<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/broadbeach-qld-4218">Broadbeach</a> offers plenty of reasons to live vertically, but moving from a substantial family home into an apartment can expose the compromises of high-density living. Privacy, room for guests and usable living space tend to matter more when an apartment is intended as a permanent home rather than an occasional coastal base.

A typical residential floor at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-eveleigh-broadbeach-7-9-surf-parade-broadbeach-qld-4218">The Eveleigh</a>, on Surf Parade,&nbsp;contains just four apartments. The 94-residence development by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/hirsch-faigen">Hirsch &amp; Faigen</a> is predominantly made up of expansive three-bedroom homes, with a limited collection of half-floor penthouses above.

Across the apartment floors, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a> has used the relatively limited number of residences to give each home greater access to natural light and outlook. Living spaces extend towards full-height glazing, while a series of bay windows frame selected views across the Pacific Ocean, city and hinterland rather than treating the building edge as a continuous wall of glass.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360965]

“The apartment floors deliver a collection of homes that embrace controlled outlook via a series of bay windows deliberately framing moments of view,” Rothelowman Director Kim Lowman said.

From outside, those projecting forms contribute to the tower’s faceted profile. Strong horizontal and vertical elements establish its proportions, while the changing position of the sun alters the light, shadow and reflection across the façade throughout the day.

The same attention moves inside the apartments, where the material palette combines warm timber, natural stone, metallic detailing and softer curved forms. Kitchens sit within the main living zone, with stone island benches, integrated joinery and European appliances, before the living areas extend towards the glazing and the outlook.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360981]

Three genuine bedrooms provide room to accommodate family and guests, while two secure car spaces and storage address some of the practical considerations that can become more noticeable when moving from a larger home. Feedback from the display suite has centred on the warmth and restraint of the interiors, with buyers commenting that the residences feel like homes rather than conventional coastal apartments.

A limited collection of half-floor penthouses occupies the upper levels, increasing the scale of the living spaces and adding private balconies and elevated finishes. From this position, the outlook extends between the ocean and hinterland.

Outside the private residences, The Eveleigh separates its shared spaces between the podium and rooftop. The podium is centred on wellness, with subtropical landscaping surrounding a swimming pool and pool terrace, yoga garden, private gymnasium, sauna and hot and cold plunge facilities. Landscaped retreats and pavilions provide additional places to sit away from the main recreation areas.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360966]

Higher in the building, a rooftop pavilion and private dining suite sit alongside resident lounge, barbecue and outdoor dining areas, opening towards panoramic views across the ocean, city and hinterland.

“Buyers are no longer just looking for an apartment, but a lifestyle where they can relax, reset, and enjoy a balanced way of living,” Hirsch &amp; Faigen Director of Sales Matt George said.

Interest to date has come from established owner-occupiers and interstate lifestyle purchasers, including buyers planning a future move to the Gold Coast. Many are coming from larger homes and want to reduce ongoing maintenance without giving up space for family and guests, privacy, two car spaces or the ability to entertain at home.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360969]

Much of that daily life can also take place beyond the building without requiring a drive. Kurrawa Beach and Pratten Park are an easy walk from Surf Parade, while Pacific Fair, Oracle Boulevard, The Oasis, restaurants, cafés, entertainment and public transport are also within walking distance.

The Eveleigh is Hirsch &amp; Faigen's fourth Gold Coast development since entering the market in 2021, following The Hemingway at Palm Beach, The Emerson at Kirra and Yves at Mermaid Beach. Each of the preceding projects sold out before completion.

“Broadbeach had been on our radar throughout our time operating on the Gold Coast,” the developer said. “Following our projects in Palm Beach, Kirra and Mermaid Beach, Broadbeach represented the natural next step for the business.”

The Surf Parade site brought together proximity to the beach, protected coastal outlooks and walkability to dining, shopping and recreation. Hirsch &amp; Faigen also identified the street as an emerging premium residential address, with enough separation from Broadbeach's busier destinations to retain a quieter environment at home.

