<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/consolidated-properties">Consolidated Properties Group</a> (CPG) is approaching the launch of its latest Brisbane riverfront development, Castile, on the dress circle Skyring Terrace in Newstead.

VIP buyers are now being engaged, with a full public sales launch coming later this year.

Positioned as the final opportunity to secure a new absolute riverfront residence on the East bank of Newstead, Teneriffe or New Farm, Castile at 47 Skyring Terrace has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/woods-bagot">Woods Bagot</a> as a timeless addition to the Brisbane skyline.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=371113]

The name Castile draws on themes of permanence, sophistication and legacy, reflecting a broader vision centred on enduring architecture and timelessness in the rarest of riverfront positions.&nbsp;

CPG Chairman and CEO Don O’Rorke said the project had been envisioned as a future Brisbane icon.&nbsp;

“With 47 metres of direct river frontage and never to be built out views, 47 Skyring Terrace is the definitive address on the Brisbane River,” O’Rorke said.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150489 project_image_fid=371114]

“Rather than following trend-based apartment design, Castile draws inspiration from Brisbane’s great heritage buildings, reinterpreting classical architecture into a contemporary riverfront landmark designed to stand proudly for the next 100 years,” he said.&nbsp;

The approved development will comprise 227 apartments across a 25-storey tower alongside a boutique six-storey riverfront building of just 12 residences.&nbsp;

Construction is scheduled to commence in September 2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150489]

Joel Robinson

CPG unveils Castile Newstead ahead of upcoming sales launch

Australia’s online shopping habits have shifted dramatically over the last decade. As eCommerce volumes surged, so too did the frustrations that came with traditional parcel delivery: missed deliveries, long Post Office queues, parcel theft and the challenge of being home during business hours.

Australia Post’s Parcel Lockers emerged as one of the more practical responses to that changing consumer behaviour.

What started as a relatively niche delivery option has evolved into a nationwide network of more than 1,400 self-service Parcel Lockers positioned at train stations, shopping centres, supermarkets and Post Offices across the country. The system allows Australians to send, collect and return parcels 24 hours a day, fundamentally changing how many people interact with deliveries.

The appeal is relatively straightforward: flexibility.

Instead of waiting at home for a delivery driver or rushing to a Post Office before closing time, users can direct eligible parcels to a Parcel Locker location of their choice. Once the parcel arrives, Australia Post sends a notification with a collection code or QR access through the AusPost app, allowing customers to retrieve their package at any time within the collection window.

For apartment residents in particular, the system has become increasingly valuable.

Higher-density living has created logistical challenges around deliveries, especially in buildings without concierge services or secure parcel rooms. Missed deliveries are common, while parcel theft has become an increasing concern as online shopping volumes continue to rise.

Australia Post itself has repeatedly highlighted the growing issue of “porch pirates” during peak shopping periods, encouraging customers to use Parcel Lockers as a safer alternative to unattended home deliveries.

That security aspect is one of the key reasons the Australia Post Parcel Locker network has grown so rapidly.

Parcel Lockers are positioned as secure, monitored collection points that reduce the risk of theft while also improving delivery efficiency for Australia Post. Instead of multiple redelivery attempts, parcels can be consolidated into a single secure destination.

The Parcel Lockers themselves are free to use through a MyPost account and support a range of parcel sizes up to 16 kilograms and dimensions of approximately 35 x 44 x 61 centimetres.

Beyond receiving parcels, the system has increasingly become integrated into the broader eCommerce ecosystem.

Customers can now use Parcel Lockers to return online purchases, while retailers have embraced the model as a way to improve delivery success rates and reduce friction in the shopping process. Australia Post has actively expanded partnerships with major retailers and promoted Parcel Lockers as part of a broader out-of-home strategy.

The timing of that expansion aligns with broader changes in Australian shopping behaviour.

The acceleration of online retail during and after the pandemic placed enormous pressure on delivery infrastructure. Parcel volumes reached record highs, particularly during Black Friday and Christmas periods, with Australia Post delivering more than 100 million parcels during peak festive seasons.

That growth forced logistics providers to rethink the “last mile” of delivery, widely regarded as the most expensive and operationally difficult stage of the process.

Parcel Locker systems have increasingly been viewed as part of the long-term solution.

The concept itself is not unique to Australia. Parcel Locker networks have become common globally, particularly across Europe and Asia, where dense urban environments and apartment living create similar logistical challenges. But Australia’s geography and suburban sprawl made adoption slower initially.

Now, however, the convenience factor is driving mainstream usage.

For commuters, Parcel Lockers near train stations allow parcels to be collected on the way home from work. For apartment dwellers, they remove the uncertainty around access and missed deliveries.

The rise of the AusPost app has also streamlined the experience, centralising notifications, tracking and Parcel Locker access into a single platform. Australia Post has increasingly pushed customers toward app-based delivery management, partly as a way to combat phishing scams and fake delivery notifications, which have become more sophisticated in recent years.

The Parcel Locker model is also beginning to influence property development itself.

Parcel management has become a growing consideration in apartment building design, particularly as online shopping becomes embedded in everyday life. Many new residential developments are now incorporating dedicated parcel rooms or Parcel Locker systems into foyers and communal spaces.

For developers, parcel management is increasingly viewed as part of the broader resident amenity offering, alongside gyms, wellness spaces and communal work areas.

