Repeat buyers are one of the strongest measures of confidence in any apartment development.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/era-newcastle-west-124-126-bull-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">ERA</a> in Newcastle West, some purchasers are returning to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> after living at the developer's One Apartments. Their decision to purchase again was driven by the quality of life they found after moving into their first GWH home.

Keith Wilton had spent years living in a house in East Maitland before deciding it was time for a change. Apartment living had always been on his radar, but he was selective about what he wanted.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/FH_1EzB-1vs?si=XScVlP1ERsTDJoME" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

"I had some boxes I wanted to tick," he says.

Keith points to the open-plan design, generous outdoor areas and considered inclusions as key reasons One Apartments worked for him.

“One of those things was a nice indoor open plan area, but also I wanted a nice outdoor open area that I could entertain on in summer or Christmases or birthdays,” he says.

He also found value in the smaller details, from integrated appliances to shared resident spaces including the pool, cinema and rooftop areas.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356818]

After comparing several developments, he chose One Apartments because of GWH's longstanding local reputation and his own experience working with the developer on a commercial project more than a decade earlier.

"I knew that they were local, that the quality of the build was going to be up there. I'd looked at other apartment complexes around and close by, and I just knew that here was a better decision location wise."

Today, Keith says the move has completely changed how he experiences Newcastle.

"I enjoy living in this location because it's more of a lifestyle change. That Newcastle city living where you can walk to restaurants and bars and even beaches and parks and even shopping across the road."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356828]

Beyond the location, he says it's the sense of community that has surprised him most.

"Everyone loves living here because they chose to live here, but everyone looks out for each other. It's a real great community feel here."

For Aimee and Lyle Goodman, the journey started almost by chance.

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The couple happened to be having coffee in Newcastle when they noticed the site where One Apartments was about to begin construction.

"We were aware GWH was planning a development," Aimee says. "We made one phone call and things moved pretty quickly after that."

As busy business owners, they initially thought apartment living would simply reduce the maintenance that came with larger homes. Instead, it fundamentally changed how they spent time together.

"We actually catch up more as a family now," Aimee says.

"We've had homes with big yards and lots of space, but everyone ended up in different rooms. Here we'll have dinner together, the kids can play, and we spend far more quality time together."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356829]

Lyle says their confidence came from GWH's reputation within Newcastle's building industry.

"I know people who've worked across different apartment projects, and whenever GWH came up the feedback was always the same. They're rock solid. They're quality."

That confidence only grew throughout the buying process.

"One of the things that really impressed us with GWH was the whole process, was the communication," Lyle says. "It was consistent, it was regular, there was no problem if we had some weird questions, there was no problems in getting answers."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351104]

Aimee says one moment stood out.

"The project actually finished on time. We realised we needed to hurry up and sell our house because everything was happening exactly when they said it would."

The positive experience at One Apartments ultimately gave all three buyers the confidence to purchase again with GWH, this time at ERA.

Their confidence reflects what many buyers are seeking in today's apartment market. Location remains important, but so too does certainty around delivery, quality and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356822]

ERA builds on those foundations with 280 one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two landmark towers in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Newcastle West</a>.&nbsp;

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">Fender Katsalidis</a>, the project will include more than 2,000 square metres of resident amenities, including a resort-style pool, gym, sauna, private cinema and rooftop entertaining spaces overlooking the harbour and coastline.&nbsp;

The development is also within walking distance of the Newcastle Interchange, Honeysuckle, Darby Street, the harbour foreshore, restaurants, retail and the city’s beaches, continuing the walkable lifestyle that existing GWH buyers say has transformed how they live.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356826]

For Keith, the appeal remains straightforward.

"You feel at home even before you've moved into your home."

For Aimee, the change is measured in time.

“I just felt like I had more time,” she says.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351102]

Construction at ERA is now underway, with more than half of the residences already sold and limited two and three-bedroom apartments remaining in the East Tower release. Priced from $980,000 for two-bedroom residences and $1.46 million for three-bedroom residences, buyers can secure an apartment with a 10 per cent deposit, with premium homes offering ocean views from Level 8 and harbour views from Level 10.

