Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.

The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.

The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.

The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.

The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.

MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.

Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.

The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.

<img alt="MAYD" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1bcbb05-e659-4b47-8bd4-1e595315e2ad" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%202.05.03%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=jj0XEud1X1DuLt7_KyElhjMdZGOXmLHP" />

MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.

"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.

"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."

The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.

Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.

Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.

"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.

"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."

MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.

"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.

"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."

Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.

"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."

The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.

MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.

Joel Robinson

First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

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Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.

But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.

Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]

The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.

It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]

Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.

Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.

Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]

Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.

"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.

A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.

It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.

At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.

Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377680]

Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.

"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.

The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.

More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152737]

<h3 data-end="3697" data-section-id="q3n5ak" data-start="3672">&nbsp;</h3>
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Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

A collection of just 25 large-format apartments and penthouses overlooking Goodwin Park is entering the Coolangatta market, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marea-residences-coolangatta-27-27a-dixon-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Maréa Residences</a> combining a low-density, residential-only approach with uninterrupted park and Pacific Ocean outlooks.

Located at 27 Dixon Street, Maréa comprises three and four-bedroom residences alongside a limited number of dual-level penthouses, with the project positioned between Goodwin Park and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/coolangatta-qld-4225">Coolangatta</a>’s coastal precinct.

Construction has commenced, with completion currently estimated for late 2027. Three-bedroom residences are priced from $1.8 million.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374005]

The project has been designed around its northern outlook across the park, with the building’s architecture, landscaping and material palette intended to establish a connection with the neighbouring green space. The residences have been configured to maximise natural light and views across Goodwin Park towards the ocean.

Inside, the material palette incorporates timber, stone and brushed brass, complemented by curved detailing and ambient lighting. Kitchens and bathrooms carry the same natural material approach, while residences also include basement parking, storage and lift access.

Maréa’s penthouses are arranged over two levels and include private pools, adding another layer to the project’s focus on larger-format apartment living. Across the development, residences are configured with three or four bedrooms rather than the broader mix of smaller apartment types commonly found in larger projects.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374010]

Resident amenity is concentrated at rooftop level, where landscaped entertaining terraces and pools take advantage of elevated views across Coolangatta and the Pacific Ocean.

The project has so far been particularly well received by local owner-occupiers and downsizers, according to Urban Activation Property Sales and Marketing Director Matt George, with the residential-only format, construction quality and northern park outlook among the features resonating with purchasers.

“The uninterrupted northern aspect overlooking Goodwin Park has been a key point of difference, with buyers attracted to the sense of serenity and open space the park provides, while still enjoying easy access to the ocean and being within walking distance of the lifestyle and amenities Coolangatta has to offer,” George said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374002]

“The combination of high-quality construction, a residential-only building, park outlook and proximity to the beach has resonated strongly with the local downsizer market.”

The Dixon Street address is within walking distance of Coolangatta Beach and the broader southern Gold Coast coastline, including the surf breaks at Snapper Rocks and Kirra. Coolangatta’s cafés, restaurants and retail are nearby, while Gold Coast Airport is also within close proximity.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150999]

Maréa Residences brings parkside apartments to Coolangatta

Melbourne developer PDG has secured Victorian Government approval for its $1.5 billion Southbank development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-1-queens-bridge-street-southbank-vic-3006">The One</a>, clearing the way for the long-dormant riverfront site opposite Crown to finally be developed.

The Minister for Planning has approved the project at 1-29 Queens Bridge Street, with the Department of Transport and Planning issuing the planning permit following its assessment.

The approval will allow PDG to develop the prominent 5,059 sqm site with a major mixed-use tower comprising premium apartments, including branded residences, a luxury hotel and boutique office space.

PDG acquired the site in late 2024, with its position directly opposite Crown's main entrance and near Melbourne's Arts Precinct making it one of Southbank's most significant remaining development opportunities.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3933013e-6332-4386-b9be-089df05caf17" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sITIgBqDL0N3VNSMwWEmF5UA.uvcsRyu" />

Designed by COX in collaboration with ODO and PDG, the tower's architecture draws on the movement of the Yarra River, with six vertical pleats running the height of the sculpted facade.