That reflects a wider evolution in how residential buildings are designed.

Apartment buyers are placing greater emphasis on convenience, security and operational functionality, particularly in higher-density urban environments. Parcel delivery, once considered a minor operational detail, has become an increasingly important part of that equation.

Australia Post’s Parcel Locker network sits at the centre of that behavioural shift.

What began as a simple alternative delivery option has evolved into a key piece of infrastructure supporting Australia’s growing eCommerce economy and changing urban lifestyles.

And as online shopping continues to expand, the role of Parcel Lockers is likely to become even more embedded in how Australians live, shop and receive goods.

How Australia Post Parcel Lockers changed parcel delivery convenience in Australia

Perth’s new apartment market recorded its strongest quarter of sales since Q4 2021, with 412 apartments sold in Q1 2026 and a record quarterly sold value of $537 million, according to Urbis’ latest Apartment Essentials results.

Urbis said the March quarter result reflects strong, highly product‑specific demand across both ends of the market, from more attainable projects delivering at scale, through to premium stock being absorbed by equity‑rich downsizers.&nbsp;

David Cresp, Partner at Urbis, said the key story in Perth is not demand, it is the market’s ability to convert demand into delivered housing.&nbsp;

“This is the strongest sales quarter since Q4 2021, and it reinforces that demand in Perth is real and it’s local,” David Cresp said. “But the task now is delivery, turning that demand into projects that can actually be built and completed.”&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=110291 project_image_fid=302785]

<h2>Affordable product leads, premium demand remains resilient</h2>

Sales in Q1 were led by more affordable projects, with The Boulevard (SKS Group) recording 115 sales in the quarter, the presentation noting this is only the second time a single project has surpassed 100 quarterly sales. The project was able to offer more affordable housing product right next to a train station.&nbsp;

Palmyra West (Finbar) also delivered strong results with 28 sales in Q1, following 84 sales in Q4, with an average price of under $800,000, underscoring depth of demand for well‑located, attainable new stock.&nbsp;

At the premium end, Urbis said downsizer demand is continuing, with the results highlighting Romeo (Applecross, Finbar) recording 75 sales and reaching almost 50% sold in one quarter.

Jual (Shenton Park, Celsius Property) also posted a strong quarter with 28 sales, reaching 39% sold in one quarter.

Urbis noted that Perth apartment demand is not speculative, not investor‑led, and not uniform, describing it as localised, often equity‑driven and highly product‑specific, a pattern reflected in the polarisation between strong “attainable” performers and premium downsizer product.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=148957 project_image_fid=364102]

<h2>Prices underpinned by costs, and the delivery risk is growing</h2>

Urbis said pricing pressure is cost not demand‑driven: construction costs and delivery risk are now a central constraint, with the results noting build costs remain elevated and volatile, and that energy, fuel and labour uncertainty weigh on feasibility.

David Cresp said a growing challenge for private Build‑to‑Sell developers is simply securing a builder in the current environment.

“Developers are really feeling the pressure from a building market that was operating at capacity and securing a builder is challenging,” David Cresp said, adding that even where a builder can be secured, “trying to get to the price that makes the development financially viable is incredibly challenging in the current market.”&nbsp;

Urbis’ broader WA commentary also notes that industry remains at or above capacity with lot and housing creation, and that many builders are limiting new sales to manage stretched workforces and fixed‑price contract pressures, conditions that flow directly into apartment feasibility and delivery timing.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108869 project_image_fid=317905]

<h2>Supply: improving later, but still constrained, and Perth lags eastern benchmarks</h2>

While near‑term supply remains constrained, Urbis’ forecast shows completions lifting “Supply is forecast to be back above 1,500 apartments per annum for the first time since 2019”, with 1,775 completions forecast for 2026, and volumes remaining above that level over the following years.&nbsp;

Looking further ahead, completions are forecast to reach 2,500 in 2028, with the report noting 32% of that total is social/affordable, reflecting the role of government‑supported delivery in rebuilding the pipeline.&nbsp;

However, Urbis said Perth remains behind comparable markets on pipeline scale. In a national comparison of projects under construction, the report shows under construction Perth Build‑to‑Sell (BTS) at 3,446 apartments versus the Gold Coast at 7,922. Mr Cresp said “The challenge for Perth is how to we grow the delivery pipeline”.

Urbis’ conclusion is that Perth’s market is increasingly defined by product discipline and delivery certainty, with the research identifying “delivery certainty is key” and calling out builder risk and procurement models as core success factors, alongside “timing and staging”.&nbsp;

Perth apartment sales hit strongest pace since late 2021 as builder capacity tightens

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sammut-developments">Sammut Group</a> has secured development approval for its latest Brisbane apartment project, marking the Sydney developer’s next step in expanding its Queensland pipeline following the success of its debut Gold Coast development, Coast.

The approved project at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/44-glen-road-toowong-qld-4066">44 Glen Road, </a><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/toowong-qld-4066">Toowong</a> will deliver a 15-storey riverfront apartment building with 42 residences, significantly increasing the scale of the site’s previous approval for a smaller luxury scheme. Designed by Bureau^proberts, the development will comprise a mix of predominantly four-bedroom and two-bedroom apartments positioned to maximise Brisbane River and city views.

