Developers and apartment buyers have a narrowing window of opportunity before Brisbane's Olympic infrastructure pipeline begins competing directly with residential construction, pushing up costs, tightening labour supply and making new projects increasingly difficult to deliver.

While Brisbane's apartment market continues to benefit from strong population growth and limited housing supply, industry research suggests the years leading up to 2027 could prove to be the most important period for developers looking to secure builders and buyers hoping to purchase before the next wave of price increases.

A new Colliers report, Brisbane 2032 Olympic and Paralympic Games: Creating Solutions, highlights the scale of the challenge. While thousands of new homes are planned across South East Queensland, the Brisbane Olympic Athletes Village alone will deliver more than 10,500 beds during the Games before being converted into around 1,750 to 2,000 apartments. Equivalent to almost two years of typical inner-city apartment supply, the project will also absorb a significant share of the construction workforce and building materials.

The broader construction pipeline paints an even clearer picture.

Construction Skills Queensland's Horizon 2032 report forecasts Queensland's annual construction pipeline will average $69 billion over the coming years before peaking at $75 billion in 2027-28. Demand for construction workers is expected to increase by 17 per cent to almost 150,000 people, with the industry facing an annual shortfall of around 19,000 workers that could blow out to as many as 35,000 during the peak construction period.

The Olympic venues, athletes village and supporting infrastructure will account for billions of dollars worth of work across South East Queensland through to 2032, creating intense competition for labour at a time when Australia's residential construction sector is already under pressure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=373834]

Colliers Queensland Residential Director Andrew Scriven said the convergence of these projects is creating a clear window of opportunity for both developers and buyers.

"From 2027 onwards, the market will shift dramatically," Scriven said.

"Labour will increasingly be locked into government-led infrastructure and Olympic projects, which means private residential developments will face higher costs and tighter margins. The developers who move now are the ones most likely to get projects off the ground."

Scriven said the same dynamic would also affect buyers, with fewer apartment projects expected to launch once construction capacity tightens.

"If you're looking to change your lifestyle over the next five years, now is your window of opportunity to buy."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=373827]

Developers are already positioning themselves ahead of that window.

Following the success of Monarch at Toowong, Consolidated Properties is preparing to launch two new Brisbane apartment projects in the second half of 2026. They include <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/gloriette-30-bedivere-street-yeerongpilly-qld-4105">Gloriette</a> at Yeerongpilly Green, a 25-storey tower within one of Brisbane's key Olympic precincts, and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/castile-47-skyring-terrace-newstead-qld-4006">Castile</a>, a recently approved 25-storey riverfront development at 47 Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

Hutchinson Builders will deliver both projects, with early works already underway at Yeerongpilly and Newstead expected to commence later this year.

The timing comes as Brisbane's fundamentals continue to strengthen, with strong interstate migration, population growth and vacancy rates remaining below 1.5 per cent.

Colliers Queensland researcher Pragya Sharma said Greater Brisbane is forecast to require around 40,000 new apartments between 2021 and 2031.

"There's a real mismatch emerging between when housing is needed and when it will be feasible to build," Sharma said.

"As a result, the period leading up to 2027 presents a key window of opportunity for developers to secure approvals, funding and construction capacity, while buyers will have greater choice before supply constraints intensify."

Colliers research outlines a critical pre-2027 window to start residential projects before labour squeeze: now is the time to buy

Joel Robinson

Developers, buyers on watch in South East Queensland ahead of construction crunch: Colliers

It's taken less than nine months for developer Sherpa Property Group to sell out all 51 apartments in its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-oasis-palm-beach-7-9-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Oasis</a> development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a>, over a year before its anticipated completion.

&nbsp;

Located at 7-9 Sixth Avenue, the $67 million development has resonated strongly with both local owner-occupiers and downsizers seeking high-quality apartments within walking distance of the beach, dining precincts and everyday amenities.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357458]

Christie Leet, Founder of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Group</a>, said the sell-out reflected both the strength of the Palm Beach market and the success of Sherpa's community-first approach to development.

"The sell-out of Oasis is a fantastic outcome and reinforces the strong demand we're seeing for thoughtfully designed apartments in lifestyle locations," Leet said.

"From the outset, our vision was to create a development that genuinely enhanced the Palm Beach community while providing residents with exceptional homes and wellness-focused amenities.

"We've been incredibly encouraged by the level of local support throughout the campaign, 72.5 per cent of buyers are locals, with a significant proportion of purchasers choosing Oasis as their future home rather than an investment."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357463]

Construction is now progressing following development approval, with trusted builder LPS Group delivering the project and completion anticipated in Q3 2027.

Oasis forms part of Sherpa Group's successful Flourish collection, which has become recognised for its focus on wellness, community and elevated coastal living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=151449 project_image_fid=357469]

Residents will have private access to a rooftop amenity space featuring a pool, gym, sauna, steam room, hot and cold plunge pools, spa and barbecue facilities.

"The success of Oasis demonstrates that buyers continue to prioritise quality, location and lifestyle," Leet said.

"We are proud to have delivered a project that has resonated so strongly with the market and look forward to bringing Oasis to life for our future residents."

Sherpa recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a>, its third instalment of the Flourish brand in Palm Beach following Flourish Oasis and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=151449]

Sherpa sells out Flourish Oasis in booming Palm Beach

Urban Property Group's <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/la-vera-macquarie-park-94-talavera-road-macquarie-park-nsw-2113">La Vera</a> is leading the next phase of Macquarie Park's residential evolution, with the new apartment development set to become the first of several new apartment projects in the precinct to complete.

The 169-apartment building has now topped out ahead of its scheduled completion in the third quarter of 2026, as new residential investment continues to reshape one of Sydney's largest employment hubs into a true mixed-use precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=368645]

Cox Architecture has designed La Vera to capture the best of its unique positioning on Talavera Road, orienting the building towards Lane Cove National Park.&nbsp;The building features a sculpted northern façade with flowing curves inspired by the surrounding landscape, while its city-facing elevation adopts a more structured architectural expression to maximise skyline views.

