Property developer One Living, backed by former Macquarie banker turned investment manager Chris Green’s investment firm, has unveiled plans to bring more institutional capital into housing to help address the national supply crisis.

The New York-based investor has focused his firm, GreenPoint Partners, on addressing the supply shortage hitting middle market housing in Australia.

It is backing the new One Living business to develop more than 1000 units along the eastern seaboard. The new firm is starting with a development on Mona Vale Road, on the border of Mona Vale and Pymble, in Sydney’s Northern Beaches, with around 140 apartments planned. They are eyeing off more sites across the city.

With cost pressures rising in the industry, One Living’s model is to be a vertically integrated developer-builder, so it can respond directly to the housing gap by removing the cost inefficiencies embedded in traditional residential delivery.

“We are building a platform designed to operate at scale and starting in a market where there’s a clear need for quality, attainable housing,” One Living joint managing director Joseph Scuderi said.

“It’s that missing middle – it’s that attainable end of housing… that’s what most Australians invest into and what Australians can actually afford.”

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="798dfa93-4941-4db6-a696-31e9dc18e81c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.31.50%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=mKBqi5C_DmeiXS.AtJkcR8LQIxqCqmFi" />

GreenPoint Partners brings years of experience assembling and scaling real estate operating businesses across major markets. And Green sees a big opportunity in Australia.

“For its size, sophistication and importance to the community, Australia’s living sector has remained largely under-institutionalised, which represents significant opportunity,” Green said. “GreenPoint identified that gap, assembled the right team, and is backing One Living to build a platform that is aligned to market needs.”

Green said being a builder-developer would give the company the capacity and flexibility it required to deliver reasonably-priced homes.

“We want it to be at that attainable level; not super high end luxury but at that attainable level,” he said.

<img alt="Mona Vale" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="74a5344a-4b26-4d4a-ada3-056b1220be77" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%202.32.15%E2%80%AFPM.png?VersionId=vY8hXHO4reBMdO8ZXMWCNtGZJofUPQ3j" />

&nbsp;

One Living will undertake a component of affordable housing in its schemes, which it will own and operate, and it could also run build-to-rent on some sites.

Green praised local policy settings.

“The NSW government is being very supportive, strategic and pragmatic in terms of how do we generate more supply of housing,” he said. “We think it’s actually positive for development and the bit that’s been lacking at that attainable level is that it’s lots of relatively small private developers, whereas we want to create an institutional platform.”

One Living is also&nbsp;looking at high-density projects and could take on more institutional funding in the future.

“The way we will be able to achieve economies of scale is through size,” Green added.

Joel Robinson

One Living enters Sydney's new apartment market with Northern Beaches site acquisition

It's been several years since there's been an opportunity to buy a brand new townhome in Melbourne's coastal suburb of Mordialloc. Even apartment developments in recent times have been few and far between in the area.

Local developer LDS Property identified the gap in new housing, securing a site on White Street, directly opposite&nbsp;Woodlands Golf Club Mordialloc. They've recently launched&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-townhouses/wm-residences-mordialloc-102-white-street-mordialloc-vic-3195">WM Residences</a>, just 13 townhouses which they have already started building.

Projects by Buxton Director Heath Thompson, who is selling WM Residences, says the townhouses x that perfect middle ground be

"Mordialloc residents have had limited options to downsize within the suburb, often forcing them to look elsewhere despite long-standing ties to the area," Thompson says.

"With very little comparable new supply coming to market, projects like WM Residences are well placed, particularly as buyers look to capitalise on current conditions amid constrained supply."

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6109]

The development, designed by regarded architecture firm&nbsp;<a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/architects/ewert-leaf">Ewert Leaf</a>,&nbsp;adopts a deliberately restrained architectural approach, focusing on simplicity, durability and liveability rather than overt design gestures.

The boutique scale is central to the offering. With only 13 three-bedroom residences, each home is configured to prioritise functional layouts and everyday use, supported by private terraces and secure two-car garages.

Ewert Leaf’s design response leans into a calm, neutral material palette. Interiors are defined by oak flooring, white walls and soft finishes, creating a consistent and understated backdrop. The approach avoids trend-driven detailing in favour of longevity, with an emphasis on natural light and spatial clarity.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6110]

Beyond aesthetics, the homes are designed to meet contemporary performance expectations. Each residence targets a minimum 6-star energy rating, incorporating double glazing, comprehensive insulation and all-electric Bosch appliances.

The project’s location supports a walkable coastal lifestyle, sitting within close proximity to Mordialloc’s foreshore, Main Street retail strip and the train station. Local cafés and dining venues, including Suburbia Deli and Hendriks Café, are within a short walk, reinforcing the area’s established neighbourhood character.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=134646 project_image_fid=6116]

While <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developments/mordialloc-vic-3195">Mordialloc</a> is often defined by its beach and pier, the project taps into other areas of day to day living, offering easy access to local food, casual dining and transport, rather than positioning itself purely as a lifestyle retreat.

