With three projects currently in market in Elizabeth Bay and Mosman, two of which are under construction and completing next year, apartment developer Toohey Miller is expanding its new development pipeline across Sydney.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/toohey-miller">Toohey Miller</a>, led by Nick Couloumbis, has filed plans for <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/oxford160-160-oxford-street-paddington-nsw-2021">Oxford160</a>, 44 new apartments across a nine-storey building on Oxford Street in Paddington. It will have 12 apartment designated as affordable housing as per the Housing SEPP 2021 mid-rise reforms which trigger increased height limits, and street-level retail spaces.

The vision for the project is to create a "welcoming and family-friendly place to live with a mix of quality and affordable homes to support the Paddington community at different life stages."

Designs prepared by Smart Design Studio outline a contemporary, articulated streetwall along Oxford Street, stepping back at the upper levels to mitigate bulk and improve visual integration with the local character. A new laneway will improve pedestrian connectivity to Shadforth Street, while communal open spaces are integrated at both ground and rooftop levels.

<img alt="Oxford160" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0d6e77ed-8c25-4c52-a82d-dd076c66c777" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-01%20at%209.52.46%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=hjYcxIWIDOn7JWeom6RzIz7MWc1VG6HF" />

According to the Urban Design Supporting Letter prepared by architect and urban designer Matthew Pullinger, the new scheme “represents a contextually sensitive, responsive and high quality renewal of the site and the broader urban landscape”.

Pullinger said there are a range of benefits to the project, namely its contribution to the renewal of "this part of Oxford Street as a distinctive higher density urban high street and a defining element of greater Sydney’s urban character, thereby enhancing the vitality and liveability of this important street."

The new building will replace&nbsp;a dated 1960s-era apartment block which has 27 studio apartments.&nbsp;Design documents note that the current structure detracts from the character of Oxford Street, with the proposal seeking to restore and enhance the continuity of active shopfronts along the northern edge of the street.

The last project to launch on Oxford Street sold out immediately. It was fashion legend Robby Ingham's The Cambrian, which sold all of its 15 apartments in the first five hours of its weekend launch in 2023 through Ben Stewart.

Joel Robinson

Toohey Miller plans rare new apartment development on Oxford Street, Paddington 

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/geocon-group">Geocon</a>&nbsp;is advancing its plans for its new&nbsp;mixed-use precinct in Braddon, updated the designs for the prominent site at the intersection of Northbourne and Wakefield Avenues.

The Canberra-based developer is proposing 558 apartments and seven commercial tenancies across four buildings under a staged application first lodged in 2023. The project also includes four levels of basement parking, communal spaces, pedestrian links, and landscaping enhancements.

While the development’s scale remains consistent, the current amendment introduces extensive changes to apartment layouts, building envelopes, façade articulation, and basement design.

According to the Design Statement by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">Cox Architecture</a>, these adjustments were driven by two core objectives: “enhancing apartment and common area amenity” and “ensuring acknowledgement of the housing design guidelines, entity advice, and planning expectations, while retaining the integrity of the original architectural concept”.

<img alt="Northbourne and Wakefield Avenues" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="066194ad-d73f-49b7-8e39-09e20690a7ac" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/pers%202.png?VersionId=I7eLnim8erdwd2Yu1N5sIcLSndeOK_TC" />

The revised apartment mix has been rebalanced to increase diversity and affordability, including a broader range of unit sizes and a higher proportion of three-bedroom dwellings. The updated design also removes problematic layouts, such as “snorkel” bedrooms and internalised studies, to improve liveability and natural light access.

Cox Architecture noted that “studios and smaller one-beds provide entry-level housing and broaden affordability,” while the number of family-sized three-bed apartments has been increased “in direct response to market demand and policy objectives”.

The circulation spaces within the towers have been redesigned to improve wayfinding and daylight penetration, while the ground floor layout has been reworked to create clearer and more visible entry points, particularly from Northbourne Avenue.

Refinements to the building’s massing and façades have also been introduced in response to planning feedback, with additional breaks and articulation to reduce perceived bulk. “Rooftop plant and lift overruns have been integrated and screened, resolving visibility concerns,” COX stated.

Basement levels have been consolidated and made more efficient, with improvements to bike and storage facilities.

