Sydney-based fund manager and developer EG is seeking to turn part of the former Roche pharmaceutical campus in Cromer into a 130-home residential community, introducing a mix of low-rise apartments, townhouses and duplexes to the tightly held Northern Beaches market.

The SJB-designed masterplan has been prepared for the 3.2-hectare site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/100-south-creek-road-cromer-nsw-2099">100 South Creek Road</a>, part of the former Roche landholding that EG acquired for $55 million in 2017 through its Yield Plus Infrastructure Fund No. 2.

EG is proposing what SJB describes as a new "urban village" set within the site's significant existing tree canopy.

<img alt="Cromer" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="482c9a58-49f1-4c53-a12e-aaa02336229f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-24%20at%2011.20.57%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=hZP8_XfPnfNq500dbcjlpVwYU1ebhF9_" />

Around three hectares of the site is considered developable, with the balance incorporating a riparian corridor that would be rehabilitated and revegetated as part of the proposal.

The indicative masterplan comprises approximately 72 apartments in low-rise residential buildings and another 58 townhouses and duplexes.

The apartment component would include around five one-bedroom, 37 two-bedroom and 30 three-bedroom residences, while the townhouse and duplex component would be spread across several different housing typologies. The overall scheme would deliver around 19,500 sqm of gross floor area at an FSR of 0.6:1.

Parking for the apartment component is currently estimated at around 112 resident spaces and 14 visitor spaces, while the townhouse and duplex component would have 116 resident and 12 visitor spaces.

A significant part of the masterplan revolves around retaining the established landscape character of the former Roche campus.

SJB's plans show heavily treed setbacks along both Campbell Avenue and South Creek Road, a centrally located collection of significant native and exotic trees retained as communal open space, and the regeneration of the northern bushland area.

The existing creek corridor along the site's western edge would also be rehabilitated and revegetated, creating additional separation between the new homes and the neighbouring Northern Beaches Business Park.

A heritage-listed cottage and its garden setting would be retained and restored, with SJB flagging its potential adaptive reuse as communal space.

The proposal also includes new communal recreation areas, pedestrian connections to Campbell Avenue and South Creek Road, and a contribution toward improvements to the adjoining Michele Reserve.

Vehicular access would be restricted to South Creek Road, with no vehicle entry proposed from Campbell Avenue. The main internal road would largely follow the site's existing driveway to minimise the impact on established trees.

SJB said residential redevelopment presented an opportunity to retain the majority of the site's heritage-listed mature trees while delivering a broader range of housing types than typically seen across the Northern Beaches.

"The site being 3.27 hectares in area represents one of the largest vacant sites in common ownership in the Cromer and Dee Why area capable of residential renewal," SJB noted in the masterplan.

The architect said the proposal would particularly target housing diversity through townhouses and other "missing middle" typologies suitable for singles, young families, downsizers and retirees.

<img alt="Cromer" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e3f5d841-8491-427e-8ada-c70d3d03d6bc" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-24%20at%2011.21.02%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=xTV7r.q8lrTzC9vKzMS9zMbjm9wKwhgm" />

The site emerged following the subdivision of the former Roche campus into eastern and western parcels.

EG has already transformed the western portion into the Northern Beaches Business Park, which incorporates heritage-listed office space, modern warehouses and indoor recreation facilities.

The proposed residential community, referred to as Cromer East in SJB's plans, adjoins established housing to the north, east and south-east, while the business park sits beyond the creek corridor to the west.

It is also within 250 metres of Pittwater House School and Northern Beaches Secondary College, while bus stops within a three-to-five-minute walk provide connections to Dee Why, Brookvale and express services to the Sydney CBD. Cromer Park and the South Creek open space corridor are also nearby.

EG acquired the broader 7.5-hectare former Roche campus in 2017 for $55 million through its Yield Plus Infrastructure Fund No. 2. The campus at the time comprised more than 25,000 sqm of industrial and office buildings set within landscaped grounds.

The current residential site represents the eastern portion of that original holding.

EG's investment strategy for the fund has centred on acquiring income-producing real estate with longer-term rezoning and repositioning potential, particularly assets benefiting from infrastructure and changing land-use patterns.

EG also has an established residential track record across Sydney, including Bosco in Five Dock, Tempo in Drummoyne, The Flour Mill in Summer Hill and Pindari in Randwick.

The developer says it has delivered more than 1,000 homes to date, with a further 3,000-plus residences across its development pipeline.

Joel Robinson

First look: EG plans 130 apartments on former Roche pharmaceutical campus in Cromer

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> has lodged plans for a $750 million, three-tower mixed-use precinct that would complete the long-running redevelopment of Carlton's former Carlton United Breweries site.

The proposal at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/185-195-queensberry-street-carlton-vic-3053">46-78 Bouverie Street and 185-195 Queensberry Street</a> spans a 6,468 sqm site, the last remaining undeveloped parcels within the former brewery's 2007 masterplan.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the development will comprise two purpose-built student accommodation towers and a third build-to-sell apartment tower above a shared commercial podium and basement.

Across the three towers, SP Setia is proposing 606 build-to-sell apartments and 1,499 student accommodation units containing 2,009 beds.

The apartments will sit in the tallest tower, which will rise nearly 200m and 55 storeys. It will become&nbsp;one of the more substantial new build-to-sell apartment projects at the northern edge of Melbourne's CBD.

