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Claims that thousands of Brisbane apartments are at risk of not settling over the next 24 months due to tighter lending conditions and the large number of units involved are being rejected by researchers, according to Lachlan Walker, director of Place Advisory and Place Projects. 
The claim did not give consider decisions by the major banks to pull out of development funding throughout inner Brisbane, says Diana Howes, director of Resolution Research, according to his recent writeup in www.therealestateconversation.com.au.
Furthermore, claims that banks are no longer lending to overseas buyers as a blanket statement are also generalised claims, with banks willing to lend, however at a higher 60 per cent LVR.
Howes does not anticipate settlement valuations falling short of the contract prices for off-the-plan units.
“We reject the notion that the market is currently on the cusp of a major valuation risk phase – with developers still reporting valuations at, or close to contract values,” she said.
“With negligible price growth across the off-the-plan market over recent years, apartments currently under-construction should, in theory, be valued in line with their recently completed counterparts.
“Although we have seen an estimated 15 per cent rise in construction costs over the past three months, which has translated into lifts in off-the-plan values, many of these apartments are yet to even start construction and given the pull back in development finance, a large proportion are unlikely to. This further strengthens our argument that thousands of apartments within inner Brisbane are NOT at valuation risk.”
Howes said investor sentiment in the Brisbane market remained solid and there was no evidence of a trend towards speculative investment; in fact quite the contrary.
Resolution Research's research examined the mind and mood of the investor market and revealed the following key opinions and attitudes:
* Buyers have an average hold strategy of 5 years
* Buyers are risk averse and shop the market to ensure they are securing a solid value proposition
* Speculative (short-term) investments are felt to be more likely to have upside in the share market as opposed to the property market
An analysis of resales across six major high density developments over an 18-year period (1997 through to 2015) in Fortitude Valley and Brisbane’s CBD reveals an average annual rate of capital appreciation of 6% across the market. This is a healthy rate of appreciation and clearly highlights a long-term hold strategy for inner Brisbane apartment developments yields high returns, it says. 
Importantly, although resales do fluctuate over both the medium (five-year) and long terms, average annual median price growth has been recorded. It is equally important to note that across these timeframes owners of these apartments have been through the GFC and two periods of speculation of market oversupply (in 2003 and again in 2007).
In essence, a conservative approach to purchasing in inner Brisbane, on average, results in an appreciation in values. This study shows that ownership spanning across the GFC and speculative times of oversupply in 2003 and again in 2007 have failed to have a negative impact on market values over a longer term hold period.
The claim by CoreLogic RP Data  that 81,696 apartments would be delivered into Brisbane’s market over the next two years was unfounded. This figure assumes that 100 per cent of all stock will be funded which is not the case in an environment where three of the big four banks state that they are no longer funding apartment developments within inner Brisbane.
"Brisbane’s apartment market is heavily influenced by lending conditions and we expect to see the future supply environment contract considerably," it said.
Inner Brisbane’s current pipeline of new apartments was 20,456 including those yet to be approved.
If we use inner Brisbane as the benchmark, which is where the overwhelming majority of stock is to be developed, we currently have 3,886 apartments which are now deferred.
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Brisbane's apartment settlement fears not credible: Lachlan Walker

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
Agriculture Minister Barnaby Joyce has announced a package of concessional loans and facilitation of access to assistance for the beleaguered dairy industry.
The government will make available immediately A$55 million in concessional loans for Murray Goulburn and Fonterra suppliers, and access to $500 million of such loans over 2016-17 and 2017-18. These recovery loans will be for terms of ten years.
They will be funded by expanding the drought concessional loan scheme to include criteria that are specific to the dairy industry.
Dairy farmers have been squeezed as milk processors Murray Goulburn and Fonterra cut prices after they over-estimated returns from exports. Farmers have been faced with having to pay back advances that had already been given to them.
There has been considerable public support for their plight, with some consumers favouring the higher-priced brands of milk rather than the cheaper home brand in supermarkets.
The government has resisted calls for a levy on milk.
The government says opposition agriculture spokesman Joel Fitzgibbon was consulted in the development of the package under the convention of the “caretaker” period. But Fitzgibbon rejected this. “A vague letter last Friday might be Barnaby Joyce’s idea of consultation, but it is not mine,” he said.
The package includes a number of other measures, focused especially on helping farmers get access quickly to assistance.
There will be $900,000 for an extra nine rural financial counsellors in Victoria, Tasmania, South Australia and New South Wales, and $900,000 to Dairy Australia to continue rolling out one-on-one business advisory support under the Tactics for Tight Times programs.
Applications for the Farm Household Allowance will be fast-tracked, with a decision made almost immediately in cases of real hardship when the necessary information is available. Case officers will be available to talk with the farmer’s accountant or financial adviser to speed up obtaining the information.
One-stop-shop mobile service centres are now travelling through dairy areas of Victoria and South Australia to give direct access to a full range of government services.
A Dairy Industry Liaison Officer will be appointed to work on the ground with farmers and communities to co-ordinate support and services.
Joyce said that in a sign of “strong confidence in the industry’s future”, a re-elected Coalition government would commit $20 million to build the upgrade of the Macalister Irrigation System in Gippsland. This would upgrade the 1920s and 1950s era Southern-Tinamba area irrigation network, delivering almost ten gigalitres in water savings that could be put back into growing the region’s agricultural production, he said.
The Coalition would also work with the industry to establish a commodity milk price index, to help ensure the domestic industry did not in future find itself in a situation where processors unexpectedly reduced farm gate milk prices late in the season.
“The index would introduce greater transparency and market signals in domestic and global milk prices. The Coalition will consult with the industry on the design of the index that would provide dairy farmers with valuable information for use in supply negotiations with processors and to assist in following international price trends,” Joyce said.
Fitzgibbon said he supported everything that was in the package but it was not enough. It fell well short of farmers' expectations and they would be “bitterly disappointed”.
He said the key issue was delivering a cash flow improvement but the package “does very little for cash flow” and so would be of little assistance.
Michelle Grattan is professorial fellow, University of Canberra and author for The Conversation. She can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/michelle-grattan-20316" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Dairy farmers get $555 million in concessional loans