"The vision for the project was to conceive a building that adopted an organic and curvilinear form to the northern portion that faces the Lane Cove National Park," <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a> Director Felipe Miranda said.

"The residents that reside in the northern portion of the building benefit by having beautifully crafted curved balconies that speak to the natural context and heighten the relationship of their internal living spaces to the external balconies."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

La Vera offers a diverse mix of one, two, three, and four-bedroom configurations, with prices currently starting from $740,000. Buyers so far have been a mix of Sydney-based investors,&nbsp;metro commuters, owner-occupiers and downsizers from surrounding North Shore suburbs.

Both investors and owner-occupiers have been drawn to La Vera's proximity to Macquarie University, Macquarie University Hospital, Macquarie Centre and the Sydney Metro, infrastructure that supports both strong rental demand and a convenient lifestyle for residents.

The apartments feature full-height glazing, timber flooring throughout living areas, stone kitchen benchtops, SMEG appliances, floor-to-ceiling bathroom tiling and ducted air conditioning.

Residents will have access to a rooftop recreation level featuring a swimming pool, sauna, barbecue facilities and landscaped relaxation areas, complemented by additional communal space at ground level. Many apartments enjoy uninterrupted views across Lane Cove National Park, reinforcing the project's connection to its natural setting.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=364551]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a>, a family-owned developer and builder with nearly four decades of experience, holds a 4.5-star iCIRT rating and was Australia's first developer to introduce 10-Year Latent Defects Insurance (LDI). La Vera is the first apartment development in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/macquarie-park-nsw-2113">Macquarie Park</a> approved to offer the additional insurance protection, alongside a five-year warranty on SMEG appliances.

Urban Property Group CEO Patrick Elias said the additional protection reflects changing buyer expectations in the off the plan market.

"Consumers are a lot more weary and a lot more concerned in buying off the plan than they ever have been. Having LDI is a tool to portray the confidence that we have in our product, and a confidence we want buyers to share," Elias said.

Following completion of the building later this year, buyers will move into their apartments well before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134951]

La Vera closes in on completion as Macquarie Park continues residential transformation

Brisbane developer Red &amp; Co's decision to include dual key apartments in its debut Gold Coast apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/como-varsity-lakes-22-lake-street-varsity-lakes-qld-4227">COMO Varsity Lakes</a>, is proving to be one of the project's biggest drawcards, with buyers quickly snapping up the flexible residences.

More than half of the project's 36 dual key apartments have already sold, helping drive COMO beyond the 50 per cent sold mark within the first month of launch.

The strong response highlights growing demand for apartment designs that can adapt to changing lifestyles, with buyers increasingly looking for homes that accommodate multi-generational living, provide rental income opportunities or simply offer greater flexibility over time.

Located on the shores of Lake Orr, COMO will deliver 156 apartments across 16 levels, with the dual-key residences forming a limited release within the broader development.

Each combines a primary two-bedroom apartment with a fully self-contained studio on a single title, connected by a shared foyer and lockable internal door. The design allows owners to house ageing parents, adult children or guests while maintaining privacy, or lease the secondary residence to generate additional income.

Just 17 of the original 36 dual key apartments remain available.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=367096]

The innovative configuration combines two fully self-contained residences on a single title, typically comprising a primary two-bedroom apartment alongside a separate studio residence, connected via a shared foyer and lockable internal door.&nbsp;

The model is proving particularly attractive to owner occupiers navigating changing family dynamics and the realities of the current housing crisis.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363511]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/npa">NPA</a>&nbsp;CEO Andrew Erwin said dual key living was resonating strongly with modern buyers because it delivered both financial flexibility and practical lifestyle benefits.&nbsp;

“The housing crisis and rising cost of living are fundamentally changing how Australians think about home ownership,” Erwin said.&nbsp;

“Dual key apartments provide a genuine solution for families who want to stay connected while maintaining independence. Parents can help adult children save for a future home, ageing parents can remain nearby without moving into aged care, and owners still retain privacy and flexibility.

“Importantly, buyers are also recognising the financial advantages. It creates the opportunity to generate additional income from part of the home without the holding costs associated with owning a separate investment property.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363509]

Unlike traditional dual occupancy arrangements, the residences operate under a single title, meaning owners only incur one set of body corporate fees, council rates and holding costs.&nbsp;

The secondary residence can also evolve over time - functioning as guest accommodation, a home office, creative studio or private retreat before later becoming an income-producing asset.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/red-co">Red &amp; Co</a>&nbsp;Director and Co-Founder David Laverty said the strong early sales reflected growing buyer urgency and changing priorities within the market.&nbsp;

“Securing more than half of COMO’s residences within such a short timeframe is an outstanding result and a clear endorsement of both the design and location,” Laverty said.&nbsp;

“Buyers are responding to the combination of location, connectivity and amenity, but ultimately it’s value relative to other East Coast markets that is driving enquiry.”&nbsp;

“We’re also seeing strong interest from owner occupiers looking for homes that can adapt with them over time. Flexibility has become one of the most important considerations for buyers in today’s market.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135546 project_image_fid=363515]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bda-architecture">BDA Architecture</a>, COMO features a mix of one-, two- and three-bedroom residences with 2.7-metre ceilings and larger-format floorplans aimed at owner occupiers, downsizers and lifestyle-focused buyers.&nbsp;

The development will feature an extensive rooftop recreation and wellness offering including a 25-metre lap pool, sundeck, barbecue and dining areas, gym, sauna, plunge baths, landscaped gardens, wellness spaces and rooftop pickleball and paddleball courts.

The remaining dual key apartments range from 137 sqm to 167 sqm and include generous three-bedroom layouts with separate self-contained studio accommodation and dual parking.&nbsp;

Erwin said the dual key concept represented a broader shift in how Australians would live in the future.

“People want homes that can evolve with their lives,” he said.&nbsp;

“A dual key apartment can suit a family today, support an ageing parent tomorrow, and potentially generate income later on. That adaptability is becoming incredibly valuable in the current environment.”

