Southern Cross Station anchors the western end of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melbourne-vic-3000">Melbourne</a>’s CBD, connecting metropolitan and regional rail with tram and bus interchanges in one of the city’s busiest transport corridors.&nbsp;

Just metres away, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/640-bourke-street-melbourne-640-bourke-street-melbourne-vic-3000">640 Bourke Street</a>&nbsp;will place residents in the heart of the city, with immediate access to Spencer Street trams, a growing mix of retail, hospitality and cultural venues, and a neighbourhood evolving into a lively residential precinct.

Developed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/far-east-consortium">Far East Consortium</a>, the 68-storey project integrates a sculptural glass tower with the heritage-listed Eliza Tinsley Building on a 2,765 sqm site.&nbsp;

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>, the development replaces a previously approved scheme for 813 apartments with a refined offering of just over 600 larger-format residences, responding to a growing owner-occupier demand for spacious city living.

The location sits within a dynamic pocket undergoing significant transformation. Marvel Stadium and the Docklands waterfront are less than 10 minutes away on foot, offering both sports and leisure attractions.&nbsp;

Bourke Street Mall, Queen Victoria Market, and the State Library are all within walking distance, while Flagstaff Gardens, Melbourne’s oldest park, provides a green escape just to the north.

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Proximity to some of the city’s largest employers and education hubs, including the courts precinct, legal chambers, RMIT, and major hospitals, makes 640 Bourke Street an appealing residential address for professionals, families and students alike.

Education opportunities span all levels. Nearby, Haileybury City Campus offers private schooling just a short walk from 640 Bourke Street. Just beyond the CBD fringe, Carlton Gardens Primary School, one of Melbourne’s oldest state primary schools, and Docklands Primary School provide convenient government schooling options.

Higher education is equally accessible. RMIT University’s city campus spans multiple buildings just a few blocks away, while the University of Melbourne’s Parkville campus is easily reached via tram along Swanston or Elizabeth Streets.

Victoria University’s City Queen campus, focused on law and business, is also close by, positioning 640 Bourke Street within walking distance of three of Melbourne’s major tertiary institutions.

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The neighbourhood’s retail tapestry continues to evolve into something distinctly local and walkable. Just steps away, Woolworths Metro on Bourke Street ensures that everyday essentials are easily within reach.&nbsp;

For larger shopping trips, Spencer Outlet Centre on Spencer Street and QV Melbourne on the opposite side of the CBD broaden the offering with supermarkets, fashion, dining and specialty stores.

The lane-to-lane vibe unfolds beautifully in nearby arcades and alleys. Hardware Lane, with its European-style red-brick paving and alfresco dining, pulses with jazzy evenings and casual lunches.

A few minutes north, Howey Place and Centre Place offer leafy, boutique-lined lanes where hidden cafés and niche retailers congregate under historic glass-covered cloisters.

Completing this tapestry is the newly opened Mecca “beauty playground” on Bourke Street. Spanning 4,000 sqm over three levels, the flagship blends immersive retail within an art-deco heritage setting.

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This finely grained network of shops, eateries, arcades and service outlets defines the everyday lifestyle at 640 Bourke Street - further enriched by over 3,000 sqm of resident amenity including a Turkish-inspired pool, gym, co-working rooms and private cinemas.&nbsp;

Now selling from $640,000 to $3.95 million, with off-the-plan stamp duty concessions available until October 2026. Prospective buyers can visit the on site display gallery which has&nbsp;fully built one, two, and three-bedroom apartments.

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Joel Robinson

640 Bourke Street: A heritage address at the heart of Melbourne

Lower North Shore development specialists&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/abadeen-group">Abadeen</a>&nbsp;has topped out its new local apartment development,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/northcote-collective-naremburn-2-6-northcote-street-naremburn-nsw-2065">Northcote Collective</a>.&nbsp;

Located in the tightly held suburb of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/naremburn-nsw-2065">Naremburn</a>, Northcote Collective is a collection of just 58 one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments designed by award-winning architects Rothelowman.&nbsp;

The building is just a five to 10 minute walk from the heart of Crows Nest and the new&nbsp;St Leonards and Crows Nest Metro stations. Abadeen has also brought doorstep convenience, with a ground-floor retail offering on Northcote Street.

Northcote Collective is being delivered by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/decode">Decode</a> — an iCIRT-rated construction company well regarded in the new development industry.

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“This is an important and exciting moment for Northcote Collective, and we’re proud to celebrate this milestone with our partners, consultants, and future residents,” said Justin Brown, Executive Chairman and Founder of Abadeen.&nbsp;

“From the outset, our vision was to create something truly special for Naremburn — homes that respect the character of the neighbourhood while elevating the standard of Lower North Shore living. With connectivity to transport, retail on the doorstep and a true village lifestyle, this milestone also comes at a perfect time when buyer confidence is returning to the market. I am incredibly proud of our team and of Decode for their dedication in helping us bring this vision to life.”

