Roseville is poised for a wave of new apartment development following the NSW Government's rezoning of land around Roseville Station under its Transport Oriented Development program.

The new planning controls have unlocked significant development potential within walking distance of the station, with a number of sites expected to be amalgamated and redeveloped in the coming years as developers seek to take advantage of the increased density allowances.

One of the more restrained developments in the precinct, and set among the first to be delivered having commenced well before the recent changes, is Hyecorp's Juliet. The boutique apartment project is already well under construction and remains on track to welcome residents by the end of the year, offering a markedly different proposition to many of the larger-scale developments now likely to emerge across the suburb.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278194]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/juliet-roseville-64-pacific-highway-roseville-nsw-2069">Juliet</a> will comprise just&nbsp;34 one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments opposite Roseville Station. For Hyecorp, which has delivered projects across Sydney's Lower North Shore for more than three decades, Roseville presented a rare opportunity to address a growing gap in the market.

"<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/roseville-nsw-2069">Roseville</a> has long been one of the North Shore's most tightly held and desirable suburbs, offering a unique combination of village charm, established greenery, excellent transport connections, and proximity to some of Sydney's best schools and lifestyle amenities," Hyecorp said.

"We recognised a growing demand from local homeowners seeking to downsize without leaving the community they have built their lives around. The location presented a rare opportunity to create homes that cater specifically to that buyer profile."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278196]

The six-level development has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/pbd-architects">PBD Architects</a> as a collection of residences that feel more like homes than apartments. The brief centred generous floorplans, abundant natural light, quality finishes, and strong connections to outdoor space.

PBD Architects drew inspiration from Roseville's established garden suburb character, creating a building that sits comfortably within its surroundings rather than dominating them. The architecture incorporates natural materials, soft forms, layered landscaping, expansive balconies, and generous setbacks to strengthen the connection between residents and the suburb's leafy environment.

"The focus was on designing spacious, house-like residences for discerning owner-occupiers and downsizers who wanted to remain on the North Shore without compromising on comfort, privacy, or design," PBD said.&nbsp;

"Every apartment was to feel considered, timeless, and highly functional."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278195]

Inside, residences feature engineered timber flooring, stone kitchen benchtops and splashbacks, integrated Fisher &amp; Paykel appliances, ducted air conditioning, and large outdoor entertaining areas designed to take advantage of district and treetop views.

Residents will also have access to a rooftop barbecue and lounge area, alongside practical amenities including parcel lockers, EV charging capability, bicycle storage, a dog wash bay, and a basement car wash facility.

The majority of purchasers so far have been local owner-occupiers from Roseville, Lindfield, Chatswood, Killara, and the broader Upper North Shore, many of whom are transitioning from larger family homes.

"Buyers are looking for spacious, house-like apartments that allow them to downsize without feeling like they are sacrificing comfort or functionality," Hyecorp noted.

"They value large kitchens, generous living areas, ample storage, quality finishes, secure parking, lift access, and low-maintenance living."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7395 project_image_fid=278204]

Juliet sits directly opposite Roseville Train Station and within walking distance of Roseville Village, while Chatswood's retail and dining precinct is only minutes away. The development is also surrounded by some of Sydney's most established schools, including Roseville College, Ravenswood, Pymble Ladies' College, and Knox Grammar, as well as nearby parklands and golf courses.

Juliet is currently more than 75 per cent sold ahead of its anticipated completion in late 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=7395]

Joel Robinson

Juliet to sit quietly amid Roseville apartment boom

Sherpa Property Group has unveiled the third instalment of its Flourish series, securing full approval for the two-tower, $500 million Flourish Soleira development in Palm Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-1150-1154-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> will rise from a prominent site in the commercial heart of Palm Beach, the long-time home of Cash Converters and a range of local retailers.

The project will introduce a new retail and dining precinct at ground level, beneath 286 apartments.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370959]

“We’re very committed to not only providing affordable residential offerings that are much needed in Palm Beach, but also delivering a vibrant new commercial heart that complements the extraordinary growth of the southern Gold Coast,” Sherpa Property Group founder Christie Leet said.

