The new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a> development in Melbourne's inner west is showing that landscaping can be just as influential as architecture, with buyers responding strongly to the garden-first approach adopted from the outset by developer Excelon Projects and the project's design team.

Excelon appointed Six Degrees Architects and landscape architects SBLA to work collaboratively on the development, with a brief to create "a sustainable, design-led building with a focus on community."

That approach has resonated with buyers. According to Next Chapter Director Tom Hirini, who is leading the sales campaign, the landscaped communal garden has become one of the project's defining features, alongside its boutique scale and European-inspired cluster housing concept.

Local downsizers, right-sizers and established families already living in Yarraville and surrounding suburbs have accounted for the majority of purchasers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297740]

Yarraville Green will comprise 53 homes, including apartments and townhomes, arranged around the shared central garden to maximise connections to the landscaped open space. Parking has been moved underground, allowing the ground plane to be dedicated to greenery, pedestrian movement and communal spaces.

The landscape extends well beyond passive planting. Productive garden beds, a pergola, communal gathering spaces, garden sheds and a pet wash have all been integrated into the masterplan, creating spaces designed to encourage everyday interaction between residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297741]

The interiors continue Excelon's focus on craftsmanship, incorporating bespoke elements by Melbourne artisans including leadlight detailing by Adadaz, hand-turned timber hardware by Auburn Woodturning and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen.

Sustainability has also been embedded throughout the project, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating through passive design principles, rooftop solar servicing common areas and rainwater harvesting for landscape irrigation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297735]

Construction continues to progress at Yarraville Green, with structural works well underway and framing works approaching completion under builder Balmain &amp; Co. The project remains on track for completion in mid-2027.

Apartments at Yarraville Green are currently priced from $625,000, while townhomes start from $1.4 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]

Joel Robinson

Garden-led design drives buyer demand at Yarraville Green

National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.

Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]

The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.

Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.

"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.

"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.

"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]

Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.

The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]

Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.

Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]

Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.

Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]

Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.

It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 41-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.

Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.

While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]

Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 41-storey tower, which has 229 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.

The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.

"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.

"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.

"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]

One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.

"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.

While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.

"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.

"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]

There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.

As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.

"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.

A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.

The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]

A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.

It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.

Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.

The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]

"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.

"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.

"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]

The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.

Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]

The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.

The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]

Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.

Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]

While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.

It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.

Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]

That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.

Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

As apartment living continues to evolve across Sydney's growth corridors, the quality and distribution of shared spaces is increasingly shaping how residents experience home. Rather than functioning as add-ons, amenities are being embedded into the daily rhythm of a building, supporting everything from quiet retreat to social interaction, often within a single vertical community.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/aeris-melrose-park-nursery-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Aeris</a> in Melrose Park, this approach is resolved through a layered amenity offering that unfolds from ground level through to its upper podium. Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> in partnership with Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project introduces 468 apartments across two towers and a mid-rise building, positioned at the highest point of the broader masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=359199]

The amenity experience begins at street level, where two courtyards sit within a landscaped setting that connects residents to the wider network of parks and green spaces. These green spaces are not isolated pockets but part of a wider pedestrian network that links Aeris to the surrounding <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a> precinct, including Central Park, future schools, and the Town Centre opening in July 2026. The result is a transition that moves from public to private without abrupt boundaries, allowing residents to pass through shaded, tree-lined environments before reaching the building itself.

Moving upward, the focus shifts to the level five podium, where the primary communal facilities are concentrated. This space brings together a 16-metre swimming pool, outdoor seating areas, and a communal BBQ zone arranged to take advantage of elevated outlooks. Seating is positioned beneath pergolas, creating pockets of shade that extend the usability of the space throughout the day. The pool edge aligns with views toward the wider district, reinforcing the sense of elevation that defines the project’s positioning.

In the adjacent building, this is complemented by quieter, more contemplative spaces, including an outdoor cinema set within the same level. Positioned to operate primarily in the evening, it introduces a different tempo to the shared environment, shifting from daytime activity to after-hours use without requiring separate zones.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360299]

The podium also accommodates an intimate private resident gym. Located on the lower levels, it gives residents convenient access to fitness facilities without leaving the building.

Above, the elevated podium sky deck extends the amenity offering, providing additional open-air spaces with elevated outlooks across the surrounding landscape. While more restrained in program, this upper level reinforces the project’s vertical progression, from ground-level greenery to elevated outlook, allowing residents to move between distinct spatial conditions within a single address.

