<p>Iwan Sunito's vision for a landmark mixed-use precinct in Sydney's Inner West has taken a major step forward, with approval granted for the $1.9 billion Five Dock development first unveiled earlier this year.</p>

<p>The approved scheme by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/one-global-capital">One Global Capital</a> will deliver an 80,500 sqm mixed-use precinct comprising 840 apartments, integrated hotel accommodation, commercial and retail space, alongside publicly accessible open space designed to create a new destination for the growing suburb.</p>

<p>"This is a significant milestone for One Global Capital and for the future of housing delivery in Sydney," Sunito said.</p>

<p>"The Housing Delivery Authority was established to identify major housing projects capable of delivering meaningful supply more efficiently, and we are delighted that Spencer Street has been recognised as one of those projects.”</p>

<p>He said the declaration reflected the rapid progress achieved since acquiring control of the site.</p>

<p>"In less than seven months we have progressed from taking control of the site to securing entry into one of the NSW Government's most important planning pathways. It reflects the experience of our team, the strength of our consultant group led by Urbis, and our long-term commitment to delivering transformational projects that contribute to Sydney's future."</p>

<p>When the project was revealed earlier this year, Sunito described the opportunity as one of the strongest development sites he had worked on.</p>

<p>"I probably hadn't appreciated the uniqueness of the site until more recently when putting together the concept plans," Sunito said.</p>

<p>"The proximity to the water, and the golf course opposite, is unlike any other part of Parramatta Road. We have a unique position and view corridors over the water that makes this one of the best sites I've worked on."</p>

<p>The development has evolved since its initial announcement, with the approved plans increasing the residential component from the originally proposed 750 apartments to 840 homes while retaining the project's focus on creating an integrated neighbourhood rather than a standalone residential development.</p>

<p><em>Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/a-city-within-a-city-iwan-sunito-flags-1-5-billion-mixed-use-precinct-in-five-dock">"A city within a city": Iwan Sunito flags $1.5 billion mixed-use precinct in Five Dock</a></em></p>

<p>The precinct will combine apartments with hotel accommodation, commercial workplaces, retail offerings and public spaces, creating a mixed-use environment intended to serve both residents and the broader Five Dock community. The proposal also continues the collaboration between One Global Capital and internationally recognised architect <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/koichi-takada-architects">Koichi Takada</a>, whose previous work with Sunito includes Infinity, Arc and Skye North Sydney.</p>

<p>Takada previously said the design was driven by a philosophy of integrating nature into the built environment.</p>

<p>"The concept for this development is born from our design approach to naturalising architecture," Takada said.</p>

<p>"The public realm benefits from biophilic design that integrates generous landscaping, and the development is optimised for natural daylight, airflow and water views to foster wellbeing, sustainability and spaces that foster community interaction."</p>

<p>Sunito has consistently described the project as a "city within a city", with a strong emphasis on creating a destination that extends beyond housing.</p>

<p>"We want to create a development that's not only to be seen, but to be experienced by the whole local community," he said.</p>

<p>The approval comes as Five Dock continues its transformation ahead of the opening of the Sydney Metro West line, with the new Five Dock station set to significantly improve connections between the Inner West, Parramatta and the Sydney CBD.&nbsp;</p>

<p>The precinct will also benefit from its proximity to the Parramatta Road corridor, nearby waterfront parklands and established retail and dining offerings that have made Five Dock one of Sydney's most tightly held Inner West suburbs.</p>


Joel Robinson

Iwan Sunito secures approval for $1.9 billion Five Dock mixed-use precinct

<p>The new <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/yarraville-green-42-stephen-street-yarraville-vic-3013">Yarraville Green</a> development in Melbourne's inner west is showing that landscaping can be just as influential as architecture, with buyers responding strongly to the garden-first approach adopted from the outset by developer Excelon Projects and the project's design team.</p>

<p>Excelon appointed Six Degrees Architects and landscape architects SBLA to work collaboratively on the development, with a brief to create "a sustainable, design-led building with a focus on community."</p>

<p>That approach has resonated with buyers. According to Next Chapter Director Tom Hirini, who is leading the sales campaign, the landscaped communal garden has become one of the project's defining features, alongside its boutique scale and European-inspired cluster housing concept.</p>

<p>Local downsizers, right-sizers and established families already living in Yarraville and surrounding suburbs have accounted for the majority of purchasers.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297740]</p>

