Joel Robinson

First Look: Sherlock Construction pitches apartments for low-rise Deception Bay

Queensland builder-developer MAYD has revealed the first look at its major North Kirra beachfront development, lodging amended plans that reduce the number of apartments and increase the proportion of larger residences.

The project is planned across a substantial 4,742 sqm amalgamated site spanning seven lots at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/2-6-pacific-parade-bilinga-qld-4225">2-6 Pacific Parade</a> and 27-33 Golden Four Drive in Bilin​ga, directly opposite Nor​th Kirra Beach.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/mayd-group">MAYD</a> secured the site for $32.5 million in 2025, in what was one of the Gold Coast's largest property transactions of the year.

The development will be delivered across two stages, with the first stage carrying an estimated gross realisation value of around $360 million.

The latest amendments seek to reduce the overall apartment count and shift the project further toward the owner-occupier market, with larger residences designed for buyers wanting considerably more space than traditionally offered in a beachfront apartment.

The residential mix will include townhomes, oversized two-bedroom apartments, substantial three-bedroom residences and four-bedroom homes.

MAYD has appointed Cera Stribley to lead the architecture and interiors, with the Melbourne-based design practice drawing on the beachfront setting through a series of ocean-facing terraces and heavily landscaped balconies.

Strong horizontal forms and curved balconies will define the exterior, with subtropical landscaping integrated throughout the building to soften the built form and increase the connection between the residences and the beachfront.

The project will also include an extensive collection of resident wellness and lifestyle facilities, continuing the broader shift across the Gold Coast's luxury apartment market toward larger homes supported by resort-style amenity.

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MAYD Founder Todd Mould said North Kirra was increasingly appealing to buyers attracted to the more established, lower-density character of the southern Gold Coast.

"North Kirra presents one of the most compelling luxury residential opportunities currently emerging in Australia, combining absolute beachfront with the character and authenticity that buyers are increasingly seeking, and the same sense of tight-knit community that defined Burleigh and Currumbin perhaps 10 or 15 years ago," Mould said.

"With Gold Coast Airport on its doorstep, it also offers a level of accessibility that broadens its appeal across almost every market demographic."

The project comes as the southern Gold Coast continues to attract an increasing share of high-end apartment development and buyer activity.

Kirra in particular has emerged as one of the region's more tightly held beachfront markets, with its relatively low-density character, established surf and hospitality scene and proximity to Gold Coast Airport differentiating it from the higher-density markets further north.

Mould said those characteristics had informed the approach MAYD and Cera Stribley had taken to the project.

"We've worked closely with Cera Stribley to create a vision that is deeply connected to its surroundings," he said.

"Inspired by the coastline itself, the architecture has been shaped around space, privacy and resort-style living, creating a collection of homes that reflects the next generation of luxury on the southern Gold Coast."

MOTIV Managing Director Carly Cottam, who has been appointed to market the project, said buyer attention had continued to move south along the Gold Coast.

"Purchasers who may once have defaulted to Broadbeach, Main Beach or Surfers Paradise are increasingly recognising the value of a genuine beachfront location that offers lower density, strong amenity and a more established sense of community," Cottam said.

"Kirra has a powerful combination of growing demand and genuine scarcity. Beachfront supply is inherently constrained, the area remains relatively low density, and buyers are increasingly placing a premium on locations that feel established, uncrowded and authentic rather than heavily developed."

Cottam said the proximity to Gold Coast Airport was also proving increasingly important for interstate and second-home buyers.

"Being minutes from Gold Coast Airport makes it particularly compelling for interstate buyers, frequent travellers and second-home purchasers who can access an authentic coastal lifestyle almost immediately after stepping off a flight."

The acquisition takes MAYD's active development portfolio to more than $500 million, with the North Kirra project representing one of its largest undertakings to date.

MAYD is targeting an early 2027 launch.

First look at MAYD's North Kirra mixed-use precinct

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Castle Hill, the longtime hub of the Hills District, has been one of the major beneficiaries of Sydney's Metro expansion, with improved connectivity helping drive continued population growth, development and buyer demand across the Hills District.

But despite that growth, the suburb has seen relatively few major new apartment projects brought to market over the past 18 months.

Hills District developer Reve Group is looking to fill that gap with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nova-r-ve-castle-hill-2-garthowen-crescent-castle-hill-nsw-2154">Nova Rêve</a>, a major new mixed-use precinct on the corner of Garthowen Crescent and Old Castle Hill Road, a short walk from Castle Hill Metro Station and Castle Towers.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377679]

The project will comprise three residential towers alongside a hotel, restaurants, cafes and a skybar, more than 1,600 sqm of ground-floor retail and almost an acre of landscaped gardens.