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The development is two-tiered, with two rooftops for residents. The taller building has an impressive rooftop pool, a rare inclusion in the new Sydney apartment market. The level, with panoramic views, also includes an entertaining terrace with barbecue facilities.

Local downsizers and young professionals are showing the strongest interest in the development, with recent improvements in the property market — supported by three rate cuts in 2025 — boosting borrowing power and buyer confidence.

Auction activity across Sydney surged by almost 30 per cent in recent weeks, with clearance rates above 70 per cent — signalling a renewed wave of buyer demand.

Northcote Collective will welcome buyers in 2026.

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Abadeen tops out Northcote Collective in Naremburn

Sunshine Coast-based <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/devcon-property-group">Devcon Property Group</a> has acquired one of Maroochydore’s most prominent development sites for $12 million unlocking the potentialfor a mixed-use project in the Cotton Tree precinct.

&nbsp;

The 4,178 sqm site at 41–43 Aerodrome Road—well known locally as the former home to one of Australia’s last Sizzler restaurants—was sold via an off-market expressions of interest campaign by Colliers agents Nick Dowling and Baydn Dodds. More than 70 targeted buyer groups were approached, resulting in multiple competitive offers for the property.

Devcon Property Group Managing Director Michael Kain said the acquisition was a strategic move in line with the company’s focus on delivering high-quality projects in prime coastal locations.&nbsp;

“We’re excited about the possibilities this site, in one of the Sunshine Coast’s most iconic beachside &nbsp;communities, offers for a broad range of development outcomes,” Kain said.

“Its location, ocean view potential, and proximity to the Maroochydore CBD and beach make it an &nbsp;outstanding development prospect. Our plans are to refurbish the existing building and then review &nbsp;development options for the remainder of the site.”&nbsp;

<img alt="Aerodrome Rd site overlooking Beach (Large)" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a29dc4ed-68c1-4bec-a4fc-283063dcde1e" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Aerodrome%20Rd%20site%20overlooking%20Beach%20%28Large%29.jpg?VersionId=b0WxJWevmLoAfCP4YvGImZpR3rSCJJ9L" />

Colliers Special Projects Manager Baydn Dodds said the sale reflected the ongoing strength of the &nbsp;Sunshine Coast’s development site market, particularly for projects capable of achieving water views. &nbsp;

“Sites of this scale, in walkable beachside locations with ocean views, are tightly held and continue to attract significant interest from both local and national developers,” Baydn Dodds said. &nbsp;

“Holding a prominent position as the former home to one of Australia’s last Sizzler restaurants and more recently occupied by Rashays, the prime site is located just 150 metres from Maroochydore Beach.&nbsp;

“With stunning ocean view potential, located in one of the Sunshine Coast’s best known iconic &nbsp;beachside communities, within steps of shops, cafes and the beach it is no surprise that there was strong interest in the site. The transaction highlights the ongoing depth of demand for well-located &nbsp;mixed-use sites across the Sunshine Coast.”&nbsp;

Colliers Sunshine Coast Managing Director Nick Dowling said the transaction reinforced the &nbsp;Sunshine Coast’s status as one of Australia’s most active development markets.&nbsp;

“The combination of strong population growth, lifestyle appeal, and infrastructure investment is &nbsp;driving demand for quality development opportunities,” Nick Dowling said. &nbsp;

“The Sunshine Coast is one of only three markets nationally to record an increase in crane numbers, &nbsp;reflecting the strength of the region’s construction pipeline.&nbsp;

“Opportunities like this are rare and continue to generate strong buyer interest in the region.”&nbsp;

The Sunshine Coast development market is booming, with several high-profile developers like Cube Developments, Gardner Vaughan Group, and RCQ, planning developments in the region.

Devcon buys Sunshine Coast’s former Sizzler site for new apartment development

Sydney House, the residential redevelopment of the landmark City Tattersall building on Pitt Street in the Sydney CBD, will officially launch to the market this month.

The $800 million development, a joint venture between&nbsp;Singapore-listed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/first-sponsor">First Sponsor</a>&nbsp;and leading Melbourne-based developer&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/icd-property">ICD Property</a>, will see a glass tower with 241 apartments and a 135-room hotel built above the restored heritage-listed podium.

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The apartments will offer&nbsp;rare northeast-facing views across the sparkling Sydney Harbour and Hyde Park, all positioned above a luxury hotel with exclusive access to premium amenities and five-star lifestyle services.

Internationally acclaimed architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bvn-architecture">BVN Architecture</a>&nbsp;handled the design for the residential component and the interiors for the hotel, while&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fjc-studio">FJC Studio</a>&nbsp;focused on the heritage podium.

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First Sponsor’s CEO, Neo Teck Pheng, together with ICD Property’s CEO, Matthew Khoo commented that the joint venture team was ecstatic to bring this extraordinary project to market as the first opportunity for those looking to secure their ultimate CBD luxury residence elevated by premium hotel amenities, including select premium services designed for effortless living.