<p>Yarraville Green will comprise 53 homes, including apartments and townhomes, arranged around the shared central garden to maximise connections to the landscaped open space. Parking has been moved underground, allowing the ground plane to be dedicated to greenery, pedestrian movement and communal spaces.</p>

<p>The landscape extends well beyond passive planting. Productive garden beds, a pergola, communal gathering spaces, garden sheds and a pet wash have all been integrated into the masterplan, creating spaces designed to encourage everyday interaction between residents.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297741]</p>

<p>The interiors continue Excelon's focus on craftsmanship, incorporating bespoke elements by Melbourne artisans including leadlight detailing by Adadaz, hand-turned timber hardware by Auburn Woodturning and blown-glass lighting by Ruth Allen.</p>

<p>Sustainability has also been embedded throughout the project, with Yarraville Green targeting an average 7-star NatHERS energy rating through passive design principles, rooftop solar servicing common areas and rainwater harvesting for landscape irrigation.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=144913 project_image_fid=297735]</p>

<p>Construction continues to progress at Yarraville Green, with structural works well underway and framing works approaching completion under builder Balmain &amp; Co. The project remains on track for completion in mid-2027.</p>

<p>Apartments at Yarraville Green are currently priced from $625,000, while townhomes start from $1.4 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144913]</p>


Garden-led design drives buyer demand at Yarraville Green

<p>National diversified developer Fortis has officially launched Crest &amp; Walker, its latest Brisbane apartment development, with construction now underway on the 20-storey Newstead project.</p>

<p>Award-winning builder BINAH has commenced construction on the Bureau^Proberts-designed building, which will deliver a limited collection of 65 two and three-bedroom apartments on Kyabra Street.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373556]</p>

<p>The project marks Fortis' fourth active residential development in Brisbane, following River House, which is nearing completion, alongside projects in New Farm and Hamilton as the national developer continues to expand its South East Queensland pipeline.</p>

<p>Fortis General Manager – Development Queensland Dan Boman said Crest &amp; Walker reflects the developer's long-term commitment to delivering design-led residential projects in Brisbane's established inner-city suburbs.</p>

<p>"We're proud to be strengthening our presence in Brisbane with Crest &amp; Walker, particularly in such a sought-after lifestyle destination as Newstead," Boman said.</p>

<p>"Every Fortis project is shaped by its context, and we approach each one with the respect and care it deserves.</p>

<p>"Our focus is always on creating places that feel connected to their neighbourhood and elevate the everyday experience for residents. Newstead continues to evolve as one of Brisbane's most sought-after urban communities, and Crest &amp; Walker reflects our ambition to contribute meaningfully to that story."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373559]</p>

<p>Positioned between Gasworks Plaza and James Street, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/crest-walker-newstead-12-kyabra-street-newstead-qld-4006">Crest &amp; Walker</a> has been designed as a boutique residential address offering privacy and generous living spaces within one of Brisbane's most established lifestyle precincts.</p>

<p>The building features a contemporary brick podium softened by integrated landscaping, while the upper levels are characterised by restrained architecture and enduring materiality. Interiors have been designed to maximise natural light, acoustic performance and long-term liveability.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373583]</p>

<p>Residences comprise spacious two and three-bedroom floorplans, with two-bedroom apartments priced from $1.55 million and three-bedroom, half-floor residences from $3.95 million.</p>

<p>Residents will have access to a wellness-focused rooftop featuring a swimming pool, sauna, steam room, landscaped dining spaces and outdoor lounge areas overlooking Newstead and the Brisbane CBD.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=145922 project_image_fid=373571]</p>

<p>Sales are being managed by Slaite Projects, with Fortis expecting strong demand from owner-occupiers seeking a high-quality, design-focused apartment in one of Brisbane's most tightly held inner-city suburbs.</p>

<p>Completion of Crest &amp; Walker is slated for late 2028.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145922]</p>


Fortis expands Brisbane pipeline with launch of Crest & Walker in Newstead

<p>The enormity of delivering a true skyscraper in Australia's new development market is often overlooked.</p>

<p>It has taken the best part of a decade since plans for Chevron One were first unveiled, but the 41-storey tower is now complete, with residents collecting their keys and moving into what has become one of the Gold Coast's most recognisable new landmarks.</p>

<p>Rising 127 metres above Chevron Island, Chevron One stands almost twice as high as any other building on the island. Its scale places it alongside the trio of towers at Jewel, arguably the last truly significant addition to the central Gold Coast skyline when they were completed around six years ago.</p>

