<p>Preliminary data by research giant Charter Keck Cramer reveals a 54 per cent decline in Build to Sell apartments across Australia's capital cities, while the Build to Rent boom continues with a 378 per cent increase over the last five years.</p>

<p>Charter Keck Cramer's upcoming National State of the Market Report - Key Metropolitan Areas, scheduled for release in September, will reveal&nbsp;a dramatic transformation in apartment supply patterns across Australia's capital cities between FY2016-2020 and FY2021-2025.</p>

<p>The Build to Sell (BTS) apartment sector has experienced a substantial contraction, with total supply falling by 54 per cent compared to the previous five-year period. The decline represents a reduction of <strong>149,200 apartments</strong> across all capital cities.</p>

<p><img alt="BTS Charter Keck Cramer" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3db2ddf3-e7c0-481f-b8b9-63efb365cb80" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-08-20%20at%2011.26.34%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=bsQl8inhZA7FeiPamnGvw1tse0obBdSd" /></p>

<p>Sydney led the downturn with a decrease of 73,600 apartments, followed by Melbourne (-42,800) and Brisbane (-26,800). Perth and Adelaide also recorded significant declines of 6,400 and 2,400 apartments respectively. Only Gold Coast and Canberra bucked the trend, with modest increases of 500 and 2,300 apartments.</p>

<p>In stark contrast, the Build to Rent (BTR) sector has emerged as a major force in the apartment market, recording a remarkable 378% increase in supply. This growth added 8,590 apartments across the capital cities during FY2021-2025. Melbourne dominated BTR growth with 6,160 additional apartments, while Sydney contributed 2,100 units. Brisbane and Canberra also recorded growth of 800 and 330 apartments respectively. Gold Coast and Perth recorded minor declines, while Adelaide maintained steady levels.</p>

<p><img alt="BTR CKC" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ca13ffd4-ab93-4828-afd2-4c3dccbd2b51" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-08-20%20at%2011.28.54%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=SXNnpcJuFD36ViWOwF6izBBqcQc3NWao" /></p>

<p>“These preliminary findings indicate a fundamental shift in Australia's apartment development landscape, with traditional Build to Sell models giving way to institutional Build to Rent developments,” said Richard Temlett, Charter Keck Cramer’s National Executive Director of Research.</p>

<p>"This transition reflects changing investor preferences, regulatory environments and housing affordability challenges across major metropolitan areas.”</p>

<p>The complete Charter Keck Cramer National State of the Market Report – Key Metropolitan Areas will provide comprehensive analysis of these trends, their underlying drivers and implications for developers, investors and policymakers when released in September.</p>


Joel Robinson

Build to Sell apartment supply drops 54% in five years across Australian capital cities

<p>Verso Development Group is seeking to bring over 1,100 apartments to the heart of Brisbane's Toowong, with plans filed for a $1 billion, triple tower development known as Toowong Central.</p>

<p>The landmark urban regeneration project "aims to reshape the core of Brisbane’s inner-west riverside suburb."</p>

<p>Covering over 1.4-hectares across&nbsp;Sherwood Road, High Street, and Jephson Street, Toowong Central has been designed by KHA and will comprise three towers rising 49, 55, and 58 levels.</p>

<p><img alt="Toowong Central" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="48611e3d-7123-4b99-b2cb-bfa4bc98024f" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/amenities.png?VersionId=yKBexB.BgCkq4OET8fHDkWs0d3DjxOKJ" /></p>

<p>According to the Urban Context Report prepared by Urbis, Toowong Central is positioned as a “city-defining precinct reclaiming Toowong as ‘the best destination in the west’,” with a vision to deliver density differently, strengthen Toowong’s identity, and lead subtropical urban design.</p>

<p>There will be a wide range of apartment configurations, from one-bedrooms to five-bedroom penthouses, as well as short-term accomodation offerings. The design prioritises pedestrian permeability, with an activated public realm featuring a central civic plaza, laneways, and street-level retail and dining.</p>

<p>“The central square’s structure, programming, scale and location creates a social anchor - shaped by its edges, flexible for use, and animated by a diversity of experiences throughout the day and into the evening,” the Urban Context Report noted, reinforcing the project's ambition to become a vibrant community destination.</p>

<p>Design excellence was pursued through an international design competition, attracting entries from renowned practices such as UNStudio and BIG. KHA’s winning design distinguished itself with a ceremonial approach to the public realm, integrating terraces, tiered seating, and green infrastructure to promote social interaction and resilience.</p>

<p>The development builds upon two existing approvals: the 25- and 20-storey towers of the Aviary Toowong proposal, and a separate 25- and 24-storey approval at 88 Jephson Street. Consolidation of these fragmented landholdings under a precinct-wide approach allows for increased community value and cohesive urban integration.</p>

