The federal government’s proposed changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax concessions are expected to reshape where investors direct their attention over the coming years.

Under the policy settings, established properties would lose access to both incentives, while new and off-the-plan apartments would retain them, creating a clear advantage for buyers willing to purchase into the development market instead.

That shift comes at a time when the supply of traditional investor-grade apartments has already become increasingly limited.

For years, one-bedroom apartments formed the backbone of investor demand. Compact, lower-priced and typically positioned in high-demand locations, they were the type of stock developers actively brought to market.

Today, the development pipeline across New South Wales looks very different.

Projects are increasingly geared towards owner-occupiers, with larger three and four-bedroom apartments dominating many new developments. While there are still some one-bedroom and smaller two-bedroom configurations available, genuine investor-focused stock is no longer as common as it once was.

With investors now expected to look more closely at the new apartment market, we analysed the projects currently on offer across New South Wales for buyers reconsidering the established market.

We focused on developments priced around $1 million, a realistic ceiling for many investors in the current lending environment. In precincts closer to the CBD, that budget will typically secure a one-bedroom apartment, while in a number of growing middle-ring and outer suburbs, it can still stretch to a two-bedroom unit.

<h3>Danks St District, Waterloo</h3>

Price: From $985,000

One of the largest mixed-use developments currently underway in Sydney's inner south, DASCO Australia's Danks St District will transform a 1.7-hectare site on Bourke Street into a six-building residential precinct with more than half of the site dedicated to open space.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=111820 project_image_fid=344699]

The project offers one, two and three-bedroom apartments, terraces and penthouses within walking distance of Surry Hills, Centennial Park and the future Waterloo Metro Station. For investors seeking a blue-chip inner-city location, it is one of the few opportunities to secure a new apartment under $1 million this close to the CBD.

Danks St District also has the sought-after 10-year Latent Defects Insurance by Resilience Insurance, covering an investor for any major structural or waterproofing issues that may arise within the first 10 years of the building completing.

<h3>Senso, Epping</h3>

Price: From $835,000

Epping continues to attract strong buyer demand thanks to its connectivity, schooling options and growing town centre. Senso, a five-building development by DASCO, will deliver 479 apartments adjacent to the future Epping Town Centre masterplan.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134954 project_image_fid=4396]

The project is just a short walk from Epping Metro Station, providing direct access to Macquarie Park, Chatswood and the Sydney CBD. One-bedroom apartments start from $835,000.

DASCO has also taken out Resilience LDI on Senso.

<h3>Willow, Wentworth Point</h3>

Price: From $735,000

Wentworth Point has emerged as one of Sydney's fastest-growing apartment markets, underpinned by major infrastructure investment and improving transport links.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6969 project_image_fid=228633]

Willow forms the latest stage of Sekisui House Australia's $2 billion Sanctuary masterplan and will deliver 309 apartments across a mix of low-rise buildings and a 28-storey tower. One-bedroom apartments start from $735,000, offering one of the more accessible entry points into Sydney's waterfront apartment market.

<h3>Mason &amp; Main, Merrylands</h3>

Price: From $498,000

For investors focused on affordability and immediate rental returns, Mason &amp; Main stands out as one of the few completed projects on this list.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=31751 project_image_fid=359818]

The Coronation Property development comprises 415 apartments in the heart of Merrylands, directly opposite Stockland Merrylands and just 350 metres from the train station. Studios start from $498,000, while one-bedroom apartments are available from $635,000.

<h3>Zeste, Norwest</h3>

Price: From $755,000

The final apartment release within Sekisui House Australia's $1 billion Orchards masterplan, Zeste marks the completion of a community more than a decade in the making.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150510 project_image_fid=351885]

Positioned 600 metres from Norwest Metro Station, the project offers one to four-bedroom apartments and access to extensive communal amenities and established parklands. One-bedroom apartments start from $755,000.

<h3>The Residences at Wahroonga Estate, Wahroonga</h3>

Price: From $895,000

New apartment supply in Wahroonga is exceptionally rare, particularly at scale.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135247 project_image_fid=284378]

The first stage of the 64-hectare Wahroonga Estate masterplan will deliver 133 apartments surrounded by bushland and established Upper North Shore amenity.

For investors seeking exposure to one of Sydney's most tightly held markets, one-bedroom apartments start from $895,000.