The Eveleigh is now under construction by Maxcon, with completion forecast for mid-2028. Three-bedroom residences are currently available from $2.87 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=149670]

Joel Robinson

The Eveleigh brings house-like apartments to Broadbeach

A long-stalled Campbelltown development site is back in play, with new plans for 139 apartments set to supersede a mixed-use scheme approved almost a decade ago but never built.

The new proposal for 28 Cordeaux Street would deliver 116 market and 23 affordable apartments in a part 14-storey building, bringing a substantial new project into a Campbelltown market where new apartment supply remains limited.

Plans have been filed over the 3,092 sqm corner site at Moore-Oxley Street, around 600 metres from Campbelltown Railway Station and the city-centre retail core.

The site already carries a mixed-use residential approval dating to 2016. Doroch Architects has now been engaged on a larger replacement scheme, which is progressing as a State Significant Development Application following a Housing Delivery Authority determination in August 2025.

The apartment mix comprises 39 one-bedroom, 72 two-bedroom and 28 three-bedroom residences. Two-bedroom apartments make up just over half of the project, while three-bedroom homes account for 20 per cent.

<img alt="First look: New 139-apartment plans revive long-stalled Campbelltown city centre site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="136dd5b9-3791-4da6-9e31-76f533f5b4de" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Campbelltown%20da2.png?VersionId=LgOSy9nwf5u.MGswBBwaGGxuX8QpHSl_" />

Of the 139 apartments, 23 will be delivered as affordable housing under the in-fill affordable housing provisions of the Housing SEPP. The affordable component represents 15 per cent of the residential gross floor area and will be managed by a registered Community Housing Provider.

Doroch has sought to break the scale of the building into two distinct elements, with a masonry podium of around four storeys establishing the street edge before the residential tower steps back above.

The corner position has shaped that approach. Cordeaux Street faces toward the commercial and civic centre, while Moore-Oxley Street leads into the lower-scale residential neighbourhood to the south, and the design verification report describes the site as "bridging the commercial core to the north and established residential areas to the south."

The podium will be expressed predominantly in face brick, while the upper levels shift to brushed and grooved concrete cladding with darker metal detailing. Recessed sections, deep balcony edges and landscaping break down the upper form, with an approximately 11.8-metre setback to the northern boundary addressing the adjoining St Peters Anglican School.

<img alt="First look: New 139-apartment plans revive long-stalled Campbelltown city centre site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c8b3d2d3-c561-4bfc-a5d9-a68c0c10dac1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Campbelltown%20da1.png?VersionId=AeAEyJU02Gk2k5noUj2StziCvdQ7fW4B" />

Campbelltown has been starved of new residential developments in the last decade.

The only other notable development set to come to market this year is ALAND's Queen Square, a mixed-use precinct on over two hectares that will comprise apartments above a vibrant ground-level retail and hospitality dining precinct.

First look: New 139-apartment plans revive long-stalled Campbelltown city centre site

First Look: Sherlock Construction pitches apartments for low-rise Deception Bay

Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.

The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.

The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.

The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.

The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.

MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.

Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.

The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.

<img alt="MAYD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1bcbb05-e659-4b47-8bd4-1e595315e2ad" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%202.05.03%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=jj0XEud1X1DuLt7_KyElhjMdZGOXmLHP" />

MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.

"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.

"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."

The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.

Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.

Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.

"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.

"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."

MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.

"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.

"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."

Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.

"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."

The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.

MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.

First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

<main data-perf-region="main">
Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.

But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.

Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]

The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.

It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]

Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.

Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.

Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]

Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.

"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.

A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.

It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.

At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.

Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]

Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.

"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.

The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.

