Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

Joel Robinson

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

&nbsp;

Developer GURNER™ Group has revealed $1.65 billion in residential sales nationally across the 12 months to December 2025, driven largely by the continued momentum of its Docklands wellness-focused precinct, Elysium Fields.

The sales result was generated across seven projects in Victoria and New South Wales, headlined by Elysium Fields, GURNER™’s $2.75 billion mixed-use precinct planned for Harbour Esplanade in Docklands.

The project has recorded more than $500 million in sales across the first three towers, equating to around 580 apartments sold.

The first tower, Helios, has now sold out of its 240 private residences, with GURNER™ preparing to release a premium penthouse collection comprising 15 three-bedroom penthouses in coming weeks.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370975]

Elysium Fields is being developed on the long-held 20,000 sqm Docklands site at 208-226 Harbour Esplanade, which had remained undeveloped for more than two decades prior to GURNER™ taking over the project around four years ago.

Construction has now commenced across four towers ranging between 18 and 30 storeys, with Hamilton Marino and Maxcon appointed as builders.

Once complete, the precinct is expected to comprise around 1,100 residences, alongside retail, hospitality and public realm uses integrated throughout the site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370981]

Designed by Fraser &amp; Partners in collaboration with GURNER™ Design House, the project has been positioned around the developer’s broader focus on wellness-led residential living.

“We don’t sell apartments. We create a true luxury lifestyle that simply doesn’t exist elsewhere in the market today,” Founder and Executive Chairman Tim Gurner said.

“To deliver that requires an extraordinary level of detail, coordination and discipline across multiple verticals, from design and hospitality through to wellness and service.”

“We’ve always believed that living extends far beyond the physical residence. It’s about how you feel the moment you arrive, how you live day-to-day, and the ecosystem that supports that.” 
[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370977]

The project’s design places a heavy focus on landscaping, wellness amenities and biophilic design principles.

Plans include around 3,700 sqm of landscaped gardens and open space throughout the precinct, alongside a retail and dining offering spanning approximately 5,000 sqm.

The broader public realm strategy centres around what GURNER™ describes as the “Path of Life”, an urban forest and landscaped pedestrian environment intended to connect the various buildings and wellness spaces across the precinct.

The apartments themselves will incorporate a range of wellness-focused inclusions, including purified air and water systems, circadian lighting, antimicrobial surfaces, and optional in-home wellness upgrades.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370980]

Gurner said the company’s experience through its Saint Haven wellness clubs had directly informed the residential offering now being incorporated into Elysium Fields.

“We’re seeing a clear global shift toward longevity, performance and proactive health,” Gurner said.

“Our role is to deliver that in a way that feels seamless, highly private and beautifully resolved within the environments we create.”

A large component of the wellness offering is planned through the resident amenity and health facilities proposed within the precinct.

That includes plans for bathing and recovery facilities spread throughout the towers, incorporating mineral pools, saunas, steam rooms, flotation therapy, red light therapy and wellness lounges.

The developer is also seeking approvals for what it describes as a “reverse ageing medical clinic” within the precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370978]

According to project information released by the group, the proposed facility would include cryotherapy, IV infusion therapy, infrared and dry saunas, PEMF beds, MRIs, DEXA scans, brain scans and blood analysis services.

Within the first tower, Helios, residents will also have access to a dedicated amenity offering known as the Sky Private Club.

The upper 15 levels of the building will include private lounges, dining spaces, rooftop amenities and optional private wellness studios integrated within residences.

The Helios tower itself comprises 260 apartments ranging between 60 sqm and 300 sqm, including a collection of penthouses.

That includes a planned two-storey penthouse spanning around 600 sqm with uninterrupted bay views.

The Elysium Fields precinct is being delivered in partnership with Digital Harbour Holdings, a consortium that includes the Liberman family, which controls the development rights across the Docklands site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370979]

The sales result comes as GURNER™ continues expanding its national development pipeline beyond Victoria.

“We have a strong pipeline across Australia and are now focused on scaling into key markets including New South Wales and Queensland, while continuing to build on our Melbourne base,” Gurner said.

