One of North Sydney's best-known commercial buildings could become hundreds of new homes, with insurance giant Zurich Australia lodging a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) to transform 5 Blue Street into a mixed-use residential development above North Sydney Station.

Rather than demolishing the existing building and starting again, Zurich is proposing an adaptive reuse project that would convert the landmark office building into a 15-level residential development delivering 62 apartments, 86 affordable co-living dwellings, activated retail and significant upgrades to the Blue Street Plaza.

The proposal reflects a growing trend of commercial property owners repositioning ageing office assets into residential housing as Sydney grapples with housing supply shortages and changing workplace demand.

<img alt="Zurich" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0bba7d12-06dc-4375-aad7-238c94b21ac5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-22%20at%2010.42.05%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=NJl5oLAEBDGuPmY3RnyliKODjMc8lvRh" />

Located directly above North Sydney Metro and train station, the 3,051 sqm site occupies one of the most strategically positioned parcels of land on Sydney's Lower North Shore.

Designed by fjcstudio, the proposal seeks to retain and adapt much of the existing structure while creating a contemporary residential address that better connects with the public domain surrounding North Sydney Station.

The application proposes two basement levels, ground floor retail, affordable co-living accommodation across the podium levels, and apartments above, while preserving and enhancing the publicly accessible Blue Street Plaza.

Rather than pursuing maximum apartment numbers, Zurich has opted for a housing mix heavily weighted towards larger owner-occupier residences.

The proposal includes 62 build-to-sell apartments comprising 12 one-bedroom, 19 two-bedroom, 29 three-bedroom apartments and two premium penthouses. It also incorporates 86 affordable co-living dwellings, which would be managed in perpetuity by a Community Housing Provider.

That balance between traditional apartments and affordable housing reflects the NSW Government's push to increase housing diversity around major transport infrastructure.

The proposal has been lodged concurrently with a rezoning application, with Zurich arguing the site is ideally positioned to support additional housing given its immediate proximity to public transport, employment and services.

"The proposal aims to respond to the housing challenges facing Sydney through the delivery of diverse housing types in a highly accessible location," the design report by fjcstudio states. It also seeks to improve pedestrian amenity through upgrades to Blue Street Plaza while creating a high-performing residential building that responds to the surrounding context.

<img alt="Zurich" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36082e15-c636-4481-bb68-5a5f6443fe39" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-22%20at%2010.41.36%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=5P6VD.fvmqjQfIG3TWWMRXxQWiQBjeFB" />

Rather than replacing the commercial building, fjcstudio has developed a design that works with the existing structural framework above the rail corridor, an approach that significantly reduces demolition while allowing the site to be repositioned as a mixed-use residential precinct.

The existing structural constraints have informed much of the building's design, including its relationship with Blue Street and surrounding public spaces.

The building has been designed as a slender tower rising above a clearly defined podium, with vertically expressed façades intended to reduce the perceived bulk while reinforcing North Sydney's emerging skyline.

According to fjcstudio, the architectural language responds directly to the surrounding commercial towers while maintaining a finer grain expression more closely aligned with the neighbouring Lavender Bay streetscape.

The tower incorporates articulated façade elements, landscaped podium edges and recessed upper levels to soften its appearance and improve pedestrian amenity below.

A significant component of the proposal is the revitalisation of Blue Street Plaza.

The existing public space has long served as one of the primary pedestrian connections between North Sydney Station, Greenwood Plaza and Blue Street, yet its role is expected to become even more important following the opening of Sydney Metro.

Zurich's proposal seeks to strengthen that role by improving landscaping, introducing new retail frontages, enhancing pedestrian permeability and creating more active edges throughout the day and evening.

Ground floor retail would wrap the plaza, while separate residential and co-living entries have been designed to improve wayfinding without reducing street activation.

Landscape design has been integrated throughout the podium and public realm, softening what is currently one of the most heavily urbanised parts of North Sydney.

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fjcstudio has carefully oriented apartments towards Sydney Harbour and the CBD while using privacy blades and articulated façades to minimise overlooking between neighbouring buildings.

Large framed openings along the western elevation maximise harbour outlooks, while the eastern apartments have been angled towards the south-east to improve privacy from neighbouring development.

The project forms part of the continuing transformation of North Sydney from a predominantly commercial CBD into a genuine mixed-use city centre.

Since the completion of Victoria Cross Metro Station, developers have increasingly shifted their attention towards residential projects capable of leveraging the area's unparalleled transport connectivity.

&nbsp;

FiveX recently lodged plans for a 61-storey, 490-apartment tower that would become one of the tallest residential buildings in North Sydney if approved.

Aqualand continues to expand its Lower North Shore presence following the completion of AURA on Walker Street and its recent St Leonards and Roseville proposals.

Developers are also progressing projects throughout Walker Street, Miller Street and the Victoria Cross precinct as demand for well-located owner-occupier apartments continues to strengthen.

Joel Robinson

First look: Zurich targets North Sydney office conversion with 148-unit proposal above Metro station

Busy developer Aqualand Prestige has formally taken the next step in its expansion across Sydney's Lower North Shore, lodging a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for its long-held Archer Street site in Chatswood.

The application covers <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/51-55-archer-street-chatswood-nsw-2067">51-55 Archer Street</a>, a 1,767 sqm amalgamated site on the eastern edge of the Chatswood CBD, where the developer is seeking approval for a 45-level mixed-use tower delivering 114 apartments, including a significant affordable housing component, alongside retail, commercial space and six basement levels of parking.