<p>Urbis Director Nicholas Stevenson said Toowong Central will bridge the gap in Toowong's current experience, unlocking the potential of the wider precinct.</p>

<p>"Overcoming experiential constraints and leveraging contextual advantages – Toowong Central will redefine Brisbane's inner west.”</p>

<p><img alt="Toowong Central" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73f7a702-625d-452d-9df2-30a0863ac1e8" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/master.png?VersionId=TZdh6wxGC_8IIroXpdkZfuhlS8mFZnea" /></p>

<p>Toowong Central’s ambition extends beyond residential and commercial outcomes. Uses under consideration include a world-class hotel, university facilities, a museum, and health and wellness services, reflecting its role as a western gateway to Brisbane’s growing innovation corridor between the CBD and the University of Queensland.</p>

<p>Urbis Managing Partner James Tuma said Brisbane has no greater opportunity to showcase the future of urban living than Toowong – a sustainable, economically vibrant, and people-centric place that embodies the best of Brisbane.</p>

<p>[The plans] gives us a glimpse into our future as a globally relevant, youthful, entrepreneurial, and distinctly subtropical city.”</p>


$1 billion Toowong Central to deliver 1,100 apartments to undersupplied Brisbane market

<p>In <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/runaway-bay-qld-4216">Runaway Bay</a>, new townhouse-scale waterfront residences are rare - but ones built to the standards found on Sovereign Island are almost unheard of.</p>

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/ocean-suites-on-jennifer-10-12-jennifer-avenue-runaway-bay-qld-4216">Ocean Suites on Jennifer</a>&nbsp;changes that, delivering a calibre of construction and detailing that places its seven villas well above the typical market offering in this northern Gold Coast pocket.</p>

<p>Ocean Suites on Jennifer will be move-in ready before Christmas this year, giving buyers the chance to spend the summer on the water in one of Runaway Bay’s rare new waterfront residences.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=138718 project_image_fid=214444]</p>

<p>The development is a collaboration between <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/stuart-osman">Stuart Osman Design</a> and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sand-side-developments">Sand Side Developments</a>, with construction by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/builders/alroe-constructions">Alroe Constructions</a>.</p>

<p>Architect Stuart Osman says the intent from the outset was to create a home people would be drawn to. “When you build anything, the design is to make you want to go hang out in this house,” he says.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Ocean Suites on Jennifer’s design features a front façade softened with planter boxes, rear pool areas, and rooftop decks looking over the water.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Inside, voids and high skylights bring daylight deep into the centre of each home, while ceiling heights of 2.85 metres maintain a strong sense of volume.</p>

<p>Each four-level residence spans 345 to 388 sqm, with layouts accommodating multi-generational living - a ground-floor bedroom suite for older family members and upper levels for the rest of the household. A lift connects all floors.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=138718 project_image_fid=214435]</p>

<p>For Andrew Erwin, Director at NPA, the project’s appeal lies in both its location and the detail in execution.&nbsp;</p>

<p>"At Ocean Suites, you’ve got a canal-front setting with direct Broadwater access and a level of finish you’d normally only see in the city’s most prestigious addresses. The four-level layouts, the glass-framed living areas, the private pools, even the extended kitchens, every part of it has been designed with the buyer in mind,” he says.</p>

<p>Those buyers have so far been a mix of Gold Coast locals and interstate purchasers, many seeking a lock-up-and-leave holiday home or a downsized residence without sacrificing space for visiting family.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Older households with teenage children are a recurring profile, drawn to layouts that support multi-generational living and the ability to host extended stays.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=138718 project_image_fid=214432]</p>

<p>Material selection reinforces the project’s quality-first ethos, with every home appointed to a premium standard. Kitchens and ensuites feature engineered stone surfaces, complemented by prestige oak engineered timber floors, Victorian ash hardwood staircases, and soft loop-pile carpet.</p>

<p>Premium lighting, statement pendants, ceiling fans, and Fujitsu ducted air conditioning elevate both comfort and design. Each residence also includes a suite of high-end appliances as standard - Fisher &amp; Paykel integrated fridges, Bosch ovens, induction cooktops and dishwashers, Vintec wine fridges, and Franke sinks.</p>

<p>Beyond the interiors, residents enjoy an enviable lifestyle with rooftop terraces, private plunge pools, fire pit areas, outdoor showers, smart home automation, laundry chutes, and private pontoons.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=138718 project_image_fid=214452]</p>

<p>With no additional upgrade costs, Sand Side Developments underscores its no-shortcuts approach, delivering homes where luxury and amenity come as standard.</p>

<p>Osman adds that the kitchen has been designed as “the main hub of the house” with six metres high skylights above a galley-style layout that “makes it feel bigger, brighter, whiter” and “brings light into the centre of the home.”</p>