“We currently have more than $3 billion in the market, growing to over $5 billion by October, and expect to materially outperform last year in the 2026 calendar year.”

The result also reflects the continued strength of the upper-end apartment market in Melbourne, particularly for owner-occupier-focused product with large-scale amenity and lifestyle offerings.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144441]

Record result anchored by the Group’s “utopian” Elysium Fields precinct – defying market headwinds in Docklands.

Elysium Fields drive Gurner to $1.65 billion in apartment sales over 2025

National Australia Bank (NAB) will fund <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera</a>, a $1 billion, 52-level luxury residential tower being developed by Central Equity in one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held coastal locations at Northcliffe.

The project, launched recently by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a>, one of Victoria’s largest private residential developers, comes at a time when construction funding for large residential developments has become increasingly competitive as lenders tighten exposure to the sector.

Multiplex has been appointed the builder, and construction is now underway.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365784]

Since its first project, Central Equity has delivered more than 85 residential developments with a combined end value exceeding $8 billion.

Palmera reflects Central Equity’s growing focus on the Gold Coast luxury apartment market and continues a relationship between Central Equity and NAB that dates back to the late 1980s, when the bank funded one of Melbourne’s earliest inner-city residential towers at a time when high-rise apartment living in the CBD was largely unproven.

“NAB’s funding of Central Equity’s $36 million CBD development in the late 1980’s to the financing of the billion-dollar tower today highlights the long-term relationship between the two organisations in delivering major residential projects” said Central Equity Founder and Chairman Eddie Kutner.

He said NAB’s early support was instrumental in helping establish the company’s development model.

“When we commenced our first residential tower in the late 1980s the concept of funding off-the-plan apartments was still largely untested in Australia,” Kutner said.

“NAB recognised the opportunity early and supported the project when others were uncertain. That relationship has now continued for more than 37 years across many developments.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Central Equity was established in 1987 when Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank precinct were still dominated by warehouses and commercial buildings. Fewer than 100 residents lived in Southbank at the time, and large-scale residential development in the inner city was not widely considered.

Recognising changing demographics and lifestyle preferences, the company began developing high-rise residential projects designed to bring permanent residents into the city centre.

Central Equity has provided accommodation for approximately 40,000 residents across Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank, while also incorporating supporting infrastructure including essential lifestyle facilities like retail spaces, childcare facilities and neighbourhood activity centres.

Central Equity has spent many years assembling the Palmera development site on the corner of Garfield Terrace and Frederick Street in Northcliffe, creating a supersite of around 3,300 sqm.

The developer said the Palmera apartment tower reflects its long-term view of the Gold Coast as a growing and increasingly diversified economy.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365768]

Supported by infrastructure including the light rail network, major road upgrades expanded education, hospital and medical facilities and continued expansion at the Gold Coast Airport with more international and domestic flights.

Positioned in the tightly held Northcliffe precinct, the 52-level tower will deliver 347 apartments, targeting buyers seeking a high-end coastal lifestyle, from downsizers to interstate investors.

Designed by Marchese Partners with interiors by DBI, Palmera has been conceived as a next-generation residential offering, featuring a collection of oversized apartments, with premium three-bedroom residences offering sweeping northern views stretching from Surfers Paradise through to Burleigh Heads.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

NAB funds $1 billion Surfers Paradise apartment development, Palmera

Two years after completing one of the newest developments in North Sydney, developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aqualand-australia">Aqualand</a> is turning its attention to the rapidly evolving St Leonards apartment market.

The developer, which completed AURA by Aqualand on North Sydney's Walker Street, has lodged plans for a 5,918 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/33-37-herbert-street-st-leonards-nsw-2065">33-37 Herbert Street, St Leonards,</a> seeking approval for a pair of residential towers rising above a shared podium opposite Royal North Shore Hospital.

The proposal forms part of the broader transformation underway across the St Leonards-Crows Nest precinct, where former industrial and commercial sites are increasingly being redeveloped into high-density mixed-use projects tied to major transport infrastructure.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2cc428cf-fe70-4cac-9cd5-264ad53af62c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=otKSnHtbjAvAddOnovyXQMgcAwE6DMe1" />

According to the planning documents, the site sits “within the St Leonards–Crows Nest Strategic Centre, identified by the NSW Government as a key area for accommodating future jobs and housing across Sydney.”

