Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Mortgages

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Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision
<h3 id="mr-title">Statement by Glenn Stevens, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision</h3>
<div>
<div class="rss-mr-content">
At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 2 per cent.
Recent information suggests that the global economy is continuing to grow, though at a slightly lower pace than earlier expected. While several advanced economies have recorded improved growth over the past year, conditions have become more difficult for a number of emerging market economies. China's growth rate has continued to moderate.
Commodity prices have declined very substantially over the past couple of years. This partly reflects slower growth in demand but also, in some key instances, large increases in supply. The decline in Australia's terms of trade has continued.
Financial markets have once again exhibited heightened volatility over recent months, as participants grapple with uncertainty about the global economic outlook and policy settings among the major jurisdictions. Appetite for risk has diminished somewhat and funding conditions for emerging market sovereigns and lesser-rated corporates have tightened. But funding costs for high-quality borrowers remain very low and, globally, monetary policy remains remarkably accommodative.
In Australia, the available information suggests that the expansion in the non-mining parts of the economy strengthened during 2015 despite the contraction in spending in mining investment. This was reflected in improved labour market conditions. The pace of lending to businesses also picked up.
Inflation is quite low. With growth in labour costs continuing to be quite subdued as well, and inflation restrained elsewhere in the world, inflation is likely to remain low over the next year or two.
Given these conditions, it is appropriate for monetary policy to be accommodative. Low interest rates are supporting demand, while supervisory measures are working to emphasise prudent lending standards and so to contain risks in the housing market. Credit growth to households continues at a moderate pace, albeit with a changed composition between investors and owner-occupiers. The pace of growth in dwelling prices has moderated in Melbourne and Sydney and has remained mostly subdued in other cities. The exchange rate has been adjusting to the evolving economic outlook.
At today's meeting, the Board judged that there were reasonable prospects for continued growth in the economy, with inflation close to target. The Board therefore decided that the current setting of monetary policy remained appropriate.
Over the period ahead, new information should allow the Board to judge whether the improvement in labour market conditions is continuing and whether the recent financial turbulence portends weaker global and domestic demand. Continued low inflation would provide scope for easier policy, should that be appropriate to lend support to demand.
</div>
</div>
<div class="box-enquiries"> </div>
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Changed composition between investors and owner occupiers: RBA Governor Glenn Stevens' March 2016 statement

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The RBA today held rates at 2 percent.
The decision from the RBA came as no surprise today, considering labour markets are holding up and housing market conditions have moderated but remain firm, Tim Lawless at CoreLogic RP Data said.
"The fact that the rate of capital gains has wound down across the housing market and investor activity is reducing from the highs of mid last year are likely to be welcomed developments from the Reserve Bank.
"Based on indices data released today by CoreLogic, capital city dwelling values rose by 1.4% over the most recent three month period and by 7.6% over the past twelve months; a substantial slowdown from the strong housing market conditions that were evident over the first half of 2015."
Lawless suggests if the RBA were to provide another cash rate cut later this year, they probably wouldn’t need to worry too much about over stimulating the housing market; mortgage rates are already higher than a year ago due to the higher capital requirements implemented by APRA and the pace of investment credit growth is tracking well below the 10% speed limit imposed in December 2014. 
"With inflation tracking around the bottom of the RBA target range of two to three per cent, the Reserve Bank can work to stimulate the economy by dropping the cash rate further if they see a requirement to do so."
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No change: RBA March 2016 cash rate decision

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Mortgage Choice Limited reported a profit growth of 12.4 percent for the six months ending December 31, boosted by a record $6 billion in mortgage settlements during the period.
The mortgage broker’s shares ended up 7.3 percent on the ASX on Wednesday.
The company said its loan book also crossed the $50 billion milestone and hit $50.7 billion, up 4.7% from 1H15.
“We have recorded our strongest ever interim profit result, which is a testament to the Mortgage Choice business as a whole, as well as the strength of our plans and our ability to execute those plans,” Mortgage Choice chief executive officer John Flavell said in a media release.
The mortgage broker’s net profit after tax on a cash basis was $10.1 million, up 12.4% from in 1H15. Group revenue grew to $102.3 million, up 5.4% on 1H15.
It settled home loans worth $6.2 billion in 1H16, an 8.5% increase from 1H15 and its highest ever.
The company also announced a fully franked interim dividend of 8 cents per share, up from 7.5 cents in 1H15.
“Our strong profit growth of 12.4% has come from significantly growing our revenue and controlling our operating expenses whilst continuing to invest for future growth. Since addressing Help Me Choose, we have been able to dedicate more resources to those parts of the business that align with our 2020 strategy,” Flavell said.
“We have seen a significant increase in both the number of referrals going to our financial advisers as well as the number of brokers referring business.”
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prateek24-ezbwHMbNAk

