Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

Property

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Greg Medcraft, chairman of the Australian Securities and Investments Commission, has issued a warning about the danger of heated property markets.
"I am quite worried about the Sydney and Melbourne property markets," Mr Medcraft told The Australian Financial Review.
"In housing, the long-term average income to average price ratio is four to five times but at the moment it is at historic highs.
"History shows that people don't know when they are in a bubble until it's over."
The ASIC chairman warned there was always danger when rates got so low.
"That's when people start borrowing when they can't afford it.
"What generally happens is rates starts to rise which affects your ability to pay, and rate rises can actually bust a bubble, so you end up with a double whammy," Mr Medcraft said.
Mr Medcraft was troubled by this month's ANZ financial literacy study which showed those who rated diversification over a five-year investment as "very important" or "quite important" fell to its lowest level since the surveys began in 2002.
"The super funds which buy residential houses as the only assets in their fund – obviously that's diversification thrown out the window," Mr Medcraft said.
The ANZ study also found the number who could recognise an investment as "too good to be true" fell to 50%.
"This invigorates our efforts, frankly. It's shocking, it's really shocking," Mr Medcraft said.
"We know what happens in low interest rate environments people are searching for yield. They start buying more complex products they don't understand," he said.
ASIC is preparing for a major crackdown on property spruiking to SMSFs.
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

History shows people don't know it is a housing bubble until it's over: ASIC's Greg Medcraft

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Analysing trends of the number of properties advertised for rent is the single most useful metric for property investors to make informed property management decisions. Propertyology has just completed an analysis of rental market trends across Australia and there are some interesting trends developing.
<table style="width: 507px; height: 244px;" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody><tr>
<td>
<div>
Biggest Increase In Rental Stock (last 12 months)
<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/2015-03_Propertyology_SuratBasin.pdf" target="_blank">Roma</a> QLD (311% more)</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/2015.03_Propertyology_ArmidaleNSW.pdf" target="_blank">Armidale</a> NSW (81% more)</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/darwin/" target="_blank">Darwin</a> NT (79% more)</li>
<li>Whyalla SA (39% more)</li>
<li>Newcastle NSW (34% more)</li>
<li>Karratha WA (32% more)</li>
<li>Perth WA (31% more)</li>
<li>Mackay QLD (25% more)</li>
</ul>
 
