<p>A collection of just 25 large-format apartments and penthouses overlooking Goodwin Park is entering the Coolangatta market, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/marea-residences-coolangatta-27-27a-dixon-street-coolangatta-qld-4225">Maréa Residences</a> combining a low-density, residential-only approach with uninterrupted park and Pacific Ocean outlooks.</p>

<p>Located at 27 Dixon Street, Maréa comprises three and four-bedroom residences alongside a limited number of dual-level penthouses, with the project positioned between Goodwin Park and <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/coolangatta-qld-4225">Coolangatta</a>’s coastal precinct.</p>

<p>Construction has commenced, with completion currently estimated for late 2027. Three-bedroom residences are priced from $1.8 million.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374005]</p>

<p>The project has been designed around its northern outlook across the park, with the building’s architecture, landscaping and material palette intended to establish a connection with the neighbouring green space. The residences have been configured to maximise natural light and views across Goodwin Park towards the ocean.</p>

<p>Inside, the material palette incorporates timber, stone and brushed brass, complemented by curved detailing and ambient lighting. Kitchens and bathrooms carry the same natural material approach, while residences also include basement parking, storage and lift access.</p>

<p>Maréa’s penthouses are arranged over two levels and include private pools, adding another layer to the project’s focus on larger-format apartment living. Across the development, residences are configured with three or four bedrooms rather than the broader mix of smaller apartment types commonly found in larger projects.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374010]</p>

<p>Resident amenity is concentrated at rooftop level, where landscaped entertaining terraces and pools take advantage of elevated views across Coolangatta and the Pacific Ocean.</p>

<p>The project has so far been particularly well received by local owner-occupiers and downsizers, according to Urban Activation Property Sales and Marketing Director Matt George, with the residential-only format, construction quality and northern park outlook among the features resonating with purchasers.</p>

<p>“The uninterrupted northern aspect overlooking Goodwin Park has been a key point of difference, with buyers attracted to the sense of serenity and open space the park provides, while still enjoying easy access to the ocean and being within walking distance of the lifestyle and amenities Coolangatta has to offer,” George said.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=150999 project_image_fid=374002]</p>

<p>“The combination of high-quality construction, a residential-only building, park outlook and proximity to the beach has resonated strongly with the local downsizer market.”</p>

<p>The Dixon Street address is within walking distance of Coolangatta Beach and the broader southern Gold Coast coastline, including the surf breaks at Snapper Rocks and Kirra. Coolangatta’s cafés, restaurants and retail are nearby, while Gold Coast Airport is also within close proximity.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150999]</p>


Joel Robinson

Maréa Residences brings parkside apartments to Coolangatta

<p data-end="535" data-start="324">Melbourne developer PDG has secured Victorian Government approval for its $1.5 billion Southbank development <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-one-1-queens-bridge-street-southbank-vic-3006">The One</a>, clearing the way for the long-dormant riverfront site opposite Crown to finally be developed.</p>

<p data-end="717" data-start="537">The Minister for Planning has approved the project at 1-29 Queens Bridge Street, with the Department of Transport and Planning issuing the planning permit following its assessment.</p>

<p data-end="918" data-start="719">The approval will allow PDG to develop the prominent 5,059 sqm site with a major mixed-use tower comprising premium apartments, including branded residences, a luxury hotel and boutique office space.</p>

<p data-end="1131" data-start="920">PDG acquired the site in late 2024, with its position directly opposite Crown's main entrance and near Melbourne's Arts Precinct making it one of Southbank's most significant remaining development opportunities.</p>

<p data-end="1131" data-start="920"><img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="3933013e-6332-4386-b9be-089df05caf17" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.22%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=sITIgBqDL0N3VNSMwWEmF5UA.uvcsRyu" /></p>

<p data-end="1318" data-start="1133">Designed by COX in collaboration with ODO and PDG, the tower's architecture draws on the movement of the Yarra River, with six vertical pleats running the height of the sculpted facade.</p>

<p data-end="1433" data-start="1320">The project will also see the heritage-listed Queens Bridge Hotel restored and incorporated into the development&nbsp;with new hospitality and public uses, including a rooftop venue.</p>

<p data-end="1658" data-start="1591">A significant component of The One will be its residential amenity.</p>

<p data-end="1864" data-start="1660">More than 5,000 sqm of resident facilities will be delivered across a single level, making it one of the largest consolidated residential amenity offerings proposed in an Australian apartment development.</p>

<p data-end="2011" data-start="1866">The planning approval also incorporates a major upgrade of Queensbridge Square, which PDG will deliver in partnership with the City of Melbourne.</p>

<p data-end="2011" data-start="1866"><img alt="PDG" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="73167fcd-1031-4b6f-a408-a064cfe45ed1" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-27%20at%209.29.17%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Pf1AEWxw6SNmBqR0zQW5lyEze.MtxgFp" /></p>

<p data-end="2191" data-start="2013">The existing square will be revitalised as a new civic and pedestrian space along the Yarra River, strengthening the connection between the project, Southbank and the riverfront.</p>

<p data-end="2365" data-start="2193">PDG Founder and Managing Director Vince Giuliano said the approval represented a major milestone for a site which has remained largely underutilised for more than 15 years.</p>

<p data-end="2473" data-start="2367">“This is the most significant Planning Permit approval Melbourne has seen in recent years,” Giuliano said.</p>

<p data-end="2775" data-start="2475">“For more than 15 years, this site has remained underutilised. This approval enables us to deliver a project that will contribute meaningfully to the revitalisation of Southbank, restore and reactivate an important heritage building, and create a new civic and hospitality destination for Melbourne.”</p>

<p data-end="2943" data-start="2777">The latest approval follows an earlier planning permit issued by the City of Melbourne covering demolition works across part of the site at 9-29 Queens Bridge Street. Those demolition and early works are already underway.</p>

<p data-end="3145" data-start="3001">PDG has also started generating early interest in the residential component from owner-occupiers ahead of a planned public launch in early 2027.</p>


PDG secures approval for $1.5bn Southbank apartment development, The One

<p>Local developer Harridan is seeking to turn its Woolloongabba apartment project into the first stage of a broader transformation of Burke Street, using a new 16-storey mixed-use building to establish a greener pedestrian connection toward the rapidly evolving Boggo Road transport and knowledge precinct.</p>

<p>The South East Queensland developer has filed plans for 154 apartments on the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/4-burke-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">southern side of Burke Street</a>, where its proposal has been designed alongside a wider vision by LatStudios for the street.</p>