<p>Both architect and builder emphasise a shared commitment to delivering the intended design without compromise. “Working with Alroe’s structural team and their construction team, it’s been great to make sure that the look and feel that was originally intended is the result achieved at the end of the project,” Osman says.&nbsp;</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=138718 project_image_fid=214453]</p>

<p>Outdoor living has been given equal consideration, with rooftop terraces designed for entertaining with a fire pit and bar, and spacious undercover patios featuring private plunge pools.</p>

<p>The marine access is as carefully executed as the homes themselves. An eight-metre gangway leads to a six-metre private pontoon capable of mooring vessels up to 30 feet, just 300 metres by water from the Broadwater.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Even the orientation of each villa has been optimised to capture long views down the canal, across the Broadwater, and south to Main Beach.</p>

<p>With construction in its final stages, just three of the seven villas remain, priced from $3.365 million to $3.695 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=138718]</p>


Sovereign Island standards come to Runaway Bay with Ocean Suites on Jennifer

<p>Without local developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/gardner-vaughan-group">Gardner Vaughan Group</a>, it could be argued that the small suburb of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/nundah-qld-4012">Nundah</a> would be left behind when it comes to both new housing and retail opportunities.</p>

<p>Gardner Vaughan, one of South East Queensland’s most reputable builder-developers, has been based in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/nundah-qld-4012">Nundah</a> for the last decade. They plan to maintain their presence in the northern <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/brisbane-qld">Brisbane</a> suburb, just seven kilometres from Brisbane Airport and nine kilometres from the city, with the development of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/danby-lane-nundah-village-5-danby-lane-nundah-qld-4012">Danby Lane</a>, the first major project in several years in the heart of the town centre.</p>

<p data-end="912" data-start="594">GVG will retain one of the commercial spaces in the new mixed-use building for their office headquarters. It will be located in the commercial podium, alongside several other new office spaces. Below will be a street-level retail precinct designed to reinvigorate the local economy, and above, 84 brand-new apartments.</p>

<p data-end="912" data-start="594">[smartcode_project:default project_id=112531 project_image_fid=320114]</p>

<p>Over 60 percent of the apartments have already been snapped up, with buyers eager to secure one of the rare new apartments in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/nundah-qld-4012">Nundah</a>, as well as to benefit from Gardner Vaughan’s solid reputation and long-standing presence in the local community.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=112531 project_image_fid=320117]</p>

<p>Gardner Vaughan identified the site at the corner of Buckland Road and Danby Lane for its proximity to key amenities. Within 400 metres of the development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/nundah-qld-4012">Nundah</a> Village offers a variety of cafes, restaurants, and pubs. <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/nundah-qld-4012">Nundah</a> Train Station, just 400 metres away, provides a quick 20-minute train ride into Roma Street.</p>

<p>The development has also attracted young families, drawn to the proximity of not one, but twelve parks, with Boyd Park and Oxenham Park being the most notable. Established families have shown interest due to the close proximity of <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/nundah-qld-4012">Nundah</a> State School and Mary MacKillop College.</p>

<p>The one- and two-bedroom apartments in the building have already been snapped up, while the larger three- and four-bedroom apartments—ranging from a generous 117 sqm to nearly 200 sqm—remain highly sought after. There are also just three exclusive luxury penthouses left to sell.</p>

<p>With its in-house construction capability, Gardner Vaughan has already commenced construction on-site and expects to complete the building by March 2027. It's hard to see another opportunity to buy brand new in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/nundah-qld-4012">Nundah</a>, where creating a site anywhere near the scale of the Danby Lane is becoming more and more difficult.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112531]</p>


Why Danby Lane is the focal point for change in Brisbane's Nundah

<p><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/metro-property-group">Metro Property Group</a>’s flagship townhouse development, Citrine Townhomes in <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/rochedale-qld-4123">Rochedale</a>, has reached another key construction milestone, with the first stage of townhouses now in the defects phase.</p>

<p>All building works for Stage 1 are complete, with the internal roads asphalted, line marking finished, and the bin store slab poured.&nbsp;All essential services, including permanent power, sewer, gas, and water, are now connected and operational.</p>

<p>The defects process is expected to continue until late-August.</p>

<p><img alt="Citrine Townhomes, Rochedale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="f48ad1d8-7bb2-424a-a378-2caa4d34c27d" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/017%20-%20%20ROLLEY%20PHOTO%20MEDIA%20%20%20-24072025.jpg?VersionId=o5BC3LgYTwxcufsjldO8mkPww3gix1NC" /></p>

<p>Stage 2 is also moving forward steadily, with all townhouses sheeted, the first coat of paint applied, and joinery installed throughout. Tiling has been completed on six of the seven blocks, and the pool is scheduled to be pebblecreted by the end of August.</p>