“<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/sydney-house-194-204-pitt-street-sydney-nsw-2000">Sydney House</a> will offer a sophisticated expression of modern CBD living, capturing panoramic vistas to Sydney’s most beloved icons, including the Sydney Harbour Bridge as well as Hyde Park out to the North and South Heads,” Khoo said.&nbsp;

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=12428 project_image_fid=312146]

Mr Neo expressed that the reinterpretation of the heritage podium levels will feature an elegant heritage bar and restaurant, along with luxurious hotel and function facilities, enhancing the experience for residents. The historical features will be reborn, ensuring that these grand, opulent spaces will once again be enjoyed, appreciated and celebrated by residents, Sydneysiders as well as interstate and international visitors alike.

Managing sales for the project, SRM Residential Partner Tim Rees said that the team has received an overwhelming response to date, largely from local downsizers and upgraders looking for the ultimate lifestyle purchase.&nbsp;

“Once completed in late 2027, Sydney House will be Sydney CBD’s newest icon blending modern architecture with historic grandeur located in one of the most prestigious enclaves of the CBD,” Rees said.&nbsp;

“Pitt Street is arguably the most significant street in all of Sydney. Just a stone’s throw from Circular Quay, Sydney Opera House, Hyde Park and Darling Harbour, Sydney House offers seamless connection with the CBD and beyond. Pitt Street Mall is literally across the road and there is an abundance of dining and cultural venues in close proximity. The outlook from Sydney House will be breathtaking with views of Hyde Park and Sydney’s famous iconic landmarks on offer.

“Following the trend of other global cities such as New York, London, Paris and Tokyo, luxury inner city apartment living with access to premium hotel amenities is the new ‘trophy home’ for wealthy downsizers or empty-nesters who aren’t looking to slow down, as they want to live in the heart of the action.”

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The project boasts a prime CBD location surrounded by the city’s most premium shopping centres including David Jones and Westfield Pitt Street as well as some of Sydney's best restaurants, bars,&nbsp;pubs, theatres, museums, art galleries, and parks.

Residents will be able to access the newly opened Sydney Metro Gadigal Station, located within a block from Sydney House. This station provides connectivity to Martin Place (one min), Barangaroo (three mins) and North Sydney (11 mins) as well as Chatswood and Macquarie University through to Castle Hill and Norwest. With services every four minutes during peak times, the Sydney Metro provides the ultimate convenience with 21 stations from Tallawong to Sydenham.

One of Sydney’s leading residential construction companies, particularly in premium off the plan luxury residences, Richard Crookes Constructions, will complete the project in late 2027.&nbsp;

Price guides at Sydney House include one-bedroom apartments from $1.5 million, two-bedroom apartments from $2.3 million and three-bedroom apartments from $5 million.

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Set to bring next level luxury to Sydney CBD’s prestige property market

Buyers set for first chance at Sydney House, Sydney CBD's newest landmark tower development

Joint venture partners&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/amalgamated-property-group">Amalgamated Property Group</a>&nbsp;(APG)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/base-developments">Base Developments</a>&nbsp;have kicked off construction&nbsp;on its second Gold Coast apartment tower, Affinity Broadbeach, which is due for completion in early 2028.

More than 50 per cent of the 180 two- and three-bedroom apartments have sold, with buyers particularly impressed by&nbsp;the spacious and functional floor plans, close proximity to the beach, premium inclusions, and expansive resort-style amenities.

APG has just released a new limited collection of three-bedroom skyhomes with three living rooms and four bathrooms.

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Graham Potts, Principal and Founding Director Amalgamated Property Group, said the strong demand for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/affinity-broadbeach-40-46-chelsea-avenue-broadbeach-qld-4218">Affinity Broadbeach</a> highlights a genuine need for affordable luxury residential developments on the Gold Coast.&nbsp;

“It’s exciting to see construction kick off on this sought-after project which is set to create a new benchmark in luxe coastal living on the Gold Coast," Potts said.

"Buyers are attracted by the seamless blend of convenience and elegance that Affinity offers, together with the knowledge that our 20-years of industry experience ensures we continue to deliver homes to the same high standards our reputation has been built on."

Capital Construction Queensland, the inhouse construction arm of APG, is handling the building. Potts says having the internal build capability provides buyers with confidence in delivering a high-quality building, referencing Amaya Broadbeach which is nearing completion nearby.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107690 project_image_fid=323199]

Carly Cottam, CEO of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/motiv">MOTIV</a> Group which is selling Affinity, says there's a clear undersupply of property across Southeast Queensland and an even greater shortage of well-designed, spacious residences.

"That’s why Affinity has attracted such strong demand," Cottam says.

"Every detail, from the intricate finishes to the intelligent spatial planning, has been crafted for the discerning owner-occupier. Beyond the residences, the amenity is designed as a true extension of the home."

&nbsp;

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Affinity’s superior amenities are resonating with buyers who are impressed by the range on offer, from the expansive outdoor heated pool, to the state-of-the-art gym, steam and sauna facilities, outdoor entertaining terraces, and a business centre.