More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]

<h3 data-end="3697" data-section-id="q3n5ak" data-start="3672">&nbsp;</h3>
</main>

Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

Interest Rates

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The Reserve Bank's interest rate cut of 0.25 basis points could have further impact on the residential property market according to the Australian Property Institute.
API chief executive Mike Zissler said the record low rate is a double jeopardy play by the Reserve Bank as it will also push housing out of reach of many low income families as housing affordability becomes an even greater percentage of people’s incomes.
“There is little doubt it will have a positive impact on the housing and associated sectors," he said.
"The latest cut will, however, upwardly impact upon property values.
"If the intention is to stimulate the economy it is essential that banks pass the cut on and do so quickly."
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po-LsXgBTHBmX

Reserve Bank plays double jeopardy with housing market: API

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GUEST OBSERVER
The Reserve Bank has cut the cash rate from 2.00 percent to a record low of 1.75 percent.
The Reserve Bank has now adopted a “neutral stance” – suggesting that interest rates are on hold until at least the next reading of inflation (the next three months).
What does it all mean?
When the Reserve Bank cut the cash rate to 2.00 per cent in May last year, banks cut variable housing rates from 5.65 per cent to 5.45 per cent. In the period since banks were forced to lift housing rates to partially fund the cost of higher bank capital ratios. The average bank variable rate was back at 5.65 per cent before today’s decision.
 
<a href="/images/2016/05/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-05-03%20at%203.50.50%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/05/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-05-03%20at%203.50.50%20PM.png" alt="">
At the same time, the Aussie dollar had fallen from US78 cents over the past year to US76-77 cents and the oil price has fallen from US$60 to US$45 a barrel. So monetary policy settings were only a little more accommodative before today’s rate decision.
It may sound like a broken record, but the Reserve Bank has to be forward-looking in setting interest rates. And in so doing, today it saw little risk in cutting rates further. It would have been a different situation if the global economy was going gangbusters and if there wasn’t a structural global trend to lower inflation. 
In short, consumers can buy goods wherever and whenever they want to and this is causing businesses across the world to keep prices low.
It is important to note that the Reserve Bank is cutting from a position of strength rather than weakness. The economy is growing at a 3 per cent annual rate, unemployment is at 5.7 per cent and underlying inflation is below 2 per cent. So there is firm growth and low inflation. The Reserve Bank believes that the economy can do even better. And that is something that should inspire confidence across the economy.
The Reserve Bank has made no secret of its desire for a lower Aussie dollar, saying it “may complicate” the adjustment process for the economy. Clearly, if the Aussie dollar was a lot lower it would be providing more stimulus to the economy and helping to do some of the “heavy lifting” done by monetary policy. The good news is that the Aussie fell from US77.2 cents to US75.55 cents after the rates decision.
Perspectives on interest rates
The Reserve Bank cut the cash rate by 25 basis points (quarter of a percent) to 1.75 per cent. The previous rate cut was in May 2015 (25 basis points), taking the cash rate to a record low of 2.00 per cent.
There have now been 11 rate cuts since November 2011.
The Reserve Bank had previously lifted rates seven times from October 2009 to November 2010 – a total of 1.75 percentage points, from 3.00 per cent to 4.75 per cent.
What are the implications of today’s decision?
The Reserve Bank will update forecasts for economic growth and inflation on Friday. The growth forecasts may be revised up a touch; inflation, revised down a touch. The Reserve Bank will now stay on the monetary policy sidelines until the next inflation data.
If inflation continues to undershoot the 2-3 per cent target band, the Reserve Bank will keep interest rate cuts on the table. If the RBA feels that low inflation is a global, structural issue rather than driven by short-term economics, then there are fewer risks in cutting interest rates.
The big question is whether the economy still responds in the same way to rate cuts – that is, with rates so low – at generational lows. That is the $64 question.
The following table shows current monthly repayments on a range of mortgages and projections if rates are cut by major lenders in response to the lower cash rate.
<a href="/images/2016/05/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-05-03%20at%203.49.02%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/05/03/Screen%20Shot%202016-05-03%20at%203.49.02%20PM.png" alt="">
 Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.
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cjames-5S2v74qSNK