The development will sit under Sherpa's Flourish brand, which is aimed at providing a pathway into the beachside suburb for locals, first-home buyers and downsizers. In a move designed to assist first-home buyers entering the market, Sherpa has reserved all one and two-bedroom, one-bathroom apartments exclusively for eligible first-home buyers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370964]

“Our vision through Flourish is to create a vibrant retail and lifestyle focal point within the Palm Beach centre zone, delivering thriving communities underpinned by lifestyle-rich locations,” Leet said.

“So far, Flourish has been an incredible success, and we hope to carry this momentum as we progress the next two Flourish projects in Palm Beach.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=371430]

Located across 1150-1164 Gold Coast Highway and 3 Sixth Avenue, the development will comprise two towers. The northern tower will deliver 154 apartments, while the southern tower will add a further 132 residences, helping address ongoing demand for new apartments in the tightly held coastal suburb.

Flourish Soleira will also feature the most extensive rooftop amenity offering ever delivered in Palm Beach.

The two towers will be connected by a skybridge, with residents gaining access to a rooftop recreation deck featuring a full-width swimming pool, hot and cold plunge pools, wellness spaces, a gymnasium, private dining facilities, massage treatment rooms, barbecue areas, a basketball court, golf simulator, indoor and outdoor dining spaces, sun lounges and extensive landscaping.

LPS Group is expected to start construction later this year.

Sherpa is already well advanced on construction of its debut Flourish project, Flourish Amargo, located just around the corner from Soleira. Meanwhile, Flourish Oasis, positioned opposite Amargo, recently commenced construction and has nearly sold out its collection of 47 apartments.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]

Sherpa unveils $500m mixed-use Palm Beach precinct, Flourish Soleira

Are mortgage holders set to get a reprieve from the RBA in 2026?

Big Four bank NAB believes so. They are now expecting the next move from the RBA to be a cut, rather than a hike, which they had pencilled in for August. They are unsure of the timing of the cut however, they note in their latest&nbsp;NAB Economics RBA Watch.

NAB Chief Economist, Dr Sally Auld, said recent data suggests the economy has lost momentum and the outlook for rates has shifted, noting that the broader economic backdrop has changed since earlier in the year.

“The next move in the cash rate is likely to be down, but the timing is uncertain," Dr Auld said.

"In February, growth was above trend, the economy was operating above capacity and there was uncertainty over the restrictiveness of rates. None of these conditions exist today,” she outlined.

Dr Auld said recent data pointed to softer momentum across the economy while acknowledging that at the same time, uncertainty remains a key feature of the outlook.

“Both Q1 GDP data and the NAB business survey suggest momentum in the economy has slowed, meaning that growth has likely peaked for the cycle. That said, we are cognisant there is still considerable uncertainty around the outlook, both with respect to activity and inflation.”

Dr Auld said inflation risks and labour market outcomes would be important to watch.

“On the prices side, we are still forecasting above target core inflation through to mid-2027. Margins will compress and weaker labour market outcomes are a risk.”

She said tighter financial conditions are expected to weigh on housing and activity.

“Tighter financial conditions will be reflected in a slowing in house price growth and housing credit growth. In summary, we have greater conviction that the next move in rates is down, but less conviction on the timing.”

Mortgage relief? NAB forecasts RBA rate cut, not hike, after softer economic conditions

A local downsizer has splashed $6.5 million on a penthouse in Perifa's Alex &amp; Willow development in Crows Nest. 
&nbsp; 
The purchaser sold their long-held family home in the area before embarking on a six-month search for the right apartment. After inspecting a range of options across the Lower North Shore, the buyer returned to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/alex-willow-crows-nest-82-90-alexander-street-crows-nest-nsw-2065">Alex &amp; Willow</a>. 
&nbsp; 
The buyer profile reflects the project’s broader purchaser mix. <a>Alex &amp; Willow</a> has attracted predominantly local downsizers looking to transition from larger homes without compromising on space or quality, alongside a smaller cohort of upsizers and investors drawn to the project’s location and design credentials. 
&nbsp; 
The milestone sale comes as the project, developed by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/perifa">Perifa</a>&nbsp;and delivered by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/versatile-made-construction">Versatile Construction</a>, both part of Versatile Group, reaches 60 per cent sold.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6680 project_image_fid=371325] 
&nbsp; 
Eddie Mansour, Managing Partner of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/ray-white-projects">Ray White Projects</a>, said the result demonstrates not only a headline price but also depth of demand. 
&nbsp; 
“This is an exceptional outcome and a clear reflection of sustained buyer demand for premium, well-located downsizer product,” Mansour said.

