A subtropical pair of residential towers are in planning for a key South Brisbane site neighbouring the iconic Expo ’88 Skyneedle, with new documents revealing a vertically layered vision designed to respond to the precinct’s evolving high-density character.

The proposal has been lodged by&nbsp;Darveniza Group, which is also is behind the 400-apartment Station Quarter precinct in Alderley.

Darveniza Group, led by Jane Darveniza, the Brisbane-based investor and Queensland rich-lister and widow of the late property magnate Bojan Darveniza, is seeking approval for a mixed-use project encompassing 204 apartments, ground-level retail, food and drink tenancies, and office space across two architecturally integrated towers at 37–39 Manning Street.

Occupying an 1,822 sqm site, the proposed towers would rise above a sculptural podium base, with a recessed landscaped centre, rooftop communal areas, and a total of 220 car parks and 256 bicycle bays. The apartment mix spans one- to five-bedroom dwellings, with a design emphasis on generous balconies, cross-ventilation, and climate-responsive materials.

<img alt="First look: Twin towers proposed for Manning Street site beside Skyneedle" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="42c1f501-2afd-440b-af49-67c257123ea7" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Manning%20podium.png?VersionId=KFlksfWzmDRD.VIYxd_1q3VAel.nN3TH" />

“The development is conceived as two slender twin buildings that meet at a lushly landscaped central recess,” the Finegrain design report states. “The façade is highly articulated with the plan form stepping back and forth to reduce visual bulk and maximise internal occupants’ access to natural light and air”.

A hallmark of the proposal is its integration of greenery, both visually and functionally. Around 77 per cent of the site’s green plot ratio is delivered through vertical planting spines, a green podium wall, and rooftop amenity. Ground-level deep planting and landscaped communal zones aim to create a shaded, walkable interface along Manning Street.

“The stepped plan form introduces variation in balcony setbacks and enclosed apartment areas, enriching both the façade expression and the resident experience,” the design team notes. “At ground and podium levels, this stepping also enhances permeability, maximising pedestrian view lines to the neighbouring Skyneedle and reinforcing a strong sense of local identity”.

<img alt="First look: Twin towers proposed for Manning Street site beside Skyneedle" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b3f26dfc-6b93-465c-9ffb-0a2530372a23" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Manning%20site.png?VersionId=JflvKdqDxcaHTFbb9HL5TwoiRgeQ2LqA" />

The site directly adjoins the heritage-listed Skyneedle at 35 Manning Street, an enduring legacy of World Expo ’88. The accompanying heritage impact report by Pendergast Architects contends that the proposal has been carefully conceived to protect the cultural significance and landmark visibility of the structure.

“The design provides setbacks, tower separation and podium articulation to maintain the visibility and landmark role of the adjoining Skyneedle,” the report states. “The significance of the Skyneedle lies principally in its landmark visibility and cultural symbolism, rather than in detailed fabric or architectural setting”.

The proposal sits within the Kurilpa Sustainable Growth Precinct, under Brisbane’s TLPI 02/2023, where revised planning controls support high-density, mixed-use development integrated with subtropical design and increased public realm contributions.

Finegrain’s design reflects this intent, drawing cues from the site's adjacency to Musgrave Park, the subtropical landscape of South Brisbane, and cultural landmarks such as QPAC and South Bank.

Joel Robinson

Twin green towers proposed for Manning Street, South Brisbane site beside Skyneedle

A first-of-its-kind culinary precinct is coming to <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Park</a>, inspired by global street-food flavours and best-in-class restaurants and entertainment.

Deicorp’s emerging mid-city precinct, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/melrose-central-melrose-park-33-hope-street-melrose-park-nsw-2114">Melrose Central</a>, will become the go-to precinct within the wider Melrose Park community, and at its heart, a first-of-its-kind culinary precinct that brings the buzz of Asia’s most iconic food streets to life.

Spanning more than 4,700 sqm, Melrose Central street food precinct is inspired by the energy and vibrant flavours of street-food neighbourhoods from Hong Kong and Tokyo to Seoul and Singapore.

This new destination will be over three times the size of existing offerings like Burwood Chinatown or Westfield Chatswood’s Hawker Lane, positioning Melrose Central as a must-visit dining hub for all of Sydney.

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Designed by Anthony Ho of Basalt Studio, this street food concept blurs the lines between culinary theatre, art, and entertainment, offering an immersive experience. Neon-lit laneways thread between open kitchens and live grill stations, while murals, interactive displays, and light installations will bring the precinct to life, trading until late, a first for the area.

“We’ve imagined our street food concept as a graduated evolution of everything people love about Burwood Chinatown, East Village and Regent Place, elevated by the immersive artistry creating a city-style dining offer,” said Bilinda Turner, Head of Retail at Deicorp.

“By curating the very best tenants from across Australia, we’re creating a fit-for-purpose town centre for 2025 and beyond. It’s something that people truly haven’t seen before."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134220 project_image_fid=352610]

Melrose Central is far more than a food precinct. Spanning 30,000 sqm across four levels, the shopping centre will be home to approximately 100 retailers, providing a total lifestyle offering from morning until late evening.

Fresh food offerings span a brand new Coles Supermarket, Local Grocer, Korean Supermarket, Bakery and boutique fresh food, as well as a Dan Murphy's, while health needs are covered from a pharmacy, medical centre and allied health. Fitness and wellbeing take centre stage from a dedicated wellbeing hub that includes pilates, recovery, Infrared saunas and a gym, to name a few.

Variety stores will feature throughout, as well as personal care offerings from nail salons to hairdressers, as well as a dedicated early-learning centre on level 1.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134220 project_image_fid=289888]

Situated above the retail precinct will be 495 Turner Studio-designed apartments that open onto 6,000 sqm of lush podium gardens and rooftop terraces.

Located just six kilometres east of Parramatta’s CBD and 15km from Sydney CBD, Melrose Central forms the retail and lifestyle heart of Melrose Park, an urban-renewal precinct that is set to deliver more than 11,000 homes, 22,000 new residents, and 50,000 sqm of park and open space.

A dedicated stop on Parramatta Light Rail Stage 2 will arrive at the precinct’s Hope Street entrance, and the forthcoming Parramatta Gateway Bridge will link directly to Sydney Olympic Park and Wentworth Point.&nbsp;

Supported by a 10-minute drive, this growing catchment of 200,000 people, which is projected to grow to 279,000 by 2026, and an average household income above the Greater Sydney average, Melrose Central embodies Deicorp’s vision for transport-oriented, community-focused placemaking.&nbsp;

Melrose Central street food precinct and the wider Melrose Central retail town centre are both slated to open in mid-2026.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134220]

Melrose Central: First-of-its-kind culinary precinct coming to Sydney’s West

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/sekisui-house-australia">Sekisui House Australia</a> has unveiled the fifth and final stage of its $1 billion Norwest community, The Orchards.