Sammut Director Julian Sammut said the group had been actively searching Brisbane for several years before identifying Toowong as the right fit.

“Brisbane was the right step for Sammut,” Sammut said.

“With the success of Coast we thought we should definitely look to do more in Queensland alone. We then pushed up to look at Brisbane. We've been looking for I'd say two to three years actually and it was hard to find the right location.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/f_auto,c_limit,w_1440,q_75/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/field/image/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.14%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=dYAVIL7qdcGA8ojvkslSrLjczXFejSSx" />

Sammut said suburbs including New Farm and Teneriffe were considered before the group ultimately focused on Toowong due to its strong downsizer demographic and limited supply of developable riverfront land.

The site was acquired off-market after what Sammut described as a lengthy negotiation and planning process, with the developer pursuing an uplift to the original approval.

“We are DA approved now which is very exciting,” Sammut said.

“We've had our change approval come through and we've obviously doubled the height, 15 storeys plus rooftop. We've got 42 amazing apartments that are going to be coming to market soon.”

<img alt="Sammut makes Brisbane apartment play" data-entity-type="" data-entity-uuid="" src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,dpr_2.0,q_auto:good/https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-12-23%20at%203.27.26%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=ohkRkY0dIZlqdfME2EZePsCQavRiBadE" />

Bureau^proberts said the design responds to Toowong’s evolving urban character, balancing contemporary apartment living with the area’s established residential identity.

“A place where traditional Queensland living has taken place for centuries; Toowong is seeing a shift of contemporary influence, commercial and retail hubs mixed with well-considered residential offerings – all the while maintaining its character and charm,” the architect noted in planning documents submitted to Brisbane City Council.

The architecture practice said the project’s form was shaped by its riverfront setting, flood considerations, neighbouring building scales, and view corridors.

“They said the mix of four and two-bedroom apartments capture the ‘fundamental qualities of Queenslander living,’ translated into the context of a contemporary subtropical building.”

The development sits just off Coronation Drive within walking distance of Toowong’s retail precinct and the upgraded Regatta ferry terminal, while also benefiting from proximity to the incoming green bridge connection to West End. Sammut said the accessibility and amenity offering were central to the site’s appeal.

The approval adds to growing residential activity along the Toowong riverfront, joining nearby projects including Consolidated Properties’ Monarch Residences and Spyre Group’s ARC Residences.

Sammut secures approval for debut Brisbane apartment development in Toowong

Developer Lanevick is heading back into Sydney’s apartment market after focusing more heavily on the luxury townhouse and terrace sector in recent years.

Lanevick, founded and directed by Steve Maroun, is expecting to receive approval in the coming months for a new apartment development in Gladesville, with the aim to launch it to the market later this year.

The 51-apartment project, designed by Studio Johnston, will comprise a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments positioned toward the Hunters Hill downsizer market.

“Traditionally it’s been difficult for people in that market to downsize because there just hasn’t been the right product available,” Maroun said.

“We’re targeting buyers who might have 30 to 40 per cent of their house value sitting in the bank after downsizing.

“They still want good spacious entertaining areas, they still want quality design, but they also want flexibility and the ability to enjoy life a bit more after working hard for a long time.”

The project sits near Boronia Park and within close proximity to the Parramatta River foreshore, an area Maroun says offers more of a Hunters Hill lifestyle than a traditional apartment precinct.

“From a lifestyle perspective, it’s really more Hunters Hill than Gladesville,” Maroun said. “You’re close to the foreshore, close to parklands, and still connected back into the village precinct.”

From level four and above, apartments will capture water views&nbsp;toward Sydney Harbour. Communal amenity will include rooftop entertaining areas, wellness spaces, and a gym tailored toward owner-occupier buyers.

“We’ve really designed these apartments around that buyer coming from the Hunters Hill LGA and what they’re actually looking for in their next chapter.”

The proposed development has also been designed to respond to the changing character of the broader Gladesville town centre, where a growing number of mixed-use and residential proposals are expected to emerge over the coming years.

“Gladesville presented a rare opportunity to deliver a genuinely design-led residential project within an evolving lifestyle precinct, just moments from the growing Gladesville town centre, and we’ve approached the project with a strong focus on architecture, liveability and long-term community value,” Maroun said.

Maroun said Lanevick saw a first-mover advantage within the precinct as planning controls continue to evolve to accommodate greater housing density.

“We think there’s a real opportunity there that hasn’t really been serviced properly yet,” he said.

“There’s going to be a broader evolution of the whole Gladesville village precinct over time, particularly with more activation and mixed-use outcomes.”

The Venus Street proposal will include a commercial and retail component at ground level designed to contribute to that evolving streetscape activation.

“A big part of the thinking was how do you activate that area properly and create more vibrancy and amenity, which is what Hunters Hill has been looking for,” Maroun said.

Lanevick’s focus since 2020 has largely been on smaller-scale luxury townhouse and terrace developments. The developer recently completed Royale Randwick, also designed by Studio Johnston, where prices reached $3.65 million. The project was featured in the UDIA NSW 2026 Professional Development Prospectus and was also named a finalist for Development of the Year.

