, reporting in its investor update:</div>
<div> </div>
<div><em>"The outlook for the Australian residential mortgage market remains strong, supported by sound fundamentals including low unemployment, record-low interest rates and a continued focus by regulators on lending standards."</em></div>
<div> </div>
<div>And notably Genworth expects further constraints on high LVR lending in 2016 and beyond:</div>
<div>
<br><em>"The high LVR market continues to be constrained in 2016 and Genworth continues to expect GWP to decline by approximately 20 per cent due to these market conditions."</em>
</div>
<div><em> </em></div>
<div>Share market analysts were fairly unmoved on the news, the share price steady at around $2.39.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Genworth mortgage insurance update: Pete Wargent

<html><body>
<div>Monoline mortgage insurer Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia (GMA) released its FY15 results late last week, with new CEO (and fellow former Deloittian) Georgette Nicholas taking the helm for its latest investor presentation.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As expected following the loss of a key contract gross written premium was down by 20 per cent from FY14, largely due to Westpac canning its Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI) deal with Genworth in February 2015, but underlying earnings performance remained resilient.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div> </div>
<div>The number of paid claims was well down to 616 in 2H15 from 664 in the prior corresponding period of 2H14 (and way down from 1,091 in 2H13) although the average paid claim increased year-on-year to $63,500 from $54,400.</div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA2.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><br><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Delinquencies very low</span></strong></p>
<div> </div>
<div>Genworth's ASX releases are perhaps most interesting for their ongoing insights into mortgage delinquencies, and the latest presentation showed that delinquencies remain at a very low level of just 0.38 per cent nationally. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Queensland has the highest delinquency rate of the states (0.53 per cent), in no small part thanks to the now discredited belief that house prices and vacancy rates in mining towns could emerge unscathed from the end of the resources construction boom. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Queensland's delinquency rate has also been elevated since the 2011 book year when delinquency developments were exacerbated by flooding across huge swathes of the state.<br><br>Strip out those exceptional items and mortgage books in the remainder of the Sunshine State are in reasonably solid nick.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>South Australia is next in line at 0.51 per cent, perhaps unsurprising given the elevated rates of unemployment consistently being recorded in Adelaide and regional South Australia. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Delinquency rates were exceptionally low in New South Wales for such a populous state at just 0.27 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Mapping GMA's delinquency developments by book year shows how delinquency rates have cascaded handsomely lower since the particularly troublesome 2008 and 2009 book years. </div>
<p><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA4-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA4-1.jpg" alt=""></p>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Share price rebound</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The share price responded positively to the FY15 investor presentation to trade up by +4.33 per cent by the market close yesterday at $2.65.</div>
<div>
<span style="line-height: 1.3em;"> </span><br><div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA6.jpg" alt=""></div>
</div>
<div>If Genworth is perceived to be any kind of worthwhile bellwether for property market sentiment (commonly claimed when the market cap is down) then the 20 per cent recovery in the share price from $2.21 to $2.65 augurs well for the mortgage default outlook.<br><br>This is particularly so given that the share price dipped sharply in September as the APRA crackdown on property investors bit hard, adversely impacting expected volumes through 2016.<br><br>The Genworth share price had slumped to a 52 week low of $2.21 on September 2015 as the Glencore share price crash rocked commodities companies and share market confidence.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
</body></html>