“We’re seeing a consistent pattern of local homeowners selling family residences and reinvesting into high-quality apartments that allow them to remain within their community. Alex &amp; Willow has resonated strongly with this group because it offers genuine scale, thoughtful design and immediate proximity to the village.” 
&nbsp; 
The sale reflects a broader and consistent trend of local downsizers actively seeking high-quality, low-maintenance residences close to established village centres. Agents report that demand for this product type has remained resilient, particularly where developments offer a rare combination of scale, design quality and walkable amenity. 
&nbsp;&nbsp; 
Fabrizio Perilli, Managing Director of Perifa and Versatile Group, said the sale marks a defining moment for the project. 
&nbsp; 
“The penthouse sale is a strong endorsement of the quality we have delivered, alongside our partners, and the clear demand from local downsizers for premium, boutique residences in this location,” Perilli said.&nbsp; 
&nbsp; 
“Most importantly, we’re proud to see the Alex &amp; Willow community beginning to take shape. As we move closer to completion, we’re looking forward to welcoming residents and seeing the project come to life.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6680 project_image_fid=338516] 
&nbsp; 
Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/nettletontribe">Nettleton Tribe</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/richards-stanisich">Richards Stanisich</a>, Alex &amp; Willow is a boutique collection of generously sized two- and three-bedroom residences in the heart of Crows Nest village.&nbsp;

Completion is slated for early 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6680]

Alex & Willow, Crows Nest penthouse sells off the plan for $6.5 million

Fresh from launching the first stage of its Wollongong precinct, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/keira-place-wollongong-120-122-smith-street-wollongong-nsw-2500">Keira Place</a>, builder-developer Urban Property Group has unveiled plans for the next phase of the masterplanned community.

Now on public exhibition through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority pathway is a State Significant Development Application for a further 657 homes on the prominent gateway site opposite Beaton Park.

The proposal comprises three buildings, including two build-to-sell towers rising 25 and 30 storeys, delivering 391 apartments, alongside a 12-storey co-living building with 266 residences, making it one of the largest co-living proposals currently planned in regional New South Wales.

Of the apartments proposed in the build-to-sell towers, the majority, 310, are two-bedroom dwellings. The balance comprises 44 one-bedroom apartments and 37 three-bedroom residences. Apartment sizes range from around 50 sqm for one-bedroom homes to approximately 90 sqm for three-bedroom apartments.

<img alt="Smith St" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="19347059-1612-41a0-9c74-b86a657237f8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-10%20at%2010.02.18%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sWXnaCcA.cIC6N8YT1dg5pJ2e1V3Z6z7" />

The submission says the proposal has evolved significantly from its original Housing Delivery Authority application following extensive consultation with the State Design Review Panel and Wollongong City Council.

The final scheme has been designed to align with the emerging vision for the Flinders Street Precinct, an area identified by Council as a future high-density mixed-use neighbourhood capable of accommodating substantial housing growth close to transport, employment and community infrastructure.

According to the design report prepared by COX Architecture, the development aims to "deliver a built outcome consistent with the future character of the Wollongong CBD while responding to the site's unique constraints and opportunities."

"Our vision for the next phase of the site evolution in Wollongong is grounded in three design pillars that guide the design response: place, natural environment and celebration," COX said.

"Inspired by its surroundings and grounded in the stories of place on Wodi Wodi Country, the design proposal acknowledges the established character of its setting while creating a unique and timeless identity that sits harmoniously within it.

"The design proposal responds to its specific site conditions, acknowledging the vegetation, climate, wind conditions and solar access of the site."

The architecture responds directly to the site's position between Wollongong's urban core and its natural landscape setting.

COX identified views towards Mount Keira and the Illawarra Escarpment as defining features of the site, while the upper levels of the towers will also capture expansive views across the city and out to the Pacific Ocean.

The design team has positioned the tallest buildings closer to the rail corridor, where overshadowing impacts can be better managed while establishing a landmark built form on the northern approach into the city.

