<p>Brunswick is set for some of its largest apartments ever delivered with the upcoming new development Frith &amp; Howarth, where the apartments are around 20 per cent larger than what has come before it in the sought-after suburb.</p>

<p>Developer Young Group focused its design on Frith &amp; Howarth around size and scale, but within a boutique building, to create a mini neighbourhood within the mid-rise development. There are just 24 apartments in the mid-rise building on Victoria Street, a short walk to Brunswick Station and the cafe and dining strip along Sydney Road.</p>

<p>“We spent hours comparing what’s currently on the market so we could offer genuine points of difference,” Young Group says, pointing to room sizing, storage, and functional planning as key drivers behind the design.</p>

<p>All of the two-bedroom apartments in the building have been snapped up, with just the large three- and four-bedroom apartments, with the biggest floorplans and best outlooks, remaining.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134317 project_image_fid=354139]</p>

<p>Apartments open directly into open-plan living zones where full-height glazing draws light deep into the apartment. Sliding doors extend the space outward to terraces, many oriented toward the adjacent park or back toward the city skyline.</p>

<p>Kitchens sit within this central space, anchored by sculptural island benches that reference the building’s faceted exterior language. Storage is integrated across multiple layers, overhead cabinetry, concealed joinery, and, in larger configurations, dedicated sculleries or butler’s pantries.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134317 project_image_fid=354137]</p>

<p>The penthouse is the largest ever offered in Brunswick. The penthouse measures nearly 400 sqm all-up, with 242 sqm of internal space complimented by a further 149 sqm of terraces.</p>

<p>It spans the whole top floor and has four bedrooms, four bathrooms, and parking for four cars.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134317 project_image_fid=354133]</p>

<p>Low maintenance resident amenity has been created in the form of a landscaped rooftop, complete with&nbsp;vegetable plots, outdoor cooking areas, and aflresco dining spaces, designed as a place for neighbours to gather outside of their homes.</p>

<p>“To enable connection with neighbours, generous rooftop gardens with communal spaces and outdoor cooking areas offer a chance to develop a sense of community,” says John Patrick, Principal of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/john-patrick-landscape-architects">John Patrick Landscape Architects</a>.&nbsp;</p>

<p>“Private open spaces with a selection of native and exotic plantings and gorgeous city views on the rooftop create a high-end aesthetic, with a low maintenance lifestyle. The perfect balance, so that residents can enjoy a serene living space.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=134317 project_image_fid=354134]</p>

<p>Sustainability is embedded at both the building and apartment level. <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/frith-howarth-288-290-victoria-street-brunswick-vic-3056">Frith &amp; Howarth</a> is one of only a small number of all-electric residential developments in Brunswick, supported by solar infrastructure, EV-ready parking, and high-performance glazing. These measures sit alongside less visible systems such as rainwater reuse and high-grade insulation, reducing long-term operational costs while maintaining consistent internal conditions.</p>

<p>Positioned within walking distance of Brunswick Station, Route 96 trams, and established retail along Sydney Road and Barkly Square, the development balances access to transport with proximity to open space, a combination that has become increasingly difficult to secure in inner-city sites.</p>

<p>“These exquisite homes are nestled in a culturally diverse neighbourhood, with parklands and nature right on your doorstep,” says Young Group.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134317]</p>


Joel Robinson

Frith & Howarth to deliver Brunswick’s largest apartments

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/prince-parade-by-mirvac-brunswick-701-park-street-brunswick-vic-3056">Prince &amp; Parade</a> in Brunswick is entering its final stages of construction, with the removal of the project’s last tower crane and the unveiling of the building’s full façade marking a significant milestone ahead of completion this coming spring.</p>

<p>The Park Street development, designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bates-smart">Bates Smart</a>&nbsp;and Mirvac Design with landscaping by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/jack-merlo">Jack Merlo</a>, is now largely structurally complete, with internal works progressing across the 169-apartment project opposite Princes Park.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/mirvac-construction">Mirvac Construction</a> Project Manager Sam Payne said the latest update reflects a transition from structure to refinement.</p>

<p>“Since our last update, all façade panels have been installed and the scaffolding and gantry has come down, unveiling the building in its full form for the very first time,” Payne said.</p>