"The offering reflects exactly what buyers are seeking when right-sizing or upgrading - spacious residences complemented by curated residential amenity, all within moments of the beach and vibrant retail and dining precincts,” Cottam added.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107690 project_image_fid=6676]

Dennis Milin, Principal of Base Developments and Milin Builders, and Director of Capital Constructions Queensland, said the team is excited to deliver another collection of premium homes in the heart of Broadbeach.

"With more than three decades of proven success in construction and development, our award-winning portfolio across the ACT and NSW speaks for itself, now further demonstrated by the strong progress at Amaya Broadbeach on First Avenue in Queensland,"&nbsp;Milin said.

“In partnership with a highly regarded team of designers, engineers and trades, and supported by our experienced Gold Coast construction professionals, we remain committed to delivering projects defined by quality, timeless design and uncompromising standards."

Early works at Affinity are already advancing, with guide walls for shoring and bulk excavation underway.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107690 project_image_fid=323196]

With a proven track record in large premium projects, APG has been developing residential and commercial property across Australia for more than 20 years. APG and Base Developments are the same duo behind the successful Amaya Broadbeach, currently under construction on First Avenue and due for completion in early 2026, as well as a number of other successful joint developments in Canberra, including Botanical in Turner, Kiara in Narrabundah, Ivy in Woden, and the three-tower Oaks precinct in Phillip.

APG is currently building The Eastbourne, 349 homes, a premium office building, and a retail and dining precinct at ANZAC Park East.

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Amalgamated Property Group and Base kick off construction at Affinity Broadbeach

Mortgage Stress

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An estimated 828,000 mortgage holders were in ‘mortgage stress’ as Australia entered shutdown in March, according to new research from Roy Morgan.
This equates to roughly 18.2% of all mortgage holders, and  is a significant improvement on those considered to be in mortgage stress 12 months ago and represents the second-lowest level of mortgage stress in over a decade.
The findings were part of Roy Morgan’s latest Single Source Survey, which is based on in-depth interviews conducted with 50,000 Australians each year, including over 10,000 owner-occupied mortgage-holders.
The strong employment market leading up to the COVID-19 related shutdown in mid-March had kept incomes strong while at the same time the decline in interest rates to record lows over the past year has reduced mortgage repayments for many mortgage holders.
A large concern for Australia’s banks will be the impact of COVID-19 on the employment market.
Just over 2-in-3 mortgages rely on more than one income and the mortgage risk is typically very low for these mortgages.
The biggest driver of increased mortgage stress is a sudden drop in income – most often caused by the loss of a job and analysis shows that the impact of the loss of one income quadruples the level of risk for these mortgage holders.
Even a reduction in work caused by being stood down, or cuts to work hours, can have an effect.
A special survey undertaken by Roy Morgan shows that 10.5 million Australians have already reported a change to their employment status caused by COVID-19.
These impacts include having work hours reduced, being stood down, not having any work offered, being made redundant or having pay reduced for working the same number of hours – all of which clearly have a negative impact on income.
The proportion of mortgage holders classified as ‘At Risk’, or ‘Extremely at Risk’, is down on a year ago but those classified as ‘Extremely at Risk’ have increased after hitting a low in October.
In the three months to March 2020, 18.2% of mortgage holders were ‘At Risk’ (828,000), which is down from 21.5% (903,000) in March 2019.
Over the same period those ‘Extremely at Risk’ also decreased from 14.5% (594,000) to 12.6% (559,000), a drop of 35,000.
However, the number ‘Extremely at Risk’ hit a low of only 425,000 (10.7%) in October, following an RBA interest rate cut, and has since increased.
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Almost 20% of all mortgage holders suffered ‘mortgage stress' during March: Roy Morgan

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The economic hit during the coronavirus pandemic will cause more severe stress in Australia's mortgage market than that experienced in the GFC, says S&amp;P.
Mortgage holders are likely to struggle to keep up with their repayments the ratings agency has warned.
Given the sudden and wide-ranging halt to economic activity, the number of borrowers who fall behind on their mortgages is set to rise.
The move by the big banks to expand hardship provisions for borrowers will mean some relief, the agency said.
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“We currently expect increases in arrears to be higher than during the 2008 global financial crisis, given the wide-ranging effects on the economy stemming from the sudden disruption to economic activity,” S&amp;P Global Ratings analyst Erin Kitson wrote in a note to clients.
She highlighted self-employed borrowers and those directly exposed to the disruption in economic activity.
 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Coronavirus to cause more mortgage stress than the GFC: S&P