<h3>Aeris, Melrose Park</h3>

Price: From $724,000

Melrose Park is set to become one of Sydney's largest urban renewal precincts over the next decade, with thousands of new homes planned alongside significant transport and retail infrastructure.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=426 project_image_fid=355197]

Aeris is the sixth stage of Sekisui House Australia's $5 billion masterplan and will deliver 468 apartments across three towers. One-bedroom apartments start from $724,000.

<h3>Dawn, Melrose Park</h3>

Price: From $704,000

Also within the Melrose Park masterplan, Dawn offers one of the lowest entry points on this list.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145496 project_image_fid=334164]

Developed by Sekisui House Australia and Hankyu Hanshin Properties, the project comprises 368 apartments across four buildings, with one-bedroom apartments starting from $704,000.

<h3>The Rothschild, Rosebery</h3>

Price: From $799,000

Completed projects are becoming increasingly difficult to find in Sydney's inner south, making The Rothschild a notable opportunity for investors wanting immediate rental income.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=106843 project_image_fid=256816]

The Deicorp development sits within walking distance of The Cannery, Green Square and Gunyama Park, with one-bedroom apartments available from $799,000.

<h3>Larool Crescent, Castle Hill</h3>

Price: From $730,000

Castle Hill remains one of Sydney's strongest-performing metro-connected suburban markets, supported by major retail amenity and direct rail access to the city.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135330 project_image_fid=289121]

CPDM's Larool Crescent development will deliver 113 apartments and townhouses just 600 metres from Castle Hill Metro Station. One-bedroom apartments are priced from $730,000.

<h3>The Avenues, Zetland</h3>

Price: From $803,000

Directly opposite Gunyama Park and Aquatic Centre, The Avenues forms part of Deicorp's broader $874 million East Zetland precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146262 project_image_fid=357151]

The development combines park-front living with proximity to Green Square Station and the CBD, while one-bedroom apartments remain available from $803,000.

<h3>The Kensington, Kensington</h3>

Price: From $1.03 million

While sitting slightly above the $1 million threshold, The Kensington remains one of the few opportunities to secure a brand-new apartment in Sydney's tightly held eastern suburbs.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110959 project_image_fid=371479]

Located just four kilometres from the CBD, the TOGA development benefits from direct light rail access and proximity to UNSW, Prince of Wales Hospital and the broader K2K precinct.

The building has recently completed, and will welcome residents soon.

<h3>Lillian, Erskineville</h3>

Price: From $1,075,000

Erskineville rarely sees significant new apartment supply, particularly in locations adjacent to major parkland.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135149 project_image_fid=368154]

Coronation Property's Lillian overlooks the new McPherson Park and sits just 3.5 kilometres from the CBD. While one-bedroom apartments are priced slightly above $1 million, the combination of location and limited competing supply places it among Sydney's most compelling inner-city apartment opportunities.

<h3>La Vera, Macquarie Park</h3>

Price: From $700,000

Macquarie Park continues to evolve from a commercial hub into one of Sydney's most significant mixed-use centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134951 project_image_fid=358802]

Urban Property Group's La Vera offers one-bedroom apartments from $700,000, placing it among the most affordable new apartment opportunities in a precinct supported by metro rail, employment and education infrastructure. La Vera is another project with the sought-after 10-year Latent Defects Insurance.

Joel Robinson

Investors to turn to new and off the plan apartments after federal government changes spark hunt for Sydney’s best sub-$1 million projects

Fitzroy is set for another apartment development in keeping with its cool, urban heritage.

The busy&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/antipodean-land-developments">Antipodean Land Developments</a>, which is also progressing projects in Thornbury and Surrey Hills, has plans for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/11-13-spring-street-fitzroy-vic-3065">14 new apartments at&nbsp;11–13 Spring Street</a>, near Johnston Street and the tram route along Nicholson Street.&nbsp;

The proposal has been submitted through Victoria's Great Design Fast Track pathway and would see the retention and integration of two contributory heritage buildings on the corner of Spring and Argyle Streets, combined with a contemporary apartment development rising up to eight storeys.

Designed by award-winning Melbourne architecture practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/edition-office">Edition Office</a>, the project would deliver 14 apartments across three distinct building forms. Rather than adopting a conventional tiered apartment form, Edition Office has broken the development into three separate volumes connected by a central void inspired by Fitzroy's network of laneways.

"Celebrating the fine grain of Fitzroy with simple, abstracted forms, three distinct built elements are proposed rather than a single monolithic 'wedding cake' tiered arrangement," the design report states.