<p>“A significant milestone was reached this month with the removal of our final tower crane, signalling the completion of major structural works and a pivotal step forward in the building’s transformation.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4802 project_image_fid=366856]</p>

<p>Apartments are now well advanced internally, with joinery completed to level eight and tiling to level six, alongside the delivery of a prototype apartment used to set the benchmark for the remaining residences.</p>

<p>This next phase coincides with the release of a completed furnished residence, styled by MCM House, and the introduction of private buyer tours, giving purchasers a clearer understanding of the finished product ahead of settlement.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/prince-parade-by-mirvac-brunswick-701-park-street-brunswick-vic-3056">Prince &amp; Parade</a> will comprise 169 one to four-bedroom apartments, with completion targeted for early spring. Interiors focus on natural materials and muted tones with two design schemes, while kitchens and bathrooms adopt a restrained palette anchored by stone, timber and textured finishes.</p>

<p>Bates Smart Director Jeffery Copolov said the project reflects a shared design direction centred on liveability and sustainability.</p>

<p>“Blending Mirvac and Bates Smart’s focus on wellness and sustainability, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/prince-parade-by-mirvac-brunswick-701-park-street-brunswick-vic-3056">Prince &amp; Parade</a> offers a new kind of conscious, elevated living in Melbourne’s inner north,” Copolov said.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.urban.com.au/new-apartments/prince-parade-by-mirvac-brunswick-701-park-street-brunswick-vic-3056">Prince &amp; Parade</a> presents Mirvac's third parkside collaboration with&nbsp;<a href="https://www.urban.com.au/architects/bates-smart">Bates Smart</a>&nbsp;in Victoria.&nbsp;Their previous collaborations delivered two of the city’s landmark apartment buildings: The Melburnian opposite Kings Domain and The Eastbourne on Fitzroy Gardens.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=4802 project_image_fid=366857]</p>

<p>A key focus of the development is its landscape-led amenity offering. The central courtyard, spanning around 600 sqm, will feature established trees and planting grown off-site, alongside communal lawns and seating areas designed for everyday use.</p>

<p>Development Manager James Gardner said the outdoor spaces are central to the project’s lifestyle positioning.</p>

<p>“<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/prince-parade-by-mirvac-brunswick-701-park-street-brunswick-vic-3056">Prince &amp; Parade</a> isn’t just a home, it’s a complete lifestyle offering, and the resident amenity is just one example of the elevated living experience the soon-to-be-complete building will be known for,” Gardner said.</p>

<p>The courtyard connects to a series of shared indoor and outdoor spaces, including a residents’ lounge, dining room, library and secondary west-facing garden area, designed as extensions of the apartments themselves.</p>

<p>Located directly opposite Princes Park and around four kilometres from the CBD, the development places residents within one of Melbourne’s most established inner-north precincts, with access to open space, transport and the retail and hospitality offerings of Brunswick and Carlton.</p>

<p>With façade works complete and landscaping and final finishes now underway, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/prince-parade-by-mirvac-brunswick-701-park-street-brunswick-vic-3056">Prince &amp; Parade</a> is moving into its most active construction phase, with permanent services and external works to be finalised in the coming months ahead of completion in spring.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4802]</p>


Mirvac’s latest landmark, Prince & Parade Brunswick, enters final construction phase

<p>Boutique Perth developer ADC has unveiled its latest project.</p>

<p>The developer, which focuses on bringing apartments to some of Perth's most premium inner-city and riverside suburbs, has launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/mos-lane-mosman-park-46-manning-street-mosman-park-wa-6012">Mos Lane</a>, 68 luxury apartments and townhouses in the heart of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mosman-park-wa-6012">Mosman Park</a>.</p>

<section data-scroll-anchor="true" data-testid="conversation-turn-124" data-turn="assistant" data-turn-id="request-69e027bc-1530-839b-a316-e9dad2cbd4d9-34" dir="auto">
<p data-end="496" data-start="78">Alongside the one-, two-, three- and four-bedroom apartments, the development will also include five two-level townhomes and two luxe penthouses. ADC is also introducing a significant retail offering for residents through Mos Lane Village, which will feature a wellness studio, fish and chips shop, barber, and florist, adding a layer of amenity not typically found in the predominantly residential Mosman Park area.</p>