<img alt="Northbourne and Wakefield Avenues" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a1ab9357-707d-46fd-95d7-d6e09c70f20b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/pers%203.png?VersionId=crDXvrmDsGqFGcb_p6NSUlsr0vYsRacq" />

The precinct’s pedestrian connections have been clarified, and the public realm has been restructured to improve permeability and align with the broader Northbourne corridor urban design framework. Landscaping updates include increased deep soil zones and rooftop communal areas, with tree management to be addressed separately.

Geocon acquired the 10,633 sqm site earlier in 2023 following approval of a prior build-to-rent scheme by Evri Group. The existing nine-storey commercial building was demolished in 2022.

The current proposal, designed by Cox Architecture, is positioned as a key contributor to the ACT Government’s urban renewal vision for Northbourne Avenue, an established transport and development spine served by light rail and major arterial roads.

First look: Geocon refines plans for four-tower precinct on Braddon's Northbourne Avenue

The booming Bilinga beachfront is set for another luxury apartment development, with plans filed for KYRR, an 11-level block on the dress circle Pacific Parade.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kyrr-70-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">KYRR</a>, on the corner of Pacific Parade and Archer Street, will comprise 24 apartment on its prime 1,009 sqm site. There had previously been plans for a much more boutique seven-storey, five-unit scheme.

Plans have been pitched by CHM Living, an entity associated with James Quinert, the founder of Norwood Constructions which is based in Melbourne.

<img alt="70 Pacific Parade and 1 Archer Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2f6159ee-3511-4b16-b9fa-ae8c008b8faf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/site_5.png?VersionId=4n2YaBQdjXcshUAkxX8ei9X5N0v2AWqB" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/byculprit">ByCulprit Architects</a>, the project includes a sculptural façade with soft curves and natural finishes, inspired by the rhythm and calm of the nearby Pacific Ocean.

According to the Town Planning Report by Town Planning Alliance, the project aspires to reflect the intent of the Medium Density Residential zone, aiming to "contribute to the city’s iconic skyline along the coastal spine" with a high degree of architectural modulation and landscaping that softens the built form.

There will be 22 large-scale three-bedroom apartments and two five-bedroom penthouses. The wellness amenities, including a gym, steam room, sauna, pool, golf simulator, and cold plunge, will sit on level one.

Kyrr will follow in the footsteps of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/buildings/pipis-bilinga-303-golden-four-drive-bilinga-qld-4225">PIPIS</a> in Bilinga by SIERA, which is all but sold out with just one of its luxury 19 apartments left to sell. The building set suburb records, with the penthouses both selling for over $8 million. Down the road is Bilinga House, which has a wider mix of configurations and price points starting from just over $1.2 million.

First look: Bilinga beachfront set for new luxury apartment development, KYRR

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/coronation-property">Coronation Property</a> has received development approval for Archer &amp; Albert, a 32-storey, mixed-use residential development in the heart of Chatswood.

Located at 57–61 Archer Street and 34 Albert Avenue, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/archer-albert-chatswood-57-61-archer-street-chatswood-nsw-2067">Archer &amp; Albert</a> will deliver 150 new homes, including affordable housing, alongside ground-floor and podium retail, commercial space, a heritage house activated as a café, additional ground-level activation, and a landscaped publicly accessible park designed for community use.&nbsp;

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/archer-albert-chatswood-57-61-archer-street-chatswood-nsw-2067">Archer &amp; Albert</a> is one of the few large-scale residential developments in the heart of Chatswood City to progress through a council-led architectural design competition and secure development approval, positioning it at the forefront of design led housing.&nbsp;

<img alt="Archer" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="33cb754a-1493-4203-bd16-096d320597f6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A%2BA_C03_EXT_StreetScape_ID1.jpg?VersionId=oLUPFVAMxuRUTH1Bwki16R48cEo.vLeB" />

Designed by global architecture practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a>, long-term collaborators of the Coronation team, the project draws inspiration from the Sydney Blue Gum High Forest and the leafy character of the South Chatswood Heritage Conservation Area. The design integrates a restored heritage-listed home and establishes a landscaped connection between Chatswood’s urban centre and its surrounding residential neighbourhoods.&nbsp;

“This is an important project for us and our first entry into the North Shore,” said Joe Nahas, Managing Director of &nbsp;Coronation Property.&nbsp;