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 Nearly one million Australians are suffering from ‘mortgage stress’, according to the results of a new survey.
However, the results of Roy Morgan’s Single Source Survey (Australia) are a slight improvement from 12 months ago.
The survey classified 20.8% (949,000) of mortgage holders as in ‘mortgage stress’, compared to 21.3% (974,000) last year.
The report said these people would be in difficulty if there were an increase in mortgage rates, an increase in costs, or an increase in unemployment.
Roy Morgan’s calculations accounted for household income, costs, and mortgage repayments.
The survey is based on face-to-face personal interviews with more than 50,000 Australians per annum, including over 10,000 owner occupied mortgage holders.
The level of mortgage holders at risk varied across the country, with Sydney and Western Australia the most ‘at risk’ areas at 26.4% and 23.8% respectively.
Click here <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2018/10/22/Mortgage%20stress.jpg" target="_blank">to enlarge.</a>
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Norman Morris, Industry Communications Director, Roy Morgan Research said:
“Our research shows that although fewer people have a home loan compared to 12 months ago, the average balance of their loans hasn’t declined. This indicates that loans aren’t being paid off quickly, potentially as a result of low interest rates and the use of redraw facilities to use funds for other purposes.
“The decline in the level of mortgage stress over the last 12 months is due to a marginal increase in the after tax household income as a result of reduced tax rates and a small reduction in the average standard variable rate from the RBA.
“With the potential for a number of major events to impact mortgage stress levels, such as the Finance Royal Commission, interest rates and declining home prices, the future direction of mortgage stress has considerable uncertainty.
“When rates eventually rise, existing mortgage holders who have borrowed in a low interest rate environment are likely to face increased levels of mortgage stress. The final impact however will also be determined by what happens to household incomes, which are currently showing very modest growth."
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Nearly one million Australians experiencing 'mortgage stress': Roy Morgan

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With subdued and stagnant incomes, more Australians are feeling strapped for cash, and are being forced to dip into their savings to cover the rising cost of living expenses, ME’s latest Household Financial Comfort Report (HFCR) has revealed.
Empty nesters (50 years old and over) reported a record low in financial comfort.
“You may think that empty nesters would have fewer financial worries – most have paid off their mortgage, their kids have flown the coop, the majority are still working and some have voluntarily retired," consulting economist for ME, Jeff Oughton said.
"However, many are still concerned about current finances as well as worried about their life after work, expressing an 8% drop in comfort with their expected standard of living for retirement, as well as a 7% fall in their ‘comfort with savings’.
"Recent changes to superannuation in the past year appear to be significantly impacting this life stage."
The report also pinpointed students reporting a substantial decline in financial comfort of 15% to 4.18 since the last report.
“Students are always among those with the lowest financial comfort in each HFCR due to a lack of comfort with cash savings, investments, net wealth and their reduced ability to manage a financial emergency," Oughton said.
"However, this recording is a major negative spike and can be attributed to falls across most components that make up the Household Financial Comfort Index, in particular ‘level of debt’, ‘comfort with living expenses’ and ‘confidence in the handling a financial emergency’.
Oughton said more households are overspending to cover necessary living expenses and are drawing down on savings, with mortgage and rental stress remaining high.
“Comfort with short-term cash savings was the most notable component of the Household Financial Comfort Index to decline, seeing a 3% decrease to 4.93 out of 10 during the first half of 2018 – its lowest level in a couple of years.”
The report showed that households’ confidence to raise money for an emergency dropped three points below the average since the survey began, and fewer households reported they are saving. The estimated amount that Australians are saving each month decreased by just over 10% during the first half of 2018.
More Australians are also overspending – households who ‘typically spend all of their income and more’ increased 3points to 11% during the six months to June.
“Clearly, this is a potential tipping point. At the moment, Australians generally can dip into their savings to get by. However, some households may get to a point where there’s no more savings to draw from.
"Currently, around a quarter of Australian households have less than $1000 in cash savings,” Oughton said.
“If we see big negative shocks in the coming year, whether they are higher loan rates or an international trade war, then a lot more families will suffer increased financial stress.”
The latest report found that the cost of necessities continues to be the major financial concern for households, with more than half of households reporting it as their ‘biggest financial worry’, up seven points to 53% in June 2018.
Similarly, when asked why their financial situation worsened during 2017– 18, 44% of households said it was due to the cost of everyday items, an increase of four points since the previous report.
Consistent with ABS wage data, the latest HFCR data found nearly half of households (42%) still had the same income as a year ago, while a quarter (24%) reported income cuts and 34% received a raise. Unsurprisingly, ‘comfort with income’ declined in the past year by 2% to 5.61.
Oughton said similar to strengthening in the ABS jobs data, the report revealed increased confidence in people’s ability to find a job; however, high levels of job insecurity and underemployment remain. Around 23% of casual and part-time workers said they would prefer to undertake full-time work if they could.”
In the six months to June 2018, the report’s overall Household Financial Comfort Index went sideways from 5.49 to 5.44, once again indicating that the financial comfort of Australian households is not advancing.
Mortgage and rental stress still high, despite the housing market cooling.
The report revealed housing stress is still prevalent among Australian households.
For those with home loans, a broadly unchanged 45% of households reported to be contributing more than 30% of their disposable income towards mortgages during the past six months – a common indicator of financial stress
"The good news for renters is that financial stress has lessened somewhat during the past six months, thanks to thehousing market cooling and rents falling. While almost three-quarters (72%) of renters were previously contributing over 30% of their disposable income towards rent, this number dropped significantly to two-thirds (67%) in the most recent survey,” Oughton said.
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Empty nesters feeling financial discomfort: ME report