WM Residences reflects a continued trend across Melbourne’s coastal suburbs towards smaller-scale, design-led townhouse developments, particularly on infill sites where proximity to amenity is already established.

With construction commenced prior to its market entry, the project aligns with a growing preference among buyers for developments with visible progress and defined delivery timeframes.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=134646]

WM Residences fills gap in Mordialloc townhouse market

&nbsp;

Developer GURNER™ Group has revealed $1.65 billion in residential sales nationally across the 12 months to December 2025, driven largely by the continued momentum of its Docklands wellness-focused precinct, Elysium Fields.

The sales result was generated across seven projects in Victoria and New South Wales, headlined by Elysium Fields, GURNER™’s $2.75 billion mixed-use precinct planned for Harbour Esplanade in Docklands.

The project has recorded more than $500 million in sales across the first three towers, equating to around 580 apartments sold.

The first tower, Helios, has now sold out of its 240 private residences, with GURNER™ preparing to release a premium penthouse collection comprising 15 three-bedroom penthouses in coming weeks.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370975]

Elysium Fields is being developed on the long-held 20,000 sqm Docklands site at 208-226 Harbour Esplanade, which had remained undeveloped for more than two decades prior to GURNER™ taking over the project around four years ago.

Construction has now commenced across four towers ranging between 18 and 30 storeys, with Hamilton Marino and Maxcon appointed as builders.

Once complete, the precinct is expected to comprise around 1,100 residences, alongside retail, hospitality and public realm uses integrated throughout the site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370981]

Designed by Fraser &amp; Partners in collaboration with GURNER™ Design House, the project has been positioned around the developer’s broader focus on wellness-led residential living.

“We don’t sell apartments. We create a true luxury lifestyle that simply doesn’t exist elsewhere in the market today,” Founder and Executive Chairman Tim Gurner said.

“To deliver that requires an extraordinary level of detail, coordination and discipline across multiple verticals, from design and hospitality through to wellness and service.”

“We’ve always believed that living extends far beyond the physical residence. It’s about how you feel the moment you arrive, how you live day-to-day, and the ecosystem that supports that.” 
[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370977]

The project’s design places a heavy focus on landscaping, wellness amenities and biophilic design principles.

Plans include around 3,700 sqm of landscaped gardens and open space throughout the precinct, alongside a retail and dining offering spanning approximately 5,000 sqm.

The broader public realm strategy centres around what GURNER™ describes as the “Path of Life”, an urban forest and landscaped pedestrian environment intended to connect the various buildings and wellness spaces across the precinct.

The apartments themselves will incorporate a range of wellness-focused inclusions, including purified air and water systems, circadian lighting, antimicrobial surfaces, and optional in-home wellness upgrades.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370980]

Gurner said the company’s experience through its Saint Haven wellness clubs had directly informed the residential offering now being incorporated into Elysium Fields.

“We’re seeing a clear global shift toward longevity, performance and proactive health,” Gurner said.

“Our role is to deliver that in a way that feels seamless, highly private and beautifully resolved within the environments we create.”

A large component of the wellness offering is planned through the resident amenity and health facilities proposed within the precinct.

That includes plans for bathing and recovery facilities spread throughout the towers, incorporating mineral pools, saunas, steam rooms, flotation therapy, red light therapy and wellness lounges.

The developer is also seeking approvals for what it describes as a “reverse ageing medical clinic” within the precinct.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370978]

According to project information released by the group, the proposed facility would include cryotherapy, IV infusion therapy, infrared and dry saunas, PEMF beds, MRIs, DEXA scans, brain scans and blood analysis services.

Within the first tower, Helios, residents will also have access to a dedicated amenity offering known as the Sky Private Club.

The upper 15 levels of the building will include private lounges, dining spaces, rooftop amenities and optional private wellness studios integrated within residences.

The Helios tower itself comprises 260 apartments ranging between 60 sqm and 300 sqm, including a collection of penthouses.

That includes a planned two-storey penthouse spanning around 600 sqm with uninterrupted bay views.

The Elysium Fields precinct is being delivered in partnership with Digital Harbour Holdings, a consortium that includes the Liberman family, which controls the development rights across the Docklands site.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=144441 project_image_fid=370979]

The sales result comes as GURNER™ continues expanding its national development pipeline beyond Victoria.

“We have a strong pipeline across Australia and are now focused on scaling into key markets including New South Wales and Queensland, while continuing to build on our Melbourne base,” Gurner said.

“We currently have more than $3 billion in the market, growing to over $5 billion by October, and expect to materially outperform last year in the 2026 calendar year.”

The result also reflects the continued strength of the upper-end apartment market in Melbourne, particularly for owner-occupier-focused product with large-scale amenity and lifestyle offerings.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=144441]

Record result anchored by the Group’s “utopian” Elysium Fields precinct – defying market headwinds in Docklands.