The final stage, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/zeste-at-the-orchards-norwest-104-fairway-drive-norwest-nsw-2153">Zeste</a>, will deliver 209 apartments across two distinctive buildings, Essence and Eden. The 135 apartments in Essence will be the first to be released to the market, which will bring to an end the decade-long vision to create a&nbsp;neighbourhood defined by design excellence, sustainability, and community engagement.

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

&nbsp;

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David Lee, Sales Manager at Sekisui House Australia said, Zeste's oversized living spaces and diverse apartment mix, which includes the introduction of&nbsp;Breezeway Sky Homes for the first time, deliver a unique lifestyle offering.

Early purchasers will benefit from exclusive VIP pricing as well as the choice of one premium upgrade, which Lee says is a "thank you" for their commitment to the project.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150510 project_image_fid=351876]

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/rothelowman">Rothelowman</a>, Zeste embodies Sekisui House’s global design philosophy of creating harmony between people, homes and nature. Principal Ben Pomroy explained that Zeste is about living within the landscape.

“With two large courtyards, the lagoon pool precinct for the wider community and a central courtyard with pavilion exclusively for Zeste residents, the architecture frames an experience of living in a park," Pomroy said.

“Over 50 per cent of the site is landscaped, ensuring a deep connection to nature at every stage of daily life. The buildings are designed as a collection of smaller, finer-grain forms, with over 85% of apartments enjoying dual aspects.

“The focus on natural ventilation, generous layouts and communal interaction creates a residential environment that is both sustainable and socially connected.”

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150510 project_image_fid=351886]

Natalie Shalala, a member of Rothelowman’s interiors team said they reimagined the former site’s Orchard homestead with a contemporary twist. &nbsp;

“The design draws on the nostalgia of the past orchard – timber floors, the warmth of a fireplace, the rituals of the homestead and reinvents them for modern apartment living,"&nbsp;Shalala said.

“We have created two tonal palettes, one with pale honey undertones and another with a soft blush inspired by nectar. A highlight feature is the cathedral glass light box, a bespoke design element that re-interprets the classic lantern. It is both beautiful and functional, tying kitchen and bathroom spaces together in a way that feels entirely unique."

Shalala said the&nbsp;day-to-day liveability has been carefully considered, with abundant storage solutions, butler’s pantries, bike storage and joinery designed to simplify routines and enhance comfort.

&nbsp;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150510 project_image_fid=352090]

Apartments in Zeste start from $715,000 for one-bedrooms and extend through to expansive three-bedroom Sky Homes priced from $2.25 million. Floorplans range from 59 sqm to 144sqm.

The mix in Essence comprises 41 one-bedroom, seven one-bedroom + Max space, 39 two-bedroom, 40 two-bedroom Breezeway Sky Homes (24 of which include additional Max spaces), and eight three-bedroom residences.&nbsp;

Max spaces are integrated into select residences, offering a flexible room that can be tailored to individual needs, ideal as a home office, children’s play area, or additional storage.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=150510 project_image_fid=351881]

Zeste continues Sekisui House Australia’s partnership with Altogether Group, providing sustainable water, power and data services to residents. Passive design strategies include cross-ventilation, deep landscaping and water features that encourage evaporative cooling, aligning with The Orchards long-term environmental goals.&nbsp;

Construction is set to commence on the Zeste buildings in early 2026, with completion anticipated in late 2027 to early 2028.&nbsp;

More than 850 apartments have been sold across the masterplan, contributing to The Orchards community of 1,300 apartments when complete.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=150510]

Sekisui House Australia launches Zeste, the final stage of its $1 billion Norwest masterplan

A significant addition to the Bella Vista Station Precinct is in the pipeline, with <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/landen-property">Landen</a> formally lodging a State Significant Development Application for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/40-memorial-avenue-bella-vista-40-memorial-avenue-nsw-2153">new apartment community on Memorial Avenue</a>.

Positioned beside the Elizabeth Macarthur Creek corridor, the project is among the first major transit-oriented residential proposals within the Metro precinct.

The masterplan, designed by&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/turner-studio">Turner Architects</a>,&nbsp;outlines a four-stage delivery, comprising four buildings between four and fifteen storeys, and includes a mix of one-, two-, and three-bedroom apartments, alongside a limited selection of four-bedroom penthouses and terraces.

The project places a strong emphasis on housing diversity and liveability, with apartment sizes ranging from 50 to 180 sqm. The first stage will deliver 213 dwellings, followed by 231 in the second stage. Construction is expected to commence in 2026, pending approvals.

<img alt="Bella Vista Apartments" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="bb3d84b1-d2df-4e26-915a-31b27faf9b1a" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/View02_01-scaled.jpg?VersionId=Gb0AUtZ3VXsLxrqUaw_AwT_vcBwQ_FJu" />

As the first transit-oriented development (TOD) in the precinct, Landen’s Bella Vista community has been designed to align closely with the surrounding Metro infrastructure. The proposal integrates new pedestrian and cycling paths, a new bridge over Elizabeth Macarthur Creek, and direct access to Bella Vista Metro Station.

Lush communal amenities are also central to the design. 'The Grove' and the 'Garden Link' will create landscaped community areas that reflect the area's agricultural heritage and provide direct access to the creekside.&nbsp;

The ‘Garden Patio’ is conceived as a multi-use indoor-outdoor facility offering a gym, study nooks, and communal lounge spaces.&nbsp;Rooftop terraces across the buildings will offer views to the Blue Mountains and Parramatta skyline.

<img alt="Bella Vista Apartments" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="778da409-d5cf-4e7d-9ba9-0c36990bf0b4" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/landen-bella-property-image.jpg?VersionId=ukPpmVcHF71xRc7U3MUT5rtGwOsntMMz" />

Landen’s Head of Property, Shane Harding, said the proposal highlights the developer’s precinct-scale ambition.

“As the first TOD proposal in Bella Vista, it highlights Landen’s ability to pioneer precinct-scale projects, integrate housing with infrastructure, and deliver outcomes that align with government priorities,” Harding told the Daily Telegraph.

The project arrives at a time of rapid growth in Western Sydney, with Bella Vista alone forecast to more than double in population by 2046. The development’s location, between the Bella Vista and Kellyville Metro stations, positions it as a connected lifestyle hub for families, professionals and downsizers seeking access to transport, schools, and employment centres.

Pending approval, the development is slated for completion in 2028.

Landen plans 444-apartment community in Bella Vista Metro zone

Developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/equicentia">Equicentia</a>, together with joint venture partners Wingala Capital and Monark Property Partners, has become the first in Manly to secure Resilience Insurance’s Latent Defects Insurance.

The trio has recently launched <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/de-ville-manly-11-victoria-parade-manly-nsw-2095">De Ville</a>, a new luxury project on a long-dormant yet prime site at 9–11 Victoria Parade, positioned between East Esplanade and South Steyne.