The proposal has been designed by fjcstudio, formerly FJMT Studio, and is being progressed through the State Significant Development pathway due to its scale and affordable housing provision.

The scheme would comprise 413 apartments, including 46 affordable housing units, alongside retail and commercial uses fronting Herbert Street. The project would also include communal open space, landscaping, a swimming pool, gymnasium, children’s play areas and podium-level resident amenities.

Planning documents show the development would consist of a part-13, part-39 storey tower form positioned above a four-storey podium.

“The development comprises a unified podium that activates the street interface, and two setback towers to accommodate new housing supply while maintaining an appropriate human scale at ground level,” fjcstudio noted in its Design Report.

The northern and southern towers have been shaped to respond to the surrounding skyline while also limiting overshadowing impacts to nearby public open space, particularly Talus Reserve.

The design report said the differing tower heights were intended to “contribute to a varied skyline while responding to the surrounding built form context and solar access considerations.”

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36da62dc-ff9e-41f2-a7e3-7be38373751c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.45%E2%80%AFAM_0.png?VersionId=Mo6Rp2r.XRLTzIfg_PEEpw8NepDH8UBs" />

The site sits directly opposite Royal North Shore Hospital and within walking distance of both St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

While the site itself sits just outside the formal Crows Nest Transport Oriented Development boundary, the planning documents repeatedly reference its alignment with the broader TOD objectives reshaping the Lower North Shore.

“The site is located adjacent to St Leonards Station and in close proximity to Crows Nest Metro which is within the Crows Nest Transit Orientated Development Accelerated Precinct which has been identified by the NSW Government to support housing delivery,” the Design Verification Statement noted.

According to fjcstudio, the project has been designed to respond to the broader transition occurring across St Leonards, where increasing residential density is being concentrated around transport infrastructure and employment hubs.

“The broader precinct is undergoing significant change, with a mix of existing mid-rise buildings and newer high-density developments,” the report stated.

“Recent and approved projects indicate a consistent shift toward taller built form, typically organised as tower-and-podium typologies with more active ground levels.”

The proposal includes close to 6,000 sqm of retail and commercial space across the ground floor and podium levels, designed to create a more activated street edge along Herbert Street.

Aqualand’s plans would also introduce a landscaped podium shared between the two towers, with communal open space in the form of a podium rooftop designed to support resident interaction and improve urban greening outcomes. The scheme would also introduce pocket parks at the northern and southern ends of the site, including a landscaped area at the corner of Herbert and Ella streets designed to improve pedestrian amenity and soften the streetscape.

&nbsp;

The proposal is being progressed through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway, which was introduced to accelerate housing supply across the state. The application was declared State Significant Development in April 2025 following an expression of interest process.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="faf6d97d-2671-454f-b85a-fe1c6a7be608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=diVd28OBVr5.YV.7prrOz.uAanwwwm7a" />

St Leonards has been particularly active with new developments in recent weeks. Developer SP Setia’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-sp-setia-targets-st-leonards-skyline-with-40-storey-tod-tower">plans for a new 42-storey tower</a> recently went on exhibition through the same pathway, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">Stockland’s 52-storey tower proposal</a> was also recently unveiled.

Aside from the St Leonards project, which is expected to take around nine months to move through the approvals process ahead of a potential 2027 launch, Aqualand is also preparing to launch Boronia, a new apartment project in Roseville comprising around 111 apartments on Larkin Street.

The developer also has approvals in place for the next stage of the Barangaroo precinct, which will feature new residential, retail, hospitality and community uses, alongside a new metro entry across the five-hectare site.

More than 50 new retail destinations are planned for Central Barangaroo, alongside a 270-metre-long boulevard connecting Hickson Park to Nawi Cove. Together with Harbour Park, more than 50 per cent of the precinct will comprise public open space and parkland.