<p data-end="876" data-is-last-node="" data-is-only-node="" data-start="498">Construction has already commenced on the project, which sits just a short walk from the Swan River, Mosman Park Bowls Club, and Mosman Park Golf Course.</p>

<p data-end="876" data-is-last-node="" data-is-only-node="" data-start="498">House Agency Directors Tom House and Lachlan McDonald say they are fielding the majority of buyer interest from local downsizers, as well as buyers with a long-standing affinity for Mosman Park.</p>
</section>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364591]</p>

<p>Mos Lane will comprise two buildings; Samson House and Manning House, which have been designed by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/nelson-koo">Nelson + Koo</a>, an emerging design consultancy specialising in the masterplanning and design of mixed use places and spaces.</p>

<p>The two buildings adopt distinct architectural responses to their surroundings. Manning House references the strong roof forms of nearby homes, with floorplates oriented to maximise light and long-range views, while Samson House is organised around a central atrium designed to bring daylight deep into the building and create a greater sense of openness.</p>

<p>At ground level, the inclusion of five townhomes introduces a typology more commonly associated with Mosman Park’s established streets, each with private courtyards and direct frontage, offering a transition between traditional housing and apartment living.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364103]</p>

<p>Interiors have been led by Melbourne-based Hecker Guthrie, with an emphasis on practical, long-term liveability. Residences incorporate sculpted joinery, generous storage and flexible multi-purpose rooms that can adapt to changing household needs, whether for working from home, guest accommodation or additional living space.</p>

<p>Material selections draw on a restrained palette of textured stone, timber and neutral tones, with options for lighter or darker schemes. Detailing such as fluted glass, full-height joinery and integrated appliances is intended to balance functionality with a more refined residential finish.</p>

<p>Outdoor spaces are a consistent feature across the development, with balconies and terraces designed for dining and entertaining, and larger apartments incorporating outdoor kitchens. Orientation has been considered to allow residents to choose between morning or afternoon sun, while mature street trees and landscaped communal areas contribute to a softer streetscape.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364107]</p>

<p>Shared amenities are positioned to support both day-to-day convenience and occasional use. These include a private dining room with a caterer’s kitchen, alfresco entertaining areas, and a bookable guest suite for visiting friends and family. Additional practical features such as a resident workshop, storage facilities, car and pet wash areas, and concierge-style services for cleaning and dry-cleaning collection reflect a focus on usability.</p>

<p>Positioned between the Swan River and Cottesloe Beach, and within reach of schools such as Iona Presentation College and St Hilda’s Anglican School, the development is aimed at a broad buyer group, from downsizers seeking a lower-maintenance alternative to larger homes, through to local residents looking to remain in the area in a different housing format.</p>

<p>Mos Lane represents one of the more significant additions to Mosman Park’s limited pipeline, combining new housing supply with a village-style retail centre in a suburb where opportunities for large-scale redevelopment are relatively constrained.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=148957]</p>


Living village precinct set for Mosman Park as ADC launches Mos Lane

<p>An entity linked to I&amp;D Group Founder Ivan Filipović has filed plans for a new residential development at 188–202 Swan Street in Cremorne, targeting a prominent site within the tightly held Swan Street activity corridor.</p>

<p>The proposal seeks to redevelop the consolidated Swan Street landholding into a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/188-202-swan-street-cremorne-vic-3121">high-density mixed-use project</a>, replacing a series of existing commercial buildings with a significantly scaled residential outcome. The planning submission positions the development as a response to increasing demand for housing in well-connected inner-urban locations, particularly within established activity centres.</p>

<p>Plans outline the construction of a 14-storey building delivering 165 apartments above a four-level basement, alongside a ground-floor retail and commercial offering designed to activate the streetscape. A key feature of the scheme is a new north–south pedestrian link connecting Swan Street to Railway Place, intended to “enhance permeability and provide an active, publicly accessible connection through the site.”</p>

<p><img alt="First Look: Plans lodged for Ivan Filipović-linked Cremorne apartment project on Swan Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7332a8f8-dd2b-483d-b86e-320658838c84" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/cremorne.png?VersionId=cXm8vAaRdHh.LpYVbecrRkjckgu9mtAF" /></p>

<p>The development will retain part of the existing built form at 198–200 Swan Street, while the remainder of the site will be cleared to accommodate the new structure. Basement levels will provide 196 car spaces and 113 bicycle spaces, with vehicle access from Railway Place. Communal amenity is distributed across the building, including a shared outdoor area on Level 1 and a rooftop terrace for residents.</p>

