A landmark former orphanage site in Surrey Hills could be transformed into a new residential community under plans lodged by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/antipodean-land-developments">Antipodean Land Developments</a> that would deliver 76 apartments and townhouses while restoring some of the suburb's most significant heritage buildings.

The burgeoninng Melbourne-based developer has submitted plans for the 9,158 sqm site at 1 Kent Road and 24 Durham Road, home to the former St Joseph's Home for Destitute Children, a historic institutional complex dating back to the late 19th century. The proposal seeks to adaptively reuse several heritage buildings while introducing two new four-storey residential buildings set within extensive landscaped grounds.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a> and Kerstin Thompson Architects, the project has been conceived as a contemporary residential village embedded within a restored heritage precinct. The development team describes the design approach as "The Village in the Garden," with new buildings positioned among mature landscaping by OCULUS and significant heritage structures.

<img alt="First look: Antipodean Land Developments plans heritage-led apartment community in Surrey Hills" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="44ec8c1b-c0b6-44ae-859e-5811b3e6a023" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Untitled%20design%20%281%29.png?VersionId=p.p1_KFh4iQoV4nisdnPfQBAsWNi7m79" />

The proposal would deliver 76 dwellings comprising a mix of apartments and duplex-style residences, significantly increasing housing supply on one of the largest privately held residential landholdings in Surrey Hills. The development includes 127 car spaces, 24 bicycle spaces and more than 1,000 sqm of communal amenity, with the existing chapel building earmarked for conversion into resident facilities.

According to the planning submission, the project centres on the restoration and adaptive reuse of the site's most significant heritage assets, including the original c.1889 St Joseph's building, the chapel designed by architect Augustus Andrew Fritsch, and the historic brick perimeter walls and entry gates. The proposal also incorporates the retention of other contributory buildings including the former infirmary and school building.

Tract Consultants, in the planning report accompanying the application, said the scheme had been shaped through extensive heritage analysis and design development.

"The shared vision for the Site by the project team has culminated in a scheme which successfully breathes life back into a historic site while delivering upon the objectives of Victoria's Housing Statement in a carefully curated and contextually responsive manner."

<img alt="First look: Antipodean Land Developments plans heritage-led apartment community in Surrey Hills" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7263b7d8-95ea-400f-9531-6ca7d22c3c33" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Untitled%20design%20%282%29.png?VersionId=4cR1tiWOsDpgxEOwZi5vVFcyvvOsYkIE" />

The proposal is being assessed under Victoria's Significant Residential Development with Affordable Housing pathway. As part of the application, three per cent of the project's residential development cost would be contributed to the Social Housing Growth Fund. The development would also provide a diverse mix of one, two and three-bedroom residences targeting a broader range of buyers than typically found in Surrey Hills' detached housing market.

Sustainability initiatives include an anticipated 66 per cent BESS score, natural cross-ventilation to 80 per cent of apartments, 28 per cent deep soil landscaping and a canopy cover outcome exceeding local planning requirements. The proposal also sets aside more than 1,083 sqm for communal indoor and outdoor resident amenity spaces.

<img alt="First look: Antipodean Land Developments plans heritage-led apartment community in Surrey Hills" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="33fad46f-fe26-4d0a-acfd-6b776e1c6a3d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Untitled%20design.png?VersionId=D9F6WVSyYCtGvSUmith35LRp6R7PQkw_" />

Planning documents describe the property as one of the largest underutilised residential sites in Surrey Hills, arguing it presents a rare opportunity to introduce "missing middle" housing in an established inner-eastern suburb while preserving and revitalising a significant heritage precinct.

Antipodean Land Developments has built a reputation for design-focused residential projects across Melbourne, particularly in the medium-density sector. Previous developments include Neighbourhood in Brunswick East, delivered with Breathe Architecture, and Balfe Park Lane, designed by Kerstin Thompson Architects.

They've been very active in site acquisition as they build out their future development pipeline. They recently launched Thornubury House, 45 apartments above a mix of commercial, retail, and food and beverage tenancies, and have plans for a boutique project in Fitzroy and another <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/vic/antipodean-plan-apartments-for-deepdenes-missing-middle-on-whitehorse-road">"missing middle" project</a> on Deepdene's Whitehorse Road.

Joel Robinson

First look: Antipodean Land Developments plans heritage-led apartment community in Surrey Hills

Developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/auyin-property-development">Auyin</a> is the latest to turn to the Victorian Government's Development Facilitation Program in an effort to secure approval for its long-planned, mixed-use project in Elsternwick.

In 2018, Auyin lodged plans with Glen Eira City Council for a 14-storey building, however Council approved a reduced eight-storey scheme. A subsequent VCAT appeal in 2019 upheld the eight-storey height limit.

The project was later amended to nine storeys, but Auyin is now seeking to revive something closer to its original vision. The developer argues that the planning context has evolved significantly over the past decade, particularly within the Elsternwick Activity Centre, where higher-density development has increasingly been encouraged along Glen Huntly Road.

The proposal would transform the 1,239 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/7-12-horne-street-elsternwick-vic-3185">7-15 Horne Street</a>, opposite Elsternwick Railway Station, into a 13-storey residential and retail development designed by CBG Architects, with 40 apartments

The site currently comprises three commercial properties.

<img alt="First look: 13-storey mixed-use tower planned for Elsternwick activity centre" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5f465dd4-509b-4082-a669-0253b313914b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/elsternwick%20podium.png?VersionId=72frWi0SmQ5AVJ3ARRhX5ILUYObhTm7x" />

The proposed apartment mix comprises 25 two-bedroom and 15 three-bedroom residences above 200 sqm of retail space at ground level. Residents would have access to a 90 sqm wellness facility, a 351 sqm communal indoor and outdoor terrace on the third level, and extensive landscaped areas throughout the development. A publicly accessible 135 sqm plaza would be created on the north-east corner of the site, providing seating, landscaping, and a new gathering space adjoining Horne Street.

The design adopts a four-storey podium that references the finer-grain character of the surrounding streetscape, with the upper tower recessed behind generous setbacks on all boundaries.