Prices currently range from $2,115,750 to $2,583,000.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135546]

Inter-generational living drives demand for COMO’s dual key apartments as housing pressures reshape buyer priorities 

Builder-developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ceerose">Ceerose</a> has doubled down on its Leichhardt ambitions, lodging its second State Significant Development Application (SSDA) in the suburb in the last six months.

Their newest proposal seeks to transform a former industrial precinct into a new residential community centred around the adaptive reuse of one of the site's heritage warehouse buildings.

The new project, on a 6,930 sqm block at&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-76-william-street-leichhardt-nsw-2040">40–76 William Street</a>, will bring more than 200 apartments to a suburb that has seen little to no new supply in recent years. It follows Ceerose's late 2025 SSDA for a mixed-use apartment project on nearby Parramatta Road, signalling the developer's growing investment in Sydney's Inner West.

Ceerose Founder Edward Doueihi told Apartments.com.au the developer’s long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West had given it a strong understanding of how the area has evolved and where its future opportunities lie.

“Ceerose has had a long-standing presence in Leichhardt and the Inner West, giving us a unique understanding of the area’s evolution and future potential,” Doueihi said.

“Having delivered projects throughout the region, we have witnessed the suburb’s transformation first-hand and understand the opportunities for its continued growth.”

Doueihi said that understanding also informed the planning process, with a comprehensive Stakeholder Engagement Outcomes Report prepared before the application was lodged.

The report identified the key issues and concerns raised by neighbouring residents and other stakeholders, allowing those matters to be considered and incorporated into the design where appropriate.

He said the delivery of additional housing would also play an important role in supporting the revitalisation of Norton Street and the Italian Forum.

“By increasing the local residential population, the development is expected to strengthen demand for local businesses, encourage further investment, and help restore the vibrancy that made the precinct a thriving destination in the early 2000s.”

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7258c54c-8167-479e-8361-2d5fca9915b4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010B%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%202.jpg?VersionId=S9DQfxu_jpcB5LrAEYFUbyMzg5odW6i5" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, the redevelopment would involve the demolition of four existing industrial buildings while retaining and adaptively reusing the site's most significant warehouse. The retained structure would anchor a new residential precinct comprising five interconnected buildings arranged around a large central landscaped courtyard, with heights stepping from five storeys along the surrounding residential streets to 11 storeys at the William Street corner.

According to the Architecture Design Report by Woods Bagot, the proposal "seeks to create a residential village centred around a generous green heart while celebrating the site's industrial heritage through the adaptive reuse of the existing warehouse building."

The development would comprise 203 apartments, with 188 proposed as build-to-sell residences, alongside 15 affordable housing apartments.

Rather than treating the retained warehouse as a standalone heritage object, Woods Bagot has sought to weave the site's industrial history throughout the masterplan. The proposal retains the north and west facades of the landmark corner warehouse, while new buildings reinterpret the site's brick-and-steel industrial language through their material palette and architectural expression.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="9e8c64c2-881b-49e1-8c90-6b6acaaa45b6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010C%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%203.jpg?VersionId=Qm8_8H_Xrg_sc4Mdjc59vlAcKF_5wRTb" />

The design is organised around what Woods Bagot describes as a "green heart", a landscaped communal open space that reinstates the leafy character removed when the site became an industrial storage facility. A new pedestrian laneway running through the site would improve permeability between William, North and Francis streets, linking residents through landscaped public spaces while activating the ground plane.

Residents would have access to communal gardens and shared recreation areas distributed throughout the development. Sustainability has also been prioritised, with the project targeting an average 7.9-star NatHERS rating. Proposed initiatives include rooftop solar generation, rainwater harvesting, passive solar design, naturally ventilated lobbies, extensive cross-ventilation and the reuse of existing building fabric to reduce embodied carbon.

The adaptive reuse strategy became a defining feature of the application after heritage investigations found only one of the site's industrial buildings could feasibly be retained. The Heritage Impact Statement concludes that preserving the key warehouse façades while referencing the site's industrial character throughout the new development provides an appropriate balance between renewal and conservation.

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="efffafdb-594f-4e2b-a067-921fd51c05e1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010D%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%204.jpg?VersionId=DPmE4.k16YRt0i27hEZVtJAffarpvUfx" />

"Retention and adaptation of the site buildings has been explored but found not to be feasible except for the tallest building, whose street facades will be retained," the heritage report states.

"The proposed building will interpret the brick and steel character of the subject site, including reuse of some components and construction of a large 'sawtooth' structure in the proposed open space."

<img alt="First look: Ceerose returns to Leichhardt with 203-apartment adaptive reuse proposal at former warehouse site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3bfef2b5-83f5-40cd-9cab-767092f34266" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Appendix%2010E%20-%20CGI%20-%20View%205.jpg?VersionId=7asb3i_ql4ybbuJOUb5UHBEIy0Q9t.DF" />

The William Street site is located around 300 metres from Leichhardt North Light Rail station and a short walk to Norton Street's retail, dining and hospitality precinct. The surrounding area has increasingly become a focus for urban renewal given its proximity to public transport and the Parramatta Road corridor.

Doueihi founded Ceerose in 1998 and has grown the business to become one of Sydney's more active apartment developers in recent years, with completed projects including The Alex Collective in Alexandria, Abbie's Lane in Annandale, and the award-winning Munro House in Elizabeth Bay. They are currently delivering Belgravia, 17 luxury apartments in Potts Point.

