Malaysian developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> is the latest to jump into St Leonards booming Transport Oriented Development precinct.

The developer, which has previously delivered Sapphire by the Gardens apartment development in Melbourne, identified the Atchison Street site in 2023. It filed a Scoping Report around 12 months ago, and now has revealed the designs for the new&nbsp;40-storey mixed-use tower.

The State Significant Development Application covers <a href="https://next-portal.urban.com.au/projects/14650/summary">20-22 Atchison Street</a>, a 1,374 sqm site positioned between St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the project would deliver 181 apartments, above a four-storey commercial podium, five basement levels, and new public domain works along Mitchell Street. The apartment mix comprises 35 one-bedroom apartments, 39 one-bedroom-plus-study apartments, 85 two-bedroom apartments, and 22 three-bedroom residences.

The proposal has been lodged as a shop-top housing development under the NSW Government’s TOD planning pathway, which allows increased density around key transport infrastructure. The site sits within the recently rezoned Crows Nest Accelerated TOD Precinct.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b799673d-48e2-46b0-801a-0e33a9330100" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20site.png?VersionId=dPh0UfwfaHpbFL1R7H1cbZNbIW0CHbCC" />

SP Setia acquired the Atchison Street site as part of its continued expansion into the Australian apartment market. In comments made to City &amp; Country (The Edge Malaysia) in 2023, SP Setia President and CEO Datuk Choong Kai Wai described the acquisition as “a strategic move” aligned with the group’s post-pandemic market recovery strategy.

“Our target for this exceptional development is local and overseas buyers, including first-home buyers, downsizers and investors,” Choong said.

The tower has been designed as a slender vertical form rising from a mixed-use podium, with COX Architecture positioning the development as a response to the evolving St Leonards and Crows Nest skyline.

“The purpose of the project is to facilitate the delivery of high-quality housing at a strategically located site and deliver a built tower outcome that is consistent with the desired future character of St Leonards and aligns with the TOD controls,” the design report stated.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b1a85eee-76f7-436c-a6da-73ba827b9b13" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20entry.png?VersionId=dA9jHGPMcm.dDbwk4QfxqWiY5bfh3UVt" />

The podium would incorporate retail uses fronting Atchison Street, commercial tenancies, landscaped communal areas, and pedestrian improvements along Mitchell Street. Vehicle access and loading would be consolidated via Atchison Lane.

Residents would have access to more than 665 sqm of communal indoor and outdoor spaces, while the development proposes 96 parking spaces across five basement levels.

The proposal also includes a commitment for 10 per cent of residential floor space to be allocated toward affordable housing through a monetary contribution.

COX said the tower form responds directly to the emerging high-density character of the precinct while seeking to maximise solar access, cross ventilation, and outlook from apartments.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2163f85c-f63b-4be3-aafa-f8763976cec5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_5.png?VersionId=WiAmtIKJ6.ZQ41EtYEQ1fol7AeorKBlL" />

“The building is orientated towards north,” the Apartment Design Guide compliance report noted, adding that the tower’s slim form was driven by the constrained inner-urban site dimensions.

The design also incorporates landscaped setbacks and communal open space at podium level, intended to soften the interface with surrounding streets and improve pedestrian amenity.

The project adds to a growing wave of redevelopment proposals reshaping St Leonards and Crows Nest following the opening of the Sydney Metro City line and the NSW Government’s push for higher-density housing around major transport nodes.

Last week Stockland filed plans just down the road. They want to build a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/601-pacific-highway-st-leonards-nsw-2065">52-storey tower on Pacific Highway</a>.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">First look: Stockland plans 52-storey, 538-apartment St Leonards tower&nbsp;</a>

Joel Robinson

First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has revealed plans for a new mixed-use tower at 10 Dangar Street, Wickham, advancing a proposal that would reshape the southern gateway to Newcastle’s city centre with one of the city’s tallest residential buildings.

The State Significant Development proposal, now on exhibition, seeks approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bowline-10-dangar-street-wickham-nsw-2293">43-storey tower</a> immediately adjacent to the Newcastle Interchange. The project would deliver around 200 apartments, including 42 affordable housing dwellings, alongside 99 co-living units, a 171-room hotel, retail space, and new public domain integrated through the site.

The scheme marks a significant escalation of plans previously approved for the site. Urban Property Group took over the prominent 2,904 sqm parcel, where excavation and demolition had already commenced under an earlier consent for a 14-storey mixed-use development.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="58a96dd9-407f-4d20-86b4-94e4bfeef74b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20podium.png?VersionId=LGlf08pdFGAZDzvx_CXC4XakHNZRuEE0" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a>, the tower has been conceived as a landmark transit-oriented development anchored to the Newcastle Interchange precinct. The proposal includes 245 build-to-sell apartments across a mix of one, two, and three-bedroom residences, as well as two penthouses. Fifteen apartments and one operational unit are earmarked for NDIS housing. The co-living component would add a further 99 units, while the podium would accommodate retail uses and hotel facilities.