ERA is also backed by Resilience Insurance's 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing protection against structural or waterproofing defects for 10 years after completion. The project is anticipated to be completed in early 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135096]

Joel Robinson

From ONE to ERA: Why buyers are choosing GWH again in Newcastle West

Virgate Property Group is preparing to commence construction of Verdé, its new apartment development in Melbourne's Arts Precinct at Southbank, following a strong run of sales that has seen more than half of the project's 173 apartments secured.

Verdé has attracted a broad mix of first home buyers, owner-occupiers upgrading from nearby inner-city suburbs and investors, with younger owner-occupier couples aged between 28 and 45 accounting for the strongest enquiry. Many are already living in Southbank, South Melbourne, Albert Park, Port Melbourne, South Yarra and the CBD.

"Verdé is located in one of the most desirable pockets of southern Melbourne," Blair Property Group Director Darren Blair, who is managing sales at Verdé, said.

"It's within walking distance of the Arts Centre, Royal Botanic Gardens, Albert Park Lake, and Southbank's restaurants and retail. It's a great lifestyle location with strong amenity and liveability, which made it a very attractive choice for the project."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372549]

Virgate was already familiar with the precinct, having previously delivered the successful Domain House development in neighbouring South Melbourne. That experience gave the developer confidence to acquire the Coventry Street site and continue expanding its presence in Melbourne's inner south.

"We had been keeping an eye on the site and the broader precinct for a few months before deciding to move forward with the acquisition," Virgate said.

The project was ultimately secured in 2020 following feasibility studies, planning assessments and due diligence, with the brief centred on delivering "a high-quality, considered design that feels both refined and fit for purpose."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=314259]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bruce-henderson-architects">Bruce Henderson Architects</a>, Verdé comprises 173 one, two and three-bedroom apartments priced from $599,000. The architecture is distinguished by a faceted glass façade that responds to both the site's outlook and Melbourne's changing light conditions.

According to Bruce Henderson Architects, the coloured glazing gives the building a distinctive identity while also providing privacy and solar shading, with residences oriented to capture views across the bay, city skyline and surrounding parklands.

Inside, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/designoffice">DesignOffice</a> has created interiors focused on natural light, efficient planning and enduring materials. Apartments feature engineered oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, floor-to-ceiling glazing and SMEG appliances, while a restrained material palette aims to complement the expansive outlooks rather than compete with them.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372550]

Resident amenity has also been designed around everyday functionality rather than occasional use. Facilities include a concierge-serviced lobby, residents' lounge with fireplace, library and co-working space, gym, terrace garden with barbecue facilities, ground-floor café, and package delivery management.

The project's location continues to be one of its strongest drawcards. Positioned on Coventry Street, Verdé sits within walking distance of the National Gallery of Victoria, Arts Centre Melbourne, Royal Botanic Gardens and Albert Park Lake, while Southbank's dining precinct, Sturt Street trams and the new ANZAC Station are all nearby. The surrounding education catchment also includes Melbourne Grammar, Melbourne Girls Grammar, Mac.Robertson Girls' High School and several major university campuses.

The sales team says buyers have responded particularly well to the combination of location, design quality and long-term liveability.

"They're responding really positively to the quality of the design, premium resident amenities and the uninterrupted views. Many also appreciate the location and how connected it is to everything they need."

The ability to secure stamp duty savings before completion has also been a key factor for purchasers, alongside the opportunity to personalise finishes ahead of settlement.

With construction set to commence soon and more than half the apartments already sold, Verdé enters its next phase as one of the Arts Precinct's more established apartment developments, offering remaining buyers an opportunity to secure a residence before construction advances further. Expected completion is scheduled for late 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4661]

Virgate's Verdé Southbank moves toward construction as sales fly past halfway stage

Downsizer-focused apartment development Kooyongkoot in Hawthorn has been recognised at the 2026 Better Future Melbourne Design Awards, taking home Gold and Silver awards in two categories.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kooyongkoot-hawthorn-1-kooyongkoot-road-hawthorn-vic-3122">Kooyongkoot</a>, currently being delivered by developer PQD and designed by Cera Stribley, received Gold in the Interior Design – Proposed category and Silver in the Architecture – Proposed category.

