Repeat buyers are one of the strongest measures of confidence in any apartment development.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/era-newcastle-west-124-126-bull-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">ERA</a> in Newcastle West, some purchasers are returning to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> after living at the developer's One Apartments. Their decision to purchase again was driven by the quality of life they found after moving into their first GWH home.

Keith Wilton had spent years living in a house in East Maitland before deciding it was time for a change. Apartment living had always been on his radar, but he was selective about what he wanted.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/FH_1EzB-1vs?si=XScVlP1ERsTDJoME" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

"I had some boxes I wanted to tick," he says.

Keith points to the open-plan design, generous outdoor areas and considered inclusions as key reasons One Apartments worked for him.

“One of those things was a nice indoor open plan area, but also I wanted a nice outdoor open area that I could entertain on in summer or Christmases or birthdays,” he says.

He also found value in the smaller details, from integrated appliances to shared resident spaces including the pool, cinema and rooftop areas.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356818]

After comparing several developments, he chose One Apartments because of GWH's longstanding local reputation and his own experience working with the developer on a commercial project more than a decade earlier.

"I knew that they were local, that the quality of the build was going to be up there. I'd looked at other apartment complexes around and close by, and I just knew that here was a better decision location wise."

Today, Keith says the move has completely changed how he experiences Newcastle.

"I enjoy living in this location because it's more of a lifestyle change. That Newcastle city living where you can walk to restaurants and bars and even beaches and parks and even shopping across the road."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356828]

Beyond the location, he says it's the sense of community that has surprised him most.

"Everyone loves living here because they chose to live here, but everyone looks out for each other. It's a real great community feel here."

For Aimee and Lyle Goodman, the journey started almost by chance.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/tsioMLcnjas?si=zq-ys3JuWpfa5hFv" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

The couple happened to be having coffee in Newcastle when they noticed the site where One Apartments was about to begin construction.

"We were aware GWH was planning a development," Aimee says. "We made one phone call and things moved pretty quickly after that."

As busy business owners, they initially thought apartment living would simply reduce the maintenance that came with larger homes. Instead, it fundamentally changed how they spent time together.

"We actually catch up more as a family now," Aimee says.

"We've had homes with big yards and lots of space, but everyone ended up in different rooms. Here we'll have dinner together, the kids can play, and we spend far more quality time together."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356829]

Lyle says their confidence came from GWH's reputation within Newcastle's building industry.

"I know people who've worked across different apartment projects, and whenever GWH came up the feedback was always the same. They're rock solid. They're quality."

That confidence only grew throughout the buying process.

"One of the things that really impressed us with GWH was the whole process, was the communication," Lyle says. "It was consistent, it was regular, there was no problem if we had some weird questions, there was no problems in getting answers."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351104]

Aimee says one moment stood out.

"The project actually finished on time. We realised we needed to hurry up and sell our house because everything was happening exactly when they said it would."

The positive experience at One Apartments ultimately gave all three buyers the confidence to purchase again with GWH, this time at ERA.

Their confidence reflects what many buyers are seeking in today's apartment market. Location remains important, but so too does certainty around delivery, quality and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356822]

ERA builds on those foundations with 280 one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two landmark towers in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Newcastle West</a>.&nbsp;

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">Fender Katsalidis</a>, the project will include more than 2,000 square metres of resident amenities, including a resort-style pool, gym, sauna, private cinema and rooftop entertaining spaces overlooking the harbour and coastline.&nbsp;

The development is also within walking distance of the Newcastle Interchange, Honeysuckle, Darby Street, the harbour foreshore, restaurants, retail and the city’s beaches, continuing the walkable lifestyle that existing GWH buyers say has transformed how they live.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356826]

For Keith, the appeal remains straightforward.

"You feel at home even before you've moved into your home."

For Aimee, the change is measured in time.

“I just felt like I had more time,” she says.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351102]

Construction at ERA is now underway, with more than half of the residences already sold and limited two and three-bedroom apartments remaining in the East Tower release. Priced from $980,000 for two-bedroom residences and $1.46 million for three-bedroom residences, buyers can secure an apartment with a 10 per cent deposit, with premium homes offering ocean views from Level 8 and harbour views from Level 10.

ERA is also backed by Resilience Insurance's 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing protection against structural or waterproofing defects for 10 years after completion. The project is anticipated to be completed in early 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135096]

Joel Robinson

From ONE to ERA: Why buyers are choosing GWH again in Newcastle West

Virgate Property Group is preparing to commence construction of Verdé, its new apartment development in Melbourne's Arts Precinct at Southbank, following a strong run of sales that has seen more than half of the project's 173 apartments secured.

Verdé has attracted a broad mix of first home buyers, owner-occupiers upgrading from nearby inner-city suburbs and investors, with younger owner-occupier couples aged between 28 and 45 accounting for the strongest enquiry. Many are already living in Southbank, South Melbourne, Albert Park, Port Melbourne, South Yarra and the CBD.

"Verdé is located in one of the most desirable pockets of southern Melbourne," Blair Property Group Director Darren Blair, who is managing sales at Verdé, said.

"It's within walking distance of the Arts Centre, Royal Botanic Gardens, Albert Park Lake, and Southbank's restaurants and retail. It's a great lifestyle location with strong amenity and liveability, which made it a very attractive choice for the project."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372549]

Virgate was already familiar with the precinct, having previously delivered the successful Domain House development in neighbouring South Melbourne. That experience gave the developer confidence to acquire the Coventry Street site and continue expanding its presence in Melbourne's inner south.