Biggest Decrease In Rental Stock (last 12 months)
<ul>
<li>Canberra ACT (31% less)</li>
<li>Port Macquarie NSW (30% less)</li>
<li>Muswellbrook NSW (26% less)</li>
<li>Orange NSW (22% less)</li>
<li>Gold Coast QLD (21% less)</li>
</ul>
</div>
</td>
</tr></tbody></table>
The most common method for reporting the state of a rental market is vacancy rates. Data houses such as SQM Research do this by calculating the number of properties advertised for rent as a percentage of all rental properties within that given market. For example, if a specific location had one thousand properties which make up the total rental pool and twenty five of those owners were looking for a tenant the vacancy rate would be 2.5%.
A 3% vacancy rate is considered to be a ‘normal’ market. In my experience, pressure starts to build on rental prices when vacancy rates fall below 2%.
While the vacancy rate of a particular location at a particular time is useful information I find it even more meaningful to understand the rental trends which have been forming leading up to that point in time – is the available number of properties increasing or decreasing?
Imagine yourself receiving that friendly reminder from your property manager that a lease on one of your investment properties is getting close to expiry - the tenant has stated that they will not be renewing, and your property manager now needs your instructions on what rental price to advertise your property for. Propertyology is often asked by our clients to provide input in scenarios just like this.
The most appropriate response in this situation would be different if the property was in the south-west Queensland town of Roma compared to the Nation’s capital, Canberra. Research conducted by Propertyology confirms that Roma has experienced the biggest increase in the number of properties advertised for rent over the last 12 months (from 42 to 173). Canberra has experienced the biggest decrease (from 1,056 properties to 737).
When rental trends show a significant increase in volumes of properties available the most appropriate response by the landlord is often to set the rent below the rest of your competition. 80% of something is more than 100% of nothing; rents don’t always go up. And, unless there is a pending economic shift which gives hope for a reversal of this trend in the short term it might also be appropriate to seek a 12 month term as opposed to the traditional six months.
Conversely, there is more scope to increase rents when there is a limited number of properties for tenants to choose from. And, if the trend appears to be that the number of properties available is likely to decline it might be appropriate to stick with a short-term lease.  Port Macquarie in New South Wales (from 171 properties to 119), Muswellbrook in Hunter Valley (from 226 to 167), and Gold Coast (from 2,665 to 2,125) have also seen a significant reduction in the number of properties advertised for rent.
As forecast by Propertyology quite some time ago, Darwin (79% more rentals) and Perth (31% increase on an already high base) have significantly more properties available for rent today compared to 12 months ago.
Factors which influence the number of properties advertised for rent include:
<ul>
<li>The level of supply of new properties recently built;</li>
<li>Seasonal factors such as school holiday periods, peak tourism periods, Christmas / New Year, agriculture seasons;</li>
<li>Commencement and completion of large employment contracts; and</li>
<li>Commodity price peaks and troughs.</li>
</ul>
Large volumes of properties purchased by investors (as opposed to owner-occupiers) within a short period of time will also result in more stock available in a defined rental pool. A good example of this is Sydney where it has been reported that as high as 70% of home loan approvals during 2014 were to investors (30 – 45% is ‘normal’). Logic would suggest that pressure on rents will start to ease in Sydney.
Astute property investors will also analyse rental trends as part of their broader research in determining where to invest (although there are far more important considerations than this).  
Property is an asset class which requires investors to hold for the long-term. Over the years of holding a property there will invariably be periods when there are large volumes of properties available for rent and other periods when the rental market is tight. The astute landlord will understand the economic drivers which influence demand for their market, the supply pipeline, and current rental trends.
Simon Pressley is Managing Director of Propertyology, a REIA Hall Of Fame Inductee, property market analyst, accredited property investment adviser, and Buyer’s Agent. Contact Simon <a href="https://www.propertyology.com.au/contact-us/" target="_blank">here.</a>
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spressley-sBoeMhannA

Watching rental market vacancy rate trends key for investment success: Propertyology's Simon Pressley

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Foreign property investors being used as 'cash cows' by the Victorian government could potentially impact foreign investment in the state, according to property, finance and immigration firm Ausin Group (Ausin). 
The comments came after the Victorian government announced it is set to impose a 3% levy on purchases by foreign citizens who are not permanent residents along with a 0.5% land tax surcharge to absentee property owners who are not citizens or permanent residents.
Joseph Zaja, the Ausin Group managing director believes the Victorian property industry is currently sustaining the state economy with stamp duty generating the highest tax revenue in the state. 
"Overseas investors are an easy revenue raising target for the government," Mr Zaja said. 
“Foreign property investors are the lifeblood for several major property projects across Victoria.
"Without this cash injection many would not be developed and thousands of jobs would be lost. The State government is sending the message to foreign investors that it is not open for business by introducing new property taxes.
“Overseas buyers are about to be slugged with two new property taxes from both Federal and State governments – a double whammy."
 The Federal government is currently considering introducing a $5,000 levy as part of its Foreign Investment Review Board changes for overseas buyers purchasing in Australia. 
Mr Zaja stressed Australia's enviable reputation as a place that welcomes foreign investment was key to future economic prosperity. 
“The Victorian government’s announcement to slug foreign property purchasers with a new tax is short sighted.
"It is hoped the other states don’t follow their lead.
"We expect our foreign purchasers to start looking for more investment opportunities in others states,” Mr Zaja said.
In the last financial year over 60 per cent of Ausin’s property sales totally almost 2000 were to foreigners buying property in Victoria.  
Over half of those sales were to investors seeking to move here in the near future.
Ausin is one of Australia’s largest privately owned companies providing property, immigration and financial services advice to both Australian and Asia Pacific markets. The company sells properties for Australian Stock Exchange (ASX) listed companies and private property developers in Australia and New Zealand.
It employs over 350 staff across its offices.
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Victorian government milking foreign 'cash cow'