First look: Ceerose doubles down in Leichhardt with adaptive reuse of former warehouse site

Residential Construction

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It's sometimes under-appreciated how Australia's free floating dollar, monetary policy autonomy, flexible labour force, and comparatively low government debt have allowed the economy to adjust through a seriously tumultuous period.
At the peak of the resources construction boom in the third quarter of calendar year 2012 engineering construction activity peaked at $34.8 billion, yet by the end of 2016 had dropped by some 43.3 per cent to under $20 billion. 
This is what some people termed the "mining cliff", essentially the period through which resources projects transitioned from the construction phase through to production. 
And through all of that we never really did get all that close to a recession, though admittedly rising private debt levels did help to grease the wheels a bit.
Rebound
More than four years on, and engineering construction actually began to rise again in early 2017.
Some of this was to do with infrastructure projects - rail, road, and highways - and some was related to ongoing resources investment in existing projects. 
Activity rose quite strongly by +2.8 per cent to $20.3 billion in the first quarter.
Engineering work in the public sector was +10.2 per cent higher over the year, while the quarterly rebound was also helped by a +3 per cent rise in private sector activity in Q1. 
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 <div>State versus state</div>
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<div>Queensland took most of its medicine back in 2014 as a number of major LNG projects approached the production phase, but the worst has now passed and annual construction activity levels in the Sunshine State have now been rising for four quarters consecutively.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Annual construction activity has also been rising steadily in New South Wales and Victoria since 2015. </div>
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<div>At least as importantly, Western Australia is now at last getting pretty close to the nadir, meaning that WA is no longer suffering the chronic declines that have characterised that past three years. </div>
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 <div>No boom on the horizon, then, but arithmetically speaking this is positive news for the economy, simply because engineering construction is no longer acting as a drag.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The next pressing challenge will be whether construction employment can remain at today's elevated levels through a combination of residential building and infrastructure projects. </div>
 
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
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Engineering construction no longer an economic drag

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The 2016 December quarter showed lower conditions for residential construction nationwide according to the latest NAB Quarterly Business Survey.
The survey said this downturn may reflect concerns relating to costs and apartment oversupply.
"Business conditions for the construction industry took a step back in the December quarter, driven by a deterioration in non-residential building – which had previously been surprisingly strong," it said.
"Conditions elsewhere in the construction sub-industries were relatively steady, but continue to show somewhat weaker-than-expected conditions for residential construction – perhaps reflecting concerns about costs and an oversupply of apartments.
"As expected, engineering construction conditions remain weak, in line with falling mining investment, although the trend has been positive – the commodity price rally may have also contributed to improvements in confidence for the sub-sector."
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Residential construction 'looking shaky': NAB

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<div class="column">GUEST OBSERVER</div>
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 The latest construction data was certainly disappointing. Not only is construction work down over 11 percent on a year ago, but the falls were across an array of sectors.</div>
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<div class="column">Engineering and commercials continued to record the brunt of the weakness, while residential construction also fell from record highs. In addition the major states all recorded a fall in construction activity, with gains only in ACT, Tasmania and the Northern Territory.</div>
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The ‘baton pass’ from engineering to residential building was clearly the driver of activity over the last couple of years. In fact engineering work is down by 23.2 percent on a year ago – just shy of the biggest annual fall on record, as opposed to residential construction, which eased from record highs. The results are even more staggering when you consider that just over two years ago engineering work surpassed total building (residential and commercial) by more than $9 billion.
And while policymakers would not be overly concerned at present, a substantial pullback in residential activity would create a void that could cause concern. Essentially the hope would be that commercial and non-mining related business investment will lift over the coming year and provide the economy with a lift in momentum.
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<div class="column">Inflation in the building sector is healthy without being excessive. Not only was inflation flat in the September quarter but the annual rate of construction inflation eased back to 2 per cent. Interestingly recent construction industry reports forecast a rise in hourly rates over the medium term at unionised building sites due to new enterprise bargaining agreements and labour shortages.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">In addition recently signed agreements suggest a 20 percent lift in wages over the next 4 years on some sites. Overall a lift in inflation in the building sector would not concern the Reserve Bank at present given the lack of inflation across the rest of the economy.  </div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Today’s data is unlikely to alter the Reserve Banks thinking when it comes to rates. Focus now turns to the June quarter business investment data released on December 1. And while the Reserve Bank will be particularly interested in estimates of completed non-mining investment, there will be a much greater focus on future spending plans - especially in light of the fact that private sector construction activity continues to disappoint.</div>
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<div class="column">What do the figures show?</div>
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<div class="column">Construction Work</div>
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 Construction work done fell by 4.9 percent in real (inflation-adjusted) terms in the September quarter after sliding by 3.1 percent in the June quarter. Work done is down by 11.1 percent on a year ago. Public sector construction work fell by 0.2 percent in the quarter while private sector activity fell by 6.0 percent.</div>
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 Construction work fell in five of the states and territories in the September quarter. Leading the falls was Western Australia (down 13.6 percent), followed by Victoria (down 6.9 percent), South Australia (down 1.3 percent), NSW (down 2.1 percent) and Queensland (down 0.2 percent). Construction rose in the ACT (up 7.1 percent), Tasmania (up 4.7 percent), and the Northern Territory (up 0.6 percent).</div>
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 Engineering work fell by 3.8 percent in the September quarter. Engineering construction is down by 23.2 percent on a year ago – just shy of the biggest annual fall on record.</div>
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 Commercial (non-residential) building fell by 10.9 per cent in the September quarter to be down 7.6 percent over the year. </div>
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<div class="column">Residential building fell by 3.1 per cent in the September quarter and was up by 6.3 percent over the year. Alterations &amp; additions fell by 0.6 percent in the quarter while new residential work fell by 3.4 percent. The measure of inflation in the construction sector (deflator) was flat in the September quarter. The annual rate of construction inflation fell from 2.6 percent to 2.0 percent. Engineering prices fell by 0.7 percent in the quarter (up 1.7 percent over the year) while building prices rose by 0.6 percent in the quarter (1.9 percent over the year).
<a href="/images/2016/11/24/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-24%20at%208.52.56%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/11/24/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-24%20at%208.52.56%20AM.png" alt="">
What is the importance of the economic data?
 The Bureau of Statistics releases quarterly estimates of Construction work done. The estimates are based on a survey and cover around 85 per cent of the construction work done in the period. Revised estimates will be released in coming months. The data is useful largely for historical purposes but the work yet to be done estimates provide an early warning signal of future activity. The residential work figures give a good early guide to the strength of residential investment in the national accounts.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
There is still plenty of work in the construction sector. But there are winners and losers across states and industry sectors. The Reserve Bank will not be overly concerned with the current trends in construction. Overall activity is correcting as expected and adjusting to the new realities.</div>
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 CommSec expects the cash rate to remain on hold over the foreseeable future. </div>
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<div class="column">Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a></div>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Construction activity falls, tame building costs: Savanth Sebastian