"We had been keeping an eye on the site and the broader precinct for a few months before deciding to move forward with the acquisition," Virgate said.

The project was ultimately secured in 2020 following feasibility studies, planning assessments and due diligence, with the brief centred on delivering "a high-quality, considered design that feels both refined and fit for purpose."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=314259]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bruce-henderson-architects">Bruce Henderson Architects</a>, Verdé comprises 173 one, two and three-bedroom apartments priced from $599,000. The architecture is distinguished by a faceted glass façade that responds to both the site's outlook and Melbourne's changing light conditions.

According to Bruce Henderson Architects, the coloured glazing gives the building a distinctive identity while also providing privacy and solar shading, with residences oriented to capture views across the bay, city skyline and surrounding parklands.

Inside, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/designoffice">DesignOffice</a> has created interiors focused on natural light, efficient planning and enduring materials. Apartments feature engineered oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, floor-to-ceiling glazing and SMEG appliances, while a restrained material palette aims to complement the expansive outlooks rather than compete with them.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372550]

Resident amenity has also been designed around everyday functionality rather than occasional use. Facilities include a concierge-serviced lobby, residents' lounge with fireplace, library and co-working space, gym, terrace garden with barbecue facilities, ground-floor café, and package delivery management.

The project's location continues to be one of its strongest drawcards. Positioned on Coventry Street, Verdé sits within walking distance of the National Gallery of Victoria, Arts Centre Melbourne, Royal Botanic Gardens and Albert Park Lake, while Southbank's dining precinct, Sturt Street trams and the new ANZAC Station are all nearby. The surrounding education catchment also includes Melbourne Grammar, Melbourne Girls Grammar, Mac.Robertson Girls' High School and several major university campuses.

The sales team says buyers have responded particularly well to the combination of location, design quality and long-term liveability.

"They're responding really positively to the quality of the design, premium resident amenities and the uninterrupted views. Many also appreciate the location and how connected it is to everything they need."

The ability to secure stamp duty savings before completion has also been a key factor for purchasers, alongside the opportunity to personalise finishes ahead of settlement.

With construction set to commence soon and more than half the apartments already sold, Verdé enters its next phase as one of the Arts Precinct's more established apartment developments, offering remaining buyers an opportunity to secure a residence before construction advances further. Expected completion is scheduled for late 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4661]

Virgate's Verdé Southbank moves toward construction as sales fly past halfway stage

Downsizer-focused apartment development Kooyongkoot in Hawthorn has been recognised at the 2026 Better Future Melbourne Design Awards, taking home Gold and Silver awards in two categories.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kooyongkoot-hawthorn-1-kooyongkoot-road-hawthorn-vic-3122">Kooyongkoot</a>, currently being delivered by developer PQD and designed by Cera Stribley, received Gold in the Interior Design – Proposed category and Silver in the Architecture – Proposed category.

The dual recognition reflects the design approach behind the boutique development on prestigious Kooyongkoot Road, where the focus has been on creating homes for downsizers seeking the space, quality and functionality of a detached house within a low-rise apartment building.

Rather than maximising apartment numbers, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/pqd">PQD</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a> limited the development to just 18 residences, allowing for larger floorplans, greater privacy, generous landscaping and expansive communal spaces.&nbsp;The majority of the apartments also benefit from corner aspects, allowing for dual sources of natural light.

Now around 70 per cent complete and on track for completion in November 2026, Kooyongkoot will comprise a mix of garden residences, ter​race apartments, sub-penthouses, and is crowned by two half-floor penthouses with direct lift access and private rooftop terraces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355297]

The Silver Award for Architecture recognised the way the building responds to its prominent corner position at the ent​rance to Hawthorn's Scotch Hill precinct, one of Melbourne's most established residential neighbourhoods.

Rather than competing with the grand homes that line Kooyongkoot Road, the architectural approach focused on restraint and longevity, using curved brickwork, generous landscaping and carefully considered proportions to integrate with the existing streetscape.

"The form feels fluid and timeless, as though shaped by the landscape itself – architecture that belongs, rather than competes," said Chris Stribley, Co-Founder and Managing Principal of Cera Stribley.

The judging submission also highlighted practical innovations throughout the building, including lift cores servicing only nine homes each, a central landscaped lightcourt designed to bring daylight and ventilation into the building, and fully enclosed private storage rooms with lighting, power and shelving to better accommodate residents transitioning from larger family homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355293]

The Gold Award for Interior Design recognised the project's focus on long-term liveability rather than display-home aesthetics.

According to the awards submission, the interiors were designed from the inside out, prioritising how homes would function over decades of daily use through generous proportions, practical storage, durable natural materials and flexible layouts.

The specification includes natural stone throughout, upgraded acoustic glazing, V-ZUG appliances and fully enclosed storage rooms, alongside an amenity offering focused on wellness, entertainment and everyday convenience.&nbsp;

Residents will have access to a gym and yoga studio, a wellness centre featuring traditional and infrared saunas, a cold therapy shower and treatment room, as well as a residents' lounge and golf simulator/cinema room for entertainment.&nbsp;Kooyongkoot has also considered the everyday convenience of its residents by offering a private carwash and pet wash facilities on site as well as dedicated parcel lockers and oversized fully enclosed storage rooms.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355303]

The project's attention to detail has already resonated with buyers. Earlier this year, Kooyongkoot recorded one of Boroondara's highest apartment sales when an $8 million penthouse was purchased by a Melbourne CEO downsizing from a nearby family home.