<img alt="First look: 13-storey mixed-use tower planned for Elsternwick activity centre" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e637e763-2abc-4c34-a0aa-5c7ad36fae18" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/elsternwick%20open.png?VersionId=J1AoOpZgTyaF.KeeFSX6lMjEScX8KKRi" />

A key element of the proposal is the reconfiguration and widening of the surrounding laneways. Vehicle access would be retained from Lois Lane, with upgraded pedestrian connections linking Ross Street and Horne Street. The development would provide 58 residential car spaces, two retail car spaces, and 52 bicycle spaces across two basement levels and ground-floor facilities.

Architecturally, the building draws inspiration from the established character of Elsternwick Village. The façade combines dark charcoal brickwork, textured concrete, bronze-toned metal detailing, and extensive planting integrated into podium and tower levels. The design also incorporates a chamfered corner treatment and publicly accessible plaza intended to strengthen pedestrian activity around the station precinct.

Elsternwick's last new development completion was&nbsp;EVA Elsternwick by Pitard late last year. <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/milieu-property">Milieu</a> is working away on its nature-led neighbourhood, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/elsternwick-gardens-by-milieu-8-gordon-street-elsternwick-vic-3185">Elsternwick Gardens</a>, on Gordon Street, with its first stage expected to complete next year.

First look: Auyin seeks mixed-use apartment project in growing Elsternwick Activity Centre

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/otium-parkdale-123-125-como-parade-east-parkdale-vic-3195">Otium Parkdale</a>, the 13-residence boutique development by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/huxtable-property">Huxtable Property</a>, has entered its final stages of delivery, with completion expected within the coming month and more than half of the residences sold.

The Como Parade East project is nearing the finish line at a time when opportunities to purchase new apartments in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/parkdale-vic-3195">Parkdale</a> remain exceptionally limited. Fewer than 10 per cent of dwellings in the bayside suburb are apartments, making developments like Otium a relatively rare addition to a market traditionally dominated by detached housing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134974 project_image_fid=5427]

The three-level development comprises 13 residences, including ten two-bedroom apartments and three larger three-bedroom homes, all positioned above a secure basement car park.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/almeida-architects">Almeida Architects</a> with a strong connection to its coastal surroundings, Otium combines red brick, exposed concrete and dark metal detailing with integrated landscaping and greenery. Expansive glazing, generous balconies and terraces have been incorporated throughout the design to maximise natural light and reinforce indoor-outdoor living.

Inside, the residences feature engineered European oak flooring, natural and reconstituted stone benchtops, Bosch kitchen appliances, ducted heating and cooling, lift access and secure entry systems. The larger three-bedroom residences on the upper level have been designed with house-like proportions, while the two-bedroom apartments prioritise functionality, flexibility and low-maintenance living.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134974 project_image_fid=5421]

The project is now in its final stages, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/labco">Labco</a> completing the remaining landscaping and external finishing works following the completion of the residences' interiors.

Otium's location within the heart of Parkdale continues to underpin its appeal. Residents will be just steps from local cafés, restaurants, shops and the newly elevated Parkdale Station, while the beach is less than a kilometre away.

With the project tracking ahead of schedule, buyers can currently secure a residence with a five per cent deposit and benefit from settlement terms of up to eight months. The advanced stage of construction also provides buyers with the opportunity to walk through the near-complete residences and experience the quality and finishes firsthand ahead of completion.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134974]

Otium Parkdale enters final month before completion as rare apartment opportunity nears sellout

A new boutique apartment development is entering the market in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/chermside-qld-4032">Chermside</a>, with Brisbane-based developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/ausdev">Ausdev</a> bringing 33 residences to a well-connected pocket of Brisbane's north.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/parkdrive-apartments-chermside-25-sammells-drive-chermside-qld-4032">Parkdrive Apartments</a>, at 25 Sammells Drive, will comprise a mix of one- and two-bedroom residences positioned within walking distance of Westfield Chermside, The Prince Charles Hospital, and Bradbury Park.

Established in 1989, Ausdev has a long-standing presence across both development and construction, with Parkdrive Apartments representing its latest residential project in Brisbane's northern suburbs.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152125 project_image_fid=363778]

The development has been designed around open-plan living and natural light, with residences featuring stone benchtops, timber cabinetry, BOSCH appliances, and private balconies that extend the living areas outdoors.

Kitchens are positioned as the centrepiece of the homes, incorporating natural material palettes and integrated appliances, while bathrooms have been designed with a focus on functionality and understated finishes.

Residents will have access to a communal barbecue and entertaining area on Level 3, providing shared outdoor space within the development. Secure parking and lift access are also incorporated into the building.

The project will deliver a limited collection of 33 apartments, with one-bedroom residences priced from $749,000.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=152125 project_image_fid=363782]

Beyond the building itself, the location places residents within easy reach of several of Chermside's key amenities. Bradbury Park is around 350 metres away, while Westfield Chermside is approximately 1.3 kilometres from the site. The Prince Charles Hospital is located within 750 metres, and the Chermside Bus Interchange is around 1.5 kilometres away, providing connections across Brisbane.

Parkdrive Apartments adds to the growing residential pipeline in Chermside, a suburb that continues to evolve as a major retail, healthcare, and transport hub for Brisbane's north.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=152125]

Ausdev introduces boutique Parkdrive Apartments to Chermside's growing centre

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/skymark-group">Skymark</a>'s boutique Cronulla development Solis has secured a 10-year Latent Defects Insurance policy through Resilience Insurance, providing buyers of the 16-residence building on Ewos Parade with structural and waterproofing protection that extends a decade beyond the building's completion.

Currently under construction and due for completion in late 2027, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/solis-cronulla-8-ewos-parade-cronulla-nsw-2230">Solis</a> is one of a small number of new developments in the Sutherland Shire to carry Resilience LDI coverage, a distinction that carries increasing weight as buyer confidence in the off-the-plan sector continues to be shaped by how developers stand behind their product.