It represents the largest project undertaken by Reve Group, the development arm of the Kassis family, which has been building across the Hills District for more than 30 years through Kassis Homes.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377675]

Nova Rêve also represents a significant step up from the family's first apartment development, Grand Rêve, which was delivered nearby on Garthowen Crescent.

Grand Rêve introduced larger, house-like apartment layouts and premium inclusions including Wolf and Sub-Zero appliances to the Castle Hill market.

Nova Rêve takes that approach to a precinct scale, combining the residential component with hospitality, retail and substantial public and resident landscaping.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152737 project_image_fid=377685]

Reve Group Managing Director Sam Kassis said the project reflected the family's three decades of building in the Hills, which has evolved from trophy homes on quarter-acre blocks to larger-scale apartment development.

"Grand Rêve was our first apartment project here and it showed us what this pocket of Castle Hill could be. Nova Rêve is the refinement of that idea: not just apartments, but a place the whole suburb can use," Kassis said.

A key part of that approach is the hotel, which has been designed to operate as an amenity for the wider Castle Hill community rather than solely hotel guests.

It will include restaurants, cafes, skybars and all-day dining, alongside conference and event facilities catering to business functions, community groups and private events.

At ground level, more than 1,600 sqm of shops and cafes will open onto the surrounding streets and landscaped areas.

Almost an acre of gardens designed by Land and Form Studios will run through the precinct, incorporating pathways, seating, barbecue areas and children's play spaces.

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Reve Group's Romio Georges said creating an active ground plane had been central to the planning of Nova Rêve.

"There are gardens with pathways, barbecues, seating and play areas, shops and cafes opening onto the street, and a hotel with restaurants and a skybar that anyone in Castle Hill can walk into," Georges said.

The project's elevated position on one of Sydney's highest ridgelines will also provide apartments with outlooks toward the Sydney skyline, surrounding parkland and the Blue Mountains.

More than 80 per cent of the apartments will occupy corner positions, with Turner responsible for both the architecture and interiors.

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Nova Rêve arrives as Reve Group bets on Castle Hill's next growth phase

A collection of just 25 large-format apartments and penthouses overlooking Goodwin Park is entering the Coolangatta market, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marea-residences-coolangatta-27-27a-dixon-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Maréa Residences</a> combining a low-density, residential-only approach with uninterrupted park and Pacific Ocean outlooks.

Located at 27 Dixon Street, Maréa comprises three and four-bedroom residences alongside a limited number of dual-level penthouses, with the project positioned between Goodwin Park and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/coolangatta-qld-4225">Coolangatta</a>’s coastal precinct.

Construction has commenced, with completion currently estimated for late 2027. Three-bedroom residences are priced from $1.8 million.

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The project has been designed around its northern outlook across the park, with the building’s architecture, landscaping and material palette intended to establish a connection with the neighbouring green space. The residences have been configured to maximise natural light and views across Goodwin Park towards the ocean.

Inside, the material palette incorporates timber, stone and brushed brass, complemented by curved detailing and ambient lighting. Kitchens and bathrooms carry the same natural material approach, while residences also include basement parking, storage and lift access.

Maréa’s penthouses are arranged over two levels and include private pools, adding another layer to the project’s focus on larger-format apartment living. Across the development, residences are configured with three or four bedrooms rather than the broader mix of smaller apartment types commonly found in larger projects.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374010]

Resident amenity is concentrated at rooftop level, where landscaped entertaining terraces and pools take advantage of elevated views across Coolangatta and the Pacific Ocean.

The project has so far been particularly well received by local owner-occupiers and downsizers, according to Urban Activation Property Sales and Marketing Director Matt George, with the residential-only format, construction quality and northern park outlook among the features resonating with purchasers.

“The uninterrupted northern aspect overlooking Goodwin Park has been a key point of difference, with buyers attracted to the sense of serenity and open space the park provides, while still enjoying easy access to the ocean and being within walking distance of the lifestyle and amenities Coolangatta has to offer,” George said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374002]

“The combination of high-quality construction, a residential-only building, park outlook and proximity to the beach has resonated strongly with the local downsizer market.”