<p>Stage 3 continues to gather momentum, with external cladding completed on three of the eight blocks. All townhouses have been fully roughed-in for electrical, plumbing, and air conditioning, and the first two blocks have now progressed to internal sheeting.</p>

<p>Stage 1 and 2 are 100 per cent sold and there are now just 10 four-bedroom townhomes left in Stage 3, priced from $1,125,000.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=136295 project_image_fid=211]</p>

<p>Residents at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/citrine-townhomes-rochedale-311-gardner-road-rochedale-qld-4123">Citrine Townhomes</a> can also look forward to high-quality shared amenities. The residents' facility will feature a pool, landscaped areas, and a BBQ space, contributing to a lifestyle-focused community environment.</p>

<p>Metro’s fully furnished display home has generated strong interest locally, reinforcing the market’s confidence in the project. Stage 1 and 2 are completely sold out and Stage 3 has officially launched and is selling fast. Just 10 townhouses remain for sale in the development.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=136295 project_image_fid=273134]</p>

<p>The broader Citrine development comprises 90 three and four-bedroom townhomes designed across two to three levels, offering a contemporary contrast to Rochedale’s surrounding single-family homes.</p>

<p>Located just 17 km from Brisbane CBD, Citrine is within walking distance to schools, parks, and the popular Rochedale Village, home to Coles, medical services, and dining options.</p>

<p>Metro Property Group remains on track for project completion, with settlements forecast for Stage 1 in October/November 2025, Stage 2 in November/December 2025, and Stage 3 in January/February 2026.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=136295]</p>


First stage of townhouses at Citrine Rochedale reaches completion milestone

Corelogic Pain & Gain

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<p>EXPERT INSIGHT</p>

<p>Hobart and regional Victoria profit most, shows latest CoreLogic Pain and Gain report</p>

<p>CoreLogic’s Pain and Gain report for the September 2020 quarter released today has revealed Hobart retained its position as the capital city with the highest rate of profit making resales at 96.6%, while regional Victoria was the most profitable ‘rest of state’ region with 97.5% of dwellings sold for a profit in the three months to September.</p>

<p>Nationally, the proportion of resales that made a profit was 88.1% or $24.8 billion in profits, up from 87.2% or $19.8 billion in the June 2020 quarter. However, the amount of losses also deepened on non-profitable sales, from -$885 million in the June quarter to -$1.2 billion in September.</p>

<p>The Pain and Gain analysis for the September quarter reflects the resilience seen in the property market throughout 2020.</p>

<p>Each of the greater capital city markets, with the exception of Melbourne, saw an increase in the rate of profit making sales over the September quarter. The highest rate of profit making sales was across Hobart, which has been the case since March 2018.</p>

<p>Coastal regional markets were also particularly profitable for sellers, with profit making sales representing over 95% of resales across six major coastal markets: Geelong, Illawarra, the Mid North Coast, the Newcastle Lake Macquarie region, the Richmond Tweed region and the Sunshine Coast. The Sunshine Coast hit a record high rate of profit making sales in the September quarter at 96.4%.</p>

<p>Comparing the capital cities to regional Australia, the portion of profit-making sales increased more rapidly across the regions than capitals.</p>

<p>The combined regional Australian market saw the rate of profit making sales increase 150 basis points, to 89.2% in the September quarter, while the rate of profitability across capital city markets expanded 30 basis points, to 87.2%. This also reflects the divergent performance between regional and capital city real estate markets through 2020.</p>

<p><strong>Houses vs Units</strong></p>

<p>The report also demonstrates that there was generally a higher rate of return for houses ($225,000) than units ($125,000).</p>

<p>Profitability across both houses and units rose across Australia in the September 2020 quarter. The portion of properties sold at a loss among houses fell from 10.2% in the three months to June to 9.6%, while the portion of loss making unit sales fell from 21.4% to 19.6%.</p>

<p>The differential between house and unit profitability narrowed to 10 percentage points in the September quarter, down from 11.2 percentage points in the three months to June. The narrowed differential was a result of unit profitability rising faster than that of houses. Even though the rate of loss making sales declined faster across the unit segment, units were still about 2 times more likely to sell for a loss than houses in the September quarter.</p>

<p><strong>Investors vs Owner Occupiers</strong></p>

<p>A higher portion of property investors sold their dwelling at a loss during the September quarter compared with owner occupiers. Investor sales in the September quarter saw 17.1% of properties sell for a loss, compared with 10.4% of owner occupied sales.</p>

<p>Despite the higher rate of loss observed in investor sales in the quarter, the rate of properties re-sold at a loss was down from 18.0% in the June quarter, while the rate of loss making sales among owner occupiers was down from 11.1%.</p>