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
Companies could improve their profits by 2-10 percent each year by saving energy. That’s just one of the findings of ClimateWorks Australia’s Energy Productivity Index, a world-first attempt to assess companies' energy performance and help investors make better decisions.
Investors are increasingly engaging with companies to address the risks associated with climate change. Extreme weather events, carbon-intensive assets and greenhouse gas emissions are becoming part of a routine risk assessment on the impact of a company’s profitability.
While a company’s energy use can have a significant impact on its bottom line and environmental credentials, energy productivity and efficiency have traditionally been difficult for investors to assess. This is mainly due to a lack of tools to measure and assess energy use and poor levels of disclosure by companies.
My colleagues and I have developed a guide to help investors figure out how potential investments are performing. We assessed 70 companies across six industrial sectors: airlines, automobiles, paper, steel, chemicals and construction.
<h2>Saving energy …</h2>
Many industrial companies spend a huge part of their operating expenditure on energy – typically more than 15 percent.
Energy productivity generally refers to the amount of revenue per unit of energy, so improving energy productivity can greatly improve a business’s investment value.
We found that more than 70% of the companies analysed have significant room for improvement in their energy use. Even more startling is the wide variation between companies in the same sector.
In some sectors, the leaders are achieving energy productivity levels up to five times the levels of poorer performers.
For example, in the automobile sector, Toyota produces eight times more vehicles per gigajoule of energy used than the least productive company, Daimler.
<h2>… making money</h2>
We also found that improving energy efficiency (by using less energy) could significantly boost a company’s profit. Of all the sectors analysed, airline companies reported the largest savings.
United Continental reported annual savings of US$343 million in 2014. This was achieved through initiatives that reduce fuel use, such as improved flight planning, replacing old planes, washing engines and installing winglets.
And despite operating in an energy-intensive sector, steel company Arcelor Mittal achieved almost US$200 million in energy savings in 2014.
The analysis also shows that one-third of the companies analysed could boost their profit margins by more than 5% a year if they matched the performance of leaders in their sector.
Even accounting for upfront capital costs needed to achieve best practice, energy efficiency can still increase profits by 2-10% each year. Most energy initiatives could be paid off in less than three years.
Even a 2% improvement in profits for companies in the automobile sector would be equal to about US$100 million. To achieve an equivalent increase in profits from revenue growth, a company would need to sell an extra 90,000 cars each year.
<h2>Ranking companies</h2>
Several factors affect a company’s energy performance. We looked at three:
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Resilience to energy costs measured through how much a company spends on energy and its profitability. A company that spends less on energy and has greater profitability is more resilient to changes in energy prices.
</li>
<li>
Energy productivity measured by a company’s current ability to generate revenue or increase its production per unit of energy used.
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Energy efficiency measured by a company’s efforts in identifying and implementing energy savings. We included the extra financial gain of a company matching the energy efficiency of leading performers.
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While we were able to rank many companies, we found that many others are not disclosing sufficient data on energy use to be assessed. Of 181 companies that reported in the six sectors analysed, 73 had incomplete or insufficient data for benchmarking. Much improvement is needed on data availability and data quality.
<h2>The global goal</h2>
While improving energy performance may be great for the bottom line, there’s another big reason energy use is so important. According to the International Energy Agency, energy-efficiency gains could achieve about 40 percent of the emissions reductions required by 2050 to limit global warming to less than 2℃.
Engaging with companies in their portfolios to improve their energy productivity is a measurable and profitable way to reduce emissions and avoid dangerous climate change.
Improving energy productivity has benefits not just for those investors and companies directly involved, but for all of us.
Wei Sue is business analyst, ClimateWorks Australia, Monash University and author for The Conversation. She can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/wei-sue-269412" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Reducing energy use is a big winner for business and the climate