The Dixon Street address is within walking distance of Coolangatta Beach and the broader southern Gold Coast coastline, including the surf breaks at Snapper Rocks and Kirra. Coolangatta’s cafés, restaurants and retail are nearby, while Gold Coast Airport is also within close proximity.

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Maréa Residences brings parkside apartments to Coolangatta

Melbourne developer PDG has secured Victorian Government approval for its $1.5 billion Southbank development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-1-queens-bridge-street-southbank-vic-3006">The One</a>, clearing the way for the long-dormant riverfront site opposite Crown to finally be developed.

The Minister for Planning has approved the project at 1-29 Queens Bridge Street, with the Department of Transport and Planning issuing the planning permit following its assessment.

The approval will allow PDG to develop the prominent 5,059 sqm site with a major mixed-use tower comprising premium apartments, including branded residences, a luxury hotel and boutique office space.

PDG acquired the site in late 2024, with its position directly opposite Crown's main entrance and near Melbourne's Arts Precinct making it one of Southbank's most significant remaining development opportunities.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3933013e-6332-4386-b9be-089df05caf17" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sITIgBqDL0N3VNSMwWEmF5UA.uvcsRyu" />

Designed by COX in collaboration with ODO and PDG, the tower's architecture draws on the movement of the Yarra River, with six vertical pleats running the height of the sculpted facade.

The project will also see the heritage-listed Queens Bridge Hotel restored and incorporated into the development&nbsp;with new hospitality and public uses, including a rooftop venue.

A significant component of The One will be its residential amenity.

More than 5,000 sqm of resident facilities will be delivered across a single level, making it one of the largest consolidated residential amenity offerings proposed in an Australian apartment development.

The planning approval also incorporates a major upgrade of Queensbridge Square, which PDG will deliver in partnership with the City of Melbourne.

<img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73167fcd-1031-4b6f-a408-a064cfe45ed1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Pf1AEWxw6SNmBqR0zQW5lyEze.MtxgFp" />

The existing square will be revitalised as a new civic and pedestrian space along the Yarra River, strengthening the connection between the project, Southbank and the riverfront.

PDG Founder and Managing Director Vince Giuliano said the approval represented a major milestone for a site which has remained largely underutilised for more than 15 years.

“This is the most significant Planning Permit approval Melbourne has seen in recent years,” Giuliano said.

“For more than 15 years, this site has remained underutilised. This approval enables us to deliver a project that will contribute meaningfully to the revitalisation of Southbank, restore and reactivate an important heritage building, and create a new civic and hospitality destination for Melbourne.”

The latest approval follows an earlier planning permit issued by the City of Melbourne covering demolition works across part of the site at 9-29 Queens Bridge Street. Those demolition and early works are already underway.

PDG has also started generating early interest in the residential component from owner-occupiers ahead of a planned public launch in early 2027.

PDG secures approval for $1.5bn Southbank apartment development, The One

Sydney

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As the debate escalates on whether Sydney house prices are set to fall, plateau or edge up in 2016, a very small number of loss making sales are occurring across Sydney. Rare opportunities to possibly snare a bargain.
Currently only 1.7 per cent of homes sold are selling at a loss for their vendor based on their prior purchase price, according to CoreLogic RP Data, with the numbers increasing the further outside of what were the early 2015 suburban Sydney hotspots.
In recent months the municipalities of Rockdale, Fairfield and Ashfield have had three percent or higher of sales as loss takers.
Regional Sydney loss-making districts have been Wyong, Gosford and the Blue Mountains.
The prestige market has also been problematic with losses in Mosman, Pittwater and Woollahra muncipalities.
The biggest known price drops last year were in Darling Point when mining boss Peter Freyberg, the Australian head of Glencore Xstrata, sold his four-bedroom residence for $5.5 million having paid $7 million in 2008 ahead of the GFC.
Urologist Phillip Stricker sold his Darling Point penthouse last year for $6.575 million after paying $7.4 million in 2010.
A $10 million Mosman harbourfront sold last year at the same price as its 2011 sale, so no gain in four years for the vendor, the Commonwealth Bank chairman David Turner.
In Woollahra $6 million was secured for a contemporary terrace which fetched $6.5 million in 2011.
Property success depends on your timing in the cycle, but also not getting emotionally carried away in your purchase price negotiations, one agent noted.
"The most important factor is the time the property is held; the property market is cyclical so those who buy at the peak of the market must ensure they are not selling at the following trough," CoreLogic RP Data advised.
The 1.7% of homes resold in Sydney over the third quarter of 2015 that sold at a loss was the lowest proportion on record.
Outside Sydney it noted while localities linked to the mining sector have seen their proportion of loss-making sales rise over recent years, the coastal markets have generally seen conditions improve.
The proportion of loss-making resales has been recorded at: 1.7% in Illawarra, 2.6% in Newcastle-Lake Macquarie, 12.5% in Richmond-Tweed and 8.3% in Mid-North Coast.
Coastal lifestyle locations continued to be traps for overpaying with one sale at Avoca Beach at $825,000 in 2004, reselling at $705,000 last year. At Ettalong Beach an apartment sold last month at $350,000 having been bought in boomtime 2003 at $360,000.
But price dips are an opportunity for savvy buyers. Hong Kong jockey Nash Rawiller and his wife Sarah secured $3.7 million for their redundant Maroubra home.
Rawiller, who won three Sydney riding premierships after making the move from Melbourne in 2007, had bought the property for $3.07 million in 2012 after it had sold at $4 million in pre-global financial crisis 2008.
The 3.7% of homes in Rockdale that experienced a total loss in the September quarter typically went back by $158,000. It was a similiar $150,000 for the Pittwater loss takers who had owned for around five years. However 96% of Pittwater homes were sold at a profit, typically gaining $411,000 having owned for nine years.  
In the Blue Mountains there was a typical $72,000 loss for the three percent who went out backwards.
The data doesn’t include expenses such as holding costs and purchase and selling costs so the proportion of actual loss-making re-sales would be higher on a net basis.
This article was first published in the Sunday Telegraph.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Prices potentially going backwards - most obvious in Sydney prestige market