The project will also see the heritage-listed Queens Bridge Hotel restored and incorporated into the development&nbsp;with new hospitality and public uses, including a rooftop venue.

A significant component of The One will be its residential amenity.

More than 5,000 sqm of resident facilities will be delivered across a single level, making it one of the largest consolidated residential amenity offerings proposed in an Australian apartment development.

The planning approval also incorporates a major upgrade of Queensbridge Square, which PDG will deliver in partnership with the City of Melbourne.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73167fcd-1031-4b6f-a408-a064cfe45ed1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Pf1AEWxw6SNmBqR0zQW5lyEze.MtxgFp" />

The existing square will be revitalised as a new civic and pedestrian space along the Yarra River, strengthening the connection between the project, Southbank and the riverfront.

PDG Founder and Managing Director Vince Giuliano said the approval represented a major milestone for a site which has remained largely underutilised for more than 15 years.

“This is the most significant Planning Permit approval Melbourne has seen in recent years,” Giuliano said.

“For more than 15 years, this site has remained underutilised. This approval enables us to deliver a project that will contribute meaningfully to the revitalisation of Southbank, restore and reactivate an important heritage building, and create a new civic and hospitality destination for Melbourne.”

The latest approval follows an earlier planning permit issued by the City of Melbourne covering demolition works across part of the site at 9-29 Queens Bridge Street. Those demolition and early works are already underway.

PDG has also started generating early interest in the residential component from owner-occupiers ahead of a planned public launch in early 2027.

PDG secures approval for $1.5bn Southbank apartment development, The One

Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.

The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.

That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.

The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.

A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.

&nbsp;

Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.

Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.

While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;

Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.

First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

Dwelling Approvals

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Dwelling approvals showed a further weakening in June, reaching an 8 year low.
Total dwelling approvals fell 4.9% to be down nearly 20% over the last two months.
The detail showed weakness in the month was more broadly based than May’s unit driven fall.
Private sector unit approvals declined 5.3% mth to be down 23.4% qtr for Q2 as a whole.
Private sector detached house approvals posted a similar sized 5.7% decline in the June month but were more resilient for the quarter as a whole, down just 2.6% qtr.
On a monthly basis, all segments are down materially on a year ago.
All states recorded declines, although they were more pronounced in NSW (–14.8%), WA (–11.7%) and Qld (–10.9%), and more muted in SA (–4.6%) and Vic (–0.2%).
All states have seen double digit declines over May-June.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

National dwelling approvals fall further with NSW hit hardest

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Dwelling approvals showed a further weakening in June broadly in line with Westpac’s forecasts but weaker than the consensus view. Total dwelling approvals fell 4.9% to be down nearly 20% over the last two months, touching an eight year low.
The detail showed weakness in the month was more broadly based than May’s unit driven fall. Private sector unit approvals declined 5.3%mth to be down 23.4%qtr for Q2 as a whole (our estimates suggesting 'high rise' down 27.8%qtr and 'low rise' down a much milder 6.2%qtr).
Private sector detached house approvals posted a similar sized 5.7% decline in the June month but were more resilient for the quarter as a whole, down just 2.6%qtr. On a monthly basis, all segments are down materially on a year ago.
All states recorded declines, although they were more pronounced in NSW (–14.8%), WA (–11.7%) and Qld (–10.9%), and more muted in SA (–4.6%) and Vic (–0.2%). All states have seen double digit declines over May-June.
The value of renovation approvals posted a relatively strong 11.4% surge in June. This may be an early sign that relaxing restrictions in May-June are seeing some improvement, given renovations are likely to have shorter lags between application and approval. However, it should be noted that the gain is coming after some large falls with June approvals still below their March level and the value still down 9%qtr for Q2 as a whole. The segment is likely also benefitting from expenditure switching as COVID restrictions limit discretionary spending in other areas.
The value of non res. building approvals also rebounded, rising 17.8%mth, but was also coming from a weak starting point, approvals still 6.6% below their March level and down a whopping 18.1%qtr for Q2 as a whole.
For dwellings, the pull back continues to track broadly in line with Westpac's forecast. We expect approvals to come in at 145k for the full calendar year, roughly in line with the annualised pace in the June month and implying further weakness over the second half of the year. Note that approvals are likely to understate weakness in building as work on many existing projects will be delayed and some approved projects will be shelved or slower to commence.
Against this, the Federal government's HomeBuilder scheme, which provides $25k grants to eligible owner-occupiers buying a new home (or renovating an existing home), will give some support in months to come. With COVID-19 disruptions becoming more uneven geographically, state approval numbers are also likely to see a widening divergence in the second half of the year, Qld, WA and SA well placed to rebound and respond to stimulus measures, NSW seeing a slower reopening and Vic still contending with a large 'second wave' outbreak.
MATTHEW HASSAN is a Senior economist at Westpac
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Matthew_Hassan-HHWHptmrw4

