<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> has lodged plans for a $750 million, three-tower mixed-use precinct that would complete the long-running redevelopment of Carlton's former Carlton United Breweries site.

The proposal at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/185-195-queensberry-street-carlton-vic-3053">46-78 Bouverie Street and 185-195 Queensberry Street</a> spans a 6,468 sqm site, the last remaining undeveloped parcels within the former brewery's 2007 masterplan.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the development will comprise two purpose-built student accommodation towers and a third build-to-sell apartment tower above a shared commercial podium and basement.

Across the three towers, SP Setia is proposing 606 build-to-sell apartments and 1,499 student accommodation units containing 2,009 beds.

The apartments will sit in the tallest tower, which will rise nearly 200m and 55 storeys. It will become&nbsp;one of the more substantial new build-to-sell apartment projects at the northern edge of Melbourne's CBD.

The apartment mix is weighted toward smaller inner-city product, with 188 studios, 206 one-bedroom apartments, 192 two-bedroom apartments and 20 three-bedroom apartments

<img alt="First look: SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8271bc87-1b0a-41b7-ac73-a425ee375261" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/3_2.png?VersionId=G4lw23o90B1boX4k4dj7rdz2ZEajS9wy" />

Part of the precinct will be a large-scale&nbsp;3,684 sqm supermarket and a further 2,198 sqm of speciality retail, creating close to 5,900 sqm of new commercial space within the precinct.

But one of the biggest components of the proposal is what sits between the buildings.

Around 4,650 sqm, or roughly 72 per cent of the site, will be publicly accessible open space, incorporating plazas, pedestrian connections, landscaped laneways and retail spill-out areas.

The ground plane is intended to finally complete pedestrian connections envisaged when the CUB masterplan was first approved nearly two decades ago, stitching together Victoria Street, Queensberry Street, Bouverie Street and Swanston Street through the former brewery precinct.

Urbis said the development would "complete the CUB precinct", with the public realm providing important north-south and east-west connections through what is currently the final undeveloped portion of the masterplanned site.

SP Setia is also exploring a new linear park within the Bouverie Street road reserve, with the concept to be developed further with the City of Melbourne through the planning process.

The proposal is being pursued through the Victorian Government's Development Facilitation Program under Clause 53.23 for significant residential development with affordable housing.

The planning report acknowledges the proposed heights exceed those contemplated under the original Comprehensive Development Plan and masterplan, but argues the built-form context has changed considerably over the past two decades.

Urbis said the three towers would instead create a stepped transition between Carlton and the Hoddle Grid, rising progressively from the 94.1-metre Tower One along the Queensberry Street edge to the 199.44-metre Tower Three closer to the established CBD-scale buildings to the south.

<img alt="SP Setia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e885a07a-592c-40fc-bf82-e6dbaf32da54" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.52.24%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=7s_ErUkSKAdY1mAWp3GRZgMNCGtwhk5m" />

SP Setia plans to deliver the development across three stages.

Stage One would deliver the basement, podium and retail areas for the entire precinct alongside the first student tower. Tower Two would follow in Stage Two, before the 606-apartment Tower Three is delivered as the final stage.

If approved and delivered, the project would close out a redevelopment process that has been underway since the former brewery masterplan was approved in 2007, adding more than 2,600 student beds and apartments to a precinct already home to Swanston Central, the Barak Building, RMIT Design Hub and several large student accommodation developments.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct

Melbourne developer Lowe Living is seeking to add to its growing bayside apartment pipeline, filing plans for a boutique eight-residence development in tightly held Middle Park.

Lowe Living, which has built much of its development portfolio across Melbourne's affluent bayside and south-east suburbs, is behind the plans for the 730 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/123-125-erskine-street-middle-park-vic-3206">123-125 Erskine Street</a>, just off Armstrong Street and within the Armstrong Street Neighbourhood Activity Centre.

The developer is seeking approval for a five-storey residential building above two basement levels, with just eight large-format apartments and 18 car spaces.

“This is a deliberately very different proposition for us,"&nbsp;Tim Lowe, Co-Founder of Lowe Living, said.

"Eight residences is exceptionally boutique, but that's precisely what this site calls for.

“There is a strong community in Middle Park and the surrounding suburbs who have spent decades building a life here. They no longer want the maintenance of a large period home, but they aren't prepared to compromise on space, quality or location. We think there is a real opportunity to capture that hyper local market. A site like this rarely comes to market.”

<img alt="Lowe " data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="875fe572-0f14-4d90-9e11-55b28dd07731" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.42.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=GDNQRv9BfpR9r1zkZ5UDyUM4ZvpIksut" />

The low-density proposal has been designed by Cera Stribley and is being progressed through the Victorian Government's Great Design Fast Track pathway, having already secured eligibility from the Minister for Planning.

The Office of the Victorian Government Architect supported its eligibility after finding the proposal demonstrated consistency with the program's seven design principles, while the project's financial feasibility has also been independently confirmed by Invest Victoria.