Reserve Bank goes for growth: CommSec's Craig James

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National Australia Bank has cut the interest rate on its standard variable home loan rate by 25 basis points.
It is the full amount of the RBA's cut.
This announcement means NAB’s Variable Rate for Home Loans (Standard Variable Rate) will reduce from 5.60 percent p.a. to 5.35 percent p.a.
NAB customers with a Standard Variable Rate home loan will save an average of $47-a-month on their monthly home loan principal and interest repayments based on a $300,000 loan over a 30-year term.
NAB Group Executive Personal Banking Gavin Slater said in making the decision to change interest rates, the bank considers a range of factors.
“The circumstances of each decision will always vary and we must take into account factors such as competition, regulatory capital requirements and funding costs,” Mr Slater said. 
“Today’s decision balances the needs of our home loan customers with our shareholders.” 
Today’s change applies to Owner Occupier and Residential Investment variable rate home loans.
·         For owner occupiers with NAB’s Variable Rate for Home Loans (Standard Variable Rate) the rate will reduce from 5.60 percent p.a. to 5.35 percent p.a.
·         For residential investors with NAB’s Variable Rate for Residential Investment Home Loans the rate will reduce from 5.75 percent p.a. to 5.50 percent p.a.
NAB will also reduce its rate on standard variable business rate lending products by 0.25 percent p.a. 
The new rates will be effective from Monday 16 May 2016.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

NAB passes on full May 2016 rate cut to home borrowers

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The Australian dollar fell on news the May RBA meeting cut the cash rate.
CoreLogic RP Data's head of research Tim Lawless said the RBA decision to cut the cash rate to a new historic low today of 1.75 percent was likely to have been hotly debated at the board meeting. 
He said on one hand we have economic growth tracking at 3% per annum, a housing market where the pace of capital gains was moderating in a controlled fashion and relatively strong labour market conditions. 
"Balance this with negative quarterly inflation and a high Australian dollar and it becomes clear that this decision probably could have gone either way," he said.
"The big question relevant to the housing market is how much of the lower cash rate will be passed on to mortgage rates. The spread between the cash rate and standard discounted mortgage rate has been widening since 2008 when there was 1.8 percentage points difference between the two rates. 
"By the April 2016 the spread has doubled to be 3.65 percentage points and is likely to widen further if the full rate cut isn’t passed on by lenders to mortgage rates.  With home values still showing some upwards momentum, lower mortgage rates are likely to provide some further stimulus to the housing market, which the Reserve Bank will be monitoring closely.
"The last thing they would like to see is a rebound in the rate of capital gain, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne where dwelling values have already risen 50 percent and 31 percent respectively since the rate cutting cycle began in November 2011.
The shadow treasurer Chris Bowen has blamed the cash rate cut on the government's "incredibly poor economic management".
In a statement on Tuesday Mr Bowen said the decision reflected a weaker economic outlook, with the RBA expecting growth to moderate this year.
"In addition, incomes are falling, living standards are stagnating and home ownership is out of reach for so many Australians – facts the Government will be hiding from tonight.
"While our resilient economy is a testament to the efforts of hard working Australians, these are worrying trends we can't ignore." 
According to finder.com.au's resident money expert Bessie Hassan borrowers are being warned to keep a close eye on rate cuts that are set to filter the market as a result of the Reserve Bank’s surprise decision to slash the cash rate to a new historical low of 1.75 percent.
She said the move follows days of speculation regarding a rate cut, fuelled by the release of inflation data last week, which revealed that Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) has dramatically slowed.
"The outcome was in contrast to the forecast of 96% of the economists and experts in the finder.com.au RBA survey, who predicted no change, citing a strong labour market, recovering Australian dollar and a ‘wait and see’ approach to the Federal Budget," she said.
"Only one economist, Savanth Sebastian of CommSec, correctly predicted the rate cut, with low inflation a likely key factor influencing the decision, he said.
"The finder.com.au RBA Survey closed on 27 April 2016 – the same day the new inflation data was released. More than half (55 percent) of the 22 experts who weighed in to prospects of a rate movement correctly tipped a rate cut was in store in 2016. However today’s cut has come somewhat earlier than expected, with the majority of experts tipping August or November as the most likely month this would happen.
"Thirty-eight percent of experts surveyed on the rate cycle predicted a drop to 1.75 percent before a rise, while 13 percent are forecasting one further drop to 1.5 percent before the cash rate starts to rise.  Our new cash rate of 1.75 percent is remarkable – it is the lowest it’s ever been and a far cry from the pre-GFC days of circa 7 percent."
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RBA cuts cash rate at May 2016 meeting