<img alt="Smith St" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="79580d5b-500c-4ebf-9629-797146a4a694" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-06-10%20at%209.51.59%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=WbTB1EKSG.KDfsfz0F3wp1QVa2oCMGR5" />

Urban Property Group secured the 11,000 sqm Smith Street site in 2022 and has since progressed plans for the broader Keira Place precinct.

Construction recently commenced on the first stage of Keira Place, which will deliver 150 apartments across two residential buildings, including 27 affordable housing apartments and 18 specialist disability accommodation dwellings, alongside activated ground-floor retail and commercial space.

Urban Co-CEO Patrick Elias said the commencement of construction marked a significant milestone for Wollongong and reflected the developer's long-term commitment to regional cities.

"Today's groundbreaking is about turning approvals into homes and moving quickly to deliver much-needed housing in Wollongong's city centre," Elias said.

"Keira Place will provide a diverse mix of homes close to jobs, transport and services, while setting a high benchmark for quality, durability and consumer protection."

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/groundbreaking-marks-start-of-construction-at-keira-place-in-wollongong-cbd">Groundbreaking marks start of construction at Keira Place in Wollongong CBD</a>

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Urban Property Group unveils trio of towers for next stage of new Wollongong precinct, Keira Place

Penalty Rates

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GUEST OBSERVER
In the current review of Modern Awards before the Fair Work Commission, employers are challenging the level of penalty rates.
At the same time, the Productivity Commission says excessive penalty rates for Sundays reduce hours worked, mean unemployment is higher than it needs to be, and reduce options for businesses and consumers. It wants Sunday penalty rates in some sectors to be set at the Saturday rate.
A penalty rate for Sunday work was first implemented in Australia for working “unsocial” hours in 1919. The 1947 “Weekend Penalty Rates Case” expanded penalty rates to Saturdays, while Sundays were set at a rate of double time. Later decisions specified that workers would need to be compensated for the loss of opportunity for family life and social time resulting from weekend work.
More than 60 years on, employers argue the world has changed. It has, but many of the arguments employers make are not supported by the evidence.
Myth 1: Given extended trading hours, it’s no longer abnormal for people to work weekends. 
Most employees still do not work unsocial hours. According to the Australian Work and Life Index, 38% of workers work unsocial hours; only 32.2% of workers work weekends and 18.9% of workers work evenings after 9pm regularly. These figures include the 13.1% of workers who work both evenings and weekends regularly.
<a href="/images/2015/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-16%20at%208.06.14%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-16%20at%208.06.14%20AM.png" alt="" width="705" height="570">
 
Click to enlarge
Myth 2: It’s only young single people that work weekends.
While being single with no children is more common than other family types among these workers, they are not a majority: there are also many couples both with and without children, and sole parents.
<a href="/images/2015/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-16%20at%208.10.04%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-16%20at%208.10.04%20AM.png" alt="" width="705" height="414">
 
Women are also more likely than men to work weekends. HILDA data indicates that only 22% of male and 21% of female weekend workers were dependent students; in other words, 78% of all weekend workers were not dependent and pay their own bills.
<a href="/images/2015/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-16%20at%208.11.22%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-16%20at%208.11.22%20AM.png" alt="" width="779" height="663">
 