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Only 1.7% of homes resold in Sydney over the third quarter of 2015 sold at a loss which is the lowest proportion on record, according to the CoreLogic RP Data Pain &amp; Gain report.
The Burwood and Hunters Hill council areas each recorded no resales at a loss over the quarter.
The highest proportion of loss-making resales over the quarter were found in: Rockdale (3.7%), Pittwater (3.6%) and Blue Mountains (3.1%) however, the proportion of loss-making resales in these regions was extremely low relative to other cities. 
 
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Where the biggest loss making property sales in Sydney are: CoreLogic RP Data Pain & Gain report

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Two bedroom apartments account for the majority of the Sydney apartment stock, at 56% of occupied apartments., according to a report by Angie Zigomanis, senior manager of residential property at BIS Shrapnel in a report on the deterioration of affordability in Sydney.
Studios and one bedroom apartments account for another 28% of Sydney’s occupied apartment stock, with the remaining 16% containing three or more bedrooms.
The majority of movers into three bedroom apartments are owner occupiers (58%), with the higher percentage (31%) being fully owned.
"This suggests the majority of owner occupiers coming into three bedroom apartments are downsizers and are buying with full equity," Angie Zigomanis noted.
His study of Australian Bureau of Statistics, shows tenure differs across apartments in Sydney.
Studio and one bedroom apartments are dominated by rental tenants, who account for 70% of households moving into these apartments over the prior five years.
"In contrast, only 9% were fully owned suggesting that studio and one bedroom apartments are not attracting downsizers.
"Around 57% of movers into two bedroom apartments were tenants."
The report noted the deterioration of affordability in Sydney had encouraged a shift towards both apartments over houses, and also into middle suburbs compared to inner ring suburbs.
BIS Shrapnel’s Sydney apartments report found 55 per cent of apartment building approvals in 2014/2015 were located in middle-ring suburbs, compared with the 37 per cent in 2010/2011.
Overall commencements of apartments in buildings four storeys and above have increased from 8,300 dwellings in 2010/11 to the record 19,450 dwellings in 2014/15.
He noted dwelling completions exceeded underlying demand for the first time in 2014/15, with the deficiency falling slightly.
"However, given the estimated deficiency of 42,300 dwellings at June 2015, it will take some time for the market to return to balance, and this should still support an elevated level of new dwelling activity."
Median unit price growth remained high at 14.9% in 2014/15 compared to rental growth of just 1%.
"The result has been that indicative unit yields in Sydney are now around their previous lows of 2003 to 2005, at 3.7% in June 2015," the report noted.
 To find out more information, <a href="https://www.bis.com.au" target="_blank">click here</a>.
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Downsizers with full equity snapping up Sydney three bedder apartments: BIS Shrapnel