<img alt="First look: Antipodean Land Developments plans heritage-led Fitzroy apartment project" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="cdcb1ced-fca6-41a6-adf5-901603e6310d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_6.png?VersionId=CAYRBBvysDCvrjmcRhjkIJDS6QnTph0_" />

The project is proposed on a 554 sqm corner site within the South Fitzroy Heritage Precinct. Existing buildings include a former two-storey warehouse fronting Spring Street and a former terrace house on Argyle Street, both identified as contributory heritage places. The proposal retains the heritage facades and visible return walls, integrating them into the new built form while introducing additional residential density on the site.

The development would comprise 12 three-bedroom apartments, one two-bedroom apartment and one one-bedroom apartment, reflecting a focus on larger inner-city residences suited to owner-occupiers and families seeking proximity to Melbourne's CBD.

Ground level would accommodate communal indoor and outdoor spaces designed to foster interaction between residents and the surrounding neighbourhood. Vehicle parking would be concealed behind the retained heritage buildings, while resident bicycle parking and rooftop communal landscaping are also proposed.

Edition Office said the design was heavily influenced by the area's industrial and residential heritage fabric.

"The proposal seeks to provide a new addition to this existing fabric emerging from the historic values and syntax of Fitzroy's architectural motifs, utilising contemporary design and construction techniques," the architects noted.

The design draws on the character of South Fitzroy's red-brick warehouses and Victorian terraces, with the architects seeking to create a contemporary building that responds sensitively to its heritage context through materiality, scale and façade articulation.

Antipodean Land Developments has established a reputation for design-focused residential projects across Melbourne's inner north. The family-owned developer's previous projects include Neighbourhood in Brunswick East with Breathe Architecture and Balfe Park Lane in Brunswick East with Kerstin Thompson Architects.

They are currently advancing plans for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/vic/first-look-antipodean-land-developments-plans-heritage-led-apartment-community-in-surrey-hills">76 apartments and townhouses in Surrey Hills</a>, on the site of the former St Joseph's Home for Destitute Children, a historic institutional complex dating back to the late 19th century. The proposal seeks to adaptively reuse several heritage buildings while introducing two new four-storey residential buildings set within extensive landscaped grounds.

First look: Antipodean Land Developments plans heritage-led Fitzroy apartment project

Burwood's expanding high-rise skyline could soon push further west, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/nascon-group">Nascon</a> lodging plans for a new apartment tower that would deliver more than 100 homes on the edge of the town centre.

The developer has filed a State Significant Development application over 17-19 Conder Street and 21 Conder Street, seeking approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/17-21-conder-street-burwood-nsw-2134">16-storey building with around 112 apartments</a>, including around 11 affordable housing dwellings.

The proposal would replace the existing buildings on the 1,387 sqm site, located about 500 metres from Burwood Station and positioned between the established high-density core of Burwood Town Centre and surrounding lower-scale residential neighbourhoods.

<img alt="First look: Nascon targets Burwood growth corridor with 112-unit apartment tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="42661fa8-5d3c-4a81-9b72-458dbaa8c3bd" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/site_14.png?VersionId=CMvGvlno3zjvU7_.JL8ChjWPIactF9bV" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/kennedy-associates-architects">Kennedy Associates Architects</a>, the project has been conceived as part of Burwood's ongoing transition toward higher-density housing around major transport infrastructure.

"The building employs massing, articulation, and materiality to create a balanced, restrained, and contemporary residential tower that can both stand alone and contribute to the evolving urban character of Burwood," the architect said in the Design Report.

Plans currently on exhibition include a mix of market and affordable housing apartments, communal open space, landscaping, bicycle parking, and basement parking. The affordable housing component would account for around 10 per cent of the total apartments proposed.

Kennedy Associates Architects said the design responds directly to the site's role as a transition point between Burwood's high-rise town centre and surrounding residential areas.

"The Conder Street façade, as the public face of the building, responds to its role as an 'end' building by resolving the street wall and delivering public space to the street," the Design Report states.

<img alt="First look: Nascon targets Burwood growth corridor with 112-unit apartment tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="089306ae-62d3-4321-94bc-4be5351794a8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/burwood%20da.png?VersionId=S_NRQJwmUJtybLwgV2mXA7iUEqjk0.5R" />

The architects also noted the building's location less than 200 metres from significantly taller developments already approved or under construction within Burwood Town Centre, reflecting the area's changing urban character.

The site sits within walking distance of Westfield Burwood, Burwood Park, Burwood Library, several schools, medical facilities, and a range of retail and dining offerings concentrated around Burwood Road and The Boulevarde. It is also near the planned Burwood Cultural House precinct, which is expected to introduce new public open space, cultural facilities, and community infrastructure to the area.