<p>Ground level uses include retail tenancies fronting Swan Street and the pedestrian link, a residential lobby, and a flexible commercial space positioned to support community-oriented uses. The planning report notes this space “could be offered as a flexible space within the development for community groups,” supporting short-term or longer-term occupancy arrangements.</p>

<p><img alt="First Look: Plans lodged for Ivan Filipović-linked Cremorne apartment project on Swan Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8208bf7b-cc67-485d-ad0f-1d73a74c907f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/cremorne%20lane.png?VersionId=69ctjC0txXv0zCHy7qQUpJyGwvPAT7gw" /></p>

<p>The site sits within the Swan Street Major Activity Centre, surrounded by a mix of retail, hospitality, and emerging residential development, and directly opposite tram services along Swan Street. East Richmond Station is located to the south, providing strong rail connectivity, while the broader Cremorne precinct continues to evolve as a mixed-use hub.</p>

<p>I&amp;D Group, founded by Ivan Filipović, is regarded as one of Victoria’s largest formwork contractors, partnering with major construction firms across large-scale public and private developments. The Swan Street proposal signals a move into development-backed opportunities tied to strategic inner-city sites.</p>


First Look: Plans lodged for Cremorne apartment project on Swan Street

<p>An ultra-luxury absolute beachfront tower on the Gold Coast’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/main-beach-qld-4217">Main Beach</a> has officially hit the market, having secured over $150 million in presales.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/le-r-ve-main-beach-3555-main-beach-parade-main-beach-qld-4217">Le Rêve</a>, delivered by developer-builder <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/odus">ODUS</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/nazero">Nazero</a> in partnership with Metrics Credit Partners, comprises 40 opulent half and full-floor residences, perched directly on the dunes, starting from $7.45 million.</p>

<p>Pre-launch sales have achieved an average price tag of $8 million, highlighting strong demand from top-end buyers.</p>

<p>The 26-storey project at 3555 Main Beach Parade has development approval and is under construction, with completion anticipated by early 2028.</p>

<p>Occupying a 1,355 sqm site, Le Rêve enjoys double the beach frontage of most Main Beach towers, an incredible 30-metres, with generous 4.5-metre setbacks.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112163 project_image_fid=357556]</p>

<p>ODUS director Byron Sakha said it offered a rare opportunity for wide, uninterrupted views that could never be built out, on one of the world’s most beautiful beaches.</p>

<p>“Le Rêve is French for ‘the dream’ and that’s what this location represents. We believe it is the best new development site anywhere on the Gold Coast; a dream site,” said Sakha.</p>

<p>“The apartments are located directly on the beachfront, with no roads or paths between, providing panoramic ocean views and direct access to the sand, and because it is elevated above the dunes, it also offers unrivalled privacy.</p>

<p>“We’ve worked with architect Bayden Goddard of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bgd-architects">BGD Architects</a> to enhance the original design, with a distinctive, elegant glass façade, world-class amenities, and the addition of eight residences. Le Rêve’s 30-metres of absolute beach frontage affords a view from virtually every room, and has allowed us to provide a grand 25-metre residents’ beachfront pool and private lawn.</p>

<p>“Buyers have recognised these opportunities are few and far between and have been quick to secure their place in Le Rêve.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112163 project_image_fid=357570]</p>

<p>The apartments start from nearly 300 sqm and range in size up to 900 sqm, with three or four bedrooms and multiple living spaces.</p>

<p>“The emphasis is on the view, with full-floor glazing, sleek glass balustrades and wrap-around balconies that are close to 4-metres wide, blurring the lines between inside and out, and inviting cooling ocean breezes,” Sakha added.</p>

<p>“The interiors epitomise understated luxury with natural materials, textures and tones including Taj Mahal stone, oak flooring, recessed LED lighting and high ceilings. Outside, its beautiful arched façade with glass balconies and double-storey curved podium will be complemented by lush, cascading landscaping that enhances Main Beach’s streetscape.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112163 project_image_fid=357567]</p>

