Malaysian developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> is the latest to jump into St Leonards booming Transport Oriented Development precinct.

The developer, which has previously delivered Sapphire by the Gardens apartment development in Melbourne, identified the Atchison Street site in 2023. It filed a Scoping Report around 12 months ago, and now has revealed the designs for the new&nbsp;40-storey mixed-use tower.

The State Significant Development Application covers <a href="https://next-portal.urban.com.au/projects/14650/summary">20-22 Atchison Street</a>, a 1,374 sqm site positioned between St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the project would deliver 181 apartments, above a four-storey commercial podium, five basement levels, and new public domain works along Mitchell Street. The apartment mix comprises 35 one-bedroom apartments, 39 one-bedroom-plus-study apartments, 85 two-bedroom apartments, and 22 three-bedroom residences.

The proposal has been lodged as a shop-top housing development under the NSW Government’s TOD planning pathway, which allows increased density around key transport infrastructure. The site sits within the recently rezoned Crows Nest Accelerated TOD Precinct.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b799673d-48e2-46b0-801a-0e33a9330100" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20site.png?VersionId=dPh0UfwfaHpbFL1R7H1cbZNbIW0CHbCC" />

SP Setia acquired the Atchison Street site as part of its continued expansion into the Australian apartment market. In comments made to City &amp; Country (The Edge Malaysia) in 2023, SP Setia President and CEO Datuk Choong Kai Wai described the acquisition as “a strategic move” aligned with the group’s post-pandemic market recovery strategy.

“Our target for this exceptional development is local and overseas buyers, including first-home buyers, downsizers and investors,” Choong said.

The tower has been designed as a slender vertical form rising from a mixed-use podium, with COX Architecture positioning the development as a response to the evolving St Leonards and Crows Nest skyline.

“The purpose of the project is to facilitate the delivery of high-quality housing at a strategically located site and deliver a built tower outcome that is consistent with the desired future character of St Leonards and aligns with the TOD controls,” the design report stated.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b1a85eee-76f7-436c-a6da-73ba827b9b13" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20entry.png?VersionId=dA9jHGPMcm.dDbwk4QfxqWiY5bfh3UVt" />

The podium would incorporate retail uses fronting Atchison Street, commercial tenancies, landscaped communal areas, and pedestrian improvements along Mitchell Street. Vehicle access and loading would be consolidated via Atchison Lane.

Residents would have access to more than 665 sqm of communal indoor and outdoor spaces, while the development proposes 96 parking spaces across five basement levels.

The proposal also includes a commitment for 10 per cent of residential floor space to be allocated toward affordable housing through a monetary contribution.

COX said the tower form responds directly to the emerging high-density character of the precinct while seeking to maximise solar access, cross ventilation, and outlook from apartments.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2163f85c-f63b-4be3-aafa-f8763976cec5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_5.png?VersionId=WiAmtIKJ6.ZQ41EtYEQ1fol7AeorKBlL" />

“The building is orientated towards north,” the Apartment Design Guide compliance report noted, adding that the tower’s slim form was driven by the constrained inner-urban site dimensions.

The design also incorporates landscaped setbacks and communal open space at podium level, intended to soften the interface with surrounding streets and improve pedestrian amenity.

The project adds to a growing wave of redevelopment proposals reshaping St Leonards and Crows Nest following the opening of the Sydney Metro City line and the NSW Government’s push for higher-density housing around major transport nodes.

Last week Stockland filed plans just down the road. They want to build a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/601-pacific-highway-st-leonards-nsw-2065">52-storey tower on Pacific Highway</a>.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">First look: Stockland plans 52-storey, 538-apartment St Leonards tower&nbsp;</a>

Joel Robinson

First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has revealed plans for a new mixed-use tower at 10 Dangar Street, Wickham, advancing a proposal that would reshape the southern gateway to Newcastle’s city centre with one of the city’s tallest residential buildings.

The State Significant Development proposal, now on exhibition, seeks approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bowline-10-dangar-street-wickham-nsw-2293">43-storey tower</a> immediately adjacent to the Newcastle Interchange. The project would deliver around 200 apartments, including 42 affordable housing dwellings, alongside 99 co-living units, a 171-room hotel, retail space, and new public domain integrated through the site.

The scheme marks a significant escalation of plans previously approved for the site. Urban Property Group took over the prominent 2,904 sqm parcel, where excavation and demolition had already commenced under an earlier consent for a 14-storey mixed-use development.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="58a96dd9-407f-4d20-86b4-94e4bfeef74b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20podium.png?VersionId=LGlf08pdFGAZDzvx_CXC4XakHNZRuEE0" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a>, the tower has been conceived as a landmark transit-oriented development anchored to the Newcastle Interchange precinct. The proposal includes 245 build-to-sell apartments across a mix of one, two, and three-bedroom residences, as well as two penthouses. Fifteen apartments and one operational unit are earmarked for NDIS housing. The co-living component would add a further 99 units, while the podium would accommodate retail uses and hotel facilities.

SJB said the site presents “a valuable opportunity to anchor the precinct by setting the standard for design, active ground planes and character at the key southern gateway.”

The architecture responds directly to the site’s position beside major transport infrastructure and within one of Newcastle’s fastest-evolving urban renewal precincts. The tower form sits above a sculpted podium designed to frame new public spaces, including a through-site pedestrian link connecting Station Street to Hannell Street, landscaped plazas, and activated retail edges.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a7bd6ff0-f7db-4ce8-a6dc-ea56e72c6149" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20lanne.png?VersionId=xzf39VADyhj7zBQY2I9fx9vI62u2tuSb" />

The design report describes the project as part of the broader transition of Wickham into “a vibrant, high-quality mixed-use urban precinct” that leverages proximity to the station, open space, and regional connectivity.

A detailed public art strategy has also been prepared for the development. The strategy positions the project as “a transit-oriented development of state significance at the gateway to Newcastle’s city centre” and outlines a series of integrated artworks responding to Newcastle’s industrial and transport heritage.

Creative Road’s curatorial framework for the project, titled Unveil, draws on “stratified surfaces, carved volumes, and light-filled apertures” while referencing Newcastle’s transformation from an industrial city into a contemporary education and technology hub.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="77a882bb-14b1-4d28-99ff-9438e39508c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20site.png?VersionId=cevgo_vN0eKPK78P8YcEu3mKPLkpFqE7" />

The proposal is being advanced through the NSW Housing Delivery Authority pathway after being declared State Significant Development in June 2025. The accompanying scoping report states the development aims to “maximise the site’s proximity to the Newcastle Interchange by delivering transit-oriented development” while increasing housing supply and affordable housing provision within the Newcastle LGA.

Urban Property Group’s plans align with the long-term strategic vision established under the Wickham Master Plan, which identified the interchange precinct as suitable for substantial uplift in height and density. The current proposal would significantly intensify that vision, positioning the tower among the tallest developments proposed for Newcastle.

The site sits immediately north of the Newcastle Interchange, bounded by Dangar Street, Hannell Street, and Charles Street. It is surrounded by a rapidly growing cluster of residential towers and mixed-use projects that have emerged following the completion of the light rail and transport interchange.

First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s latest tower at Wickham interchange

Bottega House has completed settlement of a landmark riverfront site in Macquarie Street, St Lucia, representing its first major Brisbane development.&nbsp;

Positioned on the banks of the Brisbane River, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/180-macquarie-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">premium site at 180 Macquarie Street</a> features uninterrupted river frontage in one of Brisbane’s most tightly held residential precincts.&nbsp;

The proposed development, currently under assessment with Brisbane City Council, has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/mim-design">Mim Design</a> and will deliver a boutique collection of premium residences positioned specifically for owner occupiers and downsizers.&nbsp;

The residences are set to redefine luxury apartment living in the area, with a focus on architectural quality, refined finishes, landscape integration and elevated amenities including curated wellness facilities, resort-style pools and recreation spaces rarely seen in the local market.&nbsp;

Exclusive sales for the project will be led by Keenan &amp; Byrne, ahead of an anticipated launch later this year.&nbsp;

Bottega House Managing Director Nick Malloch said the project reflects the group’s ambition to deliver a highly curated residential offering within one of Brisbane’s most tightly held precincts.&nbsp;

“This is an incredibly rare riverfront opportunity and one we have approached with a long-term perspective,” Malloch said.&nbsp;

“Our vision from the outset was to create a boutique collection of residences that feel more like private homes than traditional apartments, with generous proportions, refined finishes and exceptional amenity throughout."

Malloch says there is a&nbsp;lack of premium owner-occupier stock of this quality in the market, particularly for downsizers wanting space, privacy and a true lifestyle offering without compromise.&nbsp;

"Demand is expected to be strong given the scarcity of premium riverfront opportunities of this nature within Brisbane’s inner-west."&nbsp;

Bottega House secures landmark riverfront site in St Lucia 

<section data-scroll-anchor="false" data-testid="conversation-turn-6" data-turn="assistant" data-turn-id="request-WEB:84a2af5e-d7cf-4ddf-922a-f4d44d6c6caa-2" data-turn-id-container="request-WEB:84a2af5e-d7cf-4ddf-922a-f4d44d6c6caa-2" dir="auto">
<section data-scroll-anchor="false" data-testid="conversation-turn-2" data-turn="assistant" data-turn-id="request-WEB:5a5ab36c-8dd3-454c-b456-c501f22f0eb4-0" data-turn-id-container="request-WEB:5a5ab36c-8dd3-454c-b456-c501f22f0eb4-0" dir="auto">
The arrival of the first piling rig officially marks the commencement of construction at SIERA’s new beachside apartment development, Exhale, in Northcliffe.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/exhale-surfers-paradise-8-enderley-avenue-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Exhale</a>, a glass-encased tower featuring 54 large-scale apartments at 8 Enderley Avenue, is SIERA’s third Gold Coast development. It follows the recently completed PIPIS Bilinga beachfront project, which achieved suburb-record prices, and the soon-to-be-completed Chevron Island development, Tapestry.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359603]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/siera">SIERA</a> Founder and Managing Director Brent Thompson said the arrival of the piling rig represented a significant milestone for the development, which is scheduled for completion in late 2028.