This distribution of amenities reflects a deliberate response to how residents use space across the day. Sekisui House Australia Sales and Marketing Director Peter Kalaf points to the role these shared areas play in shaping buyer demand. Aeris has been conceived as more than a collection of apartments, with the podium pool, gym and outdoor cinema forming part of a broader lifestyle offering that extends the home beyond each individual residence.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=360300]

What distinguishes Aeris is not the inclusion of these elements individually, but how they are arranged in relation to one another. Active, social, and passive spaces are layered vertically rather than separated, allowing residents to choose between them without leaving the building or moving far from their apartment. This proximity supports both routine use, such as a morning swim or evening workout, and more occasional gatherings, whether around the BBQ area or within the cinema setting.

The amenity design also sits within a broader framework of connectivity across Melrose Park. The Melrose Park Town Centre, anchored by Coles and Dan Murphys, features a mix of retail, dining, health and lifestyle offerings, bringing everyday convenience closer to residents. By the end of the year, more than five hectares of parks and open space, equivalent to around seven football fields of green space on residents' doorstep, will further enhance the precinct, allowing the internal facilities at Aeris to operate as an extension of the wider neighbourhood rather than a substitute for it.

Construction at Aeris continues to gather momentum, with ground floor slabs expected to be completed in late 2026 before the first sections of the buildings begin to rise above ground.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=426]

Elevated amenity anchors daily life at Aeris, Melrose Park

Price Growth

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A speaker at a seminar in Melbourne told the audience they should buy in a particular suburb because the median unit price had jumped 20%-plus in the previous 12 months.
I’m not sure I’ve heard worse advice in a public forum.
But it’s a common syndrome in real estate - one that defies all logic, but common nevertheless.
For many years I have observed investors getting excited about buying in a location because they read/heard that it had shown exponential price growth in the recent past. 
There are multiple reasons why this is a mistake. 
The first is that they would be buying in a location after the big growth has happened. Publicity-hungry research firms that publish lists of the highest annual growth are telling you where you should have bought a year ago – maybe. 
The second reason is that the figures show the rise in the median price, which doesn’t mean values have risen to the same degree. Given the way median prices work, it’s not uncommon for the median price to rise in an area where values have fallen.
The third reason is that the figures are often nonsense, wildly distorted by a small sales sample or a short time frame. 
Here’s a recent example. RP Data, a persistent source of worthless information on real estate prices, recently spat a list out of its computer of the five locations in each state/territory which had shown the highest price growth in the most recent quarter. 
Numerous locations on these lists had (allegedly) recorded median price growth between 25% and 35% in three months. 
If this represented actual growth in values at those levels, this would be the greatest real estate boom in the history of the planet. But it did not mean anything of the sort.  
In each case, it was a statistical aberration. There was not a single instance among those 40 locations where values were rising at the levels suggested. 
In most cases, the statistical glitch was caused by a small sales sample. More than half of the 40 locations had fewer than 30 sales in the previous 12 months, which meant the quarterly data was based on only six or eight sales. 
Some had only 10 or 12 sales in the year, providing a quarterly sales sample was just two or three sales. To publish median price results on samples so small is irresponsible as well as misleading. 
In every case – i.e. in all 40 locations – the RP Data growth figures were contradicted by figures from other research sources. 
RP Data claimed Harlaxton in Queensland had grown 28% in three months, but Domain recorded zero growth for the same location. RP Data said Cape Schanck in Victoria (a tiny market with only 14 annual sales) had grown 29% in one quarter, but Domain said its median price had actually dropped 1.3%. RP Data said Manjimup in WA had jumped 29% in three months, but Domain said it had declined 3% for the quarter and 1% for the previous 12 months.
The problem is that some media organisations, especially the online magazines, publish these furphies as if they’re nuggets of gold for information-starved investors. 
“Australia’s top property markets revealed!” shout the headlines. 
How can they be so careless?
A more accurate headline would: “Australia’s worst misinformation exposed!”
TERRY RYDER is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a> 
Terry was recently joined by Property Observer editor at large Jonathan Chancellor for a webinar on why research is the key to successful property investing in 2015. You can download slides and audio from the webinar here.
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Real estate advice syndrome a common problem: Terry Ryder