"Every detail feels deliberate, from the overall design down to the smallest touches," the purchaser said.

"The level of quality and refinement is exceptional, but what really sold it was how liveable it felt... It felt like a place where everything had been considered, not just a luxury building."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355304]

Sustainability also formed a key part of both award submissions. Kooyongkoot is targeting a minimum 7.5-star NatHERS rating across all residences, supported by passive design principles, high-performance glazing, EV charging infrastructure, water reuse systems and a wellness model focused on lower-energy dry facilities rather than pools and large wet areas.

Located within walking distance of Scotch College, Methodist Ladies' College, Koo​yong Lawn Tennis Club, Aubur​n Village and Camberwell Junction, Kooyongkoot continues to target owner-occupiers looking to remain in Melbourne's inner east without compromising on space or quality. A limited selection of two, three and four-bedroom residences remains available, with prices starting from $1.9 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=102717]

Kooyongkoot wins Gold and Silver at Better Future Melbourne Design Awards

New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.

It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.

With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.

The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.

Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.

"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.

"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.

Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.

That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.

"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.

"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."

Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.

"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=5374]

The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.

Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.

That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.

"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.

The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.

The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.

The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.

Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.

"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.

"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."

<img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" />

Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.

Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.

Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.

"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.

"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."

Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.

Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.

Rainbow Bay apartment doubles in price since off the plan sale during pandemic

APRA

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Since the federal election there appears to have been some strength returning to the housing market.  A number of factors have contributed to this apparent improvement in housing confidence, including:
1.       An unexpected election win to the Coalition.  Typically a change of government wouldn’t have too much of an impact on housing sentiment however, the Labor opposition took to the election some policies which would have influenced the market, particularly the investor segment.  Specifically these were reforms to negative gearing which would have seen this taxation policy reserved for new dwellings only (with grandfathering provisions for current investment property owners) as well as a halving of capital gains discounts.
2.       Two 25 basis point cuts to official interest rates.  Since the election, the Reserve Bank has now cut official interest rates in both June and July by 25 basis points.  While lower interest rates signal a requirement for economic stimulus, for mortgage holders lower rates mean cheaper mortgages if they refinance, a potential to reduce repayment amounts or paying off more of the principal component if they choose to make no changes to their mortgage.
3.       The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has proposed amending guidance on mortgage lending.  Since the inception of macroprudential tools in December 2014, APRA has required lenders to assess the ability of borrowers to repay their mortgage at either an interest rate of above 7% (typically 7.25%) or a buffer of 2% over the loans interest rate, whichever is the larger.  With mortgage rates the lowest they have been since the 1960s the buffer has become restrictive and APRA is now proposing to remove the 7% benchmark and change the requirement to an interest rate buffer of 2.5% above the loans interest rate.
The federal election was held on the 18 May and the result was known that evening.   APRA published their proposal to amend their guidance on mortgage lending on 21 May and was given the go-ahead by APRA on 5 July and the first of the two cuts to the cash rates occurred on 4 June.  The week following the election, auction clearance rates was slightly lower in Melbourne while in Sydney it increased from 56.5% to 62.1%.  Over the weeks following the election, auction clearance rates in Melbourne have averaged 64.4% compared to an average throughout 2019 prior of 53.6%.  In Sydney, auction clearance rates have averaged 62.5% since the election compared to 53.6% prior.  
Importantly, the CoreLogic Home Value Index has been showing moderating declines each month throughout 2019 and although values are still falling nationally, Sydney and Melbourne recorded their first increases since 2017 in June.
Although all of these factors are seemingly positive for the housing market it is important to note that APRA has only just announced that they are actually amending their guidance on mortgage lending. 
Furthermore, from July 1 there were some further changes that will impact on the mortgage lending space, the details of which are below:
1.       The expansion of positive credit reporting. This change will provide lenders with more information on lenders credit history.  Specifically, credit account histories including: type of account, date the account was open, current credit limit and account closed date as well as two years of repayment history of accounts including information on late or defaulted payments.  Given this lenders will have a lot more information about borrower’s credit histories and will seemingly have fewer excuses for providing loans to those that aren’t credit worthy.  By the end of September, lenders will be required to share 100% of specified credit data, providing a more complete profile of borrower debt levels and credit worthiness. 
2.       The adoption of the new Banking Code of Conduct.  While this is not a legally enforceable document, it does set out the standards of practice and service for the banking sector.  It has been significantly amended and according to the Code in some areas, it sets higher standards than the law.  You can see the code here: <a id="LPlnk427005" href="https://www.ausbanking.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Banking-Code-of-Practice-2019-web.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer" data-auth="NotApplicable">https://www.ausbanking.org.au/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Banking-Code-of-Practice-2019-web.pdf</a>
So on one hand you can see the borrowing is going to become somewhat easier as APRA makes the changes it is proposing and mortgage rates have reduced on the back of the two interest rate cuts we’ve had.  On the other hand, the expansion of comprehensive credit reporting gives lenders much more insight into the creditworthiness of borrowers and the new banking Code of Conduct appears to be requiring much higher standards from the banks, as well as executive accountability for conduct as prescribed under the Banking Executive Accountability Regime (BEAR).  Furthermore, banks continue to have a very close focus on living expenses assessment when deciding whether a borrower is credit worthy.
Given all of this, we believe that mortgage credit is going to become a little more accessible however, there will remain a level of conservatism and caution from lenders.  Especially given the Royal Commission that has recently occurred and the fact that they have much more data available to them in order to make decisions about the credit worthiness of borrowers.
CAMERON KUSHER is the head of research for the Australian division of CoreLogic
Kusher regularly posts on the <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news" target="_blank">CoreLogic website</a>.
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

