Repeat buyers are one of the strongest measures of confidence in any apartment development.

At <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/era-newcastle-west-124-126-bull-street-newcastle-west-nsw-2302">ERA</a> in Newcastle West, some purchasers are returning to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gwh">GWH</a> after living at the developer's One Apartments. Their decision to purchase again was driven by the quality of life they found after moving into their first GWH home.

Keith Wilton had spent years living in a house in East Maitland before deciding it was time for a change. Apartment living had always been on his radar, but he was selective about what he wanted.

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="315" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/FH_1EzB-1vs?si=XScVlP1ERsTDJoME" title="YouTube video player" width="560"></iframe>

"I had some boxes I wanted to tick," he says.

Keith points to the open-plan design, generous outdoor areas and considered inclusions as key reasons One Apartments worked for him.

“One of those things was a nice indoor open plan area, but also I wanted a nice outdoor open area that I could entertain on in summer or Christmases or birthdays,” he says.

He also found value in the smaller details, from integrated appliances to shared resident spaces including the pool, cinema and rooftop areas.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356818]

After comparing several developments, he chose One Apartments because of GWH's longstanding local reputation and his own experience working with the developer on a commercial project more than a decade earlier.

"I knew that they were local, that the quality of the build was going to be up there. I'd looked at other apartment complexes around and close by, and I just knew that here was a better decision location wise."

Today, Keith says the move has completely changed how he experiences Newcastle.

"I enjoy living in this location because it's more of a lifestyle change. That Newcastle city living where you can walk to restaurants and bars and even beaches and parks and even shopping across the road."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356828]

Beyond the location, he says it's the sense of community that has surprised him most.

"Everyone loves living here because they chose to live here, but everyone looks out for each other. It's a real great community feel here."

For Aimee and Lyle Goodman, the journey started almost by chance.

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The couple happened to be having coffee in Newcastle when they noticed the site where One Apartments was about to begin construction.

"We were aware GWH was planning a development," Aimee says. "We made one phone call and things moved pretty quickly after that."

As busy business owners, they initially thought apartment living would simply reduce the maintenance that came with larger homes. Instead, it fundamentally changed how they spent time together.

"We actually catch up more as a family now," Aimee says.

"We've had homes with big yards and lots of space, but everyone ended up in different rooms. Here we'll have dinner together, the kids can play, and we spend far more quality time together."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356829]

Lyle says their confidence came from GWH's reputation within Newcastle's building industry.

"I know people who've worked across different apartment projects, and whenever GWH came up the feedback was always the same. They're rock solid. They're quality."

That confidence only grew throughout the buying process.

"One of the things that really impressed us with GWH was the whole process, was the communication," Lyle says. "It was consistent, it was regular, there was no problem if we had some weird questions, there was no problems in getting answers."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351104]

Aimee says one moment stood out.

"The project actually finished on time. We realised we needed to hurry up and sell our house because everything was happening exactly when they said it would."

The positive experience at One Apartments ultimately gave all three buyers the confidence to purchase again with GWH, this time at ERA.

Their confidence reflects what many buyers are seeking in today's apartment market. Location remains important, but so too does certainty around delivery, quality and long-term liveability.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356822]

ERA builds on those foundations with 280 one, two and three-bedroom apartments across two landmark towers in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/newcastle-west-nsw-2302">Newcastle West</a>.&nbsp;

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/fk-australia">Fender Katsalidis</a>, the project will include more than 2,000 square metres of resident amenities, including a resort-style pool, gym, sauna, private cinema and rooftop entertaining spaces overlooking the harbour and coastline.&nbsp;

The development is also within walking distance of the Newcastle Interchange, Honeysuckle, Darby Street, the harbour foreshore, restaurants, retail and the city’s beaches, continuing the walkable lifestyle that existing GWH buyers say has transformed how they live.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=356826]

For Keith, the appeal remains straightforward.

"You feel at home even before you've moved into your home."

For Aimee, the change is measured in time.

“I just felt like I had more time,” she says.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=135096 project_image_fid=351102]

Construction at ERA is now underway, with more than half of the residences already sold and limited two and three-bedroom apartments remaining in the East Tower release. Priced from $980,000 for two-bedroom residences and $1.46 million for three-bedroom residences, buyers can secure an apartment with a 10 per cent deposit, with premium homes offering ocean views from Level 8 and harbour views from Level 10.

ERA is also backed by Resilience Insurance's 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy, providing protection against structural or waterproofing defects for 10 years after completion. The project is anticipated to be completed in early 2028.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=135096]

Joel Robinson

From ONE to ERA: Why buyers are choosing GWH again in Newcastle West

Virgate Property Group is preparing to commence construction of Verdé, its new apartment development in Melbourne's Arts Precinct at Southbank, following a strong run of sales that has seen more than half of the project's 173 apartments secured.