The proposal arrives as Burwood continues to emerge as one of Sydney's most active apartment development markets with numerous existing, approved and proposed projects across the town centre ranging from 20 to more than 40 storeys. Burwood North was <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/nsw-government-to-rezone-burwood-north-and-trigger-15-000-new-homes-near-future-sydney-metro-station">rezoned last year</a>, which trigger around 15,000 new homes around the future Burwood North Metro Station.

First look: Nascon targets Burwood growth corridor with 112-unit apartment tower

Brisbane has emerged as one of the country's most compelling property markets over the past five years. It feels like a lifetime ago that Sydney and Melbourne dominated the conversation as Australia's benchmark housing markets. Fast forward to 2026, and Brisbane hasn't just joined that conversation, it's leading it.

One of the first questions I'm asked when speaking with developers, planners and industry leaders in Sydney and Melbourne is, "How's the market in South East Queensland?"

The region has become, and continues to be, the envy of the southern states. Developers from across the country have shifted their attention north, attracted by strong population growth, robust demand fundamentals and a planning environment that is often viewed as more supportive of new housing supply. Just as importantly, many are drawn by the lifestyle that South East Queensland offers.

While many locals have been surprised by the pace of growth in recent years, there has long been a belief that Brisbane was undervalued relative to Australia's other major capitals. The transformation of lifestyle destinations such as Howard Smith Wharves and Queen's Wharf, coupled with Brisbane's proximity to the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast, has elevated the city's appeal and helped it realise the potential many believed was always there.

I recently caught up with several of the developers shaping Brisbane's next wave of apartment projects to understand what they're seeing on the ground, where demand is coming from, and how much further the city's property market can run.

<h2>Brook Monahan 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mosaic-property-group">Mosaic Property Group</a></h2>

The fundamental drivers of Brisbane's housing dynamics in 2026 are straightforward: a generational transfer of wealth on a scale Australia has never seen, and migration numbers that continue to exceed expectations.

An enormous amount of wealth will move through the next decade. That wave isn't going anywhere. Simultaneously, you can't run migration at the numbers we're seeing, while also having a generational shift of wealth from boomers, and not expect demand to remain strong.

People move here, they bring money, they want to buy a home and create a future.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134792 project_image_fid=328119]

While top-end product in some pockets has softened from the frenzy of 18 months ago, the wave will remain pretty strong, especially for developers with brand trust and a long-term track record.

The $4 million to $10 million segment remains fairly robust, but buyers are much more educated now than they've ever been. They have access to information and they're smart people. They're generally not willing to trust a new entrant asking $15 million with no track record.

This heightened consumer discernment is reshaping how developers evaluate premium projects.

<h2>Don O'Rorke 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/consolidated-properties">Consolidated Properties Group</a></h2>

Brisbane's property market is no longer defined by demand, but by delivery.

Strong population growth and the infrastructure pipeline linked to the 2032 Summer Olympics continue to drive long-term confidence, but the key question has shifted. No longer are we asking if enough demand exists, but how much new supply can realistically be delivered in time.

Construction times and costs are the defining constraints.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150713 project_image_fid=359987]

Costs remain high and are increasingly unpredictable. Recent geopolitical tensions have driven sharp increases in diesel, petrol and key building inputs such as cement and PVC, adding between 3 and 5 per cent to project costs. That can add as much as $125,000 to the entry price of a new three-bedroom luxury apartment.

At the same time, the industry is heading into a period of heightened competition for labour. As Olympic and infrastructure projects ramp up, the availability of skilled trades will tighten further, placing additional pressure on both cost and program.

In this environment, development becomes more selective. There is less margin for error, which is why the focus is shifting decisively toward premium sites and high-quality product.

Only projects with strong fundamentals, considered design and a genuine point of difference will justify the cost of delivery.

<h2>Dan Boman 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/fortis">Fortis</a></h2>

Whether Brisbane can sustain its significant dwelling growth remains the million-dollar question.

However, we are seeing considerable depth in the local market, particularly in premium suburbs. Local buyers in these areas are largely not price-sensitive. Many have built substantial wealth in their family homes, with much of that growth occurring over the past five years.

The scale of this appreciation has surprised even long-term homeowners, prompting many to think more strategically about their next move and, in some cases, to speed it up.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=371404]

&nbsp;

These buyers are increasingly informed, paying close attention to supply constraints across the state and recognising the limited opportunities likely to emerge in blue-chip suburbs in the coming years.

