<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> has lodged plans for a $750 million, three-tower mixed-use precinct that would complete the long-running redevelopment of Carlton's former Carlton United Breweries site.

The proposal at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/185-195-queensberry-street-carlton-vic-3053">46-78 Bouverie Street and 185-195 Queensberry Street</a> spans a 6,468 sqm site, the last remaining undeveloped parcels within the former brewery's 2007 masterplan.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the development will comprise two purpose-built student accommodation towers and a third build-to-sell apartment tower above a shared commercial podium and basement.

Across the three towers, SP Setia is proposing 606 build-to-sell apartments and 1,499 student accommodation units containing 2,009 beds.

The apartments will sit in the tallest tower, which will rise nearly 200m and 55 storeys. It will become&nbsp;one of the more substantial new build-to-sell apartment projects at the northern edge of Melbourne's CBD.

The apartment mix is weighted toward smaller inner-city product, with 188 studios, 206 one-bedroom apartments, 192 two-bedroom apartments and 20 three-bedroom apartments

<img alt="First look: SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8271bc87-1b0a-41b7-ac73-a425ee375261" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/3_2.png?VersionId=G4lw23o90B1boX4k4dj7rdz2ZEajS9wy" />

Part of the precinct will be a large-scale&nbsp;3,684 sqm supermarket and a further 2,198 sqm of speciality retail, creating close to 5,900 sqm of new commercial space within the precinct.

But one of the biggest components of the proposal is what sits between the buildings.

Around 4,650 sqm, or roughly 72 per cent of the site, will be publicly accessible open space, incorporating plazas, pedestrian connections, landscaped laneways and retail spill-out areas.

The ground plane is intended to finally complete pedestrian connections envisaged when the CUB masterplan was first approved nearly two decades ago, stitching together Victoria Street, Queensberry Street, Bouverie Street and Swanston Street through the former brewery precinct.

Urbis said the development would "complete the CUB precinct", with the public realm providing important north-south and east-west connections through what is currently the final undeveloped portion of the masterplanned site.

SP Setia is also exploring a new linear park within the Bouverie Street road reserve, with the concept to be developed further with the City of Melbourne through the planning process.

The proposal is being pursued through the Victorian Government's Development Facilitation Program under Clause 53.23 for significant residential development with affordable housing.

The planning report acknowledges the proposed heights exceed those contemplated under the original Comprehensive Development Plan and masterplan, but argues the built-form context has changed considerably over the past two decades.

Urbis said the three towers would instead create a stepped transition between Carlton and the Hoddle Grid, rising progressively from the 94.1-metre Tower One along the Queensberry Street edge to the 199.44-metre Tower Three closer to the established CBD-scale buildings to the south.

<img alt="SP Setia" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e885a07a-592c-40fc-bf82-e6dbaf32da54" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.52.24%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=7s_ErUkSKAdY1mAWp3GRZgMNCGtwhk5m" />

SP Setia plans to deliver the development across three stages.

Stage One would deliver the basement, podium and retail areas for the entire precinct alongside the first student tower. Tower Two would follow in Stage Two, before the 606-apartment Tower Three is delivered as the final stage.

If approved and delivered, the project would close out a redevelopment process that has been underway since the former brewery masterplan was approved in 2007, adding more than 2,600 student beds and apartments to a precinct already home to Swanston Central, the Barak Building, RMIT Design Hub and several large student accommodation developments.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

Joel Robinson

SP Setia plans three-tower finale for Carlton’s former CUB precinct

Melbourne developer Lowe Living is seeking to add to its growing bayside apartment pipeline, filing plans for a boutique eight-residence development in tightly held Middle Park.

Lowe Living, which has built much of its development portfolio across Melbourne's affluent bayside and south-east suburbs, is behind the plans for the 730 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/123-125-erskine-street-middle-park-vic-3206">123-125 Erskine Street</a>, just off Armstrong Street and within the Armstrong Street Neighbourhood Activity Centre.

The developer is seeking approval for a five-storey residential building above two basement levels, with just eight large-format apartments and 18 car spaces.

“This is a deliberately very different proposition for us,"&nbsp;Tim Lowe, Co-Founder of Lowe Living, said.

"Eight residences is exceptionally boutique, but that's precisely what this site calls for.

“There is a strong community in Middle Park and the surrounding suburbs who have spent decades building a life here. They no longer want the maintenance of a large period home, but they aren't prepared to compromise on space, quality or location. We think there is a real opportunity to capture that hyper local market. A site like this rarely comes to market.”

<img alt="Lowe " data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="875fe572-0f14-4d90-9e11-55b28dd07731" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.42.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=GDNQRv9BfpR9r1zkZ5UDyUM4ZvpIksut" />

The low-density proposal has been designed by Cera Stribley and is being progressed through the Victorian Government's Great Design Fast Track pathway, having already secured eligibility from the Minister for Planning.

The Office of the Victorian Government Architect supported its eligibility after finding the proposal demonstrated consistency with the program's seven design principles, while the project's financial feasibility has also been independently confirmed by Invest Victoria.

The project is targeting the downsizer market, with the planning documents describing the homes as larger-format residences and noting the two penthouses could otherwise have been configured as four separate apartments.

<img alt="Lowe 2" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="60ab0987-2da6-4175-adac-315dcf6053c6" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.15%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=bOCPH0B2MFwlmaRW.TTCF9TzyifgVoQI" />

The site has dual frontage to Erskine Street and Canterbury Place and currently comprises a collection of commercial buildings used as offices, including a former heritage bakehouse, a former stable, a later gabled addition and a central courtyard.

It sits within the Commercial 1 Zone and the Armstrong Street Commercial Precinct heritage overlay, with the existing property classified as a contributory heritage place.

Heritage has subsequently played a significant role in Cera Stribley's design.

The front section of the former bakehouse facing Erskine Street will be retained, including its return walls, street-facing hipped roof and chimneys, while the Erskine Street façade and part of the western return wall of the former stable will also be incorporated into the new development.