First look: Aqualand joins St Leonards apartment party

Property Bubble

<html><body><div style="text-align: left;" align="center">
Chief executive of real estate group Starr Partners, Douglas Driscoll, has predicted a property bubble in Sydney to form if the market keeps on the same growth trajectory in hand with an imbalance of the housing affordability to wage ratio.
He said at the moment, the average house price is nearly 12 times the average salary in Sydney, which is considered by some respected commentators as the early fizzing of a bubble and added it is now undeniable that we are in unchartered territory and without some intelligent intervention, he believes there could be trouble ahead.  
“Based on demand, I’m hearing that agents are short on listings by 10-20 percent right across Sydney and this could be partly hinging on July 2.
"Elections directly impact consumer sentiment, with the uncertainty usually making people nervous. Historically we have almost always seen a pre-election lull, but at the moment auction clearance rates are hovering around 80 percent and property prices are still ascending across many Sydney suburbs. For me, it is almost inconceivable that a looming closely-fought election and the recently introduced macroprudential measures haven’t appeared to have put the brakes on the market.”
“Property is front and centre of the current political debate, with a strong emphasis on a proposed change in negative gearing concessions. Without thorough morphological research, it is very difficult to predict the full extent of any change in policy, but it is very likely that there would be wide-felt ramifications. Negative gearing has dominated conversation for months – and has taken the limelight away from an even bigger issue: housing affordability.
"According to CoreLogic data, Sydney house prices went up three per cent in May and based on how the market is travelling and I anticipate prices will go up by at least six percent by the end of the year. A bubble is something that has never been seen in Sydney and is understandably a subject that a lot of my peers shy away from discussing, or if they do, simply dismiss out of hand. Economists might be predicting that house prices will fall by 10 percent in 2019 but for me, it’s too far ahead to call. A lot can change in three weeks, let alone three years into the future.”
He said amalgamated councils could help keep the bubble at bay, adding hyper-localisation could feature heavily as part of the solution. 
“I acknowledge that it is an incredibly complex issue and I certainly don’t envy politicians – it’s a real juggling act. The Government is letting things take their natural course, which can be potentially dangerous. Now, I’m not necessarily calling for widespread changes because one size doesn’t fit all. This is primarily a Sydney issue, so tinkering with policy on a national level could create an unwanted butterfly effect elsewhere in Australia," he said.
“One way to address this matter could be to give Sydney’s new ‘super councils’ more power and the freedom to operate with more autonomy after amalgamating. They can’t be toothless tigers. We need to think of more creative ways to problem solve and this could start by looking at trialling localised or hyperlocal policies in certain areas. My only caveat would be that they are still ultimately under the auspices of the State Government for guidance and supervision.”
"This may not seem as far-fetched as it sounds; similar systems currently exist elsewhere. In the UK suburb of St Ives for example, one in four properties were believed to be used as holiday homes, being vacant most of the time. To combat this, legislation was introduced where new-build properties are only available to full-time residents in a bid to preserve community. Off the back of this, Douglas believes Australia should look to countries with similar systems for inspiration about what might work on our soil. 
“Both policy makers and real estate professionals alike cannot afford to take an ignorant approach because we will lose a lot of credibility if we don’t address, acknowledge and pass comment on these complex issues – the negatives as well as the positives. Today’s consumer is educated and informed, and they look to us for candid advice. It’s our duty to be transparent, even in times when we are faced with situations that make us feel uncomfortable. We must take a responsible solution-orientated approach to the facts as we find them."
</div></body></html>

jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Hyper-localisation key to avoid property bubble: Douglas Driscoll