<p>That vision positions the southern side of Burke Street for buildings of 15 storeys and above, while envisaging lower-rise development of up to five storeys on the northern side to transition into Woolloongabba's existing character housing. It also proposes wider pedestrian verges, deep planting, new street trees and upgrades to the pedestrian approach to Boggo Road Station.</p>

<p>The Harridan development itself has been designed by Brisbane-based Arqus Design and will comprise 154 apartments across 16 storeys. The mix is weighted heavily toward two-bedroom apartments, with 121 proposed alongside 10 one-bedroom and 23 three-bedroom residences. There will typically be around 14 units per floor.</p>

<p>A lower-ground car park and three podium levels will accommodate 156 resident parking spaces, along with visitor and commercial parking. There will also be 154 resident bicycle spaces and 40 visitor bicycle parks.</p>

<p>&nbsp;</p>

<p>Harridan is a family-owned developer and part of the Holmwood Highgate Group, with more than three decades of development activity across South East Queensland. Its portfolio spans residential, commercial and industrial property, with current residential projects including Riverbank on Byron in Bulimba, Esperance Residences in Carina and The Precinct at Kinross Road in Thornlands.</p>

<p>Wooloongabba has been popular for apartment developers, particularly since the announcement of the 2032 Summer Olympics games in Brisbane.</p>

<p>While there have been a lot of development applications, it has failed to materialize into real supply.&nbsp;</p>

<p>Sarazin has been the major player in the area. They are under construction at Murcia Residences, on the fringe of East Brisbane and Woolloongabba. They have just launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/the-stanley-residences-woolloongabba-8-trafalgar-street-woolloongabba-qld-4102">The Stanley Residences</a>, in Woolloongabba on Trafalagar Street. They also have Nuage coming soon on the nearby <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/nuage-woolloongabba-14-wellington-road-woolloongabba-qld-4102">Wellington Road</a>.</p>


First look: Harridan plans Burke Street transformation beside Boggo Road transport hub

<p><strong>IN BRIEF</strong></p>

<ul>
	<li>
	<p>Just three double-storey Sky Homes sit at the top of The Waterline, each with its own private marina berth and rooftop terrace.</p>
	</li>
	<li>
	<p>Construction on The Waterline is complete, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.</p>
	</li>
	<li>
	<p>Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and are priced from $3.65 million.</p>
	</li>
</ul>

<hr />
<p>Lewis Land has opened the first completed sky home for inspection at Harbour Shores, giving buyers their first opportunity to step inside one of just three double-storey residences crowning The Waterline.</p>

<p>Each sky home comes with its own private marina berth, rooftop terrace and Broadwater views, combining the scale of a larger home with direct access to the boating lifestyle that underpins the wider <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/harbour-shores-biggera-waters-564-oxley-drive-biggera-waters-qld-4216">Harbour Shores</a> masterplan.</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366708]</p>

<p>Lewis Land Head of Development Michael Long said the inclusion of a berth with every Sky Home had become increasingly valuable as marina access across the Gold Coast tightened.</p>

<p>“Marina berths are becoming increasingly difficult to secure across the Gold Coast, so including one with every Sky Home makes this a genuinely rare offering,” Long said.</p>

<p>“The private 70-berth marina will accommodate boats up to 12 metres in length and is positioned just 2.5 kilometres from the Broadwater, placing the open ocean only 15 minutes away.</p>

<p>“Being able to step out of your home onto your boat is a rare luxury, and it’s something residents here can look forward to when it opens later this year.”</p>

<p>[smartcode_project:default project_id=113271 project_image_fid=366709]</p>

<p>The display opening comes as construction completes on The Waterline, with the first residents expected to move in from mid-October.</p>

<p>The three Sky Homes range from 282 sqm to 367 sqm and each feature three bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive kitchens with butler's pantries and large balconies taking in the Broadwater outlook.</p>

<p>Each residence also has three secure basement car spaces and additional storage.</p>

<p>“This is the first opportunity the Gold Coast has had to step into Harbour Shores and see, touch and feel what we’re bringing to life here,” Long said.</p>

<p>“There are only three Sky Homes within The Waterline, ranging in size from 282sqm to 367sqm, with each residence featuring three large bedrooms, three bathrooms, multiple living zones, expansive custom-built kitchens with butler’s pantry, and large balconies capturing Broadwater views.”</p>

<p><img alt="Harbour Shores" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bab65e10-4fab-45e1-92d8-fc56e2ab98ff" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-25%20at%202.00.16%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=XT8q76LsPkw3cYTsvN3JfFDaPLud90PN" /></p>

<p>Residents of The Waterline will have access to a private pool, along with Harbour Shores' wider collection of amenity including a lagoon pool, social clubhouse, tennis court, gym, yoga facilities and sauna.</p>

<p>Lewis Land partnered with Studio Collective to furnish the completed display, with the interiors designed to demonstrate how the residences could function as permanent homes rather than simply as show apartments.</p>

<p>Studio Collective Director Melissa Park said the surrounding waterways informed the interiors, but in a more restrained way than a traditional coastal scheme.</p>

<p>“We drew inspiration from the canals and coastal surrounds, but our approach was to interpret that subtly through layered materials and a grounded palette of earthy tones, rather than literal coastal references,” Park said.</p>

<p>“We introduced hero moments of green and teal to reference the surrounding waterways, while mirrored elements help reflect natural light.</p>

<p>“The result is a residence that feels elevated yet comfortable, somewhere buyers can genuinely imagine themselves living, entertaining and unwinding.”</p>

<p>Sky Homes are priced from $3.65 million.</p>

<p>Lewis Land is also offering private marina berths with The Residences, its limited collection of three and four-bedroom villas positioned directly along the Harbour Shores waterfront boardwalk.</p>

<p>Three-bedroom villas are priced from $2.99 million, while four-bedroom residences start from $3.19 million.</p>

<p>Harbour Shores is being marketed by Colliers International.</p>

<p data-end="555" data-start="341">[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=113271]</p>


Lewis Land opens sky home display as The Waterline completes at Harbour Shores

<p data-end="387" data-start="97">St Vincent de Paul Society Housing Australia has filed plans for a major mixed-use housing precinct on the southern edge of the North Sydney CBD, adding another significant proposal to a pocket around North Sydn​ey Station that is quickly becoming one of the LGA's busiest development zones.</p>