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New residential building is predicted to slow for the next two years to bottom at a 'historically healthy level of activity' according to the Housing Industry Association's latest HIA National Outlook report.
Warwick Temby, HIA acting chief economist said HIA is forecasting a measured return to more normal levels of home building activity over the next couple of years.
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'Notwithstanding the current uncertainties around the broader economic outlook, especially with the future US policy settings up in the air,' he said.
“The recent peak in new home building was unprecedented: an all-time record 229,823 new residential dwellings started building in 2015/16. This record level of building has made a major contribution to Australia’s economic growth over the last few years and eased the under-supply of housing for both owner occupiers and renters that had built up over the previous ten years. 
“Multi-unit building, especially apartments in the Eastern States, has driven much of the growth in this cycle and is also forecast to lead the slowdown in new activity over the next couple of years. From their peak of 117,000 in this calendar year multi-unit commencements are expected to fall by over 40 per cent by 2018/19.
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“A softer landing is forecast for detached homes with 103,000 starts predicted for 2018/19, down 9 per cent on the peak this year. 
“The forecast falls in new activity will not be uniform across the country; Western Australia and South Australia started their down-cycle well in advance of other states. 
“Total new commencements are forecast to decline 3.1 percent, 18.5 per cent and 5.1 percent over the period 2016/17 – 2018/19, which would take commencements to a trough of 172,242, which is the average for the last ten years. 
“Actual building activity on the ground will not decline in the same way as new starts due to the substantial volume of work under construction that will not be completed until 2018 and into 2019. 
“Dwelling renovations are forecast to grow over the forecast period counteracting some of the decline in the new home building activity. By 2018/19 renovations are forecasts to have grown by 6.5 per cent to be worth $32.96 billion in that year."
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New residential building to slow: HIA

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The HIA-COLORBOND® steel Housing 100 Report 2015/16 reveals a fourth consecutive increase in new dwelling commencements for Australia’s largest volume builders, with Metricon topping the latest list.
“This latest rise takes the number of HOUSING 100 starts to a record high, just surpassing the previous peak reached in 2003/04,” said HIA chief economist, Dr Harley Dale.
The total number of HOUSING 100 starts was 69,161 in 2015/16, compared to the previous record of 69,100 in 2003/04 and the ten year high of 68,621 reached in 2014/15.
The report, that ranks Australia’s largest 100 residential builders based on the number of homes commenced each year, found that Metricon Homes was the nation’s number one home builder in 2015/16.
Metricon Homes reported a total of 4,365 starts, of which 3,794 were detached houses and 571 were ‘semi-detached’ dwellings.
These homes were started across Victoria, Queensland, New South Wales, and South Australia.
The second highest ranked builder in 2015/16 was BGC (Australia) with 4,049 housing starts, followed by Harry Triguboff's Meriton Apartments with 3,793 starts.
The HOUSING 100 featured a number of ‘big movers’ in 2015/16.
Nine companies increased their housing starts by more than 200, while a further ten increased their housing starts by between 100 and 199.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2016/09/21/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-21%20at%2010.38.17%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2016/09/21/Screen%20Shot%202016-09-21%20at%2010.38.17%20AM.png" alt="">
The biggest mover was MJH Group (+1,034 starts) followed by Metricon Homes (+994 starts).
The HOUSING 100 started 50,507 detached houses in 2015/16.
The nation’s largest 100 builders started 5,697 semi-detached dwellings and 12,957 multi-units.
“A key focus during this record new home building cycle has been on the changing composition of new dwelling supply, particularly the increased volume and share of medium/high density (MHD) dwellings,” noted Harley Dale.
“The latest HOUSING 100 results reflect this changing dynamic of Australia’s new home construction landscape.
“Beyond this year the housing pond becomes muddier - the record level of MHD product in the pipeline provides the Australian economy with an unprecedented degree of uncertainty regarding the timing and magnitude of the down cycle,” concluded Harley Dale.
“The broad brush approach to credit restrictions applied by APRA, together with the cash-grab transaction costs levied by some state governments on foreign investors exacerbate the downside risks to new home construction and therefore the broader domestic economy.”
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Metricon tops BGC and Meriton as largest home builder: HIA top 100

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Urban infill developments have the potential to slow urban sprawl and meet the demands of population growth, according to Cedar Woods Properties.
Patrick Archer, Cedar Woods’ state manager said by integrating a range of housing typologies and open spaces, urban infill projects work to create a sense of place and foster community relationships.
“We’re actually achieving about five times the density of the average suburb, but the difference is it’s not in a static high rise apartment,” he said.
“Usually it’s big houses or tiny apartments, but we’ve really focused on a model that includes a range of typologies, achieving densities of between 40 and 50 dwellings a hectare.
“It’s our intention not to detract from these established suburbs, but to add to these communities with a variety of housing typologies that’s appealing and complements the existing architectural character.
“Urban infill sites facilitate this innovation, allowing more people to live in an established and sought-after suburbs close to their work, schools, open spaces and amenities.
"At Jackson Green in Clayton South for example, a mix of detached, semi-attached, attached and townhouses are complemented by 170 apartments ranging from 50 square metre one-bedrooms to four-bedroom family town homes of up to 225 square metres."
Such infill developments include Camberwell in the city’s east, Footscray in the west, and Clayton South in the south east.
 