<html><body>
<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
The latest Australian housing finance statistics back-up what we already know: the national housing market is starting to cool.
Local housing economists have been pouring water on the notion of a “property bubble” recently, arguing instead that rather than a bubble pop, we are on track for a gradual easing.
And at the aggregate level this is what’s happening. Home loan commitments are continuing to grow. However, this growth is occurring at a rate that has been slowing since the middle of last year.
The seven charts below unpick the latest housing finance figures.
<h2>1. National growth in loans</h2>
<a href="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11420-e5y16g.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11420-e5y16g.JPG" alt="">
<h4>Data source: ABS Housing Finance, Australia (5609.0), Released 11 April 2016.</h4>
According to data released this week by the ABS, the overall growth in loans for housing increased a modest 1.5% in February (seasonally adjusted terms). Despite a bounce after the slow January month, growth over the past 12 months sits below the last five years' average annual loan commitments. (It’s the same story if we look instead at the value of loans.)
Where the picture gets really interesting is in the change in commitments to loans for the purchase of new dwellings. The number of loans in this category fell over 15% from January into February. Where this was the fastest growing category of housing finance at the end of 2015, it is now the leading area of contraction.
All-in-all this points to a market that, following a recent upsurge in building, is nearing saturation.
<h2>2. Distribution of loans by state</h2>
<a href="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11437-qbrwu7.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<h4><img src="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11437-qbrwu7.JPG" alt=""></h4>
<h4>Source data:</h4>
The majority of housing finance is going to property purchases in NSW (30%) and Victoria (28%).
<h2>3. Lending and house prices - National</h2>
<a href="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11426-xqj0gm.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11426-xqj0gm.JPG" alt="">
<h4>Data source: ABS Housing Finance, Australia (5609.0), Released 11 April 2016; ABS Residential Property Price Indexes (December 2015); CoreLogic Housing Market Update Figures (April 2016)</h4>
Growth in the value of Australian housing loans over time roughly tracks the Australian house price index.
The rapid increase in building, particularly high-density developments in urban growth centres in Sydney and Melbourne, in late-2015 saw loan value growth outpace broader property prices.
As property prices adjust to a new supply-driven equilibrium, easing loan volumes is expected.
<h2>4. Lending and house prices - State-by-state</h2>
<a href="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11420-z4cl5.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11420-z4cl5.JPG" alt="">
<h4>Source data: ABS Housing Finance, Australia (5609.0), Released 11 April 2016; ABS Residential Property Price Indexes (December 2015); CoreLogic Housing Market Update Figures (April 2016)</h4>
Year-on-year growth in property prices and housing finance by state shows massive diversity. Where Sydney, Melbourne and Hobart (who knew!) have recorded near- and above double digit average property price growth, it is still a struggle for resource-heavy parts of the country.
Brisbane, Perth and Darwin are experiencing the flip-side of the two-speed economy which through the mining boom saw their housing markets pull ahead of Sydney and Melbourne.
<h2>5. Household wealth, income and debt servicing</h2>
<a href="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11461-qtp2ii.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11461-qtp2ii.JPG" alt="">
<h4>Source data: RBA Household Finances (E2)</h4>
Overall, households are getting more wealth, relative to their income. This is coming from a combination of housing asset and financial asset capital gains.
It comes at a cost, however. Owner-occupier debt as a proportion of income is trending higher. Coupled with an increase in late 2015 of the proportion of income going to mortgage interest repayments, housing affordability issues may soon come into play.
<h2>6. First home owners are missing out</h2>
<h4><a href="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11469-1r1oaly.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></h4>
<img src="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11469-1r1oaly.JPG" alt="">
<h4>Source data: ABS Housing Finance, Australia (5609.0), Released 11 April 2016</h4>
As a proportion of all housing loans, the value of loans going to first-home buyers make up around 15% of the national market, and NSW is the worst place for first-home buyers.
The latest ABS figures show that first-home buyers are making up a smaller and smaller part of the loan market. The proportion of loans to first-home buyers decreased in every state except Tasmania in the beginning of 2016.
First-home owners in NSW make up only 12% of the value of housing finance commitments, the lowest of any state and representing a significant drop-off from a high of around 30% in 2009-10 (after which point the First Home Owners Grant was scaled back).
<h2>7. Big banks are also missing out…</h2>
<a href="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11426-i5j6ep.JPG" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/18/image-20160415-11426-i5j6ep.JPG" alt="">
<h4>Source data: ABS Housing Finance, Australia (5609.0), Release</h4>
Comparing the performance of the banks against non-bank lenders in terms of owner-occupier loan issuance, the traditional banks are lagging.
Banks are feeling the burn doubly: while their grasp of the market is trimmed by a more competitive offering from alternative lenders, the average Australian loan size is also falling.
Smaller loans are partly a response to a national housing market cool-down. It could also be attributed to APRA’s review of lending practices aimed at mitigating risk of property overvaluation introduced in December 2014.
This means the banks have to work harder (and their stock prices appear to be factoring that in!)
Danika Wright is lecturer in Finance, University of Sydney and author for The Conversation. She can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/danika-wright-121868" target="_blank">here</a>.
</body></html>