The apartment mix is weighted toward smaller inner-city product, with 188 studios, 206 one-bedroom apartments, 192 two-bedroom apartments and 20 three-bedroom apartments

<img alt="First look: SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8271bc87-1b0a-41b7-ac73-a425ee375261" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/3_2.png?VersionId=G4lw23o90B1boX4k4dj7rdz2ZEajS9wy" />

Part of the precinct will be a large-scale&nbsp;3,684 sqm supermarket and a further 2,198 sqm of speciality retail, creating close to 5,900 sqm of new commercial space within the precinct.

But one of the biggest components of the proposal is what sits between the buildings.

Around 4,650 sqm, or roughly 72 per cent of the site, will be publicly accessible open space, incorporating plazas, pedestrian connections, landscaped laneways and retail spill-out areas.

The ground plane is intended to finally complete pedestrian connections envisaged when the CUB masterplan was first approved nearly two decades ago, stitching together Victoria Street, Queensberry Street, Bouverie Street and Swanston Street through the former brewery precinct.

Urbis said the development would "complete the CUB precinct", with the public realm providing important north-south and east-west connections through what is currently the final undeveloped portion of the masterplanned site.

SP Setia is also exploring a new linear park within the Bouverie Street road reserve, with the concept to be developed further with the City of Melbourne through the planning process.

The proposal is being pursued through the Victorian Government's Development Facilitation Program under Clause 53.23 for significant residential development with affordable housing.

The planning report acknowledges the proposed heights exceed those contemplated under the original Comprehensive Development Plan and masterplan, but argues the built-form context has changed considerably over the past two decades.

Urbis said the three towers would instead create a stepped transition between Carlton and the Hoddle Grid, rising progressively from the 94.1-metre Tower One along the Queensberry Street edge to the 199.44-metre Tower Three closer to the established CBD-scale buildings to the south.

<img alt="SP Setia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e885a07a-592c-40fc-bf82-e6dbaf32da54" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.52.24%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=7s_ErUkSKAdY1mAWp3GRZgMNCGtwhk5m" />

SP Setia plans to deliver the development across three stages.

Stage One would deliver the basement, podium and retail areas for the entire precinct alongside the first student tower. Tower Two would follow in Stage Two, before the 606-apartment Tower Three is delivered as the final stage.

If approved and delivered, the project would close out a redevelopment process that has been underway since the former brewery masterplan was approved in 2007, adding more than 2,600 student beds and apartments to a precinct already home to Swanston Central, the Barak Building, RMIT Design Hub and several large student accommodation developments.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct

Melbourne developer Lowe Living is seeking to add to its growing bayside apartment pipeline, filing plans for a boutique eight-residence development in tightly held Middle Park.

Lowe Living, which has built much of its development portfolio across Melbourne's affluent bayside and south-east suburbs, is behind the plans for the 730 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/123-125-erskine-street-middle-park-vic-3206">123-125 Erskine Street</a>, just off Armstrong Street and within the Armstrong Street Neighbourhood Activity Centre.

The developer is seeking approval for a five-storey residential building above two basement levels, with just eight large-format apartments and 18 car spaces.

“This is a deliberately very different proposition for us,"&nbsp;Tim Lowe, Co-Founder of Lowe Living, said.

"Eight residences is exceptionally boutique, but that's precisely what this site calls for.

“There is a strong community in Middle Park and the surrounding suburbs who have spent decades building a life here. They no longer want the maintenance of a large period home, but they aren't prepared to compromise on space, quality or location. We think there is a real opportunity to capture that hyper local market. A site like this rarely comes to market.”

<img alt="Lowe " data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="875fe572-0f14-4d90-9e11-55b28dd07731" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.42.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=GDNQRv9BfpR9r1zkZ5UDyUM4ZvpIksut" />

The low-density proposal has been designed by Cera Stribley and is being progressed through the Victorian Government's Great Design Fast Track pathway, having already secured eligibility from the Minister for Planning.

The Office of the Victorian Government Architect supported its eligibility after finding the proposal demonstrated consistency with the program's seven design principles, while the project's financial feasibility has also been independently confirmed by Invest Victoria.

The project is targeting the downsizer market, with the planning documents describing the homes as larger-format residences and noting the two penthouses could otherwise have been configured as four separate apartments.

<img alt="Lowe 2" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="60ab0987-2da6-4175-adac-315dcf6053c6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.15%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=bOCPH0B2MFwlmaRW.TTCF9TzyifgVoQI" />

The site has dual frontage to Erskine Street and Canterbury Place and currently comprises a collection of commercial buildings used as offices, including a former heritage bakehouse, a former stable, a later gabled addition and a central courtyard.

It sits within the Commercial 1 Zone and the Armstrong Street Commercial Precinct heritage overlay, with the existing property classified as a contributory heritage place.

Heritage has subsequently played a significant role in Cera Stribley's design.

The front section of the former bakehouse facing Erskine Street will be retained, including its return walls, street-facing hipped roof and chimneys, while the Erskine Street façade and part of the western return wall of the former stable will also be incorporated into the new development.

Levels four and five will be set back five metres from the retained stable façade, while bricks removed through demolition are proposed to be salvaged and reused within the new building where possible.

<img alt="Lowe 3" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e97927a9-a2de-4a0f-83b6-65451238abfa" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.06%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=VR44AChLrX9q1XPB9GvVQV.ALXXbe4gC" />

Rather than presenting as a single five-storey building to Erskine Street, Cera Stribley has broken the development into a series of distinct forms.

A three-storey infill element will sit between the retained bakehouse and stable façades, with the upper levels recessed behind the heritage fabric. Canterbury Place will similarly feature two three-storey podium forms, separated by a central pedestrian accessway, before the upper two levels step back from the street.