The project is targeting the downsizer market, with the planning documents describing the homes as larger-format residences and noting the two penthouses could otherwise have been configured as four separate apartments.

<img alt="Lowe 2" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="60ab0987-2da6-4175-adac-315dcf6053c6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.15%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=bOCPH0B2MFwlmaRW.TTCF9TzyifgVoQI" />

The site has dual frontage to Erskine Street and Canterbury Place and currently comprises a collection of commercial buildings used as offices, including a former heritage bakehouse, a former stable, a later gabled addition and a central courtyard.

It sits within the Commercial 1 Zone and the Armstrong Street Commercial Precinct heritage overlay, with the existing property classified as a contributory heritage place.

Heritage has subsequently played a significant role in Cera Stribley's design.

The front section of the former bakehouse facing Erskine Street will be retained, including its return walls, street-facing hipped roof and chimneys, while the Erskine Street façade and part of the western return wall of the former stable will also be incorporated into the new development.

Levels four and five will be set back five metres from the retained stable façade, while bricks removed through demolition are proposed to be salvaged and reused within the new building where possible.

<img alt="Lowe 3" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e97927a9-a2de-4a0f-83b6-65451238abfa" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.06%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=VR44AChLrX9q1XPB9GvVQV.ALXXbe4gC" />

Rather than presenting as a single five-storey building to Erskine Street, Cera Stribley has broken the development into a series of distinct forms.

A three-storey infill element will sit between the retained bakehouse and stable façades, with the upper levels recessed behind the heritage fabric. Canterbury Place will similarly feature two three-storey podium forms, separated by a central pedestrian accessway, before the upper two levels step back from the street.

A pedestrian through-link will run through the centre of the project between Erskine Street and Canterbury Place, creating entrances from both sides of the site and introducing landscaping and communal areas through the ground plane.

Landscape architect Acre has designed planting across the ground level, private terraces and upper levels, including a feature canopy tree at level three and integrated planting and arbours across the level four terraces. Five existing Erskine Street trees are proposed to be retained.

Sustainability is also a significant component of the Great Design Fast Track application. The apartments are targeting an average eight-star NatHERS rating, with no residence below 6.5 stars, while the project has achieved a 75 per cent BESS score. Seven of the eight apartments are designed for cross-ventilation, with the remaining residence using mechanically assisted natural ventilation.

The plans also incorporate an 8kWp rooftop solar system, a 5,000-litre rainwater tank and infrastructure allowing future electric vehicle charging for every residence.

Lowe has a strong portfolio across Melbourne's blue-chip suburbs. They recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/jardin-house-by-lowe-living-camberwell-335-camberwell-road-camberwell-vic-3124">Jardin House by Lowe Living</a> in Camberwell, their first development in the Stonnington LGA.

Lowe Living unveils Middle Park apartment development

Article summary

<ul data-end="888" data-start="289">
	<li data-end="442" data-section-id="8tsh6o" data-start="289">DVB Projects is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway at 137 Old Burleigh Road, Broadbeach.</li>
	<li data-end="573" data-section-id="1nyxl3e" data-start="443">The 34-level tower will comprise just 49 ultra-luxury residences, including half-floor, full-floor and penthouse apartments.</li>
	<li data-end="717" data-section-id="oiyimj" data-start="574">The launch follows strong demand at DVB's nearby Sea Glass project, which is more than 50 per cent sold and currently under construction.</li>
	<li data-end="888" data-section-id="epk9o9" data-start="718">The development adds to the transformation of Old Burleigh Road, with premium beachfront apartment projects continuing to reshape the tightly held Broadbeach strip.</li>
</ul>

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/dvb-projects">DVB Projects</a> is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway on the Broadbeach site as the Sydney developer moves closer to bringing the ultra-luxury project to market.

The 34-level tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/137-old-burleigh-road-broadbeach-qld-4218">137 Old Burleigh Road</a> will comprise just 49 residences, ranging from half-floor apartments through to full-floor homes and a penthouse. The launch follows the strong sales performance of DVB's nearby Sea Glass development. More than half of the apartments at Sea Glass, on the other side of Broadbeach, have been snapped up, well ahead of its late 2027 completion

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2944b4be-c84e-4b54-8dc1-c712e76704c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E02_Exterior_Street%20Level%20Entrance.jpg?VersionId=YoNig7pRdrE3HCue7sUj78LzJteeQf3H" />

The start of demolition at 137 Old Burleigh Road signals DVB Projects’ underlying confidence in the Gold Coast’s luxury beachside apartment sector.

“We see the Gold Coast as one of the most compelling lifestyle markets in Australia, particularly at the premium end where demand continues to deepen,” said Dean Brown, Managing Director of DVB.&nbsp;

“This project has been carefully designed to respond to that demand - delivering large-format residences with a level of quality, privacy and amenity that is still relatively rare in the apartment market on the beachside."

Brown says the site itself is "exceptional."

