Apartment buyers in New South Wales are set to gain a decade of insurance-backed protection against major building defects, after the NSW Parliament passed the Fair Trading and Building Legislation Amendment Bill 2026.&nbsp;

The Bill establishes decennial defect insurance, known in the market as Latent Defects Insurance (LDI), as an alternative to the existing two-year strata building bond. It cleared the Legislative Council with amendments on Tuesday evening (August 4, 2026), with the Legislative Assembly agreeing to those amendments shortly after.

Under the reform, eligible developers can satisfy their statutory bond obligation by taking out an approved decennial-style policy that gives owners 10 years of cover for major structural defects from completion, claimable directly, without first having to pursue developers or builders through costly legal action.&nbsp;

The change forms the final tranche of amendments arising from the 2021 statutory review of the Strata Schemes Management Act 2015 and related legislation.

Resilience Insurance, which originated the cover in Australia and has delivered it in NSW since 2022, welcomed the passage and credited the NSW Government for delivering it.

“This is protection apartment buyers have needed for a long time, and the credit for delivering it belongs to the NSW Government,”&nbsp;said Corey Nugent, CEO of Resilience Insurance.

“Minister Chanthivong and his team have shown real leadership in replacing an outdated two-year bond with cover that matches the lifespan of the buildings people are buying into. Reform like this is what good, evidence-based regulation looks like.”

Resilience has delivered LDI in NSW since 2022, protecting thousands of apartments, giving the State, and now the country, real-world evidence of how decade-long, no-fault protection works in practice.

The reform also places NSW within a wider national shift.

NSW is the third jurisdiction to put decennial cover into law. The ACT legislated for it in 2024, with the scheme taking effect in late 2025, and Victoria passed its own framework on 17 June. Between them, the three cover the majority of Australia's apartment market.

The reform commences once the legislation is proclaimed, which is expected in the coming weeks. From that point, developers of Class 2 residential apartment buildings can meet their statutory obligation with an approved decennial policy in place of the bond.

Buyers who purchased into projects that took out the cover early are among the first in the country to take keys to apartments carrying decade-long structural protection.

“With the legislation passed, the focus now turns to making it work for buyers,”&nbsp;Nugent said.

“There are already thousands of apartments in NSW covered by this insurance, bought by developers who moved early. The question every buyer should be asking in a display suite is a simple one: does this building come with 10-year defect cover, and who stands behind it?&nbsp;

“We look forward to working with the Government and the Building Commission in coming weeks as the framework moves to implementation, and to sharing what we have learned over the past four years so the protection reaches owners as smoothly and quickly as possible.”

Other states are working through their own reform programs. Western Australia has indicated that decennial cover is within consideration a later stage of its reform sequence, and Queensland has been examining the settings as it looks at the development pipeline ahead of the 2032 Olympics.

Resilience Insurance acknowledges the NSW Government’s continued focus on strengthening consumer protection while supporting housing delivery across the State.

Fast Facts: What the reform means

<ul style="color:#222222; font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:small; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-weight:400; text-align:start; white-space:normal; background-color:#ffffff; text-decoration-thickness:initial; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial">
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">Proven at scale:&nbsp;Decennial cover has operated in NSW since 2022, protecting thousand of apartments.</li>
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">10 years of cover:&nbsp;Protection for major structural defects runs for a decade from completion, claimable directly and with no legal action required.</li>
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">An alternative to the bond:&nbsp;Eligible developers can meet their statutory obligation with an approved decennial-style policy in place of the 2% strata building bond.</li>
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">Part of a national shift:&nbsp;The ACT has had decennial provisions in force since 2025 and Victoria passed its framework in June. NSW now joins them.</li>
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">No-fault, first resort:&nbsp;Owners corporations claim directly from the insurer without first having to establish who is liable for the defect.</li>
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">Cost-competitive:&nbsp;At approximately 1.8% of build cost, LDI is typically priced below the 2% bond while offering broader, longer protection.</li>
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">Market position:&nbsp;Resilience originated LDI in Australia and has delivered it in NSW since 2022.</li>
</ul>

Fast Facts: What is Resilience LDI?

<ul style="color:#222222; font-family:Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:small; font-style:normal; font-variant-ligatures:normal; font-weight:400; text-align:start; white-space:normal; background-color:#ffffff; text-decoration-thickness:initial; text-decoration-style:initial; text-decoration-color:initial">
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">Resilience Latent Defects Insurance (LDI):&nbsp;Covers major structural defects for 10 years from completion.</li>
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">Consumer-first:&nbsp;Direct claim access, no need for lengthy legal action.</li>
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">Cost advantage:&nbsp;At approximately 1.8% of build cost, LDI is typically priced below the traditional 2% Strata Bond while offering broader protection.</li>
	<li style="margin-left:15px; font-family:Aptos, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size:12pt; color:#000000">Market leader:&nbsp;&nbsp;Resilience Insurance originated LDI in Australia and is the national market leader.</li>
</ul>

Joel Robinson

NSW parliament passes 10-year defect insurance laws for new apartment buyers

Builder-developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mcnab-developments">McNab</a> has wasted little time reshaping one of South Brisbane's most significant undeveloped apartment sites after acquiring the property earlier this year.&nbsp;

McNab has lodged plans to scrap an existing approval for two 30-storey towers and instead deliver a single 28-storey residential building, preserving part of the site for a future development opportunity.

The proposal, lodged over <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/64-peel-street-south-brisbane-qld-4101">64 Peel Street and 9 Cordelia Street</a>, is for a residential-led mixed-use development comprising 124 apartments above a landscaped podium, alongside a boundary realignment that preserves part of the land for a future residential project.

<img alt="First look: McNab resets decade-old South Brisbane approval with 124-apartment tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="743bf564-3f8f-45fc-b8d3-bbf18f5b628f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/mcnab%20Peel%20st%20podium.png?VersionId=EhCxGrVn_VFH3qTbKnI4WppGwaMnOn0t" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hayball">Hayball</a>, the development will deliver 119 two-bedroom and five three-bedroom apartments across 23 residential levels. A five-level podium will accommodate 135 car spaces, while the ground floor will include a 66 sqm commercial tenancy, an activated residential lobby with work-from-home spaces, and a publicly accessible landscaped plaza linking Cordelia and Peel streets.&nbsp;

Communal amenities will span Level 6 and the rooftop, including indoor and outdoor recreation spaces, a swimming pool, barbecue facilities, kitchen and dining areas, lawn space, sauna, steam room and yoga facilities.

The application also proposes a boundary realignment to create a standalone 1,290 sqm development lot while retaining an adjacent parcel for future redevelopment, allowing the balance of the site to contribute additional housing over time.

Hayball said the architecture has been shaped by the site's elevated corner position at the intersection of Peel and Cordelia streets and Brisbane's subtropical climate.

The design incorporates generous landscaped setbacks, a masonry podium wrapped with planting, large north-facing balconies, and a slender tower profile intended to maximise natural light, cross ventilation and long-range views. The rooftop has been conceived as a wellness-focused retreat overlooking Brisbane, with amenities positioned to capture views towards Mount Coot-tha and the CBD.

<img alt="First look: McNab resets decade-old South Brisbane approval with 124-apartment tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c5f99e84-6ad8-4a87-82d1-869685b754d2" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/mcnab%20tower%20perspective.png?VersionId=Gw0IuJaSAlk.tvGBxInhZOcQAdIB..2b" />

The planning submission positions the proposal as a response to both changing market conditions and Brisbane's Kurilpa Sustainable Growth Precinct planning reforms.

McNab acquired the site after the previous approval was granted, with the existing scheme no longer reflecting current residential market demands, economic conditions, construction challenges, construction efficiencies or the quality of development outcome now being pursued, the planning report noted.

McNab continues to expand its residential development pipeline across Brisbane and the Gold Coast. The developer recently launched The Tannery in West End, securing more than 60 per cent of apartments before the project's public release. It is also delivering Elements Budds Beach in Surfers Paradise and Lucia Highgate Hill, an eight-apartment boutique development overlooking the Brisbane River.

McNab resets decade-old South Brisbane approval with 124-apartment tower

A steeply sloping Bellevue Hill site is set to accommodate a new mid-rise apartment development, with plans lodged for 20 homes that respond to the site's dramatic topography.

The proposal for the consolidated land at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/138a-140-bellevue-road-bellevue-hill-nsw-2023">138A-140 Bellevue Road</a> has been designed by Sydney architecture practice Common Office, which has used the site’s substantial fall to distribute the building’s scale and unlock 20 apartments without presenting the full height to the street.&nbsp;

“The unique design strategy leverages the site’s substantial topographical fall to facilitate increased density, presenting a seven-storey profile to Bellevue Road while rising to 10 storeys at the rear,” Common Office said in its architectural design report.

The apartment mix spans one, two, three- and four-bedroom residences. Four two-bedroom apartments are designated as affordable housing, while the plans also include two adaptable dwellings. The mix is majority three-beds, with the typical three-bed apartment offering around 144 sqm internally, with balconies of around 15 sqm.

The affordable housing component represents 15 per cent of the residential floor area and allows the project to access additional height and floor space under the NSW Government’s in-fill affordable housing provisions. The site also falls within the inner area of the Low and Mid-Rise Housing Policy because it is within 400 metres walking distance of Double Bay Town Centre.

<img alt="First Look: Plans lodged for topography-led affordable housing project in Bellevue Hill" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b1230d0f-3bfa-4a11-abaf-0928c66ef345" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Bellevue%20da.png?VersionId=dZeMK3P.OutGjN8ycjsxm8uNsj_QFWQv" />

Common Office has arranged the building around a masonry podium and a lighter upper volume, drawing on two recurring elements of Bellevue Hill’s established architecture: sandstone bases and the vertical proportions of local Inter-war Art Deco apartment buildings.