SJB said the site presents “a valuable opportunity to anchor the precinct by setting the standard for design, active ground planes and character at the key southern gateway.”

The architecture responds directly to the site’s position beside major transport infrastructure and within one of Newcastle’s fastest-evolving urban renewal precincts. The tower form sits above a sculpted podium designed to frame new public spaces, including a through-site pedestrian link connecting Station Street to Hannell Street, landscaped plazas, and activated retail edges.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a7bd6ff0-f7db-4ce8-a6dc-ea56e72c6149" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20lanne.png?VersionId=xzf39VADyhj7zBQY2I9fx9vI62u2tuSb" />

The design report describes the project as part of the broader transition of Wickham into “a vibrant, high-quality mixed-use urban precinct” that leverages proximity to the station, open space, and regional connectivity.

A detailed public art strategy has also been prepared for the development. The strategy positions the project as “a transit-oriented development of state significance at the gateway to Newcastle’s city centre” and outlines a series of integrated artworks responding to Newcastle’s industrial and transport heritage.

Creative Road’s curatorial framework for the project, titled Unveil, draws on “stratified surfaces, carved volumes, and light-filled apertures” while referencing Newcastle’s transformation from an industrial city into a contemporary education and technology hub.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="77a882bb-14b1-4d28-99ff-9438e39508c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20site.png?VersionId=cevgo_vN0eKPK78P8YcEu3mKPLkpFqE7" />

The proposal is being advanced through the NSW Housing Delivery Authority pathway after being declared State Significant Development in June 2025. The accompanying scoping report states the development aims to “maximise the site’s proximity to the Newcastle Interchange by delivering transit-oriented development” while increasing housing supply and affordable housing provision within the Newcastle LGA.

Urban Property Group’s plans align with the long-term strategic vision established under the Wickham Master Plan, which identified the interchange precinct as suitable for substantial uplift in height and density. The current proposal would significantly intensify that vision, positioning the tower among the tallest developments proposed for Newcastle.

The site sits immediately north of the Newcastle Interchange, bounded by Dangar Street, Hannell Street, and Charles Street. It is surrounded by a rapidly growing cluster of residential towers and mixed-use projects that have emerged following the completion of the light rail and transport interchange.

First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s latest tower at Wickham interchange

Bottega House has completed settlement of a landmark riverfront site in Macquarie Street, St Lucia, representing its first major Brisbane development.&nbsp;

Positioned on the banks of the Brisbane River, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/180-macquarie-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">premium site at 180 Macquarie Street</a> features uninterrupted river frontage in one of Brisbane’s most tightly held residential precincts.&nbsp;

The proposed development, currently under assessment with Brisbane City Council, has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/mim-design">Mim Design</a> and will deliver a boutique collection of premium residences positioned specifically for owner occupiers and downsizers.&nbsp;

The residences are set to redefine luxury apartment living in the area, with a focus on architectural quality, refined finishes, landscape integration and elevated amenities including curated wellness facilities, resort-style pools and recreation spaces rarely seen in the local market.&nbsp;

Exclusive sales for the project will be led by Keenan &amp; Byrne, ahead of an anticipated launch later this year.&nbsp;

Bottega House Managing Director Nick Malloch said the project reflects the group’s ambition to deliver a highly curated residential offering within one of Brisbane’s most tightly held precincts.&nbsp;

“This is an incredibly rare riverfront opportunity and one we have approached with a long-term perspective,” Malloch said.&nbsp;

“Our vision from the outset was to create a boutique collection of residences that feel more like private homes than traditional apartments, with generous proportions, refined finishes and exceptional amenity throughout."

Malloch says there is a&nbsp;lack of premium owner-occupier stock of this quality in the market, particularly for downsizers wanting space, privacy and a true lifestyle offering without compromise.&nbsp;

"Demand is expected to be strong given the scarcity of premium riverfront opportunities of this nature within Brisbane’s inner-west."&nbsp;

Bottega House secures landmark riverfront site in St Lucia 

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The arrival of the first piling rig officially marks the commencement of construction at SIERA’s new beachside apartment development, Exhale, in Northcliffe.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/exhale-surfers-paradise-8-enderley-avenue-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Exhale</a>, a glass-encased tower featuring 54 large-scale apartments at 8 Enderley Avenue, is SIERA’s third Gold Coast development. It follows the recently completed PIPIS Bilinga beachfront project, which achieved suburb-record prices, and the soon-to-be-completed Chevron Island development, Tapestry.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359603]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/siera">SIERA</a> Founder and Managing Director Brent Thompson said the arrival of the piling rig represented a significant milestone for the development, which is scheduled for completion in late 2028.