Dwelling approvals hit eight year low: Matthew Hassan

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<div>EXPERT OBSERVER</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Less than a month ago, one report suggested Australia might have the 'world's worst management' of the virus, and yet now it has transpired that our results are among the very best in the world, alongside New Zealand. </div>
<div>
 Whether that's by luck or by judgement - or most likely a bit of both - may only be known in the fullness of time.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As to how this is impacting real estate searches, there are three main factors to bear in mind.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Firstly, there are now record low mortgage rates for new borrowers, from just over 2 per cent, and these look set to persist for at least three years. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Secondly, there's now some potential return for a return of the cobweb effect we saw before the election last year, which may kill new supply, at least in tightly held or blue chip areas. </div>
<div> </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-muLpbzV0YMk/XqeSHzYsCkI/AAAAAAAA1bQ/UiIENyW0HFITZfYPgrsz7LRQGKmXAASWgCNcBGAsYHQ/s640/COBWEB.jpg" width="640" height="402" data-original-height="676" data-original-width="1073"></div>
 Dwelling starts look set to slump to around a 70-year low, and while plenty of aged listings remain on the market, quality new listings are now rather thin.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>For example, Real Estate reported that there was just one new apartment listing in Coogee over the course of a week, which is exasperating for anyone wanting for take advantage of the slowdown.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>And thirdly - a point I've alluded to previously - while Canada, the US, and many developed European and Asian countries have grappled with the spread of the virus, the two countries which are emerging with enhanced reputations as the most desirable to live appear to be New Zealand and Australia. </div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-FCrTsrhS1A8/XqeB4-FGTkI/AAAAAAAA1a0/FNk2h5mGer4YoMzTOD_POJsFl6E9LiKcgCNcBGAsYHQ/s640/BB.jpg" width="640" height="448" data-original-height="517" data-original-width="738"></div>
 A 'Lucky Country' indeed.
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Dwelling starts look set to slump to new low: Pete Wargent

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EXPERT OBSERVATION 
Dwelling approvals were much weaker than expected in Oct, recording an 8.1% pull back from September's 7.2% gain.
The Consensus had been looking for a milder 1% fall. The fall takes total monthly approvals back near their July cycle low, down 23.6%yr.
The detail was particularly disappointing – rather than a high-rise driven result, weakness in the month was more evenly spread across all dwelling types, detached houses down 11%, mid-low rise unit approvals down an estimated 4.7% and high rise approvals down an estimated 14%.
The renewed weakness in non high rise segments is despite tentative signs of stabilisation in recent months and firmer reads on construction-related finance approvals. These segments are also expected to be more responsive to recent interest rate cuts and the pick up in house prices.
The state detail showed weakness was concentrated in NSW and Qld with other states posting solid gains.
NSW was particularly weak with total dwelling approvals down 16%mth to a 7yr low. Qld approvals fell 10% in the month but look to be chopping around a steadier underlying trend. Vic posted a 5.7% rise but also looks to be stable in trend terms. WA approvals rose 11.5%, off a very weak Sep, and SA rose 14.7% with an uptrend in place.
The total value of renovation approvals declined 2.6%, mostly reversing a 3% gain in Sep month, and still tracking a slight trend decline.
The total value of non res building approvals rose 4.2% but was coming off a very choppy Aug-Sep. Approvals are up strongly on a 3mth basis but tracking about flat in monthly trend terms.
Overall the Oct dwelling approvals report highlights the weak outlook for new dwelling construction. High rise segments look susceptible to further declines and non high rise is still softening despite rate cuts and the improved tone to markets since mid year.
Falling dwelling investment is set to be a continued drag through 2020 – we expect new dwelling investment to be down 11.5% for the full calendar year 2019 and is forecast to fall a further 8% in 2020.
The weakness stands in stark contrast to the rebound coming through in prices (see <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/Article/41356">here</a> for more detail on the latest price data) but reflects the long lags on high rise projects and the specific issues facing this particular segment that are likely to preclude a rebound in high rise activity. Price gains are also expected to moderate as we head into 2020 as supply starts to lift and as affordability strains re-emerge. 
Read full report: <a href="https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/wibiqauthoring/_uploads/file/Australia/2019/December/er20191202BullDwellApprovOct.pdf" target="_blank">'Australian dwelling approvals October' (PDF 319kb)</a>
Matthew Hassan is a Senior Economist at Westpac.
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Australian dwelling approvals weaken: Matthew Hassan