<img alt="De Ville" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b2639bb1-d72c-4f28-b4dc-33190655e147" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202025-10-12%20at%209.38.37%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=orUAk2m2tTKAAasLvZg0IaGQyDaZcKYI" />

The site was originally earmarked for a 26-apartment scheme, but following its $25 million acquisition of the near-1,200 sqm parcel, the development team opted for a more refined approach, reducing the yield to just 12 two- and three-bedroom residences across a six-level building.

Among them will be three full-floor penthouses boasting panoramic views across Manly Beach, North Harbour, and the city skyline. The apartments will sit above four ground-floor retail and commercial tenancies, designed to help activate Victoria Parade, an area long defined by its beachside character and interwar brick architecture.

<img alt="De Ville" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="d6922f4a-21fb-4a07-8e40-241d594c2538" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/int3.jpg?VersionId=7U1Qw79_YT3bOZKr7.H03JHOFm3QVYlE" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/platform-architects">Platform Architects</a>, De Ville’s sculpted form takes cues from the ebb and flow of Manly’s dual waterfronts, the ocean to one side and the harbour to the other.&nbsp;

The architecture’s soft curvature and rhythmic vertical brickwork reflect the natural patterns of the tide, while a refined palette of Lohas brick, sandy render and glass detailing allows the building to harmonise with its coastal context.&nbsp; Cascading greenery and deep balconies bring texture and shadow to the facade, reinforcing the building’s connection to nature and the street.

Buyers have a choice of two different colour palettes, Taj Mahal and Brescia Green, each layering soft tones and organic finishes to capture the coastal light.

<img alt="De Ville" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="be78b114-88ed-4d33-a4ef-50e14d2f9064" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/int6a.jpg?VersionId=hBrZPvs1L2LwThSatcNMXTg0tltfEn4a" />

De Ville is the first development in Manly to fully protect its buyers with 10-year Latent Defects Insurance offered by Resilience Insurance.

The policy covers buyers for 10-years post-completion of the building, a first-resort cover again&nbsp;major structural or waterproofing defects.&nbsp;

Unlike traditional statutory warranties, which often require complex and lengthy claims processes, LDI ensures that if a covered defect arises, the insurer responds immediately - without the need to prove fault or pursue the builder or developer.

This new model of protection has been gaining traction among forward-thinking developers and financiers alike. For buyers, it offers tangible assurance of quality and accountability; for lenders and insurers, it reflects a measurable reduction in long-term risk.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/what-is-latent-defects-insurance-and-is-it-bringing-confidence-to-the-off-the-plan-apartment-market">What is Latent Defects Insurance and is it bringing confidence to the off the plan apartment market?</a>

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Equicentia launches Manly's first new development with 10-year Latent Defects Insurance

2021 Property Boom

Sydney apartment values rose a further 1.6&nbsp;per cent, according to property data firm CoreLogic.

Values have now grown 10 per cent over 2021, with 1.6 per cent over June&nbsp;and 1.8 per cent&nbsp;over May, a rolling quarterly gain of 5.1 per cent.

Sydney&#39;s median apartment value is now $810,000, having started the year at $734,000.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7363]

The gains in the apartment market come as the booming housing market lost a little bit of steam over July.&nbsp;Sydney has recorded the sharpest reduction, with the monthly capital gain falling from 3.7% in March to 2.0% in July.&nbsp;

CoreLogic&#39;s research director, Tim Lawless, suggests one of the reasons house prices are starting to lose a bit of steam is that they are becoming unaffordable for many.

&ldquo;Sydney is the most expensive capital city by some margin and it has also been the city where values have risen the most over the first seven months of the year. Worsening affordability is likely a key contributing factor in the slowdown here, along with the negative impact on consumer sentiment as the city moves through an extended lockdown period,&quot; Lawless says.

&quot;Along with declining home affordability, much of the earlier COVID related fiscal support (particularly fiscal support related to housing) has expired.&quot;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=30049 project_image_fid=162884]

Recently there has been some volatility in new inventory levels, with the number of newly advertised properties falling sharply across Sydney and Melbourne amidst lockdowns.

In Sydney, the monthly number of new listings added to the market has fallen by approximately -30% since the week ending June 27th, dragging total active listing numbers -13.7% below the five-year average.

&ldquo;At the other end of the spectrum are the apartment sectors of Melbourne and Sydney, where rental conditions have been substantially looser.&quot;

&quot;The good news for landlords is that rental markets in these areas are stabilising following a substantial reduction in rents due to high vacancy rates attributable to stalled overseas migration and a preference shift away from high density living during the pandemic,&rdquo; Mr Lawless continued.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=100811 project_image_fid=162902]

We have seen the same trend through earlier lockdowns, where both buyer activity and vendor activity reduce before recovering to pre-lockdown levels once restrictions are eased or lifted.

&ldquo;With stock levels remaining tight, selling conditions have been skewed towards vendors.&quot;

&quot;Auction clearance rates have remained in the low-to-mid 70% range across the major auction markets through July and private treaty sales continue to record rapid selling times and low discounting rates,&rdquo; Lawless said.

Sydney's median apartment value is now $810,000, having started the year at $734,000

jordan_55689

What happened to Sydney apartment values over July?

EXPERT OBSERVER

It didn&rsquo;t seem possible that the extraordinary national property boom I recorded in the Autumn edition of the Price Predictor Index three months ago could get any bigger. But it has.

The new Winter 2021 edition of The Price Predictor Index records further uplift in sales activity and growing numbers of suburbs and towns with increases.

Other markets have matched or almost matched the very high levels we recorded three months ago.

The biggest improver is Melbourne, where the number of suburbs with rising sales activity has been 32 25 127 196 in the past four quarters (NOTE: the data in this report pre-dates the latest lockdown of late May/early June).

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5502 project_image_fid=155342]

Brisbane has continued the exponential rise in its market: over the past 12 months, the number of suburbs with rising sales volumes quarter by quarter has been 28, 56, 124, 141.

Adelaide is another notable improver, with quarterly results of 52, 62, 93, 104 suburbs with upwardly-mobile markets.

Regional markets continue to be buoyant, with further improvement in Regional Victoria (27, 35, 86, 88) and Regional WA (15, 27, 34, 37).

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7864 project_image_fid=142655]

The national leader in terms of the percentage of locations with rising sales activity is Regional South Australia - 79% of its towns are rising. It&rsquo;s surprising that a market that few Australian investors would ever consider is actually a national leader.

Next best in the nation is Melbourne (72%), followed by Regional WA (69%), Regional Queensland (65%), Brisbane (64%), Regional Victoria (64%) and Regional NSW (61%).

This data confirms just how strong regional market jurisdictions have been &ndash; and will continue to be, in most cases.

But it&rsquo;s not all a story of relentless growth - some markets are showing signs of tapering off.