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Bravo Eliza Owen of On the House for this fabulous time lapse video presentation of Sydney median house values over the past 35 years. 
You can watch it <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cC0xL24ecs0" target="_blank">here</a>.
<div>There are a number of fascinating aspects to this piece, which suggested to me that home buyers and investors seeking long term capital growth should aim to buy in the best-located suburb that they can afford, and should also look for scarcity value.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Bellevue Hill had a median price which broke through $200,000 in 1980 - around double Sydney's median house price at that time - yet the median house price in the suburb has exploded to $4.2 million today, more than four times the median house price in the harbour city.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>How so? A combination of a lack of new building - the result being scarcity value - combined with gross income and equity growth, with buyers and wealthy residents at the premium end of the market rarely reliant upon linear salary income for their house purchases. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Other well located inner suburbs have demonstrated massively strong price growth as they have gentrified. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Note how housing booms and corrections have been recurrent and have repeatedly been characterised by massive boosts in price in locations close to the city, with suburbs on the north shore and close to the water leading price booms and the western suburbs lagging behind. Being located near a train line with a direct city link can help, particularly it seems on the north shore (cf. Killara, Gordon, which have historically led price growth in previous cycles). On the other hand being in an industrial suburb under a flight path, historically at least, has been a negative, with inner western suburbs such as Mascot having lagged through the cycle. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Due to this disparate nature of capital growth which has favoured suburbs closer to the city, the On the House figures show that today there is a significantly wider range of median house price values by suburb across Sydney than there was in the past. I expect this widening of prices to continue. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>With a good deal of building having taken place on Sydney's outer south western fringe, median home values have increased sharply in that sub-region since 2011.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, recent auction results (or more accurately, should one say, the dearth of positive results at auction, with the outer south west recording a worrying preliminary clearance rate of "n/a" this week) suggest that a sharp correction could be in the post for that sub-region.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Very interesting stuff.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. 
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</div>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

35 years of Sydney house prices: Pete Wargent

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Sydney’s three years of price growth has dragged the city up the capital city rankings for long-term capital growth, but only as high as fourth. 
Six months ago, it ranked sixth among the eight capital cities and still lags behind Perth, Melbourne and Darwin. This is for average annual growth in house prices over the past 10 years, which we survey regularly for the Capital Growth Superstars report.
Fourteen of Sydney’s Top 20 suburbs have long-term growth rates below 8% per year - not nearly good enough to make the Top 20 lists for Melbourne, Perth or Darwin.
No suburb in the vast Sydney metropolitan area has a double-digit growth rate. The best is Pemulwuy (median price $720,000) in the city’s western suburbs, with a long-term growth rate of 9.5% per year. Most of the suburbs in the Top 20 have growth rates in the 7.0% to 8.0% range.
At first glance, it appears that the Top End suburbs dominate Sydney’s Top 20 list, as 19 of the Top 20 (all except Pemulwuy) have median prices above $1 million. But, in fact, these are mostly suburbs a tier below the top end. 
In Sydney, the 15 most expensive suburbs all have median house prices above $2 million. None of the 20 most expensive suburbs (all with median prices above $1.9 million) make the Sydney’s Top 20 list for long-term capital growth. Most of them have growth rates below 5% per year.
Sydney’s Top 20 is dominated by 15 suburbs in the $1 million to $1.5 million range, which is Sydney’s second tier market.
This is a change from other surveys in the past three years, which have strongly featured the cheaper end of the Sydney metropolitan market. The growth of the past 2-3 years has elevated some of the more expensive areas.
The outstanding precinct is the Ryde LGA on the lower North Shore, which has four suburbs in the city Top 20. Ryde is the only municipality with more than two suburbs in the Top 20. Its four top suburbs are Eastwood, Ryde, Denistone East and West Ryde, all with median prices in the $1.1 million to $1.3 million range.
The prestige end of the market, suburbs with median house prices above $2 million, continues to deliver poor capital growth rates. Indeed, three of the most expensive suburbs of Sydney are included in the Bottom 20 list of suburbs with the worst growth rates in the city.
Vaucluse (median $3.4 million), Palm Beach (median $2.6 million) and Clontarf (median $2.5 million) all have growth rates of 2.1% per year or less. Clontarf’s 1.3% grow rate means it would take 55 years for property to double in value (compared to eight years for Pemulwuy, which has Sydney’s best growth rate).
There are four other million-dollar suburbs on the Bottom 20 list.
The worst precinct in Sydney for capital growth is the Sutherland LGA in the south of the metropolitan area – it has four suburbs (Burraneer, Bundeena, Lilli Pilli and Illawong) on the Bottom 20 list, all with growth rates below 2% per year.
Sydney’s Top 10 for long-term capital growth is:-
1 Pemulwuy 9.5%
2 Waitara 9.2%
3 Homebush 8.7%
4 Burwood 8.6%
5 Bondi 8.0%
6 Darlington 8.0%
7 Hurstville 7.8%
8 North Willoughby 7.8%
9 Haberfield 7.6%
10 Hurlstone Park 7.6%
TERRY RYDER is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a> 
Terry was recently joined by Property Observer editor at large Jonathan Chancellor for a webinar on why research is the key to successful property investing in 2015. You can download slides and audio from the webinar here.
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Sydney's top 20 suburbs for growth rates: Terry Ryder