"Old Burleigh Road is one of the most tightly held beachfront strips, and opportunities to deliver a project of this scale and calibre in this location are extremely limited.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="398f377a-c037-455e-9250-0c5e0d84c35b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/I12_FF%20Balcony.jpg?VersionId=NwOiRWGMubR1c8wthuEfggklcja7al9." />

The project will comprise 40 half-floor residences of approximately 260 sqm, alongside eight full-floor residences spanning around 524 sqm.

A single penthouse will crown the building, featuring a private pool, barbecue area, indoor gym and dedicated entertaining spaces.

Residents will have access to a resort-style suite of amenities, including a 20-metre pool with daybeds, a gymnasium, hot and cold plunge pools, a sauna, and private residents’ lounge and dining facilities.

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1642bb0-9a66-4427-a022-dfc0988c6287" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A02_Pool%20to%20View.jpg?VersionId=c0IXPyn_Gp_Kn3XCwzMrqIVkAdCEwVXP" />

Sales agent Todd Matheson, of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/pezet-matheson">Pezet Matheson</a>, which is marketing both 137 Old Burleigh Road and Sea Glass, said 137 Old Burleigh Road would address a clear gap in the market for genuine luxury products.

“There are very few opportunities on the Gold Coast where buyers can secure a residence of this size and quality in a new building,” Matheson said.

“What we’re seeing is a growing cohort of downsizers and interstate buyers who still want space - they’re not willing to compromise on living area, entertaining or finishes.

“This project has been designed with that buyer in mind. It offers the scale of a home, combined with the convenience and security of apartment living, in one of the coast’s most desirable positions.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="59aae0ca-5639-4320-8aca-d0bf60f48e43" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E01_Exterior%20Hero.jpg?VersionId=DS8Zfy2WtgUEtdfe0TEUuf1W1GfcZq8S" />

Located on a 1,156 sqm site one block from the beachfront, the development will replace an ageing walk-up building and is expected to contribute to the ongoing transformation of the Old Burleigh Road strip into one of the Gold Coast’s most prestigious residential corridors.

With the development moving into the delivery phase, 137 Old Burleigh Road is slated to hit the market later this year.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145141]

DVB Projects to launch second Broadbeach apartment tower as demolition commences

<a data-end="327" data-is-only-node="" data-start="250" href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/norus-projects" rel="noopener" target="_new">Norus Developments</a> has lodged plans for a new apartment development in Clayton that would add further momentum to the suburb's emerging Green Street corridor.

Plans have been lodged for the consolidated site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/1359-1365-centre-road-clayton-vic-3168">1359-1365 Centre Road</a>, where Norus is seeking approval for 218 apartments across a 12-storey apartment building designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/life-architecture-and-urban-design">Life Architecture</a>.

The proposal sits within the Clayton Major Activity Centre at the threshold of the planned Green Street corridor, a landscaped pedestrian connection intended to improve links through the precinct towards Clayton Railway Station.

The development would replace the site's existing collection of low-scale residential and commercial buildings with a single consolidated building, introducing significantly greater housing density to this part of Centre Road.

A retail tenancy is proposed at ground level to activate the Centre Road frontage, accompanied by transparent street interfaces and landscaping intended to create a more pedestrian-focused edge to the development.

<img alt="First look: Norus Developments plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0a5a763a-d9e9-4253-af2f-88008de27ebf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Clayton%20a.png?VersionId=S2WJJbat1XVkZwB9SnYtygirXgWHiklX" />

The building has been designed with stepped massing and upper-level setbacks to manage its transition towards surrounding residential properties. The planning report describes the approach as one that integrates the building into the landscape rather than treating landscaping as a secondary element.

"A strong landscape and public realm strategy underpins the proposal," Urbis states in the planning report.

"Public benefits include an affordable housing contribution, a new pocket park, generous landscaped setbacks, deep soil planting and integrated Water Sensitive Urban Design."

The report adds that these elements are intended to create "a permeable, pedestrian-focused ground plane that enhances walkability, supports urban cooling and reinforces the emerging Green Street character."

Biophilic and passive design principles extend through the residential levels, with planting, daylight, natural ventilation and views towards landscaped areas forming part of the amenity strategy.

Parking would be concentrated away from the public realm, with 145 car spaces proposed from the rear laneway rather than dominating the Centre Road frontage.

The proposal follows an extensive pre-application process with the City of Monash. Three formal meetings were held between the project team and Council from December 2025 to March 2026, with the scheme evolving through several concept iterations before the current design was lodged.

The project arrives as Clayton prepares for substantial change around its established activity centre and the wider Suburban Rail Loop precinct. Its position on Centre Road places the development within an existing concentration of shops, services and public transport, while the Green Street connection is intended to strengthen pedestrian access towards Clayton Railway Station.