Levels four and five will be set back five metres from the retained stable façade, while bricks removed through demolition are proposed to be salvaged and reused within the new building where possible.

<img alt="Lowe 3" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e97927a9-a2de-4a0f-83b6-65451238abfa" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-21%20at%208.43.06%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=VR44AChLrX9q1XPB9GvVQV.ALXXbe4gC" />

Rather than presenting as a single five-storey building to Erskine Street, Cera Stribley has broken the development into a series of distinct forms.

A three-storey infill element will sit between the retained bakehouse and stable façades, with the upper levels recessed behind the heritage fabric. Canterbury Place will similarly feature two three-storey podium forms, separated by a central pedestrian accessway, before the upper two levels step back from the street.

A pedestrian through-link will run through the centre of the project between Erskine Street and Canterbury Place, creating entrances from both sides of the site and introducing landscaping and communal areas through the ground plane.

Landscape architect Acre has designed planting across the ground level, private terraces and upper levels, including a feature canopy tree at level three and integrated planting and arbours across the level four terraces. Five existing Erskine Street trees are proposed to be retained.

Sustainability is also a significant component of the Great Design Fast Track application. The apartments are targeting an average eight-star NatHERS rating, with no residence below 6.5 stars, while the project has achieved a 75 per cent BESS score. Seven of the eight apartments are designed for cross-ventilation, with the remaining residence using mechanically assisted natural ventilation.

The plans also incorporate an 8kWp rooftop solar system, a 5,000-litre rainwater tank and infrastructure allowing future electric vehicle charging for every residence.

Lowe has a strong portfolio across Melbourne's blue-chip suburbs. They recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/jardin-house-by-lowe-living-camberwell-335-camberwell-road-camberwell-vic-3124">Jardin House by Lowe Living</a> in Camberwell, their first development in the Stonnington LGA.

Lowe Living unveils Middle Park apartment development

Article summary

<ul data-end="888" data-start="289">
	<li data-end="442" data-section-id="8tsh6o" data-start="289">DVB Projects is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway at 137 Old Burleigh Road, Broadbeach.</li>
	<li data-end="573" data-section-id="1nyxl3e" data-start="443">The 34-level tower will comprise just 49 ultra-luxury residences, including half-floor, full-floor and penthouse apartments.</li>
	<li data-end="717" data-section-id="oiyimj" data-start="574">The launch follows strong demand at DVB's nearby Sea Glass project, which is more than 50 per cent sold and currently under construction.</li>
	<li data-end="888" data-section-id="epk9o9" data-start="718">The development adds to the transformation of Old Burleigh Road, with premium beachfront apartment projects continuing to reshape the tightly held Broadbeach strip.</li>
</ul>

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/dvb-projects">DVB Projects</a> is preparing to launch its second Gold Coast apartment development, with demolition now underway on the Broadbeach site as the Sydney developer moves closer to bringing the ultra-luxury project to market.

The 34-level tower at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/137-old-burleigh-road-broadbeach-qld-4218">137 Old Burleigh Road</a> will comprise just 49 residences, ranging from half-floor apartments through to full-floor homes and a penthouse. The launch follows the strong sales performance of DVB's nearby Sea Glass development. More than half of the apartments at Sea Glass, on the other side of Broadbeach, have been snapped up, well ahead of its late 2027 completion

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2944b4be-c84e-4b54-8dc1-c712e76704c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E02_Exterior_Street%20Level%20Entrance.jpg?VersionId=YoNig7pRdrE3HCue7sUj78LzJteeQf3H" />

The start of demolition at 137 Old Burleigh Road signals DVB Projects’ underlying confidence in the Gold Coast’s luxury beachside apartment sector.

“We see the Gold Coast as one of the most compelling lifestyle markets in Australia, particularly at the premium end where demand continues to deepen,” said Dean Brown, Managing Director of DVB.&nbsp;

“This project has been carefully designed to respond to that demand - delivering large-format residences with a level of quality, privacy and amenity that is still relatively rare in the apartment market on the beachside."

Brown says the site itself is "exceptional."

"Old Burleigh Road is one of the most tightly held beachfront strips, and opportunities to deliver a project of this scale and calibre in this location are extremely limited.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="398f377a-c037-455e-9250-0c5e0d84c35b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/I12_FF%20Balcony.jpg?VersionId=NwOiRWGMubR1c8wthuEfggklcja7al9." />

The project will comprise 40 half-floor residences of approximately 260 sqm, alongside eight full-floor residences spanning around 524 sqm.

A single penthouse will crown the building, featuring a private pool, barbecue area, indoor gym and dedicated entertaining spaces.

Residents will have access to a resort-style suite of amenities, including a 20-metre pool with daybeds, a gymnasium, hot and cold plunge pools, a sauna, and private residents’ lounge and dining facilities.

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d1642bb0-9a66-4427-a022-dfc0988c6287" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/A02_Pool%20to%20View.jpg?VersionId=c0IXPyn_Gp_Kn3XCwzMrqIVkAdCEwVXP" />

Sales agent Todd Matheson, of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/pezet-matheson">Pezet Matheson</a>, which is marketing both 137 Old Burleigh Road and Sea Glass, said 137 Old Burleigh Road would address a clear gap in the market for genuine luxury products.

“There are very few opportunities on the Gold Coast where buyers can secure a residence of this size and quality in a new building,” Matheson said.

“What we’re seeing is a growing cohort of downsizers and interstate buyers who still want space - they’re not willing to compromise on living area, entertaining or finishes.

“This project has been designed with that buyer in mind. It offers the scale of a home, combined with the convenience and security of apartment living, in one of the coast’s most desirable positions.”