<p data-end="697" data-start="389">The State Significant Development Application covers a 5,990 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/1-19-mackenzie-street-lavender-bay-nsw-2060">1-19 MacKenzie Street and 211 Blues Point Road in Lavender Bay</a>, immediately south of Nor​th Sydney Station and between the commercial core and the lower-rise Lavender Bay Heritage Conservation Area.</p>

<p data-end="925" data-start="699">Designed by Wardle, the proposal would deliver a new residential tower comprising 88 build-to-sell apartments and 19 affordable apartments, alongside a separate co-living building with 57 rooms and a building manager's studio.</p>

<p data-end="1217" data-start="927">It would also see the significant restoration and upgrade of St Francis Xavier Catholic Church, the adaptive reuse of the former school building, new parish facilities, retail, a new public square and around 1,000 sqm of publicly accessible open space.</p>

<p data-end="1217" data-start="927"><img alt="Vinnies North Sydney" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d5dd7f87-a617-463e-b577-17541e01f0e9" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.10.13%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=4R8TsFN3P_LrrXO2HswTOIrx2blil8lh" /></p>

<p data-end="1538" data-start="1219">The project is seeking a concurrent rezoning of the site to R4 High Density Residential and an increase in the maximum building height to allow a tower reaching RL120, or up to 20 storeys. The proposal was progressed through the NSW Government's Housing Delivery Authority pathway.</p>

<p data-end="1723" data-start="1540">The build-to-sell component will be weighted toward larger apartments, with just six one-bedroom apartments compared with 31 two-beds, 43 three-beds and eight four-bedroom residences.</p>

<p data-end="2063" data-start="1725">The 19 affordable apartments will comprise two studios, 15 one-bedroom apartments and two two-bedroom apartments, taking the total apartment component to 107 residences before the 58 co-living rooms are included.</p>

<p data-end="2063" data-start="1725"><img alt="Vnnies" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="7d568ca5-cb90-4e18-96c6-d9795dba0c56" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.10.05%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=GY2R5M9VtQh0EKy1vajaea19PSLOPuRD" /></p>

<p data-end="2205" data-start="2065">Wardle's design for the Vinnies site has sought to negotiate that emerging high-rise context while retaining the lower-scale character of MacKenzie Street and the adjoining heritage conservation area.</p>

<p data-end="4244" data-start="4087">The main building adopts a three-storey podium and tower arrangement, with the podium aligned to the ridgeline and front setback of St Francis Xavier Church.&nbsp;Wardle has designed the podium with colonnades, seating, recessed entries and active ground-floor frontages, with sandstone-toned precast concrete and face brick referencing the materiality of the existing church.</p>

<p data-end="4598" data-start="4246">The tower then steps back eight metres to the south and six metres to the north before rising in a sculpted form comprising four interlocking quadrants. Wardle has also introduced rounded forms and chamfered corners to reduce the tower's perceived bulk and improve view sharing with neighbouring development sites.</p>

<p data-end="4798" data-start="4600">Resident facilities and outdoor areas are planned at the separation between the podium and tower at Level 3, oriented toward Sydney Harbour and the CBD skyline.</p>

<p data-end="4798" data-start="4600">The tower itself will feature a glass reinforced concrete facade, with recessed balconies and deep reveals used both to provide shading and privacy and frame views toward the harbour and city. The lower levels take a different architectural approach, using brick and sandstone-toned finishes intended to establish a stronger relationship with St Francis Xavier Church. The Church itself will be conserved and upgraded for its continued use, while the former school building will be adaptively reused as part of the co-living component.</p>

<p data-end="5032" data-start="4800"><img alt="Lavendar Bay" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2d4418ad-90aa-4d49-af93-c80b140aea80" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-08-26%20at%209.09.47%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=Kv4gzbsACaGvZSRuaqcfGC54jEJRXIDJ" /></p>

<p data-end="5486" data-start="5211">&nbsp;</p>

<p data-end="2205" data-start="2065">The proposal adds to an increasingly concentrated pipeline of residential development around Blue Street, MacKenzie Street and Lavender Bay.</p>

<p data-end="2375" data-start="2207">Just west of the site, Central Element lodged plans earlier this year for one of the most significant residential developments proposed in Lavender Bay in recent years.</p>

<p data-end="2712" data-start="2377">Central Element's SJB-designed scheme at 64-66 Lavender Street and 3-7 Middlemiss Street would deliver 163 apartments across two towers rising 23 and 32 storeys, replacing five existing apartment buildings containing 32 homes. The project also forms part of the Housing Delivery Authority pathway.</p>

<p data-end="2751" data-start="2714"><em><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-central-element-reveals-lavender-bay-apartment-plans?utm_source=chatgpt.com" rel="noopener" target="_blank">First look: Central Element reveals Lavender Bay apartment plans</a></em></p>

<p data-end="2865" data-start="2753">Immediately around North Sy​dney Station, another two significant proposals have emerged at 5 and 15 Blue Street.</p>

<p data-end="3067" data-start="2867">Zurich Australian Insurance Properties is seeking to adaptively reuse its longstanding commercial building at 5 Blue Street, directly above North Sydney Station, rather than demolishing the structure.</p>

<p data-end="3379" data-start="3069">Its SSDA proposes converting the building into a 14-storey mixed-use development with 62 apartments and 86 co-living rooms, together with ground-floor retail and a major refurbishment of Blue Street Plaza. The application is currently at the Response to Submissions stage.</p>

<p data-end="3379" data-start="3069"><a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-zurich-targets-north-sydney-office-conversion-with-148-unit-proposal-above-metro-station"><em>First look: Zurich targets North Sydney office conversion with 148-unit proposal above Metro station</em></a></p>

<p data-end="3883" data-start="3659">&nbsp;</p>


First look: Vinnies files for 20-storey Lavender Bay apartment tower as North Sydney housing pocket heats up