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Sydney and Melbourne continue to lead the office market recovery in Australia, according to latest figures from JLL Research. 
Statistics on national office markets for the fourth quarter of 2015 showed positive net absorption of 26,700 sqm over the quarter across CBD office markets and 296,900 sqm over the past 12 months. 
The net absorption for 2015 was nearly 100,000 sqm higher than the 20 year average for CBD office markets (197,000 sqm).
“Activity in the office sector is intrinsically linked to the health of the labour market. While the rate of hiring varied by state and industry sector, overall headcount growth was firm in 2015,” said JLL’s head of Strategic Research, Australia, Andrew Ballantyne.
“Employment growth was strongest in NSW and VIC and this was reflected in above trend net absorption results for the Sydney and Melbourne CBDs in 2015.”
Brisbane CBD, however, surprised on the upside with a sharp reduction in sub-lease availability over 2015, he added.
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The availability of backfill space from relocation to new development stock, however, resulted in the national CBD office market vacancy rate rising to 12.6% from 12% in the previous quarter. 
The Sydney CBD recorded positive net absorption of 24,400 sqm in 4Q15 and 144,800 sqm over the past 12 months. However, vacancy rate rose marginally by 0.1 percentage point to 7.8% in 4Q15 from the previous quarter.
“The recovery in the Sydney CBD office market continues to be led by the technology sector. Expedia and Dropbox committed to new space and expanded their occupational footprint in the Sydney CBD in Q4,” JLL’s head of Office Leasing, Australia, Tim O’Connor said.
He said the trend of new entrants into Sydney would remain a relevant theme in 2016 and the announcement of new infrastructure projects by the NSW government was a positive for the medium-term economic outlook.
“As the demand recovery across Sydney’s office markets crystallises, the number of genuine options for tenants has diminished and competition for space has translated into positive effective rental growth.”
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Prime gross effective rents in the Sydney CBD increased by 3.9% in Q4 and by 9.5% over 2015. Rental growth was not limited to the CBD with the Sydney Fringe (+12.2%), North Sydney (+6.6%) and Parramatta (+6.6%) all recording above trend effective rental growth in 2015.
The Melbourne CBD recorded 3,700 sqm of positive net absorption in 4Q15 and 128,500 sqm over the past 12 months. As a result, the vacancy rate compressed from 10.1% in Q3 to 10% at the end of 2015. 
“The relatively flat net absorption result masked the divergence in prime and secondary vacancy rates. The availability of good quality space has allowed companies to upgrade the quality of their premises and the prime grade vacancy rate moved below 10%,” O’Connor said.
While office market net absorption surprised on the upside in Sydney and Melbourne over the past 12 months, only four of the six monitored CBD office markets recorded positive net absorption over 2015. 
The Brisbane CBD was one of the markets to perform above expectations and recorded four successive quarters of positive net absorption in 2015. Net absorption in Q4 came in at 11,300 sqm and was 26,600 sqm over 2015. 
“While leasing volumes remain thin in Brisbane, a reduction in sub-lease availability from 3.28% of total stock in 2014 to 1.44% in 2015 provides tangible evidence that companies are willing to retain excess space in anticipation of modest headcount growth in the short-term,” Ballantyne said.
The Perth CBD recorded positive net absorption of 600 sqm in 4Q15. However, net absorption was negative 19,100 sqm over 2015.
“It is too early to confidently call the trough in the Perth CBD office leasing market. However, the rate of contraction has slowed significantly over 2015 and the physical market will show further signs of stabilisation in 2016,” Ballantyne said.
Canberra recorded positive net absorption of 18,000 sqm over 2015. As a result, Canberra’s vacancy rate has trended down over 2015 and finished the year at 14.1%.
In 4Q15, the Adelaide CBD recorded net absorption of -11,300 sqm and vacancy increased to 16.7% over the quarter. The vacancy rate in Adelaide is now at the highest level since 1999.
“The easing of leasing incentives we recorded in Sydney over the latter part of 2015 will become a more pronounced theme in 2016. However, vacancy pressures in Perth, Adelaide and Brisbane will require owners to commit capital expenditure to reposition assets to ensure that they remain relevant in competitive leasing markets,” concluded O’Connor.
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Sydney, Melbourne lead office market recovery: JLL research