Over the next month, around 260 piles are expected to be installed as work progresses on the basement structure. The building is anticipated to rise above ground level early next year, before unveiling its sculptural glass curtain wall, developed in collaboration with specialist façade engineers.

“The façade was designed to maximise panoramic coastal views while creating a distinctive architectural identity,” Thompson said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=355935]

Designed by BDA Architecture, Exhale will comprise just 54 two- and three-bedroom residences across 26 levels, a level of low-density living rarely delivered in this beachside pocket between Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach.

The project has been conceived as a resident-only building, with no short-stay accommodation permitted. SIERA says the model is intended to appeal to long-term owner-occupiers rather than transient holiday demand.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=361052]

Residences have been designed with large-format layouts and expansive glazing, with most apartments featuring more than 30 metres of glass frontage to maximise natural light and ocean views.

The amenity offering spans two levels and centres on wellness and lifestyle, including a heated magnesium pool, sauna, yoga and Pilates studio, gymnasium, private dining facilities, cinema lounge, and dedicated surfcraft storage.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359607]

More than half of the apartments have already sold. SIERA has also opened a sales gallery for Exhale at its Chevron Island commercial premises, near its Tapestry tower and the site of its second Chevron Island apartment development, which is slated to launch in early 2027.
</section>
</section>

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112661]

SIERA kicks off construction at Northcliffe tower Exhale

Local Little Bay residents, along with buyers from premium postcodes across Sydney’s affluent Eastern Suburbs, have dominated purchases in developer-builder Urban Property Group’s first Eastern Suburbs apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a>.

The $250 million coastal project, one of the first new developments in the area in several years, has proven particularly popular with downsizers, especially those from Coogee and Bondi. One Double Bay downsizer paid $4.7 million for a four-bedroom penthouse, setting a new local apartment price record in the process.

Buyers have been attracted to the combination of coastal tranquillity, premium design and amenity-rich neighbourhood living. The walkable village setting, along with proximity to three of Sydney’s leading golf courses, New South Wales Golf Club, St Michael’s Golf Club and The Coast Golf Club, has also been a key drawcard.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352689]

Built across two low-rise buildings designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hill-thalis-architecture-urban-projects-pty-ltd">Hill Thalis</a> and set along a lush, landscaped green spine, designed by leading landscape architect <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/arcadia-landscape-architecture">Arcadia</a>, ESTE Little Bay offers a collection of one, two, three and four-bedroom residences with interiors by Richards Stanisich.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> Sales Director, Tom McIvor said the response to ESTE has been "nothing short of extraordinary."

“Buyers have been quick to recognise ESTE as a rare opportunity to invest in a coastal sanctuary that offers both seclusion and connectivity to the heart of Sydney,” McIvor said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352687]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">SRM Residential</a> Senior Director, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">Clayton Ross</a> said the local market has responded incredibly well, driven by ESTE’s exceptional location and the rarity it offers.

“We’ve seen strong interest from a variety of buyer groups, all of whom are drawn to the exclusivity and quality of the build and construction by the 4.5-star iCIRT-rated builder / developer, Urban Property Group. There’s truly nothing else like it along Sydney’s coastline.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352690]

The project also includes robust buyer protections, including Resilience Insurance’s Latent Defects Insurance, providing 10 years of structural cover, and an independent iCIRT-rating of the developer.

“The iCIRT-rating adds another layer of confidence,” Ross added. “Buyers see it as a safeguard for their investment and their lifestyle.” A highlight of ESTE’s offering is its exclusive wellness amenities, including a heated rooftop infinity pool and outdoor heated spa, a state-of-the-art Technogym fitness centre, and a sauna.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a> is topped out and is on track to complete towards the end of 2026, with residents moving in before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112343]

Eastern Suburbs buyers snap up ESTE Little Bay apartments

Sydney’s property market is known for high prices, competitive bidding, and mounting pressure on first home buyers. But change is on the horizon.

From late 2025, eligible first home buyers in New South Wales will have access to a new federal government initiative aimed at addressing affordability: the Help to Buy Scheme.&nbsp;

<h2>What is the Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

The program introduces a shared equity model intended to reduce the upfront cost of entering the property market, particularly in high-demand urban areas such as Sydney.

The scheme operates under a shared ownership structure in which the federal government takes an equity stake of up to 40 per cent for new homes, or 30 per cent for existing dwellings. This arrangement allows eligible buyers to significantly reduce their loan size and avoid the added cost of Lenders Mortgage Insurance (LMI).

Under this model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required. The government’s contribution is not a loan but a co-ownership stake in the property. As such, there is no interest or rent charged on its portion.

Because the government’s equity combined with the buyer’s deposit typically meets or exceeds the 20 per cent threshold, LMI does not apply. The remaining balance, generally between 60 and 70 per cent of the property’s value, is financed through a standard home loan with a participating lender.

The government's equity in the property remains in place until the buyer chooses to repay it voluntarily or until the property is sold. Buyers can buy back the government’s share over time, in increments of at least five per cent, depending on their financial situation.

There is no fixed repayment timeline, but the amount to be repaid will be based on the property's market value at the time of repayment, not the original purchase price.

<h2>How do you qualify for the&nbsp;Help to Buy Scheme?</h2>

To qualify for the Help to Buy Scheme, applicants must meet the following conditions:

<ul>
	<li>Be an Australian citizen at least 18 years of age.</li>
	<li>Be a first-home buyer who does not currently own property.</li>
	<li>Intend to live in the property as their primary residence.</li>
	<li>Earn less than $100,000 per year for individuals, or $160,000 for couples.</li>
	<li>Purchase a property within the regional price caps, currently $950,000 in Sydney, though this is expected to rise to approximately $1.3 million ahead of the program’s launch.</li>
</ul>

While the Help to Buy Scheme does not solve affordability challenges across the board, it does offer a more accessible pathway for a defined segment of the market, particularly younger buyers with moderate incomes who have been priced out of traditional lending routes.

The scheme is expected to commence in NSW in late 2025, as part of a national rollout.

Under the new model, purchasers can enter the property market with as little as a two per cent deposit, well below the traditional 10 to 20 per cent usually required

Help to Buy Scheme: What first home buyers in NSW need to know

The First Home Owners Grant (FHOG) is a government initiative designed to help eligible first-time home buyers by offering financial assistance towards the purchase or construction of a new home.

While the FHOG is a nationwide program, it is administered separately by each state and territory, meaning the eligibility criteria, grant amounts, and property requirements can vary depending on your location. This means that the amount available and the conditions attached to the grant will differ, so it is important to check the specific guidelines for your state or territory.

It’s important to note that the FHOG is just one of several incentives available to first home buyers. In most states and territories, the grant is not linked to stamp duty exemptions or concessions, with the exception of the Australian Capital Territory (ACT). The FHOG is typically a one-off payment, reducing the overall cost of purchasing or building a new home before any stamp duty concessions are applied.

Below, we provide a breakdown of the First Home Owner Grants available across Australia, outlining the specific details for each state and territory.

<h2>New South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $600,000. For land purchases and owner-builders, the threshold extends to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Provides full stamp duty exemption for homes valued up to $800,000, with concessions available for properties up to $1 million.

<h2>Victoria South Wales First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides a $10,000 grant for first-home buyers purchasing or building new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Benefits: Offers full stamp duty exemption for properties up to $600,000, with concessions available up to $750,000.

<h2>Queensland First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers $30,000 for contracts signed between 20 November 2023 and 30 June 2025. The FHOG applies to new homes valued up to $750,000.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Provides additional concessions for properties valued up to $800,000.

<h2>Western Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

&nbsp;

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes valued up to $750,000 in the southern regions and up to $1 million in the northern regions.

Stamp Duty Concessions: Available for homes valued up to $600,000 for transactions entered into on or after 9 May 2024.

<h2>Australian Capital Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Replaced by the Home Buyer Concession Scheme, offering full stamp duty concessions for eligible buyers.

<h2>South Australia First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Provides up to $15,000 for new homes, including houses, apartments, and townhouses. As of 6 June 2024, there is no property value cap for eligibility.

Stamp Duty Relief: Available for new homes and vacant land purchases.

<h2>Tasmania First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: Offers a $10,000 grant for new homes and off the plan purchases.

Stamp Duty Exemption: Between 18 February 2024 and 30 June 2026, first home buyers of established homes valued up to $750,000 receive a full exemption on property transfer duty.

<h2>Northern Territory First Home Owner Grant</h2>

First Home Owner Grant: The Northern Territory provides a $10,000 grant for new homes only. Additional government grants and concessions are available for first home buyers.

Stamp Duty Exemption: The only stamp duty exemption available to property buyers is the House and Land Package Exemption (HLPE).

Eligibility criteria and application processes differ across states. Prospective buyers should refer to their respective state revenue offices for full details on grant availability, conditions, and additional concessions.

Every First Home Owner Grant for new property by state

In the ever-evolving landscape of sustainable architecture and environmentally conscious design, systems and ratings in place can help determine the energy efficiency of residential buildings in Australia.

Australia has multiple building rating systems that evaluate energy efficiency and sustainability in existing and new building designs.

Some systems assess individual building components, while others provide an overall rating for the entire structure.