<p>The only region where there was a higher incidence of loss making sales among owner occupiers was across Hobart. This has been a consistent trend across the past few quarters. In the three months to September, 3.2% of owner occupied resales saw a nominal loss, compared with just 1% of investor sales.</p>

<p>The relatively low level of loss making sales among both cohorts reflects the exceptional capital growth across the Hobart market. CoreLogic home value indices show dwelling values across Hobart have seen annualised growth of 7.9% for the 5 years to December 2020, the highest annualised growth rate of the capital city markets.</p>

<p><strong>Hold periods</strong></p>

<p>Analysing returns by hold period suggests a greater amount of gain comes from more time in the market.</p>

<p>Over the September 2020 quarter, the median hold period of re-sale events across Australia was approximately 8.5 years. For profit making sales, the median hold period was 9 years, while loss making sales were typically held for 6.7 years. For houses and units, typical hold periods were longer across profit making resales.</p>

<p>The Australian housing market is expected to improve further in the coming months. With record low mortgage rates, a faster than expected economic recovery and relatively low cases of COVID-19, profitability is tipped to trend upwards over the coming quarters.</p>

<p><strong>Eliza Owen<em> </em></strong><em>is CoreLogic’s Head of Research Australia</em></p>
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Regional Victoria and Hobart homes profited most in Q4 2020: CoreLogic's Eliza Owen

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<p>Indicative of the magnitude of the profits realised from property over the June 2017 quarter was property resales. Combined, resales earned sellers $18.2 billion in gross profits with the median profit recorded at $195,000. On the downside, gross resale losses totalled $469.6 million with the median loss recorded at $35,000.</p>
<p>The latest CoreLogic Pain &amp; Gain June 2017 quarter report – www.corelogic.com.au/paingain (a national profit and loss analysis of property resales over the June 2017 quarter) showed that 89.8% of dwellings which resold over the period did so for more than their purchase price; a 0.3% increase from the March 2017 quarter result of 89.5%. Of the property types to resell over the period, houses scored top billing with profit gains of 92.1%, while unit resales achieved an 87.5% gain.</p>
<p>Owner occupiers were the biggest winners in the property resale stakes with overall profits estimated at 92.3%. Investors resales earned significantly less and recorded 88.1%; Sydney was the only major region of the country in where investors were more likely to resell at a profit than owner occupiers.</p>
<p>Across the combined capital cities, a significant gap in the proportion of profit-making resales was recorded by owner occupiers and investors in a number of cities; 93.7% of owner occupiers and 90.3% of investors resold their properties for a profit over the June 2017 quarter.</p>
<h3>Proportion of total resales at a loss/gain,<br>houses vs. units, Jun 2017 quarter<br> </h3>
<p><img src="https://www.corelogic.com.au/sites/default/files/styles/article_image_570w_/public/2017-10/2017-10-06-painandgain.png" alt="2017-10-06--painandgain" width="570" height="404"></p>
<p> <br>CoreLogic research analyst Cameron Kusher said, “Investors were 4.8 times as likely to resell at a loss as owner occupiers in Melbourne, in Brisbane the figure was 2.8 times and in Canberra the figure was 3.5 times.” </p>
<p>Regional area resales also enjoyed a win. For the combined regional markets, 90.0% of owner occupiers and 83.7% of investors resold their properties for a profit over the June 2017 quarter.  A greater proportion of owner occupiers continued to resell at a profit over investors. However, the same extreme differences between the vendor types as seen across some of the capital cities was not seen in regional markets. <br> <br>Mr Kusher said, “For owner occupiers, the results show the benefits of selling in a buoyant market.  In a falling market, owner occupiers may be more prepared to sell at a loss if they are purchasing their next home at an equivalent or greater discount.  Because of taxation rules, investors may be more prepared to incur a loss because they, unlike owner occupiers, can offset those loses against future capital gains.”   </p>
<p>“Should home values fall in the future, investors, which have been increasingly active in the housing market, may be more inclined to sell at a loss and offset those losses which in turn could result in much more supply becoming available for purchase at a time in which demand for housing falls because values are declining.”  </p>
<p>Regions showing low profit-making resales continue to be headed by those linked closest to the mining and resources sector. <br>   <br>Mr Kusher said “While the June 2017 quarter results show a reduction in the proportion of profit-making sales in some of these regions, home owners seem willing to sell but there remains little demand to purchase in these regions which is resulting in a high proportion of vendors materialising losses. The regions with the lowest proportion of resales at a loss makes for interesting reading.  <br>  <br>“The Sydney and Melbourne housing markets have been powerhouses over recent years however, regions outside but adjacent to Sydney are seeing a lower proportion of resales at a loss.  Similarly in Victoria, Melbourne continues to see relatively few resales at a loss however, the proportion of loss-making resales is actually lower in both Geelong and Bendigo.”</p>
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ckusher-ujnxiKuFQs