Over the next month, around 260 piles are expected to be installed as work progresses on the basement structure. The building is anticipated to rise above ground level early next year, before unveiling its sculptural glass curtain wall, developed in collaboration with specialist façade engineers.

“The façade was designed to maximise panoramic coastal views while creating a distinctive architectural identity,” Thompson said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=355935]

Designed by BDA Architecture, Exhale will comprise just 54 two- and three-bedroom residences across 26 levels, a level of low-density living rarely delivered in this beachside pocket between Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach.

The project has been conceived as a resident-only building, with no short-stay accommodation permitted. SIERA says the model is intended to appeal to long-term owner-occupiers rather than transient holiday demand.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=361052]

Residences have been designed with large-format layouts and expansive glazing, with most apartments featuring more than 30 metres of glass frontage to maximise natural light and ocean views.

The amenity offering spans two levels and centres on wellness and lifestyle, including a heated magnesium pool, sauna, yoga and Pilates studio, gymnasium, private dining facilities, cinema lounge, and dedicated surfcraft storage.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359607]

More than half of the apartments have already sold. SIERA has also opened a sales gallery for Exhale at its Chevron Island commercial premises, near its Tapestry tower and the site of its second Chevron Island apartment development, which is slated to launch in early 2027.
</section>
</section>

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112661]

SIERA kicks off construction at Northcliffe tower Exhale

Local Little Bay residents, along with buyers from premium postcodes across Sydney’s affluent Eastern Suburbs, have dominated purchases in developer-builder Urban Property Group’s first Eastern Suburbs apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a>.

The $250 million coastal project, one of the first new developments in the area in several years, has proven particularly popular with downsizers, especially those from Coogee and Bondi. One Double Bay downsizer paid $4.7 million for a four-bedroom penthouse, setting a new local apartment price record in the process.

Buyers have been attracted to the combination of coastal tranquillity, premium design and amenity-rich neighbourhood living. The walkable village setting, along with proximity to three of Sydney’s leading golf courses, New South Wales Golf Club, St Michael’s Golf Club and The Coast Golf Club, has also been a key drawcard.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352689]

Built across two low-rise buildings designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hill-thalis-architecture-urban-projects-pty-ltd">Hill Thalis</a> and set along a lush, landscaped green spine, designed by leading landscape architect <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/arcadia-landscape-architecture">Arcadia</a>, ESTE Little Bay offers a collection of one, two, three and four-bedroom residences with interiors by Richards Stanisich.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> Sales Director, Tom McIvor said the response to ESTE has been "nothing short of extraordinary."

“Buyers have been quick to recognise ESTE as a rare opportunity to invest in a coastal sanctuary that offers both seclusion and connectivity to the heart of Sydney,” McIvor said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352687]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">SRM Residential</a> Senior Director, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">Clayton Ross</a> said the local market has responded incredibly well, driven by ESTE’s exceptional location and the rarity it offers.

“We’ve seen strong interest from a variety of buyer groups, all of whom are drawn to the exclusivity and quality of the build and construction by the 4.5-star iCIRT-rated builder / developer, Urban Property Group. There’s truly nothing else like it along Sydney’s coastline.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352690]

The project also includes robust buyer protections, including Resilience Insurance’s Latent Defects Insurance, providing 10 years of structural cover, and an independent iCIRT-rating of the developer.

“The iCIRT-rating adds another layer of confidence,” Ross added. “Buyers see it as a safeguard for their investment and their lifestyle.” A highlight of ESTE’s offering is its exclusive wellness amenities, including a heated rooftop infinity pool and outdoor heated spa, a state-of-the-art Technogym fitness centre, and a sauna.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a> is topped out and is on track to complete towards the end of 2026, with residents moving in before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112343]

Eastern Suburbs buyers snap up ESTE Little Bay apartments

National Australia Bank (NAB) has brought forward the timing of the first RBA cash rate cut by three months.

NAB is now expecting a cut in February, in line with ANZ and Westpac, having initially thought a cut wouldn't come until May.

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB changed its call following the August monthly inflation figures that were released at the end of September, showing it had dropped to 2.7 per cent.

"The risk has been skewed to a first cut earlier in 2025, and today’s change acknowledges the balance of risks has likely shifted sufficiently for the RBA to feel comfortable cutting a little sooner than we earlier expected," NAB noted in its latest update.