Genworth's mortgage delinquencies remain low

<html><body>
<div>One of the easier trades you'll ever come across, with inflation missing market expectations yet gain.<br><br>Money for jam, here.<br><br>Rate hikes never were on the cards any time soon - as well documented here often enough - but that's even more obvious now with inflation missing (yet again!).<br><br>
</div>
<div>Both of the core measures came in at just +0.4 per cent for the December quarter.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>While underlying inflation rate ticked up to +1.9 per cent, the 6-month annualised pace is incredibly weak at just +1.6 per cent.<br><br>Inflation has now missed the 2-3 per cent target on the downside for 9 consecutive quarters, and the pulse looks to have weakened again. </div>
<p> </p>
<div><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-XlzLIPRQpu4/WnEZzIZqnVI/AAAAAAAAoJU/rzj9H0OJ5NUP_8uwQveXyc47vGd8NtzuQCLcBGAs/s640/A1.jpg" width="640" height="388" data-original-height="826" data-original-width="1359"></div>
<p><br>Tradables prices picked up a bit in the December quarter, but were negative over the year.<br><br></p>
<div><img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-Kxw_kvG6T8g/WnEZzNT9e7I/AAAAAAAAoJQ/v0T7c3gZZmc6pjln-mpGi6LhcMFX1ryUACLcBGAs/s640/A3.jpg" width="640" height="392" data-original-height="826" data-original-width="1346"></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The headline result of +0.6 per cent for the quarter and +1.9 per cent for the year was pumped by a jump in fuel and fruit prices (someone needs to look up whether avocados and capsicums are fruits or vegetables, I have no idea). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Overall, though, this was once again very weak underlying inflation, though importantly the result was not under the Reserve Bank's forecast for the end of the year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>So that basically means that interest rates will be left on hold for a record length of time, barring a shock of some kind.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Rents off the mat</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Rents began to rise moderately again in 2017, mainly thanks to Sydney (+2.4 per cent).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Rents were negative in the December quarter in Brisbane, while in Perth rents are some 16 per cent below their peak. </div>
<p> </p>
<div><img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-J1Hs5n8pTqQ/WnEZzEsmQuI/AAAAAAAAoJY/eC-Oyr-Y9sAcEVWZFcCAcaZ0rol-BOElQCLcBGAs/s640/A2.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="818" data-original-width="1398"></div>
<p><br>Sydney rents (+52 per cent) have doubled the of inflation (+27 per cent) over the past decade.</p>
<p> </p>
<div><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-h8w2l0xyyCI/WnEZzng4KmI/AAAAAAAAoJc/fbvJr9MBycYnJXjOM2wyCEImtv1Gv0T_QCLcBGAs/s640/A4.jpg" width="640" height="374" data-original-height="828" data-original-width="1411"></div>
<p> </p>
<div>The wrap</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Reserve Bank's models already seemed to suggest that underlying inflation wouldn't get back to the mid-point of the target range at 2.5 per cent for years to come (possibly about 4 years!). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>And now this result has missed market expectations too, for the fifth consecutive quarter. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The main takeaway is all the talk of imminent rate hikes was little more than wishful thinking.<br><br>Indeed, given the Reserve Bank's stated mandate, logically either the next move in rates should be down or the economy should returning to full employment.<br><br>Either way, there was little to fear in these numbers for mortgagees and housing market fanatics.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.</div>
</body></html>

Talk of imminent rate hikes was little more than wishful thinking: Pete Wargent

<html><body>
<p>Buying your first home can be both exciting and overwhelming – especially once the first mortgage bill comes through. However, for many buyers, the purchase of a property can be one of the most rewarding and valuable investments of their lives. If you've just bought your first property and are feeling nervous about the 20-30 year tenure of mortgage payments, we've compiled a simple guide with some tips that could help you to pay down your mortgage debt faster. </p>

<p>From negotiating new home loan rates to using an offset account or using savvy budgeting techniques, here are 23 ways you could secure a mortgage-free lifestyle sooner. </p>

<h2><strong>1. Purchase a home you can afford</strong></h2>

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/shutterstock_1141644755_0.jpg" rel="gallery-all"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="387" src="/s3/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/shutterstock_1141644755_0.jpg?itok=v0faBBD6" width="580"></a></figure><p>Look to <a href="/guides/how-much-should-you-spend-on-your-first-house-in-2020"><u><strong>purchase a home you can afford</strong></u></a>, as often you'll be required to attain prequalification first. Prequalification means your bank will investigate your financial circumstances and determine <a href="/guides/how-much-can-i-borrow-for-a-new-home"><u><strong>the loan that is most suitable for you</strong></u></a>. </p>