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Dwelling approvals fell 3.9 per cent in August, according to figures released by the ABS.
It's the 21st consecutive month approvals have fallen.
"The fall continues to be driven by private dwellings excluding houses, which decreased by 9.2 per cent in August," said Daniel Rossi, director of construction statistics at the ABS. 
"Private sector houses also fell, by one per cent."
Every state saw dwelling approvals decline over the month.
To enlarge, <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2019/10/1/August%20dwelling%20approvals.jpg" target="_blank">click here</a>.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2019/10/1/August%20dwelling%20approvals.jpg" alt="">
The Australian Capital Territory saw the biggest decrease in dwelling approvals across August, down -27.7 per cent.
The Northern Territory (-8.7 per cent), New South Wales (-5.4 per cent), Victoria (-4.0 per cent), Queensland (-2.3 per cent), South Australia (-0.9 per cent), Tasmania (-0.4 per cent) and Western Australia (-0.2 per cent) all saw declines.
"The value of non-residential building approved has risen for 12 months, to a record high of $4.8 billion," Rossi said.
"The rise in August was driven by approvals for health buildings in New South Wales."
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Dwelling approvals fall again in August

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Dwelling approvals recorded a sharp 9.7% drop in July coming against expectations that the stabilisation evident in previous months would consolidate. The fall takes approvals to a 6½ year low, down 28% on a year ago. Total approvals are now tracking materially below 'underlying demand' for the first time since 2013.
As is often the case with big monthly moves, the fall was concentrated in unit approvals which posted an 18.4% drop to be down 44.2%yr.
The detail points to similarly-sized monthly falls across both high rise and medium density units with a particularly weak read on high rise approvals in NSW.
The July fall takes high rise approvals to a new low. While this is still broadly consistent with the lead from site purchases, the risk is that continued stress in the sector is leading to more projects being delayed or cancelled and a possible further leg lower in approvals.
<div>
Detached house approvals were also weak in the July month, recording a 3.3% fall – a sizeable move for what is normally a more stable component. The state detail shows very mixed results with unusually big falls in Vic (–10.9%mth) and WA (–14.5%) but strong gain in NSW (+10.1%). Some of the weakness in Vic may reflect the transition to a new building permit system and other changes to duties and concessions.
On a combined basis, approvals ex high rise were down about 6%mth nationally, considerably weaker than the stabilising signal from construction-related finance approvals in recent months. Weakness is centred on Vic (–7.2%mth), Qld (–7.6%mth) and WA (–4.4%mth). Approvals ex high rise were up slightly in NSW (+0.3%) and more firmly in SA (+3.9%).
The total value of renovation approvals rose 0.4% in the July month but is about flat in trend terms having declined slightly in the June quarter.
The total value of non res building approvals fell 9.9%, reversing most of a 10.5% jump in July. Looking through the monthly volatility, approvals are showing some signs of flattening out from what has been a reasonably solid rising trend. The detail shows trends continue to vary significantly across, retail, warehouses, hotels and health still showing solid gains on a 6mth basis but education down sharply offices off its most recent peak.
Overall the July update is clearly much weaker than expected and raises the risk that building activity may take another leg lower. As always, we caution about reading too much into one month's data, particularly with volatile high rise approvals, but there is enough here to warrant careful monitoring in coming months.
As noted in our preview, dwelling construction can often be slow to respond to interest rate cuts and with other factors impacting segments likely high rise and the longer lags on these projects actual building looks set to continue declining well into 2020. Stabilising prices may ease some of the housing headwinds to growth but drags from the construction cycle are likely to persist.
Read the full report <a href="https://westpaciq.westpac.com.au/wibiqauthoring/_uploads/file/Australia/2019/August/er20190830BullDwellApprovJul.pdf">'Australian dwelling approvals July' (PDF 327kb)</a>.
MATTHEW HASSAN is a Senior Economist at Westpac
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Australian dwelling approvals lurch lower: Matthew Hassan