A rating system ensures that homes are comfortable and energy-efficient, whether you are buying, renovating, or building.

NatHERS (Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme) is a common way for new homes to meet energy efficiency requirements.

As new developments continue to shape the urban environment, understanding NatHERS ratings becomes essential for developers and homeowners. This article delves into the concept of NatHERS ratings, their significance, and how they contribute to creating energy-efficient homes.

<h2>What is NatHERS?</h2>

NatHERS is a national initiative implemented by the Australian government to promote energy efficiency in residential buildings. The scheme aims to provide a standardised method for assessing the thermal performance of homes, considering factors such as insulation, orientation, ventilation, and building materials.&nbsp;

NatHERS ratings are the most common way new homes meet the National Construction Code's (NCC's) minimum energy efficiency requirements.&nbsp;

NatHERS assessments provide thermal and whole-home ratings for new homes, townhouses, and apartments.

The rating helps evaluate the energy performance of buildings, guides homeowners and developers to make informed decisions about the energy efficiency of their properties, and encourages the construction of more sustainable, comfortable, and cost-effective homes.

<h2>How NatHERS Ratings Work</h2>

NatHERS ratings are determined through four accredited software tools (AccuRate, BERS Pro, FirstRate5, HERO) using a calculation engine CSIRO developed to predict building temperature based on various factors.

The tools can model complex effects of building mass, insulation, window size, and other elements.

The outcome is a star rating that reflects the building's overall thermal efficiency, indicating how well it can maintain a comfortable indoor temperature without excessive reliance on heating or cooling systems.

The star rating scale ranges from 0 to 10, with a 6-star rating being the minimum requirement for compliance with the National Construction Code (NCC).&nbsp;

Achieving a higher star rating demonstrates a commitment to energy efficiency and sustainability, as the building is better equipped to minimise its environmental impact and reduce long-term energy costs.

Anyone can use NatHERS tools, but accredited assessors can provide certified ratings and professional advice.

<h2>Benefits of Higher NatHERS Ratings</h2>

Energy Efficiency: Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings are more energy-efficient, requiring less heating and cooling energy. This reduces the structure's carbon footprint and lowers occupants' energy bills.

Cost Savings: Homes with higher NatHERS ratings are generally more energy-efficient, resulting in reduced energy consumption for heating and cooling. This translates to lower energy bills for homeowners, making sustainable living environmentally friendly and economically viable in the long run.

Environmental Impact: Lower energy consumption directly translates to a reduced environmental impact. Buildings with higher NatHERS ratings contribute to the overall goal of mitigating climate change by lowering greenhouse gas emissions associated with heating and cooling systems.

Improved Comfort: Buildings with high NatHERS ratings offer better thermal comfort to occupants. Proper insulation, well-designed ventilation, and optimal orientation maintain a consistent and comfortable indoor temperature, providing occupants with a more enjoyable and healthier space.

Market Value and Desirability: Higher NatHERS ratings can enhance the market value of a property. As energy efficiency becomes a more significant consideration for homebuyers, a well-rated building may attract a premium price and stand out in the real estate market.

Compliance with Building Codes: NatHERS ratings are a vital component of the National Construction Code (NCC), and compliance with these ratings is often a mandatory requirement for new developments. Local councils and planning authorities may set minimum energy efficiency standards that must be met to obtain development approval.

The Nationwide House Energy Rating Scheme (NatHERS) is a crucial initiative shaping the future of energy-efficient, resilient, and cost-effective homes. With its recent upgrades, NatHERS has evolved into a world-leading tool for the building sector, supporting the global commitment to achieving net-zero emissions by 2050.

Staff Writer

What is a NatHERS rating in new off the plan apartment developments?

Mixed-use developments have gained significant popularity across Australia in recent years due to their unique blend of residential, commercial, and recreational spaces.

Unlike traditional single-purpose developments, mixed-use projects offer a harmonious integration of various functions within a single locale.

Residential units seamlessly coexist with commercial establishments, retail outlets, dining venues, entertainment hubs, and recreational facilities, with the combination not only enhances convenience but also fosters a vibrant lifestyle and a sense of community.

<h3>Convenience and accessibility</h3>

Mixed-use developments are designed with convenience in mind. They often integrate residential units with commercial spaces, retail outlets, restaurants, and recreational facilities, creating a self-contained community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114215 project_image_fid=204874]

The proximity allows residents to enjoy the convenience of having essential amenities and services within walking distance. Whether it's grabbing a cup of coffee, going grocery shopping, or accessing healthcare services, everything is conveniently located, saving residents time and effort.

<h3>Vibrant lifestyle and community</h3>

One of the major advantages of mixed-use developments is the vibrant lifestyle they offer. With a diverse range of amenities and communal spaces, residents have ample opportunities to interact, socialise, and build a sense of community.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107714 project_image_fid=214122]

The presence of parks, community centres, and shared spaces fosters a lively atmosphere, encouraging residents to engage in various activities and events. The vibrant lifestyle within these developments creates a unique sense of belonging and camaraderie among the residents.

<h3>Potential for higher rental yields and property value appreciation</h3>

Mixed-use developments tend to attract a broad range of tenants and buyers due to their versatile nature. This high demand can result in higher rental yields for investors and potentially lead to property value appreciation over time.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=139989 project_image_fid=212887]

The integration of commercial and retail spaces attracts businesses, which can provide a stable rental income stream. Additionally, the popularity of mixed-use developments often drives up property values, making them a potentially lucrative investment in the long term.

<h3>Enhanced security and maintenance</h3>

Mixed-use developments typically have comprehensive security measures in place. With controlled access points, CCTV surveillance, and professional security staff, residents can enjoy enhanced safety and peace of mind.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108019 project_image_fid=212658]

Additionally, these developments often have dedicated maintenance teams responsible for the upkeep of common areas, landscaping, and infrastructure. This ensures that the overall appearance and functionality of the development are well-maintained, creating a pleasant living environment for residents.

<h3>Live-work-play balance</h3>

One of the key attractions of mixed-use developments is the ability to achieve a desirable live-work-play balance. The integration of residential and commercial spaces allows residents to live closer to their workplaces, reducing commuting time and improving work-life balance.

The proximity to various amenities and recreational facilities encourages an active and healthy lifestyle. Residents can easily access fitness centres, parks, restaurants, and entertainment options, all within the same development, leading to a more fulfilling and convenient way of life.

alisonwarters@gmail.com

The top five reasons to buy in a mixed-use development

When buying a property, everyone needs to be aware of the additional costs that come as part of the buying process.

Often the largest outlay, after the deposit which goes to the bank, is stamp duty.

<h2 style="line-height: 1.38;">What is Stamp Duty?</h2>

Stamp duty is an extra tax to pay the government when you buy land, a property, and other certain assets.

It happens when the legal ownership is transferred. It can also be known as property transfer duty or transfer duty.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/C32BWkB5--c" title="YouTube video player" width="660"></iframe>

<h2>Who pays Stamp Duty?</h2>

In some circumstances, you may get an exemption. For some states, you won’t have to pay for stamp duty if you are a first home buyer or a pensioner for houses under a particular price. There are also stamp duty concessions, where you may be entitled to a discount.

<h2>How much does Stamp Duty cost?</h2>

Each state has different rules which affect how much you need to pay. These rules can affect the rate you pay, and the timeframe you will need to pay in. Before you buy land or a property, make sure you check the up-to-date information for your state’s stamp duty.

You can use a free stamp duty calculator online to see approximately how much you’ll need to pay. Find out if you’re eligible for an exemption by enquiring on a project via Urban!

Overall, the stamp duty you need to pay will depend on:

<ul>
	<li aria-level="1">How much your land/property is worth</li>
	<li aria-level="1">Where your land/property is located</li>
	<li aria-level="1">What type of land/property it is</li>
</ul>

Want to find out more? <a href="https://www.youtube.com/@UrbanAustralia?utm_source=YouTube&amp;utm_medium=Video&amp;utm_campaign=Subscribe&amp;utm_id=Subscribe">Subscribe to our YouTube channel</a> for more property videos.

Ellen Walker

Off-the-plan property explained: What is stamp duty?

National Australia Bank (NAB) has brought forward the timing of the first RBA cash rate cut by three months.

NAB is now expecting a cut in February, in line with ANZ and Westpac, having initially thought a cut wouldn't come until May.

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB changed its call following the August monthly inflation figures that were released at the end of September, showing it had dropped to 2.7 per cent.

"The risk has been skewed to a first cut earlier in 2025, and today’s change acknowledges the balance of risks has likely shifted sufficiently for the RBA to feel comfortable cutting a little sooner than we earlier expected," NAB noted in its latest update.

They added that the cadence of the cuts may be faster than its central profile.

"Domestic inflation pressures are cooling, but only gradually, and we continue to expect the conditions for a cut will not be in place this year.

NAB believes the easing cycle will end at 3.1 per cent by early 2026, which is five cuts from the current 4.35 per cent cash rate.&nbsp;

CBA also thinks 3.1 per cent will mark the end of the cutting cycle, while Westpac is forecasting 3.35 per cent, and ANZ is the most pessimistic at 3.6 per cent, which would be just three interest rate cuts.

<h2>What would a rate cut in February look like for borrowers?</h2>

According to&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vK2ujS77CHs9VRvSSXzLC" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG" target="_blank">Canstar</a>, if there is a cut in February, a borrower with a $600,000 loan today and 25 years remaining would see their monthly repayments drop by $92.&nbsp;

<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Impact of 0.25% pt cut in February 2025
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Current loan size
			</td>
			<td>
			Drop in monthly repayment
			</td>
			<td>
			New monthly repayment
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$600,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$92
			</td>
			<td>
			$3,907
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$750,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$114
			</td>
			<td>
			$4,884
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$1M
			</td>
			<td>
			-$153
			</td>
			<td>
			$6,512
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Source:&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2qVnp6oqATgqDUi2Frm22q" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL" target="_blank">www.canstar.com.au</a>. Starting rate is the RBA existing average owner-occupier variable rate of 6.36%. Assumes banks pass the cash rate cut on in full the month after the meeting.
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Canstar Data Insights Director, Sally Tindall, says if core inflation continues to track in the right direction, or unemployment starts to accelerate significantly, we could well see a cash rate cut as early as February of next year.

