<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/broadbeach-qld-4218">Broadbeach</a> offers plenty of reasons to live vertically, but moving from a substantial family home into an apartment can expose the compromises of high-density living. Privacy, room for guests and usable living space tend to matter more when an apartment is intended as a permanent home rather than an occasional coastal base.</p>

<p>A typical residential floor at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-eveleigh-broadbeach-7-9-surf-parade-broadbeach-qld-4218">The Eveleigh</a>, on Surf Parade,&nbsp;contains just four apartments. The 94-residence development by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/hirsch-faigen">Hirsch &amp; Faigen</a> is predominantly made up of expansive three-bedroom homes, with a limited collection of half-floor penthouses above.</p>

<p>Across the apartment floors, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a> has used the relatively limited number of residences to give each home greater access to natural light and outlook. Living spaces extend towards full-height glazing, while a series of bay windows frame selected views across the Pacific Ocean, city and hinterland rather than treating the building edge as a continuous wall of glass.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360965]</p>

<p>“The apartment floors deliver a collection of homes that embrace controlled outlook via a series of bay windows deliberately framing moments of view,” Rothelowman Director Kim Lowman said.</p>

<p>From outside, those projecting forms contribute to the tower’s faceted profile. Strong horizontal and vertical elements establish its proportions, while the changing position of the sun alters the light, shadow and reflection across the façade throughout the day.</p>

<p>The same attention moves inside the apartments, where the material palette combines warm timber, natural stone, metallic detailing and softer curved forms. Kitchens sit within the main living zone, with stone island benches, integrated joinery and European appliances, before the living areas extend towards the glazing and the outlook.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360981]</p>

<p>Three genuine bedrooms provide room to accommodate family and guests, while two secure car spaces and storage address some of the practical considerations that can become more noticeable when moving from a larger home. Feedback from the display suite has centred on the warmth and restraint of the interiors, with buyers commenting that the residences feel like homes rather than conventional coastal apartments.</p>

<p>A limited collection of half-floor penthouses occupies the upper levels, increasing the scale of the living spaces and adding private balconies and elevated finishes. From this position, the outlook extends between the ocean and hinterland.</p>

<p>Outside the private residences, The Eveleigh separates its shared spaces between the podium and rooftop. The podium is centred on wellness, with subtropical landscaping surrounding a swimming pool and pool terrace, yoga garden, private gymnasium, sauna and hot and cold plunge facilities. Landscaped retreats and pavilions provide additional places to sit away from the main recreation areas.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360966]</p>

<p>Higher in the building, a rooftop pavilion and private dining suite sit alongside resident lounge, barbecue and outdoor dining areas, opening towards panoramic views across the ocean, city and hinterland.</p>

<p>“Buyers are no longer just looking for an apartment, but a lifestyle where they can relax, reset, and enjoy a balanced way of living,” Hirsch &amp; Faigen Director of Sales Matt George said.</p>

<p>Interest to date has come from established owner-occupiers and interstate lifestyle purchasers, including buyers planning a future move to the Gold Coast. Many are coming from larger homes and want to reduce ongoing maintenance without giving up space for family and guests, privacy, two car spaces or the ability to entertain at home.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=149670 project_image_fid=360969]</p>

<p>Much of that daily life can also take place beyond the building without requiring a drive. Kurrawa Beach and Pratten Park are an easy walk from Surf Parade, while Pacific Fair, Oracle Boulevard, The Oasis, restaurants, cafés, entertainment and public transport are also within walking distance.</p>

<p data-end="8307" data-start="8063">The Eveleigh is Hirsch &amp; Faigen's fourth Gold Coast development since entering the market in 2021, following The Hemingway at Palm Beach, The Emerson at Kirra and Yves at Mermaid Beach. Each of the preceding projects sold out before completion.</p>

<p data-end="8543" data-start="8312">“Broadbeach had been on our radar throughout our time operating on the Gold Coast,” the developer said. “Following our projects in Palm Beach, Kirra and Mermaid Beach, Broadbeach represented the natural next step for the business.”</p>