“The proposal is governed by a holistic design language that reconciles the solid horizontal masonry of the neighbourhood’s podiums with the elegant verticality of its Art Deco heritage,” the architect said.

“The building maintains a consistent rhythmic logic utilising deep recesses and a sophisticated material transition to break down the 10-storey scale into a series of articulated, human-scale volumes.”

<img alt="First Look: Plans lodged for topography-led affordable housing project in Bellevue Hill" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0147f503-1af1-4d51-97fb-c2f1cba63a9d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Bellevue%20bldg.png?VersionId=GoW7q3NlK67OpnePXhk7zvklrlKb72Qc" />

Large-format sandstone tiles will define the lower levels, establishing a robust base that negotiates the change in elevation from Bellevue Road. Above, red-tinted precast concrete frames, recessed balconies, anodised aluminium screens and expanded metal details will create a more vertically expressed façade. Integrated planter beds will introduce greenery across balcony edges and recessed sections of the building.

The elongated northern façade has been divided into three recessed vertical masses to reduce its perceived length. Triangular window elements and metal privacy screens reference the geometry of nearby Art Deco buildings while controlling overlooking toward surrounding homes. The southern elevation will incorporate further privacy screening, landscaped edges and deep balconies to maintain light and ventilation.

<img alt="First Look: Plans lodged for topography-led affordable housing project in Bellevue Hill" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e8679cf1-18bc-4447-8a0f-0052b94ab83c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Bellevue%20da%20rooftop.png?VersionId=5SQqQqRFf76rvE2p1TbxJSweMN70AIbc" />

Private and communal landscaping is distributed throughout the development. A landscaped garden apartment is positioned within the lower portion of the site, while a communal terrace on Level 5 will include a central timber deck, barbecue facilities, resident planting plots and areas for outdoor dining and informal gatherings.

Common Office described the terrace as an elevated sanctuary designed to capture district views and sunlight. Its planting strategy incorporates endemic species associated with the Eastern Suburbs Banksia Scrub, extending the landscape vertically through the building and providing habitat for local flora and fauna.

A second communal outdoor area is proposed at roof level, with built-in seating, paved gathering areas and perimeter planting.

Bellevue Hill is enjoying renewed momentum in the new apartment market, with several boutique developments recently launched and currently under construction. Positive Investment Enterprise is delivering the 16-apartment Kew Palm House on Birriga Road, while Chanine Developments is also under construction at Florian, a 36-apartment project on Banksia Road.

&nbsp;

Bellevue Hill is enjoying renewed momentum in the new apartment market, with several boutique developments recently launched and currently under construction.

First Look: Apartment development pitched for Bellevue Hill, Double Bay fringe

South Brisbane's apartment pipeline continues to build momentum, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/trk-property-group">TRK Property Group</a> lodging plans for a 161-apartment tower on Montague Road as developers accelerate investment across the Kurilpa Sustainable Growth Precinct.

The proposal for 176–186 Montague Road would replace an existing office building with a 20-storey residential tower designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, adding to a growing pipeline of high-density projects reshaping one of Brisbane's fastest-evolving inner-city precincts.

The project has been conceived as a "living building", featuring a flowing tower form, extensive vertical landscaping, and generous communal spaces that respond to the evolving Kurilpa Sustainable Growth Precinct.

TRK Property Group Development Director Matt Kan said the project reflected the confidence developers have in South Brisbane's long-term future.

"South Brisbane is entering an incredibly exciting period, and we see Montague Road sitting right at the heart of that evolution," Kan said.

"With the former Visy site directly opposite us and significant investment planned throughout the broader Kurilpa precinct, there is a real sense of momentum around this part of the city and what it will become over the coming years.

"For TRK, this is an opportunity to be part of that next chapter and deliver a project that responds to where the precinct is heading, while contributing to the continued evolution of Brisbane's river edge."

<img alt="First look: TRK Property joins South Brisbane apartment surge with Montague Road tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="590fe1ad-f892-4446-a679-80e33a16d029" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/TRK%20tower%20facade.png?VersionId=uOJStrcKpyHFcPE1w6_9SMAFzVMCcZll" />

The scheme includes a mix of one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, incorporating multi-purpose rooms in selected residences to provide additional flexibility for home offices or expanded living areas. The proposed mix comprises 15 one-bedroom, 13 one-bedroom plus MPR, 73 two-bedroom, 26 two-bedroom plus MPR, 30 three-bedroom, and four four-bedroom apartments.

Rather than adopting a conventional rectilinear tower, COX Architecture has developed a sculpted form inspired by the movement of the Brisbane River.

"The proposal has been designed by COX Architecture as a 'living building' that responds to the site's riverine setting, floodplain history and evolving urban context within the Kurilpa Sustainable Growth Precinct," the planning report states.

"The architectural form draws from the fluid nature of the Brisbane River, with a curved and undulating tower form that creates a varied architectural edge and avoids a conventional rectilinear tower expression."

The podium has also been designed as an architectural feature rather than a conventional parking structure, with cascading planting, screening and natural-toned materials softening its appearance. Resident parking is elevated above ground level to address the site's flood constraints, while habitable apartments sit above flood planning levels. Upper-level communal facilities are designed to accommodate shelter-in-place arrangements during major flood events.

<img alt="First look: TRK Property joins South Brisbane apartment surge with Montague Road tower plans" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="01fa15d0-90df-46c7-9555-7941fc45373c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/TRK%20podium.png?VersionId=mHyua.w1pHGBt9qEdWzrlsv.leztUCwO" />

Communal amenity is a major focus of the proposal. Around 1,815 sqm of shared resident space is proposed across the ground floor, level 19 and the rooftop, including co-working areas, indoor and outdoor recreation spaces, wellness facilities, dining and gathering areas, lawn spaces, a rooftop pool and spa, and extensive landscaping. At street level, a landscaped forecourt and approximately 345 sqm of publicly accessible open space along Montague Road are intended to improve the pedestrian experience while activating the building's frontage.

The development will provide 163 car spaces, including 152 resident bays and 11 visitor spaces, together with 144 bicycle spaces incorporating resident storage, visitor parking, bicycle maintenance facilities and e-mobility charging infrastructure.

The site sits within one of Brisbane's fastest-changing inner-city precincts, less than two kilometres from the CBD and within easy reach of South Bank, West End, the Queensland Cultural Centre and extensive public transport connections. The Kurilpa Sustainable Growth Precinct planning framework is encouraging higher-density residential development to help meet Brisbane's housing supply targets while supporting walkable, transit-oriented neighbourhoods.

TRK Property joins South Brisbane apartment surge with Montague Road tower plans

Article summary

<ul data-end="785" data-start="311">
	<li data-end="459" data-section-id="5hbcyr" data-start="311">Pikos Group has released the five-penthouse collection at Skye Kangaroo Point, headlined by a two-storey sky home spanning more than 1,000 sqm.</li>
	<li data-end="561" data-section-id="1p7lq8n" data-start="460">Early buyer interest suggests the residences could set a new Queensland apartment price record.</li>
	<li data-end="667" data-section-id="1y70z0l" data-start="562">The collection includes four move-in ready penthouses and the highly customised Skye One residence.</li>
	<li data-end="785" data-section-id="yvm0y1" data-start="668">The release caps one of Bri​sbane's most ambitious luxury apartment developments overlooking the Brisbane River.</li>
</ul>

<hr data-end="790" data-start="787" />
Pikos Group has released the five-penthouse collection at its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/skye-residences-by-pikos-kangaroo-point-8-river-terrace-kangaroo-point-qld-4169">Skye by Pikos</a> development in Kangaroo Point, with early buyer interest indicating the flagship residences could eclipse every apartment sale previously recorded in Queensland.

The collection crowns the luxury riverfront development with five residences, including four completed penthouses and Skye One, a two-level sky home spanning more than 1,000 sqm that will be tailored to its eventual owner.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=90059 project_image_fid=374075]

Wanting to offer a fully customisable home, Pikos is offering Skye One as a blank canvas, allowing the buyer to work alongside the developer's design team to customise the home's layout, finishes and internal spaces.

The residence will feature a 247 sqm private rooftop terrace with its own swimming pool, sauna, steam room, outdoor kitchen and multiple entertaining areas overlooking the Brisbane River and CBD skyline.

The remaining four penthouses have been completed and are ready for immediate occupation, each offering four bedrooms, expansive open-plan living areas, soaring ceilings and private lift access.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=90059 project_image_fid=374059]

One of the defining features throughout the project is its use of Roman Classic Travertine, with more than 20,000 sqm of the natural stone imported from Italy after being personally selected by Pikos Group Founder and Executive Director Pedro Pikos, interior designer Julie Williamson and third-generation stone specialist Mario Caucci.

Pikos said the penthouse collection represented the culmination of the company's long-term vision for Skye.

"True legacy isn't measured by what we build today, but by what endures tomorrow," Pikos said.

"Our ambition is to create places that become more valuable with time, enrich the lives of generations, and stand as timeless landmarks long after we've stepped away."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=90059 project_image_fid=374060]

Williamson said the interiors were inspired by the natural character of Kangaroo Point and the Brisbane River rather than international design trends.

"Materiality tells the story of a place," Williamson said.

"We looked to the movement of the Brisbane River, the texture of the cliff face and the warmth of the surrounding landscape to create interiors that feel understated, enduring and unmistakably Brisbane."