First look: Norus plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gardner-vaughan-group">Gardner Vaughan Group</a> has officially commenced construction on Bronze on Chevron, celebrating the sod turning of its first-ever Gold Coast development and marking a significant milestone in the company's continued expansion across South East Queensland.&nbsp;

Following the successful delivery of premium residential developments throughout Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bronze-on-chevron-8-mawarra-street-chevron-island-qld-4217">Bronze on Chevron</a> represents Gardner Vaughan Group's entry into the Gold Coast market. Bronze will deliver 119 one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments above two ground-level retail tenancies.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107520 project_image_fid=367193]

The recent sod turning ceremony was attended by Deputy Mayor Mark Hammel, President of the Surfers Paradise Surf Life Saving Club, Cassandra Sedgman, project consultants, purchasers, project partners and invited guests to celebrate the commencement of construction.&nbsp;

Gardner Vaughan Group Chief Executive Officer Simon Betteridge said Bronze on Chevron represented an exciting new chapter for the business.&nbsp;

"We've spent almost four decades building homes that respond to the way people want to live, and we're excited to bring that experience to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/chevron-island-qld-4217">Chevron Island</a>," Betteridge said.

"Bronze on Chevron is particularly significant because it marks Gardner Vaughan Group's first development on the Gold Coast following many successful projects across Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107520 project_image_fid=367183]

Betteridge said the ground breaking is a proud moment for the&nbsp;team and their purchasers, who can now see their future homes beginning to take shape.&nbsp;

"As both developer and builder, we're able to oversee every aspect of the project from design through to construction, ensuring the quality and attention to detail Gardner Vaughan Group has become renowned for."&nbsp;

Designed by acclaimed architectural practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cottee-parker-architects">Cottee Parker</a>, Bronze on Chevron has been thoughtfully designed to complement Chevron Island's evolving streetscape while embracing its relaxed coastal lifestyle.

The development will offer generous residences with refined interiors, premium finishes and resort-style amenities, with completion anticipated in early 2029.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=107520]

The development will offer generous residences with refined interiors, premium finishes and resort-style amenities, with completion anticipated in early 2029

Gardner Vaughan Group breaks ground on first Gold Coast development, Bronze on Chevron

COVID-19

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Melbourne real estate will fully open with safety measures from November 23, the Victorian premier Daniel Andrews advised today.
However from October 26, if the daily average of new cases is fewer than five and there are fewer than five cases with an unknown source in the prior fortnight, agents would be allowed to hold private inspections and to hold outdoor auctions subject to gathering limits.
In the meantime the spring Melbourne real estate market will remain only as online inspections for several more weeks.
Thousands of Melbourne home vendors were hopefully awaiting today's decision to commence their marketing.
The government has confirmed only services related to property settlement and the commencement of or ending of a lease, including removalists, are to be allowed until October 26.
The re-opening was advised by Victorian Premier Daniel Andrews in his five-step road map out of stage four lockdowns from September 14.
If all goes to plan, a fourth step would begin on November 23, provided there were no new cases for 14 days.
All retail would then also be open and the real estate industry would open with additional safety measures.
Restrictions were introduced in late March which included a ban on on-site auctions, with two loosening of rules from May allowing auctions to go ahead with just 10 bidders, which was later raised to 20.
Auctions were banned again when stage four was enacted in August, along with no permissible open for inspections.
Regional Victoria will see its second step begin on September 13 allowing private inspections to resume. But onsite auctions with attendance limits won’t be allowed until the third step.
<div>
<div>
<h2>Breakdown of roadmap for metropolitan Melbourne</h2>
</div>
</div>
<div class="block-content">
<div class="styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa">First Step from 11.59pm, 13 September 2020 in metro Melbourne</div>
</div>
<div class="block-content">
<div class="styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa">
<ul>
<li>Curfew eased to 9pm to 5am</li>
<li>Exercise increased to two hours per day</li>
<li>Single "social bubbles"</li>
<li>Public outdoor gatherings of two people or a household for up to two hours</li>
<li>Playgrounds reopen</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
<div class="block-content">
<div class="styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa">Second Step from 28 September 2020 subject to public health advice and if average daily cases are 30-50 in metro Melbourne over previous 14 days.</div>
</div>
<div class="block-content">
<div class="styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa">
<ul>
<li>Public gatherings increase to up to five people from two households</li>
<li>Schools: staged return for Prep to Year 2, VCE/VCAL and specialist schools in Term 4</li>
<li>Childcare reopens</li>
<li>More workplaces open</li>
<li>Outdoor pools reopen, personal training for up to two people per trainer</li>
<li>Outdoor religious gatherings of up to 5 people plus 1 faith leader</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
<div class="block-content">
<div class="styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa">Third Step from 26 October 2020 subject to public health advice and if daily average is less than five new cases (state-wide) and less than five cases from unknown sources over the previous 14 days (state-wide total).</div>
</div>
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<div class="styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa">
<ul>
<li>Curfew dropped</li>
<li>Leave home – no restrictions on reasons or distance travelled</li>
<li>Public gatherings increased to 10 people outdoors</li>
<li>Visitors at home – up to five visitors from another nominated household</li>
<li>Schools – potential staged return for Year 3 to 10 based on epidemiology</li>
<li>Retail and hairdressing reopen</li>
<li>Hospitality - predominantly outdoor seated service, group limit of 10 and density limits</li>
<li>Sport – staged return of outdoor non-contact sport for adults. Outdoor under 18 years contact and non-contact sport resumes</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
<div class="block-content">
<div class="styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa">Last Step from 23 November 2020 subject to public health advice and if no new cases for previous 14 days</div>
</div>
<div class="block-content">
<div class="styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa">
<ul>
<li>Public gatherings of up to 50 people outdoors</li>
<li>Visitors at home – up to 20 visitors at a time</li>
<li>Retail - all open</li>
<li>Hospitality – indoor group limit of 20 people for seated service, cap of 50 patrons</li>
<li>Real estate – open with safety measures</li>
<li>Sport – open subject to safety measures, contact sport resumes for all ages</li>
<li>Weddings, funerals – maximum of 50 people</li>
<li>Religion – public worship resumes subject to density quotas</li>
</ul>
</div>
</div>
<div class="block-content">
<div class="styles__Container-sc-1ylecsg-0 goULFa">COVID Normal – starts when no new cases occur for 28 days plus no active cases (state-wide) and no outbreaks of concern in other States and Territories.</div>
</div>
<div class="block-content"> </div>
 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Melbourne real estate will fully open with COVID-19 safety measures from November 23