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<div>Macroprudential measures have had the desired effect, and the rate of home price growth has steadied.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>CoreLogic-RP Data's Daily Home Value Index may be a little seasonal, but the year-on-year figures show the slower gradient of growth.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Nationally home price growth has slowed to +6.3 percent year-on-year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Melbourne (+8.8 percent), Sydney (+8.1 percent) and Brisbane (+4.5 percent) between them have accounted for most of the price growth over the past year.  While Sydney and Melbourne have been grabbing all the attention in recent years, Brisbane prices have just kept rising steadily and under the radar.  CoreLogic's index shows the median price for Brisbane &amp; Gold Coast having increased by $61,330 or +13.1 per cent over the past three years.  Although I have long been sceptical about the somewhat parlous state of the South Australian economy, Adelaide mediabn prices have also increased by just shy of +10 per cent over the same timeframe.</div>
<a href="/images/2016/04/11/RP1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/11/RP1.jpg" alt="">
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>I was busy doing other things than charting data over the Christmas/New Year 2014-15 period, so actually have no idea what happened in the gaps in the chart.  Maybe there was a property crash and a speedy recovery, for all I know, not sure.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. 
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
</div>
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Home price growth steadies: Pete Wargent

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New growth stars will emerge in 2016. You’re most likely to find them in Brisbane, Melbourne, regional New South Wales and regional Queensland, although others such as Adelaide and Hobart may put their hands up.
Here are five areas I think are worth watching as we get into the New Year. These are all places that should produce price growth in 2016, on the back of serious momentum with rising sales activity in their markets.
1 Oxenford and the northern growth corridor, QLD: 
The Gold Coast is now the clear national leader among the Local Government Areas of Australia. It has the most growth suburbs, by a wide margin. 
These rising suburbs are found right across Gold Coast city, but the growth corridor stretching north from the Gold Coast towards Brisbane is the standout area, with growth suburbs either side of the Pacific Motorway.
Oxenford stands out, with sales rates lifting from 80-90 per quarter last year to 130-135 in the past two quarters. Other growth suburbs in this precinct include Coomera, Upper Coomera, Pimpama and Ormeau. 
2 Lalor and Whittlesea, VIC:
The focus of Melbourne’s up-cycle has switched increasingly from the middle market to the outer suburbs, where affordability and good infrastructure are key drivers.
The Whittlesea LGA in the northern suburbs is leading the way, headed by the suburb of Lalor (median house price $400,000), where sales rates have increased from around 70 per quarter last year to above 100 more recently. 
Other growth suburbs in this precinct include Epping, Mill Park, Doreen, Mernda and Thomastown. 
3 Beenleigh and Logan City, QLD:
Logan City, which borders the Gold Coast to the south and Brisbane City to the north, has led the revival of Greater Brisbane markets in 2015. 
It has more growth suburbs than any other precinct in the Brisbane metropolitan area, headed by Beenleigh, the administration centre for the LGA, where house sales have increased steadily over the past 12 months or so.
Another standout suburb in Logan City is affordable Eagleby, where sales in the past four quarters have increased from 59 to 65 to 95 to 102.
4 Forster-Tuncurry, NSW:
The Great Lakes LGA in the Mid North Coast region of New South Wales is a standout performer is this latest survey for The Price Predictor Index.
Residential sales in Forster, about 300km north of Sydney, have risen from 106 to 114 to 139 to 152 to 155 in consecutive quarters, while neighbour Tuncurry has recorded a similar pattern.
5 Point Cook and Wyndham City, VIC:
Another example of the emergence of the affordable outer ring suburbs of the Melbourne metropolitan area is Wyndham City in the south-west heading towards Geelong.
A number of suburbs have strong growth trajectories, headed by the developing suburb of Point Cook, where quarterly sales in the past 18 months have been 289, 313, 350, 396, 395 and 420.
Wyndham Vale is another standout market in this precinct, with quarterly sales levels lifting from 85-90 about 18 months ago to around 140 in the September 2015 Quarter.
 