<p>OTP Group Director James Elliott, who is selling&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/le-r-ve-main-beach-3555-main-beach-parade-main-beach-qld-4217">Le Rêve</a>, said buyers were from the Gold Coast, Brisbane, Sydney and Melbourne, and predominately moving from luxury stand-alone homes or purchasing as a holiday home.</p>

<p>“We are anticipating sales will continue to ramp up now we’re officially on the market and design enhancements have been finalised,” Elliott said.</p>

<p>“Le Rêve offers house-sized residences that take luxury living to the next level, in an unrivalled location, with exceptional onsite resident amenities.</p>

<p>“The facilities are some of the most unique on the Gold Coast, if not Australia-wide, with a huge beachfront pool and wellness amenities including a cold plunge pool, spa, sauna, steam room, gym and yoga studio, along with a teppanyaki kitchen, and private residents’ lounge."</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>The Le Rêve development site was secured for $55.68 million in mid-2025.</p>

<p>ODUS and Nazero are also developing the adjacent 29-level La Mer tower in partnership with Metrics Credit Partners, which is earmarked for completion in late 2026. A fully completed prototype apartment is now available for private inspection.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112163]</p>


Le Rêve Main Beach launches with $152 million in presales

Investor Demand

<html><body>
<div>There's a theory that hosing down investor demand should have no impact on rents.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>That's because <em>in theory</em> for every property that isn't bought by an investor, an owner-occupier buys instead, and thus  the balance of supply and demand for rental properties remains unchanged. <br><br>In the real world capital city property markets don't work like that. In reality, many are renters either by choice or by circumstance, such as new graduates, transient employees, international or interstate visitors, and other folk who prefer taking a rental close to the city to ownership in the outer suburbs. Many others simply don't have an available deposit saved, so buying is not an option for them. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>As such rental growth is to a large extent determined by the growth in demand for rentals - underpinned over time by population growth - and by the relative activity of investors. For example, rents in Australian capital cities (and especially Sydney) boomed in 1986 and again in 2008 both of which were periods when investor buying had crashed in half.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>For this reason it will be interesting to see what impact APRA's crackdown has on apartment rents in Sydney.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>I've rented out several properties in Sydney in recent months, all of them for more than last year. However, the properties in question are in high demand areas such as on the Sydney harbourside, and as such are not likely to be very representative of what is happening in construction pockets like, say, Parramatta or Green Square. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Domain reported last week that as at March 2016 Sydney apartment rents were up by +4.0 per cent of 2016 from one year ago to a record median high of $520/week, with apartment rents now nearly as high as median house rents of $530/week in the harbour city. CoreLogic-RP Data has Sydney apartment rents +3.4 per cent higher than one year ago, and SQM Research records an increase of +5.7 per cent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>To date this may in part simply be due to newer stock coming online, which typically is advertised for rent at higher prices than the older stock it often replaces. And we shouldn't be expecting runaway growth in rents any time soon, since investor activity is still at a historically high level, even after APRA's dampening of the buy-to-let sector.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>While it's still early days, this trend is certainly one to watch. Markets are quite complex beasts when you drill into the detail, with endless subtle balances and counter-balances, and in an expensive capital city such as Sydney with a growing population rental growth is likely to continue to have an inverse relationship to investor activity. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Another trend that is worth watching I looked at here, and that is that inner Sydney vacancy rates have tightened while vacancy rates in secondary and outers areas of Sydney are rising.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>A question for today, then: could it be that foreign buyers of apartments are leaving their inner city units vacant?</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">FIRB data curve ball</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>In the 1980s Japanese buyers famously  bought heavily into Gold Coast property, but then promptly withdrew funds as the economic outlook soured. As I mused in some detail here, the FIRB data shows that through this cycle there has been an unprecedented surge in Chinese investment in Australian real estate, on a scale never before seen.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/FIRB4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>If you've been following some of my pieces over the years, you'll know that I aim to identify new trends well before you read about them in the wider media, which of course sometimes means being wrong. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>On the topic of localised apartment oversupply, such as in Sydney's inner south, for example, I was yapping on about this emerging risk way back in 2013, long before it ever became a standard media topic <em>du jour</em>.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In that spirit, here's a possible anti-counter-contrarian view for you: maybe the high-rise building approvals boom won't prove to be such a big a deal after all? There are plenty of risk areas around, for sure, including some already alluded to above, but here are some lines of reasoning to consider:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>-<a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com.au/2016/04/immigration-alley-oop" target="_blank">i</a>mmigration is rising again - and therefore so is population growth - while the construction boom will soon pass its peak</div>
