The most elevated residential tower in Palm Beach, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/corallo-palm-beach-5-palm-beach-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Corallo</a>, has officially launched this week, however only a handful of buyers will have an opportunity to buy in to the 17-storey project.

The $200 million mixed-use project includes ground floor dining and retail and is considered so valuable its developer, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/changfa-group">Changfa Group</a>, will be staging its release of one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments and penthouses to the market.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112194 project_image_fid=806]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/colliers">Colliers</a> International, Director, David Higgins, said the development’s location just metres from the beach on the corner of Palm Beach Avenue and the Gold Coast Highway influenced the sculptural design by the acclaimed Plus Architecture studio.

“<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/palm-beach-qld-4221">Palm Beach</a> locals understand the rare opportunity here at Corallo, particularly being the tallest building in the suburb and its proximity to the beach and local restaurants, and they’ve represented the bulk of pre-launch enquiries,” Higgins said.

“The orientation of the apartments captures views of the coastline from Surfers Paradise to Currumbin, and the diversity of floor plans and apartment types provide an exceptional level of choice.

“The first release includes just 59 one-, two and three-bedroom apartments and two half-floor penthouses, with flexible use designed to appeal to both owner-occupiers and investors."

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112194 project_image_fid=799]

In addition to the ground floor amenity, residents will also have access to a private dedicated wellness level offering 734 sqm of resort-style amenities including a pool, cold plunge, wet deck, steam room, sauna, gym, day bed, fire pit, barbecue area, dining area and yoga/stretch deck.

The project is located within walking distance of Tallebudgera Creek, Burleigh Heads village, Currumbin Alley and Palm Beach Currumbin High School. The Gold Coast Airport is under 10 minutes away.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112194 project_image_fid=814]

Higgins said Palm Beach remained a hotly contested suburb for home buyers, with prices doubling in the past five years.

“What makes Corallo so appealing to the local market is the diversity of apartment types and pricing, with one-bedroom apartments starting from $841,000 and two-bedroom apartments starting from $1.34 million,” he said.

“The ground floor retail and dining offering will further expand on Palm Beach’s village atmosphere and create a meeting place for locals, and those opportunities for connection are highly valued.”

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112194 project_image_fid=807]

The on-site sales display, which includes a fully fitted kitchen, bathroom and bedroom, will be open until early works commence in Q1 2026. Each residence at Corallo will feature premium finishes including natural stone, artisanal brickwork, and warm copper accents.

Changfa Group has a two-decade history of delivering premium developments in Australia and internationally, having recently completed its collection of premium townhomes at Lyra, Hope Island, as well as apartment projects in Leichhardt, Carlingford, and Chatswood in New South Wales.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112194]

Joel Robinson

$200 million Corallo Palm Beach launches with limited apartment release

In a move that aligns with NSW's accelerated planning incentives for affordable housing, developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/the-one-collection">One Collection</a> has revised its Hills District apartment plans, and taken it to the NSW Government, to secure approval.

The developer, which is currently delivering Horizon Hurstville, is seeking to add 80 more apartments to its <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-castle-hill-16-dawes-avenue-nsw-2154">Castle Hill development</a> near Castle Towers. They already have approval for 280 apartments across eight six-storey buildings.

<img alt="One Collection" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b3c298ba-1cc5-4db7-9872-607c75f8ceca" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-10-13%20at%2010.19.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=wN9KpFIu5ENSGZLLsaZgXQHrXcwEO3Vd" />

Now on the desks of the NSW Department of Planning is 360 apartments, 48 of which will be dedicated to affordable housing.&nbsp;Affordable housing is to be “fully integrated within the building and visually indistinguishable,” according to the planning submission.

The 15,697 sqm block, an amalgamation of 16 sites, spans across Dawes Avenue, Hughes Avenue, and Camdan Crescent, sits 550m from Hills Showground Metro Station.&nbsp;

"The existing context is quickly changing from free-standing homes into residential flat buildings in line with the Hills Showground Precinct planning framework," Place Studio noted.

<img alt="Castle Hill" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3ec24948-c185-48fa-af8b-ed25adf302bf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-10-13%20at%2010.19.04%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=zNDX.IeRROX1RlDeYcS38xn8w_dqgU2t" />

They said the design was informed by the site's unique condition of having three street frontages and was developed to to respond sensitively to iots surrounding context.

"The design adopted a conventional perpendicular alignment to the primary street frontage. The massing of the development was carefully modulated to align with the evolving character of the neighbourhood. The design ensured that the scale was not excessive or out of context, but instead contributed to a cohesive urban form consistent with emerging developments in the area."

<img alt="Castle Hill" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="f83ffdaa-f960-469d-b6fe-abcece57c9ef" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-10-13%20at%2010.19.09%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4oKlCyfaKes7jLi1_EMoqa46w2h_YvDZ" />

The apartment mix will be 46 one-beds, 168 two-bed apartments, and 146 three-bedroom units, with 631 parking spaces proposed.