<img alt="DVB Projects to commence demolition on $320m Broadbeach luxury tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="59aae0ca-5639-4320-8aca-d0bf60f48e43" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/E01_Exterior%20Hero.jpg?VersionId=DS8Zfy2WtgUEtdfe0TEUuf1W1GfcZq8S" />

Located on a 1,156 sqm site one block from the beachfront, the development will replace an ageing walk-up building and is expected to contribute to the ongoing transformation of the Old Burleigh Road strip into one of the Gold Coast’s most prestigious residential corridors.

With the development moving into the delivery phase, 137 Old Burleigh Road is slated to hit the market later this year.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=145141]

DVB Projects to launch second Broadbeach apartment tower as demolition commences

<a data-end="327" data-is-only-node="" data-start="250" href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/norus-projects" rel="noopener" target="_new">Norus Developments</a> has lodged plans for a new apartment development in Clayton that would add further momentum to the suburb's emerging Green Street corridor.

Plans have been lodged for the consolidated site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/1359-1365-centre-road-clayton-vic-3168">1359-1365 Centre Road</a>, where Norus is seeking approval for 218 apartments across a 12-storey apartment building designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/life-architecture-and-urban-design">Life Architecture</a>.

The proposal sits within the Clayton Major Activity Centre at the threshold of the planned Green Street corridor, a landscaped pedestrian connection intended to improve links through the precinct towards Clayton Railway Station.

The development would replace the site's existing collection of low-scale residential and commercial buildings with a single consolidated building, introducing significantly greater housing density to this part of Centre Road.

A retail tenancy is proposed at ground level to activate the Centre Road frontage, accompanied by transparent street interfaces and landscaping intended to create a more pedestrian-focused edge to the development.

<img alt="First look: Norus Developments plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="0a5a763a-d9e9-4253-af2f-88008de27ebf" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Clayton%20a.png?VersionId=S2WJJbat1XVkZwB9SnYtygirXgWHiklX" />

The building has been designed with stepped massing and upper-level setbacks to manage its transition towards surrounding residential properties. The planning report describes the approach as one that integrates the building into the landscape rather than treating landscaping as a secondary element.

"A strong landscape and public realm strategy underpins the proposal," Urbis states in the planning report.

"Public benefits include an affordable housing contribution, a new pocket park, generous landscaped setbacks, deep soil planting and integrated Water Sensitive Urban Design."

The report adds that these elements are intended to create "a permeable, pedestrian-focused ground plane that enhances walkability, supports urban cooling and reinforces the emerging Green Street character."

Biophilic and passive design principles extend through the residential levels, with planting, daylight, natural ventilation and views towards landscaped areas forming part of the amenity strategy.

Parking would be concentrated away from the public realm, with 145 car spaces proposed from the rear laneway rather than dominating the Centre Road frontage.

The proposal follows an extensive pre-application process with the City of Monash. Three formal meetings were held between the project team and Council from December 2025 to March 2026, with the scheme evolving through several concept iterations before the current design was lodged.

The project arrives as Clayton prepares for substantial change around its established activity centre and the wider Suburban Rail Loop precinct. Its position on Centre Road places the development within an existing concentration of shops, services and public transport, while the Green Street connection is intended to strengthen pedestrian access towards Clayton Railway Station.

First look: Norus plans landscape-led apartment project for Clayton’s emerging Green Street

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gardner-vaughan-group">Gardner Vaughan Group</a> has officially commenced construction on Bronze on Chevron, celebrating the sod turning of its first-ever Gold Coast development and marking a significant milestone in the company's continued expansion across South East Queensland.&nbsp;

Following the successful delivery of premium residential developments throughout Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bronze-on-chevron-8-mawarra-street-chevron-island-qld-4217">Bronze on Chevron</a> represents Gardner Vaughan Group's entry into the Gold Coast market. Bronze will deliver 119 one, two, three and four-bedroom apartments above two ground-level retail tenancies.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107520 project_image_fid=367193]

The recent sod turning ceremony was attended by Deputy Mayor Mark Hammel, President of the Surfers Paradise Surf Life Saving Club, Cassandra Sedgman, project consultants, purchasers, project partners and invited guests to celebrate the commencement of construction.&nbsp;

Gardner Vaughan Group Chief Executive Officer Simon Betteridge said Bronze on Chevron represented an exciting new chapter for the business.&nbsp;

"We've spent almost four decades building homes that respond to the way people want to live, and we're excited to bring that experience to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/chevron-island-qld-4217">Chevron Island</a>," Betteridge said.

"Bronze on Chevron is particularly significant because it marks Gardner Vaughan Group's first development on the Gold Coast following many successful projects across Brisbane and the Sunshine Coast."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=107520 project_image_fid=367183]

Betteridge said the ground breaking is a proud moment for the&nbsp;team and their purchasers, who can now see their future homes beginning to take shape.&nbsp;

"As both developer and builder, we're able to oversee every aspect of the project from design through to construction, ensuring the quality and attention to detail Gardner Vaughan Group has become renowned for."&nbsp;

Designed by acclaimed architectural practice <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cottee-parker-architects">Cottee Parker</a>, Bronze on Chevron has been thoughtfully designed to complement Chevron Island's evolving streetscape while embracing its relaxed coastal lifestyle.