<div> </div>
<div>-in the most populous capital cities at least, annual population growth never really slowed down anyway: it's still tracking at monumentally strong levels in Greater Sydney (+83,300 in FY2015) and Melbourne (+91,600)</div>
<div> </div>
<div>-the numbers of international students forecast to immigrate into the largest cities is vast - I mean, really vast </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A5.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>-although the take-up of permanent residency by international students to date has not yet been as strong as had been suggested by earlier forecasts, the cumulative intake over the next five years is expected to be truly enormous.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A6.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>-the most timely available indicators of education arrivals suggest an unprecedented boom is well underway, with another new record high hit in the month of February.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>-with about 58 per cent of new construction approvals accounted for by foreign  buyers, especially driven by buyers from the Chinese mainland, many may choose not to rent their apartments out, and as such, might not add to the new supply of rental stock at all.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Absorption?</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Mostly these are familiar points. Certainly both Sydney (35,231) and Melbourne (32,614) have approved a historically high number of attached dwellings over the past year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/BA3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/BA3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, some of these apartments are destined to forever remain in the "approved but not yet commenced" column, approvals are now trending down again, and in the grand scheme of things although there are certainly many cranes on the horizon, these are not outlandish numbers for cities of such a large and expanding population (Greater Sydney will blaze past 5 million in the next few months).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Moreover, the latest FIRB data show that the Chinese appetite for the purchase of new dwellings through this cycle is statistically unique. What if those Chinese buyers opt to rent out the apartments only on a short-stay basis? Or save them for their soon-to-be international student offspring? Or, most likely, simply never bother to ever bring them to market at all?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Suddenly Australia's apparent inner city apartment glut, represented by the green line below, could prove to be yet another doomsday scenario that never eventuates.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/04/11/BA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/04/11/BA1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>This is mostly conjecture, and it's not necessarily a base case, or even probable. And there are plenty of risks for the new and high-rise apartment markets in particular, as we have known now for some years.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Settlement risks are now considerably higher than they were, with increased deposit requirements. And what if there are legislative changes in China which force sales and repatriation of funds? This may not seem rational or realistic, but then again nobody forecast the scale of the Chinese investment boom in the first place, so who really knows what comes next?</div>
<div> </div>
<div>In my opinion, most mainland Chinese investors deliberately invest in Australian and other overseas property markets with no intention of repatriating funds. In many cases, the financial return may not be the only objective, or even the primary objective.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Keep a close eye on asking rents and vacancy rates. If the inner city markets do begin to tighten contrary to expectations, then this may be an indicator that mainland Chinese buyers are electing not to bring their shiny new apartments to the rental market, at the same time as domestic investor activity is being throttled. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>An interesting week of news ahead, commencing this morning with the Housing Finance data for February.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>January had been a weaker month for housing loan approvals, but then January is never a big month for activity, so the February figures will give us a much clearer picture of likely activity levels of 2016.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The market consensus forecast is for a moderate rebound in the number of approvals in the month, which broadly fits with what I've been seeing and hearing, that being a steady increase in home loan activity in aggregate. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>On Thursday, the ABS will release the latest March Labour Force figures, which will be the most important data of the week. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Last month the reported seasonally adjusted unemployment rate declined to 5.8 percent, but there is a fair chance that this volatile monthly reading could revert higher, with analysts expecting a bit of a rebound in both employment and the participation rate (following last month's surprise drop from 65.14 percent to 64.9 percent).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
</div>
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Sydney unit rents rise to record high? Pete Wargent