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 The ‘baton pass’ from engineering to residential building is clear for all to see.</div>
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<div class="column">Engineering work continues to recede while home building has hit new highs. Interestingly the gap between building (residential and commercial) and engineering in terms of total work is the largest in almost for six years. The results are even more staggering when you consider that just over two years ago engineering work surpassed total building by more than $11 billion. The speed of the turnaround has shown up in the patchiness across the national economy and in effect highlights the difficulties faced by policymakers in trying to shore up growth.</div>
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<div class="column">Interestingly inflation in the building sector seems to be more subdued than in the past year. Granted the annual rate of construction inflation is the fastest in almost five years. But it is largely due to a couple of outsized inflation in the September and December quarters last year. In fact the more sedate 0.5 per cent March quarter inflation reading resonates with the modest consolidation taking place in the housing sector and adds to the lack of inflation across the broader economy. The lack of inflation in the rest of the economy is likely to keep the Reserve Bank focussed on supporting price growth. </div>
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The data is unlikely to alter the Reserve Banks thinking when it comes to rates.
The focus now turns to the March quarter business investment data released tomorrow. And while the Reserve Bank will be particularly interested in estimates of completed non-mining investment, there will be a much greater focus on future spending plans. In the March quarter the first estimate of investment in 2016/17 was just $82.57 billion (weakest result since 2007/08), and 19.5 per cent lower than the first estimate for 2015/16 – marking the largest fall for a first estimate reading in records going back 25 years.
While policymakers will continue to discuss the merits of another rate cut, it really comes down to the inflation outlook. CommSec expects a low inflation result over the June quarter should result in the central bank cutting the cash rate in August.
What do the figures show?
Construction Work
Construction work done fell by 2.6 percent in real (inflation-adjusted) terms in the March quarter after sliding by 2.9 percent in the December quarter. 
Work done is down by 6.7 percent on a year ago. Public sector construction work rose by 2.5 percent in the quarter while private sector activity fell by 3.7 percent. 
Construction work fell in five of the states and territories in the March quarter. Leading the falls was Northern Territory (down 10.2 percent), followed by Western Australia (down 9.3 percent), South Australia (down 3.2 percent), Queensland (down 2.9 percent) and Victoria (down 1 percent). Construction rose in NSW (up 2.6 percent), the ACT (up 2.3 percent) and Tasmania (up 1.9 percent).
Engineering work fell by 4.2 percent in the March quarter. Engineering construction is down by 13.7 percent on a year ago.
Commercial (non-residential) building fell by 5.5 percent in the March quarter to be down 7.2 percent over the year. 
Residential building rose by 1.5 percent in the March quarter and was up by 5.7 percent over the year. Alterations &amp; additions rose by 1.1 percent in the quarter while new residential work rose by 1.5 percent.
The measure of inflation in the construction sector (deflator) rose by 0.5 percent in the March quarter. The annual rate of construction inflation rose from 1.9 percent to 2.3 percent – matching the fastest annual growth rate in almost five years.
Engineering prices rose by 0.6 percent in the quarter (up 1.9 percent over the year) while building prices rose by 0.4 percent in the quarter (2.3 percent over the year).
What is the importance of the economic data?
The Bureau of Statistics releases quarterly estimates of Construction work done. The estimates are based on a survey and cover around 85 per cent of the construction work done in the period. Revised estimates will be released in coming months. The data is useful largely for historical purposes but the work yet to be done estimates provide an early warning signal of future activity. The residential work figures give a good early guide to the strength of residential investment in the national accounts. 
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
There is plenty of work in the construction sector. But there are winners and losers across states and industry sectors. The Reserve Bank will not be overly concerned with the current trends in construction. Overall activity is correcting as expected and adjusting to the new realities. We expect the Reserve Bank to cut rates once again in August.
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<div class="column">Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a></div>
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Construction eases, home building at record highs: CommSec's Savanth Sebastian

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/59607/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
The history of the dairy cooperative Murray Goulburn and its farmer suppliers shows how a close relationship of trust has developed and been broken with the collapse of the farmgate milk price. Roots of the current crisis can be traced all the way back to the deregulation of the dairy industry at the start of the century.
Murray Goulburn was founded in Victoria in 1950 and grew steadily over the next two decades to become the nation’s largest dairy company by 1973. In its 2015 annual report it recorded total assets of over A$1.84 billion and total revenues of A$2.88 billion. It holds a large portion of the dairy market, in 2016 it was estimated by IBISWorld to have just over 42% of the national market for milk powder and 31% of the national market for milk and cream.
Over half its revenue comes from exports, primarily into Asia. It’s also the nation’s largest buyer of raw milk, employing around 2,400 people and with approximately 2,500 members.
<h2>Deregulation and the “keystone” role of cooperatives</h2>
The deregulation of the Australian dairy sector started in 1999 and rolled out over the following year. It saw the repeal of existing state legislation regulating the supply and pricing of milk.
The impact of this deregulation was mixed across Australia but it led to the decline in the total number of dairy farmers, from around 10,000 in 2000 to about 6,061 in 2016. It is likely to fall even more over coming years.
Despite increases in the overall size of dairy farms, most remain small-scale, family owned businesses. Dairy farming requires higher levels of capital investment than most other agricultural sectors, with major expenses being automated milking machines.
Milk is now essentially a global commodity and dairy farmers are price takers. With the need to invest more into capital equipment, fuel and stock feed, profit margins in the sector have been squeezed.
Over the past five years the average profit margin for dairy farms has fallen. Any decline in the farmgate milk price will only put many producers into unsustainable losses unless they can increase economies of scale by having larger herds or lower input costs.
Another consequence of the deregulation of the dairy industry has been the decline in cooperatives. The Dairy Farmers Cooperative was sold to National Foods (now Lion) in 2008, and Bega Cheese demutualised in 2011 and listed on the ASX. Today there are about nine dairy cooperatives active in Australia, the largest of these are Murray Goulburn and Norco Ltd from northern NSW.
A dairy farmer feeds his cows on a QLD dairy farm. Dan Peled/AAP
Cooperatives like Murray Goulburn are different from other businesses. The cooperative should be focused primarily on its members’ welfare and as such it is unusual for them to be able to satisfy the often competing interests of members as patrons and outside investors from the ASX.
A well-run cooperative can be sustainable and profitable. It can serve as a “keystone” business that helps sustain its members. Keystone businesses are those firms that serve as a major buyer or supplier for many smaller “niche” firms, helping to keep the smaller firms more sustainable for an entire industry.
The approach taken in terms of milk supply and pricing is an example. Since the dereguation of the dairy industry Murray Goulburn has effectively set the farmgate milk price across most of the Australian dairy sector. It also takes all the milk its members wish to supply.
This stabilising and coordinating or “keystone” role within the dairy industry has been a feature of Murray Goulburn since market deregulation. Given the size of the cooperative anything that might affect its long term operations will have significant impact on the Australian dairy industry.
<h2>The issue of trust in a cooperative</h2>
Cooperative enterprises are owned by their members who also have a trading or patronage relationship with them. What differentiates them from other businesses is the democratic governance of the business, with member-owners having a say in major strategic decisions.
Management of a cooperative is therefore more complex and the board and executive leadership team must maintain the trust and loyalty of the members to keep the business strong. They also need to balance the member’s interests as suppliers (patrons) and as investors, while encouraging them to see themselves as owners of the cooperative and members of a community of purpose.
The financial strength of the cooperative is only as important as the financial strength of its members. To survive the cooperative must maintain a clear social and economic purpose with the members' interests first and foremost.
Gary Helou, then CEO, was part of a new management team brought into Murray Goulburn in 2011 to modernise and strengthen the cooperative’s leadership. However, his management style appears to have been more in keeping with that of a regular firm.
Recent revelations by Fairfax Media suggest that Helou and the senior management of Murray Goulburn had evidence of declining export sales as early as July last year. However, they continued to promise farmers a “guaranteed” high farmgate milk price and share price.
Although a capital restructure at Murray Goulburn was endorsed by the board it raised some concerns in the financial press and among former directors. The financial crisis that the cooperative has found itself in is something of a self-inflicted wound.
It has sought to “walk both sides of the street” with its ASX listing and overconfident pronouncements of keeping the farmgate milk price at around $6 per kg/MS.
Dairy farmers who are or once were members and shareholders have lost money. Many retired farmers who had their preference shares converted to the ASX listed ordinary shares have seen the value of their stock collapse. For their younger active counterparts the loss of share value is compounded by the lower milk price with many facing debts of A$100,000 to A$120,000.
Former CEO Gary Helou and former CFO Brad Hingle have departed Murray Goulburn leaving the cooperative’s board and Chairman Philip Tracy to face down angry farmers and shareholders, plus a class action led by legal firm Slater and Gordon.
Murray Goulburn’s members have been essentially turned from owners and members of a democratic community of purpose, into suppliers and investors whose share value is linked to the price of a litre of milk. That’s where the problem lies.
This is not necessarily the end of Murray Goulburn, however, they will need to regain the trust of their members and demonstrate that as a cooperative their primary focus is on the well-being of their farmer members.
As a business it must be frugal and focused on delivering its members the best prices at the lowest costs it can. Any investment and growth should be designed to provide its members with the best long term returns to their businesses as suppliers or buyers, not just to see the value of its share capital appreciate.
Of equal importance is the cooperative’s ability to keep its members loyal not just through the prices or dividends that it offers, but because they feel a sense of ownership and being part of a community of purpose that would be lost if the cooperative disappeared.
Tim Mazzarol is Winthrop Professor, Entrepreneurship, Innovation, Marketing and Strategy, University of Western Australia and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/tim-mazzarol-1526" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Murray Goulburn saga has roots in deregulation