The dual recognition reflects the design approach behind the boutique development on prestigious Kooyongkoot Road, where the focus has been on creating homes for downsizers seeking the space, quality and functionality of a detached house within a low-rise apartment building.

Rather than maximising apartment numbers, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/pqd">PQD</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a> limited the development to just 18 residences, allowing for larger floorplans, greater privacy, generous landscaping and expansive communal spaces.&nbsp;The majority of the apartments also benefit from corner aspects, allowing for dual sources of natural light.

Now around 70 per cent complete and on track for completion in November 2026, Kooyongkoot will comprise a mix of garden residences, ter​race apartments, sub-penthouses, and is crowned by two half-floor penthouses with direct lift access and private rooftop terraces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355297]

The Silver Award for Architecture recognised the way the building responds to its prominent corner position at the ent​rance to Hawthorn's Scotch Hill precinct, one of Melbourne's most established residential neighbourhoods.

Rather than competing with the grand homes that line Kooyongkoot Road, the architectural approach focused on restraint and longevity, using curved brickwork, generous landscaping and carefully considered proportions to integrate with the existing streetscape.

"The form feels fluid and timeless, as though shaped by the landscape itself – architecture that belongs, rather than competes," said Chris Stribley, Co-Founder and Managing Principal of Cera Stribley.

The judging submission also highlighted practical innovations throughout the building, including lift cores servicing only nine homes each, a central landscaped lightcourt designed to bring daylight and ventilation into the building, and fully enclosed private storage rooms with lighting, power and shelving to better accommodate residents transitioning from larger family homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355293]

The Gold Award for Interior Design recognised the project's focus on long-term liveability rather than display-home aesthetics.

According to the awards submission, the interiors were designed from the inside out, prioritising how homes would function over decades of daily use through generous proportions, practical storage, durable natural materials and flexible layouts.

The specification includes natural stone throughout, upgraded acoustic glazing, V-ZUG appliances and fully enclosed storage rooms, alongside an amenity offering focused on wellness, entertainment and everyday convenience.&nbsp;

Residents will have access to a gym and yoga studio, a wellness centre featuring traditional and infrared saunas, a cold therapy shower and treatment room, as well as a residents' lounge and golf simulator/cinema room for entertainment.&nbsp;Kooyongkoot has also considered the everyday convenience of its residents by offering a private carwash and pet wash facilities on site as well as dedicated parcel lockers and oversized fully enclosed storage rooms.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355303]

The project's attention to detail has already resonated with buyers. Earlier this year, Kooyongkoot recorded one of Boroondara's highest apartment sales when an $8 million penthouse was purchased by a Melbourne CEO downsizing from a nearby family home.

"Every detail feels deliberate, from the overall design down to the smallest touches," the purchaser said.

"The level of quality and refinement is exceptional, but what really sold it was how liveable it felt... It felt like a place where everything had been considered, not just a luxury building."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355304]

Sustainability also formed a key part of both award submissions. Kooyongkoot is targeting a minimum 7.5-star NatHERS rating across all residences, supported by passive design principles, high-performance glazing, EV charging infrastructure, water reuse systems and a wellness model focused on lower-energy dry facilities rather than pools and large wet areas.

Located within walking distance of Scotch College, Methodist Ladies' College, Koo​yong Lawn Tennis Club, Aubur​n Village and Camberwell Junction, Kooyongkoot continues to target owner-occupiers looking to remain in Melbourne's inner east without compromising on space or quality. A limited selection of two, three and four-bedroom residences remains available, with prices starting from $1.9 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=102717]

Kooyongkoot wins Gold and Silver at Better Future Melbourne Design Awards

New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.

It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.

With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.

The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.

Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.

"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.

"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.

Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.

That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.

"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.

"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."

Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.

"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=5374]

The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.

Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.

That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.

"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.

The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.

The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.

The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.

Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.

"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.

"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."

<img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" />

Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.

Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.

Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.

"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.

"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."

Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.

Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.