Latent Defects Insurance, which entered the Australian market in 2022 when Resilience Insurance was approved to offer the cover, protects buyers against major structural or waterproofing defects for ten years post-completion. Unlike traditional statutory warranties, it operates as a first-resort policy, if a covered defect arises, the insurer responds directly, without the buyer needing to pursue the builder or developer through a lengthy claims process.

Resilience Insurance CEO Corey Nugent has noted that the product addresses something fundamental to the new apartment market.

"The overarching feedback from prospective buyers in the new development space is that they want more confidence and assurances around the quality of the build," Nugent says.

"Resilience Insurance Latent Defects Insurance not only gives them complete peace of mind for 10 years, but it shows the developer they are buying from is standing by their product."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150499 project_image_fid=370898]

For Solis, the Resilience LDI policy adds a meaningful layer of accountability to an already considered project. The development comprises nine two-bedroom and seven three-bedroom residences, including one dual-level three-bedroom apartment, across a five-storey building on Ewos Parade, positioned between Shelly Beach and South Cronulla.

Garden apartments connect directly to private landscaped courtyards, while upper-level homes capture beach views to the east from level four and above.&nbsp;

All 16 residences include at least one balcony or courtyard, and select apartments on the upper floors feature bar areas and secondary flexible living spaces.

Hiba Sander, Managing Director of Skymark, says Solis offers a rare balance, nestled between the quiet beauty of secluded beaches and the lively charm of South Cronulla's esplanade.

"It's a place to choose your pace and live gracefully, seaside'," Sander says.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150499 project_image_fid=370900]

The architecture, designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ida-design-group">IDA Design Group</a>'s Michael Trinh, draws from the natural erosion patterns of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/cronulla-nsw-2230">Cronulla</a>'s sandstone headlands, translating the organic forms of the coastline into soft curves, pavilion-style massing, and a material palette chosen for longevity in a salt-tinged environment.&nbsp;

Textured natural stone, soft renders, and timber-look battens reference the tones of the surrounding cliffs, while the building has been oriented to maximise natural light and passive ventilation, with primary living spaces facing north and east to capture morning sun and sea breezes.

"At Solis, our aim was to create architecture that feels quietly confident, grounded in natural materials like stone and timber, and elevated by light and landscape," Trinh says.&nbsp;

"The buildings are designed to sit gently within their coastal surrounds, with expansive glazing and abundant greenery creating a seamless dialogue between inside and out."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150499 project_image_fid=370897]

Interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hot-black">Hot Black</a> carry the same material language through to every room. Kitchens feature integrated Gaggenau appliances, sculpted stone benchtops, and Lo &amp; Co joinery, while bathrooms feature natural stone, timber, and brushed metal finishes.&nbsp;

Hot Black Founder and Design Director Sophie Safrin describes the intent as one of considered restraint: "At Solis, every detail has been thoughtfully considered to create a timeless coastal retreat, calm, refined, and effortlessly liveable. From natural finishes to seamless indoor-outdoor flow, Solis offers a quiet elegance that's deeply connected to its surroundings.

The landscape, designed by Julian Brady of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/sitedesignstudios">Site Design Studios</a>, treats green space as an integral part of the resident experience rather than an afterthought.&nbsp;

"Gentle curves and layered native plantings mirror the ebb and flow of the ocean," Julian Brady says, "creating a serene connection between architecture and place."&nbsp;

Coco Republic has provided bespoke furniture packages tailored to the project's coastal palette.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150499 project_image_fid=370899]

Skymark has an established track record in the Sutherland Shire, with a portfolio spanning Cronulla, Woolooware and Burraneer that includes Isla, Sylva, Bask, Shells, Sula and Mist. Securing LDI on Solis reflects a broader shift in how the developer is positioning its buildings to buyers, at a time when Resilience Insurance expects the policy to become mandatory in New South Wales by 2028.

Sales at Solis are launching soon through Ray White Projects, with an official event scheduled for 11 June. Enquire for more information.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150499]

Skymark takes out 10-year Resilience Insurance LDI at Solis Cronulla

depreciation

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Like a brand new car, new apartments and contents depreciate in value almost immediately but many investors are not aware of the depreciation benefits they are entitled to claim.
The Australian Tax Office enables investors to cover part of the purchase price by allowing them to claim depreciation on certain items like fittings and fixtures at the end of every financial year.
Although there is no percentage that fits all off the plan purchasers, Matusik Property Insights director Michael Matusik says up to 60% of the built cost of a new apartment can be tax-deductible over time.
Purchasers of off the plan apartments can take the contract of sale to a quantity surveyor to have a depreciation schedule put together, as the contract will detail inclusions such as price, size of the unit and size of the building.
A tax depreciation company can also inspect a property to determine the current value of every item and will then calculate how much value each of those items will lose every year for up to 40 years.
However, Multifocus Properties and Finance chief executive officer Philippe Brach says to get a definite schedule that an accountant can use, the property must be settled as the settlement acts as the starting date for the depreciation entitlement.
The depreciation report is submitted at the end of every financial year and is allowed to be back dated by up to two years.
BMT Quantity Surveyors director <a href="/expert-insights/finance/depreciation-tax-deduction-opportunity-for-investors-as-the-block-sky-high-reality-television-series-turns-serious">Brad Beer says on average investors can claim between $5,000 and $10,000</a> as a first full-year deduction.
Brach says for the first few years, depreciation will fall away rapidly but is largely compensated by rising rent revenue in keeping the cash flow constant.
“After about 10 years, depreciation will stop declining but rent will still keep rising, therefore the cash flow starts increasing,” says Brach.
Property investor <a href="/expert-insights/finance/the-benefits-of-depreciation-or-how-wear-and-tear-can-be-to-your-advantage">Cameron McEvoy</a> says the amount an investor can claim is always much higher in the first few years.
“It goes without saying that the figure for say year three, will be much higher than year 27.
“This is due to the gradual degrading value of items.
“More often that not, properties that are one to five years old have the most depreciable potential,” says McEvoy.
Brach advises that when looking at potential investment properties, fittings and fixtures should be taken into consideration when short-listing apartments as they will give high depreciation in the early years.
Off the plan buyers should be able to obtain a depreciation schedule from the developer free of charge to help them work out their numbers properly but if one is not available, a report can be constructed for around $300 to $1,000 through a depreciation specialist.
“Without a schedule, your cash flow may be way out of reality and you investment decision will be wrong,” says Brach.
The one-off report fee is also tax deductible.
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ntrotman-Et3xWpamVh