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GUEST OBSERVER
Construction work is trending lower from historic highs, led lower by the mining investment downturn.
With the sector accounting for 14 percent of the economy this is a material headwind.
Total construction work fell by 2.6 percent in Q1, broadly as we expected (Westpac f/c -2.2 percent and market median -1.5 percent).
Over the past year, construction activity is down by 6.7 percent.
In dollar terms, work fell by $1.3bn in the quarter, of which $1.2bn was due to a drop in private infrastructure activity. 
The detail was also broadly as anticipated.
Private infrastructure work fell sharply, albeit not as rapidly as in Q4, as work on major mining projects nears completions.
Public infrastructure advanced for a 3rd consecutive quarter as work on key transport projects gets underway.
The new home building boom continues, although the rate of growth is moderating.
The private commercial building cycle has turned, consistent with the 20% drop in approvals over the past couple of years.
Details
Total construction                –2.6 percent Private construction            –3.7 percent Public construction             +2.5 percent
Private - by segment
Infrastructure                        –6.8 percent Dwelling, new                      +1.5 percent Dwelling renovations          +0.9 percent Non-res. building                 –7.6 percent
Public - by segment
Infrastructure                        +2.2 percent Building                                 +3.5 percent
 
Andrew Hanlan is senior economist for Westpac and can be contacted <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://au.linkedin.com/pub/andrew-hanlan/3/222/430" target="_blank">here</a>. 
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Australian Q1 construction work down 2.6 percent: Westpac's Andrew Hanlan

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The RBA governor Glenn Stevens yesterday acknowledged the RBA had been paying quite a bit of attention to what's been happening in the housing market. 
He says the bank focuses not just on prices, but also on housing credit, adding that APRA's regulatory curbs on investment lending have worked effectively in parts of the market that were showing signs of "exuberance".
Stevens noted that households are managing the record levels of debt "quite well".
But he warned that investing in housing isn't a one-way bet, saying house price can also fall.
"The assumption that there is an easy road to riches through the leveraged holding of real estate, that is not a great strategy," he remarks at the Trans-Tasman Business Circle boardroom briefing in Sydney.
"While I've been in this job we've seen them (house prices) fall two or three times."
The ABC noted the Reserve Bank governor warning that the next government faces years of hard budget repair work, and inflation will be difficult to lift.
Asked about his views on Treasury's economic forecasts versus the bank's own predictions, Mr Stevens said there was little difference between them.
However, he also warned that whichever party is elected on July 2 faces a long and difficult task of budget repair.
"The budgetary situation will be OK if nothing else goes wrong, but you can't really assume in life that nothing will go wrong over an extended period.
"So I suspect that there's quite some years of hard repair work ahead for whoever is the government over the period ahead."
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Glenn Stevens warns house prices can fall