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
The outlook for the property market is expected to be quieter this Spring compared to previous seasons, but buyers are still there, according to home loan lender, ME.
I shared my spring property predictions:
The property market notoriously blooms in spring with a flurry of listings and buyers preparing to pounce.
But this season will be different: the property market will quieter due to the impact of COVID-19, particularly in Melbourne.
Despite some more listings this Spring and record low interest rates, economic concerns will dampen demand.
Plenty of challenges remain including high levels of unemployment, job insecurity and lower immigration, impacting people’s willingness to transact in property.
Many Australians are also on home loan repayment pauses. The gradual end of this type of support will be a critical juncture for the property market going forward.
Demand: first home buyers pounce, dreams of a sea or tree change to become reality
In terms of demand, buyer activity is expected to be overall lower than previous spring buying seasons, but buyers are still there and have a strong appetite for potentially bargain buys.
ME has seen an influx of first home buyers and expects this to continue. Potential for price falls, reduced investor activity together with historically low interest rates and government support are propelling first home buyers into action.
COVID-19 has also led to a re-assessment of life priorities. New remote and flexible working arrangements have made buying in regional areas a more feasible and affordable lifestyle option, and as such we may start seeing more buyers making their move this Spring.
According to ME’s latest Quarterly Property Sentiment Report, 45% of respondents said they were more likely to consider buying in a regional area, to save money and improve their lifestyle − rising to 60% of first home buyers.
Supply: A rush of fresh real estate listings on the horizon
The fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic and lockdowns has caused a short supply of stock. However, this Spring we may see an increase in listings come onto the market. I don’t foresee new stock overwhelming current demand, but certainly anyone listing will be met with a high degree of inquiry.
More competitive home loans
Competition in the home loan market will continue to benefit consumers looking for a good deal. Many lenders including ME have sharpened both <a href="https://www.mebank.com.au/news/perfectly-simple/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable">variable</a> and <a href="https://www.mebank.com.au/news/customers-want-low-fixed-rates-for-shorter-periods/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable">fixed home rates</a> to attract and retain customers.
Andrew Bartolo is the ME General Manager of Home Loans
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Spring selling season will be dampened under COVID-19: ME's Andrew Bartolo

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Deputy Premier John Barilaro and Minister for Agriculture Adam Marshall have today called for the removal of restrictions on agricultural workers crossing the NSW/Victoria border.
The call comes ahead of a meeting of National Cabinet on Friday, where an Agricultural Workers Code will be presented and considered. 
Mr Barilaro said agriculture was an essential industry and that it was imperative restrictions were lifted to ensure farmers had an adequate workforce for the fast-approaching harvest. 
“The situation is now at the 11th hour for many producers across the State. We cannot stand by and watch farmers, crops and businesses face ruin due to the border closure with Victoria,” Mr Barilaro said.
“Agriculture is an essential industry. Our farmers feed and clothe the nation and we must do everything to ensure they can continue to operate as smoothly as possible."
Mr Marshall said he would be taking forward a proposal to a meeting of Agriculture Ministers tomorrow,  which would see sensible safety requirements imposed in exchange for the removal of all other restrictions on the movement of agricultural workers across all borders.
“Our farmers are suffering because the current cumbersome permit system restricts the free movement of agricultural workers across the NSW/Victoria border, beyond 100 kilometres,” Mr Marshall said. 
“As part of that proposal, new requirements would be introduced to ensure the safety of primary producers and rural communities, including having a mandatory COVID Safe Plan in place, the use of PPE by workers as well as robust records keeping to allow contact tracing.
“Our farmers have had a gutful of these senseless border restrictions and so have I.”
The Minister for Agriculture is proposing an Agricultural Workers Code that would allow for the free movement of agriculture so long as COVID-19 safe strategies are in place including individual record keeping, COVID-safe plans, the use of PPE and regular voluntary testing.
 