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February auction clearance rates are almost always much stronger than where December left off. But the extraordinary stock market turmoil we've seen so far this year has the potential to un-nerve the Sydney property market at least in the short term.
It is possible that the optimistic outlook that typically starts most years may not fully emerge - and even the wet deluge that dominated the holiday break could undermine the psyche necessary to secure a healthier auction start. Or at least delay listings given the odd jobs to spruce the home up for sale were put off.
We could be nervous and grumpy this February.
Ofcourse December auctions results didn't finish up that flash with a 53 per cent clearance rate.
The fatigued market saw the success rate fall over most of the spring selling season and then into early summer.
Last year February there was an 83 percent opening success rate which was well up on the December 2014 close of 69 per cent.
There have been even bigger rebounds in recent times as February 2013 had a 63 per cent success rate as against the 49 percent in December 2012.
Confident starts after the summer break are no guarantee that the year doesn't deteriorate into tougher market conditions.
And I think that will happen this year, with the early bird vendor getting the best offers before the predictable pre-Easter overload.
This is not to say 2016 won't be a healthy market. But we are not going to see prices skyrocketing month after month across all of Sydney.
We will even see in some suburbs where the inferior house down the street fetched a better price last year than the better home up for auction this year because the mood has shifted from crazy to cautious.
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<div>The RBA governor Glenn Stevens wasn't wrong in June last year when he suggested some crazy prices were being paid. </div>
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<div>After consecutive 15 percent plus price growth years, the Sydney housing market gained 11.5 percent during 2016, according to Core Logic RP Data. </div>
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<div>But Sydney was the weakest performer of any capital city, with dwelling values down by 2.3 percent during the December quarter. Houses at a $935,000 median and units at $676,000.</div>
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<div>But home buyers are still substantially wealthier from housing in Sydney.</div>
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In dollar terms, Sydney home owners saw $82,000 added to their wealth during 2015. And $227,000 in the growth cycle since the end of the global financial crisis in early 2009.
When deciding just how to list your home this year, best ask your prospective listing agents not only how they went late last year but contrast their results against the overall suburban trend.
It was interesting to see CoreLogic RP Data note while Sydney’s auction clearance rate over the December quarter was 59 percent there were pockets of the Sydney market where clearance rate performance sits much stronger than the broader market.
For instance the eastern suburbs came in with the highest clearance rate at almost 75 percent, followed by the inner south and inner west at 67 percent. But Blacktown and Parramatta were in the low 40s.
BradfieldCleary director and auctioneer Bob Guth said that in his view the best time to market eastern suburbs real estate is February when there is less competition from other homes and apartments and this often leads to the best under-the-hammer results.
His eastern suburbs Sydney agency has its first eight auction scheduled for next week, so it will be interesting to see how they go.
This article was first published in the Saturday Daily Telegraph.
 
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Sydney February auctions to test the always better than December precedent

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Dwelling values across Australia’s capital cities were 0.9% higher in January driven partially by a rebound in Sydney and Melbourne.
The recent growth conditions have pushed the Melbourne market into first place for annual growth in dwelling values with an 11.0% rise compared with Sydney where values are 10.5% higher over the past twelve months. 
According to the January 2016 CoreLogic RP Data Hedonic Home Value Index results, dwelling values across Australia’s combined capital cities showed a 0.9 per cent rise in January after recording no change in December and a 1.5 per cent drop in November. 
This month on month rise wasn’t quite enough to pull the rolling quarterly rate of growth back into the black, with capital city dwelling values remaining 0.6% lower over the past three months. Hobart led the monthly figures with a 4.7% jump in values, followed by Melbourne where values were 2.5% higher and Canberra with a 2.8% lift. Sydney values also showed a rise of 0.5%, while the remaining four capital cities showed dwelling values to be either flat or down. 
The rolling quarterly trend was looking similarly diverse, with four of Australia’s eight capital cities recording negative dwelling value movements over the past three months, with Sydney dwelling values showing the largest fall, down 2.1 per cent. Values are down over the rolling quarter in Darwin (-1.4%), Adelaide (-0.9%) and Melbourne (-0.1%) as well. The strongest growth in home values over the quarter across the capital cities was found in Hobart with a 3.0% capital gain. 
Despite recording the largest annual decline in home values (-4.1%), Perth dwelling values posted a 1.7 per cent rise over the three months to the end of January. Other capital cities to record a rise over the rolling quarter were Brisbane (+0.8%) and Canberra (+1.2%). 
Over the past twelve months, capital city dwelling values have risen by 7.4% with Sydney’s capital gains of 10.5% no longer the highest annual rate across the capitals. While still a high rate of annual growth, Sydney’s annual rate of capital gain is now at a 29 month low and has been progressively softening since peaking at 18.4% in July last year. 
Melbourne’s housing market has been more resilient to slowing growth conditions which has propelled the annual growth rate to the highest of any capital city, with dwelling values 11.0% higher over the past twelve months. Previously, during the height of the growth phase, there was a large separation between Sydney’s housing market, which was streaking ahead, and Melbourne’s, where the rate of capital gain was substantial but still well below the heights being recorded in Sydney. The latest data reveals Sydney’s housing market is now playing second fiddle to Melbourne’s, at least in annual growth terms.
In fact, over the past six months, the performance gap between Sydney and Melbourne is stark. Sydney dwelling values have reduced by 0.6 per cent between July last year and the end of January 2016, compared with a 3.0 per cent rise across Melbourne dwelling values. The last six months have also seen both Brisbane and Canberra dwelling values rise by 2.0 per cent while Hobart values are 1.3 per cent higher and Adelaide dwelling values have been virtually flat with a 0.1 per cent rise.
Tim Lawless is head of the CoreLogic RP Data research and analytics team and can be contacted <a href="https://blog.corelogic.com.au/author/timlawless/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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tlawless-5VLUrbAk9s