Verdé has attracted a broad mix of first home buyers, owner-occupiers upgrading from nearby inner-city suburbs and investors, with younger owner-occupier couples aged between 28 and 45 accounting for the strongest enquiry. Many are already living in Southbank, South Melbourne, Albert Park, Port Melbourne, South Yarra and the CBD.

"Verdé is located in one of the most desirable pockets of southern Melbourne," Blair Property Group Director Darren Blair, who is managing sales at Verdé, said.

"It's within walking distance of the Arts Centre, Royal Botanic Gardens, Albert Park Lake, and Southbank's restaurants and retail. It's a great lifestyle location with strong amenity and liveability, which made it a very attractive choice for the project."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372549]

Virgate was already familiar with the precinct, having previously delivered the successful Domain House development in neighbouring South Melbourne. That experience gave the developer confidence to acquire the Coventry Street site and continue expanding its presence in Melbourne's inner south.

"We had been keeping an eye on the site and the broader precinct for a few months before deciding to move forward with the acquisition," Virgate said.

The project was ultimately secured in 2020 following feasibility studies, planning assessments and due diligence, with the brief centred on delivering "a high-quality, considered design that feels both refined and fit for purpose."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=314259]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/bruce-henderson-architects">Bruce Henderson Architects</a>, Verdé comprises 173 one, two and three-bedroom apartments priced from $599,000. The architecture is distinguished by a faceted glass façade that responds to both the site's outlook and Melbourne's changing light conditions.

According to Bruce Henderson Architects, the coloured glazing gives the building a distinctive identity while also providing privacy and solar shading, with residences oriented to capture views across the bay, city skyline and surrounding parklands.

Inside, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/designoffice">DesignOffice</a> has created interiors focused on natural light, efficient planning and enduring materials. Apartments feature engineered oak flooring, natural stone benchtops, floor-to-ceiling glazing and SMEG appliances, while a restrained material palette aims to complement the expansive outlooks rather than compete with them.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4661 project_image_fid=372550]

Resident amenity has also been designed around everyday functionality rather than occasional use. Facilities include a concierge-serviced lobby, residents' lounge with fireplace, library and co-working space, gym, terrace garden with barbecue facilities, ground-floor café, and package delivery management.

The project's location continues to be one of its strongest drawcards. Positioned on Coventry Street, Verdé sits within walking distance of the National Gallery of Victoria, Arts Centre Melbourne, Royal Botanic Gardens and Albert Park Lake, while Southbank's dining precinct, Sturt Street trams and the new ANZAC Station are all nearby. The surrounding education catchment also includes Melbourne Grammar, Melbourne Girls Grammar, Mac.Robertson Girls' High School and several major university campuses.

The sales team says buyers have responded particularly well to the combination of location, design quality and long-term liveability.

"They're responding really positively to the quality of the design, premium resident amenities and the uninterrupted views. Many also appreciate the location and how connected it is to everything they need."

The ability to secure stamp duty savings before completion has also been a key factor for purchasers, alongside the opportunity to personalise finishes ahead of settlement.

With construction set to commence soon and more than half the apartments already sold, Verdé enters its next phase as one of the Arts Precinct's more established apartment developments, offering remaining buyers an opportunity to secure a residence before construction advances further. Expected completion is scheduled for late 2027.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=4661]

Virgate's Verdé Southbank moves toward construction as sales fly past halfway stage

Downsizer-focused apartment development Kooyongkoot in Hawthorn has been recognised at the 2026 Better Future Melbourne Design Awards, taking home Gold and Silver awards in two categories.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kooyongkoot-hawthorn-1-kooyongkoot-road-hawthorn-vic-3122">Kooyongkoot</a>, currently being delivered by developer PQD and designed by Cera Stribley, received Gold in the Interior Design – Proposed category and Silver in the Architecture – Proposed category.

The dual recognition reflects the design approach behind the boutique development on prestigious Kooyongkoot Road, where the focus has been on creating homes for downsizers seeking the space, quality and functionality of a detached house within a low-rise apartment building.

Rather than maximising apartment numbers, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/pqd">PQD</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cera-stribley-architects">Cera Stribley</a> limited the development to just 18 residences, allowing for larger floorplans, greater privacy, generous landscaping and expansive communal spaces.&nbsp;The majority of the apartments also benefit from corner aspects, allowing for dual sources of natural light.

Now around 70 per cent complete and on track for completion in November 2026, Kooyongkoot will comprise a mix of garden residences, ter​race apartments, sub-penthouses, and is crowned by two half-floor penthouses with direct lift access and private rooftop terraces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355297]

The Silver Award for Architecture recognised the way the building responds to its prominent corner position at the ent​rance to Hawthorn's Scotch Hill precinct, one of Melbourne's most established residential neighbourhoods.

Rather than competing with the grand homes that line Kooyongkoot Road, the architectural approach focused on restraint and longevity, using curved brickwork, generous landscaping and carefully considered proportions to integrate with the existing streetscape.