What APRA (potentially) giveth does comprehensive credit reporting take-away? CoreLogic's Cameron Kusher

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<div>
APRA announced further measures to cool certain sectors of the housing market last week.
Every man and his dog has written about this already, with a few excellent insights and some interpretations that were just plain weird - so let's keep this post as short as possible, shall we? 
OK, here we go...
APRA wants lenders to place strict internal limits on the volume of interest-only lending at loan-to-value ratios (LVRs) above 80 percent, so firstly some lenders will immediately require a 20 per cent deposit for this type of loan. A shift in this direction has already taken place to some extent, so the impact of this may be marginal.
Lenders must now also ensure there is "strong scrutiny and justification of any instances of interest-only lending at an LVR above 90 percent", so interest-only loans with a deposit of less than 10 per cent will generally go the way of the dodo and the lo-doc loan. 
Again, this has by and large already happened, but will have the ongoing effect of knocking a few more first-time buyers out of the market, while having no impact on incumbent owners with existing equity.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge </a>
</div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/02/C2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Speed limit</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The existing 10 per cent cap on growth for investment mortgage books will remain in place. I've spoken to branch managers and bank owners, and their view is generally that this won't have too much impact since new loans can always be pushed back a month.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But a third impact may be that some lenders have to wind their necks in just a little bit further. </div>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a> 
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/02/C4.jpg" alt=""></div>
 
<div>Fourthly, there will likely be a shift in the investor loan segment of the market towards private financiers or non-bank lenders, perhaps some of whom may offer commercial-style rates. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Fifthly, banks have been presented with an open goal here for raising the rates on their investor loans, so rates will inevitably be ratcheted higher in due course. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Switch...</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Between July 2015 and February 2017 some $50 billion of loans were switched from investor to owner-occupier mortgages following the introduction of an interest rate differential between the two types of loan. A sixth impact will therefore be yet further switching of loan purpose. </div>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C3.jpg" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/02/C3.jpg" alt=""></div>
Why worry?
<div>
So far, so unremarkable. But there's more...
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>By far the most important impact will be a new 'speed limit' on interest-only loans in Australia, with APRA now aiming to limit the flow of new interest-only lending to 30 per cent of total new residential mortgage lending.</div>
<div> At the heady peak more than 45 per cent of new loans were interest-only in nature, with investors in particular favouring this type of product in order to maximise their tax deductible expenses.  </div>
<div> </div>
<div>A seventh impact will be that new owner-occupiers wanting to use this type of product in future may be given their marching orders, and possibly some aged borrowers too. </div>
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/02/C1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Eighthly, if that is even a real word, two of Australia's major banks have been rolling over interest-only loans more or less automatically at the end of the interest-only period, and these lenders will almost certainly now require a far more stringent assessment. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of course, few borrowers will default on a loan when they've seen the value of their Sydney property double over the preceding five years, though they might choose to sell off their investment if the repayments become too arduous. The impact in markets where dwelling prices have declined might prove to be an altogether more dramatic story.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The ninth impact - perhaps an over-arching point really - is that far too many investors have simply assumed they will continue rolling interest-only debt ad infinitum, and they may now have to get it into their heads that they will be paying back principal sooner or later.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Seemingly every other week an article surfaces featuring 'young gun investors' with a dozen interest-only loans having been used to buy high-yielding properties in far-flung areas. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Credit markets tend to move in cycles, so APRA's changes may or may not be permanent, but in the prevailing market conditions some borrowers could get caught short if they've simply planned to continue rolling interest-only debt on an endless loop. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Oh, and there may be further macroprudential measures to come!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