The development will offer generous residences with refined interiors, premium finishes and resort-style amenities, with completion anticipated in early 2029.&nbsp;

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=107520]

The development will offer generous residences with refined interiors, premium finishes and resort-style amenities, with completion anticipated in early 2029

Gardner Vaughan Group breaks ground on first Gold Coast development, Bronze on Chevron

COVID-19

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EXPERT OBSERVER
It has been three weeks since the government shutdown non-essential services, placed a temporary ban on auctions and open inspections, and essentially halted the economy in response to COVID-19. From a values perspective, the CoreLogic hedonic index has been showing a loss of momentum in housing value growth rates since mid-March.  Data through to mid-April has seen a continuation in this trend, with the combined capital city measure slipping into negative territory week-on-week for the first time since early August last year.
To enlarge, <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Image_1.jpg" target="_blank">click here</a>.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Image_1.jpg" alt="Image_1.jpg" width="595" height="308" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e4a74647-0061-426d-9b8e-084595a05c95" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Image_1.jpg">
 Additionally, CoreLogic tracks other high frequency metrics that provide insights about how housing market activity is responding to COVID-19. 
Agent activity and listings have fallen 
The first of these metrics is CMA generations. A CMA is a ‘comparative market analysis’ report, that is generated by real estate agents using the RP Professional platform to get information on an individual property.  The report is used by a majority of real estate agents in Australia to research recent comparable sales and market trends, often in order to prepare a property for sale and set an expectation around pricing. Therefore, the generation of a CMA report can be a leading indicator of new ‘for sale’ listings volumes.  This is reaffirmed by the graph below, which shows the rolling 7-day change in CMA generations and listings.
To enlarge, <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Image_2.jpg" target="_blank">click here</a>.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Image_2.jpg" alt="Image_2.jpg" width="521" height="295" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="c9e08bee-6ad8-4f3b-95e3-33f83f197226" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Image_2.jpg">
The correlation coefficient between the number of reports generated and the number of new listings is 0.8, but increases to 0.9 when the CMA volume series is set forward by two weeks. In other words, the change in the number of CMAs generated is a leading indicator for listings volumes.  For the week ending the 5th of April, the decline in the volume of CMA reports generated was -19.9%, while the weekly change in new listings volumes recently bottomed out at -26.3%.  This downward trend re-occurred in the week ending the 12th of April, but this is expected around the Easter long weekend. Before the holiday period, the number of CMAs, and indeed new listings volumes, seemed to be stabilising.  In the 28 days to Easter Sunday 2020, the number of new residential listings advertised for sale across Australia was 24,051. This is by far the lowest level of listings for this time of the year in years, and is 27.3% below the equivalent period last year. 
To enlarge, <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Image_3.jpg" target="_blank">click here</a>.
<img class="align-center" src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Image_3.jpg" alt="Image_3.jpg" width="551" height="283" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="8e243b11-e232-4cde-8744-98b2035ac567" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="wide" data-zoom-image-style="_as_uploaded" data-mfp-src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/inline-images/Image_3.jpg">
This is particularly significant given that this time last year was close to the trough of the previous downturn, and represents listings volumes in a weak market.  The weak new listings figures reflect a dive in consumer confidence at the onset of COVID-19. Over March, the Westpac-MI Consumer Sentiment index plunged 17.7%, which is the single biggest monthly decline in the history of the index. High levels of uncertainty and rising unemployment has led to postponed activity in the property market.
<h4>Valuations have slumped, but in some cases this is a good sign </h4>
Another early market indicator being tracked are the change in valuations ordered across CoreLogic platforms. CoreLogic platforms account for the vast majority of valuations ordered on property, including for the purposes of refinancing, purchases, construction and mortgagee in possession events.
In the week ending 12th of April, the total number of valuations ordered was down -24.0% over the week, and 19.2% over the last year. The weekly drop has been compounded by the Easter break, however valuation activity has been trending lower since mid-to-late March.  While the continued decline in valuations is reflective of a drop off in market activity, it is interesting to note that there has not yet been an uplift in ‘mortgagee in possession’ valuation events, in fact MIP related valuations remain an insignificant proportion of overall valuation activity.  This is important, because the mortgagee in possession category refers to valuations motivated by the bank taking control of an asset where the borrower has failed to make repayments. In fact, data to the 14th of April suggests that valuations generated for this reason have seen the largest decline of any other valuation types, down 62.2% on the previous year. The number of MIP valuation events will be an important indicator to track; a trend towards increasing MIP valuation events would imply more distressed properties are flowing onto the market.   In the same period, 75.3% of valuations ordered were for the purpose of loan refinancing, which suggests high volumes of borrowers looking to take advantage of record low interest rates. However, it is still worth noting these types of valuations were also significantly down on the equivalent week in 2019 (-12.0%) after tracking well above 2019 levels until late March.  The extent of decline in activity across CoreLogic platforms shows clear signs of a sharp slowdown in market activity. With plunging property volumes across listings, and less activity from real estate agents and valuers, there is likely to be a severe drop in the number of properties being transacted over the coming weeks and months; at least until social distancing policies are lifted and sentiment levels return to more normal levels as the economy emerges from the COVID-19 slump.  But less listing activity also speaks to the moderation of supply against less demand for property. This is one reason that property values are unlikely to fall as quickly, or the same extent, as transaction volumes. 
ELIZA OWEN is CoreLogic's <a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/news/early-market-indicators-show-first-signs-housing-market-slowdown?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=newsletter&amp;utm_campaign=20200420_propertypulse" target="_blank">head of research</a>.
<a href="https://www.corelogic.com.au/early-market-indicators" data-image-style="" data-responsive-image-style="" data-zoom-image-style=""></a>
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jrobinson-rf4aSBido9

Real estate values continue to see loss of momentum in April : CoreLogic's Eliza Owen