Australia’s housing finance in seven charts: Danika Wright

<html><body>
GUEST OBSERVER
With plenty of hype around US property agent Jonathan Tepper’s predictions that Australian property prices will fall by 50 percent, here are ten reasons I think the Aussie property bubble won’t burst. 
1. Australia has high credit quality
Australia and the US are two completely different markets. Australia has higher quality home loans thanks to stricter lending criteria and requirements, which means borrowers who are approved for loans can generally afford to service them. In contrast, banks in the US at the time of the GFC were lending to people who hadn’t provided paperwork and couldn’t service the loan – a recipe for disaster.
2. Not as many foreclosures
Borrowers in the US weren’t required to stump up a deposit to get a mortgage. To make matters worse, banks had no recourse so a borrower could walk away from a property without being sued. In contrast, Australians can no longer borrow 100% of the property value, and lenders can seek financial retribution if a borrower defaults. Australian borrowers are therefore less likely to default on their home loan, resulting in fewer foreclosures.
3. You need to compare apples with apples
A major problem with Tepper’s examples is that he was talking about the US as a whole and not comparing apples with apples. We need to compare prominent cities with other prominent cities, like Sydney with New York, which didn’t have much of a collapse during the GFC. No one would compare Logan in Queensland with Manhattan, would they? It just doesn’t make sense.
4. Financial bodies are closely monitoring the market
Down under, the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority is keeping a close eye on the market and responding swiftly. For example, last year when APRA found there were too many investors driving up the Australian property market, it brought in new regulations that required lenders to reduce their investor loan books. The banks responded quickly and as a result we haven’t seen a major drop in the property market.
5. We have a strong employment market
For a 40-50% property collapse to occur, there need to be massive job losses and foreclosures – but we are seeing the opposite in Australia, as unemployment has dropped to around 6%.
6. There’s a limited amount of land available
The US is covered coast to coast with property, whereas in Australia we are restricted to areas around the coast where there is water and amenities, so we have a limited amount of properties available. We also have record migration at the moment, which will underpin prices for land.
7. Continued property demand from foreign investors
The Australian market is also being propped up by continued investment by overseas buyers from countries like China.
8. The market is similar to 2003
If you compare the percentage of disposable income today to what it was in 2003, it is somewhat similar. Back then, the RBA increased the official cash rate and prices slowed down. However, prices still moved along with inflation – they didn’t drop. So we’ve seen this happen before and we are just as leveraged now as we were then.
9. The RBA has room to move
The good news is today the Reserve Bank of Australia still has 2% to play with, so if the market did start to collapse the RBA could push the official cash rate to 0%, which would help homeowners get through the tough period financially.
10. We have negative gearing
The US didn’t have negative gearing when the GFC occurred – and still doesn’t today. But tax benefits Down Under drive behaviour as many investors are willing to lose a portion of their wages for the benefit of capital gains and bringing down their taxable income. Even if negative gearing concessions were to be slashed, property prices are unlikely to drop by 50%.
So where will the Australian property market go?
Property clearance rates are improving from last year despite predictions the market would keep dropping, so I’m still tipping prices will go up by 3-4% and will keep up with inflation. 
Watch this space…
STEVE JOVCEVSKI is a property investment and home loan negotiator at <a href="https://mozo.com.au/" target="_blank">Mozo.com.au</a>.
</body></html>

Property Bubble

Editor's Picks

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News

Property Bubble

Editor's Picks

Receive the latest news stories to your inbox

Have something to contribute?

Developments

New apartments

New townhouses

News