"The form feels fluid and timeless, as though shaped by the landscape itself – architecture that belongs, rather than competes," said Chris Stribley, Co-Founder and Managing Principal of Cera Stribley.

The judging submission also highlighted practical innovations throughout the building, including lift cores servicing only nine homes each, a central landscaped lightcourt designed to bring daylight and ventilation into the building, and fully enclosed private storage rooms with lighting, power and shelving to better accommodate residents transitioning from larger family homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355293]

The Gold Award for Interior Design recognised the project's focus on long-term liveability rather than display-home aesthetics.

According to the awards submission, the interiors were designed from the inside out, prioritising how homes would function over decades of daily use through generous proportions, practical storage, durable natural materials and flexible layouts.

The specification includes natural stone throughout, upgraded acoustic glazing, V-ZUG appliances and fully enclosed storage rooms, alongside an amenity offering focused on wellness, entertainment and everyday convenience.&nbsp;

Residents will have access to a gym and yoga studio, a wellness centre featuring traditional and infrared saunas, a cold therapy shower and treatment room, as well as a residents' lounge and golf simulator/cinema room for entertainment.&nbsp;Kooyongkoot has also considered the everyday convenience of its residents by offering a private carwash and pet wash facilities on site as well as dedicated parcel lockers and oversized fully enclosed storage rooms.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355303]

The project's attention to detail has already resonated with buyers. Earlier this year, Kooyongkoot recorded one of Boroondara's highest apartment sales when an $8 million penthouse was purchased by a Melbourne CEO downsizing from a nearby family home.

"Every detail feels deliberate, from the overall design down to the smallest touches," the purchaser said.

"The level of quality and refinement is exceptional, but what really sold it was how liveable it felt... It felt like a place where everything had been considered, not just a luxury building."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=102717 project_image_fid=355304]

Sustainability also formed a key part of both award submissions. Kooyongkoot is targeting a minimum 7.5-star NatHERS rating across all residences, supported by passive design principles, high-performance glazing, EV charging infrastructure, water reuse systems and a wellness model focused on lower-energy dry facilities rather than pools and large wet areas.

Located within walking distance of Scotch College, Methodist Ladies' College, Koo​yong Lawn Tennis Club, Aubur​n Village and Camberwell Junction, Kooyongkoot continues to target owner-occupiers looking to remain in Melbourne's inner east without compromising on space or quality. A limited selection of two, three and four-bedroom residences remains available, with prices starting from $1.9 million.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=102717]

Kooyongkoot wins Gold and Silver at Better Future Melbourne Design Awards

New apartment supply has become increasingly constrained across <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parramatta-nsw-2150">Parramatta</a> in recent years, with fewer projects progressing through to completion as development conditions have become more challenging.

It makes <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/novm">NOVM</a>'s 2021-completed <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/the-lennox-parramatta-12-phillip-street-parramatta-nsw-2150">The Lennox</a> one of the most recently completed residential towers on the Parramatta River, and among the newest apartment developments in Sydney's second CBD.

With the project largely completed before the sharp escalation in construction costs and inflation following the pandemic, The Lennox is now offering pricing that would be difficult to replicate in a comparable new development in Parramatta today, or across much of Western Sydney.

The majority of the 413 apartments at The Lennox sold before and shortly after completion. A limited release of the remaining apartments has recently been brought to market by capital partner <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/equitifund-group">Equitifund</a>, with entry-level pricing from $700,000 and two-bedroom apartments available from under $1 million.

Rising above the Parramatta River at 12 Phillip Street, The Lennox comprises one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments, appealing to first home buyers, young professionals, families, downsizers and interstate investors seeking a completed apartment in one of Australia's fastest-growing economic centres.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=372394]

Rather than positioning Parramatta as an alternative to Sydney's CBD, Equitifund believes the city has reached a point where it stands on its own merits.

"Parramatta is no longer simply an alternative to Sydney CBD, it's becoming a destination in its own right," Equitifund Executive Chairman Greg Huxley said.

"The Lennox captures that evolution with a level of quality and amenity that's difficult to match at its price point."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=953]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/marchese-partners">Marchese Partners</a>, the tower responds directly to its riverfront setting through expansive glazing and open-plan layouts that maximise views across the Parramatta River and city skyline. Interiors feature engineered timber flooring, stone benchtops, stainless steel appliances and floor-to-ceiling glazing, while generous balconies extend the living spaces outdoors.

Marchese Partners says the project was conceived to balance high-quality apartment living with practical, long-term functionality, pairing larger, efficient floorplans with amenities more commonly associated with five-star hotels.

That emphasis continues through the resident facilities, which include a 20-metre rooftop swimming pool, fully equipped gym and wellness spaces, full-time concierge, a residents' lounge, function room, private lifts, secure basement parking and rooftop communal areas overlooking the Parramatta River. Ground-floor boardwalk retail and dining further activate the riverfront and integrate the building into the surrounding public realm.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=925]

Australian housing and finance group Equitifund has secured the remaining apartments, believing there are few completed apartment opportunities in Parramatta that offer the same combination of location, amenity and pricing.