“All four big banks now believe the RBA will be ready to cut the cash rate in just over four months’ time, if not before, in the case of CBA.

“However, the outlook for both inflation and unemployment is still highly uncertain. A couple of wobbly sets of inflation data could see the RBA holding for longer, particularly if unemployment remains relatively steady."

&nbsp;

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

<html><body>
GUEST OBSERVER
The Reserve Bank Board meets next week. It is certain to keep rates on hold. The minutes of the March board meeting were less upbeat on the economy than we had seen in previous assessments.
While I was meeting with customers and officials in Asia, my colleagues assessed the minutes as "The overall theme is still of upside risks from global growth and commodity prices near term but a likely muted pass through to local conditions and question marks beyond 2017".
Readers will be aware that our central theme for the Australian economy has been for slightly above trend growth in 2017, partly reflecting the boost to the terms of trade and the ongoing construction boom, to be followed by an abrupt slowdown in 2018 as construction contracts and the terms of trade reverse.
With the Reserve Bank sharing our caution around 2018, along with ample capacity in the labour market (unemployment rate is 5.9% compared to full employment rate of 5.0%) and stubbornly low wages growth, there is only scope to cut rates. But as we have argued consistently, a resurgent housing market disallows such a policy option. Indeed, the minutes refer to “a build- up of risks associated with the housing market”. A tighter macro prudential stance seems appropriate.
Indeed, as we go to press, APRA has announced new controls, restricting the "flow of new interest-only lending to 30 per cent of total new residential mortgage lending" with a particular focus on limiting interest only loans with a loan-to-value ratio above 80%.
Currently, "interest-only terms represent nearly 40 per cent of the stock of residential mortgage lending by ADIs", so this policy will restrict the terms at which a marginal borrower can access credit (investors and owner-occupiers). APRA also noted that they want banks to manage growth in investor credit to "comfortably remain below the previously advised benchmark of 10 per cent growth".
This is not a hard change to the target as had been mooted recently in the press (some suggesting the 10% limit could be as much as halved), but it does suggest lending to investors will continue to grow at a pace meaningfully below 10%.
Looking ahead, the next RBA Stability Review (April 13) may provide more clarity on the macro prudential policy outlook and potential triggers for further action. For the time being though, the 2015 experience offers an understanding of the potential impact of this further tightening.
Figure1 shows the slowdown in house price appreciation that came as a result of curtailing investor loan growth to 10% in 2015. Those direct controls on lending volumes were complemented by interest rate adjustments by the banks themselves.
Figure 2 shows our estimate of the changes in the weighted average of the variable mortgage rate (including investors and owner occupiers) in 2015. We estimate that during that period, the weighted average rate lifted from 5.44% to 5.71%. Of course, that lift was more than fully offset by subsequent rate cuts by the RBA in 2016, pushing the weighted average rate down to 5.34%.
As we see in Figure1, that cut re-ignited house price growth as well as auction clearance rates and new lending.
The RBA has already been given a “start” in this current cycle, with the weighted average rate lifting from 5.34% to 5.51%, largely reflecting increases in investor rates by the four majors. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/31/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-31%20at%2010.08.19%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/03/31/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-31%20at%2010.08.19%20AM.png" alt="">
Complementing these rate adjustments with a more constraining restriction on new lending to investors (as well as to owner occupiers for interest only loans) is likely to yield a comparable response in house prices as 2015.
By year’s end, the RBA’s concerns with “a build- up of risks associated with the housing market” are likely to have eased.
As we move into 2018, despite ongoing rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, the Reserve Bank, troubled by low inflation; on-going spare capacity in the labour market; and weak wages growth might be tempted to ease policy further.
However, the “lessons” of 2016 will have been learnt – do not risk re-igniting house prices – and a more prudent approach will be to rely on the currency to provide the boost to activity.
From our perspective, a reversal of the commodity price boom of 2017, coupled with Australia’s cash rate falling below the US, is likely to yield a sharp lift in Australia’s competitiveness. 
<div class="page" title="Page 1">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
<div class="page" title="Page 1">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
BILL EVANS is chief economist of <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/" target="_blank">Westpac</a>.
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</body></html>

bevans-rYk9SxEa4r

RBA on hold, housing excesses to ease: Westpac's Bill Evans

<html><body>
An estate agency in Melbourne’s outer east has agreed to contribute $60,000 to the Victorian Consumer Law Fund, as part of a signed undertaking where it acknowledged it made false and misleading representations about properties for sale.
We investigated Next Gen Real Estate Pty Ltd (ACN: 158 289 322) – trading as Harcourts Wantirna - and its sole director, Achilles Mantsos, 47, after receiving 17 complaints about the company’s conduct between April and July of 2015.
The company acknowledged contraventions relating to four properties under the Australian Consumer Law (Victoria) and 20 properties under the Estate Agents Act 1980 (EAA).
The company routinely set price search parameters when uploading properties for sale on realestate.com.au, which were substantially less than the estimated selling range (ESR) or estimated selling price (ESP) on those properties’ sale authorities.
As a result, potential buyers searching for properties would enter their nominated price range, and find listings from Harcourts Wantirna for homes whose ESR or ESP was much higher.
In one example, a Wantirna property was advertised for $750,000, when the ESR was listed on the sale authority as $900,000 to $990,000.
Another was advertised at “$580,000 plus”, when the ESR was $690,000 to $750,000.
On other occasions, the company provided an ESR where the difference between the upper and lower range limits was more than 10 per cent of the range’s lower limit, in contravention of the EAA.
In one example, the ESR on a Scoresby property was listed in the sale authority as $490,000 to $549,000, which exceeded the 10 per cent limit.
As part of the undertaking, the company agreed to:
<ul>
<li>contribute $60,000 (in six instalments) to the Victorian Consumer Law Fund, within 30 days of commencing the undertaking</li>
<li>implement a compliance program within three months of the start of the undertaking, at its own cost</li>
<li>display a public notice stating its contraventions at existing or new premises from which the company operates. This public notice must be displayed within 14 days of the start of the undertaking and remain displayed for three months. The notice must also be displayed on the company’s website.</li>
</ul>
The properties in question were located in Wantirna, Wantirna South, Boronia, Bayswater, Scoresby, Knoxfield and Forest Hill.
This enforceable undertaking will be in effect for three years.
</body></html>

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Harcourts Wantirna contravene underquoting laws

<html><body>
Challenger banks may be impacted by "ultra-competitive mortgage pricing" as lenders struggle to cope with rising demand for loans amid rising funding and regulatory costs and pressure on profits.
A warning came through from Bendigo and Adelaide Bank managing director  Mike Hirst, who said rates needed to return to levels that "reflect the current market funding and capital costs”, according to a report in the Australian Financial Review.
With the big four banks — Commonwealth, Westpac, ANZ and NAB — raising home loan rates for both investors and owner occupiers, smaller lenders are seeing a surge in borrower applications and struggling to meet demand.
Adelaide Bank announced an increase in its deposits for residential investors from 10 per cent to 20 per cent on top of the 25 basis point increase in costs for investor loans.
"As has been well telegraphed to all Australian authorised deposit-taking institutions, there is an expectation that as lenders, we must manage within the regulator's 10 per cent growth speed limit for investor loans,” Hirst was cited as saying by Fairfax Media.
Another lender to announce a change in its lending rates was AMP Bank, the Australian Broker reported.
The bank is raising variable interest rates for interest-only loans for existing customers by 15 basis points for owner-occupied loans and 28 basis points for investment loans from April 3.
In addition, effective March 31, 2017 for new customers and April 3, 2017 for existing customers, owner occupied principal and interest variable rate loans will increase by 7 basis points. As a result, the AMP Bank Professional Pack owner occupied variable rate loan will increase to 3.92% p.a. for new customers for loans of $750,000 and above.
The lender is also encouraging customers with interest-only loans to switch to principal and interest repayments. It will waive the switch fee until June 30. 
Sally Bruce, group executive of AMP Bank, almost echoed Hirst, saying the bank’s rate decision reflects “wholesale funding costs, the need to maintain a balanced portfolio and the market environment”.
“We also want to encourage customers to move to principal and interest repayments where it’s appropriate, as there is a great opportunity to access lower interest rates and repay your loan faster,” she was quoted as saying.
Teachers Mutual Bank, Unibank and Firefighters Mutual Bank are also increasing owner-occupier fixed rates from one to five years by 7 basis points. It applies to interest only and principal and interest.
For example, the interest rate on a one-year principal and interest loan for an owner occupier will rise from 3.77 per cent to 3.84 per cent. For five years the rate will rise from 4.54 per cent to 4.61 per cent.
Investor rates for the same borrower will respectively increase to 4.14 per cent and 4.91 per cent over the same terms.
Last May, Teachers Mutual Bank and Unibank were among the first lenders to slow growth on investor loans to meet the financial regulator, the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority’s 10 per cent annual cap on investor loan growth. 
The banks, which have more than $6 billion in assets and 180,000 members, also recently withdrew from new investment lending to reduce annual growth from about 15 per cent. It was not available for comment.
"The changes to our fixed rate home loans represent the first changes to these rates in 2017. They reflect the changing market conditions for interest rates, both domestically and internationally,” said a bank spokesman. 
MyState, the listed financial services group, is also set to raise the rate for existing residential investors by 28 basis points.
Last Friday, property investors with interest-only loans from Commonwealth Bank of Australia were hit with the second interest rate rise in six weeks.
It follows earlier increases from ANZ Banking Group, Westpac Bank Corp and National Australia Bank and comes despite the Reserve Bank of Australia holding the official cash rate steady last week.
</body></html>