<p data-end="8915" data-start="8548">The Surf Parade site brought together proximity to the beach, protected coastal outlooks and walkability to dining, shopping and recreation. Hirsch &amp; Faigen also identified the street as an emerging premium residential address, with enough separation from Broadbeach's busier destinations to retain a quieter environment at home.</p>

<p>The Eveleigh is now under construction by Maxcon, with completion forecast for mid-2028. Three-bedroom residences are currently available from $2.87 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=149670]</p>


Joel Robinson

The Eveleigh brings house-like apartments to Broadbeach

<p>A long-stalled Campbelltown development site is back in play, with new plans for 139 apartments set to supersede a mixed-use scheme approved almost a decade ago but never built.</p>

<p>The new proposal for 28 Cordeaux Street would deliver 116 market and 23 affordable apartments in a part 14-storey building, bringing a substantial new project into a Campbelltown market where new apartment supply remains limited.</p>

<p>Plans have been filed over the 3,092 sqm corner site at Moore-Oxley Street, around 600 metres from Campbelltown Railway Station and the city-centre retail core.</p>

<p>The site already carries a mixed-use residential approval dating to 2016. Doroch Architects has now been engaged on a larger replacement scheme, which is progressing as a State Significant Development Application following a Housing Delivery Authority determination in August 2025.</p>

<p>The apartment mix comprises 39 one-bedroom, 72 two-bedroom and 28 three-bedroom residences. Two-bedroom apartments make up just over half of the project, while three-bedroom homes account for 20 per cent.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: New 139-apartment plans revive long-stalled Campbelltown city centre site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="136dd5b9-3791-4da6-9e31-76f533f5b4de" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Campbelltown%20da2.png?VersionId=LgOSy9nwf5u.MGswBBwaGGxuX8QpHSl_" /></p>

<p>Of the 139 apartments, 23 will be delivered as affordable housing under the in-fill affordable housing provisions of the Housing SEPP. The affordable component represents 15 per cent of the residential gross floor area and will be managed by a registered Community Housing Provider.</p>

<p>Doroch has sought to break the scale of the building into two distinct elements, with a masonry podium of around four storeys establishing the street edge before the residential tower steps back above.</p>

<p>The corner position has shaped that approach. Cordeaux Street faces toward the commercial and civic centre, while Moore-Oxley Street leads into the lower-scale residential neighbourhood to the south, and the design verification report describes the site as "bridging the commercial core to the north and established residential areas to the south."</p>

<p>The podium will be expressed predominantly in face brick, while the upper levels shift to brushed and grooved concrete cladding with darker metal detailing. Recessed sections, deep balcony edges and landscaping break down the upper form, with an approximately 11.8-metre setback to the northern boundary addressing the adjoining St Peters Anglican School.</p>

<p><img alt="First look: New 139-apartment plans revive long-stalled Campbelltown city centre site" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c8b3d2d3-c561-4bfc-a5d9-a68c0c10dac1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Campbelltown%20da1.png?VersionId=AeAEyJU02Gk2k5noUj2StziCvdQ7fW4B" /></p>

<p>Campbelltown has been starved of new residential developments in the last decade.</p>

<p>The only other notable development set to come to market this year is ALAND's Queen Square, a mixed-use precinct on over two hectares that will comprise apartments above a vibrant ground-level retail and hospitality dining precinct.</p>


First look: New 139-apartment plans revive long-stalled Campbelltown city centre site

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<p>A 60-apartment building nine storeys tall would be a rarity almost anywhere along this stretch of Moreton Bay, but that's exactly what's been lodged for a modest Deception Bay street better known for its single-storey weatherboard homes.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherlock-construction-homes">Sherlock Construction Homes</a> is seeking to push Deception Bay’s emerging medium-density housing profile higher, lodging plans for a nine-storey apartment building near the suburb’s shopping centre and foreshore.</p>

<p>Dubbed Grosvenor Apartments, the proposal at 14-20 Grosvenor Terrace would replace two detached homes with a new building designed by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/mode">Mode Design</a>&nbsp;which would&nbsp;reach nearly 30 metres, well above the site’s mapped 21-metre building height.</p>

