Malaysian developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/s-p-setia">SP Setia</a> is the latest to jump into St Leonards booming Transport Oriented Development precinct.

The developer, which has previously delivered Sapphire by the Gardens apartment development in Melbourne, identified the Atchison Street site in 2023. It filed a Scoping Report around 12 months ago, and now has revealed the designs for the new&nbsp;40-storey mixed-use tower.

The State Significant Development Application covers <a href="https://next-portal.urban.com.au/projects/14650/summary">20-22 Atchison Street</a>, a 1,374 sqm site positioned between St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/cox-architecture">COX Architecture</a>, the project would deliver 181 apartments, above a four-storey commercial podium, five basement levels, and new public domain works along Mitchell Street. The apartment mix comprises 35 one-bedroom apartments, 39 one-bedroom-plus-study apartments, 85 two-bedroom apartments, and 22 three-bedroom residences.

The proposal has been lodged as a shop-top housing development under the NSW Government’s TOD planning pathway, which allows increased density around key transport infrastructure. The site sits within the recently rezoned Crows Nest Accelerated TOD Precinct.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b799673d-48e2-46b0-801a-0e33a9330100" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20site.png?VersionId=dPh0UfwfaHpbFL1R7H1cbZNbIW0CHbCC" />

SP Setia acquired the Atchison Street site as part of its continued expansion into the Australian apartment market. In comments made to City &amp; Country (The Edge Malaysia) in 2023, SP Setia President and CEO Datuk Choong Kai Wai described the acquisition as “a strategic move” aligned with the group’s post-pandemic market recovery strategy.

“Our target for this exceptional development is local and overseas buyers, including first-home buyers, downsizers and investors,” Choong said.

The tower has been designed as a slender vertical form rising from a mixed-use podium, with COX Architecture positioning the development as a response to the evolving St Leonards and Crows Nest skyline.

“The purpose of the project is to facilitate the delivery of high-quality housing at a strategically located site and deliver a built tower outcome that is consistent with the desired future character of St Leonards and aligns with the TOD controls,” the design report stated.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="b1a85eee-76f7-436c-a6da-73ba827b9b13" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/atchinson%20entry.png?VersionId=dA9jHGPMcm.dDbwk4QfxqWiY5bfh3UVt" />

The podium would incorporate retail uses fronting Atchison Street, commercial tenancies, landscaped communal areas, and pedestrian improvements along Mitchell Street. Vehicle access and loading would be consolidated via Atchison Lane.

Residents would have access to more than 665 sqm of communal indoor and outdoor spaces, while the development proposes 96 parking spaces across five basement levels.

The proposal also includes a commitment for 10 per cent of residential floor space to be allocated toward affordable housing through a monetary contribution.

COX said the tower form responds directly to the emerging high-density character of the precinct while seeking to maximise solar access, cross ventilation, and outlook from apartments.

<img alt="First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2163f85c-f63b-4be3-aafa-f8763976cec5" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Article%20Feature%20Image%20%28Grid%29_5.png?VersionId=WiAmtIKJ6.ZQ41EtYEQ1fol7AeorKBlL" />

“The building is orientated towards north,” the Apartment Design Guide compliance report noted, adding that the tower’s slim form was driven by the constrained inner-urban site dimensions.

The design also incorporates landscaped setbacks and communal open space at podium level, intended to soften the interface with surrounding streets and improve pedestrian amenity.

The project adds to a growing wave of redevelopment proposals reshaping St Leonards and Crows Nest following the opening of the Sydney Metro City line and the NSW Government’s push for higher-density housing around major transport nodes.

Last week Stockland filed plans just down the road. They want to build a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/601-pacific-highway-st-leonards-nsw-2065">52-storey tower on Pacific Highway</a>.

Read more:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">First look: Stockland plans 52-storey, 538-apartment St Leonards tower&nbsp;</a>

Joel Robinson

First look: SP Setia targets St Leonards skyline with 40-storey TOD tower

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> has revealed plans for a new mixed-use tower at 10 Dangar Street, Wickham, advancing a proposal that would reshape the southern gateway to Newcastle’s city centre with one of the city’s tallest residential buildings.

The State Significant Development proposal, now on exhibition, seeks approval for a <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/bowline-10-dangar-street-wickham-nsw-2293">43-storey tower</a> immediately adjacent to the Newcastle Interchange. The project would deliver around 200 apartments, including 42 affordable housing dwellings, alongside 99 co-living units, a 171-room hotel, retail space, and new public domain integrated through the site.