The Sunshine Coast, which we named as our National Growth Star in the Autumn edition of the Price Predictor Index three months ago, has plateau-ed a little. It remains a very strong market with many growth suburbs and towns, and prices continuing to soar.

It&rsquo;s a similar scenario for the Central Coast of NSW and also Newcastle. Both remain busy markets with notable price uplift, but the number of locations with rising sales activity has tapered a little in this latest survey.

Canberra appears to have reached a peak in its market - in this survey I have found that only 24% of its suburbs have rising momentum in sales.

However, I have observed in the recent past that markets which appeared to have peaked have had resurgences. Examples include Geelong and Ballarat in Regional Victoria, where markets had faded somewhat after several years of growth, but experienced a second wave of demand out of Melbourne in the past six months.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5559 project_image_fid=88244]

The most startling data revealed in this report, at a time when incredible figures are the norm, is the major increase in median prices in the latest quarter in so many locations across Australia.

Hundreds of towns and suburbs have seen median price rises of more than 10%, uplift that would be impressive over 12 months, but this is the increase in just three months.

There are examples pretty much everywhere around Australia, across all price ranges and for apartments as well as houses. Millionaire enclaves, middle-ring areas, affordable suburbs, major regional centres and small country towns - they&rsquo;re all part of the trend of ridiculous rises in prices.

Gerringong NSW from $890,000 to $995,000; Noosa Heads QLD from $1,150,000 to $1,400,000; Bronte NSW from $3,400,000 to $3,890,000; Rye VIC from $720,000 to $810,000; Brighton VIC from $2,800,000 to $2,985,000; Cable Beach WA from $465,000 to $540,000; Port Elliot SA from $495,000 to $565,000; Fullarton SA from $945,000 to $1,105,000 - these are among myriad examples of median house price rises in just three months.

One of greatest drivers of this phenomenon is big-city residents buying in the small cities and in regional areas. Sydney and Melbourne people are looking online, observing how cheap the prices are compared to their neighbourhoods and making a phone call to buy sight-unseen.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=7758 project_image_fid=79424]

In some cases, buyers are behaving foolishly, paying too much and/or buying in the wrong places. They think they&rsquo;re getting a bargain but often they are paying well above local values - or they&rsquo;re buying in places which lack the intrinsic drivers for long-term capital growth.

Even in a raging boom, buyers need to be sensible, choosing their locations well and paying prices in line with local market values.

The new Winter 2021 edition of The Price Predictor Index records further uplift in sales activity and growing numbers of suburbs and towns with increases

terryryder

The property boom has got bigger: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

EXPERT INSIGHT

Ahead of the definitive official read of the economy from the treasury in the budget on <a href="https://budget.gov.au/index.htm">Tuesday</a>, the Reserve Bank has given us two special insights into its own thinking in the space of 14 hours.

They suggest that (first) the economy is improving, and (second) the bank is not going to let up on driving that improvement, not for anything &mdash; including concern about climbing home prices &mdash; until it has pushed unemployment down and wage growth back up to where it believes it should be.

The first insight was in Deputy Governor Guy Debelle&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2021/sp-dg-2021-05-06.html">Shann Memorial Lecture</a> on Thursday night. The second was in Friday&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2021/may/pdf/statement-on-monetary-policy-2021-05.pdf">Statement on Monetary Policy</a>

Growth without inflation

The statement emphasised that the although the bank expects economic growth to bounce back fairly strongly, getting inflation back within the bank&rsquo;s 2-3% target band and getting wages growth up will take much longer

As the statement put it:

&quot;Despite the stronger outlook for output and the labour market, inflation and wages growth are expected to remain low, picking up only gradually.&quot;

On one measure just <a href="https://www.abs.gov.au/statistics/economy/price-indexes-and-inflation/consumer-price-index-australia/latest-release">1.1%</a>, the lowest on record, underlying inflation is to climb to 1.5% over the course of 2021 before gradually climbing to close to 2% by mid 2023.

It&rsquo;s well short of the bank&rsquo;s target of 2-3% which is only likely to be achieved with much higher wages growth driven by much deeper inroads into unemployment.\

Those inroads will be easier to achieve if COVID is firmly under control.

The bank explicitly linked its forecasts of an improving economy to an assumption that Australia&rsquo;s vaccine rollout accelerates in the second half of the year. It could have added to that (but didn&rsquo;t) the importance of getting purpose-built quarantine facilities up and running.

Its baseline forecast has economic growth of 4% in the year to June 2022 and 3% in the year to June 2023.

But there is a fairly wide range around its downside and upside scenarios.

Economic growth might be as low as 2.5% or as high as 5% in 2022 and as low as 2% and as high as 3% in 2023.

Similarly, the unemployment forecast is somewhere between 4.25% and 5.25% by June 2022 and in a very wide range of 3.75% and 5.5% by June 2023.

These forecasts produce below-target inflation forecasts of between 1.5% and 2% in June 2022 and 1.5% to 2.25% in June 2023.

What the bank will do to help drive the upside scenario, and what else will need to happen, was laid out by Debelle in Thursday night&rsquo;s <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2021/sp-dg-2021-05-06.html">Shann Memorial Lecture</a>.

The Debelle Doctrine

Adjectives like &ldquo;seminal&rdquo; are bandied about liberally these days, but for me, Debelle&rsquo;s speech on <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2021/sp-dg-2021-05-06.html">Monetary Policy During COVID</a> was a masterpiece.

He began by outlining the suite of measures the bank introduced from the beginning of the pandemic in March 2020. They involved

<ul>
	<li>
	cutting the cash rate to a record low of 0.25% and then cutting it again to 0.1%
	</li>
	<li>
	undertaking to not increase the cash rate target until the bank is confident that inflation will be sustainably within the 2&ndash;3% target band
	</li>
	<li>
	cutting the rate paid on private banks&rsquo; exchange settlement balances with the bank to 0.1% and then to 0.0%
	</li>
	<li>
	buying enough three-year government bonds to target a yield of 0.25%, later <a href="https://theconversation.com/5-ways-the-reserve-bank-is-going-to-bat-for-australia-like-never-before-149311">0.1%</a>
	</li>
	<li>
	guaranteeing to buy $5 billion of five-year and ten-year state and Commonwealth week-in week-out <a href="https://theconversation.com/5-ways-the-reserve-bank-is-going-to-bat-for-australia-like-never-before-149311">whatever the economic circumstances</a>
	</li>
	<li>
	buying bonds as needed to address the &ldquo;dysfunction&rdquo; in the bond market
	</li>
	<li>
	offering banks cheap lending finance through a new <a href="https://www.rba.gov.au/mkt-operations/term-funding-facility/overview.html">term funding facility</a>
	</li>
	<li>
	ensuring that the financial system has sufficient liquidity
	</li>
</ul>

Debelle methodically described how each of these measures are likely to flow through into economic activity.