Rainbow Bay apartment doubles in price since off the plan sale during pandemic

Mortgage Rate

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The Australian Securities and Investments Commission has released a handy guide to interest-only loans for property investors.
According to ASIC, one in four loans are interest-only for owner-occupiers and two in three loans are interest-only for investors.
<a href="/images/2015/10/09/Screen%20Shot%202015-10-09%20at%209.59.00%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/10/09/Screen%20Shot%202015-10-09%20at%209.59.00%20AM.png" alt="">
According to ASIC, before applying for an interest-only mortgage, potential investors need to understand if they can afford the higher repayments when the interest-only period ends, will the short-term benefits outweigh the long-term costs and if you can be trusted not to dip into the offset account?
<a href="/images/2015/10/09/interest-only-loans-infographic-part-1_942x2142.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/10/09/interest-only-loans-infographic-part-1_942x2142.jpg" alt="">
 
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<img src="/images/2015/10/09/interest-only-loans-infographic-part-2_940x1292.jpg" alt="">
 
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<img src="/images/2015/10/09/interest-only-loans-infographic-part-3_944x1793.jpg" alt="">
 
ASIC has also released a calculator to help potential investors work out three key factors behind an <a href="/expert-insights/finance/asic-releases-interest-only-mortgage-calculator">interest-only mortgage</a>, as well as a a checklist for property investors considering <a href="/expert-insights/finance/are-interest-only-mortgages-in-your-interest-asic">interest-only payments for mortgages</a>.
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mick.cee-iDmgDDAmu8

ASIC's interest-only guide for property investors

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GUEST OBSERVER
Following the most anticipated and hotly debated Fed meeting in years the Fed has decided to leave interest rates on hold. More importantly, the commentary around the decision was relatively dovish. After all the hoopla in the run up to the Fed meeting it was all a bit of a non-event really…just as well I didn’t get up at 4am for it! 
The case for the Fed to raise interest rates is well known: the US economy has been growing around 2-2.5% and the labour market has strengthened with unemployment falling to 5.1%. And since inflation normally turns up with a lag after the jobs market there is an argument for the Fed to start hiking interest rates before that actually happens.
As a result a few months ago it was widely expected the Fed would move to start hiking at its September meeting. In the interim though uncertainty about Chinese and emerging market growth has increased and inflation expectations have fallen and so the Fed has rightly responded to this by leaving interest rates on hold. This was in line with US fixed income market expectations that had only priced in a 30% chance of a hike at this meeting.
More importantly though the commentary from the Fed was relatively dovish.
While the so called “dot plot” of Fed meeting participants interest rate expectations is still pointing to a rate hike this year, several participants have moved their view of the first hike into 2016 or 2017, one is now arguing for a rate cut into negative territory and the whole profile of Fed interest rate expectations is  0.25% lower.
On top of this, the Fed is clearly conscious of the risks posed by recent “global and financial developments” (read China and the emerging world) and the downside risks posed by this to US inflation.
The clear message from the Fed is that is that it is aware of what is going on globally and is not going to do anything to threaten global growth at a time when US inflation is below target.
There was no recognition from the Fed that it is any closer to satisfying the conditions for a rate hike. While the Fed is likely comfortable that it has seen enough improvement regarding the jobs market it still seems to lack “confidence that inflation will move back to its 2% objective over the medium term.” And this lack of confidence partly stems from the uncertainty regarding Chinese and emerging market growth, along with the impact of the stronger $US.
While Fed Chair Janet Yellen has indicated that the Fed’s October meeting remains “live” for a rate hike, it’s hard to see enough changing by then to justify lift off. As such December is more likely for a move but there is a reasonable risk that lift off could be pushed into 2016.
In terms of market implications, the move by the Fed to leave rates on hold and indications that it won’t do anything to upset global growth are positive and should help allay some of the upwards pressure on the $US and downwards pressure on emerging market currencies in the short term. However, a Fed rate hike is likely still out there somewhere and uncertainty around it will likely return at some point. It’s likely to come at a time though when there is less global uncertainty and so hopefully should mainly be a constraint on US shares as opposed to global shares.
For Australia, the Fed’s decision is a mixed blessing. On the one hand it would have been better to have seen the Fed able to raise interest rates as it would signal greater confidence in global growth and ongoing downwards pressure on the value of the $A. As it is there is a risk that an on hold for now Fed sees the $A bounce a bit higher. Ultimately though the downtrend in the $A is likely to resume – as the Fed is still likely to hike at some point, the RBA is likely to remain under pressure to cut and commodity prices remain weak – so there is no change to my view that the $A will fall to around $US0.60 in the next 12 months or so.
Finally, perhaps anticipating talk of a “Yellen put” it was of interest to hear Janet Yellen pointing out that the “Fed should not be responding to the ups and downs of markets” but rather to considering “what is causing them” which in this case has been “concerns about the global economic outlook”. It’s hard to argue with that.
 