APRA

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<h3 class="post-title entry-title"> </h3>
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<div>Won't spend too much time on this, as the Financial Aggregates figures relate to before APRA's latest round of changes and therefore the landscape has once again shifted. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The Reserve Bank's latest figures showed credit growth of 0.3 percent in February, following on from a result of just 0.2 percent in January. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Housing credit increased by 0.6 percent in the month, but both business and personal credit growth were negative.</div>
<div> </div>
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<div> </div>
<div>Over the year to February housing credit increased by 6.4 percent down from 7.3 percent a year ago, with investor credit rising a notch further to 6.7 percent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Annual credit growth slowed to 5 percent from 6.6 percent a year ago.</div>
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<div> </div>
<div>Business credit growth in particular has slowed from 6.5 percent a year ago to just 3.7 percent.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There are many ways to fund business expansion,of course, but this doesn't necessarily bode well for the business investment outlook. </div>
<div> </div>
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<br>As a result, housing now accounts for a record 61.7 percent of outstanding credit.</div>
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<br><div>There was a further $1 billion of housing loan purpose switching taking the total switched to owner-occupier from investor loans since July 2015 to $50 billion. </div>
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<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/4/RBA.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<br>And housing credit outstanding increased to $1.65 trillion by February 2017.<br><br>More measures have since been taken to slow the creation of new interest-only loans.</div>
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<p class="p1"><span class="s1">PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank"><span class="s2">AllenWargent</span></a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank"><span class="s2">blogger</span></a>.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s3"><em>His latest book is </em><a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank"><span class="s2"><em>Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</em></span></a><em>.</em></span></p>
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pwargent-M4siyDbqQY

Housing credit growth slows

<html><body>
<p>The level of bank discounting to borrowers will be closely scrutinised by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority given the regulators' heightened focus on responsible lending, Deloitte partner Kevin Nixon has warned.</p>
<p>"If you are offering big discounts, you can expect APRA to ask why, particularly if it looks like the main goal is to increase volumes ahead of quarterly announcements. Further, under the broader culture remit there will be a focus on transparency and fairness in pricing," Mr Nixon told Fairfax Media.</p>
<p>Banks will continue to offer owner occupiers steep discounts on standard variable rates to protect their market share as investor lending is tightened, Deloitte's annual Australian mortgage report has suggested.</p>
<p>Major banks had been offering owner occupiers discounts on the standard variable rate of up to 130 basis points. </p>
<p>Discounts are currently tracking at 100 basis points, it noted, where loans are for 80 per cent or less of the value of the property.</p>
<p>New owner occupiers or those refinancing loans should be able to access financing at around 4 per cent.</p>
<p>A survey of mortgage experts expect discounting for owner occupiers to continue, but perhaps at a reduced rate of between 80 and 120 basis points this year. </p>
<p>Leaning towards 80 basis points, said AFG executive director Malcolm Watkins.</p>
<p>But for investors, loan discounts have tightened.</p>
<p>Deloitte said the ongoing discounts on banks' "front book" (new loans) are putting pressure on net interest margins, which is increasing the pressure to increase standard variable rates on the "back book" (existing loans).</p>
<p>Deloitte's report was based the report on a survey with 10 leaders of the mortgage industry.</p>
<p>The participants in the survey were: banks Commonwealth Bank of Australia, National Australia Bank, Bank of Queensland and Suncorp; non-bank lenders Pepper Group and Homeloans; mortgage brokers AFG and eChoice; and consultants CoreLogic and Steve Weston.</p>
<p>Half of the survey participants said they expect settlement volumes to fall this year compared to 2016.</p>
<p>But six out of 10 respondents say house prices will continue to grow, albeit at a lower level than 2015 to 2016. </p>
<p>Two participants in the survey said house price growth could be higher than 2016 levels; while two said it would be flat - but no-one is forecasting that house prices in Sydney or Melbourne would fall, or that there would be a significant downturn across the country.</p>
<p>Meg Bonighton, general manager of home lending at NAB, said tighter lending standards and the macroprudential investor loan growth caps will see demand from investors and overseas borrowers "continuing to moderate" in 2017.</p>
<p>"In general, it will soften the impact on house price growth that we've seen over the past couple of years, while pockets of major cities are likely to continue with solid growth," she said.</p>
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Deloitte warns APRA is watching bank discounting

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<div>
<p>APRA announced further measures to cool certain sectors of the housing market last week.</p>
<p>Every man and his dog has written about this already, with a few excellent insights and some interpretations that were just plain weird - so let's keep this post as short as possible, shall we? </p>
<p>OK, here we go...</p>
<p>APRA wants lenders to place strict internal limits on the volume of interest-only lending at loan-to-value ratios (LVRs) above 80 percent, so firstly some lenders will immediately require a 20 per cent deposit for this type of loan. A shift in this direction has already taken place to some extent, so the impact of this may be marginal.</p>
<p>Lenders must now also ensure there is "strong scrutiny and justification of any instances of interest-only lending at an LVR above 90 percent", so interest-only loans with a deposit of less than 10 per cent will generally go the way of the dodo and the lo-doc loan. </p>
<p>Again, this has by and large already happened, but will have the ongoing effect of knocking a few more first-time buyers out of the market, while having no impact on incumbent owners with existing equity.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge </a></p>
</div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/02/C2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Speed limit</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>The existing 10 per cent cap on growth for investment mortgage books will remain in place. I've spoken to branch managers and bank owners, and their view is generally that this won't have too much impact since new loans can always be pushed back a month.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>But a third impact may be that some lenders have to wind their necks in just a little bit further. </div>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C4.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a> </p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/02/C4.jpg" alt=""></div>
<p> </p>
<div>Fourthly, there will likely be a shift in the investor loan segment of the market towards private financiers or non-bank lenders, perhaps some of whom may offer commercial-style rates. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Fifthly, banks have been presented with an open goal here for raising the rates on their investor loans, so rates will inevitably be ratcheted higher in due course. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Switch...</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>Between July 2015 and February 2017 some $50 billion of loans were switched from investor to owner-occupier mortgages following the introduction of an interest rate differential between the two types of loan. A sixth impact will therefore be yet further switching of loan purpose. </div>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C3.jpg" target="_blank"> Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/02/C3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<p><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Why worry?</span></strong></p>
<div>
<span>So far, so unremarkable. </span><span>But there's more...</span>
</div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>By far the most important impact will be a new 'speed limit' on interest-only loans in Australia, with APRA now aiming to limit the <strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">flow</span></strong> of new interest-only lending to 30 per cent of total new residential mortgage lending.</span></div>
<div><span><br>At the heady peak more than 45 per cent of new loans were interest-only in nature, with investors in particular favouring this type of product in order to maximise their tax deductible expenses.  </span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>A seventh impact will be that new owner-occupiers wanting to use this type of product in future may be given their marching orders, and possibly some aged borrowers too. </span></div>
<p><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/04/02/C1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></p>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/04/02/C1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div>Eighthly, if that is even a real word, two of Australia's major banks have been rolling over interest-only loans more or less automatically at the end of the interest-only period, and these lenders will almost certainly now require a far more stringent assessment. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Of course, few borrowers will default on a loan when they've seen the value of their Sydney property double over the preceding five years, though they might choose to sell off their investment if the repayments become too arduous. The impact in markets where dwelling prices have declined might prove to be an altogether more dramatic story.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The ninth impact - perhaps an over-arching point really - is that far too many investors have simply assumed they will continue rolling interest-only debt <em>ad infinitum, </em>and they may now have to get it into their heads that they will be paying back principal sooner or later.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Seemingly every other week an article surfaces featuring 'young gun investors' with a dozen interest-only loans having been used to buy high-yielding properties in far-flung areas. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Credit markets tend to move in cycles, so APRA's changes may or may not be permanent, but in the prevailing market conditions some borrowers could get caught short if they've simply planned to continue rolling interest-only debt on an endless loop. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Oh, and there may be further macroprudential measures to come!</div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank"><span class="s2">AllenWargent</span></a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank"><span class="s2">blogger</span></a>.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s3"><em>His latest book is </em><a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank"><span class="s2"><em>Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</em></span></a><em>.</em></span></p>
</div>
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APRA offers further measures to cool certain housing market sectors