Equitifund National Sales Director Ben Hamblett says buyers are increasingly recognising that premium apartment living no longer needs to come with Sydney CBD pricing.

"The Lennox is where aspirational living becomes attainable," Hamblett said.

"Wake to river and mountain views, step into Sydney's Second CBD, and arrive home to resort-calibre amenities, all without the harbour price tag."

Hamblett says owner-occupiers are also attracted by the convenience of having Westfield Parramatta, Church Street's dining precinct, Parramatta Park, Riverside Theatres, Western Sydney University and major transport connections all within walking distance.

"At The Lennox, lifestyle is not an afterthought, it is the foundation."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5743 project_image_fid=5374]

The Lennox places residents within walking distance of Parramatta Square, Westfield Parramatta, Church Street Eat Street, Parramatta Station, the ferry wharf, Light Rail, the future Sydney Metro West, Parramatta Park and CommBank Stadium, reinforcing Parramatta's position as one of Australia's most connected metropolitan centres outside Sydney's CBD.

Equitifund says buyers visiting the display suite consistently comment on the quality of the finishes, generous floorplans, river and skyline views, and the walkability of the location. The project has attracted a broad mix of local professionals, upsizers, downsizers, buyers relocating from Sydney's inner suburbs and interstate investors seeking long-term growth opportunities.

That demand aligns with Parramatta's continued evolution as an economic powerhouse. Equitifund Research and Market Insights specialist John Bekiaris says sustained population growth, infrastructure investment and expanding employment opportunities continue to support long-term housing demand across the city.

"Parramatta has evolved from a satellite city into one of Australia's most important economic centres. Population growth, infrastructure investment and employment are all supporting sustained long-term housing demand."

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=5743]

The apartment price gap drawing Sydney buyers west

A luxury beachfront apartment at Rainbow Bay has more than doubled in value since it sold off the plan six years ago, setting a new local apartment record in the process.

The three-bedroom apartment in the Flow development on Petrie Street, the first of four new projects locally by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects, has sold for $7.4 million, after originally selling for $3.27 million when the project launched in 2020.

The seventh-floor apartment, comprising 187 sqm of internal living space and a 54 sqm balcony overlooking Froggies Beach and Snapper Rocks, was purchased by a local family.

The transaction was negotiated by Pezet Matheson director Kerry Pezet and equates to more than $30,000 per sqm.

Pezet said the sale reflected the limited opportunities to buy into the boutique beachfront development.

"The sale highlights the rarity of opportunities within the boutique beachfront development, where residences seldom become available," Pezet said.

"Flow is one of the Gold Coast's most tightly held buildings. Buyers from our database move quickly when residences become available, and achieving an off-market sale at $7.4 million demonstrates the depth of demand for property of this calibre."

<img alt="Flow" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c585b206-2130-4eee-a50c-3f27c51a7c70" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-07-06%20at%208.33.25%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=m3pHRDV62Y3fvN.XQuQHq.52ilTWpRLf" />

Flow was the first of four luxury apartment developments delivered by Paul Gedoun's S&amp;S Projects at Rainbow Bay and was completed in 2023.

Positioned on the beachfront overlooking Snapper Rocks, the residence includes three bedrooms, three bathrooms, a powder room and views stretching north along the coastline towards Surfers Paradise.

Pezet Matheson Residential principal Mitchell Lambert said buyers continued to prioritise quality beachfront apartments in tightly held locations.

"Flow Residences offers a rare combination of elevated beachfront positioning, architectural excellence, comprehensive resident amenity and premium finishes, which is exactly what discerning purchasers are seeking," Lambert said.

"The transaction further reinforces Rainbow Bay's reputation as one of Australia's premier coastal lifestyle destinations, where limited supply and growing demand continue to support strong market performance."

Pezet Matheson originally marketed and sold out Flow off the plan, making the latest transaction a return to one of the project's original buyers.

Paul Gedoun is selling his third project, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/radia-rainbow-bay-271-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Radia Rainbow Bay</a>, after recently completing, and selling out, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/esprit-217-227-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Esprit</a>. He has plans for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/qld/first-look-s-s-projects-proposes-88-apartment-wellness-tower-at-coolangattas-boundary-street">fourth building</a>, 88 apartments on <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/209-213-boundary-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Boundary Street</a>.