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Urban infill developments could slow urban sprawl

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GUEST OBSERVER
Construction work done in the June quarter by 3.7 percent, to be down 10.6 per cent on a year ago.
Engineering work fell by 9 percent in the June quarter – biggest quarterly fall in 151⁄2 years. Engineering construction is down by 24.9 percent on a year ago – biggest annual fall on record. Residential work rose by 0.8 percent in the June quarter to record highs, while commercial building lifted by 2.1 percent.
Building inflation: Building inflation rose by 0.6 percent in the June quarter. The annual rate of construction inflation rose from 2.1 percent to 2.7 percent – marking the fastest annual growth rate in 71⁄2- years.
<a href="/images/2016/08/24/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-24%20at%201.49.52%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/08/24/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-24%20at%201.49.52%20PM.png" alt="">
Construction work fell in four of the states and territories in the June quarter. Leading the falls was Western Australia (down 19 percent), followed by Northern Territory (down 3.2 percent), NSW (down 1.3 percent) and Tasmania (down 0.4 percent). Construction rose in Victoria (up 5.2 percent), Queensland (up 2.7 percent), the ACT (up 0.5 percent) and South Australia (up 0.1 percent).  The data on construction work is important for builders, building material companies and developers.  
What does it all mean?
Inflation in the building sector is lifting. Not only is the annual rate of construction inflation the fastest in over seven years. But inflation in three out of the past four quarters is amongst the strongest results recorded in the past four years. In addition recent construction industry reports forecast a further rise in hourly rates over the medium term at unionised building sites due to new enterprise bargaining agreements and labour shortages. Overall the lift in inflation in the building sector would not concern the Reserve Bank at present given the lack of inflation across the rest of the economy.
The ‘baton pass’ from engineering to residential building is clear for all to see. Engineering work continues to recede while home building has hit new highs. In fact engineering work record the sharpest quarterly decline in almost 16 years. Interestingly the gap between building (residential and commercial) and engineering in terms of total work is the largest in almost 10 years. The results are even more staggering when you consider that just over two years ago engineering work surpassed total building by more than $8 billion. The speed of the turnaround has shown up in the patchiness across the national economy and in effect highlights the difficulties faced by policymakers in trying to shore up growth
Today’s data is unlikely to alter the Reserve Banks thinking when it comes to rates. Focus now turns to the June quarter business investment data released on September 1. And while the Reserve Bank will be particularly interested in estimates of completed non-mining investment, there will be a much greater focus on future spending plans - especially in light of the fact that private sector construction activity continues to disappoint. 
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What do the figures show?
Construction Work
Construction work done fell by 3.7 per cent in real (inflation-adjusted) terms in the June quarter after sliding by 0.3 per cent in the March quarter. Work done is down by 10.6 per cent on a year ago. Public sector construction work rose by 5.3 per cent in the quarter while private sector activity fell by 5.7 per cent.
Construction work fell in four of the states and territories in the June quarter. Leading the falls was Western Australia (down 19 per cent), followed by Northern Territory (down 3.2 per cent), NSW (down 1.3 per cent) and Tasmania (down 0.4 per cent). Construction rose in Victoria (up 5.2 per cent), Queensland (up 2.7 per cent), the ACT (up 0.5 per cent) and South Australia (up 0.1 per cent).
Engineering work fell by 9 percent in the June quarter – biggest quarterly fall in 15 1⁄2 years. Engineering construction is down by 24.9 percent on a year ago – biggest annual fall on record.
Commercial (non-residential) building rose by 2.1 percent in the June quarter to be up 0.4 percent over the year.
Residential building rose by 0.8 percent in the June quarter and was up by 9.4 percent over the year. Alterations &amp; additions rose by 5.4 percent in the quarter while new residential work rose by 0.1 percent.
The measure of inflation in the construction sector (deflator) rose by 0.6 per cent in the June quarter. The annual rate of construction inflation rose from 2.1 per cent to 2.7 percent – matching the fastest annual growth rate in almost 71⁄2 years. Engineering prices rose by 0.6 percent in the quarter (up 2.6 percent over the year) while building prices rose by 0.4 percent in the quarter (2 per cent over the year).
What is the importance of the economic data?
The Bureau of Statistics releases quarterly estimates of Construction work done. The estimates are based on a survey and cover around 85 per cent of the construction work done in the period. Revised estimates will be released in coming months. The data is useful largely for historical purposes but the work yet to be done estimates provide an early warning signal of future activity. The residential work figures give a good early guide to the strength of residential investment in the national accounts.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
There is plenty of work in the construction sector. But there are winners and losers across states and industry sectors. The Reserve Bank will not be overly concerned with the current trends in construction. Overall activity is correcting as expected and adjusting to the new realities.
While policymakers will continue to discuss the merits of another rate cut, it really comes down to the inflation outlook. CommSec expects a low inflation result over the September quarter should result in the central bank cutting the cash rate once again in November. 
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<div class="column">Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a></div>
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Building costs rise at the fastest pace in 7.5 years: CommSec's Savanth Sebastian