Mortgage Choice posts 12% rise in net profit on record home loan settlements

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<div>Monoline mortgage insurer Genworth Mortgage Insurance Australia (GMA) released its FY15 results late last week, with new CEO (and fellow former Deloittian) Georgette Nicholas taking the helm for its latest investor presentation.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As expected following the loss of a key contract gross written premium was down by 20 per cent from FY14, largely due to Westpac canning its Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI) deal with Genworth in February 2015, but underlying earnings performance remained resilient.</div>
<a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA1.jpg" alt="">
<div> </div>
<div>The number of paid claims was well down to 616 in 2H15 from 664 in the prior corresponding period of 2H14 (and way down from 1,091 in 2H13) although the average paid claim increased year-on-year to $63,500 from $54,400.</div>
<a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA2.jpg" alt="">
 Delinquencies very low
<div> </div>
<div>Genworth's ASX releases are perhaps most interesting for their ongoing insights into mortgage delinquencies, and the latest presentation showed that delinquencies remain at a very low level of just 0.38 per cent nationally. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Queensland has the highest delinquency rate of the states (0.53 per cent), in no small part thanks to the now discredited belief that house prices and vacancy rates in mining towns could emerge unscathed from the end of the resources construction boom. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Queensland's delinquency rate has also been elevated since the 2011 book year when delinquency developments were exacerbated by flooding across huge swathes of the state. Strip out those exceptional items and mortgage books in the remainder of the Sunshine State are in reasonably solid nick.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>South Australia is next in line at 0.51 per cent, perhaps unsurprising given the elevated rates of unemployment consistently being recorded in Adelaide and regional South Australia. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Delinquency rates were exceptionally low in New South Wales for such a populous state at just 0.27 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Mapping GMA's delinquency developments by book year shows how delinquency rates have cascaded handsomely lower since the particularly troublesome 2008 and 2009 book years. </div>
<a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA4-1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA4-1.jpg" alt="">
<div>Share price rebound</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The share price responded positively to the FY15 investor presentation to trade up by +4.33 per cent by the market close yesterday at $2.65.</div>
<div>
  <div class="separator"><a href="/images/2016/02/08/GMA6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="separator"><img src="/images/2016/02/08/GMA6.jpg" alt=""></div>
</div>
<div>If Genworth is perceived to be any kind of worthwhile bellwether for property market sentiment (commonly claimed when the market cap is down) then the 20 per cent recovery in the share price from $2.21 to $2.65 augurs well for the mortgage default outlook. This is particularly so given that the share price dipped sharply in September as the APRA crackdown on property investors bit hard, adversely impacting expected volumes through 2016. The Genworth share price had slumped to a 52 week low of $2.21 on September 2015 as the Glencore share price crash rocked commodities companies and share market confidence.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. 
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</div>
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Genworth's mortgage delinquencies remain low

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GUEST OBSERVER
The cash rate has been left at a record low of 2 percent for a 9th month (10 months of rates at 2 per cent).
The Reserve Bank Board noted that the "expansion in the non-mining parts of the economy strengthened during 2015.
What does it all mean? 
The Reserve Bank adopted a ‘conditional easing bias’ in November. That is, the Reserve Bank indicated at the time that scope existed for lower interest rates “should that be appropriate to lend support to demand.” The Reserve Bank Board didn’t feel the need to act on that bias in December, and nor did it decide to take action at the latest meeting.
And if anything, the Reserve Bank has watered down the ‘easing bias’. It may not have become more hawkish (removed the bias or moved in favour of higher rates) but it certainly hasn’t become more dovish as some commentators expected it would.
The Reserve Bank has clearly become more upbeat on the Australian economy, highlighting lower unemployment, stronger business lending, and above-average business conditions.
However, at the same time the RBA upgraded commentary on the Australian economy, it became a touch more downbeat on the global economy. Not markedly mind you, but clearly if rates were to be cut in Australia, it would be because the global economy had deteriorated: “Recent information suggests the global economy is continuing to grow, though at a slightly lower pace than earlier expected.”
Is the Reserve Bank worried about the recent lift in the Australian dollar? Not in the least. The commentary on the Aussie was brief: “The exchange rate has continued its adjustment to the evolving economic outlook.”
On the housing market, RBA noted: “The pace of growth in dwelling prices has moderated in Melbourne and Sydney over recent months and has remained mostly subdued in other cities. “ In other words, scrub out one of the issues that was on the wall of worry in 2015 – the housing market has become more balanced.
Perspectives on interest rates
The previous rate cut was in May 2015 (25 basis points), taking the cash rate to a record low of 2.00 per cent.
There have been 10 rate cuts since November 2011.
The Reserve Bank had previously lifted rates seven times from October 2009 to November 2010 – a total of 1.75 percentage points, from 3.00 per cent to 4.75 per cent.
What are the implications?
CommSec doesn’t expect any change in the cash rate for the foreseeable future. Underlying inflation remains at the bottom of the 2-3 per cent target band but should lift over 2016 as import prices gradually lift in response to a weaker exchange rate.
If the Reserve Bank was to cut rates it would be because of global factors – certainly not domestic considerations.
With interest rates poised to stay low or potentially move even lower, investors will need to remain pro-active in embracing the best deals on online bank accounts. Borrowers also need to be on guard as fixed-term rates could move either way in coming months. While the US Federal Reserve is seeking to ‘normalise’ interest rates, lower oil prices, sharemarket volatility and uncertainty on the Chinese economy may stay the Fed’s hand.
Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.
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The RBA February 2016 hold decision, what it means: CommSec's Craig James