Along the street frontages, the building heights are four storeys with a 7.5 metre setback, and eight storeys with an 11.5 metre setback. It should cost about $150 million to build.

One Collection works hand-in-hand with the respected development and construction firm Masscon, which has built a reputation for leveraging its expertise in the built environment to take on developments others can't. That's what they're achieving at Horizon Hurstville, having taken over the project to deliver it.

First look: One Collection advances plans for Castle Hill apartments

At Yarra’s Edge, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mirvac">Mirvac</a>’s newest tower under construction, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/trielle-at-yarra-s-edge-docklands-16-point-park-crescent-docklands-vic-3008">Trielle</a>, sets a new benchmark for elevated living. Rising 45 storeys, 12.5 metres from the Yarra River, the landmark building offers residents access to a private wellness retreat and spa, a resident-only golf simulator, and an elegant lounge, dining and bar complete with a self-playing piano, all without ever having to leave home.

Now, that sense of elevation has reached new heights with the Aerus Sub-Penthouses, a limited release of half-floor riverfront residences on the Collins St axis where the sought-after street meets the Yarra River.

Each Aerus Sub-Penthouse, located across levels 42 and 43, represents the most expansive offering within Trielle, aside from the yet-to-be-revealed crowning penthouses. Spanning between 269 and 301 sqm, these residences are designed to capture natural light and uninterrupted views of the city skyline, Yarra River, and Port Phillip Bay.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114216 project_image_fid=3784]

Among the collection are three-bedroom sub penthouses, complemented by a media room, and expansive four-bedroom layouts. All include panoramic living areas and oversized master suites with luxury ensuites reminiscent of a five-star hotel, complemented by dedicated dressing rooms finished in timber and natural stone.

The interiors have been crafted by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/mirvac-design">Mirvac Design</a>, the developer’s award-winning in-house architecture and design team. Every material has been chosen for quality and longevity, from sculpted stone island benches with feature soft wash LED lighting to bespoke joinery and chevron timber oak flooring.

Kitchens are fitted with a BORA induction cooktop with integrated downdraft extractor, alongside Gaggenau appliances, including a fridge, freezer, and wine fridge. The adjoining butler’s pantry incorporates the exclusive Gaggenau Minimalistic Series including oven, steam oven, microwave, coffee machine and warming drawer, all concealed behind handleless glass panels for a clean, integrated presentation. Bathrooms feature custom Apaisar freestanding baths and basins and natural stone benchtops, continuing Mirvac’s design emphasis on tactile, timeless materials.&nbsp;

<img alt="Trielle at Yarra's Edge, Docklands" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c00be724-b0f1-47c0-afed-54f829870704" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Aerus%20sub-penthouse.png?VersionId=Uktd61kpLSqNjwJeDFs7IaZ3xgLlDQmu" />

Michael Wiener, Design Director at Mirvac, says The Aerus Sub-Penthouse embodies the apex of Mirvac’s design ethos.

“Moving through your home is like walking on air - a private sanctuary where the craftsmanship is refined, the proportions generous, and the flow so effortless, you feel completely at ease in the sky,” Wiener says.

“In Aerus, we wanted to create a sense of weightlessness - a home that feels suspended in the skyline, full of light, grounded in luxury.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=114216 project_image_fid=3777]

The Aerus Sub-Penthouses are expected to attract a mix of local and international buyers seeking a long-term residence of scale and quality in a riverfront setting, from returning expats to established families and business owners who value privacy, craftsmanship, and convenience within walking distance of the CBD.

With an unmatched suite of amenities, Trielle is the most extensively appointed development Mirvac has created to date at Yarra’s Edge. Within the tower will be The Oasis, a 900 sqm podium rooftop wellness retreat designed in collaboration with spa expert Naomi Gregory. Located seven storeys above the Yarra River promenade, it features a 25-metre lap pool, spa and sauna, hot magnesium spa, biophilic gym, yoga and Pilates studio, cold-pail contrast treatment, and day spa treatment rooms. Further amenities include a piano lounge, bookable dining room, cinema room, golf simulator studio, games room, teppanyaki bar, dog wash bay, and two flexible work hubs, The Biblioteca library and Mills Place office space, catering to residents’ evolving lifestyle needs.

Construction of the $350 million tower is underway through Mirvac’s in-house construction arm, with completion anticipated for mid-2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=114216]

Sky-high sanctuaries: Mirvac unveils The Aerus sub-penthouses at Trielle

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/jwland-development">JWLand</a>’s De Burgh, the final residential release within the Northbourne Village precinct in Lyneham, is nearing completion just as the Federal Government’s Home Guarantee Scheme prepares for its most significant expansion to date.&nbsp;

From October 2025, the scheme will allow first home buyers to enter the market with just a five per cent deposit and no lenders mortgage insurance (LMI), removing some of the most common barriers to ownership.