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An election may be just over a month away, but it is so far, so good for the economy. Consumer confidence hasn’t fallen in the past four weeks, and hopefully that means that people are just quietly getting on with life. Usually election periods are viewed with suspicion – with uncertainty about the likely outcome causing people to delay spending, investing or hiring staff.
But consumer sentiment remains positive and above long-term averages. Importantly, the outlook for family finances remains well above long-term averages.  
In terms of consumer confidence, the Reserve Bank is keenly focussed on the outlook for family finances. Simply, if the outlook for finances is positive, consumers are more likely to spend. The good news is that Aussie consumers positively view the outlook for their finances with the latest survey result not far off the best level seen in six years.  
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The Reserve Bank Governor covered a lot of ground at today’s question and answer “unplugged” session. Amongst the topics discussed were inflation and inflation targeting; China’s economic transition; industries of the future; household finances; and the supply of housing and home prices. The key takeaway is that while growth is good – but could be better – and unemployment has come down, inflation is too low. That by itself doesn’t point to lower rates ahead. The Reserve Bank Governor also indicated his belief that inflation will eventually lift and be back in the 2-3 percent target band.  
The Reserve Bank Governor noted that ‘leverage’ was a factor being monitored closely when assessing the state of the housing market. While households were holding more debt and were doing a good job with managing their finances, the Reserve Bank Governor indicated that debt couldn’t continue to rise much further from current levels.  
Asked about what industries will provide future economic growth, Governor Stevens said that growth would come from a variety of places. He indicated for that to happen it was important to have the “right overall policy settings”. Policy settings include the labour market, competition policy as well as those encouraging innovation and risk taking.  
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What do the figures show? 
Consumer confidence 
The ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 0.5 per cent to 115.7 in the week to May 22. Confidence is up 1.9 per cent over the year, up 3.6 per cent over the past four weeks and above the average of 112.1 since 2014. Three of the five components of the index rose in the latest week:</div>
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<div class="column">The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was up from +4 to +5; The estimate of family finances over the next year was up from +26 to +29; Economic conditions over the next 12 months was unchanged at +3; Economic conditions over the next 5 years was down from +10 to +7;</div>
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<div class="column">The measure of whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was up from +33 points to +34 points.</div>
<div class="column">Reserve Bank Governor Remarks
The appearance by the Reserve Bank Governor was termed an “unplugged” session – involving him answering questions from a facilitator as well as the audience.
The Reserve Bank Governor reiterated his defence of the current 2-3 per cent inflation target band.
Governor Stevens suggested there would be “quite some years of hard repair work ahead” for the Federal Budget.</div>
<div class="column">The Australian economy was regarded in good shape: growth was good, but could be stronger; unemployment had fallen and had been better than the Reserve Bank expected a year ago; but inflation was too low.</div>
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 The Reserve Bank Governor said that China was "making reasonable progress" with the shift from manufacturing to services and consumption-led growth. The Aussie dollar was currently "doing what you expect it to do". The Governor seemed comfortable with the current level of the currency.</div>
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<div class="column">While a lot of housing supply was set to come on to the market, the Governor noted that this was necessary as for a period of time not enough homes were being built. If the lift in housing supply met the level of demand with little change in prices, the Governor noted that this was the desired outcome from an economic standpoint. He didn’t make any observation on future home prices. He repeated his advice, though, that Aussie home buyers and owners shouldn’t expect that home prices would always rise. The Reserve Bank Governor noted that leverage was a key issue when assessing the current state of the housing market.
What is the importance of the economic data?
The ANZ/Roy Morgan weekly survey of consumer confidence closely tracks the monthly Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index but the former measure is a timelier assessment of consumer attitudes and is now closely tracked by the Reserve Bank. 
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">It is clear when looking across all the key economic indicators that the economy remains in good shape. If rates are to be cut again, Reserve Bank Board members may take some persuading that a rate cut is in the interests of the economy. The state of the housing market would provide a key input into the discussion process.</div>
<div class="column">
 The encouraging readings on the outlook for family finances are positive for retailers and other consumer- focussed businesses. The Aussie dollar broadly fell from US72.20c to US71.95c in response to the Governor’s remarks. The Governor didn’t close the door on future rate cuts.  
</div>
<div class="column"><a href="/images/2016/05/25/Screen%20Shot%202016-05-25%20at%2010.00.42%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div class="column"><img src="/images/2016/05/25/Screen%20Shot%202016-05-25%20at%2010.00.42%20AM.png" alt=""></div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.</div>
</div>
</div>
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Confident Aussies, RBA Governor “unplugged”: CommSec's Craig James

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GUEST OBSERVER
Australian companies can greatly boost their profitability by making industrial property decisions in strong consultation with supply chain and logistics directors.
There is a growing trend – and it seems to be happening with more urgency – that industrial property companies who’ve traditionally only done deals within their industry need to be made more aware of the growing influence and control of supply chain directors in making property-related decisions.
Within that space, a lot of automation and trends coming down from North America and Europe have the fundamental ability to disrupt how people go about planning their warehouses and distribution centres in Australia today.
By both driving costs and service, supply chains are also being used to add value to the customer experience. Automation allows companies to reduce warehouse footprints, lower head count and improve overall performance. 
Property is an enabler; it’s not a primary decision. So, we basically look at what the company wants to achieve in terms of the customer-service requirements and the competitive landscape. We then provide them with fact-based recommendations to assist their decision on the best infrastructure to support the company’s customer promise – at least cost.
In addition, Siecap regularly conducts studies for the property sector on site logistics implications. Key supply chain cost drivers which need to be taken into account include: site occupancy encompassing real estate, facilities and overheads; labour and handling; inbound freight; inventory and outbound freight and potential surrounding infrastructure changes which could influence these elements.
Companies which have factored logistics into their property decisions have enjoyed network operating cost reductions in the range of 10 to 16 per cent, as well as infrastructure cost reductions and logistics cost and service improvements.
David Irvine is chief executive officer of Brisbane project management and advisory firm Siecap and can be contacted <a href="https://www.siecap.com.au" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Property supply chains key to success: David Irvine