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Sydney’s property market is continuing along a stellar growth path, with auction clearance results surpassing 90% and dwelling values increasing 13.9% since March last year*. With the growth rate not showing signs of slowing, experts are warning of another property bubble. Is this the case?  
Sydney’s market is certainly very bullish. Capital growth is strong and buying and selling activity has exceeded expectations. While most commentators expected the market to ease to steadier levels in 2015, to around 5-7% growth, the market is continuing to defy our predictions. We are now in unchartered territory but this is nowhere near a bubble. Instead, Sydney is evolving into a new market where conditions are unpredictable, competition is high, and the pool of affordable housing is drying up.
Despite strong sales, a worrying trend in this new market is a lack of owner-occupier housing. The vast majority of buyers are now investors and fewer buyers are moving into a new home. Property purchases are not following a linear path as they did in previous generations and the new generation of buyers are struggling to compete. Investors are also buying with a long-term view, with many planning on leasing their property for 10 to 15 years or more.
Sydney is also facing a serious housing undersupply. By 2031, Sydney’s metropolitan population is expected to grow to almost 6 million people; the total number of homes needed to meet this projected demand is 2,338,100**. While building up has been one solution, foreign investors are snapping up Sydney developments in droves and in bulk, reducing stock for local buyers. Many of these properties, are also ideal for first home buyers.
Is now the time to buy, or should you wait for prices to cool? Here are 7 tips.
1. Don’t second-guess the market
In an unpredictable market, trying to pinpoint the ideal time to buy where the odds are in your favour is a difficult game. You may never know. I see buyers stall on their decisions by trying to second-guess. If you find a property you can afford that fits your needs, deciding to wait for a better option or a drop in price means you may miss out on a good opportunity.
2. First impressions aren’t always the last 
Don’t disregard a property because it doesn’t fit the aesthetic you had in mind. While properties built in the past 15 years may require less maintenance, older properties often feature double-brick walls and more spacious living and sleeping areas compared to properties built more recently. If the property you admire does require renovation, scale up the costs as a buffer to cover you when planning your budget.
3. Broaden your search 
To enter the market, you may need to consider suburbs that might not be your first or second preference. Sydney has a number of suburbs on the cusp of regeneration that offer great value such as Roseberry, Botany, Mascot, Rockdale, Baulkham Hills, and Penrith. By keeping your suburb search pool too slim, you risk cutting yourself off from other opportunities. Your ideal home might be a few suburbs away from your ideal suburb.
4. Focus on the bigger picture
Base your decisions on your property goals. Are you looking to climb the property ladder? If so, your first or second purchase is unlikely to be your last. Use your purchase as an opportunity to earn capital gains and release the equity to put toward your next purchase. The new market is not linear, so be prepared to go on a journey as you progress. I also recommend buying with a business rather than emotional mindset.
5. Get on the list 
If you’re looking to buy within a new development, I recommend doing your homework to stay a step ahead. Call local councils in areas where you would consider buying to identify any new residential plans. Ask to be on their mailing list for any updates and news. Many real estate agencies also have relationships with developers, so use them as a source of information to stay on the pulse.
6. Avoid stretching your budget 
Sydney’s market is significantly competitive and this is pushing up prices. Know your limit. Property is an expensive life investment. If you find yourself going beyond your limit to afford an increase in the asking price, knowing where to draw the line is an important life skill. Be responsible, make wise choices and seek guidance from a financial advisor.
7. Keep the faith 
If the search has been arduous and you’ve given up hope, you may find yourself developing a resentful attitude towards the market. Don’t succumb. Many buyers go through this phase at some stage in the property life cycle. If things aren’t working out, consider taking a step back to reassess and readjust your strategy. Taking some time away from the market may help you gather perspective before you make your next move.
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douglasdriscoll-EkfdEjJSsC