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/63264/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
Breeze blocks are having a moment in the sun. Having been painfully hip in the architecture of the 1950s and 60s, they were used so extensively, in both houses and commercial buildings, that they became ubiquitous anywhere in the world where it was hot – including throughout Australia.
While particularly associated with a beachy, holiday feeling – Gold Coast motels, houses in Palm Springs – they were really so widely-used that they can still be found pretty much everywhere. But after that postwar high point, they fell drastically out of favour, and languished for the next fifty years, built into the walls and gardens of our youths, widely loathed and reviled for being ugly and out of date.
Now their fortunes have turned again and architects, for the moment at least, can’t get enough of them: at the 2016 Houses Awards, announced two weeks ago, the “Best house under 200 metres squared” went to the Naranga Avenue House, by James Russell Architect – a lovely minimal house with a tight, rigorous plan, which undoubtedly won the award because of its “skin of delicate breezeblocks,” described by the awards jury as having “a sublime, ephemeral quality.”
Likewise, one of last year’s most published dwellings was Architect Prineas’ Breeze Block House, which transformed a 1950s bungalow through the use of a crisp, white-painted breezeblock screen wall. Dividing and defining two indoor/outdoor courtyard spaces, this wall also gives the house a distinct character.
You only need to dip into the Instagram feed of Sydney architect Sam Marshall, aka @breezeblockhead, to see the architectural community (including me, I’ll admit) collectively drooling over the multifarious screens, walls, fences, stairwells, undercrofts, carports, and garden rooms that this versatile material lends itself to. Marshall has been collecting images of breezeblocks for sixteen years, and has more than nine thousand followers.
Meanwhile on Pinterest it’s fascinating to see patterns and shapes from other countries – some highly inventive and very beautiful, a long way from the one or two rather stolid designs that were standard in the Adelaide suburbs of my childhood.
Patterned concrete blocks have a long (and sometimes celebrated) lineage. Some people credit Frank Lloyd Wright with inventing them, and indeed he did invent a precast concrete “textile block” system, which he used on several houses in Los Angeles including the Millard and Ennis Houses.
Inspired by the ornamentation on Mayan temples, the relief patterns on Lloyd Wright’s blocks are only slightly reminiscent of what we in Australia would call a breeze block (or screen block, or pattern block, or cinder block) because they are much less permeable – really his is a wall system, rather than a screen one.
The breeze block can also be linked more broadly to the tradition of the brise soleil, which refers to any kind of sun baffle installed outside the skin of a building (which is where the sun screens should be! Stop the heat before it enters your building envelope!). Breeze blocks are not (usually) structural, hence they were often used where a garden meets a house – patio screens or carports or garden walls. In commercial buildings, they were often used for stairwells, balcony screening, and curtain wall sun-shading to large windows.
Right now we are in the midst of a resurgence of interest in postwar design: the wild popularity of all things <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mid-century_modern">mid-century modern</a> (or mid-mod, or MCM) has spread beyond furniture and houses to materials, and the breeze block has been carried along on that tide.
It is of course a well-known strategy to take the most passe thing you can find and re-appropriate it, for shock value, and to jolt everyone into seeing it anew. But in the case of the breeze block it seems to me more than that – because these “concrete masonary units” (as they’re technically called) actually have qualities that don’t exist in other materials.
You can make permeable walls out of timber or sheet materials or even bricks, but you won’t get quite the same effect as breeze blocks provide: a durable screen which is private and secure, offers sun shading and weather protection and ventilation, and has the added bonus of being highly patterned with geometric ornament. Breeze blocks expand the architect’s repertoire and ability to manipulate the wall with different degrees of solidity and permeability, openness and enclosure. 
Plus, they’re pleasing to the eye. A breeze block screen wall can be a beautiful thing – the pattern of each individual block adding to a greater whole, and a larger pattern, when they’re used en masse.
Of course, I didn’t always see the beauty in a breeze block. In fact, I thought they were hideous; an irredeemably ugly vestige of another time, banal and styleless, they reminded me of everything I hated about suburbia. Partly it was their materiality – concrete blockwork can be hard to love, especially in its untreated forms, and breezeblocks are made of a particularly scratchy and drab variety. It’s no coincidence that many of the contemporary architects are choosing to paint theirs.
So what can we make of this resurgence, other than yet another spin on the wheel of architectural fashion? Building materials come and go; my childhood home in the late 1970s had faux venetian glass in the windows and timber shakes on the roof – the very height of style at the time. Likewise, at the moment there is a rash of rusted corten steel, and an eruption of laser-cut perforated metal screens, creeping over the buildings of our cities – these are very modish right now, but in a few years they will be testaments to the (past) time of their design and construction, as all buildings and materials inevitably are.
 
Because, in fact, architectural fashions are far more than just frivolous or superficial fancies, they can tell us a lot about the values and concerns of a building’s culture, in a particular location, at a particular time. This is why architectural historians are so interested in past “fashions” (we might also link them to movements, or schools, or ideologies) – because they can be highly revealing. Thus the more interesting story here is not so much fashion, but temporality – how a thing, or material, or building, reveals its being of its time.
This also leads to a danger, for so-called “middle aged” buildings: it’s a truism of the heritage professions that when a building is old enough to seem unstylish and dated, but not yet old enough to be valued as legitimately historical and worth preserving, then it is highly vulnerable to being demolished, or equally of being renovated to death. Young buildings are valued, and very old ones are too, but middle-aged buildings are exposed, and many good ones don’t make it.
Finally, though, in the return of the breeze block is a story about ornament. Many contemporary architects are exploring new modes of surface and material ornament, and it’s easy to see the return of the breeze block as part of this movement. The exploration, and valuation, of pattern, geometry, adornment and richness in the surface of buildings is very much A Good Thing. And so, all hail the breeze block: a material redeemed.
Naomi Stead is associate professor, The University of Queensland and author for The Conversation. She can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/naomi-stead-108029" target="_blank">here.</a>
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The return of the breeze block

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With healthy levels of activity in the residential construction sector the proposed changes to mine subsidence districts by the Mine Subsidence Board (MSB) are well-timed, reported the Housing Industry Association.
"The proposed new Districts of Maitland West and Branxton in particular are supported as they sit within important growth corridor that shall continue to progress in the coming years," explained HIA Hunter Executive Director, Craig Jennion.
"Whilst long-term residents may be well aware of previous mining activity in these locations, for new residents the establishment of these Districts will ensure that any new building activity, including renovations, will trigger the need to seek MSB approval prior to commencement," Mr Jennion said.
In other locations Districts are proposed to be reduced where land has not been undermined.
"This is commended for this shall both shorten approval timeframes and reduce construction costs as approvals will no longer be required and engineering and architectural considerations will not need to be incorporated into home designs where a risk does not exist. This will remove red tape for industry and make homes more affordable for homeowners".
HIA believes that in addition to a review of Districts the MSB and the NSW Government should do more to address industry concerns about subsidence, particularly in inner Newcastle.
"Whilst the establishment of a $17 million fund to address subsidence issues is to be applauded HIA has concerns that this will be inadequate to address the level of subsidence that has stopped development at higher densities in recent decades," Mr Jennion said.
In addition, HIA believes that the NSW government should continue to ensure there are sufficient funds to support research and investment in new technology to address subsidence concerns.
"Addressing this will provide confidence to industry and will ensure that the residential housing sector can provide projects with the height and density to revitalise Newcastle and provide the lifestyle that the community both needs and expects," concluded Mr Jennion.
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Property 101: Residential approvals in NSW regions with mining subsidence