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<p>The latest private sector credit data from the Reserve Bank (RBA) confirms that the sagging demand for credit by investors continued in July 2018. Over the month, total housing credit was recorded at $1.78 trillion and increased by 0.4% to be 5.5% higher over the past year. The $1.78 trillion in outstanding credit for housing was split between $1.183 trillion for owner occupiers, accounting for two thirds of outstanding housing credit, and $593.0 billion to investors which accounted for one third of outstanding housing credit, its lowest share since November 2012.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/2018-09/20180903_monthly_change_in_housing_credit.jpeg" alt="CoreLogic Monthly Change in Housing Credit" width="2058" height="684"></p>
<p>The 0.4% increase in credit in July 2018 was actually an acceleration from the monthly rate of growth in both May and June. Looking at the split between owner occupiers and investors: owner occupier credit expanded by 0.5% over the month while investor credit grew by 0.1%. The 0.5% monthly increase in owner occupier credit was the slowest rate of growth since June 2015 while the 0.1% monthly increase in investor credit was the strongest growth since March 2018.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/2018-09/20180903_annual_change_in_housing_credit.jpeg" alt="CoreLogic Annual Change in Housing Credit " width="2100" height="690"></p>
<p>Of course monthly data can be somewhat volatile and the annual data indicates more clearly the emerging trends in growth of housing credit. The 5.5% in housing credit over the past year was the slowest rate of growth since December 2013. Owner occupier housing credit increased by 7.6% over the past year which is its slowest annual rate of growth since August 2017.Investor housing credit has expanded by 1.5% over the past 12 months which is its slowest annual rate of growth on record (based on data available from January 1991).  </p>
<p>While the monthly data shows a bit of an uplift in housing credit growth, due to an increase in credit to investors, the annual data shows that housing credit expansion is continuing to slow which is a trend that is expected to continue over the coming. As credit availability has been tightened, investor demand has felt the brunt of tighter credit which has contributed to the slowing in credit growth. More recently, smaller lenders and Westpac have increased mortgage rates to owner occupiers which is likely to contribute to a further slowing in owner occupier credit growth and subsequently total credit growth given that owner occupiers account for two thirds of outstanding credit.</p>
<p>With an expectation that housing credit expansion will continue to slow this is likely to contribute to further declines in national dwelling values over the coming months.  The prospects for any reversal of fortunes in the national housing market over the short to medium term, at this point, appear fairly slim.</p>
<p><em>Cameron Kusher is a research analyst for CoreLogic</em></p>
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Investor credit rises over the month but trending lower on an annual basis: Cameron Kusher