Sydney battles along strong: Douglas Driscoll

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GUEST OBSERVATION
It is budget time again and, like on many previous occasions, the voices seeking easy publicity are calling louder and louder for the abolition of negative gearing. Housing affordability is a hot topic in an environment where property prices are rising, in some places quite significantly, so the media is happily running with this agenda without questioning the basis of various claims.
But how can you have an honest debate on the issues involved if none of those commenting against negative gearing demonstrate enough knowledge on the topic they are talking about?
Dispelling myths about negative gearing is like trying to convince a 3 year old that "spinach is good for you"… It requires some maturity to comprehend the topic of the discussion before one is able to participate without any prejudice.
It may appear as a harsh and provocative assessment of those criticising negative gearing and Australia’s current tax arrangements - especially since the anti-negative gearing voices include prominent economists, managers of investment funds, various social think-tank organisation and media personalities. But if you scrutinise what they are saying it is very obvious they are just repeating overheard phrases without any understanding of the meaning of what these words really mean. Just like the aforementioned 3 year olds…
Just to illustrate, the prevailing theme is that negative gearing is a "cost to taxpayers"… Really? How about taking a class in basic accounting to understand the principles of cash flow before making any such statements publicly? Then the commentator would understand the negative gearing is all about cash flow and not about profit and therefore, that it is neutral from an overall tax perspective. (I explained the mechanics in my earlier article if you care to read - <a href="/news/negative-gearing-the-three-facts-that-will-challenge-your-assumptions">Negative gearing: The three facts that will challenge your assumptions</a>).
Then there are ideas about changing the provisions to allow negative gearing on new properties only, to increase new build. Yeah, right, great idea. Let’s keep all those people unable to buy isolated in renter ghettos, or relegate them to city fringes, and keep the suburbs pristine and free from temporary drifters. Let’s repeat those social housing experiments from 1960’s and 1970’s (this time round with private money) which legacy is still haunting parts of our capital cities half a century later.
Of course I am exaggerating the possible consequences but only to highlight that those who call for such arrangements did not think through the full consequence of what may happen. Ask yourself, where is the greatest demand for rental accommodation? Of course, in city centres and along major transport routes. This is where investors are providing the bulk of rental stock - because this is where the demand is. And of course this is, in the great majority of instances, second-hand and not brand new stock for a very obvious reason.
“But” they say, “if properties were cheaper in those convenient locations, more people could afford to buy there and would not need to rent”. Great logic. Sure, let’s implement policies that will allow converting everything in such locations to cheap owner-occupier housing – and then we will end up with a real housing affordability problem for those who prefer or are forced to rent. But sure enough, taxpayers will be very happy to spend billions of dollars to address it, no worries.
The premise that renters will buy “cheap houses” rather than continue renting would be amusing if it was not promoted so seriously by those prominent commentators. The naivety of such thinking, on such a large scale (mind you, without any evidence and/or testing the assumptions), is staggering.
One only needs to look to late 1990 to understand why such thinking has no merit whatsoever. In particular, towards the end of 1990’s, the cost of owning a property was at a historically low level and in many locations renting was costing more than paying off a property and still, not everybody was prepared to buy, even if they could afford it easily.
All those commentators are forgetting the basic logic that drives people’s decisions – if prices are cheap, they are so for a reason. That is, owning is perceived by the majority as unattractive and without a merit, and cheap prices in relation to rental expenses only reinforce this perception. People need to perceive a positive outlook for the property market to want to own the place of their residence - this outlook can only be reinforced by a history of rising prices. It’s as simple as that, yet so difficult to comprehend for many.