Sydney now second fiddle to Melbourne: Tim Lawless

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Sydney’s established suburbs have just one thing in common when we talk about their existing houses in that for years now we have seen no new housing developments – they have simply dried up.
They no longer exist nor will we see any more new developments, so the number of houses in a particular suburb is all but fixed forever. Unlike outer Sydney where new housing estates are being released at the fastest rates ever witnessed before to meet the growing consumer demand – however the new markets are totally different from the established property markets.
It’s interesting to note that the established housing markets are contracting with less properties being offered to the marketplace which is underpinning property prices. Just as interesting is the observation that the overseas buyers are now strong participants in the established Sydney property markets followed by the local buyers in close pursuit.
This is what many are calling the perfect storm where if you removed the overseas buyers the Sydney established property markets would bear no resemblance to what we witnessed in 2015. With the NSW government now fixated on high – density residential strata developments many property buyers are observing that established houses are the best investments because production has ceased.
Whilst the NSW government has no problems encouraging the new residential subdivisions of airspace we certainly don’t envisage we will see any outdoor public spaces being converted to residential housing subdivisions.
We can also throw into the ‘perfect property storm’ record low interest rates where households are leveraging their borrowings to the maximum in order to take full advantage of the lowest rates in property history. When they leverage high this takes longer to pay down the principal home loan which in turn slows down the number of properties being offered to the market place which is exactly what we are witnessing today.
Just as interesting is that the last cash rate increase by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) was back on November 3, 2010 when the RBA increased the cash rate +0.25 percent to 4.75 percent.
To show further proof a recent analysis by Digital Finance Analytics identified that 13 percent of households with an owner occupied loan would be in financial discomfort if rates were to rise at all. This is a smaller proportion to investment property owners who came in at 27 percent. However, more than one third of households said that they would be in difficulty if rates rose by 3 percent.
With many property owners closely following the cash rate musings emanating from the RBA – they may be better advised to watch their respective lenders a lot more closely.
Business analysts warned this week if there are no RBA cuts in 2016 then the banks would again act independently by announcing their own independent rate increases. Many quickly forget that in 2015 the big banks joined hands and raised their respective rates between 15 and 20 basis points.
Based on this data, for that to happen we would see the investment property hardest hit with a very distinct possibility of surging nervous investors trying to off – load their newly acquired investment properties. On the flip – side the major banks are most concerned that this newly created investment property loan portfolio has them exposed – so we in all probability will see them massaging their mortgage books in 2016.
This of course does not bode well for all the new developments awaiting release to the respective marketplaces where Melbourne has approximately another 20,000 new apartments ready to be released over the next five years with Sydney sitting at around 6,000 new apartments.
Then of course we have the dilemma with the apartments already sold off – the – plan with plenty of talk that many of those won’t proceed with their contracts. In particular the Big Four banks are only too well aware of their exposure to these new markets. That would explain why they have commenced their whisper campaigns – where we can expect to read plenty more in coming months.
When the property flows are weak the prices shoot up which is exactly what has happened to the established markets. The new investment markets are the ones that dominated in 2015 so there is a very good chance they may dominate conversations in 2015 for all the wrong reasons. What also needs to be factored in are the new developments where 100 per cent of these apartments were sold offshore. It’s anyone’s guess what may happen should we see these newly created markets start showing the first signs of panic.
<h5>MOSMAN – 2088</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 58
• Number of houses on the market last week – 36
• Number of houses on the market this week – 45
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 43
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 32
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 38
<h5>CREMORNE – 2090</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 8
• Number of houses on the market last week – 9
• Number of houses on the market this week – 11
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year – 18
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 11
• Number of apartments on the market this week – 15
<h5>NEUTRAL BAY – 2089</h5>
• Number of houses on the market this time last year – 4
• Number of houses on the market last week – 6
•Number of houses on the market this week – 6
• Number of apartments on the market this time last year– 37
• Number of apartments on the market last week – 23
*Number of apartments on the market this week – 27
 ROBERT SIMEON is a director of <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/" target="_blank" title="RWM" rel="nofollow">Richardson Wrench Mosman and Neutral Bay</a> and has been selling residential real estate in Sydney since 1985.  He has also been writing real estate blog <a href="https://www.rwm.com.au/news/" target="_blank" title="Virtual Realty News" rel="nofollow">Virtual Realty News</a> since 2000. 
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robertsimeon-hRNTwJyXkQ