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/" target="_blank">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au" target="_blank">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting" target="_blank">Twitter.</a>
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5 key suburbs across Australia to watch in 2016: Terry Ryder

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Canberra has recently joined the biggest cities with strong price growth, if you can believe the numbers.
As is the case with all our capital cities, the level of growth in Canberra house prices depends on which research source you favour.
The latest figure from the Australian Bureau of Statistics records annual growth of 6.6 percent, while the Real Estate Institute of Australia says 5.1 percent. But Domain, SQM Research and CoreLogic, using their various mysterious methodologies, all have Canberra house prices (on average) rising by more than 10 percent in the past 12 months.
The uplift in price growth in the national capital is quite recent. Unlike Sydney three hours up the highway, Canberra has not been pumping for the past 3-4 years. It went through a period of malaise when the Federal Government downsized the public service and the market was also impacted by an oversupply of apartments.
Canberra has got those negative symptoms out of its system and appears to be growing again. Certainly that aligns with my analysis of sales activity, which have been elevated in the past two years.
But what really stands out for me is the uplift in activity and prices in New South Wales locations close to Canberra.
The proximity of Queanbeyan (now part of the newly-formed Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council area) to the nation’s capital is certainly helping local property markets.
The region has strong population growth, unemployment is low and new housing estates are under construction – helped by Queanbeyan’s affordability relative to Canberra, with median prices for both houses and units generally below those in the national capital.
Canberra prices are kept artificially high by the tight control of land releases and general dwelling supply by the ACT Government. But Queanbeyan, while closer to central Canberra than many ACT suburbs, is in NSW and has cheaper prices. Many of its suburbs have median house prices in the $400,000s while Queanbeyan, Queanbeyan East and Crestwood all have median unit prices in the $200,000s – something that’s difficult to find within the ACT.
Property sales activity in Queanbeyan increased in 2015 and 2016, leading it to become a standout region for growth, as identified in the Autumn edition of the Price Predictor Index published by Hotspotting.
Good rental yields are another attraction, with several suburbs having median yields around 5 percent for houses and 6 percent for units.
Goulburn, about 80km from Canberra, also benefits from being close to the national capital and having much cheaper house prices. It’s a growth market, partly because of local events, partly its proximity to Canberra and partly a Ripple Effect from Sydney’s growth market.
Sales activity has been rising steadily in the past 18 months and this has generated solid growth in Goulburn’s median house price (up 7% to about $350,000 in the past 12 months).
Goulburn (the LGA’s population is around 30,000) has long been a solid regional centre servicing the Southern Tablelands area of NSW near the ACT border.
Long-term, it will benefit from its location in the growth corridor linking Canberra with Sydney – with growing numbers living in affordable Goulburn and working in Canberra.
It would also be a key beneficiary of plans for high-speed rail links between Canberra and Sydney, if that grand plan ever happens.
Goulburn has more diversity to its economy than your standard regional centre, with a big wind farm industry, the presence of the NSW Police College and also the Goulburn Correctional Centre.
Terry Ryder is the founder of <a href="https://www.hotspotting.com.au/">hotspotting.com.au</a>. You can <a href="mailto:%20%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'%3E%20%3C!--%20var%20prefix%20=%20'ma'%20+%20'il'%20+%20'to';%20var%20path%20=%20'hr'%20+%20'ef'%20+%20'=';%20var%20addy38821%20=%20'ryder'%20+%20'@';%20addy38821%20=%20addy38821%20+%20'hotspotting'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'com'%20+%20'.'%20+%20'au';%20document.write('%3Ca%20'%20+%20path%20+%20'/''%20+%20prefix%20+%20':'%20+%20addy38821%20+%20'/'%3E');%20document.write(addy38821);%20document.write('%3C//a%3E');%20//--%3E/n%20%3C/script%3E%3Cscript%20type='text/javascript'">email him</a> or follow him on <a href="https://twitter.com/hotspotting">Twitter.</a>
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Canberra's strong price growth extends to neighbouring cities: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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Capital city home prices up, what happened to the downturn? Shane Oliver