<p><em>Some questions to help determine whether you’re eligible or ready to take on a home loan are: </em></p>

<ul>
<li>Will you be debt-free for three to six months?</li>
	<li>Are you able to provide a 5%-20% down payment?</li>
	<li>Can you afford to take out a 15-30 year fixed-rate loan?</li>
	<li>Is the home repayment 25% less than monthly take-home pay?</li>
	<li>Are you financially able to cover the fee moving expenses and leaving your current residence? </li>
	<li>Can you afford the ongoing maintenance and utility bills for this home?</li>
	<li>Do you have enough funds saved for any emergencies? </li>
</ul>
<h2><strong>2. Consider refinancing your home loan</strong></h2>

<p>Renegotiating your current home loan rate with your mortgage lender, or shifting your home loan to a lender who offers a lower interest rate, may result in cost savings and could help reduce the tenure of your mortgage.</p>

<h2><strong>3. Consider an offset account</strong></h2>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=7275]</p>

<p>An offset account is a savings or transaction account linked to a home loan account. The balance of the account is “offset” daily against the home loan balance, and therefore you are only charged interest on the difference between the total loan balance and the amount offset.</p>

<p>The money held within an offset account is not regarded as taxable income, as the account does not generate interest, which is beneficial for people who deposit large sums of money into the account.</p>

<p>Depositing money into the offset account with extra income from other sources of income such as bonuses and profits from investment can also help lower your interest repayments, as well as contribute to paying off your mortgage sooner. </p>

<p>Depending on the lender the money within the offset account also can be withdrawn twice or more in a year with <u><strong><a href="https://www.yourmortgage.com.au/home-loan-guide/redraw-facility-explained-with-tips-to-lower-your-mortgage/79077/">some lenders charging up to $50 per withdrawal</a></strong></u>. </p>

<h2><strong>4. Consider refinancing your home loan</strong></h2>

<p>Renegotiating your current home loan rate with your mortgage lender, or shifting your home loan to a lender who offers a lower interest rate, may result in cost savings and could help reduce the tenure of your mortgage.</p>

<h2><strong>4. Keep your credit card debts manageable </strong></h2>

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/screen_shot_2020-02-07_at_4.26.48_pm.png" rel="gallery-all"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="383" src="/s3/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/screen_shot_2020-02-07_at_4.26.48_pm.png?itok=0n7kFOF7" width="580"></a></figure><p>Aim to clear your credit card of debt each month, as the interest rates on your credit cards and personal loans are often much higher than the interest rate on your home loan. When you pay on time, you avoid paying extra interest or late fees and also help keep your credit score healthy.</p>

<p>Personal Loan: A personal loan sits between a home loan and a credit card loan, and provides a faster and easier process than taking out a mortgage. Unlike a credit card loan, to access the personal loan, you are also required to sign a formal contract. </p>

<p>Credit Card Rate: A credit card's interest rate is the price you pay for borrowing money. The interest rates, known as the annual percentage rate (APR) are stated as a yearly rate. With a credit card, paying interest on purchases can be avoided if the balance is paid in full each month by the due date. </p>

<p>Hire Purchase: Hire purchase is an arrangement for buying expensive consumer goods, in which the buyer provides an initial down payment and pays the balance plus interest in instalments. Hire purchase agreements state that the ownership of the merchandise is not officially transferred to the buyer until all the payments have been made.</p>

<h2><strong>5. Split your loan </strong></h2>

<p>You may choose to split your loan in half, with a portion fixed, and the rest variable. </p>

<p>A <a href="/guides/how-to-choose-the-right-home-loan"><u><strong>fixed-rate home loan</strong></u></a> ensures your loan repayments are charged at the same interest rate for the length of your loan period. If the loan is not repaid by the end of the period and you choose not to enter another fixed-term contract, the rate is reverted to a variable interest rate. </p>

<p>A <a href="/guides/how-to-choose-the-right-home-loan"><u><strong>variable interest rate</strong></u></a> is a loan where the interest rate charged on the outstanding balance fluctuates as market interest rates change. </p>