The scheme marks a significant escalation of plans previously approved for the site. Urban Property Group took over the prominent 2,904 sqm parcel, where excavation and demolition had already commenced under an earlier consent for a 14-storey mixed-use development.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="58a96dd9-407f-4d20-86b4-94e4bfeef74b" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20podium.png?VersionId=LGlf08pdFGAZDzvx_CXC4XakHNZRuEE0" />

Designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/sjb-architects">SJB</a>, the tower has been conceived as a landmark transit-oriented development anchored to the Newcastle Interchange precinct. The proposal includes 245 build-to-sell apartments across a mix of one, two, and three-bedroom residences, as well as two penthouses. Fifteen apartments and one operational unit are earmarked for NDIS housing. The co-living component would add a further 99 units, while the podium would accommodate retail uses and hotel facilities.

SJB said the site presents “a valuable opportunity to anchor the precinct by setting the standard for design, active ground planes and character at the key southern gateway.”

The architecture responds directly to the site’s position beside major transport infrastructure and within one of Newcastle’s fastest-evolving urban renewal precincts. The tower form sits above a sculpted podium designed to frame new public spaces, including a through-site pedestrian link connecting Station Street to Hannell Street, landscaped plazas, and activated retail edges.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="a7bd6ff0-f7db-4ce8-a6dc-ea56e72c6149" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20lanne.png?VersionId=xzf39VADyhj7zBQY2I9fx9vI62u2tuSb" />

The design report describes the project as part of the broader transition of Wickham into “a vibrant, high-quality mixed-use urban precinct” that leverages proximity to the station, open space, and regional connectivity.

A detailed public art strategy has also been prepared for the development. The strategy positions the project as “a transit-oriented development of state significance at the gateway to Newcastle’s city centre” and outlines a series of integrated artworks responding to Newcastle’s industrial and transport heritage.

Creative Road’s curatorial framework for the project, titled Unveil, draws on “stratified surfaces, carved volumes, and light-filled apertures” while referencing Newcastle’s transformation from an industrial city into a contemporary education and technology hub.

<img alt="First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s next supertower at Wickham interchange" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="77a882bb-14b1-4d28-99ff-9438e39508c0" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/wickham%20site.png?VersionId=cevgo_vN0eKPK78P8YcEu3mKPLkpFqE7" />

The proposal is being advanced through the NSW Housing Delivery Authority pathway after being declared State Significant Development in June 2025. The accompanying scoping report states the development aims to “maximise the site’s proximity to the Newcastle Interchange by delivering transit-oriented development” while increasing housing supply and affordable housing provision within the Newcastle LGA.

Urban Property Group’s plans align with the long-term strategic vision established under the Wickham Master Plan, which identified the interchange precinct as suitable for substantial uplift in height and density. The current proposal would significantly intensify that vision, positioning the tower among the tallest developments proposed for Newcastle.

The site sits immediately north of the Newcastle Interchange, bounded by Dangar Street, Hannell Street, and Charles Street. It is surrounded by a rapidly growing cluster of residential towers and mixed-use projects that have emerged following the completion of the light rail and transport interchange.

First look: Urban Property Group unveils Newcastle’s latest tower at Wickham interchange

Bottega House has completed settlement of a landmark riverfront site in Macquarie Street, St Lucia, representing its first major Brisbane development.&nbsp;

Positioned on the banks of the Brisbane River, the <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/180-macquarie-street-st-lucia-qld-4067">premium site at 180 Macquarie Street</a> features uninterrupted river frontage in one of Brisbane’s most tightly held residential precincts.&nbsp;

The proposed development, currently under assessment with Brisbane City Council, has been designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/plus-studio">Plus Studio</a> with interiors by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/interior-designers/mim-design">Mim Design</a> and will deliver a boutique collection of premium residences positioned specifically for owner occupiers and downsizers.&nbsp;

The residences are set to redefine luxury apartment living in the area, with a focus on architectural quality, refined finishes, landscape integration and elevated amenities including curated wellness facilities, resort-style pools and recreation spaces rarely seen in the local market.&nbsp;

Exclusive sales for the project will be led by Keenan &amp; Byrne, ahead of an anticipated launch later this year.&nbsp;

Bottega House Managing Director Nick Malloch said the project reflects the group’s ambition to deliver a highly curated residential offering within one of Brisbane’s most tightly held precincts.&nbsp;

“This is an incredibly rare riverfront opportunity and one we have approached with a long-term perspective,” Malloch said.&nbsp;

“Our vision from the outset was to create a boutique collection of residences that feel more like private homes than traditional apartments, with generous proportions, refined finishes and exceptional amenity throughout."