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Australia has many growth markets at the moment. Jurisdictions where prices are growing outnumber those where they’re falling.
Didn’t know that? Here’s the problem.
Most of our major media emanates from Melbourne and Sydney. Writers there are obsessed with themselves and have little awareness of the 17 million Australians who don’t live in the two biggest cities. They tend to assume that events in Sydney describe the whole nation. If Sydney’s booming, they write about the national property boom. If Melbourne - otherwise known as Corona Country, home of the Dan-demic – is falling, the coverage suggests a national market slump.
That’s never true and it’s certainly not true right now. Regional Australia is pumping and we’re not hearing too much about it.
Let’s look at the latest price data from Domain, which focuses on the figures for the June Quarter.
In annual terms, six of the eight capital cities have house prices higher than a year ago. Remarkable, really. The exceptions are Perth and Darwin.
In the June Quarter, Canberra and Hobart recorded increases while Adelaide was essentially no change. Sydney, Brisbane, Perth and Darwin all fell about 2% and Melbourne around 3%. Those figures generated nationwide headlines that prices were falling everywhere.
It’s important to note that other sources, like SQM Research and CoreLogic, have different results. Media never acknowledges that the various sources come up with different outcomes on prices – they’re too busy sensationalizing the negatives in any set of figures.
But CoreLogic’s latest figures record growth in house prices in the June Quarter in Adelaide, Hobart, Canberra and Darwin and no change in Brisbane. In other words, CoreLogic’s figures are more positive than those from Domain.
Returning to the Domain data, the results for regional Australia are considerably more bullish than those for capital city Australia. For the June Quarter it records price rises in New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and Tasmania – while in annual terms, there are increases in Tasmania (12%), Victoria (7%), NSW (6%), South Australia (4%), the Northern Territory (4%) and Western Australia (2%). Queensland was the only regional jurisdiction to record an annual decrease (less than 1%).
The CoreLogic figures for regional Australia in the June Quarter recorded house price rises in NSW, Victoria, South Australia, Tasmania and the Northern Territory.
Markets in many regional areas are pumping. Regional cities and towns have generally experienced few cases of Covid-19 – and some have had zero cases. Apart from those heavily reliant on international tourism, local economies are travelling pretty well and some are thriving, because of the components of the local employment sector. Agriculture, viticulture, mining, medical services and food services are all sectors that have done fairly well or very well amid the virus shemozzle.
There is also the trend I call “the exodus to affordable lifestyle”. This was already well under way, with people relocating from the big cities to sea change and hill change locations within 1-2 hours of the capital. The virus shutdown phase has enhanced this significant trend. Working remotely doesn’t suit everyone but there are many for whom it works to work at home.
First-home buyers boosted by multiple government incentives and investors seeking affordability and yield, as well as solid growth prospects, are also helping to drive regional markets.
Near Melbourne, markets like the LGAs of Baw Baw (10%), Golden Plains (16%) and Central Goldfields (11%) have all recorded double-digit annual rises, according to the Domain data.
Near Hobart, municipalities such as Brighton and Huon Valley have risen 20% in 12 months, but growth markets can be found right across regional Tasmania.
In Queensland, the regional markets with prolific one-year increases tend to be resources-related locations, some of them rising from a low base after years of decline.
There’s plenty of growth happening out there in Australia, beyond the boundaries of Melbourne and Sydney.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au ryder@hotspotting.com.au twitter.com/hotspotting
 
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Property growth markets are the majority despite claims otherwise: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

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We are in recession; unemployment is rising, and we should be in a situation where house prices catastrophically fall. Yet, they remain resilient.
Across Australia, prices have softened slightly since March (except in Canberra), but comparing prices to the same time last year, Sydney is doing remarkably well. A lot of this has to do with how hot the market was leading up to March, but the surprising resilience is also being driven by a stable banking sector.
In Sydney, the strongest markets continue to be those priced well above the current house price median of $969,500. There are definitely some areas of weakness in Sydney at the moment, but it isn’t for houses in premium suburbs, many of which have seen double digit price growth.
Topping the list for price growth is Petersham with a 32% increase since last year. Meanwhile, the most expensive suburb on the top growth list is the north shore suburb of Lindfield, which is now getting close to a $3 million median.
It does appear that people are also keen to hold on to their properties if they can, and would prefer to tap into superannuation or selling shares.
A recent survey by Fidelity Investments found that 26% of Australians plans to access their super early in the next 12 months, while 4.5% plan to sell shares.In comparison only 1.8% plan to sell property. This is a major contributor to stable pricing; COVID-19 doesn’t appear to be denting our obsession with property.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/7/20/REA%20July%201.JPG" alt="">
NERIDA CONISBEE is the Chief Economist at REA
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Sydney suburbs seeing double-digit price growth: REA's Nerida Conisbee