“We are deliberate about where we invest and build, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/chatswood-nsw-2067">Chatswood</a> stands out because the fundamentals are already strong. Transport, employment, education, retail and health are all in place. Archer &amp; Albert is about adding new housing into a centre that already works and building on what exists.”&nbsp;

<img alt="Chatswood" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="620fcd78-00be-489b-823a-ca353387b91b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A%2BA_C04_EXT_PARK_HA_ID2.jpg?VersionId=NxSl04Zl1rzt94xlXNA6CNzSR9XMyLgP" />

Aras Labutis, Head of Urban Transformation at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/coronation-property">Coronation Property</a>, said the project reflects a disciplined, collaborative approach to city shaping.&nbsp;

“Chatswood sits at an important junction between high-density commercial activity and established residential &nbsp;neighbourhoods," Labutis said.

"Our focus for Archer &amp; Albert was to manage that transition carefully, respecting what’s already there &nbsp;while contributing something new that feels deliberate and enduring."

The approved scheme delivers:&nbsp;

<ul>
	<li>A 32-storey mixed-use tower comprising 150 homes, including 41 affordable housing dwellings • 530sqm of ground-floor retail, dining and commercial offerings&nbsp;</li>
	<li>A 760sqm wellness tenancy integrated within the podium&nbsp;</li>
	<li>A restored heritage building, thoughtfully reimagined as a café overlooking the park&nbsp;</li>
	<li>A landscaped public park, designed as a calm green retreat in the heart of Chatswood&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Resident amenities include a premium gym, golf simulator, mahjong room, dedicated wellness areas, private &nbsp;dining facilities and a curated wine room&nbsp;</li>
	<li>Deep private balconies designed to capture outlooks and northern light&nbsp;</li>
	<li>A refined material palette of natural stone, timber and terracotta&nbsp;</li>
</ul>

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=29796]

Coronation receives green light for Archer & Albert apartments in Chatswood

Leading Sydney developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/deicorp">Deicorp</a>, in partnership with Metrics Credit Partners, has officially broken ground on its landmark $1.8 billion Kings Bay Village project in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/five-dock-nsw-2046">Five Dock</a>, marking the beginning of construction on one of the most significant urban renewal precincts within the Parramatta Road Corridor.

A sod-turning ceremony was held at the project site on Parramatta Road, with NSW Premier Chris Minns and NSW Planning Minister Paul Scully joining Deicorp Chairman Fouad Deiri OAM and Metrics CEO and Managing Partner Andrew Lockhart, to mark the significant milestone.

Located at 129-154 Parramatta Road, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/kings-bay-village-five-dock-53-75-queens-road-five-dock-nsw-2046">Kings Bay Village</a> will transform more than three hectares of underutilised land into a highly connected new neighbourhood comprising 1,185 homes, including 218 affordable dwellings for essential workers, alongside new retail, commercial, and community spaces.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146120 project_image_fid=356895]

Designed by award-winning architects <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/turner-studio">TURNER</a>, the precinct blends crafted brick architecture with a pedestrian-focused urban layout across six buildings of varying scale. The project will deliver 14,700sqm of retail and commercial space, 6,500sqm of public open space, and a new 2,290sqm landscaped park and civic plaza that will form the social heart of the community.

Kings Bay Village is positioned minutes from the future Five Dock Metro Station, supporting the NSW Government and City of Canada Bay Council’s shared ambition for a more connected, liveable and revitalised Parramatta Road Corridor. Deicorp will also contribute more than $80 million towards new and upgraded local infrastructure, including pedestrian laneways, an activated streetscape and significant public domain works.

Fouad Deiri OAM, Chairman of Deicorp, said Kings Bay Village represents a defining opportunity for Sydney’s Inner West.

&nbsp;“Today marks the beginning of a precinct that will deliver lasting benefits for the Five Dock community - new homes, new open spaces, and a vibrant mixed-use environment that brings people closer to transport, services and amenities,"&nbsp;Deiri says.

“We are proud to be delivering much-needed housing, including affordable homes for essential workers, in partnership with the NSW Government and the City of Canada Bay. Kings Bay Village is urban renewal at its best - thoughtful, connected and community-focused.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=146120 project_image_fid=356894]

Metrics CEO and Managing Partner Andrew Lockhart said the company is proud to support more housing and infrastructure in a key Sydney corridor. 
&nbsp; 
“Metrics and Deicorp share a proven track record of delivering high-impact projects that align closely with the NSW Government’s housing and infrastructure priorities. Kings Bay Village marks our most significant Sydney development to date, offering quality homes, essential infrastructure, and dynamic public spaces.” 
&nbsp; 
“This project reflects our ongoing commitment to creating value by supporting economic growth, job creation, and delivering excellent outcomes for our investors,” he said.