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Building approvals have continued to decline sharply over the month to June, according to the latest ABS figures.
Total dwelling units approved have dropped by -1.3% to be nearly 21% down over the year to June 2019.
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 In June 2018 there were around 19,000 of units being approved. Now there are just 14,500.
"The trend series for total dwellings has fallen for 19 consecutive months," said Daniel Rossi, director of construction statistics at the ABS.
"The decrease in June was driven by private dwellings excluding houses, which fell 2.5 per cent in trend terms.
 "Approvals for private houses were also down 0.8 per cent."
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Total dwelling approvals fell in the Australian Capital Territory (4.7 per cent), Tasmania (3.8 per cent), Western Australia (3.5 per cent), New South Wales (2.9 per cent) and South Australia (0.8 per cent), in trend terms.
 Increases were recorded in the Northern Territory (5.8 per cent), Victoria (0.4 per cent) and Queensland (0.2 per cent).
The trend estimate of the value of total building approved rose 0.4% in June and has risen for six months.
The value of residential building fell 0.8% and has fallen for 17 months. The value of non-residential building rose 2% and has risen for 10 months.
The seasonally adjusted estimate of the value of total building approved rose 2% in June. The value of residential building fell 3.1%, while the value of non-residential building rose 9.6%.
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Building approvals continue decline

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EXPERT OBSERVER
Dwelling approvals declined 1.2% in June following a slight 0.3% rise in May (pared back from a 0.7% gain).
The result was in line with Westpac's view but slightly below consensus expectations of a 0.2% gain.
The detail was also in line with our view with a sharp retracement in high rise approvals, down an estimated 19% in the month following an 11% gain over Apr-May.
Non high rise approvals posted a small gain in the month, detached house approvals up 0.4% and 'low-mid' rise unit approvals up an estimated 0.9%.
We had been looking for high rise to drop back and non high rise to show signs of stabilising.
The state detail showed sharp declines in NSW and WA but a surprise rise in Vic (+9.7%mth). This is almost certainly due to a lumpy high rise project and suggests there may be a further let down in this segment to come.
Overall the update was as expected, dwelling approvals still soft but around what is likely to be a stabilising trend that emerges more clearly over the second half of 2019.
Further weakness in new dwelling construction remains locked in for 2019 and the first half of 2020, with any stabilisation in approvals likely to be slow to play through to activity due to the long lags on high rise projects.
MATTHEW HASSAN is a Senior Economist for Westpac.
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June dwelling approvals down 1.2 percent: Matthew Hassan