&nbsp;

Lanevick to cater for Hunters Hill downsizers with new Gladesville apartment development

Data

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The Westpac Melbourne Institute House Price Expectations Index has recorded fragmented confidence around housing, according to Westpac chief economist Bill Evans.
The “whether now is good time to buy a dwelling” index increased by 2.3%, despite remaining 12.4% below its level one year ago and 18.5% below its level two years ago.
“The change in the index over the last year has varied markedly across states. In NSW the index has been steady whereas it has fallen by 27% in Victoria and 17% in Queensland,” said Evans.
Meanwhile, the House Price Expectations Index fell by 11.2% in October, now 12.8% below its level of a year ago.
“We are seeing some caution emerge around the outlook for house prices,” said Evans.
The proportion of those expecting house prices to rise took a sharp drop from 66% to 53.8%.
Overall, the Westpac Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment increased by 0.9% to October, at 94.8.
“This is the eighth consecutive month that the index has printed below 100, indicating that pessimists have outnumbered optimists for eight consecutive months. That had followed sixteen months where the index had registered above 100 on all but one occasion,” said Evans.
“The current reading for the index is 1.2% below the average for those eight months indicating that while the index seems to be “stuck” in a pessimistic range there is no sign, at this stage, of ongoing deterioration.”
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jduke-EHk3XBmHkn

Fewer expecting house prices to rise, but more keen to buy: Westpac Melbourne Institute

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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released its Lending Finance data this week, and it was a pretty weak reading after a couple of apparently very strong months for commercial lending.
Total new lending fell by 10.3% in August from the previous month with a sharp 16% drop in commercial lending the driver of the result.
Owner occupier housing loans fell by 2% in the month of August on a seasonally adjusted basis, with most states seeing activity fall in the month (although notably not Queensland).
Note that the ABS classifies property investor loans separately from owner occupier loans and thus these come under the commercial lending header in the chart below.
<img src="/images/2014/10/15/1.jpg" alt="">
Year on year total new lending remains 11% higher, which is promising, and the rolling 12 monthly figures about do show that the overall trend has been a good 'un.
However, there is no getting away from the fact that August was a fairly rubbish result for commercial and business lending and quickly quells the enthusiasm of the markets from last month which saw some excitable claims that interest rates will be heading up imminently.
In short: No, they won't be.
Property investor loans
As for those property investor loans, in aggregate, property investor loans were pretty much flat in August on a seasonally adjusted basis.
On a trend basis, investor loans were down in all states, as one might expect. On a rolling 12 monthly basis, however, property investor loans across all of the main states continued to rise, with New South Wales and Victoria marching on to new heights.
New South Wales (read: Sydney) loans are a whopping 42.5% higher year-on-year on a rolling annual basis.
<img src="/images/2014/10/15/2.jpg" alt="">
Just looking at the straight raw monthly property investor loan data, New South Wales and Victoria are the clear standouts with 30% and 28% increases respectively.
Elsewhere activity has been softer, although evidently property investors are becoming more active in Queensland. Property investor activity has been solid in Western Australia and flat in South Australia.
<img src="/images/2014/10/15/3.jpg" alt="">
Macro-pru
Overall, it's not yet quite clear what this means for so-termed macro-prudential regulation to cool the investor market.
Clearly with property investor loans up very strongly over the past year, macro-prudential measures from the regulator (APRA) are very much in play in order to keep the proportion of lending to investors under some kind of check.
The August data taken by itself was far from alarming so there may be no knee-jerk announcements or reactions while the Reserve Bank and APRA await another month or two of data.
It's impossible to second guess these volatile data sets or indeed the actions of the regulator, although one generally gets the sense that dramatic macro-prudential measures are not really a preferred option.
Wayne Byres of APRA made the point the other day that although "people love the term" there is "nothing really new" about macro-prudential measures, which sort of implied moderation (to me at least).
I do just note in passing that AFG's more timely data for September showed record transactional activity for New South Wales as well as 49.7% investor loans.
<img src="/images/2014/10/15/4.jpg" alt="">
The Sydney property market marches on to new heights, and unlike in the previous boom cycle of a decade ago higher interest rates are not anywhere to be seen on the horizon in order to slow the market down (and vacancy rates remain much lower today too) - this cyclical boom will have to die of all age and of its own accord or be slowed by regulation.
 
 
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Sydney's property market reaches new heights