<p><img alt="First Look: Sherlock Construction pitches 9-storey tower for low-rise Deception Bay" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="86c21a25-5a97-4ca7-a361-80757137ea5b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Deception%20da%20front.png?VersionId=aXIujfvEhH33sLHOEjHFv9Ii6qxSvAF4" /></p>

<p>The apartment mix is weighted toward larger homes, with 14 three-bedroom apartments, 31 two-bedroom apartments and 15 one-bedroom apartments. Six apartment types are spread across the floors, ranging from 66 sqm one-bedroom units through to three-bedroom apartments of 116 sqm, most with private balconies or terraces.</p>

<p>Levels one through seven follow a consistent layout of six to eight apartments per floor arranged around a central lift and stair core, with the top floor, level eight, trading one apartment for a landscaped community breakout space rather than repeating the standard layout below.</p>

<p>Ground floor is dedicated to arrival and services, with a lobby, mailroom and manager's office, alongside 91 car spaces.</p>

<p><img alt="First Look: Sherlock Construction pitches 9-storey tower for low-rise Deception Bay" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b098bde0-5fe1-4e6c-9601-e5446612e5fc" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Deception%20podium.png?VersionId=A0hfENMNxSxkfh9Jl6D4WJ9XIraeOukA" /></p>

<p>Mode Design's brief describes a "serene coastal-inspired design blending soft curves, natural textures and light-filled spaces to reflect the relaxed Deception Bay lifestyle."&nbsp;</p>

<p>The material palette leans on white and grey render, timber-look aluminium screening and stacked-brick-look finishes, with hanging greenery and vine planting proposed across balcony edges and ground-level walls.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Balconies feature asymmetrical geometries intended to vary the building's rhythm rather than repeat a single module up the tower, while lush planting is concentrated over the entry and level one balconies to soften the building's base.</p>

<p><img alt="First Look: Sherlock Construction pitches 9-storey tower for low-rise Deception Bay" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c05c5693-3e00-42d0-b075-55c36094f4db" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Deception%20da%201.png?VersionId=cMKJgBsBaaVCd2dA5O22SOT38OT_.BPA" /></p>

<p>The design evolved following an April 2025 prelodgement meeting with council. At that stage, the project was conceived as a seven-storey building containing 45 apartments. The subsequently lodged scheme increases the development to nine storeys and 60 apartments while introducing one-bedroom residences to the mix.</p>

<p>Zone Planning argues the additional scale reflects the site's position within an area earmarked for increased residential intensity. The planning report points to the North Lakes-Redcliffe-Moreton Bay Rail corridor strategy, which identifies Deception Bay as a district-level activity centre and supports greater housing choice within urban neighbourhoods.</p>

<p>Market Square Deception Bay, Deception Bay Sports Centre, Deception Bay State School, public transport, community facilities and the Moreton Bay foreshore are all identified within approximately one kilometre of the site, while the property falls within a 400-metre walking catchment of Market Square.</p>

First Look: Sherlock Construction pitches apartments for low-rise Deception Bay

<p data-end="587" data-start="368">Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.</p>

<p data-end="778" data-start="589">The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.</p>

<p data-end="907" data-start="780"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.</p>

<p data-end="1052" data-start="909">The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.</p>

<p data-end="1311" data-start="1054">The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.</p>

<p data-end="1451" data-start="1313">The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.</p>

<p data-end="1676" data-start="1453">MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.</p>

<p data-end="1908" data-start="1678">Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.</p>

<p data-end="2142" data-start="1910">The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.</p>

<p data-end="2142" data-start="1910"><img alt="MAYD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1bcbb05-e659-4b47-8bd4-1e595315e2ad" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%202.05.03%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=jj0XEud1X1DuLt7_KyElhjMdZGOXmLHP" /></p>

<p data-end="2308" data-start="2144">MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.</p>

<p data-end="2648" data-start="2310">"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.</p>

<p data-end="2797" data-start="2650">"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."</p>

<p data-end="2938" data-start="2799">The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.</p>

<p data-end="3216" data-start="2940">Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.</p>