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A local Melbourne investor has secured a sushi bar in the seaside town of Rye on the Mornington Peninsula in Victoria.
It fetched $1.565 million at auction.
The 194sq m retail property tenanted by Sushi Express at 2379 Point Nepean Road sold at a yield of 3.3 per cent.
CBRE negotiated the sale for a local family vendor.
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Rye sushi sells at 3.3 percent yield

Nature Based Cities (NBC), the not-for-profit organisation focused on improving biodiversity and nature outcomes in urban development, has launched its latest industry design guidelines and accreditation framework, this time targeting precinct-scale residential communities.

The move extends NBC’s influence beyond its initial focus on medium and high-density residential developments. Several projects have already achieved NBC accreditation since the launch of its Medium &amp; High-Density Residential Guidelines in early 2025.

The expansion into masterplanned communities and new residential precincts reflects the growing need for stronger nature-positive benchmarks as Australia’s outer suburban growth corridors continue to expand at pace.

Paul Hameister OAM, NBC Founder and the Executive Chairman of Melbourne developer Hamton who itself leans heavily into nature and biodiversity in its developments, says the&nbsp;nature-first approach to mitigate the effects of climate change has become standard in other parts of the world such as the UK, but Australia is lagging.&nbsp;Australia’s environmentally sustainable design (ESD) rating tools have no minimum mandatory requirements for living landscapes.

“We’ve always wanted to do more, and we know other developers who want to do more, but the ESD rating tools just aren’t there,” Hameister says. “In Australia, you can have a five-green-star rated building that’s concrete and glass with not a blade of grass. 
 
“The focus is on reducing emissions, which is laudable, but there hasn’t been enough attention paid to protecting and re-establishing nature. We need both for the health of the environment and for communities.”

He says that having now&nbsp;made good progress in supporting developers of medium and high-density residential projects, NBC is now looking to bolster better nature-based decision-making and recognise developers of greenfield projects in the outer ring and large inner-ring brownfield precincts, who want to champion nature and living landscape as a defining feature.

Since 2022, the not-for-profit has sought to remove the roadblocks preventing developers from incorporating nature and living landscapes into their projects, shifting the conversation from the reduction of emissions and grey infrastructure, toward recognising nature as an essential infrastructure.

The New Communities Design Guidelines and Scorecard arm developers with the tools needed to deliver a nature positive outcome for their new communities. Intended to be adopted at the outset of the planning process, the guidelines are designed to help create communities that are cooler, healthier and more resilient while also enhancing social wellbeing and long-term economic value.&nbsp;

New Communities developers seeking accreditation will be independently assessed across a range of key criteria including ecology, tree canopy, biodiversity, and walkability. Once the masterplan is complete and submitted for approval, the scorecard is formalised based on proposed outcomes. Projects that meet the NBC criteria will receive either Commended or Exemplary accreditation outcomes, creating a clear benchmark for nature-positive new communities in Australia.&nbsp;

Janis Fischer, Director at Tract and NBC Advisory Council member, said the development of new communities in our suburbs can have a substantial impact on nature and biodiversity.

"By incorporating nature-based design principles at the inception of a project, developers and their design teams can achieve nature positive outcomes that are good for both people and the planet.’’&nbsp;

NBC accredited New Community projects will gain access to NBC branding and marketing tools to help communicate their nature-based credentials to purchasers and the broader market.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Nature Based Cities: A new Australian benchmark for developing nature-positive new communities

Apartment buildings are increasingly being designed around how people actually live day to day, not just how they want a building to look.

For buyers, that shift is showing up in practical inclusions that respond to changing habits. Work-from-home spaces, EV charging, wellness amenities, secure bike storage and parcel management are becoming part of the broader apartment conversation, reflecting a move toward buildings that reduce friction in everyday life.

Online shopping has become one of the clearest examples of that change.

Australians spent a record $82.6 billion online in 2025, with nearly one in four retail dollars now spent online. That has made parcel delivery a regular part of apartment living, rather than an occasional inconvenience.

For apartment residents, however, the delivery process can be less straightforward than it is for detached homes. Parcels may be left in lobbies, redirected to Post Offices, missed entirely, or placed under the responsibility of building managers and concierge teams.

That is why secure parcel infrastructure is increasingly being considered alongside more familiar apartment amenities.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/-VjjLwoViX0?si=A3k7ws9NX35Uac7_" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

Australia Post Parcel Lockers offer one way to address the issue. When a parcel arrives, residents receive a notification through the AusPost app or SMS, then collect it using a QR code or one-time PIN. The parcel is kept secure, accessible and removed from common areas.

The broader Parcel Locker network now includes more than 1,500 locations across Australia, positioned at Post Offices, shopping centres, supermarkets, transport hubs and other accessible locations.

For new apartment projects, the relevance is clear. A building’s amenity offering is no longer only about lifestyle spaces, but also about convenience, security and functionality.

As buyer expectations evolve, secure parcel delivery is becoming part of the same design conversation as flexible working, sustainable transport and resident wellbeing.