With <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/de-burgh-at-northbourne-village-40-de-burgh-street-lyneham-act-2602">De Burgh</a> on track for residents to move in by late spring 2025, the timing creates a strong opportunity for first home buyers seeking brand-new apartments in Canberra’s sought-after Inner North.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=139989 project_image_fid=212888]

The project delivers 350 residences across two buildings, with layouts ranging from compact studios through to one, two, and three-bedroom apartments.

JWLand has tailored the development for long-term liveability, integrating natural light, privacy and outdoor space into each home. Ground-floor residences feature private courtyards, while upper levels benefit from generous balconies.

Kitchens are fitted with Fisher &amp; Paykel appliances, and all apartments include ducted reverse-cycle air conditioning with smartphone app control for lighting and climate.&nbsp;

Shared resident facilities include a rooftop garden, gym, lounge and parcel lockers, alongside landscaped green space within the precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=139989 project_image_fid=267376]

For buyers, the expanded Home Guarantee Scheme removes income caps and introduces unlimited places, making it more accessible than ever. With most De Burgh apartments priced under $1 million, they fall well within the updated eligibility thresholds.

The policy changes provide first home buyers with greater certainty and a smoother path to finance. Combined with the quality and location of De Burgh, the expanded scheme is expected to draw a new wave of buyers to Canberra’s Inner North.

Residents will benefit from the project’s central setting, just 600 metres from the light rail and three kilometres from Canberra’s CBD. The precinct is bordered by the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/lyneham-act-2602">Lyneham</a> wetlands and sits within easy reach of cafes, restaurants, schools and the ANU.

With completion scheduled for late 2025, De Burgh is set to be among the first major apartment projects to meet the expanded scheme head-on, offering first-time buyers a realistic pathway to ownership in one of Canberra’s most connected neighbourhoods.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=139989]

JWLand’s De Burgh aligns with expanded Homebuyer Scheme, opening doors for first home buyers in Canberra’s Inner North

A subtropical pair of residential towers are in planning for a key South Brisbane site neighbouring the iconic Expo ’88 Skyneedle, with new documents revealing a vertically layered vision designed to respond to the precinct’s evolving high-density character.

The proposal has been lodged by&nbsp;Darveniza Group, which is also is behind the 400-apartment Station Quarter precinct in Alderley.

Darveniza Group, led by Jane Darveniza, the Brisbane-based investor and Queensland rich-lister and widow of the late property magnate Bojan Darveniza, is seeking approval for a mixed-use project encompassing 204 apartments, ground-level retail, food and drink tenancies, and office space across two architecturally integrated towers at 37–39 Manning Street.

Occupying an 1,822 sqm site, the proposed towers would rise above a sculptural podium base, with a recessed landscaped centre, rooftop communal areas, and a total of 220 car parks and 256 bicycle bays. The apartment mix spans one- to five-bedroom dwellings, with a design emphasis on generous balconies, cross-ventilation, and climate-responsive materials.

<img alt="First look: Twin towers proposed for Manning Street site beside Skyneedle" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="42c1f501-2afd-440b-af49-67c257123ea7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Manning%20podium.png?VersionId=KFlksfWzmDRD.VIYxd_1q3VAel.nN3TH" />

“The development is conceived as two slender twin buildings that meet at a lushly landscaped central recess,” the Finegrain design report states. “The façade is highly articulated with the plan form stepping back and forth to reduce visual bulk and maximise internal occupants’ access to natural light and air”.

A hallmark of the proposal is its integration of greenery, both visually and functionally. Around 77 per cent of the site’s green plot ratio is delivered through vertical planting spines, a green podium wall, and rooftop amenity. Ground-level deep planting and landscaped communal zones aim to create a shaded, walkable interface along Manning Street.

“The stepped plan form introduces variation in balcony setbacks and enclosed apartment areas, enriching both the façade expression and the resident experience,” the design team notes. “At ground and podium levels, this stepping also enhances permeability, maximising pedestrian view lines to the neighbouring Skyneedle and reinforcing a strong sense of local identity”.

<img alt="First look: Twin towers proposed for Manning Street site beside Skyneedle" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b3f26dfc-6b93-465c-9ffb-0a2530372a23" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Manning%20site.png?VersionId=JflvKdqDxcaHTFbb9HL5TwoiRgeQ2LqA" />

The site directly adjoins the heritage-listed Skyneedle at 35 Manning Street, an enduring legacy of World Expo ’88. The accompanying heritage impact report by Pendergast Architects contends that the proposal has been carefully conceived to protect the cultural significance and landmark visibility of the structure.