Malloch says there is a&nbsp;lack of premium owner-occupier stock of this quality in the market, particularly for downsizers wanting space, privacy and a true lifestyle offering without compromise.&nbsp;

"Demand is expected to be strong given the scarcity of premium riverfront opportunities of this nature within Brisbane’s inner-west."&nbsp;

Bottega House secures landmark riverfront site in St Lucia 

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<section data-scroll-anchor="false" data-testid="conversation-turn-2" data-turn="assistant" data-turn-id="request-WEB:5a5ab36c-8dd3-454c-b456-c501f22f0eb4-0" data-turn-id-container="request-WEB:5a5ab36c-8dd3-454c-b456-c501f22f0eb4-0" dir="auto">
The arrival of the first piling rig officially marks the commencement of construction at SIERA’s new beachside apartment development, Exhale, in Northcliffe.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/exhale-surfers-paradise-8-enderley-avenue-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Exhale</a>, a glass-encased tower featuring 54 large-scale apartments at 8 Enderley Avenue, is SIERA’s third Gold Coast development. It follows the recently completed PIPIS Bilinga beachfront project, which achieved suburb-record prices, and the soon-to-be-completed Chevron Island development, Tapestry.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359603]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/siera">SIERA</a> Founder and Managing Director Brent Thompson said the arrival of the piling rig represented a significant milestone for the development, which is scheduled for completion in late 2028.

Over the next month, around 260 piles are expected to be installed as work progresses on the basement structure. The building is anticipated to rise above ground level early next year, before unveiling its sculptural glass curtain wall, developed in collaboration with specialist façade engineers.

“The façade was designed to maximise panoramic coastal views while creating a distinctive architectural identity,” Thompson said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=355935]

Designed by BDA Architecture, Exhale will comprise just 54 two- and three-bedroom residences across 26 levels, a level of low-density living rarely delivered in this beachside pocket between Surfers Paradise and Broadbeach.

The project has been conceived as a resident-only building, with no short-stay accommodation permitted. SIERA says the model is intended to appeal to long-term owner-occupiers rather than transient holiday demand.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=361052]

Residences have been designed with large-format layouts and expansive glazing, with most apartments featuring more than 30 metres of glass frontage to maximise natural light and ocean views.

The amenity offering spans two levels and centres on wellness and lifestyle, including a heated magnesium pool, sauna, yoga and Pilates studio, gymnasium, private dining facilities, cinema lounge, and dedicated surfcraft storage.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112661 project_image_fid=359607]

More than half of the apartments have already sold. SIERA has also opened a sales gallery for Exhale at its Chevron Island commercial premises, near its Tapestry tower and the site of its second Chevron Island apartment development, which is slated to launch in early 2027.
</section>
</section>

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112661]

SIERA kicks off construction at Northcliffe tower Exhale

Local Little Bay residents, along with buyers from premium postcodes across Sydney’s affluent Eastern Suburbs, have dominated purchases in developer-builder Urban Property Group’s first Eastern Suburbs apartment development, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a>.

The $250 million coastal project, one of the first new developments in the area in several years, has proven particularly popular with downsizers, especially those from Coogee and Bondi. One Double Bay downsizer paid $4.7 million for a four-bedroom penthouse, setting a new local apartment price record in the process.

Buyers have been attracted to the combination of coastal tranquillity, premium design and amenity-rich neighbourhood living. The walkable village setting, along with proximity to three of Sydney’s leading golf courses, New South Wales Golf Club, St Michael’s Golf Club and The Coast Golf Club, has also been a key drawcard.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352689]

Built across two low-rise buildings designed by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/hill-thalis-architecture-urban-projects-pty-ltd">Hill Thalis</a> and set along a lush, landscaped green spine, designed by leading landscape architect <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/landscape-architect/arcadia-landscape-architecture">Arcadia</a>, ESTE Little Bay offers a collection of one, two, three and four-bedroom residences with interiors by Richards Stanisich.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/urban-property-group">Urban Property Group</a> Sales Director, Tom McIvor said the response to ESTE has been "nothing short of extraordinary."

“Buyers have been quick to recognise ESTE as a rare opportunity to invest in a coastal sanctuary that offers both seclusion and connectivity to the heart of Sydney,” McIvor said.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352687]

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">SRM Residential</a> Senior Director, <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/project-marketer/srm-residential">Clayton Ross</a> said the local market has responded incredibly well, driven by ESTE’s exceptional location and the rarity it offers.

“We’ve seen strong interest from a variety of buyer groups, all of whom are drawn to the exclusivity and quality of the build and construction by the 4.5-star iCIRT-rated builder / developer, Urban Property Group. There’s truly nothing else like it along Sydney’s coastline.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=112343 project_image_fid=352690]

The project also includes robust buyer protections, including Resilience Insurance’s Latent Defects Insurance, providing 10 years of structural cover, and an independent iCIRT-rating of the developer.

“The iCIRT-rating adds another layer of confidence,” Ross added. “Buyers see it as a safeguard for their investment and their lifestyle.” A highlight of ESTE’s offering is its exclusive wellness amenities, including a heated rooftop infinity pool and outdoor heated spa, a state-of-the-art Technogym fitness centre, and a sauna.

<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/este-little-bay-jennifer-street-little-bay-nsw-2036">ESTE Little Bay</a> is topped out and is on track to complete towards the end of 2026, with residents moving in before Christmas.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=112343]

Eastern Suburbs buyers snap up ESTE Little Bay apartments

National Australia Bank (NAB) has brought forward the timing of the first RBA cash rate cut by three months.