Elysium Fields drive Gurner to $1.65 billion in apartment sales over 2025

National Australia Bank (NAB) will fund <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/palmera-residences-gold-coast-18-garfield-terrace-surfers-paradise-qld-4217">Palmera</a>, a $1 billion, 52-level luxury residential tower being developed by Central Equity in one of the Gold Coast’s most tightly held coastal locations at Northcliffe.

The project, launched recently by <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/central-equity">Central Equity</a>, one of Victoria’s largest private residential developers, comes at a time when construction funding for large residential developments has become increasingly competitive as lenders tighten exposure to the sector.

Multiplex has been appointed the builder, and construction is now underway.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365784]

Since its first project, Central Equity has delivered more than 85 residential developments with a combined end value exceeding $8 billion.

Palmera reflects Central Equity’s growing focus on the Gold Coast luxury apartment market and continues a relationship between Central Equity and NAB that dates back to the late 1980s, when the bank funded one of Melbourne’s earliest inner-city residential towers at a time when high-rise apartment living in the CBD was largely unproven.

“NAB’s funding of Central Equity’s $36 million CBD development in the late 1980’s to the financing of the billion-dollar tower today highlights the long-term relationship between the two organisations in delivering major residential projects” said Central Equity Founder and Chairman Eddie Kutner.

He said NAB’s early support was instrumental in helping establish the company’s development model.

“When we commenced our first residential tower in the late 1980s the concept of funding off-the-plan apartments was still largely untested in Australia,” Kutner said.

“NAB recognised the opportunity early and supported the project when others were uncertain. That relationship has now continued for more than 37 years across many developments.”

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365771]

Central Equity was established in 1987 when Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank precinct were still dominated by warehouses and commercial buildings. Fewer than 100 residents lived in Southbank at the time, and large-scale residential development in the inner city was not widely considered.

Recognising changing demographics and lifestyle preferences, the company began developing high-rise residential projects designed to bring permanent residents into the city centre.

Central Equity has provided accommodation for approximately 40,000 residents across Melbourne’s CBD and Southbank, while also incorporating supporting infrastructure including essential lifestyle facilities like retail spaces, childcare facilities and neighbourhood activity centres.

Central Equity has spent many years assembling the Palmera development site on the corner of Garfield Terrace and Frederick Street in Northcliffe, creating a supersite of around 3,300 sqm.

The developer said the Palmera apartment tower reflects its long-term view of the Gold Coast as a growing and increasingly diversified economy.

[smartcode_project:default project_id=108274 project_image_fid=365768]

Supported by infrastructure including the light rail network, major road upgrades expanded education, hospital and medical facilities and continued expansion at the Gold Coast Airport with more internation and domestic flights.

Positioned in the tightly held Northcliffe precinct, the 52-level tower will deliver 347 apartments, targeting buyers seeking a high-end coastal lifestyle, from downsizers to interstate investors.

Designed by Marchese Partners with interiors by DBI, Palmera has been conceived as a next-generation residential offering, featuring a collection of oversized apartments, with premium three-bedroom residences offering sweeping northern views stretching from Surfers Paradise through to Burleigh Heads.

[smartcode_project_cta:default project_id=108274]

NAB funds $1 billion Surfers Paradise apartment development, Palmera

Two years after completing one of the newest developments in North Sydney, developer <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/developers/aqualand-australia">Aqualand</a> is turning its attention to the rapidly evolving St Leonards apartment market.

The developer, which completed AURA by Aqualand on North Sydney's Walker Street, has lodged plans for a 5,918 sqm site at <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/new-apartments/33-37-herbert-street-st-leonards-nsw-2065">33-37 Herbert Street, St Leonards,</a> seeking approval for a pair of residential towers rising above a shared podium opposite Royal North Shore Hospital.

The proposal forms part of the broader transformation underway across the St Leonards-Crows Nest precinct, where former industrial and commercial sites are increasingly being redeveloped into high-density mixed-use projects tied to major transport infrastructure.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="2cc428cf-fe70-4cac-9cd5-264ad53af62c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.56%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=otKSnHtbjAvAddOnovyXQMgcAwE6DMe1" />

According to the planning documents, the site sits “within the St Leonards–Crows Nest Strategic Centre, identified by the NSW Government as a key area for accommodating future jobs and housing across Sydney.”

The proposal has been designed by fjcstudio, formerly FJMT Studio, and is being progressed through the State Significant Development pathway due to its scale and affordable housing provision.

The scheme would comprise 413 apartments, including 46 affordable housing units, alongside retail and commercial uses fronting Herbert Street. The project would also include communal open space, landscaping, a swimming pool, gymnasium, children’s play areas and podium-level resident amenities.

Planning documents show the development would consist of a part-13, part-39 storey tower form positioned above a four-storey podium.

“The development comprises a unified podium that activates the street interface, and two setback towers to accommodate new housing supply while maintaining an appropriate human scale at ground level,” fjcstudio noted in its Design Report.