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First home buyer data continues to be understated.
A point which has been much discussed over the past year: the non-sensical figures being reported as "fact" for levels of first home buyer activity.
Even until relatively recently the Reserve Bank (RBA) was producing stats for first homebuyers which suggested that numbers were abnormally low after a spike caused by home buyer grants.
<img src="/images/2014/10/13/graph1.png" alt="">
Some time ago, however, the Reserve gave up on reporting those figures since it was quite clear to impartial observers that with the withdrawal of first home buyer grants, a significant proportion of first time buyers were not being recorded as such.
For example in this month's Chart Pack, the RBA only reports the following, which is a strong and rising market. With no credible first home buyer data available, it is no longer reported:
<img src="/images/2014/10/13/graph2.gif" alt="">
What gives?
Unfortunately, despite this all being well known about for yonks, this has not stopped commentators from continuing to post the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) figures uncritically, as though to imply that all first home buyers have been frozen out of the housing market by greedy investors.
While there has no doubt been a fair element of this happening, and particularly so at the margin and in inner city locations in Sydney and Melbourne, it never really made sense to suggest that first home buyers were casually sitting out of a rising market with disinterest. History suggests that is unlikely.
Had banks been requiring 20% deposits, thenyes, clearly this would have happened. But, unlike in the UK, lenders have generally not been requiring large deposits at all and high Loan to Value Ratio (LVR) loans have remained widely available (and in any case, outside Sydney, property price growth just hasn't been that strong over recent years), and thus unsurprisingly, first home buyers are still buying.
Look at the reported data for Western Australia, for example! A huge segment of the market has been first timers, between a quarter and a fifth of all buyers.
Listening to the data critically and understanding its message - generally, there have robust property markets, particularly in cities like Sydney - would surely lead you to the right conclusion.
Another point, which I touched on here back in March, is that a significant number of first time buyers in Sydney, have been buying investment properties as their first step on the ladder, thereby never being recorded as first-timers at all. Indeed, I have known from my own client base that it's a cast iron fact that the number of first homebuyers is understated... the real question is only "by how much?"
The problem is that we now have no true way of knowing the quantum of the issue, if indeed there is much of an issue on a national basis. Of course, there are always anecdotes about first homebuyers being outbid by "the Chinese" (i.e. anyone of Asian appearance), and investors do compete with first home buyers for properties (it's a market - that's life) but anecdotes also frequently lead to poor conclusions.
This article continues on the next page. Please click below.
 
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
 
ABS confirms under-reporting
Not at all surprisingly, here is what the ABS reported in its Housing Finance release on Friday:
"A preliminary investigation has been conducted to evaluate the robustness of estimates of loans to first home buyers. In collecting this information, lenders are asked to report all loans to first home buyers. Concerns have been raised that under-reporting could occur if some lenders were only able to accurately report on those buyers receiving a first home buyer grant.
"Most data on first home buyers are collected by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA). The investigation indicates that some lenders experience difficulty reporting on loans where the buyer is not receiving a first home buyers grant. Estimates of loans to first home buyers are therefore under review and users are advised to exercise caution in referencing this data.
"The ABS is working with APRA to explore options to make it easier for lenders to report correctly in future. In the meantime, the ABS is further investigating the potential for under reporting first home buyer data and the feasibility, if necessary, of estimating the extent of under reporting and adjusting the first home buyers estimates accordingly. The outcomes from the investigation will be published on the ABS website."
No shocks there.
From Shane Oliver, Chief Economist and Head of Financial Strategy at AMP:
<img src="/images/2014/10/13/AMP.jpg" alt="">
Indeed. As a sometime "first-time investor" (and thus, never being recorded as a "first time buyer") himself many years ago, to his credit Shane was always well aware of this issue.
Hot sectors of the market
Over the past year we have bought a lot of properties for clients in Wollstonecraft, Waverton and other Sydney lower north shore suburbs such as Neutral Bay.
The Sydney north shore market has been absolutely flying in 2014, with some properties recording huge gains.
A run-down wreck at 47a King Street, Wollstonecraft sold yesterday for an astonishing $2,230,000, a monster $830,000 over the reserve price. Meanwhile, 2 bedroom unit 14/4 Gillies Street in Wollstonecraft sold for $780,000, implying an uplift in the market of well over 10 percent in a matter of fewer than 6 months. John Howard will be pleased.
People have tried to torture the Sydney data a little lately to show that the market has been relatively soft (generally, it hasn't), but if you look at what has happened to individual properties, particularly in suburbs such as these, price action has been very hot.
Indeed, gains over the past year have been exceptional on the north shore in suburbs such as Milsons Point, Crows Nest and even Hunters Hill and a number if others, as well as in our old favourite inner west suburb, Erskineville, which notched a yet further 25% of capital growth in the past year. Huge returns.
<img src="/images/2014/10/13/graph4.jpg" alt="">
 
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First home buyer figures are still understated

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Across Queensland, a total of 56 suburbs record a rental yield higher than 6%. Of these, 22 record a rental yield above 6.5%, according to RP Data’s latest statistics.
Here are those top yielding suburbs, and their median prices, in alphabetical order.
<a href="/news">Aldershot</a>
6.5%
$189,000
<a href="/news">Clermont</a>
7.4%
$248,000
<a href="/news">Depot Hill</a>
7.1%
$160,000
<a href="/news">Gayndah</a>
7.5%
$224,000
<a href="/news">Granville</a>
6.6%
$207,000
<a href="/news">Healy</a>
7.5%
$420,000
<a href="/news">Helidon</a>
6.9%
$231,000
<a href="/news">Home Hill</a>
6.6%
$170,000
<a href="/news">Kingston</a>
6.8%
$253,000
<a href="/news">Logan Central</a>
6.7%
$257,000
<a href="/news">Manoora</a>
6.5%
$259,000
See over page for Maryborough to Woodridge.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
<a href="/news">Maryborough</a>
6.6%
$200,000
<a href="/news">Mount Morgan</a>
7.8%
$131,000
<a href="/news">Pioneer</a>
7.0%
$368,000
<a href="/news">Queenton</a>
6.7%
$178,000
<a href="/news">Richmond Hill</a>
6.5%
$205,000
<a href="/news">Rockhampton City</a>
7.1%
$205,000
<a href="/news">Slacks Creek</a>
6.5%
$280,000
<a href="/news">Soldiers Hill</a>
6.8%
$350,000
<a href="/news">Sunset</a>
7.2%
$350,000
<a href="/news">Townview</a>
6.8%
$378,000
<a href="/news">Winston</a>
6.9%
$370,000
<a href="/news">Woodridge</a>
6.6%
$245,000
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Queensland’s 22 highest yielding suburbs: 6.5% plus