It is one less thing for residents to worry about, and another example of apartment design adapting to the way Australians now live.

Apartment design is adapting to the way Australians shop

While school holidays and trips to Europe tend to define the winter property market, there's been no cold snap at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-walden-north-sydney-177-walker-street-north-sydney-nsw-2060">The Walden</a> in North Sydney.

Developer-builder&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aland">ALAND</a> sold more than $35 million worth of apartments throughout June, including a $6.8 million apartment that now ranks among the highest apartment sales ever recorded in North Sydney.

SRM Residential agent Ben Stewart said buyer demand throughout June reflected a mix of improving market confidence and longer-term thinking from owner-occupiers.

"We're seeing strong demand from owner-occupiers who are taking a longer-term view," Stewart said.

"Many recognise the opportunity to secure an apartment in an iconic building and premium location while values remain attractive. They may initially lease the property, but the intention is to eventually move in themselves, rather than purchasing purely as an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=367129]

Located at 177 Walker Street, The Walden will deliver 161 one, two, three and four-bedroom residences across a 30-storey tower designed by Rothelowman. Every apartment occupies a corner position, maximising natural light, cross ventilation and views across Sydney Harbour, the Opera House, Sydney Heads and the northern districts.

Rather than a traditional balcony, the residences feature winter gardens that seamlessly extend the open plan living areas, creating versatile spaces for relaxing or entertaining throughout the year. Floor-to-ceiling glazing draws in natural light while showcasing sweeping views from the building's elevated Walker Street position.

Every apartment features high-end Calacatta marble, bespoke joinery, and fully integrated appliances.

The larger residences have been planned with distinct entertaining and private zones, with many master suites positioned on corners to capture natural light and harbour views. Walk-in dressing rooms, freestanding baths and refined stone finishes reinforce the house-like feel that has resonated with downsizers and owner-occupiers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=6393]

Rothelowman Principal Ben Pomroy said the project was designed to make the most of its unique position overlooking the harbour.

"The Walden is a celebration of all things beautiful, curated for those who expect nothing less than exceptional," Pomroy says.

"Meticulously designed entertaining spaces and light-filled living areas that capitalise on capturing the natural beauty of Sydney's iconic harbour."

Residents will also have exclusive access to The Pavilion, a dedicated amenity building featuring a rooftop pool, wellness studio, gymnasium, sauna, concierge service, residents' lounge, private dining spaces and work-from-home facilities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=6402]

The project marks ALAND's first major luxury apartment development in Sydney's inner-city market after more than two decades delivering residential communities across Greater Sydney.

Founder and CEO Andrew Hrsto previously said the rarity of the Walker Street site made it an opportunity the company could not overlook.

"This is a rare opportunity to bring a truly exceptional project to life in one of Sydney's most iconic locations, and to showcase our craftsmanship and design expertise at a world-class level," Hrsto said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134323 project_image_fid=6383]

The Walden has been introduced to the market at a time when demand for living in North Sydney is at an all-time high. Billions of dollars have been invested in infrastructure, including the recently opened Victoria Cross Metro station, located just 300 metres from The Walden, providing residents with direct access to the Sydney CBD in just minutes.

Private investment has also transformed the area through the arrival of new retail and dining destinations, elevating the lifestyle offering in what was once considered primarily a commercial precinct rather than an aspirational residential address.

The Walden is currently under construction and is scheduled for completion in 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134323]

ALAND records $35 million in sales in North Sydney as The Walden bucks quiet winter selling season

The long-awaited redevelopment of the former Eastlakes Shopping Centre site has reached a major milestone, with Conquest's plans for a new mixed-use precinct officially placed on public exhibition.

The State Significant Development Application would transform the 1.7-hectare site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/19a-evans-avenue-eastlakes-nsw-2018">19A Evans Avenue</a> into one of Sydney's largest urban renewal projects, delivering 736 apartments above a new shopping centre anchored by Woolworths, alongside specialty retail, dining, commercial space and new public open spaces.

The public exhibition marks the next chapter for the project after <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/conquest">Conquest</a> acquired the stalled Stage Two development from Crown Group, who completed the first stage across the road prior to their voluntary liquidation.

<img alt="First look: Conquest unveils plans for 736-home Eastlakes Shopping Centre redevelopment" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5fca22c5-d1ed-4e2c-8801-03f7df1eafc8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/eastland%20podium.png?VersionId=uomwr41nF8CmLUZRDcu3mHQechlbxucS" />

&nbsp;

Designed by DKO Architecture, the proposal comprises four residential buildings ranging from 14 to 18 storeys above a two-level retail podium. The development would deliver 736 apartments, including 74 affordable homes, 215 Build-to-Rent apartments and 521 market residences. Provision has also been made for dual-key apartments, which could increase the total number of dwellings to 877.

At ground level, the shopping centre has been designed as the suburb's new meeting place, anchored by a full-line Woolworths and complemented by a curated mix of fresh food retailers, cafés, restaurants, health services and everyday convenience shopping. Generous pedestrian links and landscaped public spaces will connect the retail precinct through to Jack Mundey Reserve, creating a more walkable and connected neighbourhood.

Conquest CEO Michael Akkawi said the redevelopment was about far more than replacing a shopping centre.

"Eastlakes has been overlooked for too long, and this is the community’s moment. We are building a shopping centre and homes, a genuine heart for the suburb, and we genuinely want locals to help shape it."

"We enrich communities through the creation of homes, places, and experiences designed for life, built to last, and owner for generations. That starts with listening, so we warmly encourage everyone with a connection to Eastlakes to view the plans and share their thoughts."