The northern and southern towers have been shaped to respond to the surrounding skyline while also limiting overshadowing impacts to nearby public open space, particularly Talus Reserve.

The design report said the differing tower heights were intended to “contribute to a varied skyline while responding to the surrounding built form context and solar access considerations.”

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="36da62dc-ff9e-41f2-a7e3-7be38373751c" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.45%E2%80%AFAM_0.png?VersionId=Mo6Rp2r.XRLTzIfg_PEEpw8NepDH8UBs" />

The site sits directly opposite Royal North Shore Hospital and within walking distance of both St Leonards Station and the new Crows Nest Metro station.

While the site itself sits just outside the formal Crows Nest Transport Oriented Development boundary, the planning documents repeatedly reference its alignment with the broader TOD objectives reshaping the Lower North Shore.

“The site is located adjacent to St Leonards Station and in close proximity to Crows Nest Metro which is within the Crows Nest Transit Orientated Development Accelerated Precinct which has been identified by the NSW Government to support housing delivery,” the Design Verification Statement noted.

According to fjcstudio, the project has been designed to respond to the broader transition occurring across St Leonards, where increasing residential density is being concentrated around transport infrastructure and employment hubs.

“The broader precinct is undergoing significant change, with a mix of existing mid-rise buildings and newer high-density developments,” the report stated.

“Recent and approved projects indicate a consistent shift toward taller built form, typically organised as tower-and-podium typologies with more active ground levels.”

The proposal includes close to 6,000 sqm of retail and commercial space across the ground floor and podium levels, designed to create a more activated street edge along Herbert Street.

Aqualand’s plans would also introduce a landscaped podium shared between the two towers, with communal open space in the form of a podium rooftop designed to support resident interaction and improve urban greening outcomes. The scheme would also introduce pocket parks at the northern and southern ends of the site, including a landscaped area at the corner of Herbert and Ella streets designed to improve pedestrian amenity and soften the streetscape.

&nbsp;

The proposal is being progressed through the NSW Government’s Housing Delivery Authority pathway, which was introduced to accelerate housing supply across the state. The application was declared State Significant Development in April 2025 following an expression of interest process.

<img alt="Aqualand" data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="faf6d97d-2671-454f-b85a-fe1c6a7be608" src="https://s3.ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/www.urban.com.au/s3fs-public/inline-images/Screenshot%202026-05-28%20at%209.51.49%E2%80%AFAM.png?VersionId=diVd28OBVr5.YV.7prrOz.uAanwwwm7a" />

St Leonards has been particularly active with new developments in recent weeks. Developer SP Setia’s <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-sp-setia-targets-st-leonards-skyline-with-40-storey-tod-tower">plans for a new 42-storey tower</a> recently went on exhibition through the same pathway, while <a href="https://www.apartments.com.au/news/nsw/first-look-stockland-plans-52-storey-538-apartment-st-leonards-tower">Stockland’s 52-storey tower proposal</a> was also recently unveiled.

Aside from the St Leonards project, which is expected to take around nine months to move through the approvals process ahead of a potential 2027 launch, Aqualand is also preparing to launch Boronia, a new apartment project in Roseville comprising around 111 apartments on Larkin Street.

The developer also has approvals in place for the next stage of the Barangaroo precinct, which will feature new residential, retail, hospitality and community uses, alongside a new metro entry across the five-hectare site.

More than 50 new retail destinations are planned for Central Barangaroo, alongside a 270-metre-long boulevard connecting Hickson Park to Nawi Cove. Together with Harbour Park, more than 50 per cent of the precinct will comprise public open space and parkland.

First look: Aqualand joins St Leonards apartment party

National Australia Bank (NAB) has brought forward the timing of the first RBA cash rate cut by three months.

NAB is now expecting a cut in February, in line with ANZ and Westpac, having initially thought a cut wouldn't come until May.

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB changed its call following the August monthly inflation figures that were released at the end of September, showing it had dropped to 2.7 per cent.

"The risk has been skewed to a first cut earlier in 2025, and today’s change acknowledges the balance of risks has likely shifted sufficiently for the RBA to feel comfortable cutting a little sooner than we earlier expected," NAB noted in its latest update.

They added that the cadence of the cuts may be faster than its central profile.

"Domestic inflation pressures are cooling, but only gradually, and we continue to expect the conditions for a cut will not be in place this year.

NAB believes the easing cycle will end at 3.1 per cent by early 2026, which is five cuts from the current 4.35 per cent cash rate.&nbsp;

CBA also thinks 3.1 per cent will mark the end of the cutting cycle, while Westpac is forecasting 3.35 per cent, and ANZ is the most pessimistic at 3.6 per cent, which would be just three interest rate cuts.