While they remain considered in their decision-making, their focus has shifted more towards quality, premium inclusions, fixtures, finishes, and amenities rather than price alone.

Given the constrained pipeline in the premium downsizer segment, there is little to suggest this end of the market will slow in the near term. We expect this momentum to continue throughout the year and well into 2027.

<h2>John Kearney 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/immerse-projects">Immerse Projects</a></h2>

Brisbane has been one of Australia's most consistent and resilient property markets for a long time, well before the Olympics-induced demand spike.

A key driver of that resilience is the city's economic foundation. Brisbane is home to a significant number of public sector roles, as well as the headquarters of major mining and resources companies. Regardless of broader market cycles, these employment bases remain relatively stable, supporting ongoing housing demand.

The global attention on the Olympics has also highlighted a gap in the market, particularly in the middle segment, broadly ranging from the $800,000s to the high $1 millions.

This product is rarely found in the inner city or on the outer fringe. Instead, it is best suited to what we describe as the urban fringe. This is where we see the greatest opportunity.

It caters to a segment of buyers seeking quality, well-located homes without the premium price tag of top-end product, and remains one of the most undersupplied parts of the Brisbane market.

<h2>Christie Leet 
<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a></h2>

The more well-trodden path for developers operating across both Brisbane and the Gold Coast has typically been for those based in the capital to expand south to the Coast. We've taken the opposite approach, recently expanding into the Brisbane market, and we're glad we did.

Similar to the Gold Coast, where we introduced Flourish, a brand focused on delivering more price-accessible apartments, we identified the same gap emerging in Brisbane.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7574 project_image_fid=351654]

There is strong demand for one-bedroom apartments under $1 million and two-bedroom apartments under $1.5 million, yet these options remain relatively scarce in a market increasingly dominated by larger, downsizer-oriented product priced well above $2 million.

A number of macro factors are shaping the development landscape, from both a construction and buyer perspective, including cost escalation and higher interest rates.

The entry-level market is being squeezed from both sides, which inevitably pushes up the prices required to deliver new apartments.

In our view, the strongest opportunities currently sit within this segment of the market, and we expect that to remain the case in the years ahead.

Where is the Brisbane market heading?

Australia Post is one of the country’s most trusted institutions, powering one of the largest delivery networks in Australia. As online shopping continues to scale, Australians spent a record $82.6 billion online in 2025, with nearly one in four retail dollars now spent online.

That scale of eCommerce activity has fundamentally changed expectations around how and when parcels arrive, and what happens when someone isn't home.

<h3>Problem solved with Parcel Lockers</h3>

The traditional alternatives to home delivery are far from ideal. Buildings can rely on reception teams to manage deliveries, which introduces ongoing staffing costs and liability concerns. Parcels can be left in common areas, which creates security and aesthetic issues. Or residents are redirected to nearby Post Offices for collection, which shifts the inconvenience rather than solving it.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/dVG5ChLHf7E?si=D9hQRGCBuzlSQBqK" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

The data behind that frustration is significant. Nationally, around 9 per cent of deliveries are carded, meaning the recipient was not home and must collect the parcel from a Post Office. That figure reflects the national average reported between November 2025 and January 2026. In Melbourne, that figure rises to 20 per cent. In high-density living, it climbs again to 28 per cent. In other words, more than one in four deliveries in Melbourne apartment buildings results in a failed first attempt.

<h3>How Parcel Lockers work</h3>

The mechanics are simple. When a parcel arrives, the resident receives a notification either through the Australia Post app or via SMS. They scan a QR code, use their one-time PIN and the compartment opens. The parcel is secure, accessible and removed from the lobby floor.

Located in thoughtfully chosen, easily accessible areas, including external building interfaces, mixed-use precincts or shared communal zones, Parcel Lockers enhance convenience without requiring internal building access or additional operational oversight.

<h3>The scale of the network</h3>

This expansion represents Australia Post's largest investment in parcel infrastructure to date, building on momentum that began in 2011 when the first 24 Parcel Locker sites were introduced.

Today the Australia Post Parcel Locker network spans over 1,400 locations and more than 105,000 individual compartments, with major investment already underway to significantly expand the network further.

<h3>What it means for developers and building operators</h3>

A Parcel Locker bank is free to install and free for residents to use. That removes one of the primary barriers to adoption and shifts the conversation from cost to integration.