With Kings Bay Village now underway, Deicorp’s pipeline of apartments under construction across Sydney has increased to 5,102. Kings Bay Village is scheduled for completion in Q2 of 2029.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=146120]

NSW Premier and Planning Minister join Deicorp and Metrics to break ground on $1.8 billion Kings Bay Village precinct

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ANZ has today revealed it is cutting its variable package rates for new borrowers by between 0.35% and 0.90%, bringing its package rates into line for all loan amounts.  

Canstar’s research shows the average variable package rate from the major banks is 3.43% and ANZ now offers the lowest of the major banks’ variable package rate offers for owner occupiers at 2.99% (3.42% comparison rate).

The changes for owner occupiers paying principal and interest (80% LVR) are as follows: 

<img alt="" height="231" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/anz_rate_cut.jpg" width="741">

Canstar Group Executive, Financial Services, Steve Mickenbecker says “Today’s cut from ANZ is the first cut to a variable rate by one of the big four banks since September last year, as interest rate cuts have since been focused on fixed rates.”

“The decrease from ANZ is being passed on to new borrowers by way of increasing the discount applied to its standard variable rate and will not be passed on to existing borrowers. "

“ANZ now offers the lowest package rate among the major banks and it would not be surprising to see others moving down the same path."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=4939]

“ANZ is seeking to grow its share of low risk business, with the gap between lending to borrowers with equity below 20 per cent and those with greater equity widening from 5 to 20 basis points," he concluded.
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ANZ has today revealed it is cutting its variable package rates for new borrowers by between 0.35% and 0.90%

jordan_55689

ANZ cuts variable rates by up to 0.9%

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The second wave of COVID-19 has prompted ANZ to forecast Melbourne faces a 15 per cent fall in home prices by next year.
It is the largest peak-to-trough decline ANZ predicted for an Australian capital.
ANZ Bank has maintained its forecast for national house prices to fall by 10 per cent from peak to trough but now expects smaller falls in Hobart, Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth and Canberra.
While all those cities are set to fall between 6 and 9 per cent, the bank revised its forecast to a 15 per cent drop in Melbourne house prices, a dip greater than its previous prediction of a 13 per cent fall.
It still predicts a 13 per cent fall in Sydney, bottoming out in the second half of 2021. 
Darwin is expected by ANZ to stay in the doldrums, being down nine per cent.
The bank expects Hobart to fall by eight per cent) and Brisbane by six per cent.
The bank estimates Melbourne house and unit prices have already fallen by 2.2 per cent between March and July
It labelled the decrease “slightly more modest than we expected”, given government support payments like JobKeeper, superannuation withdrawals and deferred mortgage repayments helped the market/.
ANZ senior economist Cherelle Murphy said a dramatic decline in demand for housing had hurt both the sales and rental sectors.
“You’re going to have a greater unemployment problem in Melbourne simply because of the lockdown, (so) demand is going to be diminished,” she said.
With the Stage 4 lockdown in early August, Victoria’s economy is likely to have contracted further since.
In the three months to the end of June, the ANZ Stateometer showed Victoria’s economy deteriorated sharply, mainly due to weakness in the labour market and consumer sectors.
The ANZ believes Victoria's economy will contract 5 per cent or by more than $22 billion this year after a flat 2019-20. 
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Melbourne faces 15 percent price falls by 2021: ANZ

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ANZ has announced the retirement of David Gonski as chair of the group’s board, effective following the release of the banks full-year results on 28 October.
The outgoing chairman will be replaced by Paul O’Sullivan, who joined the board in November 2019.
Mr Gonski has served as chair since 2014 and as a non-executive director for 11 years.
“I feel it’s the right time to hand over the reins,” he said.
"I am delighted Paul O’Sullivan will succeed me as Chairman and he has my absolute confidence. Paul is an outstanding director who has already made a strong contribution to the Board and I look forward to working closely with him on a smooth transition.
I feel it’s the right time to hand over the reins to Paul. We have in place an experienced, diverse and talented management team as well as having made significant progress on our ambitions to simplify and improve our operations. Importantly, we have also taken steps to improve the governance around matters impacting our reputation, including the now well-established Ethics, Environment, Social &amp; Governance Board committee.
Serving as ANZ’s Chairman will always remain a key highlight of my corporate career.
"This is not because of any false sense of prestige, rather the honour that comes with working with so many wonderful people who are doing all they can for our customers, our shareholders and their fellow staff members." 
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David Gonski retires from ANZ chairmanship