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The past five years have provided good evidence of the factors that drive the Sydney property market, according to the latest Herron Todd White (HTW) residential report.
The valuation firm took a look at what things traditionally matter to property markets and how current crisis is playing into decision making.
The report suggests fiscal, regulatory and monetary policies have all played their parts as the wider Sydney market went from strong growth to its largest decline in three decades before rebounding so quickly that the Sydney median price is already knocking on the door of the previous peak.
"Whilst traditional drivers such as employment levels and the national economic outlook do play a part, these have been fairly stable throughout that five year period as the market fluctuated wildly (in Sydney property price terms anyway).
"The current COVID-19 epidemic is going to have a negative impact on both of these drivers, so it will be interesting to see what impact this may have on the property market in the short to medium term," the valuation firm said.
Low interest rates were a big driver in the market climbing until mid-2017, despite growing affordability issues as many first home buyers were either priced out of the market or had to reconsider the type of property or the suburb they could afford to buy.
"We then experienced tighter lending policies as a result of APRA regulation and the banking Royal Commission which saw the market drop by around 15 percent across Sydney, with some areas dropping by more than 20 percent," the valuation firm said.
Houses were harder hit than units, while the top quartile, excluding the prestige end, experienced the largest falls.
There was a triple boost to the property market in mid-2019, as APRA weakened lending restrictions, the Reserve Bank lowered interest rates three times within a few months and the Coalition government was returned in the federal election.
The report notes the unexpected election result meant that the planned changes to capital gains tax and negative gearing policy proposed by the Labor opposition, would not eventuate.
These three factors saw the Sydney market stabilise between June and August and then rise quickly between September and December, recovering around two-thirds of the median price decline experienced during the downturn. Houses and those areas that saw larger decreases during the decline were generally those that rebounded the quickest.
First home owner incentives introduced in January have also seen these buyers re-enter the market in greater numbers, providing a boost to the lower quartile of the property market.
This was also the experience during the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis as low interest rates and significant first home owner incentives saw this part of the market grow quickly at a time when the wider economy was struggling.
"The unit market in Sydney has had some additional challenges to deal with over the past couple of years. Whilst prices did not decline as fast as they did for houses, issues around flammable cladding and the highly publicised structural issues of several buildings throughout Sydney have meant increased buyer caution in the new unit market," the valuation firm said.
Certain suburbs also had a large supply of new units reaching settlement at the bottom of the market after being purchased off the plan at the height of the market.
More recently, the supply of new units has slowed and remaining developer stock in completed buildings is now more readily selling, in some cases at prices close to what they were achieving off the plan.
It should be noted though that some developers are resorting to incentives or rebates to clear this stock.
Infrastructure spending has also increased in Sydney over the past few years with a number of large projects still underway or planned for completion by the end of the decade. This has helped fuel the local economy and provide a boost to those suburbs which directly benefit from these infrastructure upgrades.
"Although clearance rates have remained high in recent weeks, there is no doubt that the COVID-19 outbreak will lead to a short term softening in market activity," the valuation firm said.
According to CoreLogic, there were 749 auctions in the wider Sydney region for the week ending 15 March, down 28 percent from the 1045 auctions held in the week ending 1 March. They also reported that the preliminary auction clearance rate has dropped from 82.6 percent to 74.6 percent over the past two weeks.
"Despite this, median prices have continued to increase throughout this period.
"It is likely that potential sellers will hold off listing their properties in the next few months as Australia goes through an increase and (hopefully) peak in COVID-19 cases. This lack of new stock on the market will likely help hold up property prices," the valuation firm said.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Sydney median prices continue to increase in the time of coronavirus crisis: HTW residential 

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EXPERT OBSERVER
<div id="post-body-4827528758440754749" class="post-body entry-content">
<div>Australia's recent figures on COVID-19 have been nothing short of remarkable.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Lest you think that's an exaggeration, think back to what the medical experts were forecasting only one month ago, which was a tragically similar path to the worst hit countries. </div>
 <div>Yesterday, Australia ramped up the daily total in testing to a much larger 14,980, of which 42 tested positive, or 0.3 per cent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>More than 411,000 tests have now been carried out nationwide. </div>
<div>
 Encouragingly the rate testing positive has continued to fall very consistently from 2.8 per cent on March 30 to just 0.3 per cent yesterday. </div>
<div>
 Greg Hunt noted this morning that total new confirmed cases have increased by under 1 per cent for each of the past seven days, resulting in a 'genuine and sustained flattening of the curve'.</div>
 <div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-XDEE0SHWHfM/XpuhfCrmNsI/AAAAAAAA1TY/Ilk9aBeQHF08UX8-dm6DThw4sleJO5ItwCNcBGAsYHQ/s1600/CV2.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-XDEE0SHWHfM/XpuhfCrmNsI/AAAAAAAA1TY/Ilk9aBeQHF08UX8-dm6DThw4sleJO5ItwCNcBGAsYHQ/s640/CV2.jpg" width="640" height="366" data-original-height="805" data-original-width="1406"></a></div>
 <div>There were 10 new confirmed cases yesterday in New South Wales relating to two known clusters (Anglicare at Caddens in Western Sydney, and the Ruby Princess cruise ship). </div>
<div> </div>
<div>That result was from a very substantial 5,152 tests.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Today Victoria reported just 9 new cases from 3,000 tests, and Queensland had only five new confirmed cases. North-west Tasmania has seen a cluster of cases related to hospitals, while elsewhere in the country numbers have fallen to zero, or very close to zero in recent days. </div>
 <div class="separator"><a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-nqTokFlFV44/XpuhfAF0frI/AAAAAAAA1Tc/uG-qTZK6MgQMRfh6X_l8_4L7CqvcknDnQCNcBGAsYHQ/s1600/CV1.jpg"><img src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-nqTokFlFV44/XpuhfAF0frI/AAAAAAAA1Tc/uG-qTZK6MgQMRfh6X_l8_4L7CqvcknDnQCNcBGAsYHQ/s640/CV1.jpg" width="640" height="364" data-original-height="801" data-original-width="1407"></a></div>
 <div>Recoveries have comfortably exceeded new cases over the past week, and the number in ICU has almost halved, down by another 6 today to just 49 (versus the planned expanded capacity of 7,000), with 31 presently on ventilators. </div>
<div>
 Greg Hunt reported today that Australia has received some 60 million masks, which is 6 million than anticipated, and two weeks early than expected.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Australia is 'the envy of the world' according to the government reports; let's hope it stays that way.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank">blogger</a>.
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Miraculous improvement in COVID-19 cases: Pete Wargent