<h2>What would a rate cut in February look like for borrowers?</h2>

According to&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vK2ujS77CHs9VRvSSXzLC" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.IVvjJ-2BPT0A8C3VxtqKc6e3bj5hBuw27WFEYqovsYs7kPsgFulYrdOzeP8gI7CybJOya3_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20hPXdLlPP9yD7DvFFDBM5yrTqxvcCiMfAsW1onD-2FcriL628eYdhNQE7bwzYrxcOYnmaYfRhGl-2FEHQ6eK2uQcLxs6Cbu6Dx0bYvpi5A6enmxMWU5TkcRYrP6Z8GbXZYtc5qSoKu6eWFBQR9K7fsjXwHMmby3D3X6Yx-2BxcDcdRruTG" target="_blank">Canstar</a>, if there is a cut in February, a borrower with a $600,000 loan today and 25 years remaining would see their monthly repayments drop by $92.&nbsp;

<table border="1" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0">
	<tbody>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Impact of 0.25% pt cut in February 2025
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			Current loan size
			</td>
			<td>
			Drop in monthly repayment
			</td>
			<td>
			New monthly repayment
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$600,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$92
			</td>
			<td>
			$3,907
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$750,000
			</td>
			<td>
			-$114
			</td>
			<td>
			$4,884
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td>
			$1M
			</td>
			<td>
			-$153
			</td>
			<td>
			$6,512
			</td>
		</tr>
		<tr>
			<td colspan="3">
			Source:&nbsp;<a data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn%3Du001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1727774368149000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2qVnp6oqATgqDUi2Frm22q" href="https://link.mediaoutreach.meltwater.com/ls/click?upn=u001.xWMOP9hChsvn-2BC9O-2FebBihXIZ4cEzbiuENdxm-2Bx3-2FYEEgYMhZlKWNj5Zzy1YZ56RuASD_RgrM7qq-2BfK-2FtAHeRBLv5Qrb-2Bii5fzjLeKcP4w-2FkNgJPXygpiRhVUan3WV3QEggcf617UC8Z60RjQJZAqx7PiO7FtVJQSn0D46Zc3iTVP0kAhTTzG51cPpa5hrqz1OkSA-2BiXAxUajQ686MTtiseWBIdMdknd83aB7cOVgXlVTeHCGf3-2BcMHwfvI8TYlkUovqEhn4dj0KXf2eJGpb9-2BBv20v2akwr6-2BqLyRrlEgkJ4J-2BCCyY0x189xEHZA4Ylf8c7ChBqNIkhmftZzoFuZKFn43pw3oJVg2o1gumrpdA-2B7MB-2FBtmL2rFCI-2FXORATQHySCLVOMg7Vywv-2BqnnQUAtDz6XkvpwxdHFXh70VwKazzhJsICilEYOvP4ju0sIfi5g6TL" target="_blank">www.canstar.com.au</a>. Starting rate is the RBA existing average owner-occupier variable rate of 6.36%. Assumes banks pass the cash rate cut on in full the month after the meeting.
			</td>
		</tr>
	</tbody>
</table>

Canstar Data Insights Director, Sally Tindall, says if core inflation continues to track in the right direction, or unemployment starts to accelerate significantly, we could well see a cash rate cut as early as February of next year.

“All four big banks now believe the RBA will be ready to cut the cash rate in just over four months’ time, if not before, in the case of CBA.

“However, the outlook for both inflation and unemployment is still highly uncertain. A couple of wobbly sets of inflation data could see the RBA holding for longer, particularly if unemployment remains relatively steady."

&nbsp;

Commonwealth Bank, the nation's largest lender, still thinks the first cut will come in December.

NAB bring forward first RBA cut to February 2025

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Westpac will apply tougher tests to new property investor borrowers in response to Australian Prudential Regulation Authority's (APRA) efforts to prevent the housing market from overheating.
It will test how borrowers would cope if interest rates rose to 7.1% when assessing how they would cope with higher interest rates.
Previously Westpac's test involved assessing how investor borrowers would cope if mortgage interest rates rose to 6.8%, up from about 5%.
"We had been using a buffer in that case of 180 basis points, we've lifted that to 210 basis points," Westpac chief executive Brian Hartzer was reported as saying in Fairfax Media.
The policy changes are a response to APRA's warning to banks in December, that they would be forced to run larger capital buffers unless they slow investor credit growth below 10% a year. 
"APRA's been in discussions with the whole industry about this," Hartzer said.
"We're all on the same page here. Nobody wants to fuel a speculative credit boom."
Westpac investor lending is growing at 11.5% annually, it said.
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Higher interest rate testing for Westpac investor borrowers

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AMP Capital's Shane Oliver expects the RBA to act on its easing bias and cut the cash rate to 2% (from 2.25%) at its May meeting today.
"But it’s another very close call," he suggests.
"The case for another cut remains strong: the outlook for business investment remains weak, commodity prices are softer than expected, the Australian dollar remains too high and is at risk of rebounding further and inflation is benign. 
"However, the RBA may continue to fret about housing leverage and Sydney home price gains and the bounce in the iron ore price over the last few weeks has eased the pressure on the RBA a bit. 
"So while our base case is for a cut, another month on hold would not be surprising."
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AMP Capital's Shane Oliver won't be surprised if RBA holds off another cut in May