How to: Check your depreciation entitlements

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<div>No surprise that the Reserve Bank of Australia opted to leave interest rates on hold at 2% yesterday, preferring to "wait and see" how data flows play out in the months ahead.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Not all that many surprises in the <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/media-releases/2015/mr-15-11" target="_blank">media release</a> either in truth. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Perhaps the most notable point was this:</div>
<div> </div>
<div>"The Australian dollar has declined noticeably against a rising US dollar over the past year, though less so against a basket of currencies. Further depreciation seems both likely and necessary, particularly given the significant declines in key commodity prices."</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Although the Aussie dollar has touched a six year low against the US dollar at 74 cents, with commodity prices in an ongoing funk, the Reserve Bank wants to see further depreciation still. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/07/08/audusd.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/07/08/audusd.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Just how much further depreciation is open to interpretation, but given the strength of the wording one might safely assume that this means at least 10 per cent, and probably more.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>With the release also noting that "monetary policy needs to be accommodative" there is every chance that interest rates will fall again at some point within the next year.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Futures markets are all but pricing in another cut over that time frame.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2015/07/08/RBA.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2015/07/08/RBA.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<div>Asset markets</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The ASX 200 (XJO) surged by well over 100 points for no apparent reason to record its second strongest trade of the year to date.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Another interesting development this week has been lenders tightening the screws further on investor loans.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>As of today Westpac - the Australian bank with the largest dollar amount of credit outstanding to investors - will reportedly apply a maximum 80 per cent loan to value ratio on its investment loans.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>This will make it comparatively more difficult for investors without substantial deposits to purchase property.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>To compensate we can expect that some lenders will instead encourage owner occupier loans, perhaps by dropping lenders mortgage insurance in some instances, or by dropping standard variable rates in others.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The regulator APRA has evidently applied heavy pressure to banks and other lenders to slow the pace of credit growth to investors, and therefore the outlook for our property markets will shift accordingly over the period ahead.</div>
<div>
 With rock bottom interest rates all but assured through 2015 and 2016 we can expect to see a shallower but probably longer recovery in property markets, driven increasingly by owner occupiers.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Another point of interest is that certain capital city markets have already been distorted by a steady flow of foreign capital, while simultaneously we also have a central bank which wants to depreciate the currency by a further 10 to 20 per cent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>This may well be the action which opens the sluice gates...just sayin'.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>. 
His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

No surprise from the RBA: Pete Wargent

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There’s no doubt that depreciation can make a <a href="/guides/property-depreciation-continues-to-maximise-cash-flow">significant difference </a>to any investor’s cash flow, but how does it work? 

What is property depreciation?

As a property gets older, its structure and assets wear out – they depreciate. The Australian Taxation Office (ATO) permits owners of income-producing properties to claim this depreciation as a tax deduction.

What can be claimed?

Depreciation is claimed under two categories, capital works and plant and equipment. 

Capital works deductions are claimed on the building’s structure and any permanently fixed assets. Common assets that are claimed under capital works include driveways, walls, basins and roofs. 

Plant and equipment deductions are claimed on assets that are considered to be easily removable or mechanical in nature. Some common examples of plant and equipment assets include air-conditioning units, blinds, hot water systems and flooring. 

How is depreciation calculated? 

<a href="/guides/how-to-invest-in-property-in-2020-the-ultimate-guide">Property investors</a> can claim capital works deductions at a rate of 2.5 per cent for up to forty years. Capital works deductions generally make up an average of 85 to 90 per cent of a total depreciation claim. 

Depreciation for plant and equipment assets differs from depreciation of capital works. These assets are generally depreciated based on their effective life through the diminishing value or prime cost method. 

The diminishing value method is the most commonly used method of depreciation for plant and equipment assets. Under this method, depreciation deductions are calculated as a percentage of the asset’s depreciable balance. This results in higher deductions in the earlier years of ownership. 

Alternatively, the prime cost method calculates depreciation as a percentage of the cost. When the prime cost method is used, deductions are not as high in initial years but are spread out over time and produce a more even claim each financial year. 

Claiming depreciation with the low-value pool or immediate write-off

Depreciation deductions on plant and equipment assets can be claimed sooner through the low-value pool or as an immediate write-off. 

The low-value pool allows qualifying assets to be depreciated at an accelerated rate. Assets in the pool can be claimed at a rate of 18% in the first year, and 37.5% each following year. 

There are two different ways that an asset can qualify for a low-value pool:

<ul>
<li>
Low-cost asset: Is a depreciable asset with an opening value of less than $1,000. </li>
	<li>
Low-value asset: Is a depreciable asset that has a written down value of less than $1,000. This means the asset’s value was more than $1,000 in the year of acquisition but the residual value of depreciation is now less than $1,000.</li>
</ul>
The immediate write-off is also available for eligible low-cost assets. For individual residential investors, qualifying assets that cost $300 or less can be claimed as an immediate write-off. 

Depreciation and renovations 

Significant depreciation deductions can be claimed before and after a renovation has been completed on an <a href="/guides/looking-to-buy-an-investment-property-top-3-things-you-must-do-online-first">investment property</a>. 

A process called scrapping allows property owners to claim deductions for the un-deducted value of removed assets in the year they were removed. To take advantage of scrapping, a depreciation schedule must be arranged both before and after the renovation takes place. 

How does property tax depreciation boost cash flow?

Property depreciation is a non-cash deduction that essentially reduces a property owner’s taxable income. This means they pay less tax each financial year without paying for any additional costs. 

To claim depreciation, a tax depreciation schedule completed by a specialist quantity surveyor is essential.