“The design provides setbacks, tower separation and podium articulation to maintain the visibility and landmark role of the adjoining Skyneedle,” the report states. “The significance of the Skyneedle lies principally in its landmark visibility and cultural symbolism, rather than in detailed fabric or architectural setting”.

The proposal sits within the Kurilpa Sustainable Growth Precinct, under Brisbane’s TLPI 02/2023, where revised planning controls support high-density, mixed-use development integrated with subtropical design and increased public realm contributions.

Finegrain’s design reflects this intent, drawing cues from the site's adjacency to Musgrave Park, the subtropical landscape of South Brisbane, and cultural landmarks such as QPAC and South Bank.

Twin green towers proposed for Manning Street, South Brisbane site beside Skyneedle

Mortgage Stress

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An estimated 828,000 mortgage holders were in ‘mortgage stress’ as Australia entered shutdown in March, according to new research from Roy Morgan.
This equates to roughly 18.2% of all mortgage holders, and  is a significant improvement on those considered to be in mortgage stress 12 months ago and represents the second-lowest level of mortgage stress in over a decade.
The findings were part of Roy Morgan’s latest Single Source Survey, which is based on in-depth interviews conducted with 50,000 Australians each year, including over 10,000 owner-occupied mortgage-holders.
The strong employment market leading up to the COVID-19 related shutdown in mid-March had kept incomes strong while at the same time the decline in interest rates to record lows over the past year has reduced mortgage repayments for many mortgage holders.
A large concern for Australia’s banks will be the impact of COVID-19 on the employment market.
Just over 2-in-3 mortgages rely on more than one income and the mortgage risk is typically very low for these mortgages.
The biggest driver of increased mortgage stress is a sudden drop in income – most often caused by the loss of a job and analysis shows that the impact of the loss of one income quadruples the level of risk for these mortgage holders.
Even a reduction in work caused by being stood down, or cuts to work hours, can have an effect.
A special survey undertaken by Roy Morgan shows that 10.5 million Australians have already reported a change to their employment status caused by COVID-19.
These impacts include having work hours reduced, being stood down, not having any work offered, being made redundant or having pay reduced for working the same number of hours – all of which clearly have a negative impact on income.
The proportion of mortgage holders classified as ‘At Risk’, or ‘Extremely at Risk’, is down on a year ago but those classified as ‘Extremely at Risk’ have increased after hitting a low in October.
In the three months to March 2020, 18.2% of mortgage holders were ‘At Risk’ (828,000), which is down from 21.5% (903,000) in March 2019.
Over the same period those ‘Extremely at Risk’ also decreased from 14.5% (594,000) to 12.6% (559,000), a drop of 35,000.
However, the number ‘Extremely at Risk’ hit a low of only 425,000 (10.7%) in October, following an RBA interest rate cut, and has since increased.
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wdavis-8cCN98p7xp

Almost 20% of all mortgage holders suffered ‘mortgage stress' during March: Roy Morgan

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The economic hit during the coronavirus pandemic will cause more severe stress in Australia's mortgage market than that experienced in the GFC, says S&amp;P.
Mortgage holders are likely to struggle to keep up with their repayments the ratings agency has warned.
Given the sudden and wide-ranging halt to economic activity, the number of borrowers who fall behind on their mortgages is set to rise.
The move by the big banks to expand hardship provisions for borrowers will mean some relief, the agency said.
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“We currently expect increases in arrears to be higher than during the 2008 global financial crisis, given the wide-ranging effects on the economy stemming from the sudden disruption to economic activity,” S&amp;P Global Ratings analyst Erin Kitson wrote in a note to clients.
She highlighted self-employed borrowers and those directly exposed to the disruption in economic activity.
 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Coronavirus to cause more mortgage stress than the GFC: S&P

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 Nearly one million Australians are suffering from ‘mortgage stress’, according to the results of a new survey.
However, the results of Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey (Australia) are a slight improvement from 12 months ago.
The survey classified 20.8% (949,000) of mortgage holders as in ‘mortgage stress’, compared to 21.3% (974,000) last year.
The report said these people would be in difficulty if there were an increase in mortgage rates, an increase in costs, or an increase in unemployment.
Roy Morgan’s calculations accounted for household income, costs, and mortgage repayments.
The survey is based on face-to-face personal interviews with more than 50,000 Australians per annum, including over 10,000 owner occupied mortgage holders.
The level of mortgage holders at risk varied across the country, with Sydney and Western Australia the most ‘at risk’ areas at 26.4% and 23.8% respectively.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/10/22/Mortgage%20stress.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/10/22/Mortgage%20stress.jpg" alt="">
Norman Morris, Industry Communications Director, Roy Morgan Research said:
“Our research shows that although fewer people have a home loan compared to 12 months ago, the average balance of their loans hasn’t declined. This indicates that loans aren’t being paid off quickly, potentially as a result of low interest rates and the use of redraw facilities to use funds for other purposes.
“The decline in the level of mortgage stress over the last 12 months is due to a marginal increase in the after tax household income as a result of reduced tax rates and a small reduction in the average standard variable rate from the RBA.
“With the potential for a number of major events to impact mortgage stress levels, such as the Finance Royal Commission, interest rates and declining home prices, the future direction of mortgage stress has considerable uncertainty.
“When rates eventually rise, existing mortgage holders who have borrowed in a low interest rate environment are likely to face increased levels of mortgage stress. The final impact however will also be determined by what happens to household incomes, which are currently showing very modest growth."
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Nearly one million Australians experiencing 'mortgage stress': Roy Morgan