<p data-end="3325" data-start="3218">Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.</p>

<p data-end="3442" data-start="3327">"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.</p>

<p data-end="3662" data-start="3444">"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."</p>

<p data-end="3818" data-start="3664">MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.</p>

<p data-end="4076" data-start="3820">"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.</p>

<p data-end="4375" data-start="4078">"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."</p>

<p data-end="4503" data-start="4377">Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.</p>

<p data-end="4741" data-start="4505">"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."</p>

<p data-end="4910" data-start="4743">The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.</p>

<p data-end="4951" data-start="4912">MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.</p>


First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

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<p data-end="600" data-start="394">Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.</p>

<p data-end="733" data-start="602">But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.</p>

<p data-end="970" data-start="735">Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.</p>

<p data-end="970" data-start="735">[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]</p>

<p data-end="1159" data-start="972">The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.</p>

<p data-end="1357" data-start="1161">It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.</p>

<p data-end="3400" data-start="3216">[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]</p>

<p data-end="3400" data-start="3216">Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.</p>

<p data-end="1664" data-start="1517">Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.</p>

<p data-end="1826" data-start="1666">Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.</p>

<p data-end="1826" data-start="1666">[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]</p>

<p data-end="2045" data-start="1828">Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.</p>

<p data-end="2269" data-start="2047">"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.</p>

<p data-end="2430" data-start="2271">A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.</p>

<p data-end="2606" data-start="2432">It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.</p>

<p data-end="2724" data-start="2608">At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.</p>

<p data-end="2892" data-start="2726">Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.</p>

<p data-end="2892" data-start="2726">[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]</p>

<p data-end="3004" data-start="2894">Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.</p>

<p data-end="3214" data-start="3006">"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.</p>

<p data-end="3400" data-start="3216">The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.</p>

<p data-end="3400" data-start="3216">More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.</p>

<p data-end="3670" data-start="3538">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="3670" data-start="3538">[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]</p>

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Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

Dwelling Construction

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<p>EXPERT OBSERVER</p>
<p>Dwelling approvals posted a much smaller than expected 0.2% dip in Dec, following a sharp 10.9% jump in November. The Consensus had been looking for a 5% pull back. Annual growth lifted to 2.7%yr, the first positive since June 2018, albeit with monthly comparisons flattered by base effects. Measured on a quarterly basis, Q4 saw a 6.1%qtr rise but approvals still down 8.3%yr.</p>
<p>As noted in our preview, the previous month's gain was heavily concentrated in NSW, which posted a 50%+ rise, approvals ex NSW down 0.9%. We attributed much of this to a delayed effect associated with regulatory changes rolled out in October with December expected to see the spike reverse.</p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/2/4/Dwelling%20Approvals%20CL%20JAN.JPG" alt=""></p>
<p>The December detail confirmed this with a sharp reversal in NSW (–30%mth) but the impact was negated by an even sharper high-rise-driven spike in Vic (+34%mth). Our initial take is that this is again largely a temporary effect relating to the lumpy high rise project pipeline. That said, Vic is showing a decent lift in non high rise approvals as well that may be an early sign that the wider market upturn is starting to flow through to non high rise segments.</p>
<p>Outside of NSW and Vic, approvals across the rest of Australia fell 3.6%mth on a combined basis and are tracking a much weaker profile. For the December month, approvals fell 5.7% in Qld, slumped 20% in SA but rose 5.4% in WA.</p>
<p>The segment breakdown nationally showed an estimated 11% pull back in high rise approvals which followed a 40% jump in Nov. 'Low-mid' rise approvals surged strongly, up an estimated 19% in the month and 22%yr. Private house approvals dipped 0.1%mth to be down 7.1%yr. On a combined basis, non high rise approvals were up 4.1%mth but still down 0.8%yr.</p>
<p>Renovation approvals continued to fall sharply into year end, the total value of approvals down further 1.8% in December to be down 5.5% for Q4 as a whole – the fastest pace of decline since 2016.</p>
<p>Non residential building approvals pared back some of their recent weakness, jumping 35% in the month but still down 17.5% for Q4 as a whole – the segment can be extremely volatile month to month but has moved into a fairly clear downtrend since August.</p>
<p>Overall the December update shows a complex mix with one off factors likely again exaggerating strength but some hints of firming elsewhere. As always, housing-related data should be treated with extra caution through the December-January period as seasonality can amplify volatility. On balance we continue to expect approvals to show a muted and slow response to rate cuts with a gradual lift in non high rise approvals coming through more strongly by mid-2020 (overlaid with a slightly boost from bushfire-related rebuilding) but high rise holding broadly flat. While the monthly profile for total approvals may be shaping into a sharper turning point the detail suggests the underlying cycle is turning more slowly. Either way, its likely to be a few more months before we get a clear read.</p>
<p><strong>MATTHEW HASSAN </strong>is a Senior economist at Westpac</p>
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Have dwelling approvals reached a turning point? Matthew Hassan