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STATEMENT BY GLENN STEVENS, RBA GOVERNOR: MONETARY POLICY DECISION
<div>
<div class="rss-mr-content">
At its meeting today, the Board decided to lower the cash rate by 25 basis points to 1.75 per cent, effective 4 May 2016. This follows information showing inflationary pressures are lower than expected.
The global economy is continuing to grow, though at a slightly lower pace than earlier expected, with forecasts having been revised down a little further recently. While several advanced economies have recorded improved conditions over the past year, conditions have become more difficult for a number of emerging market economies. China's growth rate moderated further in the first part of the year, though recent actions by Chinese policymakers are supporting the near-term outlook.
Commodity prices have firmed noticeably from recent lows, but this follows very substantial declines over the past couple of years. Australia's terms of trade remain much lower than they had been in recent years.
Sentiment in financial markets has improved, after a period of heightened volatility early in the year. However, uncertainty about the global economic outlook and policy settings among the major jurisdictions continues. Funding costs for high-quality borrowers remain very low and, globally, monetary policy remains remarkably accommodative.
In Australia, the available information suggests that the economy is continuing to rebalance following the mining investment boom. GDP growth picked up over 2015, particularly in the second half of the year, and the labour market improved. Indications are that growth is continuing in 2016, though probably at a more moderate pace. Labour market indicators have been more mixed of late.
Inflation has been quite low for some time and recent data were unexpectedly low. While the quarterly data contain some temporary factors, these results, together with ongoing very subdued growth in labour costs and very low cost pressures elsewhere in the world, point to a lower outlook for inflation than previously forecast.
Monetary policy has been accommodative for quite some time. Low interest rates have been supporting demand and the lower exchange rate overall has helped the traded sector. Credit growth to households continues at a moderate pace, while that to businesses has picked up over the past year or so. These factors are all assisting the economy to make the necessary economic adjustments, though an appreciating exchange rate could complicate this.
In reaching today's decision, the Board took careful note of developments in the housing market, where indications are that the effects of supervisory measures are strengthening lending standards and that price pressures have tended to abate. At present, the potential risks of lower interest rates in this area are less than they were a year ago.
Taking all these considerations into account, the Board judged that prospects for sustainable growth in the economy, with inflation returning to target over time, would be improved by easing monetary policy at this meeting.
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</div>
<div class="box-enquiries"> </div>
 
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May meeting: RBA Governor statement on rate cut

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Mozo has suggested borrowers can give themselves a rate cut by refinancing to a better deal.
Mozo's database shows that the average rate is currently 4.73 percent, whereas the lowest rate in our database is just 3.86 percent. 
Rebeccah Elley, Mozo’s money editor took a look to see just how much a homeowner with a $600,000 mortgage would save by giving themselves a rate cut:
<table><tbody>
<tr>
<td> </td>
<td>
Average mortgage rate – 4.73%
</td>
<td>Average mortgage rate after 25 basis point rate cut – 4.48%</td>
<td>
Lowest rate in our database – 3.86%
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Monthly repayments</td>
<td>$3,414</td>
<td>$3,328</td>
<td>$3,121</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Interest paid over 25 years</td>
<td>$424,142</td>
<td>$398,456</td>
<td>$336,247</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
 
"Even if your provider gives you a rate cut, the savings made on an average home loan won’t be anywhere near what you could get by switching to one of the best deals in the market."
If you would like to see how much you could save by refinancing, punch in your details into the <a href="https://mozo.com.au/home-loans/switch-and-save" target="_blank">Switch &amp; Save Calculator</a>, which will pull some of the cheapest mortgage deals available for your situation.
 