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Ministerial call for the removal of restrictions on agricultural workers crossing the NSW/Victoria border

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The Australian property market has managed to hold its value, according to PRD Real Estate’s recent market research report.
Despite the ill-effects of the COVID-19 shutdown, PRD reveals on average, median house prices grew in capital city, metropolitan and regional markets in the 12 months to the first half of 2020.
Capital city markets grew by 1.0 per cent on average, led by Melbourne, Sydney and Hobart. Regional markets performed best; up by 3.4 per cent.
PRD Real Estate Chief Economist, Diaswati Mardiasmo believes the market has shown great resilience.
“Whilst COVID-19 hit us swiftly this year and threw Australian economy and property markets into turmoil, things settled down within the property market quicker than initially thought”, she commented.
Australia has created a market balance thanks to the unprecedented release of multiple fiscal and monetary policy assistance, the report reveals.
Consumer confidence has returned to pre-COVID-19 levels with confidence up by
23.9 per cent in June 2020 after a plummet in April.
“Uncertainty about the health situation and the future strength of the economy is making many households and businesses cautious. However, despite the curveballs the property market has been remarkably resilient, and demand has been stronger than many people anticipated”, Dr Mardiasmo said.
Notably, new home sales increased by 77.6 per cent at the end of this financial year, from a record low result in May.
The HomeBuilder scheme is balancing the downturn in residential construction due to COVID-19 with upgraders accounting for 42 per cent of loans in June.
“The key going forward will be increasing levels of employment, public and private investment and consumer confidence based on the ongoing impact of COVID-19.” Dr Mardiasmo said.
“There is no doubt we are seeing signs of gradual improvement”.
 
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The Australian property market sees gradual improvement: PRD 

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Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk placed tighter restrictions on auction gatherings in Gold Coast homes from 8am, on Saturday, 29 August. 
“Coming into effect from 8:00am Saturday, we are going to extend those limits of people inside your homes to 10 people, and those gatherings outside to 10,” Ms Palaszczuk said.
“I think everyone would agree, we acted very swiftly when it came to those earlier cases with the Brisbane Youth Detention Centre and we know people travel a lot from the Gold Coast to Brisbane, and it makes sense to extend that.”
The Real Estate Institute of Queensland (REIQ) issued guidelines:
“Owners, tenants and agents must continue to take reasonable steps to encourage visitors to any premises to practise physical distancing and hygiene practices as required and that open home inspections, rental inspections and auctions be limited as required by the new directive.
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Gold Coast gets tightened auction restrictions amid COVID-19 concerns

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A key takeaway from CoreLogic data amid the pandemic, is that transaction activity slows significantly in response to COVID-19 restrictions. The resulting loss of employment, lower consumer sentiment and border closures have had a much larger impact on the number of properties marketed and sold, than property prices themselves.  This was seen from the Stage 2 restrictions implemented from the 25th of March. New listings fell 50.3% from mid-March to early May. This exacerbated the seasonal dip in for sale listings throughout March and April. 
<img src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/2020-08/rolling_28_day_count_of_new_for_sale_listings_national_aug2020.jpg" width="1028" height="539">
However, as Melbourne reached the halfway mark of its Stage 4 restrictions in late August, national listings activity has completely diverged from the usual listings patterns in the lead up to spring.  In the 4 years prior to the pandemic, the number of new properties listed for sale nationally has, on average, increased 6.3% between late July and late August. This year however, the equivalent period has seen a 9.6% decline in new listings nationally.   Unsurprisingly, this can be attributed to a sharp fall in new listings across Melbourne. The decline in new listings across Melbourne’s property market was 54.9% in the month to August 23rd, accounting for over 100% of the national decline.  Conversely, most other capital cities saw an increase in new listings, as greater levels of consumer confidence, and lower levels of COVID-19 cases, saw vendors ramping up for the spring selling season. Across Sydney however, new listings had also started to slip marginally. The severe drop-off in listings is validated by a fall in the number of comparative market analysis reports generated across CoreLogic platforms by real estate agents in Victoria. The average number of reports generated per week in Victoria fell 24.6% from July over the month of August to date. 
<img src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/2020-08/rolling_28_day_count_of_new_for_sale_listings_melbourne.jpg" width="1034" height="526"><img src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/2020-08/monthly_change_in_new_listings_count_to_23rd_august_2020.jpg" width="611" height="289">
<h4>Why do transactions slow in times of strict social distancing</h4>
The reasons for slowed transaction activity during COVID restrictions are two-fold. The first is the physical limitation of buying and selling property under social distancing rules. Property sales may be less scalable as fewer people can physically inspect, show and value property.   The second is the economic uncertainty generated by stage 4 lockdowns. As consumption falls and unemployment spikes, vendors feel less confident selling their property and getting their desired price. This is further supported by the close movement exhibited between sales volumes and the consumer sentiment index. Significant falls in monthly sales volumes have closely aligned with this indicator. 
<img src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/2020-08/consumer_sentiment_v_national_volume_of_dwelling_sales.jpg" width="817" height="385">
The drop in sales volumes in times of high economic uncertainty, such as around the GFC and the national Stage 2 restrictions in March and April, indicates sellers and buyers are less likely to participate in property transactions during negative economic shocks or periods of heightened uncertainty.  Additionally, a vital part of the tight lid on new listings has been mortgage repayment deferral offerings from banks. This has meant that people who cannot currently service their mortgage do not have to list as a distressed or motivated seller. This dynamic may change in the lead up to March, when banks may need to end repayment deferrals.  Property owners who have deferred their mortgages, but are not in a position to reinstate their repayments by the end of March, may decide to offload their property in the lead up to this expiry date. It’s reasonable to expect mortgage arrears will increase from currently low levels, which could gradually see a larger number of distressed listings come on the market.
The intention to sell and buy property is evidently linked to consumer confidence, which in turn has been influenced by case numbers of COVID-19, and the stringency of government response in impacting economic activity.  The initial restrictions through March and April saw a sharp drop in listings nationally, but these recovered quickly. A similar pattern was seen in sales volumes. The low cost of debt and strong recovery in consumer confidence created pent-up demand for property as Australia got ahead of the virus curve. This was perhaps one of the few ‘V-shaped’ recoveries observed amid the pandemic.  However, once restrictions are repealed in Melbourne this time around, the recovery in transaction activity is likely to be weaker.  That is because employment is taking another hit, consumer sentiment is dampened by the reality of a second outbreak of the virus, and a reduction in fiscal support is only a month away. Ultimately, the second round of restrictions across Victoria is likely to create a weaker ‘spring selling season’ than in previous years. 
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Spring real estate listings off to slow start: Core Logic's Eliza Owen 