Estimating depreciation deductions before buying an investment property

Owning an investment property is a balancing act of income and expenses. When deciding whether to <a href="/new-apartments">buy an investment property,</a> investors should consider obtaining a depreciation estimate of the property they are looking to buy. 
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Investor’s Guide to Residential Property Depreciation 

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Well, the dust has finally settled on the new legislation regarding the changes to depreciation that will apply to second-hand residential properties.
In this article we will dig deep into some of the questions we have commonly been asked since the 9th of May 2017, when the changes were announced in the Federal Budget.
Before we get into the nitty gritty let’s begin with a quick recap.
Property investors who acquire a second-hand residential property after May 10, 2017, that contain “previously used” depreciating assets, will no longer be able to claim depreciation on those assets. Depreciating assets, in this case, refers to things like ovens, dishwashers, blinds, etc.
As you already know, in 2017, the rule book on depreciation changed massively.
The Federal Government successfully voted on new legislation to change the way depreciation works, representing the biggest move in the industry that I’ve ever seen – and I’ve been a quantity surveyor for over 25 years!
The changes were effective as at 9 May 2017 at 7.30pm, when the federal budget was handed down. As you can imagine, they have huge implications for property investors and more importantly, the property equation, which we’ll go into later.
So, how have things changed exactly?
The best way to understand it is to break the changes down into nine simple key points:
<ol>
<li>If you acquire a second-hand residential property from 10 May 2017, which contains ‘previously used’ depreciating assets, you will no longer be able to claim depreciation on those assets. This refers to the plant and equipment portion of a depreciation schedule, including: Ovens, Dishwashers, Lights, Air-conditioners. Televisions, Carpets, Lounge suites, Blinds, Common property plant and equipment items. 
</li>
<li>However, the building allowance, or claims on the structure of the building, has not changed at all. You will still need a depreciation schedule to calculate these deductions, which typically accounts for 85% of the overall construction cost. The structure includes things like brickwork and concrete so there’s no change to that. 
</li>
<li>Acquirers of brand-new property will carry on claiming depreciation in exactly the same way as they have done so to-date – for both plant and equipment and structure. This is great news for the property industry, because a lot of developers rely on depreciation as part of their marketing strategy to attract investors. The government resisted making changes to depreciation on brand-new property because it did not want to halt construction, which would have impacted upon the supply of new property. A downturn in the construction industry would also have a knock-on effect – if tradies are out of work, they aren’t paying tax! 
</li>
<li>If you renovate a house while living in it, then sell the property to an investor, the assets will be deemed to have been previously used and the new owner cannot claim depreciation on the plant and equipment. 
</li>
<li>The proposed changes do not apply if you buy the property in a corporate tax entity, super fund (note self-managed super funds do not apply here) or a large unit trust. In other words, you can still buy a second-hand property in a company name and claim depreciation on it. You can buy a second-hand property in a super fund – as long as it’s a large one – and a large trust can buy a property as long as it has 300 members or more, and claim depreciation on that property. 
</li>
<li>The proposed changes only relate to residential property. Commercial, industrial, retail and other non-residential properties are not affected, so you can still buy a second-hand office or similar and continue to claim the second-hand carpet, exactly as you could before. You can’t do this for residential property, as I’ve explained above. 
</li>
<li>If you engage a builder to build a brand-new house, or do the work yourself and it remains an investment property, you will still be able to claim depreciation on both the structure and the plant and equipment items. This is because it’s brand new, and was brand new when you put in that oven. Therefore, you can still claim it because the costs are known. 
</li>
<li>If you engage a builder to renovate a property – or you do the work yourself – and it is also being used as an investment property, you will still be able to claim depreciation on it when you have finished the renovations. As above, this is because the assets you install are brand new, therefore you can still claim. But if you bought a property renovated by someone else and they lived in it for six months or a year and then sold it – you can’t claim depreciation on the oven and dishwasher, etc. in the future, because they have now been previously used. See the difference? 
</li>
<li>While investors purchasing second-hand property can now no longer claim depreciation on the existing plant and equipment, they will have the benefit of paying less capital gains tax when they sell the property. How? Well, when they replace or remove an item of plant &amp; equipment they would have been able to claim in depreciation under the previous legislation, the opening value of the asset can be claimed as a capital loss.</li>
</ol>
In my opinion, it seems like a lot of work to get the same result. The new rules have just moved depreciation from one line of the budget to another!
The good news is that the new legislation is ‘grandfathered’. That means that for everyone out there with an existing depreciation schedule, you can continue to claim exactly as you have been doing. So, if you bought a property prior to the budget – 9 May 2017 – nothing has changed. And if you have bought an investment prior to this date, and you don’t have a depreciation schedule, there’s never been a better time to get one! You might not get these allowances again.
One final point on grandfathering; if you bought a property prior to the budget and it is owner-occupied, and then you move out after 1 July 2017 – you will not be able to claim depreciation on the plant and equipment in that property.
Those items will be deemed to be previously used and caught in the net of the changing legislation – even though you acquired the property prior to the budget. So, these changes are kind of ‘half grandfathered’ if you ask me.
You will, however, still be able to claim the building allowance in this scenario if the property was built after 1987.
TYRON HYDE is a director of quantity surveying firm Washington Brown.
Read the <a href="https://www.washingtonbrown.com.au/blog/depreciation-budget-changes/?utm_source=ONTRAPORT-email-broadcast&amp;utm_medium=ONTRAPORT-email-broadcast&amp;utm_term=&amp;utm_content=The+New+Rules+-+We+wanted+to+make+sure+you+know&amp;utm_campaign=17092019" target="_blank">original article</a>.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Understanding new depreciation legislation on second hand residential property: Tyron Hyde