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Australia building activity to plummet but set for mid 2020 recovery: BIS Oxford Economics

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Significant slowdown in dwelling commencements this quarter: Cameron Kusher

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<p>If the leading dwelling construction indicators do not improve in the first half of 2019, then the pipeline of building work will be exhausted at a concerning rate, according to HIA's latest report.</p>
<p>The report found the pipeline of building work has expanded over recent years and the backlog that once existed has been reduced.</p>
<p>Tim Reardon, HIA Chief Economist said, “The downturn in the level of home building activity will be contained to the next two years, as long as migration policy is not tightened further."</p>
<p>“In 2018, market confidence fell away as dwelling prices corrected, adversely impacting all segments of the market. Investors and owner occupiers are delaying purchase decisions and foreign investment has also fallen dramatically for numerous reasons."</p>
<p>“Builders in markets with a significant volume of work in the pipeline – such as Melbourne – have not been affected by the downturn yet, but other markets that were already performing poorly – such as Perth – have seen their market fall to a new historic low point," he stated.</p>
<p>Tim Reardon is of the opinion that the building industry, which has been a driving factor for the rest of the economy for the past five years, will now be relying on the rest of the economy to deliver a "contained" downturn.</p>
<p>“The expectation that governments will not constrain net overseas migration is central to this outlook for a contained downturn."</p>
<p>“If the fall in overseas migration accelerates then interest rate cuts are likely to be necessary in order to mitigate the adverse impacts of this home building downturn on the wider economy,” concluded Mr Reardon.</p>
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The pipeline of home building work is shrinking: HIA

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<p>CoreLogic head of research Tim Lawless has noted although dwelling values have been falling over the past three months, rental rates have been increasing over the same period.</p>
<p>"In fact, rental rates are higher over the year in all capital cities other than Perth and Darwin and within all regional markets except for regional Western Australia," Lawless said.</p>
<p>"The markets experiencing the greatest increases in rents over the past year have been Hobart (10.2%) which has recorded double-digit annual rental growth for the first time since August 2009 and regional Tasmania (7.6%) which is experiencing the strongest rental growth since the end of 2008. </p>
<p>Lawless said with rental rates climbing at a time when dwelling values are falling, the result is that gross rental yields are starting to repair after a long period of yield compression.</p>
<p>"In fact, at a national level yields have not been as high as they are currently in 11 months."</p>
<p>Rental yields are lifting from record lows in Melbourne and Sydney.</p>
<p>"Throughout the last 12 months, gross rental yields in Sydney and Melbourne have lifted from historic lows.</p>
<p>"Although the increase in yields is gradual, gross rental yields in Sydney are now at their highest level since October 2016 and in Melbourne yields are the highest they have been since September of last year.”</p>
<p>“Ordinarily, higher yields would be a factor attracting more investment activity to the market, however a combination of softer dwelling values, tighter credit and lower sentiment will likely continue to dampen investment participation in the housing market.less competition from the investment sector has likely supported a rise in first home buyer buying."</p>
<ul>
<li>Highest rental yield: Darwin 5.9% </li>
<li>Lowest rental yields: Melbourne 2.9% </li>
</ul>
<p> <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/3/1/INDEX%201.jpg" alt=""></p>
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<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2018/3/1/INDEX%203.jpg" alt=""></p>
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Gross rental yields in Sydney and Melbourne have lifted from historic lows: CoreLogic