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Get your own interest rate cut by refinancing: Mozo

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Official interest rates are poised to hit a new historic low of 1.75 percent when the Reserve Bank Board meet later today following last week's shock consumer price index results.
Property website RateCity.com.au have suggested that deflation has sparked the May rate cut prospect.
Their analysis of the national and international economic indicators shows that the disappointing inflation figures could be enough to disrupt the RBA's year-long holding pattern.
RateCity.com.au money editor Sally Tindall said the chances of a budget-day cut were over 50 percent.
“Australians should get set for a rate cut, if not this month then within the following two months,” she said.
“The RBA has held an easing bias since October. Last week’s inflation figures should be the final straw.
“Inflation is now at 1.3 per cent and core inflation at 1.55 per cent, which is undeniably well below the RBA’s own target rate – a fact they will find hard to ignore.
“Despite a last-minute plunge, the relatively high dollar will also add to the RBA’s woes,” she said.
“If the RBA does deliver a cut, the big question for mortgage holders on Tuesday won’t be around the budget, but rather whether their bank will pass this savings on.”
“But with the cash rate decision set to be announced hours before Scott Morrison delivers his first Federal Budget and employment figures still holding up, the RBA may opt to wait and see if there’s a post-budget bounce in confidence.” 
<a href="/images/2016/05/02/RATECITY.jpg" target="_blank">Click here to enlarge RateCity.com.au's Rateulator</a>
<a href="/images/2016/05/02/RATECITY.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="/images/2016/05/02/RATECITY.jpg" alt="" width="280" height="197"></a>
Fellow mortgage website finder.com.au however have suggested that the cash rate will complete 12 months without movement as 96 percent of leading economists and experts have widely tipped the rate will hold at 2 percent.
The rate last moved in May when the Reserve Bank cut by 0.25 percent.
27 of 28 experts who took part in the finder.com.au Reserve Bank Survey believed the pause will continue due to a robust labour market, recovering Australian dollar and imminent Federal Budget.
CommSec's Savanth Sebastian is the only economist who has predicted a cut, suggesting the low inflation results opens the door for the Reserve Bank to cut rates if they deem it's necessary. 
As for prospects of a rate movement beyond May, 55 percent of the 22 experts who opted in to this question predict a fall is on the cards in 2016, with the most popular months indicated for a cut being August (four predictions) and November (3). 
Conversely, three experts – Steven Pambris from Bank of Sydney, Mark Crosby from Melbourne Business School and Stephen Koukoulas from Market Economics – predict a rate rise, or multiple rises, this year.  Ten experts (45 percent) predict no movement until 2017. All of this group agreed that a rate rise was the next likely move.  Half of the 24 experts surveyed on the rate cycle thought that the cash rate has already hit rock bottom, and would not drop below 2.00 percent in this period. Nine experts (38 percent) predict a drop to 1.75 percent before a rise, while only three experts (13 percent) predict a drop to 1.5 percent. Twenty-two experts weighed into whether recently reported oversupply of units in capital cities would have an effect on property prices. Eighty-two percent predict this would lead to a drop in unit prices in capital cities, with 36% (8) forecasting growth will slow across the whole capital city property market. Only four economists (18 percent) predict no effect on property prices.  Bessie Hassan, Money Expert at finder.com.au, says these findings, coupled with recent news that three of the big four banks – Westpac, ANZ and Commonwealth Bank – have ceased lending to foreign investors, could pave the way for first home buyers to enter the property market.  “Foreign investors account for nearly nine percent of housing sales, so this crackdown could take the heat out of the property market. If you’re a first home buyer and have a deposit saved up, now may be the best time to nab a bargain, especially if you’re eyeing an apartment.  “First home buyers have had an even tougher time of late, so this will be welcome news. Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show that the number of first home buyers has been dropping consistency since September 2012, when it peaked at 19 percent. The latest figures show first home buyers now account for just 13.4 percent of all home loans financed.  “However, with the cash rate looking likely to remain stable for the foreseeable future, signs are pointing to a long-awaited first home buyer ‘comeback’," says Ms Hassan. “Interestingly, should the cash rate hold on Tuesday as widely expected, RBA figures show this would be only the third time in a decade that the official cash rate has held at the same level for 12 months or more. “That said, the average standard variable home loan rate – currently 5.21 percent – is not expected to hold for much longer with the big four banks having not moved their variable rates in five months.  “This reiterates that shopping around for the best home loan deal has never been more important. Do your homework, compare lenders, read the fine print and always factor in a buffer of 2-3 percent in case of future rate rises so you’re not left with a nasty shock soon after becoming a homeowner."
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Deflation sparks May rate cut propsect: ratecity.com.au