The SSDA marks the latest milestone for a project Aqualand has been quietly progressing over the past two years. The developer first secured the site for its Aqualand Prestige platform before undertaking an alternative design excellence process with PTW Architects, ultimately avoiding a formal design competition through the Housing Delivery Authority pathway.

The proposal has evolved considerably from Aqualand's original concept. The revised scheme has been designed around larger owner-occupier product, with an unusually high proportion of three and four-bedroom apartments, targeting the more affluent buyer profile, and downsizer, emerging across the North Shore.

<img alt="Archer St" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0171204c-5811-41b5-9b09-2335d1b7c3d0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-22%20at%208.52.48%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=6YTuxfq.puZo7k2wbfgemcO5K3QfXYGQ" />

The 114-apartment mix comprises six studios, 27 one-bedroom apartments, 18 two-bedroom apartments, 50 three-bedroom residences and 13 four-bedroom homes. A quarter of the building will be dedicated to affordable housing, well above the mandated 15 per cent&nbsp;

PTW has structured the building vertically, with affordable housing across levels one to six, premium apartments through levels seven to 31, duplex skyhomes on klevels 32 to 43, a penthouse on level 44, and a rooftop plant level above. Six basement levels will provide resident parking and servicing.

The tower is proposed to reach approximately 154 metres, placing it among a growing collection of residential high-rises transforming Chatswood's skyline.

Rather than competing purely on height, PTW says the design has been driven by creating a slimmer tower capable of delivering significantly larger apartments.

"The primary objective of this project was to create a distinctive building that stands out from the recently approved or built structures in the Chatswood area," the design report states, noting the structural efficiency allows greater investment into apartment quality and resident amenity.

Residents would have access to more than 450 sqm of communal open space including landscaped gardens, swimming pool, rooftop entertaining areas, fitness spaces, community gardens, children's play areas and barbecue facilities.

A major focus of the design has been the public domain.

The ground plane has been opened up through landscaped terraces inspired by Willoughby's sandstone ridges, with native planting, public seating, artwork, retail activation and a series of gathering spaces intended to soften what has traditionally been a hard commercial streetscape.

The landscape strategy references Blue Gum forests once common throughout the area, while incorporating Indigenous storytelling, public art and lighting installations to strengthen the connection to Country.

Chatswood has been one of Sydney's busiest apartment markets over the past 12 months, with a steady pipeline of both new project launches and fresh development applications.

Hyecorp recently launched Celine, a 122-apartment development just along Archer Street, while Changfa and Huirong Group are progressing The Anderson, an 84-apartment project on Anderson Street.

Develotek recently secured approval for a 101-apartment tower on Pacific Highway, while Tian An LFD received the green light for Hammond Greens, its apartment development on the edge of the Chatswood Bowling Club.

Commercial property developer FiveX is also making its move into the residential market. Last month it lodged plans for a 61-storey tower with 490 apartments, which, if approved, would become one of the tallest residential buildings in Chatswood.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-fivex-targets-chatswood-skyline-with-61-storey-tower-after-north-sydney-plans">First look: FiveX targets Chatswood skyline with 61-storey tower after North Sydney plans</a>

Aqualand is also expanding its development pipeline following the launch of its luxury residential brand, Aqualand Prestige. The developer has delivered a string of high-end apartment projects across Sydney's affluent suburbs over the past decade, most recently AURA by Aqualand on Walker Street in North Sydney.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=30959 project_image_fid=292863]

It has since quietly assembled its next wave of projects.

Earlier this year Aqualand launched Boronia in Roseville, a boutique 111-apartment development on Larkin Street. The project is one of the first significant apartment developments to launch in the suburb ahead of what is expected to become one of Sydney's most active new housing precincts under the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing reforms, which allow greater density around train stations.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152095 project_image_fid=373685]

The developer has also lodged plans for a two-tower, 413-apartment development on Herbert Street in nearby St Leonards, further strengthening its presence across the Lower North Shore.

Beyond that, Aqualand remains behind the final stage of Barangaroo, where plans will deliver a five-hectare mixed-use precinct comprising new homes, retail, hospitality and community facilities, alongside a new Metro entrance and more than two hectares of public open space, completing the Barangaroo precinct.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/central-barangaroo-development-takes-big-step-with-concept-proposal-approval">Central Barangaroo development takes big step with concept proposal approval</a>

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-aqualand-joins-st-leonards-apartment-party">First look: Aqualand joins St Leonards apartment party</a> 
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First look: Aqualand pushes ahead with Chatswood apartment tower as SSDA lodged for Archer Street

Mass timber is becoming an increasingly popular construction material in apartment developments, but Adelaide developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/otello">Otello</a> is taking the approach a step further.

At its new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flowe-bowden-18-gibson-street-bowden-sa-5007">Flowe Bowden</a> development, the exposed cross-laminated timber (CLT) structure isn't just about reducing the building's environmental footprint. It also forms the foundation of a broader wellness strategy, influencing everything from indoor air quality and natural materials to the way residents move through and experience the building.

The 115-apartment mixed-use development, designed by Melbourne-based architecture practice Fieldwork, will occupy a prominent island site opposite Bowden Village Reserve, combining one, two and three-bedroom apartments with retail and a dedicated wellness destination.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375528]

Wellness isn't confined to a gym or shared resident facility at Flowe. Instead, Fieldwork embedded the concept into the building itself.