A pedestrian through-link will run through the centre of the project between Erskine Street and Canterbury Place, creating entrances from both sides of the site and introducing landscaping and communal areas through the ground plane.

Landscape architect Acre has designed planting across the ground level, private terraces and upper levels, including a feature canopy tree at level three and integrated planting and arbours across the level four terraces. Five existing Erskine Street trees are proposed to be retained.

Sustainability is also a significant component of the Great Design Fast Track application. The apartments are targeting an average eight-star NatHERS rating, with no residence below 6.5 stars, while the project has achieved a 75 per cent BESS score. Seven of the eight apartments are designed for cross-ventilation, with the remaining residence using mechanically assisted natural ventilation.

The plans also incorporate an 8kWp rooftop solar system, a 5,000-litre rainwater tank and infrastructure allowing future electric vehicle charging for every residence.

Lowe has a strong portfolio across Melbourne's blue-chip suburbs. They recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/jardin-house-by-lowe-living-camberwell-335-camberwell-road-camberwell-vic-3124">Jardin House by Lowe Living</a> in Camberwell, their first development in the Stonnington LGA.

Lowe Living unveils Middle Park apartment development

Article summary

<ul data-end="888" data-start="289">
	<li data-end="442" data-section-id="8tsh6o" data-start="289">DVB Projects is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway at 137 Old Burleigh Road, Broadbeach.</li>
	<li data-end="573" data-section-id="1nyxl3e" data-start="443">The 34-level tower will comprise just 49 ultra-luxury residences, including half-floor, full-floor and penthouse apartments.</li>
	<li data-end="717" data-section-id="oiyimj" data-start="574">The launch follows strong demand at DVB's nearby Sea Glass project, which is more than 50 per cent sold and currently under construction.</li>
	<li data-end="888" data-section-id="epk9o9" data-start="718">The development adds to the transformation of Old Burleigh Road, with premium beachfront apartment projects continuing to reshape the tightly held Broadbeach strip.</li>
</ul>

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/dvb-projects">DVB Projects</a> is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway on the Broadbeach site as the Sydney developer moves closer to bringing the ultra-luxury project to market.

The 34-level tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/137-old-burleigh-road-broadbeach-qld-4218">137 Old Burleigh Road</a> will comprise just 49 residences, ranging from half-floor apartments through to full-floor homes and a penthouse. The launch follows the strong sales performance of DVB's nearby Sea Glass development. More than half of the apartments at Sea Glass, on the other side of Broadbeach, have been snapped up, well ahead of its late 2027 completion

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2944b4be-c84e-4b54-8dc1-c712e76704c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E02_Exterior_Street%20Level%20Entrance.jpg?VersionId=YoNig7pRdrE3HCue7sUj78LzJteeQf3H" />

The start of demolition at 137 Old Burleigh Road signals DVB Projects’ underlying confidence in the Gold Coast’s luxury beachside apartment sector.

“We see the Gold Coast as one of the most compelling lifestyle markets in Australia, particularly at the premium end where demand continues to deepen,” said Dean Brown, Managing Director of DVB.&nbsp;

“This project has been carefully designed to respond to that demand - delivering large-format residences with a level of quality, privacy and amenity that is still relatively rare in the apartment market on the beachside."

Brown says the site itself is "exceptional."

"Old Burleigh Road is one of the most tightly held beachfront strips, and opportunities to deliver a project of this scale and calibre in this location are extremely limited.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="398f377a-c037-455e-9250-0c5e0d84c35b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/I12_FF%20Balcony.jpg?VersionId=NwOiRWGMubR1c8wthuEfggklcja7al9." />

The project will comprise 40 half-floor residences of approximately 260 sqm, alongside eight full-floor residences spanning around 524 sqm.

A single penthouse will crown the building, featuring a private pool, barbecue area, indoor gym and dedicated entertaining spaces.

Residents will have access to a resort-style suite of amenities, including a 20-metre pool with daybeds, a gymnasium, hot and cold plunge pools, a sauna, and private residents’ lounge and dining facilities.

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1642bb0-9a66-4427-a022-dfc0988c6287" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A02_Pool%20to%20View.jpg?VersionId=c0IXPyn_Gp_Kn3XCwzMrqIVkAdCEwVXP" />

Sales agent Todd Matheson, of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/pezet-matheson">Pezet Matheson</a>, which is marketing both 137 Old Burleigh Road and Sea Glass, said 137 Old Burleigh Road would address a clear gap in the market for genuine luxury products.

“There are very few opportunities on the Gold Coast where buyers can secure a residence of this size and quality in a new building,” Matheson said.

“What we’re seeing is a growing cohort of downsizers and interstate buyers who still want space - they’re not willing to compromise on living area, entertaining or finishes.

“This project has been designed with that buyer in mind. It offers the scale of a home, combined with the convenience and security of apartment living, in one of the coast’s most desirable positions.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="59aae0ca-5639-4320-8aca-d0bf60f48e43" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E01_Exterior%20Hero.jpg?VersionId=DS8Zfy2WtgUEtdfe0TEUuf1W1GfcZq8S" />

Located on a 1,156 sqm site one block from the beachfront, the development will replace an ageing walk-up building and is expected to contribute to the ongoing transformation of the Old Burleigh Road strip into one of the Gold Coast’s most prestigious residential corridors.

With the development moving into the delivery phase, 137 Old Burleigh Road is slated to hit the market later this year.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145141]

DVB Projects to launch second Broadbeach apartment tower as demolition commences

<a data-end="327" data-is-only-node="" data-start="250" href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/norus-projects" rel="noopener" target="_new">Norus Developments</a> has lodged plans for a new apartment development in Clayton that would add further momentum to the suburb's emerging Green Street corridor.