Positioned above the Kangaroo Point cliffs, Skye places residents within walking distance of Howard Smith Wharves, South Bank and James Street while offering uninterrupted river and city views.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=90059]

Brisbane's next apartment price record? Pikos unveils Skye's exclusive penthouse collection

Sydney’s property market is known for high prices, competitive bidding, and mounting pressure on first home buyers. But change is on the horizon.

From late 2025, eligible first home buyers in New South Wales will have access to a new federal government initiative aimed at addressing affordability: the Help to Buy Scheme.&nbsp;

<h2>What is the Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

The program introduces a shared equity model intended to reduce the upfront cost of entering the property market, particularly in high-demand urban areas such as Sydney.

The scheme operates under a shared ownership structure in which the federal government takes an equity stake of up to 40 per cent for new homes, or 30 per cent for existing dwellings. This arrangement allows eligible buyers to significantly reduce their loan size and avoid the added cost of Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI).

Under this model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required. The government’s contribution is not a loan but a co-ownership stake in the property. As such, there is no interest or rent charged on its portion.

Because the government’s equity combined with the buyer’s deposit typically meets or exceeds the 20 per cent threshold, LMI does not apply. The remaining balance, generally between 60 and 70 per cent of the property’s value, is financed through a standard home loan with a participating lender.

The government's equity in the property remains in place until the buyer chooses to repay it voluntarily or until the property is sold. Buyers can buy back the government’s share over time, in increments of at least five per cent, depending on their financial situation.

There is no fixed repayment timeline, but the amount to be repaid will be based on the property's market value at the time of repayment, not the original purchase price.

<h2>How do you qualify for the&nbsp;Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

To qualify for the Help to Buy Scheme, applicants must meet the following conditions:

<ul>
	<li>Be an Australian citizen at least 18 years of age.</li>
	<li>Be a first-home buyer who does not currently own property.</li>
	<li>Intend to live in the property as their primary residence.</li>
	<li>Earn less than $100,000 per year for individuals, or $160,000 for couples.</li>
	<li>Purchase a property within the regional price caps, currently $950,000 in Sydney, though this is expected to rise to approximately $1.3 million ahead of the program’s launch.</li>
</ul>

While the Help to Buy Scheme does not solve affordability challenges across the board, it does offer a more accessible pathway for a defined segment of the market, particularly younger buyers with moderate incomes who have been priced out of traditional lending routes.

The scheme is expected to commence in NSW in late 2025, as part of a national rollout.

Under the new model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required

Help to Buy Scheme: What first home buyers in NSW need to know

The First Home Owners Grant (FHOG) is a government initiative designed to help eligible first-time home buyers by offering financial assistance towards the purchase or construction of a new home.

While the FHOG is a nationwide program, it is administered separately by each state and territory, meaning the eligibility criteria, grant amounts, and property requirements can vary depending on your location. This means that the amount available and the conditions attached to the grant will differ, so it is important to check the specific guidelines for your state or territory.

It’s important to note that the FHOG is just one of several incentives available to first home buyers. In most states and territories, the grant is not linked to stamp duty exemptions or concessions, with the exception of the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). The FHOG is typically a one-off payment, reducing the overall cost of purchasing or building a new home before any stamp duty concessions are applied.

Below, we provide a breakdown of the First Home Owner Grants available across Australia, outlining the specific details for each state and territory.

<h2>New South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $600,000. For land purchases and owner-builders, the threshold extends to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Provides full stamp duty exemption for homes valued up to $800,000, with concessions available for properties up to $1 million.

<h2>Victoria South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides a $10,000 grant for first-home buyers purchasing or building new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Offers full stamp duty exemption for properties up to $600,000, with concessions available up to $750,000.

<h2>Queensland First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers $30,000 for contracts signed between 20 November 2023 and 30 June 2025. The FHOG applies to new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Provides additional concessions for properties valued up to $800,000.

<h2>Western Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

&nbsp;

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $750,000 in the southern regions and up to $1 million in the northern regions.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Available for homes valued up to $600,000 for transactions entered into on or after 9 May 2024.

<h2>Australian Capital Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Replaced by the Home Buyer Concession Scheme, offering full stamp duty concessions for eligible buyers.

<h2>South Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides up to $15,000 for new homes, including houses, apartments, and townhouses. As of 6 June 2024, there is no property value cap for eligibility.

Stamp Duty Relief: Available for new homes and vacant land purchases.

<h2>Tasmania First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes and off the plan purchases.

Stamp Duty Exemption: Between 18 February 2024 and 30 June 2026, first home buyers of established homes valued up to $750,000 receive a full exemption on property transfer duty.

<h2>Northern Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: The Northern Territory provides a $10,000 grant for new homes only. Additional government grants and concessions are available for first home buyers.

Stamp Duty Exemption: The only stamp duty exemption available to property buyers is the House and Land Package Exemption (HLPE).

Eligibility criteria and application processes differ across states. Prospective buyers should refer to their respective state revenue offices for full details on grant availability, conditions, and additional concessions.

Every First Home Owner Grant for new property by state

In the ever-evolving landscape of sustainable architecture and environmentally conscious design, systems and ratings in place can help determine the energy efficiency of residential buildings in Australia.

Australia has multiple building rating systems that evaluate energy efficiency and sustainability in existing and new building designs.

Some systems assess individual building components, while others provide an overall rating for the entire structure.

A rating system ensures that homes are comfortable and energy-efficient, whether you are buying, renovating, or building.

NatHERS (Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme) is a common way for new homes to meet energy efficiency requirements.

As new developments continue to shape the urban environment, understanding NatHERS ratings becomes essential for developers and homeowners. This article delves into the concept of NatHERS ratings, their significance, and how they contribute to creating energy-efficient homes.

<h2>What is NatHERS?</h2>

NatHERS is a national initiative implemented by the Australian government to promote energy efficiency in residential buildings. The scheme aims to provide a standardised method for assessing the thermal performance of homes, considering factors such as insulation, orientation, ventilation, and building materials.&nbsp;

NatHERS ratings are the most common way new homes meet the National Construction Code's (NCC's) minimum energy efficiency requirements.&nbsp;

NatHERS assessments provide thermal and whole-home ratings for new homes, townhouses, and apartments.

The rating helps evaluate the energy performance of buildings, guides homeowners and developers to make informed decisions about the energy efficiency of their properties, and encourages the construction of more sustainable, comfortable, and cost-effective homes.

<h2>How NatHERS Ratings Work</h2>

NatHERS ratings are determined through four accredited software tools (AccuRate, BERS Pro, FirstRate5, HERO) using a calculation engine CSIRO developed to predict building temperature based on various factors.

The tools can model complex effects of building mass, insulation, window size, and other elements.

The outcome is a star rating that reflects the building's overall thermal efficiency, indicating how well it can maintain a comfortable indoor temperature without excessive reliance on heating or cooling systems.

The star rating scale ranges from 0 to 10, with a 6-star rating being the minimum requirement for compliance with the National Construction Code (NCC).&nbsp;

Achieving a higher star rating demonstrates a commitment to energy efficiency and sustainability, as the building is better equipped to minimise its environmental impact and reduce long-term energy costs.

Anyone can use NatHERS tools, but accredited assessors can provide certified ratings and professional advice.

<h2>Benefits of Higher NatHERS Ratings</h2>

Energy Efficiency: Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings are more energy-efficient, requiring less heating and cooling energy. This reduces the structure's carbon footprint and lowers occupants' energy bills.

Cost Savings: Homes with higher NatHERS ratings are generally more energy-efficient, resulting in reduced energy consumption for heating and cooling. This translates to lower energy bills for homeowners, making sustainable living environmentally friendly and economically viable in the long run.

Environmental Impact: Lower energy consumption directly translates to a reduced environmental impact. Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings contribute to the overall goal of mitigating climate change by lowering greenhouse gas emissions associated with heating and cooling systems.

Improved Comfort: Buildings with high NatHERS ratings offer better thermal comfort to occupants. Proper insulation, well-designed ventilation, and optimal orientation maintain a consistent and comfortable indoor temperature, providing occupants with a more enjoyable and healthier space.

Market Value and Desirability: Higher NatHERS ratings can enhance the market value of a property. As energy efficiency becomes a more significant consideration for homebuyers, a well-rated building may attract a premium price and stand out in the real estate market.

Compliance with Building Codes: NatHERS ratings are a vital component of the National Construction Code (NCC), and compliance with these ratings is often a mandatory requirement for new developments. Local councils and planning authorities may set minimum energy efficiency standards that must be met to obtain development approval.

The Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme (NatHERS) is a crucial initiative shaping the future of energy-efficient, resilient, and cost-effective homes. With its recent upgrades, NatHERS has evolved into a world-leading tool for the building sector, supporting the global commitment to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.

Staff Writer

What is a NatHERS rating in new off the plan apartment developments?

Mixed-use developments have gained significant popularity across Australia in recent years due to their unique blend of residential, commercial, and recreational spaces.

Unlike traditional single-purpose developments, mixed-use projects offer a harmonious integration of various functions within a single locale.

Residential units seamlessly coexist with commercial establishments, retail outlets, dining venues, entertainment hubs, and recreational facilities, with the combination not only enhances convenience but also fosters a vibrant lifestyle and a sense of community.

<h3>Convenience and accessibility</h3>

Mixed-use developments are designed with convenience in mind. They often integrate residential units with commercial spaces, retail outlets, restaurants, and recreational facilities, creating a self-contained community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=204874]

The proximity allows residents to enjoy the convenience of having essential amenities and services within walking distance. Whether it's grabbing a cup of coffee, going grocery shopping, or accessing healthcare services, everything is conveniently located, saving residents time and effort.