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<p>Concerns about returns from Australia's burgeoning rent-to-build sector have been put forward by the fund manager of the $120 billion AustralianSuper’s property division, according to reports in The Australian.</p>
<p>The Australian said the superannuation firm had some doubts about the potential performance of the assets.</p>
<p>AustralianSuper senior investment manager for property Christine Phillips was reported as saying demand for build-to-rent properties in Australia was clear, and their supply was under consideration by large developers, such as Lendlease and Mirvac, but returns were in question.</p>
<p>“I don’t dispute the demand side of it. I think that there is definitely a market for institutional owned rental — professionally run rental accommodation that treats its tenants with respect,” she said.</p>
<p>“They’re able to not take the development profit, they’ve probably got land that’s sitting there at a cost that makes the numbers stack up better, they’ve got the end operation that can operate it once it’s up.</p>
<p>“The question for everyone is what return do we need to invest in Australia, and that’s proving difficult.”</p>
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Concerns about returns from Australia's burgeoning rent-to-build sector

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<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>Approvals by local councils to build new homes rose by 10.9 per cent in June after falling by 5.4 per cent in May. House approvals rose 4 per cent to 13-month highs. </p>
<p>What does it all mean?</p>
<p>Apartment approvals bounced higher in June, but the long-term trend shows that home builders are now increasingly looking to build free-standing homes or townhouses. The share of new building allocated to townhouses has hit a 7-year high of 14.7 per cent while detached houses now account for 51.1 per cent of building – a 15-month high. Whether local councils are saying no to high rise apartments or whether it is the end- buyer saying no, builders, developers and building material providers will need to carefully watch future trends.</p>
<p>More homes are still being approved for construction by local councils. Some thought that the housing pipeline would be well and truly drying up by now, but that’s certainly not the case. The number of council approvals is actually little-changed on a year ago.</p>
<p>What do the figures show?</p>
<p>Building Approvals:</p>
<p>Dwelling approvals rose by 10.9 per cent in June after falling by 5.4 per cent in May. In trend terms, approvals rose by 0.1 per cent in June – the first rise in four months.</p>
<p>Over the past year 219,284 new homes were approved, down from the record high 242,629 in the year to August 2016.</p>
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<p><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/08/03/Screen%20Shot%202017-08-03%20at%208.21.50%20AM.png" alt=""></span></p>
<p> </p>
<p>House approvals rose by 4.0 per cent in June – the third straight gain and the highest number in 13 months. Meanwhile ‘lumpy’ apartment approvals rose by 20.1 per cent in June after falling by 12.4 per cent in May. Apartment approvals have moved in a dramatic zig-zag fashion for the past five months.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Across states/territories: NSW (+24.8 per cent); Victoria (+6.1 per cent); Queensland (+0.1 per cent); South Australia (-20 per cent); Western Australia (+19.6 per cent); Tasmania (-8.3 per cent). Trend terms: Northern Territory (-2.7 per cent); ACT (+5.9 per cent).</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Western Australian approvals hit 7-month highs in June. NSW approvals rose the most in 11 months.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>Dwelling approvals in May were down by 2.3 per cent on a year ago in seasonally adjusted terms and were down by 14.9 per cent in trend terms.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>The value of all commercial and residential building approvals rose by 2.2 per cent in June – the third straight gain. Residential approvals rose by 5.5 per cent with new building up by 5.4 per cent while alterations &amp; additions rose by 6.7 per cent to a 6-month high. Commercial building fell by 2.6 per cent in June after rising 13.5 per cent in the two previous months.</p>
<p> </p>
<p>What is the importance of the economic data?</p>
<p> </p>
<p>The Bureau of Statistics' monthly Building Approvals release contains figures on local council approvals to build residential structures such as homes and units as well as commercial premises such as offices and shops. Approval is one of the first stages of the construction ‘pipeline’ and is thus a key leading indicator of future activity. An increase in approvals would point to stronger future activity for construction-related companies.</p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span>What are the implications for interest rates and investors? </span></p>
<p><span>Home building remains healthy – and it’s not just new homes but also renovations, tracking near record highs. At present building isn’t soaring nor slumping, but the Reserve Bank will certainly need to keep housing well and truly in the centre of its radar screen over the coming year. </span></p>
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<p class="p1"><span class="s1"><em>Craig James is the chief economist at </em><a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx"><span class="s2"><em>CommSec</em></span></a><em>.</em> </span></p>
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cjames-5S2v74qSNK