<p>While there are several developments underway around a similar height to Chevron One, they are more concentrated within clusters of the highest towers in the city. The fact Chevron One sits within a developing precinct, looking back at the other high-rise developments in Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach, makes it a different proposition altogether. It will certainly become a reference point on the Gold Coast skyline.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68833]</p>

<p>Developer Bensons Property Group is behind the 41-storey tower, which has 229 apartments, along with an exhaustive list of resident amenity spread across what is the largest development site ever assembled on Chevron Island.</p>

<p>The tower has been the talk of the town for years, says Ray White Projects Gold Coast agent Caitlin Rosenboom, who is selling the remaining apartments.</p>

<p>"People have been watching Chevron One go up for years," Rosenboom says, adding that many prospective buyers have been surprised by the scale of the views once they step inside.</p>

<p>"It's only when they walk through a completed apartment that they truly understand the position of the building," Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>"The views are jaw-dropping. Whether you're looking east over the ocean, across Surfers Paradise, along the river systems or out to the hinterland, every level offers something different but equally impressive."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=360215]</p>

<p>One of Chevron One's defining advantages is its location on the eastern side of Chevron Island on Stanhill Drive, a position which protects the views forever.</p>

<p>"There's only one row of houses between Chevron One and the water, and the height restrictions along the river means views from Chevron One can never be built out,"&nbsp;Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>While new apartment developments continue to emerge across the Gold Coast, Rosenboom says opportunities to secure a completed apartment with this level of outlook are becoming increasingly rare.</p>

<p>"The size of the site is something that would be incredibly difficult to replicate today," she says.</p>

<p>"That's allowed Chevron One to deliver the sort of amenity, open space and resident facilities that very few projects can offer. There are not many completed apartment buildings on the Gold Coast right now that can compete with the combination of scale, quality and amenity."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=6515 project_image_fid=68839]</p>

<p>There's around 2,000 sqm of amenity solely for the use of residents of Chevron One. Club One features a uniquely shaped swimming pool that mirrors the footprint of the building itself, set within a extensively landscaped gardens. There's also an indoor pool and spa, a fully equipped gym with a Pilates room, a yoga garden, a bookable private dining area and lounge that can host up to 30 people, and a 24-hour concierge service.</p>

<p>As for the buyers, Rosenboom is fielding enquiry from everywhere: Sydneysiders and Melburnians looking at the new and off-the-plan market following the changes in the Federal Budget, as well as those looking to relocate, through to South East Queenslanders seeking either a permanent home or a weekender bolthole.</p>

<p>"The Gold Coast lifestyle continues to resonate with people relocating from the southern states, and when they see the views and the quality of what's been delivered at Chevron One, it becomes very easy for them to understand the appeal," Rosenboom says.</p>

<p>A diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom apartments remain available, with each offering "something a little different", be it the orientation and views, configuration, or level, to suit a wide variety of buyers.</p>

<p>The remaining apartments are ready to inspect in person, by appointment.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=6515]</p>


A decade in the making: Residents to move into Chevron One as construction wraps up

<p>A general rule of thumb in new apartment developments is that the penthouses get the rooftop.</p>

<p>It's a formula that's become commonplace across Australia's apartment market. Residents might have access to a pool, gym or barbecue facilities on a dedicated lower level, but the most desirable outdoor spaces are typically reserved for the highest-priced homes at the top of the building.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sherpa-property-group">Sherpa Property Group</a> has taken the opposite approach.</p>

<p>Rather than dedicating the rooftop to a handful of buyers, the Gold Coast developer has made it the centrepiece of its Flourish collection, creating expansive shared spaces from the best vantage point in the building.</p>

<p>The philosophy has reached its most ambitious expression at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/flourish-soleira-palm-beach-1150-1160-gold-coast-highway-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Soleira</a> in Palm Beach, where two rooftop precincts connected by a skybridge will deliver one of the most extensive lifestyle offerings seen in a residential apartment project on the Gold Coast.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374053]</p>

<p>"We're seeing a clear move toward developments that offer more than just an apartment," Sherpa Group founder Christie Leet said.</p>

<p>"People want spaces that support how they actually live, whether that's working from home, staying active, or spending time with family and friends.</p>

<p>"That's where amenity becomes critical. It's not just about what's included, but how those spaces are designed to be used every day."</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374052]</p>