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The Australian property market – particularly Melbourne and Sydney – has gone from boom and FOMO in 2017 to slump and FONGO into mid last year only to rebound again with a degree of FOMO returning! (FOMO = fear of missing out, FONGO = fear of not getting out.)
The boost from the election result, RBA rate cuts, the relaxation of the 7% mortgage rate serviceability test along with a greater willingness to lend by banks are continuing to drive home prices higher as demand that was pent up over the period of falling prices between September 2017 and June last year has been unleashed.
 The strength in demand continues to be evident in strong auction clearance rates in Sydney and Melbourne.
While this initially came on very low volumes, listings have now picked up following the normal pattern that sees clearances lead volumes. As a result sales at auctions are now running around double depressed year ago levels.
The high level of auction clearance rates points to a continuing strength in home prices in Sydney and Melbourne in the months ahead and this is likely to be aided by further interest rate cuts and strong population growth.
 However, the pace of growth is likely to slow with home price gains more constrained than what we saw through the 2012-17 property price boom because: 
Household debt to income ratios are very high, bank lending standards are much tighter than in the last boom, APRA may move to tighten lending standards again if housing credit growth accelerates; there are still more units to hit the Sydney and Melbourne property markets and unemployment is likely to drift up as overall economic growth remains weak. 
For 2020 as a whole average capital city property prices are expected to rise by around 10%, with continuing strong gains in the first quarter giving way to a more constrained pace from around April-June.
We also anticipate a broadening out of the property price gains beyond Sydney and Melbourne as Brisbane and Adelaide our relatively cheap and Perth looks to have bottomed and will be helped by a recovery in mining projects.
However, a big and rising risk to the property market outlook is now posed by the global coronavirus outbreak. 
At this stage apart from the possible absence of some Chinese buyers I doubt coronavirus is having much impact on the property market.
 However, if the situation badly worsens globally and the virus takes hold in Australia then it could become a big short term negative as the economy slows even further potentially into recession, the loss of share market wealth drags on property demand and if people put off buying property along with other activities for fear of catching the virus.
 More RBA rate cuts could partially help in the other direction and help boost buying once the virus fear comes under control though, but in the interim it could drive renewed falls in property prices. 
This is not our base case but given all the unknowns around Covid-19 it is worth monitoring as the risk is rising.
SHANE OLIVER is the Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP Capital 
<a name="_Hlk7176352" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline;" href=""></a>The Australian property market – particularly Melbourne and Sydney – has gone from boom and FOMO in 2017 to slump and FONGO into mid last year only to rebound again with a degree of FOMO returning! (FOMO = fear of missing out, FONGO = fear of not getting out.)
The boost from the election result, RBA rate cuts, the relaxation of the 7% mortgage rate serviceability test along with a greater willingness to lend by banks are continuing to drive home prices higher as demand that was pent up over the period of falling prices between September 2017 and June last year has been unleashed. The strength in demand continues to be evident in strong auction clearance rates in Sydney and Melbourne. See the next two charts.
 