Builders again embrace houses: Craig James

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<p><img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/76776/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-advanced" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1">GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Crane-spotters rejoice. The <span class="s2">10th Rider Levett Bucknall (RLB) Crane Index®</span> is public. And the news is, well, rather illuminating.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Operating since 2012, the Australian RLB Crane Index® tracks the number of tower cranes in key cities in Australia. Based on the theory that cranes in the sky indicate major project construction, the index gives a simple insight into the construction sector’s health within Australia.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">So, what does the 10th edition tell us?</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The most obvious message is that if cranes were the only thing that mattered in the competition between the capitals, Sydney would win hands down. Sydney’s skylines are home to more than 50 percent of Australia’s cranes. Melbourne has 22 percent and Brisbane 12 percent, with the remaining 10 percent divvied up between other major cities across the country. While the overall number of cranes in Australia has declined slightly, the index in Sydney and Melbourne continues to rise.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/03/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-03%20at%208.31.09%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p class="p2"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/03/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-03%20at%208.31.09%20AM.png" alt=""></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1"><strong>Most cranes are used to construct apartments</strong></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">But it’s not just the number of these soaring splendours of the sky that is of interest to those keeping an eye on cities. There have also been shifts in the number of cranes dedicated to sector.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The vast majority of cranes (about 84 percent) are used on residential sites – ie. the construction of apartments. Commercial projects come in a pitiful second with 5 percent of crane activity. Other sectors, including health, education, infrastructure and recreation projects, make cameo appearances to make up the remaining 11 percent.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The distribution of cranes amongst project types, however, and the shift in this distribution, is different from city to city. All cities apart from the east coast powerhouses of Sydney and Melbourne experienced a decrease in cranes on residential projects. And the increase in cranes building apartments in Sydney (34) far outstrips any increase in Melbourne (13).</span></p>
<p class="p5"><span class="s1"><strong>Cranes cluster in Melbourne but spread all over Sydney</strong></span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Another interesting insight from the index is the geographical dispersal of cranes across cities. The index report contains heat maps showing hot spots for crane activity. Again, the difference in the dispersal of cranes across Sydney compared to Melbourne is particularly telling.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/03/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-03%20at%208.33.11%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p class="p2"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/03/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-03%20at%208.33.11%20AM.png" alt=""> </p>
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<p class="p2"><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2017/05/03/Screen%20Shot%202017-05-03%20at%208.34.24%20AM.png" alt=""></p>
<p>While Sydney’s 292 residential cranes are scattered throughout the entire metropolitan area, Melbourne’s 122 long-armed navvies are more concentrated in its inner urban core.</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Why the increases in cranes dedicated to residential construction in Sydney and Melbourne? And why the differences in dispersal versus concentration between the two cities?</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The larger apartment blocks which require cranes are expensive to construct – the square-metre rates are at least double the rates of lower-density dwellings. For these larger projects to be feasible, they need to be in a neighbourhood where the price of the finished apartment is still less than the price of a separate dwelling – ie. areas with a higher median house price.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Previously, this situation did not apply to many suburbs. However, the most recent surge in housing prices in Sydney has pushed up prices, rendering high-rise construction feasible in many more areas. This has extended not only the prevalence of high-rise, but also their footprint across the city.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Of course, the price surge has also been experienced in Melbourne, but to a lesser degree and in a more concentrated manner, with Melbourne’s pricier suburbs sticking closely to the inner urban core.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">A second reason for the increase and dispersion in Sydney is that many of these larger projects are now approved by Sydney planning panels, rather than by local government. The majority of members of these panels are experts appointed by the planning minister. Hence they avoid the anti-densification tradition that lingers in some local government areas, again enabling approval and construction of high-rise throughout the suburbs.</span></p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">The RLB crane index is therefore not just a source of fascination for urban crane-spotters. Although it isn’t exactly rigorous evidence of city morphology over time, it’s interesting to look sideways from traditional indices for novel expressions of change.</span></p>
<p>Jennifer Kent is<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/jennifer-kent-13822"> </a>research fellow, University of Sydney and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/jennifer-kent-13822" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p>Peter Phibbs is chair of Urban Planning and Policy, University of Sydney and can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/peter-phibbs-27130" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">Both are authors for The Conversation.</span></p>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Crane-spotting: a way to tell which Australian cities are growing and where