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With subdued and stagnant incomes, more Australians are feeling strapped for cash, and are being forced to dip into their savings to cover the rising cost of living expenses, ME’s latest Household Financial Comfort Report (HFCR) has revealed.
Empty nesters (50 years old and over) reported a record low in financial comfort.
“You may think that empty nesters would have fewer financial worries – most have paid off their mortgage, their kids have flown the coop, the majority are still working and some have voluntarily retired," consulting economist for ME, Jeff Oughton said.
"However, many are still concerned about current finances as well as worried about their life after work, expressing an 8% drop in comfort with their expected standard of living for retirement, as well as a 7% fall in their ‘comfort with savings’.
"Recent changes to superannuation in the past year appear to be significantly impacting this life stage."
The report also pinpointed students reporting a substantial decline in financial comfort of 15% to 4.18 since the last report.
“Students are always among those with the lowest financial comfort in each HFCR due to a lack of comfort with cash savings, investments, net wealth and their reduced ability to manage a financial emergency," Oughton said.
"However, this recording is a major negative spike and can be attributed to falls across most components that make up the Household Financial Comfort Index, in particular ‘level of debt’, ‘comfort with living expenses’ and ‘confidence in the handling a financial emergency’.
Oughton said more households are overspending to cover necessary living expenses and are drawing down on savings, with mortgage and rental stress remaining high.
“Comfort with short-term cash savings was the most notable component of the Household Financial Comfort Index to decline, seeing a 3% decrease to 4.93 out of 10 during the first half of 2018 – its lowest level in a couple of years.”
The report showed that households’ confidence to raise money for an emergency dropped three points below the average since the survey began, and fewer households reported they are saving. The estimated amount that Australians are saving each month decreased by just over 10% during the first half of 2018.
More Australians are also overspending – households who ‘typically spend all of their income and more’ increased 3points to 11% during the six months to June.
“Clearly, this is a potential tipping point. At the moment, Australians generally can dip into their savings to get by. However, some households may get to a point where there’s no more savings to draw from.
"Currently, around a quarter of Australian households have less than $1000 in cash savings,” Oughton said.
“If we see big negative shocks in the coming year, whether they are higher loan rates or an international trade war, then a lot more families will suffer increased financial stress.”
The latest report found that the cost of necessities continues to be the major financial concern for households, with more than half of households reporting it as their ‘biggest financial worry’, up seven points to 53% in June 2018.
Similarly, when asked why their financial situation worsened during 2017– 18, 44% of households said it was due to the cost of everyday items, an increase of four points since the previous report.
Consistent with ABS wage data, the latest HFCR data found nearly half of households (42%) still had the same income as a year ago, while a quarter (24%) reported income cuts and 34% received a raise. Unsurprisingly, ‘comfort with income’ declined in the past year by 2% to 5.61.
Oughton said similar to strengthening in the ABS jobs data, the report revealed increased confidence in people’s ability to find a job; however, high levels of job insecurity and underemployment remain. Around 23% of casual and part-time workers said they would prefer to undertake full-time work if they could.”
In the six months to June 2018, the report’s overall Household Financial Comfort Index went sideways from 5.49 to 5.44, once again indicating that the financial comfort of Australian households is not advancing.
Mortgage and rental stress still high, despite the housing market cooling.
The report revealed housing stress is still prevalent among Australian households.
For those with home loans, a broadly unchanged 45% of households reported to be contributing more than 30% of their disposable income towards mortgages during the past six months – a common indicator of financial stress
"The good news for renters is that financial stress has lessened somewhat during the past six months, thanks to thehousing market cooling and rents falling. While almost three-quarters (72%) of renters were previously contributing over 30% of their disposable income towards rent, this number dropped significantly to two-thirds (67%) in the most recent survey,” Oughton said.
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Empty nesters feeling financial discomfort: ME report