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<p><img src="https://counter.theconversation.edu.au/content/75539/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-advanced" alt="The Conversation" width="1" height="1"></p>
<p>GUEST OBSERVER</p>
<p>The Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA) and the Reserve Bank (RBA) are locked into a strange game of tweaking with economic levers to try and reduce the risk of a rapidly growing property market.</p>
<p>But past cycles of rate rises and rules to try and curb lending to investors show the effectiveness of these measures is running out.</p>
<p>It also underscores the problems arising from a government unwilling to tackle the problem at source – the perverse incentives in the tax system. </p>
<p>Looking back to December 2014, the RBA voiced its mounting concerns about the rapid growth in lending to property investors and the steep increases in property prices it was fuelling. But rather than address these concerns by raising interest rates, as the RBA had done in somewhat similar circumstances in the early 2000s, it was instead left to the banking system regulator APRA to tackle this by writing a letter to banks and other mortgage lenders about the need for more cautious mortgage lending practices.</p>
<p>This letter laid down new rules capping the annual growth in lending to investors at a benchmark of 10%. APRA also set stricter criteria for determining whether borrowers could repay their loans if interest rates were to change. </p>
<p>This warning from the regulator had its desired effect. The share of new housing loans made to investors fell from over 40% during the 2014-15 financial year to less than 30% by the December quarter of 2015.</p>
<p>And this in turn saw the annual growth rate of loans to property investors slow from a peak of 10.8% in the June quarter of 2015 to less than 8% by the end of 2015. It fell again to less than 5% by the September quarter of last year. </p>
<p>The banks also fell into line with the new rules, cutting back on other more risky types of lending, such as interest-only loans, and loans with initial loan-to-valuation ratios in excess of 90%.</p>
<p>The RBA was especially pleased with these developments, thinking that the risk was easing. So when it met again in May last year, the RBA Board was persuaded to cut the cash rate to a new record low of 1.75%,in response to a much-lower-than-expected inflation result for the March quarter. </p>
<p>The RBA still seemed content at its August 2016 meeting, seeing the easing conditions in the housing market as being consistent with APRA tightening the lending standard screws. It decided on another cut in the cash rate, to 1.5%.</p>
<p>But now investors have come back into the property market with a vengeance. These two reductions in interest rates have in effect overwhelmed the tightening in lending standards enforced by APRA during the first half of 2015.</p>
<p>This resurgence in lending to property investors has pushed up property prices once again, especially in Sydney and Melbourne. Dwelling values rose by 18.4% in Sydney and 13.1% Melbourne respectively, over the year to February.</p>
<p>The share of new loans going to investors has picked up from less than 30% in the December quarter 2015, to over 35% in the December quarter 2016, according to APRA statistics. This is from less than 44% of new housing finance commitments (excluding refinancings) in November 2015 to more than 50% in January 2017 according to ABS housing finance statistics. </p>
<p>The annual growth rate of loans outstanding to housing investors, as published by the RBA, has accelerated from 4.6% last August to 6.7% in February this year: over the last four months, lending to property investors has risen at an annualised rate of 8.0%. </p>
<p>Now the RBA is back to being concerned about a build up of risks associated with the housing market. </p>
<p>The RBA’s Assistant Governor (Financial System), Michele Bullock, acknowledges that although APRA’s 2015 actions “did address some of the risks” that had been mounting during 2014, “the initial effects on credit…may fade over time”. She added that APRA and the RBA “are prepared to do more if needed”. But since the RBA clearly has no appetite to reverse last year’s rate cuts any time soon, the only feasible option in the short term option is for APRA to do something about the Sydney and Melbourne markets. </p>
<p>So APRA has today take another another bite at the cherry, requiring banks to restrict new interest-only lending to 30% of all new loans (a lower proportion than at any time since early 2009) and to ensure that growth in lending to investors is “comfortably below” the 10% cap.</p>
<p>What all of this highlights is the limited effectiveness of so-called “macro-prudential” measures in countering the very strong incentives to invest in residential property. These incentives are created by the combination of record low interest rates and the unusually generous treatment which the Australian taxation system gives to the costs of and returns from debt-funded property investment. </p>
<p>While some commentators have urged the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates in order to dampen the latest surge in borrowing to invest in residential property, this seems unlikely. The RBA continues to expect inflation to remain below its 2-3% target range until at least the middle of next year, and unemployment to remain closer to 6% than to 5%.</p>
<p>It would be far better if the federal government were to tackle the problem at source. He could do this either by limiting the scope for negative gearing or reducing the capital gains tax discount, as Malcolm Turnbull once advocated (in a 2005 paper co-authored with the ANU’s Jeromey Temple). Even the Property Council of Australia has conceded should be lowered to 40%, and denied altogether on investments held for less than two years. </p>
<p>However, given the government’s unwillingness to consider such measures, it seems more likely that APRA may have to become even more prescriptive with its lending criteria. And, as we have seen, in the current interest rate environment that is merely a bandaid solution – and bandaids eventually wear off.</p>
<p><em><span class="fn author-name">Saul Eslake is v</span>ice-chancellor’s Fellow, University of Tasmania and author for The Conversation. He can be contacted <a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/saul-eslake-665" target="_blank">here</a>.</em></p>
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