That is, he articulated what economists call the &ldquo;transmission mechanism&rdquo; &mdash; how the measures work.

And then he delivered the setup for the punchline.

The tools the bank is using might affect all sorts of things, including house prices. But the bank plans to focus on just one thing &mdash; getting unemployment down until it gets inflation back up to its target band.

Then the punchline itself: the bank will do this even if it leads to higher house prices

<blockquote>
there are a number of tools that can be used to address the issue. But I do not think that monetary policy is one of the tools. Monetary policy is focussed on supporting the economic recovery and achieving its goals in terms of employment and inflation
</blockquote>

It was important to remember that while housing prices may not rise as fast without low interest rates, unemployment would definitely be materially higher without low interest rates.

Unemployment has serious consequences.

What it all means

The Debelle Doctrine is that the bank will focus on a narrow range of objectives, and will not be timid about using the tools in its arsenal to achieve them.

This may not be a seismic shift, but it is significant.

It gives the bank a much clearer focus; it gives others a much better way to judge how it is performing; and it makes clear that if the government is concerned about rising house prices, it&rsquo;ll have to do something itself (perhaps by tightening the tax rules governing capital gains and negative gearing).

Debelle produced a clear, precise, and authoritative statement of what the Reserve Bank can, should, and will do.

In a word, it was gubernatorial.<img alt="The Conversation" height="1" src="https://counter.theconversation.com/content/160171/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic" u="" width="1" wkje2jqm7="" />

<a href="https://theconversation.com/profiles/richard-holden-118107">Richard Holden</a>, Professor of Economics, <a href="https://theconversation.com/institutions/unsw-1414">UNSW</a>

This article is republished from <a href="https://theconversation.com">The Conversation</a> under a Creative Commons license. Read the <a href="https://theconversation.com/vital-signs-the-rba-wants-to-cut-unemployment-and-nothing-not-even-soaring-home-prices-will-stand-in-its-way-160171">original article</a>.

The RBA suggest that (first) the economy is improving, and (second) the bank is not going to let up on driving that improvement, not for anything

The RBA wants to cut unemployment, and not even soaring home prices will stand in its way: Richard Holden

EXPERT INSIGHT

Price growth in the early part of 2021 has been beyond impressive in many locations across Australia - it&rsquo;s been exponential.

Every three months, Hotspotting analyses sales activity and prices for every suburb and town in the nation, for the quarterly editions of The Price Predictor Index.

In updating the median prices for each location, it&rsquo;s impossible to avoid the conclusion that something extraordinary has been happening in many of our property markets.

The change in median prices in just three months has been, in many cases, mind-boggling. At Bondi Beach in Sydney, the median house price three months ago was $2,820,000. Now it&rsquo;s $3,100,000. That&rsquo;s an increase of $280,000 in just three months.

At Noosa Heads in Queensland, the median house price has risen from $1,150,000 to $1,400,000, an increase of $250,000 - 22% - in three months. And at Byron Bay, the median house price has gone from $1,835,000 to $2,220,000. 
 
It&rsquo;s happening also in some of the nation&rsquo;s apartment markets. In Kogarah in Sydney, the median unit price has risen from $685,000 to $785,000, a rise 15% in three months, while the median unit price in Rose Bay has increased $125,000, St Ives is up $100,000 and Lindfield $125,000 in that time frame.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6201 project_image_fid=89013]

Here are some Sydney examples of median price rises over the past 3 months:

<ul>
	<li>Lindfield, houses up from $2,750,000 to $3,120,000, units up from $1,200,000 to $1,325,000.</li>
	<li>Bronte, houses up from $3,400,000 to $3,890,000.</li>
	<li>Cremorne, houses from $2,800,000 to $3,000,000, units from $1,125,000 to $1,170,000.</li>
	<li>Croydon, houses from $1,570,000 to $1,770,000.</li>
	<li>Kogarah, houses from $1,305,000 to $1,405,000, units from $685,000 to $785,000.</li>
	<li>Fairlight, units from $1,425,000 to $1,560,000.</li>
	<li>Freshwater, houses from $2,480,000 to $2,660,000, units from $890,000 to $940,000.</li>
	<li>Kensington, houses from $2,445,000 to $2,680,000.</li>
	<li>Granville, houses from $730,000 to $805,000.</li>
	<li>Coogee, houses from $2,900,000 to $3,125,000.</li>
	<li>Kirrawee, units from $690,000 to $740,000.</li>
	<li>Jannali, units from $665,000 to $730,000.</li>
	<li>Canley Vale, houses from $810,000 to $880,000.</li>
	<li>Collaroy, houses from $2,400,000 to $2,580,000, units from $875,000 to $905,000.</li>
	<li>Naremburn, houses from $2,280,000 to $2,620,000.</li>
	<li>North Sydney, units from $945,000 to $1,025,000.</li>
	<li>Rose Bay, houses from $3,810,000 to $3,960,000, units from $1,475,000 to $1,600,000.</li>
	<li>Woolloomooloo, units from $935,000 to $1,280,000.</li>
	<li>Seaforth, houses from $2,690,000 to $2,895,000.</li>
	<li>St Ives, houses from $2,040,000 to $2,175,000, units from $1,020,000 to $1,120,000.</li>
</ul>

Examples of median price rises in Regional Queensland include these:

<ul>
	<li>Minyama, houses up from $1,315,000 to $1,400,000.</li>
	<li>Mudjimba, houses from $770,000 to $845,000, units from $445,000 to $485,000.</li>
	<li>Noosa Heads, houses from $1,150,000 to $1,400,000, units from $905,000 to $960,000.</li>
	<li>Maleny, houses from $675,000 to $720,000.</li>
	<li>Mermaid Beach, houses from $1,350,000 to $1,440,000, units from $440,000 to $475,000.</li>
	<li>Burleigh Waters, houses from $820,000 to $870,000, units from $415,000 to $465,000.</li>
	<li>Palm Cove Cairns, houses from $670,000 to $745,000, units from $265,000 to $310,000.</li>
</ul>

[smartcode_project:default project_id=22057 project_image_fid=150842]

And examples from Regional NSW include these:

<ul>
	<li>Wentworth Falls, houses up from $675,000 to $770,000.</li>
	<li>Byron Bay, houses from $1,835,000 to $2,220,000.</li>
	<li>Gerringong, houses from $890,000 to $995,000.</li>
	<li>Kiama, houses from $980,000 to $1,050,000, units from $630,000 to $680,000.</li>
	<li>Kingscliff, houses from $1,165,000 to $1,240,000 and units from $620,000 to $690,000.</li>
	<li>Merimbula, houses from $625,000 to $720,000.</li>
	<li>Yamba, houses from $590,000 to $670,000, units from $450,000 to $510,000.</li>
	<li>Albury, houses from $550,000 to $605,000.</li>
	<li>Moss Vale, houses from $690,000 to $740,000.</li>
</ul>

There are thousands of other similar scenarios from the various markets across Australia.