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Casula, Liverpool and Warwick Farm are among the Greater Sydney suburbs with the most number of households in stress, according to a blog update on Digital Finance Analytics (DFA).
In its October Mortgage Stress update, DFA had estimated more than 910,000 households across Australia to be now in mortgage stress, up from 905,000 in September.
Of these, more than 21,000 were in severe stress, up by 3,000 from the previous month. This equates to 29.2% of households. 
“We see continued default pressure building in Western Australia, as well as among more affluent household, beyond the traditional mortgage belts across the country,” said the Martin North blog.
The top 10 most stressed post codes in the region identified by DFA are: 
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<li>2170: Casula, Chipping Norton, Hammondville, Liverpool, Liverpool South, Lurnea, Moorebank, Mount Pritchard, Prestons, Warwick Farm. The sum of households in mild stress is 6,384. 
</li>
<li>2560: Airds, Ambarvale, Appin, Bradbury, Blair Athol, Bradbury, Campbelltown, Englorie Park, Gilead, Glen Alpine, Kentlyn, Leumeah, Rosemeadow, Ruse, St Helens Park, Wedderburn, Woodbine 
</li>
<li>2770: Bidwill, Blackett, Dharruk, Emerton, Hebersham, Lethbridge Park, Minchinbury, Mount Druitt, Shalvey, Tregear, Whalan, Willmot 
</li>
<li>2567: Currans Hill, Harrington Park, Mount Annan, Narellan, Narellan Vale 
</li>
<li>2171: Cecil Hills, Horningsea Park, Hoxton Park, Middleton Grange, West Hoxton 
</li>
<li>2800: Borenore, Cargo, Lucknow, March, Mullion Creek, Nashdale, Orange, Spring Hill 
</li>
<li>2570: Camden, Camden Park, Cawdor, Cobbitty, Elderslie, Ellis Lane, Grasmere, Mount Hunter, Nattai, Oakdale, Orangeville, The Oaks, Werombi 
</li>
<li>2259: Chain Valley Bay, Dooralong, Durren Durren, Gwandalan, Halloran, Hamlyn Terrace, Jilliby, Kanwal, Lake Munmorah, Lemon Tree, Mannering Park, Mardi, Ravensdale, Summerland Point, Tacoma, Tuggerah, Tuggerawong, Wallarah, Warnervale, Watanobbi, Woongarrah, Wyee, Wyong, Wyongah, Yarramalong 
</li>
<li>2768: Glenwood, Parklea, Stanhope Gardens 
</li>
<li>2176: Abbotsbury, Bossley Park, Edensor Park, Greenfield Park, Prairiewood, St Johns Park, Wakeley </li>
</ol>
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South-west suburbs of Greater Sydney top households with housing stress: DFA

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The proportion of residential mortgages more than 30 days in arrears is increasing with the national delinquency rate at the highest rate in five years.
But delinquencies have been in decline in New South Wales given good economic and labor market conditions.
Eight of the 10 regions with the lowest mortgage delinquencies in Australia were in Sydney, where housing market and economic conditions have combined to be highly supportive for borrowers.
Sydney's Eastern Suburbs headed the list followed by North Sydney and Hornsby, City and Inner South, Ryde, the Northern Beaches, Baulkham Hills and Hawkesbury, the inner west and inner South West.
Mortgage borrowers in these best-performing regions are most likely to be employed in professional services industries, Moody's Investor Services noted.
"These occupations tend to pay higher wages and are more stable than mining and construction-related employment."
Moody's also noted rising Sydney house prices had supported mortgage performance, giving borrowers at risk of or already in arrears the easier option to sell quickly for a good price to repay their loans.
However, as house prices continue rising without a corresponding increase in incomes, housing affordability decreases and the risk of delinquencies and defaults rises.
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Moody's forecast continued weaker conditions in outlier states reliant on the mining industry, with high underemployment, and less favourable housing markets and income dynamics.
Six of the 10 worst regions across Australia — the Western Australia outback, Queensland outback, Mackay, Western Australia wheat belt, Mandurah and Fitzroy — have been among the worst performing regions in the country for the last four years.
The NSW state economy grew 3.8 percent over the year to March 2017, well above the national average of 1.6 percent.
NSW also has the lowest unemployment rate in the country since June 2015.
Although NSW's large and diverse economy shields us, we are sensitive to a slowdown in the housing market.
Our high household leverage poses a downside risk.
The large differential between house price and wage growth — particularly in Sydney where house prices have increased the most — means that households have had to take on more debt to fund home purchases.
While house prices in Australia have increased by an average of 30 percent over the three years to July 2017, average weekly earnings have increased just 4.99 percent.
Higher debt levels make households more vulnerable to economic or housing market shocks, Alena Chen, the Moody's VP senior analyst said.
She noted households had accumulated record levels of mortgage-related debt in the past few years.
But it should be noted the price growth ensure the proportion of people who have very high exposure to a fall in house prices – those with loan to valuation ratios above 90% – has also been declining over time.
The basic picture is one of prudent households, rather than a community of people gambling on house price rises, Rodney Maddock, Adjunct Professor of Economics, Monash University recently noted.
Retaining well paid jobs will be crucial to Sydney home owners.
This article first appeared in the Saturday Daily Telegraph.
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Sydney jobs ensure it escapes the Moody's mortgage stress 