The development has been split into two residential wings connected by a naturally ventilated central breezeway, replacing traditional enclosed corridors with open-air walkways that improve natural light, encourage cross ventilation and create more opportunities for neighbourly interaction.

"Rather than treating wellness as something that only happens on the ground floor, our response integrates it throughout the building, which led us to ask what it really means to design a healthy building," Fieldwork Director Quino Holland said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375531]

The building's architecture also reflects Bowden's industrial heritage. The lower podium references the area's historic brick and sandstone buildings, while the upper levels transition to exposed CLT, allowing the timber structure to become a defining feature throughout the apartments and shared spaces.

The use of mass timber sits alongside a range of sustainability initiatives, including a fully electric, gas-free design, rooftop solar and a targeted 5 Star Green Star rating.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375524]

Inside the residences, the focus remains on natural, durable materials. Blackbutt engineered timber flooring, exposed CLT ceilings, porcelain surfaces and warm timber joinery create a calming interior palette, while low-VOC finishes and responsibly sourced materials have been selected to improve indoor air quality.

Kitchens have been designed as the centrepiece of each apartment, featuring porcelain island benchtops, timber-look cabinetry and brushed steel tapware, with layouts that maximise natural light and ventilation.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152022 project_image_fid=375530]

The more traditional interpretation of wellness comes in the form of Level Eleven, a two-storey wellness club spanning the ground floor, mezzanine and first floor.

The facility will include a gym, yoga and reformer Pilates studios, Finnish and infrared saunas, magnesium hot and cold plunge pools, and dedicated recovery spaces. Unlike many residential wellness facilities, Level Eleven will also operate commercially, allowing the broader Bowden community to access the venue while giving residents exclusive membership benefits.

The ground floor has also been designed around everyday living. A café overlooking Bowden Village Reserve will activate the street frontage, while a bike workshop with tool storage, co-working space and dog wash has been incorporated to support daily routines and encourage interaction between residents.

"Flowe brings together my two biggest passions, creating places and creating healthier lives," Otello founder Daniel Harris said.

"We wanted to create something Adelaide hasn't seen before, a genuinely healthy building, where the way you live is lifted without even trying."

Flowe is positioned directly opposite Bowden Village Reserve and within walking distance of Bowden Railway Station and the Adelaide Entertainment Centre, placing future residents just minutes from the Adelaide CBD while remaining connected to one of the city's most established urban renewal precincts.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152022]

Otello launches wellness-focused Flowe Bowden with Adelaide-first mass timber apartment design

Not all apartment amenities are immediately visible.

Swimming pools, gyms, rooftop terraces and residents' lounges have long featured on buyers' wishlists, but as the way Australians live has changed, so too have the features that make apartment living more convenient.

Increasingly, buyers are placing value on the practical aspects of day-to-day life. Fast internet, EV charging, secure bike storage, flexible workspaces and parcel management are becoming just as relevant as lifestyle amenities, reflecting changing habits and expectations.

Online shopping has been one of the biggest drivers of that shift.

Australians spent a record $82.6 billion shopping online in 2025, with almost one in every four retail dollars now spent digitally, making parcel deliveries a routine part of everyday life rather than an occasional convenience.

For apartment residents, however, receiving those deliveries isn't always straightforward.

Without someone home to accept a parcel, deliveries can be redirected to a nearby Post Office, left in building foyers or common areas, or require building management to temporarily store packages. As apartment living continues to grow across Australia's cities, parcel management has become an increasingly important consideration for both residents and developers.

Australia Post's Parcel Locker network is one response to that shift.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/KPZ9j5FRdsQ?si=Qztc1dNP3ZvEIUhb" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

Rather than relying on home delivery, eligible parcels can be directed to a nominated Parcel Locker, where they're securely stored until collected. Once a parcel arrives, residents receive a notification through the AusPost app or SMS and can retrieve it using a one-time code or QR code at a time that suits them.

The network has expanded to more than 1,500 locations nationwide, with Parcel Lockers positioned at Post Offices, shopping centres, supermarkets, transport hubs and, increasingly, within or alongside residential developments.

That growing presence reflects a broader change in how apartment buildings are being planned.

Developers are increasingly considering the operational side of apartment living alongside traditional lifestyle amenities. Just as secure mailrooms, bicycle storage and EV charging have become more common inclusions, parcel management is emerging as another feature that supports everyday convenience.

It also helps preserve the arrival experience within a building. Carefully designed lobbies and communal spaces can quickly become cluttered when deliveries accumulate, while secure parcel solutions reduce the likelihood of missed deliveries or parcels being left unattended.

For buyers comparing apartments, these everyday details are becoming part of the decision-making process.

Location, floorplans and finishes remain fundamental, but the features that simplify daily life are carrying greater weight than they once did. As online shopping continues to shape consumer behaviour, secure parcel delivery is increasingly becoming another amenity worth looking for.

Parcel delivery is joining the apartment amenity checklist

Inca Property Group has lodged a State Significant Development Application (SSDA) for Dawn, a 53-apartment oceanfront development overlooking Mona Vale Beach.

The proposal, at 35-39 Darley Street East, would replace an existing 18-apartment strata building with a new owner-occupier-focused development comprising 53 two and three-bedroom apartments, including nine affordable built-to-rent residences delivered under the State's infill affordable housing scheme.

Positioned on a 2,679 sqm elevated site around 280 metres from Mona Vale Beach, the development has been designed to maximise panoramic ocean views while responding to the site's sloping topography.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/inca-property-group">Inca Property Group</a> Managing Director Josh Thompson said the State Significant pathway provided greater certainty for projects of this scale.