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Casula, Liverpool and Warwick Farm are among the Greater Sydney suburbs with the most number of households in stress, according to a blog update on Digital Finance Analytics (DFA).
In its October Mortgage Stress update, DFA had estimated more than 910,000 households across Australia to be now in mortgage stress, up from 905,000 in September.
Of these, more than 21,000 were in severe stress, up by 3,000 from the previous month. This equates to 29.2% of households. 
“We see continued default pressure building in Western Australia, as well as among more affluent household, beyond the traditional mortgage belts across the country,” said the Martin North blog.
The top 10 most stressed post codes in the region identified by DFA are: 
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<li>2170: Casula, Chipping Norton, Hammondville, Liverpool, Liverpool South, Lurnea, Moorebank, Mount Pritchard, Prestons, Warwick Farm. The sum of households in mild stress is 6,384. 
</li>
<li>2560: Airds, Ambarvale, Appin, Bradbury, Blair Athol, Bradbury, Campbelltown, Englorie Park, Gilead, Glen Alpine, Kentlyn, Leumeah, Rosemeadow, Ruse, St Helens Park, Wedderburn, Woodbine 
</li>
<li>2770: Bidwill, Blackett, Dharruk, Emerton, Hebersham, Lethbridge Park, Minchinbury, Mount Druitt, Shalvey, Tregear, Whalan, Willmot 
</li>
<li>2567: Currans Hill, Harrington Park, Mount Annan, Narellan, Narellan Vale 
</li>
<li>2171: Cecil Hills, Horningsea Park, Hoxton Park, Middleton Grange, West Hoxton 
</li>
<li>2800: Borenore, Cargo, Lucknow, March, Mullion Creek, Nashdale, Orange, Spring Hill 
</li>
<li>2570: Camden, Camden Park, Cawdor, Cobbitty, Elderslie, Ellis Lane, Grasmere, Mount Hunter, Nattai, Oakdale, Orangeville, The Oaks, Werombi 
</li>
<li>2259: Chain Valley Bay, Dooralong, Durren Durren, Gwandalan, Halloran, Hamlyn Terrace, Jilliby, Kanwal, Lake Munmorah, Lemon Tree, Mannering Park, Mardi, Ravensdale, Summerland Point, Tacoma, Tuggerah, Tuggerawong, Wallarah, Warnervale, Watanobbi, Woongarrah, Wyee, Wyong, Wyongah, Yarramalong 
</li>
<li>2768: Glenwood, Parklea, Stanhope Gardens 
</li>
<li>2176: Abbotsbury, Bossley Park, Edensor Park, Greenfield Park, Prairiewood, St Johns Park, Wakeley </li>
</ol>
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South-west suburbs of Greater Sydney top households with housing stress: DFA

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The proportion of residential mortgages more than 30 days in arrears is increasing with the national delinquency rate at the highest rate in five years.
But delinquencies have been in decline in New South Wales given good economic and labor market conditions.
Eight of the 10 regions with the lowest mortgage delinquencies in Australia were in Sydney, where housing market and economic conditions have combined to be highly supportive for borrowers.
Sydney's Eastern Suburbs headed the list followed by North Sydney and Hornsby, City and Inner South, Ryde, the Northern Beaches, Baulkham Hills and Hawkesbury, the inner west and inner South West.
Mortgage borrowers in these best-performing regions are most likely to be employed in professional services industries, Moody's Investor Services noted.
"These occupations tend to pay higher wages and are more stable than mining and construction-related employment."
Moody's also noted rising Sydney house prices had supported mortgage performance, giving borrowers at risk of or already in arrears the easier option to sell quickly for a good price to repay their loans.
However, as house prices continue rising without a corresponding increase in incomes, housing affordability decreases and the risk of delinquencies and defaults rises.
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Moody's forecast continued weaker conditions in outlier states reliant on the mining industry, with high underemployment, and less favourable housing markets and income dynamics.
Six of the 10 worst regions across Australia — the Western Australia outback, Queensland outback, Mackay, Western Australia wheat belt, Mandurah and Fitzroy — have been among the worst performing regions in the country for the last four years.
The NSW state economy grew 3.8 percent over the year to March 2017, well above the national average of 1.6 percent.
NSW also has the lowest unemployment rate in the country since June 2015.
Although NSW's large and diverse economy shields us, we are sensitive to a slowdown in the housing market.
Our high household leverage poses a downside risk.
The large differential between house price and wage growth — particularly in Sydney where house prices have increased the most — means that households have had to take on more debt to fund home purchases.
While house prices in Australia have increased by an average of 30 percent over the three years to July 2017, average weekly earnings have increased just 4.99 percent.
Higher debt levels make households more vulnerable to economic or housing market shocks, Alena Chen, the Moody's VP senior analyst said.
She noted households had accumulated record levels of mortgage-related debt in the past few years.
But it should be noted the price growth ensure the proportion of people who have very high exposure to a fall in house prices – those with loan to valuation ratios above 90% – has also been declining over time.
The basic picture is one of prudent households, rather than a community of people gambling on house price rises, Rodney Maddock, Adjunct Professor of Economics, Monash University recently noted.
Retaining well paid jobs will be crucial to Sydney home owners.
This article first appeared in the Saturday Daily Telegraph.
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Sydney jobs ensure it escapes the Moody's mortgage stress 