They added that the cadence of the cuts may be faster than its central profile.

"Domestic inflation pressures are cooling, but only gradually, and we continue to expect the conditions for a cut will not be in place this year.

NAB believes the easing cycle will end at 3.1 per cent by early 2026, which is five cuts from the current 4.35 per cent cash rate.&nbsp;

CBA also thinks 3.1 per cent will mark the end of the cutting cycle, while Westpac is forecasting 3.35 per cent, and ANZ is the most pessimistic at 3.6 per cent, which would be just three interest rate cuts.

<h2>What would a rate cut in February look like for borrowers?</h2>

According to&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vK2ujS77CHs9VRvSSXzLC" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG" target="_blank">Canstar</a>, if there is a cut in February, a borrower with a $600,000 loan today and 25 years remaining would see their monthly repayments drop by $92.&nbsp;

<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Impact of 0.25% pt cut in February 2025
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Current loan size
			</td>
			<td>
			Drop in monthly repayment
			</td>
			<td>
			New monthly repayment
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$600,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$92
			</td>
			<td>
			$3,907
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$750,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$114
			</td>
			<td>
			$4,884
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$1M
			</td>
			<td>
			-$153
			</td>
			<td>
			$6,512
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Source:&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2qVnp6oqATgqDUi2Frm22q" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL" target="_blank">www.canstar.com.au</a>. Starting rate is the RBA existing average owner-occupier variable rate of 6.36%. Assumes banks pass the cash rate cut on in full the month after the meeting.
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Canstar Data Insights Director, Sally Tindall, says if core inflation continues to track in the right direction, or unemployment starts to accelerate significantly, we could well see a cash rate cut as early as February of next year.

“All four big banks now believe the RBA will be ready to cut the cash rate in just over four months’ time, if not before, in the case of CBA.

“However, the outlook for both inflation and unemployment is still highly uncertain. A couple of wobbly sets of inflation data could see the RBA holding for longer, particularly if unemployment remains relatively steady."

&nbsp;

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

<html><body>
NSW’s Broken Hill has the highest mortgage arrears in the country followed by Queensland’s Armstrong Beach, followed by South Australia’s Currency Creek and Butler in Western Australia, according to S&amp;P.
“Mortgage delinquencies in regional areas traditionally have outpaced metropolitan areas,” the latest report said.
“This often has been the case because regional centres are more vulnerable to a downturn.”
Erin Kitson, an analyst for S&amp;P, says that mining and manufacturing regions, especially those in Queensland and Victoria, are struggling due to job losses.
The Australian also noted that Geelong was experiencing a sharp increase in mortgage arrears rate due to job losses.
<table style="height: 150px; width: 496px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
State
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Suburb
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
Loans in arrears (%)
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
NSW
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Broken Hill
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           8
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
QLD
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Armstrong Beach
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
SA
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Currency Creek
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           5
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
WA
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Butler
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           5
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
QLD
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Bucasia
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           4
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
QLD
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Blenheim
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           4
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
WA
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Maddington
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           4
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
QLD
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Emerald
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           4
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
TAS
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Dowsing Point
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           4
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="38">
QLD
</td>
<td valign="top" width="96">
Alexandra
</td>
<td valign="top" width="113">
                           4
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
“The non-metropolitan regions of Australia tend to have economies which are less diverse compared to metropolitan areas, which means if you lose your job in Wide Bay there are going to be less opportunities than if you lost your job in Sydney or Melbourne.”
The number of regional homeowners in arrears has increased by 18% in the past year compared with only 2 percent for metropolitan mortgagees.
The percentages of loans in arrears in the most affected postcodes are 8.27 percent in Broken Hill, 7.42 percent in Armstrong Beach, 5.44 percent in Currency Creek, and 5.43 percent in Butler.
 
 
 
 
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jchancellor-FAypfDUnLy

Broken Hill has country's highest arrears in property mortgages

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Westpac are set to increase interest rates for foreign mortgage customers, writes the Australian Financial Review.
The bank is reported to be introducing a new loan category next month, a 'Non-Resident Reference Rate'.
Off-shore based customers who currently have loans with the bank will have to pay a 0.5% higher standard variable rate.
A Westpac spokesperson told the Australian Financial Review that the higher rates took into account the bank's "risk settings, the economic landscape, and expected changes in capital requirements for that segment of the mortgage market”. 
The decision comes after a long crackdown by the major banks on foreign lending.
Westpac announced, as of April 26. it would no longer loan money to foreign home buyers seeking to purchase residential property.
The bank has not settled any new mortgages from offshore-based clients since then.
Other major banks such as NAB and ANZ have also introduced similar policies halting new loans to foreign buyers.
Westpac has also dropped its loan to valuation ratios (LVRs) from 80% to 70% for local applications that include foreign income.
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j.ballantyne1990-6AQqhLzZaK