Plans have been lodged for the consolidated site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/1359-1365-centre-road-clayton-vic-3168">1359-1365 Centre Road</a>, where Norus is seeking approval for 218 apartments across a 12-storey apartment building designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/life-architecture-and-urban-design">Life Architecture</a>.

The proposal sits within the Clayton Major Activity Centre at the threshold of the planned Green Street corridor, a landscaped pedestrian connection intended to improve links through the precinct towards Clayton Railway Station.

The development would replace the site's existing collection of low-scale residential and commercial buildings with a single consolidated building, introducing significantly greater housing density to this part of Centre Road.

A retail tenancy is proposed at ground level to activate the Centre Road frontage, accompanied by transparent street interfaces and landscaping intended to create a more pedestrian-focused edge to the development.

<img alt="First look: Norus Developments plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0a5a763a-d9e9-4253-af2f-88008de27ebf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Clayton%20a.png?VersionId=S2WJJbat1XVkZwB9SnYtygirXgWHiklX" />

The building has been designed with stepped massing and upper-level setbacks to manage its transition towards surrounding residential properties. The planning report describes the approach as one that integrates the building into the landscape rather than treating landscaping as a secondary element.

"A strong landscape and public realm strategy underpins the proposal," Urbis states in the planning report.

"Public benefits include an affordable housing contribution, a new pocket park, generous landscaped setbacks, deep soil planting and integrated Water Sensitive Urban Design."

The report adds that these elements are intended to create "a permeable, pedestrian-focused ground plane that enhances walkability, supports urban cooling and reinforces the emerging Green Street character."

Biophilic and passive design principles extend through the residential levels, with planting, daylight, natural ventilation and views towards landscaped areas forming part of the amenity strategy.

Parking would be concentrated away from the public realm, with 145 car spaces proposed from the rear laneway rather than dominating the Centre Road frontage.

The proposal follows an extensive pre-application process with the City of Monash. Three formal meetings were held between the project team and Council from December 2025 to March 2026, with the scheme evolving through several concept iterations before the current design was lodged.

The project arrives as Clayton prepares for substantial change around its established activity centre and the wider Suburban Rail Loop precinct. Its position on Centre Road places the development within an existing concentration of shops, services and public transport, while the Green Street connection is intended to strengthen pedestrian access towards Clayton Railway Station.

First look: Norus plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street

National Australia Bank (NAB) has brought forward the timing of the first RBA cash rate cut by three months.

NAB is now expecting a cut in February, in line with ANZ and Westpac, having initially thought a cut wouldn't come until May.

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB changed its call following the August monthly inflation figures that were released at the end of September, showing it had dropped to 2.7 per cent.

"The risk has been skewed to a first cut earlier in 2025, and today’s change acknowledges the balance of risks has likely shifted sufficiently for the RBA to feel comfortable cutting a little sooner than we earlier expected," NAB noted in its latest update.

They added that the cadence of the cuts may be faster than its central profile.

"Domestic inflation pressures are cooling, but only gradually, and we continue to expect the conditions for a cut will not be in place this year.

NAB believes the easing cycle will end at 3.1 per cent by early 2026, which is five cuts from the current 4.35 per cent cash rate.&nbsp;

CBA also thinks 3.1 per cent will mark the end of the cutting cycle, while Westpac is forecasting 3.35 per cent, and ANZ is the most pessimistic at 3.6 per cent, which would be just three interest rate cuts.

<h2>What would a rate cut in February look like for borrowers?</h2>

According to&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vK2ujS77CHs9VRvSSXzLC" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG" target="_blank">Canstar</a>, if there is a cut in February, a borrower with a $600,000 loan today and 25 years remaining would see their monthly repayments drop by $92.&nbsp;

<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Impact of 0.25% pt cut in February 2025
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Current loan size
			</td>
			<td>
			Drop in monthly repayment
			</td>
			<td>
			New monthly repayment
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$600,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$92
			</td>
			<td>
			$3,907
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$750,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$114
			</td>
			<td>
			$4,884
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$1M
			</td>
			<td>
			-$153
			</td>
			<td>
			$6,512
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Source:&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2qVnp6oqATgqDUi2Frm22q" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL" target="_blank">www.canstar.com.au</a>. Starting rate is the RBA existing average owner-occupier variable rate of 6.36%. Assumes banks pass the cash rate cut on in full the month after the meeting.
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Canstar Data Insights Director, Sally Tindall, says if core inflation continues to track in the right direction, or unemployment starts to accelerate significantly, we could well see a cash rate cut as early as February of next year.

“All four big banks now believe the RBA will be ready to cut the cash rate in just over four months’ time, if not before, in the case of CBA.

“However, the outlook for both inflation and unemployment is still highly uncertain. A couple of wobbly sets of inflation data could see the RBA holding for longer, particularly if unemployment remains relatively steady."