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One of the recent trends in real estate is more people moving from the big cities and buying in lifestyle areas within an hour or two of the city.
This movement has been enhanced by technology which allows people to work from home or by improved transport links.
I’ve described Regional Victoria as the strongest market in the nation over the past two years, based on data on sales activity and price growth in multiple locations.
And much of the uplift in markets within an hour or two of Melbourne – in the north, north-west and the south-east – has been driven by buyers out of Melbourne, both home-buyers and investors.
In the six months before the onset of the virus-induced restrictions, there had also been a notable increase in sales activity, with consequent positive impact on prices, in regional areas close to Sydney, including the Central Coast, the Southern Highlands and the Wollongong region.
I believe this trend will be further exacerbated by the current situation, which is forcing people to work from home.
Some will make it a permanent arrangement – and increasingly we are seeing media commentary to that effect.
An article last week in the Herald Sun in Melbourne said:
Many Melburnians will leave the city behind for regional Victoria during the coronavirus crisis, property experts say.
Agencies are reporting a “significant increase” in inquiries about regional properties from city dwellers “seeing the benefits” of working from home due to the COVID-19 lockdown, and keener than ever to escape the “madness” of Melbourne life.
Others are viewing the pandemic-impacted market as offering opportunity to get their feet on the property ladder in affordable areas.
A report from JLL says the COVID-19 quarantine policies have sent employees of all levels – from chief executives to junior staff – home with laptops to their kitchen tables.
“With this mass experiment under way, there is a belief among workplace experts that such set-ups could become more prevalent at companies large and small,” it says.
“Well beyond the peak of the crisis, corporate culture and, more than likely, the digital skills of global workforces, will have changed in significant ways. Location and working hours could become more flexible, leading to better productivity and improved work life balance for individuals.”
Gillian Rowbotham, human experience director – Australasia at JLL, says: “Given how suddenly everything changed, that tech has stood up pretty well, and people are mostly enjoying the flexibility to manage their day according to what needs to be done, I think we are inevitably entering a new dawn in the workplace experience.”
Interior architect Iva Durakovic suggests the success of working from home will mark the end of the office as we current know it, with remote working becoming the new norm.
The Associate Lecturer at UNSW Built Environment believes that remote working arrangements will continue long after the coronavirus pandemic has passed and will also change the nature of office spaces for the better.
"We already saw this idea of a distributed workforce getting stronger - and this will only accelerate it,” she says.
She says that widespread working from home is shaking up the role of the traditional workplace and highlighting what is truly valuable.
"It will break down what we need to come to a traditional workplace for, like face-to-face contact, and the way the future work environment looks. And it will be very different."
All of this has consequences for real estate. It provides another good reason for property investors to consider regional real estate, which offers greater affordability and higher rental yields than the big cities – and, if you choose your location well, good potential for capital growth.
We’ve seen excellent price growth in the past year or two, not only in Regional Victoria, but also in regional locations in NSW, Tasmania, South Australia and increasingly in Queensland.
TERRY RYDER is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
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terryryder-YECXbqmri2

Regionalisation: The positive real estate trends exacerbated by COVID-19: HotSpotting's Terry Ryder

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As Australia continues to battle the novel Coronavirus (COVID-19), Prime Minister Scott Morrison announced earlier this week that a new contact tracing app is underway to more effectively curb the spread of the virus. South Korea was one of the very first countries that turned to technology to combat the Coronavirus with an app called <a href="http://www.korea.net/NewsFocus/Society/view?articleId=183129">Corona 100m</a>. Singapore followed suit by introducing the <a href="https://tracetogether.zendesk.com/hc/en-sg">TraceTogether</a> app. This week, Scott Morrison announced that Australia will follow Singapore’s footsteps.

<h2>The app developers</h2>

TraceTogether was developed by Singapore’s Ministry of Health and the Singapore Government Technology Agency. Australia’s app is currently under review by the Australian Signals Directorate.

<h2>How does it work?</h2>

Singapore’s TraceTogether app tracks a user's location by Bluetooth. Once downloaded, the user has to turn on Bluetooth settings on their smartphone. The app will then begin updating a user’s location across time. If a person falls sick, the relevant authorities will then use his TraceTogether travel history to map out his footprints for the past 14 days.

There are no details so far on how Australia’s version works, but if it is modelled from Singapore’s version, expect it to be similar.

<h2>Privacy concerns</h2>

A few weeks ago, it is reported that tech giants Apple and Google are collaborating to develop a new Coronavirus contact tracing app for the US. Debate over non-consensual use of an individual’s personal information by tech corporations is not new.

TraceTogether only collects a user’s mobile phone number, and data stored in servers will be deleted after 21 days. The data collected is also encrypted. Singaporeans are able to email TraceTogether’s support team to revoke consent, and their phone numbers will be deleted.

Australia is not working with Apple and Google, and the Australian Signals Directory has only been providing cybersecurity support. Scott Morrison also stressed that the Government will not make downloading the app compulsory. However, for the app to be effective, <a href="https://7news.com.au/lifestyle/health-wellbeing/coronavirus-australia-how-covid-19-tracking-app-will-work-c-982093">an estimated 40% of the Australian population</a> — around 10 million — Australians will need to have it installed on their smartphones. 

It is inevitable that technology is bound to revolutionise the way we work in the near future. Under the threat of a global pandemic, it seems that this envisioned ‘near future’ is being accelerated at a much greater speed. Questions of personal data in the digital age have once again come under the spotlight — in the Australian context, the new app will show itself to be a testament of how far Australians are willing to compromise for societal good.
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Australia's upcoming COVID-19 tracking app, explained

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As Australia’s nationwide lockdown continues, parents are finding themselves turning to homeschooling for their children – with some parents even becoming tutors themselves. Homeschooling can be a challenge, especially for parents who are already <a href="/guides/covid-19-how-to-adapt-to-working-from-home">working from home</a>. However, there are many ways you can make working, studying and teaching at home a lot easier.