APRA offers further measures to cool certain housing market sectors

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Expert Observer
It was announced in the 2017 Budget speech that the regulator APRA will explicitly be allowed to differentiate loan controls by location.
This is another move signalling that politicians and regulators don't trust banks to lend responsibly, while simultaneously inferring that they know better than the market what 'should' be happening in terms of property markets and lending activity (which may be a positive thing or a very worrying development depending on your outlook!).
Practically speaking this means that APRA might look to restrict the flow of credit into 'hot' housing markets - basically, Sydney - while presumably steering clear of intervention in markets where prices and rents are in a multi-year freefall (such as Darwin, Gladstone, or indeed any number of of Australia's resources regions).
This all sounds jolly good on paper, until you think about all of the potential ramifications of regulatory intervention. There isn't the space here to go into detail on this point, but it's a concern!
Lending finance rebounds
The March 2017 Lending Finance figures, which strangely never seem to get any media coverage, saw total lending jump tidily from $67.6 billion to $72.9 billion in seasonally adjusted terms.
<a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-2f6hTXVdfZA/WR4AGIWCN3I/AAAAAAAAj6o/BW7FQ9Afn98N7wzbfoN5JlhkrJZtkOgQgCLcB/s640/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/19/rsz_lendingfinace.png" alt="">
Lending to homebuyers was relatively steady in the lead-up to APRA's latest round of macroprudential curbs, while nationally there was a moderate increase in lending to property investors (classified below under commercial lending).
It's generally reported that lending for real estate is unproductive and risky, while lending to business is productive and a good thing. This may be true to an extent, though there are many sub-trends to take into account.
Overall commercial lending saw a neat increase in the month of March to be solidly higher year-on-year, even if the recent trend series is flat.
Renovations rose to a 6.5 year high in March 2017, as Aussies apparently shunned stamp duties and trading up for staying put and renovating instead, though looking at the numbers in their historical context the 'renovation boom' story seems a bit less enticing.
Splitting out commercial finance fixed loans by industry shows how lending into the mining sector has all but evaporated, declining by a further 46 per cent over the year to March. Commercial lending to the mining industry has fallen to about a quarter of the level seen at the peak as the resources construction cliff now approaches its nadir.
Despite this massive contraction, annual lending for construction continues to expand at a sprightly double digit pace, a trend which belies Australia's over-reliance on the residential building sector.
Investor loans diverge
Carving up loans to property investors by state, it's clear that Sydney investors don't believe in the apartment oversupply and have been doubling down on harbour city real estate with a vengeance.
Lending for investment in New South Wales surged to $6.2 billion in March - 39 per cent higher than for the same month last year - signalling a huge rebound since APRA's first round of macroprudential restrictions.
There was also something of an increase in investor lending in Victoria which will warrant careful observation.
<a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-FvHnxzfoySg/WR4AGTk0z8I/AAAAAAAAj6s/fAgDQzINy_seIhISKqHG962BVPuXvel_ACLcB/s640/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/19/rsz_investorloansbystate.png" alt="">
The massive divergence in fortunes across the states in the prevailing low interest rate environment is ultimately what led to APRA's new powers to target lending in specific neighbourhoods.
While Sydney property has been burning up, property investor loan volumes in the Northern Territory have collapsed to their lowest level in 11 years as prices and rents in Darwin continue to fall.
The wrap
Overall, it was a stronger month for lending finance in aggregate, with a sizeable lift in commercial finance.
The housing market figures pre-date APRA's announcement at the end of the month of March that new restraints would be applied to interest-only lending.
What the figures do show is the massive divergence in investor sentiment between the resources states and Sydney, and, to a lesser extent, Melbourne.
If this continues APRA may be called upon to use its new powers sooner rather than later.
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
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APRA may deploy its 'special powers': Pete Wargent

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GUEST OBSERVATION 
Last week the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) sent an <a href="https://www.apra.gov.au/capital-management">extraordinary letter</a> to Australia’s banks and insurers, essentially telling them to cut their dividend payments to shareholders in light of the coronavirus crisis.
It said it expected banks and insurers to “seriously consider deferring decisions on the appropriate level of dividends”.
<a href="https://images.theconversation.com/files/326728/original/file-20200409-188923-1pxiqkj.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip"><img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/326728/original/file-20200409-188923-1pxiqkj.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=237&amp;fit=clip" alt=""></a>
Read the full <a class="source" href="https://www.apra.gov.au/sites/default/files/2020-04/Capital%20management.pdf" target="_blank">APRA letter to financial institutions, April 7, 2020</a>.
Where a board was confident that it could approve a dividend on the basis of robust stress testing that had been discussed with APRA, it should “nevertheless be at a materially reduced level”.
Where dividends were paid those payments should be “offset to the extent possible through the use of dividend reinvestment plans and other capital management initiatives”.
With Australia’s big four banks potentially suffering big losses due to mortgage defaults among other things, their capital bases are at risk.
Equity research analysts at <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2020/04/08/world/asia/08reuters-health-coronavirus-australia-banks">Macquarie</a> outline a scenario under which bank losses reach A$25-27 billion per bank, and their capacity to pay dividends (without raising equity) materially diminishes
Why did APRA do it?
The letter isn’t a “ban” on dividends, and APRA wasn’t telling the banks anything they don’t already know. So why did it bother?
The answer lies in the economics of how investors react to firms that don’t pay the dividends expected.
Seen through that lens, APRA was very clever indeed.
In a classic 1985 paper <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1985.tb02362.x">Merton Miller and Kevin Rock</a> provided a theoretical answer to the puzzle of why paying dividends seems to signal good news to investors, and why cutting dividends seems to signal bad news, and cuts the share price.
In the Miller-Rock model, the managers of a firm have better information about its future prospects than outside investors.
To keep it simple, imagine there are two “types” of firms: good and bad.
Good firms have high future cashflows, bad ones have low ones.
Only the managers know which is which.
Because both types of firm can earn something from investing in the business, it is in the interest of both (more so the good firm) to invest rather than pay out dividends.
Miller and Rock wondered whether what each type of firm did provided clues to investors about whether the managers thought it was good or bad.
Surprisingly, they found that usually good firms will pay high dividend and bad firms no dividends.
It is surprising because good firms are sacrificing more by paying dividends.
Their logic was that the bad firms were the least able to afford good dividends and that good firms knew this and paid high dividends to signal they could afford to.
It has a striking implication with <a href="https://www.nber.org/papers/w4244">strong empirical support</a>.
If a firm gets a temporary negative shock to its cashflow or investment prospects it won’t want to cut its dividend lest investors think it has turned “bad”.
It will borrow or even do short-term damage to its prospects in order to maintain investor confidence and hence a high stock price.
Get out of jail free
Notice that the signalling theory of dividends implies that the managers of firms would like to cut dividends in tough financial times, and probably should, but they worry about sending a bad signal to investors.
<img src="https://images.theconversation.com/files/328304/original/file-20200416-192698-pj1hzp.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=237&amp;fit=clip" alt="">
An announcement like APRA’s provides them with cover – an excuse.
And it does more. It is what economists refer to as a “coordination device”.
If the big four banks got together and agreed cut their dividends by the same amount, say in half (which would be illegal) investors would get no differential signal and no new information about which bank was “good” and which was “bad”.
APRA’s message opens up the possibility of all four coordinating without talking – merely by following advice.
As 2005 Nobel laureate Thomas Schelling put it in his book, <a href="https://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674840317&amp;content=reviews">The Strategy of Conflict</a>,
"People can often concert their intentions or expectations with others if each knows that the other is trying to do the same."
And they’ve an interest in coordinating. If one bank falls over during this crisis and needs to be bailed out that’s bad for all of them. All of their stock prices will tank, it will be hard for them to raise the capital they need to fund their operations.
Australia’s banks compete, but they are “frenemies”, right now more friends than enemies.
We will have to wait and see if they pick up the get-out-of-jail card APRA has handed them and cut dividends together.
APRA could have taken a tougher stance. It could have banned dividends. But that would have sent a bad signal to domestic and international capital markets about the solvency of our banks.
I have been critical of some of APRA’s moves in recent years. But this one is brilliant. Let’s hope the banks can see a life raft when they’re offered one.<img src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/136407/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1" style="border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;">
<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/richard-holden-118107">Richard Holden</a>, Professor of Economics, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/unsw-1414">UNSW</a>
This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/vital-signs-apras-extraordinary-gift-to-banks-under-pressure-to-pay-dividends-136407">original article</a>.
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rh-YsoTT2xMuQ