"This State Significant pathway gives the team real certainty to progress <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/dawn-35-39-darley-street-east-mona-vale-nsw-2103">Dawn</a> through to completion," Thompson said.

"It allows us to acquire a one-off site, design it carefully and deliver the right offering for the suburb, assessed by the NSW Government's planning department."

The project is one of the first developments in the area to be assessed under the NSW Government's Low and Mid-Rise Housing policy, with the site sitting on the edge of the policy's designated inner area.

The proposal includes three basement levels providing 124 car spaces, alongside a range of resident amenities including a swimming pool, gym, sauna, wellness facilities and private plunge pools for selected ground-floor and penthouse apartments.

<img alt="Dawn" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="fc1a1daf-0ce4-4f12-9076-b1fa553c7a91" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-21%20at%208.42.11%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4GZ9h.gpNkTljbxyAET8Jfhv51XUamDm" />

Thompson said Dawn had been designed specifically for owner-occupiers and downsizers, a buyer profile that has driven demand across Inca's recent Upper North Shore developments.

"The majority of buyers in our recent North Shore projects have been downsizers, and we are learning exactly what this market is looking for. Beyond the location itself, we have included resort-style amenities to deliver a genuine lifestyle offering," Thompson said.

Located within walking distance of Mona Vale Beach, the town centre, Mona Vale Golf Club and the Royal Motor Yacht Club, Dawn represents Inca's first Northern Beaches project following the sell-out of Tara on Park in Waitara and Ellis Residences, currently under construction in St Ives.

Construction will be undertaken by Inca's in-house construction arm, GOP Constructions.

Dawn is the latest major apartment proposal for Mona Vale, with the suburb emerging as one of the key beneficiaries of the NSW Government's new Low and Mid-Rise Housing policy.

New developer One Living, led by industry veteran Joseph Scuderi, recently secured a site on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, where it is planning around 140 apartments.

IPM is also planning its third project in Mona Vale, significantly increasing the scale of its previous developments with an 82-apartment proposal at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/159-167-darley-street-west-mona-vale-nsw-2103">159-167 Darley Street West</a>, opposite Bayview Golf Course and less than 800 metres from Mona Vale town centre.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/one-living-enters-sydneys-new-apartment-market-with-northern-beaches-site-acquisition">One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition</a>

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-ipm-plans-third-mona-vale-project">First look: IPM plans third Mona Vale project</a>

First look: Inca eyes Mona Vale with State Significant DA for Dawn apartments

Oversupply

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Does Australia have a greater housing oversupply than the US? Pete Wargent

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Forecaster BIS Shrapnel this week used apartment oversupply as part of the justification for predicting (minor) price decline in some of our major cities over the next three years.
While I certainly share their concerns about over-building of high-rise apartments, I don’t agree that this means prices generally will fall in those cities.
Does a unit over-supply in inner-city Adelaide or Brisbane prevent house prices from growing in housing markets in the middle-ring and outer suburbs?
On the Gold Coast, past oversupply has resulted in key locations like Surfers Paradise having pricing levels lower than 10 years ago. But it hasn’t prevented inland housing suburbs from delivering price growth averaging 4-5 percent per year over the past decade.
So I expect price growth in housing markets in Brisbane, Adelaide, Canberra and Hobart – as well as the Gold Coast – regardless of the over-supply issue in the high-rise areas of those cities. I’m not expecting much from Sydney or Melbourne in the next few years, because those markets have passed their peaks and sales levels have fallen away dramatically, leading to price stagnation or minor decline.
The unit oversupply is a separate issue – and a serious one. It’s significant that lenders are including high-rise areas on blacklists, that developers are deferring planned projects and that vacancy rates are rising in key areas.
This week I updated vacancy rates for Brisbane inner-city suburbs for a seminar presentation. There has been a market blow-out in vacancies in all six suburbs I reference in that presentation. Most now have vacancies in the 5-6 percent range, according to SQM Research figures. 
In the space of three months, the vacancy rate for the Brisbane CBD has increased from 4.4 percent to 5 percent, while Woolloongabba is up from 4.8 to 5.5 percent and New Farm has increased from 5.3 to 6.1 percent.
These statistics will worsen as projects now under construction are completed and their apartments join the rental pool – because very few of the sales are being made to owner-occupiers.
Apartment markets with current or looming surpluses of stock make up half of the 10 markets highlighted in my No Go Zones report (the only half being regional areas impacted by the resources sector).
This really is one of the core issues facing the property industry. While the developer lobby keeps running the party line about dwelling shortages – despite two years of record building approvals pumped up by apartment projects – the big issue is the opposite problem of surplus.
It’s inevitable that, in some markets, vacancies will rise, rents will fall and values will be impacted.
As BIS Shrapnel senior director Angie Zigomanis says: “Nearly all capital cities are building apartments at record rates on the back of the recent strength in investor demand. As these projects are progressively completed, it is likely that there will not be enough tenants in a number of cities to support rents and consequently values upon completion.”
I’m amazed at how many people are still buying apartments in Surfers Paradise, inner-city Melbourne and inner-city Brisbane, and by the number of new projects seeking approval in oversupplied markets like Perth, Brisbane and Melbourne.
Across the key high-rise suburbs of the Gold Coast, Melbourne and Brisbane, 8,242 people have bought apartments in the past 12 months, including 1,588 in Surfers Paradise and 1,501 in the Melbourne CBD. 
Do these people not read? Don’t they have access to the Internet? The warnings from analysts, commentators, lenders and the Reserve Bank over the past 12-18 months add up to a deafening roar.
If you’re ignoring all that and still buying high-rise units off-the-plan in these markets - or if you’re oblivious to it because you haven’t done even the most basic research - you deserve to lose money.
 