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Property investors are set to save time and money through the launch of the first-ever <a href="http://www.nationaldepreciationregister.com.au/" target="_blank">National Depreciation Register</a> (NDR) in Australia. 
The NDR, revealed as one of two major announcements by one of Australia’s oldest quantity surveying organisations, Washington Brown, at its Surprise 40th Birthday on February 23 at the Australian Museum, is an established database that includes most residential apartments in Australia and their depreciation costs.
The firm has made use of the extensive data it has accumulated over the past 40 years to create the NDR, which property investors will be able to access online, searching for their property in seconds and downloading a report quickly, after selecting the right affordable package for their needs.
The NDR was established in response to the changes to depreciation in the Federal Budget last year, which saw depreciation claims for second-hand residential properties purchased after May 10, 2017 limited to building allowances, with plant and equipment allowances no longer able to be claimed.
The changes left many property investors feeling confused about what depreciation costs they can claim moving forward, but the NDR provides a quick and easy way to find out for each property.
While investors will still need a property inspection to prepare a depreciation schedule for a house or a property purchased before May 9, 2017, it may not be required for apartment purchases after this date. You may simply be able to jump online to the NDR and get a report that way, without an inspection.
If you purchased a residential second-hand apartment after May 9, 2017, Washington Brown most likely already has the costs for your property on file, as you’ll only be able to claim deductions for building allowances. You don’t need to pay for an inspection, as the firm already knows the construction costs associated with your unit.
This is the first-ever NDR, so there has never been a faster, easier and more affordable way for property investors to claim the maximum depreciation costs for their investment property, maximising tax returns and putting more money back into their pockets.
To try it out and find your property depreciation report, visit <a href="http://www.nationaldepreciationregister.com.au" target="_blank">www.nationaldepreciationregister.com.au</a> .
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

First-ever National Depreciation Register launched by Washington Brown

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Tyron Hyde expects property investors may start looking into commercial and other forms of non-residential property following the passing of Federal Budget legislation on depreciation claims.
The chief of Washington Brown also expects investors will be looking into different structures to acquire the property – like companies, that have not been affected.
Parliament has passed the legislation yesterday which changes how depreciation deductions on a second-hand property can be claimed. 
Hyde says the six key takeaways from the legislation are:
1.   If you acquire a second-hand residential property after May 10, 2017, which contains “previously used” depreciating assets, you will no longer be able to claim depreciation on those assets.
2.   Acquirers of brand new property will carry on claiming depreciation exactly the way they have done so to date. This is great news for the property industry and the way it should be.
3.   The proposed changes only relate to residential property. Commercial, industrial, retail and other non-residential properties are not affected in the slightest.
4.   The building allowance or claims on the structure of the building has not changed at all. You will still need a Depreciation Schedule to calculate these deductions. This component typically represents approximately between 80 to 85 percent of the construction cost of a property.
5.   The proposed changes do not apply if you buy the property in a corporate tax entity, super fund (note Self-Managed Super Funds do not apply here) or a large unit trust.
6.   Perhaps the most interesting point: Whilst investors purchasing second-hand property can now no longer claim depreciation on the existing plant and equipment, they will have the benefit of paying less capital gains tax when they sell the property.
Tyron Hyde suggests while there has been some merit in regards to these changes, "a more balanced approached would’ve been more suitable."
"These changes will create a two-tiered property market in my view, where investors selling near-new property will struggle to compete with those selling new property.
"Developers should be dancing in the street, as there stock is now more appealing to investors.
"I suspect investors may start looking into commercial and other forms of non-residential property and also looking into different structures to acquire the property – like companies, that have not been affected."
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Depreciation legislation will change investor property preferences and help developers: Tyron Hyde

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The weekend finale of The Block Eslternwick saw comedian Dave Hughes buy the renovated home of celebrity couple and winners on the night, model Elyse Knowles and her boyfriend Josh Barker.
He paid $3.07 million for the home marketed as Regent House, which won Knowles and Barker the top prize, pocketing $547,000 in the process.
Hughes could stand to claim a maximum of nearly $2.4 million in depreciation deductions (below) as a property investor in his tax returns, as he has signalled he intends to rent the well-positioned top seller out.
Property Observer noted pre-auction that the forecast rentals were $2000 plus a week.
Price estimations were conservative by the marketing agents, while ANZ auction tipping website RealAs were way off the mark with their predictions given five days prior.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/10/30/Hughesmaximum.jpg" alt="">
The minimum estimation of available depreciation by BMT suggest he will be able to claim around $1.95 million over the property's timeline.
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/10/30/HughesMinimum.jpg" alt="">
Two years ago the buyers of apartments in The Block: Blocktagon could claim an average of over $1.5 million in depreciation deductions.
The penthouse of Dean and Shay had the highest deductions available, with a minimum of $62,735 claimable in the first year and $1,621,688 claimed over the specified lifetime of the property.
For the buyers of The Block Triple Threat townhouses in 2015, the fully-furnished South Yarra properties with new interiors were able to claim between nearly $40,000 and $55,000 in depreciation benefits in the first year of ownership.
Tim and Anastasia's renovation offered the greatest deductions, with between $44,316 and $54,163 claimable in the first year. In total, their apartment offers a maximum deduction of $1,389,708.
Legislation allows the owners of any income producing property to claim depreciation deductions for the wear and tear of the building structure and the assets contained within.
Win a free depreciation report by signing up to Property Observer. Just <a href="https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/freedepreciationreport" target="_blank">click here</a>.
Download a free e-book on the relocating of entire homes.
 
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What depreciation the comedian Dave Hughes gets on his Block Elsternwick investment buy