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://plus.google.com/110172465327488162875?rel=author" target="_blank">SHANE OLIVER</a> is head of investment strategy and economics and chief economist at <a href="https://www.ampcapital.com.au/home" target="_blank">AMP Capital</a> and is responsible for AMP Capital's diversified investment funds.
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soliver-smf6LQXgW9

Aussie dollar to fall to 60c: AMP Capital's Shane Oliver

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GUEST OBSERVER
As lenders seek to wind back their level of investment lending, competition in the owner occupied space has started to heat up. 
Many lenders were starting to offer some “very competitive” owner occupied home loans in a bid to pick up more of this business. 
Over the past few months, many of Australia’s lenders have made significant changes to their investment product pricing and policy in a bid to curb their level of investment lending growth. 
But just because many of Australia’s lenders are actively trying to reduce their level of investment activity, doesn’t mean to say they are not hungry for business – quite the opposite.
Australia’s lenders are just as hungry for business as they ever were and because the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority has told them to limit their level of investment lending growth, the lenders have been forced to turn their attention to owner occupiers.
Many of Australia’s lenders are currently offering owner occupied borrowers a raft of incentives including, interest rate discounts, cash back offers and fee waivers. 
In the 20 years I have worked in financial services, I have never seen the level of lender competition we are witnessing now. Regardless of whether people are looking to buy a home or refinance their current property, they can be guaranteed of securing an incredibly competitive home loan deal.
For those borrowers who have been in the same home loan product for a while, now may be a good time for them to give their mortgage a much needed spring clean. A good de-clutter never goes astray and often borrowers uncover financial aspects of their life that need some reassessment or to be changed altogether. 
Borrowers who give their home loan a spring clean may realise that they are in the perfect position to refinance their mortgage.
Refinancing may allow borrowers to repay their home loan sooner and ultimately achieve their next financial goal sooner. 
Further, refinancing can be a great way for borrowers to lower their mortgage repayments, consolidate their debt and even access equity in their home.”
John Flavell is chief executive officer <a href="https://www.mortgagechoice.com.au/" target="_blank">Mortgage Choice</a>.
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Competition for owner occupied business heats up: Mortgage Choice's John Flavell