Here are a few tips:

<h2>BEFORE HOMESCHOOLING COMMENCES</h2>

Communication is the first step to providing children with a successful learning experience. Organise lesson/study times, 

<ul>
<li>Work schedule: How can homeschooling work around your work schedule? Is there flexibility to shift your work hours to accommodate homeschooling?</li>
	<li>Chores at home: Ensure you have a clean and tidy workspace to commence work/study. Encourage all family members to keep a tidy household, to give you more time for work and study.</li>
	<li>Personal space: Create a clear distinction between work and play to avoid distraction.</li>
</ul>
Once you've defined the schedule, cleared a workspace and set up a plan for working/studying productively, for parents who are looking to tutor their children, it's time to set out your content plan. Contact your child's teachers, search for online resources and talk to you child about what they are currently learning about. The Department of Education has prepared factsheets and other resources for parents to make sure everything is being taken care of when learning from home. Online resources for <a href="https://www.education.vic.gov.au/documents/parents/learning-from-home-parent-fact-sheet.docx">VIC</a>, <a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1464mZWKPA0TW32jWFCEajBAxjreNCSxiA_hgF3OkFOM/template/preview">NSW</a>, <a href="https://sites.google.com/ed.act.edu.au/act-home-learning/resources-to-support-home-learning">ACT</a>, <a href="https://www.education.tas.gov.au/learning-at-home/australian-education-sites/">TAS</a>, <a href="https://educationsa.govcms.gov.au/sites/default/files/preparing-for-online-learning-fact-sheet-for-parents-and-carers.pdf">SA</a>, <a href="https://www.education.wa.edu.au/learning-at-home/support-services-and-resources">WA</a> differ, so make sure you access the right one.

<h2>WHEN CLASSES ARE IN SESSION</h2>

Make it clear to your child that even though they are learning from home, the learning process should still be taken seriously, and the daily schedule should be adhered to as if they were in a classroom. Devise a schedule which features a combination of activities to retain your child's interest and concentration. This can include, directed learning, self-learning, practical activities, computer learning/research, and snack/fitness breaks.

The Victorian Government’s <a href="https://fuse.education.vic.gov.au/EarlyChildHood">FUSE Early Childhood</a> page offers resources for effective play-based learning. If your child is in primary school or high school, allow them to keep in touch with their schoolmates. Video calls are always fun — parents can also arrange for their children to have Skype exercise sessions with their friends.

<h2>AFTER CLASSES</h2>

Homework provides your child with an opportunity to revise whatever that was learned and further develop their skills. Assign homework for core subjects, but make sure not to overburden your child.

Much like working from home, it is easy for kids and parents to lose track of time — dismiss classes on time, and ensure that your child gets sufficient sleep to recharge for tomorrow.

Adjusting to a new role requires patience and resilience. Recognise that it is physically and mentally demanding for both yourself and your child, so it's important to be compassionate and maintain a good level of communication with your family.
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COVID-19: Homeschooling has begun, so here are some helpful tips for parents

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There was little change in the March unemployment figures today released by the ABS, with only a small early impact from COVID-19 on the labour market early in the month.
ABS chief economist Bruce Hockman said the major COVID-19 related actions will be evident in the April data.
“Given the expected unseasonal change in key labour market indicators in the current COVID-19 context, the ABS will increase the focus on seasonally adjusted over trend data estimates for April and subsequent months,” Hockman said.
There will be additional products to assist the ABS in measuring the labour market impacts of COVID-19.
From March 1 to March 14, before the shutdown, employment increased by 16,800, with full-time employment up 8,800. Part-time employment also rose by 8,000.
Unemployment increased by 3,500.
Westpac's Bill Evans tips the June quarter unemployment rate to hit 11 per cent.
The RBA want to get the unemployment rate down to 4.5 per cent before they consider hiking interest rates.
AMP Capital's chief economist Shane Oliver says April will see a big deterioration, with unemployment rising towards 10 per cent by June.
 
 
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Unemployment rate steady at 5.2% as eyes shift to April data for COVID-19 impact

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Antonia Mercorella, the CEO of the REIQ says the Queensland Government's proposed measures in the COVID-19 are the most onerous of their kind for property owners across all the states.
With landlords and real estate professionals emailing hundreds of letters to the Premier opposing the proposed measures, the REIQ is calling on the Palaszczuk Government to amend aspects of the proposed laws set to be debated in parliament today.
The measures include a rental grant of up to $2000 per person for COVID-19 affected tenants who have exhausted all other financial options.   
The REIQ wants the legislation to have rent deferrals rather than permanent rent waiver rights for tenants.
"This aligns with the Federal Government model and framework adopted/being adopted in other jurisdictions," Antonia Mercorella said.
“We support the protection of tenants who are in financial distress due to this pandemic.
"However, the scope of these proposed measures are too broad in their application.
"In fact, they are the most onerous of their kind for property owners across all Australian jurisdictions to date.”
The REIQ is calling for a minimum income reduction threshold for tenants to meet before they qualify for the protection measures as in New South Wales, a 25% income reduction requirement applies.
It also wants a standard requirement for tenants to substantiate a rent reduction request to allow landlords to make properly informed and fair decisions about rent reductions.
It seeks to scrap the proposed break lease right that allows tenants to simply walk away from tenancy agreements with only one weeks’ notice notwithstanding that those tenants are afforded all the other protections provided under the Renter Protection Package; and to also remove the proposed automatic right to a 6-month tenancy agreement extension which in effect introduces a 12-month moratorium in Queensland with the consequential imposition of permanent rent waivers that would be extended over this additional period.
“The current protection measures clearly ignore the voices and rights of property owners.
"Property owners, like tenants, are entitled to be supported by COVID-19 regulatory protections that support the entire rental market,” says Ms. Mercorella.
"And once landlords discover the true extent of these distorted reforms, it will cause a revolt of a kind not seen before in a residential tenancy context.”
Queensland, like NSW, will both provide up to a 25 percent discount on land tax for the 2020 calendar year as part of packages worth $400 million and $440 million respectively, on the proviso savings are passed to tenants in the form of rental relief.
 