Savers squeezed again as ANZ cuts rates

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ANZ Research has forecast the national housing decline will reach 10 per cent, before seeing a modest recovery in late 2021, as economist start to work out the future after COVID-19.
They expect the biggest declines to be felt in Sydney, Melbourne and Hobart, all predicted to decline -13 per cent.
Brisbane and Darwin have been forecast to decline -7 per cent, Adelaide -6 per cent and Canberra -5 per cent, with Perth down just -2 per cent.
ANZ economists Felicity Emmett and Adelaide Timbrell anticipate prices will bottom out in mid-2021 as affordability improves, but the recovery is likely to be relatively gradual given that unemployment is expected to remain above 7% until 2022.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/5/13/ANZ%20housing%20forecast.jpg" alt=""> Hobart is set for the worst 2020 performance, but losses will be scaled back in 2021: Source ANZ Research
Emmett and Timbrell suggest the deterioration in household income will be the biggest driver of weakness.
"Already, nearly a third of Australian households have reported a deterioration in their finances due to COVID-19," the economists said.
"This collapse in income will create significant uncertainty for households and leave many unwilling to commit to buying or building a home."
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/5/13/ANZ%20price%20growth.jpg" alt=""> Price growth has slowed in Sydney and Melbourne after bouncing back from the mid-2019 downturn. Source: ANZ Research
Emmett and Timbrell said the disruption of population growth will impact prices given border closures, expected to damage the Sydney and Melbourne markets the most given the bulk of their population growth comes from net overseas migration.
"Investor demand is likely to be hardest hit in the current environment. With the rental market under pressure from both reduced demand and increased supply, the incentive to invest in property will be low," they added.
"While the deferral of home loan repayments will help prevent forced sales, the collapse in demand in the face of the extremely uncertain outlook will drive prices lower over the next year or so."
 
 
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

ANZ forecast 10% peak to trough declines until late 2021 rebound

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ANZ is the only bank in the big four to cut variable home loan rates in this latest cut.
They reduced rates by 0.15 basis points.
As a result of today’s changes, ANZ’s variable rate home loan customers will save approximately $34 a month or $406 a year. This is based on an owner occupier with a $400,000, 30-year loan paying principal and interest on the discounted variable rate on the minimum repayment.
The move follows on the back of the recent RBA rate cut during their emergency March 19 meeting where they reduced the cash rate to a record low 0.25%.
ANZ have also introduced a two-year fixed rate of 2.19% p.a for owner occupiers paying principal &amp; interest.
Like NAB they have made it possible to request a deferral of home loan repayments for up to six-months.
ANZ CEO Shayne Elliott said the package aimed to support Australian business and the people who work for them.
"We understand the impact this crisis is having and ANZ will play a major role in backing Australia's economy and our customers through these challenging times," he said.
"We have been working with both the Federal Government and our regulators to keep money flowing through the economy and we'll do all we can to keep businesses afloat and Australians employed, as well as reducing the financial pressure on households."
"Our decision to reduce variable home loan and small business rates is the right thing to do for our existing customers, particularly the significant number of our home loan customers who are self-employed and managing the effects of the COVID-19 crisis on their own businesses."
"The highly competitive fixed-rates being offered will provide customers certainty over repayments with our lowest fixed-rates on record."
RateCity.com.au research director Sally Tindall said the bank was providing relief for most of its borrowers.
"It's great to see ANZ has stepped up and delivered something for the majority of its borrowers to help them through these turbulent times," she said.
"In this economic climate, every dollar counts.
"When these changes come into effect, ANZ will have the lowest ongoing variable rate from the big four banks at 2.72 per cent," she said.
"Now three of the four big banks are offering fixed rates as low as 2.19 per cent, we're likely to see other lenders chase after them, potentially cutting fixed rates even further," she said.
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ANZ the only big four bank to cut variable home loan rates