Then we have such pearls of wisdom like grandfathering negative gearing on existing purchases but, at the same time, allowing for the writing-off of operational loses against capital gains. Great, let’s make tax affairs so complicated that nobody will be able to figure out whether they are making money or losing it. Accountants will love it and growth of employment at the Tax Office will propel Australia’s economic growth for the next few decades.
Or how about proclaiming that before 1986 there were no property investors in Australia (because this is what housing finance statistics “show”) and that the “current property investment boom crisis” is the fault of Keating and Hawke re-introducing negative gearing and Howard and Costello halving the capital gains tax on investment properties? This position conveniently disregards the fact that the proportions of rental stock remained relatively static for many, many decades. So what is really going on?
<img src="/images/2015/05/04/Occupied_private_dwellings.png" alt="">
Those commentators simply don’t comprehend that there was a shift in the investor profile from, a situation where a single person owned entire blocks of flats, to that where now many individual investors only own one flat each. Those aforementioned policies were just a catalyst enabling this transition to happen.
And because of these policies, people now have a choice to either live where they are and invest their extra money in the long term rental accommodation business (yes, it is a business after all) or upgrade their primary residence - and the financial outcome is the same at the end. Unbelievable but true, once you do the math.
But the biggest fable of all is that negative gearing is the reason prices are “so high” today. So, by removing negative gearing, we will restore “housing affordability” - whatever that means. Pity not many can understand what is really driving property prices in Australia.
It doesn’t fit in these people’s agendas that the cost of buying and renting in Australia is close to its historically best level, and that housing is more affordable now than at many points in time in the last three decades. Even in Sydney – the apparent “epicentre of housing speculation”.
<img src="/images/2015/05/04/Long_term_purchase_affordability_Sydney.png" alt="">
Interestingly enough, NSW’s share of net rental income losses was only 5.7% in the 2012-13 financial year (or $312 million out of $5.5B claimed by investors – as per Table 15 of recently published statistics that show all income and expense items from rental property schedules, by the state/territory location of the property). This means that just two years ago, in aggregate, profits from long term rental accommodation business in NSW almost matched losses.
In other words, negative gearing was not as widespread in NSW as everybody is led to believe. No surprise here at all since purchases with gross rental yields of 6-7% were not that uncommon in Sydney in 2012. But why bother with facts that spoil a “good story” for media attention.
By the way, where were these commentators in 1997-99, 2005/6, 2009 or 2012-13 when there were ample opportunities to buy property cheaply? Why they were not heralding those opportunities then as loudly as they now voice their opposition to negative gearing? (As a side note, did you notice how regularly these opportunities come about?) There is a simple answer - because back then they were chasing media headlines with another favourite crowd pleaser - the upcoming Armageddon.
My, in many ways, aggressive and ironic commentary serves the purpose of mobilising you - the reader - to start confronting these commentators and questioning their understanding of a concept they are so outspoken about. And secondly, treating what you read and hear on the news about negative gearing with a fair dose of scepticism.
After all, in the whole scheme of things, negative gearing is inconsequential for individual property investors – sure, it helps with cash flow but it does not impact profitability and certainly, it does not make houses more expensive. So, its abolition would not change a thing – but that point of view is missing from the public debate.
Journalists are failing in their duty to present information objectively by not offering contrasting opinions and, most importantly, by not questioning individual commentators on merits of their points of view.
I have a tip for anybody who wants to know whether a particular commentator has any idea about the topic of negative gearing - check if they consider negative gearing to be a cost to taxpayers, or offering extra profit for investors, or none of the above. If they do consider it a cost or extra profit opportunity, then you know you cannot take seriously anything they say, no matter what other credentials they present.
Arek Drozda is an independent property market analyst. Follow on Twitter @arekdrozda.
 
 
 
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