APRA's extraordinary gift to banks under pressure to pay dividends

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The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) announced temporary changes to its expectations regarding bank capital ratios, to ensure banks are well positioned to continue to provide credit to the economy in the current challenging environment.
Over the past decade, the Australian banking system has built up substantial capital buffers. The highest quality form of capital, Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital, reached $235 billion at the end of 2019. As a result, banks are typically maintaining capital levels well above minimum regulatory requirements.
In 2017, APRA set benchmark capital targets for banks to enable them to be regarded internationally as unquestionably strong (which was a recommendation of the 2014 Financial System Inquiry). These benchmarks are well above current minimum regulatory requirements. For the four major banks, for example, this benchmark equated to having a CET1 ratio of at least 10.5 per cent of risk-weighted assets. A lower benchmark applies for smaller banks. In comparison, the actual CET1 ratio of the banking system by the end of 2019 had reached 11.3 per cent. 
APRA is advising all banks today that, given the prevailing circumstances, it envisages they may need to utilise some of their current large buffers to facilitate ongoing lending to the economy. This is especially the case for banks wishing to take advantage of new facilities announced today by the Reserve Bank of Australia to promote the continued flow of credit. Provided banks are able to demonstrate they can continue to meet their various minimum capital requirements, APRA would not be concerned if they were not meeting the additional benchmarks announced in 2017 during the period of disruption caused by COVID-19.
APRA Chair Wayne Byres said, “APRA has been pursuing a program to build up the financial strength of the system for many years, when banks had the capacity to do so. As a result, the Australian banking system is well-capitalised by both historical and international standards.
“APRA’s objective in building up this capital strength has been to ensure it is available to be drawn upon if needed in times such as this. Today’s announcement reflects the underlying strength of the system: even if the banking system utilises some of its current large buffers, it will still be operating comfortably above minimum regulatory requirements,” Mr Byres said. 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Temporary changes to expected bank capital ratios: APRA