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<p><img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/57114/count.gif" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1"></p>
<p><span>GUEST OBSERVER</span></p>
<p><span>Average house rents in metropolitan Melbourne have increased by 5.3 percent, with apartment rents growing by 2.8 percent, over the last three months.</span></p>
<p><span>A lack of affordable rental properties is a problem in Sydney too. This has fuelled speculation of a housing bubble, particularly in the wake of falling investor demand for new high-priced CBD apartments in these capital cities and others.</span></p>
<p><span>But beyond the headlines lies a difficult policy task for all three levels of government, in conjunction with the private sector and civil society. They need not only to create more affordable housing, but to keep it affordable in the long run.</span></p>
<p><span>Recent discussions with private developers and investors suggest there is growing willingness to collectively tackle the problem. However, some common misapprehensions remain about who needs affordable housing and how those needs might be met.</span></p>
<p><span>Looking beyond the stereotypes</span></p>
<p><span>There continues to be two quite different stereotypes about the people who need affordable housing:</span></p>
<ul>
<li><span>First, there is the older single man with mental health and/or addiction issues, who may need therapeutic assistance and housing.</span></li>
<li><span>Second, there is the “key worker” individual or couple – young, working in education, medicine or emergency services – who just simply need “more supply”.</span></li>
</ul>
<p><span>The reality is that there are many different kinds of households requiring affordable housing. Many different mechanisms will need to come into play to meet their needs.</span></p>
<p><span>Penny the pensioner is living in poverty, like one in three older women. She spent many years bringing up two children full-time and did not accumulate retirement savings or assets. As a very-low-income person, she receives Commonwealth Rent Assistance. However, she is among the 35,000 Victorians on the waiting list for public housing.</span></p>
<p><span>Penny can no longer afford to live in or near Port Melbourne, her home for her entire life. This is because there are simply no rental apartments available there for A$165 per week, which is what she could afford.</span></p>
<p><span>Penny wonders if Australia’s largest urban redevelopment project next to Port Melbourne, Fishermans Bend, could have an apartment for her sometime soon. But with no new Commonwealth affordable housing program in place, no inclusionary zoning or financial incentives at the state level, and rate capping at the local government level reducing capacity to invest in affordable housing, at most 1.3% of the total 40,000 projected housing units will be available to middle-income households – let alone low-income people like her.</span></p>
<p><span>Even if new units were developed in Fishermans Bend, a 50m² apartment would cost about $300,000 to build, given land, construction and financing costs. Rates, water, maintenance and management would cost about $9,000 a year per unit to deliver.</span></p>
<p><span>These costs could not be recovered fully through Penny’s rent, even if construction was completely subsidised. There would need to be a combination of lower-cost land, subsidised construction, guaranteed finance, rate relief and ongoing subsidy to make her living unit viable for the private sector to deliver and a community housing provider to own and manage.</span></p>
<p><span>Naresh is a nurse. He would be classified as a moderate-income earner. He lives with his wife Nadira. They recently had a child; Nadira is a full-time parent.</span></p>
<p><span>Because he is a shift worker, Naresh’s public transport options are not reliable. He would prefer to live within walking or cycling distance of his workplace, even in a smaller unit, as he does not own a car.</span></p>
<p><span>Naresh can afford to pay 30% of his $60,000 annual gross income on rent, which works out to $340 per week. This is still below the average rent in Melbourne for a 70m² two-bedroom unit.</span></p>
<p><span>A few two-bedroom apartments are available for that price – about an hour’s public transport ride away from his job. However, he works in a well-serviced but conservative inner suburb, where new apartments aren’t being constructed and existing flats are rented by much-higher-income households.</span></p>
<p><span>Naresh would have to add the cost of buying and maintaining a car to his rental cost and a long commute to an already difficult work-life balance. This is hardly affordable or family-friendly living.</span></p>
<p><span>Even if new apartments were being constructed where they are most needed, it would cost at least $400,000 to build and require about 50% construction subsidy for a community housing provider to be able to rent to Naresh and Nadira. The alternative would be short-term renting in the private market with the likelihood of having to relocate every year or two.</span></p>
<p><span>Signs of progress</span></p>
<p><span>Across Australia, there was a shortage of 122,000 affordable and available dwellings nationwide in 2011. This was a 40 percent increase from 87,000 in 2006. The problem has worsened since the last census in 2011.</span></p>
<p><span>There are some signs of progress across Australia. After a cross-party Senate inquiry into affordable housing in 2015, the Affordable Housing Working Group is looking at “innovative financial models” to scale up production.</span></p>
<p><span>Several states are taking concrete actions. Western Australia was the first cab off the rank and had attained its ten-year targets by 2015. New South Wales has established the Social and Affordable Housing Fund. Queensland’s Affordable Housing Strategy is at the discussion stage.</span></p>
<p><span>In Victoria, the previous Coalition government’s strategic plan for metropolitan Melbourne is being “refreshed”, including a greater emphasis on housing need. In advance of a promised affordable housing strategy, the current Labor government recently announced a $150 million “housing blitz” for women and child survivors of family violence.</span></p>
<p><span>Several local governments in Melbourne have also led the way in donating land to affordable housing, particularly the City of Port Phillip.</span></p>
<p><span>The trick is going to be combining various actions by Commonwealth, state and local government to support private developers and community housing providers in not only developing new housing, but keeping it affordable for hundreds of thousands of Australians.</span></p>
<p> </p>
<p><em style="line-height: 1.3em;"><span class="fn author-name">Carolyn Whitzman is p</span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">rofessor of Urban Planning, University of Melbourne and author for The Conversation. She can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/carolyn-whitzman-9944" target="_blank">here</a>.</span></em></p>
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Where do record rental prices leave low-income earners?

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<p>There has been an influx of investor-purchased residential units flooding the rental market in the northern areas of Sydney, particularly around the Ryde LGA, according to valuation firm Herron Todd White.</p>
<p>The HTW November report goes on to suggest that property managers have advised that prospective tenants have become more discerning in their choices, are negotiating asking rents down and are looking for units with additional features such as views, common property facilities and unit orientation.</p>
<p>"It is anticipated that it will take a longer than normal time for these units to be leased.</p>
<p>"Owners of these units will need to be competitive in their pricing in order to secure tenants.</p>
<p>"This will have a flow on effect to established units in the area with rental levels being adjusted down in the short term.</p>
<p>"Currently the median unit price for Meadowbank is $643,000 with -1% growth in the 12 months as per APM with a median rental of $420 per week as per CoreLogic RP Data.</p>
<p>"This results in a gross yield of 3%."</p>
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