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The second wave of COVID-19 has prompted ANZ to forecast Melbourne faces a 15 per cent fall in home prices by next year.
It is the largest peak-to-trough decline ANZ predicted for an Australian capital.
ANZ Bank has maintained its forecast for national house prices to fall by 10 per cent from peak to trough but now expects smaller falls in Hobart, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth and Canberra.
While all those cities are set to fall between 6 and 9 per cent, the bank revised its forecast to a 15 per cent drop in Melbourne house prices, a dip greater than its previous prediction of a 13 per cent fall.
It still predicts a 13 per cent fall in Sydney, bottoming out in the second half of 2021. 
Darwin is expected by ANZ to stay in the doldrums, being down nine per cent.
The bank expects Hobart to fall by eight per cent) and Brisbane by six per cent.
The bank estimates Melbourne house and unit prices have already fallen by 2.2 per cent between March and July
It labelled the decrease “slightly more modest than we expected”, given government support payments like JobKeeper, superannuation withdrawals and deferred mortgage repayments helped the market/.
ANZ senior economist Cherelle Murphy said a dramatic decline in demand for housing had hurt both the sales and rental sectors.
“You’re going to have a greater unemployment problem in Melbourne simply because of the lockdown, (so) demand is going to be diminished,” she said.
With the Stage 4 lockdown in early August, Victoria’s economy is likely to have contracted further since.
In the three months to the end of June, the ANZ Stateometer showed Victoria’s economy deteriorated sharply, mainly due to weakness in the labour market and consumer sectors.
The ANZ believes Victoria's economy will contract 5 per cent or by more than $22 billion this year after a flat 2019-20. 
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Melbourne faces 15 percent price falls by 2021: ANZ

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BIS Oxford Economics executive chairman Robert Mellor thinks the golden years of property investing may be over.
"I don't think another investor-led housing boom is around the corner and a key reason is investors will be sitting on the sidelines for a while given falling rents and, for now, falling prices," he said.
"For someone who has watched the residential market for 40 years, you know that when building activity drops off, so too does GDP. The relationship is very strong," he told the Australian Financial Review.
He is forecasting a drop in migration of about 60,000 this financial year and another 150,000 next financial year.
With about 2.7 people per household, the forecast drop equates to about 80,000 fewer houses needing to be built.
"These people who are no longer coming impact on the rental market, so it will significantly reduce demand and that will lift vacancy rates and increase risks around residential property," Mr Mellor said.
Mellor says ongoing state border closures will put substantial pressure on apartment demand in the months ahead.
"All our numbers show the apartment sector is moving into significant oversupply because of lower net migration and rising number of people per household," Mr Mellor said.
"Even if migration level stays at around 100,000 over the next couple of years, this is still just half of the normal demand."
Inner-city apartments in particular are likely to be hit, as rentals continue to flood the market even as landlords struggle to find tenants.
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Golden years of property investing may be over: Robert Mellor