<p>The breadth of amenity has already attracted buyers across multiple demographics. Younger first home buyers have been drawn to Soleira's one-bedroom apartments, a product rarely delivered in Palm Beach, while families have responded to practical inclusions such as the shallow children's pool adjoining the main lap pool and the extensive communal recreation areas.</p>

<p>Instead of a single rooftop, Soleira delivers two distinct lifestyle zones.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=372547]</p>

<p>The southern rooftop has been dedicated to wellness, featuring a gym, yoga and Pilates studio, work-from-home facilities, a wellness centre, spa, and hot and cold plunge pools.</p>

<p>The northern rooftop focuses on recreation and entertaining, incorporating a heated resort-style pool, private dining rooms, pizza ovens, barbecues, a golf simulator, children's recreation areas, and what is expected to be the Gold Coast's first rooftop basketball court, which will also double as a squash court.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=374054]</p>

<p>Beyond the rooftops, Soleira will introduce 1,500 sqm of curated retail beneath the towers, creating one of Palm Beach's first genuinely mixed-use lifestyle precincts where cafés, restaurants and convenience retail become part of residents' everyday lives.</p>

<p>Sherpa has also retained management rights across the development, allowing it to oversee the long-term operation of the building through a 24-hour concierge model. The developer is also exploring additional revenue streams within the precinct aimed at helping offset ongoing body corporate costs for residents.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150017 project_image_fid=370962]</p>

<p>While Soleira is the largest project Sherpa has delivered, the rooftop-first philosophy has been evolving for several years.</p>

<p>It began with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/amargo-6-12-sixth-avenue-palm-beach-qld-4221">Flourish Amargo</a>, the first project released under the Flourish brand. Rather than competing at the ultra-luxury end of the market with oversized half-floor and full-floor residences, Sherpa focused on creating lifestyle-driven apartments supported by resort-style shared spaces.</p>

<p>Amargo introduced more than 800 sqm of rooftop amenity, combining wellness facilities, heated pools, entertaining areas, cabanas, pizza ovens and private dining spaces into what was designed as an extension of residents' homes rather than a facility used only occasionally.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=146527 project_image_fid=366550]</p>

<p>That approach continued with Flourish Oasis, where the same amenity-led philosophy was refined into a more boutique development. Strong demand from Sherpa's growing VIP database saw much of the project sold before it reached the broader market, reinforcing buyer appetite for apartment communities centred around shared lifestyle experiences.</p>

<p>Flourish Amargo is slated for completion mid-way-through next year, with Oasis to be delivered by late 2027. Flourish Soleira is expected to complete in 2030.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150017]</p>


Sherpa takes amenity to the sky as Flourish Soleira captures booming Palm Beach demand

Housing Markets

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<div>The ONS released its latest data in the UK which showed that inflation or CPI has dug in obdurately at zero year-on-year (a 0.4 reading drops off next month too, so we could be heading negative), suggesting that interest rate hikes are as far as way as they ever were, even after seven years at the effective zero lower bound.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The latest house prices indices from the ONS for July 2015 showed prices rising over the past year in England (+5.6%) with the mix-adjusted average house price in England rising to an all-<span>time high of <span>£299,000.</span></span>
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<div><span><span><br>House prices in England have busted through record highs and are now +19.1% from their pre-downturn peak of January 2008 in seasonally adjusted terms.</span></span></div>
<div><span><span> </span></span></div>
<div><span>By comparison growth over the past year has been flat in Wales (+0.3%) and negative in Scotland (-1.3%), while house prices in Northern Ireland remain a whopping -42.3% below their crazy August 2007 peak levels in seasonally adjusted terms. Woosah.</span></div>
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<span>London house prices continued to power on to a new high of </span><span>£525,000 (not seasonally adjusted), while annual price gains have been driven largely by the areas immediately surrounding London, namely the East (+8.3%) and the South East (+6.7%) of England. </span>
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<div>In short, since the January 2008 peak if you've owned property in London (+46.2% in seasonally adjusted terms), or in nearby cities such as Cambridge or Oxford, then you have continued to do exceptionally well. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>House prices in seasonally adjusted terms are also up reasonably strongly in the areas surrounding London such as the South East (+20.0%) and East (+18.8%) since the preceding January 2008 peak.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Elsewhere prices are now rising again but in real terms are generally well below previous peaks, although in nominal terms 7 of the 9 regions have finally recovered to hit new highs.</div>
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<div><span>At a national level the UK house price index sits at 216.9 which is +16.9% higher than the pre-downturn peak of 185.5 seen in January 2008, with London and the South East accounting for the bulk of the increase. </span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