Major bank continues foreign loan clampdown

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GUEST OBSERVER
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The six month annualised growth rate in the Westpac- Melbourne Institute Leading Index, which indicates the likely pace of economic activity relative to trend three to nine months into the future, fell from +0.63 percent in September to +0.43 percent in October. 
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The October reading is the third consecutive above trend result and follows fifteen months of persistent below trend reads. Although the growth rate has slowed a little, it is still a clear positive signal for the near term economic outlook. That signal is broadly consistent with Westpac’s forecast for growth to hold around a 3 percent pace over the course of this year and to lift to 3.3 percent in 2017.
Westpac has recently lifted its growth forecast for 2017 from 3 percent to 3.3 percent. That reflects the recent improvement in the terms of trade following the sustained boost in bulk commodity prices; a more confident assessment of the sustainability of the residential construction cycle and continuing evidence of a strong outlook for growth in both resource and services exports.
The Leading Index growth rate has lifted over the last six months from a 0.34 percent below trend reading in May to the current 0.43% above trend result. 
Offshore factors continue to dominate the sources of improvement in the Index. Of the net 77 basis points in improvement over the last six months, three of the four externally driven components contributed 90 basis points – commodity prices (45 basis points); US industrial production (25 basis points); and a steepening yield curve (25 basis points). The other component of the Index which is heavily influenced by global forces (ASX 200) actually subtracted 8 basis points from the overall movement over the six months. Of course we can expect another story in November following the post-election boom in the share market.
<a href="/images/2016/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-16%20at%2010.42.39%20AM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/11/16/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-16%20at%2010.42.39%20AM.png" alt="">
 
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Contributions from the domestic components of the Index were mixed over the six month period. Aggregate hours worked have improved, contributing 31 basis points to the lift. However, confidence measures have weighed on the Index. The Westpac-MI Consumer Expectations Index subtracted 14 basis points and the Westpac-MI Unemployment Expectations Index subtracted 13 basis points. A slowdown in dwelling approvals has also seen this component subtract 13 basis points.
The Reserve Bank Board next meets on December 6. There is virtually no chance of a policy move coming from that meeting. 
The minutes from the November meeting signalled that the Bank is in a ‘wait and see’ mode. There was an air of uncertainty around both the housing market and the labour market. Considerable time will be required before the picture around both becomes clearer. From our perspective we expect stability in the housing market and some gradual pick-up in labour market conditions as stronger overall growth lifts it out of the current ‘slow patch’. 
Consequently, we expect that a central bank, which must be questioning the effectiveness of yet more monetary stimulus, will be unlikely to see the need to adjust policy throughout the entire run of 2017. 
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BILL EVANS is chief economist of <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/" target="_blank">Westpac</a>.
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bevans-rYk9SxEa4r

No chance of a policy move from RBA in December: Westpac's Bill Evans

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The nation's biggest non-bank lender, Firstmac, and nine other lenders are raising fixed rate mortgages in a move known as the 'Trump effect,' according to lenders and market analysts.
These mortgages are being raised by up to 45 basis points.
Firstmac's rates for owner-occupiers and investors on one to three-year mortgages by 13 basis points.
Owner-occupied rates have increased to 4.09 percent and investor rates to 4.34 percent.
"International funding costs are rising, which is the fallout from the 'Trump effect'," Martin North, principal of Digital Finance Analytics, told The Australian Financial Review.
"Other lenders are likely to follow," he said.  
"I am expecting rises in mortgage rates over the summer."
"If the US do turn on the debt tap to fund infrastructure builds, this is likely to drive rates up.
"I know the banks have more deposit funding now, but they are still caught in the draft of international rate movements." 
Marnie Mortimer, managing director of loans.com.au said that global markets are set to change.
"There is no doubt global markets are pricing in a rise in rates in the medium-term and that has now been aggravated by expectations of higher inflation if Mr Trump implements his election promises," she to the Australian Financial Review.
It comes as for the first time in two years, the markets are betting that the RBA is more likely to lift rates than lower them next year.
Index swaps are pricing in an about 8 per cent chance that over the next 12 months the cash rate will rise from its current record low of 1.5 per cent, according to Credit Suisse data.
Loans.com.au had cut its three year fixed-rate home loan by 32 basis point to 3.67 percent in June.
This week the lender increased its three-year rate to 3.89 percent.  
P&amp;N Bank, the largest member-owned bank in Western Australia, has raised rates on its products by 10 basis points.
Catalyst Money increased its fixed rates by up to 30 basis points, Bank of Queensland's three-year owner-occupied and investment loans went up by up to 20 basis points and Beyond Bank by 10 basis point.
Westpac, which has about $380 billion in mortgages, is cutting the introductory discount rate on its popular "flexi first" owner-occupier and investment products by 10 basis points. 
Loans.com.au, the nation's largest online lender, has raised rates by up to 13 basis point on investor and owner-occupied fixed rates.
 