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="mailto:hotspotting@gmail.com">hotspotting@gmail.com</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
 
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Apartment over-building doesn't mean prices will fall: Terry Ryder

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The narrative of over-supply and under-performance in Brisbane units has dominated conversations around south-east Queensland property for almost 5 years.
At January 2020, Brisbane unit values remain 11.5% below their 2010 peak to be at similar levels to 2007. But the latest data on property values, construction and population growth suggest that the story is changing. It is worth noting that over-supply is very much a unit-centric story. H
ouses across Brisbane have actually seen quite strong capital growth returns in the past few years, except for a brief, cyclical downturn over part of 2019. In the previous trough-to-trough cycle that lasted between 2012 and 2019, annual house value growth outperformed unit growth by an average of 290 basis points.
This is larger than usual discrepancies, and is above the series average difference of 130 basis points. In other words, the past cycle saw units significantly ‘under-perform’ relative to housing stock in Brisbane. The rolling annual growth figure shows that unit values have largely declined since July 2016
2016 was a time when units were being built across Brisbane at an unprecedented level. ABS completion data suggests 21,342 units were completed, against a historic average of 11,585 per year. In the December 2016 quarter, the number of unit completions even eclipsed the number of houses delivered across the state.
It is difficult to understand the exact impact this supply has on the Brisbane unit market, given that ABS completions data is currently unavailable beyond a state level on a quarterly basis. However, cross-referencing the approvals dataset with the ABS data by region series, suggests about 75% of state-wide unit construction was centred within the Greater Brisbane metropolitan region.
The time series suggests that the lag between approvals and completions varies from about 1-2 years.
Since 2015, unit approvals have been moderating in response to subdued capital growth performance. The latest quarter of data shows approvals are 46% below the decade average of approvals. This means the delivery of new units across Queensland is likely to be subdued over 2020.
CoreLogic project data suggests unit completions across Brisbane over 2020 will average about 4,000 per quarter, reflecting the long-term average. But supply is only one side of the story. Looking at how population growth has tracked relative to unit completions brings further clarity to value declines in units over 2016.
The figure below shows ‘housing demand’ relative to completions across Queensland. Housing demand represents the number of dwellings needed to accommodate additions to population at each quarter, divided by household density of 2.6. The housing demand is presented as a rolling annual average.
Future housing demand is also estimated based on the Queensland government ‘median’ scenario of population projections, suggesting about 8,000 dwellings are required to house the growing population each quarter to June 2021.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/2/20/Brisbane%20Oversupply.JPG" alt="">
There has been a convergence between the number of dwellings required and supplied since the start of 2018. With approvals data suggesting a decline in construction, and steady estimates of population growth, Queensland dwellings may fall into undersupply in the year ahead.
Rental yields are also well above the capital city average at 5.3% gross, meaning there could also soon be a turning point in investor demand. However, one unknown in this analysis would be projects that have stalled due to falling unit values in the past few years. If these re-commence, added supply could once again weigh down growth.
The turnaround in the supply-demand dynamic is already being seen in unit values. Since bottoming out in June 2019, CoreLogic indices show the Brisbane unit market has recovered 2.2%.
This fits in with a more broad-based recovery, as reductions in the cash rate have reduced the cost of servicing debt, and increased incentive to purchase property.
ELIZA OWEN is the Head of Research for Australia at CoreLogic
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Is Brisbane still oversupplied? CoreLogic's Eliza Owen

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An undisclosed major bank has a blacklist of 6700 apartment projects across Australia.
The projects are where buyers are either refused loans or are offered reduced loan to value ratios (LVR).
The list has been obtained by The Australian Financial Review from the mortgage broker, Home Loan Experts. The newspaper article only pinpointed a handful of effected projects.
<div>
<div>
It reveals projects where buyers have either been denied loans or offered less funding are 19 Larkin Street in Camperdown in inner-city Sydney, Finbar's Aire apartments in West Perth and Meriton's developments on Main Beach on the Gold Coast and 1 Janoa Place in Chiswick, inner west Sydney.
Sydney-based Home Loan Experts noted "blacklisted" projects vary across the banks. 
Areas which are consistently "blacklisted" however include Wolli Creek and Zetland (above) in inner south Sydney and the Brisbane CBD given a potential oversupply of new units or the bank reaching maximum exposure of loans on a project, managing director Otto Dargan said. 
Earlier this year RiskWise declare Zetland as the riskiest off the plan suburb in 2018.
No Lending (Exposure Reached)
19 Larkin Street, Camperdown, NSW;
58 Cairds Avenue, Bankstown, NSW;
23 Mcintyre Street, Gordon, NSW;
10 Rosamond Road, Footscray, VIC.
Restricted Lending
29 Woodroffe Avenue, Main Beach, QLD, Maximum LVR: 70%; 
1 Janoa Place, Chiswick, NSW, Maximum LVR: 80%; 
Cromwell Road, South Yarra, VIC, LVR: 80%; 
275-277 The Esplanade, Cairns North, QLD, LVR: 70%; 
36 Griffith Street, New Farm, QLD, LVR: 90%; 
659 Murray Street, West Perth, QLD, LVR: 80%
</div>
<div>A dense project is usually one which has more than 30 apartments, Dargan said.</div>
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Serviced apartments or converted hotels are always considered as high-risk lending.
Assisting borrowers who have been rejected by banks is now a constant challenge, Dargan added.
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Wolli Creek and Zetland apartment projects on "bank's blacklist" 