Property resale winners outstrip the losers

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<p>Hobart recorded 7.6% of houses and 10.9% of units reselling at a loss over the September 2016 quarter, according to CoreLogic's latest Pain and Gain report.</p>
<p>The property data firm says that the occurrence of resales at a loss has fallen over the quarter for houses and units in Hobart.</p>
<p>The chart below relates to Hobart only losses in houses versus units.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/30/Corelogic-18.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/30/Corelogic-18.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>The Hobart (5.9%), Clarence (9.1%) and Kingborough (11.0%) council areas had the lowest proportion of loss-making resales over the quarter.</p>
<p>The instances of resale loss were much higher in: Brighton (18.2%), Derwent Valley (17.4%) and Sorell (15.0%).</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/01/30/Corelogic-19%20copy%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/01/30/Corelogic-19%20copy%202.jpg" alt=""></p>
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Derwent Valley resales at loss still high, but Hobart sales are increasingly profiable: CoreLogic Pain and Gain

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<p>As with March quarter results, resales in the three months to June in Perth council regions showed a fairly steady portion of loss making sales, according to the recent CoreLogic Pain and Gain report.</p>
<p>The portion of loss making sales was 36.2 per cent, which the second-highest of the capital city markets behind Darwin (where more than half of resales saw a nominal decline).</p>
<p>The overall rate of loss making sales was steady, the report noted.</p>
<p>Unit sales saw a 2.5 percentage point increase in the portion of loss making sales, to 57.5 per cent.</p>
<p>The portion of loss making house sales fell 50 basis points to 32.2 per cent.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/10/7/perth%201.png" target="_blank">Click here to enlarge</a>:</p>
<p><img src="https://www.urban.com.au/images/2020/10/7/perth%201.png" alt=""></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain report</span></p>
<p>The council with the highest count of loss making unit sales was Stirling (84 sales), followed by Perth (53). These two regions accounted for around 30 per cent of loss making unit sales across Greater Perth.</p>
<p>The outlook for profitability across the Perth market in the second half of 2020 is more positive, as there are signs the market is returning to the upswing seen before COVID-19, the report noted.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/10/7/perth%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here to enlarge</a>:</p>
<p> <img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/10/7/perth%202.jpg" alt=""><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"> </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain report</span></p>
<p>Listings volumes and sales activity are rising across Perth, and through September CoreLogic’s home value index has shown signs of dwelling value increases.</p>
<p>As well as low mortgage rates and low COVID cases buoying market activity, WA has seen arguably the most demand-side housing stimulus from the state government on top of federal government schemes. This may serve to increase values and increase the incidence of profit making sales.</p>
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57.5% of Perth unit resales saw a loss: CoreLogic Pain & Gain report

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<p><span>Hobart has had the lowest rate of loss making sales among the capital city markets since March 2018, according to the recent CoreLogic Pain and Gain report. </span></p>
<p><span>The report notes this trend c</span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">ontinued in the June quarter, as loss making sales </span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">comprised 3.2% of resales, compared with an average of </span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">20.0% across the other capital cities.</span></p>
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<p><span>Despite having the lowest portion of loss making sales of the </span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">capital cities, the incidence of loss making sales did rise from 2.5% in the three months to March.</span></p>
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<p><span>The portion of profit making sales was 96.7% across houses, and 96.9% across units. </span></p>
<p><span>While units had a higher </span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">incidence of profit making sales, the rate declined by a steeper 1.1 percentage points from the March quarter, the report noted. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/10/7/hobart%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.16px;"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/10/7/hobart%201.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain report</p>
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<p><span>Hobart was also one of few areas in Australia that saw an increase in the </span><span>number </span><span>of loss making sales, from 16 in the March quarter, to 19 observed in the three months to June. </span></p>
<p><span>The unit segment across Hobart has been one of the worst affected rental markets since the onset of the pandemic.</span></p>
<p><span> Hobart unit rents fell 5.1% between March and August, driven by a fall in tourism which reportedly prompted an influx of short term accommodation supply into the long term rental market, and a fall in demand from locals working in the tourism industries. </span></p>
<p><span>The significant decline in rental incomes may prompt more investor sales until interstate borders are reopened, the report noted. </span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/10/7/adelaide%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here </a>to enlarge:</p>
<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/10/7/adelaide%202.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain report</p>
<p><span>However, the chance of this leading to an increase in loss making sales may be offset by the increase in dwelling values.</span></p>
<p><span> As with smaller markets such as Adelaide and the ACT, the Hobart dwelling market continued to increase in value from the onset of the pandemic. At August, dwelling values had risen 0.9% since the end of March.</span></p>
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Hobart dwelling market continued growing from the pandemic's onset: CoreLogic Pain & Gain report