England house prices power on: Pete Wargent

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<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">GUEST OBSERVER</span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">The timely indicators of local economic activity have generally been improving in recent months. Business conditions and confidence have been on a rising trend. Jobs growth has been strong and forward-looking indicators suggest that hiring intentions have been improving. Mining investment has been trending lower, but growth is rebalancing towards housing and the services sectors. As non-mining sectors are more labour-intensive than mining, this is creating jobs, even if it is not a big support for business investment. </span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">These local developments have helped to make the RBA more comfortable with its policy setting over the past month or so. The lower AUD is also now providing more support to Australia’s rebalancing act. The 15% fall in the AUD trade-weighted index over the past year means the local currency is now close to a level the RBA deems to be ‘fair value’. </span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><br></span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">However, offshore risks are brewing. Falls in China’s stock prices, adjustments to the RMB’s fixing mechanism and weaker Chinese indicators have seen increased market volatility as global investors become more concerned about China’s growth outlook. Commodity prices have fallen, with oil and copper prices declining to new six-year lows in recent weeks. Markets have also sold off on concerns about what a rise in the Federal Reserve’s policy rate before the end of the year could mean for emerging economy growth. </span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><br></span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">These global events are likely to be the focus of the RBA’s meeting next week. Importantly, though, the RBA’s recent statements have been flagging that an increase in market volatility was expected as the Fed got closer to lift-off. Weak commodity prices also do little to change the already weak outlook for new mining investment. </span></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">In next week’s statement we expect the RBA to note that it is too early to know the impact of recent market volatility on global growth. We expect the RBA’s cash rate to be held steady at 2.00% next week and the statement to contain little guidance about the likely future direction of policy. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/08/28/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-28%20at%2012.36.56%20PM.png" target="_blank"><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span style="line-height: 1.3em;"><img src="/images/2015/08/28/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-28%20at%2012.36.56%20PM.png" alt="" width="640" height="290"></span></p>
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<p><span>Local economic indicators have been positive </span></p>
<p><span>Australia’s rebalancing act is running its course. A strong upswing in housing prices and residential construction is now combining with the next stage of the rebalancing act: an upswing in the services sectors. The clearest sign of the on-going rebalancing of growth is the upswing in jobs growth, which is being driven by employment in the household and business services sectors (Chart 1). As a result, the unemployment rate has stabilised at around 6-6.25% over the past year. </span></p>
<p><span>Surveys of business conditions also show that growth is shifting away from the mining to non-mining sectors (Chart 2). We expect the services sector to be the next driver of growth (see </span><span>Australia’s next growth driver: The rise of the services sector</span><span>, 10 July 2015). Recent falls in the AUD are helping to support the rebalancing act. Indeed, the 15% fall in the AUD trade-weighted index over the past year has brought the currency to a level that is making the RBA more comfortable (see </span><span>Downunder Digest: Lower AUD is helping Australia's rebalancing act</span><span>, 21 August 2015). </span></p>
<p><span>China’s economic indicators have weakened </span></p>
<p><span>Although local conditions have been improving, timely indicators suggest that China’s growth has continued to slow. The Caixin manufacturing PMI fell to its lowest level since 2009 in August (Chart 3). </span></p>
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<p><a href="/images/2015/08/28/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-28%20at%2012.38.47%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
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<p><span>Matching the weakness in manufacturing activity has been a further slowdown in investment in the manufacturing industry (Chart 4). </span></p>
<p><span>Although housing sales and prices have been lifting in recent months, this is yet to translate into a pick-up in housing investment, which is growing at its slowest pace since early 2009. </span></p>
<p><span>Growth is getting support from better conditions in non-manufacturing industries and continued solid growth in infrastructure investment, but growth in overall fixed asset investment has slowed.</span></p>
<p><span>Weaker growth indicators combined with recent falls in stock prices and changes in the way the People’s Bank of China manages China’s currency have all contributed to a marked increase in financial market volatility recently (discussed further below). China’s authorities have responded to recent concerns about weaker growth with further cuts to interest rates and the reserve requirement ratio. More investment in infrastructure is also expected to be a key support for growth. For more on HSBC’s view on China see HSBC China Economics and FX Strategy, 25 August 2015.</span></p>
<p><span>China and an expected Fed move are driving market volatility </span></p>
<p><span>Together, developments in China and concerns about the impact of a possible increase in the Federal Reserve’s policy rate, expected before the end of the year, have contributed to a significant increase in financial market volatility in recent weeks. Commodity prices have fallen particularly sharply, with copper and oil prices both falling to six-year lows (Chart 5). Iron ore prices have held up better, having fallen sharply earlier in the year. </span></p>
<p><span>Global equity markets have also seen sharp falls and a substantial increase in volatility. Western equity markets have been volatile, as investors assess the possible impact on global growth of weaker growth in emerging economies, which are under pressure from both falling commodity prices and an expected rise in US interest rates. Asia’s markets have been particularly volatile, as concerns about China’s growth and the Federal Reserve weigh on the region (Chart 6). </span></p>
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<p><span>The RBA’s tactics and commentary </span></p>
<p><span>We expect the RBA’s meeting to be uneventful, with the central bank likely to remain comfortable that the economy is continuing to grow, that growth is creating sufficient jobs to keep the unemployment rate steady, and that the AUD is now at a level where it is helping to support the rebalancing of growth. The RBA is likely to acknowledge the recent increase in volatility in financial markets; however, the RBA is also to note that it is too early to determine the impact of these developments on the outlook for global growth. </span></p>
<p><span>We remain of the view that the most likely course for Australia’s monetary policy is that the cash rate remains at its current level in coming quarters. This is particularly the case as the AUD is now providing more support to local growth than previously. However, it does seem likely that the recent developments, particularly the fall in commodity prices, do increase the downside risks to Australia’s growth and, therefore, increase the possibilities that further monetary policy easing may be needed. </span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/08/28/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-28%20at%2012.42.16%20PM.png" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></p>
<p><span><img src="/images/2015/08/28/Screen%20Shot%202015-08-28%20at%2012.42.16%20PM.png" alt=""></span></p>
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<p><span><em><span><a href="https://www.about.hsbc.com.au/hsbc-in-australia/management-team" target="_blank">PAUL BLOXHAM</a> IS CHIEF ECONOMIST (AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND) FOR HSBC. </span></em></span></p>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Housing investment growing slowest since early 2009: HSBC's Paul Bloxham