Rainbow Bay apartment doubles in price since off the plan sale during pandemic

Home Prices

<html><body>
GUEST OBSERVER
The weekly ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating fell by just 0.4 points (0.3 percent) to 116.0 in the week to March 20.
 Confidence is up 4.1 percent over the year and above the average index value of 112 since 2014.
Higher home prices: The Bureau of Statistics reports that Australian home prices rose by 0.2 percent in the December quarter to stand 8.7 percent higher over the year.
Fewer people in homes: The estimated number of people per home continues to fall, dropping from 2.491 to 2.488 in the December quarter.
The consumer confidence figures have implications for finance providers, retailers, and companies dependent on consumer and business spending.
<a href="/images/2016/03/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-22%20at%204.56.43%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/03/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-22%20at%204.56.43%20PM.png" alt="">
What does it all mean?
Headed into a period dominated by the Federal Budget and a possible double-dissolution election, Aussie consumers are in good shape. All the key components of the confidence survey are above short-term averages.
And indeed the outlook for family finances over the coming year – a lead indicator of spending – remains positive.
The key question is how confidence evolves over the next few weeks. The Aussie dollar is near US76 cents, interest rates are at generational lows, trend unemployment is at 26-months lows and petrol prices are just above the lowest levels recorded in six years. So there are few reasons to be negative.
The Bureau of Statistics has released data on home prices for the December quarter. However the better measures on home prices are those produced by CoreLogic RP Data and it’s worth noting that March quarter data will be released in just over a week, on April 1.
From 2011 to early 2014, the average number of people in Aussie homes rose – a rare development over the past century in Australia. But with more homes being built in recent years and rental conditions easing, more Gen Y (or Millennials) have been moving out of home. As a result the number of people per home is again shrinking, serving to soak up the increased supply of new homes.
What do the figures show?
Consumer confidence
The weekly ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating fell by 0.4 points (0.3 percent) to 116.0 in the week to March 20. Confidence is up 4.1 percent over the year and above the average of 112 since 2014. Three of the five components of the index rose in the latest week:
The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was up from +10 to +11;
The estimate of family finances over the next year was down from +35 to +27;
Economic conditions over the next 12 months was up from -2 to +2;
Economic conditions over the next 5 years was up  from +7 to +9;
The measure of whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was down  from +32 points to +31 points.
Residential property prices
The Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released its Residential Property Price indexes.
“The price index for residential properties for the weighted average of the eight capital cities rose 0.2 percent in the December quarter 2015. The index rose 8.7 per cent through the year to the December quarter 2015.
The capital city residential property price indexes rose in Melbourne (+1.6 percent), Brisbane (+1.6 percent), Adelaide (+0.9 percent), Canberra (+2.8 percent), Perth (+0.5 percent) and Hobart (+2.5 percent) and fell in Sydney (-1.6 percent) and Darwin (-1.8 percent).
Annually, residential property prices rose in Sydney (+13.9 percent), Melbourne (+9.6 percent), Canberra (+6.0 percent), Brisbane (+4.2 percent), Hobart (+3.5 percent) and Adelaide (+3.3 percent) and fell in Darwin (-3.2 percent) and Perth (-2.9 percent).
The ABS notes that as at December 2015 there were 9.62 million homes in Australia. On average there were 2.488 people per home, down from 2.491 in the September quarter.
“The total value of residential dwellings in Australia was $5,885,967.2m at the end of December quarter 2015, rising $31,557.1m over the quarter.
The mean price of residential dwellings rose $800 to $612,100 and the number of residential dwellings rose by 38,700 to 9,615,800 in the December quarter 2015.”
What is the importance of the economic data?
The ANZ/Roy Morgan weekly survey of consumer confidence closely tracks the monthly Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index but the former measure is a timelier assessment of consumer attitudes and is now closely tracked by the Reserve Bank.
The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS)  provides quarterly data on residential prices. The figures provide further perspectives on the state of the housing purchase sector.
<a href="/images/2016/03/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-22%20at%204.58.09%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/03/23/Screen%20Shot%202016-03-22%20at%204.58.09%20PM.png" alt="">
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
CommSec doesn’t expect any change in the cash rate for the foreseeable future. Underlying inflation remains at the bottom of the 2-3 percent target band but should lift over 2016.
The Reserve Bank believes that the aspects of the consumer confidence surveys dealing with family finances are the most important. The good news for retailers is that Aussie consumers believe finances are better than a year ago and likely to remain in good shape.
The fall in the number of people per home most probably reflects lower growth in rents and the lift in homebuilding, especially the shift to apartment living. But the drop in the number of people per home is one factor serving to alleviate concerns of a potential oversupply developing of new homes.
Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.
</body></html>

jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Contented consumers; Fewer people in homes: CommSec's Craig James