The APRA bandaid for the housing market is wearing off: Saul Eslake

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<div class="cq-article-content-paras section">
<p>Australian Prudential Regulation Authority chair Wayne Byres has defended bank profitability as a necessary buffer for a likely economic downturn.</p>
<p>Byres said a typical economic cycle is "eight good years and two tough years" and that banks should be able to "earn something above your cost of equity in the good times where inevitably you build up the buffers to hold you in good stead when the cycle turns."</p>
<p>"We are very conscious that we are running on a long cycle and inevitably it must turn." </p>
<p>"We haven't found a way to abolish the cycle. We are a small country in a global economy and as well as we manage things in this country we always get tossed around by events overseas."</p>
<p>Byres said while the system was in good shape, there should be a focus on building up its resilience.</p>
<p>"At some point the cycle will turn and we want to be able to say, when the times were good, we put aside something for a rainy day. The rainy day has arrived and we can move through it."</p>
<p>APRA's function is to protect the savings deposited into the banking system by making sure these institutions are sound.</p>
<p>ASIC and APRA form part of the Council of Financial Regulators, along with the Reserve Bank and the Treasury, and work in concert on certain issues, including macroprudential policies </p>
<p>Byres refused to even mention the "B-word", the Australian Financial Review noted after he spoke at an annual ASIC forum.</p>
<p>"It is superficial. It implies we are binary. We are in it [a bubble], we are not in it. If we are in it we're all going to [be] ruined. If we are not in it we're going to be right. It's too simplistic."</p>
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Bank profits needed for an inevitable rainy day: APRA's Wayne Byres

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<p>APRA has released its conclusions and high-level observations from its thematic review of commercial property lending over 2016.</p>
<p>Brandon Khoo, executive general manager, Diversified Institutions Division said the review was in response to recent market dynamics and indications that underwriting standards were under competitive pressure.</p>
<p>He said as part of the review, APRA assessed the portfolio controls and underwriting standards of a number of larger domestic banks and foreign bank branches.</p>
<p>"In current market conditions, it is important that the Boards of ADIs are conscious of the settings for underwriting standards and portfolio controls, and in a position to challenge as appropriate," he said.</p>
<p>"In particular, Boards should actively challenge whether expectations of growth in commercial property lending are achievable, given the position in the credit cycle, without compromising the quality of lending.</p>
<p>"APRA’s review revealed that the ability of the Board and senior management to fully understand and challenge the risk profile of lending has often been hampered by inadequate data, poor monitoring and incomplete portfolio controls. APRA expects ADIs to improve their capabilities in this area, and has written to individual ADIs with specific requirements in these areas."</p>
<p>Below is a copy of the review</p>
<p>INDUSTRY OBSERVATIONS</p>
<div class="page" title="Page 2">
<div class="section">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
<p><span>Underwriting Standards </span></p>
<p><span>Sound credit underwriting standards are fundamental to the safety and soundness of lenders, as well as the stability of the financial system as a whole. This is particularly the case in the area of commercial property lending, which has historically been the source of significant credit losses for the Australian banking industry. It is critical that ADIs maintain appropriate standards through the credit cycle, and are prepared to tighten those standards as circumstances dictate. </span></p>
<p><span>APRA has observed a general tightening of underwriting standards, especially for residential development lending, over the past year or so. This has not been uniform, however, and there is a need for ADIs to exercise particular care to ensure that they are not unduly accepting greater risk as other lenders step back. </span></p>
<p><span>The review also revealed evidence that some ADIs were justifying a particular underwriting stance based on what the ADI understood to be the criteria applied by another lender. Underwriting standards </span><span>should be reflective of the ADI’s </span><span>own risk appetite and not based on a </span><span>potentially erroneous appreciation of a competitor’s criteria. </span></p>
<p><span>A summary of key observations follows: </span></p>
Income producing investment lending</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Insufficient constraints on debt size - A key concern is where ADIs have not adjusted the minimum Interest Cover Ratio (ICR), used for debt sizing investment loans, as interest rates have declined. At this point in time, APRA does not intend to prescribe an approach to setting minimum ICRs for debt sizing purposes; however, it does expect ADIs to have thoroughly considered and addressed this risk. ADIs should similarly consider their policies in relation to Loan to Valuation Ratios (LVRs) in light of recent strong asset price growth.</div>
<div class="column">
<br>Debt yield as a complementary underwriting measure - Debt yield (net operating income to total debt) is used by some overseas banks as a key underwriting measure, but it is not commonly used within the Australian market. This metric, supported by prudent ICR and LVR measures as appropriate, could offer benefits to lenders as it provides a measurement of risk that is independent of the interest rate, amortisation period, and capitalisation rate.<br><p>Need for greater focus on refinancing risk - A number of ADIs demonstrated only limited analysis of the risk in refinancing a facility at maturity. </p>
<div class="page" title="Page 2">
<div class="section">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">
<p>Residential Development Lending</p>
Sponsors to contribute sufficient equity – A number of ADIs noted an increasing awareness of the use of mezzanine debt / quasi equity from third parties and reliance on material uplifts in land valuations to reduce the size of a sponsor’s contribution of ‘hard equity’. APRA expects ADIs ensure a sufficient level of ‘hard equity’ is at risk from sponsors.<br><p>Presale quality and coverage – In the past year, some ADIs have tightened underwriting criteria for presales coverage following market concerns with regard to settlement risk. ADIs are now generally requiring qualifying presales equivalent to at least 100 percent of committed debt and have tightened the proportion of qualifying presales permitted to foreign purchasers. However, there was still scope for improvement in a number of ADIs’ policies on what constituted a qualifying presale, and the thoroughness of analysis of presales achieved for particular transactions was sometimes lacking.</p>
<p> Need to consider end product, location and quality – The consideration of potential marketability issues for properties, such as being poorly located, small apartments lacking in amenities and/or suffering from design issues, was not always evidenced in transaction analysis.</p>
<p>Portfolio Controls</p>
<p>A key finding from the thematic review is that many participating ADIs fell well short of expectations regarding portfolio controls for commercial property. This has been in part driven by an underinvestment in information systems, leading to challenges in extracting portfolio data. Ready availability of detailed and reliable transaction level data, appropriately aggregated, is a key component in obtaining a sound and complete understanding of the risk profile of the commercial property portfolio. Deficiencies in data hamper an ADI’s ability to implement and monitor underwriting standards and portfolio controls.</p>
<p>A summary of key observations follows:</p>
<div class="page" title="Page 3">
<div class="section">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">Availability of transaction data lacking – The identification, recording, tracking and reporting of key transaction characteristics, in a manner which can be readily aggregated, is fundamental to sound risk management. These transaction characteristics include asset type, geographic location, construction contractor and developer concentrations and key underwriting metrics such as ICR, debt yield, loan-to- development costs (LDC), presales to debt cover and LVR. Analysis of these transaction drivers helps an ADI to understand its risk profile at different stages of the cycle. A large number of ADIs were unable to readily provide reasonably basic portfolio information to APRA as part of this review.<br><p>Portfolio limits can be improved – APRA expects that ADIs with commercial property exposures should manage not only the risk of individual loans but also consider build-ups in risk at the portfolio level. A deeper understanding of the portfolio can be particularly helpful for the Board and senior management in setting and monitoring portfolio limits, and adherence to the lender’s risk appetite, as market conditions change. One fundamental management control to prevent a build-up in risk is an overarching sector concentration limit, as per Prudential Standard APS 221 Large exposures. Better practice would be to also have sub-limits to control concentrations in riskier segments of the portfolio, such as lending for development or land. In addition, improvements in data and system capabilities would permit the establishment of a more targeted risk metrics and controls relating to key transaction drivers for the stage of the cycle.</p>
<p>Better practice is for deep dives into heightened risk segments – A number of participating ADIs had reacted to perceptions of heightened risk in market segments by undertaking deep dive exercises, targeted stress tests and the provisions of additional targeted reports to key stakeholders. This was particularly noticeable for locations where there was considered to be increased settlement risk and had led, in some cases, to tightened underwriting standards for that segment.</p>
<p>Identifying and managing exposures originated outside of standards</p>
<div class="page" title="Page 4">
<div class="section">
<div class="layoutArea">
<div class="column">Inadequate monitoring of exceptions to underwriting standards - Many ADIs fell short of APRA’s expectations with respect to monitoring exceptions to policy and underwriting standards in the commercial property portfolio. This has been a long-standing concern and many ADIs need to improve their capabilities in this area. Inadequate monitoring of policy exceptions/overrides potentially exposes the ADI to a build-up of risk outside of the documented underwriting standards, representing a shift in risk profile beyond the levels formally approved.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Insufficient justification for deviation from standards – APRA’s review of transactions with higher risk characteristics, or outside ADI underwriting standards, indicated varying levels of qualitative assessment supporting the taking on of higher risk. Justifying lending decisions on the basis of ‘long-standing relationship’ or ‘good track record’ are insufficient, by themselves, to mitigate higher risk characteristics such as higher leverage or weaker presale cover, especially if these are outside approved underwriting standards. </div>
</div>
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</div>
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<p> </p>
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