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ANZ are predicting the Reserve Bank (RBA) will cut interest rates at their meeting tomorrow to 2.0%.
"Although data released since the April meeting have been quite solid, we expect that the Board will consider all the data released since the Bank last updated its forecasts in the February Statement on Monetary Policy (SoMP)," ANZ's Australia Market Focus report read.
"In our view, taking all the data together suggests that the Bank is likely to downgrade its forecast trajectory for growth."
<img src="/images/2015/05/04/anz%20may%204%20one.png" alt="">
Source: ANZ Research
ANZ said that the RBA will primarily be influenced by the disappointing CAPEX report that was released in late February.
"The April minutes highlighted the risk that mining investment could be even lower than currently expected given lower commodity prices as well as the likelihood of lower resource export volumes, said the report.
"Post Tuesday, the question for markets will be: are there further cuts on the way?
"We expect that the RBA will maintain its easing bias to at least keep pressure on the currency.
"With the market now pricing a terminal cash rate of 1.8%, if the RBA does reduce the cash rate to 2% next Tuesday, we see potential for the market to move to price at least one full further 25bp cut."
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ANZ predicts rate cut at RBA meeting

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ING Direct has cut rates on its fixed mortgage products to a new low for the company.
One to three-year fixed rate mortgages will now be offered at a 4.24% rate, while four to five-year fixed rate mortgages have been cut to a 4.49% rate.
In March, the company lowered its variable rates, with a discount available for low loan-to-value ratio customers (under 80%).
This month, ING Direct will also be making a cash payment to some customers to reward Orange Advantage customers.
Its new fixed rates, effective 1 May:
<img src="/images/2015/04/30/Picture%2013.png" alt="">
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ING Direct cuts fixed mortgage rates

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Negative gearing property investors now total 1,967,260 across Australia, according to the ATO latest data.
That's up from the 1,895,775 in the previous tax year, 2011-12.
There were 1,811,175 investors claiming rental income in the 2010-11 year.
The ATO has a investor rental video series on <a href="https://www.ato.gov.au/General/Property/Residential-rental-properties/" target="_blank">working out your tax correctly</a>.
The statistics for the 2012–13 income year were sourced from 2013 individual income tax returns processed by 31 October 2014. The statistics are not necessarily complete.
This data is not representative of the total number of properties.
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Nearly two milllion negative gearing investors across Australia: ATO

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Record low interest rates have shown up in new statistics from the Australian Taxation Office, in a sizable drop in negative gearing tax claims by property investors.
Claim for rental properties fell from around $13.8 billion to $12 billion between the 2011-12 and 2012-13 financial years.
The latest statistics for 2012-13 show that 1.26 million people deducted losses made on investments (including mortgage interest) from their overall income, from the 12.7 million lodged individual tax returns.
<div class="cq-article-content-paras section">
The overall cost of negatively-geared rental properties has fallen by $2.4 billion, or 31 per cent, in 2012-13, due to record low interest rates and higher rents.
The Tax Office's latest statistics shows 1.9 million landlords.
The value of rent returned was up 8.6 per cent to $36 billion but the value of interest claimed was down 6.7 per cent to $22 billion.
While the number of landlords with negatively-geared properties increased by almost 60,000, their tax deductions fell 13 per cent.
</div>
<div class="cq-article-content-paras section">
​The highest number of property investors claiming tax deductions had a taxable income - after tax deductions - of between $37,000 to $80,000 a year.
</div>
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Low interest rates cuts negative gearing ATO investor claims in 2012-13

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A May RBA rate cut is becoming less the preferred forecast.
"There is still room for a quarter possibly a half percent, but I don't think they will move next week," the founder of Aussie Home Loans, John Symond, says.
He told Ross Greenwood's 2GB Money News last night, after his recent overseas trip, that there was "no great confidence anywhere".
Greenwood suggests the Australian dollar heading back to 80 cents was a sign of the slight shift in the rate cut probability. 
In February after the last rate cut, Symond forecast another two rate cuts, in part because of the political shenanigans and ensuing lack of confidence.
"I think the Reserve Bank realised what is going on in Canberra is going to cause further problems with confidence and I think it was probably one of the reasons to get them to drop interest rates," he said.
"When you you talk to businessmen, taxi drivers and shop keepers, everyone is so sick of it."
He says the low rates, for those people who have jobs and can afford it, would assist to spur things along, "but not in a crazy sense".
"Why wouldn't you go and buy a property and rent it out rather than put your money in the bank and get 2.5% less tax," Symond said.
The turbulence on the political sphere for the next several months will hurt confidence even more, he bemoaned.
"That's why I'm now thinking the Reserve Bank will continue to drop rates," he said.
"I think there's probably a couple more there."
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Still room for rate cuts - but not in May: John Symond