&nbsp;

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

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RBA governor Glenn Stevens has released a statement explaining the RBA's rates decision today.
"At its meeting today, the board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 3.25%," says Stevens .
"Global growth is forecast to be a little below average for a time. Risks to the outlook are still seen to be on the downside, largely as a result of the situation in Europe, where economic activity is still contracting. Risks elsewhere seem more balanced. The United States is recording moderate growth, while recent data from China suggest growth there has stabilised. Around Asia generally, growth has been dampened by the more moderate Chinese expansion and the weakness in Europe.
"Key commodity prices for Australia remain significantly lower than earlier in the year, though trends have been more mixed over the past couple of months, with some prices recovering some ground while others declined further. The terms of trade have declined by about 13 per cent since the peak last year, but are likely to remain historically high.
"Financial markets have responded positively over the past few months to signs of progress in addressing Europe's financial problems, but expectations for further progress remain high. Long-term interest rates faced by highly rated sovereigns, including Australia, remain at exceptionally low levels. Capital markets remain open to corporations and well-rated banks, and Australian banks have had no difficulty accessing funding, including on an unsecured basis. Borrowing conditions for large corporations are similarly attractive. Share markets have generally risen over recent months.
"In Australia, most indicators available for this meeting suggest that growth has been running close to trend over the past year, led by very large increases in capital spending in the resources sector. Looking ahead, the peak in resource investment is likely to occur next year, at a lower level than expected six months ago. As this peak approaches, the Board will be monitoring the strength of other components of demand," Stevens' statement says.
"Some of the consumption strength in the first half of 2012 was temporary, but there have been some signs of ongoing growth, though a return to very strong growth in consumption is unlikely. While investment in dwellings has been subdued for some time, over recent months there have been some indications of a prospective improvement. Non-residential building investment has remained weak. Public spending is forecast to be subdued.
"Recent outcomes on inflation were slightly higher than expected, though they still show inflation consistent with the medium-term target, with underlying measures around 2½% over the year to September, and headline CPI inflation a little lower than that. The introduction of the carbon price affected consumer prices in the September quarter, and there could be some further small effects over the next couple of quarters. With the labour market having generally softened somewhat in recent months, and unemployment edging higher, conditions should work to contain pressure on labour costs in sectors other than those directly affected by the current strength in resources. This and some continuing improvement in productivity performance will be needed to keep inflation low, since the effects on prices of the earlier exchange rate appreciation are now waning. The bank's assessment remains that inflation will be consistent with the target over the next one to two years.
"Over the past year, monetary policy has become more accommodative. Interest rates for borrowers have declined to be clearly below their medium-term averages and savers are facing increased incentives to look for assets with higher returns. While the impact of these changes takes some time to work through the economy, there are signs of easier conditions starting to have some of the expected effects. Business demand for external funding has increased this year, the housing market has strengthened and share prices have risen in line with markets overseas. The exchange rate, though, remains higher than might have been expected, given the observed decline in export prices and the weaker global outlook.
"Further effects of actions already taken to ease monetary policy can be expected over time. The board will continue to monitor those effects, together with information about the various other factors affecting the outlook for growth and inflation. At today's meeting, with prices data slightly higher than expected and recent information on the world economy slightly more positive, the Board judged that the stance of monetary policy was appropriate for the time being," Stevens says.
 
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The housing market has strengthened says RBA governor's statement for November meeting

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The Reserve Bank should leave the cash rate on hold at 3.25% today, says the self-anointed "shadow RBA board", though the decision was far from unanimous, with a rate hold getting a 60% weighting from members.
The board comprises a panel of noted academics and economists and gives its views on the monthly cash rate decision as part of a widely reported exercise by the Australian National University’s Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis.
Among those leaning towards a cash rate cut today is HSBC Australia chief economist Paul Bloxham, who says that while the RBA board could wait for further evidence about the extent to which the current below neutral interest rates are supporting demand in the economy, there is little risk of high inflation, meaning it “may be prudent to cut rates a bit further this month”.
Shadow board member James Morley, professor at the University of New South Wales, disagrees, saying recent cuts in the policy rate mean “monetary policy is loose, with the implicit real interest rate well below its neutral level”.
"Thus, with low inflation and an uptick in the unemployment rate, the current stance is appropriate for the short term, with a slight easing bias in case the employment situation deteriorates further," Morley says.
Also in favour of a rate hold today is Warwick McKibbin, professor of economics at ANU and a former RBA board member under John Howard. He says “no change in interest rates domestically would be prudent especially given ambiguous signals from various government ministers that the fiscal surplus may not be realised this financial year”.
Looking beyond November, the shadow board says the most preferred setting for the cash rate is 25 basis points down to 3% within six months, with only a 30% risk that rates should have to fall lower than that.
However, two shadow board members, ANU professor Bob Gregory and Bank of America chief economist Saul Eslake (formerly chief economist at ANZ), believe rates could be even lower in 12 months, backing a range of 2.5% to 2.75%
The full shadow board is:
<ul>
<li>Shaun Vahey, Professor, RSE, ANU. (non-voting chair)</li>
<li>Paul Bloxham, Chief Economist (Australia &amp; New Zealand), HSBC Bank Australia Ltd</li>
<li>Mark Crosby, Dean of the Global MBA Program, Acting Dean of the Global BBA Program, and Professor of Economics, S P Jain Center of Management in Singapore</li>
<li>Mardi Dungey, Professor, University of Tasmania, CFAP University of Cambridge, CAMA</li>
<li>Saul Eslake, Chief Economist, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Australia</li>
<li>Bob Gregory, Professor Emeritus, RSE, ANU, Professorial Fellow, Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University, Adjunct Professor, School of Economics &amp; Finance, Queensland University of Technology</li>
<li>Warwick McKibbin, Professor, RSE, ANU, CAMA</li>
<li>James Morley, Professor, University of New South Wales, CAMA</li>
<li>Jeffrey Sheen, Professor &amp; Head, Department of Economics, Macquarie University,Editor, The Economic Record, CAMA</li>
<li>Mark Thirlwell, Director, International Economy Program, Lowy Institute for International Policy</li>
</ul>
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Keep cash rate on hold on Melbourne Cup Day but easing bias remains: shadow RBA board