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The supply of new capital city apartments is set to dry up over the next three years as completions plunge.
They are expected to plunge from their present levels in Sydney by 81 per cent and in Melbourne by 75 per cent.
New projects are tipped to be delayed or cancelled because of poor demand following the pandemic slowdown.
The forecasts were made in the <a href="https://charterkc.com.au/research/state-of-the-market/" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">State of the Market for Residential Apartments report</a> by consultancy firm Charter Keck Cramer.
It also expects a sharp decline in the number of completed apartments in Brisbane, where supply is forecast to slump as much as 90 per cent by 2023.
Charter Keck Cramer director of residential research and strategy Angie Zigomanis said the expected drop in apartment completions could help stem the slide in apartment prices and rents.
"The apartment market could see a relief from lower supply and starts, which will place upward pressure on rents, yields and prices, and in turn should kick-start off-the-plan demand," Mr Zigomanis said.
"If a quick recovery in net overseas migration to pre-COVID levels occurs, the sharp reduction in new dwelling completions from FY2022 is likely to cause a significant dwelling deficiency to re-emerge.
<div id="endOfArticle" class="_3PsH9">
"However, if net overseas migration inflows and population growth continue to remain weak, then the Melbourne and Sydney apartment markets could be subdued for some time."
The report noted Victoria's recent share of the national total suggested that its net inflow of overseas migrants will fall dramatically from a peak of 91,000 in FY2017, to 11,000 in FY2021.
"On these numbers, the requirement for new dwellings in Melbourne is expected to more than halve from a peak of 57,500 new dwellings in FY2017 to an estimated 27,200 in FY2021."
The supply of new apartments has continued to flow this year through the pandemic, the report noted.
A total of 17,100 apartments were being completed in Melbourne – the third highest on record.
In Sydney, 22,500 apartments were being finished.
It is 5000 in Brisbane.
But the pipeline is diminishing quickly, with project launches and commencement falling sharply.
Only 5300 apartments started marketing in Sydney – an 84 per cent drop from the 2016 high and its lowest level since 2010.
The number of apartments starting construction has tumbled by more than half (57 per cent) to 9200 – the lowest commencements in nine years.
In Melbourne, 12,500 new apartments began construction – a slight increase from a year ago. Only 5600 apartments were being released for sale, which was the lowest number of launches recorded over the past decade.
The time it took to deliver new apartments from launch has blown out as slower sales volumes and more onerous requirements to secure finance has held up projects.
The lag in Sydney has pushed out to an average of 18 months compared to eight months in 2011 and 2016. In Melbourne, the delay widened to an average of 20 months from nine months in 2009.
Historically, larger projects take longer to proceed from launch to construction, however the time frame has converged, highlighting the difficulties in achieving pre-sales and obtaining finance across the board, Mr Zigomanis said.
The report noted the Sydney owner occupier market is holding up, supported by low interest rates, which have improved affordability for those with jobs.
"First home-buyer demand is being encouraged by stamp duty concessions.
"In turn, this is supporting demand for affordable apartments that are suitable for owner occupiers. Both upgraders and downsizes remain active where they are transacting within the same market."
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Price drop to be stemmed as apartment supply set to plunge given COVID-19 pause

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EXPERT OBSERVER
<div>WA resurgent</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Apartment construction slowed to the lowest level in half a decade in Q2 2020. </div>
 
<div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-wP3hUYQF3EY/X0YcU3no3RI/AAAAAAAA30g/ytsTuEHVBakHQpCMl4Y5KEp4XqHm6IwQACNcBGAsYHQ/s1454/3%2B-%2BCopy.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-wP3hUYQF3EY/X0YcU3no3RI/AAAAAAAA30g/ytsTuEHVBakHQpCMl4Y5KEp4XqHm6IwQACNcBGAsYHQ/s640/3%2B-%2BCopy.jpg" width="640" data-original-height="826" data-original-width="1454"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The slowdown was largely driven by Melbourne and its lockdown, while the other major states have seen things stabilise in this sector. </div>
 
<div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-WxLE6cVvp9c/X0YcU246TNI/AAAAAAAA30c/qOE9wmmN-pYr8zw9n-AtLfDNPenV9JfJQCNcBGAsYHQ/s1406/Resi1%2B-%2BCopy.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-WxLE6cVvp9c/X0YcU246TNI/AAAAAAAA30c/qOE9wmmN-pYr8zw9n-AtLfDNPenV9JfJQCNcBGAsYHQ/s640/Resi1%2B-%2BCopy.jpg" width="640" data-original-height="814" data-original-width="1406"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Mining construction is now on the rise again in Western Australia, while major engineering projects in New South Wales also provided a timely boost.</div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-_yeVcbsaSbo/X0Ycbwkx8fI/AAAAAAAA30k/hhG2QqEZL1kqbpMXbx7iBWqjYBy8X7f4wCNcBGAsYHQ/s1398/2.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-_yeVcbsaSbo/X0Ycbwkx8fI/AAAAAAAA30k/hhG2QqEZL1kqbpMXbx7iBWqjYBy8X7f4wCNcBGAsYHQ/s640/2.jpg" width="640" data-original-height="828" data-original-width="1398"></a></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Thanks to engineering, the preliminary figures for construction hardly declined in Q2, down by just -0.7 per cent and holding up at more than $50 billion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The quarterly peak was $66 billion in 2017.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Brighter times ahead for Western Australia on the back of the strength in iron ore and gold. </div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers and a best-selling author and blogger 
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