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Guest observation
We have a lot of property related data in Australia.
Information is released regularly by the Australia Bureau of Statistics (ABS), the Reserve Bank (RBA), a wide spectrum of state and territory and industry organisations, and private corporations.
There are plenty of stories that could be told based on all that information. But are we being told the right stories?
There is a common belief that statistics can be manipulated to support any argument, even the most outrageous claims. However, data does not lie.
It is the people who tell stories they want to tell regardless of what the numbers are. And this is how statistics get bad reputations.
The deception or, more often than not, just the misinterpretation of information due to plain and simple ignorance about the facts is possible because the audience is mostly clueless about what the data really shows. So, we trust the presenter and his or her good judgement and intentions rather than the numbers provided in support of the argument.
It is an art to ask the right question to extract the correct information from a bunch of numbers. And it appears that our education system has failed miserably to teach us how to do it properly.
Consequently, we are at mercy of news headlines and commentary proclaiming one extreme or another – if it is not the imminent price crash, then it must be a bubble.
But which issues are really at play and which are just imaginary, media fuelled propaganda? That is the question.
To make my point clearer, I am sure you have come across hockey-stick-like charts of Sydney house prices (similar to the one provided below) and commentary implying: "... they have reached extreme levels... are not sustainable... something must be done about it immediately...".
 <img src="/images/2014/10/10/sydney_median_price.png" alt="">
Source: Based on ABS data
Well, in absence of other contextual information, the steep rising line can give the impression of rampant and uncontrolled growth.
The impact of this visualisation on an uninformed observer can be quite dramatic and makes it easy for the commentator to draw quite plausible sounding conclusions that "everything is out of control". But appearances can be deceiving. Have a closer look at the following charts.
<img src="/images/2014/10/10/relative_chane_in_median_prices.png" alt=""> 
Source: Based on ABS data
It is the same data that many commentators are using and comes from the same credible source – the Australian Bureau of Statistics. However, this chart puts the information in the right context – that is, the chart compares price growth in Sydney to other capital cities and over a very long time.
These charts are more useful for describing the current state of affairs than looking at the headline statistic of 14%+ Sydney median price growth and proclaiming it is "a rampant speculation beyond all reasons". That is to say, looking at a single number without considering the broader context is meaningless.
In this broader and relative context, you can clearly see that the recent high price growth has just allowed Sydney to catch up to Brisbane and that Sydney is still behind Melbourne and Perth.
More interestingly, over the last 28 years, Sydney prices have not increased significantly more, in relative terms, than the weighted average of eight capital cities.
That is, in June 2014, growth of Sydney house prices over the 28 year period was higher than the national average by only 6.1%. In comparison, Brisbane house price growth was higher by 6.4%, Melbourne growth was higher by 8.7% and Perth by 17.6%.
So, is the current Sydney property price growth a manifestation of mad and speculative exuberance that everybody seems to easily diagnose? Or is it more likely to be the result of a normal market reaction to a long term underperformance, which should have been expected?
To highlight another aspect of how dangerous it can be to take information on the face value, please consider the above chart in the context of advice given to investors to "forget Sydney" and that "Brisbane is the market everybody should focus on next for growth...".
Of course, it is hard to make forecasts and draw far reaching conclusions based on just one, simple chart. However, this chart points to the likely reason as to why Sydney prices had the opportunity to grow so dramatically and why Brisbane price growth is so sluggish in comparison. That is, Sydney underperformed other large capital cities for quite some time while Brisbane property appears to be fully priced at the moment.
I am the first to stress that the above chart is not perfect and that it is far from providing the full story. In particular, it has been constructed based on an assumption that property prices were reasonably balanced across all capital cities in June 1986.
As shown on the chart below, this is a reasonable assumption. That is, median house prices for capital cities were in a relatively tight range in mid 1980's.
 <img src="/images/2014/10/10/derived_median_house_prices.png" alt="">
Source: Based on ABS data
Things are visibly out of balance at present but let's leave the explanation of the reasons this has happened for another opportunity. The graphs provide enough to say for now that there is a clear divide between larger cities such as Perth, Melbourne, Brisbane and Sydney, and smaller cities like Canberra, Hobart and Adelaide, with Darwin the only exception.
If you are still in disbelief about Sydney property prices not being out of the ordinary and think that one chart doesn't prove anything, here is another perspective to consider – relative to average full time adult incomes, the cost of buying a median priced house in Sydney is still 21% less than in 1986.
<img src="/images/2014/10/10/long_term_purchase_affordability.png" alt="">
Purchase affordability in Sydney is declining and is lower than for Australia as a whole but there is still some room for prices and interest rates to move up before the affordability reaches uncomfortable levels (e.g. like it happened in 2008).
If Sydney property prices were indeed out of control, we would have seen the evidence no matter what statistic was used. This is clearly not the case.
In this article I highlighted only one issue – that is, incorrect interpretation of the growth of Sydney property prices. Just imagine how much more misinformation could be floating around in the media and on discussion forums, and how many prominent commentators may be totally clueless of what is really happening in the property market in Australia.
You cannot stop others from exaggerating facts and exploiting data for whatever purposes or agendas they may have, but you can control how you treat such information. I hope this example will make you think twice about what you read and trust from now on.
For a chance to learn more about what is happening with property prices in your area, post a comment below naming capital city you would like to be featured in a special report later this month.
Arek Drozda is an independent property market analyst.
 