prateek24-ezbwHMbNAk

Mortgage pricing competition might hurt challenger banks    

<html><body>
GUEST OBSERVER
With an RBA rate rise looming and big banks already hiking rates across fixed rate home loans, it seems the rock bottom rates of 2016 are now a thing of the past for property buyers.
All four big banks have now slammed home borrowers with rate rises in the past couple of weeks, joining another 14 lenders who have pushed up variable rates out of cycle this month alone. 
The big banks have a history of higher than average interest rates - so far, since 2009, all the big banks have increased rates by more than the RBA did two times each (except NAB, who did it once.) They also all held back a full RBA rate cut 7 times a piece (although ANZ only did it 6 times.)
There are a couple of reasons for these recent rate hikes - the excuse the banks have given is that cost of funding is getting higher, so loan rates need to increase as well. 
The likelihood of an RBA rate increase sometime next year is also a consideration, particularly for fixed rate offers, as banks factor that into current rates that they won’t be able to adjust for the next two years or more. So for the rest of this year at least, it seems rates will only be pushed higher.
Investors will have it particularly tough, with APRA breathing down the necks of lenders after investment loans spiked toward the end of 2016. CommBank, which grew its investment loan portfolio by 8.02 percent over the last 12 months, has already started tightening criteria for lending to investors by dropping LVRs and limiting refinancing loans.
In fact, <a href="https://mozo.com.au/" target="_blank">Mozo</a> data shows that the average big banks interest rate premium on variable rate investor loans has doubled in the last year.
So things are looking gloomy for borrowers hoping to get a foot on the property ladder with a low rate loan, especially since big bank loans now account for 85% of the investor loan market, and 81 percent of owner-occupier loans.
That means now, when record low rates seem to be squarely behind us, is the time for new borrowers to really do their research into what offer is going to work best for their budget, and for those already paying off a mortgage to re-evaluate their situation and decide if it’s worth refinancing to lock in a good deal while they’re still around.
STEVE JOVCEVSKI is a property investment and home loan negotiator at <a href="https://mozo.com.au/" target="_blank">Mozo.com.au</a>.
</body></html>

jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

The low rate mortgage party is over for property buyers: Mozo

<html><body><div class="page" title="Page 1">
<div class="section">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
GUEST OBSERVER 
The minutes of the March Reserve Bank Board meeting certainly provides interesting reading.
While policymakers are relatively optimistic about the medium term outcomes for the Australian economy, there is clearly a number of ‘hot button’ issues that occupy policymaker thoughts.
To a greater extent it seems that central bank officials are ramping up their discussions and commentary on the housing sector.
In what could be described as the strongest language yet, the minutes discuss the “build-up of risks associated with the housing market”. In particular, the second to last paragraph of the minutes essentially lists a number of these risks, including “briskly” rising home prices; “a considerable” lift in additional supply of apartments scheduled to come on stream over the next few years; slowing growth in rents; rising investor finance; and - probably most concerning - the growth in household debt outstripping incomes. No doubt it is an evolving situation that the Reserve Bank will monitor closely over the coming year. 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/22/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-22%20at%209.03.05%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/03/22/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-22%20at%209.03.05%20AM.png" alt="">
When it comes to the broader economy, the Reserve Bank believes that economic growth and inflation will lift over 2017, ruling out the need to cut interest rates further. If the forecasts were to change and the Reserve Bank became less positive, rate cuts would clearly be back on the radar screen, but the Bank believes risks are balanced. Rate hikes seem some way off.
The Reserve Bank has highlighted that the issues surrounding the housing sector. And while the latest ABS data on residential property prices also confirms the sizeable lift in home prices, data shows the growth in the number of homes is actually smaller in the past 12 months. Surprisingly the number of homes in Australia grew by 172,800 in the year to December after recording annual gains of 185,800 in the year to September and 182,400 in the year to June. It was the smallest annual lift in homes for 15 months.
Consumer confidence eased over the past week with consumers more negative on the outlook for the economy. In fact the reading on economic outlook over the next five years, hit a one-year low. Interestingly the readings on family finances has also weakened in the last few weeks. And while consumers are far from glum, there is no doubt the discussions on potential risks to the housing sector are adding a degree of caution.
Inflation expectations of consumers fell last week to the lowest reading since the start of the year although it still remains above 4 per cent.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/22/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-22%20at%209.04.45%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/03/22/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-22%20at%209.04.45%20AM.png" alt=""> 
What do the figures show?
Reserve Bank Board minutes:
Last two paragraphs: “Given all of these considerations, the Board judged that holding the stance of policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time.”
“Recent data continued to suggest that there had been a build-up of risks associated with the housing market. In some markets, conditions had been strong and prices were rising briskly, although in other markets prices were declining. In the eastern capital cities, a considerable additional supply of apartments was scheduled to come on stream over the next few years. Growth in rents had been the slowest for two decades. Borrowing for housing by investors had picked up over recent months and growth in household debt had been faster than that in household income. Supervisory measures had contributed to some strengthening of lending standards.”
“Momentum in the labour market remained difficult to assess, but it was clear that spare capacity remained and there continued to be significant differences in labour market outcomes across the country. Domestic wage pressures remained subdued and household income growth had been low, which, if it were to persist, would have implications for consumption growth and the risks posed by the level of household debt.”
“GDP growth had picked up in the December quarter to be around 21⁄2 per cent over 2016, which was only a little below estimates of the medium-term potential growth rate of the economy. This outcome confirmed that the weakness in the September quarter was temporary. Looking forward, year-ended growth was expected to pick up gradually to be above its potential rate over the forecast period. An appreciating exchange rate would complicate the adjustment of the economy following the end of the mining investment boom.”
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/22/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-22%20at%209.05.45%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/03/22/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-22%20at%209.05.45%20AM.png" alt=""> 
</div>
<div class="column">
“Domestically, there had been a significant increase in the terms of trade in the second half of 2016 and many commodity prices had risen further in recent months. Although mining companies were expected to increase their dividend payouts following the sharp rise in mining sector profits in the December quarter, a significant proportion of shareholders are non-residents, which would limit the flow-through to an increase in household incomes in Australia.” 
Consumer confidence
The ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating fell by 1 per cent to 112 in the week to March 19. Confidence is down 3.4 per cent over the year and below the average of 113.2 since 2014. Two of the five components of the index fell in the latest week:
The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was up from +5 to +6;
The estimate of family finances over the next year was steady at +21;
Economic conditions over the next 12 months was down from zero to -3;
Economic conditions over the next 5 years was down from +7 to +3;
The measure of whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was up from +32 to +33;
In addition the inflation expectation 2 years ahead, fell from 4.7 per cent to 4.1 per cent. Inflation expectations have now held above 4 per cent for the past 14 weeks.
Residential property prices
The Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released its Residential Property Price indexes.
“The price index for residential properties for the weighted average of the eight capital cities rose 4.1 per cent in the December quarter 2016. The index rose 7.7 per cent through the year to the December quarter 2016.
The capital city residential property price indexes rose in Melbourne (+5.3 per cent), Sydney (+5.2 per cent), Brisbane (+2.2 per cent), Adelaide (+1.8 per cent), Canberra (+2.8 per cent), Hobart (+4.5 per cent) and Perth (0.3 per cent), and fell in Darwin (-1.5 per cent).
Annually, residential property prices rose in Melbourne (+10.8 per cent), Sydney (+10.3 per cent), Brisbane (+3.8 per cent), Adelaide (+4.1 per cent), Canberra (+5.5 per cent) and Hobart (+8.8 per cent), and fell in Perth (-4.1 per cent) and Darwin (-7.0 per cent).”
The ABS notes that as at December 2016 there were 9.802 million homes in Australia.
“The total value of residential dwellings in Australia was $6,438,537.3m at the end of the December quarter 2016, rising $274,160.0m over the quarter.
The mean price of residential dwellings rose $25,400 to $656,800 and the number of residential dwellings rose by 39,600 to 9,802,700 in the December quarter 2016.”
CommSec estimate that there were 2.476 people per home in December quarter 2016, down 0.4 per cent on a year ago. The number of people per home have been falling in annual terms for 2 1⁄2 years.
Surprisingly the number of homes in Australia grew by 172,800 in the year to December after recording annual gains of 185,800 in September and 182,400 in June. It was the smallest annual lift in homes for 15 months.
CommSec estimates that wealth accumulated in housing assets rose by $10,547 per person in the December quarter to $265,276. 
The number of transfers (settlements) of houses and attached dwellings in Sydney in the December quarter was the lowest for any December quarter for the past 11 years.
What is the importance of the economic data?
The ANZ/Roy Morgan weekly survey of consumer confidence closely tracks the monthly Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index but the former measure is a timelier assessment of consumer attitudes and is now closely tracked by the Reserve Bank.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) provides quarterly data on residential prices. The figures provide further perspectives on the state of the housing purchase sector.
The Reserve Bank releases minutes of its monthly Board meeting a fortnight after the event. The minutes give a guide to Reserve Bank thinking on interest rate settings.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
CommSec expects the Reserve Bank to remain on the interest rate sidelines for an extended period.
When it comes to ‘hot button’ issues it’s clear that policymaker concerns are clearly centred on the housing sector. Healthy home prices have been a key driver of rising wealth levels, supporting spending. But the Reserve Bank is worried about the lift in debt levels to buy homes.
If the recent drop in consumer confidence is sustained it could lead to less household activity – a detriment to retailers. 
</div>
<div class="column">
Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/">CommSec</a>
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div></body></html>