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jonathanchancellor-7SQnKwU6yx

'Trump effect' begins to bite borrowers as fixed-rate mortgages increase

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GUEST OBSERVER
The minutes from the November Board meeting were broadly consistent with the narrative from the recent Statement on Monetary Policy, as expected.</div>
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 The RBA continues to monitor the risks around the labour market, housing market, China, and private consumption, and continues to think that the “appreciating exchange rate could complicate this adjustment”.</div>
<div class="column">
 Importantly, the assessment of risks around the inflation outlook appears more balanced, with the minutes suggesting to us emerging confidence that the disinflationary pulse has peaked.</div>
<div class="column">
 We continue to see the RBA on hold with the cash rate steady at 1.5% over our forecast horizon (to end 2018). Governor Lowe is speaking later today (7:15pm AEDT) on ‘Buffers and Options’ at the annual CEDA dinner.
The minutes from the November RBA Board meeting were broadly consistent with the narrative from the recent Statement on Monetary Policy, as expected. The overall tone is quite positive, with economic growth forecast to be around potential in the coming quarters and then “a little above potential growth thereafter”.
The outlook is not without risks and the minutes again highlighted concerns around:
the medium-term risks to the outlook for China’s economic growth given high and rising debt levels (notwithstanding better near-term growth prospects) ; and, as a result, uncertainty about the outlook for the terms of trade (which had been revised higher given the recent rise in prices); excess capacity in the labour market and the impact on wages; uncertainty about “households’ expectations of their income growth” and how this impacts spending and saving decisions; and the housing market, where “members noted that assessing conditions in the housing market had become more complicated” and that “while overall conditions had eased relative to 2015, some indicators had strengthened over the previous few months”.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Importantly, the minutes suggest the RBA may be more comfortable with the inflation outlook and perhaps increasingly confident that disinflationary pressures have peaked. Indeed, the minutes repeated the assessment in the SoMP that the risks to global inflation are “more balanced” but also judged the risks to domestic inflation as “broadly balanced”, supported by “evidence that wage growth in Australia had stabilised”.
A stabilisation in wage growth is important for the outlook for inflation, particularly given already weak rental growth and the large volume of apartment supply coming on stream.
While the policy framework can accommodate periods of undershoot, rising confidence that inflation has stabilised – even if it is expected to rise only gradually – would be a welcome development.
We continue to see the RBA on hold with the cash rate steady at 1.5 percent. While the RBA’s forecasts for persistently low inflation implies an easing bias, this is tempered by a more balanced assessment of the inflation risks and ongoing financial stability concerns. 
Jo Masters is senior economist, ANZ and can be contacted <a href="https://www.anz.com/personal/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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RBA's more balanced risks around the inflation outlook: ANZ's Jo Masters