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Leading mortgage insurer Genworth has cautioned that rising home lending rates may further increase mortgage stress in mining-focused regions such as Queensland and WA.
The insurer sounded the caveat at a presentation of its half-yearly results, which showed a sharp 34.7% fall in its net profit after taxes at $88.7 million
Banks have been making out-of-cycle rate increases amid tighter regulatory conditions and efforts to rein-in investor lending.
CEO Georgette Nicholas noted the “challenging market dynamics, including elevated mortgage delinquencies in resource-exposed regional economies and a smaller high loan-to-value ratio (LVR) market” while reaffirming its full-year outlook. 
The latest Census data showed that mortgage stress had eased, but even a small interest rate rise could send many households, and even the economy, back onto struggle street.
Mortgage stress is defined as spending 30 per cent or more of household income on home loan repayments.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/08/03/GenworthProfit.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
 <img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/08/03/GenworthProfit.png" alt="">
Genworth, which has about 30 per cent share of the mortgage insurance market, said there was an increase in the number of delinquent loans relative to a year ago. 
An increase in new delinquencies, particularly in Queensland and Western Australia, although in a slower pace, lifted its overall delinquency rate.
It said the “performance in Queensland and Western Australia remains challenging and delinquencies are elevated due to the slowdown in those regional and metropolitan areas that have previously benefited from the growth in the resources sector”.
However, New South Wales and Victoria continue to perform strongly, although job losses in Victoria's manufacturing industry had contributed to a slight rise in mortgage delinquencies there as well.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/08/03/GenworthDeliquency.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
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While economic conditions have moderated recently as the economy continues to transition away from the mining investment boom, the insurer expects house price growth to moderate in 2017 following regulatory measures to slow the growth in investment lending and limit the flow of new interest-only lending. 
Mortgage interest rate increases, particularly for investor and interest only loans, and recent changes to minimum bank equity requirements may also impact price growth this year, it said.
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<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/08/03/GenworthInvestor.png" alt="">
It said weaker activity in Queensland and Western Australia was continuing to offset growth in New South Wales and Victoria. 
"The national unemployment rate remained steady at 5.6 per cent in June 2017 and key labour market indicators remain mixed. The underemployment rate continues to be elevated, implying a greater degree of spare capacity in the economy than indicated by the unemployment rate alone," Genworth said in a note to investors.
"Wage growth is also subdued, especially due to the transition away from mining-led activity and low actual and expected inflation. These labour market dynamics are increasing the instance of mortgage stress in certain regional economies and Genworth expects these trends to drive elevated mortgage delinquencies in these regions in 2017."
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

Insurer Genworth says rate hikes could increase mortgage stress in mining-fed economies

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Half of the top 20 suburbs in Australia that are under mortgage stress are in Victoria, which is a "serious problem", according to a report by the Grattan Institute.
The report's data, which was based on the latest census, found Wollert, which is about 27 kilometres north of Melbourne's CBD, had the highest percentage of houses under mortgage stress in the nation, at 23 per cent. But sales appear to be humming along nicely.
Roxburgh Park is a close second at 20.9 per cent.
Wollert's median house price sits at $478,000, with listings and sales showing no signs of stress. 
A three bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-wollert-125667318">39 Pine Park Drive</a>, Wollert (below) was listed for July auction with hopes between $470,000 to $515,000.
It was sold earlier for a stronger $540,000.
Built in 2013 the block of land was sold in 2011 for $212,000.
A four bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/property-house-vic-wollert-125419758">30 Vanin Street</a>, Wollert (above) has been listed for $525,000.
It was last sold in 2012 for $192,000.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/07/11/39%20Pine%20Park%20Drive.jpg" alt="">
A five bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-wollert-125694010" target="_blank">13 Pine Park Drive</a>, Wollert (below) was sold this month for $695,000. The agent's pre-auction estimate of its selling price was $680,000 to $740,000.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/07/11/13%20Pine%20Park%20Drive.jpg" alt="">
A four bedroom house at <a href="https://www.realestate.com.au/sold/property-house-vic-wollert-125698470" target="_blank">7 Ludeman Drive</a>, Wollert (below) was sold earlier this month for $601,000.
Built in 2012, it was last sold in 2014 for $365,000 and the block of land was sold in 2010 for $193,000.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/07/11/7%20Ludeman%20Drive.jpg" width="700" height="425">
Mortgage stress is defined as any household that spends 30 per cent or more of its income on loan repayments.
"Mortgage stress is particularly acute on the suburban fringes of our major cities, especially Victoria," Grattan Institute Fellow Brendan Coates said.
"Places like Roxburgh Park in the north, Cranbourne West, Burnside Heights and so on, have quite significant mortgage stress.
"I do think this is a serious problem," he told the ABC.
The top 10 most stressed suburbs are:
<ol>
<li>Wollert, VIC (23%)</li>
<li>Roxburgh Park – Somerton, VIC (20%)</li>
<li>Upper Yarra Valley, VIC (20%)</li>
<li>Chullora, NSW (20%)</li>
<li>Mickleham – Yuroke, VIC (20%)</li>
<li>Cranbourne West, VIC (19%)</li>
<li>Burnside Heights, VIC (19%)</li>
<li>Lawson, ACT (19%)</li>
<li>Byford, WA (19%)</li>
<li>Forrestdale – Harrisdale-Piara Waters, WA (19%)</li>
</ol>
The report goes on the say that across the nation, many households could find themselves in trouble if the economic environment changes even slightly.
Just a two percent rate rise "would create more stress than 17pc rate in 1989," the institute has suggested.
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Melbourne suburb, Wollert the most mortgage stressed in the country