ADIs fall short regarding portfolio controls for commercial property: APRA

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<p>The banking regulator has nudged banks to improve their standards in commercial lending, saying sound underwriting standards are important for the safety of the banking system and the financial system as whole. </p>
<p>The letter from the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority comes in the wake of its review of the commercial property sector in 2016 after a surge in prices owing to more offshore demand from sovereign wealth funds and pension funds.  </p>
<p>The letter starts with the statement that commercial property lending “has historically been a source of significant loss for banks, both in Australia and overseas,” and goes on to say that lenders have not properly managed their risk profile of for commercial lending due to inadequate data, poor monitoring and incomplete portfolio controls. </p>
<p>The APRA said it expects authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs) to improve their capabilities in this area, and has written to individual lenders about their specific requirements.</p>
<p>The note states that under “current market conditions, it is important that the Boards of ADIs are conscious of the settings for underwriting standards and portfolio controls, and in a position to challenge as appropriate”.</p>
<p>Sound credit underwriting standards are fundamental to the safety and soundness of lenders, as well as the stability of the financial system as a whole, it adds. “This is particularly the case in the area of commercial property lending, which has historically been the source of significant credit losses for the Australian banking industry. “</p>
<p>It said the review found that many ADIs fell short of expectations regarding portfolio controls for commercial property, driven in part by "an underinvestment in information systems, leading to challenges in extracting portfolio data".</p>
<p>The letter states it is “critical that ADIs maintain appropriate standards through the credit cycle, and are prepared to tighten those standards as circumstances dictate”. </p>
<p>It noted that though there was a general tightening of underwriting standards, especially for residential development lending, it hadn’t been uniform and lenders would do well to ensure that they are not unduly accepting greater risk as other lenders step back. </p>
<p>Banks have been particularly careful about lending to investors in the residential sector, with Commonwealth Bank and its subsidiary, BankWest, recently taking steps to curb refinancing of investor loans.</p>
<p>On commercial lending, the regulator said it expects ADIs to manage “not only the risk of individual loans but also consider build-ups in risk at the portfolio level”. </p>
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prateek24-ezbwHMbNAk