<img alt="First look: Conquest unveils plans for 736-home Eastlakes Shopping Centre redevelopment" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="22f6fb20-54fb-4bd7-8a92-48fafdd00608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/eastland.png?VersionId=cugp7s9hrMHGJJdYzkeAkrFoQgnF4GXf" />

DKO said the design had been shaped by the site's landscape setting and surrounding open space.

"Our vision for the site embraces its unique Bidjigal identity by blending the residential living with generous landscaping and a material palette inspired by the Bidjigal locality, and celebrating the panoramic views to Botany Bay and the wetlands reserves."

"Taking cues from Country, we seek to harmonise built form with the landscape and lightly touch the earth. By reconnecting, retaining and regenerating existing ecology, and weaving in natural elements, we can deepen our connection to Country."

The landscape strategy extends across the podium and rooftops, incorporating communal gardens, children's play areas, lawns, community gardens, family gathering spaces and extensive tree planting. New landscaped links will also strengthen the connection between the precinct and Jack Mundey Reserve, while publicly accessible open spaces have been integrated throughout the development.

The proposal builds on Conquest's broader placemaking strategy for the site. Through an ongoing partnership, local artist Joe Rashbrook has been appointed Urban Art Curator, working alongside young residents to transform the project's site hoardings into a public art gallery that allows the community to engage with the redevelopment before construction is complete.

Conquest has rapidly expanded its development pipeline since acquiring the Eastlakes site, with more than $6 billion worth of mixed-use projects now in planning across Sydney, including Stanmore, Castlecrag and Waterloo.

Conquest CEO Michael Akkawi said the redevelopment was about far more than replacing a shopping centre.

First look: ‘Far more than replacing a shopping centre’ as Conquest unveils 736-home Eastlakes redevelopment

Abadeen has lodged a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for one of Mosman's largest apartment developments in recent years, seeking approval to transform the former Honeysuckle Garden and Midas site on Military Road into a 100-apartment mixed-use development.

The SSDA, lodged with investment partner Phoenix Property Investors, proposes around $230 million worth of new housing on the prominent <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/494-516-military-road-mosman-nsw-2088">494-516 Military Road</a> site.

The proposal comes as Mosman Council continues to progress its recently endorsed Masterplan, which identifies the precinct for increased housing density while maintaining the suburb's established character.

Designed by DKO Architecture, the development would comprise 100 apartments above ground-floor retail, with a rooftop wellness precinct including a gym, sauna, entertaining areas and landscaped communal spaces.

Rather than pushing to the full 12-storey height identified in Council's Masterplan, the proposal ranges between five and nine storeys, stepping down towards Hale Road. A tenth level would accommodate resident amenities rather than additional apartments.

The project has been designed to appeal to a broad range of buyers, from first home buyers and young professionals through to families and local downsizers looking to remain on the Lower North Shore.

<img alt="Mosman" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5dada03f-5b4c-43ba-ba62-2868add31440" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-27%20at%209.57.55%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=7LBy0B.Jo8_iWAFJsClcV7Q3UnXrv49r" />

Abadeen Executive Chairman Justin Brown said the apartments had been designed as genuine long-term homes rather than investor-focused stock.

"The apartments have been designed as genuine long-term homes, with efficient floorplans that maximise usable living areas, generous storage, natural light and strong connections between indoor and outdoor spaces," Brown says."

"We've focused on creating homes for a broad range of buyers, from first home buyers and growing families through to downsizers who want to remain in Mosman."

The rooftop wellness offering forms a key part of the proposal, with residents set to have access to a gym, sauna, outdoor entertaining spaces, communal dining areas, landscaped gardens and a multi-use recreation court overlooking Sydney Harbour.

<img alt="Mosman" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d37c2d6b-583a-4a0f-b7a9-9f46b893d2f4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-27%20at%209.58.06%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=FPoa5FCm2RtzjhAh2w5FTWJbV6GHfY8D" />

DKO drew heavily on the site's natural and cultural history, undertaking a Connecting with Country process with local Aboriginal Elders to inform the architectural and landscape design.

Senior Associate Matthew Ritchard said the design sought to create a building that responded to both the site's landscape and its cultural significance.

"The architectural language of the project is a deep expression of Connecting with Country, where the materiality and colour palette serve as a bridge between the site's geological history and its future as a residential sanctuary."

The proposal also retains the site's established blue gum tree as the centrepiece of the communal landscaped gardens, while introducing activated retail fronting Military Road to strengthen the connection between Mosman and Cremorne villages.

If approved, the project would deliver 100 new homes within walking distance of shops, public transport, schools and local amenities, adding to the limited pipeline of new apartments on the Lower North Shore.

<h2>Project Snapshot</h2>

Project: Honeysuckle Garden Redevelopment

Address: 494-516 Military Road, Mosman

Developer: Abadeen and Phoenix Property Investors

Architect: DKO Architecture

Lead Architect: Matthew Ritchard

Value: $230 million

Residences: 100 apartments

Key features:

<ul>
	<li>
	Ground-floor retail
	</li>
	<li>
	Rooftop wellness precinct
	</li>
	<li>
	Gym and sauna
	</li>
	<li>
	Outdoor entertaining and BBQ areas
	</li>
	<li>
	Landscaped communal gardens
	</li>
	<li>
	Multi-use recreation court
	</li>
	<li>
	Retained mature blue gum tree
	</li>
	<li>
	Connecting with Country design process
	</li>
	<li>
	Harbour, CBD and Balmoral views from upper-level apartments
	</li>
</ul>

Abadeen Executive Chairman Justin Brown said the apartments had been designed as genuine long-term homes rather than investor-focused stock

Jonathan Chancellor

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