 
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REIQ leads revolt against Queensland Government's COVID-19 tenancy protections

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Last week Urban held a webinar hosted by CEO Mike Bird. Mike interviewed renowned property industry experts Andrew Leoncelli (CBRE Managing Director) and John Meagher (Founder and Managing Director Three Sixty° Property Group) about how the industry is responding to the recent outbreak of COVID-19. 

If you missed the webinar, here are some of the topics that were discussed:

<h2 class="rtecenter">Will Government fast-track new development permits once lockdown is over?</h2>

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/COGI2SU9xAQ" width="660"></iframe>

<h2 class="rtecenter">There has been a shift to owner-occupier stock in the last 15 months. Will this trend continue once the pandemic is over?</h2>

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/kMC2MHf_uV0" width="660"></iframe>

<h2 class="rtecenter">What is the outlook for projects settling this year amidst COVID-19 and what are the strategies adopted to mitigate risks?</h2>

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/SpIsKhQrvss" width="660"></iframe>

<h2 class="rtecenter">When would you anticipate the market to recover and why?</h2>

<iframe allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen="" frameborder="0" height="415" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/R1u2XBV8-OU" width="660"></iframe>

If you'd like to be informed of Urban's next industry webinar, sign up to Urban's industry portal <a href="https://next-portal.urban.com.au/login">here</a>.
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urban.com.au

Urban CEO Mike Bird interviews 360 Property's John Meagher + CBRE's Andrew Leoncelli about the property industry's response to COVID-19

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EXPERT OBSERVER
The virus crisis creates unique challenges for everyone in real estate, including those of us who research, analyse and write reports. 
Every quarter I write The Price Predictor Index, which analyses key data like sales activity and price trends for every suburb and town in Australia. Researching and writing that report stretches typically across two months – and in the past two months the world has changed.
In some ways, the world is forever changed but the fundamentals underpinning Australia will not change. Areas with strong and diverse economies, growing populations, good existing infrastructure and investment in new infrastructure, will continue to be good places to own real estate. The underlying principles of supply and demand will remain intact on the other side of the shutdown.
The Autumn 2020 edition of the PPI is based on data that pre-dates the full impact of the virus crisis on property markets (remembering that the figures from both CoreLogic and SQM Research show little negative impact during March) but it shows that Australia was full of strong markets going into the crisis – and gives a clue to life on the other side.
The report identified growth markets right across Australia, finding uplift in places you don’t hear much about in mainstream media, as well as in the usual places. Based on our analysis of sales activity, the leading market jurisdictions were Regional New South Wales and Adelaide, ahead of Melbourne and Sydney. 
Other strong performers, in terms of the number of locations with rising sales activity, were Regional Queensland, Perth, Brisbane and Canberra. Regional South Australia was a surprise stand-out.
Our Autumn 2020 survey identified 77 growth markets in Regional NSW, while Adelaide and Melbourne both had 69 suburbs with rising momentum - but we rate Adelaide higher because it had the same number of growth market as Melbourne despite being a much smaller city. 
The survey reveals that both Sydney and Melbourne were well into growth phases prior to the onset of the coronavirus period, as part of a major upward movement in most market jurisdictions across Australia. 
Exceptions included the two previous national leaders, Regional Victoria and Hobart, which were both past the peaks of their recent upward cycles. We would expect price growth in those plateau-ing markets to level off - even without the additional impact created by the virus.
The report underlines some of the key principles of real estate which won’t change amid the current uncertainty. It demonstrates that price movements are preceded by significant changes in sales activity - and that prices take time to react to those trends. 
Our quarterly analysis shows that areas which experience a steady uplift in sales volumes will have increases in prices - eventually. And locations where sales activity is declining will eventually see price growth cease, or price decline. 
Both Sydney and Melbourne had falling prices in 2018 and early 2019, and this was preceded by a steady fall-off in sales volumes in the 12-18 months before values began their descent. Most researchers measure market peaks by price behaviour but at Hotspotting we measure it by analysing sales volumes – which allows predictions of whether prices will rise or fall in the near future.
The report also provides further evidence of the folly of generalisation about property markets. Media often discusses Australia as a single market, with forecasts of the likely movement in “Australian house prices”. It’s a ludicrous concept, but that’s what they do, fed by press releases from economists who discuss real estate as a single national entity. 
It is equally foolish to discuss a city as a single market. Our Autumn 2020 survey shows that while there was a noteworthy recovery under way in both Sydney and Melbourne in late 2019 and early 2020, the uplift was not occurring evenly across those very large metro areas. 
In Sydney, the revival was seen most vividly in upmarket areas like the Northern Beaches and the Inner West. The outer ring locations remained relatively quiet (with the notable exception of the Blacktown LGA). 
And while Sydney overall was the strongest we had recorded in any of our quarterly surveys in the past five years, there remained 12 suburbs we classified as declining markets and another 12 we rated as danger markets. The latter were all locations dominated by apartments, where extensive recent new development had created over-supply, without any evidence as yet of an increase in demand or prices. 
In Melbourne, we saw some similar patterns, with considerable uplift in the top end suburbs and also in Middle Melbourne - strong middle-ring locations like the Whitehorse LGA - but relatively little response in many of the outer ring areas. Melbourne still had 16 suburbs classified as declining markets, but no danger markets.
Equally, there can be stark contrasts in the performance of suburbs within a single local government area. The City Of Sydney LGA had five rising, 11 plateau, one danger and three declining markets - all those contrasting fortunes within one municipality, covering just 25 square kilometres of inner-city Sydney. 
Real estate markets are primarily driven by local events, even though national factors can impact sometimes. And we’ll find out how much when we see the data for April and May.
I continue to expect the negative impacts from the virus crisis to be short-term – and that, when we’re through this bizarre period in the life of the nation, the fundamentals will still apply.
Terry Ryder is the founder of hotspotting.com.au
<a href="https://mailto:ryder@hotspotting.com.au">ryder@hotspotting.com.au</a>
twitter.com/hotspotting
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