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GUEST OBSERVER
Australian CPI numbers surprised significantly to the downside. The RBA’s preferred measures of underlying inflation both fell well short of market expectation and are tracking well below the RBA’s last set of forecasts. 
These core measures of inflation have also declined to be convincingly below the bottom edge of the RBA’s 2-3 percent target band. The average of these underlying measures was 1.55% y-o-y.
This puts the RBA in a tricky spot. Most of the demand indicators have held up recently, with the unemployment rate falling and business conditions improving.
Normally a lift in the activity generates a solid rate of inflation. However, although growth has been solid, it has not been strong enough to keep inflation on target.
Low inflation partly reflects that the end of the mining investment boom has brought an extended period of below-trend growth, which has weighed on wages and price pressures in the economy. Global inflation has also been very low. More recently, low global inflation and rates have seen the AUD climb, which is set to weigh further on the outlook for inflation and could also weigh on growth.
All of this adds up to suggesting that the RBA will need to cut its cash rate further. It now also seems likely that a 25bp cut may not be enough.
The RBA also faces a tricky timing issue. The government is due to hand down the federal budget on 3 May, which is the same day as the RBA meets next week and a federal election looks likely on 2 July. The RBA typically looks to stay out of the political process, so cutting rates around these events is less than ideal.
Weighing all of this up, there is no denying that inflation is too low, which means that the cash rate almost certainly needs to be cut. The usual rule of thumb is the sooner the better. We retain our view that the RBA is likely to cut by 25bp in Q2. We now expect that a cut in May is likely, despite the budget. We now also expect a follow-up 25bp cut in Q3 and for the cash rate to remain at 1.50% over the forecast horizon.
<a href="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.22.30%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.22.30%20AM.png" alt="">
Q1 CPI was very weak
Today’s CPI numbers showed that inflation was weak across the board. The headline CPI print showed a fall of -0.2% q-o-q, which was the first decline in seven years (Chart 1). The y-o-y rate of headline CPI inflation has now been below the RBA’s 2-3% target band for six quarters, which is the longest period of below-target headline inflation since 1999. The fall in the headline CPI rate reflected weakness in imported prices, but also, and more worryingly, a fall in domestic inflationary pressures (Chart 2).
Of course, the RBA focuses on its preferred underlying measures of inflation – the trimmed mean and weighted median – which strip out the volatile items. Here the news is even less promising. The average of the two preferred underlying measures fell to its lowest rate in the history of Australia’s inflation-targeting regime (since mid-1993) (Chart 3). The average of the two underlying measures was running at 0.15% q-o-q in Q1. In y-o-y terms, underlying inflation is well below the RBA’s 2-3% target band and also at its lowest level on record (Chart 4).
The challenge is that this has occurred at the same time that domestic demand indicators have been lifting. Surveyed business conditions also remained at high levels in Q1 and the unemployment rate has continued to edge lower. As we have pointed out recently though, the improvement in the labour market has not yet been enough to lift wages growth (see Downunder Digest: Looking for signs of rising wages, 15 April 2016). At the same time, the rising AUD is likely to weigh on growth and inflation (see Downunder Digest: Services exports and the AUD, 30 March 2016).
<a href="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.23.49%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.23.49%20AM.png" alt="">
 
The timing is tricky, given the budget and election
 
With the Prime Minister, Malcolm Turnbull, having pulled the budget forward by a week to 3 May in order to facilitate calling an early election on 2 July, the budget is now due to be handed down on the same day as the RBA board meeting. This is less than ideal for the RBA, if it is looking to cut rates on that day. Typically, the RBA would like to stay apolitical and the Governor, Glenn Stevens, has also spoken on a number of occasions about monetary policy reaching its limits and other arms of policy (fiscal policy) needing to be more supportive of growth. Ideally, we would be hoping this allows the government to announce its policies without a cash rate cut also being part of the message. The RBA may also be reluctant to cut in the lead-up to an election (likely on 2 July) as it typically seeks to remain apolitical.
 