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
Skilled job vacancies advertisements rose for an 18th consecutive month according to the Department of Employment, for the first time since March 2011. 
There was quite a jump in the month too, from 184,000 to 189,000, with the trend result now +34% higher (or +47,400 advertisements) than the October 2013 nadir. 
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Conditions improved everywhere, especially Western Australia, although South Australia was the notable laggard, with only a small annual change in vacancies. 
Things are certainly looking up, slowly but surely, and when the economy improves often so too does immigration rise.
Indeed, the number of permanent and long term arrivals hit the highest ever level in February 2018 at 105,630, in turn sending the annual total to a record high of 788,260.
If you've ever wondered why Melbourne's supposed oversupply of housing never materialised, here's why.
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February also played host to a tourism bonanza in honour of Chinese Lunar New Year, with a record 226,900 Chinese arrivals in the month.
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Including arrivals from Hong Kong there were more than ¼ million visitors in just 28 days.
Unprecedented. 
With 1.4 million short-term visitors over the year to February it's no surprise that China grabs the tourism headlines, though there were also record arrivals from other countries, including India at 311,500. 
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February is also a key intake month for international students, and education arrivals were also extremely high at 111,500, although this was just a notch below the record high for a month set in February 2017.
Annual arrivals were above 564,000, but these numbers need to be treated with a little care due to double-counting. 
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Lots of moving parts here, but the big picture is very strong demographic flows, especially into Sydney and Melbourne, coupled with booming tourism for Australia. A heady combination. 
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Why Melbourne's supposed oversupply of housing never materialised: Pete Wargent

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Despite strengthening underlying demand from the perspective of people wanting to occupy apartments in the Inner Brisbane Apartment (IBA) area, record levels of new apartment completions have tipped the market into oversupply. This has placed downwards pressure on rents and prices. This paper profiles indicators relating to demand, supply, rents and prices.
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Development in Inner Brisbane occurs mainly in large scale and high rise projects in the following locations:
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CBD/Spring Hill 
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Inner East 
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Inner North 
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West End 
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Toowong 
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Woolloongabba 
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<div class="section">Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/4/5/IBA1.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
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APARTMENT PROFILE 
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According to recently released 2016 Census data, private rental apartments accounted for 56% of the total apartment stock in the IBA area. This was considerably higher than the 33% share in the Greater Brisbane region. This highlights a strong preference for investors to purchase apartments in the IBA. The share of private rental stock has also increased from the 54% recorded in the 2011 Census. Owner occupied dwellings formed 27% of IBA area stock, with a slightly greater share of these having a mortgage (being purchased).
Conversely, a significantly higher 59% of Greater Brisbane dwellings were owner occupied. Unoccupied dwellings—properties that are second homes or kept empty as a speculative investment—comprised 17% of total apartment stock across the IBA area, compared to 8% across Greater Brisbane. The increased number of unoccupied dwellings is reflective of the rising level of overseas demand, with many of these properties not entering the private rental market.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/4/5/iba2.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge</a>
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DEMAND PROFILE 
The age profile of IBA apartment residents indicate that people first rent when moving into the IBA area, with 60% of rental households at the 2016 Census consisting of occupants aged 20 to 34 years old. If people remain in, or move into, the IBA area beyond 34 years of age, there is a far higher propensity to purchase an apartment.
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Households with a mortgage were mostly younger, with 52% of these apartment occupants aged 30 to 54 years old. Whilst within fully owned apartments in the IBA area, the demographic was much older, with 68% of occupants in these apartments aged 50 years old and over. 
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SUPPLY PIPELINE 
Sustained demand for apartment stock within the IBA area, with moderate growth from 2013 onwards can be attributed to attractive yields, low or volatile returns for other investments and low interest rates. The rise in off–the–plan sales allowed a greater number of projects to reach sufficient pre–commitment levels to obtain finance and begin construction. As a result, the IBA area has experienced a surge in apartment completions, with a record number of completions occurring each year in 2014/15, 2015/16 and 2016/17. Last year 5,700 apartments were completed, while in 2017/18 we estimate that approximately 8,300 apartments will be completed; a new record annual level of apartment completions. As a result, vacancy rates in Inner Brisbane have been rising and were 4% in December quarter 2017. 
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Falling rents and price growth has led to a softening in investor demand. Coupled with restrictions on interest only loans (a mainstay of investors) and the Queensland government introducing a stamp duty surcharge for overseas investors, we expect to see significantly fewer projects being able to achieve the pre-sales requirements for projects to commence. Sharply rising construction costs have also meant that developer’s margins have been eroded, impacting the next round of projects, particularly if there is a slump in prices making planned projects no longer viable.
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A marked trend through 2017/18 has been for developers to abandon or defer projects still in the planning stage. Across the IBA area, 52 projects amounting to well over 10,000 apartments were abandoned or deferred. Some investor demand for IBA apartment stock may be supported by its relative affordability in comparison to equivalent apartment stock in Melbourne and Sydney, although this is unlikely to absorb substantial new apartments stock while the market is in oversupply. 
IBA area completions are expected to fall slightly in 2018/19 and are then expected to revert closer to the longer term average of around the 2,000 completions per annum. Of all IBA precincts, the West End, CBD and the Inner North will see the highest number of apartments come to market. This will be followed by Toowong and Woolloongabba, with a relatively small number of apartments to come online in the Inner East and Hamilton precincts. 
 