The change in median prices in just three months has been, in many cases, mind-boggling across Sydney

Property price growth has been beyond impressive across Sydney: Hotspotting's Terry Ryder

<h2>EXPERT INSIGHT</h2>

The word &lsquo;boom&rsquo; is used cautiously, principally because booms never end quietly. In other words, booms tend to be followed by busts. The case in point was the boom of the late 1980s that preceded the recession of 1991.

On Friday the Reserve Bank lifted its economic growth forecasts. The Reserve Bank now expects growth of 5.25 per cent on average over the 2021 calendar year. The growth forecast for the 2021/22 year is now 5.00 per cent, up from the 3.75 per cent forecast made in February. And growth in calendar 2022 is now tipped at 4.00 per cent, up from 3.25 per cent.

The jobless rate is now seen at 5 per cent at the end of 2021 before hitting the &ldquo;full employment&rdquo; level of 4.5 per cent at the end of 2022.

But over the next 18 months, underlying inflation is not expected to hit 2 per cent (1.75 per cent in late 2022).

[smartcode_project:default project_id=3233]

Economic nirvana? Perhaps. But it is also important to remember that growth and unemployment have bettered even the most optimistic Reserve Bank forecasts over the past year.

So it&rsquo;s worth considering the latest &lsquo;upside&rsquo; targets from the Reserve Bank. On the Reserve Bank&rsquo;s most optimistic assumptions, annual economic growth would hit 10.25 per cent in June and 6 per cent in December (admittedly from a low base). The jobless rate would hit the &ldquo;full employment&rdquo; threshold late this year but inflation still wouldn&rsquo;t exceed 1.5 per cent.

The Reserve Bank won&rsquo;t consider lifting rates until inflation is sustainably within the 2-3 per cent target band. So conceivably unemployment could hit 4.5 per cent by end year with the cash rate still locked at a record low of 10 basis points.

Too good to be true?

It&rsquo;s important to remember that these forecasts are from the Reserve Bank, one of the most cautious and conservative central banks.

But there appears a growing appreciation for the fact that inflation &ndash; not just here but across the globe &ndash; has been low for a number of years. And a key reason for that is technology &ndash; consumers can buy goods whenever they want from wherever they want. Also, organisations like Airtasker, Uber and Menulog have boosted completion and kept downward pressure on prices. In addition, businesses in white collar industries can also get work done offshore &ndash; and this is largely unaffected by Covid-19. While wage growth &ndash; a key component of inflation &ndash; hit record low levels in Australia at the end of 2020 &ndash; with the pace of pay rises easing since the height of the mining construction boom.&nbsp;

But what happened in 1988?

Cash rates had been falling ahead of the October 1987 sharemarket crash. The cash rate was around 18.8 per cent in August 1986 and had fallen to 11.3 per cent in October 1987. Rates hit lows of 10.65 per cent in February 1988.

But after the sharemarket crash, the feared economic downturn didn&rsquo;t arrive. Investors instead switched affections from shares to property, underpinned by lower interest rates. According to CoreLogic, home prices rose by 2.8 per cent in October 1987, lifting the annual rate from 5 per cent to 9 per cent. By late 1988, home prices were running at a 30-32 per cent annual rate &ndash; far higher than we are witnessing today.

To quell the &lsquo;irrational exuberance&rsquo; in housing and general &lsquo;conspicuous consumption&rsquo;, the Reserve Bank lifted cash rates over 1988 and 1989, with rates hitting highs of 18.2 per cent in November 1989.

Under the pressure of high interest rates, the economy contracted in December quarter 1989 and September quarter 1990 ahead of the recession in the first half of 1991. Interest rates were progressively cut from 1990 and didn&rsquo;t stop falling until 1994.

What are the implications for investors?

No two periods are alike. The environment in 1988 was starkly different to current times. But in all times, investors need to be aware of the risks and opportunities.

The Covid-19 pandemic shocked economies across the globe in 2020 and the response to the pandemic has varied. Those shocks are still reverberating. Australia has done well in suppressing the virus, and all levels of government and the Reserve Bank acted quickly in supporting businesses and families.

As a result, the economic recovery has been strong, but it is important not to be complacent. Risks lie to the upside and downside. For instance an extended closure of foreign borders may make it difficult for firms to fill open positions. Further, the longer that foreign borders are closed, the greater the risk that demand for homes will reduce, affecting the home building sector. Policymakers must be agile in continuing to watch for the threats to the economic recovery.

But if Australia continues on its current course, strong economic growth will boost employment and give increased security to those in work. A tighter job market should bring higher wage growth. Businesses are well placed to embrace low interest rates to lift investment. Low rates and government grants are boosting home construction and the buoyant house building should continue over 2021.

Note that the Reserve Bank won&rsquo;t be lifting interest rates until wage growth is closer to 3 per cent. At present wages are &ldquo;expected to pick up to a little under 2 per cent over 2021, before gradually increasing to around 2&frac14; per cent by mid 2023.&rdquo; Even on the &ldquo;upside&rdquo; scenario, wage growth won&rsquo;t hit 3 per cent before 2024, tempering &ldquo;boom&rdquo; expectations.

But whether you call it a &lsquo;boom&rsquo;, economic nirvana or just a strong economic recovery, the economic outlook seems bright.

The current investment environment is positive for consumer discretionary, construction, construction materials and information technology sectors of the Australian sharemarket. Financials will benefit from the expectation of firmer borrowing, but super-low interest rates will cap margins and revenue.

Based on traditional valuations, the sharemarket may seem expensive on the current share price to earnings ratio (PE ratio) of 20.97 (the long-term average is 15.5). But valuations are more difficult to make in an environment of near-zero interest rates. Continued strong economic growth would serve to boost corporate earnings and justify current share prices.

The All Ordinaries index has hit record highs on numerous occasions over the past month. The benchmark ASX 200 is also expected to make new highs in coming weeks. The ASX 200 index is tipped to end the calendar year at 7,200 points.

The Reserve Bank has lifted its 2021 calendar year economic growth forecast from 4.00 per cent to 5.25 per cent

cjames

Is Australia headed for economic boom or economic nirvana?

Doncaster&nbsp;is a great suburb, with fantastic location to both the city and beautiful leafy green north eastern suburbs.

A great investment area as there is plenty of room for growth, and public transport will continue to improve as population demands it.

Friendly, safe and with great dining and shopping options, the suburb&nbsp;locally known as &quot;Donny&quot;, just as its namesake in Great Britain, is situated around the top of the 120 m high Doncaster Hill.&nbsp;

The suburb is very hilly and due to its location it has panoramic views in every direction with the view to the west through the city stretching out to Bacchus Marsh on a clear day and the Macedon Ranges, to the north the Kinglake Ranges, to the east the Dandenong and Healesville ranges and south across the eastern suburbs to Glen Waverley/Mt Waverley.