<h3>Vibrant lifestyle and community</h3>

One of the major advantages of mixed-use developments is the vibrant lifestyle they offer. With a diverse range of amenities and communal spaces, residents have ample opportunities to interact, socialise, and build a sense of community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107714 project_image_fid=214122]

The presence of parks, community centres, and shared spaces fosters a lively atmosphere, encouraging residents to engage in various activities and events. The vibrant lifestyle within these developments creates a unique sense of belonging and camaraderie among the residents.

<h3>Potential for higher rental yields and property value appreciation</h3>

Mixed-use developments tend to attract a broad range of tenants and buyers due to their versatile nature. This high demand can result in higher rental yields for investors and potentially lead to property value appreciation over time.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=139989 project_image_fid=212887]

The integration of commercial and retail spaces attracts businesses, which can provide a stable rental income stream. Additionally, the popularity of mixed-use developments often drives up property values, making them a potentially lucrative investment in the long term.

<h3>Enhanced security and maintenance</h3>

Mixed-use developments typically have comprehensive security measures in place. With controlled access points, CCTV surveillance, and professional security staff, residents can enjoy enhanced safety and peace of mind.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=212658]

Additionally, these developments often have dedicated maintenance teams responsible for the upkeep of common areas, landscaping, and infrastructure. This ensures that the overall appearance and functionality of the development are well-maintained, creating a pleasant living environment for residents.

<h3>Live-work-play balance</h3>

One of the key attractions of mixed-use developments is the ability to achieve a desirable live-work-play balance. The integration of residential and commercial spaces allows residents to live closer to their workplaces, reducing commuting time and improving work-life balance.

The proximity to various amenities and recreational facilities encourages an active and healthy lifestyle. Residents can easily access fitness centres, parks, restaurants, and entertainment options, all within the same development, leading to a more fulfilling and convenient way of life.

alisonwarters@gmail.com

The top five reasons to buy in a mixed-use development

When buying a property, everyone needs to be aware of the additional costs that come as part of the buying process.

Often the largest outlay, after the deposit which goes to the bank, is stamp duty.

<h2 style="line-height: 1.38;">What is Stamp Duty?</h2>

Stamp duty is an extra tax to pay the government when you buy land, a property, and other certain assets.

It happens when the legal ownership is transferred. It can also be known as property transfer duty or transfer duty.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/C32BWkB5--c" title="YouTube video player" width="660"></iframe>

<h2>Who pays Stamp Duty?</h2>

In some circumstances, you may get an exemption. For some states, you won’t have to pay for stamp duty if you are a first home buyer or a pensioner for houses under a particular price. There are also stamp duty concessions, where you may be entitled to a discount.

<h2>How much does Stamp Duty cost?</h2>

Each state has different rules which affect how much you need to pay. These rules can affect the rate you pay, and the timeframe you will need to pay in. Before you buy land or a property, make sure you check the up-to-date information for your state’s stamp duty.

You can use a free stamp duty calculator online to see approximately how much you’ll need to pay. Find out if you’re eligible for an exemption by enquiring on a project via Urban!

Overall, the stamp duty you need to pay will depend on:

<ul>
	<li aria-level="1">How much your land/property is worth</li>
	<li aria-level="1">Where your land/property is located</li>
	<li aria-level="1">What type of land/property it is</li>
</ul>

Want to find out more? <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanAustralia?utm_source=YouTube&amp;utm_medium=Video&amp;utm_campaign=Subscribe&amp;utm_id=Subscribe">Subscribe to our YouTube channel</a> for more property videos.

Ellen Walker

Off-the-plan property explained: What is stamp duty?

Prominent New Zealand apartment and hotel operator, <a href="/developers/safari-group">Safari Group</a>, is offering up a prime investment opportunity for Australians to purchase off the plan in one of the world’s most popular ski destinations.

They recently took to market Mountain Oak Queenstown Apartments, in the growing precinct of Remarkables Park in Frankton, near the airport and at the foot of The Remarkables - the mountain range the locals like to call “The Remarks”.&nbsp;

Sydney investors have shown interest in the one, two and three-bedroom apartments that secure high-season occupancy six months over the year, primarily over summer and winter months.

They average 90 per cent occupancy across their portfolio over January, February, March, August, November and December, while shoulder season months of April, July, September and October are still occupied 70 per cent of the time, with the growing appeal of Queenstown becoming not just a hotspot for the snow, but a lifestyle destination.

Even in the low seasons of May and June, occupancy levels reach around 40 per cent.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_auto/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Ext_Cam15_Sunny.jpg?VersionId=SJAROUM_1s.Tr5ciMk4EEj5oAt_Vewmv" />

Safari’s Safari Hotels arm can also manage the holiday letting for an investor, from the listing on holiday accommodation websites such as Airbnb and Booking.com to the cleaning and maintenance of the investment. They’ve been in the short stay management business for 15 years and offer 24/7 support for investors, an important convenience benefit for any overseas investor

Another major drawcard for Australians is that New Zealand doesn’t have a stamp duty policy - so the entry price of NZ$639,000 (AU$586,000), is all that is payable on completion.

<img alt="Safari Group’s Mountain Oak Apartments brings new investment potential to Queenstown" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/313_Livingv2_WEB.jpg?VersionId=nV229fM0ZeYpoxOrX372HyGjfwY_LR8c" />

Safari is starting construction of the 141 apartments in Q2 this year, with a two-year build estimated to complete in mid-to-late 2027.<img alt="" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" height="15" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXczFpFAb7WuA6f4f9TtKWcqXyNwR8qqtakWv352ERkpqNlP3KwIo8YKxw67jZNHfpjEGIZGv5MQTbnvLZwNt8iu9IVdOrswOjCvBZ4zhSoOOLrpt6etVEZTN1gkBho0r_R72zdHNA?key=yq3daOanqHSb88QFd8jGYKdb" title="Click and drag to move" width="15" />​

The apartments will feature modern amenities and contemporary designs with expansive windows capturing sweeping views of The Remarkables mountain range.&nbsp;

Interiors are equipped with modern finishes, premium appliances, and secure electronic key-locked doors, ensuring a comfortable living experience for residents and guests alike.

With its strategic location near Coronet Peak and Cardrona Alpine Resort, as well as key retail and dining precincts such as Market Street, Five Mile Shopping Centre, and Remarkables Market, Mountain Oak offers a strong proposition for investors seeking high rental yields and capital appreciation in one of New Zealand’s most sought-after locations.&nbsp;

Queenstown’s sustained demand for visitor accommodation and rental properties is underpinned by a shortage of housing options, attracting both local and international buyers.

Safari Group offers low-touch investment proposition in Queenstown’s popular ski fields district

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The Abbott government is preparing to give Sydney’s WestConnex road project a <a href="https://news.smh.com.au/breaking-news-national/westconnex-to-get-2bn-in-budget-20140508-37wzp" target="_blank">A$2 billion boost</a> in this week’s federal budget, part of a broader $10 billion <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-05-08/government-to-detail-road-funding-and-detention-centre-closures/5437748" target="_blank">infrastructure package</a> aimed at boosting productivity and private sector investment.
Congestion in Sydney continues to escalate with gridlock on roads impacting passenger and freight logistics. The persistence of this situation reflects poorly on project selection and asset management processes, along with distortions that have arisen from poor interactions between the Commonwealth and the states.
Reform is urgently needed where there is less focus on ribbon cutting and more use of well-targeted “pinch point” interventions.
For example, removing congestion and bottlenecks from existing infrastructure along with shifting a small amount of demand from the peak to the shoulder period can often have superior productivity impacts compared with building expensive greenfield assets.
The school holiday effect on roads is an example of this point, when there are better traffic flows when less than 5% of traffic is absent in the peak. Surely there must be a way to win the community’s confidence that we can make the peak hour work better by shaping demand through means other than just pricing. Changing school opening times and retail operating hours could be a starting point.
Thinking beyond roads
While NSW has a strong case to build more new infrastructure like WestConnex and North Connex; it must use these once in a lifetime opportunities to do much more than build a new road.
The reality is the Sydney of today and yesterday is simply too “land hungry” to be sustainable into the 22nd century.
The appetite for land, unchecked with proper pricing signals for the provision of infrastructure has seen an un-virtuous cycle demanding ever more capital and diminishing return.
Many Sydney-siders have sought relief from escalating land prices on the city fringes, and have done so without the benefit of any genuine choice on where else they could live. Spacious residences on the fringe compare poorly in their mind to the expensive “compact” living of the inner areas.
Important projects like WestConnex can be a catalyst for triggering a new wave of innovative investment, that is, if we consider WestConnex the road project and WestConnex the urban revitalisation project.
A critical question that needs to be answered is how much extra housing and urban revitalising can and should we expect from WestConnex?
Despite the best intentions of those tasked with delivering WestConnex the public documentation suggests that the A$11.5 billion price tag will only deliver 25,000 new strategically located residences for Sydney over 20 years.
Sydney requires at least 800,000 new residences by 2050.
Given that WestConnex is developing such a valuable artery for the city, can it do more?
The first step will require governance model that breaks down traditional administrative silos and enables integrated land use and transport planning to occur.
Productivity matters
The objective of lifting state productivity has been missing from project planning in the past, making it difficult for governments to be purposeful and consistent in their infrastructure decisions in recent decades.
To accommodate the extra three million people by mid-century in NSW, the stock of transport infrastructure will need to either expand by 60% or its productivity must lift by a similar magnitude.
Obviously, it will be some combination of the two.
But anyone flying into Sydney can see that there is not a lot of room for new roads and rail systems. So productivity is going to matter a great deal.
To that end the regulatory system requires reform, as it must provide the right price signals and incentives to make the best use of existing infrastructure. This means a willingness to allow prices to reflect full cost recovery for the infrastructure provided.
Tolls are an option, but a toll should always be a fee for a defined level of service, and the community has the right to expect choice in the services available. The problem is that infrastructure often fails this test to the detriment of business and community confidence.
Tolls need to be justified
It is notable that the M1, M2, M4 and M5 toll roads in Sydney all originally demonstrated great benefit to commuters with faster travel time. But the reality is that now each of these toll roads has a peak hour exceeding 10 hours per day; slow speed and uncertain travel time is the norm.
To address this situation, state and federal infrastructure agencies need to enshrine customer service benchmarks that govern lifetime performance of major assets and networks. Government and the private sector concession holders will then require a framework to sustain them together.
Citizens living in our global cities expect globally competitive transit times during the peak hour. But the reality is Sydney has an average commute speed in peak hour that is 17% lower than London, at just 50km/h, and Melbourne is only marginally better.
Given Sydney and Melbourne are small cities by comparison to London, this is a concerning signal about the health of the road transport system.
Using tolls to help fund transport infrastructure is reasonable but without service benchmarks such as minimum speed guarantees in the peak then commuters are not assured of value for money; a toll becomes just another tax.
Tolls and user charges are not a panacea without fundamental institutional reform. Infrastructure must perform a service to the community that is relevant and compelling in order to justify a user charge in the first place. This is one of the missing ingredients to a successful infrastructure future.
Garry Bowditch is CEO, SMART Infrastructure Facility at University of Wollongong.
Garry Bowditch does not work for, consult to, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has no relevant affiliations.
This article was originally published on <a href="https://theconversation.com" target="_blank">The Conversation</a>.
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gbowditch-XhQ427ncp8