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GUEST OBSERVER
A weaker set of economic results. A modest slide in the number of dwelling approvals, and a substantial rise in the trade deficit. The only positives to be taken out of the data related to the rise in the value of building approvals. Overall there is nothing in the data to stop the Reserve Bank from cutting interest rates if they deem it necessary.  
The housing sector continues to bubble along at a healthy pace. Home prices remain resilient despite changes in regulation and tighter lending standards that have been adopted by the banking sector. Importantly the pipeline of new building will continue to support broader-based economic growth over the coming 12-18 months.  
Over the past year 233,246 new homes were approved, easing further from the record high 240,842 in the year to October 2015. The anticipated lift in housing supply should ensure a more balanced environment – in essence house price growth is likely to be more contained over the medium term.  
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The housing sector isn’t the hotly contested issue it was a year ago, but still the Reserve Bank will keep a close eye on the sector, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne.
The trade accounts remain firmly in the red. Not only have the trade accounts been in deficit for over two consecutive years, but the 12-month rolling annual deficit came in at a sizeable $35.7 billion. However the trade data doesn’t have the impact on the currency that it once did.
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What do the figures show?
 Building Approvals:
Dwelling approvals fell by 2.9 per cent in June after falling by 5.4 per cent in May. In trend terms, approvals fell by 0.9 per cent in June.   Over the past year 233,246 new homes were approved, easing further from the record high 240,842 in the year to October 2015.   House approvals fell by 2.4 per cent in June after a 0.5 per cent rise in May (private sector fell by 2.3 per cent). Meanwhile ‘lumpy’ apartment approvals fell by 3.4 per cent in June after falling by 10.7 per cent in May. Private sector apartment approvals fell by 2.4 per cent in June. Dwelling approvals in June were down 5.9 per cent on a year ago with house approvals down 5.5 per cent while apartments are down by 6.3 per cent.  
Across states and territories in June: NSW (-4 per cent); Victoria (+4.1 per cent); Queensland (-2.1 per cent); South Australia (-12.3 per cent); Western Australia (+2.4 per cent); Tasmania (-23.6 per cent). In trend terms, approvals rose by 3.6 per cent in the Northern Territory and by 2.8 per cent in the ACT.  
The value of all commercial and residential building approvals rose by 5.3 per cent in June after falling by 10.7 per cent in May. Residential approvals fell by 1.5 per cent with new building down by 1.2 per cent while alterations &amp; additions fell by 3.8 per cent. Commercial building rose by 20.8 per cent in June to be up 18.8 per cent on a year ago.  
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International trade:
Australia’s trade deficit widened from $2.42 billion in May to $3.2 billion in June. It was the 27th consecutive  monthly deficit. The rolling 12-month deficit eased from $36.2 billion to a 7-month low of $35.7 billion.
In June, exports of goods and services fell by 0.8 per cent (goods down 1.1 per cent) while imports of goods and services rose by 2 per cent (goods up 2.6 per cent). Exports are down 0.9 per cent on a year ago, while imports are down by 2.3 per cent.  
Within imports, consumer imports rose by 7.4 per cent with capital goods imports up by 2.9 per cent while intermediate goods imports fell by 1.1 per cent.
Consumption goods imports are up 8.9 per cent on a year ago while capital goods imports are up 8.6 per cent and intermediate goods imports are down by 18 per cent. 
Australia's annual exports to China stood at $80.1 billion in the year to June. Annual exports were down 1 per cent on a year ago. Exports to China accounted for 32.9 per cent of Australia's total exports.  
Australia's annual imports from China eased from $61.4 billion to $61.3 billion in the year to June, up 7.6 per cent on a year ago. Imports from China accounted for 23.3 per cent of Australia's total imports.  
Australia's rolling annual trade surplus with China held near recent 5-year lows. The annual trade surplus was $18.7 billion in June – but well down from the record high of $51.2 billion set in April 2014.  
Australia annual exports to the US eased from $13.3 billion to $13.2 billion in the year to June and down from a record high of $13.69 billion in the year to October 2015. The share of annual exports going to the US eased from a 7-year high of 5.5 per cent to 5.4 per cent.  
Australia’s annual exports to India eased further from the two-year high of $10.34 billion set in the year to December 2015 to $9.52 billion in the year to June.  
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<img src="/images/2016/08/02/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-02%20at%202.02.15%20PM.png" alt="">
What is the importance of the economic data? 
The Bureau of Statistics' monthly Building Approvals release contains figures on local council approvals to build residential structures such as homes and units as well as commercial premises such as offices and shops. Approval is one of the first stages of the construction ‘pipeline’ and is thus a key leading indicator of future activity. An increase in approvals would point to stronger future activity for construction-related companies.  
The monthly International Trade in Goods and Services release from the Bureau of Statistics provides estimates on exports and imports of physical goods (such as coal, beef and computers) and services (such as travel receipts). The balance of goods and services (BOGS) is a narrower description of Australia’s external position than the current account estimates. The import data is a useful gauge of consumer and business spending while exports reflect global demand as well as domestic influences such as drought.  
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?  
While new council approvals to build new homes appear to have peaked, activity levels are still healthy. But now investors and builders need to do more research to ensure that the projects they are interested in remain viable with competing projects. There is certainly potential for indigestion in certain towns and regions as new projects are completed and the stock is absorbed.
<a href="/images/2016/08/02/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-02%20at%202.03.22%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/08/02/Screen%20Shot%202016-08-02%20at%202.03.22%20PM.png" alt="">
The Reserve Bank will closely monitor developments in China and financial markets more generally. Encouragingly the Reserve Bank has plenty of firepower to provide stimulus to the economy, especially given the low inflation environment.  
Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a>
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