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GUEST OBSERVER
As had been widely expected the RBA left interest rates on hold at its February meeting.
This marks the ninth month in a row with the cash rate remaining at 2%.
While the RBA is less upbeat on the global economic outlook, particularly for emerging countries, and has acknowledged a further slide in commodity prices and reduced appetite for risk it seems more upbeat on the Australian economy at least in terms of information released over the last few months.
Inflation continues to be seen by the RBA as remaining low and it has also acknowledged slowing property price gains in Sydney and Melbourne.
While the RBA retained an easing bias on the back of the low inflation outlook, the balancing of more positive domestic developments against recent negative global developments clearly enabled it to remain on hold for now.
However, the RBA is clearly concerned about recent global and financial market developments and is waiting for more information in order to be able to judge its impact on global growth and the Australian economy.
Our view remains the RBA will cut interest rates again this year reflecting the risks around the global economy, weaker than expected commodity prices, still subdued growth in Australia at a time when the contribution from housing construction is slowing, a more dovish Fed threatening a higher Australian dollar and continued low inflation. 
However, this may not come till April or May.
However, whether there is another rate cut or not from the RBA, it’s hard to see rate hikes any time soon. 
So the period of low interest rates – with the cash rate at a record low and bank deposit rates at their lowest since the 1950s – is set to continue.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author" target="_blank">SHANE OLIVER</a> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home" target="_blank">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.
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No cash rate hike anytime soon: AMP Capital's Shane Oliver

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GUEST OBSERVER
As expected, the Board of the Reserve Bank decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 2.0% in February.
In a departure from recent practise the Governor highlighted the two key forces that will be most significant in the Board’s future decisions are: firstly, “whether the recent improvement in labour market conditions is continuing”; and secondly, “whether the recent financial turbulence portends weaker global and domestic demand”.
This is significant in that global market conditions have been elevated as important factors in the bank’s thinking.
However as indicated global volatility will be insufficient in its own right if there is no clear evidence of a feed through effect, particularly to domestic demand.
Measures of particular importance here will be consumer and business confidence.
To date the Bank notes that business conditions have moved to above average levels and we add that the recent 3.5% fall in the Westpac Consumer Sentiment Index, in response to market fluctuations, could well have been an over-reaction given the lack of other information available over the holiday period.
Certainly, to date the Bank appears to be gaining confidence around domestic economic momentum pointing out in today’s statement that: “the non mining parts of the economy strengthened during 2015”.
That compared with the December statement: “business surveys suggest a gradual improvement in conditions in non mining sectors over the past year.”
As we expected, the Board retained the moderate easing bias sentence: “Continued low inflation may provide scope for easier policy, should that be appropriate to lend support to demand”.
This is in fact somewhat stronger than the December statement which referred to “the outlook for inflation may afford scope ...” In fact, the commentary around inflation appears to recognise a lower inflation trajectory than indicated in December.
In December: “inflation is forecast to be consistent with the target over the next one to two years”. In today’s statement: “consumer price inflation is likely to remain low over the next year or two”.
The test of whether this wording is significantly different will come with the Bank’s inflation forecasts which are refreshed in February.
These forecasts will be released with the February Statement on Monetary Policy on February 5.
Our assessment has been that the Bank will retain the 2-3% inflation range in 2016 but there must be some doubt to this assessment based on the wording in the Governor’s statement today.
Other parts of the statement provided no surprises.
With the AUD having fallen from USD 0.73 to USD 0.71 since the December Board meeting it was expected that the Governor would continue to describe the currency as having “continued its adjustment to the evolving economic outlook”.
In December the housing market was described as: “the pace of growth in dwelling prices has moderated in Melbourne and Sydney over recent months”.
Despite a sharper than expected slowdown in prices in the last few months the description of the housing market remains the same.
In some recognition of the global volatility the Bank assesses that the global economy will grow “at a lower pace than earlier expected” highlighting weakness in emerging market economies including China.
Conclusion
Through all this market volatility and confident market pricing that RBA rate cuts could be expected as early as November last year Westpac has held the line that rates would remain on hold for the second half of 2015 and throughout 2016.
There is not enough in today’s statement for us to change that view.
In terms of the key issues highlighted by the Governor we do not expect to see a sustained continuation of current market volatility and certainly do not anticipate financial volatility substantially weakening domestic demand.
We do accept that recent job reports have run somewhat ahead of our expectations and anticipate a modest ( catch up) lift in the unemployment rate over the course of the next six months.
That development alone will continue to give markets hope that the RBA will cut rates further but we do not believe that the conditions will be there to drive that eventual result.
Bill Evans is chief economist of <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/" target="_blank">Westpac</a>.
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Rates on hold through 2016: Westpac's Bill Evans