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Two months after the Federal Budget announcement, property investors have received guidance on the Federal Government’s plan to tighten depreciation deductions available for residential properties.
Depreciation is the tax break for investors who own income-producing investment properties. Depreciation is an important, but sometimes overlooked, component of any investment property’s viability among the nation's two million landlords.
In what was described as an “integrity measure", the Government will limit plant and equipment depreciation deductions for investors in residential investment properties to assets not previously used. Plant and equipment items are usually mechanical fixtures or those which can be easily removed from a property such as dishwashers and ceiling fans.
Plant and equipment used or installed in residential investment properties as of the May 9, 2017 Budget night will continue to give rise to deductions for depreciation until either the investor is no longer owns the asset, or the asset reaches the end of its effective life.
Public consultation on the draft legislation will run until August 10.  
The measure is calculated to claw back $260 million over the next four years of the budget.
The key takeout is that if an investor acquires a second-hand residential property after May 10, 2017, which contains “previously used” depreciating assets, they will no longer be able to claim depreciation on those assets in future tax returns.
It address government concerns that some items were being claimed as tax write-offs by successive investors often in excess of their actual value.
The proposed changes only relate to residential property. Commercial, industrial, retail and other non-residential properties are not affected. 
The building allowance or claims on the structure of the residential building has not been changed. Investors will still need a depreciation schedule to calculate these deductions which typically represents between 80 to 85 percent of the construction cost of a property.
If investors renovate a property that is being used as an investment, they will still be able to claim depreciation on it after the renovations.
Perhaps the most interesting point, according to Washington Brown's quantity surveyor Tyron Hyde, is that while investors purchasing second-hand property can now no longer claim depreciation on the existing plant and equipment, they will have the benefit of paying less capital gains tax when they sell the property. 
Hyde noted what investors would have been able to claim in depreciation under the previous legislation, now simply gets taken off the sale price when it comes to capital gains tax calculations.
Finally it should be noted buyers of brand new property will carry on claiming depreciation exactly the way they have done so to date.
"This is great news for the property industry and the way it should be," Hyde said.
This article first appeared in The Daily Telegraph.
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Guidance on the Federal Government’s plan to tighten depreciation deductions

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GUEST OBSERVER
The property market has finally received some clarity in relation to the Government’s plan to reduce depreciation deductions for residential properties. It’s good news too, if you ask me. 
On Friday 14th July, the Treasury Office released a <a href="https://treasury.gov.au/ConsultationsandReviews/Consultations/2017/Housing-Tax-Integrity" target="_blank">draft bill</a> regarding how depreciation deductions on second-hand property can be claimed moving forward. They also invited interested parties to make submissions.
It's complicated to say the least, so I’ve tried to simplify this Bill and the key points. Here are my 9 Key Takeaways from the draft Legislation;
1. If you acquire a second-hand residential property after May 10, 2017, which contains “previously used” depreciating assets, you will no longer be able to claim depreciation on those assets.
2. Acquirers of brand new property will carry on claiming depreciation exactly the way they have done so to date. This is great news for the property industry and the way it should be.
We suspected this would be the case and I believe the property industry can collectively breathe a sigh of relief. 
3. The proposed changes only relate to residential property. Commercial, industrial, retail and other non-residential properties are not affected in the slightest. 
4.  The building allowance or claims on the structure of the building has not changed at all. You will still need a Depreciation Schedule to calculate these deductions. This component typically represents approximately between 80 to 85 percent of the construction cost of a property.
5. The proposed changes do not apply if you buy the property in a corporate tax entity, super fund (note Self-Managed Super Funds do not apply here) or a large unit trust.
This is interesting and I suspect a lot more people will start buying properties in company tax structures.
6. If you engage a builder to build a house and it remains an investment property, you will still be able to claim depreciation on both the structure and the Plant and Equipment items. 
7. If you renovate a property that is being used as an investment, you will still be able to claim depreciation on it when you have finished the renovations.
8. If you renovate a house, whilst living it in, then sell the property to an investor, the asset will be deemed to have been previously used and the new owner cannot claim depreciation.
9. Perhaps the most interesting point: Whilst investors purchasing second-hand property can now no longer claim depreciation on the existing plant and equipment, they will have the benefit of paying less capital gains tax when they sell the property. 
How? Well, in summary, what you would’ve been able to claim in depreciation under the previous legislation, now simply gets taken off the sale price in the event you sell the property in the future.
Here is an example of how this will work: 
Peter buys a property in September 2017 for $600k, included within the property was $25k worth of previously used depreciating assets.
As they were previously used, Peter can’t claim depreciation on those items.
Peter sells the property in 2022 for $800k, which included $15k worth of those depreciation assets.
Peter can now claim a capital loss of $10k ($25k-$15k) for the portion that Peter has not claimed in depreciation.
SUMMARY OF THE PROPOSED CHANGES
In my view the Draft Bill could've been a lot worse for both the property industry and the Quantity Surveying professions.
It will certainly address the integrity measure concern of stopping “refreshed” valuations of plant and equipment by property investors.
It may, however, create a two-tier property market in relation to new and second hand property.
You can see the ads now “Buy Brand New - We’ve Got The Depreciation Allowances”. 
It will still be just as critical for all property investors to get a breakdown of the building allowance &amp; plant and equipment values so you can:
A. Claim the building allowance (where applicable) and
B. Reduce the CGT payable when selling the property by deducting the unclaimed Plant and Equipment allowances.
The Quantity Surveying industry, just like the property development industry just breathed a huge sigh of relief.
I believe this integrity measure could've been better addressed and will be making a submission accordingly. 
But it wasn’t a bad ‘first run’ by the Government!
Tyron Hyde is a director of Washington Brown and can be contacted <a href="https://www.washingtonbrown.com.au/staff/tyron-hyde/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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What depreciation property investors can now claim: Nine key insights from the draft legislation: Tyron Hyde