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GUEST OBSERVER
The ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 0.3 percent to a 7-week high of 118.2 in the week to November 13.
Confidence remains above the average of 113.0 since 2014.
The minutes from the November 1 Board meeting shows that the Reserve Bank has become more alert to inflation risks. 
The consumer confidence figures have implications for finance providers, retailers, and companies dependent on consumer and business spending. The Reserve Bank Board minutes provides guidance on interest rate settings. 
What does it all mean?
Aussie consumers are unfazed by the US election result. Consumer confidence edged to 7-week highs in the latest week, no doubt boosted by strong gains on the Australian sharemarket late in the week. Interestingly respondents believe that the economic outlook over the medium term has improved.
There is a clear change in the Reserve Bank’s attitude to inflation. The latest Board minutes highlight the recent lift in commodity prices as well as perceptions that economic growth for advanced nations could exceed “potential growth”. As such the Reserve Bank concludes that “risks to the global inflation outlook were more balanced than they had been for some time.” Similarly Board members believe that Australian underlying inflation is “expected to return to more normal levels over time.”
Admittedly the Reserve Bank isn’t flashing warning signs on growth and inflation. But it should also be noted that in the period since the Reserve Bank Board meeting there has been the election of a new US President with growth-focussed economic policies. Metal and mining prices and bond yields have soared.
<a href="/images/2016/11/15/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-15%20at%2012.51.52%20PM.png" target="_blank">Click to enlarge</a>
<img src="/images/2016/11/15/Screen%20Shot%202016-11-15%20at%2012.51.52%20PM.png" alt="">
Simply interest rate settings are likely to remain stable until well into 2017.
What do the figures show?
Consumer confidence
The ANZ/Roy Morgan consumer confidence rating rose by 0.3 percent to 118.2 in the week to November 13.
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Confidence is up 2.0 percent over the year and above the average of 113.0 since 2014. 
Two of five components of the index rose in the latest week.
<ul>
<li> The estimate of family finances compared with a year ago was down from +11 to +10; </li>
<li> The estimate of family finances over the next year was down from +28 to +27;</li>
<li> Economic conditions over the next 12 months was up from +5 to+6;</li>
<li> Economic conditions over the next 5 years was up from +10 to +13;</li>
</ul>
The measure of whether it was a good time to buy a major household item was steady at +35. In addition the inflation expectation 2 years ahead rose from 3.8 percent to 3.9 percent.
Reserve Bank Board minutes:
“Members noted that assessing conditions in the housing market had become more complicated. While overall conditions had eased relative to 2015, some indicators had strengthened over the previous few months. In particular, housing price growth had picked up noticeably in Sydney and Melbourne. However, housing turnover and growth in housing credit both remained lower than a year earlier, consistent with the supervisory measures that had been taken to tighten lending standards and the more cautious attitude to lending in certain segments. In addition, a considerable supply of apartments is scheduled to come on stream over the next few years, particularly in the eastern capital cities, and growth in rents in the September quarter was the slowest for some decades.”
“Considerable uncertainty remained about the strength of labour market conditions and the implications for labour cost growth.”
 “Members observed that some indicators of domestic inflation cost pressures, such as growth in the wage price index, had stabilised, albeit at low levels, and that underlying inflation was expected to return to more normal levels over time. The overall assessment was that the risks around the inflation forecast were broadly balanced.”
</div>
<div class="column">“Higher commodity prices and expectations that growth in the major advanced economies would exceed potential growth suggested that the risks to the global inflation outlook were more balanced than they had been for some time.”</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">“Members commenced their discussion of the domestic economy by considering how outcomes over recent years had differed from earlier forecasts, noting that the differences for key variables, including inflation, the unemployment rate and GDP growth, had been modest by historical standards.”</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">“Members noted that there was significant uncertainty about the outlook for consumption growth given uncertainty about households' expectations of their income growth and the influence of these expectations on their spending and saving decisions. This was particularly pronounced for households with significant debt.”</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">What is the importance of the economic data?</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">The ANZ/Roy Morgan weekly survey of consumer confidence closely tracks the monthly Westpac/Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index but the former measure is a timelier assessment of consumer attitudes and is now closely tracked by the Reserve Bank. The Reserve Bank releases minutes of its monthly Board meeting a fortnight after the event. The minutes give a guide to Reserve Bank thinking on interest rate settings.
What are the implications for interest rates and investors?
CommSec expects the Reserve Bank to remain on the interest rate sidelines for an extended period.</div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Could the next move in interest rates be a rate hike rather than a rate cut? It’s important not to get too far ahead of ourselves. Inflation is still historically low. And while there is speculation of growth-focussed policies in the US, they haven’t been fleshed out. However you get a sense that inflation has reached an inflexion point. </div>
<div class="column"> </div>
<div class="column">Craig James is the chief economist at <a href="https://www.comsec.com.au/default.aspx" target="_blank">CommSec</a>.</div>
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Happy Aussies, Reserve Bank on inflation watch: CommSec's Craig James