NAB is now expecting a cut in February, in line with ANZ and Westpac, having initially thought a cut wouldn't come until May.

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB changed its call following the August monthly inflation figures that were released at the end of September, showing it had dropped to 2.7 per cent.

"The risk has been skewed to a first cut earlier in 2025, and today’s change acknowledges the balance of risks has likely shifted sufficiently for the RBA to feel comfortable cutting a little sooner than we earlier expected," NAB noted in its latest update.

They added that the cadence of the cuts may be faster than its central profile.

"Domestic inflation pressures are cooling, but only gradually, and we continue to expect the conditions for a cut will not be in place this year.

NAB believes the easing cycle will end at 3.1 per cent by early 2026, which is five cuts from the current 4.35 per cent cash rate.&nbsp;

CBA also thinks 3.1 per cent will mark the end of the cutting cycle, while Westpac is forecasting 3.35 per cent, and ANZ is the most pessimistic at 3.6 per cent, which would be just three interest rate cuts.

<h2>What would a rate cut in February look like for borrowers?</h2>

According to&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vK2ujS77CHs9VRvSSXzLC" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG" target="_blank">Canstar</a>, if there is a cut in February, a borrower with a $600,000 loan today and 25 years remaining would see their monthly repayments drop by $92.&nbsp;

<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Impact of 0.25% pt cut in February 2025
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Current loan size
			</td>
			<td>
			Drop in monthly repayment
			</td>
			<td>
			New monthly repayment
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$600,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$92
			</td>
			<td>
			$3,907
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$750,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$114
			</td>
			<td>
			$4,884
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$1M
			</td>
			<td>
			-$153
			</td>
			<td>
			$6,512
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Source:&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2qVnp6oqATgqDUi2Frm22q" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL" target="_blank">www.canstar.com.au</a>. Starting rate is the RBA existing average owner-occupier variable rate of 6.36%. Assumes banks pass the cash rate cut on in full the month after the meeting.
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Canstar Data Insights Director, Sally Tindall, says if core inflation continues to track in the right direction, or unemployment starts to accelerate significantly, we could well see a cash rate cut as early as February of next year.

“All four big banks now believe the RBA will be ready to cut the cash rate in just over four months’ time, if not before, in the case of CBA.

“However, the outlook for both inflation and unemployment is still highly uncertain. A couple of wobbly sets of inflation data could see the RBA holding for longer, particularly if unemployment remains relatively steady."

&nbsp;

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

<html><body>
Bookmaker Tom Waterhouse does not understand the responsibility that comes with fronting your brand, says Aussie Home Loans founder John Symond. 
Symond has been the face of the Aussie Home Loans brand since its launch in the 1990s, most famous for his catch-phrases “We’ll save you” and “That’s confidence. That’s Aussie”. 
Waterhouse, the face of the Tom Waterhouse betting business (with the phrase “I know what punters want”) has come under fire for previously appearing as a pseudo commentator on live sports events and promoting betting odds on free to air television. 
According to Symond, Waterhouse failed to understand that television is a “sensitive space”. 
“Tom invaded their free space where they were relaxing. They didn’t want that,” said Symond as part of a Mumbrella panel discussion. 
Symond said there was no need for a bookmaker on footy shows. 
The others on the panel - Boost Juice boss Janine Allis, Lorna Jane creator Lorna Jane Clarkson and online tech marketer Ruslan Kogan – agreed with Symond on the great responsibility that comes with fronting your own brand, particularly when it faces criticism. 
“If you’re fronting the brand and the consumers think Aussie is John Symond, then John Symond’s got to come out and make a statement”, said Symond. 
Symond has faced criticism over his decision to sell the business to the Commonwealth Bank having launched Aussie Home Loans as a challenger to the dominance of the major banks. 
However he has stated that Aussie Home Loans continues to operate as a separate entity.</body></html>

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Tom Waterhouse does not understand the responsibility of being the face of a brand: John Symond

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Home loan approvals are trending up strongly driven by owner-occupier upgrading into new homes and investor demand for mortgage finance, the latest RBA chart pack shows.
However, first home-buyer demand for mortgages remains low and has shown no signs of lifting since the start of 2013.
The graph below also shows the impact the first-home buyer boost had in dragging forward demand in 2009.
<img alt="6br-hla" height="378" width="470" src="/images/stories/2013/may23abelesauction/6br-hla.gif">
The scheme ran from October 2008 to December 2009.
Up until September 30, 2009, it provided first-time buyers with an extra $7,000 to purchase an existing home and $14,000 if they purchased a newly constructed home or built a new home. The scheme operated in tandem with the $7,000 grant no longer available or being phased out in NSW, Queensland, Victoria, South Australia, Tasmania and the ACT.
Between October 2009 and December 2009, the first-home owner’s boost was halved, with $3,500 available for the purchase of established homes and $7,000 for the purchase of new homes.
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Upgraders and investors drive rise in mortgage approvals: RBA chart pack