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EXPERT OBSERVER
APRA’s property exposures data is published each quarter and provides a summary of lending by ADIs over the quarter.  The data is valuable because it gives much more insight into new lending than what is available from the monthly housing finance data, which is published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Change%20in%20value%20of%20new%20mortgage%20lending%20approvals.PNG" alt="Annual Change in value of new mortgage lending approvals.PNG" width="998" height="365" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="62db70a1-0572-49d6-84c7-813f3dd4a92f" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Annual%20Change%20in%20value%20of%20new%20mortgage%20lending%20approvals.PNG">
 The latest data showed that the value of lending to owner-occupiers was 9.3% higher in the June 2019 quarter than the March 2019 quarter and for investors it was 13.8% higher.  Despite the quarterly increase, the value of lending to owner-occupiers was -14.4% lower year-on-year and for investors it was -17.5% lower.  As the first chart highlights there has been a steady decline in housing lending demand over recent years however, the latest quarter suggests the flow of housing credit may have reached a turning point. One of the features of the market over recent years has been the reduction in new lending on interest-only terms.  Like overall lending, interest-only lending was actually 17.0% higher over the June quarter however, it was -19.6% lower year-on-year.  Interest-only mortgages made-up just 15.8% of new mortgages over the quarter, which was slightly higher than the recent low of 14.9%, but much lower than the decade average of 32.5%.  The reduction in interest-only lending has been driven by much higher mortgage rates for this product.  In fact, if you look at the total outstanding portfolio of interest-only mortgages it has fallen to $359.0 billion, which is its lowest value since September 2012 and its lowest overall share of outstanding mortgages, at 21.6%, any time since March 2008.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Value%20and%20share%20of%20total%20new%20lending%20for%20interest-only%20purposes.PNG" alt="Value and share of total new lending for interest-only purposes.PNG" width="1033" height="378" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b4786622-79bb-45e2-ad19-fa2b95a9551b" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Value%20and%20share%20of%20total%20new%20lending%20for%20interest-only%20purposes.PNG">
 Looking at other types of non-standard lending, over the quarter low-documentation loan approvals increased 33.6%, loans approved outside serviceability increased 4.1% and other non-standard loan approvals fell -21.7%.   Year-on-year, the changes were recorded at -52.8% for low-documentation loan approvals, -36.6% for loans approved outside of serviceability and -42.2% for other non-standard loans.  Low documentation loans were just 0.1% of the value of loans approved over the quarter while loans approved outside of serviceability were 4.0% (their lowest share since December 2017) while other non-standard loans were also just 0.1%.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Quarterly%20new%20lending%20by%20loan%20types.PNG" alt="Quarterly new lending by loan types.PNG" width="1040" height="394" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0c10c8f9-a868-4b35-8664-a5ba5c47ca51" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Quarterly%20new%20lending%20by%20loan%20types.PNG">
 The latest data shows an uptick in high loan to valuation ratio (LVR) lending however, it remains well below historic levels.  Lending with an LVR greater than 80% means that the borrowers will typically have to take out lender’s mortgage insurance (LMI).  Over the quarter, there was $17.9 billion worth of mortgages written with an LVR greater than 80%, which was 22.4% of all commitments over the quarter.  The 22.4% share was the highest since December 2015 but remains well below its peak of 37.6% in March 2009.  
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Value%20and%20share%20of%20total%20new%20lending%20with%20LVR.PNG" alt="Value and share of total new lending with LVR.PNG" width="991" height="357" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="58936e33-9672-4d5b-9568-a622e834b8ba" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Value%20and%20share%20of%20total%20new%20lending%20with%20LVR.PNG">
 Overall, the data from APRA shows that riskier lending; those loans with a high LVR, interest-only or non-standard mortgages remain a low proportion of new mortgages that are being written.  In saying that, there seems to have been a slight increase in the risk appetite over recent quarters and with macroprudential policies eased further during recent months, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a further moderate increase in demand for non-standard and higher LVR mortgages over the coming quarters.
CAMERON KUSHER is the head of research for the Australian branch of CoreLogic.
Kusher regularly posts on the <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news" target="_blank">CoreLogic website</a>.
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Riskier lending remains low according to APRA: Cameron Kusher

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The Reserve Bank of Australia has just announced that the official cash rate will remain at a record low of 1% as they continue to assess the impact of the June and July cash rate cuts.

The rate was lowered for the first time in almost three years in a bid to alleviate financial strains by reinvigorating household spending and attempting to boost employment rates across the country. According to CommSec’s Tom Piotrowski, Australia's economy has been growing at the slowest pace in almost a decade, however, an increase in clearance rates, rising home values, and greater housing demand could allude to a brighter outlook for Q4. 

<h2>IT’S ARGUABLY “EASIER” TO BUY PROPERTY IN THE CURRENT MARKET</h2>

In July Apartments.com.au <a href="/news/a-borrower-s-market-the-reserve-bank-of-australia-cuts-cash-rate-to-a-record-low">reported on the announcement of the 1% cash rate</a>, concluding that the property market appears to be in favour of borrowers at present, given the more relaxed lending constraints and lower interest rates on home loans.

We reached out to Jeremy Toeng, Financial Director and Lending Advisor at Chatham House Financial, who shared a similar opinion regarding the current property climate following the two 25 basis point cuts and APRA's announcement of a lowered minimum interest rate serviceability buffer.

<blockquote>
“Following both the Royal Commission and Federal Election, we feel that consumer sentiment has improved which is leading to a noticeable increase in activity, particularly for those looking to purchase property. We feel this is largely due to an easing of lending criteria which has helped consumers with affordability, as well as a reduction in interest rates.”
</blockquote>

Jeremy Toeng, Chatham House Financial Director &amp; Lending Advisor

<h2>CONCERNS ABOUT MORTGAGE SERVICEABILITY</h2>

CoreLogic Research Director Tim Lawless explains that with the low mortgage serviceability there will be an underlying concern that the issue of high household debt will remain unresolved.

<blockquote>
"...The recent step up in the pace of value growth is likely to raise some concern that the lowest mortgage rates since the 1950s is fuelling renewed housing market exuberance at a time when household debt remains around record highs.”
</blockquote>

Tim Lawless, CoreLogic Research Director via <a href="https://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/interest-rates/official-cash-rate-remains-at-1-per-cent-following-reserve-banks-september-meeting/news-story/76606fdc5d68d31e127660261d0948d0">news.com.au</a>

Lawless suggested that a solution to this could be limiting the amount given to borrowers on high debt-to-income ratios, or stricter limits on the loan to value ratio (LVR) which compares your loan amount with the value of your property – meaning the lower the 'LVR', the lower the financial risk for the bank. 