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<p><span>Adelaide has seen an increase in the portion of profit making resales, with 9.2% of properties </span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">seeing a nominal decline in the sale price, according to the recent CoreLogic Pain and Gain report. </span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">The report notes the June quarter was a reversal of the trend seen in the March quarter, where loss making sales had trended up to 9.9% of resales.</span></p>
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<p><span>The increase in profitability was faster across houses, which saw a 70 basis point increase in the rate of profit making sales from the March to June quarter, as </span><span style="font-size: 12.16px;">opposed to a 20 basis point increase across units.</span></p>
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<p><span>93.2% of houses saw a nominal increase in price in the June quarter, compared with 79.9% of units. </span></p>
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<p><span>The portion of loss making sales was highest across the Adelaide (21.6%), Playford (21.6%) and Mallala (21.4%) LGA regions, the report notes. </span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/10/7/adelaide%201.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge: </p>
<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/10/7/adelaide%201.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain report</p>
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<p><span>The vast majority of loss making sales across the Adelaide LGA were investor-owned units, which may have been prompted by a decline in unit rent values since the onset of the pandemic. </span></p>
<p><span>However, loss making sales were more varied in characteristics across Playford, and loss making sales across Mallala were off a very low base (13 sales).</span></p>
<p><span> Mount Barker saw the highest level of profitability, with just 2.9% of properties selling for less than the previous sale price in the June quarter.</span></p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2020/10/7/adelaide%202.jpg" target="_blank">Click here</a> to enlarge:</p>
<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/10/7/adelaide%202.jpg" alt=""></span></p>
<p><span>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain report </span></p>
<p><span>Greater Adelaide has seen an increase in dwelling values since the onset of the pandemic. </span></p>
<p><span>This historically steady market will likely only see further rates of profitable sales in the second half of 2020, aided by low mortgage rates and greater consumer confidence amid low COVID case numbers, the report noted. </span></p>
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Greater Adelaide sees an increase in dwelling values: CoreLogic Pain & Gain report 

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<p><span>Over the March quarter, Adelaide saw an increase in the portion of loss-making resales, with 10 per cent of properties seeing a nominal decline in the sale price, according to CoreLogic's Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report. </span></p>
<p><span>This is a reversal of the trend seen in the December quarter, where loss- making sales had seen a consistent decline since September 2019.</span></p>
<p><span>Despite the increase in loss making sales, there were still pockets of the Greater Adelaide region where over 90.0 per cent of properties yielded a nominal gain. These include Tea Tree Gully, where 95.1 per cent of properties saw a profit, based on a typical hold period of 11.2 years. The median gain in the area was about $116,000.</span></p>
<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/7/10/19_Adelaide%201.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="362"></span></p>
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<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.</p>
<p><span>The lowest portion of profit making sales across Adelaide was in the City of Adelaide. 22.8 per cent of sales in the quarter saw a decline in the resale price, based on a median hold period of 9.0 years, and typical losses were $30,000.</span></p>
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<p><span>The Adelaide dwelling market faces some headwinds in terms of persistently high levels of unemployment, which has only been worsened by the onset of social distancing measures in response to COVID-19. As of May 2020, South Australia continued to see the highest rate of unemployment of the states and territories, at 7.2 per cent.</span></p>
<p><span>Low interest rates and strong rental yields across the Adelaide dwelling market have continued to support growth in the Adelaide property market, which was up 0.7 per cent in the June quarter, but momentum in the growth rate has been slowing over time. The incidence of profitability in resales is likely to slip further over the coming months, until the lifting of social distancing measures sees a material improvement in the labour market.</span></p>
<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/7/10/19_Adelaide%202.jpg" alt="" width="826" height="398"></span></p>
<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.</p>
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Adelaide saw an increase in loss-making resales: CoreLogic Pain & Gain

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<p><span>Over the March quarter, the portion of loss making resales across Melbourne was 6.8 per cent, according to CoreLogic's Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report. </span></p>
<p><span>This is up from 6.3 per cent in the December quarter, and down 20 basis points from 7.0 per cent in the March 2019 quarter. The portion of loss making sales among units was higher than houses, at 15.5 per cent. The portion of loss making sales in the house segment was just 2.7 per cent.</span></p>
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<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/7/10/17_Melbourne%201.jpg" alt="" width="594" height="394"></span></p>
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<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.</p>
<p><span>The highest incidence of loss making sales, as has been a </span>trend for the past few quarters, were concentrated across the Melbourne LGA region. 33.6 per cent of resales saw a loss, and the median value of losses in the region was approximately $44,500. There were approximately 120 loss making sales observed across the Melbourne council region. All of these were units, and 68.6 per cent of these were owned by investors.</p>
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<p><span>For Melbourne and parts of Victoria, the recent rise in coronavirus cases presents ongoing risk to housing market demand. Government lockdowns have been a key determinant of economic performance since the onset of the pandemic. With dwelling value declines already being led by the Melbourne market, which saw dwelling value declines of 2.3 per cent in the June quarter, it is highly likely that there will be an increase in the portion of loss making sales in the metropolitan area over the coming months.</span></p>
<p><span>But despite the increase in the </span><span>rate </span><span>of loss making resales in Melbourne, 716 loss making sales were observed over the March quarter, compared with 904 observations over the December quarter. This reinforces a sense of stability that has been maintained in the housing market at a high level, as a result of lower transaction activity. Maintaining this stability will be dependent on the banking sector and government to extend relief of mortgage repayments, and income support, until the virus curve is once again flattened across the state.</span></p>
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<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/7/10/17_Melbourne%202.jpg" alt=""></p>
<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.</p>
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6.8% of Melbourne resales made a loss: CoreLogic Pain & Gain