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The RBA is likely to leave the cash rate on hold in July but economists are pencilling in a likely 25 basis point rate cut in August provided there is a benign second quarter inflation reading on July 24 and no sign of a significant pick-up in non-mining sectors of the economy. 
Westpac chief economist Bill Evans believes the end game for the RBA in the current easing cycle remains a 2% cash rate with the most likely timing being a 25 basis point rate cut in August followed by another one in the final quarter the year and one in the first quarter of 2013. 
“The Reserve Bank has retained an easing bias, but it is not an urgent one, says Evans, the first major bank economist to correctly tip the RBA to begin its easing cycle in November 2011.
“The path of easing from here will depend on developments in demand; the financial markets (the Australian dollar, as it jointly impacts demand and inflation) and the inflation story itself,” writes Evans in a note following yesterday’s RBA decision. 
Evans says a key piece of information the RBA will assess is the second quarter ABS inflation figure, which will be released on July 24 - between the July 2 and August 6 monetary policy meetings. 
“We have a more downbeat view on global growth next year and our domestic forecasts are also lower than the Bank's. 
“As such we already see a strong case for further monetary policy easing. 
“However, the tone of yesterday's statement implies that the RBA Board is looking for further evidence before acting again, which points to rates being kept on hold in July. 
“However, it is likely to signal at that meeting that the forthcoming inflation print could provide scope for it to support demand further within the context of its target [inflation band of between 2% and 3%],” he says. 
AMP Capital chief economist Shane Oliver, one of just a few economists who expected a cash rate cut yesterday, said the key message from yesterday’s accompanying statement from Glenn Stevens was that interest rates were appropriate for the "time being", but “importantly it also signalled that it retains a bias to cut interest rates again if needed”. 
“Our view remains that the RBA will have to act again on its easing bias,” says Oliver. 
“While the Australian dollar has fallen over the last month at around $US0.97 it hasn't really fallen enough to provide a big stimulus to the economy (it’s just at the low end of the range it’s been in for two years). 
“While the economy has shown tentative signs of responding to lower interest rates, its now crunch time for the Australian economy with peaking mining investment leading to a heightened sense of urgency that other parts of the economy start to pick up more vigorously,” Oliver says. 
“Ultimately this will occur, but its likely to require a lower Australian dollar and a further decline in interest rates to ensure the adjustment back to a more balanced economy is not too painful. 
“As a result we continue to see further interest rates cuts from the RBA, with the next move likely in the next month or so, although the RBA may decide to wait until the August meeting after which it will get a look at the June quarter inflation figures,” he says. 
CommSec chief economist Craig James highlights that the accompanying statement by Glenn Stevens was probably the smallest on record at 348 words. 
“Basically the Reserve Bank believes it has cut rates low enough to boost economic growth,” James says. 
“But if the economy continues to lag and inflation stays low, the Reserve Bank has vowed to cut rates further. 
James highlights the performance of the Australian dollar as one of the key uncertainties in the minds of the RBA. 
“While the Aussie dollar has fallen over the past month, we are still in the dark about the Reserve Bank’s 'comfort level', given the myriad of factors such as commodity prices, the trade accounts, our AAA credit rating and interest rate settings,” he says. 
He also says the RBA will look at the cash rate in relation to variable mortgage rates and how close they are to “normal”. 
“Currently the variable housing rates of major banks are around 6.20%, below the long-term average or “normal” rate of 7.20% but still modestly above the 41-year low of 5.75% recorded in April-May 2009,” says James. 
“Certainly there is more activity in the housing market at present, but the response has been more by investors rather than owner-occupiers. 
“Not only do analysts need to consider the environment, but also the different reaction funds of demographic groups, from Generation Y to baby boomers,” he says. 
James returned to the wording of the May monetary policy decision statement where the RBA said that only “some” of the scope to ease policy had been used, keeping some in reserve. 
“The Reserve Bank has kept the easing bias firmly in place. So we continue to pencil in the risk of another rate cut in August after the inflation data released in late July,” he says.
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RBA retains easing bias and will act on it with August cash rate cut: economists