<h2>COULD PROPERTY VALUE GROWTH INDICATE A GOOD TIME TO BUY?</h2>

<a href="/guides/how-australia-s-interest-rate-cuts-could-impact-first-home-buyers">Our research showed</a> that while term deposits would experience a drop in interest return from banks, property could potentially be a safe investment, given the fact that property values have shown an exponential increase in recent months.

<blockquote>
“In line with rate cuts in June and July, housing values in Australia’s two largest cities have recorded a lift, with dwelling values rising 1.9 per cent and 1.8 per cent in Sydney and Melbourne over the past three months.” 
</blockquote>

Tim Lawless, CoreLogic Research Director via <a href="https://www.news.com.au/finance/economy/interest-rates/official-cash-rate-remains-at-1-per-cent-following-reserve-banks-september-meeting/news-story/76606fdc5d68d31e127660261d0948d0">news.com.au</a>

Jeremy Toeng also weighed in on the current markets, concluding that spring is looking up for both developers and buyers,

<blockquote>
“On the property front, clearance rates are increasing and whilst overall stock levels are low, we think this will increase as we head into spring which is traditionally the busiest time of the year in the property market.”
</blockquote>

Jeremy Toeng, Chatham House Financial Director &amp; Lending Advisor

<a href="/guides/off-the-plan-property-buyer-confidence-surges-post-election">In May earlier this year</a>, CBRE’s Andrew Leoncelli also predicted that Q4 would be a good time for developers to take their projects to market, given an uplift in demand for property. It'll be interesting to see how Q3 and Q4 play out, and whether the property market maintains upwards momentum. 

Lead image credit: Daniel Chen
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Olivia Round

Is now the best time to buy property? Australia's official cash rate to remain at 1%

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The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has announced that it has loosened the serviceability restrictions on home loan mortgage assessments.
It will allow borrowers to lift the size of their loans as lenders will be allowed to provide mortgages up to 14 per cent larger.
In a letter to lenders issued Friday, APRA confirmed its updated guidance on residential mortgage lending.
They will no longer expect them to assess home loan applications using a minimum interest rate of at least 7 per cent or 7.25 per cent which has been the common industry practice.
Lenders will use a revised interest rate buffer of at least 2.5 per cent over the loan’s interest rate.
AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver noted the prudential changes were yet to have a real impact, although they would have helped sentiment at auctions.
“The interest rates cuts and the election result are the main factors,” he said. 
Federal Housing Minister Mich­ael Sukkar said yesterday there was renewed confidence and “tentative green shoots” in the housing market.
“With the dark clouds of Labor’s housing taxes — abolishing negative gearing and doubling capital gains tax — gone after the election, two successive interest rate reductions and the Aust­ralian Prudential Regulation Authority’s sensible changes to the serviceability buffer, there are good reasons to be confident about the Australian housing market,” he said.
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APRA loosens home loan serviceability restrictions 

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Banks continue to turn their backs on riskier home loans, as the value of new interest-only and low doc loans hit record lows, according to APRA data released today.
APRA’s Quarterly ADI Property Exposures for the March 2019 quarter shows the value of new loans to owner-occupiers fell by 17.6 per cent from the previous quarter, while the value of new loans to investors fell by 18.7 per cent in the same time frame.
The value of new interest-only loans fell by 22.5 per cent between December and March to 14.9 per cent of all loans, the lowest percentage share in APRA’s records dating back to 2008. 
RateCity.com.au research director Sally Tindall said banks were continuing to be hyper-vigilant in the wake of the Royal Commission, despite the easing of regulations.
“APRA might have loosened the strings on interest-only and investor lending but the banks are still ultra-cautious when it comes to high risk loans,” she said.
“APRA had wanted less than 30 per cent of new loans written to be interest-only. The banks have well and truly smashed this out of the park.
“Not only do interest-only loans represent just 14.9 per cent of all new loans written, they also represent just 23.3 per cent of the banks’ entire loan books, according to the most recent data,” she said.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/6/19/Riskier.JPG" alt="">
 
The data released today by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority showed that over the past 12 months the customer owned banking sector’s housing loans have increased by 8 per cent while the major banks grew by just 2.6 per cent.
Australia’s customer owned banking institutions now hold more than $119 billion in assets, an increase of 1.6 per cent compared to the previous quarter.  Consumers are also choosing to place their deposits with customer owned banking institutions. The sector now holds more than $101 billion in deposits. The growth in deposits shows a 6.5 per cent year on year increase in deposits. Customer Owned Banking Association CEO Michael Lawrence said consumers are sending a clear signal to the major banks. “Consumers are sending a very clear message to the major banks; either put our interests first, or we’re going somewhere that will. “The latest figures from APRA paint a clear picture of a sector that is continuing to grow as more Australians begin considering who it they choose to bank with. “Australians want banking institutions they can trust to put their interests first and to do the right thing by them. After the findings of the Financial Services Royal Commission it’s no surprise people are looking beyond the ‘Big Four’. “Consumers can see through the spin of the major banks. They know a leopard can’t change its spots, that’s why they’re taking their banking elsewhere"
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