APRA cautions banks on poor commercial lending standards 

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<p>APRA reported that residential housing loan ADI exposures continued to power on, up to $1.49 trillion in the December quarter (and beyond $1.5 trillion in January).</p>
<p>Owner-occupied loans totalled $971 billion, comprising 65 percent of outstanding residential property exposures, an increase of $86.5 billion or 9.8 percent from the prior year.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, the total of outstanding investor loans was $522.4 billion (the balancing 35 per cent of outstanding exposures), for an increase of $23.5 billion or 4.7 percent from last year.</p>
<p>New investment loan approvals were down by 5.8 percent from the prior year, yet still accounted for a punchy 34.2 percent of total new residential loans. </p>
<p>Loans to investors appear very likely to be the target of a crackdown as 2017 rolls on.</p>
<p>As I looked at in a little more detail here, each of the major lenders appear likely to be approaching the speed limit for the growth in their mortgage books, including those that have lodged revisions to historical figures (since these will be adjusted for). </p>
<div id="post-body-5935845614051499789" class="post-body entry-content">
<a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/06/A1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a><br><div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/06/A1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><br></span></strong><br><div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Impairment rise for ADIs</span></strong></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>I'm not going to provide much detailed analysis or opinion on this site, but it is worth noting the following from APRA's reported headline figures for ADIs.</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>-impaired facilities and past due items as a proportion of gross loans and advances was 0.92 percent as at Q4 2016 (an increase from 0.86 percent in the prior year);</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>-specific provisions hit $7.3 billion at Q4 2016, an increase of $0.8 billion or 12.9 percent from the prior year; and</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>-specific provisions as a proportion of gross loans and advances was 0.24 percent at Q4 2016, an increase from 0.22 percent in the prior year.</span></div>
<div> </div>
<div>To summarise:<br><br>
</div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/06/APRA.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
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<div><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;"> </span></em></div>
<div><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Source: APRA </span></em></div>
<div> </div>
<div>This should demand your attention, since it indicates that the cyclical low for impairments has now passed. </div>
<br><div><strong><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Change to new lending</span></strong></div>
<div> </div>
<div>APRA's figures show that riskier "low doc" and other non-standard lending now comprise only a small and decreasing share of the residential mortgage market, which is a positive development.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Furthermore, most new loans have a loan to value ratio (LVR) of 80 per cent or lower, meaning that - theoretically at least - the majority of new buyers have a significant buffer built in to their purchase. </div>
<div class="separator"> </div>
<div class="separator"><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/06/A3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/06/A3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><span>A potential challenge to this case is that in many instances those using 20 percent deposits have likely sourced their deposits from existing residential property assets, and therefore the risk in such loans may be higher than it appears at first blush. </span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><span>Interest-only loans, while accounting for a smaller share of the market than has previously been the case, still represent a very significant chunk of new lending at 36.6 percent (even if the total of interest-only lending for the quarter of $162 billion represents a decrease of 10.5 percent from the prior year).</span></div>
<div><span> </span></div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/06/A2.jpg" target="_blank"><span>Click to enlarge</span></a></div>
<br><div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/06/A2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>The inherent risk here is that when these loans reach the end of their interest-only period the repayments may jump higher in the event that the loan cannot be rolled over into a new interest-only period, a point which has aroused the scrutiny of short sellers.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Summarily, residential property exposures now comprise a very significant sum of interest-only mortgages in Australia. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/images/2017/03/06/PARA2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div class="separator"><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/dz9xllyip/image/fetch/c_scale,w_580,q_auto:good/https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/po.images/2017/03/06/PARA2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div> </div>
<div><em><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Source: APRA</span></em></div>
<div> </div>
<div>If mortgage rates were to rise, of course, then these risks may be multiplied. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p class="p1"><span class="s1">PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank"><span class="s2">AllenWargent</span></a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank"><span class="s2">blogger</span></a>.</span></p>
<p class="p2"><span class="s3"><em>His latest book is </em><a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank"><span class="s2"><em>Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</em></span></a><em>.</em></span></p>
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APRA reports non-performing loans on the rise

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<p>The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has updated its expectations for sound residential mortgage lending practices for authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs) following consultation with industry and other stakeholders.</p>
<p>APRA released for consultation a revised draft of Prudential Practice Guide APG 223 Residential Mortgage Lending in October 2016 to incorporate measures previously announced by APRA in 2014 or communicated to ADIs since that time.</p>
<p>The revisions to APG 223 are designed to ensure that the sound lending practices that have been implemented across the industry since late 2014 are maintained and reinforced.</p>
<p>As a result of the consultation, APRA has made a small number of refinements to the prudential practice guide, which are explained in a letter to ADIs.</p>
<p>APRA does not expect these refinements to result in material changes to existing lending practices across the industry as a whole.</p>
<p>APRA is continuing to maintain its close monitoring and supervision of residential mortgage lending practices, including growth in investor lending, as part of its broader mandate to build resilience in the financial sector and promote financial system stability.</p>
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APRA updates guidance on residential mortgage lending

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<h3 class="x_post-title x_entry-title"> </h3>
<div id="x_post-body-3434663202090627287" class="x_post-body x_entry-content">
<div>APRA released its quarterly property exposure figures today for the period ended 30 September 2016.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>If there has been a slowdown in lending, sheesh, it's hard to make out from the chart. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Total domestic residential property exposures increased by +7.9 percent from a year ago to a new high of $1.46 trillion.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>Exposures are now some +130 percent higher than they were in 2008.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>The growth in exposure to investors has been stopped in its tracks, however, with new loans to investors down 14 per cent from a year ago. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>However, owner-occupier loans stepped in to breach the gap, with exposures rising by +12.9 percent over the year to September, and the value of new loans to homebuyers rising by some +14 percent. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>In short, lenders have switched focus from investors to homebuyers.</div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/12/01/APRA1.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><div class="x_separator"><img src="/images/2016/12/01/APRA1.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>The regulator has taken a number of measures to limit riskier lending.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>For example, loans of 90 percent or higher loan-to-value ratio (LVR) are now just 8.5 percent of the market, down from 22 percent in 2009. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>Thus, most borrowers are using substantial deposits, whether borrowed from parents or from existing loans (some may even be saving deposits, who knows?!). </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/12/01/APRA2.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<div> </div>
<div><img src="/images/2016/12/01/APRA2.jpg" alt=""></div>
<div class="x_separator"> </div>
<br><div>Low-doc loans and loans approved outside serviceability are also now a small segment of lending.</div>
<div> </div>
<div>There has been a sharp pullback in the number and value of interest only loans over the past year, with this sector of the market dropping by 15 per cent from a year ago. </div>
<div> </div>
<div><a href="/images/2016/12/01/APRA3.jpg" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a></div>
<br><div class="x_separator"><img src="/images/2016/12/01/APRA3.jpg" alt=""></div>
<br><div>Buried in the small print there were some upward revisions to previously reported interest only loans reported by one institution. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>While exposures to investors has decreased, there does not seem to be much clarity surrounding the categorisation of outstanding loans (as evidenced by previous revisions), and as such in aggregate there may be more investors in the market than implied.  </div>
<div> </div>
<div>The average loan size over the year increased from $244,000 to $255,000. </div>
<div> </div>
<div>
<p><span><em>PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of <a href="https://allenwargent.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">AllenWargent</a> property buyers (London, Sydney) and a best-selling author and <a href="https://petewargent.blogspot.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">blogger</a>.</em><br></span></p>
<p><em>His latest book is <a href="https://www.bigskypublishing.com.au/Books/General-Interest/Four-Green-Houses--and-a-Red-Hotel/1015/productview.aspx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Four Green Houses and a Red Hotel</a>.</em></p>
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