<table style="font-variant-numeric: inherit; font-variant-east-asian: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 15px; line-height: inherit; font-family: 'Segoe UI', 'Segoe UI Web (West European)', 'Segoe UI', -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Roboto, 'Helvetica Neue', sans-serif; color: #323130; border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody><tr>
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<img src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAYAAAAfFcSJAAAAC0lEQVQYV2NgAAIAAAUAAarVyFEAAAAASUVORK5CYII=" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: inherit; width: 364.79pt; height: 221.4pt; cursor: pointer;" data-imagetype="AttachmentByCid" data-custom="AAMkADQ3ZGM4MTFjLTUzM2MtNGRlMy1hNTRkLTVlMTg5NTg1MTZjNABGAAAAAACwVkXUIRtYR67gBrMt3wq%2FBwDeQoafX1oGQ7i8PLrB5m%2FDAAAAAAEMAADeQoafX1oGQ7i8PLrB5m%2FDAAGX6uVdAAABEgAQAKCx7jCjebxJntP04tMxgUM%3D" data-outlook-trace="F:1|T:1">
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<td style="width: 233.75pt; padding: 0px 5.4pt; border-width: 1pt; border-style: solid solid solid none; border-color: windowtext;" valign="top">
<img src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAYAAAAfFcSJAAAAC0lEQVQYV2NgAAIAAAUAAarVyFEAAAAASUVORK5CYII=" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: inherit; width: 365.4pt; height: 221.99pt; cursor: pointer;" data-imagetype="AttachmentByCid" data-custom="AAMkADQ3ZGM4MTFjLTUzM2MtNGRlMy1hNTRkLTVlMTg5NTg1MTZjNABGAAAAAACwVkXUIRtYR67gBrMt3wq%2FBwDeQoafX1oGQ7i8PLrB5m%2FDAAAAAAEMAADeQoafX1oGQ7i8PLrB5m%2FDAAGX6uVdAAABEgAQAJqCdDsOBpVDkmUCWbIwRTY%3D" data-outlook-trace="F:1|T:1">
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</tr></tbody></table>
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 7pt; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: inherit;">Source: Domain, CoreLogic, AMP Capital
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 7pt; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: inherit;"> 
While this initially came on very low volumes, listings have now picked up following the normal pattern that sees clearances lead volumes. As a result sales at auctions are now running around double depressed year ago levels.
<img src="data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABCAYAAAAfFcSJAAAAC0lEQVQYV2NgAAIAAAUAAarVyFEAAAAASUVORK5CYII=" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; font: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: inherit; width: 353.99pt; height: 215.39pt; cursor: pointer;" data-imagetype="AttachmentByCid" data-custom="AAMkADQ3ZGM4MTFjLTUzM2MtNGRlMy1hNTRkLTVlMTg5NTg1MTZjNABGAAAAAACwVkXUIRtYR67gBrMt3wq%2FBwDeQoafX1oGQ7i8PLrB5m%2FDAAAAAAEMAADeQoafX1oGQ7i8PLrB5m%2FDAAGX6uVdAAABEgAQAL7iZEfT4%2FpKhNddj9J8F%2BI%3D" data-outlook-trace="F:1|T:1">
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 7pt; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: inherit;">Source: Domain, AMP Capital
The high level of auction clearance rates points to a continuing strength in home prices in Sydney and Melbourne in the months ahead and this is likely to be aided by further interest rate cuts and strong population growth. However, the pace of growth is likely to slow with home price gains more constrained than what we saw through the 2012-17 property price boom because: household debt to income ratios are very high, bank lending standards are much tighter than in the last boom, APRA may move to tighten lending standards again if housing credit growth accelerates; there are still more units to hit the Sydney and Melbourne property markets and unemployment is likely to drift up as overall economic growth remains weak. For 2020 as a whole average capital city property prices are expected to rise by around 10%, with continuing strong gains in the first quarter giving way to a more constrained pace from around April-June.
We also anticipate a broadening out of the property price gains beyond Sydney and Melbourne as Brisbane and Adelaide our relatively cheap and Perth looks to have bottomed and will be helped by a recovery in mining projects.
However, a big and rising risk to the property market outlook is now posed by the global coronavirus outbreak. At this stage apart from the possible absence of some Chinese buyers I doubt coronavirus is having much impact on the property market. However, if the situation badly worsens globally and the virus takes hold in Australia then it could become a big short term negative as the economy slows even further potentially into recession, the loss of share market wealth drags on property demand and if people put off buying property along with other activities for fear of catching the virus. More RBA rate cuts could partially help in the other direction and help boost buying once the virus fear comes under control though, but in the interim it could drive renewed falls in property prices. This is not our base case but given all the unknowns around Covid-19 it is worth monitoring as the risk is rising.
Please feel free to call if you wish to discuss.
 
Regards
Shane
 
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 8pt; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: #0070c0;">Shane Oliver<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 8pt; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: #0070c0;"> <span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 8pt; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: #212d69;">| Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist | AMP Capital 
<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; font-style: inherit; font-variant: inherit; font-weight: inherit; font-stretch: inherit; font-size: 8pt; line-height: inherit; font-family: inherit; vertical-align: baseline; color: #212d69;"> 
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