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<p><span>New home sales bounced back in November 2016 according to the latest </span>New Homes Sales Report from the Housing Industry Association.</p>
<p>Harley Dale, HIA chief economist, said following a dip to a two year low last October, the November bounce in new home sales is a reminder that the national new home construction sector remains in strong shape</p>
<p>“The sector may have just passed its peak, but the short term outlook is a healthy one, a conclusion supported by other leading indicators such as the ABS measures of Building Approvals and Housing Finance," he said.</p>
<p>"The survey shows a 6.1 percent bounce in seasonally-adjusted new home sales.</p>
<p>"Over the three months to November 2016 the total number of new home sales fell by 0.7 percent to be down by only 0.2 percent when compared to the same three month period in 2015.</p>
<p><span>“At this stage of the new home building cycle that’s a very impressive result – </span><span>this is already the largest and longest national new home construction cycle in history.</span><span><br></span></p>
<p><span>“</span><span>A healthy outlook for new home construction in the first half of 2017 is good news for the Australian economy, because of the huge impact that new home construction has on broader economic activity. Without the boost from housing over the last five years the domestic economy would have at some point </span><span>slipped into recession.</span></p>
<p><span>“You wouldn’t want </span><span>to be seeing signals of an imminent and sharp slowdown in national new home building acti</span><span>vity, and we’re not. Looking further out, the declines in construction activity </span><span>will inevitably </span><span>become chunkier."</span></p>
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New home sales bounce back in November 2016: HIA

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<h3 class="post-title entry-title"> </h3>
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<div>Australia's GDP increased to $1.67 trillion in financial year 2016, measured in seasonally adjusted Chain Volume Measures terms, now tracking at just above $420 billion per quarter.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Following on from yesterday's post, a quick look here at industry gross value added (GVA).</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Having accounted for just over 5 per cent of industry GVA three decades ago, mining's share has swelled to 8.9 percent as export volumes begin to ramp up.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Finance and insurance also now accounts for 8.9 per cent of industry GVA, up from just 4.9 per cent in 1986.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>You can click on the chart to expand it (or use the touch screen, if you have one of those, of course).</div>
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<div><a href="/images/2016/09/28/GVA.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<br><div class="separator"> </div>
<div>On the other hand, manufacturing is shrinking as a share of the pie, declining from a share of 11.1 percent at the beginning of this chart to just 5.8 percent in 2016.</div>
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<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Construction wind-down</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The latest figures show that the contribution of construction to GDP has remained solid at 7.6 per cent, tracking at around $32 billion per quarter.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>A decade ago construction was contributing only $13 to $14 billion per quarter. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>This suggests that the planned 'hand-off' from resources to residential construction was generally a success between 2012 and 2016. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, this does also mean that as residential construction eventually winds down there will be quite a hole in domestic demand to be plugged by something other than rising mining export volumes.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Given the respective skill-sets of all those construction workers, tradies, and project managers, the answer should be: infrastructure and non-residential construction, as I looked at in a bit more detail here. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Indeed, the unprecedented stamp duty windfall from Sydney's property boom is already funding a range of infrastructure projects in Sydney and New South Wales. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>But what about the gaping gulf left behind in the resources regions? </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Troubling, and this may be leading to an exodus of regional workers. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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