<p>To successfully split your loan in half you can contribute through fortnightly payments, a method which gives homeowners a sense of security as fixed payments will remain constant while variable payments will see interest rates rise and fall.  </p>

<h2><strong>6. Make repayments at a higher rate </strong></h2>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=2439]</p>

<p>People that choose a loan which is set at the lowest interest rate available can add <a href="https://www.yourmortgage.com.au/home-loan-guide/24-ways-to-get-the-mortgage-monkey-off-your-back-faster/77843/"><u><strong>2-3 points to the repayment amount</strong></u></a>. For some, this may not make a drastic difference to their bank balance. </p>

<p>A good idea could be to align repayments with your pay cycle, prior to setting the amount you wish to repay each month. </p>

<h2><strong>7. Research into smaller lenders as well as big banks</strong></h2>

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/shutterstock_425326012_1.jpg" rel="gallery-all"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="387" src="/s3/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/shutterstock_425326012_1.jpg?itok=xkgYwL2C" width="580"></a></figure><p>There was <a href="https://www.domain.com.au/money-markets/why-borrowers-are-turning-away-from-the-big-banks-863960/"><u><strong>a period in 2019</strong></u></a> where homeowners were turning away from four major banks [in Australia] in favour of smaller lenders, as they provided more competitive rates. </p>

<p>Small lenders have been found to sometimes compete more persistently for your business and provide more personalised service. These companies may also offer home loan options such as longer loan terms, lower ongoing fees and lower interest rates. </p>

<h2><strong>8. Switch lenders </strong></h2>

<p>Finding a home loan at a lower rate can help you save money. However, always make sure to do your research before switching lenders or loans types. Always make sure to understand the rates and features of the loan, and don't be afraid to tell lenders the exact portion of your income you're prepared to allocate to mortgage repayments. </p>

<h2><strong>9. Find a package deal </strong></h2>

<p><a href="https://www.canstar.com.au/home-loans/packaged-home-loans/what-is-a-package/"><u><strong>Package deals</strong></u></a> or package home loans combine home loans and financial products, which can provide fee waivers for a transaction or offset accounts. Sometimes banks may waive annual credit card fees, provide discounts on insurance, discounted or free financial planning sessions and even discounted share trading. </p>

<h2><strong>10. Watch out for lenders who offer gifts </strong></h2>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6798]</p>

<p>Introductory rates are commonly referred to as ‘honeymoon rates’, as lenders can try to convince homeowners to select a lower rate for a period of 1-2 years. Although once the honeymoon period has ended or the lender switches to a high variable rate of interest, the person is expected to pay for a much larger rate over the next 20 years. </p>

<p>Some lenders may also charge costly cancellation penalties for those who opt-out after utilising the honeymoon rates. Don’t be afraid to discontinue business with a lender who is no longer giving you the best service available. </p>

<h2><strong>11. Portable loans can make moving house easier</strong></h2>

<p>The average home loan is between 25 to 30 years, which is why it is quite common for people to move house whilst still paying off a loan. If you decide to move houses, a portable loan on your existing house that carries to your new property, can save you the inconvenience of refinancing. However, you should be aware of the regulations around buying and selling homes, as there may be <a href="/guides/how-much-does-it-cost-to-sell-a-house-or-apartment"><u><strong>additional charges for the old house</strong></u></a> and the <a href="/guides/top-10-hidden-costs-of-buying-a-house-or-apartment-in-2021"><u><strong>establishment for the new house</strong></u></a>.</p>

<h2><strong>12. Pay all your mortgage fees and the charges upfront </strong></h2>

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/shutterstock_701873641.jpg" rel="gallery-all"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="387" src="/s3/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/shutterstock_701873641.jpg?itok=AzmNqrWE" width="580"></a></figure><p>When paying your mortgage fees upfront, it is sensible to pay with the money you already have, rather than borrowing money from the lender to pay fees and charges. </p>