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Leading mortgage insurer Genworth has cautioned that rising home lending rates may further increase mortgage stress in mining-focused regions such as Queensland and WA.
The insurer sounded the caveat at a presentation of its half-yearly results, which showed a sharp 34.7% fall in its net profit after taxes at $88.7 million
Banks have been making out-of-cycle rate increases amid tighter regulatory conditions and efforts to rein-in investor lending.
CEO Georgette Nicholas noted the “challenging market dynamics, including elevated mortgage delinquencies in resource-exposed regional economies and a smaller high loan-to-value ratio (LVR) market” while reaffirming its full-year outlook. 
The latest Census data showed that mortgage stress had eased, but even a small interest rate rise could send many households, and even the economy, back onto struggle street.
Mortgage stress is defined as spending 30 per cent or more of household income on home loan repayments.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/08/03/GenworthProfit.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
 <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/08/03/GenworthProfit.png" alt="">
Genworth, which has about 30 per cent share of the mortgage insurance market, said there was an increase in the number of delinquent loans relative to a year ago. 
An increase in new delinquencies, particularly in Queensland and Western Australia, although in a slower pace, lifted its overall delinquency rate.
It said the “performance in Queensland and Western Australia remains challenging and delinquencies are elevated due to the slowdown in those regional and metropolitan areas that have previously benefited from the growth in the resources sector”.
However, New South Wales and Victoria continue to perform strongly, although job losses in Victoria's manufacturing industry had contributed to a slight rise in mortgage delinquencies there as well.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/08/03/GenworthDeliquency.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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While economic conditions have moderated recently as the economy continues to transition away from the mining investment boom, the insurer expects house price growth to moderate in 2017 following regulatory measures to slow the growth in investment lending and limit the flow of new interest-only lending. 
Mortgage interest rate increases, particularly for investor and interest only loans, and recent changes to minimum bank equity requirements may also impact price growth this year, it said.
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<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/08/03/GenworthInvestor.png" alt="">
It said weaker activity in Queensland and Western Australia was continuing to offset growth in New South Wales and Victoria. 
"The national unemployment rate remained steady at 5.6 per cent in June 2017 and key labour market indicators remain mixed. The underemployment rate continues to be elevated, implying a greater degree of spare capacity in the economy than indicated by the unemployment rate alone," Genworth said in a note to investors.
"Wage growth is also subdued, especially due to the transition away from mining-led activity and low actual and expected inflation. These labour market dynamics are increasing the instance of mortgage stress in certain regional economies and Genworth expects these trends to drive elevated mortgage delinquencies in these regions in 2017."
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Insurer Genworth says rate hikes could increase mortgage stress in mining-fed economies

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Half of the top 20 suburbs in Australia that are under mortgage stress are in Victoria, which is a "serious problem", according to a report by the Grattan Institute.
The report's data, which was based on the latest census, found Wollert, which is about 27 kilometres north of Melbourne's CBD, had the highest percentage of houses under mortgage stress in the nation, at 23 per cent. But sales appear to be humming along nicely.
Roxburgh Park is a close second at 20.9 per cent.
Wollert's median house price sits at $478,000, with listings and sales showing no signs of stress. 
A three bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-wollert-125667318">39 Pine Park Drive</a>, Wollert (below) was listed for July auction with hopes between $470,000 to $515,000.
It was sold earlier for a stronger $540,000.
Built in 2013 the block of land was sold in 2011 for $212,000.
A four bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-wollert-125419758">30 Vanin Street</a>, Wollert (above) has been listed for $525,000.
It was last sold in 2012 for $192,000.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/07/11/39%20Pine%20Park%20Drive.jpg" alt="">
A five bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-wollert-125694010" target="_blank">13 Pine Park Drive</a>, Wollert (below) was sold this month for $695,000. The agent's pre-auction estimate of its selling price was $680,000 to $740,000.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/07/11/13%20Pine%20Park%20Drive.jpg" alt="">
A four bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-wollert-125698470" target="_blank">7 Ludeman Drive</a>, Wollert (below) was sold earlier this month for $601,000.
Built in 2012, it was last sold in 2014 for $365,000 and the block of land was sold in 2010 for $193,000.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/07/11/7%20Ludeman%20Drive.jpg" width="700" height="425">
Mortgage stress is defined as any household that spends 30 per cent or more of its income on loan repayments.
"Mortgage stress is particularly acute on the suburban fringes of our major cities, especially Victoria," Grattan Institute Fellow Brendan Coates said.
"Places like Roxburgh Park in the north, Cranbourne West, Burnside Heights and so on, have quite significant mortgage stress.
"I do think this is a serious problem," he told the ABC.
The top 10 most stressed suburbs are:
<ol>
<li>Wollert, VIC (23%)</li>
<li>Roxburgh Park – Somerton, VIC (20%)</li>
<li>Upper Yarra Valley, VIC (20%)</li>
<li>Chullora, NSW (20%)</li>
<li>Mickleham – Yuroke, VIC (20%)</li>
<li>Cranbourne West, VIC (19%)</li>
<li>Burnside Heights, VIC (19%)</li>
<li>Lawson, ACT (19%)</li>
<li>Byford, WA (19%)</li>
<li>Forrestdale – Harrisdale-Piara Waters, WA (19%)</li>
</ol>
The report goes on the say that across the nation, many households could find themselves in trouble if the economic environment changes even slightly.
Just a two percent rate rise "would create more stress than 17pc rate in 1989," the institute has suggested.
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Melbourne suburb, Wollert the most mortgage stressed in the country