Reserve Bank raises concerns on housing: Savanth Sebastian

<html><body>
GUEST OBSERVER
The minutes of the Reserve Bank Board’s March monetary policy meeting conveyed a more downbeat tone than the Governor’s decision statement, the commentary sounding a little more concerned about labour market conditions, household incomes and risks in the housing market.
Recall that the Governor’s decision statement included a mix of positive and negative changes vs February – business and consumer confidence at or above average and the global backdrop more constructive but the picture around household incomes and labour markets less encouraging. Changes to the commentary on housing were limited to a note that “supervisory measures have contributed to some strengthening of lending standards.”
The fuller discussion in the minutes presents a little differently. 
The Bank’s central case is still constructive: “Looking forward, year-ended growth … expected to pick up gradually to be above its potential rate over the forecast period” with spare capacity expected to decline slowly and underlying inflation to gradually rise.
The global backdrop is also noted as a clear upside with a marginally more constructive view on commodity prices (“the recent improvement in global demand suggested that higher commodity prices could be more persistent than previously anticipated”).
However, links back to domestic demand are again questioned with the boost to mining sector profits seen flowing more to dividends than spending with significant ‘leakage’ to non-resident shareholders. Interestingly, comments in the detail also note that “the terms of trade had played an important role in households’ saving and spending decisions” in recent decade, perhaps suggesting that the Bank suspects any ‘windfall’ gains for consumers may tend to be saved rather than spent.
The overall theme is still of upside risks from global growth and commodity prices near term but a likely muted pass through to local conditions and question marks beyond 2017.  
Business and consumer confidence rates less of a mention, with just a watered down comment “household perceptions of their personal finances had also been around average”. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Consumer survey has shown a material weakening in this component in recent months.
The minutes seem much less certain about labour markets. For example, whereas the Governor’s decision statement noted “forward–looking indicators point to continued expansion in employment over the year ahead” the minutes are more tentative saying they “suggested that there could be some pick-up in employment growth near term“ also suggesting that the labour market “may not be quite as strong as the headline employment and unemployment rate figures indicated”.
The minutes strike a different tone on housing as well, referring to “a build-up of risks associated with the housing market”. That language seems a little more urgent. Also notable is the link drawn between incomes and housing risks:”… household income growth had been low, which, if it were to persist, would have implications for consumption growth and the risks posed by the level of household debt.”
Members also noted that “although credit growth was lower than in previous decades, it had been faster than the subdued growth in household incomes”.
This is important from the point of view of potential changes to macro-prudential policy. Recall that the main ‘macro’ measure introduced in the 2014-15 changes was a 10 percent guide for annual growth in investor credit. In considering the risks around household debt levels, the RBA is really thinking in terms of leverage, i.e. the ‘debt to income ratio’.
Under this framework, if incomes are now seen as growing at a permanently slower pace then the trajectory for credit growth would need to be lowered. The RBA’s next Financial Stability Review, due April 13 may provide more elaboration on these comments. 
Conclusion
While still presenting a constructive growth view on global and local growth prospects, the minutes to the March RBA meeting place more emphasis on weaknesses around labour markets and the consumer and downplay the potential upside from rising commodity prices. They also sound a touch more urgent around risks in the housing market. 
That mix points to an RBA that is slightly more dovish stance on rates but potentially mulling ‘macro-prudential’ policy changes to manage risks. 
Matthew Hassan is senior economist with <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/" target="_blank">Westpac</a>.
</body></html>

Matthew_Hassan-HHWHptmrw4

RBA shows a little more concern around housing risks: Matthew Hassan

<html><body><div class="page" title="Page 1">
<div class="section">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
GUEST OBSERVER 
Today’s Minutes are yet further evidence that the RBA is firmly on hold. The Board have retained a relatively optimistic view of the global and domestic economies.
And concerns around household debt and dwelling prices were once again aired.
This time, however, the Board was more explicit on housing-related risks by noting that, “recent data continued to suggest that there had been a build-up of risks associated with the housing market.” 
On the international economy, the Board sounds relatively upbeat on recent developments. In particular, it was noted that, “a number of indicators, including growth in global industrial production, global trade volumes and business sentiment, had improved.” And more importantly for monetary policy, “recent data had also confirmed the pick-up in global inflation.”
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/21/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-21%20at%201.02.35%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/03/21/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-21%20at%201.02.35%20PM.png" alt="">
The solid 1.1 percent lift in real GDP in the December quarter backed up the Board’s view that the weakness in the September quarter was temporary. Indeed, the 
Minutes note that growth over QIV had been, “above expectations”. The RBA continue to expect growth to pick up above its potential rate over the forecast period. This is clearly a best case scenario with the risk that growth outcomes undershoot the Bank’s expectation. 
The Board continues to lack conviction in its assessment on the labour market, noting that it, “remained difficult to assess”. The RBA expects spare capacity to “decline slowly.” Here we note that the Minutes predate the February employment report (published last week) which showed employment contracted over the month and the unemployment rate lifted to 5.9 percent. Another weak employment report would see the RBA’s forecasts for employment and wages growth tested.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/21/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-21%20at%201.04.40%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/03/21/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-21%20at%201.04.40%20PM.png" alt="">
On housing, the Board has upped its rhetoric around the build-up of risks. The Minutes note that, “borrowing for housing by investors had picked up over recent months and growth in household debt had been faster than that in household income”. These comments coupled with the RBA’s acknowledgment that, “there had been a build-up of risks associated with the housing market” could be interpreted as the Bank calling on APRA to further place restrictions on lending to investors. In other words, watch this space. 
On the AUD, the Board notes that, “an appreciating exchange rate would complicate the adjustment of the economy”. We suspect that the RBA would have been expecting a March Fed rate hike to take some pressure off the AUD. 
But the currency has strengthened since the Fed tightened policy and is edging further away from where we think the RBA views the sweet spot (low USD0.70s).
The RBA’s well telegraphed reluctance to take the cash rate any lower has put more upward pressure on the AUD than would otherwise have been the case.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/21/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-21%20at%201.05.39%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/03/21/Screen%20Shot%202017-03-21%20at%201.05.39%20PM.png" alt="">
The Outlook
We see little chance of further policy easing despite core inflation running below target and the unemployment rate being above the level associated with full employment. The consistent message from the RBA over the last six weeks has been that rate cuts are off the table.
When Governor Lowe appeared before the House of Representatives Standing Committee on Economics in late February he stated that, “the market pricing is for interest rates to be constant right through this year. That seems a reasonable proposition to me.” He further added that, “the main effect (of another rate cut) would be more borrowing for housing, pushing up housing prices.” This is clearly undesirable.
In our view, it would take a sustained loss of momentum in job creation or a fall in dwelling prices for Lowe to entertain the idea of taking the policy rate lower. Neither outcome is in our central scenario and as such, we see the RBA on hold over 2017 and well into 2018. 
 
</div>
</div>
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
Gareth Aird is economist at Commonwealth Bank and can be contacted <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://au.linkedin.com/pub/gareth-aird/14/790/905">here</a>.
</div>
</div>
</div>
</div></body></html>

RBA Board minutes confirm policy is on hold over near term: Gareth Aird

<html><body>
The latest RBA minutes have noted recent data continued to suggest that there had been a build-up of risks associated with the housing market.
"In some markets, conditions had been strong and prices were rising briskly, although in other markets prices were declining.
"In the eastern capital cities, a considerable additional supply of apartments was scheduled to come on stream over the next few years.
"Growth in rents had been the slowest for two decades. Borrowing for housing by investors had picked up over recent months and growth in household debt had been faster than that in household income.
"Supervisory measures had contributed to some strengthening of lending standards."
The bank had recently announced its concerns for the apartment market, warning a flood of new apartments could come onto the market in certain areas could push down prices causing heavy losses for developers.
Last week bank research noted the rate of housing market turnover, or transactions, is on an “unusual decline” with a sharp rise in off-the-plan sales of apartments — which are difficult to measure in a timely manner — likely to be a factor.
According to the central bank, other potential reasons could be lower rates of home ownership, particularly for younger households, and migration trends.
A fall in housing market transactions directly affects the economy as it hurts tax revenue - which made up about 40 per cent of total state tax revenue in 2014/15, besides impacting the creation of more jobs and related occupations such as real estate agents, lawyers and the finance industry, the RBA noted last week.
The RBA’s latest bulletin says the decline in the national housing turnover rate in recent years has come despite “the strength in a number of housing market indicators such as national housing price growth, which has historically been positively correlated with the turnover rate”. 
It says part of the recent weakness could from measurement issues arising from the increased share of apartments in new housing construction. 
 