The budget will be big on infrastructure, but we need more than just roads

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Cameron Kusher of RP Data drew the ire of a few pundits recently as he highlighted a number of points as to <a href="/expert-insights/buying/slight-fall-in-number-of-negatively-geared-property-investors">why negative gearing won't be abolished</a>.
There are four main points which advocates put forward in favour of abolishing negative gearing:
<ol>
<li>
Rents wouldn't rise Nobody knows for certain whether this is actually true. But let's face it, the inevitable hand of self-interest means that if negative gearing rules were quarantined landlords would probably take the opportunity to at least try it on by jacking up their rental charges (cf. the colossal 57% increase in rents in Sydney last time the rules were tweaked, 1985-1987). Let's suppose for the sake of argument that rents stayed flat.... 
</li>
<li>
Government would save billions This was one of Kusher's main points:  "The government only owns and rents out 4.1% of the housing stock. Conversely dwelling approvals data shows that a very small proportion of new housing approvals are granted to the public sector." Common sense dictates that if the government scraps the prevailing negative gearing legislation it would have to step up its public housing expenditure. "If negative gearing was to be removed the government would likely have to play more of a role in constructing new homes and managing a portfolio of properties. On balance, they probably play see that foregoing almost $8 billion in taxation revenue is more cost effective than developing and managing a greater proportion of housing stock." <img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-HfOBu6rlp88/U24XeBqSg0I/AAAAAAAANGY/mV9lzdx4Ksg/s1600/camkusher.jpg"> So much for all the billions in tax savings: the biggest furphy of the lot. Indeed, according to contemporary commentary the principal reason that negative gearing rules were reintroduced in the first place in 1987 was the spiralling waiting list for public housing, particularly in New South Wales where numbers increased alarmingly by nearly 40% to 140,000. Again, let's suppose that the government recovered in full the foregone funds from its negative gearing subsidies and a grandfathering or quarantining of the prevailing rules proved to be fiscally neutral. 
</li>
<li>
Renters would buy up the properties sold Kusher again: <img src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-_nBJi-3W908/U24KdlkeXuI/AAAAAAAANGI/Wmf9ohsWcg8/s1600/CKusss.jpg"> This is obviously true. If property investors sell their properties, are renters who have not been able to buy previously really going to be in a position to suddenly step in and buy them? That seems unlikely, unless renters already had pre-existing deposits and closing costs ready to roll. But again, let's suppose that investors sold their properties and renters somehow did find the deposits and the appropriate financing to buy up the surplus stock with no associated decline in lending standards (also unlikely).  This is where the housing affordability arguments become circular and contradictory... Higher home ownership rates? On the one hand, people say "we should be like Germany with its stable housing market where most people rent" and on the other they argue "renters should be able to buy into the property market". One or the other argument might make sense, but I can't see how they both can. Certain economists believe that artificially pumping up home ownership rates beyond their natural levels promotes boom/bust cycles.  Look at countries where home ownership rates are artificially high, such as Singapore, where dwelling prices are up by 60% since 2009. Hardly a model for affordable housing, and rents are preposterously high in the city too (at least, they have certainly seemed to me to be when I've visited friends in the city - I'm happy to stand corrected on this point if it's incorrect on a city-wide basis). Britain too experimented with making home ownership a part of the very fabric of society through Maggie Thatcher's selling off of council houses, pushing UK home ownership rates to exceptionally high levels of around 70% by the end of the century. This all seemed to be a tremendous success when house prices were booming in the 1980s (and again in the 1990s and first half of the 2000s) with the stakeholder economy benefiting from an unprecedented boom in credit and wildly exaggerated wealth effect. However, it's commonly acknowledged that the UK housing market has also been one of the most manic-depressive boom/bust markets in the world ever since ownership rates increased. Meanwhile, ownership rates until recently appeared to be in the process of heading all the way back down to from whence they came...until, that is, the government stepped in with its Help to Buy and Funding for Lending wheezes - the cycle repeats... 
</li>
<li>Negative gearing doesn't increase supply</li>
</ol>
This point is logical enough, since negatively geared properties are mostly comprised of existing housing stock.
<div>Let's disregard all of the above factors which are precluding the negative gearing rules from being quarantined.</div>
Suppose for a moment that:
(a) the negative gearing rules are quarantined or grandfathered out;
(b) a large number of property investors sell their properties;
(c) renters buy up the surplus stock increasing home ownership rates to 70%+;
(d) rents don't rise;
(e) a decline in lending standards doesn't lead to a mass of defaults when interest rates rise;
(f) no boom/bust market ensues; and
(g) dwelling prices fall by, say, 20% (which presumably is the main underlying point of this entire debate after all).
Ongoing supply? 
As I <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/search?q=construction+costs" target="_blank">looked at here</a>, our major residential developers in Australia are not generating strong margins. Far from it in fact.
So if dwelling prices are to fall, who is going to build the new housing stock? 
If you think developers are going to do anything other than maximise shareholder returns, as indeed they are compelled to do, then you likely also believe in tooth fairies.
The Reserve Bank itself highlighted the reason why margins on multistorey apartment block residential developments are so slender: construction costs on infill sites are too high for it to be otherwise.
<img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-g-Oo-rk32eU/UyzA8AHYD4I/AAAAAAAAL_o/UftvW2FtvtA/s1600/CC.gif">
This chart shows why a long drawn out fall in apartment prices in Sydney was never feasible since it would have quickly taken the price per dwelling below its equivalent replacement cost.
Land developer Stockland's (SGP) underlying profit in FY13 was hampered by weak housing conditions, with that financial period encompassing the period from 1 July 2012 when sentiment was  still in the process of picking up.  Stockland's (SGP) residentiual division recorded an EBIT margin of 19.9% in FY2013.
<img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-HLTcTuf2p2A/Uyz4daslyXI/AAAAAAAAMAM/OZEeDiagq_k/s1600/stockland+resi.jpg"> The Mirvac Group (MGR) managed to improve group gross margins on its residential developments to just 22% from a desperately poor 18% in the prior year.
 <img src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-jAnKNC6uhSY/Uyz3uhTUatI/AAAAAAAAMAA/bqbqdKWpz8w/s400/Mirvac+margins.jpg">
<div>Lend Lease might yet prove to be the biggest basket case of the lot, the group reportedly struggling to turn a decent worthwhile ROI on some of its resi developments even at today's higher dwelling prices.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Lend Lease's (LLC) entire Australian geographical segment is recording EBITDA of only $500-$600 million and NPAT of around only $400-$500 million from colossal annual revenue streams of  $7.5 billion plus.</div>
<div> </div>
<div> <img src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-DE-MRz3KKWI/Uyz5EFxBebI/AAAAAAAAMAo/hRJtqfrVRQs/s400/LL.jpg">
</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I'm sure that $7.734 billion top line figure is keeping a few execs living in the manner to which they have become accustomed, but those kind of net margins are hardly likely to see shareholders sending the champagne corks flying.</div>
Even back up at a PE of above 14, the share price is still at only at around half of its former glory.
<img src="https://chartbigchart.gtm.idmanagedsolutions.com/custom/etrade-australia/chart.asp?symb=LLC&amp;time=10yr&amp;freq=1dy&amp;type=1&amp;compidx=aaaa%3a0&amp;uf=0&amp;ma=2&amp;maval=25&amp;lf=268435456&amp;style=2061&amp;size=1&amp;comp=">
Lend Lease's FY14 H1 results for its Australian geographical segment have disappointed as development and construction profits have once again slipped back.
<div>
<img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-TkgUgqpwV68/Uyz6QeInzXI/AAAAAAAAMA0/h1MHVaibJqE/s1600/LLAustralia.jpg"> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Implications</div>
If you're not familiar with accounting convention, what this means simply is that if dwelling prices fall, developers ain't barely going to be making a profit even before financing charges, and it will almost immediately be a case of 'see you later new dwelling supply'.
Say, for the sake of argument dwelling prices fall by 20%.
You can be more or less certain that absent new subsidies, major developers would instantly put any new planned projects on ice until upwards price pressure returned. In case it's still not clear why, this table explains the basic maths:
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="205">
<div> </div>
</td>
<td valign="top" width="48">
<div align="center">FY13 </div>
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
<div align="center">FY??</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="205">
<div>Turnover</div>
</td>
<td valign="top" width="48">
<div align="center">100</div>
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
<div align="center">80</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="205">
<div>COS</div>
</td>
<td valign="top" width="48">
<div align="center">(80)</div>
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
<div align="center">(80)</div>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="205">
<div>EBIT margin</div>
</td>
<td valign="top" width="48">
<div align="center">20</div>
</td>
<td valign="top" width="47">
<div align="center">-</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
In our cities with booming population growth this would be disastrous for renters. 
<div>Even in the event of interest rates remaining at their lowest levels in a generation, developers would soon have zero incentive to build since if dwelling prices are sliding, since they'd only be breaking even before financing charges were booked. </div>
There would be no corp tax to pay since there wouldn't even be a net profit upon which to raise tax, so the government would be getting zinged on its own revenues there too...and zinged again would they be on stamp duty foregone as the supply of new dwellings evaporated.
So much for all the billions in tax savings. As for the capital gains tax take, which forms a part of the individual income tax assessment: when prices are falling...oops there goes another revenue stream
So <a href="https://www.stockland.com.au/assets/crs2013/financial-report-2013.pdf" target="_blank">when Stockland discussed in 2013</a> "the prolonged downturn in the Australian residential land market" as adversely impacting results, they aren't being facetious.
They are simply noting what is plainly the case for developers in their resi divisions - there ain't barely no money in it, which is why it has taken a significant upturn in Sydney's prices to see dwelling approvals at last begin to flow through, after a woeful lull across the past decade.
Conclusion
If dwelling prices fall over any meaningful period of time in a city such as Sydney, we would quickly see supply dry up and with a population growing at 80,000 plus per annum we'll be back into chronic undersupply territory in just a few short years.
This is why negative gearing rules probably won't be quarantined or grandfathered out.
And this also why, if affordable housing is considered to be a genuine target, the government would probably need to look at tackling supply through subsidies as I posted about <a href="/expert-insights/buying/how-to-fix-australias-affordable-housing-problem">here</a>, while at the same time easing demand through considering other property tax reform and not the NG rules.
As I've noted before though, I'm sceptical as to whether there is any real desire to make housing more affordable from those in power.
You can visit <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) or Pete's <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blog</a>.
His new book '<a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>' is out now.
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