Myth 3: The disadvantages of working weekends are only bad for those who work very long hours.
Employers argue that the adverse effects associated with working weekends are only relevant to those who work very long hours, and that the days and times themselves are no longer relevant, either because people no longer engage in the activities which previous decisions attempted to protect, or because these activities can be made up on other days and at other times.
But those who work on weekends do so at the sacrifice of time with friends and family, time which cannot be simply made up through time spent at other times during the week. This is particularly acute on Sundays, which remain a time for spending time with family. In spite of claims to the contrary, the differentiation between Saturdays and Sundays remains relevant in modern Australian society.
In general, the recompense of penalty rates is the key reason for willingly working weekends; with far fewer doing so to meet their own flexibility needs. However, the experience of the Work Choices era, and the importance and power of employer expectation, does suggest that many employees would not, in the absence of penalty rates, be able to avoid weekend work due to fear of losing their jobs, and indeed employees being forced to work weekends for no extra pay seems the most likely consequence of removing penalty rates.
Myth 4: Those who work in industries that pay penalty rates are not low paid.
Many workers on penalty rates are among the low paid. According to the Australian Work and Life Index, 37.8% of workers who work weekends only and receive penalty rates rely on these to meet household expenses. This increases to 48.8% for those working both evenings and weekends, and 52.2% for Sundays only.
<a href="/images/2015/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-16%20at%208.13.12%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202015-11-16%20at%208.13.12%20AM.png" alt="" width="779" height="640">
Myth 5: Reducing or eliminating penalty rates would increase employment.
The empirical evidence for increased employment as a result of reducing penalty rates is non-existent. <a href="https://press.anu.edu.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/11/Paying-the-Penalty-The-High-Price-of-Penalty-Rates-in-Australian-Restaurants.pdf">Employer arguments</a> have been based essentially on economic theory, which is merely hypothesis in the absence of empirical confirmation. What may be relevant in terms of the impact of wages on employment is that none of the available empirical evidence suggests minimum wages have a significant effect on net employment, a point reiterated by the Productivity Commission.
While some studies do suggest a substitution effect, this would be a matter of balancing one set of employed workers against another – older workers versus youth. In the absence of minima the wages of those who are employed would be lower. However, a number of studies suggest no effect at all, and some suggest a positive effect.
Given the evidence, it is difficult to see any benefits likely to accrue from the abolition or reduction of penalty rates for employees, employment levels or greater availability of services to the public.
 
Ray Markey is director of the Centre for Workforce Futures, Macquarie University and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/ray-markey-16292" target="_blank">here</a>.
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Myths about penalty rates and those who rely on them