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/64293/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
Newly released analysis from Roy Morgan reaffirms that it is the lowest-income households that face the highest mortgage stress. And, contrary to what many might expect, the worst stress is not in Sydney and Melbourne, where property prices have hit record highs.
The Roy Morgan report estimates that 18.4 percent of Australian households are experiencing mortgage stress, a situation where over one-third of their income goes towards servicing a home loan.
Mortgage stress can lead to many complex social issues. It is considered one of the underlying causes of the Global Financial Crisis.
For many households affected by mortgage stress, defaulting is the last resort. Yet, as the mortgage-servicing pressure increases, so does mortgage risk.
Mortgage risk, the chance of a borrower defaulting, has increased to 83.2 percent for households earning under $60,000 per year. It is, however, virtually non-existent for households earning more than $150,000.
<h2>Income is more important than interest rates</h2>
The Roy Morgan report highlights the importance of income, more so than house prices and borrowing costs, to mortgage stress. In fact, interest rates would need to more than double to match the impact of a loss of income on housing stress.
The previous peak in mortgage stress was in 2008-09, a period of high interest rates and bubble-like price growth in Sydney and Melbourne.
This time around, record low interest rates appear on the surface to be counter-balancing the default rate. Yet this is tied to a stagnation in income levels.
House prices and income levels moved in step until 2013. While house prices have continued to increase, household income levels have flattened since then, when the cash rate dropped to a historic low of 2.75 percent. The cash rate is now even lower at 1.50 percent, with further cuts forecast.
The troubling prediction from this is that mortgage stress among Australian households is set to remain high, despite the current low interest rates.
<h2>Widening inequality</h2>
As home ownership concentrates among wealthier households, this report also shows that higher-income households are more resilient to increases in interest rates. This means, too, that home ownership increasingly requires a dual income.
The owner-occupied home is often referred to as the largest single asset that most households own. In countries like Australia and the USA, home ownership is promoted by government and linked to many aspects of future wellbeing. However, as recent HILDA analysis shows, owner-occupied households are becoming far less common.
The “Great Australian Dream” is expected to apply to only a minority of households next decade. With those in the already most marginalised parts of society most affected by mortgage stress, a change in the structures that incentivise home ownership is required to minimise the growing inequality gap.
<h2>Pockets of pain</h2>
The limitation with national averages is that pockets of pain are brushed over. The report drills into state-by-state analysis and metro vs regional comparisons.
While the largest mortgages across the country, averaging over $300,000, are in Sydney, mortgage stress is highest in Tasmania and South Australia.
Mortgage stress in Tasmania and South Australia sits well above the national average, as do their unemployment figures, 6.5% and 6.9% respectively, against a national average of 5.7%. Households in regional areas are also facing more acute mortgage stress than their city counterparts.
<h2>The housing market underpins the Australian financial sector</h2>
Regulators aren’t taking any chances. With nearly $1 trillion in outstanding mortgage debt, double the pre-GFC level, the 2014 Financial Systems Inquiry identified that mortgages are now a significant systemic risk. In a recent speech on the prudential regulator’s outlook, APRA general manager Heidi Richards stated that “the housing market now underpins our financial sector”.
APRA has been tightening the lending standards of the big banks. Effective from July 1, the big banks have been required to apply higher “risk weightings” to residential mortgages. These determine the amount of capital held against assets to limit the likelihood of insolvency.
The silver lining to this otherwise depressing analysis is that the risks to financial stability are relatively low. Home ownership concentrated amongst wealthier households actually means there is a high degree of aggregate resilience to changes in future interest rates and incomes.
However, the report’s focus is on current incomes. To brace for a true housing market downturn, the key will be monitoring employment and income statistics – unemployment rates as well as hours.
Danika Wright is lecturer in finance, University of Sydney and author for The Conversation. She can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/danika-wright-121868" target="_blank">here</a>.
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