Australia Post's preference is to engage with developers during the design phase. That allows Parcel Lockers to be located in a considered, publicly accessible space that works for residents and the broader community. Retrofit is possible, and existing buildings can be assessed, but the strongest results occur when Parcel Lockers are treated as part of the core services plan rather than a bolt-on solution.

While the iconic Australia Post red is widely recognised, Parcel Lockers can also be delivered in more muted palettes such as beige or green to align with architectural intent.

For developers, they offer a tech-forward amenity that meets modern expectations, a reduction in courier congestion and building-management load supporting lower emissions and better ESG outcomes, and a meaningful marketability advantage in high-density, eCommerce-active areas, all at no cost for installation and maintenance, with Australia Post funding the program aside from power access.

<h3>Who's using them</h3>

Generational shopping behaviours show strong, sustained growth across all cohorts. Millennials (27–43) led online spend in 2024, contributing nearly $25 billion. Baby Boomers (60–78) increased their online spend by 17.6 per cent, becoming the fastest-growing adopters. Gen Z (13–26) and Gen X (44–59) continue to lean on delivery services as part of their everyday shopping habits.

Internationally, uptake is even more pronounced. Overseas markets are seeing rapid adoption by both developers and consumers, positioning Parcel Lockers as standard infrastructure in many new residential projects. For Melbourne's development community, this signals a shift in baseline expectations. Just as secure bike storage and dedicated parcel rooms have become more common, integrated Parcel Locker networks may soon be viewed as part of the essential service mix.

<h3>The bigger picture</h3>

Parcel Lockers aren't just a logistics fix. Developers invest heavily in lobby design, materials, lighting and landscaping to shape first impressions. Yet a stack of unattended parcels can undo that effort in an instant. Embedding parcel infrastructure early allows projects to respond to how people actually live today, supporting resident satisfaction, reducing operational strain and aligning with broader community and ESG outcomes.

As Belinda Quinn, Senior Transaction Manager – Retail &amp; Out of Home at Australia Post, puts it, residents increasingly expect delivery solutions that align with real life, are flexible, secure and available whenever they need them.

How Australia Post is solving the parcel problem for apartment living

Moody's Analytics

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Australian real estate investment trusts (A-REITS) have good gearing buffers to withstand the looming property value declines, according to a recent report from Moody's Investors Service.
The predicted downturn is due to weak demand and slowing economic activity caused by the coronavirus pandemic.  
The report found that property values would need to fall significantly for A-REITs to breach gearing and covenant thresholds.
“We expect retail property values to decline in the next 12-18 months because of weak demand and economic activity resulting from coronavirus related disruptions,” saidsenior analyst Saranga Ranasinghe.
“Office property values will fall to a lesser degree, and continued demand will support industrial property values.”
The report futher found that average property values would need to fall 34% to breach the top end of the rated REITs' target gearing (debt/asset) ranges and fall 55% to breach their covenant thresholds.
The REITs came into the downturn with balance-sheet buffers to withstand an increase in gearing. 
According to the report retail A-REITs will experience the largest declines in property values.
“In response to coronavirus disruptions, Vicinity Centres (VCX, A2 negative), Shopping Centres Australasia Property Group (SCP, Baa1 stable) and Charter Hall Retail REIT (CQR, Baa1 stable) raised equity to strengthen their balance sheets,” added Ranasinghe.
CQR's gearing will approach covenant thresholds if property values fall more than 25%. Without debt reduction, Scentre Group's (SCG, A2 negative) gearing will breach its rating tolerance levels if property values fall more than 27%.
But SCG's gearing will remain well within its covenant thresholds.
Diversified A-REITs with retail property are also exposed to devaluations; office value declines are likely to be moderate.
Despite exposure to retail, the risk to diversified A-REITs is mitigated by exposure to industrial as well as office properties.
Stockland Group (SGP, A3 stable) has the largest exposure to retail. SGP has significant buffers within its covenants, but it will approach its rating threshold if its retail property values decline more than 30%.
We expect office property values will decline only moderately over the next 12-18 months and do not see material risks to gearing levels of other diversified A-REITs.
Industrial property values supported by e-commerce penetration and increasing focus on supply chains.
Unlike retail and office, we expect industrial property values will be flat to up slightly over the next 12-18 months.
The pandemic has accelerated e-commerce penetration in Australia and increased focus on supply chains.
The report concluded that Goodman Group (GMG, Baa1 stable), Goodman Australia Industrial Partnership (GAIP, Baa1 stable), and Charter Hall Prime Industrial Fund (CPIF, Baa1 stable) will benefit most.
</body></html>

j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Most Australian REITs can withstand property value declines: Moody’s Investors Service