</body></html>

RBA notes build-up of risks in housing market

<html><body>
Minutes of the March Monetary Policy Meeting of the Reserve Bank Board
Members Present
Philip Lowe (Governor and Chair), Guy Debelle (Deputy Governor), John Akehurst, Kathryn Fagg, John Fraser (Secretary to the Treasury), Ian Harper, Allan Moss AO, Carol Schwartz AM, Catherine Tanna
Others Present
Luci Ellis (Assistant Governor, Economic), Christopher Kent (Assistant Governor, Financial Markets), Alexandra Heath (Head, Economic Analysis Department)
Anthony Dickman (Secretary), Andrea Brischetto (Deputy Secretary)
International Economic Conditions
Members commenced their discussion of international developments by noting that forecasts by private sector analysts for growth in the major economies in 2017 had been revised upwards since mid 2016. Growth in global industrial production and merchandise trade had picked up further and survey measures of business conditions had remained at high levels. Headline inflation in the major advanced economies had increased noticeably in recent months, largely as a result of higher oil prices, to be close to most central banks' targets. However, core inflation had generally remained low.
The Chinese National People's Congress had announced a growth target for the Chinese economy in 2017 of around 6.5 per cent (or higher, if possible), which is only slightly lower than the pace of growth recorded for 2016. This suggested that the authorities would continue to use policy to support near-term growth. However, policymakers had also increased their focus on addressing the risks to longer-term growth. The People's Bank of China had signalled a reduction in monetary stimulus, reflecting concerns about rising financial stability risks, and the target for growth in total social financing had been lowered slightly to 12 per cent. Additional measures had also been put in place to curb rapid housing price growth in some cities. Members noted that there had been a pick-up in the growth of non-bank and off-balance sheet lending.
In the United States, consumption had been the key driver of expenditure growth over 2016, supported by continuing improvements in labour market conditions. Investment intentions had picked up significantly and the number of active oil rigs had increased in response to the higher level of oil prices. Fiscal policy was also expected to be expansionary under the new administration and the US economy was expected to grow above its potential rate in 2017. Members noted that the volume of trade destined for the United States had fallen significantly as a share of total global trade since the late 1990s. Nevertheless, a move to more protectionist policies would still be damaging for the medium-term outlook for both the US and global economies. Above-average growth in unit labour costs, higher oil prices and more expansionary fiscal policy were all expected to contribute to a further rise in core inflation, which had increased since 2015 to be only a little below the Federal Reserve's goal.
The euro area and Japanese economies had grown faster than their potential growth rates over 2016, resulting in further improvements in labour market conditions. The unemployment rate in the euro area had fallen to its lowest level in seven years, while the unemployment rate in Japan had declined to a two-decade low. In both economies, core inflation had remained low, while headline inflation had increased, largely as a result of higher oil prices. In the euro area, headline inflation had increased to be consistent with the European Central Bank's target. Measures of inflation expectations in both economies had been steady or had increased.
Members observed that merchandise exports had picked up for the euro area and Japan towards the end of 2016. A significant increase in merchandise exports had also contributed to growth in East Asia. Members noted that the increase in global trade over the second half of 2016 had been underpinned by an improvement in global economic conditions, both for Australia's major trading partners and other parts of the world that were important sources of external demand for output from East Asia.
Australia's terms of trade had risen by around 15 per cent over the second half of 2016 and were expected to rise again in the March quarter. In February, prices for iron ore, base metals and crude oil had all reached their highest level in more than a year, although the price of coking coal had fallen from its peak in November. Some reversal in the terms of trade was still expected, although the recent improvement in global demand suggested that higher commodity prices could be more persistent than previously anticipated. Members noted that generalised strength in commodity prices tended to indicate an improvement in global demand conditions, but that factors affecting the supply of commodities had also affected prices.
Domestic Economic Conditions
GDP growth in the December quarter of 1.1 per cent had been above expectations. The outcome partly reflected the reversal of some of the temporary factors that had contributed to the fall in output in the September quarter. Most notably, there had been a solid pick-up in export growth in the December quarter; in addition, growth in both consumption and business investment had been higher than expected. Total nominal income had risen strongly, driven by growth in mining sector profits as a result of the higher terms of trade; in contrast, growth in labour incomes had been unusually weak.
The mining sector had contributed to growth in the December quarter, reflecting higher exports and an unexpected increase in investment. Members observed that some resource firms may have been able to increase their exports to take advantage of higher commodity prices by running down inventories. Consistent with previous staff forecasts, the capital expenditure survey of investment intentions continued to indicate that mining investment would fall further over the following year or so, but that the drag on growth would dissipate over this period.
Non-mining business investment had risen in the December quarter, largely as a result of higher non-residential construction, although machinery and equipment investment had also risen. Non-mining business investment had picked up over the previous two years or so and business conditions had been more positive in recent months. In contrast to these more positive signs, non-residential building approvals had declined further and the capital expenditure survey continued to suggest that, in aggregate, firms do not intend to increase their spending on non-mining investment over the following year or so. Members observed, however, that this survey does not cover some important sectors, including education and health, and also does not include investment in intellectual property, which has become an increasingly important share of non-mining business investment in the national accounts measure. Members noted that in most sectors there had been little evidence that non-mining business investment had been held back by lack of access to credit.
Dwelling investment had rebounded in the December quarter; much of the strength had been concentrated in New South Wales. Even though building approvals had fallen significantly in recent months, the substantial amount of building work in the pipeline suggested that dwelling investment would continue to contribute to growth in coming quarters. Conditions in established housing markets had continued to differ significantly across the country. Over recent months, conditions appeared to have strengthened in Sydney and had remained strong in Melbourne; these cities had continued to record brisk growth in housing prices, and auction clearance rates had remained high. Housing loan approvals and credit growth had picked up for investors, primarily in New South Wales and Victoria. In contrast, housing prices and rents had fallen in Perth for two years or so, and apartment prices had declined in Brisbane.
Rural exports had grown strongly in the December quarter, reflecting strong farm production following favourable weather conditions in many areas over the second half of 2016. As a result of this and the higher prices for bulk commodity exports, there had been a trade surplus in the December quarter for the first time in almost three years. The current account deficit had narrowed to less than 1 per cent of GDP, the smallest deficit since 1980; the trade surplus was partly offset by a widening in the net income deficit as some of the increase in mining profits had accrued to foreign owners.
Household consumption growth, which had been relatively subdued in mid 2016, picked up in the December quarter, consistent with retail sales. Liaison with retailers suggested that recent trading conditions had been around average and household perceptions of their personal finances had also been around average.
The pick-up in consumption growth stood in contrast to the ongoing weakness in labour incomes, with the household saving ratio declining in the December quarter. Members noted that over the past two decades movements in the Australian household saving ratio had been much larger than those in other similar economies. One contributing factor was likely to have been that Australia had experienced a much larger terms of trade cycle than other developed economies with significant commodity exports. Differences in the evolution of household saving ratios across the states suggested that the terms of trade had played an important role in households' saving and spending decisions.
Indicators of labour market conditions had remained mixed. Employment growth had picked up in recent months and the unemployment rate had edged down to 5.7 per cent in January. Leading indicators, including job advertisements and firms' employment intentions, suggested that there could be some pick-up in employment growth in the near term. Members noted that although experience had varied across the states, in recent years employment growth had generally been stronger in the capital cities than in regional areas. Employment growth had continued to be concentrated in part-time jobs over the past year and wage growth had remained low, suggesting that the labour market had not been quite as strong as the headline employment and unemployment rate figures had indicated.
The wage price index had increased by 1.9 per cent over 2016, in line with the staff forecasts. Subdued wage growth appeared to have been broad based and was most pronounced in mining-related industries and states. Average earnings per hour in the national accounts had fallen sharply in the December quarter, as had the wage bill as a share of nominal GDP. Although quarterly movements in average earnings per hour are volatile, this measure of wage growth had also been subdued in year-ended terms, continuing to suggest there was very little labour cost pressure in the economy. Members noted that the recent experience of low inflation may also have contributed to lower wage outcomes and that other business costs, such as rents, are often linked to inflation. Members observed that although credit growth was lower than in previous decades, it had been faster than the subdued growth in household incomes.
Financial Markets
Members commenced their discussion by noting that global financial markets had been relatively quiet over the preceding month, with market participants focused on evolving expectations about the upcoming US Federal Reserve meeting, the new US administration's policies and national elections in Europe in coming months. Globally, monetary policy remained very stimulatory and financing remained readily available on favourable terms.
Financial market participants' expectations for an increase in the federal funds rate at the March meeting of the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) had risen to over 90 per cent. This followed continued positive economic news in the United States as well as statements by FOMC members. Members noted the widely held expectations for no change in monetary policy settings in the euro area and Japan, compared with the general view earlier in the previous year that further monetary easing was in prospect in these economies.
In major markets, 10-year government bond yields remained above their lows of mid 2016, reflecting the run of more positive economic news since then, as well as expectations that the new US administration's policies would support US growth. Members observed that, although euro area government bond spreads to German government bonds had increased over recent months in response to political developments, yields remained relatively low by historical standards. Corporate bond yields in developed markets remained very low, with spreads to government bonds having narrowed markedly over the previous year, particularly for non-investment grade bonds. Australian government bond yields had been little changed over the month and the spread to US Treasury yields had also been steady at a low level. As in other markets, Australian corporate bond spreads had narrowed over the preceding year.
Global equity prices had moved higher over the prior month in response to continued positive economic data. In the United States, financial sector share prices had increased strongly following the new administration's orders for a review of financial market regulations. In the euro area, banks' share prices had declined following lower-than-expected earnings, which were largely related to loan-loss provisions. Over the previous year or so, Australian share prices had moved broadly in line with those in the rest of the world excluding the United States, where share prices had risen further. Recent Australian company earnings results had been generally positive, driven by strong profits in the resources sector.
The US dollar had been little changed over the prior month in nominal trade-weighted terms, while the euro had depreciated a little against the US dollar, in part reflecting political uncertainty around the upcoming national elections. The Chinese renminbi had been broadly unchanged over the preceding month against the US dollar and in trade-weighted terms.
Members noted that the People's Bank of China had tightened monetary policy a little and indicated that further tightening was likely in response to rising inflationary pressures and to address leverage, including of financial institutions. The tightening had flowed through to increased corporate bond spreads; recent bond issuance in China had been weak after a sustained period of strength, although yields had remained low. In emerging markets more broadly, financial market conditions had been favourable and flows into emerging market funds had resumed as the global economic outlook had improved since mid 2016.
The Australian dollar had been little changed over the prior month and had remained more than 10 per cent higher against the US dollar and in trade-weighted terms since early 2016, reflecting the significant increase in commodity prices since then.
Members observed that Australian banks' funding costs and average outstanding housing and business lending rates were estimated to have been broadly steady over recent months. Interest rates had increased slightly over prior months for some investor and interest-only housing loans.
Financial market pricing indicated that market participants expected the cash rate to remain unchanged at the March meeting.
Considerations for Monetary Policy
In considering the stance of monetary policy, members noted that recent data had continued to support a more positive outlook for growth of Australia's major trading partners than had been apparent a few quarters earlier. A number of indicators, including growth in global industrial production, global trade volumes and business sentiment, had improved. Recent data had also confirmed the pick-up in global inflation. Financial market data suggested that the probability of the Federal Reserve increasing the federal funds rate at the March meeting had increased markedly and there was no longer an expectation of further monetary easing in other major economies. At the same time, however, there continued to be significant uncertainty about policy in China and the United States and the implications for global growth and trade after 2017.
Domestically, there had been a significant increase in the terms of trade in the second half of 2016 and many commodity prices had risen further in recent months. Although mining companies were expected to increase their dividend payouts following the sharp rise in mining sector profits in the December quarter, a significant proportion of shareholders are non-residents, which would limit the flow-through to an increase in household incomes in Australia. However, the fact that the recent increases in commodity prices had been supported by a pick-up in global demand raised the possibility that commodity prices could be higher than expected, in which case the flow-through to the domestic economy could be larger than currently forecast.
The Australian economy had continued to make its transition following the end of the mining investment boom, supported by the low level of interest rates and the depreciation of the exchange rate since 2013. GDP growth had picked up in the December quarter to be around 2½ per cent over 2016, which was only a little below estimates of the medium-term potential growth rate of the economy. This outcome confirmed that the weakness in the September quarter was temporary. Looking forward, year-ended growth was expected to pick up gradually to be above its potential rate over the forecast period. An appreciating exchange rate would complicate the adjustment of the economy following the end of the mining investment boom.
Momentum in the labour market remained difficult to assess, but it was clear that spare capacity remained and there continued to be significant differences in labour market outcomes across the country. Domestic wage pressures remained subdued and household income growth had been low, which, if it were to persist, would have implications for consumption growth and the risks posed by the level of household debt. Spare capacity was expected to decline slowly as momentum in the economy built; wage growth and underlying inflation were expected to rise, but only gradually.
Recent data continued to suggest that there had been a build-up of risks associated with the housing market. In some markets, conditions had been strong and prices were rising briskly, although in other markets prices were declining. In the eastern capital cities, a considerable additional supply of apartments was scheduled to come on stream over the next few years. Growth in rents had been the slowest for two decades. Borrowing for housing by investors had picked up over recent months and growth in household debt had been faster than that in household income. Supervisory measures had contributed to some strengthening of lending standards.
Given all of these considerations, the Board judged that holding the stance of policy unchanged at this meeting would be consistent with sustainable growth in the economy and achieving the inflation target over time.
The Decision
The Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.5 percent.
For more information, go to the Reserve Bank website <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au" target="_blank">here</a>.
</body></html>