A small bonus is the fact that summers are slightly warmer than areas to the south and south west.

With all those positives Urban took a closer look at some of the top developments on offer in Doncaster:

1. <a href="/buildings/folia-59-stables-circuit-doncaster">Folia, Doncaster</a>

Two-bedroom apartments from $580,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=22584 project_image_fid=71763]

Situated on&nbsp;Doncaster Road, Folia forms part of&nbsp;Mirvac&rsquo;s larger master-planned community, Tullamore.

Achieving the highest environmental certification in Australia, the development has achieved a six-leaf EnviroDevelopment accreditation, thanks to its many sustainable features.

These include a 70kWh solar panel array, renewable energy and battery storage and the possibility of including a Tesla Powerwall II battery within each residence.&nbsp;

The broader development site also boasts 20 per cent open green&nbsp;spaces with adventure playgrounds, walking and cycling trails, and fitness stations&nbsp;dotted throughout the community.

2. <a href="/developments/doncaster-vic-3108">Tullamore Homes, Doncaster</a>

Four-bedroom townhomes from $1,450,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=22803 project_image_fid=90744]

Another stage in the masterplanned Tullamore development, Tullamore Homes&rsquo; many sustainable features align with the increasing importance homebuyers place on environmental credentials.

Sharing the same space as Folia, Tullamore Homes also benefits from the vast open space in the masterplanned community, accounting for more than 20 per cent of the estate.

As well as pocket parks providing beautiful walking environments, a large nature reserve will be retained within the project, to protect the homes of local Rosellas and other birdlife.

The parks will include a fitness trail and fitness stations to invigorate the lives of local residents while play equipment, shelters bench seats and informal gathering spaces deliver the environment to play, meet and relax.

3. <a href="/buildings/28-bordeaux-28-bordeaux-street-doncaster">28 Bordeaux, Doncaster</a>

Three-bedroom townhomes from $988,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=13220 project_image_fid=77350]

Delivered by Auwa Group, 28 Bordeaux is&nbsp;boutique collection of just ten three-bedroom&nbsp;luxury residences.

Designed by&nbsp;Autumn Atelier, every&nbsp;townhome&nbsp;boast stunning city views, which can be enjoyed from your own private balcony or terrace garden.&nbsp;

The design of each home has been carefully considered for modern living, with spacious open plan living areas, and adjoining kitchens giving you the flexibility to entertain with ease.

The development is located within walking distance to Westfield Shopping Centre, world-class public transport plus excellent parks and schools.

4. <a href="/new-townhouses/doncaster-east-vic-3109">6 Calvin Crescent,</a><a href="/new-townhouses/doncaster-east-vic-3109"> Doncaster</a>

Five-bedroom townhomes from $1,899,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=27321 project_image_fid=154838]

A magnificent expression of cutting-edge flair and impressive liveability, the&nbsp;newly completed family residences are inspired entertainers spread across three levels.

Host guests on the airy tree-top terrace or alongside the sleek lines of the stone island, dramatic Miele kitchen and second kitchen. Below, the vast rumpus room features double sliding doors out to an under-cover alfresco with outdoor kitchen and a private garden lawn.

Ideal for multi-generational living, the five bedrooms and four bathrooms are spread over all levels with highlights being the ground floor guest suite, top floor master suite and one bedroom boasting views of the Dandenong Ranges.

Doncaster is a great suburb, with fantastic location to both the city and beautiful leafy green North eastern suburbs

Top apartments and townhouses you can buy in Melbourne's Doncaster

Investors are starting to make their way back in to the property market.

ABS figures at the start of the month showed that, over March, investor lending rose 12.7 per cent.

Victoria saw the second biggest commitment by investors, above the average and up 13.7 per cent, only second to Queensland (+19 per cent) and ahead of New South Wales (+13 per cent)

Check out which suburbs have been drawing the attention of investors on Urban&nbsp;in April.

1. Live City, Footscray

Price: Two-bedroom apartments from $460,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=3565 project_image_fid=68172]

Live City is a new addition to the list of most popular projects&nbsp;among investors however it has seen continuous interest among first home buyers

Part of a new master planned community, Live City comprises 208 residences spread across 14 floors, delivered by developer R&amp;F Property Australia.

Set to deliver over 1,400 apartments across eight buildings, the Footscray project brings together a fully-integrated, mixed-use community that’s thriving with character and history.

Designed by Elenberg Fraser, each residence features floor-to-ceiling windows, contemporary interiors and an abundance of natural light.

2. Ryrie Home, Geelong

Price: Two-bedroom apartments from $699,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=5559 project_image_fid=88244]

Ryrie Homes was Urban's most popular investor project for Q1 2021 and this month's results show it's ongoing appeal, with Geelong's strong performance as one of the nation's most sought-after regional areas doing excellent work for this development.

Delivered by Franzé, each Ryrie Home apartment has been cleverly designed by Architectus to deliver great amenity, comfort and abundant storage, with timber flooring, beautiful finishes and quality fixtures.

Each apartment enjoys panoramic bay views and alfresco dining for year-round holiday living.

With the foreshore, 500m north and the CBD, 500m east—as well as parks, theatres, galleries, cafés and restaurants all within walking distance—Ryrie Home offers a level of culture and connection unmatched in Geelong.

Plus for first home buyers looking for something on the more affordable side, one-bedroom apartments start at $375,000.

3. Haven Townhomes,&nbsp;Keysborough

Price: Three-bedroom townhouses from $675,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=8082 project_image_fid=59639]

For those Investors seeking something larger Haven Townhomes has been very eye-catching with affordable and stylish three and four bedroom townhomes on offer

Brought to you by Aultun Group, the development was designed by Cera Stribley Architects.

The Haven estate encompasses a variety of two storey floor plans with the option of choosing a house and land package, or an off-the-plan purchase.

Situated surrounded by thriving wetlands and meandering walking trails, each of the 59 Haven Townhomes are in a prime position for stunning views, access to nature and world-class amenities.

It is set for completion in December 2021.

4. Melbourne Square, Southbank

Price: Two-bedroom apartments from $642,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=2929 project_image_fid=137896]

OSK Property are the group behind the boutique collection of homes at Melbourne Square.

Featuring four distinct themes, it has been architecturally designed by Cox Architecture, with interiors by designer Sue Carr, creating flawless spaces which make the most of the spectacular city views on offer.

Each bedroom boasts a stunning view via floor-to-ceiling glazing, plus the master suites offer a unique panoramic city vista.

Set for completion in mid 2021, amenities include a full-line Woolworths and other shops as well as resort-style facilities including pools, sauna, spa, gymnasium and a yoga room.