<h2><strong>13. Pay your first instalment before it's due</strong></h2>

<p>The first instalment of your home loan may not be due for a month after the settlement. If your lender allows, you may be able to pay your first instalment on the settlement date, which can secure your position ahead of the lender for the term of your loan. </p>

<h2><strong>14. Pay off the principal</strong></h2>

<p>Every mortgage repayment you make attacks the capital which helps you pay a smaller amount of interest. <a href="/guides/how-to-choose-the-right-home-loan"><u><strong>You may want to avoid interest-only loans</strong></u></a>, as paying interest on your loan for a set period may result in the principal amount being charged at a higher propensity interest-only period.</p>

<h2><strong>15. Use your equity</strong></h2>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4939]</p>

<p>Equity is the difference between the current value of your property and the amount you owe the lender. If you have already paid a percentage of your home loan, then you would have equity. Some lenders will allow you to borrow money using your equity as collateral. <a href="/guides/how-does-equity-work-in-property"><u><strong>Using equity to improve your property</strong></u></a> also helps increase its value in the long run. </p>

<h2><strong>16. Discover what you could be entitled to</strong></h2>

<p>Some lenders <a href="https://www.homeloanexperts.com.au/waived-lmi/"><u><strong>may offer discounts and special conditions</strong></u></a> to those from specific professions, such as certified medical professionals. In these cases, a lender may waive or lend at a higher loan to value ratio before charging a Lenders Mortgage Insurance, which may provide you with a significant head start on paying off your loan.</p>

<h2><strong>17. Keep ahead of the game</strong></h2>

<p>Check the status of your <a href="/guides/how-to-choose-the-right-home-loan"><u><strong>home loan</strong></u></a> each year, as well as new home loan offers that you could be applicable for. <a href="/guides/housing-market-effect-on-wealth"><u><strong>Keeping yourself knowledgeable</strong></u></a> about this will help you to maintain a competitive mortgage rate, and avoid overpaying interest. </p>

<h2><strong>18. Budget</strong></h2>

<p>When trying to save money, a budget is a good way to organise your finances, balancing your home loan repayments as well as household bills. This will also help determine how much disposable income you have left over.</p>

<h2><strong>19. Know how much you’re spending on luxury items</strong></h2>

<figure><a class="colorbox colorbox-insert-image" href="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/shutterstock_507639565_0.jpg" rel="gallery-all"><img alt="" class="image-article-full-width-580px" height="348" src="/s3/files/styles/article_full_width_580px/public/pictures/article-images/shutterstock_507639565_0.jpg?itok=_2hu2Qoo" width="580"></a></figure><p>Keep a budget so that you can identify what you spend most of your earnings on. Perhaps limiting dining at a restaurant or cafe to once a week, and instead, cook meals at home. Reducing your power usage, changing energy providers and upgrading your old appliances can be a great way to ensure your home is more energy-efficient, which will also result in lower power bills. Avoid purchasing low-quality items that are likely to need replacing. For more tips on how to save money, <a href="/guides/how-to-buy-a-house-in-2021-a-guide-for-first-time-home-buyers"><u><strong>check our article</strong></u></a> about how you can save for a house deposit in a year. </p>

<h2><strong>20. Using gifted money towards your loan</strong></h2>

<p>If you receive any bonuses at work, cash gifts or inheritance and you’ve opted for a variable interest rate, then you could consider allocating a portion of the amount for your mortgage payments. </p>

<h2><strong>21. Rent out your home/spare rooms on Airbnb</strong></h2>

<p><a href="/guides/breezybnb-chooses-urban-s-5-best-brisbane-apartments-for-airbnb"><u><strong>Listing your home on Airbnb</strong></u></a> can be a great way to bring in some extra funds. Money earned from listing your home can also be put towards your loan repayment. Listing your home while you're away is also a great way to ensure your home is always occupied.</p>

<h2><strong>22. Use your tax refund</strong></h2>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=22057]</p>