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GUEST OBSERVER
The minutes of the November monetary policy meeting of the Reserve Bank Board provided no real surprises. 
This is to be expected given that we have seen the Statement on Monetary Policy only a week or so ago.
The three areas worthy of attention in the minutes are: the Bank’s take on the recent lift in bulk commodity prices; its assessment of the trends in the labour market; and any update on its sentiment towards the housing market.
The commentary around the commodity story appears to be more positive – “the terms of trade had risen for the first time in two and a half years and had been revised higher over the forecast period.” As with most observers of this recent development the minutes emphasise “uncertainty” about the outlook for the terms of trade. However the Board offers no speculation as to the sustainability of these increases.
There is a much longer than normal discussion around the labour market. The Board noted that “the current experience of relatively strong growth in part time employment (compared to full time employment) was unusual insofar as such a pattern was typically associated with rising unemployment rates." The discussion also clarified the Board’s view on the state of spare capacity in the labour market emphasising that it depended up “how many additional hours workers were seeking” which they concluded was not readily available data. The minutes confirmed that the unemployment rate is expected to edge lower although forecasts incorporated a small downward revision to the outlook for employment growth and more than compensated by a fall in the participation rate.
Just as there is uncertainty around the outlook for the labour market, the Board has become more ambivalent around the housing market: “Members noted that assessing conditions in the housing market had become more complicated.… housing price growth had picked up notably in Sydney and Melbourne but turnover had slowed.” The Bank continues to make the statement of fact: “A considerable supply of apartments is scheduled to come on stream in the next few years” but provides no guidance as to its view on the implications for both prices and the medium term outlook for activity. We are, at least, pleased however that the Board recognises that building activity is likely to support growth “for some time yet.”
The views on inflation are more confident. The forecast that underlying inflation will lift from 1½% in 2016 to 2% in 2017 is supported by the key assertions that firstly that the slowdown in labour costs has bottomed out and secondly that the disinflationary effect of retail competition is expected to dissipate. On the other hand, low rental inflation is expected to persist while the inflationary effect of the fall in the AUD appears to have run its course.
Internationally, the turning point in government bond rates is recognised partly because expectations of further increases in asset purchases by the ECB and BoJ have been toned down. (The Board meeting occurred before the US election had taken place).
On the growth front downside risks to the near term outlook for China have diminished although the Board continues to note that longer term risks to China’s economy associated with high and rising debt remain.
The conclusion in the key “Considerations for Monetary Policy” section emphasises the ongoing neutral policy bias.
Conclusion
Westpac has consistently argued that, following the rate cut in August, the Bank was likely to keep rates on hold through-out the course of 2016 and 2017. The risk to that view remains to the downside associated with an unexpected extended deterioration in the labour market. As discussed, the Board is not confident about the outlook for the labour market. The forecast that the unemployment rate will remain steady is qualified by a number of conditions particularly around the assessment that the data for the best measure of spare capacity is “not readily available.”
Our view on the growth and employment outlook is more positive and we expect that the probability of the type of adverse development in the labour market that would trigger a further policy response remains quite low.
While markets have substantially priced out the prospect of rate cuts next year, in line with our view, there is some evidence that they are flirting with the possibility of a tightening in the second half of 2017. From our perspective that prospect is extremely remote, particularly given the inflation outlook and given our own forecasts for economic growth.
BILL EVANS is chief economist of <a href="https://www.westpac.com.au/" target="_blank">Westpac</a>.
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Reserve Bank minutes highlight uncertainty around the labour market, housing: Westpac's Bill Evans

Housing markets getting more complicated: minutes of the November 2016 RBA meeting

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Bankwest customers are now able to check the details and status of their home loan application using a real-time, 24/7 online service.
Bankwest’s Andrew Whitechurch said the Application Tracker app had been developed by working directly with customers to understand their needs.
"Customers increasingly expect all organisations, including banks, to be flexible, digitally-connected and more responsive in helping them achieve what matters," he said.
The Application Tracker is a web-based tool designed to keep customers informed throughout the home loan application process from the time the application is lodged, through approval and right through to their first repayment. 
"By listening directly to our customers we found that while they love person to person interaction, in a rapidly evolving digital world they also expect to be able to track the progress of their home loan themselves via digital channels, and to be kept up to date immediately at key points throughout the process," said Whitechurch.
"Customers’ expectations about service and access to information on-line, is being shaped by their experiences in other industries."
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Bankwest launches real-time home loan application app

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The Full Court of the Supreme Court of NSW has dismissed an appeal by Park Trent Properties Group Pty Ltd (Park Trent) from the judgment of his Honour Acting Justice Sackville handed down in October 2015.
In a unanimous decision delivered by His Honour Justice Leeming on 3 November, the Court found that no error had been made by the trial judge in refusing an application by Park Trent to amend its defence on the sixth day of the nine-day trial.
Further, even if the amendment had been allowed, the regulation upon which Park Trent sought to rely would not have applied to the advice of Park Trent, which was the subject of the proceedings.
Park Trent will be required to pay ASIC's costs of the appeal.
ASIC Commissioner Greg Tanzer said, "ASIC welcomes the dismissal of the appeal. ASIC's action against Park Trent has highlighted there are serious consequences for property spruikers who break the law by providing unlicensed financial product advice. "
ASIC launched legal proceedings in November 2014 against Park Trent, who by the time of the trial in June 2015 had advised over 860 members of the public to establish and switch funds into an SMSF.
Final orders were handed down in November 2015 and an appeal was launched on 26 February 2016.
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