If negative gearing is quarantined cities like Sydney will be facing chronic undersupply

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I am not an economist and after the release of the federal government’s Commission of Audit report this is a fact for which I am somewhat grateful.
Having stated my position on the economics involved, some of the Commission of Audit’s 86 recommendations could, it appears, from all of the commentary potentially re-shape Australia. It could re-shape many aspects of society and many aspects of Federalism, which seems a shame really given that only last year, Canberra, the seat of Federalism, celebrated its 100th birthday – just as well it’s not this year.
Part of the intention of the report was to spark a conversation about what sort of society we want to be, in particular over the next 50 years or so. And it appears that conversation has got off to a flying start. When you search ‘Commission of Audit Australia’ on Google there are already some 280,000,000 references.
I have found myself asking the very specific question of how will the report impact the residential housing market? How will the report influence buyers and developers now and over the next few years?
It might be foolhardy to venture into this territory while the report is still so new, but I want to join the conversation, and because the report will reach into so many areas of our social structure I think the conversation is urgent.
A Shift in Demographics
Over the years the market has had to live and adjust to some big issues, like the introduction of universal superannuation guarantee levy (1992), the GST (July 2000), the 9/11 attack on New York and Washington (2001) and the GFC (2007/2008).
However even these big events did not have some of the potential impacts on the very structure of government and beyond that the wider demographic of the Australian population, and it is in the potential demographic changes that a much wider topic opens up for discussion relative to housing and the development market.
And while some changes are not due until mid century, I stop today and think how in just over two decades the arrival of the superannuation guarantee levy is now, thanks in part to the growth of SMSFs, central to many aspects of the residential housing market.
And some seven years later we are still in part dealing with the GFC and so it does not take a crystal ball to appreciate that change can be both long-term and to a degree painful.
Shifts in Demand Shifts in Confidence
Post the audit report in Sydney this weekend auction clearance rates were reported at some 77%, that’s down a little on some recent weekend results, but still slightly higher than the last few months. However after the delivery of the federal budget on 13 May the combined impact on consumer confidence will come into sharp focus over the next few months.
Consumer confidence in Australia increased to 99.73 in April of 2014 from 99.46 in March of 2014 but has been on a falling trend over the last six months.
While the level of consumer confidence is a closely watched measure of the economy, shifts in demographics are far more subtle and until now have been less in focus.
It’s somewhat remarkable how the impact of the baby boomer generation has now started to consume the government’s attention, despite the fact that this age bracket was always going to cause pressure points as it moves out of work and into retirement, and the property market has been feeling the presence of the ‘boomers’ for some years now.
Demographic Touch Points to Watch
The proposed change to the retirement age, has grabbed a lot of attention because it has the potential to impact the entire population. This change could have varied and possibly unexpected effects on the housing market; delayed retirement could impact the demand for downsize opportunities, it could also force more people to consider selling sooner to fund the gap between their retirement and ability to collect the pension and linking the family home to any sort of pension means this would be a big change.
The family home would move into a different light and how a future inheritance is impacted could change the housing ambitions of many younger people. While changes to the cost of education could re-shape the sometimes already fragile prospects of first time buyers, as they have to fund a degree well into their careers. This could also lead to a lowering of employment prospects and impact the earning power and relevance of the middle class in the housing market.
While the audit did not directly comment on tax issues, there is an ongoing debate about the GST – an increase could impact the market, but if there is also a change in the relationship between the Commonwealth and the States, then we could see greater mobility and demographic changes across state boundaries.
Infrastructure and Privatisation
One clear result of the audit will be greater pressure for all governments to venture into a wholesale period of privatisation. This may well deliver some greater opportunities for the property development industry, and the potential sale of the Defence Housing Authority would be a very competitive process.
However the real test will be an assurance that a real improvement in infrastructure must result, if it does not, or if projects are badly delivered this could impact the continued recovery in the housing market.
This is a conversation set to take a lot of time and effort, and so I wanted to remind myself of what an audit of this kind sets out to achieve; "A systematic check or assessement, especially of the efficiency or the effectiveness of an organization." 
While demographics: "The characterises of a human population, especially the size, growth, density, distribution and statistics regarding birth, marriage, disease and death." 
With the audit touching upon so many key social issues, the flow onto demographics is certain and the housing market may well be impacted, at first indirectly by a possible drop in confidence, but in the long term more directly as demographics, incomes and taxes change.
The audit looks like the first step in an extended agenda of economic reform, and while there may be some unpopular fiscal measures taken in next week’s budget, it does appear that interest rates are set to remain low. Because any increase would boost the dollar and possibly shake consumer sentiment so for the immediate future property will remain attractive due to the long run of low rates.
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pchittenden-eLqUUC8TWW

How will the Commission of Audit affect the residential housing market?

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I’d rather be a seller than a buyer in Sydney in 2014. That’s my general response to a frequently-asked question: is it too late to buy in Sydney?
The time to buy in Sydney to achieve maximum gain from the recent recovery was late in 2012. Most of the Sydney locations I was recommending back then have experienced capital growth between 15% and 20% in the past 12 months. That won’t be repeated in the next year, although there will be further growth.
Some commentators have sought media profile by making the absurd statement that “the property boom is over”.
It has a similar ring to the declaration in mid-2013 that “the resources boom is over”. A year later we still have projects worth around $250 billion under construction, with major new ones (like the $9 billion Roy Hill mine and Galilee Basin projects totalling $30 billion) just getting under way, but if it makes a headline no one seems to care too much about balance or accuracy.
The claim that the “the property boom is over” is equally flimsy and made for the same shallow reason: short-term publicity and the truth be damned.
Sydney’s boom is unlikely to retain the heights of 2013 but growth continues. Melbourne is yet to reach the levels of Sydney. Brisbane and Adelaide are just getting started and are likely to feature among the growth leaders by the end of the year. Perth still has momentum and Hobart, following the election of a new state government, is set for its best year in a long time.
The thing about Sydney is that it’s a very big city, with 700-plus suburbs. There are many locations with activity created by local reasons, rather than city-wide momentum. There will be ongoing growth in specific locations for specific reasons, most of them related to transport infrastructure.
There will investment opportunities from the Badgerys Creek airport, once definitive information about flight paths and infrastructure location is known. The North West Rail Link is advancing, with impacts on real estate along its route to Rouse Hill. Ditto the South West Rail Link. WestConnex will be another game-changer, impacting suburbs such as Westmead.
So the secret to finding further growth in Sydney is to <a href="/expert-insights/investing/follow-the-infrastructure-trail-to-find-future-growth-suburbs">follow the infrastructure trail</a>.
Beyond that, investors can profit by looking outside Sydney to regional New South Wales. When capital cities boom, there is often a ripple effect out to the regions. Two cities not far from Sydney, and advancing for local reasons also, are Wollongong and Newcastle.
Wollongong has defied predictions that it would lapse into recession following economic reversals such as downsizing by Bluescope Steel. One hysterical headline suggested property values would fall 50%. But the Illawarra is the latest example of a regional community fighting back from adverse circumstances. A lot of infrastructure and property development money is pumping into Wollongong and real estate markets are rising.
Others to watch include Dubbo, Tamworth and Gunnedah, as well as Newcastle - which continues to be one of Australia’s most under-rated cities and property markets.
You can contact Terry via   <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email</a> or on <a href="https://www.twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter</a>.
Image courtesy of Wikipedia/Creative Commons.
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Too late to buy Sydney - try Wollongong or Dubbo, Tamworth and Gunnedah, and Newcastle