<p>Your tax refund can be a great way to make a bulk payment on your home loan. For those that choose to lease their home, the ongoing rental property cost <a href="/guides/18-ongoing-rental-property-costs-and-which-ones-are-tax-deductible"><u><strong>may be tax-deductible</strong></u></a>.</p>

<h2><strong>23. Seek additional work</strong></h2>

<p>Working a second job if possible, is a great way to save money quickly. Look for work with flexible hours, or casual opportunities that will fit around your schedule.</p>
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Olivia Round

How to secure a mortgage-free lifestyle sooner

<html><body><div class="storysegment2 segmentContentFull">
<p>The RBA governor Philip Lowe said he was prepared to cut the cash rate further if it was needed to improve economic conditions in Australia.</p>
<p>And he maintains the recent cuts are working.</p>
<p><span>"Low interest rates are supporting jobs and overall income growth. </span></p>
<p><span>"At the same time, though, we recognise that monetary policy is not working in exactly the same way that it used to."</span></p>
<p>Lowe effectively repudiated former treasurers Paul Keating and Peter Costello's view that monetary policy has "run its race." </p>
<p>The former treasurers have both suggested that monetary policy was not useful any more after the three 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut.</p>
<div class="_3MT_w" data-experiment-target="paywallPrompt">The RBA has already lowered interest rates three times over the year to a record low 0.75 per cent. </div>
<p>“We are confident that these reductions are helping the Australian economy and supporting the gentle turning point in economic growth,” Dr Lowe said when he delivered the Sir Leslie Melville lecture in Canberra yesterday.</p>
<p>He noted<span> high levels of debt meant that "people are more careful with their spending and are less inclined to take on yet more debt. </span></p>
<p><span>"This is especially so when income growth has disappointed, as it has over recent times.</span></p>
<p><span>"In a number of countries, both government and households feel constrained by their previous decisions to borrow and are seeking to put their balance sheets on a sounder footing. </span></p>
<p><span>"One way they can do this is by spending less and saving more," he noted</span></p>
<p>“We also recognise that low interest rates hurt the finances of many people, particularly those relying on interest income. So there is a balancing act here,” he said.</p>
<p>“The board is prepared to ease monetary policy further if needed.</p>
<p>"Having said that, it is extraordinarily unlikely that we will see negative interest rates in Australia.</p>
<p>“It is likely though that we will require an extended period of low interest rates to reach full employment and for inflation to be consistent with the target.”</p>
<p>Lowe said it is the duty of the Reserve Bank Board to ensure that its policies are directed to the greatest advantage of the people of Australia so as to best contribute to:</p>
<ol>
<li>the stability of the currency of Australia;</li>
<li>the maintenance of full employment in Australia; and</li>
<li>the economic prosperity and welfare of the people of Australia.</li>
</ol>
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

RBA governor Philip Lowe says low cash rate was working

<html><body>
<p>There was "an abundance of housing credit available,” the Commonwealth Bank’s CEO Matt Comyn said yesterday.</p>
<p>The CEO suggested the recent cuts by the Reserve Bank were contributing to a turnaround in the housing market.</p>
<p>“House prices are now rising in Sydney and Melbourne after having fallen for 18 months, and there are encouraging signs that the market has stabilised,” he said.</p>
<p>“While regulatory guidance has increased in recent years for home lending, these changes have improved lending standards across the industry and have further improved the resilience of the financial system.”</p>
<p>According to the CEO, CBA is “very clear” on the steps that must be taken to continue to deliver “in the current economic, regulatory and competitive environment.”</p>
<p>“Our results show the underlying strength of our core business, with home and business lending both up 4 percent,” he said.</p>
<p>The difference in mortgage pricing for new and existing customers is "substantially less" than the figure claimed by the ACCC, Comyn said.</p>
<p>The competition regulator identified a gap of 32 basis points in interest rates between the front and back books of the major banks, But he said it was significantly lower than 30 basis points at CBA.</p>
<div class="_3MT_w" data-experiment-target="paywallPrompt" data-optly-141991dcd6764670b007de1ca593193e=""> </div>
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Abundance of housing credit available: CBA Matt Comyn