<html><body>
<a name="1515adbefb515e76_OLE_LINK3" href=""></a>
GUEST OBSERVER
Sydney property prices fell by 1.4%, marking the biggest fall in nearly five years.
Melbourne property prices fell by 3.5% in November – the largest fall in 18 months.
The CoreLogic RP Data home value index of capital city home prices fell by 1.5% in November to stand 8.7 % higher over the year. 
Dwelling prices rose in just three of the eight capital cities in November.
The performance of manufacturing index lifted by 2.3 points to 52.5 in November, the highest reading in two years. A reading above 50.0 indicates that the sector is expanding.
Production, orders, employment, exports and sales all recorded healthy gains in November.
What does it all mean?
So far so good. The second day this week of better economic data. A mild correction in property prices (particularly in Sydney and Melbourne) is a good thing, while a healthy expansion is taking place in manufacturing activity (two-year high).
The slide in capital city home prices in November marked the first fall in six months and the biggest slide nationally in 18 months. No doubt the weakness in home prices is being driven by the tightening in lending criteria by the banking sector.
In particular the concerted effort to cool investor demand or speculative home purchases is paying dividends.
Sydney house prices recorded a 1.4 % slide in November - its biggest fall in almost five years. But keep in mind Sydney home prices are still up almost 13 % over the year. 
While it was encouraging that Sydney and Melbourne prices pulled back, the perfect scenario would have been for a credible lift in prices across other capital cities.
Dwelling prices fell in five of the eight capital cities, and while “Rest of State” prices managed to lift by 0.3 % in November, annual growth holds at a paltry 2.8 %. 
This highlights the issues facing policymakers in attempting to manage a very diverse housing market. What we would expect to see is the lift in capital city house prices eventually filters out across the regional towns over the next 12-24 months.
The consolidation in home prices is unlikely to see home building dry up.
There is a record pipeline of dwelling approvals that suggest a lot of building work will take place over the next 12-24 months - supportive of a lift in activity levels over the medium term.
The rebalancing effect across the economy continues to take place.
Manufacturing activity is now expanding at the fastest pace in two years and more importantly the sub-indices like, employment, production, sales and exports are all showing a credible lift.
The results mirror the lift in manufacturing investment in last week’s business investment data. No doubt the weaker Australian dollar will continue to support the sector.
What do the figures show?
Home prices
- The CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic Australian Home Value index of capital city home prices fell by 1.5 % in November to stand 8.7 % higher than a year ago.
- House prices fell by 1.6 % in November while apartments fell by 0.9 %. House prices were up 9.1 % on a year ago and apartments were up by 6.6 %.
- The average Australian capital city house price (median price based on settled sales over quarter) was $626,000 and the average unit price was $525,000. The average Sydney house price was $950,000 – still some way off the $1 million mark.
- Dwelling prices rose in just three of the eight capital cities in November: Adelaide (up 0.7 %), Brisbane (up 0.6 %) and Perth (up 0.3 %).
- Prices fell most in Melbourne (down 3.5 %), Hobart (down 2.4 %), Sydney (down 1.4 %), Darwin (down 1.3 %) and Canberra (down 0.5 %).
- Home prices were higher than a year ago in six of the eight capital cities. Prices rose most in Sydney (up 12.8 %), followed by Melbourne (up 11.8 %), Canberra (up 4.5 %), Brisbane (up 4 %), Adelaide (up 3.3 %), and Hobart (up 1.1 %).
- Prices fell in Darwin (down 4.2 %) and Perth (down 4.1 %).
- Total returns on capital city dwellings in the year to November rose by 12.8 % with houses up 13.0 % on a year earlier and units up 11.4 %.
CoreLogic RP Data noted that as a consequence of the tighter lending environment for rental yields, combined capital cities investors, as well as gross rental yields being at near record lows, participation in the housing market from investors has reduced from 54.1 % of all new mortgages in May 2015 to 45.4 % at the end of September, which is the lowest level since July 2013.
Data released by APRA at the end of last month showed the pace of investment related housing credit growth fell below the APRA 10 % speed limit for the first time since September last year, with the monthly change in investment credit growth the lowest since October 2011.
According to today’s results, the slowdown comes after auction clearance rates have moderated back to the low 60 % range since the last week of October, whilst average selling time and vendor discounting rates also continue to rise from their record lows.”
Performance of Manufacturing
- The Performance of Manufacturing index lifted by 2.3 points to 52.5 in November. A reading above 50.0 indicates that the sector is expanding.
- Production, orders, employment exports and sales all recorded healthy gains in November.
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Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au/" target="_blank">CommSec</a>. 
 
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Sydney home prices record biggest slide in five years: CommSec Research