<html><body>
Housing affordability will deteriorate throughout 2020, according to a report from Moody's Investors Service.
Housing affordability for new mortgage borrowers - measured as the proportion of household income borrowers need to meet repayments on new mortgages – improved on average in Australia over the year to September 2019.
I noted that mortgage interest rate cuts and housing price declines were responsible. 
However, affordability has deteriorated since July 2019 because of a housing price rebound, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne. 
The study predicts that housing affordability will deteriorate over 2020 as housing prices continue to increase. 
The risk of delinquencies and defaults in new mortgages will increase as affordability deteriorates, a credit negative for Australian residential mortgage-backed securities, Moody's said.
On average, Australian households with two income earners needed 24.6% of their monthly income to meet monthly mortgage repayments on new loans in September 2019, down from 26.7% in September 2018 but up from 24.2% in July 2019. 
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/11/4/price%20graph.png" alt="">
Australian housing prices decreased an average 1.6% over the year to September 2019, while average household income increased 2.5% and average mortgage interest rates declined by 0.4 percentage point after the Reserve Bank of Australia lowered the official cash rate in June and July 2019. 
The RBA cut the cash rate further in October, which is positive for affordability, however the study predicts that this will be outweighed by rising housing prices over 2020. 
Housing prices increased 1.7% in the two months to September. 
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Moody's Investors Service predicts that housing affordability will deteriorate in 2020

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South Australia’s housing market remains relatively stable, in part because of the avoidance of excessive runup in values that occurred on the eastern seaboard, according to the latest data from Moody's Analytics.
It found house values in Greater Adelaide rose 1.9% in 2018, supported by strong growth in West and North Adelaide, whereas the increase in unit values was more moderate at 0.7%.
There is some expected divergence in South Australia house values. While house values are expected to fall by 0.5% in Greater Adelaide, they are expected to accelerate in regional South Australia and grow by 1.2% in 2019.
The growth in unit values in Greater Adelaide, however, is likely to remain steady and values are expected to rise by 0.7% in 2019, Moody's Analytics forecast.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/10/28/SA%20Moodys.JPG" alt="">
Katrina Ell, Economist at Moody’s Analytics said: "In 2020, house values are predicted to rise by 1.4% in Greater Adelaide, supported by a strong pickup in house prices in North and South Adelaide.
"The weakness in house values in Central and West Adelaide, however, is likely to persist next year, with values projected to decline by 1.2% in both suburbs in 2020. In comparison, house values in regional South Australia are expected to record stronger growth of 2.7% in 2020, driven by a significant increase in home values in South Australia-Outback.
"In contrast, unit values in Greater Adelaide are expected to pick up modestly by 0.8% in 2020, because of weaker prices in West Adelaide, which are likely to fall further by 4.9% through 2020.
"House values are predicted to gain momentum in 2021 and increase by 5.1% and 3.9% in Greater Adelaide and regional South Australia, respectively.
"Unit values, however, are forecast to increase moderately by 1.1% in the Greater Adelaide region."
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Adelaide housing market to leap ahead of apartments in 2021: Moody's Analytics

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Sydney’s housing market has started to emerge from its correction, according to the latest data from Moody's Analytics.
They found, Sydney apartment values began expanding from June, while house values enjoyed gains from July and, in both cases, modest improvement is forecast to continue.
House values will fall an average of 8.4% in 2019, before a 7.7% expansion in 2020. This follows a 5.5% decline in 2018.
Moody’s Analytics identified previous episodes of corrections over the last three decades (see Chart 11). This shows that the recent correction has been the longest and steepest on record for the Sydney market.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/10/28/NSW%20Moodys%202.JPG" alt="">
The most recent peak in house and unit values was around mid-2017.
Although unit values have corrected, it has not been to the same extent as houses.
Unit values are on track to fall by an average of 5.9% in 2019 after a 3.1% drop in 2018. An improvement of 7.9% is expected in 2020, followed by an improvement of 8.4% by 2021.
Click <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/10/28/NSW%20Moodys.JPG" target="_blank">here</a> to enlarge.
<img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2019/10/28/NSW%20Moodys.JPG" alt="">
According to Moody's Analytics economist Katrina Ell, "house values in the City and Inner South area have passed their trough after a sharp decline through 2018."
"The Inner South West is on track to see a 12.9% fall in 2019, after a 5.3% fall in 2018. A 6% expansion is forecast for the Inner South West in 2020."
"The correction in Sydney is forecast to have largely passed by 2020, but home value growth will be far from the lofty gains of recent years. Housing values are forecast to rise by an average of 7.7% for houses and 7.9% for apartments."
"Areas outside metropolitan Sydney are mostly on track to escape the bulk of the correction."
"As potential homebuyers’ incomes have not kept pace with the Sydney housing market, demand has increased for areas outside of Sydney, where affordability is better."
"Areas including the Hunter Valley, excluding Newcastle, have become attractive destinations for those still tied to Sydney for employment but for whom purchasing property would stretch the household budget too far.
"These areas have adequate transport links back to Sydney for frequent commuting."
"House values in the Hunter Valley are forecast to fall by 2.1% in 2019 and rise by 3.6% in 2020, after increasing 6.6% in 2018."
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Sydney housing market emerging from correction: Moody's Analytics