<html><body>
<p>The Reserve Bank has signalled that more cuts to the official interest rate could come although they advised of concerns of refuelling a property bubble in Sydney and Melbourne.</p>
<p>The October meeting saw the cash rate cut to a record low of 0.75 per cent.</p>
<p>The RBA board minutes noted "the housing market and other asset prices might be overly inflated by lower net interest rates".</p>
<p>"This assessment would need to be reviewed if rapidly increasing asset prices were accompanied by materially faster credit growth, weak lending standards and rising leverage," the minutes noted.</p>
<p>The members saw a limited risk of excessive borrowing.</p>
<p>Members acknowledged that asset prices were part of the transmission mechanism of policy, including by encouraging home building.</p>
<p>"By themselves, higher asset prices were considered unlikely to present a risk to macroeconomic and financial stability.</p>
<p>"This assessment would need to be reviewed if rapidly increasing asset prices were accompanied by materially faster credit growth, weak lending standards and rising leverage.</p>
<p>"Although household debt was still considered high, members saw only a limited risk of excessive borrowing at the current juncture: household disposable income growth (and thus borrowing capacity) is weak; the memory of recent housing price falls is still fresh; and banks are still quite cautious in their appetite to lend."</p>
<p>The RBA members assessed that close monitoring of this risk was warranted.</p>
<p>The RBA minutes warned that global asset prices being driven higher by record low rates were exposed to any potential global shock given high debt levels that had run up since the global financial crisis.</p>
<div>
<div>
<h2>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-06-18/reserve-bank-must-consider-quantitative-easing,-economists-say/11218476" target="_self" title=""></a>"Any shock that caused markets to increase risk premiums or revise upwards expectations of future policy rates ... could see a broad range of asset prices fall," the minutes said.</h2>
</div>
</div>
<p>"A fall in asset prices could result in financial stress for some businesses and households, which could spill over into financial institutions."</p>
<p>Members also discussed the possibility that policy stimulus might be less effective than past experience suggests.</p>
<p>They recognised that some transmission channels, such as a pick-up in borrowing or the effect on the home-building sector, may not be operating in the same way as in the past, and that the negative effect of low interest rates on the income and confidence of savers might be more significant.</p>
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Overly inflated Sydney and Melbourne housing prices concerns the RBA

<html><body>
<p><span><span>The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is likely to cut the cash rate on Tuesday, according to Finder.com.au's RBA Cash Rate Survey.</span></span></p>
<p><span><span>More than half (55%, 25) of the 45 experts and economists surveyed expect the cash rate to drop to 0.75% on Tuesday. </span></span></p>
<p><span><span>Three-quarters (73%, 33) are predicting at least one cut will happen by November.</span></span></p>
<p><span><span>With three cuts in 2019 now a probability, there is a group of experts (13%, 6) who believe a fourth cut is possible this calendar year.</span></span></p>
<p><span><span>In fact, five economists expect the rate to go all the way to 0.25% with one predicting we get to 0%.</span></span></p>
<p><span><span><img src="https://gallery.mailchimp.com/cc5e9bce699fa1d71a67cf499/images/f1149f38-32a0-4fff-ac24-474dc397b4b8.png" data-imagetype="External"><br><br>Graham Cooke, insights manager at Finder, said 2020 could be the year of a negative cash rate, quantitative easing, or potentially both.<br><br>“As the RBA cuts the cash rate closer to zero, they are slowly diluting their power. An injection of cash may be the only option to stimulate the economy.<br><br>“This comes on the back of [RBA Governor] Philip Lowe saying last month that ‘unconventional’ options may be used if the economy warranted it, which seems to include both the potential of quantitative easing and a negative rate.<br><br>“We are looking at uncharted waters for Australia,” Cooke said.</span></span><br><br><span><span><img src="https://gallery.mailchimp.com/cc5e9bce699fa1d71a67cf499/images/b0a1017f-3b4b-44ee-b109-0ee71b7184fb.png" data-imagetype="External"><br></span></span></p>
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Over half of economists surveyed predict cash rate cut: Finder