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The vast majority of properties sold nationwide to September 2015 did so at a profit, with 91.6% of sales over the quarter selling at a profit, according to the latest CoreLogic RP Data Pain &amp; Gain report.
The report found the total value of this profit was recorded at $17.3 billion, with the average gross profit $265,605. 
According to the report some 8.4% of all homes resold recorded a gross loss when compared to their previous purchase price; the lowest proportion of loss-making resales since December 2014.
"This figure was lower than the 9.2% over the June 2015 quarter and also lower than the 8.9% recorded a year ago. Across those dwellings which resold at a loss over the quarter, the total value of loss was $376.2 million with an average loss of $63,221," it noted.
"Nationally there was $376.2 million in realised losses over the quarter at an average of $63,221 and $17.3 billion in realised profit at an average of $265,605.
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"Across the capital cities, there were $193.5 million in losses with an average of $71,996 per loss-making resale compared to $14.4 billion in profit at an average of $324,887. The combined regional areas recorded $182.7 million in losses at an average of $55,996 compared to $2.9 billion in profit at an average of $139,798. The average losses were greater in the capital cities, however they also generally experienced much greater profits, more than double those in regional areas."
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The proportion of loss making resales is lower than the financial crisis peak nationwide with the exception of Darwin to September 2015, according to the latest CoreLogic RP Data Pain &amp; Gain report.
The report found loss-making resales lower in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Hobart, higher in Perth and Darwin and flat in Adelaide and Canberra and said values growing sharply in Sydney and Melbourne over the year with moderate value growth in Brisbane, Adelaide, Hobart and Canberra and values falling in Perth and Darwin. 
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Proportion of loss-making resales lower than the financial crisis peak: Tim Lawless CoreLogic RP Data Pain & Gain national

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GUEST OBSERVER
After a surge in growth of 15% and 12% respectively over the last year in the property markets of Australia’s largest cities, Sydney and Melbourne, I believe both are headed for a welcome cooling off period in 2016.
Property prices actually slipped in five of the eight Australian capital cities during November, according to CoreLogic RP Data, and there are signs this trend may continue despite the Reserve Bank again holding the cash rate at its current low level in December.
There will be hot spots in the market – particularly inner-city suburbs – where demand will continue to outstrip supply.
Many expect that rates will continue to be at their historic low levels well into 2016, as there will be continuing uncertainty in global markets, combined with a weaker Australian dollar, subdued GDP growth and patchy consumer and business confidence.
Next year should provide buyers with a bit more breathing space to relax and take their time choosing the best house or apartment for their needs and aspirations, following the recent auction frenzy which saw prices rocket in the eastern states’ capital cities.
Research* shows that outside of interest rates, the flexibility to make overpayments and ability to use a redraw and/or an offset account are the most important factors in choosing the right home loan, which is reflective of the current low rate environment as people try to get ahead on their mortgage repayments while rates are low.
While 2016 will continue to feature global uncertainty and slow economic growth, green shoots are appearing in the non-mining sector. When combined with improving unemployment levels, continuing foreign investment and low interest rates, the housing market should remain in a healthy state.
* The RFi Australian Mortgage Council Broker Insights report was conducted online in September 2015. In total, 2,036 mortgage holders took part and they were nationally representative of the mortgage market by Age, Gender and State/ Territory.
The sample consisted of:
2,036 people with a mortgage (Property owners)
1,571 people who took out their most recent mortgage on their home (Homeowners)
465 people who took out their most recent mortgage for their investment property(ies) (Investment property owners).
John Symond is executive chairman of <a href="https://www.aussie.com.au" target="_blank">Aussie Home Loans</a>.
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The year ahead should see a healthy property market: John Symond

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ME Bank has cut its two-year Flexible Home Loan fixed rate for owner-occupiers to 3.89% or 40 basis points.
Head of ME home loans, Patrick Nolan, said the cut comes about following cheaper fixed rate funding.
“Savvy borrowers also have the option to split both ourtwo2-year fixed rate with our competitive Flexible Home Loan with Member Package variable rate for new loans of 4.19% p.a,” he said.
For more information from ME, <a href="https://www.mebank.com.au" target="_blank">click here</a>.
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