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The HIA’s chief economist, Tim Reardon says an easing of the credit squeeze is necessary to alleviate the adverse impact of the housing downturn on the wider economy.
The number of dwellings approved in Australia fell by 0.6 per cent in April, according to data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
According to the recent ABS release, among the states and territories, total dwelling approvals fell in Victoria (2.8 per cent), Tasmania (2.2 per cent), the Northern Territory (2.0 per cent) and New South Wales (0.4 per cent), in trend terms.
Small increases were recorded South Australia (1.8 per cent) and Western Australia (1.3 per cent), while Queensland was flat.
The Australian Capital Territory stood out however with a large increase of (7.7 per cent),.
"The overall decrease was led by private sector houses, which declined 1.9 per cent in trend terms," said Justin Lokhorst, Director of Construction Statistics at the ABS. "Meanwhile, private dwellings excluding houses rose by 1.2 per cent."
Approvals for private sector houses fell 1.9 per cent in trend terms.
Declines were recorded in New South Wales (3.8 per cent), Victoria (2.7 per cent), Queensland (0.8 per cent) and South Australia (0.1 per cent), while Western Australia recorded a 0.5 per cent increase.
Examining the data in seasonally adjusted terms, at the national level, the number of dwelling approvals fell by a seasonally adjusted 4.7% to 14,123, with the overall fall in approvals broad-based.
The total dwellings decline of 4.7 per cent in April was driven by falls in Tasmania (19.1 per cent), Victoria (16.1 per cent), Western Australia (6.7 per cent) and South Australia (3.3 per cent).
Private dwellings excluding houses fell 6.5 per cent, while private house approvals decreased 2.6 per cent.
The value of total building approved fell 0.2 per cent in April, in trend terms. The value of residential building declined 0.9 per cent, while non-residential building rose 1.0 per cent.
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Tim Reardon noted home building had been cooling since late 2017 and the downturn in activity has accelerated in the second half of 2018.
"Approvals for new homes in the three months to April 2019 were 20.5 per cent lower than in the same period the year before,” added Mr Reardon.
“The downturn in building activity is now evident in other economic data including today’s data on capital expenditure. 
"CAPEX fell 1.6 per cent in the March 2019 quarter due to significant falls in expenditure on new buildings.
“With the slowdown in home building accelerating in the first half of 2019, it is likely to weigh on economic growth in next week’s national accounts data.
“The fall in approvals in April were most likely influenced by low levels of consumer confidence during the Federal Election however, the end of the election alone will not be sufficient to bring stability back into the housing market."
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Dwelling approvals continue falling: ABS

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EXPERT OBSERVATION
Dwelling approvals jumped 19.1% in Feb driven by a big spike in high rise approvals.
The spike is almost certainly a one-off making the headline result a misleading 'rogue'. Indeed, approvals ex high rise look to have been significantly weaker than expected. The consensus forecast going into the release was for total approvals to decline 1.8%. Approvals ex high rise instead look to have fallen 3.4%.
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The detail showed a 3.6% fall in detached house approvals in the month, the 3 month rolling average down 4% on Nov and 10.9%yr, the significant deterioration since mid 2018 clearly carrying into early 2019. Around units, our estimates suggest 'high rise' approvals jumped 135% in the month, led by spectacular rises in NSW (+130% month) and Vic (+213%) the latter coming from an extreme low in Jan.
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The fact that both states recorded big gains indicates the spike is not due to just a single project. However, the gain comes very much against the run of play for housing and this specific segment and runs counter to the evidence we have around site purchases. As such it is almost certainly a 'rogye' result. Medium density units were down about 2.4% in the month.
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The high rise spike dominated the state breakdown, with big gains in NSW and Vic. Ex high rise, approvals look to have been particularly weak in NSW with apparent declines in Vic and WA as well but a solid gain in Qld. All major states are seeing significant declines in non high rise approvals – on a rolling 3mth basis, NSW is down 14.5%yr, Vic is down 12.6%yr, Qld is down 22%yr and WA is down 13.2%yr.
The total value of renovation approvals rose 4.4%mth to be up 3.6% on a rolling 3mth average basis, with a decent uptrend in place. The state detail shows solid gains coming through in Qld and WA but a less convincing uptrend in NSW and Vic.
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The total value of non res building approvals rose 2.1%mth but is still down 8%yr on a rolling 3mth basis. Abstracting from monthly volatility, which is never that easy for this segment, the last few months has shown some lift in offices and steady reads for retail, warehouses and industrial approvals but softer reads for hotels, education, health and other social sectors.
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Overall the monthly rise in total dwelling approvals should clearly be ignored – Australia's high rise building boom is not about to reignite any time soon, with the key takeaway instead the more disappointing momentum evident in non high rise approvals.
Other housing market indicators have hinted at some stabilisation in conditions in recent weeks, although the evidence remains only tentative. The flow through to new construction could be much slower given funding difficulties and the substantial increases in new supply coming through.
MATTHEW HASSAN is a Senior Economist for Westpac
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