5. Sky Garden, Glen Waverley

Price: Two-bedroom apartments from $668,000

[smartcode_project:default project_id=2881 project_image_fid=148737]

Sky Garden, the latest development by the diversified property group Golden Age, spans three towers across the new and improved The Glen shopping centre in Melbourne's Glen Waverley.

Famed architecture firm Rothelowman designed the three apartment buildings, soaring 12, 13 and 20 levels and homing 555 one, two and three-bedroom apartments,

The apartment development is part of the $430 million Glen redevelopment which completed construction in December 2020.

Sky Garden features over 4,000 square metres of internal and external facilities with one of the most impressive features unsurprisingly being the garden in the sky.

ABS figures at the start of the month showed that, over March, investor lending rose 12.7 per cent

The most popular VIC projects for investors in April on Urban

Australian housing values lifted by 1.8% in April according to CoreLogic&rsquo;s national home value index, with the monthly pace of capital gains easing from a 32-year high in March (2.8%). &nbsp;

Although growth conditions have slowed, housing values are still rising at a rapid pace, up 6.8% over the past three months to be 10.2% higher than the COVID low in September last year.

CoreLogic&rsquo;s research director, Tim Lawless, says the pace of capital gains could slow further over the coming months as inventory levels rise and affordability constraints dampen housing demand.

&ldquo;The slowdown in housing value appreciation is unsurprising given the rapid rate of growth seen over the past six months, especially in the context of subdued wages growth. &nbsp;With housing prices rising faster than incomes, it&rsquo;s likely price sensitive sectors of the market, such as first home buyers and lower income households, are finding it harder to save for a deposit and transactional costs.&rdquo;

[smartcode_project:default project_id=12718 project_image_fid=39002]

There is already some evidence of fewer first time buyers in the market, with the Australian Bureau of Statistics reporting a -4.0% fall in the value of first home buyer home loans through February, the first drop since May last year.

Despite the slowdown, positive housing market conditions remain geographically broad-based with every capital city and &lsquo;rest-of-state&rsquo; region continuing to record a lift in dwelling values over the month.

<img alt="" height="482" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/image003.jpg" width="850" />

Darwin (2.7%) and Sydney (2.4%) recorded the largest month-on-month rise in dwelling values, while Perth values recorded the lowest rate of growth amongst the capital cities at 0.8%.

The four smallest capital cities recorded double digit annual growth (Adelaide 10.3%, Hobart 13.8%, Darwin 15.3% and Canberra 14.2%), reflecting a smaller COVID-related disruption and an earlier start to the growth phase last year. &nbsp;Melbourne is recording the lowest level of annual growth (2.2%) due to a larger downturn, attributable to the extended lockdown period last year.

The broad trend of houses outperforming the unit sector continued through April as higher density styles of housing experienced less demand amidst elevated supply across some inner city precincts. &nbsp;At the combined capital city level house values (8.6%) have risen at double the pace of unit values (4.3%) over the first four months of the year.

&ldquo;A preference shift away from higher density housing during a global pandemic is understandable, however a rise in flexible working arrangements also seems to be supporting greater demand for houses around the outer-fringes of capital cities. &nbsp;Relatively weak investor activity, compounded by a supply overhang in some high-rise precincts, is also dampening price growth in unit markets,&rdquo; Mr Lawless said.

Australian housing values lifted by 1.8% in April with the monthly pace of capital gains easing from a 32-year high, according to CoreLogic

Home values still on the rise but lost steam in April

Westpac now expect more of their recent 20 percent property price rise forecast to occur in 2021.

Westpac economists Bill Evans and Matthew Hassan kept their forecast for a 20 per cent gain in dwelling price forecasts for 2021 and 2022 but shifted it from thinking it would be evenly spread at 10 per cent gains expected in both years.

&ldquo;We now expect more of this rise to come in 2021, retaining the 20 per cent call overall but with a 15 per cent gain in 2021 slowing to 5 per cent in 2022,&rdquo; they said.

The initial forecast came in mid-February.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=27728 project_image_fid=73042]

The duo noted Australia&rsquo;s housing market is &quot;evolving quickly.&quot;

&quot;The strong upswing that emerged late last year has seen price growth run well ahead of expectations over the first few months of the year.

&quot;At the current cracking pace, our forecast 10% lift in prices for 2021 set down in February will be achieved by around mid-June.

&quot;Some moderation is likely, particularly as affordability becomes more stretched for owner occupiers.

&quot;However, a sudden loss of momentum near term looks unlikely, particularly with markets tight, price expectations bullish, investor activity showing signs of picking up and highly stimulatory financial conditions still firmly in place.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=6798]

&quot;Accordingly, we have marked up our near-term forecast for dwelling prices with a 15% gain now expected nationally in 2021.

&quot;This represents a pull-forward of the cumulative 20% rise we had already been forecasting over 2021 and 2022.

They noted the 20% &lsquo;limit&rsquo; reflects two key views: &quot;that deteriorating affordability will become a more binding constraint for owner occupiers as prices rise; and that regulators will intervene in the market in 2022 as investor activity lifts and credit growth reaches uncomfortable levels.&quot;

Westpac now expect more of their 20 percent rise forecast to occur in 2021

jchancellor

Westpac forecasts even stronger 2021 housing price rise

<html><body>
<h2>OPINION</h2>

Having failed to call the turning point in the housing market, within a matter of just a few short months the expert commentators are out in force to demand cooling measures.

It's almost as if the commentary is continually running 3-6 months behind the reality, since the peak of the buying frenzy may already have passed.

Once there was a time when you'd let supply and demand determine prices, but now there are endless calls for tinkering to constantly fine-tune housing prices and activity in the country's most expensive city. 

Over the past couple of weeks final auction clearance rates have already moved a notch lower, and housing finance figures were down a bit last month too. 

And this weekend, despite a strong preliminary result in Sydney, drizzly Melbourne's preliminary clearance rate was well under 75 per cent, as more sellers bring stock to the market. 

<img alt="" height="404" src="https://s3-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/pictures/article-images/frezny_1.jpg" width="640">

Source: Domain

Something I've noticed over the years is that you'll often get a much better feel for what's going on from listening to mortgage brokers, buyer's agents, or auctioneers (and selling agents when...at least when they aren't in sales mode!), much more so than from analysts and investment bankers poring over historic data from a few months earlier. 

Straight from the auction coalface...

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Detached house building approvals have soared to all-time highs this year, so we can expect to see a corresponding uplift in new dwelling supply in H2 2021.

And with the vaccine rollout floundering, there's almost no immigration to soak it up, so this will act as a natural coolant. 

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Therefore it won't be a surprise to see the frenzy pass as more vendors look to cash out later in the year, which will almost certainly calm things down. 

PETE WARGENT is the co-founder of AllenWargent property buyers and a best-selling author and blogger 
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Over the past couple of weeks final auction clearance rates have already moved a notch lower, and housing finance figures were down a bit last month too. 

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