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<p><span>In spite of high growth in Sydney and Melbourne, growth in Australia as a whole is significantly lower than other housing markets around the world – according to the latest Knight Frank Global House Price Index.</span></p>
<p><span>Onthehouse.com.au data reveals that the annual median capital growth rate for Australia’s houses and units was just 5.7% and 5.6% </span><span style="line-height: 1.3em;">respectively. It is likely that nationally, houses and units are similar in their growth rate because there are more units in dense, high growth areas.</span></p>
<p><span>The two significant resource markets – Darwin and Perth – have showed poor performance over the last year. Houses in Darwin fell -3.74% in the last year, from $575,000 in May 2014 to $554,000 in May 2015.</span></p>
<p><span>The deepening downward trend for these markets can be seen below.</span></p>
<p><a href="/images/2015/07/24/G3_Resource_State_Trends.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="/images/2015/07/24/G3_Resource_State_Trends.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p><span>The differing trends represent the persistent, two tiered housing market that makes growth across the board seem stable. The Iron Ore price remains low at just US$60 per dry metric tonne, a commodity which averaged over US$100 per unit this time last year. Little has been done to create sustainable employment following low resource prices, and the end of the construction phase in the mining boom.</span></p>
<p><span>It is therefore misleading to look at data in such aggregation. The two tiered housing market makes it difficult for policy makers and Reserve Bank to influence housing growth.</span></p>
<p><span>With a boom on the south east coast that sets a higher deposit hurdle, and a bust in the resource states that has an unclear future, the state of the Australian housing market seems dismal. However, sustainable house and unit growth are an indicator of the strength of the economy. Though we present a summary of statistics by city metropolitan regions, there are suburbs with idiosyncrasies that make them a promising for investment. These include diverse employment opportunities, planning regulation, quality properties and affordability. Exploring such places outside of the major cities could present a more accessible growth or high yield strategy.</span></p>
<p><span><em><span>ELIZA OWEN</span> is a market analyst for <a href="https://www.onthehouse.com.au/" target="_blank">Onthehouse.com.au</a>.</em></span></p>
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