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Lies, damned lies and housing statistics

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Over the September quarter, most of Australia’s capital cities recorded flat or falling rents for units and houses, according to the Domain Group Rental Price Series Quarterly Report.
The September quarter’s national median asking rent for units dropped 0.4%. However, this does bring it up 1.9% over the past 12 months.
A similar trend was seen for houses’ median asking rent, down 0.3% over the quarter and up 0.7% over the year.
Darwin’s house median asking rent over the quarter increased from $645 to $660 per week, bucking the trend.
Perth’s house rent dropped from $460 to $450 per week.
House rents across the other capitals were steady.
Meanwhile, units were more split, falling in Sydney, Perth and Canberra. Hobart, Melbourne, Adelaide and Darwin were all stable.
Brisbane saw a jump from $365 to $370.
Senior economist for Domain Group Andrew Wilson said that Brisbane’s unit rents and Darwin’s house rent were the only positive results.
“Unit rents weakened in Sydney over the September quarter, however, the median asking house rent remained steady at the June quarter’s record level of $510 per week despite record levels of investor activity in the local market. Although, we’ve seen a pause in rental growth over the September quarter, demand will continue to put upward pressure on rents in Sydney,” he said.
“In Sydney, yields are holding, asking rents are still strong and there is currently no signs of overshooting market fundamentals.”
Rental growth in Melbourne for houses and suburban units will also be impacted by demand drivers.
The other capitals are expected to move sideways as a best case scenario.
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Most capital cities’ rents falling or flat: Domain Group

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The Housing Industry Association’s (HIA) latest Portrait of Australian Home Prices notes the number of investors in the market is being overstated by the reliance on home loan data.
Pointing to the Reserve Bank’s Financial Stability Review comments regarding the housing and mortgage market compositions “becoming unbalanced”, the HIA notes that the home loan breakdown points to 52.9% of owner occupiers and 47.1% of investors in the year to July 2014.
However, they say that this may not be painting an accurate picture of the numbers of owner occupier purchases.
“It is important to stress that this breakdown does not account for home purchases made without recourse to lenders,” the report notes.
They also explain that some investors purchasing with cash, and home purchases by those trading down and using their funds are missed out by the home loan radar.
“Consequently, it can be argued that a reliance on home loan data overestimates the proportion of home purchases conducted by investors.”
{mijopolls 50}
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Home loan data overstating investors in the market: HIA

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The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released building approvals data for August 2014 earlier this month.
At a headline level, dwelling approvals were 3.0% higher over the month and are now 14.5% year on year. With 16,810 approvals over the month there is clearly a strong level of residential development activity with monthly approvals just -5.0% lower than their recent peak.
<img src="/images/2014/10/8/Chart-1.jpg" alt="">
Of the 16,810 dwelling approvals in recorded over the month of August, 9,401 were for houses and the remaining 7,409 were mulit-unit dwellings (typically apartments).
Over the month, house approvals fell by -1.4% while unit approvals rose by 9.2%. Year-on-year, house approvals are 12.6% higher while unit approvals are up 17.1%. 
As the chart above shows, the six month trend indicates a slowing of dwelling approval numbers and it also shows that monthly movements in unit approvals tend to be much more volatile. Also remember that a multi-unit development is more risky than developing a single house and ultimately less likely to ultimately be constructed.
<img src="/images/2014/10/8/Chart-2.jpg" alt="">
Focussing on dwelling approvals on an annual basis we have seen more house and unit approvals than ever before over the 12 months to August 2014. Over the 12 month period there were 197,571 dwelling approvals, of which 111,020 were for houses and 86,552 were units. The annual number of approvals has increased by 19.2% over the past year.
Although approvals have surged, as the chart shows it is largely due to a significant lift in unit approvals. Although the number of unit approvals over the past year was at a record high, house approvals are still -6.8% lower than their previous peak over the year to July 2010 and -21.2% lower than their all-time high of 140,832 over the year to April 1989.
Historically, units have been much less likely to move from approval to construction. Units also tend to be much more likely to be owned by investors than houses. 
With the Reserve Bank flagging that deliberations are ongoing into the introduction of macroprudential policies to slow the level of investor activity in the housing market, there is potentially an even bigger than normal risk that these units won't make it to completion.
<img src="/images/2014/10/8/Chart-3.jpg" alt="">
Across the combined capital cities, there was an all-time high of 147,122 dwellings approved for construction over the 12 months to August 2014. The number of capital city dwelling approvals has increased by 21.9% over the past year. 
Over the year there were, 71,662 approvals for houses and 75,460 unit approvals with house approvals up 20.6% and unit approvals 23.2% higher.
Much like the national results you can see that unit approvals are at their higher levels while house approvals are only just approaching their previous peak levels.
This article continues on the next page. Please click below.
<hr class="system-pagebreak">
 