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<p>Although housing credit growth declined further in June, approvals for new loans increased, the Reserve Bank of Australia has noted.</p>
<p>This increase in approvals was broadly based, across owner-occupiers and investors, across states and across different types of lenders.</p>
<p>The RBA noted it was also consistent with the improved conditions in housing markets evident in a range of indicators, such as auction clearance rates and housing price growth, particularly in New South Wales and Victoria.</p>
<p>"If housing conditions continue to improve in the coming months, we would expect to see a further rise in loan approvals," Christopher Kent, the assistant governor (Financial Markets) said in an a<a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2019/sp-ag-2019-08-13" target="_blank">ddress to the Finance &amp; Treasury Association</a> this morning.</p>
<p>Kent noted l<span>enders have passed through most of the cash rate reductions to housing interest rates. </span></p>
<p><span>"Following the 50 basis point reduction in the cash rate from June to July, lenders lowered their standard variable rates (SVRs) on housing loans by an average of 44 basis points.</span></p>
<p><span>"The extent of pass-through was broadly consistent with the experience of the past decade."</span></p>
<p>Kent further noted the average interest rate actually paid on outstanding variable-rate housing loans in the Reserve Bank's Securitisation Dataset decreased by 23 basis points in June, the same as the average announced reduction in SVRs.</p>
<p>"Similar reductions in outstanding rates are expected to be recorded for July data.</p>
<p>"So the declines in SVRs are being pushed through to all existing borrowers, which make up the so called ‘back book’. Rates on new loans have also been lowered.</p>
<p>"Indeed, new borrowers, and those refinancing existing loans, continue to be offered interest rates that are on average well below those applying to existing loans.</p>
<p>"So customers who are actively looking around at what's on offer, are able to take advantage of the strong competition among lenders that is focused squarely on the ‘front book’."</p>
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Improved housing market conditions evident: RBA

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>I've very much enjoyed reading James Glynn in my Wall Street Journal app this year, as one of the most informed commentators on Aussie monetary policy.</p>
<div>Always straight to the point and almost unerringly accurate. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Yesterday in Glynn's take he argued that there's no point in the Reserve Bank delaying action, calling for another rate cut in July to an official cash rate of 1 per cent, followed by a possible further salvo of cuts towards the end of the year. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-kaxsG_b0V7s/XQnH5T_9v4I/AAAAAAAAwiU/uGam_SV7oQUZZyWYprmIuhBy5RBK4-mOACLcBGAs/s640/JG.jpg" width="640" height="132" data-original-height="153" data-original-width="736"></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Today's skilled job advertisements figures did little to dispel the notion, with another decline in May taking the trend year-on-year decline out to 6 per cent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-gCDidzrgTm0/XQnH5cjH_UI/AAAAAAAAwig/c2FdekaHDCATavQQd6jYrg8CphWXZmFkwCEwYBhgL/s640/DOE.jpg" width="640" height="366" data-original-height="790" data-original-width="1377"></div>
<div> </div>
<div>There were year-on-year declines across each of the three main states, and in 7 of the 8 major occupational groups. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>There's been some growth in white collar and professionals vacancies, but tellingly the construction and trades ads have dropped away sharply. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Thus the strong jobs recovery rather looks set to die on its, erm, feet.<br><br>As the Aussie dollar scrabbles around at decade lows, benchmark iron ore spot prices have ballooned to multi-year highs across all the major grades.<br><br><div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-a6d3QotflxE/XQqd1spJ-vI/AAAAAAAAwjA/jI6_2cVIFakyjy2d2QeQvSTMAJnSekQfwCLcBGAs/s640/IO.jpg" width="640" height="358" data-original-height="803" data-original-width="1430"></div>
<br>I wanna see the receipts!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>. </em> </div>
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