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<img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/64293/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">
GUEST OBSERVER
Newly released analysis from Roy Morgan reaffirms that it is the lowest-income households that face the highest mortgage stress. And, contrary to what many might expect, the worst stress is not in Sydney and Melbourne, where property prices have hit record highs.
The Roy Morgan report estimates that 18.4 percent of Australian households are experiencing mortgage stress, a situation where over one-third of their income goes towards servicing a home loan.
Mortgage stress can lead to many complex social issues. It is considered one of the underlying causes of the Global Financial Crisis.
For many households affected by mortgage stress, defaulting is the last resort. Yet, as the mortgage-servicing pressure increases, so does mortgage risk.
Mortgage risk, the chance of a borrower defaulting, has increased to 83.2 percent for households earning under $60,000 per year. It is, however, virtually non-existent for households earning more than $150,000.
<h2>Income is more important than interest rates</h2>
The Roy Morgan report highlights the importance of income, more so than house prices and borrowing costs, to mortgage stress. In fact, interest rates would need to more than double to match the impact of a loss of income on housing stress.
The previous peak in mortgage stress was in 2008-09, a period of high interest rates and bubble-like price growth in Sydney and Melbourne.
This time around, record low interest rates appear on the surface to be counter-balancing the default rate. Yet this is tied to a stagnation in income levels.
House prices and income levels moved in step until 2013. While house prices have continued to increase, household income levels have flattened since then, when the cash rate dropped to a historic low of 2.75 percent. The cash rate is now even lower at 1.50 percent, with further cuts forecast.
The troubling prediction from this is that mortgage stress among Australian households is set to remain high, despite the current low interest rates.
<h2>Widening inequality</h2>
As home ownership concentrates among wealthier households, this report also shows that higher-income households are more resilient to increases in interest rates. This means, too, that home ownership increasingly requires a dual income.
The owner-occupied home is often referred to as the largest single asset that most households own. In countries like Australia and the USA, home ownership is promoted by government and linked to many aspects of future wellbeing. However, as recent HILDA analysis shows, owner-occupied households are becoming far less common.
The “Great Australian Dream” is expected to apply to only a minority of households next decade. With those in the already most marginalised parts of society most affected by mortgage stress, a change in the structures that incentivise home ownership is required to minimise the growing inequality gap.
<h2>Pockets of pain</h2>
The limitation with national averages is that pockets of pain are brushed over. The report drills into state-by-state analysis and metro vs regional comparisons.
While the largest mortgages across the country, averaging over $300,000, are in Sydney, mortgage stress is highest in Tasmania and South Australia.
Mortgage stress in Tasmania and South Australia sits well above the national average, as do their unemployment figures, 6.5% and 6.9% respectively, against a national average of 5.7%. Households in regional areas are also facing more acute mortgage stress than their city counterparts.
<h2>The housing market underpins the Australian financial sector</h2>
Regulators aren’t taking any chances. With nearly $1 trillion in outstanding mortgage debt, double the pre-GFC level, the 2014 Financial Systems Inquiry identified that mortgages are now a significant systemic risk. In a recent speech on the prudential regulator’s outlook, APRA general manager Heidi Richards stated that “the housing market now underpins our financial sector”.
APRA has been tightening the lending standards of the big banks. Effective from July 1, the big banks have been required to apply higher “risk weightings” to residential mortgages. These determine the amount of capital held against assets to limit the likelihood of insolvency.
The silver lining to this otherwise depressing analysis is that the risks to financial stability are relatively low. Home ownership concentrated amongst wealthier households actually means there is a high degree of aggregate resilience to changes in future interest rates and incomes.
However, the report’s focus is on current incomes. To brace for a true housing market downturn, the key will be monitoring employment and income statistics – unemployment rates as well as hours.
Danika Wright is lecturer in finance, University of Sydney and author for The Conversation. She can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/danika-wright-121868" target="_blank">here</a>.
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