 
<img src="/images/2014/10/8/Chart-4.jpg" alt="">
Across the individual capital cities, Brisbane has recorded the greatest increase in dwelling approvals over the year (41.8%) followed by: Perth (24.9%), Adelaide (24.0%) and Sydney (23.3%). Dwelling approvals are lower over the year in Darwin (-6.8%) and Canberra (-6.4%) while Melbourne (16.3%) and Hobart (19.4%) have recorded only moderate rises in dwelling approvals. 
Despite certain cities recording significant rises in dwelling approvals, Sydney and Melbourne have accounted for more than 57% of all capital city dwelling approvals over the past year. With 26,123 dwelling approvals over the past year, approvals in Perth are at a record high while Brisbane approvals are just shy of their record high.
<img src="/images/2014/10/8/Chart-5.jpg" alt="">
A key driver of the overall increase in dwelling approvals has been the rising prominence of the unit market. Over the past year, the increase in unit approvals has been greater than the increase in house approvals in Sydney, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth.  Although unit approvals have recorded greater increases in these cities, there has been a substantial decline in unit approvals across Hobart and falls in both Darwin and Canberra.
<img src="/images/2014/10/8/Chart-6.jpg" alt="">
With more than half of all capital city dwelling approvals for units as opposed to houses, all individual capital cities except for Adelaide (31.8%), Perth (25.9%) and Hobart (7.0%) are seeing a majority of approvals for units. In Sydney, 67.7% of dwelling approvals were for units over the past year, elsewhere 53.0% were for units in Melbourne, 55.9% in Brisbane, 63.2% in Darwin and 57.9% in Canberra.
Sydney has consistently approved more units than houses since 1993 and Darwin has consistently approved more units than houses since 2003, while across the other cities it is a relatively new phenomenon.  
Melbourne has only been approving more units than houses since mid-2012, in Brisbane it has occurred since mid-2013 and in Canberra since mid-2010. Of course, there is an increasing level of demand for units, but particularly in Melbourne and Brisbane the number of units in the pipeline is largely untested in the market. 
Furthermore, units tend to be more appealing to the investor market rather than owner occupiers. While demand may currently be strong it remains to be seen whether there is enough investor demand to satisfy all of the supply in the pipeline.
Dwelling approvals remain at a very high level and with the rate of population growth slowing it is encouraging to see that supply is finally responding.  With their lower price point compared to houses and superior rental returns no doubt we are seeing a rising level of demand for units, particularly in inner city markets. 
Of course, the Reserve Bank of Australia has raised concerns about the level of investment lending which is most prominent for inner city units.
If controls are introduced to slow the level of investment there may be an adverse impact on demand and subsequently values of inner city units, particularly new inner city units which are a strong target from the investment segment of the market.
 
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Units are driving dwelling approvals, but will they get built?

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The Housing Industry Association’s New Home Sales Report recorded a lift in sales over August after weakness in July, which they say makes the decline of new home sales modest.
Housing Industry Association (HIA) economist Diwa Hopkins said that despite a downward trend in total seasonally adjusted new home sales, the 3.3% August increase has ensured that the decline is modest.
“Despite the August bounce, we still hold the view that new home sales reached their peak for the cycle back in April this year,” said Hopkins.
“The result for August was driven primarily by a strong lift in the volatile 'multi-units' sector where sales increased by 19.8%, taking this component of sales to its second highest level this cycle.”
Detached housing, however, increased by 0.5% after a decline over the previous months.
“As leading indicators of new home construction activity, both HIA New Home Sales and ABS Building Approvals are displaying a moderate downward trend,” she said.
“Current levels remain elevated by a historical standard, which is consistent with still healthy levels of new home building throughout 2014/15.”
Detached house sales increased by 11.1% in New South Wales over August, while jumping by 2% in Western Australia. Meanwhile, drops were seen in South Australia, Victoria and Queensland with 6.8%, 6.0% and 0.7% falls respectively.
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Decline of new home sales is modest: HIA

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A new report from Aussie and RP Data, the Property Discounting Report, was shared out on Twitter allowing buyers to see where the areas are that they can expect to pay less than the advertised price.
<img src="/images/2014/10/6/Picture%201.png" alt="">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/https://twitter.com/Aussie/status/517524379840696321" target="_blank">According to the report</a>, just 3.8% of houses sold at the advertised price by private treaty, with 4.7% of units attaining their asking price. However, the majority of houses and units nationally are actually selling less, at 63.4% and 58.1% respectively.
In the capitals this is less of the case, with 43.6% of houses and 46% of units selling above their list price.
So, where have they found selling below list price? You can<a href="https://blog.aussie.com.au/where-in-australia-you-can-expect-to-pay-more-or-less-than-the-advertised-property-price/" target="_blank"> see the full report here</a>, however the top 10 house suburbs include:
<ol>
<li>Emu Park, Qld 
</li>
<li>Port Pirie West, SA 
</li>
<li>Whyalla Playford, SA 
</li>
<li>Granville, Qld 
</li>
<li>Scotts Head, NSW 
</li>
<li>Maruya Heads, NSW 
</li>
<li>Harden, NSW 
</li>
<li>Wooli, NSW 
</li>
<li>Diamond Beach, NSW 
</li>
<li>Derby, WA</li>
</ol>
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