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The McDonald's premises in Preston had the highest number of enquiries of all 21 NSW properties auctioned by Burgess Rawson last month, with attractive tax depreciation allowances a key factor driving investor interest.
The <a target="_blank" href="https://www.commercialrealestate.com.au/property/2010402539/for-sale/nsw/prestons/retail">two-year old premises are leased</a> to McDonald’s Australia for 20 years with 18 years still to run.
The premises (pictured below) were advertised as being "built in 2011 with attractive depreciation allowances".
{yoogallery src=[images/stories/2013/05/may15mcdonalds]}
They featured the latest McDonald's design as well as a drive-thru facility.
Burgess Rawson director Dean Venturato highlighted the fact that the premises were only two years old and that such assets “hardly ever come up”.
He told Property Observer investors would have taken the tax depreciation benefits into account when bidding for the property.
<a target="_blank" href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/retail/mcdonalds-australia-beats-private-investors-to-buy-its-own-preston-fast-food-premises/2013051561366">McDonald’s Australia was the winning bidder</a> buying back its own premises and fending off competition from private investors.
It paid $6.45 million for the premises on a 2,621 square metre site reflecting a yield of 5.65% on net income of $365,000 plus GST.
Two other NSW properties that sold as part of the same portfolio auction highlighted their tax depreciation allowances.
A First Choice Liquor outlet in Erina on the Central Coast sold for $4.5 million on a yield of 7.67%. It previously sold for $3.575 million in March 2007.
Leased by First Choice Liquor until 2017 with renewal option to 2037, it features a “modern building with depreciation allowances” on a 2,934 square metre site.
Childcare premises in West Hoxton, leased for 10 years to the Montessori Childcare group with a further 10 year renewal option sold for $1.63 million on a yield of 6.35%.
The free-standing building premises, built in 2008 offered "excellent tax depreciation" allowances were bought by Montessori Childcare.
Under Australian tax law, if you own commercial real estate or commercial property that is rented or used for income-producing purposes you are entitled to claim the depreciation of that property against your taxable income, explains quantity surveyor Washington Brown on its website.
“There are two types of depreciation allowances available: depreciation on Plant and Equipment, and depreciation on Capital Allowances.
“In order to maximise the tax savings on your investment property you'll need a professionally prepared tax depreciation report or tax depreciation schedule, the firm says.
According to <a href="https://www.propertyobserver.com.au/commercial/what-depreciation-commercial-property-investors-can-claim/2012041054202">Property Observer commercial property writer Chris Lang</a>, tax depreciation claims, can significantly enhance the overall return on your investment.
He says investors should seek professional advice to ensure they are claiming their full entitlement — and thereby, leave nothing on the table.
Lang says another vital step investors to need to consider when they acquire a commercial property is knowing how to correctly structure of the contract of sale in order to maximise your depreciation claim for commercial property.
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Burgers, fries and tax depreciation benefits drive sale of McDonald’s premises

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While the RBA’s decision to leave interest rates on hold is good news for buyers, any suggestion that it’s strictly a buyer’s market are wide of the mark.
Demand from buyers is strong and should remain resilient throughout the winter months, so properties that do come to market can be expected to be the subject of strong competition.
The continuing low interest rate environment is obviously good news for buyers, but the opportunities for vendors shouldn’t be discounted.
From an agents’ perspective there is a dearth of stock coming to market and those properties that are available are capturing broad interest. Where realistic price points are adopted, vendors are reaping the rewards.
The decision to leave interest rates on hold after last month’s cut, which was perhaps surprisingly embraced by the major lenders, maintains the attractive fundamentals for the vendor’s side of the equation as well as the buyer’s.
Vendors weighing up a sale should consider moving into action sooner rather than later. Listing a property before the spring selling period comes along means it will be subject to less competition.
Leanne Pilkington is general manager of<a title="Laing + Simmons" href="https://www.laingsimmons.com.au/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"> Laing + Simmons</a>
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Steady cash rate is good news for both buyers and vendors: Leanne Pilkington

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L Janusz Hooker discusses the June RBA cash rate decision.
{qtube vid:=g4xPrmxLK2o&amp;feature=youtu.be}
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L Janusz Hooker discusses the June RBA cash rate decision

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RBA governor Glenn Stevens' views on the state of the economy.
At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 2.75 per cent.
Information becoming available since the previous meeting is consistent with global growth running a bit below average this year, with reasonable prospects of a pick-up next year. Commodity prices have declined from their peaks but, overall, remain at high levels by historical standards. Inflation has generally moderated over recent months and monetary policy has been eased further in a number of countries.
Financial conditions internationally are very accommodative. Despite the recent rise in sovereign bond yields, funding conditions for sovereigns, well-rated corporates and most financial institutions remain very favourable.
In Australia, growth over the past year has been a bit below trend. The outlook published by the Bank last month is for a similar performance in the near term and recent data are consistent with this. The unemployment rate has edged higher over the past year and growth in labour costs has moderated. Inflation has been consistent with the medium-term target and is expected to remain so over the next one to two years.
The easing in monetary policy over the past 18 months has supported interest-sensitive areas of spending and has been reflected in portfolio shifts by savers and higher asset values. Further effects can be expected over time. The pace of borrowing has thus far remained relatively subdued, though recently there have been some signs of increased demand for finance by households. The exchange rate has depreciated since the previous Board meeting, although, as the Board has noted for some time, it remains high considering the decline in export prices that has taken place over the past year and a half.
At today's meeting the Board judged that the easier financial conditions now in place will contribute to a strengthening of growth over time, consistent with achieving the inflation target. It decided that the stance of monetary policy remained appropriate for the time being. The Board also judged that the inflation outlook, as currently assessed, may provide some scope for further easing, should that be required to support demand.
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Higher asset values noted in RBA governor's statement on June cash rate decision