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Across the nation home prices are starting to look healthier with the gains more wide spread across the states, rather than being just Sydney or Melbourne based. In fact Sydney prices only lifted by 0.1% while capital city home prices rose by a much more robust 0.9%. Even more encouraging five of the eight capital cities recorded growth.
In fact if you take out the capital cities and look at the “Rest of State” index, home prices lifted by 0.6%. Granted it is still early days for the regional cities with home prices up just 2.8% over the past year, but the signs are more encouraging. We would expect to see the lift in capital city house prices eventually filters out across the regional towns over the next 12-24 months. Strength in home prices across the nation will be more supportive of a lift in activity levels over the medium term.
Sydney house prices are up almost 17 per cent on a year ago with total returns lifting by a staggering 21 per cent over the past year. Although in the Sydney housing market there are signs that price growth will be more circumspect going forward. The tighter lending policies being adopted by the banks, coupled with new housing supply should ensure much more sedate property price growth. 
The manufacturing sector expanded for the third consecutive month. Clearly a function of the lower Australian dollar.
The job market continues to improve with job vacancies at the highest levels in almost three-year highs. With population growth slower than in past years, unemployment has more chance of falling over the coming year.
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What do the figures show?
Home prices
The CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic Australian Home Value index of capital city home prices rose by 0.9 per cent in September to stand 11 per cent higher than a year ago.
House prices rose by 0.9 per cent in September while apartments rose by 0.6 per cent. House prices were up 11.6 per cent on a year ago and apartments were up by 7.3 per cent.
The average Australian capital city house price (median price based on settled sales over quarter) was $613,000 and the average unit price was $515,000. The average Sydney house price was $920,000 – still well short of a $1 million. 
Dwelling prices rose in five of the eight capital cities in September: Melbourne (up 2.4 per cent), Brisbane (up 1.4 per cent), Canberra (up 1.0 per cent), Perth (up 0.5 per cent) and Sydney (up 0.1 per cent). Prices fell in, Hobart (down 1.9 per cent), Adelaide (down 1.2 per cent), and Darwin (down 0.3 per cent).
Home prices were higher than a year ago in four of the eight capital cities. Prices rose most in Sydney (up 16.7 per cent), followed by Melbourne (up 14.2 per cent), Brisbane (up 4.6 per cent), and Canberra (up 0.6 per cent). Price fell in Darwin (down 3.9 per cent), Perth (down 0.9 per cent) Adelaide (down 0.3 per cent), and Hobart (down 0.2 per cent).
Total returns on capital city dwellings in the year to August rose by 14.4 per cent with houses up 14.7 per cent on a year earlier and units up 12.3 per cent.
Job vacancies:
Job vacancies rose by 2.7 per cent to 160,900 in seasonally adjusted terms in the three months to August. It was the highest number of vacancies in almost 3 years (since November 2012).
Over the year vacancies lifted 18.6 per cent in Victoria in original terms over the year but fell 34.2 per cent in Northern Territory and fell by 11.3 per cent Western Australia. Over the past year, job vacancies rose by 15,100 or 10.2 per cent in original terms.
Over the past year, vacancies rose the most in Administrative and Support Services and Accommodation, Cafes and Restaurants (both up 5,100). Vacancies fell most in Manufacturing (down 3,300), Mining and Transport and storage (both down 1,000) and Communication services (down 1,000).
Performance of Manufacturing
The Performance of Manufacturing index rose by 0.4 points to 52.1 in September. A reading above 50.0 indicates that the sector is expanding. Production, orders, exports, sales, and capacity use rose in September but employment, selling prices eased, while wages fell. 
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<div class="column">What is the importance of the economic data?</div>
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The CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic Australian Home Value Index is based on Australia’s biggest property database. Unlike the ABS Index, which excludes terraces, semi-detached homes and apartments, the CoreLogic- RP Data Hedonic Index includes all properties. Home prices are an important driver of wealth and spending. The Australian Bureau of Statistics releases Job Vacancies data each quarter. The data is useful in gauging the strength of the job marketThe Australian Industry Group and PricewaterhouseCoopers compile the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) each month. The Australian PMI is the Australian equivalent of the US ISM manufacturing gauge. The PMI is one of the timeliest economic indicators released in Australia. The PMI is useful not just in showing how the manufacturing sector is performing but in providing some sense about where it is heading. The key ‘forward looking’ components are orders and employment.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
The Reserve Bank won’t be lifting or cutting interest rates any time soon. A couple more months of sedate growth in Sydney home prices will be welcomed by policymakers – there is just no fundamental reason to change interest rate settings at present.
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 The ongoing lift in job vacancies is certainly encouraging – supporting household confidence and spending.
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<div class="column">CommSec expects interest rate settings to remain unchanged over 2015 and 2016. </div>
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<div class="column">Savanth Sebastian is an economist for <a href="https://www.commsec.com.au" target="_blank">CommSec</a></div>
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Healthy home prices: CommSec's Savanth Sebastian