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GUEST OBSERVER
A wise investor once said: “People’s expectation of the future is set by their experiences in the immediate past.” No truer is this phrase than the phenomena of the Sydney market over the past 2-3 years. It’s also unfortunately why I think there is pain ahead for those still contemplating a residential property investment in Sydney or Melbourne.  
Think about it; with between 62% (all NSW mortgages, July 2015 CoreLogic) and 68% (Nationwide: AFG) of mortgages being investment loans, an investor should realise that with only 32% of participants potentially buying property for its underlying utility value (ie: to live in!), investors will happily shun a location if it presents no potential for meaningful growth in the near future.  Investors certainly don’t need to live there! Now, I am certain of the direction of these changes, but of course the timing is open for debate. 
At Oasis Property we maintain our bias towards a correction of between 7-15% in the Sydney market. In Melbourne...less so (5-8%). My expectation is that this play out over the next 2-3 years. In almost every extended discussion I have with people about this, I find disagreement. But the startling thing about this is the disagreement is not because they necessarily disagree with our experience OR the fact that Sydney and Melbourne prices have outperformed on every metric. No. They are disagreeing only because of sentiment and psychology. No sound reasoning, just emotion built on expectation, based on recent performance.  As I have cited many times publicly...and almost ad nauseum for 12 months now, the fundamental reason for owning property in Sydney and Melbourne has been exhausted. That is, the baseline amenity (a house) being built for a consumer (owner or tenant) that is ready to live in it...is too expensive. Expensive to the point that a homeowner finds it more logical to rent (at 2-3% yields...this is entirely rational) OR the bank will not extend them the finance to lend. (rational or not...the buyer doesn’t have a choice in this!) 
All this brings me to a tried and trusted logic that has served me well as an investor. From the mouth of legendary investor Rick Rule. “The cure for low prices...is low prices.” And similarly the inverse of this...the cure for high prices...IS high prices.” 
Before you think that notion sounds absurd… hear me out. Rick is a billionaire. You are probably not. Using this narrative below to example this notion, allow me to expand: 
If a developer cannot buy land, build a property and make a profit – they will not build that property. There MUST be an incentive to do it. Or building will stop. It is called a market clearing price. 
For example. If land can be purchased in Lane Cove for $1m, and a new dwelling costs $600k to build (=$1.6m), yet the market price is only be $1.4m, the dwelling will simply not get built. Why would they? Would you?
Exacerbated over an extended period of time, if this incentive is not achieved...the will be no properties built over an extended period of time. Demand will build up (like it has). It’s a predictable outcome.    Eventually, the market will realise that there is a housing shortfall.    Now, with that situation in place as ‘tinder’ for the market, it only took the dovetailing of the low interest rate environment to light a fire under the property. The rest is modern history. 
Hence the saying: “the cure for low prices...is low prices.” It is that simple.
Taking that example of that Lane Cove property I referred to.  We see that at $1.4m the maths doesn’t work. In fact, even at $1.6m it doesn’t; what with stamp duties, borrowing and holding costs. In reality, most developers I know wouldn’t even start the project if it returned a market price of $1.9m. (~12% after costs) Developers will roughly work off a model of 30% and often include contingency in this plan to scale downward or upwards from here. They’d want to see $2.2m to get them started on this project. 
And now we’ve got ourselves a market clearing price! And that’s exactly where Sydney and Melbourne have been over the past 3 years.  Now we’re well past it.    
The problem is of course, that this effect works the same way at the other end of the market...the top! Many more properties are being constructed and have been constructed now that this incentive has been created. This has had the effect of inflating the cost of property well and beyond the affordability of the everyday property owner, which is the benchmark we all must base our assumptions on. 
Do not base it off the overseas/Chinese investor. They will (eventually) only pay what is necessary to beat the next highest bidder. Do not base it on the wealthy investor, they will be subject to, and more likely price in higher interest rates. Do not base it on the self managed super fund purchaser. NO. Base it on the home owner. The person that needs a home and can either afford to pay for it or not. (Hint: do some research...[lack of] affordability is now through the roof!)
What we are finally left with is too much stock on the market and elevated prices for those buyers that are left. I think we are almost there. You do not want to be holding that parcel when that music stops! 
So eventually, the “cure for high prices” is the high prices themselves that make them unaffordable for those that want and need to live in them. 
To combat the claim that people believe that Sydney prices will still keep surging, I cite a most recent, but now almost daily occurrence whereby people actually argue with me that they do not believe that Sydney prices will ever go backwards. After convulsing in a fit of laughter, I then reply, with a cheeky grin on my face;
“If that occurred (non-stop growth), it would be the only time in history, in any region, in any mature market - that this has occurred. Ever. Let me repeat...EVER!”
On that note, I’ll leave you with one last reminder. “the cure of high prices...IS high prices!” 
 Gavin McPherson is chief executive officer of Oasis Property Buyers Agency and author of "Value Investing in Property: What would Warren Buffet do if he was investing in property in Australia?" He can be contacted <a href="https://www.oasisproperty.com.au/oasis-buyers/oasis-property-buyers.php" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Is Sydney now the rotten apple for investors? Oasis' Gavin McPherson

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Mortgage broker AFG has announced it has secured a new white label agreement with Macquarie Bank.
AFG managing director Brett McKeon said the agreement will see a new product range, AFG home loans ICON, added to AFG’s existing white label offering.
ICON will complement AFG’s existing product range with features such as a global limit facility, a self managed super fund product and a family guarantee offering.
 Mr McKeon said the addition of the white label product range is part of a key growth strategy for the company.
"We will continue to work with AFG brokers and lenders to provide mortgage products tailored to suit their clients." 
For more information on AFG, <a href="https://www.afgonline.com.au" target="_blank">click here</a>.
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AFG expands white label suite‏