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Demand, oversupply, rents and prices of inner Brisbane apartments: BIS

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The Bank of Queensland chairman Roger Davis has indicated he remained wary about the Brisbane apartment market.
Speaking at the bank’s annual general meeting on Thursday, Davis said cooling markets on the east coast of Australia were being watched closely.
“BOQ takes some comfort from moderating east coast housing prices and risk conditions, especially in Sydney, and sees no evidence of any systemic weakness in its housing portfolio or substantive increases in its mortgage arrears,” Davis said.
“We do remain wary of conditions in the residential apartment market, especially in Brisbane, where the RBA is warning that this financial year is “crunch time” given the oversupply, low rental increases, tightening credit conditions and ongoing targeted macroprudential regulations,” Domain Media reported.
REIQ chief executive Antonia Mercorella said the bank’s warning to shareholders was fair, but said the medium to long term outlook was much more positive.
“We’ve been dealing with concerns about the oversupply for the past two years,” she said.
“There’s really no evidence at the moment there’s a great cause for alarm. From our perspective, it’s better to take a long term view of the issue."
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Bank of Queensland remains wary of Brisbane apartment market 

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The attention on Brisbane apartment oversupply has been on the newly completed off the plan settlements.
But many established apartments in Brisbane's inner city suburb of Fortitude Valley have quietly notched up resales below their previous sales prices.
Here's a list of some apartments that Property Observer has spotted selling below their first sale prices:
1) <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property/unit-509-25-connor-st-fortitude-valley-qld-4006" target="_blank">509/25 Connor Street</a> Fortitude Valley, QLD, 4006
The one-bedroom apartment in the M&amp;A apartment block (above) sold for $320,000 in January 2017, well below its last sold price of $359,660 in 2013, according to CoreLogic RP Data.
It was on the market for 71 days, and was offered for $339,000 earlier in 2016 as well, when it was advertised as the “best deal in Fortitude Valley”.
It was listed for renting for $380 per week in August 2015 and then again a year later in September 2016 for $395 per week.
2) <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-unit-qld-fortitude+valley-124571858" target="_blank">504/25 Connor Street</a>, Fortitude Valley, Qld 4006
This two-bedroom apartment with an area of 74 sqm sold for $425,000 in April 2017 after being on the market for 74 days.
It sold below its previous sale price of $492,000 in 2015. The apartment first sold for $519,000 in 2013, when it was built, CoreLogic RP Data shows.
3) <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-apartment-qld-fortitude+valley-122526038" target="_blank">306/25 Connor Street</a> Fortitude Valley, QLD, 4006
This one-bedroom apartment close to the CBD spanning 61 sqm sold for $315,000 in March 2017, according to CoreLogic RP Data. The apartment was on the market for 337 days.
According to its advert, Ray White agent said it was returning $395 per week.
It previously sold for $371,000.
4) <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-apartment-qld-fortitude+valley-125515742" target="_blank">305/25 Connor Street</a> Fortitude Valley, QLD, 4006
Another one-bedroom unit in the same apartment development - right next door - sold below its previous price.
The latest sale in August 2017 fetched $298,000, well below its previous sale in 2010 at $361,000, CoreLogic RP Data shows.
It was on the market for 188 days.
The unit was advertised for rent at $370 per week.
5) <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-apartment-qld-fortitude+valley-125980430" target="_blank">212/25 Connor Street</a> Fortitude Valley, QLD, 4006
This two-bedroom unit, built in 2013, sold recently for $370,000 after being on the market for just 12 days. However, the sale price was well below its initial sold price of $499,000, CoreLogic RP Data shows.
Even rents have fallen. First advertised for rent in February 2016 for $495 per week, the asking rate was dropped to $480 within a week and earlier this year it was advertised for $450 per week.
6) <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property/unit-1016-8-church-st-fortitude-valley-qld-4006" target="_blank">1016/8 Church Street</a> Fortitude Valley, QLD, 4006
This two-bedroom unit in Mosaic Apartments last changed hands for $425,000 in November 2107.
The unit dropped significantly in price from its previous sale in 2012 when it fetched $542,225, CoreLogic RP Data shows.
Asking rents have fallen too from $500 per week in 2015 to $440 by April 2017.
7) <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property/unit-5-125-robertson-st-fortitude-valley-qld-4006" target="_blank">5/125 Robertson Street</a> Fortitude Valley, QLD, 4006
This two-bedroom apartment was built in 2000 fetched $400,000 at its recent sale in July 2017, just marginally above its previous selling price of $394,000 in 2010, according to CoreLogic RP Data.
The unit fetched $305,000 in 2006.
It was last advertised for rent at $400 per week. Asking rents have, however, been falling. It was on the market for $475 per week rent previously in 2010.
8) 10/53 Warry Street Fortitude Valley, QLD, 4006
This two-bedroom unit sold for $319,000 in July 2017. Curiously, it sold for $318,000 earlier this year in January. But overall, it has appreciated from its sale in 1998 for $115,000, CoreLogic RP Data shows.
It was last advertised for rent at $380 per week.
 