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NAB has altered its rate cut forecast for May, now predicting that the Reserve Bank will keep the official cash rate unchanged at 2.25%.
The bank now believes the Reserve Bank will wait until August to cut the interest rate to 2.0%. NAB attributes its changed prediction to yesterday's quarter one Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which showed underlying inflation remained within the Reserve Bank's 2-3% inflation target.
NAB has adjusted its domestic demand forecast slightly after observing improvements in retail sales, home investment and business conditions. However, the bank also noted that despite the recent increase in iron ore prices, commodity prices have decreased for the quarter, further slowing gross domestic product (GDP) and the mining sector.
"In our forecast these forces have basically offset and leave GDP growing close to, but a little below, the trend growth rate of 3% in the year ahead," NAB's forecast update reads.
"In better news, the lower starting point for the unemployment rate, and recent better pace of jobs growth, has led us to revise down the expected peak in the unemployment rate from 6.7% to 6.4%. We still expect this peak to occur around Q4 2015."
While NAB still believes the current low inflation rate and expected increases in the unemployment rate will lead to a rate cut in the future, the "urgency to cut" has reduced by the economy's recent performance.
"In a speech earlier this week, the RBA Governor implied that the cash rate already being at a super low level, household leverage being at an all-time high, and rising asset/house prices are all reasons to be cautious about reducing interest rates further," states the report.
"Latest data on house prices suggest they continue to rise strongly in Sydney and more recently this has broadened to other cities."
Despite their expectation of a 25 basis point cut in August, NAB states that "it's also possible that we continue to be pleasantly surprised by the economy which would allow the RBA to hold the cash rate at 2.25%".
 
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NAB predicts Reserve Bank will keep rates on hold for May

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GUEST OBSERVATION
The Property Council of Australia refutes claims made today that average Australian workers are not the main beneficiaries of negative gearing.
The latest available data from the Australian Taxation Office is indisputable and it shows that some of Australia’s most valued, but lower paid workers are the primary beneficiaries of negative gearing.
This includes the 42,000 nurses, midwives and aged care workers, 62,000 teachers and child carers, 12,300 emergency service workers and 83,000 clerical staff, who all earned around or under $80,000 p.a. and negatively geared a property in the 2012 Financial Year.
It is misleading to claim that these people only earn under $80,000 per annum because they substantially reduce their gross taxable income.
A detailed analysis of the ATO Tax Statistics shows, for example, that 8,885 registered nurses, 3,120 primary school teachers, 2,880 secondary school teachers, 3,350 education aides, and 2,945 child care workers all declared a net rental loss and had a taxable income of between $6,001 and $37,000 per annum.
Selected key professions from ATO Taxation Statistics 2011-12
<table style="width: 460px;" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tbody>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Occupation[i][i]
(Taxable income less than $80,000 p.a.)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
No. declaring a net rental loss
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Emergency services workers
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
12,315
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Teachers and child carers
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
61,500
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Nurses, midwives and aged care workers
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
41,980
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Cleaners and housekeepers
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
6,940
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Clerical staff
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
83,280
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Hospitality trades
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
21,555
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Hairdressers
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
1,645
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Sales assistants
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
46,450
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Transport workers (truck, bus, rail and delivery drivers)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
15,525
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td valign="top" width="395">
Tradies (carpenters, plumbers, garners, electricians, motor mechanics)
</td>
<td valign="top" width="213">
34,395
</td>
</tr>
</tbody></table>
The data clearly shows that negative gearing is something middle Australia uses to help build their household wealth, build for their future, and provide security for their families.
Negative gearing provides an opportunity for average working Australians to save to get ahead.
Demonising negative gearing, or disregarding its substantial benefits - in terms of household and retirement savings, stimulating housing supply and rental affordability - willfully disadvantages some of the hardest working, lowest paid people in the country.
Negative gearing is predominantly used by young people and 91% of people who declare a net rental loss own only one or two properties.
These people aren’t the rich and famous, nor are they property barons, but they do deserve a fair go and that’s why negative gearing must remain.
Ken Morrison is the chief executive of the Property Council of Australia.
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Lower paid workers are the primary beneficiaries of negative gearing: PCA's Ken Morrison