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Brisbane apartment prices are expected to perform better than houses in the medium term, according to Moody's Analytics.
They forecast the Greater Brisbane area's apartment values to increase by 5.6% in 2020 after a 0.7% decline in 2019. 
Moody's said growth in Brisbane apartment market has been crimped by high supply in recent years.
Between 2013 and 2016 apartment approvals outnumbered housing approvals on an average three to one.
Recently approvals have been more aligned which is set to drive apartment prices. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/24/Brisbane%20Apartments%20Recovery%202.jpg" alt="">
The increase is forecast to be led by Ipswich and the Moreton Bay North areas which are expected to see prices increase over eight percent in 2020.
"Apartment prices are expected to perform better than house prices for Brisbane (and Greater Brisbane) in the medium term", Moody's advised.
"We forecast home values to underperform throughout the forecast period, while apartment values are expected to reach a trough in 2018-2019 followed by a pronounced recovery in 2020 
Moody's 2021 forecast for Brisbane apartments is similar to how they expect it to perform in 2020, however there are areas of concern in the inner city areas.
Ipswich and the Moreton Bay regions will remain strong, however Moody's believe there will be declines up to 5.4% for apartments in the inner city. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/24/Brisbane%20Apartments%20recovery.jpg" alt="">
 
 
 
 
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Brisbane’s apartment market forecast to rise 5.6% in 2020: Moody's Analytics

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The national housing market is forecast to trough in the third quarter of 2019, according to Moody's Analytics Second-Quarter 2019 Housing Forecast Report.
A gradual recovery in values has been predicted following the end of the downturn.
The May CoreLogic Hedonic Home Value Index results show the national housing market continuing its correction, led by Sydney and Melbourne.
House values across the country have declined almost 11% from their peak in mid-2017.
Moody's Analytics expect Sydney's housing market to lead the way in the recovery in 2020.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/24/Moodys%20Housing%20Correction%20Forecast.jpg" alt="">
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"The correction in Sydney is forecast to have largely passed by 2020, but home value growth will be far from the lofty gains of recent years," Moody's noted.
"Housing values are forecast to rise modestly in 2020, with an average increase of 3.1% forecast for houses and 4% for apartments."
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Moody's have predicted a 7.8% national housing value decline in 2019, with prices to recover in 2020, rising 2.2%. They see a 4.7% increase across the country in 2021. 
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/6/24/Moodys%20Housing%20Forecast.jpg" alt="">
"Support for the improvement is coming from the RBA cutting the cash rate, alongside expected improvement in credit availability from APRA proposing to ease serviceability requirements," Moody's said.
"A gradual improvement will be the path going forward, with softer macroeconomic conditions at home, including expectations of wage growth remaining subdued working to dampen a stronger recovery."
Moody's forecast improvement in Melbourne's housing market too in 2020, with the inner east and north east leading the recovery.
The housing market around the Brisbane area is likely to see either flat or mildly positive returns in the coming years.
There will be areas with a correction in 2019 according to Moody's with a particular weakness in South Brisbane.
Perth is expected to be hit hard over 2019, with house values likely to decline nearly seven percent. Moody's believe there will be a small recovery in 2020 as the local economy improves thanks to population growth.
Adelaide’s housing market will continue its stable run, with house values forecast to rise 0.4% in 2019 after a 1.9% gain in 2018.
Moody's suggest Hobart's booming housing market bull run is likely at the end. House values are forecast to rise 2.8% in 2019, followed by modest corrections in 2020 and 2021. 
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