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The Northern Territory government has <a href="/expert-insights/investing/northern-territory-s-fhog-directed-to-new-builds-only-from-2015">abolished its first home owners grant for established homes</a>, extending the grant only to new dwellings from January 2015.
While announcing the changes, Treasurer David Tollner acknowledged that first home owners grants have added upwards pressure on housing prices. The government cited economist Saul Eslake’s <a href="/news/the-senates-inquiry-into-affordable-housing-six-submissions">submission to a Senate inquiry into affordable housing</a>. Eslake criticised the grant, saying that when applied to established homes, it "served to simply to exacerbate the already substantial imbalance between the underlying demand for housing and the supply of it."
According to Tollner, the unintended inflationary effects of the first home owners grant were a factor in the government’s decision to abolish the grant for established homes.
"That’s why the Territory government will direct the first home owners grant solely towards the construction or purchase of new homes from next year," said Tollner.
"By targeting the first home owners grant towards the purchase of newly built homes, the grant is more likely to contribute to growth in housing supply and employment in the construction sector."
The Territory government will maintain the payment for first home owners of established homes for eight months.
"...ultimately, we want this grant to encourage the construction of new homes, create more jobs in the residential construction sector and improving housing affordability by increasing housing stock." Tollner said.
"This is a far better result than merely creating a churn in existing dwellings that is widely accepted as having an inflationary effect on the cost of housing."
Eslake is not the first industry figure to criticise the first home owners grant. Writing on the grant last year, <a href="/expert-insights/investing/slow-demise-of-first-home-owner-grant-schemes-monique-sasson-wakelin">observer Monique Sasson commented</a>:
"The scheme is meant to make property more affordable for first home buyers. Unfortunately, experience shows that the grants don’t achieve this end.  Instead, the nominal increase in purchasing power it delivers to first home buyers transmits directly into higher prices for the properties they hope to buy.
"The real beneficiaries are the vendors of properties that first timers buy."
The Northern Territory follows Victoria, New South Wales, Queensland and the Australian Capital Territory in its removal of the first home owners grant for established properties.
 
 
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jrichardson-uRX5hFdKfN

Northern Territory government acknowledges that FHOGs for established houses have "inflationary effect"

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The National Rental Affordability Scheme (NRAS) has been debated heavily in recent weeks and the federal budget will be heavily scrutinised to see what changes, if any, will be made.
However, Property Asset Planning’s managing director Brian Chant said that he was in support of the Property Council of Australia’s executive director of the residential development council, Nick Proud, for the federal government to continue their support of the scheme.
Chant, it is noted, has sold hundreds of NRAS properties in South Australia under the name NRAS4SA.
“In South Australia we have seen little evidence of problems with NRAS which have been recently reported in The Australian newspaper and other national media,” said Chant.
YOU MIGHT ALSO WANT TO READ: <a href="/expert-insights/scrapping-nras-should-the-affordability-scheme-continue">Scrapping NRAS: Should the affordability scheme continue?</a>
Chant noted that the criticisms, which suggested that international students were benefiting from NRAS, was not an issue in South Australia.
“To suggest that the program should be wound up is short sighted and misguided. Australians consistently nominate housing affordability and supply as a top five issue and this is the one Federal Government program that aims to address Australia’s housing shortage,” he said.
“Given the success I have seen from the point of view of both investors and a tenant I see no reason to scrap NRAS now. Yes there are a few areas that need to be tightened up but lets not start from scratch with a new program to address an urgent problem.”
“Combining changes to negative gearing with a reinvigorated NRAS program will, based on our experience in South Australia, make a huge difference and very quickly,” Chant said.
Green Building Council of Australia chief operating officer Robin Mellon also agreed with the Proud’s comments.
He pointed to recent comments from Proud that claimed ditching NRAS would be throwing the baby out with the bathwater.
“Increasing housing affordability in Australia requires a range of complementary measures, together with commitment from industry and all levels of government. NRAS is a vital piece of the jigsaw – one that we can't afford to lose,” Mellon said.
An academic from a research hub has <a href="/expert-insights/investing/nras-fears-are-misplaced">also said that NRAS fears are misplaced</a>.
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

Property Asset Planning supports call for federal government to continue NRAS

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The Reserve Bank of Australia has noted that the strong established housing market has stimulated consumption in its latest Statement of Monetary Policy.
In its outlook for 2014-15, the Reserve Bank predicts that low interest rates will continue to support the housing market. Low rates are also expected to boost the construction of new dwellings and household consumption.
According to the Reserve Bank, a “pronounced increase in dwelling investment is underway”, with growth higher than was forecast three months ago. Increasing housing turnover is expected to stimulate renovation activity, which the Bank notes has “to date been quite subdued.”
The market for new housing remains strong, with building approvals also surpassing previous expectations. Forward looking indicators such as loan approvals and first home owner grants for new dwellings are also showing strong growth.
The Reserve Bank cites low interest rates, rising housing prices, average rental yields and first home owner grants for new dwellings as key drivers for housing investment.
Nationally, house price inflation has moderated somewhat in recent months. The Reserve Bank also notes that auction clearance rates have declined from their recent highs, while loan approvals remain stable. According to the Reserve Bank, "it remains to be seen whether these signs of tempering conditions represent a shift to a more sustainable growth rate for housing prices."
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RBA’s May 2014 statement: Dwelling investment increasing

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As of 1 January 2015, Northern Territorians looking to buy their first home will only be able to get the First Home Owners Grant if they buy new, under recently announced changed.
The current property value limit of $600,000 will be removed, and the value of the grant for building or buying new homes has increased $1,000 to $26,000.
These changes are in effect as of tomorrow.
Dave Tollner, treasurer, said that the removal of the value limit will remove the requirement that the buyer pay for a valuation of the property.
“These are practical changes that will make the grant more appealing and flexible to first home buyers that are buying or building new homes,” Tollner said.
At the moment, a $12,000 grant can be obtained for established dwellings in an urban area, or in Darwin, Palmerston and Litchfield. A $25,000 grant is available for those outside of the urban area.
These grants for established homes will be gone from next year, with hopes of stimulating new home construction and to encourage a take up of the accelerated land releases.
“By targeting the first home owners grant towards the purchase of newly built homes, the grant is more likely to contribute to growth in housing supply and employment in the construction sector,” said Tollner.
Those looking to buy an existing dwelling have an opportunity for the next eight months to take advantage of the existing grant.
“This will ensure an orderly transition and allows buyers who are currently in the process of buying a home, or intending to do so in the near future, with sufficient opportunity to take advantage of the FHOG as part of that purchase until the end of the year,” he said.
“But ultimately, we want this grant to encourage the construction of new homes, create more jobs in the residential construction sector and improving housing affordability by increasing housing stock.”
In announcing this decision, the government acknowledged that providing a grant for existing property is <a href="/expert-insights/investing/northern-territory-government-acknowledges-that-fhogs-for-established-houses-have-inflationary-effect">“widely regarded” as contributing to higher property prices</a>, noting economist Saul Eslake’s comments.
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Northern Territory’s FHOG directed to new builds only from 2015

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Calling the increase in strata developments and land sales in Western Australia a “boom”, Consumer Protection has provided some clear guidelines for prospective off the plan buyers.
Revealing a booklet to buying off the plan on their website, acting commissioner for Consumer Protection, Gary Newcombe, said that the biggest risk is if the development fails to go ahead as planned.
“For this reason, it is absolutely essential that buyers ensure that any deposit they pay up front is held in a designated trust account by an independent party such as a real estate agent until the property is ready to settle,” Newcombe said.
“When buying off the plan it is also important to know the status of any planning approvals, the likely timelines for these being settled and what happens if approvals are not granted within acceptable periods.”
He noted that the contracts for developments are usually created by the developer and their agents, and so there’s a risk that the developer’s interests are protected but that consumers’ are not to the same extent.
He also said that buyers should consider whether their own circumstances may change, and then affect their ability to fulfil their contractual requirements.
 “There might be changes in the buyer’s financial situation, interest rates may rise and property values may fall – all factors that will affect their ability to get finance when settlement time comes many months or even years down the track,” he said.
“The risk of a buyer defaulting could mean their deposit is lost and the developer could claim other damages and losses.”
He warned that their guidelines should not replace legal advice.
The top seven questions from the guide:
<ol>
<li> What are the pros and cons of buying off-the-plan? 
</li>
<li> Who should hold the deposit and to whom will interest, if any, be paid? 
</li>
<li> What happens if the buyer can’t go through with the deal, or the development doesn’t proceed as planned? 
</li>
<li> Can the developer increase the price of the land or property after the contract with an agreed price is signed? 
</li>
<li> Can the quality of the property be guaranteed and what happens if the builder changes the plans? 
</li>
<li> What’s at risk if the buyer can’t get finance by the settlement date? 
</li>
<li> Under what circumstances can a buyer pull out of the contract without any penalty?</li>
</ol>
Source: Consumer Protection
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Seven questions every off the plan buyer should be asking