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GUEST OBSERVATION
Tax concessions for investment housing include a 50% discount off normal individual tax rates on capital gains together with so-called ‘negative gearing’ arrangements, which allow investors to deduct ‘losses’ made on rental property investments (including interest on loan re-payments) from other income (including wages).
Deductions can, of course, be claimed for losses on other kinds of investments and this would not normally be regarded as a ‘tax concession’. The unique feature of ‘negative gearing’ for investments in assets such as property, shares, and agricultural schemes is that income from these investments often comes mainly from capital gains – the increase in the value of the asset over time.
Under the Capital Gains Tax rules these are only taxed when the asset is sold, and then at half the marginal tax rate. Yet expenses associated with the investment (especially interest payments on loans) can be deducted from tax annually and often exceed rental income.The tax system treats this as a ‘loss’. These ‘losses’ can be offset against other income that would otherwise be taxed at the full marginal rate (mainly wages).
In reality, in most cases the investment is not making a ‘loss’ because it is accruing capital gains. Otherwise there would be no point investing in these assets. If the tax system properly matched income and deductions, then either capital gains would be taxed each year at normal marginal tax rates or deductions for ‘losses’ could not be offset against other income until the capital gains are taxed on sale of the asset.
Whenever deductions for investment expenses are not properly matched with income, there is always a risk that people will maximise ‘losses’ in order to avoid tax on their other income.
This is achieved by structuring debt so that interest expenses on loans to purchase the asset exceed income from the investment such as rent, for instance by using more expensive ‘interest only’ loans (often with flexible interest re-payments so that investors can ensure their costs always exceed rental income), or by borrowing more to buy second and third properties as soon as the first one turns a ‘profit’.
In recent years, since superannuation legislation was amended to allow it, investors have been encouraged to borrow to invest in rental property through self-managed Super funds. A major advantage of this strategy is that capital gains on the sale of assets in Super funds are normally free of tax. Negative gearing is mainly used for rental property investment because housing is perceived to be a safe investment to borrow against, but it is also used to invest in agriculture (for example pine plantations), and shares (‘leveraged equities’).
The large-scale use of these tax schemes not only threatens public revenue and faith in the fairness of our tax system. It also reduces the efficiency of investment by encouraging people to invest with tax avoidance in mind rather than to achieve the best return at the least risk. It destabilises the economy by encouraging people to borrow more than they otherwise would and adding fuel to booms in asset prices – which are often followed by recessions.
Given that most negatively geared investment is in rental property, these schemes impact especially on housing markets. They encourage borrowing to speculate on housing prices, rather than patient investment in housing to achieve the best long term rental yield.
How widespread is their use? In the last year for which tax statistics are available (2011) two thirds of individual rental property investors – 1.2 million people - reported deductable losses of $14 billion. When those who reported profits from rental properties are included, taxpayers still claimed $8 billion in net rental losses overall in that year. Both the overall number of rental property investors, and the proportion who are negatively geared, have risen dramatically since 2000, when tax rates on personal capital gains were halved.
<img src="/images/2015/04/22/neg-april-22-one.jpg" alt="">
Source (figures 4-6): Eslake (2014)Op.cit
What do they cost and who gains? The Grattan Institute calculated that the cost of negative gearing concessions (compared to a regime in which deductions could only be claimed against income from the same investment) was $2 billion in 2011-12. The cost of the 50% discount on Capital Gains Tax for individual investors was $5 billion.
There is a perception that negatively geared investors are mostly middle income earners – so called ‘mum and dad investors’. This claim is usually based on the Tax Statistics data on individual taxpayers produced by the ATO. These data should be used with caution as they understate the incomes of negatively-geared rental property investors for the following reasons:
<ul>
<li>Taxpayers are divided according to taxable income, which is artificially reduced by tax deductions arising from negative gearing strategies;</li>
<li>Many property investors (especially those with higher incomes) control their investments through private trusts.</li>
<li>They are listed in the tax statistics as recipients of trust income rather than direct property investors.</li>
</ul>
When the Reserve Bank compared investment in rental property by individual taxpayers at different levels of total income (rather than taxable income), they found that over half of all geared rental property investors earned over $100,000 (the top 10% of taxpayers in 2011) and 30% earned over $500,000.
<img src="/images/2015/04/22/neg-april-22-two.jpg" alt="">
Source: RBA (2014) “Financial stability review, September 2014. Box C: Households’ investment property exposures, evidence from tax and survey data.”
At the household level, the tax benefits of negative gearing and the Capital Gains Tax discount go mainly to those with high incomes.
In 2006, households in the highest income quintile (top 20%) received an average benefit of $73 per week from negative gearing and $30 per week from the capital gains tax discount. When combined ($103 per week), this was twice the benefit received by the middle quintile ($45 per week) and over 12 times what the lowest income quintile receives (a combined eight dollars per week).
<img src="/images/2015/04/22/neg-april-22-three.jpg" alt="">
Source: Yates (2010) in Stewart ‘Housing and Tax Policy’. Tax concessions by gross household income quintile, 2006.
Weekly benefit from negative gearing is averaged over only those households with negative rental income. Sourced from Melbourne Institute HILDA survey.
This is an exerpt from the Australian Council of Social Service (ACOSS) report, ‘Fuel on the fire: Negative gearing, Capital Gains Tax and housing affordability. Read the full report <a href="https://www.acoss.org.au/media/release/new_report_calls_for_action_on_negative_gearing_and_capital_gains_tax" target="_blank">here</a>.
Peter Davidson is senior advisor with ACOSS.
Ro Evans is policy officer with ACOSS.
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