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Credit unions, building societies and other mutual institutions offer significant mortgage savings, but the majority of Australians are unaware of these benefits, according to a new survey by The Australia Institute.
Credit unions also have to battle the major banks, which collectively spent $1 billion on advertising in 2011 and have just reported collective annual profits of $23 billion.
In addition, since the GFC, many borrowers have sought the security of having their mortgage with a major financial institution.
The results of the survey come as borrowers await today’s Melbourne Cup cash rate decision by the RBA. Should the RBA cut the cash rate, as is tipped, speculation will then turn to how much will be passed on to borrowers by the major banks and other lenders.
The Australian Institute survey finds that members of mutually owned banks, credit unions and building societies are estimated to save an average of 0.4 percentage points on their mortgage interest rate.
Data from Canstar reported in the survey shows that standard variable interest rates for the mutuals have been consistently lower than those of the big four banks in recent years.
The average standard variable rate (SVR) for mutuals over the period of June 2009 to August 2012 was 6.73%, which is 40 basis points lower than the average SVR of 7.13% from the big four banks.
For an average loan, this generates savings of $76,417 over the life of the loan and reduces the repayment period by three years.
There are 103 financial mutuals in Australia controlling assets worth a combined $83 billion. Australia has the third largest mutual banking sector in the world, after the United States and Canada, with mortgages and retail deposits the staple offering of the sector. The biggest of these is Credit Union Australia (CUA) with $9 billion in assets and 415,000 members, followed by Heritage Bank and Newcaste Permanent.
Click to enlarge
<a title="Click to enlarge" rel="shadowbox" href="/images/stories/2012/10/mutual.gif"><img src="/images/stories/2012/10/mutualthumb.gif"></a>


<hr class="system-pagebreak">
However, community awareness of the sector runs far behind community reliance on the sector.
According to The Australia Institute survey, despite the fact that 79% of people are members of a co-op (this includes non-financial institutions like the NRMA, RACV, AustralianSuper and even the Co-op Bookshop) only three in 10 Australians could name a co-operative or mutually owned enterprise, and only 16% of Australians believe that they are a member of one.
Despite their lack of awareness of alternatives, the survey found that the vast majority of Australians believing that privately owned for-profit companies are more interested in shareholder profit than customers (90%), that large shareholders have too much influence (88%) and that corporate executives are overpaid (92%).
“Millions of Australians could spend less on their mortgages, spend more in retirement and save a small fortune when they need to go to the doctor, buy a book or buy some wine. At a time when many people are talking about the rising of cost of living it is surprising that more Australians don't switch to a member-owned alternative,” says Australia Institute executive director Dr Richard Denniss
He says that while many Australians have expressed an alternative to the bigger financial institutions and co-operatives do deliver “high quality products at low prices”, the institute’s report suggests these institutions “have not done a great job of explaining to their members how they do it and why it matters”.
The report says there are opportunities for mutuals to better explain their ownership structure, and its benefits, to their existing customers and better explain the contribution that mutuals and co-ops make to the community.
It also calls on government ministers and government departments to “pay greater attention to the benefits to consumers and communities that flow from co-operatives”.
“They should also do more to overcome the pragmatic or psychological barriers that prevent consumers switching to mutually owned enterprises,” he says.
The Australia Institute is an independent public policy think tank based in Canberra, funded by donations from philanthropic trusts and individuals, memberships and commissioned research
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Big savings from mutual lenders but little customer awareness: Australia Institute report

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The RBA is in a position to cut rates a further 0.25 percentage points by Christmas.
A cut today would give ample lead time to have a real impact on Christmas spending.
The RBA has adjusted the rate at each November announcement since 2006. You could say they should keep with tradition for another change in 2012.
There has to be another rate cut this year, even with inflation at 2%. This cut is necessary in order to maintain consumer confidence leading into the Christmas retail period.
GDP growth at 3.7% last quarter is down from the previous quarter. Consumer confidence has been on the slide for some time now, and there is some uncertainty now coming out of China, which has been our paymaster during the mining boom.
Another indicator is the jobs market, which is expected to worsen in towards the end of the year. This would also put pressure on the RBA.
We’ve seen many large-scale restructures and layoffs. The official unemployment rate has moved from 5.1% in August to 5.4% in September. This is not great news for the economy but is welcomed by property investors, as the RBA should give mortgage holders a break.
It is clear that the RBA and banks need to lower interest rates to stimulate confidence. With lower interest rates and house prices at present representing real value this will drive property sales, which will have a positive effect on the broader economy. In addition, a rate cut will also act as an incentive for investors to re-engage with the Australian property market.
Robert Projeski is a leading property finance expert and the founder and managing director of <a href="https://%20www.amo.com.au" target="_blank">Australian Mortgage Options</a>. He has appeared on radio and TV and written extensively on property and finance matters.
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The RBA should cut the cash rate today to give mortgage holders a break