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Treasurer Joe Hockey will tomorrow announce the Abbott government’s first federal budget.
The Coalition pledges to return the budget to surplus by 2023-24. With talk of a <a href="/expert-insights/investing/australia-s-economy-is-healthy-so-how-can-there-be-a-budget-crisis">budget “emergency” or “crisis”</a>, <a href="/news/john-symond-fears-fallout-from-overly-tough-federal-budget">some are worried that the government will deliver a tough budget</a> to the detriment of the economy. 
Here's what the experts think of the prospective federal budget and the impact it will have on the country's housing sector.
<img src="/images/2014/05/12/rogers-profile.jpg" alt="" style="float: right;">DALLAS ROGERS - Research Fellow, Urban Research Centre at University of Western Sydney
It’s worth remembering on budget night that we all live in subsidised housing. The great Australian dream to own a house has long been underwritten by the great Australian housing subsidy. Whether you are a public housing tenant, a private renter or a homeowner, chances are your house was subsidised through a rental subsidy, housing grant or taxation credit. There will be housing winners and losers on budget night.
It’s not looking good for public and social housing subsidies this budget. The Commission of Audit urged the Commonwealth to limit its involvement in public and social housing by providing rent assistance to income support recipients. If Hockey followed through with these recommendations social and public housing tenants would have to pay market rent for their currently subsidised housing. The National Rental Affordability Scheme would go too. This would be bad news for housing equity. The frail and elderly, those with carer responsibilities or complex medical needs, or very low-income Australians in public or social housing would be hit hardest.
Comparably, The Commission of Audit was silent on private housing taxation. Private housing subsidies are like chocolate, we know that we should use them in moderation but we just cannot cut back. We often pretend that they are not subsidies at all. AMP <a href="https://m.afr.com/p/national/big_talk_small_acts_on_bn_budget_AkRrPW2xaygUjpIodRK8IK">chief economist</a> says ‘changes to negative gearing or the CGT exemption on the family home would be seen as “unAustralian”’. <a href="https://grattan.edu.au/">Grattan Institute</a> data suggests that more than 90 per cent of private housing subsidies go to property owners over private renters (see below). Including the roughly $30 billion pa capital gains tax benefit for owner-occupiers and the $7 billion pa negative gearing benefit for landlords. Most tax concessions do not generate new housing stock. They all, with the addition of the first homebuyers grant, drive up property prices. This is good for homeowners and developers, and bad for renters.
<img src="/images/2014/05/12/grattan.jpg" alt="">
If we want housing equity and socially just cities we need to rethink public and private housing subsidies. There is scope for innovative private sector models and taxation policy – e.g., National Rental Affordability Scheme – that provide additional housing stock. But we will always need housing tenure forms that operate outside the market for the poorest and most disadvantaged Australians.  
You might also want to read: <a href="/expert-insights/joe-hockey-treating-australian-public-as-fiscal-fools-ahead-of-the-federal-budget">Joe Hockey treating Australian public as fiscal fools ahead of the federal budget</a>
 
SHANE OLIVER - Head of investment strategy and chief economist, AMP Capital <img src="/images/stories/2014/02/21/shane-oliver-profile.jpg" alt="shane-oliver-profile" style="float: right;">
There is a possibility that negative gearing might be tightened, but at this stage I’d only put it in the possibility camp. I think it’s probably unlikely. I can’t see any other changes that directly affect housing. The government has virtually ruled out including family homes in the means test for pensions, and it’s unlikely that they’ll remove CGT tax-free status for the family home.
Most implications will be indirect. That’s the biggest risk. The government is fairly intent on significant fiscal tightening to deal with the “budget emergency.”
That means tougher means testing and reducing eligibility criteria for family benefits. We might see possible tax hikes for high income earners and numerous cuts to the level of government spending. Those changes could adversely affect spending power in the economy and could affect housing demand. The risk is that they’ll get carried away. There’s tough budget talk prior to every budget. Often things aren’t quite as tough as you’ll expect, but the rhetoric has been quite a bit tougher this time.
[The Coalition] have painted themselves into a corner, saying that there’s an emergency. Having talked up the budget crisis, there’s a bit more pressure than normal for the government to deliver.
There is a potential upside for property in the sense that if the budget is too austere and too aggressive with cut backs, it may mean lower interest rates for a longer period of time. [AMP Capital] have predicted a September or October rate hike, but we’d be inclined to think that that won’t occur if the budget is too tight. And if upper income tax rates rise, people might more inclined to negatively gear.
You might also want to read: <a href="/expert-insights/what-do-we-need-to-see-from-the-federal-budget-the-experts-have-their-say">What do we need to see from the federal budget? The experts have their say</a>
Article continues on next page. Please click below.
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ROBERT SIMEON - Director of Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay <img src="/images/authors/fullbody/Robert-Simeon.png" width="150" style="float: right;">
Historically real estate has been a minor player come budget time. The government of the day prefers to address the industry from more of a macro positioning, given that is by far an easier option when compared to a microeconomic analysis. For all intents and purposes, if the real estate/housing demographic were that essential then it would be fair to say there would actually be a designated Housing Minister which is not the case with the Abbott led government.
Landlords and investors can breathe a sigh of relief - negative gearing won’t be touched, although given the recent Commission of Audit it would be fair to say at some time in the future this will come under much greater scrutiny. When one looks at the real estate/ housing markets there is the one common theme; record high rents and record high average prices across the board. Again this is easy to disguise as this will be camouflaged with macroeconomic dialogue.
Infrastructure will be front and centre given the recent COAG meeting endorsed the compilation of an asset sales list that would see them attain federal funding based on these sales for a massive infrastructure spend. The only problem with this is that the infrastructure expenditure is already decades behind where it should be today.
Sadly there won’t be any incentives for the housing construction industry which is seriously lagging behind where it should be today – this is reflective with what is happening to property values and rents. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released their building approvals data to March 2014. It showed that in the past year 188,070 houses/units were approved yet the real figure is that Australia needs to be building over 300,000 each year to get close to meeting demand.
The latest ABS figures identify that total household debt in Australia stands at $1.84 trillion as at December 2013 – this is equivalent to $79,000 for every person living in Australia and is the highest amount ever recorded for the last 25 years.
Foreign ownership of Australian residential real estate should and must come into budget considerations given the government restrictions are weak and at best need tightening.
As I mentioned previously, all the machinations pertaining to the property industry will be covered with macroeconomic spin. The budget is all about the government’s financial positioning which will be hinged to weak productivity, an ageing population and falling terms of trade.
So expect the focus to be on government debt and how we all will be expected to lend a hand to correcting this economic anomaly. Just don’t mention microeconomics.
You might also want to read: <a href="/expert-insights/investing/budget-week-is-all-about-huff-and-puff">Budget week is all about huff and puff</a>
LEANNE PILKINGTON - General Manager, Laing+Simmons<img src="/images/2014/05/12/pilkington-profile.jpg" alt="" style="float: right;"> 
Affordability issues have come to the point where they are more than simply a barrier for first home buyers looking to enter the market. People in this bracket are increasingly dismissing even obtaining a mortgage as a lost cause.
While existing property owners welcome reports of rising prices and investors continue to participate actively in the market, the pessimism among first home buyers is palpable. There is a definitely a feeling among this sector that property is simply a pipedream, one that might never come true.
The flow-on impacts in the coming years and decades could be huge and potentially disastrous. It’s time Governments at different levels recognise and respond to the challenges first home buyers face and to work with industry to generate new policies capable of providing optimism and driving first home buyer activity.
One of the key barriers to more first home buyers being able to participate in the market is the difficulty many have in accumulating a deposit.
Perhaps there is scope for some form of Government-backed savings scheme whereby those first home buyers serious about saving a deposit can access tax advantages or even Government contributions to match their own, be it means tested or otherwise. Another potential avenue for Government to investigate might be to enable first home buyers to access their superannuation to contribute to their deposit.
Encouraging investors to refresh their portfolios where it’s appropriate to do so might serve to release more stock to the market. While these ideas may vary in terms of feasibility and practicality, particularly as we prepare for a difficult Federal Budget, the point is clear: something needs to be done.
You might also want to read: <a href="/expert-insights/investing/the-reias-10-point-wishlist-for-the-federal-budget">The REIA's 10 point wishlist for the federal budget</a>
CATHERINE CASHMORE - Independent market analyst<img src="/images/authors/fullbody/Catherine-Cashmore.png" width="150" style="float: right;">
As we approach the federal budget, once again we have to endure another round of economic nonsense as the Treasurer tries to convince ‘ordinary’ Australians that the country is ‘running out of money’ – facing a ‘budget crisis.’
There is no evidence and no economic wisdom that indicates running a surplus is good for the economy. 
This is something <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D0iFiUfDqSw">Steve Keen</a> does an excellent job of demonstrating in a recent lecture given in Sydney, in which he shows the inevitable consequence to GDP should our Government attempt to do so.
Economic orthodoxy stubbornly insists on austerity measures to pay down government debt by imposing onerous taxes on its working population.
There are lessons that should have been learnt following the Great Depression in the 1930s. When the government tightens its belt for no other reason than a vain attempt to ‘spruik’ a surplus, it has the unwanted effect of withdrawing money from the economy – leaving the private sector (the working class population) to pick up the slack.
Therefore “repairing the [government] budget” is not putting the fate of  Australians on “the right track.”
It is the government’s responsibility to make sure our monetary system works for the population, by spending enough money into the economy to keep employment and productivity thriving. 
Catherine Cashmore's comment is an edited extract from <a href="/expert-insights/investing/economic-nonsense-and-the-consequences-for-future-generations">her column</a>. 
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