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<p>Some 7.6 per cent of resales saw a nominal loss across Sydney, according to CoreLogic's Pain and Gain Report March Quarter 2020. </p>
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<p><span>Alongside Hobart, Sydney was the only capital city to see a decline in </span><span>95 per cent </span><span>the portion of loss making sales, down from 7.9 per cent in the previous quarter. </span><span><br></span></p>
<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/7/10/16_Sydney%201.jpg" alt="" width="414" height="250"></span></p>
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<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.</p>
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<p><span>Across the council regions of Sydney, the highest portion of loss making sales were across Burwood (22.4 per cent), Parramatta (15.9 per cent), and Ryde and Strathfield (13.5 per cent). The Burwood council region had a high portion of loss marking sales off a </span><span>75 per cent </span><span>relatively low base. There were about 18 loss </span>making sales observed across the region, most of them units with a relatively low hold period.</p>
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<p><span>Higher levels of profitability tended to concentrate in higher socio-economic areas of Sydney, such as North Sydney, where profit making transactions made up 98.0 per cent of resales in the quarter.</span></p>
<p><span>The Blue Mountains also proved to be the second most profitable region for property sales in the March quarter, with 96.9 per cent of sales seeing an increase in the nominal sale price. However, the gain in the region was relatively low, at $287,250.</span></p>
<p><span>Increased profitability in resales was aided by a strong uplift in dwelling values over the quarter. March saw Sydney dwelling values increase 3.9 per cent. Importantly, the decline in demand resulting from responses to the pandemic has since seen values fall - 0.8 per cent over June, which will likely manifest in more loss making sales in the coming months.</span></p>
<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/7/10/16_Sydney%202.jpg" alt="" width="710" height="504"></span></p>
<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.</p>
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7.6% of Sydney resales saw a loss: CoreLogic Pain & Gain

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<p><span>Brisbane saw a fall in the incidence of profit-making resales in the March quarter, comprising 87 per cent of these transactions. This is down from 88 per cent in the December quarter, and 88.4 per cent in the March 2019 quarter.</span></p>
<p><span><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2020/7/10/18_Brisbane%201.jpg" alt="" width="491" height="323"></span></p>
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<p>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.</p>
<p><span>The house market continued to show strong returns relative to the unit market. Over the quarter, 94.6 per cent of houses saw a nominal gain compared with 63.8 per cent of units. This is due to the ongoing, divergent capital growth performance between houses and units. In the 5 years to March 2020 annualised growth across Brisbane houses was 2.7 per cent, compared to</span><span> </span><span>-0.8 per cent in units.</span></p>
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<p><span>These conditions also inform the loss making sales seen across the Brisbane Council Region. In the March quarter, 15.1 per cent of resales saw a loss. Of these loss-making sales, 88.3 per cent were units. It is also noteworthy that across the Brisbane council region, 66.0 per cent of loss making sales had been held by investors.</span></p>
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<p><span>Interestingly, the area with the highest portion of loss making sales was the Lockyer Valley Council region. This portion is off a small base, with only 21 sales in the quarter seeing a nominal decline at resale. Most of these were houses, and had a relatively lengthy median hold period of 9.7 years. However, the median loss on these properties was also relatively small, at $20,000.</span></p>
<p><span>While dwelling market demand may continue to be impacted by COVID-19, a bright spot for ongoing demand in the Queensland market is interstate migration. Over the past few years, Queensland has been the largest recipient of interstate migrants, who typically come from New South Wales or Victoria. The imposed lock down which has seen many adapt to working from home could create added demand for South East Queensland property from owner occupiers as demand returns to the economy. This is because SEQ offers a far more affordable housing price point compared with those in Sydney and Melbourne, and may have greater lifestyle appeal for some.</span></p>
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<p><span>Source: CoreLogic Pain and Gain March Quarter 2020 report.</span></p>
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