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GUEST OBSERVER
If you have been following my tweets and Facebook comments, you would have noticed that I have been very vocal about the new budgetary measures and, in particular, the new rules on plant and equipment depreciation. Up until yesterday, it was obvious that large sections of the media were not aware of the full ramifications of what had been announced in last week's Budget. Indeed, headlines last week claiming that “Negative gearing was left untouched” could not have been further from the truth. Ultimately, these headlines left me in a state of bemusement with sections of our media which is cause for a blog of its own.    That all changed yesterday, where through the hard work of Australian Financial Review reporter, Su-Lin Tan, the full ramifications of what had been announced came to the fore via this front page story: Negative Gearing - Scalpel will cool apartment demand - experts
The new depreciation measures are significant as they massively reduce the ability of property investors to make deductions on their investment property, thereby reducing their ability to negatively gear.  These were the very words used by the Treasurer:
“And from 1 July 2017, the Government will improve the integrity of negative gearing by disallowing deductions for travel expenses and, for properties bought after today, the Government will also limit plant and equipment depreciation deductions to only those expenses directly incurred by investors.
To give you an idea of the impact on investors, the mocked up depreciation schedules below clearly show what was normally claimed, with the columns circled in red showing what can no longer be claimed if these new measures are passed. Both schedules assume a circa $500,000 price tag on the properties. 
This first property assumes a newly built situation where a Division 43 allowance (depreciation on buildings) can still be claimed.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v1.jpg" width="700" height="559">
The second example is of an older style property where a new renovation has been completed.  Both these depreciation schedules have been provided with thanks to Mike Mortlock from MCG Quantity Surveyors.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v2.jpg" width="688" height="580">
In both instances, plant and equipment depreciation are a significant component of the total deductible depreciation on a residential property. Literally, many thousands of dollars can no longer be claimed. Just keep in mind as well that these new changes only apply on residential property. Commercial property depreciation is still fully deductible.
<div>
The effective result is that tens of thousands of properties that were cash flow positive properties after the depreciation benefit will no longer be cash flow positive, keeping in mind these affect property purchases after May 9, so there is grandfathering. In its simplest terms, also consider the following scenarios: Property A
I own a new unit that was just built. I can claim the significant plant and equipment depreciation that comes with newly built dwellings. However, if I sell to you that unit tomorrow, you can not claim the plant and equipment depreciation. 
At this stage, it is not clear regarding the plant and equipment depreciation  that If I own an off-the plan development that is not complete and I then flip it on to you (before completion) whether you can claim the depreciation or not. The Federal Government needs to clarify this situation. Property B
I just bought a newly constructed unit after May 9, 2017. Normally, I would be able to claim the plant and equipment depreciation, however, at this point it is unclear under the new Budget measures whether I can going forward. A strict reading of the new measures suggests I cannot as it was the developer who originally purchased the plant and equipment.
This has been the view of some quantity surveyors while others believe the Government doesn’t intend to be so punitive. Once again, we are waiting for clarification. Property C
I own an older style property on which I recently completed a renovation whereby I purchased $200,000 worth of plant and equipment. I then sell this property to you, today. You cannot depreciate any of the plant and equipment that I have spent money on during the renovation.  
No further clarification is required here. This is exactly how the Government wishes the new measures to apply. In my view, this new measure, combined with recent APRA initiatives, plus the potential for the banks to pass on the new bank levy, will very likely result in a drop in property investor demand. When that drop happens is uncertain. But it could start at any time given once these changes are passed by the Senate, there will be a retrospective impact back to the May 9, 2017. So those people who purchased an investment property last weekend will likely be impacted by these new measures.
As quantity surveyor Washington Brown stated in their blog earlier this week, these new measures might actually have some unintended negative consequences for affordability in that:
<ol>
<li>
Property investors may now feel the need to hang onto their existing properties to continue claiming depreciation because if they sell that property they won’t be able to get as many deductions on their next one.
</li>
<li>
Developers rely on high depreciation figures in the early years to show investors how affordable an investment property can be. If these depreciation allowances are taken away, they will struggle to get pre-sales which are required by banks to fund the deal.
</li>
</ol>
I am also concerned for investors in a new property as it is likely that any secondary buyer will demand a discount on a resale to take into account that lack of deductible depreciation, which is significantly large on new dwellings. It’s a similar issue we had with Labor’s policy on negative gearing during last year’s election. As it is, off-the-plan investors regularly experience price declines in new properties when selling in the first few years of the property's life. These new measures may aggravate this reality which could then have a negative impact upon the supply of new housing stock in the long term.  
What the Liberals have announced is a light version of this policy in a way this will be a good test to see what would happen to dwelling prices and home affordability and rents under a no-negative gearing scenario. Are these measures good for First Home Buyers?  In addressing the affordability question one must ask do these measures, plus others announced such as the additional superannuation contribution scheme, the additional CGT discount on ‘affordable’ properties, the tax break for senior empty-nesters to sell their homes, the additional land supply, create the incentive for first home buyers to come back into the market? Well maybe, maybe not. Regardless, developers will need more first home buyers to take up the slack that investors leave behind. Potentially, first home buyers could do just that, which is what we all want. But they kind of need to. And if they don’t, the rent rises that may well follow could just force them to. This brings us to the final unintended affect – the rental market. Note the recent trend in falling building approvals.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v3.jpg" width="243" height="300">
We are nearing the peak in housing completions in this cycle which we believe will be early 2018. Yet vacancy rates in Sydney and Melbourne are still tight.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v4.jpg" width="700" height="384">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v4.jpg" target="_blank"></a><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v5.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v5.jpg" width="700" height="377">
This is happening because our population growth rates have exploded in recent years. Melbourne is now expanding by 120,000 people each and every year. Sydney's population is rising by 90,000 people. The growth rates are above and beyond what was expected and is causing systemic strains on our two largest cities.  For more on this I strongly recommend you read the recent blog on population from Macro Business  
Remember, this time last year there was a real fear of a unit oversupply. Forget that now for Melbourne and Sydney. There is no oversupply. And, depending upon how first home buyers respond to the Budget, there could be significant under-supply later in 2018-2019 which may cause rents to skyrocket. 
After all, rents in Melbourne are already well above expectations this year.
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/05/17/v6.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/05/17/v6.jpg" width="700" height="389">
<div>Our 2017 Housing Boom and Bust Forecasts</div>
<div>
 It was reported yesterday that SQM Research may be revising down its 2017 forecasts as a result of the changes. After careful consideration, our base case forecasts stay un-revised for now.   
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<div>
However, we believe that the probabilities have substantially increased that a peak in the price growth rates of the Sydney and Melbourne housing markets will happen this current June quarter and that the September and December quarters will record slower growth rates. The possibility of a modest price fall in either the September or December quarter has also increased. Subsequently, we now believe the lower end of our base case forecast range is likely to be reality. And, depending upon how and when the banks respond, we may revise our price forecasts down. For now, they remain on track with no current slowdown occurring in the housing market.
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<div>Louis Christopher is a managing director of SQM Research. He can be contacted <a href="https://www.sqmresearch.com.au/" target="_blank">here</a>.</div>
 
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