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ANZ have completed a clean sweep of the big four banks who have now all passed on the official RBA rate cut.
ANZ group executive Australia retail &amp; commercial Mark Hand said the decision by the Reserve Bank to reduce the cash rate to historically low levels highlights the significant impact the outbreak of COVID-19 is already having on the global economy.
“While there were a range of factors considered in making this decision, ANZ is prepared to play its role in supporting both our customers and the broader economy through this period of uncertainty", Hand said.
“Customers wanting to increase the money in their pocket each month can contact us to decrease their monthly minimum payments. We also have competitive fixed-rates available for those looking to lock in these historically low rates."
Westpac went first, <a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-first-of-the-big-four-to-cut-rates-in-full-after-rba-cut">cutting within minutes</a> of the announcement, having been the last in to action in October.
CBA followed Westpac's cut about half an hour later, then NAB, and now ANZ.
CBA are the most likely to face scrutiny, not passing on the rates until March 24.
Westpac will pass the week earlier on March 17, while ANZ and NAB will be passing on the rate cut on March 13.
St George, Bank of Melbourne and Rams have also announced their intention to pass on the full cuts to customers.
Athena, Homestar, Reduce Home Loans, and Loans.com remain the only home lenders to pass on the cuts immediately.
 
 
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ANZ the last of the big four banks to pass on the full rate cut

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EXPERT OBSERVER
I think there were 2 pronounced developments during Q4 2019i, the first being there was a broad acceptance that an improvement in the market is here to stay in terms of price growth.
In terms of economic indicators, we’ve seen an improvement in the labour market over the past month or 2 which is a real positive compared to mid2019 when unemployment was trending higher.
The challenge is will there be enough job creation over the next few months given the headwinds around the bushfires and Coronavirus.
ANZ Research is anticipating the economy will not create enough additional jobs to drive unemployment lower and wages higher, which is expected to result in 2 more interest rate cuts towards the middle of the year.
The RBA has emphasised its belief that rate cuts are having the desired impact, but that it does take time.
The implications for the economy and property markets will continue to be felt through 2020.
In terms of property indicators, we’ve seen some tentatively positive numbers coming through in building approvals. This is important given they were at very low levels throughout 2019 for both apartments and detached houses.
Of course apartments were hit harder which reflected concerns over build quality and cladding issues which were more prominent in Sydney but still had an impact in Melbourne.
That said, it’s worth highlighting the large lead and lag times before getting product onto the market. Even if building approvals start to pick up today, there will still be a housing shortage in the short term.
What are your predictions for 2020?
Broadly it will be a good year from a housing standpoint. Anticipated rate cuts will further entrench growth in prices for existing and new dwellings across both detached housing and apartments. Prices are already above the previous peak for units and apartments in Melbourne.
We’ll continue to see a pretty solid presence of first home buyers in the market. But it gets complicated because price growth doesn’t help affordability which is already challenging. While the new home loan deposit scheme will help 10,000 first home buyers a year, it won’t affect a material change.
The demand and supply dynamic will put upward pressure on prices initially, but building approvals and construction should start to accelerate in the second half of the year. That’s the key challenge; supply can take 12-18 months to come through, and the delay could put further pressure on both housing prices and rents.
Vacancy rates are already low and if we’re not building enough for the remainder of the year it’s likely the vacancy rate will continue to fall and result in continued rent increases.
Auction results have been strong and there are greater levels of stock on the market and rising transactions.
It’s not just a short term sugar hit which people might have been expecting, and the realisation that a stronger market is here to stay is why we’re seeing more people in the market keen to purchase.
Secondly, the supply-demand imbalance continues. Over the final quarter last year we finally started to see some positive signs regarding the construction pipeline, which has been a long time coming. We’re not talking about a sharp rebound, rather some green shoots emerging by way of building approvals starting to stabilise rather than continuing to fall.
Building approvals fell more than 25% from the peak, and have now recovered just 3%. Housing finance also picked up for construction of new dwellings for both owner occupiers and investors, which is usually a good indicator of where building approvals will go. So we have reason to be more optimistic about the construction cycle than we were 3 months ago.
What are the key economic and property indicators telling us?
It’s a little mixed.
On the economic front, the recent bushfires and Coronavirus present some challenges. For people directly by the bushfires it’s catastrophic, but the impact on the broader economy is likely to be temporary.
There will be some rebuilding stimulus which the federal government has already announced that will go directly to these communities. Coronavirus will have a larger impact.
A recent ANZ Research note forecast the bushfires to take 0.2% off GDP, while Coronavirus will shave off 0.5% due to the impact on tourism and foreign students. And, unlike the bushfires, there won’t be any stimulus measures.
If you compare it to the SARS outbreak in 2002-2003 when Chinese tourist arrivals fell by more than 80%, the share of Chinese tourism is now 5-times larger.
But it’s not just about the number of visitors; they also spend the most per person, which significantly magnifies the impact.
DANIEL GRADWELL is the <a href="https://bluenotes.anz.com/authors/a-e/Daniel-Gradwell" target="_blank">Associate Director of Property at ANZ</a>
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Property market strong but supply demand imbalance continues: ANZ's Daniel Gradwell 