Simply put, property will be as steady as she flows: Robert Simeon

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CoreLogic RP Data's senior research analyst Cameron Kusher has weighed into the Sydney property market decline debate through his twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/cmkusher" target="_blank">@cmkusher</a> by asking, why exactly is the fact that Sydney house prices are allegedly not booming any more a bad thing?
Sydney house prices have recorded a sharp decline over the last quarter with the fall marking the end of the Sydney property boom, according to figures released recently by Domain.com.au. 
Despite the property boom ending, Sydney and Melbourne are set to reclaim some of the losses record over the final quarter of 2015, according to CoreLogic RP Data's head of research Tim Lawless.
In preparation for the announcement on Monday, Lawless said Sydney will bounce half a percent higher over the first 27 days of January while dwelling values in Melbourne are likely to increase by around 2 percent by the months end.
He said that the month to date performance will help to offset the 2.3% fall in Sydney values recorded over the December quarter, while the higher growth rate in Melbourne should bring Australia’s second largest city back into positive growth territory on a rolling quarterly basis.
Although there will be higher index readings across the largest cities, Tim suggests it's likely that housing market conditions will track lower than what we saw over 2015.
Property Observer will keep you up to date with the home value index when it is released on Monday.
 
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Tweet of the day: Cameron Kusher on Sydney's possible bust 

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Estate agent John McGrath anticipates it’s going to be a lot quieter on the eastern seaboard property front. 
"While South-East Queensland will continue bubbling away in the early stages of its growth cycle, Sydney and Melbourne have reached the slow down point," he suggested.
"The boom is over but the growth cycle isn’t," he wrote in his Switzer blog. 
He anticipates ups and downs in the monthly reporting of price movements but still some overall annual price growth. 
He noted Sydney property values had risen by almost 50% since mid-2012.
"So if you purchased a property in 2011 for say, $600,000, your property would be worth about $900,000 now.
"That’s fantastic news for people who owned property before the boom but for those who missed the opportunity to buy before the growth, it’s just painful." 
 {mijopolls 127}
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Boom is over, but not growth cycle: John McGrath

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Light rail upgrades within Sydney's inner east is tipped to push up the value of local apartments by a possible 20 percent, a real estate agent has predicted.
Greencliff executive director David Butt said additional and improved transport in and out of the CBD is key to residential planning as fewer apartments are sold without car spaces and options such as car sharing are becoming more popular. 
"Potential investors are aware that the light rail and the redevelopment of George Street into a pedestrianised street is going to have a huge flow-on affect to residential buildings on or near the street with more people wanting to live in these apartments and the rentals and sales prices are increasing as a result," he said.
“We are actually seeing prices increase as construction progresses – the further along construction is delivered, the higher prices grow.
"Providing additional and improved transport in and out of the CBD is key to residential planning as fewer apartments are sold without car spaces and options such as car sharing are becoming more popular."
<a href="https://dulwichgreen.com.au" target="_blank">Dulwich Green</a>, (above) a development project marketed by Greencliff, is located just 10 minutes to Dulwich Hill Light Rail Station, part of the newly completed Inner West Light Rail Extension.
The start of the light rail construction around the Lumiere Residences at 101 Bathurst St, (below) managed by Frasers Property, had piqued interest in further sales, he said.
<img src="/images/2016/01/28/Lumiere.jpg" alt="" width="1465" height="2191"> 
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