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The Reserve Bank board has stalled at the starting gate leaving the cash rate unchanged at 3.25% on Melbourne Cup Day.
This is the first time in seven years that the RBA has not adjusted the cash rate in November.
An increase in September third-quarter inflation, retail sales up a better than expected 0.5% in September and a second consecutive month of rising residential building approvals as well as property values falling marginally in October (down 1% according to RP Data) were factors the RBA would have considered at its monetary policy board meeting.
“Clearly some of the more positive data flows that have arrived lately have caused the RBA to wait and see how the economy is responding the current cash rate setting,” commented RP Data national research director Tim Lawless
“From a housing market perspective, I would have to assume the RBA is reasonably comfortable with the current performance of the market.
“Dwelling values are 2.1% higher than what they were at the end of May this year and there has been a modest uptick in transaction volumes which, suggests that consumers are slowly responding to the previous rate cuts.
“The 25-point rate cut in October is still working its way through the data, so I am sure the RBA will be watching how values pan out in November based on the RP Data-Rismark daily index, which is already showing a small improvement in dwelling values since the start of the month.”
Michelle Hutchison, spokesperson for financial comparison website RateCity.com.au says despite the Reserve Bank keeping the cash rate on hold at 3.25% today, variable borrowers have saved almost $700 in repayments for a $300,000 home loan and $1,346 for a $600,000 mortgage after variable rates fell by 67 basis points on average this year.
“Savers have faced a different outlook, as they’ve experienced a 57-basis-point drop to the average savings account rate this year according to RateCity, which would make a significant difference to those who rely on their returns."
A decision to cut the cash rate – backed by most economists with swap traders less certain – would have seen the official borrowing rate at its lowest setting since September 2009 and for cash rate settings going back to 1990.
Prior to 1990 the RBA did not provide an official cash rate settings, but proxy measures show a setting of 3.02% in January 1964 and a rate of 2.99% in March 1960.
The record low is 2.89% in January 1960.
ANZ will make its independent interest rate call on Friday.
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Steady on: RBA leaves the cash rate at 3.25% on Melbourne Cup Day

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Mortgage broker AFG, which accounts for around one in 10 home loans arranged in Australia, bucked the national trend to record its biggest October on record with $3.1 billion in sales.
October volumes are generally lower than those for September, but AFG says October mortgage sales were 14.6% higher than the month before.
The volume was also almost a quarter greater than that for October 2011.
RBA figures have housing credit growth at record lows in <a target="_blank" href="/news">September</a> - one month behind AFG figures.
AFG says refinancing was not the driver for mortgage volumes last month, with the level of refinancing (34.8%) at its lowest level than since September 2009.
Mark Hewitt, general manager of sales and operations at AFG, says: ‘We’re not seeing a surge of confidence sweep across the country, but different categories of borrowers in different states are feeling more comfortable about taking on loans. New South Wales is by far the most popular state for investors, while WA is leading the way for first-home buyers.’
In New South Wales, loans for investors comprised 43.1% of all new loans, compared with 35.1% in Queensland, 33.6% in Victoria, 32.2% in South Australia and 29.9% in Western Australia.
In Western Australia, loans for first home buyers comprised 25.2% of all new loans, compared with 18.3% in Victoria. 15.0% in Queensland, 12.8% in South Australia and 5.7% in New South Wales.
One in five new borrowers chose to fix their loans (20.8%), somewhat lower than last month high of 21.5%.
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AFG bucks national trend with record October mortgage sales

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The last of the big four banks, Westpac, has reported its 2012 annual results, with the country’s second-biggest mortgage lender recording record cash earnings of $6.6 billion for the year ending September 30.
However, it managed just 4% growth in mortgage lending over the group (3% within the Westpac brand) over the course of the financial year with funding costs rising as it shifts its funding mix towards a greater reliance on customer deposits.
For their respective financial years <a href="/news">NAB</a> reported 9.9% annual growth in mortgage lending, <a href="/news">ANZ</a> managed mortgage growth of 7% and <a href="/news">Commonwealth Bank</a>, mortgage growth of 4%.
System growth in mortgage lending for the year to September has been 4.7%, according to RBA financial aggregate figures.
The $6.6 billion cash profit figure was Westpac’s third consecutive record result – cash profit excludes one-off financial items.
Statutory net profit, which does include one-off financial items, fell 15% to $5.97 billion, reflecting a previous year benefit of a one-off St.George tax consolidation.
Westpac maintained its 26% share of the national home loan market growing its total mortgage book by $11.7 billion from $304.6 billion to $316.3 billion.
However, line-of-credit lending (used primarily by investors) declined from $35 billion to $32.6 billion.
Westpac Group CEO Gail Kelly called the bank’s performance a “strong result in a lower growth economic environment”.
The bank reported its net interest margin down five basis points for the year at 2.17%, attributing this decline to higher funding costs, mostly from the increased benefit customers received from higher deposit interest rates relative to market rates.
“Strengthening our balance sheet and improving our funding profile has been a key area of focus in recent years," says Kelly. 
"At our half year results, I stressed that a priority was growing deposits so I am pleased that our total customer deposits grew 12% or $38 billion this year, more than funding our growth in loans. Combined with a reduction in short-term wholesale debt, this has materially improved our funding mix."
 Kelly says a highlight of the result was the strong performance of the new Australian Financial Services division (AFS), which includes the Australian retail banking, business banking and wealth operations, where cash earnings increased by 14% to $2.1 billion as deposits and loans grew.
Among the subsidiary businesses, St George’s earnings flat compared to the previous year, at $1.2 billion.
Westpac says all its brands (the others being BankSA; Bank of Melbourne; and franchised mortgage lender RAMS) “contributed to the good momentum”.
The bank declared a record fully franked final dividend of 84 cents per share, up 2 cents, or 2% over first half 2012.
Total dividends for the year were 166 cents, up 6% over the prior year, and reflected a pay-out ratio of 77%.
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Westpac records record cash profits of $6.6 billion but sluggish mortgage lending amid higher funding costs

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When transferring property, stamp duty is or isn’t payable, depending on the transaction type and the family relationships of the people involved.