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ANZ have followed CBA by cutting their fixed rate home loans.
They've announced rate cuts of up to 0.86 per cent to fixed home and investment loan interest rates.
CBA <a href="/expert-insights/finance/cba-cuts-fixed-home-loan-rates-by-up-to-0-5">cut their fixed home loans</a> by up to 0.5 per cent last week.
ANZ’s two-year packaged fixed rate for owner occupier paying principal and interest is now the lowest rate in comparison website Canstar’s database at 2.68%.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/2/21/ANZ%20Canstar.jpg" alt="">
Canstar's finance expert Steve Mickenbecker describes the market as "supercharged" as banks jockey to win back market share.
“ANZ is following hot on the heels of Commonwealth Bank reducing fixed rates", Mickenbecker noted.
"ANZ’s market share has lagged well behind in the post GFC period and the lender wants to reverse that trend.
“The biggest cuts are for investors borrowing with interest only repayments, up to a huge 0.86% for 4 and 5-year terms.
He says i
nvestors are the winners, with the two-year rate for principal and interest at 2.88%, only 0.20% ahead of the owner occupier rate.
“The investment cuts are slashing the higher margin banks applied to investment loans, both principal and interest and interest only, reversing the trend we saw when APRA clamped down on growth in these categories.
“Investment lending is now a competitive playground for the big banks.”
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ANZ cut fixed rate home loans for investors and owner-occupiers

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ANZ Bank has cut both its home loan and deposit rates in the lead up to the RBA's first meeting of the year.
They've cut the variable rate for new owner occupiers paying principal and interest with a 20 per cent deposit or more by 0.12 per cent. It is now at 3.12 per cent.
ANZ now offer the second lowest ongoing variable rate of the big four.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/1/23/Big%20Four%20Variable.jpg" alt=""> Source: RateCity.
RateCity.com.au research director Sally Tindall said ANZ appeared to be doing some "spring cleaning" ahead of the RBA’s meeting next month.Note: the above rates are new customer variable rates for owner occupiers paying principal and interest.
“ANZ’s recalibration of their deposit rates ahead of the next Reserve Bank meeting suggests they are getting their house in order ahead of a potential cash rate cut", Tindall said.
“Today’s home loan cuts are testament to the ongoing competition in the mortgage market. Yesterday we saw <a href="/expert-insights/finance/westpac-makes-big-cuts-to-fixed-rate-loans">Westpac slash investor fixed rates by up to 0.50 per cent</a> and we expect others will follow in coming days,” she said.
Following <a href="/news/nab-slashes-saving-rates-again">NAB's saving rate cut earlier in the month</a>, ANZ have followed suit, cutting their Online Saver account base rate from 0.10 per cent to just 0.05 per cent, the worst of the big four.
The old introductory rate for the first three months has been trimmed from 1.6 per cent to 1.55 per cent also.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/1/23/Big%20four%20savings%20rates.jpg" alt=""> Source: RateCity
“With a new ongoing rate of 0.05 per cent, ANZ’s online saver account is down there at the bottom of the barrel.“What’s disappointing is that while the home loan cuts are largely reserved for new customers, the savings cuts will hit everyone with an ANZ online saver account", Tindall added.
"A person with $10,000 in one of these accounts would be getting less than 50 cents in interest a month once the introductory rate expires. That’s not even enough for a litre of milk."
 
 
 
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