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The cash rate remains unchanged at 2.75% following today's RBA monetary policy board meeting.
This was in line with the expectations of most economists with 24 out of 25 economists polled by Bloomberg last week tipping no change in June.
<a href="/news">AMP Capital Investors chief economist Shane Oliver </a>was the only economist to forecast a rate cut out of the 25 polled, though he said it would be "another close call".
Separately to the Bloomberg poll, property bear Steve Keen said the RBA should have cut the cash rate today.
Commenting on today’s decision, RP Data research director Tim Lawless says, the recent fall in housing values over both April and May isn’t likely to have played a large role in the RBA’s decision.
<a href="/news">Dwelling values fell 1.2% in May</a> and 0.5% in April to be up 1.1% over the first five months of the year, according to RP Data-Rismark.
“In fact, the RBA was probably heartened that the strong value growth recorded over the first quarter of the year has now slowed to a more sustainable pace," says Lawless.
“Dwelling values remain 1.1% higher since the start of 2013 and are 2.9% higher over the year.
“Looking specifically at the housing market, most other indicators continue to paint a reasonably strong picture of the market.
“Auction clearance rates remain around the 70% (higher in Sydney), the number of advertised properties has fallen markedly since the start of the year, homes are selling in a fewer number of days and vendors are discounting their prices by less.  Importantly there has also been a consistent rise in buyer activity suggesting that buyer demand is continuing to improve thanks to the lower interest rate environment and the fact that the housing market is back in recovery mode,” he says.
LJ Hooker deputy chair L Janusz Hooker says the decision to keep rates on hold today "is a sign of a stronger economic forecast". 
"Better than expected capital investment outlook, a weaker Australian dollar and increase in building approvals has put further cuts on hold for the current time," he says.
"The Australian residential property market is clearly in recovery in many metropolitan areas such as Sydney, Perth and Melbourne which in time will buoy the broader market nationwide."
Alex Parsons, CEO of financial comparison website RateCity.com.au says last month’s rate cut by the Reserve Bank spurred most lenders to follow, by passing on the full 0.25 percentage points.
“We haven’t seen this many lenders follow the cash rate cut in full over the previous six rate cuts. For example, the last three rate cuts in December, October and June 2012, the majority of lenders passed on 0.20 of the Reserve Bank’s 0.25 percentage points.
“In May 2012, when the Reserve Bank dropped the cash rate by 0.50 percentage points, most lenders cut their variable rates by about 0.30 percentage points. This shows that pressure for funding has eased compared to last year and lenders can afford to pass on the full rate cuts to their variable home loan customers,” he says.
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RBA leaves cash rate on hold at 2.75%

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The predominating view among the self-appointed ‘shadow RBA board’ was for the RBA to leave the cash rate on hold today.
However, the latest survey of shadow board members cash rate forecasts reveals considerable uncertainty about where interest rates may be heading over the next six to 12 months.
Unlike other economist surveys, the shadow board – comprising the views of industry and academic economists under the banner of the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis at Australian National University (ANU) and released on <a target="_blank" href="https://theconversation.com/au">The Conversation</a> – does not provide actual forecasts.
Instead members attach weightings to various interest rate settings.
The latest survey find the likelihood of interest falling over the next six months slightly higher than them rising with almost equal weighting attached to cash rates of 2.5% and 2.75%, with smaller weightings to 3% and 2.25%
Over the 12 month forecast, a cash rate of 2.5% receives the highest weighting, but with also strong leanings towards cash rates of 2.25%, 2.75%, 3% and 3.25%.
“Overall, compared to previous months, there has been a small shift in favour of lower interest rates at the six-month and 12-month horizon, reflecting concerns about muted consumption, weaker global demand, falling commodity prices and tighter fiscal policy following a likely change of government later this year,” writes Timo Henckel, research fellow at the Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis at Australian National University (ANU).
Shadow board member Saul Eslake, chief economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch Australia, says the decline in the exchange rate since the last Board meeting “reduces the pressure on the RBA to implement a second successive rate cut, while the data flow over the past month hasn’t presented any compelling rationale for a further rate cut”.
“The currency may not fall a lot further, while the economy is likely to remain sluggish and the incoming government will probably seek to tighten fiscal policy more than is currently planned,” he adds.
Shadow board member Mark Crosby, associate professor at Melbourne Business School argues similarly that “recent weakness in the Australian dollar would suggest a pause in rate cuts”.
“International data signals are mixed and market reactions complicating policy making.
“Weakness in US GDP interpreted as reducing the likelihood of an earlier end to quantitative easing (QE) and thus strengthening asset markets being a case in point. One would suggest that in some QE countries asset price bubbles are becoming a serious issue – though the Fed has of course ignored these dangers in the past,” he says.
The shadow board comprises nine members:
<ul>
<li>Shaun Vahey, Professor, RSE, ANU. (non-voting chair)</li>
<li>Paul Bloxham, Chief Economist (Australia &amp; New Zealand), HSBC Bank Australia Ltd</li>
<li>Mark Crosby, Dean of the Global MBA Program, Acting Dean of the Global BBA Program, and Professor of Economics, S P Jain Center of Management in Singapore</li>
<li>Mardi Dungey, Professor, University of Tasmania, CFAP University of Cambridge, CAMA</li>
<li>Saul Eslake, Chief Economist, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Australia</li>
<li>Bob Gregory, Professor Emeritus, RSE, ANU, Professorial Fellow, Centre for Strategic Economic Studies, Victoria University, Adjunct Professor, School of Economics &amp; Finance, Queensland University of Technology</li>
<li>Warwick McKibbin, Professor, RSE, ANU, CAMA</li>
<li>James Morley, Professor, University of New South Wales, CAMA</li>
<li>Jeffrey Sheen, Professor &amp; Head, Department of Economics, Macquarie University,Editor, The Economic Record, CAMA</li>
<li>Mark Thirlwell, Director, International Economy Program, Lowy Institute for International Policy</li>
</ul>
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No cut in the cash rate today amid cloudy outlook: shadow RBA board