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Mortgage Choice's annual results for the financial year ending June 30 showed the company's loan book climbed 4.6% to reach $49.5 billion.
Approvals for home loans increased 10.5% to $13.4 billion, with settlements up 10.6% to $11.5 billion and the company paying a fully franked dividend of 15.5 cents per share. 
Mortgage Choice chief executive officer John Flavell said solid growth in loan writer and franchise numbers ultimately helped the core business.
“Throughout the 2015 financial year, we appointed 41 loan writers taking our total loan writer count to 575. In addition, we sold 23 greenfield franchises and 14 existing franchises to reach a franchise footprint of 422,” he said.
"There is still more that we can do to grow the core broking business. Heading into FY16, recruitment will become a focus for the business as the more feet we have on the ground, the better placed we will be to help more Australians make informed financial decisions.
“Looking forward, we have a very positive outlook for FY16. The property market remains strong, with dwelling values on the rise and auction clearance rates continuing to hover at solid levels. Further, the value of the home loan market and the number of home loan approvals being written each month continues to rise, which bodes well for Mortgage Choice’s core broking business."
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Mortgage Choice loan book hits $49.5 billion

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GUEST OBSERVATION
NAB has announced it will reprice its interest‑only loans and line of credit facilities by 29bps. While this change follows the lead from ANZ and CBA, NAB’s decision appears to impact a greater share of its owner‑occupied customers (~47% of NAB’s Australian housing portfolio is affected vs ~29% of lending to investors). While positive for NAB’s near‑term earnings, we see higher attrition risk as peers may target NAB’s owner‑occupied customers. 
In the short term, we expect NAB to offer retention discounts to its owner‑occupied customers affected by this change and, in the longer term, address this issue by introducing new products. Also, while reducing interest‑only loans should be positive from a quality perspective and potentially favourable to capital, we believe it will encourage a higher level of repayments and may have an impact on NAB’s home lending volume growth.
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Earnings benefit of 3-4% 
Assuming NAB reprices 47% of its housing portfolio by 29bps, it implies a 3-4% benefit to FY16f earnings. We estimate ~30% of customers that have been affected by this change will be offered price offsets and, therefore, we expect ~33% of NAB’s housing book will be repriced. This should provide ~3% FY16f earnings uplift. 
<a href="/images/2015/07/28/Screen%20Shot%202015-07-28%20at%2011.48.01%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/07/28/Screen%20Shot%202015-07-28%20at%2011.48.01%20AM.png" alt="" width="849" height="506">
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Banks are using their market power 
While in a normal competitive environment repricing changes of this nature may potentially lead to customer attrition in the investor segment, in this instance we believe the regulator has largely removed that risk. This repricing thematic is consistent with our thesis outlined in ‘Risk weights on returns – Part II’, and following recent changes we believe the sector is now ~30% through our estimated mortgages repricing. 
Regionals set to benefit 
We believe recent pricing changes are favourable for the regionals. As the table above highlights, we see 4-5% earnings benefit from potential repricing. However, given their recent subdued volume growth in the investor lending segment, we see scope for the regionals to grow their book before introducing repricing measures. 
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Victor German is Senior Equities Analyst at Commonwealth Bank. He can be contacted <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://au.linkedin.com/pub/victor-german/21/821/874" target="_blank">here</a>.
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Same, same… but a little bit different: Victor German on the big banks and their investor loan book

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Nearly half of respondents to a new survey believe interest rates might rise over the coming year.
Some 45% of people polled for the CoreLogic RP Data Nine Rewards Consumer sentiment survey consider a rate hike possible over the next year. 12% of respondents believe interest rates will move lower over the six months and 13% over the next year.
63% expect a stable mortgage rate environment over the next half year and year.
<a href="/images/2015/07/24/Screen%20Shot%202015-07-25%20at%201.02.58%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/07/24/Screen%20Shot%202015-07-25%20at%201.02.58%20AM.png" alt="" width="749" height="183"> 
<a href="/images/2015/07/24/Screen%20Shot%202015-07-25%20at%201.03.03%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2015/07/24/Screen%20Shot%202015-07-25%20at%201.03.03%20AM.png" alt="" width="688" height="195">
Source: CoreLogic RP Data Nine Rewards Consumer sentiment survey
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