Conveyancing can be quite a complex area, so it’s important to keep up by checking the fact sheets at the Office of State Revenue (OSR) website.
This complexity also illustrates the benefits for people buying, selling and transferring property in using the professional services of a qualified settlement agent.
To be clear about when stamp duty is and isn’t payable, let’s look at the payment and exemption rules as they exist currently in Western Australia.
Most people are aware that eligible first home buyers pay no duty providing the sale price is under $500,000, but what about other types of transactions? What happens when ownership changes between family members even if no money changes hands?
In general, every change in ownership, with a handful of exceptions, and regardless of the consideration, will incur duty.
Not only do transfers to related parties incur duty they may also incur capital gains tax (CGT) if the property being transferred is an investment property, even if no consideration is paid.
This means that parents who add children to an existing title on the family home will incur duty.
The most common example of where stamp duty is not payable is with a family home and couples.
For example, a home may currently be owned in a husband’s name and he wishes to add his new wife as a joint tenant.
This ruling also applies to de facto couples, including same-sex couples. Stamp duty does not apply here.
If a property is owned by a family trust and it wishes to transfer the property to a beneficiary of the trust, providing certain requirements are met and all the OSR duty information requirements are satisfied, that may result in a nominal duty of just $20.
Some transfers between couples pursuant to Family Court Orders would also be exempt. The OSR fact sheet details this.
Transfers to remove persons from a title, e.g: where that person has died or as a result of a marital separation, do not necessarily incur additional duty.
If people are in the contract phase of buying property and they want to add or delete names on the title, providing the nominee is related to the original buyer this does not incur stamp duty. However, doing this after the property has settled will attract duty, so it’s important to get the timing right.
As you can see, there is almost no avoiding this payment, so it’s important to factor these costs into any property transactions you may be undertaking.
For more details go to: <a title="Office of State Revenue" href="https://www.finance.wa.gov.au/cms/section.aspx?id=209">www.osr.wa.gov.au</a>
David Airey is president of the <a target="_blank" href="https://reiwa.com.au/home/default.aspx">Real Estate Institute of Western Australia.</a> This article was originally published on <a href="https://reiwa.com.au/Faq/Pages/Feature.aspx">reiwa.com</a>.
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dairey-MVZf5ZguQC

Western Australian stamp duty 101

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The vast majority of economists still expect the RBA to cut the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3% on Melbourne Cup Day.
Some 20 out of the 27 economists polled by Bloomberg today expect the cash rate to be lowered on November 6 – just one fewer than the 21 who expected a rate cut when polled last week.
However, ANZ remains notably among those expecting rates to stay on hold.
“Following the slightly higher-than-expected third-quarter CPI inflation data last week we pushed back our call for a 25-basis-point cut in the cash rate from November to December," says ANZ.
“We did this not because we don’t think there are good reasons to lower rates now – we certainly do – but because the CPI outcome and somewhat better data flow from overseas complicates the picture.
“The RBA may choose to wait another month by which time they will have further labour market information and a better read on third-quarter GDP growth (from partial indicators).
“Market pricing suggests around a 50% probability of a rate cut next Tuesday,” says ANZ.
The other institutions not tipping a rate cut next week are Barclays Capital, Citi, Goldman Sachs JP Morgan, Merrill Lynch and TD Securities.
Westpac chief economist Bill Evans expects the Reserve Bank to cut the cash rate but highlights that there is considerable uncertainty about the Tuesday decision.
However, he says recent comments by deputy governor Philip Lowe, that the “very low interest rates in many other economies should not be seen as a good thing or something to aspire to” should not be interpreted to mean rates can’t go any lower.
Evans says if there is no move next week and there is no indication in the RBA’s monetary policy statement to the contrary, “then we can only conclude that the [September quarter] inflation report has (in our view unjustifiably) prompted the bank to delay any easing decision until there is more information available including the inflation profile".
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RBA still likely to cut the cash rate on Melbourne Cup Day: Bloomberg survey

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Aussie Home Loans founder John Symond says the Reserve Bank must cut the cash rate on Melbourne Cup Day (November 6).
“Australia continues to be susceptible to economic shocks from overseas and small retailers and businesses are doing it tough as we head into the crucial Christmas retail season," Symond told Fairfax.
According to Symond, a rate drop would boost retail sales and the rest of the economy – especially employment – “providing much needed confidence to consumers”.
His calls for a rate cut come as the certainty of a Melbourne Cup rate cut shrinks from a sure bet a few weeks ago to now only a "50-50 call", according to Commonwealth Bank chief economist Michael Blythe.
Symond has been critical of the Reserve Bank for being too slow to move on rates in the past, accusing governor Glenn Stevens  and the RBA board of being<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/residential/recovering-housing-market-at-630-on-the-property-clock-with-no-risk-of-a-housing-bubble-john-symond/2012101157115"> “asleep at the wheel”.</a>
He has also dismissed arguments that lower interest rates could fuel a housing bubble.
“I am confident, notwithstanding a lot of hype from offshore analysts about a housing bubble, of Australia’s fundamentals,” Symond said in a speech in October.
Among those who disagrees with Symond on the need for a November rate cut is Annette Beacher, head of Asia-Pacific research at investment bank TD Securities.
Beacher says an expansion in Chinese manufacturing (as seen in an improvement in the Chinese manufacturing index from 49.8 to 50.2 in October) as well as a stronger than expected rise in inflation in the September quarter are two reason why the RBA should pause in November.
“The RBA can afford to pause at 3.25%t and 'wait and see' for the next round of monthly data, as well as assess the impact to date of previous easing," she said in a note to clients.
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