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Up to $120,000 cheaper: eight loss making established apartment resales in Fortitude Valley 

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The academic report by researchers from the Australian National University (ANU) that outlines the potential over supply of housing in Sydney misunderstands the strong swing to inner city urban living, says the Urban Taskforce. 
The academic report by Australian National University researchers Cukko Joseph and Ben Phillips seems to be based on search algorithms rather than the reality of the market place.
The researchers utilise the search algorithm Newton-Raphsin in the Gregwt SAS Code in their 22 page report to conclude that there is a major oversupply of new homes in Australian cities but NSW government data indicates an undersupply.
The ANU report focusses on a supposed over supply of 5,900 new homes in Inner Sydney but rents are still high in this region indicating an undersupply. The NSW Government predictions are that 40,000 new homes are required each year for Metropolitan Sydney for 20 years yet we are currently only at 35,000 new homes a year.
The Sydney inner city housing market is being driven by a swing to urban living where young couples and older downsizers are looking for a cosmopolitan urban lifestyle that is close to amenities and public transport. Predictions on housing demand must understand this change in living preferences that is quite different to a few decades ago.
The study does acknowledge that its methodology does not account for real demand for new housing. A ‘real demand’ analysis would incorporate consumer preferences and other economic drivers, such as interest rates or employment’. The study also admits there are limitations in its analysis – in terms of its conceptual basis and the data it relies upon. It also states that the study ‘does not conclude that people’s housing needs are being met’.
While all research reports are useful, inputs into the current discussion on housing supply and demand must be balanced with the extensive demographic research undertaken by government agencies.
Our concern with the ANU statements is that they could encourage governments at state and local level to put a brake on housing supply by adding further levies and by slowing down planning approvals. The end product would be to dramatically reduce supply and so drive up the price of housing creating affordability problems.
The Urban Taskforce urges governments at all levels to reduce levies on new housing and to simplify the planning system so that affordable housing can be delivered for those keen to own their own home as well as for those that prefer to rent.
CHRIS JOHNSON is chief executive officer of property development industry group Urban Taskforce and can be contacted <a href="https://www.urbantaskforce.com.au/index.php?option=com_content&amp;view=article&amp;id=97&amp;Itemid=126#.Vdaart55dFI" target="_blank">here</a>.
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cjohnson-8xfqfuuCSq

ANU predictions of housing over supply in Sydney misunderstanding the swing to urban living

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Apartment purchases in more than 100 Brisbane suburbs, circulated on a confidential list, will face new lending restrictions from next Monday from the home town lender, Suncorp.
The list covers 39 Brisbane postcodes.
Under Suncorp's new rules, it will no longer accept investment loan applications for apartments where the buyer does not have a minimum deposit of 20 percent or more.
The exceptions are existing home loan applications and those received before Friday.
"Our settings have been adjusted for postcodes based on recent weakness in the investment unit market in Brisbane, with evidence of a reduction in prices," a Suncorp Bank spokesman said.
4000 Inner Brisbane City
4005 New Farm; Tenneriffe
4006 Fortitude Valley; Bowen Hills; Newstead; Herston
4007 Ascot; Hamilton
4009 Eagle Farm
4010 Albion
4011 Clayfield; Hendra
4012 Nundah; Toombul, Wavell Heights
4013 Northgate
4029 Royal Brisbane Hospital
4030 Kalinga; Lutwyche; Windsor; Wooloowin
4031 Gordon Park; Kedron
4032 Chermside
4051 Alderly; Enoggera; Gaythorne; Grange; Newmarket; Wilston
4053 Brookside Everton Park; Everton Hills, McDowall; Mitchelton; Stafford
4054 Arana Hills, Keperra
4059 Kelvin Grove; Red Hill
4060 Ashgrove
4061 The Gap
4064 Paddington; Milton
4065 Bardon
4066 Toowong; Auchenflower; Mount CootTha
4067 St Lucia
4068 Chelmer; Indooroopilly; Taringa 
4072 University of Qld
4075 Graceville; Corinda; Sherwood; Oxley
4101 Highgate Hill; South Brisbane; West End
4102 Dutton Park; Woolloongabba
4103 Annerley; Fairfield; Fairfield Gardens
4104 Yeronga
4105 Moorooka; Tennyson; Yeerongpilly
4120 Greenslopes; Stones Corner
4121 Holland Park; Wellers Hill; Tarragindi
4122 Mansfield; Mount Gravatt; Wishart
4152 Camp Hill; Carina; Carindale
4169 East Brisbane, Kangaroo Point
4170 Cannon Hill; Morningside; Norman Park; Seven Hills
4171 Balmoral; Bulimba; Hawthorne
4172 Murarrie 
 
The Australian Financial Review who obtained the list reports developers, such as Consolidated Properties, claim Brisbane has been cruelled by restrictions on financing set up to ease speculative apartment buying in Melbourne and Sydney.
Suncorp is a Brisbane based top 20 ASX-listed company with $97 billion in assets which employs 13,400 people and serves close to nine million customers across Australia and New Zealand. 
It commenced business in 1916 as the State Accident Insurance Office. 
The RBA has repeatedly warned buyers of the likely oversupply in Brisbane apartments.
Last week the bank noted to date, the adjustment in the Brisbane apartment market has not resulted in significant stress.
"Settlement failures appear to have remained in line with historical norms, although the peak of new supply is yet to come.
"Some developers, however, report that tighter financing conditions are contributing to delays in the settlement of off-the-plan purchases, as valuations below the purchase price reduce the amount banks will lend.
"In liaison, industry participants and banks express confidence that the Brisbane market will continue to absorb the new supply despite tighter financing conditions for buyers.
"Continued weakness in rents, and so rental income, remains a debt-servicing risk for investors," the RBA said. 
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