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<div class="column">In terms of home prices, it is Sydney first, daylight second. In August, Sydney prices rose by 1.1% while next-placed Adelaide saw prices rise by 0.7%. And in the majority of capital cities prices were flat or falling in the month. Over the year Sydney prices were up 17.6%. Next-placed Melbourne had prices up 10.6% on the year. But in three capital cities, home prices are below year ago levels. And home prices in regional Australia were up just 2.3% over the year.</div>
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 Sydney home prices will slow over the year as more homes are built. Already gross yields on homes are recording the slowest growth rates on record in Sydney and Melbourne. And rents are growing at the slowest annual rates on record.
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 If you are a tenant, it is good times. If you are a property seller in Sydney, times are still good. If you are a home buyer in Sydney, there are challenges, with prices still lifting strongly. If you are a home buyer outside Sydney or Melbourne, conditions are favourable. Clearly there is no such thing as a single housing “market”.
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 More good news on the economy – consumers are still happy and the manufacturing sector is expanding. Yet more reason for the Reserve Bank to be pleased at the evolving situation.
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<div class="column">What do the figures show?</div>
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<div class="column">Home prices</div>
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The CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic Australian Home Value index of capital city home prices rose by 0.3% in August to stand 10.2 per cent higher than a year ago.
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House prices rose by 0.3% in August while apartments rose by 0.8%. House prices were up 10.6% on a year ago and apartments were up by 7.4%.
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The average Australian capital city house price (median price based on settled sales over quarter) was $600,000 and the average unit price was $509,900. The average Sydney house price was $900,000 – still well short of a $1 million. 
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Dwelling prices rose in just three of the eight capital cities in August: Sydney (up 1.1 per cent), Adelaide (up 0.7 per cent) and Darwin (up 0.3 per cent). Prices were flat in Melbourne and Brisbane. Prices fell in Canberra (down 1.7 per cent), Perth (down 1.3 per cent) and Hobart (down 1.1 per cent).
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 Home prices were higher than a year ago in five of the eight capital cities. Prices rose most in Sydney (up 17.6 per cent), followed by Melbourne (up 10.6 per cent), Brisbane (up 3.9 per cent), Adelaide (up 1.8 per cent), and Hobart (up 1.5 per cent). Price fell in Darwin (down 4.6 per cent), Perth (down 1.8 per cent) and Canberra (down 0.9 per cent).
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 Total returns on capital city dwellings in the year to August rose by 14.4 per cent with houses up 14.7 per cent on a year earlier and units up 12.3 per cent.
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RP Data report: “While the August results indicate a slowdown in the rate of appreciation in dwelling values, the quarterly figures highlight just how strong the housing market has been over the past three months; combined capital city dwelling values are 5.3 per cent higher over the three months to the end of August this year.”
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 “Growth in weekly rental rates shifted to a new record low for annual growth over the month of August. Across the combined capital cities, the median weekly rental rate rose by just 0.7 per cent over the past twelve months, with house rents up 0.5 per cent and unit rents up a higher 1.6 per cent.
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 Since May 2013, dwelling values have risen at a faster pace than weekly rents. “The result of the disparity between dwelling values and dwelling rents has been a consistent downwards trend in gross rental yields. Gross yields are at record lows in both Sydney and Melbourne. A typical dwelling is attracting a gross yield of just 3.3 per cent and 3.1 per cent respectively across Australia’s two largest cities.”
Performance of Manufacturing
The Performance of Manufacturing index rose by 1.3 points to 51.7 in August. A reading above 50.0 indicates that the sector is expanding. The survey is volatile from month to month and is not providing accurate guidance on economic conditions. Orders, employment, capacity use and input prices rose in August but production, exports, sales, selling prices and wages fell.
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Consumer sentiment The weekly ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 0.3 per cent 113.3 in the week to August 30. Confidence is up 0.6 per cent over the year and still up on the average of 111.5 since 2014.
Three of the five components of the index rose in the latest week:
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The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was down from +11 to +10; The estimate of family finances over the next year was up from +22 to +27;
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Economic conditions over the next 12 months was down from -6 to -11;
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Economic conditions over the next 5 years was up from +7 to +9;
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The measure of whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was up from +31 to +32 points. What is the importance of the economic data?
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The CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic Australian Home Value Index is based on Australia’s biggest property database. Unlike the ABS Index, which excludes terraces, semi-detached homes and apartments, the CoreLogic- RP Data Hedonic Index includes all properties. Home prices are an important driver of wealth and spending. 
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The Australian Industry Group and PricewaterhouseCoopers compile the Performance of Manufacturing Index (PMI) each month. The Australian PMI is the Australian equivalent of the US ISM manufacturing gauge. The PMI is one of the timeliest economic indicators released in Australia. The PMI is useful not just in showing how the manufacturing sector is performing but in providing some sense about where it is heading. The key ‘forward looking’ components are orders and employment.
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The ANZ/Roy Morgan weekly survey of consumer confidence closely tracks the monthly Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index but the former measure is a timelier assessment of consumer attitudes and is now closely tracked by the Reserve Bank. 
What are the implications for interest rates and investors? 
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The Reserve Bank won’t be lifting or cutting interest rates any time soon. The strong gains in Sydney home prices aren’t influencing policy decisions – there is just no fundamental reason to change interest rate settings at present. 
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CommSec expects interest rate settings to remain unchanged over 2015. 
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The resilience of consumer sentiment is positive for retailers. 
 
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<div class="column">Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.</div>
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