Minutes of March 2017 Monetary Policy meeting of the Reserve Bank Board

<html><body>
The cash rate may have been held for seven consecutive months, but this hasn’t prevented lenders from lifting mortgage rates independently of the Reserve Bank.
There have been 11 lenders including two of the big four banks announcing rate hikes this month, according to finder.com.au, Australia’s most visited comparison website.
A new analysis by finder.com.au reveals 11 lenders have declared rate rises for both variable and fixed home loans in March 2017.
Of the big four banks, ANZ, NAB and Westpac have announced rate changes this year.
While ANZ and NAB announced changes earlier this year, Westpac soon followed suit announcing rate changes just this month.
In March alone, NAB announced further changes with increases to its interest rates from 0.07 percent - 0.25 percent for variable rate home loans, while Westpac also raised its variable rates from 0.03 percent - 0.28 percent.
Despite increasing its variable rate, NAB implemented a new incentive for first home buyers by introducing its lowest home loan fixed rate of 2 years at 3.69 percent per annum.
Westpac is also providing a grace period until the 17th June by waiving the switching fee for interest-only home loans changing to principal and interest repayments. 
The average rate rise for owner-occupier loans in March 2017 across the big four that have adjusted rates (including NAB and Westpac) is 0.05 percent.
Taking this into account, a borrower with an average home loan of $357,200 with an average variable rate of 4.75 percent would need to pay an extra $11 per month if rates rose to 4.80 percent.
This amounts to $3,881 over 30 years.
Graham Cooke, Insights Manager at finder.com.au, says whether it’s to increase flexibility or boost profit margins, banks are under fire to manage stakeholder expectations while also dealing with the risk of an overheated property market.
For investor loans, more stringent regulations imposed by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) to curb investor lending may be prompting banks to up interest rates.
"Given recent rate increases, both owner occupiers and investors need to prepare for higher loan costs.
"It’s sensible to factor in 2-3 percent on top of your current mortgage repayments so you can cope with unexpected rate rises,” he says.
Variable home loan rate changes for March 2017
<table border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="67">
Lender
</td>
<td valign="top" width="81">
Change
</td>
<td valign="top" width="166">
Loans affected
 
</td>
<td valign="top" width="78">
Date effective
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
NAB
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.07% - 0.25%
</td>
<td width="156">
Variable Rate Home Loans (owner occupier + investor)
</td>
<td width="68">
24 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Westpac
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.03% - 0.28%
</td>
<td width="156">
Variable Rate Home Loans (owner occupier + investor and principal &amp; interest + interest only)
</td>
<td width="68">
24 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Bankwest
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.15%
</td>
<td width="156">
Complete Home Loan Package - Variable (investor), Premium Select Home Loan - Variable (investor) Equaliser Home Loan - Variable (investor)
</td>
<td width="68">
15 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Beyond Bank
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.10%
</td>
<td width="156">
Low Rate Special Home Loan - Variable (owner occupier)
</td>
<td width="68">
7 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Heritage Bank
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.10% - 0.11%
</td>
<td width="156">
Advantage Package Home Loan - Variable (owner occupier)
</td>
<td width="68">
14 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Illawarra Credit Union
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.05% - 0.15%
</td>
<td width="156">
Variable Lite &amp; Variable Home Loans (owner occupier)
</td>
<td width="68">
1 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
IMB
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.05%
</td>
<td width="156">
Accelerator Home Loan - Variable (owner occupier)
</td>
<td width="68">
13 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Macquarie Bank
</td>
<td width="70">
Up to 0.05%
</td>
<td width="156">
Basic Home Loan - Variable LVR &lt;=80%, LVR &lt;=90% (owner occupier + investor), Offset Package Home Loan - Variable LVR &lt;=80%, LVR &lt;=90% (owner occupier + investor)
</td>
<td width="68">
6 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Macquarie Bank
</td>
<td width="70">
Down 0.05 - 0.10%
</td>
<td width="156">
Basic Home Loan - Variable LVR &lt;=90% (owner occupier), Offset Package Home Loan - Variable LVR &lt;=90% (owner occupier)
</td>
<td width="68">
6 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
MOVE
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.30%
</td>
<td width="156">
Wealth Builder - Variable (investor), Flexi Home Credit - Variable
</td>
<td width="68">
1 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
People's Choice Credit Union
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.19%
</td>
<td width="156">
Basic Home Loan - Variable (owner occupier)
</td>
<td width="68">
15 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Western City
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.05% - 0.15%
</td>
<td width="156">
Variable Lite &amp; Variable Home Loans (owner occupier)
</td>
<td width="68">
1 Mar
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
 
Fixed home loan rate changes for March 2017
<table style="width: 392px; height: 476px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="67">
Lender
</td>
<td valign="top" width="81">
Change
</td>
<td valign="top" width="166">
Loans affected
 
</td>
<td valign="top" width="79">
Date effective
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Bankwest
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.15%
</td>
<td width="156">
Complete Home Loan Package - 2, 3, 4, 5 Years Fixed (investor), Fixed Rate Home Loan - 2, 3, 4, 5 Years Fixed (investor)
</td>
<td width="68">
15 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Beyond Bank
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.05% - 0.10%
</td>
<td width="156">
Fixed Rate Home Loan - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 Years Fixed (owner occupier), Total Home Loan Package - 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 Years Fixed (owner occupier)
</td>
<td width="68">
7 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
Heritage Bank
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.10%
</td>
<td width="156">
Fixed Rate Home Loan - 1,2,3 (owner occupier + investor), Advantage Package Fixed Rate Home Loan - 1,2,3 (owner occupier + investor)
</td>
<td width="68">
9 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
IMB
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.10%
</td>
<td width="156">
Platinum Package - 2 &amp; 3 Years Fixed rate (owner occupier + investor), Fixed Rate Home Loan - 2 &amp; 3 Years Fixed Rate (owner occupier + investor)
</td>
<td width="68">
6 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
MOVE
</td>
<td width="70">
Down 0.06%
</td>
<td width="156">
Lockit Home Loan - 1 Year Fixed rate
</td>
<td width="68">
1 Mar
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="56">
People's Choice Credit Union
</td>
<td width="70">
Up 0.05%
</td>
<td width="156">
Home Loan Package - 3 Years Fixed (owner occupier)
</td>
<td width="68">
15 Mar
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
</body></html>

Latest Finance Insights

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

Editor's Picks

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News

Latest Finance Insights

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

Editor's Picks

Receive the latest news stories to your inbox

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News