<html><body>
GUEST OBSERVER
Economists find it difficult to agree on the subject of exactly how penalty rates affect employment and business. There is a dearth of empirical evidence on the subject because constructing an experiment to test the exact role of penalty rates in employment or business viability would be near impossible.
Anecdotal evidence from some businesses in the hospitality and retail sectors supports Mr Frydenberg’s claim that they’re not opening on Sundays because of penalty rates, but the direct evidence is far from conclusive.
<h2>Do penalty rates reduce employment?</h2>
It is true that penalty rates can reach 200% for certain awards. Sunday premium rates depend on a number of factors, including the occupation grade of the employee, and whether or not they are employed on a casual or permanent basis.
Direct evidence on the employment effects of penalty rates, and whether any such effects are driven more by demand or supply of weekend work, is really very limited. Some researchers have concluded penalty rates reduce demand for labour; other experts are unconvinced.
On supply side, the employment effects of Sunday penalty rates are quite complex. For those who value weekend time for lifestyle, family or religious reasons, the incentive to work on a Sunday will diminish if penalty rates are reduced. However, many workers have limited options to substitute from weekend to weekday work in the absence of a Sunday wage premium. Some employees may actively seek weeken<a href="https://www.qtic.com.au/news/modern-face-weekend-work-%E2%80%93-report-fair-work-commission-penalty-rates">d</a> work for a variety of reasons.
Employment effects are likely to be stronger on the demand side, with penalty rates unarguably imposing additional wage costs on employers. Savings from lower penalty rates offer businesses the choice to employ more workers at the same costs, or the same number of workers at lower costs.
Whether employment would increase following a reduction in penalty rates, and by how much, depends on the balance of positive responses to lower wage costs among businesses, and the negative reactions of workers to lower remuneration. There is some potential for a market-determined wage premium to emerge in the absence of penalty rates to ensure that working on a Sunday remains attractive.
<h2>Do penalty rates cause restaurants to close?</h2>
Are we seeing higher rates of closure in the restaurant sector? And more pertinently, can these closures be attributed to the penalty rate system above other factors?
Of those businesses trading in June 2010 in the food and beverage services sector, ABS data show that 70.3% survived to June 2012, and 51.7% to June 2014 - the latter survival rate being 10 percentage points below the average for all industries. So yes, there are higher rates of closure in the restaurant sector.
However, this may reflect the greater “churn” among businesses in the hospitality and retail sectors more than the effects of penalty rates. Overall business counts have remained relatively strong over the last period.
<a href="/images/2015/08/17/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-17%20at%208.50.57%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge </a>
<img src="/images/2015/08/17/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-17%20at%208.50.57%20AM.png" alt="">
Survival rates of businesses operating in June 2010 ABS Cat No 8165.0: Counts of Australian Businesses, including Entries and Exits, June 2010 to June 2014
It’s harder to find direct evidence to support the claim that penalty rates are the dominant cause of extensive restaurant business closures – if by “closing” we mean going out of business altogether, as opposed to simply closing on Sundays.
It appears Mr Frydenberg meant that latter – that restaurants and cafes were closing on Sundays, as opposed to closing down altogether. His spokesman said by email that:
"The Assistant Treasurer’s statement was primarily based on the findings of the Productivity Commission’s Draft Report in relation to the impact of Sunday penalty rates and the level of Sunday business activity; not the registration of businesses generally."
According to ABS figures, wages contribute more to the overall costs of doing business in the hospitality and retail sectors – averaging 43% of total retail business costs and 37% for accommodation and food services - compared with the overall industry average (28%).
A higher proportion of those wage costs are incurred at weekends and evenings, these being the periods of greatest demand for restaurant services. This does mean that penalty rates are likely to impose a greater cost burden on restaurants, cafes, bars and retail outlets relative to businesses in other sectors.
Penalty rates are likely to be more damaging during downturns in the business cycle, with lower consumer demand putting greater pressure on businesses in the hospitality sector who already work to tight profit margins.
A spokesman for Mr Frydenberg said that the Productivity Commission’s Draft Report makes several references to Sunday rates hampering business activity – notably on pages 483, 522, 250, 25 and 519.
He pointed to a statement from the Chamber of Commerce and Industry Queensland’s submission, which said:
"44% of (surveyed Queensland) businesses noted that they have decreased or substantially decreased the number of full time staff. Taken together, the results suggest that rising labour cost loadings are affecting business decisions about staffing hours and negatively impacting employment."
Mr Frydenberg’s spokesman cited evidence from a 2015 survey of 1000 restaurant and cafe operators conducted by Jetty Research on behalf of the Restaurant and Catering Industry Association, which found that:
"of those surveyed that didn’t open on Sundays and/or public holidays, 70% said that “this was because of penalty rates or an inability to trade profitably.”
However, this finding is based on responses from only 10% of the survey. Of the 90% of respondents in the same survey who stayed open on Sundays and/or public holidays, around half (51%) reported that they did so because of “increased profitability”, with one quarter (24%) reporting that Sunday opening made them less profitable. Of all respondents, 52% said they would employ more staff if penalty rates were reduced, and 42% said they would open additional hours.
The full response from Mr Frydenberg’s spokesman can be found <a href="https://theconversation.com/response-from-assistant-treasurer-josh-frydenberg-46075" target="_blank">here</a>.
<h2>Verdict</h2>
It is true that there is feedback from some restaurants and cafes that they are closing due to the high cost of Sunday penalty rates. However, even when you look at the restaurant and cafe industry’s own survey, only 10% of businesses surveyed closed on a Sunday. Of the 90% that remained open on a Sunday, more than half did so because they made a profit. Less than a quarter said penalty rates were reducing their profits. The evidence that restaurants and cafes are closing on Sundays because of prohibitively high costs is, at best, ambiguous.
Direct evidence of the employment and business impact of penalty rates is hard to come by. It is not possible to say for sure that penalty rates, above all other factors, are forcing restaurants and cafes to close their doors on a Sunday.
<h2>Review</h2>
The author of this FactCheck correctly notes that the evidence of the impact of penalty rates on employment and business operations in the food and beverages industry is limited in Australia.
There is some anecdota<a href="https://www.pc.gov.au/inquiries/current/workplace-relations/draft/workplace-relations-draft-overview.pdf">l</a> and qualitative evidence that shows for particular businesses, higher penalty rates have reduced employment. Some quantitative studies show that increasing labour costs are likely to lead to a reduction in the demand for labour but there is limited recent evidence on the direct effects of penalty rates on the demand and supply of labour over the weekend. Standard economic theory predicts that an increase in the wage will lead to a reduction in the demand for labour but the effects on the supply of labour are less clear.
The relationship between the survival of businesses in the food and beverage industry and pay rates is a subject on which more evidence is required.
Alan Duncan is director, Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre, Curtin University and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/alan-duncan-100759" target="_blank">here</a>.
Anne Daly is professor of economics at University of Canberra and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/anne-daly-184578" target="_blank">here</a>.
Both are authors for The Conversation
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Penalty Rates

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