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The RBA will most likely leave the cash rate on hold at 2.75% today. Rates should fall another 0.25% – as discussed as <a target="_blank" href="https://matusikmissive.com.au/2013/05/07/missive-extra-interest-rates/">few weeks back</a> – to make up for the federal ‘fiscal drag’.  
Where Aussie interest rates go from there depends on the direction of the Australian dollar and the amount of new housing construction.  
A high Australian dollar makes it harder for industries like manufacturing, tourism, construction and retail to be competitive.  
Despite the fundamentals for housing being sound – low and falling interest rates, pent-up housing demand, strong and increasing population growth and steady unemployment – new housing starts and new home sales continue to remain weak.  
As a result, the outlook for the Australian economy has lessened, with financial services firm JP Morgan downgrading their earlier forecasts of 3.25% economic growth in 2014, to 2.75% next year.  
This should force the RBA to cut the cash rate below 2.5%.  
At present the non-mining private sector continues to remain on the investment sidelines, and it is very much needed to help fill the void left by the ‘pullback’ in mining investment.  Note ‘pullback’ and not ‘crash’ or ‘collapse’ - but more on that next week.  
I don’t expect any great investment commitments this side of September 14 and for many months after that, to be honest. Confidence should improve post federal election, but by then we will be running into Christmas and besides… things, economically speaking, don’t happen that quickly.  
On a positive note – unless you are a builder - the RBA has little to fear from cost pressures (outside of union action) in the construction sector as building costs fell at their fastest pace in nearly four years during the March quarter.  On an annualised basis, building costs have been growing by just 2%, which is more than half the decade average growth rate.  
New housing construction has a huge multiplier effect across the economy.  It creates lots of jobs.  New housing starts must be stimulated.  Our current political crop doesn’t have the gonads to change the way property is taxed in Australia.  And we don’t have the money in the coffers anymore to take the easy route and cut property taxes such as stamp duties.  
I do note, however, we have a spare $80 million to give Bill Gates.  Now, I am all for having a world without Polio, but surely this type of donation should be coming from the likes of Clive Palmer and other billionaires first.  But I digress.  
The latest Bloomberg survey has 10 out of 21 economists forecasting a cash rate of 2.5% by the end of this year, with Westpac tipping a cash rate of 2.25% and the remainder anticipating no further rate cuts this calendar year.  At the time of writing, only two economists expect a rate cut in June.  
I think the cash rate rate could go as low as 2% by the end of this year.  The baton change from engineering to residential construction is taking much longer than anticipated.  If the Aussie dollar climbs again against the greenback, then all the more reason for a 2% cash rate.  
Given the current state of play the only lever we have to pull is interest rates. I think interest rates should fall today and then again in August – bugger the timing of the election – and then once more in November this year.  
We need to set up 2014 to be a massive year for change down under.
Michael Matusik is the founder of <a href="https://www.matusik.com.au/">Matusik Property Insights</a>, which has helped over 550 new residential projects come to fruition.  Read <a href="https://www.matusikmissive.com.au/">Michael’s Blog</a> or follow him on <a href="https://www.facebook.com/ThinkMatusik?fref=ts">Facebook</a> and <a href="https://www.twitter.com/michaelmatusik" target="_blank">Twitter</a> or connect via <a href="https://www.linkedin.com/in/michaelmatusik">LinkedIn</a>
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