However, if the RBA deems that rates will need to be lowered at some point, the typical rule of thumb is: the sooner the better. Governor Stevens also has a track record of setting policy independent of the political cycle, having lifted the cash rate only a few weeks before the 2007 election. With this in mind, if the RBA does consider that the CPI print warrants it cutting further, as we think is likely, getting it done in May seems a little easier than waiting until June, given that it can more easily point to the lower-than-expected CPI as the trigger.
<a href="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.25.23%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.25.23%20AM.png" alt="">
 
<a href="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.26.08%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/27/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-28%20at%208.26.08%20AM.png" alt="" width="792" height="336">
 
<a href="https://www.about.hsbc.com.au/hsbc-in-australia/management-team" target="_blank">PAUL BLOXHAM</a> IS CHIEF ECONOMIST (AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND) FOR HSBC. 
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Tricky, but expect RBA rate cut next week: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

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The RBA leaving interest rates on hold and the Australian dollar's strength likely mean that commercial property and infrastructure assets will reap the benefits from the search by investors for yield, evident from the recent trends in NSW's Newcastle and Charlestown.
In Newcastle, an undersupply of commercial and industrial investment properties against high demand is pushing the yield expectations down to unprecedented levels, said Steve Dick, director of Raine &amp; Horne Commercial Newcastle.
Meanwhile, a recent Raine &amp; Horne auction at Charlestown generated 95 enquiries with 25 contracts issued and 15 bidders registered, achieving a 6.3 percent yield at $1,300,000.
“With only one buyer there are plenty of purchasers left over,” said Steve.
The rise in the Australian dollar could also translate to further rate cuts by the RBA.
“The clear implication is that the rise in Australian dollar has increased the chance that the RBA will act on its bias to ease interest rates again,” said Shane Oliver, head of Investment Strategy and chief economist, AMP Capital.
With growth set to slow due to sluggish mining and housing sectors, relative high unemployment at 6 percent, low inflation coupled with the determination of the banks to put up interest rates independently of the RBA and a strong Australian dollar threatening tourism and higher education, Oliver is confident the RBA will cut interest rates again.
“A soft March quarter inflation report due April 27 could drive this in May – but it may not occur until the June quarter,” he said.
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Low interest rates to drive commercial investment in 2016: Raine & Horne

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Yields down since last month and almost back to levels in April 2015.
As part of our continued series on interest rates, Secret Agent has been tracking movements in the bond yield curve since late last year. If you don’t know why bond yields are so important for property investors, download our yield curve report.
So far this month, short, medium and long term treasury bond yields are down by between 0.06 percent for 90 day bills and 0.16 percent for 10 year bonds. This is shown in Figure 1.
<a href="/images/2016/04/14/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-14%20at%202.16.27%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/14/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-14%20at%202.16.27%20PM.png" alt="">
Note that lower bond yields are not necessarily a bad thing for bond investors, as yields and prices of bonds move in opposite directions. In fact, over the Easter period in particular, many bonds saw a large increase in price. One major cause was the announcement by the big banks (ANZ in particular) that bad debt charges are higher than market consensus. This drove a lot of investors to seek out bonds as an alternative, in turn driving up bond prices.
The continued downward trend on bond yields means that yields across the board are nearly back to levels seen in April 2015 (Figure 2), which was just before the RBA last cut interest rates.
<a href="/images/2016/04/14/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-14%20at%202.18.11%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/04/14/Screen%20Shot%202016-04-14%20at%202.18.11%20PM.png" alt="">
This again indicates low investor confidence and a bleaker outlook for the economy. It also increases the likelihood of a RBA interest rate cut before the end of the year.
For more information, <a href="https://secretagent.com.au/" target="_blank">click here</a>.
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